Aswath Damodaran 1 CORPORATEFINANCE LECTURENOTEPACKET2 CAPITALSTRUCTURE,DIVIDEND POLICYANDVALUATION AswathDamodaran Spring2017 Aswath Damodaran 2 CAPITALSTRUCTURE:THE CHOICESANDTHETRADEOFF “Neitheraborrowernoralenderbe” Someonewhoobviouslyhatedthispartofcorporatefinance Firstprinciples 3 Aswath Damodaran 3 TheChoicesinFinancing 4 ¨ Thereareonlytwowaysinwhichabusinesscanraisemoney. ¤ Thefirstisdebt.Theessenceofdebtisthatyoupromisetomakefixed paymentsinthefuture(interestpaymentsandrepayingprincipal).If youfailtomakethosepayments,youlosecontrolofyourbusiness. ¤ Theotherisequity.Withequity,youdogetwhatevercashflowsare leftoverafteryouhavemadedebtpayments. Aswath Damodaran 4 GlobalPatternsinFinancing… 5 Aswath Damodaran 5 Andamuchgreaterdependenceonbankloans outsidetheUS… 6 Aswath Damodaran 6 Assessingtheexistingfinancingchoices:Disney, Vale,TataMotors,Baidu &Bookscape 7 Aswath Damodaran 7 8 TheTransitionalPhases.. 9 ¨ ¨ Thetransitionsthatweseeatfirms– fromfullyowned privatebusinessestoventurecapital,fromprivatetopublic andsubsequentseasonedofferingsareallmotivated primarilybytheneedforcapital. Ineachtransition,though,therearecostsincurredbythe existingowners: ¤ ¤ ¤ Whenventurecapitalistsenterthefirm,theywilldemandtheirfair shareandmoreoftheownershipofthefirmtoprovideequity. Whenafirmdecidestogopublic,ithastotradeoffthegreateraccess tocapitalmarketsagainsttheincreaseddisclosurerequirements(that emanatefrombeingpubliclylists),lossofcontrolandthetransactions costsofgoingpublic. Whenmakingseasonedofferings,firmshavetoconsiderissuance costswhilemanagingtheirrelationswithequityresearchanalystsand rat Aswath Damodaran 9 Measuringafirm’sfinancingmix… 10 ¨ ¨ ¨ Thesimplestmeasureofhowmuchdebtandequityafirmis usingcurrentlyistolookattheproportionofdebtinthetotal financing.Thisratioiscalledthedebttocapitalratio: DebttoCapitalRatio=Debt/(Debt+Equity) Debtincludesallinterestbearingliabilities,shorttermaswell aslongterm.Itshouldalsoincludeothercommitmentsthat meetthecriteriafordebt:contractuallypre-setpayments thathavetobemade,nomatterwhatthefirm’sfinancial standing. Equitycanbedefinedeitherinaccountingterms(asbook valueofequity)orinmarketvalueterms(baseduponthe currentprice).Theresultingdebtratioscanbeverydifferent. Aswath Damodaran 10 TheFinancingMixQuestion 11 ¨ Indecidingtoraisefinancingforabusiness,isthere anoptimalmixofdebtandequity? ¤ Ifyes,whatisthetradeoffthatletsusdeterminethis optimalmix? n n ¤ Whatarethebenefitsofusingdebtinsteadofequity? Whatarethecostsofusingdebtinsteadofequity? Ifnot,whynot? Aswath Damodaran 11 TheIllusoryBenefitsofDebt 12 ¨ ¨ ¨ Atfirstsight,thebenefitofdebtseemsobvious.Thecost ofdebtislowerthanthecostofequity. Thatbenefitisanillusion,though,becausedebtis cheaperthanequityforasimplereason.Thelendergets bothfirstclaimonthecashflowsandacontractually pre-setcashflow.Theequityinvestorislastinlineand hastodemandahigherrateofreturnthanthelender does. Byborrowingmoneyatalowerrate,youarenotmaking abusinessmorevaluable,butjustmovingtherisk around. Aswath Damodaran 12 CostsandBenefitsofDebt 13 ¨ BenefitsofDebt ¤ ¤ ¨ TaxBenefits:Thetaxcodeistiltedinfavorofdebt,withinterest paymentsbeingtaxdeductibleinmostpartsoftheworld,while cashflowstoequityarenot. Addsdisciplinetomanagement:Whenmanagersaresloppyin theirprojectchoices,borrowingmoneymaymakethemlessso. CostsofDebt ¤ ¤ ¤ BankruptcyCosts:Borrowingmoneywillincreaseyourexpected probabilityandcostofbankruptcy. AgencyCosts:What’sgoodforstockholdersisnotalwayswhat’s goodforlendersandthatcreatesfrictionandcosts. LossofFutureFlexibility:Usingupdebtcapacitytodaywillmean thatyouwillnotbeabletodrawonitinthefuture. Aswath Damodaran 13 TaxBenefitsofDebt 14 ¨ ¨ Whenyouborrowmoney,youareallowedtodeductinterest expensesfromyourincometoarriveattaxableincome.This reducesyourtaxes.Whenyouuseequity,youarenot allowedtodeductpaymentstoequity(suchasdividends)to arriveattaxableincome. Thedollartaxbenefitfromtheinterestpaymentinanyyearis afunctionofyourtaxrateandtheinterestpayment: Taxbenefiteachyear=TaxRate*InterestPayment Thecaveatisthatyouneedtohavetheincometocoverinterest paymentstogetthistaxbenefit. ¤ ¨ Proposition1:Otherthingsbeingequal,thehigherthe marginaltaxrateofabusiness,themoredebtitwillhavein itscapitalstructure. Aswath Damodaran 14 TheEffectsofTaxes 15 ¨ a. b. c. Youarecomparingthedebtratiosofrealestate corporations,whichpaythecorporatetaxrate,and realestateinvestmenttrusts,whicharenottaxed, butarerequiredtopay95%oftheirearningsas dividendstotheirstockholders.Whichofthesetwo groupswouldyouexpecttohavethehigherdebt ratios? Therealestatecorporations Therealestateinvestmenttrusts Cannottell,withoutmoreinformation Aswath Damodaran 15 Debtaddsdisciplinetomanagement 16 ¨ ¨ Ifyouaremanagersofafirmwithnodebt,andyou generatehighincomeandcashflowseachyear,you tendtobecomecomplacent.Thecomplacencycan leadtoinefficiencyandinvestinginpoorprojects. Thereislittleornocostbornebythemanagers Forcingsuchafirmtoborrowmoneycanbean antidotetothecomplacency.Themanagersnow havetoensurethattheinvestmentstheymakewill earnatleastenoughreturntocovertheinterest expenses.Thecostofnotdoingsoisbankruptcyand thelossofsuchajob. Aswath Damodaran 16 DebtandDiscipline 17 ¨ a. b. c. Assumethatyoubuyintothisargumentthatdebtadds disciplinetomanagement.Whichofthefollowingtypes ofcompanieswillmostbenefitfromdebtaddingthis discipline? Conservativelyfinanced(verylittledebt),privately ownedbusinesses Conservativelyfinanced,publiclytradedcompanies, withstocksheldbymillionsofinvestors,noneofwhom holdalargepercentofthestock. Conservativelyfinanced,publiclytradedcompanies, withanactivistandprimarilyinstitutionalholding. Aswath Damodaran 17 BankruptcyCost 18 ¨ Theexpectedbankruptcycostisafunctionoftwovariables-¤ ¤ ¨ ¨ theprobabilityofbankruptcy,whichwilldependuponhowuncertain youareaboutfuturecashflows thecostofgoingbankrupt n directcosts:LegalandotherDeadweightCosts n indirectcosts:Costsarisingbecausepeopleperceiveyoutobein financialtrouble Proposition2:Firmswithmorevolatileearningsandcash flowswillhavehigherprobabilitiesofbankruptcyatanygiven levelofdebtandforanygivenlevelofearnings. Proposition3:Otherthingsbeingequal,thegreaterthe indirectbankruptcycost,thelessdebtthefirmcanaffordto useforanygivenlevelofdebt. Aswath Damodaran 18 Debt&BankruptcyCost 19 ¨ a. b. c. Rankthefollowingcompaniesonthemagnitudeof bankruptcycostsfrommosttoleast,takinginto accountbothexplicitandimplicitcosts: AGroceryStore AnAirplaneManufacturer HighTechnologycompany Aswath Damodaran 19 AgencyCost 20 ¨ ¨ Anagencycostariseswheneveryouhiresomeoneelsetodosomething foryou.Itarisesbecauseyourinterests(astheprincipal)maydeviatefrom thoseofthepersonyouhired(astheagent). Whenyoulendmoneytoabusiness,youareallowingthestockholdersto usethatmoneyinthecourseofrunningthatbusiness.Stockholders interestsaredifferentfromyourinterests,because ¤ ¤ ¨ Insomecases,theclashofinterestscanleadtostockholders ¤ ¤ ¨ You(aslender)areinterestedingettingyourmoneyback Stockholdersareinterestedinmaximizingtheirwealth Investinginriskierprojectsthanyouwouldwantthemto Payingthemselveslargedividendswhenyouwouldratherhavethemkeepthecash inthebusiness. Proposition4:Otherthingsbeingequal,thegreatertheagencyproblems associatedwithlendingtoafirm,thelessdebtthefirmcanaffordtouse. Aswath Damodaran 20 DebtandAgencyCosts 21 ¨ a. b. c. ¨ Assumethatyouareabank.Whichofthefollowing businesseswouldyouperceivethegreatestagency costs? ATechnologyfirm ALargeRegulatedElectricUtility ARealEstateCorporation Why? Aswath Damodaran 21 Lossoffuturefinancingflexibility 22 ¨ ¨ ¨ Whenafirmborrowsuptoitscapacity,itlosesthe flexibilityoffinancingfutureprojectswithdebt. Thus,ifthefirmisfacedwithanunexpected investmentopportunityorabusinessshortfall,itwill notbeabletodrawondebtcapacity,ifithasalread useditup. Proposition5:Otherthingsremainingequal,the moreuncertainafirmisaboutitsfuturefinancing requirementsandprojects,thelessdebtthefirmwill useforfinancingcurrentprojects. Aswath Damodaran 22 Whatmanagersconsiderimportantindeciding onhowmuchdebttocarry... 23 ¨ AsurveyofChiefFinancialOfficersoflargeU.S. companiesprovidedthefollowingranking(frommost importanttoleastimportant)forthefactorsthatthey consideredimportantinthefinancingdecisions Factor 1.Maintainfinancialflexibility 2.Ensurelong-termsurvival 3.MaintainPredictableSourceofFunds 4.MaximizeStockPrice 5.Maintainfinancialindependence 6.Maintainhighdebtrating 7.Maintaincomparabilitywithpeergroup Aswath Damodaran Ranking(0-5) 4.55 4.55 4.05 3.99 3.88 3.56 2.47 23 Debt:Summarizingthetradeoff 24 Aswath Damodaran 24
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