FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study EffectsofReal-TimeFeedbackonHotWaterUse Date: March31,2016 Status: DraftV0.99 Authors: ThorstenStaake,UniversityofBambergandETHZurich VerenaTiefenbeck,ETHZurichandBonnUniversity SamuelSchöb,UniversityofBamberg AnnaKupfer,UniversityofBamberg Contactinformation Forresearch-relatedquestions:[email protected] ForPWN-relatedquestions:[email protected] Internaldraft,notforpublication FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 Tableofcontents Abstract................................................................................................................................................3 1. Motivationandstudyobjectives...................................................................................................4 2. Introductionofthefeedbackdevice.............................................................................................7 3. Studydesignandexecution..........................................................................................................8 4. Results.........................................................................................................................................11 5. Implicationsandconclusion........................................................................................................15 BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page2of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 Abstract Hot water consumption is the second largest position in a household’s energy budget, only outrankedbyspaceheating.Theaveragehouseholdusesmoreenergyforwaterheatingalonethanfor lighting,refrigerators,andconsumerelectronicscombined.Thenexusbetweenhotwaterandenergyuse,however,isbarelyknownamongconsumers,andconsequentlyhotwaterisbarelyconsideredasastrategytoconserveenergyevenamongveryenvironmentallyconcernedcitizens. Inafieldstudyamong637Dutchhouseholds,weinvestigatedhowreal-timeconsumptionfeedback –theprovisionofinformationdirectlyintheshowerontheamountofwaterandenergyused–influenceshotwateruse.Participantsobtainedasmartshowerdisplay,whichtheywereabletoinstall by themselves between shower hose and showerhead. Data from 73’977 showers were recordedinamonitoringphaseoverthreemonthsstartingendofAugust2015. In a baseline phase (feedback devices installed, consumption feedback deactivated), the average consumptionwas3.2kWhand54literspershower.Withfeedbackinformation(waterandenergy useplusenergyefficiencyrating),participantssavedonaveragebetween19%and21%oftheirenergyconsumptionintheshower.Absolutesavingspershoweramountto0.6kWh.Thesavingeffectsarestatisticallyhighlysignificantandstableovertheentireinterventionphase. Projectedtooneyear,athree-personhouseholdintheNetherlands(with0.85showersperperson andday)savesonaverage561kWhofheatenergyand8.7m3litersofwater.Forthesamehousehold size, monetary savings amount to86 EURperyear,leadingtoan amortization of the device within less than one year. From an investment perspective, abatement costs are below 0.05 EUR perkWhsavedforanaverage2.3-personhousehold(forcomparison:0.10EURperkWhforlarge PVinstallations). ThestudyconfirmsthepreviousresultsoffieldtrialsconductedinSwitzerland(togetherwithMobiliarInsurance)withsavingsofonaverage22-24%and100EURrespectively.Inhotel,evenwhen theuserdoesnotpayforwaterandenergy,savingsofonaverage20%havebeenobservedintrials conductedjointlywithMobiliar.Heavyusersandyoungindividualsevensavemoreonaverage. Overall,thestudyconfirmsthatpersonalreal-timefeedbackonaspecific,energy-intensivebehavioronwhichthefeedbackreceiverhasastronginfluenceproducesverylargesavingeffects.Moreover,fortheapplicationintheshower,themeasurehasanexcellentcost-benefitratioandisapplicabletothevastmajorityofhouseholds(homeownersandtenants). BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page3of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 1. Motivationandstudyobjectives Thewater-energynexus In the Netherlands, water heating uses 2,460 kWh of energy per year and household (see Figure 1), exceeding the total amount of energy usedforcooking,lighting,andICTcombined.Whilespaceheating,lighting, and electric appliance have received much attention in the past (e.g., in form of subsidized roof refurbishments, the prohibition of incandescent light bulbs, efficiency ratings, etc.), water heating only recentlymovedintothefocusofattentionamongpolicymakersandfirms Waterheatingisthe secondlargespositiononahousehold’s energybill. asanimportantfieldforimprovement. Water heating deserves special attention in environmental campaigns, asresidentialwaterheatinginCentralEuropeprimarilyreliesonoil,gas, and electricity. This makes (hot) water generation very carbon intense, andmeasurestoreducethedemandparticularlyworthwhiletopursue. Waterheatingisvery carbonintense. Thefigureforwater heatingdoesnotincludehotwatergeneratedbydishwashersandwashingmachines(partofappliances)andwater heatedonthestove (partofcooking). 1 Figure1:Consumptionperhouseholdbyenduse Despiteitsimportance,thenexusbetweenhotwaterandenergyuseis barely known among consumers. While dedicated accounts for space heating,smartelectricitymeterswithin-homedisplays,enhancedelectricitybills,etc.increasinglyinformconsumersandhelpthembuildupa generalunderstandingonthosedomains,energyforpersonalhotwater use is barely communicated to the end user. Consequently, hot water conservation is not considered as an energy conservation target even amongveryenvironmentallyconcernedcitizens,leavinglargesavingpo- Citizensarebarely awareofthelarge amountofenergy thatgoesintowater heating. 1 Source:EuropeanEnvironmentAgency(2012)/SplitofICT&Lightinginferredfrombdew(2010). BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page4of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 tentials untapped. The understanding that drinking water is abundant reducestheintentiontoconservehotwaterevenfurther.Nevertheless, weexpectagrowingattentionpaidtohotwaterinthecomingyears:Its shareamongtotalresidentialenergydemandwillgrow,asbetterbuildinginsulationandefficiencystandardsdrivedown energyconsumption inotherdomains.Innewlybuilt,energyefficientbuildings,waterheatingevenexceedstheamountofenergyusedbyspaceheating. Showerwaterconsumptionasanenergysavingtarget Mostofthehotwater(about70%)isconsumedintheshower.Anaverageshowerrequires3.2kWh(includinglosses)inonly8minutes.There isnootheractivityinanapartmentwithacomparablepowerlevel(i.e., thatusesmoreenergypertime).Atthesametime,showeringisanexcellent target for conservation measures: First, the energy intensity allows for large absolute savings, and the short time interval of each shower only requires a short period of attention of a consumer to engageinenergyconservationbehavior.Second,showeringisadailyrou- Showeringisextremelyenergyintense:1secondin theshowerrequires asmuchenergyas workingonalaptop computerfor2 hours. tine of almost all citizens, so campaigns have the potential to address virtually all households. Third, only a very small fraction of the citizens knows how energy intense the daily shower is. Thus, information campaigns may leverage a steep learning curve. Forth, consumers have a huge influence on their shower water use. Cutting one’s shower duration by only one minute leads to savings in the order of 13%. Fifths, shower consumption is something that can be easily attributed to one Showeringisanexcellenttargetforbehavioralefficiency campaigns. individual person (unlike electricity that is partly determined by other household members and by devices that have a base load), making it possibletoprovidepersons-specific,verytargetedandthuspowerfulinterventions. Supportingconsumerswithfeedbackinterventions Feedback interventions inform users about their behavior and/or its outcomes. The idea behind the concept is that the feedback receiver getsinformationontheoutcomeofabehaviorsheperformedinaway thatiseasytoremember(oftennumericalorsymbolic).Astepcounter is a prominent example for physical activity during the day. The feedbackhelpsthereceivertoevaluateherperformance,compareittoprevious days and to the performance of others, to set personal goals, to sharetheinformationamongpeers,etc.Ifprovidedinaneasytounderstand, motivating way, feedback interventions can have a large impact on behavior. Depending on the domain, feedback can support physical exercise, diet plans, the attempt to quit smoking, vocabulary learning, BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Feedbackinterventionsinformthereceiverabouttheoutcomeofabehavior. Page5of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 teethbrushing–andenergyconservation.Intheenergydomain,feedbackinterventionshavebeenshowntoleadtoeffectsthatareequivalentineffectsizetolargepriceincreases.2Theconceptoffeedbackisoftenappliedinordertocurbelectricityconsumption(e.g.,intheformof in-homedisplayswithdataprovidedbysmartelectricitymetersorinthe form of paper-based home energy reports) or as means to reduce fuel consumption(intheformoffuelgaugesonacar’sdashboard). Feedbackcanbecategorizeddependingonitstimeliness(e.g.,monthly vs.dailyvs.directlyafterabehaviorhasbeenperformedvs.alreadyduring a behavior). It can also be categorized according to its specificity (e.g.,providedforasinglebehaviorvs.foraggregatedbehaviors/providedperpersonvs.perhousehold).Ingeneral,timelyfeedback(ideally givenduringthebehavior)andperson-specificfeedbackismorelikelyto yieldlargechangesinbehavior. Themajorinfluencecitizenscanhaveontheirshowerconsumption,the limitedawarenessamongconsumers(i.e.,thesteeplearningcurve),and thepossibilitytoprovideperson-specificfeedbackduringthebehavioris performed makes showering an excellent candidate for feedback interventions. Real-time,person- specificfeedbackis expectedtobeespeciallypowerful. Showeringisanideal targetforfeedback interventions Studyobjectives Theresearchgoalofthestudywastoquantifyandtobetterunderstand theeffectofreal-timefeedbackonshowerbehavior.Wewantedtofind out (1) how feedback changes the amount of hot water and thus the amountofenergyconsumed,(2)iftheeffectsarestableovertime,and (3)ifspecificsubgroupsofthestudyparticipantssavemorethanothers. AdditionalgoalsfromPWNhavebeentolearn(4)howreliablethefeedbackdevicesworkedinthefield,(5)howtheparticipatinghouseholdrespondedtothedevices,and(6)iftheratiobetweencostandsavingper deviceiscompetitive. Themainstudyobjectivewastoinvestigatetheeffectof real-timefeedback onhotwateruseand thepracticabilityof thefeedbackdevice. Theobjectiveshavebeenaddressedinalarge-scalefieldstudyinvolving 637 Dutch households in 2015. The study was conduced by a research teamlocatedattheUniversityofBamberg,ETHZurich,andtheUniversity of Bonn. PWN at Velserbroek financed the study and supported its implantation. 2 Source: Allcott, Hunt (2011). Social norms and energy conservation. Journal of Public Economics 95(9), 1082-1095. BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page6of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 2. Introductionofthefeedbackdevice Thecentralelementofthestudywasasmallmeasurementanddisplay devices(“amphirob1”)thatprovidesreal-timefeedbackonenergyand waterconsumptionintheshower(Figure2).Forthestudy,the637participatinghouseholdsinstalledstudyversionofthedevicebetweentheir showerhead and shower hose. The devices turn on automatically as soonaswaterflowsandprovideinformationonwaterconsumption(in liters)andenergyconsumption(in[k]Wh)foreachindividualshowertogetherwithanefficiencyratingfromAtoG(Aindicatingaveryenergy efficient shower). The information was provided on a per shower basis (startingatzeroforeachshowerextraction),andextractionsthatshortly followedeachotherweregroupedintoonelargerextraction(toprovide one number per shower even if the user makes short breaks, e.g., to shampooherhair). Thesmartshower meter“amphirob1” providesreal-time feedbackonwater andenergyusedirectlyintheshower. Figure2:Schematicrepresentationofthefeedbackdeviceamphirob1 Ingreaterdetail,displayarea1toggleswatertemperatureandtheenergyefficiencyrating.Whennowaterflows,thedisplayremainsonfor abouttwominutes,waitingwhethertheshowerisbeingcontinuedand allowing the user to still see the final shower results. Display area 2 showswaterconsumptionoftheongoingshowerextractionduringthe shower,andtogglesbetweenwaterconsumptionandenergyconsumptionwhennowaterflows.Displayarea3providesanemotionalrepresentationoftheefficiencyrating(apolarbearstandingonameltingice floe;thesizeoftheicefloeiscoupledwiththeenergyefficiencyrating). Area3doesnotprovideadditionalinformation,buthassomeemotional valueandappearstomakeusertalkmorefrequentlyaboutthedevice. BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page7of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 Asthedeviceautomaticallyturnsonwheneverwaterflows,itdoesnot require user action to start the measurement process. Nor does it require batteries, as it generates its energy from the water flow; this increases the environmental appeal of the device and makes battery changesabundant.Thepressuredropissmall–thedevicedoesnotreducethewaterflowinaverynoticeableway.Unlikemechanicalflowrestrictors that face much criticism for restricting consumer choice and Thedevicedoesnot requireabatteryasit generatesitsenergy fromthewaterflow. shower comfort in a paternalizing way, the feedback device lets users freelychoosetheflowrateanddurationoftheirshowers. Besides displaying the information outlined above, the amphiro b1 stores(foreachshower)theduration,volume,numberofinterruptions, andaveragetemperatureperextraction.Overall249suchdatasetsfitin the memory. Base temperature (for the energy calculation) was set to 12°C.Deviceaccuracyis+-6%betweendevicesataflowrateof12l/min, with a much smaller deviation for repeated measures of one device. Flowratescanbebetween2l/minand22l/min. The devices were built in Austria according to common environmental standardsanduseonlydrinkingwatercompliantmaterialsforallwaterconductingparts. Theinstallationdoesnotrequireanytools(seeFigure3).amphirob1is compatibletoallcustomary1/2"handshowersystems. Figure3:Installationofamphirob1 3. Studydesignandexecution Experimentaldesign Thestudywasorganizedasafieldexperimentinordertoexaminethe effectofthefeedbackinterventionintherealworld(i.e.,notinanartificialsettinginalaboratory).Participantswererandomlyassignedtotwo BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page8of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 differentgroups3,theso-calledtreatmentandthecontrolgroup,which received group-specific devices. The devices handed out to the control group displayed only information on water temperature (i.e., no feedbackonwaterorenergyuse).Thedevicesgiventothetreatmentgroup also displayed only water temperature during the first N*10 showers (referred to as baseline phase; N describes the number of household members using the shower), but thereafter automatically switched to Thefieldexperiment wasorganizedasa randomizedcontrolledtrialpreceded bybaselinemeasurements. feedbackmode(theinterventionphase).Intheinterventionphase,the devicesprovidedthefullsetofreal-timefeedbackonwaterandenergy consumptionasdescribedinSection2. This design is referred to as randomized controlled trial with baseline phase. It allows us to investigate changes in consumption once the interventionofinterest(here:feedbackonconsumption)becomesactive by observing the difference between baseline and intervention phase. Moreover,byobservingthecontrolgroup,thestudydesignalsoallows us to subtract non-intervention related influences (such as changes in outdoor temperature or changes in the behavior that stem from the feelingamongtheparticipantsofbeingmonitoredinastudy).Thestudy designisillustratedinFigure4.Anonlinequestionnairewasconducted bothatthebeginningandattheendofthestudy. Figure4:Experimentaldesign 3 Randomizationwasperformedwhileconsideringthetargetgroupsize. BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page9of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 Recruitmentofparticipatinghouseholdsanddatacollection 637householdsparticipatedthestudy.TheywererecruitedamongPWN employees including subsidiaries, PWN customer panels, PWN volunteers,andagroupreferredtoasnudgepanelthatwasavailableforresearch purposes. Prior to the first questionnaire, a short online survey 637householdsparticipatedthestudy wasconductedtoidentifyhouseholdsthatanticipatedtorelocateorto beabsentforlongerperiodsduringthestudyorwhohadheadshowers (where the feedback device could not have been installed). This was done to avoid distributing devices to households that could not completethestudy.Participationwasvoluntarily(“opt-in”)andfreeofcost totheparticipants. Shower data was collected over a period of three months. Participants whereaskedtoinstallasmartphoneappthatcollectedtheshowerdata from the feedback devices and uploaded the retrieved data to a cloud server for subsequent analyses. These steps required a compatible smartphonewithBluetooth4.0connectivity.(iPhone>4Sandselected Android phones). In case of problems during data upload, the research teamsentreturnenvelopesandaskedtheparticipantstoreturnthedevicesviamail.PWNemployeesalsohadtheopportunitytodropthede- Datawascollected overaperiodof threemonths. viceoffatthePWNheadquarters.Theresearchteamthenreadoutthe devices,setthemnormaloperationmode(sothatcontrolgroupparticipants received consumption feedback from then on) and retuned the devicestothehouseholds.TheprocessstepsareshowninFigure5. Figure5:Studytimeline Returnrateanddatacollected Outofthe637participatinghouseholds,503provideddataeitherbyusing the smartphone app or by shipping the device back for readout by the research team. The return rate of 80% can be considered as very good. In total, the datasets includes 73’977 shower extractions. From Intotal,63’206data pointswereavailable forthesubsequent analysis. BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page10of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 these,63'206extractionscouldbeusedinthesubsequentanalysis.4This makesthedatasetoneofthelargestonescoveringshowerbehaviorin theworld. 4. Results Graphicalrepresentation The plot of the measured data nicely illustrates the effect of real-time feedbackonenergyconsumption(Figure6).Wedescribeitstep-wiseto easeitsinterpretation. Thetwolinesshowsthemeanenergyconsumptionpershoweroverthe course of the study of the two groups (blue = control group, red = treatmentgroup).Duringthebaselinephase(nofeedback,from0%to 10% of study completion), the energy consumption of control and treatment group participants is almost identical, showing us that the randomdistributionoftheparticipantsintothetwogroupsworkedwell. Thisisanimportantindicatorthattheparticipantsaresimilarregarding important characteristics, and it increases the level of confidence that the effects observed in the subsequent intervention phase can be attributed to the intervention and not to group-specific differences. The firstdatapointisnoticeablylowerthantherest.Weassumethatisbecause many participants who installed the feedback device and tried it outwithasmallerwaterextraction,withoutactuallytakingashower. During the intervention phase (between 10% and 100% of the study completion),controlgroupparticipants(bluedots)continuetoseeonly water temperature. The consumption increases over time, as indicated bytheupwardslopeoftheblueline.WeattributethistrendtotheHawthorneffect:atthebeginning,participants“feelobserved”andthustake shortershowersthantheyusuallywould;overtime,theygetusedtothe deviceandreturntotheirnormalshowerhabits.Thisisnotinterfering withthestudyresults,astheeffectispresentforbothgroups. Withtheonsetoftheinterventionphase(feedbackisshownforthefirst time, study completion rate 11%), treatment group participants (red dots)immediatelyreducetheirenergyconsumption.Thisdecreaseisat- Withoutfeedback, boththecontroland thetreatmentgroup consumethesame amountofenergy. Theupwardslopeis attributedtothe Hawthorneeffect.It doesnotreducethe absolutesizeofthe savingeffects Theimmediateeffect offeedbackiseasily visible. 4 Mostofthenon-usabledatapointscamefromhouseholdswerethenumberofshowersexceededtheinternaldevicememory,leadingtocorrupteddata.Forthesakeofbriefness,wedonotdiscussoutlierremoval herebutincludeadiscussioninanextendedreporttoPWN.Thedetailedanalysisshowsthatoutlierremoval doesnotaffectcontrolandtreatmentgroupdifferently. BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page11of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 tributed to the feedback intervention. Savings are represented by the differencebetweenthetwotrendlines.Thetrendlinesarealmostparallel: the treatment effect remains constant during the experiment. If thereisachange,thenthegapseemstowiden;thatwouldmeanthat thesavingsevenincreasethelongertheparticipantsreceivefeedback. Thefollowingsubsectionquantifiestheeffectsize.Thegraphicalrepresentation,however,alreadyconveysthelargeeffectssizefromreal-time feedbackonshowerbehavior. Figure6:Feedbackeffectsonper-showerenergyuse Calculatingtheeffectsizewithadifference-in-differencesmodel In order to quantify the effect size, we calculated the changes in consumption with a difference-in-differences (DID) analysis. A DiD analysis compares the mean energy use of the two groups (control and treatment)duringbaselineandduringtheinterventionphase.Thisrelatively Thedifference-indifferencesmodel showssavingsper showerof0.64kWh. simpleapproachhastheadvantageovermoresophisticatedregression modelsthatitismorestraightforwardtounderstandandverify. For a DID analysis, one derives the difference between control and treatmentgroupduringthebaselinephaseandsubtractfromitthedifference between control and treatment group during the intervention phase.Inourcase,thisrevealsaveragesavingspershowerof0.64kWh, or20.8%.TheanalysisisillustratedinFigure6. BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Consideringalsothe resultsofaregressionanalyses,weregardpershowersavingsof0.6kWhas veryreliableestimate. Page12of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 AnalternativetoDIDanalysisistoestimateamorecomplexregression model.Usingafixedeffectregressionmodel,wefoundthesavingstobe 0.55 kWh, or 19.6%. Given the inherent error margins of field studies, thisvirtuallythesameresultasshownbytheDIDanalysis. Figure6:Calculationoftheeffectsizewithadifference-in-differencesapproach(energyusepershower,nominimumthresholdfilter) Theenergysavingsalmostcompletelyresultfromareductioninshower duration. The treatment group only slightly reduced the flow rate, and tooktheirshowersatalmostthesametemperature.Thisisnotverysurprising:reducingthedurationofashowerbyaminuteortwoishardly noticeablegivenahuman’ssensefortimeatthesescales,whileareductionofthewatertemperaturewouldresultinaseverelossofcomfort. In addition to the energy savings, the average amount of water saved pershoweris9.3liters.Whiletheenergysavingsaccountforaconsiderableshareofthehouseholdstotalenergybudget,thewatersavingsonly accountforaverysmallproportionoftotalwateruse. Inaddition,householdssaveonaverage9.3litersper shower. Stabilityoftheeffects Forboth,thedifference-in-differencesandtheregressionmodel,theresults are robust to different filters (e.g., excluding or not excluding extraction with unbearably hot shower water temperatures or very short (4.5 liters) extractions that probably result from bathroom cleaning rather than from showering). Moreover, the regression shows no significanttimetrendintheeffectsize,indicatingthatthesavingsremainconstant. BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Thesavingeffects arestatisticallyhighlysignificantandstableovertime. Page13of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 Attempttoexplainthelargeeffects Savingsfromsmartelectricitymetersaretypicallyintherangeof2%to 5% (Schleich et al. 2013, McKerracher & Torriti 2013), amounting to about80to240kWhperyear.Thisraisesthequestionwhythesaving effectsobservedinthisstudyaremuchbigger.Severalfactorsmayex- Thesavingseffectsa muchhigherthanfor smartmeteringfor electricity.Itiseasier forconsumerstorespondtofeedback providedinthe showerthantokeep trackoftheirelectricityusethatisinfluencedbymanyfactors. plainthelargereffectsobservedhere:First,thefeedbackonhotwater useisgivenalreadyduringthebehaviorisperformed,allowingtheuser to immediately respond to it. Second, the feedback is person-specific anddirectedtoaspecificbehavior,makingiteasytounderstandandto relateto.Third,thefeedbackreceiverhasahighlevelofcontrol:Unlike feedback on electricity, the energy consumed in a shower is not influenced other household members, base load from appliances, etc. and thevalvecontrollingtheconsumptioniswithinreach.Andforth,thecurtailmentbehaviorrequiresonlyshorttimespanofattention,asalotof energyisconsumedinonlyafewminutes.Thesefactorsappeartomake showeringanexcellenttargetforfeedbackinterventions. Totalenergyandwatersavings/abatementcosts Sofar,wehavereportedthesavingspershower.Thedatasuggestthata persontakesonaverage0.85showersperday(oralmostsixperweek). FortheaverageDutchhousehold(2.3persons),thisresultsinsavingsof 428kWhplus6.7m3ofwaterandwastewaterperyear. Table 1 summarizes the energy and water savings and the abatement costs(investmentperkWhsaved)overathree-yearperiod.Threeyears havebeenchosenasaconservativeestimateforthedevicelifetime.For theabatementcostcalculation,devicecostsof60EURhavebeenused. Note that the numbers only reflect the pure cost side: They do not include the households’ savings on their energy and water bill. If those savings are taken into account, the costs per kWh saved are negative; thecost-benefitanalysisispresentedonthenextpage. Householdsize 1person 2persons 2.3person 3persons 4persons Energysavings 558kWh 1’117kWh 1’284kWh 1’675kWh 2’233kWh Watersavings 8.7m 17.5m 20.1m 26.2m 35m Investmentper kWhsaved 0.107EUR 0.054EUR 0.047EUR 0.036EUR 0.027EUR 3 3 3 3 3 Table1:Waterandenergysavingsfordifferenthouseholdsizesandabatementcostwithinthreeyears BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page14of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 Monetarysavingsfordifferenthouseholdsizesandheatingscenarios Forindividualhouseholds,themonetarysavingscanbeestimatedusing current water and energy prices. For the calculation, we differentiate between two heating types (gas and electricity), which are both common and which have different cost of energy. Table 2 summarizes the monetarysavingsoverathree-yearperiod.Cellshighlightedinboldindicateareturnoninvestmentinlessthanoneyear. Thefollowingutilitycosthavebeenusedforthecalculation: • • • • Costofdrinkingwater:1.83EUR/m3 Costofwastewater: novariablecost Energycostgas: 0.079EUR/kWh Energycostelectricity: 0.23EUR/kWh Householdsize 1person 2persons 2.3person 3persons 4persons Heating:Gas 60EUR 121EUR 139EUR 181EUR 241EUR Heating:Electricity 145EUR 290EUR 333EUR 435EUR 580EUR 5 Table2:Monetarysavingsfordifferenthouseholdsizeswithinthreeyears 5. Implicationsandconclusion Theresultsshowthatreal-timefeedbackonshowerwateruseleadsto verylargesavingeffects.Thisespeciallyholdsforhouseholdswithmore thanonperson.Forfamilies,thepaybackperiodsarelessthanoneyear, even at today’s low energy prices for fossil fuels. The effects are also noteworthygiventhatthetechnologyisenablingratherthanpatronizing bynature:Itgivestheuserstheopportunitytoactinlinewiththeirintentions rather than relying on higher energy prices or restrictive measuressuchasflowrestrictors. Large-scalesavings canbeachievedwith abatementcostof lessthan0.05EUR perkWh. Another strength of the feedback intervention is its compatibility with the vast majority of showers. Unlike most other technologies for heat energyconservationthatsufferfromsplitincentives(wherehomeownershavetoinvestwhiletenantsbenefitfromlowerenergybills),itsin 5 Note:Thecalculationusesaveragevaluesforheatingefficiency.Mostlikely,gasheatinghasalower-than- average efficiency (savings are slightly higher than in the table), and electricity heating has a higher-thanaverageefficiency(savingsareabitlower). BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page15of16 FinalreportontheAmphiro-PWN-study 2016-03-31 stallation makes sense both for tenants and homeowners. This makes thetechnologywellsuitedforlargescalecampaigns. From the perspective of administrators of an energy efficiency campaign, the abatement costs (i.e., the investment necessary to save one kWh)areverylow comparedto othermeasures.Whenspecificallytargeting families (three-person households), the investment per kWh savedis0.036EUR. A challenge related to the adoption of the feedback intervention remains.Consumersrarelyrelatehotwatertoenergyuse.Consequently, hot water conservation is not considered a saving target even among very environmentally concerned citizens. This makes marketing (hot) water saving technologies a challenge, probably requiring an enduring approachtoraisetheawarenessamongcitizens. BitstoEnergyLab,ETHZurichandUniversityofBamberg Page16of16
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