CONTEXT MATTERS: WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN? PHILIPPA SHEPHERD1 , JAMES TANSEY2 and HADI DOWLATABADI1 1 Sustainable Development Research Initiative, 1924 West Mall, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, V6T 1Z2, Canada 2 James Martin Institute for Science and Civilization, Said Business School, University of Oxford, Park End Street, Oxford, OX1 1HP, United Kingdom Abstract. This paper describes two case studies of demand-side water management in the Okanagan region of southern British Columbia, Canada. The case studies reveal important lessons about how local context shapes the process of adaptation; in these cases, adaptation to rising and changing water demand under a regime of increasingly limited supply in a semi-arid region. Both case studies represent examples of water meter implementation, specifically volume-based pricing in a residential area and as a compliance tool in a mainly farming district. While the initiative was successful in the residential setting, agricultural metering met with stiff resistance. These cases suggest many factors shape the character of the adaptation process, including: interpretation of the signal relative to context, newness of the approach, consumer values, and local and provincial political agendas. Although context has been explored in resource management circles, thus far climate change adaptation research has not adequately discussed the embeddedness of adaptation. In other words, how context matters and what aspects of context, unrelated to climate change, could encourage or thwart the act of adapting. This study is a simple illustration of the potential drivers, barriers and enabling factors that have influenced the adaptation process of water management decisions in the Okanagan. 1. Introduction This paper builds upon an earlier study of climate change impacts in the Okanagan, a semi-arid region of southwest British Columbia (BC), Canada (Cohen and Kulkarni, 2001; Neilsen et al., 2001) and contributes to a much broader study described elsewhere (Cohen et al., 2005). Initial research in this region was devoted to the development of climate change impact scenarios, focused specifically on changes to the timing and supply of water that extended out until 2080. These long-range scenarios were presented to regional stakeholders who were asked to describe what strategies they would pursue in response to climate change impacts. Potential water management approaches identified ranged from structural to institutional interventions to demand-side management. This paper presents data gathered during the second phase of this project, entitled “Expanding the dialogue on climate change and water management in the Okanagan Basin” (Cohen and Neale, 2003). It compliments the identification of adaptation strategies with a detailed examination of the implications and challenges of the actual act of adapting in the local context. Independent of climate change impacts, stakeholders in the region are already highly sensitised to the impacts of human activity on the natural environment, Climatic Change (2006) 78: 31–62 DOI: 10.1007/s10584-006-9093-7 c Springer 2006 32 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. particularly with respect to water supply. While agricultural users remain the largest consumers of water, the Okanagan also contains some of the fastest growing settlements in Canada. In the face of rapid population growth, limited water supplies and significant annual variability in precipitation, stakeholders in the region are already concerned about the availability of water, independent of future climate change impacts. In response, a number of attempts have been made to modify existing water use practices in both the residential and agricultural sectors over the last twenty years. In this paper we present two case studies within the Okanagan region where metering of water consumption was introduced in a residential area (along with volume-based pricing), and in the agricultural sector as a compliance tool. While both examples involve the introduction of similar technologies, implementation in the residential sector was relatively straightforward while implementation in the agricultural sector met with significant resistance and was only forced through as a result of direct provincial intervention. Factors such as prior exposure to the strategy in question, historical context and political institutional interactions help to explain the different experiences in these contrasting case studies. While the majority of research in the field focuses on climate change as the primary stimulus for adaptation in policy, in this study we view it as one among many change drivers a local authority will face. Additionally, climate induced impacts will be experienced as water management problems i.e. balancing supply and demand, not a climate problem. Framing adaptation this way emphasizes that many factors, including other environmental pressures, socio-economic and political issues will ultimately constrain, impede or encourage effective adaptation and will influence the development of adaptation approaches and policy now and in the future. As Pielke (1998) argues, regardless of climate change, adaptive measures are needed because societal developments in themselves will increase vulnerability to environmental stress. 2. The Okanagan Region The Okanagan Basin is located in the south central interior of British Columbia, Canada. The basin is 160 km2 in length and encompasses 8200 km2 of land surrounding the Okanagan Lake and River. The basin sits in the rain shadow of a chain of coastal mountains and has a dry continental climate with 300 mm2 precipitation per year falling mostly during the winter. The region attracts one million tourists per year and is home to an active forestry and agricultural sector. Home to 95% of the vineyards and 90% of the fruit orchards in the province, this basin has been called the region’s wine and fruit-basket. While population has expanded significantly in recent years, agricultural activities still account for around 70% of water demand, rising to 85% in some areas during the summer months. The Crop and Food Production sector in BC contributed CAN $1.7bn in 2001 and apple and pear production WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 33 alone in Okanagan-Similkameen-Kootenay region contributed CAN $35–68 million between 1997 and 2001.1 Of the 431 × 106 m3 of precipitation falling in the basin 201 × 106 m3 is allocated to irrigation or around 78% of the total available for human use (Nielsen et al., 2001, p3). Historically farmers have been the dominant water users in the region, privileged to a plentiful water supply at low cost. There is now increasing competition for water resources due to increased population growth, tourism, and commercial and industrial development. In addition there is on-going pressure to explicitly incorporate more effective minimum fish flow restrictions in provincial regulations in order to protect fish populations (currently flow restrictions are considered in water licensing decisions). Finally, concerns have emerged that the quality of the water resource is diminishing. Most of the tributaries of the Okanagan River are regulated to some degree. Upland supplies and sites for new reservoir development are increasingly limited while license capacity (meaning the amount of surplus water that can be licensed to new users) is dwindling (Obedkoff, 1994). A preliminary study suggests that climatic change is expected to add to these pressures by increasing temperatures between 2.5–5◦ C by 2080, which in turn could result in a six-week earlier spring freshet and significantly increased crop water demand (Cohen and Neale, 2003). However, increasing demand for water resulting from population growth in the region is estimated to be far greater than demands induced by regional impacts of climate change (Neilsen et al., 2004). In this context, climate change is just one of the many stressors affecting human-environment systems in the region. Authority to manage and regulate water supply, quality and consumption in the Okanagan Basin is divided between four levels of government: federal, provincial, regional and local. Local authorities are the primary decision-makers with respect to water management in the Okanagan. With three regional districts, 11 municipalities and 40 improvement districts providing water to customers within their respective jurisdictions, management is extremely fragmented. Water is divided amongst local purveyors by the provincial government through British Columbia’s water rights system. The principle of prior appropriation underpins this system and water has historically been granted on a “first come, first served” basis, giving priority access to the earliest license holders. Ensuring fair and adequate division of water between these purveyors is the most pressing current challenge, especially in the face of multiple users and uses, and with the shift from predominantly agricultural to residential use. 3. Adaptation Theory Adaptation research in the context of climatic change has predominantly involved identifying possible and feasible adaptation options/strategies in response to future climate impacts (Cohen and Kulkarni, 2001), identifying criteria for selecting 34 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. appropriate strategies (de Loë and Kreutzwiser, 2000; de Loë and Kreutswiser et al., 2001), estimating outcomes e.g. cost or effectiveness (Mendelsohn, 2000), and exploring responses to current climate variability (Bryant et al., 2000). Few studies have explored adaptation as a process or examined its socially embedded character (see Risbey et al., 1999; Kelly and Adger, 2000). Nonetheless there is increasing recognition that in order to describe appropriate and effective adaptation, research needs to focus on the actual process of adaptation: examination of how, when, why, and under what conditions adaptations actually occur in economic and social systems; consideration of social, behavioural and other obstacles to adaptation (Rosenzweig and Parry, 1994; Smithers and Smit, 1997; Kane and Yohe, 2000; Burton et al., 2002). Additionally, it is essential to recognise the contextual, multi-dimensional and multi-scale nature of the adaptation process (Risbey et al., 1999; Smit et al., 2000). Smit et al. (2000) developed a framework for discussing adaptation (Figure 1) to illustrate that: “A rigorous description of any adaptation would specify the system of interest (who or what adapts?), the climate-related stimulus (adaptation to what?), and the processes and forms involved (how does adaptation occur?)... the additional step of evaluation to judge the merit of potential adaptations (how good is the adaptation?)” (p. 204). Caveats to this framework, and climate change literature in general, are that nonclimate forces are generally under-represented, depicted as secondary to climate stimuli; emphasis is on single stimuli characteristics rather than multiple signal interpretation and the processes of adaptation are underexplored (i.e. how does adaptation occur). Risbey et al. (1999) partly address this gap by exploring scale, context and decision-making in a study of agricultural community adaptation to climate Figure 1. Climate change adaptation framework after Smit et al. (2000) adaptation framework. WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 35 TABLE I Key stages in the adaptation process presented by Risbey et al. (1999) Stage Description Signal detection For any decision-maker, the manner and form of adaptation will depend on how signal and noise are defined. That is, what is adapted to (signal) and what is ignored (noise). Decision-makers with an operational focus on different temporal and spatial scales will tend to define signal in terms of processes they can observe at their characteristic scales of attention. Adaptation is conditional on detecting a recognizable signal: no detected signal, no response. After signal detection the next stage is evaluation. The detected signal is interpreted and the foreseeable consequences or impacts are evaluated by the system controllers; be they individual farmers or larger bodies such as wheat boards and government agencies. The third stage is the response: an observable change in the behaviour or performance of the system. The response is the result of a decision. A variety of different decision making styles (risk aversion, satisficing) have been observed among farming communities. The final stage is feedback: monitoring of the outcomes of decisions to assess whether they are as expected. If the adaptation is effective, it can be added to a repertoire of adaptive options. If it doesn’t work, one needs to evaluate what went wrong and why. Evaluation Decision and Response Feedback variability in Australia. In order to explore these processes, adaptation (described as a decision-making process) was broken down into four components or stages: (1) signal detection; (2) evaluation; (3) decision and response; and (4) feedback (Table I). In contrast to the framework developed by Smit et al. (2000), this model emphasizes the continuous process-nature of adaptation, and the role of human agency and choice. For example, the characteristics of the signal or stimuli do not determine adaptation; rather the value-based process of distinguishing a signal from noise is of primary importance. Additionally, it was recognized that many decision processes at different scales and with different agendas are occurring simultaneously, each influencing the other through time. This study uses a combination of these two frameworks of adaptation to explore the adaptation process (Figure 2). Non-climatic factors are seen as potentially equal drivers of adaptation to climate change, while context or embeddedness is key in mediating the adaptation process. The “system” is inherent, and in this presentation of adaptation, the human system is the main focus. 4. Case Study Design Using the modified framework to guide data collection, this qualitative and exploratory study examines the historical development from initiation to completion and beyond of two demand-side management approaches implemented in the 36 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. Figure 2. Framework used for the case study design. Okanagan. The system, along with the management approach were predefined. Local authorities were selected as the adapting system since they represented primary decision-making bodies when it comes to water management (Dorcey, 1991), although the roles of regional and provincial agencies are included in the analysis where relevant. City of Kelowna services predominantly domestic users and South East Kelowna Irrigation District (SEKID) services predominantly agricultural users. Both examples initiated water conservation strategies with metering as the core component. In Kelowna’s case metering was a prerequisite to volumebased pricing, while in SEKID metering is being used as a compliance tool where volume-based pricing has been implemented for water use in excess of the licence holder’s allocation. The two cases were selected on the basis of the following criteria: 1. They represented under-utilised management practices that were forwardthinking; 2. They represented alternative or complimentary approaches to supply-side management e.g. demand-side management approaches; 3. They represented “no regrets” management strategies i.e. are relevant and feasible and make management sense now; 4. They included the two major water consumers in the region, domestic and agriculture. 5. Data on outcomes and effectiveness was accessible. Table II presents a brief description of the case studies. As the impetus (stimulus) of the adaptations was not assumed to be climatic, identifying the drivers, and examining signal interpretation and attribution was part WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 37 TABLE II Overview of the two case studies selected for this study. Kelowna Sekid Authority type Municipality i.e. City Location Strategy Central Okanagan Regional District Metering mainly to implement a volume-based rate but also as a monitoring tool. Metering was introduced as part of a Water Conservation Strategy in order to reduce per capita water consumption. Criteria 1 Domestic metering might still be under utilised in the region and elsewhere in British Columbia. However, Kelowna does not represent an early adopter. Three other municipalities and one improvement district in the region have implemented metering: Coldstream, Penticton, Vernon and Rutland Waterworks. Fulfilled Data on effectiveness was only gathered with limited success due to lack of co-operation. Local authority i.e. Improvement District Within Kelowna municipality Metering was introduced along with irrigation scheduling i.e. use of various technologies to determine the optimal timing and amount or irrigation. The objective was to use metering to ensure compliance and as a water conservation tool. SEKID represents the only Irrigation District in the Okanagan and possibly BC that has implemented agricultural irrigation metering. Criteria 2 Criteria 3 Criteria 4 Criteria 5 Domestic Some data available Analysed time-line 1987–2000 Fulfilled SEKID was extremely co-operative in providing the necessary documentation to verify interview data. Agriculture The Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Fisheries undertook an evaluation of the project, so data on outcomes was accessible. 1987–2003 of the analysis. The story of “how the adaptation occurred”, including decision process and implementation, is the focus of this paper. Finally, the outcome and effectiveness of the interventions (whether the approach achieved desired goals) is briefly discussed. 4.1. METHODOLOGY AND INTERVIEW PROCEDURE Table III summarises the case study interviews. The interview process relied primarily upon informants who had a direct role in the implementation of the initiative 38 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. TABLE III Interviews with stakeholders by case study site Case Interviewees approached Interviewees accepted Kelowna 7 5 in total: 3 representatives of the Board (including a former chair of the Okanagan Basin Water Board – OBWB) Water manager Representative of the Kelowna Joint Water Commission SEKID 15 12 in total: Water manager (initial scoping interview) 5 representatives of the Board (former and current) 2 co-operating growers 2 representatives of MAFF 1 representative of Land and Water BC Fieldman (representative of BC Fruit Packers Association) and other stakeholders with significant understanding of the issues. Informants were selected for each case study from relevant formal committees and on recommendation from key individuals (usually the water manager of the local authority). In general, interviewees were water managers, stewardship coordinators, municipal councilors (irrigation district board members and, in some cases, water users (e.g. farmers). Each interviewee was initially approached by letter and subsequently by phone. Interviews were semi-structured, providing ample leeway for interviewees to express their own opinions and thoughts about the particular project being studied. All questionnaires included a preamble and contained the following question subsections: • The role of the interviewee organisation • Initial idea, circumstances and reactions (the reason for initiation, initial reactions to the idea) • The decision-making process (who was involved, how was the decision-made, what was the response, conflict avoidance(resolution) • Implementation (application of the decision, problems) • Required resources (what was needed for its implementation) • Outcomes, hurdles, and successes (barriers and enabling factors) • Looking back (what was learned) For the two cases, 17 interviews were conducted by two interviewers. Each interview took between 45 and 120 minutes. Notes were taken during the interviews, although interviews were recorded and were subsequently transcribed in note form. Interview transcripts were coded using Atlas/ti, which eases text selection and summarization based on predefined codes. Some key code definitions are presented WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 39 TABLE IV Key codes used to organize interview data Code Definition DRIVER Circumstances and motivational factors that forced the authority to make a decision about adopting the particular approach (and related procedural activities) in question. Factors that aided the adoption e.g. the people, political will, awareness, access to resources, etc. This contrasts with “drivers” in that they are factors that “allowed” the adoption to happen e.g. that metering was chosen rather than an alternative (what drove the process from decision to action). Factors that could have initially prevented the strategy from being selected/going ahead. Factors that impeded or simply made harder the implementation process e.g. resources, attitudes, etc Mechanisms, approaches and tools to resolve or avoid (reduce potential for) conflict between stakeholders. ENABLING FACTOR BARRIERS OBSTACLES CONFLICT RESOLUTION in Table IV. Information from interviewees was, where possible, cross-referenced with documented sources to ensure validity and accuracy. Types of documents acquired included: Council minutes, management plans, annual reports, case study reports, presentation material, database output, consultant reports, and Provincial Ministry reports. To ensure factual integrity and as a further source of data, the results of the analysis were sent to the relevant interviewees for review. Each interviewee was asked to comment on the factual accuracy of the results and the interpretation of the story. In all, 3 interviewees from SEKID and 2 from Kelowna provided additional feedback in this 2nd round. 5. Case Study 1: Kelowna – Domestic Water Metering with Volume-Based Pricing 5.1. TIME-LINE In 1987–88 the Okanagan Region experienced a significant dry year that left many water supplies in critical condition. Although Kelowna was not directly impacted (as their main supply was the mainstem Okanagan Lake), an awareness-campaign encouraging conservation efforts initiated by the provincial government had some influence on Kelowna’s water policy. In August 1991, the City Council requested recommendations regarding methods for reducing water consumption in Kelowna and a plan to form a Water Conservation Program. Metering (with volume-based pricing) of single-family residential users and a public education process was 40 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. recommended for the Water Conservation Program and was adopted by Council in April 1992 (Richardson, 1992). A proposal by the Works and Utilities department was finally presented on universal water metering and installation of water saving devices to Kelowna City Council (Westlake, 1994). During the end of 1994 (beginning 1995) the 1994–2014 servicing plan review was completed, which indicated that in order to maintain current water demand for a growing population, infrastructure costs could exceed $40 million. The final metering proposal was completed in January 1995. Results from a pilot project during 1995–1996 of 102 residences that volunteered for meter installation were used to guide universal installation, including an appropriate rate structure (Edmonton Water, 1996). After installation was completed in early 1998, a grace period with mock-billing was implemented along with an educational programme to inform customers how to reduce use. Finally, in November 1998 a metered rate from a flat rate of $15.50 per connection to a base rate of $8 with a constant unit charge of $0.2076/m3 was implemented. This program was modified slightly in spring 2000. Rates were developed to achieve the water use reduction targets, ensure sufficient revenue i.e. revenue neutral (for the City), and to be “politically acceptable”; in other words, annual bills for an average home would not significantly change from the former base rate. In all meters were installed in 11,500 homes. The overall objective of Kelowna’s metering-education program was to achieve a 20% reduction in residential consumption and 10% reduction for commercial and multi-family residential areas (Degen, 1998). Between 1998 and 2000, total annual average per capita consumption dropped 24.29% with the largest decrease occurring during the summer months. An additional advantage of the metering program was the identification of high volume users. Kelowna initiated two studies, in 2001 and 2002, exploring methods to reduce peak water demand targeted at outdoor water use and high-volume water consumers. Kelowna is embarking on a city-wide program to implement several approaches e.g. soil dressing to increase water retention, for reducing peak demand. 5.2. DRIVERS AND SIGNAL INTERPRETATION No single signal seems to have driven metering in Kelowna. Rather various driving forces were mentioned by municipal interviewees: the pressure of increased population on demand (Box 1); impending capital investment to meet this demand, and, a sense of concern regarding Vernon’s lead in water conservation efforts and Kelowna’s relatively high per capita consumption levels compared with other utilities in the area. Non-municipal representatives mentioned two additional drivers: the cryptosporidium outbreak in 1996, and a general push by the regional office of the Ministry of Environment to encourage water conservation in the region. However, staff and councillors alike tended to see metering as an internally driven process as the following excerpt suggests: WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 41 Box 1. Population growth and estimated infrastructure costs in Kelowna “[there was] no pressure from the province to implement metering, no licensing issues. The city was self-motivated.” The decision to implement metering was portrayed by interviewees not as a reaction to an event, but as a proactive move to defer and lighten an impending pressure; it was made not because of dire need but because someone estimated that it would significantly lessen the strain and cost of growth. Population in Kelowna almost doubled over a 25-year period (between 1976 and 2001) from 53,190–99,724 (Source: B.C Stats). Projected population is expected to increase by 64% to 156,125 by 2020, based on a 20-year compound rate assumption of 2.37%. Additional housing requirement of 25,539 units is projected, assuming a 2.3 person per unit average household size over the next 20 years (City of Kelwona 2000). The 1994–2014 Servicing Plan for the municipality expected costs to reach $41 million over this 20-year period covering 69 projects for developing utility infrastructure in Kelowna. 5.3. HOW DID ADAPTATION OCCUR? 5.3.1. Decision-Process: Option Selection, Politics and Conflict Resolution The decision process mainly involved local and internal dialogue between Council and staff. According to interviewees, it was a smooth political process. Staff members were on board and the Council did not consider it a difficult decision to make. Why was the decision not strife with opposition or divergent opinions? Implicit in all that was said by the interviewees was the view that the level of 42 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. awareness, openness and consensus amongst staff and Council members limited internal conflict. Additionally, the framing of metering as a sensible financial decision that was consistent with dominant political values was also important in limiting opposition. In terms of options considered, Kelowna could have chosen a business-as-usual approach, continuing with its 1994–2014 services plan requiring a $41 million investment in utility infrastructure upgrades and development. No alternatives other than demand-side management were considered to combat the issue of population growth and impending costs. However, several demand-management methods were initially considered in the water management strategy: public education; water metering; rationing; infrastructure adjustments, and rate structure. All with the exception of rationing and infrastructure adjustments were implemented as part of a comprehensive Water Conservation Program. Preparation for the metering program took seven years, including a pilot project to identify any implementation problems and to estimate potential real water consumption reductions. The initial pilot study recommended four approaches to avoiding public outcry against metering: 1. 2. 3. 4. Mock-billing for a year; Addressing the cause of high water consumption; Implementing a public education campaign; Forming a citizens advisory group for the development of a new rate structure. Of these the first three approaches were applied. “Mock-billing” provided an opportunity for the public to learn about metering and its impact prior to any rate change. The public education process involved public meetings, displays and oneon-one consultations ensuring that residents were aware of the importance of water and understood how to reduce consumption when the new rate was implemented (Klassen, 2003 pers. comm.). To ensure political acceptability, it was a requirement that the water rate for the average consumer would not change. Therefore metering would appeal to the “pocket-book” of most consumers. General and targeted education was a key mechanism for avoiding conflict. Interviewees all suggested that by allowing time to let the idea sink in they were able to avoid conflict. 5.3.2. Enabling Factors Positive and progressive authority and management attitudes and values were suggested as key enabling factors. The fact that metering fulfilled (or did not conflict with) political values such as responsibility to customers, ensuring fairness in the system and the philosophy of “user-pays” added to the ease with which the decision was made and implemented. Financial stability and the win-win character of metering were also identified as factors supporting go-ahead. Firstly there were no financial constraints; Kelowna was permitted by the Municipal Funding Authority to borrow the $3.5 million required to cover the initial capital costs of implementing metering. Secondly, WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 43 metering was financially attractive allowing large capital expenditures to be deferred into the future. Thirdly, the majority of users were not significantly impacted (only those that used a lot of water). The win-win character of metering in terms of its political (public) acceptability, financial feasibility and increased efficiency, was a significant enabling factor (see section 1.1.3 on effectiveness for details). Finally, as Kelowna was not a true ‘early adopter’ in the region, it had the advantage of being able to review and learn from local examples. Pitfalls experienced by early adopters could then be avoided: “Metering wasn’t particularly new as we had Rutland waterworks and ICI metering. [It] wasn’t rocket science. [There was] no backlash from agricultural communities as major bulk users [of our] system are primarily residential.” 5.3.3. Barriers and Obstacles Implementation problems identified in Kelowna’s case did not have the magnitude or strength to prevent metering from taking place. In general, Kelowna experienced minimal internal political resistance in the process of implementing metering and few major obstacles in actual implementation. Consumer attitudes were said to be diverse without any strong local lobby. During the grace period and mock-billing year, the City logged 5000 calls ranging from customers being who were relieved to hear that their bills had changed very little, to those who expressed disbelief and denial that their water use was so high (Klassen, 2003 pers. comm.). Interviewees generally felt that reactions were split and that education dampened potential opposition: “Overall, reactions were ok, probably due to emphasis on education. You will always face some opposition to new programs, some people just won’t like it. Some people didn’t like it but understood it. This led to decreased backlash. We were able to show people that metering would not increase customer costs.” Internal municipal communication–ensuring there was cohesion amongst the various departments–was also mentioned as an obstacle. The involvement of an external consultancy, which was hired to provide the metering service, posed problems in terms of public mistrust of the new faces. It was suggested that an external consultancy did not have the same relationship with customers as the municipality itself: “The approach of using consultants to run projects is common within the city, but this project was slightly different because it involved going into people’s homes.” One member of the Council perceived that the metering program was simply ‘the easy part’ of what may become more controversial: “We haven’t got to a stage where [we] have to seriously punish people in order to reduce demand. We have done the easy part – put meters in place and done the education. We haven’t done the hard part – well let’s have some tough utilisation targets and raise rates to significantly modify people’s behaviour. 44 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. Figure 3. Monthly average per capita water consumption per person between 1998–2000 (the new rate was implemented in 1999). So while we have the infrastructure in place, we haven’t been tested to the extent one could be . . . We haven’t had the crunch of water shortage. . .” 5.4. EFFECTIVENESS The main objective of the metering program was to reduce residential consumption by 20% in order to reduce future capital outlay over the next 20 years. Implementation pivoted on the ability to implement the program without negatively impacting the average consumer i.e. increasing average bills. A secondary objective was the need for a more accurate system for collecting data on water demand. Significant reductions in summer water use were achieved; between 1998 and 2000, total annual average per capita consumption dropped 24% (Figure 3). It would be remiss to take this short data record as definitive evidence of the effectiveness of metering; a longer data record and more detailed analysis would be required to show that the behavioural change is enduring. It will be important to show that water use does not creep back up during drought years, such as the summer of 2003 (water use data is not yet available for this period). One of the driving forces behind the metering initiative was the desire on the part of council to defer costs associated with the expansion of supply. Projected costs fell from $41 million in Kelowna’s 1994–2014 service plan to $29 million in their 2000–2020 (completed 2001) servicing plan reviews (Table V). The change in projected capital expenditure has been attributed to: 1. Metering, rates and education fostering a user pay philosophy 2. Customers response to conservation i.e. reduction in consumption WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 45 TABLE V Change in cost, consumption and design standards between Kelowna’s 2014 and 2020 services plans due to improved measurement e.g. meters, and reduced consumption as a consequence of constant unit water rates and education. 2014 Cost MDD 1994 MDD 2000 MDD 2010 (projected) MDD 2014 (projected) Design standard 2020 $41 million program/69 projects 1318 1/s N/A 2000 1/s 2440 1/s 3000 l/c/d Cost MDD 1996 MDD 2000 MDD 2010 (projected) MDD 2020 (projected) Design standard $29 million program/35 projects 1071 1/s 1200 1/s 1540 1/s 2000 1/s 2400 l/c/d MDDs = total maximum daily demand, L/s = litres per second, l/c/d = litres per capita per day Source : Data provided by City of Kelowna (2000). 3. Improved measurement tools (water meters, systems and models) 4. Water-saving bylaw that was introduced in 1994 A prerequisite for universal metering and volume-based pricing was the condition that the approach would be equitable i.e. the cost to the average consumer wouldn’t be significantly affected (while revenue was maintained). As Figure 4 illustrates, based on an assumed 20% reduction in consumption, projected annual cost to the average consumer was not expected to alter. In 1999 an actual annual average water bill was estimated at $212.22 compared with the projected bill of $207.34. Kelowna is, however, considering implementing a block-rate structure in Figure 4. Based on anticipated average water consumption (assuming a 20% reduction in average consumption) there is no change in yearly totals from water bills between the 1998 flat rate and new unit charge (City of Kelowna 1998). 46 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. 2004 (Klassen, 2003 pers. comm.). Those most impacted by the new constant unit charge are considered to be the affluent population located in the most expensive subdivisions of Kelowna. With respect to the secondary objectives, metering now allows the city to more accurately identify heavy water users and target them for educational or incentive programmes to reduce water use. Metering has allowed several high-water use areas in Kelowna to be identified, and various methods for reducing outdoor domestic irrigation are being tested. Meters allow monitoring of water use changes in response to annual variations in temperature. This is a prerequisite to rapidly and accurately locating significant leaks and losses within the system. 6. Case Study 2: SEKID – Metering Agricultural Irrigation 6.1. TIME-LINE Following two droughts during 1987 and 1992 in the Okanagan, SEKID management and Board of Trustees began discussing how to improve demand-side management efficiencies in case of future droughts. While still exploring the possibility of expanding upland storage i.e. Turtle Lake, SEKID contacted the British Columbia Ministry of Agriculture, Food and Fisheries (BCMAFF) to determine funding options for implementing metering. A 1993 review of supply options for SEKID concluded that under a drought sequence2 there was over-committed Grade A water i.e. there could be a water shortage (if all allocated water was consumed). The options suggested to rectify the deficit included universal metering, scheduling and additional system storage at Turtle Lake (Dayton and Knight, 1994). Finally SEKID’s 1994 Long Term Water Supply Plan projected that universal metering could result in the greatest savings i.e. 15% or 1,500 ac-ft. By 1993, SEKID received verbal agreement from the provincial government that funding for a metering program from the Canada-British Columbia Green Plan for Agriculture (Green Plan) would be forthcoming. An agreement was subsequently signed in August 1993 with the goals being: ‘1) Implementation of a demand management strategy through universal water metering; 2) Evaluation and demonstration of irrigation scheduling techniques; 3) Determination of a rate schedule that reflects an equitable allocation of water to agriculture users’ (BCMAFF, 1993 p. 15). Initially the project was committed to metering all users in the district including all irrigation and new domestic connections. Reduced water use in SEKID was the main result expected, along with the collection of better information to assist development of future water policies in the Okanagan Valley and improve water use within the agriculture sector. Funding was finally secured in early 1994 once SEKID had selected a contractor for the purchase of meters. Costs were finally shared between SEKID, the Canada-BC Green Plan for Agriculture and the BC Ministry of Agriculture and Food (MAFF). WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 47 In response, some growers signed a petition opposing metering. SEKID staged a public information meeting in January 1994 to discuss the project with the public. Soon afterwards, the Board unanimously agreed to halt the metering project, probably due to the contentious nature of the project. Only with provincial intervention and support did the Board rescind their decision and go ahead with the project, albeit only metering irrigation connections. Grower concern lead to the resignation of the Irrigation District manager and some committed Board members were not re-elected. A new bid process was initiated and a different company was awarded the meter contract. SEKID received a conditional water license to expand McCulloch reservoir in July 1994. By late 1996, 421 irrigation service meters had been installed. Alongside metering, an irrigation scheduling program was implemented as part of the public education process. Tensiometers3 were supplied to all growers while eight co-operating growers participated in an irrigation scheduling project involving the collection of data on water use, soil moisture and climate data. Growers were provided with weekly reports containing irrigation scheduling recommendations (Nyvall and Van der Gulik, 2000). As a result of the metering project, a water allotment of 2.25 ac-ft/ac was introduced in 2001, followed by a volume-based rate on excess water use in 2003. Consideration of volume-based rates on excess use began after a serious drought in 2001 where the district’s main reservoir did not fill for the first time in 30 years (SEKID, 2003). 6.2. DRIVERS AND SIGNAL INTERPRETATION SEKID has always been a water-short district (Box 2: Status of water resources and demand). The 1987 drought left supplies augmented by storage in fairly critical condition throughout the Okanagan Basin. According to the SEKID monthly Manager’s Report, in 1987 McCulloch Reservoir (SEKID’s main supply source) was at its lowest since 1973, and 1987 was the driest year since 1929: “X explained that the water supply situation had been very serious. Before runoff started there was approximately 4700 acre feet available which was 40% of the water use for most normal years. The snowpack at the end of March was comparable to the 1930’s and since the renewal of the system the District has not gone through a 30’s situation of three dry years in succession. In 1930, with 50% rationing, the District still ran out of water by mid-August.” This event led to an initial Board discussion about how better to manage SEKID’s water resource. 1992 was also a significant dry year that initiated further talks about metering, specifically because there were concerns that 1993–1995 could be another three-year drought scenario like the one experienced in the 1930s. Other than concern over future supply, other possible drivers mentioned by interviewees included increasing demand from residential development and the desire to upgrade part of the large tract of dry-land lacking irrigation. 48 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. Box 2. Status of water resources and demand in SEKID But why was metering chosen rather than options that just allowed for a continuation of supply expansion? Ensuring a viable future supply was key, but this could have been acheived with increased supply alone. Efficiency, better management, and equity (it was evident that growers showed little constraint during dry spells) were stated as key reasons behind the choice of metering: “We live in an arid climate and [with] a limited water resource. There is [sic] 3000 acres within our district boundaries that do not have water rights on it. There is big demand for residential development. How does one manage a limited resource equitably and meters seemed the logical choice?” WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 49 Metering was also on the agenda because SEKID was participating in a Meter Demonstration Project initiated by MAFF to explore the cost, potential maintenance issues and benefits of metering. It was concluded that in SEKID ‘actual water use on eight of the nine farms was significantly less than the design allotment’ (Mould Engineering Services Ltd., 1995 p. 5). Additionally, the current provincial government was in favour of water conservation. The Okanagan droughts resulted in a more concerted effort by the provincial government to encourage conservation in municipalities. Inspired by Canada’s first National Conference on Water Conservation, held in Winnipeg in 1993, the SEKID conference attendee concluded, ‘water meters are inevitable, and a more efficient means of water use is required in the agricultural sector’. Indications from the Province that water conservation was to become a more prominent feature in policy acted as either an ignition, or confirmation that a metering approach would be wise. 6.3. HOW DID ADAPTATION OCCUR? 6.3.1. Decision Process The decision process was mainly a dialogue between SEKID board members and the provincial government. It was punctuated by significant conflict between the decision-makers and water users. Although SEKID residents were informed officially once Green Plan Funding was secured, this small community had prior knowledge of the project and a group of farmers banded together in order to stop the metering project from going ahead. Interviewees mentioned time and again that farmer opposition was exacerbated by a “gag order” requested by the provincial government. Supposedly, this prevented the Board from directly communicating and discussing universal metering with growers before an official press release was published. Mistrust and suspicion consequently ensued: “. . . the trouble was because it was under a government deal, the government wanted to make a big deal out of the project and we were told to keep our mouths shut about it. We were out there spreading info about this metering project and we weren’t allowed to talk. . . Quite a few people got upset and people knew what we were trying to do.” As the initial Green Plan agreement specifically included in its agenda an early mail-out to all farmers informing them of the metering project, reference to a ‘gag order’ probably pertains to the fact that farmers were not included in the initial decision-making process. A public information meeting was held to quell consumer concerns, but instead due to heavy opposition the Board decided to suspend the metering project. Only after receiving a letter from the Ministry did they go ahead. The letter stated that submitted expansion applications (i.e. a license for supply expansion on Turtle Lake and McCulloch Reservoir) would be ’held in abeyance’ unless SEKID could prove that they were making beneficial use of their existing licenses, or they were undertaking to verify efficient use via means such as metering. As the provincial 50 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. government does not have direct power to intervene in local politics, it used the wider regulatory system to direct local action in this case: “It was a group of people from the province that was pushing the idea. It was not initiated from within SEKID. During my time on the Board and after – it was a perceived setting that if you don’t do this there might not be more licenses issued to SEKID. . . . Some people were driving an agenda and had picked SEKID to carry it out.” While the ’beneficial use’ clause is written into the provincial legislation it has rarely been used, although this application of the clause appears to be legitimate. 6.3.2. Enabling Factors What enabling factors aided adoption of metering? The two former water managers of SEKID were pro-metering and the Board was also open-minded. Specific individuals were key actors in the move toward metering; firstly, in applying the ”beneficial use” argument, and secondly, in aiding SEKID with its funding application and subsequently throughout the metering(scheduling program: “X drove a lot of it – it would not have got done without him - if he hadn’t taken a leading role. It also wouldn’t have got done if the Board wasn’t willing to co-operate.” Participation in the provincially led Meter Demonstration project and access to funding through the Green Plan were additional primary enabling factors. 6.3.3. Barriers and Obstacles In this case study, there were many potential barriers. One significant initial barrier concerned grower’s attitudes and suspicions. Many small events and circumstances fuelled general discontent among growers; concerns were expressed both about metering and the conditions under which meters were implemented: “When we started, there was huge mistrust. ‘They’ are trying to screw me.” Grower attitudes toward metering were not viewed as particularly positive: metering was considered to be about taking water away from agriculture to give to residents; the project was ‘picking on the growers’ and therefore was unfair, and there was a sense that residential properties were taking advantage of something that growers had built and paid for themselves – threatening their ownership of the resource. Farmers also feared that metering would ultimately result in increased water rates and would impinge on their independence and flexibility. “Many growers perceived that the project was being crammed down their throats . . . that water was going to be given to domestic development.” The fact that no bidding process was implemented to hire a supplier of meters also fuelled mistrust. High costs and the likelihood that metering would be traded-off against developing Turtle Lake or raising McCulloch Dam added to the opposition to metering. In terms of obstacles, the relationship between the Board and field staff was an issue; initially it was not realised that staff disagreed with the Board. Technical obstacles included maintenance of meters and infrastructure ’surprises’ e.g. pipes not being where they were supposed to be. WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 51 6.3.4. Conflict Resolution After signing the agreement but prior to the implementation of the 5-year project, the Board of Trustees responded to a grower’s petition by organising a meeting with the petitioners. A public information meeting was held to update farmers and residents that the Board was considering metering as an option. One-on-one meetings were carried out with staff to gauge their concerns about implementing a metering system. A leaflet outlining why SEKID was implementing metering was distributed amongst staff to prepare them for any questions from growers. Once resistance dropped, improved education and communication were the means to resolve any mistrust or concerns about metering. Election of new Board members (especially ones sceptical of metering) to the Board seemed to improve transparency. Finally, moving to a bid process to purchase meters reinstated trust, while changes in management allowed for a ‘fresh start’ Once the process began, effort was made to keep growers informed and educated about metering and scheduling through field days, reports, newsletters but most importantly through one-on-one contact. Scheduling provided growers with a means to learn how better to control water use based on need (soil moisture content). To ease fears about water rates, SEKID promised that there would be no rates for a five year grace period. 6.4. EFFECTIVENESS For the province the objective of the SEKID metering project, as stated in the initial agreement, was to explore the effectiveness of demand-side management as a means to improve management of limited water resources in the Okanagan Valley (BCMAFF, 1993, p. 16). For SEKID the purpose of the project was to secure water supply, reduce water consumption and to use metering as a means to monitor compliance to a pre-defined allotment. Secondary outcomes of metering were improved efficiency in water management, reduced costs and the establishment of a more fair system. Kerr Wood Leidal Ltd. (1990) estimated that 20% potential water savings could be achieved through the implementation of universal metering in SEKID (both irrigation and domestic combined). It was concluded that a saving of between 5– 23%, with an average of 13%, was achieved during the project (Table VI). However, it was noted that the savings could be attributed to a number of factors in addition to the metering and scheduling program: • conversions from inefficient irrigation systems to more efficient systems; • a general increase in awareness; and • the switch to a telemetry (automatic rather than manual) system at the intake (Nyvall and Van der Gulik, 2000). Further analysis of water demand was carried out during the summer of 1998, one of the hottest and driest summers on record. This analysis showed that average 52 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. TABLE VI Comparing pre and post metering water use in the district for years paired by matching Evapotranspiration (Nyvall and Van der Gulik 2000, p.7–2) Pre–metering Year Evapo-Transpiration (mm) Water use (ft/acre) 1985 1987 1981 1980 1994 686 706 564 531 535 2.23 2.50 1.91 1.93 2.02 Post–metering Difference Year Evapo-Transpiration (mm) Water use (ft/acre) ft/acre % 1998 1998 1996 1995 1995 700 700 565 526 526 2.12 2.12 1.81 1.55 1.55 0.11 0.38 0.10 0.36 0.47 5 15 5 19 23 per acre consumption was no greater than 2.25 ac-ft/ac compared with 2.5 ac-ft/ac; the figure initially used to design the water system. This represented a “saving” (opening) of 10% or 1,300 ac-ft of water. Although metering and scheduling did encourage many farmers to use their water more efficiently some still continued to disregard the reduced allotment (Figure 5). Reduced allotment to 2.25 ac-ft/ac increased the theoretical surplus under a drought year scenario from 19–1,349 ac-ft/ac and these savings are being used to regrade dry-land. Based on these savings, metering was calculated as resulting in a net-benefit when compared with the option of developing Turtle Lake reservoir (Table VII). Finally, it was suggested that the improved accuracy of data gathered instilled confidence in SEKID’s Board and management, resulting in the sale of water rights of 200 acres in 1997 and 57 acres in 1999 (Nyvall and Van der Gulik, 2000). Prior to the implementation of metering, SEKID’s only sources of data on supply and consumption were reservoir levels and a flow meter at the source. This provided an overview of total daily output, but no information on individual usage patterns. Knowing how much each property is consuming has not only resulted in easier policing but has enabled the implementation of a rising block rate targeted to encourage more restraint by heavy users (Figure 6). The implementation of the volume-based rate on excess use tentatively resulted in an additional 14–18% reduction in water consumption (SEKID, 2003). 7. Discussion This study is an exploratory analysis of adaptation in local water management. Its objective was to determine what local contextual factors influenced and shaped the adaptation process in the Okanagan. It should be fairly clear from the preceding sections that implementation of metering in Kelowna was a much smoother process WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 53 TABLE VII Calculation of program benefits (SEKID 2003) Description Metering Turtle Lake Program Cost Volume water “saved”/ created Acres land possible to provide with saving Price of one acre of land Program Benefit (value of water rights) Net Benefit Benefit/Cost Ratio Cost per acre-foot $784,000 1,349 acre-feet 600 acres (1,349/2.25) $870,000 680 acre-feet (dependable supply) 302 acres (680/2.25) $2000 $1,200,000 (600 acres ×- 2000) $2000 $604,000 (302×2000) $416,000 1.5:1 $581 −$266,000 0.69:1 $1,280 Figure 5. Water use in SEKID in terms of % allotment. Figure 6. The data displayed on each graph includes the “block total”, which is the fee for the block, the “cumulative $”, which is a running total of the block charges and the “block rate”, which is the rate per 1,000 USG presented in the table (SEKID 2003). 54 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. than in SEKID (see summary Table VIII). What conditions set these two processes apart? Why was the implementation of metering with volume-based pricing such a smooth process in comparison with metering in SEKID? What can we learn about adaptation process from these two case studies? Several factors potentially contributed to the different experiences of meter implementation: 1. Amount of preparation; 2. Nature of the signal in relation to environmental and(or socio-economic conditions; 3. Adoption relative to other initiatives in the region (and nationally); 4. Entrenched values related to water resources in the agricultural community in the context of changing water demands; 5. Perception of metering impacts on entitlement; 6. Interaction and relationship between the serviced community, local government, provincial government and opaque political agendas. All these conditions contributed to shaping the adaptation process in these case studies. The decision to implement metering in Kelowna was not a reaction to an event, but a proactive move to defer and lighten an impending pressure. It was made not because of dire need but because it had been estimated that it would significantly lessen the strain and cost of future growth. Kelowna had no water supply issue and had already estimated what the expected cost would be of servicing a growing population with adequate water to meet demand. Adaptation was not initiated out of fear or because they were close to a threshold but because it made good water management sense. There were no time constraints for implementation, other than those defined by the local authority; staff took seven years to prepare for metering and to explore potential problem areas. In contrast, the issue of irresponsible water use in SEKID by the predominant user, growers, seemed to come to a head. Unpredictable impacts of climate variability could no longer be ignored because buffer capacity i.e. excess supply available for a significant drought scenario, was insufficient. Additionally, residential expansion was creating additional pressure on the water resource (as well as the opportunity to generate revenue). At the same time, conditions to pursue metering were favourable: management was supportive, BCMAFF was pushing the conservation agenda, the Ministry of Environment was pro-conservation, and there was a rare funding opportunity. Timing of the adaptation contributed to Kelowna’s success; the municipality was not an early adopter but rather a laggard. Domestic metering with volume-based pricing was becoming well-established in the region with various communities well ahead of Kelowna, which meant they could draw on local examples of metering to inform its program. Metering irrigation, on the other hand was a new phenomenon in the Okanagan, and SEKID was one of the first local authorities to implement this approach in British Columbia. Although US examples were used to inform WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 55 TABLE VIII Summary overview of the adaptation process in the two case studies Adaptation Contextual drivers (factors influencing attribution, decision-process and evolution of the management strategy selected) KELOWNA Domestic metering with volume-based pricing Growing population Increased residential development Impending capital investment Large tracts of undesignated land Regional push for water conservation Conditional water license for further reservoir expansion Green Plan Funding Comparative high per capita consumption Cryptosporidium outbreak Signal interpretation (initial primary events, information that initialises response) Attribution (the identified problem) Decision process: option selection SEKID Irrigation metering with scheduling Regional push for water conservation Provincial campaign indicates potential of water conservation as a method to alleviate burden of future infrastructure costs. Reduced water demand is necessary to defer capital expenditure. Demand-side management provides this opportunity. Mainly comparing business-as-usual versus an integrated demand-management strategy i.e. Water Conservation Program. Selection directed by Council carried out by Municipal Management. Extended hot growing season i.e. concern over meeting future demand with current capacity and conditions. Could it be another 1930s drought? Overuse of water during dry spells and limited supply. Metering was on the agenda prior to any comprehensive exploration of options. The LTWMP, which compared the cost and benefits of supply and demand options, confirmed that metering provided the greatest opportunity for water “savings”, post selection. The metering project, however, didn’t substitute for supply development but rather augmented supply. (Continued on next page) 56 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. TABLE VIII (Continued) Identification of alternatives influenced by provincial campaign and local experiences Decision process: politics Barriers (factors that could have stopped each project from going ahead) Enabling factors (conditional factors that aided adaptive behaviour) Implementation: general procedure and obstacles Mainly Council-management interaction. Minimal conflict between decision-makers and users. Possibly because users were a diffuse group. No significant barriers identified High level of awareness and interest of staff, Council and public Learning from neighbour experiences e.g. Vernon General user’s philosophy Progressive and proactive staff Political acceptability of the approach i.e. average user would not be significantly affected Municipal financial stability Borrowing approval from province Win-win approach Awareness i.e. general and targeted education Preparation i.e. pilot study and grace period for adjustment Municipal management in partnership with a consultant. Driven by provincial agenda i.e. provincial lead Meter Demonstration Project, the Green Plan, and BCMAFF interest in improving the efficiency of irrigation in the Okanagan. Mainly a Board decision but provincial intervention crucial to ensuring its implementation. Post-decision public notification. Strong local grower lobby against metering. Generally mistrust of those involved in the decision-making. Grower attitudes, discontent and distrust. Potentially cost with lack of vehicles of finance Management pro-metering Board’s open-mindedness toward metering Access to funding External expertise Communication and discussion: public information meeting and one-on-one meetings New management New bid on meters Information and education e.g. field days, water use reports, etc. BCMAFF, SEKID management and consultants (meter installation). (Continued on next page) WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 57 TABLE VIII (Continued) Evaluation Feedback Step-wise: pilot project and public education followed by meter installation a grace period (mock-billing) and a metered rate. Ad hoc Municipal management in partnership with a contractor Multiple criteria: reduced demand, cost deferral, implementation evaluation More accurate information enabled identification of key hotspots (high-end users) and implementation of other methods of water use reduction Users informed during implementation process Evaluation carried out by BCMAFF. Evaluation integral to metering-scheduling project Multiple criteria More accurate information indicated that farmers didn’t use or need previous allotment therefore reduced by 10% Implementation of a metered rate on excess use Data used by BCMAFF to encourage implementation of similar approaches in other areas implementation, data from local applications (and therefore the understanding of local response) was not available. Historical context seemed to act as a restrictive force in the case of SEKID; specifically, the legal framework governing water allocation based on the rule of prior appropriation. This system for the most part entrenches access rights over the available water with the early agricultural settlers. It was clear that growers in SEKID felt a sense of ownership over the resource, expecting that their water should not be controlled or priced. Rapid population growth over the last twenty years has created new challenges for a water scarce region and a sense of mistrust between agricultural and residential interests. Despite the fact that agricultural metering simply allowed for better measurement of water use and initially did not alter the price and availability of water, it was resisted. Growers were suspicious that metering represented the thin end of the wedge and more recent policies within SEKID partly support this view. In 2003, SEKID proposed that growers would be charged at a marginal rate for exceeding their allocations. Irrigation water users saw themselves as bearing disproportionate costs compared with other citizen groups or compared with other growers. Additionally, the farming community was close-knit, rather than diffuse. Olson (1971) in his explanation of collective action concluded that: “In general, social pressure and social 58 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. incentives speak only to groups of smaller size, in the groups so small that the members can have face-to-face contact with on another”. His explanation also suggested that only focused costs (or benefits) would result in collective opposition (or encouragement) by impacted communities. The larger community, lack of focussed and differential impacts, and the absence of a sense of entitlement could explain why volume-based pricing in Kelowna did not result in collective action opposing the move. Kahneman and Tversky’s (1979) prospect theory could also explain why the agricultural community response was negative when compared with the response of the residential community. According to their research, people’s attitude toward risk concerning gains may be quite different from their attitudes toward risks concerning losses. The agricultural community saw metering as eroding their entitlement to water, resulting in the erosion of their property rights. Residential users on the other hand may not have seen the impact of metering in terms of loss either because they did not have the same sense of entitlement to the resource, or because they accepted that average water bills would not increase. A significant difference between the two cases was the role of the provincial government. Except for the provincially led awareness campaign on water conservation in the region, the province was not directly involved in Kelowna’s initiative. Provincial participation was much more direct in SEKID’s case, and was necessary to obtain funding, training and expertise. Provincial intervention was essential at that time, yet their presence generated suspicion and mistrust. The heavy-handed influence of the province partly fuelled public opposition. Local buy-in was only sought late in the decision-making process. The province’s approach exacerbated an already sensitive issue. Grower opposition would probably have occurred to some degree, regardless of transparency and better participation, due to their strong sense of entitlement. However, it must be said that the province is in a difficult position with respect to such matters. On the one hand it is often the provider of financial and other support for infrastructure projects. On the other hand it is a regulator that must maintain a professional distance, and has no actual authority in local politics. Improvement Districts are particularly vulnerable to provincial agendas because they are often not as financially stable as municipalities. Nonetheless, greater transparency and public involvement from the start might have reduced community mistrust of the process in SEKID’s case. In summary, what lessons can be derived from these case studies to inform adaptation to climate change impacts in the region, and how do they inform climate change adaptation theory? Firstly, the success of Kelowna suggests some planning methods that could aid adaptation: learning from local examples, substantial preparation time or proactive adaptation, pilot projects and significant communication with the target group. In essence, a step-wise process would be a preferred approach. Secondly, several challenges for local adaptation to climate change emerge from these two cases, especially SEKID. Although SEKID is only one community, the perceptions of the agricultural community in SEKID – the feeling of entitlement WHAT SHAPES ADAPTATION TO WATER STRESS IN THE OKANAGAN 59 Figure 7. Aspects of context, illustrated by these case studies, that should be considered when identifying appropriate adaptation strategies and planning for adaptation. and suspicions of residential growth – seem reflective of the wider community in the region (Cohen and Neale, 2003). It is reasonable to speculate that demand reduction practises in the agricultural community, such as metering and price changes, will become more necessary to ensure adequate supply for a growing population, as well as under climatic change scenarios. How will the agricultural community react? Can local and provincial agents learn from SEKID to find ways of approaching this problem with minimal opposition? Without significant financial incentives and assurances that water saved will not simply be transferred to the towns and cities in the Okanagan region, demand-side approaches might be met with significant antagonism. As provincial agendas and intervention are likely to drive adaptation to climate change, the challenge will be ensuring buy-in from local government and users prior to implementation. Finally, what did SEKID and Kelowna do with the “savings” from these adaptations? Kelowna will grow, and the savings from metering will support residential growth. SEKID re-graded land and sold additional water rights. The buffering capacity to increased climate variability, especially droughts and supply reductions, that was potentially gained through these adaptations was immediately lost. It is not clear whether the political will or institutional capacity exists to limit population growth or reign-in expansion and intensification of agriculture. 60 PHILIPPA SHEPHERD ET AL. This paper argues that context matters. The challenge for examining adaptation in a futures context is to understand the complex cross-scale socio-economic, institutional, environmental and political landscape that influences adaptation now, and will likely influence adaptation in the future. In essence, we argue that climate change adaptation research needs to broaden the discussion from “how do we adapt to climate change” to “how do we adapt” to multiple stressors. At the very least, adaptation research needs to locate climate change into the context of these societal developments through a more integrated approach. Figure 7 summarises important insights related to context, illustrated by these case studies, that should be considered when identifying appropriate adaptation strategies and planning for adaptation as regards water resource management. These aspects are by no means complete, and need to be validated more thoroughly through further case study research. Acknowledgments This research was supported by the Center for Integrated Study of the Human Dimensions of Global Change, through a cooperative agreement between the National Science Foundation (SBR-9521914) and Carnegie Mellon University and by the Climate Change Action Fund, Federal Government of Canada. Notes 1 http://www.agf.gov.bc.ca/stats/index.htm Ministry of Environment estimate of the critical Hydraulic Creek drought sequence is two consecutive 1 in 10 runoff years preceded and followed by two consecutive years of mean runoff (Dayton & Knight Ltd 1994) 3 Tensiometers are used to estimate soil moisture potential/tension. This information can be used to schedule irrigation only when dictated by soil moisture conditions. 2 References BCMAFF, 1993, ’Canada-British Columbia Green Plan for Agriculture’, Project Conditional Grant Agreement, Government of British Columbia. Bryant, C. R., Smit, B., Brklacich, M., Johnston, T. 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