[1] Fairfield Cedrus Limited Bayerngas Europe Limited UKCS Licence P1746 Blocks 48/11c and 48/12b Relinquishment Report January 2015 Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [2] Table of Contents 1. Licence Information ......................................................................................................................... 3 1.1 Summary ..................................................................................................................................... 3 1.1.1 Area Affected ...................................................................................................................... 4 1.2. History ........................................................................................................................................ 5 2.0 Field and Reservoir Description .................................................................................................. 6 2.1 Seismic Interpretation ............................................................................................................... 6 2.2 Reservoir Quality ....................................................................................................................... 8 2.6 Initial Reservoir Pressure and Temperature........................................................................ 10 2.7 Fluid Composition .................................................................................................................... 12 2.8 Gas and Water Properties ...................................................................................................... 14 3.0 Static Reservoir Model ................................................................................................................ 15 3.1 Gas Initially In Place ................................................................................................................ 17 4.0 Dynamic Reservoir Model .......................................................................................................... 19 4.1 Conclusions .............................................................................................................................. 22 5. Clearance ........................................................................................................................................ 23 Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [3] 1. Licence Information Licence Number: P.1746 Licence Round: 26th Licence Type: Traditional Block Number(s): 48/11c and 48/12b Operator: Fairfield Cedrus Limited (50%) Partners: Bayerngas Europe Limited (50%) Work Programme Summary: DRILL OR DROP WORK PROGRAMME The Licensee shall reprocess 192km2 of 3D seismic data to PreSDM. The Licensee shall drill one well on the Glein discovery to 60m below the top Leman sandstone; provided that he shall not be required to do so and the licence shall expire at the end of the initial term if the Minister confirms in writing that he agrees that it would not be an appropriate use of resources, having regard to the policy objective of maximising successful and expeditious exploration and exploitation of the UK’s oil and gas resources, information available to him at the time, and in particular the evaluation of the following technical study: the interpretation of the reprocessed 3D seismic data showing a robust Glein Discovery structure. 1.1 Summary The Licence P.1746 comprises blocks 48/11c and 48/12b (figure 2.1), was awarded to Fairfield Cedrus Limited (50% Operator) and Bayerngas Europe Limited (50%) in the 26th Seaward Licensing Round. The Licence was awarded on the basis of a traditional four year period beginning 10th January 2011. The Licence commitment was met by the reprocessing of 192km2 3D seismic data through to Pre-SDM, which covers the whole of the licence. The contingent well commitment was waived by DECC in a letter dated 5th December 2014. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [4] 1.1.1 Area Affected Nearby fields to the license P.1746 include Perenco’s West Sole field (formerly owned by BP) approximately 5km to the north and the Pickerill field which lies 11km to the south, see figure 1.1. Block 48/11c is the region bounded by the following coordinates. (1) 53° 40’00.000”N 1° 00’00.000”E (2) 53° 40’00.000”N 1° 12’00.000”E (3) 53° 33’00.000”N 1° 12’00.000”E (4) 53° 33’00.000”N 1° 10’00.000”E (5) 53° 34’00.000”N 1° 10’00.000”E (6) 53° 34’00.000”N 1° 05’00.000”E (7) 53° 35’00.000”N 1° 05’00.000”E (8) 53° 35’00.000”N 1° 02’00.000”E (9) 53° 37’00.000”N 1° 00’00.000”E (10) 53° 37’00.000”N 1° 00’00.000”E (11) 53° 40’00.000”N 1° 00’00.000”E The above coordinates were specified using “European Datum 1950”. The lines joining coordinates (1) to (11) are navigated as loxodromes. Block 48/12b is the region bounded by the following coordinates. (1) 53° 40’00.000”N 1° 12’00.000”E (2) 53° 40’00.000”N 1° 14’00.000”E (3) 53° 38’00.000”N 1° 14’00.000”E (4) 53° 38’00.000”N 1° 17’00.000”E (5) 53° 34’00.000”N 1° 17’00.000”E (6) 53° 34’00.000”N 1° 19’00.000”E (7) 53° 33’00.000”N 1° 19’00.000”E (8) 53° 33’00.000”N 1° 18’00.000”E (9) 53° 32’00.000”N 1° 18’00.000”E (10) 53° 32’00.000”N 1° 16’00.000”E (11) 53° 33’00.000”N 1° 16’00.000”E (12) 53° 33’00.000”N 1° 15’00.000”E Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [5] (13) 53° 34’00.000”N 1° 15’00.000”E (14) 53° 34’00.000”N 1° 12’00.000”E (15) 53° 40’00.000”N 1° 12’00.000”E The above coordinates were specified using “European Datum 1950”. The lines joining coordinates (1) to (15) are navigated as loxodromes. Figure 1.1: Location map showing the P.1746 Licence and the 48/11 and 48/12b Blocks. 1.2. History This report covers the Glein gas discovery, located in blocks 48/11c and 48/12b of the UK Sector, Southern North Sea. The Glein discovery is approximately 70km to the north of the Norfolk coast in water depth of 83ft. Five wells lie within the licence area; 48/11b-3 (1977), 48/12b-3z (1985), 48/12b-5 (1988), 48/11a-12 (1994) and 48/11c-13 (2007). Glein was discovered by the 48/11a-12 well, drilled by ARCO in 1994 was designed to target a fault bounded and inverted anticline structure to the south of BP’s West Sole field. The well encountered 499ft of Rotliegendes sandstone and a full gas Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [6] column. This well was subsequently tested and flowed at a rate of 0.4mmscf/d, with initial estimates of reservoir permeability in the range of 0.1 to 0.7mD. The Gas Initially In Place (GIIP) estimates confirmed by the 48/11a-12 well and resulting from the field modelling are estimated to be in the range of 86 to 126 BCF. 2.0 Field and Reservoir Description 2.1 Seismic Interpretation The principal seismic data volume used for the evaluation of the Glein discovery was the Ion-GXT 2011 reprocessing of three separate 3D seismic surveys, through to PreSDM. The well-ties at the 48/11a-12, 48/12b-3z and 48/12b-5 wells were examined using synthetics but this did not change the location of the Top Rotliegendes horizon pick at any of the well locations. However the Top Carboniferous pick was adjusted by a cycle at the 48/11a-12 well, though it was unchanged at the other wells. This resulted in a more consistent pick, and less variable isochron. The Top Rotliegendes is picked as a peak and is generally of good quality except in the more complex crestal locations where image-quality deteriorates. Top Carboniferous is picked as a trough, although the event is weaker than the Top Rotliegendes and so the robustness will not be quite as good. The Glein structure is interpreted to be an inverted anticline in the hangingwall of an originally extensional fault, figure 2.1. This assessment is based on the geometry of the primary seismic signal that is observed in many places across Glein that does not seem to be compatible with a normal fault. Also reversed faults are frequently seen in many of the offset fields (for example West Sole), and are more consistent with the narrow but complex nature of the Glein structure. The Top Rotliegendes horizon surface itself is generally unchanged from previous versions of the interpretation apart from near faults (due to changes in the faulting, as mentioned above), and some small areas on the crest of the Glein structure where the data is poorer and subject to more uncertainty. The resulting Top Rotliegendes depth structure map can be seen in figure 2.2. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [7] Figure 2.1: Seismic dip line through the Glein structure showing the inverted normal fault (blue) and associated hanging wall anticline. Figure 2.2: Base Case Top Rotliegendes depth structure map. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [8] 2.2 Reservoir Quality The Rotliegendes strata of Glein are Lower Permian in age with hydrocarbons found in the Lower Leman Sandstone formation, which here represents the whole Lower Permian succession. Upper Leman sands are seen in the nearby West Sole field (~5km away), and it is thought that sabkha progradation over Glein prevented the development of Upper Leman sands in this area. The Rotliegendes formation unconformably overlies the Upper Carboniferous (Westphalian) coal measures; the unconformity resulting from tilting and erosion during the Hercynian Orogeny. The Carboniferous coal measures provide the source rock for the Southern Gas Basin. The quality of the Rotliegendes sediments, in terms of permeability, is usually quite poor. The studies of Glennie (1978), Prosser & Maskall (1993), Howell & Mountney (1997), North & Prosser (1993) and Rossel (1982) have all shown that kaolinite and illite are the most frequently occurring clay minerals in the Lower Permian reservoirs of the Southern North Sea. The amount of consolidation and diagenesis of these reservoir facies is, in part, a reflection of deeper burial in the Jurassic and Cretaceous than seen in the present day. The presence and degree of illite crystallinity is a function of the maximum temperature to which it has been subjected. Kubler (1968) and Glennie (1978) suggest that the point of maximum illite crystallinity in the Rotliegendes reservoirs was in the Late Cretaceous, prior to the Alpine Orogeny and subsequent uplift. The cross plot in figure 2.3 shows core porosity versus core permeability for the Glein 48/11a-12 well. What is apparent from this plot is the variation in permeability for a given porosity. The average permeability appears to be in the range of 0.01 to 0.1mD, with high permeability “streaks” also observed. For aeolian reservoirs this average permeability is low; permeabilities up to a Darcy would not be uncommon for aeolian sands that have undergone minimal alteration (Glennie 1978). The low permeabilities in the 48/11a-12 well are most likely to have been caused by the presence of illite in the reservoir. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [9] Figure 2.3: Porosity .vs. Permeability cross plot for the Glein 48/11a-12 well. The low permeability of the Rotliegendes reservoir in Glein means that the development of the field requires the use of hydraulic fracturing. Nearby fields, including West Sole and Barque have used hydraulic fracturing in deviated and horizontal wells respectively, to improve reservoir performance. Natural fractures are observed in the 48/11a-12 well and are both open and cemented, with cemented being the more common. The fractures occur as both swarms and individual fracture planes and show no preference for lithology when occurring as swarms or individual planes. The fractures, due to their predominantly cemented nature are not expected to contribute to production. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [10] 2.6 Initial Reservoir Pressure and Temperature RFT data over the reservoir interval was taken for well 48/11a-12. Of the 24 tests carried out only 4 tests were reported as good owing to the low permeability rock which results in supercharged, failed or partial build-ups. Regional data atthe Pickerill and West Sole Field suggests initial pressure in the range of 4500 psia at a datum depth of 10,000ft TVDSS and the RFT results shown in figures 2.4 and 2.5 are within the area trend. It is difficult to ascertain a definitive estimate of the initial reservoir pressure from the DST carried out on well 48/11a-12, this is due to the pressure gauge failure observed during the well test. The initial reservoir pressure in Glein is taken to be 4,490 psia at a datum depth of 9794 ft TVDSS. The reservoir temperature observed in the RFT tests was in the range of 197 – 204° degrees Fahrenheit. Petrophysical analysis carried out by Jenner Associates involved the use of a temperature profile equation based on the general North Sea temperature gradient i.e. T = 60 + TVD * 0.015 deg. F and calculated a reservoir temperature of 206 ° degree Fahrenheit at a reference depth of 9750 ft TVDSS and this has been used in the subsurface workflow. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [11] Figure 2.4: RFT data from the Schlumberger well test report. Figure 2.5: RFT plot for well 48/11a-12 Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [12] 2.7 Fluid Composition Glein discovery well 48/11a-12 was tested between the 2nd and 8th of November 1994 at a rate of ~0.4 mmscf/d with an estimated CGR of 0.5 STB/MMscf. Four test separator samples were taken and analysed by Corelab. The PVT samples were of good quality and generally of consistent composition as shown in the table below. An average fluid composition was derived from the four samples, and used to model the characteristic Glein field PVT properties, see figure 2.6. The Hydrogen component with average value of 0.61% was ignored as it appeared to be unusual; consequently the resulting fluid composition was normalised to 100%. The simulation results were reasonable with an acceptable degree of divergence from the normalised reservoir fluids. Figures 2.8 and 2.9 show the overall good match. The gas property is that of a typical Rotliegendes formation of high methane content of 95 mol% with no Hydrogen Sulphide. 48/11a-12 Sample Gas Composition C1 C2 C3 i-C4 n-C4 i-C5 n-C5 C6 C7+ N2 CO2 H2 H2S check Specific Gravity A17620 A16994 A16114 A16962 Average Fluid (mole %) 94.04 95.3 95.81 95.77 95.23 1.75 1.79 1.79 1.8 1.78 0.18 0.19 0.18 0.18 0.18 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.07 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.06 1.02 1.01 1.01 1.08 1.03 0.93 1.01 1.01 1 0.99 1.89 0.55 0 0 0.61 0 0 0 0 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.574 0.580 0.584 0.583 0.580 Figure 2.6: Gas composition. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [13] Average Fluid Gas Composition C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7+ N2 CO2 H2S 95.23 1.78 0.18 0.07 0.03 0.03 0.06 1.03 0.99 0.00 Norm_Ave Fluid (mole %) 95.81 1.79 0.18 0.07 0.03 0.03 0.06 1.04 0.99 0.00 Check 99.39 100.00 PVT_SIM Error 95.27 0.74 0.28 0.13 0.07 0.07 0.20 0.79 2.38 0.08 -0.55 -1.05 0.10 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.14 -0.24 1.39 0.08 100.00 0.00 Figure 2.7: Simulated gas composition. A17620 A16994 A16114 A16962 Average Fluid 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 C1 C2 C3 i-C4 n-C4 i-C5 n-C5 C6 C7+ N2 CO2 H2 H2S Figure 2.8: Corelab sample composition. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [14] Norm_Ave Fluid PVT_SIM 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 C6 C7+ N2 CO2 H2S Figure 2.9: Normalised average .vs. simulated composition 2.8 Gas and Water Properties The summary of the gas and water properties, at initial reservoir conditions is presented below. Table 2.1: Initial reservoir gas and water properties Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [15] 3.0 Static Reservoir Model A static reservoir model was built following on from regional and Glein specific studies, to try and best capture the geology of the discovery and ultimately the volume of gas in place in the structure. The inputs to the model were the Top Rotliegendes and Top Carboniferous depth maps and fault interpretation that were the products of the seismic interpretation. Net to Gross is typically high in Leman sandstone reservoirs, with the average in Glein being 74%. Porosity is also good averaging 11%, with porosities as high as 20% observed. Water saturation was calculated using Archie derived log saturations and also a saturation height function calculated using capillary pressure data from the 48/11a-12 well. The log suite for the 48/11a-12 well do not show a clear fluid contact, but it is clear from the logs that the well is gas bearing throughout, so a Gas Down To (GDT) is interpreted at the base of the well, 10096ft TVDss, giving a full gas column of 499ft, figure 3.1. Given the low permeability seen in the 48/11a-12 core it is unlikely that we will go from gas to water over a distance of a few feet; it is unlikely that we will see free water at, for example, 10100ft TVDss, we would expect to see a transition zone. The capillary pressure data from the 48/11a-12 well core suggests a mercury injection height of 100ft, meaning that the free water level could be 100ft deeper than the GDT in the 48/11a-12 well at 10200ft TVDss. A range of contacts was taken into the volumetric assessment for the Glein discovery; the low-mid-high contacts that were used are 10150-10200-10250ft TVDss. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [16] Figure 3.1: Log suite for the 48/11a-12 well, showing a full gas column. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [17] 3.1 Gas Initially In Place A range of Gas Initially In Place values have been calculated for the Glein discovery, as outlined in table 3.1. The map in figure 3.2 shows Glein and the West Glein region to which the GIIP pertains. The gas expansion factor is 240. GIIP [bcf] West Glein Low case Base case High case (contact: (contact: (contact: 10150ftTVDss) 10200ftTVDss) 10250ftTVDss) 86 113 126 Table 3.1: Gas Initially In Place in BCF for the West Glein structure. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [18] Figure 3.2: Top Rotliegendes Depth structure map showing the subdivision of the Glein structure. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [19] 4.0 Dynamic Reservoir Model The dynamic modelling of the Glein field has taken into account all aspects of the field development work. The Eclipse simulation model is based on the Geological Static realisations of the field and has been volumetrically matched to the Static Model. The hydraulic fracture design and modelling has been completed by Fenix Consulting and incorporated into the Eclipse model using Local Grid refinement. Figure 4.1 below. Figure - 4.1 Effective Fracture Length modeled in Eclipse. Material Balance, MBal and GAP, have been used to provide an analytical bench mark to the Eclipse simulation work, with low, mid and high recoverable resources forecasted to be 26-35 BCF, 34-47 BCF and 38-52 BCF respectively (Figure 4.2). However, the reserves range obtained through MBal were deemed to be on the high side, primarily because the Glein reservoir is very tight, and a simple MBal model does not represent variable pressure depletion in tight reservoirs very well. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [20] Figure 4.2 Material Balance Analysis – Reserves Range a Function of Abandonment Pressure Therefore the MBal/GAP model on Glein was used primarily to define the pipeline pressure regime from the reservoir to the Subsea Manifold in order to provide a guide to the BHP and THP constraints on the Eclipse model, as illustrated in Figure 4.3 below. Figure 4.3 Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Simple GAP model – 10 Barg (145 psig) export node. Relinquishment Report P.1746 [21] Eclipse simulation has been used for the more detailed sensitivity analysis, accounting for reservoir geometry, relative permeability effects, the impact of high permeability thin sands and varying elements such as the number and length of horizontal wells combined with number and size of Fracture design. Eclipse modelling has provided the more conservative and credible reserves ranges of 31.4 – 35.5 – 52.4 BCF for the low, medium and high realisations respectively. Figure - 4.4 High, Mid and Low Development Production Profile. Table - 4.1 Reservoir Simulation Results for Development Option. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [22] 4.1 Conclusions In summary, Eclipse simulation work carried out on sensitivity cases demonstrates that: The high permeability layers do not materially contribute to the recovery mechanism of the reservoir, because they are thin discontinuous bodies of sands that do not provide a flow path back to the fractured well. Despite establishing that well length was important in maximising forecasted reserves, the assumed 2.7 Km horizontal section for a development well ultimately needed to be constrained to a 2.2 Km horizontal length for drilling and coiled tubing operation reasons. Achieving a longer horizontal length by drilling two 1.5 Km laterals proved to give the highest reserves estimates, but due to high costs, was uneconomic as a development concept. Hydraulic fracture sensitivities showed that there were clear diminishing returns with additional fractures being added to a fixed horizontal length, once 5 fractures had successfully been implemented. The maximum number of fractures that can be initiated on a 2.2Km well is seven; with the recommendation that 6 fractures are initiated with the objective that at least 5 are successful. Adopting the logic that the 6 th fracture is mitigation against failure. In conclusion, the base case well construction option selected comprises a 2.2 Km horizontal section in the Rotliegendes and 6 hydraulic fractures. This delivers a 25 year recovery range of 31.4 BCF to 52.4 BCF with a base case recovery of 35.5 BCF. The capital costs required to support this modest level of recovery were analysed in detail and found to be too high to deliver a commercial project. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746 [23] 5. Clearance Fairfield Cedrus Ltd confirms that the Department of Energy and Climate Change is free to publish the contents of this report. Fairfield Cedrus Limited January 2015 Relinquishment Report P.1746
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