Arctic Bridge Summit 4-6 May 2017 Programme Hotel Panorama, Levi Finland Arctic Bridge Summit 4-6 May 2017 Programme Hotel Panorama, Levi Finland Rising temperatures are creating a new political and economic dynamic in the Artic. Some fear that it will spark an intense race for the Arctic’s substantial resources, others see it as a moment of economic and political opportunity to unlock the region’s potential. What is certain is that policy makers and business leaders share responsibility in pushing for co-operation, and preventing conflict, in this fragile ecosystem. In a context of growing geopolitical uncertainty, a common understanding of the region’s challenges and opportunities could allow the Arctic to be a bridge between the East and West. In our two day event we will look at both the promise and peril of a changing Arctic. Thursday, 4 May 2017 14.00-15.30 Arrival of participants and lunch, Panorama Hotel, Levi 15.30-15.45 Registration and coffee 15.45-16.00 Welcome and opening remarks 16.00-17.30 Session 1: Can the Arctic be a bridge between East and West? In recent years, strained relations between Russia and the West have raised concerns about a spill-over of tensions into the Arctic region. Some fear that a ‘race’ to control shipping lanes or Arctic resources further heightens the risk of conflict. But so far, the Arctic has remained relatively calm and stable. And as the Arctic ice melts, conditions will become even tougher, requiring more research and co-operation. How can we prevent the Arctic from becoming a victim of broader geopolitical tensions? Could co-operation in the Arctic be a means for the West to re-engage with Russia? What role can the EU play in fostering co-operation in the region? Speakers: Raymond Arnaudo, Official, US Department of State Juha Jokela, Programme Director, Finnish Institute of International Affairs Harri Mäki-Reinikka, Ambassador for Northern Policies, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Finland Pauline Neville-Jones, Former Chair of the UK Joint Intelligence Committee Andrey Zagorskiy, Head of Department, Primakov Institute of World Economy and International Relations 18.30 Dinner and opening address, Esko Aho 20.30 Fireside chat: “What will the Arctic look like in 2040?” The Arctic is changing. This frozen frontier is increasingly shaped by globalisation. What are the long-term ecological, economic and geopolitical trends affecting the Arctic’s future? What does this mean for the politics of the region, the people that live there and the fragile Arctic habitat? And what can we do about it? Speakers: Liisa Holmberg, Rector of Sámi Education Institute Päivi Laajala, Mayor of Oulu Esko Lotvonen, Mayor of Rovaniemi Lauri Kivinen, CEO, Yle Finnish Broadcasting Company Friday, 5 May 2017 8.00-9.00 Breakfast 9.00-9.30 Keynote address: General Sir Richard Barrons, Former Commander of the Joint Forces Command, British Army 10.00-11.30 Session 2: Connecting the Arctic: Transport, energy and infrastructure As the accessibility of the Arctic increases, so does talk about its economic promise. What lies in store for future economic development of the Arctic? Will we see large-scale offshore energy extraction or does the low oil price environment mean Arctic oil and gas will stay in the ground? Will trans-Arctic shipping challenge other intercontinental routes, or will it remain a niche activity? What infrastructure investment is needed to unlock the region’s economic potential, and who will invest? Can economic interdependence prevent political tensions from spilling into the region? Speakers: Andrew George, Chairman, Energy and Power, Marsh Aki Ojanen, Chief Executive Officer, Aspo Brian Peters, Chief Risk Officer, Investments, AIG Tero Vauraste, Vice Chair, Arctic Economic Council Geir Westgaard, Vice President, Statoil 11.30 Coffee break 12.00-12.45 Presentation: Cybersecurity boosts Arctic co-operation Jarno Limnéll, Professor, Cybersecurity, Aalto University 13.00 Lunch 14.30-14.50 Video address, Commissioner Karmenu Vella European Commissioner for Maritime Affairs and Fisheries 15.00-16.30 Session 3: Sense and sensibility: Navigating Arctic risks and opportunities The Arctic is a unique and delicate environment and it is changing at an alarming rate. Economic development requires managing a host of risks and challenges, including difficult and changing climatological circumstances, contested maritime and territorial boundaries and an uncertain geopolitical landscape. The Arctic’s fast changing vulnerable ecosystems also raise questions about how sustainable development can take place, if at all. Is our understanding of the region’s complexities up to par? And is the current system of Arctic governance fit for purpose? Speakers: Roeland Baan, Chief Executive Officer, Outokumpu Oyj Pavel Gudev, Expert of the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) Peter Jarvis, Head of Environmental, AIG Timo Koivurova, Research Professor, University of Lapland Pamela Lesser, Researcher, University of Lapland Lotta Manninen, Arctic Conservation Officer, WWF Finland 16.30-17.00 Closing panel and Quo vadis 17.00 Free time 18.30 Dinner, Restaurant Saamen Kammi (via Gondola from Hotel Panorama) 20.30 Fireside chat: “Thinking strategically about the Arctic” As temperatures rise in the Arctic, the political and economic potential of the Arctic is slowly being unlocked and the promise and peril of the region laid bare. However, it is far from clear what the Arctic region will come to represent: a model for multilateral co-operation? Another theatre of conflict? Cold War rhetoric not only fails to acurately describe current dynamics in the Arctic, but could cause tensions to escalate. How can we think strategically about the Arctic? Is conflict pre-determined? Is the region exceptional, or do familiar strategic dynamics apply? Speakers: Elisabeth Braw, Non-resident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council Ethan Corbin, Director, Defence and Security Committee, NATO Parliamentary Assembly Rem Korteweg, Head, Europe in the World Unit, Clingendael Jon Rahbek-Clemmensen, Assistant Professor, Center for War Studies, University of Southern Denmark Andris Spruds, Acting Director, Latvian Institute for International Affairs Saturday, 6 May 2017 09.00-11.00 Choice of tourist activity: Walking tour/visit Samiland exhibition and learn to throw Suopunki (lasso) 11.30 Transfer from Hotel to airport 13.30-15.05 Flight from Kittilä to Helsinki List of participants Esko Aho Raymond Arnaudo Roeland Baan Richard Barrons Sophia Besch Filippo Bignami Nina Brander Elisabeth Braw Ozlem Canel Ethan Corbin Andrew George Pavel Gudev Matilda Heikkilä Liisa Holmberg Catherine Jahre-Nilsen Peter Jarvis Juha Jokela Timo Jokelainen Reeta-Liisa Kaukiainen Tuomo Kemppainen Lauri Kivinen Ari-Jussi Knaapila Timo Koivurova Rem Korteweg Leena Kuusniemi Päivi Laajala Kristiina Laresvuo Harri Launonen Anne Leppälä-Nilsson Pamela Lesser Jarno Limnéll Pekka Liukkonen Esko Lotvonen Harri Mäki-Reinikka Chairman of the Board, East Office of Finnish Industries Official, US Department of State Chief Executive Officer, Outokumpu Oyj Former Commander of the Joint Forces Command, British Army Researcher, Centre for European Reform Senior Researcher, University of applied sciences Switzerland Senior Specialist, Prime Minister´s Office, Finland Non-resident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council Deputy Head of Mission, Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands Director, Defence and Security Committee, NATO Parliamentary Assembly Chairman, Energy and Power, Marsh Expert of the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) Executive Manager, Nordics, AIG Rector, Sámi Education Institute Arctic Advisor, Statoil ASA Head of Environmental, AIG Programme Director, Finnish Institute of International Affairs Director, Environment and Natural Resources, Centre for Economic Development Executive Vice President, Communications and Investor Relations, Outokumpu Oyj CEO, Marsh CEO, Yle, Finnish Broadcasting Company CEO, Cinia Group Oy Research Professor, University of Lapland Head, Europe in the World Unit, Clingendael Senior Legal Counsel, Rovio Entertainment Ltd Mayor, City of Oulu Branch Manager, Finland & Head of Claims, Nordics, AIG CEO, Promill Oy EVP Group General Counsel, Kesko Corporation Researcher, University of Lapland Professor, Cybersecurity, Aalto University Branch Manager, Denmark & Head of Property and Special Risks, Nordics, AIG Mayor, City of Rovaniemi Ambassador for Northern Policies, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Finland Arctic Conservation Officer, WWF Finland Former Chair of the UK Joint Intelligence Committee Chief European Commentator, The Wall Street Journal General Manager, Nordics & Property and Special Risks Executive, Northern Europe, AIG Chief Executive Officer, Aspo Aki Ojanen Chief Risk Officer, Investments, AIG Brian Peters Partner, AMBC Jan Pettersson Business Director, Gaia Consulting Oy Pekka Pokela Jon Rahbek-Clemmensen Assistant Professor, Center for War Studies, University of Southern Denmark Embassy of Spain, Finland Raquel Romero Embassy of Spain, Finland José Romero Tamaral Partner, AMBC Joonas Ruolahti Office Manager, Finland, AIG Kirsi Salminen Acting CEO, East Office of Finnish Industries Ilkka Salonen Loss Control Manager, Northern Europe and CIS, AIG Mårten Sandblom Acting Director, Latvian Institute for International Affairs Andris Spruds Senior Advisor, Marsh Juhani Talvia Deputy Director, Centre for European Reform Simon Tilford Vice Chair, Arctic Economic Council Tero Vauraste European Commissioner for Maritime Affairs and Fisheries Karmenu Vella Vice President, Statoil Geir Westgaard Co-ordinator, Verbatum Päivi Yli-Kyyny Press and Communications Co-ordinator, Centre for European Anna Yorke Reform Head of Department, Primakov, Institute of World Economy Andrey Zagorskiy and International Relations Lotta Manninen Pauline Neville-Jones Simon Nixon Rasmus Nygård The Centre for European Reform is a think-tank devoted to making the European Union work better and strengthening its role in the world. The CER is pro-European but not uncritical. We regard European integration as largely beneficial but recognise that in many respects the Union does not work well. We also think that the EU should take on more responsibilities globally, on issues ranging from climate change to security. www.cer.org.uk East Office is a joint enterprise of leading Finnish corporations, supporting their activities in Russia through analyses of Russian economic, social and political development. www.eastoffice.fi . AIG is a leading international insurance organization serving commercial, institutional, and individual customers in more than 100 countries and jurisdictions with 66,400 employees worldwide. By harnessing our unparalleled wealth of data, our deep expertise and our financial strength, we deliver innovative insights and cutting-edge risk management solutions that enable a wide range of industries around the world to prevent losses and achieve better outcomes. www.aig.com Cinia Group makes the world smaller, smarter, and more secure with intelligent network, cloud, and software services. Thousands of kilometers of owned fiber optic trunk network along with the Cinia C-Lion1 submarine cable provide the shortest and fastest data highway from Central European network hubs to Northern Europe. www.cinia.fi Marsh is a global leader in insurance broking and risk management. It enables clients to grow, innovate and create value by helping them understand and better manage the risks they face, advising on emerging risks and ensuring they have the resiliency to withstand the unexpected. 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