Investigating the role of surface roughness representation in generating flood inundation extents using hydraulic models Presenter: Zhu Liu Institution: Purdue University Advisor: Dr. Venkatesh Merwade July 2016, Sacramento 1 Contents Objective Models Study Area Data Method Result Conclusion 2 Flood disasters Flooding Alone accounted for 47% of all weather related disaster and affect 2.3 billion people in the world from 1995-2015 (UNISDR). May 26, 2015 flood in Texas Source: http://www.wired.com/2015/05/ texas-floods-big-ended-statesdrought/#slide-1 Dem 31, 2015 Flood in Missouri Source: UNISDR http://www.unisdr.org/2015/docs/climatechange/COP21_WeatherDisastersReport_2015_FINAL.pdf Source: http://www.techinsider.io/10worst-us-natural-disasters-ofthe-year-2016-1 3 Objective The impact of model structures on model simulated flood extents given the same input data and boundary conditions. The influence of channel surface roughness and floodplain surface roughness on model performances in simulating inundation extents. Compare distributed floodplain surface roughness with unique floodplain surface roughness in model calibration process. 4 Hydraulic models USA Europe ① HEC-RAS 1D model (H1 model) • 1D • Water surface elevation and velocity computed at discrete cross section. • Solving full Saint-Venant equation using finite difference method. ③ LISFLOOD-FP Diffusive model (LD model) • 1D/2D coupled raster based model • Solve continuity and momentum equations for channel and floodplain respectively. • Only consider mass transfer between channel and floodplain while neglecting momentum transfer as well as secondary circulation on mass transfer. ② HEC-RAS 2D model (H2 model) • 2D or 1D/2D coupled • Floodplain is represented by storage areas, which are divided into meshes for calculation. • Solve either full version of 2D Saint-Venant equations or 2D diffusive wave equations. ④ LISFLOOD-FP Subgrid model (LS model) • 1D/2D coupled, raster based model • Incorporate subgrid scale representation of channelized flow • Continuity and momentum equations have their specific form considering flow from channel and floodplain respectively. 5 Study reaches Four study reaches included in this research: River Arkansas Length (m) Sinuosity Floodplain White River 56700 High Wide Black River 25200 High Narrow East River 11200 Moderate Moderate Flatrock River 3900 Low Moderate Indiana Study Reaches 6 Data ---Flood events and reference flood maps Study Area Start date End date Image date Reference data type White River 22-Dem2013 6-Jan2014 1-Jan2014 LandSat Black River 4-Mar2015 27-Apr2015 25-Mar2015 LandSat East River 5-Jun2008 17-June2008 9-Jun2008 Ground survey based Flatrock River 4-Jun2008 9-Jun2008 9-Jun2008 Ground survey based Flow and gage height data for upstream USGS stations during historical flood events at (a) White River; (b)Black River; (c) East River and (d) Flatrock River 7 Reference flood map All the reference inundation maps are treated as truth in this research Reference flood inundation maps at (a) White River; (b) Black River; (c) East River and (d) Flatrock River 8 Kalyanapu et al., 2010; McCuen, 1989) Method Land Cover Description Manning’s n 21 Developed, open space 0.0404 22 Developed, low intensity 0.0678 23 Developed, medium intensity 0.0678 24 Developed, high intensity 0.0678 24 Developed, high intensity 0.0404 31 Barren land 0.0113 41 Deciduous forest 0.36 43 Mixed forest 0.4 52 Shrub/scrub 0.4 71 Grassland/herbaceous 0.368 81 Pasture/Hay 0.325 82 Cultivated crops 0.037 90 Woody wetlands 0.086 95 Emergent herbaceous wetlands 0.1825 Assigning distributed floodplain surface roughness based on the NLCD land use map (a) White River; (b)Black River; (c) East River and (d) Flatrock River 9 Method Two modeling scenarios (1)Evaluate the effect of channel surface roughness for H1, LD, LS, H2 models. Scenarios ① ② Goal Modeling Evaluate the effect of channel surface roughness on model performance Channel roughness Floodplain roughness Range:0.01-0.05 Step:0.005 Distributed roughness S1: 144 Evaluate the effect of floodplain surface roughness on model performance Channel roughness Floodplain roughness S2:80 Fixed: 0.03 Range:0.03-0.15 Step:0.03 Total: 224 Simulations 10 Method Comparison of flood inundation maps F index: F=100* C index: C=100* 𝐴𝑜𝑜 𝐴𝐴+𝐴𝐴−𝐴𝐴𝐴 Ao Aom Am 𝐴𝐴𝐴 𝐴𝐴 Ao---observed area of inundation Am---model simulated area of inundation Aom---both observed and simulated as area of inundation 11 Results nch=0.03 nch=0.01 Scenario 1 npl is distributed (a) White River; (b)Black River; (c) East River and (d) Flatrock River (a) White River; (b)Black River; (c) East River and (d) Flatrock River 12 Model performance with respect to channel surface roughness H1, LD, H2 model performances are more sensitive to channel surface roughness. Sensitivity of model performance for LS model depends on the study area. (a) White River; (b)Black River; (c) East River and (d) Flatrock River 13 Change of inundation area respect to channel surface roughness Generally speaking, inundation area will increase as channel surface roughness becoming higher for all models. (a) White River; (b)Black River; (c) East River and (d) Flatrock River 14 npl=0.12 npl=0.06 Scenario 2 nch=0.03 (a) White River; (b)Black River; (c) East River and (d) Flatrock River (a) White River; (b)Black River; (c) East River and (d) Flatrock River 15 Change of inundation area respect to floodplain surface roughness Inundation extents increase as floodplain surface roughness increases for H1 and LS model. While area increase is not significant for LD model and H2 model. (a) White River; (b)Black River; (c) East River and (d) Flatrock River 16 Comparison two roughness calibration strategy One special profile nch=0.03 Strategy 1: By taking one single nch and npl in the parameter space each time run to find the best model performance Strategy 2: By taking one single nch in its range with distributed npl each time to run the model to find the best model performance Comparison best model Performance (F index) from strategy 1 and strategy 2 (a) White River; (b)Black River; (c) East River and (d) Flatrock River 17 Conclusion LD model overestimates the flood extent for most study reaches. The reason is that LD model only considers mass transfer between channel and floodplain but neglects channel-floodplain momentum transfer, and the effects of advection as well as secondary circulation on mass transfer. While LS model performs well for Black River, White River and left floodplain of East River. This might because LS model considers both mass and momentum transfer between channel and floodplain. H1 model and H2 model solve the full Saint-Venant equations, but in one and two dimensional format respectively. H1 model performs better when the channel surface roughness is low. On the contrary, when the channel surface roughness becomes higher H2 model behaves better than H1 model. H1 model, LD model and H2 model are more sensitive to channel surface roughness compared with LS model. However, the sensitivity of LS model to channel surface roughness depending on the study area. H1 model and LS model are more sensitive to floodplain Manning’s n. While the other two model including LD model and H2 model are insensitive to floodplain friction, which describes that floodplain processes containing a momentum effect are insignificant in these two models. Flood inundation area will increase for all models as the channel surface roughness increases. Inundation extents increase as floodplain surface roughness increases for H1 and LS model. While area increase is insignificant for LD model and H2 model. 18 Conclusion Applying distributed floodplain surface roughness could not improve the model performances for calibration purpose. This indicates that adopting spatially varied floodplain surface roughness value will reduce the variability of model performances. In addition, combination of unique channel and floodplain Manning’s n value should still be used to calibrate the hydraulic models regarding inundation extent in the future. 19
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