Briefing Nuclear Meltdowns: Chernobyl, Three Mile Island and Fukushima Daiichi C oncerns regarding the safety of nuclear energy, particularly after the meltdowns at Three Mile Island and Chernobyl, have hindered its continued development over the past few decades. However, increasing energy demand and fears of climate change have led to a “nuclear renaissance” in which states have increasingly pursued nuclear power as a carbon-free warming, and it emits numerous hazardous air pollutants that likely result in thousands of deaths annually. Furthermore, around the globe thousands of energy source.1 Given the evolving nuclear crisis at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, the future of nuclear energy is once again in doubt because of concerns about safety and health risks. When discussing the potential hazards of nuclear power, it is useful to bear in mind the cost of burning fossil fuels, such as coal. The burning of coal is a primary contributor to global coal miners die each year in mine accidents.2 Thus, the death toll from fossil fuels is higher than that of nuclear power. CF-11-02-TC This issue brief explores the nuclear meltdowns at the Three Mile Island, Chernobyl and Fukushima Daiichi plants. THREAT CONVERGENCE | THE FUND FOR PEACE Nuclear Meltdowns: Chernobyl, Three Mile Island and Fukushima Daiichi Three Mile Island, United States T he incident at the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant, located near Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, began on March 28, 1979. Three Mile Island’s new Unit 2 reactor was operating at 97% power when a restored and a massive release of radiation was averted.7 mechanical malfunction increased the temperature of the primary coolant, triggering an automatic shutdown of the Significant confusion and panic gripped the public during the reactor.3 As pressure began to build within the reactor, a relief Three Mile Island crisis, with government officials and the valve opened. This valve should have closed when pressure media speculating over whether a full-scale meltdown would returned to normal levels, but it did not, and plant operators received no signal indicating that the valve was still open. As occur. The situation within the reactor had sufficiently stabilized by the evening of March 28th. However, on March a result, cooling water flowed out of the open valve, causing 30th, the plant’s auxiliary building released radiation in an the reactor to overheat.4 effort to relieve pressure on the reactor and ensure that coolant would continue to flow to the core, which increased Operators were unable to properly diagnose the problem public anxiety and scrutiny. Pennsylvania’s governor, Richard because there was no instrument measuring the level of coolant in the reactor core. Instead, the operators relied on the L. Thornburgh, consulted with the Nuclear Regulatory Commission and advised young children and pregnant level of the pressurizer, which was high, and assumed that women to evacuate areas within five miles of the plant.8 coolant levels were normal. Based on this reading, the operators reduced the flow of coolant to the reactor, exacerbating the problems of the overheating core.5 Despite the release of some radiation during the crisis, to date no deaths or significant illnesses can be attributed to the crisis at Three Mile Island. The crisis ranked 5 out of 7 on the As the core continued to overheat, the zirconium cladding encasing the nuclear fuel pellets ruptured and the pellets International Nuclear Event Scale. The average increase in radiation exposure to the surrounding population is believed began to melt. However, the meltdown had not yet breached to have been very low, potentially less than an individual the walls of the containment shield, which would have led to a would receive from an x-ray scan.9 However, this low level of 6 massive leak of radiation. Eventually, after a series of failed attempts to stop a full meltdown, an operator decided to turn exposure was only possible because the crisis was primarily contained. Public outrage over the potential danger of nuclear on the pumps, bringing coolant water back through the power led to stricter federal regulation, increasing costs and reactor to cool the core. Due to the lack of information about what was really going on in the core, the decision was contributing to the waning of nuclear power within the United States. effectively a stab in the dark. Nevertheless, stability was Chernobyl, Ukraine T he Chernobyl disaster began on April 26, 1986, during a safety test prior to a routine maintenance shutdown of the Chernobyl plant’s Unit 4 reactor. The test sought to determine if enough energy could be an extremely unstable state. Protocol called for the reactor to generated to continue the cooling of the reactor if the station lost power. Inadequate safety protocol, operator error, and a be stabilized at approximately 700-1000 MWt prior to the test, but power had fallen to 30 MWt before stabilizing at 200 MWt. poor system design precipitated the disaster that followed. To compensate, the operators withdrew the number of control rods to eight, although the minimum Operating Reactivity The test was largely deemed an electrical operation without nuclear implications. Thus, the operators did not understand Margin mandated fifteen rods.11 When the test commenced, a massive energy surge caused fuel fragmentation and rapid that the test could jeopardize the safety of the reactor.10 The steam production, which damaged fuel channels, jammed shutdown of the reactor commenced while the reactor was in control rods, and quickly led to a steam explosion that www.fundforpeace.org 2 Threat Convergence Nuclear Meltdowns: Chernobyl, Three Mile Island and Fukushima Daiichi released fissile materials. A second explosion followed Europe. Vast portions of Ukraine, Belarus, and the Soviet seconds later, ejecting graphite and fuel that caught fire, contributing to the main release of radioactivity.12 The Unit 4 Union were evacuated, and as many as 336,000 people were permanently resettled. Approximately 60% of the fallout is reactor had no containment shell, so once the explosions believed to have landed in neighboring Belarus.15 By July occurred radioactive materials were immediately released into 1986, 22 plant workers and 6 firemen had died due to acute the surrounding environment.13 radiation poisoning.16 Additionally, 112 plant workers and emergency responders were diagnosed with acute radiation Two workers were killed in the explosions. Over the next day poisoning that was not fatal. As of 2006, 19 of those who and a half, 200-300 tons of water per hour was injected into what remained of the reactor core, although this was survived radiation poisoning had passed away, but apparently none of these deaths were due to radiation-related discontinued to prevent the flooding of other reactors. Over causes. The hundreds of thousands of individuals involved in the next eight to nine days, helicopters dumped approximately 5,000 tons of sand, lead, clay, boron and recovery operations have also experienced a slightly higher rate of leukemia and cataracts which may be attributable to dolomite onto the burning core to put out the fire and limit the radiation exposure.17 The surrounding population was also 14 release of radioactive materials. impacted by the radiation fallout, although death toll The accident at Chernobyl is considered the worst nuclear approximations vary widely. According to the United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation, milk power disaster in history, ranked 7 out of 7 on the was contaminated with Iodine-131 in the fallout zone. This International Nuclear Event Scale. The fire from the graphite and fuel released a plume of radioactive fallout that spread contamination was primarily responsible for a large spike in thyroid cancer in the surrounding population.18 across the region, impacting the Soviet Union and the rest of Fukushima Daiichi, Japan O n March 11, 2011, a 9.0 magnitude earthquake struck off the eastern coast of Japan’s largest island, Honshu, triggering a massive tsunami that killed thousands, and have occurred at reactors 1 and 2. In addition, the containment substantially damaged infrastructure. The earthquake was the largest recorded in Japan in 140 years and created a situation vessel at reactor 3 is believed to have been damaged. Although progress has been made in restoring electricity to that the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant, located on the plant, radiation levels remain extremely high and several the Japanese coastline, was not designed to handle.19 The pumps may be damaged, ensuring that challenges will nuclear plant’s sensors recognized the powerful earthquake, which triggered an automatic shutdown of the plant’s continue to hinder attempts to restore the plant’s normal cooling operations.21 inundated coastal communities, reactors. Substantial power was needed to continue cooling the reactors and spent fuel pools to prevent a meltdown. However, the earthquake also knocked out main power to the However, more radiation may have been leaked from the spent fuel cooling ponds than the reactor cores. Spent fuel has plant. With the loss of Fukushima’s primary power source, an incredibly long half-life, thus making it dangerous for backup diesel generators started and ran for just under an hour before the tsunami hit the plant and knocked out this thousands of years after its initial use in producing nuclear energy. Once the fuel is spent, it is placed in on-site cooling backup source of power. After the loss of the generators there pools until it reaches a point where it will not overheat and was insufficient power to fuel the plant’s cooling mechanisms. melt, which would release dangerous levels of radiation. At The crisis gradually escalated as the reactor and spent fuel pools began to overheat.20 Fukushima, water levels in the reactor ponds became depleted, causing the spent fuel to overheat and likely leak radioactive gas. As there is no containment shield Seawater was pumped into the reactors in an attempt to cool the cores. However, temperatures continued to rise and surrounding the pools, the radiation would have been leaked directly into the surrounding environment. On March 15, pressure mounted, necessitating the release of hydrogen gas. 2011, the Unit 4 reactor pool caught fire and released This led to explosions outside of reactors 1 and 3 that blew hydrogen, likely resulting in the release of dangerous levels of holes in the roof of the complex. Partial meltdowns, likely leading to the release of radioactive materials, are believed to radiation. Due to high radiation levels, emergency responders attempted to refill the Unit 3 and Unit 4 pools from outside www.fundforpeace.org 3 Threat Convergence Nuclear Meltdowns: Chernobyl, Three Mile Island and Fukushima Daiichi the facility using fire hoses and helicopters.22 To date, water By the end of March 2011, the Fukushima Daiichi plant has still needs to be pumped or sprayed into these pools in order to cool them and prevent the leak of radiation.23 continued to release high levels of radiation, measured at 1000 millisieverts per hour. At this level, those exposed would be vulnerable to temporary radiation sickness.26 The Like all nuclear meltdowns, the damage from Fukushima contaminated water which injured the three emergency Daiichi will not be known for some time, although the death toll from the crisis is expected to be far less than the responders has slowed efforts to solve the crisis, and some of it has leaked out to sea.27 Japan recently raised the rating of devastation tsunami. the Fukushima crisis from 5 to 7 on the International Nuclear Nevertheless, the nuclear crisis has triggered substantial fear and apprehension amongst the Japanese people. The Japanese caused by the earthquake and Event Scale, the same ranking given to the Chernobyl disaster. A ranking of 7 indicates “widespread health and government has gradually expanded the scope of the environmental effects” and the “external release of a evacuation zone around the plant from a 12 mile radius to a 19 mile radius, covering approximately 139,000 individuals. significant fraction of the reactor core inventory.”28 Japan’s nuclear regulatory agency indicated that the amount of However, the United States embassy has recommended the radioactive materials released at Fukushima is approximately evacuation of anyone within fifty miles of the plant, which ten percent of the total released during the Chernobyl crisis. would involve 2 million residents.24 Japanese officials have urged citizens not to give their infants tap water in Tokyo and However, an executive from Tokyo Electric Power Company, which runs the Fukushima plant, indicated that radiation surrounding areas after radioactive iodine was detected in the leaks continue and the final total could eventually surpass city’s drinking supplies.25 No cases of acute radiation poisoning have been reported yet, although three workers Chernobyl.29 Although the amount of radiation leaking from the plant is likely declining, it appears as if the crisis at have been hospitalized for radiation burns to their feet and Fukushima is far from over. legs when they stepped into radioactive water in the Unit 3 reactor. References For a full list of references from this briefing, please visit: www.fundforpeace.org/global/?q=cf-11-02-tc About the Fund for Peace The Fund for Peace is an independent, nonpartisan, 501(c)(3) non-profit research and educational organization that works to prevent violent conflict and promote sustainable security. We promote sustainable security through research, training and education, engagement of civil society, building bridges across diverse sectors, and developing innovative technologies and tools for policy makers. A leader in the conflict assessment and early warning field, the Fund for Peace focuses on the problems of weak and failing states. Our objective is to create practical tools and approaches for conflict mitigation that are useful to decision-makers. To support the work and mission of The Fund for Peace, visit www.fundforpeace.org. Copyright © 2011 The Fund for Peace. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent from The Fund for Peace. The Fund for Peace Publication CF-11-02-TC (11-04A) - Circulation: PUBLIC - Compiled by Ryan Costello www.fundforpeace.org www.fundforpeace.org 4 Threat Convergence
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