LAND A N D L I B E R T Y ECONOMICS • POLITICS • PHILOSOPHY November/December 1992 (UK)£2.00 (USA)$3.50 RUSSIA: CREATING A MORAL MARKET FINANCE: A PRIVATE AFFAIR ADAPTING THE POLL TAX HOUSING: A LAND MORATORIUM LAND AND E D 8T O R I A I LIBERTY Volume 99 No Established 1160 1894 ggggflggag EDITORIAL RUSSIAN LAND BARONS Fred Harrison TALKING POLITICS Lewis L i t d e 4 NEWS BRIEFS 5 FEATURE FINANCE Ed Dodson 6 L A N D & L I B E R T Y ESSAY RUSSIA & T H E F R E E M A R K E T Fred Harrison 7 B O O K REVIEWS Ian L a m b e r t : Carnivals of D e s t r u c t i o n Peter Poole: 10 T h e L o n g Wave 11 Geoffrey Lee: Poverty in t h e U S A 12 FRONT PAGE: St. Petersburg's Information Bulletin, a 16-page property newspaper reporting auction prices. Editor: Fred Harrison Editorial Consultant: V.H. Blundell Picture Editor: Keith Hammett Art Editor: Nick Dennys Editorial Offices: 177 Vauxhall Bridge Road London SW1V 1EU Tele: 071 8S4 4266 121 East 50th Street New York, N.Y. 19916 Tele: 212 889 8020 ISS No 0023 7574 Annual Subscription: U.K.: £12, USA $20, Canada $25, Australia S25 "my** MISSION TO THWART AGE OF DARKNESS T H E R U S S I A N R E V O L U T I O N h a s b a r e l y b e g u n . MikhaU G o r b a c h e v w a n t e d t o p r e s e r v e t h e l e a d i n g r o l e o f t h e C o m m u n i s t Party, b u t h e l e t t h e g e n i e of individual f r e e d o m o u t of t h e bottle t o o soon. Peking used t h e massacre o f T i a n a n m e n S q u a r e t o d e m o n s t r a t e t h a t it was n o t m a k i n g t h e s a m e m i s t a k e . B o r i s Yeltsin was t h e h u m a n c o n d u c t o r f o r t h e f r u s t r a t i o n s o f t h e p a s t t h r e e g e n e r a t i o n s * b u t h e is n o t p r o v i d i n g t h e i n s p i r a t i o n t h a t will c r e a t e t h e c h a r a c t e r of t h e n e w R u s s i a n society. T h e p e o p l e o f Russia a r e n o w actively searching for a new identity. B u t t h e W e s t n e e d n o t b e c o m p l a c e n t : w e believe t h a t , w i t h t h e b e n e f i t o f h i s t o r i c a l h i n d s i g h t , t h e 1990s will b e i d e n t i f i e d as t h e d e c a d e t h a t saw t h e b e g i n n i n g s of a g l o b a l t r a n s f o r m a t i o n . Peoples are quiedv rebelling. • I n E u r o p e , t h e n a t i o n - s t a t e s t r i e d to f u s e t h e i r p o w e r i n t o a s u p e r - s t a t e , b u t the politicians f o u n d themselves with bloody noses. Now, t h e scramble is o n t o r e d e f i n e t h e r o l e o f t h e s t a t e itself, t h e l e g i t i m a c y o f w h i c h is likely t o c o m e u n d e r i n c r e a s i n g q u e s t i o n as p e o p l e d e m a n d a n h o n e s t d e v o l u t i o n of power to t h e smallest possible practical units. • I n t h e U n i t e d States, t h e Ross P e r o t p h e n o m e n o n p r o v e d t h a t p e o p l e h a v e h a d e n o u g h of slick talk a n d p a r t y m a c h i n e s : t h e y w a n t c h a n g e . C h a n g e is in t h e a i r , b u t f e w p e o p l e u n d e r s t a n d h o w t o creatively h a r n e s s a n d d i r e c t t h e n e w d i s c o n t e n t T h e r e is a s m u c h c y n i c i s m a b o u t liberal d e m o c r a c y as a b o u t c o m m u n i s t c o m m a n d . S o is t h e w o r l d c o n d e m n e d t o a freefall i n t o t h e h a n d s of a silver-tongued d e m a g o g u e ? C o u l d b e ; it all d e p e n d s o n t h e way in w h i c h f r e s h i d e a s a r e n o w d e v e l o p e d t h r o u g h p u b l i c d i a l o g u e . A n d , frankly, t h e p a c e m u s t b e set by t h e o n e w o r l d view a r o u n d t o d a y w h i c h c h i m e s with social a n d e c o l o g i c a l i m p e r a t i v e s : t h e t e n e t s a s s o c i a t e d with A m e r i c a n social r e f o r m e r H e n r y G e o r g e . T h e G e o r g i s t m o v e m e n t , u n f o r t u n a t e l y , h a s f a i l e d t o d e v e l o p t h e sociological a n d h i s t o r i c a l i m p l i c a t i o n s of its p h i l o s o p h y . F o r d e c a d e s , it h a s s o u g h t t o k e e p alive t h e i d e a of s h a r i n g t h e v a l u e of n a t u r a l r e s o u r c e s by a d v o c a t i n g local tax r e f o r m . T h e f u l l g r a n d e u r o f G e o r g i s t p h i l o s o p h y w a s lost in t h e p r o c e s s , left t o fossilise in its 19th c e n t u r y g a r b , l e a v i n g f r e e all m a n n e r of i n t e l l e c t u a l c h a r l a t a n s t o s t r u t t h e p l a t f o r m s of t h e w o r l d in t h e 2 0 t h c e n t u r y . G e o r g i s m is a n a p p l i e d p h i l o s o p h y t h a t n e e d s to b e s c r u t i n i s e d by social scientists, so t h a t p o l i c y - m a k e r s c a n h a v e c o n f i d e n c e in its r e l e v a n c e as t h e p r o b l e m - s o l v i n g tool t h e y d e s p e r a t e l y n e e d . E n o u g h , t h e n , of t h e m u n i c i p a l m e n t a l i t y . H a v e faith in a r a d i c a l vision w h o s e t h e o r e t i c a l e l e g a n c e , m o r a l credibility a n d a d m i n i s t r a t i v e practicality i d e n t i f i e s it as t h e b e a c o n o f l i g h t in w h a t is r a p i d l y t u r n i n g i n t o a n Age of D a r k n e s s . Publisher Land & Liberty International at the London editorial offices PAGE LAND 8c L I B E R T Y SEPT/OCT 1992 RUSSIA FOR THE NEW LAND BARONS? T H E C O L D WAR may b e over, b u t a neuiwar is n o w b e i n g waged against Russia. T h e stakes a r e h i g h : t h e l a n d a n d n a t u r a l r e s o u r c e s of t h e largest unprivatised territory in t h e world, is ripe f o r t h e Last - a n d Biggest - L a n d Rush i n history. Employing blunt instruments, Western g o v e r n m e n t s a n d their financial a g e n t s a r e trying t o f o r c e t h e Yeltsin g o v e r n m e n t t o privatise l a n d . T h e i r c o m p a n i o n s in this ideological war i n c l u d e western investors, whose threat is a s i m p l e o n e : w i t h o u t t h e f r e e h o l d t i d e t o l a n d , they will n o t invest t e c h n o l o g y a n d h a r d currency. T h e a r g u m e n t t h a t t h e investors n e e d t h e security of f r e e h o l d tide t o land is s p u r i o u s - n o t a single investor in H o n g K o n g o w n s t h e f r e e h o l d of t h e sites o n w h i c h h i s skyscrapers a r e erected! N o t d e t e r r e d by t h e facts, Swed e n ' s l a n d u s e office h a s even ann o u n c e d t h a t it is p r e p a r i n g a law for land privatisation, b e c a u s e t h e existing land-use system in Russia is anarchic - a c u r i o u s criticism, given t h e chaos in western l a n d m a r k e t s ! S o will a n e w b r e e d of land b a r o n s m o v e in o n Russia? N o t if t h e civic leaders of towns like t h e o n c e t o p secret SasnoviyBor ( p o p : 65,000) have a n y t h i n g t o d o with iL N O T S O L O N G A G O I would have b e e n s h o t f o r p o i n t i n g my c a m e r a at t h e a t o m i c p o w e r station in Sasnoviy Bor, w h i c h celebrates its 20th anniversary n e x t year. As Soviet towns go, it is a n attractive s e t d e m e n t , located o n sand-andp i n e a n h o u r ' s train r i d e west of St. P e t e r s b u r g , a l o n g t h e Gulf of Finland. Last May, r e s p o n d i n g to P r e s i d e n t Yeltsin's d e c r e e , t h e city council decided t o sell f r e e h o l d tides to its land. T h e n Victor Barov, a c o u n c i l official, a t t e n d e d a s e m i n a r a d d r e s s e d by LAND & LIBERTY advocates of d i e p h i l o s o p h y of American social r e f o r m e r H e n r y G e o r g e . They o u d i n e d the dynamic benefits associated with t h e abolition of all taxes a n d using land-rents to f i n a n c e g o v e r n m e n t services. Barov b r i e f e d his council, which immediately d e c i d e d t o reverse its privatisation policy. In f u t u r e , l a n d leases can be b o u g h t , with a n a n n u a l r e n t payable to t h e town. But t h e r e a r e p r o b l e m s in t h e way of this strategy, n o t least t h e d e v e l o p m e n t of a m a r k e t which can accurately m e a s u r e t h e value of sites. It is, however, only a m a t t e r of time b e f o r e t h e m a r k e t prices a r e established. SASNOVIYBOR is s u f f e r i n g t h e grief felt by most towns in Russia today. Most of the postwar towns w e r e built a r o u n d a single factory o r t h e exploitation of a natural resource. I n Sasnoviy "Next year home-owners will acquire leases and pay rent to the council" Bor's case, 6 0 % of e m p l o y m e n t is in, or associated with, t h e a t o m i c p o w e r station. With a fragile ecological h i n t e r land that is n o t suitable f o r agriculture, t h e only o t h e r m o n e y - s p i n n e r that can be n u r t u r e d is a lively c o n struction industry, which t h e town plans to break u p a n d privatise. S o m e privately o w n e d single-family h o u s e s a r e already u n d e r construction: n e x t year t h e h o m e - o w n e r s will a c q u i r e leases to t h e sites, a n d pay r e n t to the council. Meanwhile, however, h o w can t h e c o u n c i l p l a n f o r t h e f u t u r e ? It is p e e r i n g into a d a r k void. Its b u d g e t is 9 0 0 m roubles, a n d t h e town g e n e r a t e s a n i n c o m e of 12bn r o u b l e s , b u t analysing t h e existing statistics would SEPT/OCT 1992 be meaningless. T h i s year, f o r t h e first time, enterprises w e r e obliged by f e d e r a l fciw t o pay a l a n d tax. T h e c o u n c i l u n d e r t o o k a c r u d e valuation of t h e l a n d , a n d h o p e s t o raise 2 5 m roubles ( t h o u g h s o m e of t h e bosses of landrich state e n t e r p r i s e s a r e telling t h e council to ask Moscow f o r t h e money?). N e x t year, if t h e s a m e tax applies, t h e c o u n c i l h o p e s to raise 5 0 m roubles. T h e c o u n c i l r e g a r d s Yeltsin's l a n d tax as low, a n d it wants t o s h i f t to a system u n d e r w h i c h e n t e r p r i s e s pay r e n t f o r t h e l a n d they o c c u p y , u n d e r t h e t e r m s of t h e teaseswhich a r e b e i n g p r e p a r e d . L a n d is n o t in s h o r t supply: v a c a n t sites a r e available f o r f i r m s t h a t w a n t t o l o c a t e in t h e town. E C O L O G Y i s u p p e r m o s t in t h e m i n d s of t h e citizens of Sasnoviy Bor. T h e y w a n t t h e i r town to b e s a n c t i o n e d by t h e f e d e r a l g o v e r n m e n t as t h e c e n t r e of a n eco-potis, s u p p o r t e d by a Georgist tax s t r u c t u r e t o attract Job-creating firms. But would the rental income g e n e r a t e d in t h e a r e a b e sufficient t o f i n a n c e t h e t o w n ' s n e e d s ? W o u l d this s o c i a l i s e d - r e n t strategy s u p p o r t a n e n v i r o n m e n t - f r i e n d l y policy? M o r e q u e s t i o n s t h a n definitive answers: we h a d t o e x p l a i n t o M a y o r Valeriy N e k r a s o v t h a t e c o n o m i s t s h a d betrayed t h e m a r k e t e c o n o m i e s , for such q u e s t i o n s c o u l d n o t even be adequately a n s w e r e d in t h e W e s t For now, h e h a d to a c c e p t o n g o o d faith t h a t t h e p r o p o r t i o n of i n c o m e m o p p e d u p by t h e l a n d m a r k e t in t h e f o r m of r e n t would, i n d e e d , be suff i c i e n t t o pay f o r necessary social services. T h e m a y o r f o u n d this reassuring, a n d h e m a d e it clear t h a t they would c o n t i n u e with Georgist ideas for evolvi n g t h e social a n d e c o n o m i c infras t r u c t u r e of t h e town. PAGE 3 for far more than the allocation of new houses set out THE construction industry is the weather vane of the in the structure plans covering the period to 1996. The economy. Builders would like to build houses. Britain is difficulty is that much of this land is simply not in places said to need a programme of 100,000 new houses a year. where people want or need to live. My suggested moraYet plant lies idle. Architects, surveyors, skilled craftsmen torium on refusal of planning permission for housing and general labourers would all like to work. Bricks, tiles, development might offend a few sensibilities, but that is cement, timber and all manner of fittings and furnishings no reason to continue to inflict leaky roofs and cold, damp are to be had for the asking. Yet building activity is quiet, walls on so many of our fellow-citizens! which is to say distressed. There is therefore much that cao be done, even The wild days of speculation in housing land - and without a more fundamental approach to the land quesnot just housing land - are over. The slump is with us, tion. Proponents of the taxation of land values rightly lay probably for some considerable time. Eventually, though, stresson the artificiality of the land shortage. Undoubtedly there will be recovery, signalled not so much by green a tax on the site value of all land could have an enormously shoots as by puffs of red brick dust. beneficial effect by stimulating redevelopment of poorly Now is a good time to set housing needs in perspective. used land and bringing The population of the UK vacant and derelict sites to at the 1981 census was The first step in solving the housing crisis market. It would also disunder 56m. Let us assume courage urban sprawl and is to stop pretending there is the slightest justhey are in families of four, take pressure off land in so that we have 14m housetification for it. g r e e n belts. T h e r e is, h o l d s . L e t us a s s u m e though, artificial scarcity houses will be built at a now, even by the criteria of a society which accepts private density of just eight to the acre - a much more spacious appropriation of land r e n t LVT would work best if these allocation than now. This means that the whole UK land use planning restrictions were curtailed and applied population may be comfortably housed on only 1,750,000 sensibly. Bad planning will distort, even in an LVT regime. acres, or less than 2,750 square miles. The overall land area, excluding inland water, is over 93,000 square miles. Put slighdy more dramatically, the N O T IN MY BACK YARD entire population could be very adequately accommoSITE VALUES reflectand interact with public policy and dated in not much more than half the land area of private activity. At present, the NIMBY attitude, though Northern Ireland, leaving all of the rest of the UK for understandable u p to a point, is distasteful and selfish. farms, factories, offices, shops and leisure. Truly, we do Homeowners who have the ear of local politicians can not live in crowded, over-populated islands. Our housing manipulate planning procedures to prevent further problems are self-contrived. development and gain residential exclusivity. They see it The first step in solving the housing crisis is to stop as protecting their amenities and lifestyle. An artificial ring pretending there is the slightest justification for it. A of scarcity is drawn around their desirable residences, radical programme would make an immediate start by which acquire thereby a site value reflecting the area's lifting planning restrictions. There is no shortage of land. social cachet. Existing residents enjoy this land value not If a "holiday" were to be declared for the rest of the only whilst they continue to live there, but even when they century, and refusal of planning permission prohibited go, because they are able to capitalise it and sell it on to except in a small number of special circumstances, the the next buyer of their house. monopoly, "scarcity" value of land with planning permisThere is no reason to deny NIMBY people residential sion would be destroyed. Down would come the cost of exclusivity. Equally there is no reason the rest of us should the site as a component in house-building. Very litde new not be compensated for die loss of amenity. NIMBY land is actually needed. Most would come from redeveloccupiers expect to pay for exclusive rights to enjoyment opment as slum landowners panicked at the thought of of land, but NIMBY landowners (who may or may not be being left out if whole populations were to drift away from the same people) should not be allowed to get away with the areas in which they are now entrapped. the profits. LVT would take care of this. The regional planning conference of local authorities in London and the south-east of England recently proLEWIS LIT tt.€ duced figures to show there was enough land available PAGE 4 LAND & LIBERTY JULY/AUGUST 1992 Round the world TAIPEI Tiger & the lamb tion parties. Wang earned his reputation as "the small steel cannon" for his tough and clean image. Last May he was named Asia's Finance Minister of the Year by a Hong Kong magazine. None of this was enough to save his political career. Business leaders opposed his plan to cool the land market, even though analysts say that unaffordable land prices are one of the primary reasons why the profits of capitalintensive industries have been damaged. The politicians, fearing Wang's land tax reform would injure their electoral prospects, decided he had to go. A VARIETY of land taxes to prevent the landlords hoarding and speculating In land - played a significant role In turning Taiwan Into one of Asia's tigers. But because the fiscal philosophy was imperfect - a significant share of land-rents was left in private hands prosperity nurtured the seeds of an economic crisis. Today, land prices on Taiwan are ai unaffordable levels. But the new speculators - businessmen who have learnt how to reap large capital gains without creating wealth - now caU the shots in the political system. Cheaper in China And their first sacrificial • Since 1987 Taiwan's lamb is finance- minister entrepreneurs have Invested Wang Chien-Shien. He has $3bn in factories on mainjus* resigned to help the land China, where they can rulfog Nationalist Party in the lease land at much lower December par Momentary prices than on Taiwan. •lection. The party feared heavy lossesbecause Wang wanted to curb land SAO PAULO speculation. Food first Wang proposed a tend transaction tax (with a elidWHILE tens of thousands of ing scale of taxes based on fertile acres of food-growing the real value of the transland stand idle on the rich action). Land transactions haciendas, hungry people have are currently taxed on the begun rioting in Brazil's two officially assessed value of major cities. Now acting presithe land, which are almost dent I Lamar Franco is preparalways far below market ing a £100m emergency food values. The need tor correcdistribution programme. tive action has followed five About 1,5m families will receive years of escalating land food parcels, in a bid to conprices. A recent survey retain the urban violence which vealed that a middle-class sociologists claim is the public worker would never be able expression of a 20-year trend to afford to buy an aparttowards social breakdown. ment In Taipei, even If he saved his entire life's income. WASHINGTON Wang's reform was Ranchettes endorsed by 700 university professors, but that was not MID-SIZE farmers continue enough to save him from the to abandon their land, acheavy fire from the specucording to the US Agricullators and legislators from ture Department. But at the both the ruling and opposisame time, mini-farms and i LAND & LIBERTY SEPT/OC T "ranchettes" are sprouting In the suburbs. But this Is not a sign of economic crisis, insists the USDA; It reflects the Increasing productivity of farms. The data also shows a continuing concentration of land ownersh ip, with the average size of the US farm growing from 427 acres in 1982 to 468 acres In 1992. LONDON Boom boon! THE London Business School predicts that recession in Britain will continue for another six months, with only a slight upturn - at best - in 1993. But a new report by Professor Gordon Pepper - published by the Institute of Economic Affairs - attacks the LBS forecasts as "not worth the paper they are written o n " because they lake too little account of abnormal levels of debt. The professor's criticism is also levelled at the Treasury and the National Institute of Economic and Social Research. Private sector debtis based on what analystscall the "credit boom" - which was, in fact, generated by the latest round of speculation in land values. People borrowed heavily on the collateral of rising land prices, which turned into a financial trap for both themselves and the banks. How this turned the UK economy lopsided - by skewing investment behaviour - is illustrated by the statistics. Bank lending to wealth-creating businesses made up almost 70% of bank loans in 1980, a figure which dropped to 52% in 1989. As the decade wore on, money was redirected to land speculation. The Thatcher government regarded the house price boom as a boon - evidence of a "property-owning democracy" prosperity. Then the bubble burst, The policy-makers (and their 1992 economic gurus) knew not what hit them. According to Prof. Pepper, they still don't. Council Tax • Premier John Major's "council tax", which comes in to effect next April, could prove as politically fatal as the poll tax was to the Thatcher Administration. Estimates of the average council tax bill are soaring to u600, but the government is resisdng political pressure to find money to keep the average below this figure. TOKYO Rebirth quake A MAJOR earthquake could c o m e at any time, ctabaseiemologistsk E c M s m i i t t at a J a p a n e s e bank calculate that a major shock, in which 30% of Tokyo's buildings would b e destroyed, would cut capital outflowand drive up US interest rates. The na» tion'sgrowthrate would turn negative, but would rebound to 12% a year. And the demand tor bnports to rebuild Japan would g w a a strong boost to the wot Id economy. ATHENS The pointless peach COMMON MARKET subsidies have encouraged Greek peach farmers to triple production m the last 10 years, with new orchards planted on terraces cut higher into the hillsides around Skydra, the centre of peach-growing in Greece. P r o d u c t i o n will reach 650,000 tonnes this year - up from 480,000 tonnes in 1991 but processing capacity is limited to 250,000 tones. So over half the crop is being trucked from the orchards to a barren valley, where a bulldozer works round the clock to crush the crop. PAGE WHETHER GOVERNMENT is in the hands of a monarchy, an oligarchy, a representative body or a bureaucratic state, one consistent behaviour is the propensity to spend more than is received in revenue. Governments have always willingly spent to build monuments to themselves with public money. And, all too often, the public is required to pay for adventuristic wars or colonialism, which enrich the few at the expense of the many. A considerable part of the problem in the United States can be traced to legislative and administrative laws that went far beyond the powers granted to the federal government under the Constitution. Although the Constitution permits the government to borrow money, the original definition of money as gold and silver coinage has been subverted by the issuance of Federal Reserve notes as legal tender for all government debts. Not since the early years of the Bank of Amsterdam in the sixteenth century has any society experienced the benefits of sound money and honest banking. Within a few decades after its creation, the Bank's directors discovered t h e s h o r t - r u n p r o f i t maximisation system of fractional reserves. Every banking system subsequently established has followed the Bank down this disastrous course. Today, when the United States government wants to borrow legal tender from private investors, the Treasury Department offers government securities for sale which, in effect, are claims against future tax revenue (and, more frequendy, against the revenue raised by the issuance of more securities). The Federal Reserve Banks have no reserve requirements in terms of gold or silver or any other commodities to which the redemption of their Notes is tied. So, based on some monetaristic model of the nation's aggregate need for legal tender and credit, they raise or lower the rate of interest charged to member commercial banks for whatever borrowing these commercial banks require to meet demands for credit beyond the deposits of legal tender . If the Federal government's need for revenue is sufficiently high, the funds borrowed by commercial banks from the Federal Reserve might very well be reinvested in the securities issued by the Treasury Department. PAGE 6 F I 1i A r1 c E A Private Affair by EdDodson The stability of the financial system has often been described as dependent on confidence. By permitting government to deficit spend as normal practice, the USA is facing a $4 trillion national debt, or about $40,000 for every household. Assuming an 8% average annual cost of funds, the tax revenue required to service this debt comes to$520 billion. Before the governmentcan spend one dollar on programs that maintain or improve our physical or intellectual infrastructure, each household must be taxed some $3,200 on average. As almost 16% of all households receive incomes insufficient to pay Federal income taxes, the average tax payment required of the remaining 79 million households is over $4,000. In no country today is serious consideration given to retirement of national debt. Economists generally seem to be either silent on the seriousness of this problem or argue that the debt is not a real drain on economies so long as the debt is not increasing as a percentage of gross domestic product. Perhaps. We will, of course, discover in due course whether this economic principle holds true over the short run, the medium run or the long run (the long run taking us out to the time when most current taxpayers have died and the problem is handed to the next generation). We must introduce measures to rein in the ability of government to spend without direct permission from the electorate. The first step is to prohibit by constitutional amendmen t the self-creation of credit. The revenue of all current expenditures must come from taxation. Physical infrastructure - highways, mass transit, bridges, public facilities - ought to be financed by fully amortizing gold and silver securities issued for periods tied to the anticipated life of the improvements constructed. The annual budget LAND & LIBERTY would then include taxes sufficient to cover all interest and principle payments. Getting the Federal Reserve Banks out of the business of issuing legal tender can be accomplished by the creation of a competitive system based on the chartering of banks of deposit. These banks would have n o tending powers; rather, they would take in legal tender and purchase a basket of precious metals, establishing for members a credit line against which electronic purchases could be made from other members. Over time, a network of these banks would link producers and consumers together in a system dial automatically debits and credits member accounts when transactions between members occur. Losses for bad debts become a thing of the past. Eventually, vendors could condition con tracts with government agencies on their membership in the system. The banks of deposit would earn fees charged to each member. Many existing commercial banks would become members sis well, out of selfinterest, wi th the result that their ability to create credit on the basis of fractional reserves would be checked. With a global system established, Gresham's Law is made to work in reverse: good money drives out bad. Over time, legal tender will circulate at increasingly deep discounts. A wise decision on the part of the citizenry would be to press for legislation (or a constitutional amendment) prohibiting the Federal government from creating its own bank of deposit, although there is no reason why the Federal Reserve Banks should not be permitted to do so as a means of systematically retiring outstanding Federal Reserve notes. As for transactions of nominal amounts, the U.S. Mint could be contracted by the Banks to produce gold and silver coins of a standard metallic content. JULY/AUGUST 1992 CENTRE FOR INCENTIVE TAXATION ECONOMIC INTELLIGENCE EI/35 NOVEMBER 1992 A LIFEBOAT TO SINK RECOVERY INVESTORS in Britain searching for a medium term strategy must now accept that deflation will continue for the next year (unless there are more major U-turns in Downing Street). The government's strategy - the quest for low inflation - is a sham that conceals a policy vacuum which will persist until the Chancellor is told to prime the pump (and thereby generate inflation) few the 1996 election. Premier John Major, backed into a corner by the hostile public reaction to his plan to kill 304)00 mining jobs, may say that he is now planning a "strategy for growth"; but he does not have a single viable idea how to achieve this goal. The same gloomy prognosis applies globally. Policy-makers have still not learnt that cons tractive action can be taken to correct the economic malaise. So next year we will see a repeat of the Lifeboat Operation which, in 1974, swung into action to save the financial system. This time, however, the cost will be greater, and will be attempted on the back of a global economy that is haemorrhaging badly. Banks may stay afloat, but more taxpayers will sink under the burden of taxation and high interest rates. In the United States, taxpayers will have to begin funding a SlOObn bail-out of the thousands of failing banks which have been crippled by reckless loans to land speculators. Similar pressure is mounting in Japan, where the government is being urged to relieve the banks by buying 4m units of vacant housing. Land prices are at the root of the problem.The boom began oncue in 1985, followed by south-bound prices leading the way into depression, as illustrated by the Bank of International Settlement in the graph. The banks cashed-in on the craze, and now want to be rescued. In Japan, the Federation of Bankers' Association is finalising plans to create a corporation that would buy from banks the land which is being held as collateral Property price index adjusted for consumer price inflation. Log scale. 1982 = 100 300 r ""*" Residential 300 Commercial 260 Japan 60 I i 1982 i i 84 i i• i 86 88 i i 90 i i I 92 Source: Bank lor International Settlements. Annual report. 1992 60 I 1 | 1982 | 84 I e6 I i i 88 i i 90 i | 92 for non-performing loans. These nonperforming loans are estimated at up to Y50,000bn. Unlike Japan, however, which has at least introduced a tax on land prices to accelerate the recovery (see EI/ 34), other governments are studiously ignoring the land market for policymaking purposes. True, Britain's Chancellor of the Exchequer, Norman Lamont, now acknowledges that he is monitoring the price of housing as one of the measures that would guide decisions in the "battle" against inflation (sic). But that illustrates how governments have cornered themselves into an impossible situation. In Europe, governments need to reduce interest rates, to encourage investment in capital equipment and new jobs. But by reducing interest rates they would buoy up expectations about renewed growth in the price of land. And that does not make sense, given current conditions and policies. For if the market is to be left to itself, land prices will have to come down further before we see new growth. This dilemma is highlighted in a new study by EI reader Andrew Tylccote, an economics lecturer at the University of Sheffield. The snag with lower interest rates, he notes, is that they encourage the speculative hoarding of land. The solution, in his view, is the introduction of a tax on land values - a tax, indeed, which he regards as setting the standard for Fiscal policy in general: "look for taxes which, besides raising revenue, improve both the distribution of income and the allocation of resources in the economy". Tylecote emphasises the virtuous impact of the land-value tax: "One kind of wealth tax, however, has no distorting effect, because it is practically impossible to avoid whatever you do: the tax on the value of land...Land taxation indeed offers much more than B > ® Continued on Page 2, col. 3 BRITAIN'S Chancellor of the Exchequer, Norman Lamont, told a House of Commons committee on October 12 that he does not believe in "kick-starting the economy by artificial stimulus". That was an honest appraisal, for his alleged antiinflation strategy - if it is a policy at all - was designed to kick the last traces of life out of the economy. That policy has now had grafted onto it an, as yet, undefined strategy for growth. We are invited to rely on the chancellor's judgment on how he will respond to monetary aggregates. Secretiveness characterises that process, but we are told that he will now look closely at "asset prices", and particularly the rate at which house prices rise or fall. Does this suggest that the government has learned something from the policy failures of the past? Gone are the days when soaring house prices were welcomed as a sign of an "economic miracle." The new fear is that they signal deep-seated fault lines within the UK economy. The faults rupture the economy by encouraging financial institutions and fiscal policies to create an imbalance between spending and saving. The outcrops of these faults are the debtoverhang in the personal and company sectors, the "bad debt" overhang in the financial sector, and the large voluem of unsaleable/unlettable properties. But what is John Major's Government going to do about it? Nothing of substance, as evidenced by the way the go vernment reacted when it saw the pound heading for the buffers in the ERM: it was too paralysed with fright to act, because "all necessary measures" to defend the pound - those which it had promised to take - were too damaging to the rest the economy. When the defensive measures were not taken, the foreign exchange markets knew that they were on to a oneway-bet by selling sterling. But the government need not suffer paralysis about changes in house prices. Keeping them steady does not require a chainsaw massacre of producers and consumers through loosing artificially high interest rates upon them. It simply requires a surgical trimming of growth in land prices through the use of a specific tax on land rents. Land rents are - in the words of Adam Smith - "the species of revenue which can best bear to have a peculiar tax imposed upon them." A TAX upon land rents is sure in its effect upon land prices. The effect is described SURGICAL STRIKE OR CHAINSAW MASSACRE by the tax capitalisation equation: PL = (I - G + T) Where: PL = Land price R = Rent I = Interest rate G = Growth rate (anticipated) T = Tax rate on land land rents would prevent (or minimise) the violent amplitudes in land prices which are the major cause of economic instability. Not only need there be no wealth losses as a result of the policy, the security of property owners at existing levels would actually be increased. Preventing land prices from rising would switch the economy into a production-led mode, and away from an asset price-led mode. The attack on inflation would be through the strengthening of the economy, not by weakening it via high interest rates. Adopting ano-growth target for land prices, and acting to achieve it, would deal a mortal blow to inflationary expectations and remove the need for the chainsaw treatment which Mr Lamont is inflicting on the economy. The tricky variable in this equation is the anticipated growth rate, but the governmcntcan setit at zero by making a constant aggregate land price its target, and taxing land rent accordingly. Land prices need not be at the mercy of "events - dear boy." Not only would the target be hittable: hitting it would also control the institutional behaviour and fiscal policies that C o n t i n u e d f r o m p a g e 1. cause the frictions within the economy aharmless way of raising money. It would which weaken the currency and produce be highly redistributive in most inflation. countries...And since it would make Stabilized land prices would remove speculative hoarding of land prohibitively the "escalator to riches" route to conexpensive, it would make for much more sumption that by-passes the need to work. efficient use of scarce urban land: less "Trading up" the housing ladder has dereliction of unused properties, more allowed widespread access to this esca- construction jobs available in the inner lator. Rising land prices and erosion of cities, less suburban sprawl. the value of the related debts by inflation "A side-effect would be a reduction have raised personal and company net in house prices and thus in consumer worth, and reduced the need to save. The borrowing out of capital gains anticipated high borrowing and spending level that by the owners. The mild deflationary has resulted has further stoked up inflaeffect of this would be amply compention. The debilitating "stop-go" pattern sated by the reduction in the debt burden of growth, and widespread dependency to which it would lead, and it would free on inflation, have been the results. governments to reduce interest rates."* It is the land under buildings that But housing markets are now seroller-coasters in price, and provides the verely depressed, because negligent basis for credit booms and inflation. This governments failed to work the land roller-coaster is controllable by governmarket into their expectations. In Britain, ment, and 1993 would be a propitious over lm families own homes worth less moment for this fiscal reform. There is than their mortgages. So the land-value no speculative stuffing to be knocked out tax will have to be phased in as the of land prices: there will, therefore, be cornerstone of an investment/export-led no need for fortunes to be lost in property recovery. EI elaborates on this strategy values when the policy is announced. on pages 2-4. Neither need property prices fall in the future: the important thing in this first * Andrew Tylecot, The Long Wave in the phase of tax reform would be to prevent World Economy, London: Routledge, (reprices from rising to unaffordable levels viewed in Land & Liberty, Nov. 1992, p.15). in the future. The criterion of the new economic strategy could be that the land price aggregate will neither rise nor fall. Correctly pitched, the stabilisation tax on TURNING ROUND THE COUNCIL TAX THE POLL TAX helped to wreck Margaret Thatcher's admin- page 2 is related to land price, not rent. A 2.8% tax on land istration. Unless her successor, John Major, places the new price would tax the effective base - land rent - at 35%, given council tax at the heart of his economic strategy - and acts to an interest rate of 8%. Strictly, the equation applies to a land neutralise its damaging blows to the economy - he may suffer tax alone, whereas the council tax is partly a buildings tax. a similar fate. However, the tax on buildings will be passed on to land through Handled correctly, the politically embarrassing council tax a drop in the £40bn market rent, which will have the same effect could be converted into the pillar for the new economic strategy on land prices.) the Government has been seeking since the "strong pound" fell Taking the real interest rate or yield (rent as a percentage by the wayside. This would be achieved by transforming the of price) on housing land as 8% at present, it will need to fall tax into the means for lowering interest rates. to 5% to counter the effect of the council tax on land prices. As things stand, the council tax will prolong the depression, Mortgage rates will, therefore, need to fall by at least 3 perif the bills fall on homeowners' doormats before real interest centage points. The Government may effectively accomplish rates have been reduced to levels that help torevivethe economy. that by lowering the Bank of England base rate. This is because the extra burden on household budgets, which This fiscal insurance policy against rising land prices makes will be tied to homeownership, will bear down on bouse prices. possible lower interest rates, which wouldchannelrisingdemand The prospect may already be contributing to a negative effect towards capital formation and the creation of jobs. Lower on house prices, which have dipped since details were an- interest costs, and sterling at a natural level, would raise export nounced in mid-'91 (seechart). competitiveness. The assault Falling house prices Annual % change In Halifax house price on the depression would have (more accurately, land prices) index (all houses) begun. exert downward pressure on consumer spending. This is the "reverse-wealth effect". WHITHER MITR? Rising real incomes are being Mortgage interest tax relief devoted to paying off debts (MITR) is caught in a tug of rather than servicing new war between those who wish borrowing, so the personal to extend it to revive the sector savings ratio is still housing market, those who rising. As consumer spending wish merely to redirect it to forms over two-thirds of agfirst-time buyers to produce a gregate demand, this is holdcostless stimulus, and those ing back recovery. who believe it should be reduced as a far-sighted way of The introduction of the tackling the structural budget council tax in April, however, deficit, as the government could be used as a platform for "goes for growth". launching the climb out of recession. This is how: The first proposal stores up obvious longterm difficulties; The tax, which is levied on the value of domestic property, the housing market will inevitably overshoot, but parliament must be assigned primacy in the government's fight against will find it impossible to take back the concession. inflation. It may be proclaimed as the first weapon in place The second takes away with one hand from existing to meet the Government's new target of zero aggregate land mortgagors what it offers with the other, in terms of more price growth. To convince the markets, it should be set within buyers. a wider framework of measures to meet the target, which would The third does the same for the housing market as a whole, include a supplementary "land price stabilisation tax" (which exchanging the hope of lower interest rates for lower tax relief. will be discussed in Economic Intelligence, Jan. 1993). HarOnly the first of these proposals addresses the immediate nessing the council tax within a clear anti-inflationary frame- need of the market. Allied with the strategy set out in this work would allow the base rate to be reduced without unleashing bulletin, it might appear in a different light House prices would a falling pound and rising prices. stabilise, but not rise - the land stabilisation tax on land-rent The council tax is due to raise about £14bn, before rebates would take care of that It would also recoup the cost to the (which is what matters to the land market - rebates will reduce exchequer. net revenue by about one-third). That will all be at the expense Remember: MITR only became a market distortion beof housing land rent (about £40bn), which represents a 35% cause taxes on imputed rents were removed. rate of tax on land rent. Land prices will fall by 35% as a consequence. However, FOOTNOTE: a first-time buyer who paid a 5% deposit if real interest rates are reduced by 35%, the effect on land prices for his house in the south-east at the beginning of this year has may be cancelled. We can assume that land price growth now had his capital wiped out. expectations are negligible at present, and therefore will not change if the Government's target is believed. (NOTE that the tax rate in the capitalisation equation on RE-EMPLOYMENT WITHOUT INFLATION BYNEUTRALISING the land-route-to-riches, direct saving out of income will be more desirable than in the past, and borrowing less desirable. This would raise the savings ratios, and pull down interest rates. The permanent removal of the escalator will involve tax changes which will also provide supply-side benefits for the economy. The switch from the poll tax to the council tax is the first such change. The cash outgoing will encourage some homeowners to economize on space, and make the occupancy of the housing stock more fluid. But in terms of the supply side, this is a very small step. Both the council tax, and the tax on commercial property, need to be improved. Their supply-side benefits would be vasdy increased by exempting buildings from the tax base, and extending its coverage to all land, whether occupied or n o t The supplementary tax on all land rents to prevent land prices rising would allow tax reductions elsewhere. These should be chosen for their contribution to the assault on inflation. The greater the incentives for production, the less chance will there be for rising aggregate demand to run upagainst domestic production constraints. Tax reductions cannot be chosen on efficiency grounds alone, however. Profits and employmentlevels would benefit by reducing employers' national insurance contributions and corporation tax. But taxes on business make good politics, as businesses as such do not have votes. (VAT changes are likely to be circumscribed by the European Community.) Tax reductions for those who will bear the tax burden on land rents (the owners of equity in land) may be a political necessity. For although their net worth would not be eroded, their net incomes would be reduced (the cash flow of mortgagors, of course, would be protected by lower interest rates). To moderate the effect on land owners, income tax and employees' national insurance contributions should be cut. Having chosen these taxes on equity grounds, the way they are reduced may be decided on efficiency grounds. Both equity and efficiency are, in fact, promoted by concentrating the cuts at the bottom end of the income scale. Thatwould have the effect of diminishing the poverty and unemployment "traps". It would increase the take-up of lower paid jobs, reduce unemployment and extend the margins of production. Making significant inroads into these traps is expensive. And there are efficiency trade-offs. Increasing the proportions of additions to earned income that may be kept as disposable income (i.e., reducing marginal tax rates) at the bottom end of the scale raises marginal tax rates (reducing incentives) further up the scale. The Labour Par ty in its shadow budge t this year devoted a billion pounds to raising the income tax threshold by 10% instead of the statutory inflation-determined 4.5%. That would have taken 740,000 taxpayers out of income tax. But the political impact appeared to be outweighed by the fact that the reform was financed by higher income tax on the top 10% of incomes. Such a reform could instead be funded by a tax spread out over perhaps 16m landowners, many of whom would simultaneously benefit from lower debt service costs. Assume that the council tax is in place, but land rents are rising at 3% per annum. The land price stabilisation tax would be set to prevent those changes feeding through into land prices. Before the changes, the tax capitalisation equation with zero land price change built into expectations would look like this: Land price = annual land rent interest rate + tax rate on price [That is, using approximate aggregate data (in billions of pounds)] 500= 40 .052 + .028 The council tax would be at an effective rate of 2.8% on land prices. T o keep the changes in check, the equation would have to look like this: 500= 4JLg .052 + .028 + .0024 That is, a supplementary one-quarter of 1% (0.0024) on land prices, equivalent to 2.9% (1.2/41.2) cm land rents, would have to be added to the taxation of housing land. This alone would raise £1.2bn, more than enough to fund a proposal like that from Labour's shadow b u d g e t Commercial and industrial land would also be subject to the supplementary tax. The land stabilisation tax, like the council tax, should enable interest rates to be lowered, because it would lower the risk of inflation in the long term. Assume that interest rates are shading down, at a rate of 3% per annum, but land rents are not rising. The previous equation becomes: 500 = 40 .05044 + .028 + .00156 The supplementary tax needed in this case is 0.00156, raising £780m., equivalent to a 1.95% tax on housing land rents. In practice, both these influences would be present If they were as in the examples, housing land alone would raise £2bn., to be used to raise the thresholds of income tax and national insurance contributions. The object of this, of course, is to make more attractive the lower paid jobs, which at present are avoided by people receiving the dole. Published by the Centre for Incentive Taxation, 177 Vauxhall Bridge Rd, London, SW1V 1EU. Tel: 081 943 1379 * T H E L A N D & L I B E R T Y ESSAY * byDavidRichards RUSSIA: after the cold war - how to win the peace! From the ashes of communism could spring the first rent-as-public-revenue society. But the Russians don't yet realise what a potent tool is about to fall into their hands, writes FRED HARRISON HE PEOPLE appear stunned, trauma tised by the loss of faith, still needing someone to give them commands, the few livewires trying to wheel-and-deal in a commercial vacuum. Ii» just 70 years, the Russian people have suffered a civil war (StaKnised by their own leaders), a world war (terrorised by the Nazis) and the Cold War (materially drained by the fight against a spectre). For 70 years there waa no fun, no Camaby Street colour, n o period of joyful abandon, n o relief from heavyhanded pressure, so now the trauma will be protracted;and then there will be the post-traumatic stress, before they recover composure and creativity. For 70 years, social relationships were ruptured and remoulded into the vision of a Brave New World that offended biology and psychology, a vision doomed to fail when they could take no more. A collective therapy is needed, and I perceive it in the Russian love of their land. They are releaming how to characterise land in the most loving terms, and relating that love to the need to restore human relationships. "Land is feminine, soil ploughing is an act of love; tilling the land is love," wrote Geoigi Gachev. "How to plough and cultivate the Russian land, how to treat it and live with it is tantamount to how a Russian man should love a Russian woman, how he should treat her and live with her." 1 T THEY WERE NOT tender with LAND & LIBERTY the land, these last 70 years. Taught to believe that nature had no value - that all value came from labour - the Politburo gang-banged the land to death. Today, the rivers are chemical sewers, almost a sixth of the country is unfit for human habitation, only 15% of the air that city dwellers breathe is pollution-free, over 20% of drinking water does not achieve Russia's (lax) standards. 2 And yet, awakening in the people is an awareness that, if Russia is to recover, something special needs to be done about the land. President Yeltsin's decree that land should be privatised has caused offence; the bureaucratic inertia to his law is tantamount to civil disobedience which, in normal times, would be treated as a declaration of war on the federal government It is as if the administrators and politicians in the cities of Russia are grasping at an idea, barely expressed, that western nostrums about land rights just won't meet their needs. How Russia finally resolves her relationship with the land will define the wholesomeness of her society. But what should she do? Are there any historical models to guide her decisions? The devastation in Russia is equal to the scale of damage in defeated Germany and Japan, whose economies were rebuilt in 10 years. But today there is no Marshall Plan, no General MacArthur, to wrench Russia outof the depths. She will have to rely almost entirely on her own inner strengths. But there is hope, if we compare Russia today with Japan in 1870. SEPT/OCT 1992 WHEN Commodore Perry's American gunboat dropped anchor and threatened a feudal society, the Japanese knew they had no choice but to industrialise. If they were to retain their i n d e p e n d e n c e , and not be pushed into the depths of what we today call Third World status, they had to transform their agrarian economy. And they had to do so without foreign aid. How that miracle was performed, between 1870and 1890, ought to inspire the Russians. The emperor Meiji and his advisers chose land-rent a» t h e revenue to finance the public expenditures to support the transformation of their society. At one point, ewer 70%'of public expenditure was financed out of land-rents. Taxes on wages and profits were so insignificant, they did not distort the creative efforts of labour and capital. Alas, the landlords captured the Diet (parliament) in 1890, with the proclaimed aim of shifting the tax burden off rent. That'swhen the slide began, but the land-value tax had done its job: the institutions and industrial relations that were to transform Japan into a world economic power were established in 20 short formative years. Russia, although she may not know it, is on the verge of repeating that success today. SERGEI SAY is deputy head of the l a n d r e f o r m c o m m i t t e e in St. Petersburg. His committee is a federal agency; there are 600 of them, scattered around Russia, all of them struggling to make sense of how to PAGE * T H E L A N D & L I B E R T Y ESSAY * RUSSIAN RENT use land in a free society. the land is worth; which is not surthose two ingredients that Russia When he took up his job, he prising, because r e n t was never needs most: private enterprise and sought to formulate an approach on measured before, and today there is capital formation. Premier Yegor the basis of what he called "a Russian barely a wealth-producing economy Gaidar has already had to give assurmechanism". But before Russia can capable ofgenerating surplus income ances on tax reforms to the managers define that mechanism, her techno(rent). But that is going to change: of the big state-owned enterprises. At crats need to understand what they the economy will take off. And if an emergency meeting with their are dealing with. T h e process of Russia's Parliament refuses to alien"centrist" p a r l i a m e n t a r i a n s , last registering people's claims to land ate the freehold rights to land to month, he announced concessions has barely begun, but of one thing existing holders, the nation will find which move him in the correct direcMr Say was sure: today, in Russia, no itself enriched beyond imagination tion. From January, profits ploughed person or organisation has legal tide by the flow of rent into the public back into capital investment will be to land. All they can claim is the right coffers. free from tax. to occupy the land. The land, in fact, The federal government curBut such concessions will not be belongs to the State. rently relies on traditional western enough if Gaidar's administration is President Yeltsin created a chalforms of wealth-destroying taxes (see to survive. People are beginning to lenging problem when support some unholy he signed a decree oralliances as an expresRUSSIAN FEDERATION BUDGET REVENUES dering that people sion of their frustration. 1st q u a r t e r 1992 should pay a tax on One of these is a coaliBillion land. The municipalition of the extreme roubles ties had no idea what right and left: a meetVAT 140.8 28.2 land was worth, so the ing of nationalists and Profit tax 67.0 13.4 land reform commitcommunists on OctoExcise duties 19.3 3.9 tees prepared crude ber 25 was held beneath Income tax 19.2 3.8 zoning maps based on the crossed banners of Taxes on natural resources 0.8 0.2 the existing use of land, the Soviet Union and Revenue earned from activities abroad 228.0 45.6 and distributed the tax the Tsarist government! Other income 24.3 jk9 accordingly. There has been a 499.4 100.0 catastrophic collapse of "Everybody used production, hyper-ireland in an inefficient Source: G. Kipermann and A. Belyalov, Taxation of Companies flation and a drop in way, because it was and Citizens in the Russian Federation, Moscow, 1992. living standards for 80% 'free'," said Mr Say. of the population. Discontent is easy "That's why many industrial entertable) - such as a 28% VAT. It would to ferment, so Yeltsin's federal govprises don' t use it properly, and there be easy to condemn that tax struce r n m e n t will have to bolster the was a lot of wasteland. There's a lot ture, but we have to realise that the market reforms with the announceof vacant land, used badly, according transformation of the command ment of a rational, easily-understood to satellite photographs. Enterprises economy has to be financed. In the programme of reinforcing measures. had the majority of the land, and transitional void, the expenses of There is one solution only at his don't pay for it, and were not intergovernment have to be covered. disposal. He will have to banish the ested in rational land use. There is no land market; no payment de terren t taxes, bu t in favour ofwhat? of rent for holding land. So where "That's why the first step is to Well - if land is retained in publish else does the government raise its identify everyone who has land plots. ownership - it will discover thatt there revenue? See the table. The land-tax also has to be collected, will be no need for ANY taxes, for for this one year, to show them that But force of circumstances is rental revenue will smoothly offset land is valuable and they have to pay." leading, even now, to the creation of the reduction of VAT, excise duties Yeltsin's land-tax applies for just a land market. State enterprises are and the rest of the plunder on private one year. Thereafter, as far as the sub-letting property and pocketting incomes which is inflicted on wealthcities are concerned, the users of land the money - in other words, they are producers and consumers everywhere have to pay a rent to the owners of privately appropriating land-rent else. that land - the federal and the muwhich is not only a socially-created nicipal governments. Existing users will not necessarily be dispossessed of their sites; but they have to enter into leasingagreements, underwhich they would pay rent for the land. Right now, no-one knows what PAGE 8 income, but also happens to be the legal income of the state! However, as the system settles down there will be no excuse for this to continue. And nor will there be any excuse to continue to levy taxes that suppress LAND & LIBERTY Supplemented by user charges, federal and local governments will wake up one day to discover that the simple act of recovering rental income is sufficientt to meet all public expenses! JULY/AUGUST 1992 * T H E L A N D & L I B E R T Y ESSAY * Til* Estonian teat estate newspaper used by speculators to promote their properties Already, 40% of federal revenue is rental income: the "revenue earned from activities abroad" is mainly the extraction of rent from the export of natural resources such as petroleum and diamonds. All that Russia's economic policy-makers n e e d to understand is that - like J a p a n (1870-90) financing public expenditure out of rent leads to the swiftest reconstruction of the economy. But that strategy also has another major implication. Unearned income would n o t fall into private hands - an income which, when capitalised, is traded in the western economies, and becomes the primary source of instability (ask financiers why so many banks have gone bust, or are technically b a n k r u p t Answer: rotten loans to land speculators!). By treating rent as its principal source of public revenue, Russia would be creatinga truly "Russian mechanism": a moral market economy, the likes of which we have not seen in modern history. PRIVATISATION is now under way. In St. Petersburg, Anatoli Peibo reassuringly impressive in beard and herringbone suit - presides over the process in St. Petersburg, where he LAND & LIBERTY is Deputy General Director of the city council's Fund of Property. His j o b is to identify enterprises ripe for hiving off, and prepare the legal documentation for the Property Foundation which stages the auctions. T h u s are enterprises placed in the hands of citizens. The new entrepreneurs bid sums for leases to the land (lease periods are not more than 50 years), and they also agree to pay an annual rent for occupying the sites, which can be revised every five years. This provision is even superior to the arrangements in H o n g Kong, where all land is leased from the Crown. What did Mr. Peibo think of the President's decree on land ownership? He offered me the S t Pe tersbu rg interpretation: "Though they declare the opportunity to sell land in the federal law, we think it is not effective a n d sensible to sell land in St. Petersburg. In S t Petersburg, the sale of land is not allowed y e t " T h e Russians are still trying to define the legal status of land, a process that will take some time. As Mr Peibo pointed o u t "It took weste m countries many years to work out their legal base, and we are just starting it." N O V / D E C 199 2 RUSSIAN RENT IN SEPTEMBER, President Yeltsin signedadecree that gave a small town an hour's drive from Moscow the right to sell the freehold of its land. This was passed off as an experiment, but political observers treated the decree as a provocative act aimed at challenging parliament to pass a law on land ownership. That law, which will seal Russia's fate, will be passed next year. There is, then, the great prospect that Russia will retain land in public ownership, and lease it to users. This lease/rent a p p r o a c h reflects the practice in Hong Kong, that most successful of capitalist economies where not one acre of land is held freehold. In other words, Russia retains the option of adopting the fiscal strategy r e c o m m e n d e d by die Physiocrats and Henry George - defraying the costs of the community out of t h e rent of land. That option, unfortunately, is n o longer possible for the East European and Bal tic countries: they have rushed to restore the right o£ freehold ownership of land, thereby denying future gerteraboa^aa equal share in the value of the resawcces of nature. In Estonia, December 51 i» the government's deadline for the assessm e n t of the value of the whole country. The assessment process has already begun, helped to an extent by the black market in land values (which are being traded, even though the law does not yet permit the private ownership of land). Henn Helmut, head of the land management department at the Estonian Agricultural University, reports that the tax on land values will be very low, but there are provisions to try and deter people from speculating in land. But as we all know, once there is private appropriation of land-rent, laws d o not deter (they merely aggravate) the business of speculation; in doing so, however, they further distort an already destabilised economy. Real estate agencies have sprung u p all over Estonia, to help the owners of buildings cash-in on the new property market. Technically, they cannot PAGE 9 sell the land, but property owners are not mugs. As Mr. Helmut noted: "Selling land is banned, and you can only sell buildings. But if we sell the building the price includes the price of the land!" He cited the example of the sale of two identical buildings: the inner city building achieved a price three times as great as the similar one on the city's fringe! That is the lesson that Russia has to learn: ultimately, the letter of the law does not matter one iota, if the community fails to recover the full market rent for land for the public's benefit Initially, rents will be underestimated. Such mistakes won't matter, if Russia retains the legal right to correct them at an early opportunity. An immediate task is to get the land and buildings into the hands of users, to kick-start the economy, while reserving the legal right of the community to revise the rent charges in line with economic growth. If the Russians handle that challenge correcdy, they will develop something that is not available in any other country: a smoothly operating land market. Such a market can exist only if it is free of the rent-appropriators, who are the biggest drag on the wealth-creators in the other market economies. It also guarantees every citizen a direct stake in the riches of nature through the social expenditure of r e n t This is a prospect of what has been characterised as a Single Tax society envisaged by American social reformer Henry George which every trading country in the world should fear. For it would give Russia an enormous price advantage on the export markets (rents, unlike taxes, are not reflected in the prices of goods and services). Having lost the Cold War, Russia would be on the path to win. ning the peace. REFERENCES 1 'Tilling the Land is Love," Socium, No.5 (17), 1992, Moscow, p.21. 2 David Hearst, "Portrait revealed of a Russia that is killing itself," The Guardian, London, Oct. 8, 1992. 3 Fred Harrison, The Power in the Land, London: Shepheard Walwyn, 1983, p.158. PAGE 10 CARNIVALS OF DESTRUCTION The Culture of Contentment, J.K. Galbraith, New York: Houghton Mifflin. THIS ESSAYis Professor Galbraith's attempt to jolt the American middle class, and economics profession, out of its complacency. His analysis is particularly, though not peculiarly, about America; similar trends are to be seen in Britain and elsewhere. (Galbraith claims to explain the unanticipated victory of the Conservative party, led by J o h n Major, in the recent general election.) Galbraith's thesis is simple. America is gripped by a contented electoral majority, who will tend to vote against any major encroachment on the politicoeconomic system that supports their comfortable way of life. Thus has America reached the position dreaded by political philosophers for centuries (in America by Tocqueville and Thoreau) - the tyranny of the majority. This is not what they hoped for from democracy, but it is perhaps inevitable, as Henry George foresaw, when democracy is grafted on to a politico-economic system that promotes and perpetuates great inequalities of wealth. This is a society which pleads the social philosophy of utilitarianism in defence of the present politico-economic system. When first advanced by Bentham, and Mill, utilitarianism sought to satisfy the needs and aspirations of the many poor at the expense of the few rich. Now utilitarianism has been turned on its head, and the many who are comparatively rich are further enriched at the expense of the minority who are poor. Moral populism has descended upon us, and we are corrupted into thinking that the test of morality is endorsement by a popular majority. Thus has the contented electoral majority become in its own eyes the moral majority. Such is the bankruptcy, moral, political and now economic, into which America has sunk. Galbraith's essay is not a philosophical or historical work. It is more of a report "from the front", and a guarded prediction for the future. In less than two hundred pages, it paints a broad panorama of the political economy of America in the aftermath of the 1980s. When the dust has finally settled, it could prove one of the most timely and important books of the 1990s. This culture of contentment is not opposed to government interference in the economy. Far from i t It endorses big government, seeking subsidies for its members, from agriculture to defence. It seeks lax cuts for the rich, on the basis that more money will encourage them to produce more, while seeking cuts in benefits for the poor, on the basis that more money will only encourage them to live off the state. It seeks greater and more costly regulation of industries, to strengthen their position against potential competitors (domestic or foreign). It has privatised gain and socialised loss, for example through deregulation of the banking and finance industries but with the retention of federal deposit insurance; their speculative activities, therefore, result in profits to them and losses borne by the federal government (i.e. the American tax-paying public). It encourages the government to fund its expenditures not by taxing the rich but by rewarding the rich with interest on a national debt of awesome proportions. And the consequences? The most immediate and important is the creation of a functional underclass, different from past lower classes in one important respect: there is now little prospect of escape from the ghetto. First generation immigrants may be content with their lot as an improvement on conditions in the societies from which they have escaped; but second and third generations seek a better life and become restive when they see no way of attaining it, other than through crime - from drug dealing to racketeering to simple fraud. It is a bleak message. Galbraith was heralded as a prophet when the riots in Los Angeles erupted, only weeks after the publication of this seminal essay. But how much greater was the prophet of San Francisco more than a century ago. Henry George could have had no advance warning of what was to come in the 20th century other than what he could read in the troubles of his own time. In 1879 he foretold of a century of unparallelled bloodshed and social disintegration: LAND & LIBERTY JULY/AUGUST 1992 BOOK REVIEWS "Strong, unscrupulous men, rising u p upon occasion, will become the exponents of blind popular desires or fierce popular passions, and dash aside forms that have lost their vitality. The sword will again be mightier than the pen, and in carnivals of destruction brute force and wild frenzy will alternate with the lethargy of a declining civilisation.... ....Whence shall come the new barbarians? Go through the squalid quarters of great cities, and you may see, even now their gathering hords! flow shall learning perish? Men will cease to read, and books will kindle fires and be turned into cartridges!" Galbraith's prognosis in the 1990s is similar- In his view the age of contentment will only end when the contented are sufficiently disturbed in their contentment, which he conjectures could happen in three wa^s: widespread economic disaster; adverse military action that is associated with military misadventure; o r e r u p t i o n of a n angry underclass. In the absense of these, the likely prognosis is that the American will drift into greater decline, and the middle class will steadily be reduced to a working class lifestyle. It is what George described as "the lethargy of a declining civilisation". It is brilliant analysis and compulsory reading, but, although the disease is well diagnosed, few cures are put forward. Galbraith advocates a reduced military, the abolition of subsidies for the well protected, the increase of taxes on the rich and the increase of welfare spending. The message is little different from that peddled in Britain and America in the '60s and early '70s. It certainly does not appeal to the culture of contentment (which Galbraith freely admits), but nor does it appeal to the intellectually discontented. They are surely looking for something more radical than this "milk and water socialism" of a generation past? REVIEW TITLE? The Long Wave in the World Economy, Andrew Tylecote, London: Routledge, £40. THIS excellent attempt to picture the grand sweep of trends in the industrial economy offers detailed analysis of the components of a dynamic system which, alas, has failed to evolve a stabilising mechanism. Growth proceeds in fits and starts; a system whose logic is allocative efficiency-which supposedly abhors waste - periodically inflicts on itself waste on a gigantic scale! Tylecote, an economics lecturer at the University of Sheffield, stresses the waves of technological innovation. He seeks to synthesise technological trends with demographic, climatic and the other variables which make life so seemingly unpredictable - for the individual - yet cyclical (and therefore predictable) for the system. What distinguishes this book from the other attemptsateconomic analysis in recent years is the recognition that land tenure-and-tax policies can damage society and the environment. For example, Tylecote explains hhow landlessness in Brazil - where "millions of hectares lie uncultivated, or undercultivated, on the great estates" - encourages peasant farmers to exploit the rainforest The perplexed governments of today could do no better than to examine Tylecote's discussion on "The way to the next upswing". Naturally, we all want lower interest rates; the snag, notesTylecote, is that this would encourage the speculative hoarding of land. The solution, in his view, is the introduction of a tax on land values - a tax which he regards as setting the standard for fiscal policy in general: "look for taxes which, besides raising revenue, improve both the distribution of income and the a l l o c a t i o n of r e s o u r c e s in the economy". There are precious few of them, apart from the land^value tax, the virtues of which are emphasised: "One kind of wealth tax, however, has n o distorting effect, because it is practically impossible to avoid whatever you do: the lax on the value of land. Such a tax is already in use in (among other places) Pennsylvania and New South Wales. Land taxation indeed offers much more than a harmless way of raising m o n e y . It w o u l d b e h i g h l y r('distributive in most countries. It would much reduce the incentive for a corrupt relationship between property developers and those administering planning control (and zoning systems), since it would cut, even perhaps eliminate, the gain to the owner f r o m permission for change of use. And since it would make speculative hoarding of land prohibitively expensive, it would make for much more efficient use of scarce urban land: less dereliction of unused properties, more construction jobs available in the inner cities, less suburban sprawl. A side-effect would be a reduction in house prices and thus in consumer borrowing out of capital gains anticipated by the owners." The primacy placed by Tylecote on the importance of technology as the causal mechanism for changes in trends requires much more investigation. I strongly suspect, for example, that he will discover that development of much of the technology of the early years of the industrial revolution was (directly orindirectly) influenced by prevailing economic conditions as shaped by the landand-tax system of the time. If this is correct, we need not fatalistically assume that booms and slumps are with us forever. — LAND & LIBERTY N O V / D E C 1992 PACE 11 REVIEW TITLE? NEW From Poverty to Prosperity by 2000. Edited by Walter Rybeck, Center for Public Dialogue, 10615 Brunswick Av, Kensington, Maryland 20895, USA. $12.50. This report is subtitled "Prospect for reviving West Virginia's Economy" and grew outof the Prospects for Appalachia Conference held in Charleston, West Virginia, in 1990. Appalachia is often viewed as a kind of Third World problem area in the midst of the USA. Indeed West Virginia ranks almost at the bottom, 49th among 50 states, in personal income. Why a state so richly endowed with natural and human resources is so economically depressed was the quesdon tackled by 70 participants along with 20 national experts. This report is the conclusion of their deliberations. O n e example put forward for the state to emulate showed how a poverty stricken Third World nation -Taiwan - became a thriving, powerful country in a single generation. Taiwan, which is half the size of West Virginia, is equally mountainous. Close examination showed just how remarkable its transformation was. Possessing neither oil nor mineral wealth it raised its GNP of $1.2bn in 1951 to $150bn in 1989, making it 19th in the world GNP ranking. It is no surprise to learn that land reform was a key factor in this remarkable expansion. The Taiwan constitution is quite specific about land and Article 143 says: 1. Privately owned land shall be liable to taxation according to its value. 2. Government may buy such land according to its value. 3. If the value of a piece of land is increased not through the exertion of labour or the employment of capital, the state shall levy its own increment tax, the proceeds ofwhich shall be enjoyed by the people in common. Item 22 is the Catch 22 of the policy, because the land tax is levied on a self-assessed value and the government has the right to purchase your land at your declared price. Clearly you won't undervalue it nor, since the amount you pay is based on this price, will you overvalue it. The experts at the conference made no effort to arrive at a consensus, but were in near unanimity on most of the major points given in the report. An urgent task, they felt, was to close loopholes that have let large land holdings of absentee resource owners escape fair taxation. Land and buildings should be appraised separately and revenues f r o m taxes on land values should be used to reduce taxes on wages and taxes on goods - particularly those on necessities such as medicines, food and shelter. It will be interesting to see what in reality follows from this report. Will West Virginia become the Taiwan of the USA? The example is there for its citizens to see. But, as one speaker at the conference said, "to change our being like a Third World country will take a collective will". Do they have that will? J,:,:. PAGE 12 GEOFFREY LEE LAND & BOOKS Now the Synthesis Capitalism, Socialism & the N e w Social Contract Richard Noyes (editor) The collapse of communism provides an opportunity to reappraise our economic thinking. The authors suggest that capitalism and communism are the thesis and antithesis of a philosophical dialectic of which the ideas of American social reformer Henry George are the synthesis. Published in Britain by ShepheardWalwyn Ltd., London price £14.95, and in the USA by Holmes & Meier, N e w York, price $29.95. Hardback. Commons Without Tragedy R.V. Andelson (editor) An international group of scholars examines the impact of population on the economy and environment, arguing for a reappraisal of property rights to ensure that: * the entrepreneur is adequately rewarded for opening up the last commons (oceans and space); * everyone shares in the greater prosperity; and * the environment is protected for future generations. Published: Shepheard-Walwyn Ltd., London, England (£13.95) and in the USA by Barnes & Noble, of Savage, MD ($34.50). LIBERTY JULY/AUGUST 1992
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