Effectiveness of Interventions to Prevent Youth Violence A Systematic Review Mary Ann Limbos, MD, MPH, Linda S. Chan, PhD, Curren Warf, MD, Arlene Schneir, MPH, Ellen Iverson, MPH, Paul Shekelle, MD, PhD, Michele D. Kipke, PhD Objectives: To identify interventions effective in preventing youth violent behavior and commonalities of effective and ineffective interventions. Methods: A systematic review of the literature on the effectiveness of youth violence interventions was conducted. Interventions were categorized according to the level of the intervention: primary (implemented universally to prevent the onset of violence), secondary (implemented selectively with youth at increased risk for violence), and tertiary (focused on youth who had already engaged in violent behavior). An intervention was considered effective if one or more violence outcome indicators was reported as significantly different at the p⬍0.05 level, and ineffective if none of the violence outcome indicators was significantly different at the p⬍0.05 level. Data collection and analysis were conducted in 2003 and updated in 2006. Results: Forty-one studies were included in the review. Overall, 49% of interventions were effective. Tertiary-level interventions were more likely to report effectiveness than primary- or secondary-level interventions. Effective interventions evaluated by randomized controlled trials included Responding in Peaceful and Positive Ways, Aban Aya Youth Project, Moving to Opportunity, Early Community-Based Intervention Program, Childhaven’s Therapeutic Child-Care Program, Turning Point: Rethinking Violence, and a multisystemic therapy program. Differences among programs and within subpopulations could not be assessed because of inadequate data. Conclusions: Increasing effectiveness was reported as the level of intervention increased from primary to tertiary. Approaches to evaluate prevention interventions need to be clarified and standardized. (Am J Prev Med 2007;33(1):65–74) © 2007 American Journal of Preventive Medicine Introduction A lthough recent downward trends in violent crime arrest rates are encouraging, violence remains a significant cause of morbidity and mortality for youth in the United States,1 and its consequences carry substantial financial and societal costs.2,3 Multiple violence prevention programs have been developed and implemented in diverse settings with From the Department of Pediatrics, University of Southern California Keck School of Medicine (Limbos, Chan, Warf, Iverson, Kipke), Division of General Pediatrics (Limbos), Division of Research on Children, Youth and Families (Chan, Iverson, Kipke), and Division of Adolescent Medicine (Warf, Schneir), Childrens Hospital Los Angeles, Division of Biostatistics and Outcomes Assessment, Los Angeles County University of Southern California Medical Center (Chan), and Health Services Research and Development Service, Greater Los Angeles Veterans Affair Healthcare System (Shekelle), Los Angeles, California; and Southern California Evidence-Based Practice Center, RAND (Shekelle), Santa Monica, California Address correspondence and reprint requests to: Mary Ann P. Limbos, MD, MPH, Childrens Hospital Los Angeles, 4650 Sunset Blvd, Mailstop 76, Los Angeles CA 90027. E-mail: mlimbos@chla. usc.edu. various degrees of success. Because there are no uniformly applied standards to determine program effectiveness, rigorous evaluations of violence prevention programs are often lacking. As such, the literature on the effectiveness of violence prevention interventions is fragmented, with no clear consensus about which programs are effective in preventing violent outcomes in youth. In a review of youth violence prevention strategies, Kellerman et al.4 reported on the effectiveness of programs in addressing one or more risk factors for juvenile delinquency and violence. However, the effectiveness of programs in specifically preventing or reducing violent behavior in youth was not addressed in the review by Kellerman et al.4 Another review of community and school programs to prevent violence established “blueprints,” or scientific standards for programs to judge effectiveness.5,6 The blueprints review identified programs that met all four standards (“blueprints model programs”), and examined outcomes that included violent behavior, but also included crime, antisocial behavior, and drug and alcohol use. Am J Prev Med 2007;33(1) © 2007 American Journal of Preventive Medicine • Published by Elsevier Inc. 0749-3797/07/$–see front matter doi:10.1016/j.amepre.2007.02.045 65 Among the recent efforts to synthesize current knowledge about the effectiveness of youth violence prevention programs was the Surgeon General’s report on youth violence.3 Applying a set of standards based on scientific consensus to the literature on youth violence, the report identified interventions that were effective and ineffective in preventing violence and serious delinquency, and in preventing known risk factors for violence. This report relied heavily on published reviews and categorized programs as models, promising, or ineffective based on how well each program met three standards for evaluating effectiveness: rigorous experimental design, evidence of significant deterrent effects, and replication of these effects at multiple sites or in clinical trials. This study examines the effectiveness of youth violence prevention interventions and differs from previous reviews first, by examining the effectiveness of interventions in specifically preventing violent behavior; second, by performing a systematic review of the literature on youth violence prevention using different inclusion and exclusion criteria that limited the review to the most current and scientifically-rigorous research conducted in the United States; and third, by using a quantitative approach to summarize the evaluation evidence. The objectives of this study were (1) to identify interventions effective in preventing youth violent behavior and (2) to identify commonalities of interventions that are effective and those that are not effective. Methods This work was part of a larger project to examine the risk factors for and prevention of violence and related healthrisking social behaviors in adolescents. Detailed methods are published elsewhere,7 and are summarized briefly here. This research specifically addresses the effectiveness of interventions to prevent or reduce violent behavior in youth. Data collection and analysis were performed in 2003 and updated in 2006. The literature search, review, and synthesis of the evidence on the effectiveness of interventions to prevent violence used the following definitions, inclusion criteria, search strategies, and data extraction and synthesis methods. Definitions and Inclusion/Exclusion Criteria Published articles were eligible for inclusion if they were peer-reviewed and examined the effectiveness of a violence prevention intervention designed to prevent or reduce youth violent behavior. The outcome was defined as violent behavior perpetrated by youth aged 12 to 17 years, using the definition of violence developed by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention1: “a threatened or actual physical force or power initiated by an individual that results in, or has a high likelihood of resulting in, physical or psychological injury or death.” Excluded were verbal aggression, bullying, arson, weapon carrying, externalizing behaviors, attitudes about violent behavior, and intent to commit violence. Youth 66 crime against property or materials such as vandalism, and youth violent victimization were also excluded. Because of time and resource constraints, the review was limited to peer-reviewed articles published in 1990 or thereafter, and retrievable from four databases: MEDLINE®, PsychInfo, ERIC, and SocioAbstracts. Given growing evidence to suggest that numerous risk and protective factors are country-specific, we chose to further limit the scope to studies conducted in the United States.8 Excluded were case reports, unpublished program evaluations, editorials, letters, reviews, practice guidelines, non–English language publications, and papers from which data could not be abstracted. An intervention was considered a primary prevention when it was implemented universally to prevent the onset of violence within the general population. A secondary prevention was defined as an intervention that was implemented selectively with children and youth identified at being at increased risk for violence. Tertiary prevention interventions were defined as those focused on youth who had already engaged in violent behavior. Search Strategy and Terms The National Library of Medicine performed all searches. For “youth,” the following search terms were used: adolescent, teen, juvenile, and youth. For “violence,” the following terms and their synonyms were used: violence, rape, homicide, partner/relationship abuse/violence, assault, robbery, gunshot wounds, stab wounds, and gang fights/injuries. A complete list of search terms appears in appendix 2 of the evidence report.7 The initial literature search was performed in April/May 2003, and a second search took place in October 2003 to capture any articles published subsequent to the initial search. A third search was conducted in June 2006 to update this review to include any articles published through May 2006. Thus, this review encompasses articles from 1990 through May 2006. Data Synthesis Studies were stratified by type of study design and level of intervention. Study designs were stratified into five types: randomized controlled trial (RCT), nonrandomized controlled trial, prospective study, cross-sectional study, or singlegroup time series study. The findings from three or more studies within a homogeneous subgroup were to be pooled to provide estimates of effect sizes. Because of the diversity of the studies and heterogeneity of the study populations, we could not find three or more studies within a homogeneous subgroup to pool findings across studies using meta-analytic methods. Therefore, the program findings are summarized as effective or ineffective using the vote-counting method.9 Although estimators based on vote-counting methods are less efficient than estimators based on effect sizes, it was the only method of choice for synthesis. An intervention was considered to be effective if the study reported one or more violence outcome indicators to be significantly different at the p⬍0.05 level. If none of the violence outcome indicators was reported to be significantly different, the program was considered ineffective. American Journal of Preventive Medicine, Volume 33, Number 1 www.ajpm-online.net Rating of Study Quality The following criteria developed by the Office of Medical Applications of Research (OMAR)10 of the National Institutes of Health were used to evaluate the quality of the RCTs: 2 and 3 were combined. Thus, six criteria were used to evaluate the quality of the RCTs. Results After elimination of duplicates, the initial and secondary searches identified a total of 14,453 citations for the 1. Adequate randomization 2. Blinding in treatment allocation project. Figure 1 displays the results of the screening and 3. Blinding in outcome assessment reviewing process for articles identified in the April and 4. Reliable and valid outcomes October 2003 searches; Figure 2 displays these processes 5. Comparability of groups maintained throughout the study for the 2006 update. Forty-seven articles representing 41 6. Intent-to-treat analysis used intervention studies were included in the final evidence 7. Important outcomes assessed assessment. Table 1 summarizes the effectiveness of the 8. Control for all potential confounders interventions by study design and level of intervention. Of Since only those studies with relevant violent outcomes the 41 intervention studies, 15 (37%) were evaluated were included, Criterion 7 was common to all studies. Criteria using an RCT, and 26 (63%) were evaluated using other study designs. Overall, 49% of interventions were effective. Increasing effectiveness was reTitles and abstracts identified from 4 data sources (N =11,196) Titles and abstracts excluded (n = 9584) ported as the level of intervenFirst-mention reason of exclusion: tion increased from primary to Not a research study (case report, editorial, letter, guideline, overview, consensus statement) (n = 3559, 37%) tertiary. Outcome is not violence (n = 4725, 49%) Not on human subjects (n = 15, 0.2%) Not a U.S. study (n = 248, 3%) Age of study population >17 years (n = 514, 5%) Study does not focus on youth as perpetrators (n = 503, 5%) Not addressing the key questions (n = 11, 0.1%) Full-length articles accepted for review (n = 1612; 14%) Full-length articles accepted for tertiary review for all key questions (n = 466; 29%) 1. Risk factors: 400 (86%) 2. Interventions: 66 (14%) Full-length articles abstracted onto evidence tables (n = 265; 57%) 1. Risk factors: 233/400 (58%) 2. Interventions: 32/66 (48%) Full-length articles included in evidence assessment (n = 67; 25%) 1. Risk factors: 35/400 (9%) 2. Interventions: 32/66 (48%) Full-length articles excluded (n = 1146) First-mention reason of exclusion: Not a research study (case report, editorial, letter, guideline, overview, consensus statement) (n = 243, 21%) Outcome is not violence (n = 291, 25%) Not on human subjects (n = 0, 0%) Not a U.S. study (n = 193, 17%) Age of study population >17 years (n = 144, 13%) Study does not focus on youth as perpetrators (n = 116, 10%) Duplicate citation (n = 26, 2%) Data not abstractable (n = 92, 8%) Not addressing the key questions (n = 41, 4%) Full-length articles excluded for abstraction (n = 201) Reasons for exclusion: Not a research study (case report, editorial, letter, guideline, overview, consensus statement) (n = 7; 3%) Outcome is not violence (n = 23; 11%) Not on human subjects (n = 0; 0%) Not a U.S. study (n = 1; 0.5%) Age of study population >17 years (n = 4; 2%) Study does not focus on youth as perpetrators (n = 17; 8%) Duplicate citation or findings (n = 12; 6%) Data not abstractable (n = 83; 41%) Key questions not addressed (n = 54; 29%) Full-length articles excluded from assessment for study design reason (n = 198): * Cross-sectional study (n = 165; 83%) Single group time series study (n = 10; 5%) Retrospective cohort study (n = 8; 4%) Case–control study (n = 7; 4%) Mixed design (n = 7; 4%) Randomized controlled trial (n = 1; 0.5%) * All exclusions here were articles addressing the risk-factor questions. No articles addressing the intervention questions were excluded for study design reason Figure 1. Process of screening and reviewing for original study. July 2007 Effectiveness by Level of Intervention Table 2 lists the interventions by intervention level (primary, secondary, tertiary) and study design.11–57 In the following, interventions evaluated by RCT with reported effectiveness are briefly described. Primary interventions (RCTs). Two effective primary interventions evaluated by RCT reported effectiveness. “Responding in Peaceful and Positive Ways” for 7th graders,19,20 a skills building and conflict resolution program, reported an adjusted rate of violent behavior per 100 students at 1 year post-intervention of 11.2 for the experimental group and 23.1 for the control group (p⬍0.05). The second program, the Aban Aya Youth Project,21–23 found that AfricanAmerican boys participating in the program’s social development curriculum in addition to its school/community intervention component had reduced violent behavior scores. Secondary interventions (RCTs). One of the three secondary prevention RCTs reporting efAm J Prev Med 2007;33(1) 67 Titles and abstracts identified from 4 data sources (N = 3257) Full-length articles accepted for review (n = 268; 8%) 1. For risk-factor questions: 222 (83%) 2. For intervention questions: 46 (17%) Full-length articles included in evidence assessment for intervention questions (n = 17, 35%) Titles and abstracts excluded (n = 2989) First-mention reason of exclusion: Not a research study (case report, editorial, letter, guideline, overview, consensus statement) (n = 874, 29%) Outcome is not violence (n = 1588, 53%) Not on human subjects (n = 43, 1%) Not a U.S. study (n = 148, 5%) Age of study population >17 years (n = 144, 5%) Study does not focus on youth as perpetrators (n = 166, 6%) Not addressing the key questions (n = 8, 0.3%) Duplicated citation (n = 18, 0.6%) Full-length articles excluded for intervention questions only (n=29) First-mention reason of exclusion: Not a research study (case report, editorial, letter, guideline, overview, consensus statement) (n = 8, 28%) Outcome is not violence (n = 4, 14%) Not on human subjects (n = 0, 0%) Not a U.S. study (n = 5, 17%) Age of study population >17 years (n = 3, 10%) Study does not focus on youth as perpetrators (n = 1, 3%) Duplicate citation (n = 0, 0%) Data not abstractable (n = 7, 24%) Not addressing the key questions (n = 1, 3%) dence.48 The mean 4-year conviction rate for aggressive crimes was 0.61 (standard deviation 0.9) for the experimental group and 1.36 (standard deviation 2.21) for the control group (p⬍0.05). Aggressive crimes included major and minor assaults and strong-armed robbery. Effectiveness of interventions by age, gender, and race/ethnicity. None of the studies provided the information needed to evaluate differential effects by age, gender, and race/ ethnicity. Effectiveness of interventions by program characteristics. Tables 3 through 6 provide deFigure 2. Process of screening and reviewing for additional reviews. scriptive summaries of the reported effectiveness of the interventions by selected program fectiveness was the Moving to Opportunity (MTO) characteristics: the setting in which the intervention took 39 demonstration project, an experiment to study the place (Table 3), whether the intervention was a single- or effects on juvenile crime of relocating families from multi-component intervention (Table 4), the duration of high- to low-poverty neighborhoods. The incidence the intervention (Table 5), and the school level at which rate and prevalence of arrests for violent crimes among the intervention (Table 6) was implemented. Overall, teens were significantly lower for the MTO group there were no significant variations in intervention effeccompared to a control group of families on the MTO tiveness by these program characteristics. The range of waiting list. Another effective secondary prevention intervention was the Early Community-Based Intervention Table 1. Summary of findings for prevention intervention Program for the prevention of substance abuse and studies other delinquent behaviors among high-risk inner Design other 40 city youth. A comparison of self-reported violent Effectiveness by level of RCT than RCT Totala,b behaviors between the experimental group and control intervention n (%) n (%) n (%) group at the 1-year follow-up revealed significant treatPrimary ment effects (p⫽0.003). The third secondary prevenReporting effectivenessc 2 (33) 4 (33) 6 (33) tion intervention that reported effectiveness was the Not reporting 4 (67) 8 (67) 12 (67) Childhaven’s Therapeutic Child-Care Program for effectiveness Secondary abused, neglected, and at-risk infants and toddlers and Reporting effectivenessc 3 (43) 2 (40) 5 (42) their parents.41 During the 12-year follow-up period, Not reporting 4 (57) 3 (60) 7 (58) significant reductions in mean violent arrests and in the effectiveness incidence of fighting were observed in the experimenTertiary tal group compared to the control group. Reporting effectivenessc 2 (100) 7 (78) 9 (82) Tertiary interventions (RCTs). Effectiveness was reported for both of the tertiary interventions evaluated by RCT. Turning Point: Rethinking Violence (TPRV),47 a program to educate male first-time violent-crime offenders and their parents about the consequences of violence found the violent offense recidivism rate was 0.05 for the experimental group and 0.33 for the control group (p⬍0.05). The other tertiary intervention that reported effectiveness was a multisystemic therapy (MST) program for juvenile offenders meeting DSM-IIIR criteria for substance abuse and depen68 Not reporting effectiveness All levels Reporting effectivenessc Not reporting effectiveness 0 (0) 2 (21) 2 (18) 7 (47) 8 (53) 13 (50) 13 (50) 20 (49) 21 (51) a Excluded one study that reported inconclusive findings. Adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for RCT vs non-RCT programs (adjusted for intervention level) was 1.29 (0.24 –7.00), p⫽0.97. c A finding was considered effective when one or more violent outcome indicators in the study reported or in a subpopulation had p⬍0.05. RCT, randomized controlled trial b American Journal of Preventive Medicine, Volume 33, Number 1 www.ajpm-online.net Table 2. Intervention studies categorized by level and study design Level Intervention Primary Safe Dates Program11–14 Drug Abuse Resistance Education (DARE and DARE PLUS)15,16 Students for Peace (multicomponent violence-prevention program)17 Students Management Anger and Resolution Together (SMART Talk)18 Responding in Peaceful and Positive Ways—7th grade (RIPP-7)19,20 Aban Aya Youth Project21–23 Improving Social Awareness—Social Problem Solving Project (ISA-SPS)24 Peaceful Conflict and Violence Prevention Curriculum (13 modules)25 Sisters of Nia Cultural program26 Getting Real about Violence27 Teacher training, parent education, and social competence training28 Chicago Child–Parent Center (CPC) Program29 Reach for Health Community Youth Service program30 Georgia’s legislative waiver in deterring juvenile crime31 School-based metal detector program32 Violence prevention program and conflict resolution curriculum33 All Stars character education and problem behavior prevention program34 A traditional martial arts training program (Koga Ha Kosho Shorei Ryu Kempo)35 Secondary Safe Dates Program11–14 Project Towards No Drug Abuse (TND)36 Triple modality social learning program37 Student Created Aggression Replacement Education (SCARE) program38 Moving to Opportunity (MTO) demonstration project39 Early community-based intervention for prevention of substance abuse and delinquent behavior40 Childhaven’s therapeutic child-care program (formerly Seattle Day Nursery)41 5 weeks treatment of SSRI (selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors)42 Positive Adolescents Choices Training (PACT)43 Mental Health and Substance Abuse Treatment program44 Tertiary Reported effectiveness Study type No No No No RCT Yes Yes No Non-RCT No No No Yes Yes Yes No No Yes Cross-sectional study Single-cohort pre–post design Incomplete RCT No No Partially randomized cross-over RCT No No No No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Non-RCT Retrospective comparative cohort Single-cohort pre–post design Nonrandomized pre–post trial RCT Family and Community Violence Prevention (FCVP) program45 No Alternative to Suspension for Violent Behavior (ASVB)46 No Turning Point: Rethinking Violence (TPRV)47 Multisystemic therapy (MST)48 Project Back-on-Track (after-school diversion program)49 Multimodal treatment approach with two orientations50 Multifamily counseling program51 Mendota Juvenile Treatment Center program52 Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Family Conflict Resolution program53 No Mental health services following adolescents’ inpatient hospitalization54 Low- and high-process group interventions for aggressive adolescents55 Multisystemic therapy (MST) vs individual therapy56 Yes Stout Cottage Serious Sex Offenders Program (SSOP)57 Inconclusive Non-RCT Retrospective comparative cohort Single-cohort pre–post design Yes Yes Pre–post trial, comparison group Single-group time series RCT, randomized controlled trial. July 2007 Am J Prev Med 2007;33(1) 69 Table 3. Summary of intervention effectiveness by setting Level of intervention Effectiveness of program Primary Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Total Secondary Tertiary All levels n (%) School School and Home and School Community Facility and home community community Home and Total n n n n n n facility n n (%) 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 6 (33) 8 0 1 1 1 1 0 12 (67) 12 1 0 3 1 1 1 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 18 5 (42) 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 7 (58) 4 1 5 1 3 5 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 13 9 (82) 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 (18) 6 0 6 (60) 0 (0) 1 2 (50) 1 1 (50) 1 1 (100) 11 20 (49) 4 (40) 1 (100) 2 (50) 1 (50) 0 (0) 21 (51) 4 2 1 41 1 1 6 (35) 4 (67) 11 (65) 2 (33) 17 6 10 1 Notes: Adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for school versus other settings (adjusted for intervention level) was 0.63 (0.08 – 4.67), p⫽0.91. Adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for single versus multiple settings (adjusted for intervention level) was 1.10 (0.12–10.3), p⫽0.73. program components was one to six. A statistically significant difference was not found between effective and ineffective programs with respect to the number of components in the program. However, regarding program duration, secondary interventions that lasted a year or longer were more likely to be found effective (as reported in five of five articles) compared to those that lasted ⬍12 months (reported ineffectiveness in six of six studies) (p⫽0.002). Rating of Study Quality The findings for the evaluation of study quality of the 15 RCTs are summarized in Table 7. None of the 15 RCTs fulfilled all six criteria. Fulfilling more study quality criteria was not associated with greater likelihood of reporting effectiveness. Among primary interventions, the two studies that reported effectiveness fulfilled from three to five of six criteria, while among secondary interventions, the three studies that reported effectiveness fulfilled from only one to three criteria. One of the effective tertiary interventions fulfilled five study quality criteria while the other effective intervention only fulfilled two criteria. Discussion Of the 41 studies included in the evidence assessment, 15 (37%) were RCTs. Focusing on the RCTs, two of six Table 4. Summary of intervention effectiveness by single- or multiple-component program Level of intervention Primary Secondary Tertiary All levels Effectiveness of program Single component n (%) Multiple components n (%) Total n (%) Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Total 3 (27) 8 (73) 11 2 (33) 4 (67) 6 4 (80) 1 (20) 5 9 (41) 13 (59) 22 3 (43) 4 (57) 7 3 (50) 3 (50) 6 5 (83) 1 (17) 6 11 (58) 8 (42) 19 6 (33) 12 (67) 18 5 (42) 7 (58) 12 9 (82) 2 (18) 11 20 (49) 21 (51) 41 Note: Adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for single- versus multiple-component programs (adjusted for intervention level) was 0.55 (0.11–2.60), p⫽0.61. 70 American Journal of Preventive Medicine, Volume 33, Number 1 www.ajpm-online.net Table 5. Summary of intervention effectiveness by duration of program Level of intervention Primary Secondary Tertiary All levels, n (%) Effectiveness of program <3 months n 3–6 months n 6–12 months n >12 months n Total n (%) Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Totala 3 4 7 0 5 5 4 0 4 7 (44) 9 (56) 16 0 3 3 0 0 0 2 1 3 2 (33) 4 (67) 6 2 1 3 0 1 1 0 1 1 2 (40) 3 (60) 5 1 4 5 5 0 5 3 0 3 9 (69) 4 (31) 13 6 (33) 12 (67) 18 5 (45) 6 (55) 11 9 (82) 2 (18) 11 20 (50) 20 (50) 40 Notes: Adjusted odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for ⬍12 months versus ⱖ12 months (adjusted for intervention level) was 0.30 (0.03–1.33), p⫽0.13. However, for secondary interventions, the odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for ⬍12 months versus ⱖ12 months was 0.00 (0.00 – 0.37), p⫽0.002. a One program with unknown duration not included. (33%) primary interventions, three of seven (43%) of secondary interventions, and two of two (100%) tertiary interventions were effective in reducing violent behavior in youth. Thus, it appears that one of the most important characteristics differentiating the effectiveness of interventions may be the level of the intervention. Given that the focus of this review is the prevention of violent behavior, the finding of increasing effectiveness with level of intervention is not unexpected. The goal of primary prevention interventions is to reduce risk behaviors associated with subsequent violence. Therefore, their outcome indicators focus primarily on reduction of risk behaviors such as substance abuse. In contrast, the focus of secondary and tertiary interventions is to reduce violent behavior in a population at risk for or already engaging in violence. Thus, the goal of these levels of interventions, particularly tertiary interventions, is more likely to be reduction in violence outcomes, the focus of this review. An intervention was considered effective only if it was associated with a reduction in violent behavior, and not if it only reported a reduction in risk behaviors. Thus, the findings for the effectiveness of primary interventions should be interpreted with this distinction in mind. In addition, the findings of effectiveness by level of intervention are not as clear in the studies that used designs other than the RCT and thus, the type of study design may play a role in detecting program effectiveness. In general, ineffective interventions were more likely to be primary or secondary interventions of shorter duration. The limitations of this review and analysis must be acknowledged. The literature on youth violence is voluminous and diffusely spread across a number of disciplines. In order to make a review of this literature feasible and timely, a very narrow outcome was chosen—the reduction of violent behavior among youth—and the review was limited to articles meeting very specific criteria, recognizing that these criteria would lead to the exclusion of a considerable proportion of the literature. Even with these limitations, the initial search generated over 10,000 unduplicated cita- Table 6. Summary of intervention effectiveness by school level of implementation Level of intervention Primary Secondary Tertiary All levels, n (%) Effectiveness of program Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Subtotal Reporting effectiveness Not reporting effectiveness Totala Elementary school n Middle school n High school n All school levels n Total n (%) 2 1 3 4 9 13 2 1 3 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 6 (35) 11 (65) 17 2 (40) 3 (60) 5 2 (67) 1 (33) 3 6 (38) 10 (62) 16 0 (0) 2 (100) 2 0 (0) 1 (100) 1 8 (36) 14 (64) 22 Note: Odds ratio (95% confidence interval) for elementary school versus other school programs was 4.33 (0.24 –152), p⫽0.53. a Only interventions implemented in school settings are included. July 2007 Am J Prev Med 2007;33(1) 71 Table 7. OMAR study quality criteria applied to randomized controlled trials OMAR study quality criteria Level Intervention Safe Dates Program11–14 Drug Abuse Resistance Education (DARE, DARE PLUS)15 Student for Peace (multicomponent violence-prevention program)17 Students Management Anger and Resolution Together (SMART Talk)18 Responding in Peaceful and Positive Ways—7th grade (RIPP-7)19 Aban Aya Youth Project21–23 Secondary Safe Dates Program11–14 Project Towards No Drug Abuse (TND)36 Student Created Aggression Replacement Education (SCARE) program38 Moving to Opportunity (MTO) demonstration project39 Early community-based intervention for prevention of substance abuse and delinquent behavior40 Triple-modality social learning program37 Childhaven’s therapeutic child-care program (formerly Seattle Day Nursery)41 Tertiary Turning Point: Rethinking Violence (TPRV)47 Multisystemic therapy (MST)48 Primary Adequate randomizationa Blinded enrollment and Validated outcomeb instrument Follow-up >80%b Intent-totreat Controlled for analysisb confoundersb Yes Yes No No Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Noc No Yes No No Yes Noc No Yes Yes No Yes Noc No Yes No Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Noc No No Yes Yes Not reported No No No Yes Yes Yes No Yes No No No Noc No Yes Not reported Yes Yes Noc No No Not reported No Yes Noc No Not reported Yes No Yes No Yes Yes No No Yes Yes Not reported Yes Yesd Yese Noc No Yes No Yes No No a If baseline characteristics were compared and no differences were found, we considered “yes” for this criterion. If baseline characteristics were compared and differences were found, we considered “no” for this criterion. Considered fatal flaws according to OMAR guideline. c Significant baseline factors found between the two groups were adjusted in analysis. d When all subjects were used in the analysis, intent-to-treat analysis was not necessary and a “yes” was given to this criterion. OMAR, Office of Medical Applications of Research. b tions for review. Thus, this review is extensive but not exhaustive. The primary utility of an evidence review is to guide clinical practice. In a review of the effectiveness of interventions to prevent youth violence, useful information would include the effectiveness of interventions in various subpopulations and across diverse program 72 characteristics. This evidence review was unable to draw conclusions about these program aspects, given its limited scope as already mentioned, and also because the data were inconsistently or inadequately reported in the studies reviewed. For example, none of the RCTs of primary interventions reported their findings by race/ethnicity, one of six RCTs of secondary interven- American Journal of Preventive Medicine, Volume 33, Number 1 www.ajpm-online.net tions reported its findings by gender, and one of the six studies of tertiary interventions reported its findings by gender and race/ethnicity. When studies did report findings by gender and/or race/ethnicity, the analytic approach taken by investigators was to examine effectiveness within each population subgroup rather than examining the differential effectiveness among subgroups. Another important aspect of the evidence review process is to examine the quality of the studies included for review. This review could not adequately evaluate study quality since the available instruments were not appropriate for use in the social sciences. None of the 15 RCTs evaluated in this review fulfilled all six OMAR criteria. The OMAR study quality criteria were derived primarily from clinical studies and many are not applicable to studies of social phenomena such as youth violence. Unlike many clinical interventions for medical conditions, youth violence interventions are often multifaceted (school, home, community), are conducted over long periods of time, and can be adversely affected by factors that cannot be anticipated. These characteristics can make studies difficult to evaluate. In addition, the nature of the interventions in social science studies can preclude some of the methodologic components, such as random assignment and blinding, that are critical to clinical trials. Although the severely restricted scope of the review and the methodology required for assessing the evidence limited our ability to draw many conclusions about program effectiveness, this review identified the current status of the literature on youth violence, the existing research gaps and inconsistencies, and the need for additional scientifically rigorous studies. The findings that the characterization of intervention programs has not been consistent in the literature points to the need not only to standardize the execution and reporting of interventions but also to the need to refine scientific approaches to translate research into the practice of intervention development, implementation, and evaluation. A recent issue of the American Journal of Preventive Medicine58 was dedicated to health professional training in violence prevention. In his commentary introducing the issue, then-Surgeon General Richard Carmona stated that “a major challenge in implementing effective intervention programs on a national scale is ensuring that communities have access to well-trained health professionals who understand intervention and its limitations.”59 However, the even greater challenge, as evidenced by our review, is to demonstrate in a scientifically rigorous manner that these interventions are effective in preventing youth violence. The public health community has acknowledged that the identification of “best practices” and “blueprints” to reduce youth violence requires a sustained commitment to evaluation research. To produce clinically relevant evidence, consensus building efforts are needed to identify and clarify methodologies and July 2007 scientifically grounded approaches to evaluate prevention interventions. This study was supported by the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) (contract 290-02-0003). We deeply appreciate the support, commitment, and guidance of our Technical Expert Group (TEG) and the constructive feedback and insightful suggestions of the external peer reviewers for the evidence review. We owe thanks to our librarian, Melissa L. Just, who conducted preliminary searches and retrieved 100% of the full-length articles, and to the members of our research team who tirelessly screened, reviewed, and abstracted the articles within an extremely tight time frame. The research team includes Michael Chan, Michele Mouttapa, Laura Parks, Bettsy Santana, Ida Shihady, and Robin Toblin. This article is based on research conducted by the Southern California Evidence-Based Practice Center under contract with the AHRQ (contract 290-97-0001). The authors of this article are responsible for its contents, including any clinical or treatment recommendations. 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