Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 135:943–954, 2006 Ó Copyright by the American Fisheries Society 2006 DOI: 10.1577/T05-028.1 [Article] Regulation of an Unexploited Brown Trout Population in Spruce Creek, Pennsylvania ROBERT F. CARLINE* U.S. Geological Survey, Pennsylvania Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, 402 Forest Resources Building, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802, USA Abstract.—The purpose of this paper is to describe the annual variations in the density of an unexploited population of lotic brown trout Salmo trutta that has been censused annually for 19 years and to explore the importance of density-independent and density-dependent processes in regulating population size. Brown trout density and indices of stream discharge and water temperature were related to annual variations in natural mortality, recruitment, and growth. Annual mortality of age-1 and older (age-1þ) brown trout ranged from 0.30 to 0.75 and was best explained by discharge during spring and by brown trout density. Recruitment to age 1 varied fivefold. Density of age-1 brown trout was inversely related to spawner density and positively related to discharge during the fall spawning period. The median length of age-1 brown trout was positively related to discharge during summer and fall. Relative weight was inversely related to the density of age-2þ brown trout. The interactive effects of discharge and brown trout density accounted for most of the annual variation in mortality, recruitment, and growth during the first year of life. Annual trends in the abundance of age-1þ brown trout were largely dictated by natural mortality. The mechanisms that drive salmonid population regulation and the relative importance of densitydependent and density-independent factors are recurring themes investigated in the fisheries literature. There are many examples of how density-independent factors can affect salmonid populations. For example, Jensen and Johnsen (1999), Cattanéo et al. (2002), and Lobón-Cerviá (2004) have shown that high stream discharge during or shortly after emergence resulted in weak year-classes. Milner et al. (2003) reviewed natural controls of salmonid populations in streams and argued that in the absence of catastrophic events, density-dependent factors were largely responsible for population regulation. Brown trout Salmo trutta have frequently been the subject of studies on population control because of their widespread occurrence in Europe and North America and because of their importance as a sport species. Among the studies that support the notion of density-dependent regulation, there are two apparently competing views. Elliott’s (1994) landmark studies of a migratory population of brown trout in the United Kingdom provided convincing evidence that density-dependent mortality in the early life stage was the primary mechanism regulating density in Black Brow Beck, a small nursery stream. He showed that a Ricker-type stock–recruitment curve best described the relation between the number of eggs laid and the number of * E-mail: [email protected] Received January 28, 2005; accepted January 11, 2006 Published online July 3, 2006 juvenile brown trout. Newly emerged brown trout took up territories, and fry that successfully defended territories grew faster than fry without territories. The latter group starved and emigrated. Elliott (1984) found no evidence of density-dependent growth; hence, he concluded that density-dependent mortality was the primary mechanism for regulating population size. Jenkins et al. (1999) studied brown trout in two California mountain streams and stream channels containing experimentally manipulated and unmanipulated populations. They showed that growth of age0 brown trout was density dependent, while mortality and emigration were not related to density. Jenkins et al. (1999) argued that density-dependent growth can regulate population size through its effects on fecundity. Numerous other studies have demonstrated density-dependent growth in brown trout (Crisp 1993; Nordwall et al. 2001; Bohlin et al. 2002). Besides the theoretical interest in population regulation, there are practical reasons for wanting to understand how populations respond to changes in density. Fishery simulation models require accurate descriptions of growth and mortality. Often, one is interested in predicting the response of a fishery to a restrictive regulation, which is likely to result in an increase in fish density (Clark et al. 1980). If compensatory changes in growth or mortality occur in response to density increases, these changes need to be incorporated into the model to ensure useful predictions. Studies that have made the most notable contributions to our understanding of processes that regulate fluvial brown trout populations are long-term inves- 943 944 CARLINE tigations from a single stream (e.g., Elliott 1994) or shorter, multiple-year efforts from several streams (e.g., Cattanéo et al. 2003). When these studies are subdivided into those dealing with migratory and resident populations, the number per category is rather small. Hence, these long-term data sets are extremely valuable, yet relatively rare. The purpose of this paper is to describe annual variations in density of an unexploited, lotic brown trout population that has been censused annually for 19 years and to explore the importance of densityindependent and density-dependent processes in regulating population size. The study was conducted in a 0.7-km section of Spruce Creek, located in central Pennsylvania. This stream section has been managed under a no-harvest regulation (artificial lures only, barbless hooks) since 1985, when the first annual population estimate was made. I assumed that (1) illegal harvest was not important because there has been only one documented instance of poaching during the entire study and (2) hooking mortality from artificial lures with barbless hooks was insignificant (Muoneke and Childress 1994). Hence, annual losses of brown trout are attributed to natural mortality and emigration, less gains from immigration. There were no man-made or natural stream barriers that were likely to prevent immigration or emigration of brown trout. Specifically, I evaluate the relative importance of brown trout density and indices of stream discharge and temperature on annual variations in natural mortality, recruitment, and growth. Study Area Spruce Creek, Huntingdon County, is about 26 km long from its source springs to its confluence with the Little Juniata River (Bachman 1984). Limestone springs account for most of the streamflow; alkalinity averages about 150 mg/L as CaCO3, conductivity is about 280 lS, and nitrate-nitrogen ranges from 3.0 to 4.0 mg/L. Land cover in the watershed is primarily hardwood forests and agricultural fields. The study was conducted in the George W. Harvey Experimental Fisheries Research Area of Spruce Creek, which is approximately 1 km upstream from the confluence with the Little Juniata River. The study reach was divided into two segments. Section A extended from the research area boundary upstream to a junction of two branches, and it included the left branch as one looks upstream. This section was 602 m long, averaged 10.9 m in width, and had a surface area of 0.65 ha. Section B began at the downstream junction with section A and extended past the upstream junction with section A to the upper research area boundary. Section B was 515 m long, averaged 14.6 m in width, and had a surface area of 0.75 ha. At the downstream junction of the two sections, about 60% of the total discharge was conveyed in section B. Mean low flow during summer is about 2.8 m3/s (Bachman 1984). Stream gradient is 0.8% (McLaren 1970); the predominant substrates are cobble and gravel. Wild brown trout dominate the fish community. Other common native species include the white sucker Catostomus commersonii, slimy sculpin Cottus cognatus, eastern blacknose dace Rhinichthys atratulus, longnose dace R. cataractae, cutlip minnow Exoglossum maxillingua, and tessellated darter Etheostoma olmstedi. Methods The brown trout population was sampled annually from 1985 to 2003. In most years, sampling was conducted between June 5 and 14. Owing to equipment failures in 1986, the stream was not sampled until June 30. During the early years of the study, sampling was conducted in June as part of another investigation. Thereafter, I continued sampling in June for consistency. Sections A and B were electrofished annually from 1985 to 1991. From 1992 to 1995, only section A was sampled; fish in section B were not exposed to sampling as part of another study (Carline 2001). Both sections were sampled from 1996 to 2003. Population estimates were expressed as the number of fish per unit surface area of the sampled sections. I used the same surface area of each section every year to compute fish density (rather than remeasuring the stream annually) because I wanted to relate fish abundance to discharge, which would affect stream width. Annual adjustments in width could obscure relations between fish density and discharge. We used electrofishing gear that was mounted in a small boat and towed upstream. During the study, several different boats, generators, and control units were used. We always used equipment that produced pulsed DC at 200–250 V. Tow boats were fitted with a 1-m-long metal cathode and two or three anodes that were made of stainless steel and mounted on fiberglass poles (Carline 2001). In 1985, a three-pass successive removal procedure was used to estimate population size (Seber 1982). In 1995, a three-pass Schnabel procedure was used. In all other years, a Petersen population estimate was made with 2 or 3 d between the initial marking run and the second run (Seber 1982). During the first electrofishing run, all fish were measured (total length) to the nearest millimeter and were given a temporary fin clip; a subsample was weighed to the nearest gram. Age0 brown trout were usually less than 70 mm long, and BROWN TROUT POPULATION REGULATION the capture efficiency for these small fish was low. Therefore, age-0 fish were not included in the estimates of population size. Length-frequency analyses were used to separate age-1 fish from other cohorts. There was no overlap in length distributions of age-0 and age-1 fish. The division between age-1 brown trout and age-2 and older (age-2þ) brown trout was identified as a narrow length interval (2–4 mm) with few or no individuals. Length-frequency distributions were iteratively constructed with length categories of varying, though small, widths until a marked separation could be identified. Assignment of brown trout ages from scale readings in an earlier study confirmed that lengthfrequency analyses could reliably separate age-1 fish from older ones (Carline 2001). I computed separate population estimates for age-1 and age-2þ fish because capture efficiency averaged 0.34 for age-1 fish and 0.56 for older brown trout. Capture efficiency was computed as the number of marked fish captured on the second sampling run divided by the total catch in that run. The total estimated numbers of age-1 and age-2þ fish were allocated to 10-mm length-groups on the basis of the proportion of fish captured in each length interval. The mean weight of fish in each 10-mm interval was multiplied by the estimated number in the interval to compute biomass. Annual survival (S) was calculated as the estimated number of age-2þ fish in year x divided by the number of age-1þ fish in year x – 1. Annual mortality (A) was calculated as 1 – S. I computed the variance for each population estimate by use of the Bailey modification of a binomial approximation (Seber 1982). These variance estimates were then used to estimate the variance of S by employing a Taylor series approximation (7–9; Seber 1982). I computed 95% confidence limits by assuming that the estimated parameters had a lognormal distribution (Burnham et al. 1987). Recruitment was defined as the density of age-1 brown trout in June, recognizing that these fish had been spawned nearly 2 years earlier. The density of age-2þ brown trout 2 years earlier was used as an index of spawners. This index overestimates the number of mature fish because a large proportion of females less than 225 mm long would not be mature (Avery 1985; R.F.C., unpublished data); nonetheless, this index should provide a good measure of spawner density and total egg deposition. A standard weight equation for brown trout (Milewski and Brown 1994) was used to compute relative weight (Wr) for each fish that was weighed (Anderson and Neumann 1996). Brown trout with Wr values less than 70 or greater than 120 were considered to be outliers and were not included in subsequent analyses 945 of Wr. I computed a median Wr for 199-mm and shorter brown trout and for 200–300-mm fish to examine annual variations in condition. These length categories were chosen because the smaller fish typically had higher Wr values than did the larger fish. The median length of all age-1 fish was used as a measure of annual growth, and the coefficient of variation (CV ¼ 100 3 SD/mean) of length was used to assess year-to-year variance in growth. I assessed the potential effects of temperature and streamflow on population statistics by first dividing each year from 1985 to 2003 into five periods corresponding to important life stages of brown trout: spawning (November 1–December 15); incubation(December 16–March 15); emergence and fry stage (March 16–June 15); summer growth (June 16– September 15); and autumn growth (September 16– October 31). Temperature and flow data were summarized for each of these periods. Air temperature was used as an index of water temperature. Daily air temperature records were obtained from the Pennsylvania State University weather station at Rock Springs, which is 17 km from the study section. I assumed that air temperature from Rock Springs could be used as a surrogate for water temperature in Spruce Creek because (1) the mean monthly air temperature from Rock Springs was strongly correlated (r2 ¼ 0.91) with the mean monthly temperature of Spring Creek, a watershed that is adjacent to the Spruce Creek watershed and (2) the Rock Springs weather station is located on the boundary of the Spring Creek and Spruce Creek watersheds. The mean daily air temperature and the 10th and 90th percentiles were computed for each of the five life stage periods. Streamflow data from the U.S. Geological Survey gauge on the Little Juniata River in the town of Spruce Creek was used as an index of streamflow at the study site. Spruce Creek flows into the Little Juniata River 0.6 km downstream of the gauge. Streamflow in Spruce Creek at a site 11 km upstream of the study reach was well correlated (r2 ¼ 0.83) with streamflow in the Little Juniata River, although the watershed area upstream of the Little Juniata River gauge is about twice the surface area of the Spruce Creek watershed (570 versus 282 km2). Daily streamflow data were used to compute the median, minimum, maximum, 10th percentile, and 90th percentile for each of the five life stage periods. The dependent variables of interest were annual mortality, density of age-1 brown trout, median length of age-1 fish, and median Wr for two length-classes. Because of the large number of independent variables, I first used a best-subsets regression procedure to 946 CARLINE identify up to two independent variables that accounted for the most variation in the dependent variable of interest (MINITAB 2000). This procedure ranks regression models on the basis of maximum R2. Simple or multiple least-squares linear regression was then used with the selected independent variables. I used Pvalues less than 0.05 for statistical significance of regression models. For regression models with two independent variables, I used P-values less than 0.10 as the criterion for including each variable in the model. Results Streamflow and Temperature Mean monthly discharge in the Little Juniata River varied by more than 100% during the study (Table 1). The period of June 1995 to May 2002 was the most extreme; three consecutive years of above-normal discharge were followed by four consecutive years of below-normal discharge, when most of the state underwent a severe drought. There was no correspondence among years with extreme flows and cold winters or warm summers, as illustrated by mean daily temperatures in January and July. Population Statistics Typically, the brown trout population in June consisted primarily of fish between 125 and 300 mm long, as illustrated by data from June 2000 (Figure 1). Though small numbers of age-0 fish were collected, they were usually less than 70 mm long. Brown trout longer than 300 mm accounted for less than 10% of all age-1þ fish, and individuals longer than 400 mm were rare. The modal length category of age-1 fish was 171– 175 mm. The density of age-1þ brown trout averaged about 1,200 fish/ha over the 19-year period and included nearly equal numbers of age-1 and age-2þ fish (Table A.1 in the Appendix). Because the capture efficiency for age-2þ brown trout was relatively high (mean ¼ 0.56) and because large numbers of fish (mean ¼ 363) were collected during each electrofishing run, 95% confidence intervals for the estimated population size were rather narrow (Figure 2). Confidence limits for estimates of age-1 fish were usually wider than those for age-2þ fish because capture efficiency was lower for age-1 fish than for age-2þ fish and because fewer age-1 fish (mean ¼ 252) were captured. The number of fish in each age category varied by about fivefold during the study. The population was remarkably stable from 1993 to 1999, when density of age-1þ fish ranged from 1,121 to 1,326 fish/ha. Density increased in 2000 and then declined by more than 50% over the next 3 years. The biomass of all age-1þ brown trout ranged from 76.4 to 214.7 kg/ha and averaged 142.9 kg/ha. TABLE 1.—Mean monthly discharge of the Little Juniata River at the town of Spruce Creek, Pennsylvania. Values are for June 1 to May 31 of the following year. Mean daily air temperatures in January and July were taken at the Rocks Springs weather station. Mean daily air temperature (8C) 3 Year Mean discharge (m /s) 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 Mean 9.9 11.0 8.2 9.2 11.4 14.8 7.1 13.1 13.6 8.2 12.1 15.0 14.6 7.8 7.0 7.1 7.9 11.0 10.5 Jan 1.7 4.6 5.6 0.9 2.2 1.8 1.2 0.5 7.6 1.3 4.6 3.7 2.1 2.7 3.7 0.2 0.4 7.3 2.3 Jul 20.8 22.2 22.3 5.6 21.5 20.6 21.5 20.4 22.6 22.1 22.2 20.1 20.8 20.7 22.9 19.1 19.4 21.8 21.5 Annual mortality of age-1þ brown trout ranged widely from 0.30 to 0.75; the geometric mean was 0.49 (Figure 3). Although 95% confidence limits were rather broad for some years, there were several years in which confidence limits did not overlap, which suggests that annual variations could be attributed, at least in part, to true temporal variation. Mortality tended to fluctuate from year to year except during the last 3 years of study, when it was consistently high. Annual mortality was positively related to median discharge from mid-March to mid-June (Figure 4; Table 2). The only other single environmental or density variable that was significantly related to annual mortality was the 10th percentile of air temperature during the winter months (Table 2, model 2). This relation seemed spurious, as I expected mortality to decrease with warmer overwinter temperatures rather than increase as the regression indicated. Several other variables, when combined with March–June discharge, produced significant regressions. One of these variables was the maximum discharge during the November–December period, which was negatively related to annual mortality (Table 2, model 3). There is no apparent reason why maximum discharge might reduce mortality; given that none of four other discharge variables for that same period was significantly related to mortality, this is probably another spurious relation. Similarly, the 10th percentile of air temperature in June–September was BROWN TROUT POPULATION REGULATION FIGURE 1.—Length-frequency distribution of age-1 and older brown trout collected from Spruce Creek, Pennsylvania, in June 2000. negatively related to annual mortality (model 5), but neither the mean nor the 90th percentile temperature was related to mortality. The lack of consistency among related independent variables may indicate that summer temperature did not strongly influence mortality. The only other variable of importance was density of age-1þ brown trout, which was positively related to annual mortality and produced a significant regression when combined with March–June discharge (Table 2, model 4). FIGURE 2.—Estimated number (N) of fish per hectare (with 95% confidence intervals) for age-1 and age-2 and older brown trout in Spruce Creek, Pennsylvania, 1985–2003. 947 FIGURE 3.—Annual mortality (with 95% confidence intervals) for age-1 and older brown trout in Spruce Creek, Pennsylvania, 1985–2003. Annual recruitment was inversely related to the spawner index (Figure 5; Table 2, model 6). If this spawner index is a reliable surrogate for the number of eggs deposited, the inverse relation suggests that juvenile mortality increased with increasing juvenile density. The addition of numbers of older brown trout present during the recruits’ first year of life as a second independent variable did not produce any significant regressions. From this, I infer that density-dependent effects on the number of recruits were the result of intracohort interactions. Two environmental variables, when combined separately with the spawner index, produced significant regressions. The minimum air temperature in June– September of the cohorts’ first year was positively related to the number of recruits (Table 2, model 7). However, neither the mean nor the maximum temperature during the same period resulted in a significant regression. This inconsistency casts doubt on the importance of minimum summer temperature on the survival of age-0 fish. In contrast, the addition of FIGURE 4.—Annual mortality of age-1 and older brown trout in Spruce Creek, Pennsylvania, in relation to the median discharge of the Little Juniata River at the town of Spruce Creek during March 16–June 15, 1985–2003. 948 CARLINE TABLE 2.—Regression models relating annual mortality of age-1 and older brown trout and age-1 recruits to seasonal discharge and temperature surrogates and brown trout density. Independent variables are defined as follows: MdD ¼ median discharge; 10pT ¼ 10th percentile of air temperature; and MxD ¼ maximum discharge. Model Dependent variable 1 2 3 Annual mortality 4 5 6 7 8 Age-1 fish/ha Independent variables MdD, Mar–Jun 10pT, Dec–Mar MdD, Mar–Jun MxD, Nov–Dec MdD, Mar–Jun Fish/ha MdD, Mar–Jun 10pT, Jun–Sep Spawners/ha Spawners/ha 10pT, Jun–Sep Spawners/ha MdD, Nov–Dec median discharge during the spawning period to the spawner index produced a significant regression that seemed logical (Table 2, model 8) if increased discharge resulted in increased availability of spawning habitat. The median length of age-1 brown trout in June varied considerably among years (153.5–189.0 mm; Table 3). Median length was positively related to several discharge variables during the June–September and November–December periods. The strongest relations included the 90th percentile discharge during November–December and the 10th percentile discharge during June–September (Table 4, models 1 and 2). Discharge variables during November–December were included in 27 of 35 significant (P , 0.05) regressions with two independent variables, and most of these relations had a second discharge variable (Table 4, models 3 and 4). It was only during March– June that median length was negatively related to discharge. The only density variable that appeared in FIGURE 5.—Recruitment of brown trout in Spruce Creek, Pennsylvania, expressed as the number of age-1 fish per hectare in June, in relation to the spawner index, which is the number of adults per hectare present during the year in which the recruits were spawned. t-statistic R2 F P 3.33 2.21 4.21 2.39 3.93 2.25 3.21 1.83 3.24 3.48 2.12 3.87 1.77 0.41 0.23 0.57 11.1 4.9 10.2 0.004 0.04 0.002 0.56 9.5 0.002 0.52 8.0 0.004 0.41 0.55 10.5 8.7 0.006 0.004 0.52 7.5 0.006 multiple regressions was the density of age-1þ brown trout that were present during the cohort’s first year of life, which suggests that older brown trout were negatively affecting the growth of age-0 fish (Table 4, model 5). Only four models had a temperature variable, and these were always combined with November–December discharge. I correlated the CV with density because other studies have shown that the CV, rather than a direct measure of growth, may be density dependent. Median length and the CV were inversely related (r2 ¼ 0.31; P ¼ 0.015), but there was no relation between the CV and any brown trout density variable. Thus, growth during the brown trout’s first 15 months of life was best predicted by discharge variables. Median Wr, an index of growth, ranged from 87.2 to 103.1 among years for the two length-groups of brown trout (Table 3). In every year except 1985, the median Wr for fish less than 200 mm long was greater than that of 200–300-mm fish. The median Wr for fish less than 200 mm was inversely related to the density of age-2þ brown trout at the beginning of the annual interval but was not related to any other density or environmental variable (Table 4, model 6). The only significant regressions with two independent variables included density of age-2þ fish and maximum discharge in November–December, which was positively related to Wr. Median Wr for 200–300-mm brown trout (Wr200) was also inversely related to the density of age-2þ fish but not to any other single variable (Table 4, model 8). The density of age-2þ fish, when combined with discharge in November–December (positive effect) or temperature in June–September (negative effect), produced significant relations (Table 4, models 9 and 10). Discharge in November–December and temperature in March–June in combination were positively related to Wr200 (model 11). Thus, for both length-groups, there 949 BROWN TROUT POPULATION REGULATION TABLE 3.—Median length and the coefficient of variation (CV ¼ 100 3 SD/mean) for age-1 brown trout in Spruce Creek, Pennsylvania, 1985–2003, and median relative weight (Wr) of 120–199-mm and 200–300-mm brown trout. Samples sizes are in parentheses. Median Wr Length of age-1 fish Year Median (mm) CV (%) 120–199 mm 200–300 mm 1985 180.0 (251) 6.8 94.1 (19) 95.2 (93) 1986 178.0 (845) 14.0 93.2 (93) 89.5 (95) 1987 177.0 (257) 8.5 96.8 (29) 94.5 (47) 1988 173.5 (514) 10.8 98.0 (70) 91.8 (114) 1989 153.5 (234) 11.3 94.3 (25) 87.2 (72) 1990 182.0 (657) 10.2 96.1 (55) 92.4 (116) 1991 185.0 (475) 11.3 97.3 (78) 92.2 (157) 1992 171.0 (247) 10.6 100.6 (106) 91.6 (201) 1993 156.0 (208) 11.4 93.0 (67) 88.2 (136) 1994 184.0 (129) 7.7 100.5 (102) 90.5 (132) 1995 189.0 (225) 8.4 96.0 (58) 90.7 (250) 1996 169.5 (244) 11.3 96.0 (202) 88.3 (298) 1997 184.0 (202) 6.9 95.9 (69) 92.7 (233) 1998 178.5 (450) 10.3 98.8 (134) 88.9 (218) 1999 175.0 (254) 9.5 99.1 (88) 91.5 (241) 2000 173.0 (725) 11.6 95.5 (51) 90.0 (147) 2001 162.5 (578) 12.7 94.6 (115) 90.0 (199) 2002 168.0 (386) 12.6 94.6 (76) 89.5 (139) 2003 167.5 (361) 12.7 103.1 (129) 95.3 (115) was some evidence of density-dependent growth. Discharge during most months seemed to positively affect Wr except during March–June. Conversely, temperature during March–June was positively related to Wr and negatively related during the summer months. Discussion This investigation represents one of a few such longterm studies of a resident, unexploited brown trout population. In Europe, most long-term investigations of unexploited populations have been directed at sea-run (Elliott 1993) or lake-run (Crisp 1993; Lobón-Cerviá and Mortensen 2005) brown trout in nursery streams. The longest record for a nonmigratory, lotic population of brown trout comes from northern Spain (LobónCerviá 2003), but this short-lived population (few fish beyond age 3) is not typical of populations in Europe and North America, which are commonly long lived. One of the longest records of a brown trout population in North America is from the Au Sable River in Michigan; there, annual mortality of brown trout in a catch-and-release segment of the river averaged 0.56 over a 15-year period (A. Nuhfer, Michigan Department of Natural Resources, unpublished data), which is reasonably close to that observed in Spruce Creek. Perhaps the most notable result from Spruce Creek is the large temporal variation in annual mortality of age1þ fish. A large range in annual mortality (0.42–0.75) was also documented in the Au Sable River. Such large variations in natural mortality have significant consequences if one is trying to measure population responses to changes in exploitation rates or to environmental modifications at the site or watershed scale. Population responses would have to be large and posttreatment assessment periods would have to be long (e.g., .5 years) to allow one to separate out treatment responses from natural temporal variations. Understanding the underlying mechanisms for temporal variations may help to unravel causes for population responses to treatments and temporal variations. Discharge during the March–June period had the most influence on mortality of age-1þ brown trout. On average, the highest monthly discharges occurred in March, followed by April and then May. High discharge could result in mortality by injuring or displacing fish. Extreme discharges that cause substantial bed load movement in Spruce Creek, a lowgradient stream that runs through the valley floor, are rare. High concentrations of suspended solids can injure fish and lead to death, but concentrations need to exceed 2,000 mg/L for more than 10 h to result in mortality of age-0 or older salmonids (Newcombe and MacDonald 1991). I sampled 95 storm flow events between November 1999 and May 2003 in Spring Creek and never observed concentrations of suspended sediment that were high enough to cause fish mortality. 950 CARLINE TABLE 4.—Regression models relating median length (Med len) of age-1 brown trout in June to discharge and age-1 brown trout density during the cohort’s first year of life. Median relative weight (Wr) of brown trout less than 200 mm (Wr199) and 200–300 mm (Wr200) were correlated with density, flow, and temperature variables. Discharge variables included the median (MdD), maximum (MxD), 10th percentile (10pD), and 90th percentile (90pD). The 90th percentile of air temperature (90pT) was also included. Model Dependent variable Independent variable t-statistic R2 F P 1 2 3 Med len 90pD, Nov–Dec 10pD, Jun–Sep MxD, Nov–Dec 90pD, Mar–Jun MxD, Nov–Dec MdD, Jun–Sep Age-1 fish/ha MdD, Sep–Nov Age-2þfish/ha Age-2þfish/ha MxD, Nov–Dec Age-2þfish/ha Age-2þfish/ha 90pT, Jun–Sep Age-2þfish/ha MdD, Nov–Dec 90pT, Mar–Jun 10pD, Nov–Dec 2.72 2.16 3.77 3.51 2.39 2.49 2.49 2.86 2.41 2.98 2.12 2.48 3.39 2.38 3.49 2.37 2.86 2.28 0.32 0.23 0.56 7.4 4.7 9.4 0.015 0.046 0.002 0.43 5.7 0.015 0.42 5.5 0.016 0.27 0.44 5.8 5.8 0.029 0.014 0.28 0.48 6.13 6.8 0.025 0.008 0.47 6.8 0.008 0.37 4.3 0.033 4 5 6 7 Wr199 8 9 Wr200 10 11 Hence, I conclude that direct mortality owing to high flows seems unlikely in Spruce Creek. It is conceivable that high discharge could cause brown trout to emigrate from the study section. Upstream sections of Spruce Creek, which are entirely in private ownership, seem to support high brown trout densities, so that emigration would have to occur over long stream reaches and brown trout would have to ultimately leave the system and enter the Little Juniata River, which supports a brown trout population that is sustained by stocked fingerlings. Because no data are available to support or refute the emigration hypothesis, the mechanism for the observed mortality remains unresolved, though this question merits further study. Density of age-1þ brown trout was negatively related to annual mortality, which suggests that intraspecific interactions were involved. Densitydependent mortality of age-1þ trout has been observed in few other studies. McFadden et al. (1967) found that mortality of brook trout Salvelinus fontinalis from age 1 to 2 was positively related to density. Langeland and Pedersen (2000) showed that density-dependent mortality of age-1þ brown trout in a Norwegian lake was the primary factor regulating population size. The mechanisms causing mortality in these two studies were not identified. The strongest evidence for density-dependent regulation in Spruce Creek was illustrated by the inverse relation between recruitment and an index of spawner density. Presumably, low spawner densities in some years would have helped to define the ascending limb of the relationship such that it would resemble a Ricker-type of hump-shaped curve. Elliott’s (1985) plots of the number of eggs laid and juvenile brown trout in Black Brow Beck nicely mimicked classic stock–recruit curves, and the least amount of variance was observed when fry were about 60 d old. Elliott (1985) argued that territorial behavior of brown trout fry forced later-emerging fry to emigrate; hence, density regulation occurred rather early in life. Mortensen (1977) also showed density-dependent mortality in brown trout fry at 3 months of age in a nursery stream. In a nonmigratory population of brown trout, Newman (1993) found that mortality of juveniles from August to the following April was positively related to their density in the first year of life. Similar results have emerged from studies on juvenile Atlantic salmon Salmo salar; Gee et al. (1978) and Jonsson et al. (1998) found density-dependent mortality in nursery streams. Discharge during the spawning period was the only environmental variable that was plausibly related to recruitment. Above-average flows during the spawning period could enhance fry production by increasing the amount of available spawning habitat or by improving intragravel flow of water, thereby improving conditions for incubating brown trout embryos. The latter seems unlikely because flows during most of the incubation period (December–March) were not related to yearclass strength. Spawning habitat is probably limited in the study section of Spruce Creek. In fall 1988, I counted 57 redds/ha in the study section. In June 1988, the estimated number of 230-mm and larger brown trout was 528 fish/ha. Assuming a sex ratio of 1:1, the estimated number of mature females was 264 fish/ha, which was 4.6 times higher than the number of redds. BROWN TROUT POPULATION REGULATION Beard and Carline (1991) found a similar situation in nearby Spring Creek, where the estimated number of female brown trout was 7.3 times greater than the number of redds. They concluded that certain spawning areas were repeatedly used by different females and that spawning habitat in Spring Creek was limited. If spawning habitat was indeed limited in Spruce Creek, it seems likely that above-average flows would enhance the amount of available spawning habitat. The lack of any relation between discharge during March–June (when fry emerge) and recruitment is curious. Several studies have shown that high discharge during the period of emergence and soon thereafter can result in weak year-classes (Nuhfer et al. 1994; Jensen and Johnsen 1999; Cattanéo et al. 2002; Lobón-Cerviá 2004). This lack of a relation is even more surprising given that flows during this period were positively related to annual mortality of age-1þ brown trout. It seems counterintuitive that high flows would cause mortality (or emigration) of older fish but not harm newly emerged fry. It is possible that discharge in the Little Juniata River is not a good surrogate for discharge in Spruce Creek. Nonetheless, this unexpected finding lends support to the notion that March–June discharge merits further examination. Recruitment of brown trout in Spruce Creek was not related to the density of age-1 or age-2þ fish present during the juvenile cohorts’ first year of life. In some other systems, yearling density influenced survival of age-0 fish. Titus and Mosegaard (1992) studied a migratory population of brown trout and found that within years and among stream sections, the density of age-0 fish was inversely related to the density of age-1 fish. Cattanéo et al. (2002) found that the survival of age-0 brown trout was inversely related to the density of age-1 brown trout. Nordwall et al. (2001) experimentally manipulated brown trout density and showed that older brown trout influenced the density of age0 fish. In two lotic populations of brook trout in central Wisconsin, White and Hunt (1969) found alternating strong and weak year-classes over a 12-year period. Strong year-classes were out of phase in the two streams, which suggested that environmental variables were not responsible for the observed pattern. They examined more than 1,400 stomachs of age-1þ brook trout and found no evidence of cannibalism. They concluded that competition for food or space was the mechanism underlying interactions between age-0 and yearling fish. The above examples support the notion that mortality of brown trout during their first year of life is influenced by cohort density (as in Spruce Creek and Black Brow Beck) or by density of yearlings and that competition is the driving force. There is little evidence that adult trout density directly influences survival of 951 trout during their first year of life. An exception is a study of brown trout in a small regulated stream in Norway, in which the density of age-0 fish was inversely related to the density of large brown trout (Vik et al. 2001). They found age-0 brown trout in the stomachs of 21% of 170–290-mm brown trout. The authors suggested that the reduced flows in summer confined brown trout to small pools that lacked refuge for juvenile brown trout. Growth in length of brown trout during their first year of life in Spruce Creek was positively related to discharge in summer and late fall and negatively related to discharge in March–June. Density of age-1þ brown trout seemed less influential on growth than did discharge. Above-average streamflow could positively influence growth by enhancing the production of invertebrates (Schlosser 1992; Boulton 2003). High streamflow could also increase the wetted streambed area, which would increase the number of territories, particularly along the streambank, where age-0 fish are found. Newman (1993) developed a conceptual model for the growth of stream-dwelling trout and suggested that the growth of individuals was a function of site (territory) quality. Individuals occupying high-quality sites would grow equally well, while trout forced to occupy low-quality sites would grow more slowly. He predicted that (1) density-dependent growth would become more evident as more fish are relegated to lowquality sites and (2) the CV in fish size would increase as the average growth rate declines with increasing density. Newman (1993) provided empirical evidence for density-dependent growth and increasing CV in juvenile brown trout. Jenkins et al. (1999) obtained similar results for juvenile brown trout. In Spruce Creek, the CV for the length of age-1 fish was not related to density. Jenkins et al. (1999) used their data and those from Elliott (1984) to show that the detection of densitydependent growth depends upon the range of fish densities and that the density of juvenile brown trout (.1 fish/m2) in Black Brow Beck was never low enough for density-dependent growth to be evident. Lobón-Cerviá (2005) expanded upon this analysis and confirmed conclusions by Jenkins et al. (1999). Over the 19-year period in Spruce Creek, density of age-1þ brown trout ranged from 0.07 to 0.18 fish/m2. Even if I were able to estimate the density of age-0 brown trout, it seems unlikely that density would have exceeded 1 fish/m2. Therefore, the lack of evidence for densitydependent growth in the length of age-1 brown trout in Spruce Creek was not due to a consistently high density of age-0 brown trout. In contrast to the length of age-1 fish, annual variations in Wr showed evidence of density de- 952 CARLINE pendence. Brown trout less than 200 mm long were nearly all age-1 fish, and their Wr values were negatively related to the density of age-2þ fish. Intercohort effects on growth have been noted in several studies (Nordwall et al. 2001; Lobón-Cerviá 2005). Relative weights of 200-mm and larger fish were also strongly related to the density of age-2þ fish, which implies intracohort competition. However, the consequences of this competition on population biomass were negligible. To illustrate the effects of extreme Wr values, I used data from 1999, when numbers of age-1 and age-2þ fish were about equal and when the biomass was close to the long-term average. I recomputed biomass based on the minimum and maximum values of Wr observed for fish less than or greater than 200 mm. Estimated biomass was 126.4 kg/ ha based on the minimum Wr and 137.6 kg/ha based on the maximum Wr, whereas the measured value was 132.5 kg/ha. While extreme values of Wr may be of importance to individual fish, population-level effects are rather small. This examination of density-dependent effects on brown trout has been limited to intraspecific interactions. It is conceivable that the other species could have affected recruitment, growth, or mortality of brown trout. For example, Vøllestad et al. (2002) showed that brown trout exhibited reduced growth rates in the presence of Alpine bullheads C. poecilopus. I have not attempted to estimate the density or biomass of other species in Spruce Creek. My impression is that the biomass of all other species was less than 25% of the brown trout biomass. Nonetheless, interspecific effects on brown trout cannot be discounted. The impetus for this study was to explore the relative importance of density-dependent and densityindependent factors in controlling the population size of brown trout. Annual trends in abundance of age-1þ brown trout were largely dictated by natural mortality (including emigration), which was a function of stream discharge during the spring months and brown trout density. Density-dependent influences on recruitment were also evident, and discharge during the spawning period was secondarily important. Though there was some evidence for density-dependent growth, effects on population biomass for all age-groups seem minor; the major force influencing both density and biomass was mortality. Acknowledgments I am grateful for the help provided by many graduate and undergraduate students, technicians, and colleagues; P. Kocovsky and D. Lieb were especially helpful. D. Diefenbach provided valuable assistance with the statistical analyses. This manuscript was improved owing to reviews by T. Greene, D. Lieb, M. Millard, and J. Sweka. References Anderson, R. O., and R. M. Neumann. 1996. Length, weight, and associated structural indices. Pages 447–482 in B. R. Murphy and D. W. Willis, editors. Fisheries Techniques, 2nd edition. American Fisheries Society, Bethesda, Maryland. Avery, E. L. 1985. Sexual maturity and fecundity of brown trout in central and northern Wisconsin streams. Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, Technical Bulletin 85, Madison. Bachman, R. A. 1984. Foraging behavior of free-ranging wild and hatchery brown trout in a stream. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society 113:1–32. Beard, T. D., Jr., and R. F. Carline. 1991. 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Cannibalism governing mortality of juvenile brown trout, Salmo trutta, in a regulated stream. Regulated Rivers: Research & Management 17:583–594. Vøllestad, L. A., E. M. Olsen, and T. Forseth. 2002. Growthrate variation in brown trout in small neighboring streams. Journal of Fish Biology 61:1513–1527. White, R. J., and R. L. Hunt. 1969. Regularly occurring fluctuations in year-class strength of two brook trout populations. Wisconsin Academy of Sciences, Arts and Letters 57:135–153. Appendix follows 954 CARLINE Appendix: Key Brown Trout Data TABLE A.1.—Density, biomass, and annual mortality (A) of age-1 and older brown trout in Spruce Creek, Pennsylvania, 1985– 2003. The values in parentheses are 95% confidence limits. Density (fish/ha) Year Age 1 Age 2þ Biomass (kg/ha) A 1985 181 (177, 185) 848 (844, 852) 145.2 0.32 (0.25, 0.37) 1986 787 (729, 868) 703 (670, 757) 174.7 0.66 (0.58, 0.72) 1987 258 (226, 314) 507 (481, 550) 109.1 0.30 (0.15, 0.42) 1988 766 (641, 949) 537 (480, 620) 166.1 0.68 (0.52, 0.79) 1989 534 (382, 793) 413 (372, 477) 90.9 0.43 (0.25, 0.57) 1990 883 (773, 1,032) 537 (496, 600) 159.8 0.58 (0.47, 0.67) 1991 944 (847, 1,073) 597 (552, 662) 179.9 0.36 (0.21, 0.48) 1992 810 (638, 1,092) 993 (874, 1,173) 214.7 0.66 (0.55, 0.74) 1993 610 (492, 812) 616 (565, 704) 129.7 0.36 (0.24, 0.45) 1994 332 (268, 459) 789 (728, 888) 159.5 0.35 (0.24, 0.45) 1995 600 (484, 813) 726 (684, 856) 191.0 0.61 (0.48, 0.70) 1996 679 (575, 829) 521 (483, 577) 126.8 0.38 (0.19, 0.53) 1997 446 (316, 677) 741 (665, 847) 157.9 0.57 (0.36, 0.72) 1998 678 (555, 865) 505 (450, 588) 137.1 0.52 (0.30, 0.66) 1999 560 (460, 820) 572 (509, 664) 132.5 0.39 (0.21, 0.53) 2000 748 (677, 851) 689 (653, 746) 159.3 0.64 (0.56, 0.70) 2001 576 (529, 644) 518 (495, 554) 114.3 0.67 (0.60, 0.72) 2002 459 (405, 542) 365 (353, 392) 91.0 0.75 (0.57, 0.85) 2003 501 (423, 620) 209 (192, 245) 76.4 Mean 597 599 142.9 a Geometric mean. 0.49a
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