Journal of Plankton Research Vol.22 no.1 pp.151–168, 2000 Adult, not juvenile mortality as a major reason for the midsummer decline of a Daphnia population Stephan Hülsmann and Winfried Weiler1 Institute of Hydrobiology, Dresden University of Technology, D-01062 Dresden, Germany and 1Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries, Department Limnology of Stratified Lakes, Alte Fischerhütte 2, D-16775 Neuglobsow, Germany Abstract. We analysed dynamics and structure of a Daphnia galeata population prior to and during a midsummer decline of this species in Bautzen reservoir (Saxony, Germany). Patterns of juvenile and adult mortality were determined by combining field data with laboratory estimates of juvenile growth. After establishing high densities, fecundity and recruitment of D.galeata markedly decreased, whereas size at maturity was high. Immediately before the population decline, adult mortality increased and remained high even after the decline, whereas juvenile mortality was low during the whole investigation period, and virtually absent after the decline. We conclude that the succession of events leading to a midsummer decline of Daphnia is as follows. (i) A quick increase in Daphnia abundance leads to the formation of a strong ‘peak cohort’ of about the same age. (ii) During the clear-water phase, food conditions deteriorate, fecundity declines and hence, recruitment is low. Juvenile mortality during this period is low, but present. (iii) Adult mortality increases when the ‘peak-cohort’ reaches its mean life-span, which is reduced due to interactions between age-specific and starvation-induced mortality. At this point, Daphnia population dynamics can no longer be explained without the onset of size-selective predation. Hence, the timing between enhanced mortality due to senescence on the one hand and predation on the other hand, both directed towards adult daphnids, may be decisive for the initiation of a midsummer decline of Daphnia. Introduction A ‘midsummer decline’ of large-bodied cladocerans, especially daphnids, is a common phenomenon in temperate lakes and reservoirs (Sommer et al., 1986). After achieving high densities in spring and early summer, Daphnia populations often decline to very low numbers for extended periods in midsummer. This decline has been attributed to poor food conditions (Lampert et al., 1986; Sommer et al., 1986), predation by fish, especially 0+ fish (Mills and Forney, 1983), or a combination of low food and invertebrate predators (Luecke et al., 1990; De Stasio et al., 1995). However, only a few studies have quantified fish consumption to evaluate its impact on Daphnia populations and among those, results were contradictory. Mills and Forney found that consumption by age-0 perch exceeded production of D.pulex in years with a midsummer decline (Mills and Forney, 1983). By contrast, other studies found that Daphnia mortality during the decline could not be explained by age-0 fish consumption alone (Wu and Culver, 1994; Boersma et al., 1996; Mehner et al., 1998a). There is, however, strong evidence that the indirect effects of size-selective predation may be important. As concluded from demographic changes in Daphnia populations, a disproportionate loss of adult daphnids, especially when combined with low fecundity, may enhance direct predation effects (Gliwicz et al., 1981; Hülsmann and Mehner, 1997; Mehner et al., 1998a, b). On the other hand, several studies have reported high juvenile death rates causing a decline (De Bernardi, 1974; Boersma et al., 1996). © Oxford University Press 2000 151 S.Hülsmann and W.Weiler Different sources of mortality should have different effects on demography of a Daphnia population. Planktivorous fish selectively feed on large prey (Gliwicz and Pijanowska, 1989), though size selection by 0+ fish depends very much on gape-size (Mehner et al., 1998b). Contrary to fish predation, invertebrate predators are generally considered to prey preferentially on smaller species and instars; however, this cannot be generalized as it depends on the size of different zooplanktivorous species (Benndorf, 1995). Moreover, results concerning, for example, size selection of Leptodora kindtii are contradictory (Herzig and Auer, 1990; Lunte and Luecke, 1990). The effects of non-predatory sources of mortality (starvation, disease, inability to adapt to changing environmental conditions) might also differ in strength during the life history of an individual Daphnia. In summary, since, in natural environments, it is virtually impossible to quantify all these mortality factors simultaneously, size-specific mortality of Daphnia cannot be determined by looking at its sources. To overcome this problem, several approaches have been developed for estimating size-specific mortality of cladocerans from population parameters and growth data (Argentesi et al., 1974; Vijverberg and Richter, 1982; Lynch, 1983). However, application of existing population dynamics models (De Bernardi, 1974; Hovenkamp, 1989; Boersma et al., 1996) to field data is problematic because model parameters have to be adjusted to the specific population of interest (see below). The approach of Lynch requires considerable computational effort and is difficult to apply (Lynch, 1983). From a Daphnia perspective, however, it is not important to know the exact instar- or size-specific mortality, but to distinguish between juvenile (pre-reproductive) and adult (potentially reproductive) mortality. Although many studies have analysed Daphnia population dynamics during midsummer declines, the explanations for the observed (total) mortality patterns have remained somewhat speculative and contradictory (Hall, 1964; Threlkeld, 1979; De Stasio et al., 1995). Consequently, estimation of stage-specific mortality, and combining these data with indicators of juvenile and adult fitness, may be major steps towards gaining insight into the mechanisms that lead to a midsummer decline of daphnids. This may elucidate the importance of bottom-up factors for population dynamics of Daphnia and may help to focus on possible mortality sources. Studies of this kind are rare (Boersma et al., 1996). Therefore, we developed a simple method for separately calculating juvenile and adult mortality of Daphnia, based mainly on data derived from field samples (abundance, size-structure, fecundity) and, additionally, requires estimates of juvenile growth rates, which is inevitable for the calculation of size-specific mortality. Estimates of juvenile growth can also be used as a measure of fitness (Lampert and Trubetskova, 1996), whereas fecundity values can be used as an index of starvation in adults (Tessier et al., 1983). Study site The study was performed in Bautzen reservoir, situated about 70 km north-east of Dresden (Saxony, Germany). This highly eutrophic lake has a surface area of 152 Daphnia population decline 533 ha, a mean depth of 7.4 m and a maximum depth of ~12 m. Due to high exposure to wind, Bautzen reservoir stratifies only for short periods in summer. Usually, thermal stratification develops for a short period in May, but is disturbed by mixing events. In June and July, further stratification periods may occur but often, the vertical temperature gradient from the surface to the bottom is only a few degrees or even absent (Benndorf and Henning, 1989; Köhler, 1992; S.Hülsmann, personal observation). Since 1981, a biomanipulation experiment has been carried out [(Benndorf, 1995) see also for more details of Bautzen reservoir], which has resulted in a drastic decrease of zooplanktivorous fish. This, in turn, led to the dominance of Daphnia galeata in the zooplankton community. However, a midsummer decline of Daphnia had been observed in many previous years (Benndorf, 1995; Mehner et al., 1998a). Method Zooplankton was sampled at three fixed stations in the pelagic zone at a water depth of ~10 m twice a week from May to July in 1997. Samples were taken with a Friedinger-type tube-sampler (Limnos, Finland) of 2 l capacity, integrating vertically in steps of 1 m from the surface to the bottom of the reservoir by concentrating single tubes with a plankton net of 30 µm mesh size. Additionally, samples from the three stations were pooled, resulting in one composite sample for the pelagic zone of Bautzen reservoir. A subsample of the filtrate was used for analysis of particulate organic carbon (POC). Zooplankton was immediately preserved in 3% sucrose–formaldehyde solution (Haney and Hall, 1973). Water temperature was recorded simultaneously with the zooplankton sampling with a digital probe (WTW, Germany) in depth intervals of 1 m. For carbon analyses, the 30 µm filtrate was filtered with pre-combusted glass fibre filters (GMF 5, Filtrak, Germany), which were dried at 60°C for 4 h, and analysed in a carbon analyser (C 200, Leco, Germany). At least 100–150 specimens of D.galeata were counted and measured from the top of the head to the base of the spine under magnification of 3100. If eggs were present in the brood pouch, they were counted and classified to developmental stages (I–IV) according to Threlkeld (Threlkeld, 1979) with the modification that Threlkeld’s stages 3 and 4 were classified as stage III because their duration is short and classification difficult. Total egg development time, D, was calculated from the mean water temperature using the formula given by Bottrell et al. (Bottrell et al., 1976). The approach of Johnsen was modified to calculate hatching frequency (Johnsen, 1983). According to Threlkeld (Threlkeld, 1979), eggs spend different portions, Ai, of total egg development time, D, in each egg stage i (AI = 0.302, AII = 0.32, AIII = 0.218, AIV = 0.16). Thus, the duration Di of egg stage i is Di = D · Ai (d) (1) The proportion, Pi, of eggs that are going to hatch during the time interval, ∆t, can be calculated for each egg stage (I–IV): 153 S.Hülsmann and W.Weiler if DIV > ∆t then PIV = ∆t/DIV and PI–III = 0 if DIV + DIII > ∆t then PIII = if if else PIV = 1 (2) else PIII = 1 and (3) DIV + DIII + DII > ∆t then ∆t – (DIV + DIII) PII = –––––––––––––– and PI = 0 else PII = 1 and DII (4) D > ∆t ∆t – (DIV + DIII + DII) PI = –––––––––––––––––––– (5) then ∆t – DIV –––––––– DIII and PI–II = 0 DI else PI = 1 The total number of eggs, E, that are going to hatch during the time interval ∆t was calculated from Pi and the observed frequency of each egg stage, Fi: IV E = ∑ Pi · Fi (6) i=I These calculations will result in an underestimation of E if D < ∆t. During June and July 1997, this was the case when the sampling interval ∆t was 4 days and, depending on temperature, exceeded D by 0.5–1 day. The proportion of adults in the population of D.galeata was estimated after determining the size at maturity (SAM) according to Stibor and Lampert (Stibor and Lampert, 1993). In case of extreme low fecundity of Daphnia, this value was derived from additional samples taken with a 335 µm mesh plankton net and a minimum of 200 daphnids were measured. Clutch size was calculated as eggs per adult Daphnia. Cultures Neonates of Daphnia were cultured and fed on natural lake seston to measure their somatic growth during the changing food conditions in the reservoir. Each week from the end of May until July, egg-carrying females of D.galeata were isolated from a sample of Bautzen reservoir and neonates born within a 12 h interval were used for growth experiments in flow-through systems (Stich and Lampert, 1984). A subsample of the neonates was taken to determine their initial length (Li). The remaining newborn daphnids were placed in the culture vessels at a density of less than 50 animals l–1. The number of experimental animals was always higher than five in each culture. Filtered water from Bautzen reservoir (30 µm mesh size), which was sampled twice a week, was used as culture medium. From a stock stored at 4°C in the dark, the water supply in the experimental room, with a constant temperature (19°C ± 0.5) and low light conditions, was replaced daily. A peristaltic pump continuously provided the culture vessels with water (renewal rate > four times per day). The water surface in the culture vessels was strewn with cetyl alcohol to prevent the daphnids being caught on the water surface with their hydrophobic carapace (Desmarais, 1997). The experiments were terminated after 5 days and the final lengths (Lf) of the animals measured. Growth curves of daphnids generally have a hyperbolic or sigmoid shape but as a sufficient approximation, growth (in length) of D.galeata can be considered to 154 Daphnia population decline be linear until maturity [e.g. (Stich and Lampert, 1984; Langeland et al., 1985; Hovenkamp, 1991)]. Only some of the daphnids carried eggs at the end of the experiments and therefore, the mean daily growth (gL) was calculated as gL = (Lf – Li)/∆t (µm day–1) (7) Calculation of mortality The general approach was similar to the discrete event model INSTAR (Vijverberg and Richter, 1982), also used by Hovenkamp (Hovenkamp, 1989, 1990) and Boersma et al. (Boersma et al., 1996), except that (i) we only discriminated between juvenile and adult Daphnia, (ii) juvenile growth rates were estimated weekly in the laboratory under approximately field conditions and (iii) hatching frequency of D.galeata was estimated according to Johnsen [(Johnsen, 1983) see above]. The number of individuals that die during one sampling interval is estimated by comparing computed densities of juvenile and adult Daphnia with the estimated abundance in the field. For every sampling date (ti) from the end of May (start of the growth experiments), the hypothetical proportion of adults at the next sampling date (ti + 1) was calculated by applying the following stepwise procedure to all measured animals: (I) (II) if Lti < SAMti Lti + 1< SAMti + 1 then Lti + 1 = Lti + (gL,i 3 ∆t) juvenile at ti + 1 else adult at ti + 1 adult at ti + 1 with Lti = measured size at time ti, Lti + 1 = calculated size at time ti + 1, SAMti = size at maturity at ti, SAMti + 1 = size at maturity at ti + 1, ∆t = time between ti and ti + 1 in days, gL,i = mean daily growth from the culture experiments at ti. Weekly growth rates were linearly interpolated for the second sampling date during that week. The influence of changing temperatures on juvenile growth was neglected in this approach because in some earlier studies, only minor differences were found within a temperature range of 15 to 20°C (Vijverberg, 1980; Hanazato and Yasuno, 1985; Langeland et al., 1985; Hovenkamp, 1991). This was similar to the situation in Bautzen reservoir during the investigation period (mean temperature 14–19°C). We have no indication that D.galeata exhibits daily vertical migration in Bautzen reservoir [compare (Hülsmann et al., 1999)]. From calculated proportions of juveniles and adults and the estimated number of newborn daphnids since the last sampling date, a hypothetical (or potential) abundance of juvenile and adult daphnids at time ti+1 was calculated. The absolute mortality (ind. l–1) during the sampling intervals was estimated as the difference between the hypothetical and the actual abundance of juvenile and adult specimens of D.galeata at time ti + 1. Juvenile mortality also includes egg mortality. To evaluate the amount of juvenile and adult mortality in the population decline of D.galeata, the absolute cumulative mortality (ind. l–1), both of juvenile and adult Daphnia, was calculated and contrasted to cumulative hatching, starting on May 23 when the Daphnia population had stabilized at a high level. 155 S.Hülsmann and W.Weiler Sampling intervals with negative mortality values were not considered in this estimation (mortality was set to zero). Densities of D.galeata observed in the field at successive sampling dates, and calculated potential densities, were also used to compute the rate of population change, r, and the ‘potential’ rate of population change, r9: r = (ln Nti + 1, obs. – ln Nti, obs.)/∆t (day–1) (8) r9 = (ln Nti + 1, calc. – ln Nti, obs.)/∆t (day–1) (9) with Nti + 1, obs., Nti, obs. = observed abundance at ti + 1 and ti, respectively, and Nti + 1, calc. = calculated abundance at ti + 1. A mortality rate m (day–1) of juvenile, adult and total mortality was calculated by subtracting r from r9 which results in: m = (ln Nti + 1, calc. – ln Nti + 1, obs.)/∆t (day–1) (10) For comparison, the death rate, d, of D.galeata was also calculated as the difference between birth rate, b, and rate of population change, r, according to the egg ratio method (Paloheimo, 1974). Results In early May, a steep rise in abundance of D.galeata led to the maximum value of 130 ind. l–1 (Figure 1a). Until the middle of June, Daphnia densities fluctuated between 60 and 80 ind. l–1, followed by a sharp decline, which in a second phase continued gradually until July. Less than 10 ind. l–1 were found during the rest of our investigation period. SAM was high in May and early June; highest values (>1.5 mm) were recorded immediately before the decline. Simultaneously with the decrease in abundance, SAM declined to 0.8 mm in July (Figure 1b). Maximum size followed the same pattern with a slight delay. Until the decline, maximum size of daphnids was 1.8–2 mm although generally, there were only few ‘very large’ individuals. After the decline, daphnids >1.2 mm could only occasionally be found. The proportion of adults (PAD) reflected the dynamics in SAM; values were low (~0.1) if SAM was high but after the decline, PAD increased to 0.3–0.5 (Figure 1c). Clutch size drastically decreased in early May, increased at the beginning of June and fluctuated on a low level during the rest of our investigation period (Figure 1d). In the culture experiments, juvenile growth was low at the end of May but subsequently increased. Values remained high throughout June–July (Figure 2). A significant positive correlation was found between POC and juvenile growth (Figure 3). Calculated rates of juvenile mortality of D.galeata were low during the whole investigation period; negative estimates were even more numerous and higher than positive values (Figure 4a). Adult mortality rates fluctuated strongly in late May/early June and increased to 0.58 day–1 about 1 week before the Daphnia population crashed. Values remained high (maximum value 0.61 day–1) during the 156 Daphnia population decline Fig. 1. Temporal pattern in development of (a) abundance (ind. l–1), (b) size structure, (c) proportion of adults (PAD) and (d) clutch size (eggs per adult female) of D.galeata in Bautzen reservoir. In 1b, the crosses represent the length of the largest daphnids measured (largest 10% of total number measured) and the line represents size at maturity (SAM) (mm). decline. Mortality rates of adult daphnids, except for a few sampling intervals, remained at a comparatively high level throughout summer. With regard to total mortality of D.galeata, values were generally lower than adult mortality rates. Highest (maximum 0.31 day–1) rates were recorded during 157 S.Hülsmann and W.Weiler Fig. 2. Mean daily growth (mm d–1) of D.galeata in culture experiments plotted against the date when the experiment started. Fig. 3. Regression of mean daily growth (mm d–1) against POC <30 µm (mg l–1). the second phase of the decline (Figure 4b). The estimated values were almost identical to the death rate calculated according to the Paloheimo model. Despite low mortality rates, absolute values of juvenile mortality before the population decline were higher than adult mortality due to the high abundance of juvenile daphnids (Figure 5). Only during the first sampling interval of the decline (June 12–16) did absolute values of juvenile mortality equal adult 158 Daphnia population decline Fig. 4. Mortality rate (d–1) of (a) juvenile and adult Daphnia and (b) the whole population of D.galeata in Bautzen reservoir. In 4b, the death rate according to the Paloheimo-model is also shown. Note the different scaling of the y-axis in a and b. mortality but thereafter, juvenile mortality was virtually absent. Cumulative adult mortality drastically increased during the population decline of D.galeata. In July (at low Daphnia abundance), this increase diminished. Following maximum abundance, recruitment of D.galeata (assuming no egg mortality) was low in late May (Figure 5). About 1 week before the population decline, recruitment increased but was low again during the first sampling interval when Daphnia declined (June 12–16). After that, recruitment was low but continuous. In late July, cumulative mortality and recruitment increased with a similar slope; the Daphnia population had stabilized at a low level. Discussion In this study, we have shown that the decline of a population of D.galeata in Bautzen reservoir was caused mainly by enhanced mortality of adult daphnids, whereas juvenile mortality was low during the whole investigation period. Contrary to the general contention that non-predatory mortality of Daphnia is a direct consequence of low food conditions and primarily concerns juvenile stages, 159 S.Hülsmann and W.Weiler Fig. 5. Cumulative mortality (ind. l–1) of juvenile and adult Daphnia and cumulative recruitment of D.galeata in Bautzen reservoir, starting 10 days after the maximum abundance. we suppose that increasing mortality of adults as an indirect effect of low food conditions may be related to ageing of Daphnia populations. The observed patterns of Daphnia mortality gave little indication of direct effects of food limitation. If present at all, these should be restricted to the period May–beginning of June. At this time, the POC in the edible size fraction declined to <0.5 mg C l–1 and lowest values of fatty acids were recorded (Weiler et al., in preparation). Hence, food limitation is more likely to be a result of low quality than low quantity of edible particles. As we have no growth data before the middle of May, we can only speculate about the mortality pattern during the first sampling intervals of our field investigation. We suppose that during that time, starvation mortality of adult daphnids (at least, as an interaction with senescence, see below) might have occurred, as fecundity declined to very low values, thus indicating severe food limitation. Moreover, it is known that adult daphnids may adapt their feeding appendages to decreasing food conditions only with considerable time lags (Voigt and Benndorf, 1999). While the enlargement of the filtering area occurred very rapidly in small size classes of Daphnia during the clear-water stage, adults were at a higher risk of suffering from starvation as their filter combs were still adapted to high food conditions. When we started our culture experiments, mortality rates of juvenile daphnids were low, but present until the beginning of June. We suppose that this did not differ from the situation in early May. Starvation mortality is more likely for juvenile stages of Daphnia (Threlkeld, 1976), and low growth rates in late May indeed indicate low fitness [compare (Lampert and Trubetskova, 1996)]. Although virtually no mortality was observed during the growth experiments, somatic growth was clearly food-limited for a short time. However, juvenile growth, and hence fitness, increased well before the Daphnia population declined. Moreover, juvenile mortality decreased 160 Daphnia population decline during the decline and therefore contributed only marginally to the midsummer decline of D.galeata. Negative mortality of juveniles in June may be caused by hatching from resting eggs. In late July, on the other hand, negative values can be explained by the difference between sampling interval, ∆t and egg development time, D. Recruitment is underestimated if ∆t >D and in this case, results in negative mortality of juveniles (see below). Mortality of adults increased shortly before the population decline of D.galeata. At that time, SAM was still high and the proportion of adults was low. Thus, disproportionate loss of adults should have a great impact on the reproductive capacity of the Daphnia population. The sudden rise in Daphnia abundance occurred during one week in May. Hence, a great part of the population consisted of this ‘peak cohort’ and had about the same age. This was due to high fecundity and a sharp rise in water temperature, which reduced egg development time. We could show that fecundity and recruitment of D.galeata was low after the population had established a high abundance. Hence, the population did not rejuvenate to a great extent until the beginning of June. This was, however, not reflected in a rising proportion of adults. We suppose that ageing of the population is masked by high, and even increasing SAM immediately before the decline. Moreover, the method of determining SAM has its limits under conditions of severe food limitation, such that it may overestimate the size when individuals become adult (Stibor and Lampert, 1993). When adult mortality increased, the peak-cohort was 4–5 weeks old. Under conditions of food limitation, this might correspond to the mean life-span of D.galeata, as in life history trials with D.galeata under conditions of the clear-water stage, mean duration of life was 28 days (S.Hülsmann, unpublished results). This is in agreement with Threlkeld, who proposed an interaction between age-specific and starvationinduced mortality (Threlkeld, 1976). In contrast, Vijverberg (Vijverberg, 1976) reported that longevity of D.galeata at low food levels was >7 weeks (at 20°C). However, in this early study of Daphnia life history, as a measure of food quantity only chlorophyll was measured. Moreover, media were replaced only once per week. Thus, food conditions were probably underestimated because an unknown amount of bacteria was present (and probably growing) in the culture medium. In life history experiments with D.pulex, Lynch (Lynch, 1989) found that age-specific survival drastically decreased once the mean life-span (50 days at 0.5–1 mg C l–1, lower values at food carbon concentration <0.5 mg C l–1) was reached. There might also be an additional maternal effect, as maximum life span at low food was reduced in D.pulex when the mothers of the experimental generation were grown in high food conditions (Lynch and Ennis, 1983). This should have been similar for the mothers of the peak cohort. Thus, if mean life-span of the peak cohort of D.galeata matched the beginning of the decline, adult mortality might in part be due to senescence. The decline of the maximum size of individuals found in the population of D.galeata demonstrates the vanishing of the biggest, and thus oldest size classes during the decline. Voigt and Benndorf proposed yet another mechanism that might enhance adult mortality (Voigt and Benndorf, 1999). With their feeding appendages being adapted to low food conditions (filter combs dense and large), adult daphnids may not be able to cope 161 S.Hülsmann and W.Weiler with rising particle concentrations after the clear-water stage. Clogging of their filter combs and increased furca movements might lead to enhanced energy loss, resulting in reduced fitness and possibly, reduced mean life-span. Our finding that mainly adult mortality was responsible for the midsummer decline of D.galeata in Bautzen reservoir contrasts with several studies, where juvenile mortality was found to be decisive for the decline of Daphnia populations e.g. in Lago Maggiore (De Bernardi, 1974), Lake Vechten (Hovenkamp, 1989) and Lake Tjeukemeer (Boersma et al., 1996). In Lago Maggiore and Lake Vechten, invertebrate predators were considered to be responsible for the enhanced mortality of juvenile daphnids. Hovenkamp (Hovenkamp, 1990) could show that predation by Chaoborus and Leptodora accounted for total juvenile mortality of Daphnia in Lake Vechten for most of the sampling season, confirming results of Dodson (Dodson, 1972), who estimated >90% of Chaoborus predation in the mortality of D.rosea. However, in these studies, Daphnia densities were distinctly lower [(maximum values of ~10 ind. l–1 in Lago Maggiore (De Bernardi, 1974), ~30 ind. l–1 in Lake Vechten (Hovenkamp, 1989), ~20 ind. l–1 in Leechmere pond (Dodson, 1972)] than spring densities of D.galeata in Bautzen reservoir, where predation impact by invertebrate predators (mainly Leptodora kindtii) only contributed up to about 40% of Daphnia mortality in 1997 (A.Wagner, Inst. of Hydrobiology, unpublished results). In Lake Tjeukemeer, Daphnia abundance was comparable with, or even higher than in Bautzen reservoir and—another similarity—0+ fish are the main vertebrate zooplanktivores (Boersma et al., 1996). However, contrary to the results presented in this study, Boersma et al. computed the highest mortality for daphnids <1 mm (Boersma et al., 1996). As this could not be explained by 0+ fish consumption, they concluded that non-predatory sources of mortality, especially starvation, accounted for this high juvenile mortality. Boersma and Vijverberg (Boersma and Vijverberg, 1994a) showed that Daphnia in Lake Tjeukemeer was food-limited during most of the season. However, the significance of increasing mortality of D.galeata at decreasing food levels found in life-table experiments (Boersma and Vijverberg, 1994b) cannot be judged for the field situation. Fecundity and birth rates of D.galeata and the hybrid D.galeata 3 cucullata in Tjeukemeer were low prior to and during the midsummer decline (Boersma, 1995; Boersma and Vijverberg, 1995). This pattern, and also the phytoplankton succession in spring (dominance of diatoms) and summer (dominance of blue-greens), was similar in Tjeukemeer and in Bautzen reservoir (Boersma and Vijverberg, 1995; Böing et al., 1998). Hence, the contradictory results of Boersma et al. (Boersma et al., 1996) and this study concerning size-selective mortality are unlikely to be caused by bottom-up factors. They might, however, at least in part, be explained by different computation of Daphnia growth. Obviously, this is crucial for the estimates. Boersma et al. used laboratory derived data on juvenile growth, established a ratio between SAM and the maximum size of daphnids, and computed growth of animals in the field using a von Bertalanffy equation (Boersma et al., 1996). In their model, small SAM (determined in field samples) reduced somatic growth. In contrast, we found the highest growth rates of D.galeata after the decline in SAM. No information concerning the relationship between SAM and juvenile growth is 162 Daphnia population decline available from other studies. However, as the number of juvenile instars is not fixed but depends on food availability (Boersma and Vijverberg, 1994b), juvenile growth is retarded at low food conditions (Neill, 1981; Lynch, 1989; Gliwicz and Lampert, 1990), and high SAM can result from both good and bad food conditions (McCauley et al., 1990), the proposed relation between juvenile growth and SAM may not be as clear as assumed. If it is supposed that Boersma et al. underestimated growth, mortality of small size classes would be overestimated in their study, and vice versa for large size classes (Boersma et al., 1996). In this study, the highest mortality rates of adult daphnids (>0.5 day–1) mean that many more adults died during the sampling interval than were present at the beginning of the interval. This implies that most daphnids that become adult during this sampling interval die. However, it is also possible that animals that (due to our growth data) were about to become adult during a sampling interval died before they actually became adult. In this sense, a part of adult mortality may actually be mortality of late juvenile instars. However, this possible mechanism may be counteracted by a possible overestimation of SAM and even if this is not the case, we still have no indication that the smallest juvenile instars died preferentially. This is consistent with the results of McCauley et al. (McCauley et al., 1990). Recently, the contention that there is a generally higher vulnerability of cladoceran juveniles, compared with adults, to starvation and crowding [also implied by (Boersma et al., 1996)] has been questioned by the results of Matveev and Gabriel (Matveev and Gabriel, 1994), who found that demographic mechanisms vary between species. Low fecundity of Daphnia populations prior to their decline has frequently been reported (Threlkeld, 1985; Tessier, 1986; Luecke et al., 1990; Wu and Culver, 1994) and attributed to depletion of food resources (Lampert et al., 1986; Sommer et al., 1986; Tessier, 1986). However, this causal connection could not be drawn for the situation in Bautzen reservoir (Mehner et al., 1998a). Due to high phosphorus loading (Benndorf, 1995), the POC <30 µm (see above) is always above threshold concentrations for Daphnia reproduction known from other systems (Gliwicz and Lampert, 1990). However, we found high correlations of fatty acid food components with birth rate of D.galeata in the lower concentration range in 1997 (Weiler et al., in preparation). We therefore conclude that bottom-up limitation (either quantitative or qualitative) of Daphnia fecundity is indeed a prerequisite for a midsummer decline. However, in accordance with Tessier (Tessier, 1986), we infer that the effects of starvation of Daphnia on the initiation of a midsummer decline only act indirectly and with time lags; ageing of the population leads to increased mortality of adults, but animals do not starve to death (neither juveniles nor adults). Later in July, low clutch size can no longer be attributed to food shortage. As clutch size is also a function of body size, it must be low after SAM drastically decreased. Interestingly, adult mortality of D.galeata remained high during the second phase of the decline and even later in July, when the population had stabilized at a low level. However, it was found in several other studies of midsummer declines of daphnids, that predation by fish, especially 0+ fish (assumed to be size-selective), although not strong enough to cause the decline, may further decrease 163 S.Hülsmann and W.Weiler Daphnia abundance and keep it at a low level (Luecke et al., 1990; Wu and Culver, 1994). This was also confirmed by our own results in Bautzen reservoir (Hülsmann and Mehner, 1997; Mehner et al., 1998a). Invertebrate predators in this situation may also contribute to the suppression of daphnids (De Stasio et al., 1995). This is not necessarily contradictory to our finding that exclusively adult daphnids suffered high mortality. As SAM of D.galeata declined to 0.8 mm, Leptodora kindtii, the only significant invertebrate predator in Bautzen reservoir at that time, may well be selective for adult daphnids (Lunte and Luecke, 1990), although this species is generally considered to prey on small organisms. In Bautzen reservoir, 0+ percids are considered to be important planktivorous predators (Mehner et al. 1996, 1998a). Their consumption and size selection in 1997 will be considered in a forthcoming paper. One major prerequisite for applying our approach is that the sampling interval has to be shorter than (or equal to) egg development time. Otherwise, recruitment and hence, mortality of daphnids will be underestimated, and juvenile mortality will be negative (as was the case in the second half of July). Meeting this requirement also ensures that hatched daphnids will not become adult during the sampling interval and hence, that their growth does not need to be considered. However, analysis of population dynamics based on the egg ratio technique will only give reliable results if the sampling interval is more or less equal to egg development time (Keen and Nasser, 1981; Gabriel et al., 1987), which implies that the sampling interval has to be adjusted to prevailing temperatures in the water under study. Another requirement to obtain reliable population dynamics estimates is the accurate determination of population densities. This point has been stressed in many studies (Lynch, 1982, 1983; Taylor, 1988) and was considered in our investigation by using pooled samples, both horizontally and vertically. However, in so doing we were unable to consider the influence of vertical differences in temperature and distribution of Daphnia on egg development time and growth, but as temperature gradients were low according to our own measurements [see also (Benndorf and Henning, 1989; Köhler, 1992)], only marginal effects can be expected. Our method of determining juvenile growth rate of D.galeata did not consider the influence of temperature. This might be acceptable, as in former studies only minor effects were found in the temperature range present during our investigation (Vijverberg, 1980; Hanazato and Yasuno, 1985; Hovenkamp 1991), though uncertainties remain. During our study, mean water temperature of Bautzen reservoir was lower (14–16°C) than in the growth experiments until June 9 and hence, application of growth rates to field data up to that date remains somewhat uncertain. If growth in situ was lower than estimated in the laboratory, our estimated theoretical abundance of adults and hence, mortality would be too high and vice versa for the juveniles. However, during severe food limitation [which might have been the case at the end of May, (Weiler et al. in preparation)], juvenile development of Daphnia may be retarded at increasing temperatures (Neill, 1981), so growth in situ might also have been better than estimated in the laboratory (at higher temperatures). In this case, estimated theoretical 164 Daphnia population decline abundance of adults and hence, mortality would be underestimated and vice versa for the juveniles. Therefore, no attempt to correct our growth data to actual temperatures in Bautzen reservoir was made. If our approach should be applied to Daphnia populations confronted with a much wider temperature range in the environment or under conditions of vertical migration [compare (Loose and Dawidowicz, 1994)], experimental expense in Daphnia cultures would have to be enhanced, at best, similar to the design of Stich and Lampert (Stich and Lampert, 1984). Another possible source of error is the elimination of inedible particles by filtering the lake seston with a 30 µm mesh gauze. Filtration of daphnids in the field might be hindered by the inedible seston fraction, resulting in energy loss and/or lower energy intake and consequently decreased growth compared with culture animals. Further, as lake water was only sampled twice per week, the lake seston was ageing before being offered to the daphnids. Therefore, food conditions might have been better than in the field. If, via food or temperature effects, mortality of adults was overestimated, our conclusion that primary adult mortality was important, would be questionable. However, our growth estimates can be considered as realistic compared with results from the literature (Stich and Lampert, 1984; Langeland et al., 1985) and the development of the Daphnia population structure fits our explanations. ‘Hard’ proof of our conclusion would be possible using sediment traps. Unfortunately, no data for the critical period are available for 1997. In summary, we conclude that the succession of events leading to a midsummer decline of Daphnia is as follows. (i) A quick increase in Daphnia abundance leads to the formation of a strong ‘peak cohort’ of about the same age. (ii) During the clear-water phase, food conditions deteriorate, fecundity declines and hence, recruitment is low; juvenile mortality during this period is low, but present. (iii) Adult mortality increases when the ‘peak cohort’ reaches its mean life-span, which is reduced due to interactions between age-specific and starvation-induced mortality. At this point, Daphnia population dynamics can no longer be explained without the onset of size-selective predation. Hence, the timing between enhanced mortality due to senescence on the one hand and predation on the other hand, both directed to adult daphnids, may be decisive. 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