Higher Statistics – Homework 1 US Election Special (written Tue 8th November 2016) This homework covers: Types of data, Frequency table, Bar chart, Stem and leaf, Histogram, Box plot, Outlier, Mean, Median, Interquartile Range, Standard Deviation 1. Look at the data below, about the US election (a) (b) (c) (d) Is each voter’s choice of candidate qualitative or quantitative data? Is the number of polls that favour Clinton quantitative continuous or quantitative discrete? Is the average percentage chosing Clinton quantitative continuous or quantitative discrete? All the polls asked the same question (“Who will you vote for?”) but they didn’t all get the same result. Speculate why this might be. (e) Which poll do you think is the most accurate? Give a reason why. 2. For the last ten US elections this has been the turnout, in percent (most recent first): 55, 57, 56, 50, 49, 55, 50, 53, 53, 54 (a) Calculate the mean, median and mode percentage turnout (b) Calculate the standard deviation (c) What would the percentage turnout need to be in this year’s election for you to consider it unusually high, or unusually low? Higher Statistics 2016/17 1 Dr.Hamilton (HSOG) 3. The table below shows the age on becoming president 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 (a) (b) (c) (d) (e) George Washington John Adams Thomas Jefferson James Madison James Monroe John Quincy Adams Andrew Jackson Martin Van Buren William Harrison John Tyler James Polk Zachary Taylor Millard Fillmore Franklin Pierce James Buchanan Abraham Lincoln Andrew Johnson Ulyssses S Grant Rutherford Hayes James Garfield Chester Arthur Grover Cleveland Benjamin Harrison Grover Cleveland William McKinley Theodore Roosevelt William Taft Woodrow Wilson Warren Harding Calvin Coolidge Herbert Hoover Franklin Roosevelt Harry Truman Dwight Eisenhower John F Kennedy Lyndon Johnson Richard Nixon Gerald Ford Jimmy Carter Ronald Reagan George Bush Senior Bill Clinton George W Bush Barack Obama Years President 1789-1797 1797-1801 1801-1809 1809-1817 1817-1825 1825-1829 1829-1837 1837-1841 1841-1841 1841-1845 1845-1849 1849-1850 1850-1853 1853-1857 1857-1861 1861-1865 1865-1869 1869-1877 1877-1881 1881-1881 1881-1885 1885-1889 1889-1893 1893-1897 1897-1901 1901-1909 1909-1913 1913-1921 1921-1923 1923-1929 1929-1933 1933-1945 1945-1953 1953-1961 1961-1963 1963-1969 1969-1974 1974-1977 1977-1981 1981-1989 1989-1993 1993-2001 2001-2009 2009- Age on becoming president 57 61 57 57 58 59 61 58 68 51 49 64 50 48 65 52 56 46 54 49 51 55 55 63 54 42 51 56 65 50 54 51 60 62 43 55 56 60 55 59 64 46 54 48 Plot the Age on Becoming President in a Steam and Leaf diagram Grouping the ages in 10s, plot the Age on Becoming President in a histogram Find the mean, median and mode Age on Becoming President Find the upper and lower quartiles, and the semi-interquartile range Make a box and whisker plot of the Age on Becoming President Higher Statistics 2016/17 2 Dr.Hamilton (HSOG) (f) Suppose Donald Trump’s team found that Barack Obama was actually just 28 on becoming president (thus being ineligible, as the minimum age is 35). Without doing any calculation, how would this affect the mean, median and mode Age on Becoming President 4. The map below shows the number of Electoral College votes each state has. A presidential candidate needs to win 270 votes to win the election. (a) State the minimum and maximum votes per state (b) By looking at the data alone, which states could be considered outliers? 5. Donald Trump’s catchphrase is “Make America Great Again” The number of times he says this each day is normally distributed with a mean of 20 and a variance of 25 (a) (b) (c) (d) What is the standard deviation? What is the likelihood of him saying it 30 or more times? What is the likelihood of him saying it 20 or less times? Sketch a graph showing this distribution Optional extra question 6. Can you trust poll results? (a) Read http://www.quickanddirtytips.com/education/math/how-to-use-statistics-tounderstand-poll-results (b) Summarise what it says, in one short paragraph Higher Statistics 2016/17 3 Dr.Hamilton (HSOG)
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