China's Future Signals: Looking Ahead 2-5 years Health Improving Intelligence & Technology China Skinny 14 April 2014 Table of Contents Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................................. 3 1. Introduction .................................................................................................... ............................. ........................ 5 2. China's Pressing Health Issues ............................................................................................................................ 6 3. Government Health Reform .................................................................................................................................. 9 4. China's Urban Phenomenon ................................................................................................................................. 10 5. Consumer Health Intelligence & Tech Opportunities ............................................................................................. 13 5.1 The Growing Waistlines ..................................................................................................................................... 14 5.2 Getting Healthy Through Exercise ..................................................................................................................... 15 5.3 The Precious Only Child .................................................................................................................................... 17 5.4 China's Greying Population ............................................................................................................................... 18 5.5 That Pollution Problem ...................................................................................................................................... 19 6. Government and Business Health Intelligence & Tech Opportunities .................................................................. 20 6.1 Medical Equipment Made Better ....................................................................................................................... 22 6.2 Providing for the Affluent ................................................................................................................................... 23 7. The Last Word ...................................................................................................................................................... 24 Executive Summary This report follows the 10 Future China Signals analysis delivered to Tekes in March 2014. It documents further investigations into the selected signal, Health Improving Technology and Intelligence. This is a wide-reaching topic and China Skinny has focused on just direct health-related products. Many of the insights and examples in this report should act as a stimulus for further innovation and ideas. China is not a healthy place to live. 99 percent of China’s urban residents breathe air considered unsafe by EU standards. Research into the chronic air pollution has concluded that if smog persists, China’s agriculture and horticulture will suffer conditions “somewhat similar to a nuclear winter.” The Government is focused on fixing pollution problems, pledging 350 billion Euro for improvements over the next five years. Nevertheless, consumption of coal, the biggest contributor to China’s pollution, still grew 2.5 percent in 2013, indicating that the region will be plagued with pollution for some time yet. Air pollution contributed to 1.2 million deaths in China in 2012. It has driven lung cancer deaths to rise 400 percent in 30 years, increased the number of Asthma suffers by 40 percent in the past five years, led to premature birth rates growing at 1 percent a year and contributed to low fertility rates. Unfortunately, air pollution isn’t China's only environmental issue. 90 percent of Chinese cities’ groundwater is polluted to some degree and almost two thirds is severely polluted, feeding into all parts of the supply chain. In addition, 15 percent of arable land suffers from chronic soil pollution. 65 percent of fertilizer is used incorrectly in China. The country's farms are predominantly made of millions of peasant farmers, making it difficult to educate and enforce production standards across the country's vast supply chains. Even if China’s environment was spotless, and farmers educated, China’s rampant corruption would still effect the country's food safety and health. Scandals such as the 2008 Melamine crisis, which saw 300,000 babies fall ill, has contributed to a lack of trust in China’s food supply. Awareness of the mainland's poor state of health has risen significantly in recent years due to widespread adoption of the Internet and social media and an increasingly state transparent media. Health is now the top concern for wealthy Chinese consumers, air and water pollution are the two fastest growing concerns for Chinese, more than 80 percent of Chinese have purchased vitamins and health supplements, and health is one of the main drivers behind China’s high saving rates. China’s aging population and treasured only child are contributing to growing demand for health products and services. 73 percent of Chinese consumers are willing to pay a premium for products that they deem are healthier. The Government’s contribution to health has been historically low, however between 2009 and 2013 they spent more than 267 billion Euro on health reforms. This has led to 95 percent of consumers being covered by basic health insurance and individuals paying for 36 percent of their health expenses, down from 56 percent in 2009. However, Chinese consumers are still generally dissatisfied with public health, contributing to a long history of self care which is driving demand for consumer-focused health solutions. China’s urbanisation rate has grown from 18.5 percent in 1979 to more than 53 percent in 2014. Urban lifestyles have created a new slew of health issues such as stress from overwork. A change of diets has risen diabetes rates by 22 million to 114 million in six years and grown obesity rates 20 percent since 2010. However, urban migration has been the main contributor to China’s growing wealth. Urban incomes are three and a half times higher than those in rural areas. Urban households in China are forecast to grow from 256 million to 357 million between 2012 and 2022, and the share of affluent and upper middle class households will grow from 17 percent to 63 percent. The affluent are more health sensitive than price sensitive, driving demand for premium health products. Consumer-Targeted Health Solutions China’s massive population makes niche groups significant markets in themselves. Obesity is a growing health concern in China. This is represented by the 15.4 percent annualised growth in Weight Management products and services between 2007 and 2012. Food technology solutions such as Hamkintatukku Oy’s kidney bean extract that absorbs carbohydrates is an example of an ideal product for urban consumers in this category as it is convenient, simple, transportable and ‘natural’. To stay healthy, Chinese consumers are increasingly opting for exercise, with the number of 20-69 year olds who do intensive exercise rising by 15 percent between 2007 and 2013. Finnish sports equipment and apparel companies such as Suunto, Amer Sports and Polar Electro, are well placed to collaborate with Finland’s world class mobile telephony ecosystems to create tools such as wearable technology. This type of technology will be popular in China as it will help improve confidence of many consumers who are not overly familiar with physical activities. It will allow them to share their ‘cool’ exercise on social media, and create milestones and targets that will help grow the platform virally and create potential advertising platforms. With most Chinese families only having one precious child, doted on by two parents and often four sets of grandparents, children’s health is of utmost importance. There are significant opportunities for paediatric health technologies firms such as Medixine. Health manufacturers should consider Chinese parent traits, such as ‘helicopter’ parenting, and incorporate tracking and monitoring functionality. China’s pensioner population has grown 50.7 percent over the past five years to 484 million. However pensioners are generally poorer than younger urban Chinese, and are less likely to demand premium imported health products. Examples of premium products that could find success in the old age category include variations of Finnish health products such as Beddit that enable monitoring of pensioner health to be tracked remotely by their wealthy children. Pollution protection is a fast growing industry in China, with respiratory products having some of the highest consumer demand. Finnish respiratory companies such as Arc Dia should look to integrate smart, connected technologies into products, to meet rising consumer expectations. Government and Business Targeted Health Solutions Government health departments remain the owners and managers of public hospitals, which provide 90 percent of outpatient and inpatient services in China. However, changes in Government policy will see private businesses playing a more significant role in offering healthcare services. Medical facility visits and inpatients are growing at double-digit rates in China. This is driving increasing demand for medical equipment, which grew 17.9 percent annually 2008 to 2013 to 7.7 billion Euro. During this period health equipment imports, while growing 18.6 percent per annum, has decreased as a portion of total products. This is mainly attributed to local manufacturers creating higher end products. Basic health products account for the largest share of spending in China's health industry. There are opportunities for Finnish companies such as Remote A to make basic products smarter and more efficient, to reduce the workload for busy doctors and provide better customer experiences. Products that create Government intelligence for monitoring and controlling Chinese will also find favour with the key customers. Higher-tier Chinese cities are becoming increasingly serviced by premium hospitals with some of the most expensive fees in the world. They are providing for China's fast growing affluent classes who are not prepared to fight through the crowds at public facilities. Government policy relaxing foreign ownership rules and fee caps will see more facilities competing for the growing health-concerned wealthy demographic. This will increase the incentive to provide outstanding service and equipment. Finnish companies most likely to succeed in this market will include brands such as Planmeca who adapt to provide Medical equipment that is customer-centric and integrates with patient smartphones to improve the overall experience. China's worsening health environment and rising wealth present significant opportunities in China's health market between now and 2019. In both the B2C and B2B segments, Finnish companies that innovate and integrate online platforms such as smartphones are most likely to realise the significant opportunities from the Chinese health market. 1. Introduction This report is a follow up to the 10 Future Signal Forecasts provided to Tekes in March 2014. Following the initial forecasts, Tekes recognised the vital importance of health in Mainland China and its relevance to Tekes recently started Proactive Heath programme. They selected the topic of Health Improving Technology and Intelligence for further study, which has resulted in this report. Health Improving Technology and Intelligence is a wide reaching topic in China. Everything from food safety to water purification to pollution protection and monitoring could be included in this discussion. For the purposes of this report, China Skinny has focused just on direct health-related products in China, which is a substantial subject in itself. Nevertheless, many of the insights and examples in this report should act as a stimulus for further innovation and ideas. In each category, there is a section explaining the Takeouts from the Product that Make it Appealing to the Chinese Market. This section should provide insights into purchase behaviour and motivations that can be applied across numerous categories for wider health tech product development and beyond. We trust Tekes and the intended audience receives value from the following report, and hope this is the start of long and productive relationship between Tekes and China Skinny. 2. China's Pressing Health Issues China is not a healthy place to live. Following another period of heavy smog in Beijing in January 2013, analysts compared Beijing's levels of PM2.5 pollution - the airborne particulate matter than raises risks for lung and heart diseases, with the air quality in 16 airport smoking lounges in the U.S. For the first 30 days of January, Beijing's level was 16 percent worse. Unlike smoking lounges, where users finish their smoke and leave as soon as possible, Beijing residents were surrounded by the pollution 24/7. 13 Beijing Beijing 90.1 14 Wuhan Hubei 88.7 646 339 15 Chengdu Sichuan 86.3 374 16 Wulumuqi Xinjiang 85.2 387 383 17 Hefei Anhui 84.9 18 Taizhou Jiangsu 80.9 474 19 Huai’An Jiangsu 80.8 513 20 Changsha Hunan 79.1 325 China is home to 16 of the world's 20 most polluted cities. 99 percent of urban residents breathe air considered unsafe by EU standards. Chinese Urban Residents Breathing Clean Air A report released in February 2014 by the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences, concluded that Beijing's pollution is almost "uninhabitable for human beings". The air pollution has become so toxic in the city, that many Beijing schools do not allow pupils outside during school hours. Some of the wealthier schools have resorted to building airpurified domes where kids can play during their breaks. Whilst Beijing is the city best known for China's pollution problems, there are 12 cities more polluted in China. Table 1: China's Most Polluted Cities Rank City Province Average PM2.5 Highest PM2.5 1 Xingtai Hebei 155.2 688 2 Shijiazhuang Hebei 148.5 676 3 Baoding Hebei 127.9 675 4 Handan Hebei 127.8 662 5 Hengshui Hebei 120.6 712 6 Tangshan Hebei 114.2 497 7 Jinan Shandong 114.0 490 8 Langfang Hebei 113.8 772 9 Xi’an Shaanxi 104.2 598 10 Zhengzhou Henan 102.4 422 11 Tianjin Tianjin 95.6 394 12 Cangzhou Hebei 93.6 380 The Far-Reaching Affects of China's Pollution China's chronic air pollution is not only effecting human health, but considerable elements of China's ecosystem. Research from the China Agriculture University suggests that if smog persists, China's agriculture and horticulture will suffer conditions "somewhat similar to a nuclear winter." The inability of China's crops to photosynthesize will have catastrophic effects on the world's food supply chains. China's Pollution Isn't Going Away Until Long After 2019 58 percent of Beijing's PM2.5 pollution can be tracked back to coal combustion in the power, steel, cement and brick industries, according to a Greenpeace study. Leading into 2013, China's pollution problems became a major concern for both the Chinese Government and consumers. Environment improvement is a key pillar in China's current 12th Five Year Plan, with 350 billion Euro budgeted for environmental protection. Regardless, even with such focus, coal consumption in China still rose 2.5 percent in China in 2013. China's Pollution Isn't Just Isolated to the Air China's cities' groundwater is far from ideal. 90 percent of groundwater is polluted to some degree, with almost two thirds severely polluted. China's Air Pollution is Affecting China's Health Air pollution contributed to 1.2 million deaths in China in 2012 alone. 1983 2013 Lung cancer deaths have grown 400 percent in the past three decades. In late-2013, an 8-year old girl in China was diagnosed with lung cancer, believed to be caused by pollution. The number of Asthma suffers in China have grown 40% in the past five years, with some cities having rates as high as 11 percent Premature births are increasing at 1% a year. 1,172,300 babies were born prematurely in China in 2012, about 10 percent of all births. Two thirds of deposits in Shanghai's largest sperm bank don't meet WHO standards. Pollution is the leading cause of infertility. 7 The polluted water feeds into almost all parts of the food supply chain, from the crop irrigation, to the water that washes the crops, machinery and dishes, to much of what is drunken. In addition to the air and water, more than 15 percent of China's arable land suffers from chronic soil pollution. It is no surprise that 58 percent of Chinese consumers rated environmental quality as important when buying food, versus 29 percent in Britain. The Environment Isn't All To Blame Chinese food production has traditionally been grown by individual peasant farmers on small plots of land. These farmers are often poorly educated about farming techniques and their sheer number and dispersion makes raising awareness of correct farming practices and changing habits difficult. 65 percent of fertiliser is used incorrectly in China and 9 million hectares of arable land are affected by the overuse of pesticides in China. In Guangdong in 2013, 44 percent of rice contained excessive levels of carcinogenic cadmium. In 2008, the average dairy farm in China had three cows, with many farmers pumping their stock fill of penicillin hoping it will help their animal's health. With farmers so vastly distributed and undereducated, it is difficult to change and monitor their habits for safe farming practices. China's Corruption Issues with Health Even if China's environment was spotless, and farmers educated, the unfortunate reality is that the health of food would still be vastly effected by the corruption seeping into all levels in China. In April 2013, trust in domestic meat plummeted in China, with rat and ferret meat being sold as fake lamb and beef, rotten fish packaged and sold, diseased pigs washing up in the Huangpu River, and the H7N9 Birdflu virus in poultry. Toxic “thousand year old” eggs, steroid-filled exploding watermelons, bean sprouts bleached using banned chemicals, toxic beer additives and of course the infamous melamine milk scandal in 2008 which saw 300,000 babies fall ill are but a few examples of corruption in China's food supply chains. News in China was once the realm of state-run radio, newspapers and television. With full control of these channels, the state could communicate and educate the population inline with their agenda. Then the Internet and social media were introduced to China. These gave Chinese consumers a voice, and they took advantage of it. At the beginning of 2014, over 90 percent of China's 618 million Internet users had used social media in the past six months, versus around fifty percent in Finland. This didn't just raise Chinese consumers' awareness of health issues, but also obliged the state media to be more transparent on the subject. The increasing awareness is also coupled with China's ever more educated population. An estimated 195 million Mainland Chinese will hold a Bachelor's Degree by 2020. Increased knowledge of the health risks of living in China is driving demand for many aspects of health, from products to services, from consumers to businesses and Government. Some key indicators of perceptions about health in China: • Health is the top concern for wealthy Chinese consumers; • Air pollution and water pollution are the two fastest growing concerns for Chinese consumers; Increasing Awareness of Health Issues • In recent years, Chinese consumers' awareness of environment, food safety and health issues has increased significantly. More than 80% of Chinese have purchased vitamins & health supplements; • Health is one of the main drivers behind China's high savings rates; 8 • China’s pensioners have grown 50.7% in five years to 484 million; • With just one child to provide for them in the future, parents take no chances where possible; and • 73% of Chinese consumers are willing to pay a premium for products that they deem are healthier. 3. Government Health Reform The Chinese Government has a long history of underinvestment in China's health system. In 2009, China had 20 percent of the world's population, but its health expenditure accounted for just 3 percent of the world's total. The Chinese Government contributed to 24.7 percent of the country's total expenditure, far below the 75 percent average of developed countries, and less than half of the 55 percent of developing countries. As a result, 56 percent of China's health care cost was born by individuals. The remainder is covered by profits from activities such as medicine sales. In 2009, the Chinese Government pledged to bring universal health to all. Between 2009 to 2013, it spent more than 2.3 trillion RMB (267 billion Euro) on its health reform. The percentage of Chinese covered by health insurance surged from 30 percent in 2003 to 95 percent of China's population by 2011. However the overwhelming majority’s coverage is basic health insurance coverage for illness, injury or problems with childbirth – although this is significantly more basic than coverage in countries like Finland. By the end of 2013, individuals were paying just 36 percent of China's health care from their pockets. Hospital bed utilisation increased from 36 percent to 88 percent. 9 Despite the universal coverage and a seemingly rosy picture for China’s inpatients and outpatients, public dissatisfaction with the health service is growing. One of the indicators of the public’s frustration is demonstrated by the average number of attacks on medical staff per hospital, which increased from 20.6 to 27.3 per year between 2006 and 2012. A survey released by Horizon Research in 2013 found 81 percent of survey respondents said it was difficult to see a doctor, and more than 57 percent said it was more difficult than four years earlier. 20 percent said it was easier. 95 percent believed it was expensive to seek care, with 87 percent claiming the cost was higher than four years earlier. Chinese consumers’ lack of faith in the public health system has seen them have a long history of self-care awareness, driving demand for consumer-focused health solutions. The aforementioned awareness around health is strongest amongst China's urban areas, where the vast majority of the demand for health-type products is originating. 4. China's Urban Phenomenon In 1979 when China began their economic reforms, the urbanisation rate was 18.5 percent. 35 years later, more than 53 percent of Chinese live in cities. A population almost twice the size of Helsinki's migrates from rural areas to cities every month in China and around 60 percent of Chinese are expected to live in cities by 2019. Urban Lifestyles are Contributing to China's Changing Health Dynamics Changes in lifestyle as a result of urban living are influencing the state of health in China. Busy lives, changing diets and more sedentary lifestyles have rapidly created a new slew of health concerns amongst China's urbanites. 75% of Chinese workers felt more stressed in 2012 than 2011. 70% of white collar workers suffer from overwork. Changing diets have led diabetes rates to rise by 22 million to 114 million between 2007 and 2013. There are almost as many diabetics in China as people in Japan! Changing Trends for Urban Chinese Consumer Behaviour Related to Health Urban Chinese consumers are generally better educated, more aware of health issues, and more likely to have the means and intent to purchase premium health related products and services from Finland. In developing health-related products and services for individual consumers, businesses and Government it is important to consider trends for the ultimate end customer - urban Chinese consumers - and provide for these changing needs. Rising Wealth in China's Cities Urban areas have contributed the lion's share of wealth growth in China. Urban Chinese earn more than three and a half times the income of rural Chinese and their incomes are growing faster. They spend more than double on food and beverage and health related purchases. Chart 1: China's Urban & Rural Income Growth 2006-2019 11% of Chinese aged 20-39 were obese in mid-2013. Obesity rates have grown 20% since 2010. SOURCE: NATIONAL BUREAU OF STATISTICS 10 Chart 2: China's Affluent Urban Households 2012-2022 percent of households in 2012 to 63 percent in 2022. Their share of urban private consumption will grow from 31 percent in 2012 to 81 percent in 2022. Although Chinese consumers are inherently price-conscious, with health becoming such a concern, it is one of the categories that they are least price sensitive. As they become more affluent, they are more prepared to pay for premium health-related products and services. This trend is illustrated in health and wellness spending overall as indicated in Chart 3. Chart 3: Chinese Consumer Health & Wellness Spending SOURCE: MCKINSEY Chart 2 illustrates just how quickly and radically the makeup of Chinese urban consumer households are changing. Not only will the number of households grow from 256 million to 357 million between 2012 and 2022, but the portion of affluent ( >229,000RMB / €26,550 in 2012 real terms) and upper middle class (106,000 - 229,000RMB / €12,29026,550) households will grow from 17 11 SOURCE: EUROMONITOR The first section of this report has established: Why Chinese consumers are so health conscious; The environmental, production, corruption and urban migration effects on China's growing health concerns; Awareness of health issues are rising; and Increasing urban incomes are enabling more Chinese consumers to purchase premium products and services in the health category. Consumer spending trends are indicative of growth in the health industry. The following section outlines how future consumer health needs can be serviced by technology and intelligence created by Finnish companies. 12 5.Consumer Health Intelligence & Tech Opportunities China's massive population make niche groups significant markets in themselves. China Skinny has identified segments where Finnish businesses are already leaders in their field. Many of these categories are market niches, making them an accessible scale for many Finnish businesses. 13 5.1 The Growing Waistlines BACKGROUND: China's obesity rates are low compared with countries like the USA. However, rapid changes to more American-style diets of processed and high sugar and sodium foods, coupled with increasingly sedentary white collar urban lifestyles and one child doted on by six adults, obesity is growing at an alarming rate. Obesity rates grew at 20 percent between 2010 and 2013. Being overweight in China is less accepted than in many Western countries. Females are especially under pressure to remain thin and look good, and spend a significant portion of their incomes doing so. MARKET INDICATORS: Sales of Weight Management health products and services in China grew 15.4 percent a year between 2007 and 2012. Although annual growth is expected to slow to 7.9 percent between 2013 an 2017, the market is forecast to be valued at 10 billion RMB (1.2 billion Euro) by 2017. Chart 4: Weight Management Sales in China OPPORTUNITIES FOR FINLAND: There are unlimited opportunities for technology solutions to assist with weight loss, however one particular area where Finland has demonstrated leadership is in the food technology field. Hankintatukku Oy has created innovative products like the Figurel Low Carb, a kidney bean extract supplement that blocks absorption of carbohydrates when consumed with food. TAKEOUTS FROM THE PRODUCT THAT MAKE IT APPEALING TO THE CHINESE MARKET: Urban Chinese consumers are busy people. 70 percent of white collar workers suffer from overwork, and products that are fast and convenient ways to deal with problems are likely to have the most appeal. By 2019, this will only increase. Convenience stores grew 19.5 percent in 2013, the fastest growing retail category in China, with the exception of online shopping. Sales of Chewing gum doubled between 2009 and 2013. The product is marketed as an oral hygiene product, but grew much faster than the oral hygiene segment overall mainly because it is an simple, transportable and convenient way to improve oral hygiene for busy urban dwellers. Health products such as Hankintatukku's that are convenient and easy to use are likely to hold the most appeal with China's urban consumers. Natural products are also popular. Finnish product development teams should take this into account, not just for food technology products, but for many health tech categories. 14 5.2 Getting Healthy Exercise Through Chinese consumers are still a relatively inactive population. Just 49.2 percent of Chinese exercised in the past year. However as they become more aware of their health, they are increasingly turning to exercise as a way to stay healthy. As illustrated in Chart 5, health, sports and sharing are considered the top five applications for wearable tech. Chinese consumer's love of gadgets and the social capital gained by having the latest tech accessory means that wearable technology is likely to be a key driver in China's exercise and fitness industry. Chart 5: Wearable Tech Applications The number of Chinese aged between 20-69 who do intensive exercise at least three times a week rose by 15 percent between 2007 and 2013 to 32.7 percent. MARKET INDICATORS: Although Sports Nutrition is China's smallest consumer health category, it grew the fastest between 2008 and 2013, averaging 16.3 percent a year to total 346 million RMB (40 million Euro) in 2013. This growth represents an overall increasing interest in sports health in China which is likely to continue beyond 2019. OPPORTUNITIES FOR FINLAND: With China's soaring smartphone penetration, and openness to wearable technology, there are plenty of opportunities for Finnish companies to capitalise on its strengths. Sports equipment and apparel sectors such as Suunto, Amer Sports and Polar Electro, could collaborate with its world class mobile telephony ecosystems to create tools that will appeal to the sporting Chinese. Although wearable technology is still in its infancy, a recent Baidu survey discovered 93 percent of Chinese Internet users were aware of wearable technology, with 75 percent willing to purchase. 15 TAKEOUTS FROM THE PRODUCT THAT MAKE IT APPEALING TO THE CHINESE MARKET: As kids, Chinese don't play sports with the same frequency and enthusiasm as they do in the West. There are fewer facilities for physical activities and parents place much more emphasis on education and homework, with free time often taken up by activities such as piano and violin lessons. For that reason, Chinese consumers are less confident in their approach to physical activity. Assistance and measurement from technology whether it is wearable tech, smartphone apps, or most likely, a combination, will improve confidence and education around physical activities. Many Chinese look to physical activity as a Western lifestyle choice, considering it 'cool' and even aspirational. This means the ability to share exercise on social media with friends and family, provides social capital for users, which should be integrated into tools. Chinese consumers also love offers and promotions - just look at the success of Single's Day online shopping festival. This can be translated into reward systems for physical milestones and targets, integrated into wearable technologies. It provides an incentive for users, a sharing opportunity on social media, and a potential advertising platform for businesses. 16 5.3 The Precious Only Child With most Chinese families having just one child, doted on by two parents and often four grandparents, a child's health and wellbeing is taken very seriously in China. Every minute, some 31 babies are born in Mainland China, or around 1618 million per year. This presents a significant and important market for health products and services. MARKET INDICATORS: There are a slew of opportunities in the early childhood health industry in China, however budgets are relatively tight for public-provided health. Whilst many health technology companies target the public health service, the consumer market in China presents large opportunities. Consumers are becoming collectively wealthier and are less cost conscious for matters concerning their child's health. Paediatric Consumer Health was the third fastest growing health category in China between 2008 to 2013, averaging 10.5 percent growth a year. The market was valued at 9.4 billion RMB in 2013 (1.09 billion Euro). By 2019, this is expected to grow to more than 16 billion RMB (1.85 billion Euro) Chart 6: Paediatric Consumer Health Sales in China SOURCE: EUROMONITOR 17 OPPORTUNITIES FOR FINLAND: Finland already has an established ecosytem of leading companies in paediatric health technology, such as Medixine. Companies such as Medixine have a wealth of experience in the high tech paediatric segment which can be leveraged to develop solutions for China. Utilising their innovations provide an opportunity to tailor this technology more to the end user consumer - parents and grandparents. Technology that allows the monitoring and tracking of their child's health over Internet-connected devices will have widespread appeal. TAKEOUTS FROM THE PRODUCT THAT MAKE IT APPEALING TO THE CHINESE MARKET: Chinese parents have long been known as 'Tiger Moms' and 'Helicopter parents', as they hover over their child. Monitoring-type products appeal to this trait. Children in China often live in the village with grandparents as parents work in the city. The ability for parents to monitor they child's health remotely over connected devices, will be attractive. Likewise, senior white collar workers in China's cities often travel a lot with their jobs. Even if their children live with them in the city, the ability to monitor them on the road is an attractive proposition. 5.4 China's Greying Population At the other end of the age spectrum, China’s pensioner population has grown 50.7 percent over the past five years to 484 million according to China's Ministry Human Resources and Social Security. With existing retirement policies and current growth rates, the number of pensioners could reach 700 million by 2019. In any society, old age consumers are more likely to have health concerns and require more health products to meet these. However, like most places, elderly in China are less familiar and open to technology from a consumer standpoint. OPPORTUNITIES FOR FINLAND: Developing premium tech endconsumer health products for China's elderly may have limited appeal to the end user. However integrating remote tracking and monitoring into elderly health products could enhance their appeal to a much wealthier target market - their affluent children. The slew of Finnish companies that are already creating health products for the elderly should consider integrating smartphone-type remote monitoring into their offerings. Products that already provide significant monitoring and intelligence, such as Beddit, should look to position this as a tool for adult children to monitor their parents. MARKET INDICATORS: Unlike in many countries, where wealth and income generally grow with age and experience, China's older population are underrepresented in the wealthy classes. As illustrated in Chart 7, Chinese aged 18-29 have the highest incomes in China, earning more than those aged 30-45 and significantly more than older age groups. Chart 7: China Income by Age SOURCE: CREDIT SUISSE 18 TAKEOUTS FROM THE PRODUCT THAT MAKE IT APPEALING TO THE CHINESE MARKET: Whilst the family unit is very important in China, urban migration has separated hundreds of millions of families. Many elderly parents reside in villages, often only seeing their child once a year. In most cases, it is the son or daughter living in the city who has the highest income and is the most techliterate. China Skinny believes the most likely realistic strategy to sell premium imported tech-based health products to the hundreds of millions of elderly in China, is by targeting the children who are concerned about their parent's wellbeing, but do not see them often. They can afford to pay for premium imported goods and appreciate techology-based solutions. 5.5 That Pollution Problem China's pollution problem isn't breaking news. Yet consumer concern is rising due to worsening PM2.5 levels and increased transparency of measurement and reporting. 80 percent of Chinese planning to migrate cite pollution as the mean reason for doing so. Although the toxic air affects everything from food supply to fertility, the issue of most concern for consumers is respiratory-related. In January 2013 when much of Northeast China choked on pollution that was worse than an airport smoking lounge, sales of face masks and air purifiers both grew by more than 100% from the month earlier. MARKET INDICATORS: 97 percent of Chinese consumers want smarter, Internet-connected home appliances, especially TVs, according to a report by the China Household Electrical Appliances Association (CHEAA). products targeting pollution prevention and monitoring. Whether products are face masks, air purifiers or another device to reduce the health risks from pollution, there is plenty of scope for smart features. For example, face masks could monitor pollution levels and adjust protection accordingly, advising the wearer, and even the wearer's family of the conditions. It could measure the condition of the respiratory tract and advise of necessary health issues and remedies. If the remedy can be purchased, it will appear on the user's smartphone and with one click, can be purchased and delivered to the wearer's home or office address. Likewise, mask filters could have sensors that advise the wearer when they require changing. The mask could also measure other health concerns such as pulse, oral hygiene, ailments that can be monitored through saliva, and much more. At the March 2014 Appliance World Expo in Shanghai, over 90% of the 500 manufacturers exhibiting claimed to offer smart devices. TCL recently announced that it would be launching an air purifier that can be controlled and monitored by a smartphone. TAKEOUTS FROM THE PRODUCT THAT MAKE IT APPEALING TO THE CHINESE MARKET: By 2019, smart appliances will be the norm. Smart connected technology will be integrated into every consumer segment, including respiratory and pollution products. Now the highly connected and smartphone engaged Chinese consumers are becoming more expectant of products that are integrated through online channels. At the current rate of change, even before 2019 smart products will be not just a nice-to-have feature, but an expected core function of most consumer products. OPPORTUNITIES FOR FINLAND: Finnish businesses such as Arc Dia that are already producing cutting edge respiratory products, should consider developing consumer-facing 19 Chinese consumers' expectations have drastically changed in the space of a few decades. Owning a watch and single speed bike was a life ambition for Chinese not too long ago. 6. Government and Business Health Intelligence & Tech Opportunities Although China's hospitals receive less than 10 percent of their revenue from the Chinese Government, the state is still the dominant decision maker on purchasing health equipment. 2012 Year 6.90 Inpatients 10.0% % Growth (million) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 114.8 132.5 141.4 153.0 170.0 16.8% 15.4% 6.7% 8.2% 11.1% SOURCE: CHINA HEALTH STATISTICS YEARBOOK Chart 8: Visits to Medical Facilities and anticipated growth Government health departments remain the owners and general managers of public hospitals, which still provide 90 percent of outpatient and inpatient services. 43 percent of hospitals nationwide are owned by non-public entities. So for the purposes of this report, this section will account for both business and Government considerations. Private businesses will play a bigger part in China's healthcare industry. China’s 12th Five Year plan published in 2012 proposed a significant role for the private sector – both from local and international investors and operators, in healthcare reform. Increasing Hospital Visits Awareness of worsening health, rising affluence and the Government's health reform is seeing more Chinese visiting and staying in hospitals. Increased uptake of medical insurance is also driving demand, with 95 percent of Chinese having medical insurance at the beginning of 2012. However the vast majority of Chinese receive very basic health cover. Table 2: Visits to Medical Facilities Year Visits % Growth (billion) 2008 2009 2010 2011 20 4.90 5.49 5.84 6.27 47.1% 12.0% 6.4% 7.4% Market Trends Increasing hospital visits contributed to a rise in demand for medical equipment. Between 2008-2013, the medical and veterinary equipment industry grew 17.9 percent annually to 66.7 billion RMB (7.7 billion Euro). Health equipment imports have been concentrated around high value, high technology products. Although imports have been growing at 18.6 percent annually over the past five years, the proportion of the total market value has decreased from almost 19 percent in 2008 to 15 percent in 2013. This drop is due to Chinese manufacturers developing higher quality and higher tech health products. Chart 9: B2B/B2G Health Market Segmentation Health Market Segmentation The main target market for premium health technology and intelligence in the B2B/B2G segment are the specialised hospitals, wholesalers and retailers, and general hospitals. Traditional Chinese Medicine hospitals mainly use medicines to treat patients, and health centres are small, basic facilities generally located in rural areas, unlikely to be in the market for high end imported equipment. Chart 9: B2B/B2G Health Market Segmentation SOURCE: IBIS What They're Buying The majority of medical equipment purchased by health facilities in China is low-tech and lower value. Hence imports account for 15 percent of the total expenditure. Nevertheless, China is becoming increasingly sophisticated as a market, particularly in the affluent consumer segments, but also in other areas if additional value can justify the higher price. 21 SOURCE: IBIS 6.1 Better Medical Equipment Better 40% of China's medical expenditure goes towards common diagnostic instruments such as blood-pressure meters, pulmonary ergometers, stethoscopes and thermometers. These instruments are generally basic devices used in the same way that they have been for decades. MARKET INDICATORS: As above, in 2013 the market for common diagnostic equipment accounted for 40% of the overall health market, valuing it at 26.7 billion RMB (3.1 billion Euro). OPPORTUNITIES FOR FINLAND: Finnish companies such as Remote A Telemedicine are well placed to supply medical equipment that can assist busy Chinese hospitals to be more efficient and effective. They have the greatest chance of competing against lower cost, locally manufactured goods. Medical equipment that automates tasks and provides information that can be used to assist hospital decision makers, Government and patients, could revolutionalise China's bloated health system. TAKEOUTS FROM THE PRODUCT THAT MAKE IT APPEALING TO THE CHINESE MARKET: The Chinese Government is increasingly realising Big Data is the only real way to understand their vast and disparate population mass. It provides more efficient ways to control the population and make life better for them. 22 The Government is already working with companies such as Alibaba, Baidu and China Unicom to combine data for better decision making. No other country stands to benefit more from accumulation of data, and health data from smart medical equipment integrated with online data warehouses. Although the Government contributes less than 10% of China's public hospital revenue, it still has a big influence on health-related decisions. Products should be designed with intelligence that will not only assist the patients and medical institutions, but the Government as well. Regardless of what Western commentators say about the Chinese Government, their ultimate agenda is to improve the lives of the 1.35 billion Chinese citizens living in Mainland China (and Greater China). Equipment that not only assists Government mandates, but also provides helpful information accessible through established smartphone channels, is a win-win for everyone. Any Finnish company serious about developing medical tools for Chinese hospitals should visit a facility first. General hospitals are teeming with people, with doctors surrounded pushing patients all wanting their turn. Most Chinese doctors do not have pleasant peaceful times between appointments to enter data in a civilised manner. Tools that automate tasks and information and create a more efficient and quicker solution stand the best chance at success. Nevertheless, to realistically compete with price competitive local manufacturers in the general hospital segment, prices need to be kept as inexpensive as possible. 6.2 Providing for the Affluent China's widening inequality is creating opportunities for elite segments of China’s urban population. Although the majority of China's service offerings are low cost, providing for the middle and working class population, segments such as education, and increasingly health, have some of the most expensive facilities in the world. Since 2012, foreign enterprises have been able to own up to 70% of health facilities in China. These are generally premium hospitals and clinics and are becoming increasingly common in higher tier Chinese cities. Government Policy is becoming more liberal to encourage foreign entities to invest in China's health industry. On 29 September 2013, the Shanghai Free Trade Zone pilot scheme was launched, allowing wholly foreignowned medical institutions. Additional Free Trade Zones are earmarked for other Chinese cities. MARKET INDICATORS: The number of Chinese with net assets of at least 10 million RMB (1.2 million Euro) grew 3% to 1.05 million last year. This is representative of a rising wealthy class overall. These consumers are becoming less likely to tolerate common health facilities and are prepared to pay more for premium care. The Chinese Government has set the goal to grow private hospital health contribution from 10% in 2011 to 20% by 2015. Loosening policies such as relaxing price controls on non-public hospitals was announced in April 2014, and will drive investment in high end facilities by 2019. 23 High end health clinics such as WA Health in Shanghai will become an increasingly common sight in China's cities OPPORTUNITIES FOR FINLAND: Finland's many high end, high tech health providers of niche technologies such as Planmeca stand to benefit from the rise of premium health facilities in China. Private hospitals will become more common and competitive by 2019. Web and social media rating of facilities will be more widespread, ensuring facilities have increasing incentive to provide outstanding service and equipment. Services will become more customer-centric and integrate with patient smartphones to improve the overall experience. TAKEOUTS FROM THE PRODUCT THAT MAKE IT APPEALING TO THE CHINESE MARKET: The Chinese Government is increasingly looking to private and foreign investment to cover services that it is struggling to provide effectively. As the Communist Government is unlikely to provide services that appeal to China's elite, a large portion of private and foreign investment will cater towards the lucrative and fast growing affluent classes. These services will demand premium, customer-centric, technology-based services. 7. The Last Word China's worsening health environment and rising wealth present significant opportunities in China's health market between now and 2019, in both the B2C and B2B segments. However, the Chinese market is fiercely competitive, and to compete Finnish companies need to innovate to meet the Chinese consumer, business and Government's continuously changing needs. Integration with online platforms such as web and smartphones are essential for health product innovators. Finnish health products should target the higher end of the market. The rising affluent classes in China are more health conscious than price conscious, and providing superior and innovative health products will be well received by both consumers in this segment, and by businesses servicing them. China Skinny trusts that Tekes and the intended audience have found this report helpful and insightful. We hope to provide more insights in the near future. China Skinny looks forward to following and supporting innovative Finnish Health companies as they capitalise on the opportunities that China presents. 24
© Copyright 2026 Paperzz