•Hitler’s Crises:
•The Reoccupation of the Rhineland, 1936
•The Munich Crisis of 1938
•The Arab-Israeli Conflict:
•Sadat’s visit to Jerusalem
•Barak and Arafat at Camp David, 2000
•The U.S.-Iraqi Crisis:
•Bush and Hussein following U.N. Resloution
1441
Extensive form games:
Games as joint decision trees
Germany
Do not
occupy
Occupy
France
Attack
War
1, 2
Do not
attack
German
Victory
4, 3
Attack
French
victory
2, 1
Do not
attack
Status
quo
3, 4
Germany
Issue ultimatum
to Czech
England & France
Support
Czech
Do not support
Czech
Czechoslovakia
Resist
Yield
Resist
Germany
Attack
3, 3, 4
Do not
attack Attack
4, 7, 7
5, 2, 3
Yield
Germany
Do not Attack
attack
2, 6, 5
7, 1, 1
Do not
attack
1, 4, 6
Do not
attack
6, 5, 2
Withdraw from
Sinai
Go to
Jerusalem
Peace
3, 4
Israel
Do not
withdraw
Egyptian
humiliation
1, 2
Egypt
Do not
go
Israeli
capitulation
4, 1
Status quo
2, 3
Egypt
Do not
Go
Go to
Jerusalem
Israel
Withdraw
from Sinai
Peace
3, 4
Do not
Withdraw
withdraw from Sinai
Egyptian
humiliation
1, 2
Israeli
capitulation
4, 1
Do not
Withdraw
Status
quo
2, 3