Understanding Groundwater December 9, 2015 Speakers Gabriele Ludwig, Almond Board (Moderator) Graham Fogg, University of California, Davis Gabriele Ludwig, Almond Board Graham Fogg, University of California, Davis Understanding Groundwater: The Hidden Resource Outline • Groundwater fundamentals – – – California groundwater occurrence & general background Climate change and a new epoch of scarcity Overdraft & negative consequences • • • • • • • – • Non-sustainable storage depletion Subsidence Surface water & ecosystem effects Increased energy costs Bad water intrusion from aquitards and from depth Basin salt imbalance Seawater intrusion Sustainable yield Groundwater myths – – – – – – Pumping of “fossil water” is non-sustainable Groundwater storage depletion always takes a long time to recover Groundwater levels tell us how much groundwater storage is changing Quality of most groundwater is degraded Good quality groundwater today is likely to stay that way Potential myth: climate change will decrease groundwater recharge California Water System http://www.water.ca.gov/maps/allprojects.html 11 12 Snow Water Storage Slides: Bryan Weare, 2012. Definition: Snow-Water Equivalent (SWE) is a common snowpack measurement. It measure the volume of water contained within the snowpack (as a measure of depth). Figure: Mote (2006) Fig 5a: Observed changes in 1 April Snow-Water Equivalent over the 1960 to 2002 period of record from snow course observations. Paul Ullrich CCWAS: Lecture 03 October 7, 2013 Graham E. Fogg, 2009 http://www.oehha.ca.gov/multimedia/epic/pdf/ClimateChangeIndicatorsApril2009.pd 15 The CA Water Quantity Problem • 8th largest economy in the world. • Produces 50% of nation’s fruits & vegetables w/ irrigation. • Depends on snow-storage and historically well-timed snow-melt to satisfy demand. • This system cannot function properly as the snow pack diminishes due to warming. The Major Stores of Water…. Snow Mountain Groundwater Surface Reservoirs Alluvial Valley Groundwater (Especially Central Valley) Available Central Valley Groundwater Storage Volume • 10 to 50×106 ac-ft • CA’s 4 largest reservoirs = 13×106 ac-ft (Shasta, Oroville, Trinity, New Melones) Two Bank Accounts When Account A is depleted, uncontrolled withdrawals from Account B occur Surface Water Bank Account A (known balance, inputs and outputs) Unknown Groundwater Bank Account B (unknown balance, inputs and outputs) The Major Stores of Water…. Snow Mountain Groundwater Surface Reservoirs Alluvial Valley Groundwater (Especially Central Valley) Groundwater and Surface Water From CA Water Plan 2014 UC Water Security and Sustainability Research Initiative http://ucwater.org [email protected] twitter: @ucwater We apply three perspectives to every project. INFORMATION INSTITUTIONS Connected water resources science & management INFRASTRUCTURE Current program foci: • Headwater Management • Groundwater Management • Water-Energy Nexus • Intelligent Water System 12/14/2015 23 Integrating water-resources data & information systems Existing data User interfaces Core data Sensor networ ks Custom data Point data, time series Well monitorin g Landscape data Aircraft Groundwate r aquifer water balance Satellite Market, demand & energy data QA/QC Spati al data, time series Interpolate d& blended spatial data t y Modeled data x Valueadded Policy & legal data & constraints: water rights, diversions, ecosystems UC Water Security and Sustainability Research Initiative Aug 31, 2015 http://ucwater.org/ Water decision making Basin-scale water Modeling & balance prediction Decision support Winter Fallow Irrigation (Dr. Helen Dahlke, UCD) Sutter Bypass, Sutter Co., 1997 flood Climate Change and Groundwater: Higher Flooding Risks BUT Greater Recharge?? Flooding and Groundwater Levels Laura Chun/The Sacramento Bee 1997, 1995 Flood Events Sacramento County, CA 27 Groundwater Occurrence Major Aquifers (http://nationalatlas.gov/natlas/natlasstart.asp) Volcanics Alluvial Valleys Alluvial Valleys, Basin & Range 30 San Joaquin Valley Groundwater (from Faunt, 2009) PreDevelopment PostDevelopment 31 Groundwater Unsaturated zone Saturated zone Land surface Water table Surface water Ground water Creviced rock Air Water (not ground water) held by molecular attraction Surrounds surfaces of rock particles Gravel Approximate level of the water table All openings below water table full of ground water 34 Air Confined Aquifer Schematic (from Driscoll, 1986) Potential energy in confined aquifer Well Myth: Old (1,000’s of yrs) groundwater is fossil water that is not replenished enough to support pumping. 35 36 Groundwater Overdraft: Pumping more groundwater than the system can sustain Potential consequences: • • • • • • • Non-sustainable storage depletion Subsidence Surface water & ecosystem effects Increased energy costs Bad water intrusion from aquitards and from depth Basin salt imbalance Seawater intrusion Groundwater Overdraft Trends, Central Valley 38 Groundwater Overdraft: Pumping more groundwater than the system can sustain Potential consequences: • • • • • • • Non-sustainable storage depletion Subsidence Surface water & ecosystem effects Increased energy costs Bad water intrusion from aquitards and from depth Basin salt imbalance Seawater intrusion Mining Ground Water San Joaquin Valley, California Approximate location of maximum subsidence in the United States identified by Joe Poland (pictured) 40 Subsidence Induced Canal Damage From http://www.rcac.org/pages/714?i=1002 Groundwater Overdraft: Pumping more groundwater than the system can sustain Potential consequences: • • • • • • • Non-sustainable storage depletion Subsidence Surface water & ecosystem effects Increased energy costs Bad water intrusion from aquitards and from depth Basin salt imbalance Seawater intrusion 44 From Alley et al. (1999) From Faunt (2009) 45 Groundwater Overdraft: Pumping more groundwater than the system can sustain Potential consequences: • • • • • • • Non-sustainable storage depletion Subsidence Surface water & ecosystem effects Increased energy costs Bad water intrusion from aquitards and from depth Basin salt imbalance Seawater intrusion Potential for Water Quality Degradation from Below is Clear and Present, but Unaddressed Woodland Area Aquifer System Network (Stephen Maples, HYD 273) Groundwater Overdraft: Pumping more groundwater than the system can sustain Potential consequences: • • • • • • • Non-sustainable storage depletion Subsidence Surface water & ecosystem effects Increased energy costs Bad water intrusion from aquitards and from depth Basin salt imbalance Seawater intrusion The danger of a hydrologic basin losing its outlet…. San Joaquin Valley Groundwater (from Faunt, 2009) PreDevelopment PostDevelopment 51 Mono Lake: Closed Basin Groundwater Overdraft: Pumping more groundwater than the system can sustain Potential consequences: • • • • • • • Non-sustainable storage depletion Subsidence Surface water & ecosystem effects Increased energy costs Bad water intrusion from aquitards and from depth Basin salt imbalance Seawater intrusion 54 Groundwater Quality is Degrading in Many Systems, But Most of the Groundwater Quality is Still Good Age Distribution & Sustainability: Groundwater Ages are Highly Mixed! Historic Nitrate Trends, TLB: Exceedance Rate Percent of wells above natural background Number of wells tested Percent of wells above half nitrate MCL Percent of wells above nitrate MCL Year Outline • Groundwater fundamentals – – – California groundwater occurrence & general background Climate change and a new epoch of scarcity Overdraft & negative consequences • • • • • • • – • Non-sustainable storage depletion Subsidence Surface water & ecosystem effects Increased energy costs Bad water intrusion from aquitards and from depth Basin salt imbalance Seawater intrusion Sustainable yield Groundwater myths – – – – – – Pumping of “fossil water” is non-sustainable Groundwater storage depletion always takes a long time to recover Groundwater levels tell us how much groundwater storage is changing Quality of most groundwater is degraded Good quality groundwater today is likely to stay that way Potential myth: climate change will decrease groundwater recharge
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