SUPPLY AND DEMAND Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price — LESSON 6 KA-CHING! SUPPLY, DEMAND AND MARKET PRICE Overview A variety of factors, including changes in economic conditions, government regulations, society or even the weather, can influence the supply or demand for a product and consequently the market price for that product. Market prices are determined by the interaction of the behaviors of producers and consumers in a competitive market. Supply is the quantities of a good or service that producers are willing and able to sell at various prices at any given time. Demand is the quantities of a good or service that consumers are willing and able to buy at various prices at any given time.The market price is the price at which the quantity supplied and the quantity demanded are equal. Producers’ supply and consumers’ demand are both influenced by many factors. Supply is determined by the cost of the factors of production, including anticipated profit, and the producer’s opportunity cost (the value of the best alternative use of a resource given up when a choice is made). Consumer demand for a product is determined by the consumer’s income, the usefulness of the good or service, the availability of substitutes and the prices of complementary goods. In this lesson, students respond to scenarios about events or changes in consumer or producer behaviors.They determine the predictable effects of the actions in these scenarios on the supply of or demand for a variety of agricultural products. They then discuss how supply and demand influences the market price for those products. As an assessment activity, students create similar scenarios about an agricultural product they regularly consume to determine the predictable effects of events or changes in behaviors on the supply of, demand for and market price of that product. This activity is adapted with permission from Lessons in Economics: THIS is Ohio Agriculture, a 1999 publication of the Ohio Farm Bureau Federation, Inc. Objectives The students will: ■ Determine the predictable impact of an event, decision or change in behavior on the supply or demand for a product and its market price. (Ohio Grade Six Citizenship Learning Outcome #13) ■ Identify the factors that influence the demand for a product. (Ohio Grade Six Citizenship Learning Outcome #13) ■ Identify the factors that influence the supply of a product. (Ohio Grade Six Citizenship Learning Outcome #13) 95 LESSON 6 — Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price ■ Predict how a change in the supply or demand for a product will influence the market price of that product. (Ohio Grade Six Citizenship Learning Outcome #13) Student Learning Statements ■ Demand is the quantities of a good or service that consumers are willing and able to buy at various prices at any given time. ■ Supply is the quantities of a good or service that producers are willing and able to sell at various prices at any given time. ■ A factor that decreases the demand for a good or service will cause the market price also to decrease. A factor that increases the demand for a good or service will cause the market price also to increase. ■ A factor that decreases the supply of a good or service will cause the market price to increase. A factor that increases the supply of a good or service will cause the market price to decrease. Vocabulary Complementary Goods ■ Complementary Goods: Two goods or services for which a change in the demand for one causes a similar change in the demand for the other. Also called “complements.” ■ Cost: What one gives up when deciding to do something. Referring to production, a payment for productive resources. ■ Cost of Production: Payments for land, labor, capital and entrepreneurial resources (rent, wages, interest and profit). ■ Demand: The quantities of a good or service that consumers are willing and able to buy at various prices at any given time. ■ Factors of Production: Land resources (natural), labor resources (human), capital goods (physical capital) or entrepreneurial resources available to produce goods and services. Also called “productive resources.” ■ Market Price: The price at which the quantity supplied and the quantity demanded are equal. ■ Price: What people pay when they buy a good or service and what they receive when they sell a good or service. ■ Substitutes: Two or more goods or services that can satisfy the same want. Cost Cost of Production Demand Factors of Production Market Price Price Substitutes Supply Tastes and Preferences 96 Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price — LESSON 6 ■ Supply: The quantities of a good or service that producers are willing and able to sell at various prices at any given time. ■ Tastes and Preferences: Likes, desires or usefulness for a good or service to satisfy a want. Materials ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ One small, ordinary rock One plain, yellow No. 2 pencil Student Page: Apple Market (transparency) Teacher Page: Apple Market Student Page: Egg Market (transparency) Teacher Page: Egg Market Student Page: Bacon Market (transparency) Teacher Page: Bacon Market Student Page:Tomato Market (transparency) Teacher Page:Tomato Market Teacher Page: Supply and Demand Graph (transparency) Producing Ohio Video Connections ■ ■ ■ Markets & Prices (Ohio Farm Bureau, the Ohio corn industry) Monopoly & Competitive Markets (Cincinnati Bell) Markets & Competition (Procter & Gamble) Internet Resources ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ http://www.futures.tradingcharts.com/learning/supply_and_demand.html http://www.coolbank.com/MiddleSchool/supplyanddemand.htm http://kr.mnsu.edu/~renner/supdem.htm http://www.mhhe.com/economics/sharp/student/ch02_details.mhtml http://economics.about.com/library/weekly/aa010900.htm http://www.amosweb.com/cgi-bin/pdg_dsp.pl?term=Fact+2:+Our+ Subjective+Values Prepare ■ Duplicate the four Student Pages—Apple Market, Egg Market, Bacon Market and Tomato Market (one set per student). 97 LESSON 6 — Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price Introduce 1. Show the small, ordinary rock to the class and discuss the demand for it. Who would like to buy this? Probably no one. Why not? There are many rocks, and you can usually find one without paying for it. Most people probably do not have a use for one, small rock. Explain that this illustrates that the “supply” of rocks is great and the “demand” is low. Therefore, its “market price” is probably low. Supply: The quantities of a good or service that producers are willing and able to sell at various prices at any given time. 2. Change the description of the rock to see how the change affects demand. What if I tell you that this is a moon rock? Now how many people might want to buy one? Probably many people because moon rocks are rare, and many people would like to have one. Demand: The quantities of a good or service that consumers are willing and able to buy at various prices at any given time. Explain that this illustrates that the supply of moon rocks is low and the demand is probably high.Therefore, the “price” for a moon rock would probably be high. 3. What if you are the director of a space science museum with a need for moon rocks to display? How would this affect demand? Museums will probably pay a higher price for moon rocks if people would like to see them in museums. Market Price: The price at which the quantity supplied and the quantity demanded are equal. Explain that if the supply is low and the demand increases, the price will be higher. 4. What if all of you are directors of space science museums and you all have a need for this one and only moon rock? If there is only one moon rock and many museums want it, they will probably be willing to pay an even higher price for it. Price: What people pay when they buy a good or service and what they receive when they sell a good or service. Explain that if the supply is low or stays the same and demand increases, the price will go up more, possibly very high. 5. Show the plain, yellow No. 2 pencil to the class and discuss the demand for it. Who would like to buy this pencil? Why or why not? Some students may want a pencil. Other students may already have pencils or have no reason to want another pencil. Explain that you have many pencils. If the supply of pencils is high and the demand is low, the price for the pencils will probably be very low. 98 Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price — LESSON 6 6. Increase the value of the plain, yellow pencil. What if I tell you that this is the only pencil in the classroom? How many people might want to purchase it? How would the change in supply affect its price? Those who wanted a pencil may have to pay a higher price because there is only one pencil available to buy. If the supply of pencils is less and the demand stays the same, what happens to the price? The price will probably go up. 7. Increase the pencil’s value up another notch. ! What if I tell you that you are about to take an important test and this is the only available pencil? Now how many students will want to buy the pencil? If there is an increase in demand, what will happen to its price? If more people want to buy a pencil and the supply is very low, the price will go higher. TEACHER TIP: In lieu of filling out the Student Pages to indicate the changes in supply, demand and market price, students could physically indicate the effects using their hands (thumbs up or thumbs down) or arrows. Have students stand up.They’ll use their right hands to indicate “supply.” They’ll use their left hands to indicate “demand.” Or students could make paper arrows to point up or down. Teach 8. Give a copy of Student Page: Apple Market to each student.This page will be used to illustrate the effects of five scenarios on the apple market. Have students read the five scenarios presented and determine the predicable impact of each of those scenarios on the supply of, demand for and market price for apples. Students should mark their pages accordingly. Discuss 9. The Teacher Page: Apple Market provides possible points of discussion for each scenario. For example, ask students about the first scenario: When research leads to a hardier tree, what might happen to the supply and price of apples? If farmers can plant better trees that produce more apples, the supply of apples increases (thumb up). If demand stays the same, the price goes down (thumb down). For each scenario, pointing the right hand thumb up would indicate that the supply increases, thumb down would indicate supply decreases. Pointing the left hand thumbs up or down would indicate demand increases or decreases. Students could then verbalize what would happen to the market price. Brainstorm other possible events that might affect the supply of, demand for and market price of apples. 10. Use the three additional Student Pages (Egg Market, Bacon Market and Tomato Market) for further discussion of the impact of different events, information or behaviors on supply, demand and market price.These discussions can be done in small groups or as a class.The companion Teacher Pages (Egg, Bacon and Tomato Markets) provide possible points of discussion for each agricultural product. ! 99 LESSON 6 — Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price Conclude 11. What kinds of events can influence supply and “cost”? Changes in the availability of the “factors of production” or the “cost of production” can affect supply. What kinds of events can influence demand? Changes in “tastes and preferences,” consumer income, “substitutes” or “complementary goods” can affect demand. Use the chart below to aid in this discussion: POSSIBLE EVENTS, BEHAVIOR CHANGES, LAWS OR CONDITIONS THAT CAN AFFECT SUPPLY, DEMAND AND MARKET PRICE ✓ New product information ✓ Changes in the markets for substitutes ✓ Extreme good or bad weather ✓ A change in consumer preferences ✓ Product innovation ✓ Changes in production costs ✓ New government regulations ✓ A change in imports or exports ✓ Improved transportation systems ✓ Changes in the markets for complementary goods ✓ New uses for the resource goods ✓ Changes in production in other countries ✓ Research results (good or bad) Cost: What one gives up when deciding to do something. Referring to production, a payment for productive resources. Factors of Production: Land resources (natural), labor resources (human), capital goods (physical capital) or entrepreneurial resources available to produce goods and services. Also called “productive resources.” Cost of Production: Payments for land, labor, capital and entrepreneurial resources (rent, wages, interest and profit). Tastes and Preferences: Likes, desires or usefulness for a good or service to satisfy a want. Substitutes: Two or more goods or services that can satisfy the same want. Complementary Goods: Two goods or services for which a change in the demand for one causes a similar change in the demand for the other. Also called “complements.” 100 Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price — LESSON 6 Assess 12. Each individual student or small work group selects an agricultural product produced in Ohio that they regularly consume. 13. Students will then create scenarios about this product along the same lines as those in the market studies in this lesson. Students create lists of events, law changes, behavior changes or factors that might cause the supply of or demand for that agricultural product to change. One possible scenario: An unusually dry summer causes Ohio’s potato crop to be very small. A small crop will result in a smaller supply and a higher market price for potatoes. 14. From the lists of events and other factors that the students create during their discussion, they should select one event that might change the supply and one event that might change the demand for their agricultural product. Explain how that event would change demand and/or supply and how that change would influence the market price. Students can make oral presentations of their scenarios to the class. Connect: Expanding the Learnings LANGUAGE ARTS Students can read about the production of a variety of goods and services to identify the events that affect the supply of or demand for those goods and services. MATHEMATICS If students have previously been introduced to supply and demand graphs (in Lessons 4 and 5), use Teacher Page: Supply and Demand Graph to illustrate how changes in supply and changes in demand influence market price. SCIENCE Students can identify how inventions, scientific discoveries or research have affected the supply of or demand for agricultural or other goods and services. Use the following examples to generate discussion: ■ The invention of the steel plow allowed farmers to cultivate much more land in the same period of time it used to take to do this work manually.This invention increased output and supply.The result of the increased supply was that the prices of crops decreased. ■ Medical discoveries have increased peoples’ life spans. As more people live longer and populations increase, demand for all goods and services increases. Greater demand influences prices to increase. ■ The invention of the process to modify certain crops genetically has increased the yield per acre for those crops and has reduced losses from crop diseases or pests. Greater crop yields (greater supply) influences crop prices to decrease. 101 LESSON 6 — Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price STUDENT PAGE Apple Market Name ________________________________________________________________ How do events affect the price of a product? Read each scenario below and determine: 1. Does the event cause a change (an increase or decrease) in the supply of apples or in the demand for apples? Check the box under one of the four hand symbols in the “Supply” and “Demand” sections to reflect either an increase (thumb up) or a decrease (thumb down) in the supply of or the demand for apples caused by the event described in each scenario. Check just one box. 2. Depending on your choice above, how will the market price of apples change? Will it go up or down? Choose one hand symbol under “Market Price” that reflects either an increase (thumb up) or a decrease (thumb down) in the market price of apples. SCENARIOS 1. Research leads to a new variety of dwarf apple tree—a stronger, hardier tree that produces more apples. 2. New research indicates that apples are full of fiber and can reduce cholesterol levels significantly. 3. Due to poor weather in the apple growing states of Washington, Michigan and Maine, the apple crop harvested is the smallest in many years. 4. A news report about the dangers of Alar, a pesticide used on apples, airs on a national television network news show. 5. A federal government program provides financial assistance to communities to purchase apple juice for school lunch programs. 102 SUPPLY or DEMAND (Check one box) MARKET PRICE (Check one box) Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price — LESSON 6 TEACHER PAGE Apple Market SCENARIO 1 Research leads to a new variety of dwarf apple tree—a stronger, hardier tree that produces more apples. Discussion Points: If the new trees produce more apples, the supply of apples would increase. If supply increases and there is no change in demand, the market price will decrease. SCENARIO 2 New research indicates that apples are full of fiber and can reduce cholesterol levels significantly. Discussion Points: New information published about positive health benefits can increase the demand for a product. As demand goes up and supply stays the same the price can show significant movement upward. SCENARIO 3 Due to poor weather in the apple growing states of Washington, Michigan and Maine, the apple crop harvested is the smallest in many years. Discussion Points: A poor crop will mean that fewer apples will be available—the supply will decrease. A smaller supply, assuming that the demand stays the same, will cause the market price to increase. SCENARIO 4 A news report about the dangers of Alar, a pesticide used on apples, airs on a national television network news show. Discussion Points: New information, even if it is not completely verified, can produce significant changes in demand for a product.This event actually occurred in 1989. As a result of the national report about Alar, and the public’s response, apple producers across the United States destroyed a large quantity of apples and apple products.The supply of apples decreased considerably. Because of the new information consumers had, the demand also decreased, but not as much as the supply decreased.Therefore, the price of apples went up. SCENARIO 5 A federal government program provides financial assistance to communities to purchase apple juice for school lunch programs. Discussion Points: If the schools have more income to purchase apple juice, the demand for apple juice, and consequently apples, will increase. If demand for apples and apple juice increases and supply stays the same, the price will increase. 103 LESSON 6 — Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price STUDENT PAGE Egg Market Name ________________________________________________________________ How do events affect the price of a product? Read each scenario below and determine: 1. Does the event cause a change (an increase or decrease) in the supply of eggs or in the demand for eggs? Check the box under one of the four hand symbols in the “Supply” and “Demand” sections to reflect either an increase (thumb up) or a decrease (thumb down) in the supply of or the demand for eggs caused by the event described in each scenario. Check just one box. 2. Depending on your choice above, how will the market price of eggs change? Will it go up or down? Choose one hand symbol under “Market Price” that reflects either an increase (thumb up) or a decrease (thumb down) in the market price of eggs. SCENARIOS 1. Egg production goes up as farmers enlarge the size of poultry farms. 2. A new disease kills millions of “layers” (egg laying chickens) across the United States. 3. Lower egg prices cause some farmers to get out of the egg business. 4. Civil unrest in a foreign country causes huge shipments of exported eggs (eggs sold to other countries) to be canceled. 5. Food technologists find many new uses for eggs in pre-packaged foods. 104 SUPPLY or DEMAND (Check one box) MARKET PRICE (Check one box) Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price — LESSON 6 TEACHER PAGE Egg Market SCENARIO 1 Egg production goes up as farmers enlarge the size of poultry farms. Discussion Points: Larger farms create a greater supply over a longer period of time. Assuming that the demand stays the same, prices would decrease. SCENARIO 2 A new disease kills millions of “layers” (egg laying chickens) across the United States. Discussion Points: Diseases that negatively impact the supply of a product can produce dramatic changes in price. Assuming that demand stays the same, prices would rise. SCENARIO 3 Lower egg prices cause some farmers to get out of the egg business. Discussion Points: Low prices affect the profits of farmers. If there is no profit because of low market prices, farmers are sometimes forced out of business.This might decrease the supply. If demand stays the same, prices could rise slowly over time. SCENARIO 4 Civil unrest in a foreign country causes huge shipments of exported eggs (eggs sold to other countries) to be canceled. Discussion Points: Political turmoil can cause changes in imports or exports that affect prices.The shipments intended for export might be placed on the local market, creating a surplus of supply. Assuming that demand stays the same, a large price drop could be expected. SCENARIO 5 Food technologists find many new uses for eggs in pre-packaged foods. Discussion Points: New uses for eggs create a greater demand for eggs. As the demand for eggs goes up, assuming that supply stays the same, the price should rise. 105 LESSON 6 — Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price STUDENT PAGE Bacon Market Name ________________________________________________________________ How do events affect the price of a product? Read each scenario below and determine: 1. Does the event cause a change (an increase or decrease) in the supply of bacon or in the demand for bacon? Check the box under one of the four hand symbols in the “Supply” and “Demand” sections to reflect either an increase (thumb up) or a decrease (thumb down) in the supply of or the demand for bacon caused by the event described in each scenario. Check just one box. 2. Depending on your choice above, how will the market price of bacon change? Will it go up or down? Choose one hand symbol under “Market Price” that reflects either an increase (thumb up) or a decrease (thumb down) in the market price of bacon. SCENARIOS 1. Bacon is added to three new menu items at a popular restaurant chain. 2. Advertising campaigns showcase new bacon products, such as low-fat bacon. 3. More strict government meat inspection standards create a slowdown in bacon production. 4. New technologies and veterinary practices help farmers double the size of their pork operations. 5. Refrigerated trucks and improved highway systems allow more bacon to be delivered to the market. 106 SUPPLY or DEMAND (Check one box) MARKET PRICE (Check one box) Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price — LESSON 6 TEACHER PAGE Bacon Market SCENARIO 1 Bacon is added to three new menu items at a popular restaurant chain. Discussion Points: A large company can create increased demand for a product. Assuming supply stays the same, the price will increase. SCENARIO 2 Advertising campaigns showcase new bacon products, such as low-fat bacon. Discussion Points: Consumer interest can result in greater demand for new products, such as low-fat, low-salt or new flavors. Assuming that supply stays the same, the price should rise. SCENARIO 3 More strict government meat inspection standards create a slowdown in bacon production. Discussion Points: Government regulations are meant to protect the consumer.The time and cost related to meeting government standards can negatively affect the supply. As the supply drops, if demand stays the same, the price should rise. SCENARIO 4 New technologies and veterinary practices help farmers double the size of their pork operations. Discussion Points: As the size of farms increases, so does the supply of a product. Assuming that demand stays the same, prices should decrease. SCENARIO 5 Refrigerated trucks and improved highway systems allow more bacon to be delivered to the market. Discussion Points: If more bacon is delivered to the market, supply increases. Improved transportation or other reduced production costs of supplying bacon to the market will allow market prices to decrease. 107 LESSON 6 — Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price STUDENT PAGE Tomato Market Name ________________________________________________________________ How do events affect the price of a product? Read each scenario below and determine: 1. Does the event cause a change (an increase or decrease) in the supply of tomatoes or in the demand for tomatoes? Check the box under one of the four hand symbols in the “Supply” and “Demand” sections to reflect either an increase (thumb up) or a decrease (thumb down) in the supply of or the demand for tomatoes caused by the event described in each scenario. Check just one box. 2. Depending on your choice above, how will the market price of tomatoes change? Will it go up or down? Choose one hand symbol under “Market Price” that reflects either an increase (thumb up) or a decrease (thumb down) in the market price of tomatoes. SCENARIOS 1. Bad weather destroys the tomato crop in Ohio. 2. Local zoning laws change, decreasing acres of farmland available to produce tomatoes. 3. Mexico doubles the quantity of tomatoes it sells to the United States. 4. A large food manufacturer invents new products: spicy tomato soup, pizza sauce and three new tomato-based pasta sauces. 5. Increases in the supply of broccoli, carrots and green peppers lead to lower prices for these vegetables. 108 SUPPLY or DEMAND (Check one box) MARKET PRICE (Check one box) Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price — LESSON 6 TEACHER PAGE Tomato Market SCENARIO 1 Bad weather destroys the tomato crop in Ohio. Discussion Points: When a crop is destroyed, supply decreases. However, sometimes production in other parts of the country and imports from other countries can fulfill demand for a product.Therefore, the local destruction of a crop may cause the price to increase only slightly. SCENARIO 2 Local zoning laws change, decreasing acres of farmland available to produce tomatoes. Discussion Points: As urban and suburban areas expand, less farmland is available to grow crops. As supply goes down, assuming that demand stays the same, the prices should rise over time. SCENARIO 3 Mexico doubles the quantity of tomatoes it sells to the United States. Discussion Points: Increased imports from other countries increase the supply of a product. If supply increases and demand stays the same, prices should drop. SCENARIO 4 A large food manufacturer invents new products: spicy tomato soup, pizza sauce and three new tomato-based pasta sauces. Discussion Points: Large companies can create demand with new products. If demand increases significantly, prices rise accordingly. SCENARIO 5 Increases in the supply of broccoli, carrots and green peppers lead to lower prices for these vegetables. Discussion Points: Increases in the supply of broccoli, carrots and green peppers lead to lower prices for those vegetables. If broccoli, carrots and green peppers are substitutes for tomatoes, people will buy more of the less-expensive substitute vegetables and the demand for tomatoes will decrease. If this happens, the price of tomatoes will also decrease. 109 LESSON 6 — Ka-Ching! Supply, Demand and Market Price TEACHER PAGE Supply and Demand Graph Supply and Demand D1 D2 S3 S1 S2 PRICE D3 4 3 2 1 QUANTITY SUPPLIED AND DEMANDED Line D1 is the original demand curve. 1. Increased demand will shift the demand curve to the right—from D1 to D2. If supply remains the same, the market price will increase. 2. Decreased demand will shift the demand curve to the left—from D1 to D3. If supply remains the same, the market price will decrease. Line S1 is the original supply curve. 3. Increased supply will shift the supply curve to the right—from S1 to S2. If demand remains the same, the market price will decrease. 4. Decreased supply will shift the supply curve to the left—from S1 to S3. If demand remains the same, the market price will increase. 110
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