Commodity Price Forecast Update Released: January 15, 2013 Table 1: Commodity Prices and Price Forecast in Nominal US Dollars Commodity Unit 1980 1990 Actual 2000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Forecast 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 Energy Coal, Australian Crude oil, avg, spot Natural gas, European Natural gas, US LNG, Japanese $/mt $/bbl $/mmbtu $/mmbtu $/mmbtu 40.1 36.9 4.2 1.6 5.7 39.7 22.9 2.8 1.7 3.6 26.3 28.2 3.9 4.3 4.7 99.0 79.0 8.3 4.4 10.8 121.4 104.0 10.5 4.0 14.7 96.4 105.0 11.5 2.8 16.7 93.0 102.0 11.2 3.5 16.0 91.0 102.2 11.1 4.0 15.5 90.0 102.1 11.0 4.5 15.0 91.0 101.9 10.9 5.0 14.8 91.9 101.7 10.8 5.3 14.5 92.9 101.5 10.7 5.5 14.3 93.9 101.4 10.6 5.8 14.0 94.9 101.2 10.5 6.0 13.8 100.0 101.5 10.0 7.0 12.5 Non Energy Commodities Agriculture Beverages Cocoa Coffee, Arabica Coffee, robusta Tea, auctions (3) ave ¢/kg ¢/kg ¢/kg ¢/kg 260 347 324 166 127 197 118 206 91 192 91 188 313 432 174 288 298 598 241 292 239 411 227 290 235 380 205 285 232 370 190 288 230 360 185 291 229 359 183 295 228 358 182 298 227 357 180 301 226 356 179 305 225 355 177 308 220 350 170 325 Food Fats and Oils Coconut oil Groundnut oil Palm oil Soybean meal Soybean oil Soybeans $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt 674 859 584 262 598 296 337 964 290 200 447 247 450 714 310 189 338 212 1,124 1,404 901 378 1,005 450 1,730 1,988 1,125 398 1,299 541 1,111 2,436 999 524 1,226 591 950 2,150 930 520 1,200 570 940 1,950 910 460 1,100 540 930 1,900 900 410 1,050 520 927 1,895 889 407 1,045 519 924 1,890 879 404 1,040 518 921 1,885 869 401 1,035 517 918 1,880 859 398 1,030 516 915 1,875 849 395 1,025 515 900 1,850 800 380 1,000 510 Grains Barley Maize Rice, Thai, 5% Wheat, US, HRW $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt 78 125 411 173 80 109 271 136 77 89 202 114 158 186 489 224 207 292 543 316 240 298 563 313 230 290 540 320 215 270 520 300 200 250 500 270 198 248 498 270 197 246 496 271 195 244 494 271 194 242 492 272 192 240 490 272 185 230 480 275 Other Food Bananas US Meat, beef Meat, chicken Oranges Shrimp Sugar, world $/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg $/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg 377 276 76 400 1,152 63.2 541 256 108 531 1,069 27.7 424 193 131 363 1,515 18.0 868 335 189 1,033 1,004 46.9 968 404 193 891 1,193 57.3 984 414 208 868 1,006 47.5 980 410 201 845 1,005 45.0 970 360 201 860 1,035 40.0 950 315 201 900 1,100 38.0 947 323 202 903 1,110 37.7 944 330 203 906 1,120 37.4 941 338 203 909 1,130 37.1 938 347 204 912 1,140 36.8 935 355 204 915 1,150 36.5 920 390 205 930 1,200 35.0 252 196 396 343 177 533 275 190 595 429 278 848 485 391 939 451 361 876 450 356 875 457 362 885 465 368 902 473 374 919 481 381 937 489 387 955 497 393 974 505 400 1,000 535 425 1,080 206 142 2,276 182 86 3,392 130 67 2,976 228 365 4,333 333 482 4,485 197 338 4,294 180 330 4,200 190 325 4,100 200 320 4,000 205 318 4,010 209 316 4,020 214 314 4,030 219 312 4,040 224 310 4,050 250 300 4,100 222 47 116 180 192 171 41 98 132 119 154 44 123 138 101 501 123 332 382 289 619 185 435 538 421 540 186 459 462 405 500 175 430 430 390 490 160 410 425 370 480 150 380 420 350 478 145 375 415 345 476 140 369 409 339 474 135 364 404 334 472 130 359 399 329 470 125 354 394 324 460 105 330 370 300 Agricultural Raw Materials Timber Logs, Cameroonian $/cum Logs, Malaysian $/cum Sawnwood, Malaysian $/cum Other Raw Materials Cotton A Index ¢/kg Rubber, Malaysian ¢/kg Tobacco $/mt Fertilizers DAP Phosphate rock Pottasium chloride TSP Urea $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt Metals and Minerals Aluminum Copper Iron ore Lead Nickel Tin Zinc $/mt $/mt ¢/dmtu ¢/kg $/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg 1,775 2,182 28 91 6,519 1,677 76 1,639 2,661 33 81 8,864 609 151 1,549 1,813 29 45 8,638 544 113 2,173 7,535 146 215 21,809 2,041 216 2,401 8,828 168 240 22,910 2,605 219 2,023 7,962 128 206 17,548 2,113 195 2,200 7,800 130 210 18,000 2,200 210 2,400 7,400 132 215 18,200 2,250 220 2,500 7,000 135 220 18,500 2,300 230 2,537 6,980 136 221 18,948 2,346 232 2,575 6,960 138 222 19,407 2,392 234 2,614 6,939 139 223 19,877 2,440 236 2,653 6,919 141 224 20,358 2,488 238 2,693 6,899 142 225 20,851 2,538 240 2,900 6,800 150 230 23,500 2,800 250 Precious Metals Gold Silver Platinum $/toz c/toz $/toz 608 2,080 679 383 483 472 279 495 545 1,225 2,015 1,610 1,569 3,522 1,719 1,670 3,114 1,551 1,600 3,100 1,544 1,550 2,950 1,469 1,500 2,800 1,395 1,479 2,768 1,379 1,458 2,737 1,363 1,437 2,706 1,348 1,417 2,676 1,333 1,396 2,646 1,318 1,300 2,500 1,245 a/ iron ore unit for years 1980 to 2005 is cents/ dmtu, thereafter is $/dmt. Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities Next update: April 2013 Commodity Price Forecast Update Released: January 15, 2013 Table 2: Commodity Prices and Price Forecast in Real 2005 US Dollars Commodity Unit 1980 1990 Actual 2000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Energy Coal, Australian Crude oil, avg, spot Natural gas, European Natural gas, US LNG, Japanese $/mt $/bbl $/mmbtu $/mmbtu $/mmbtu 52.7 48.4 5.5 2.1 7.5 41.0 23.7 2.9 1.8 3.8 29.4 31.6 4.3 4.8 5.3 87.6 70.0 7.3 3.9 9.6 98.7 84.6 8.5 3.3 11.9 79.9 87.1 9.5 2.3 13.8 75.7 83.0 9.1 2.8 13.0 72.5 81.4 8.8 3.2 12.3 70.4 79.8 8.6 3.5 11.7 69.8 78.3 8.4 3.8 11.3 Non Energy Commodities Agriculture Beverages Cocoa Coffee, Arabica Coffee, robusta Tea, auctions (3) ave ¢/kg ¢/kg ¢/kg ¢/kg 342 455 426 218 131 204 122 213 101 215 102 210 277 383 154 255 242 486 196 237 198 341 188 240 191 309 167 232 185 295 151 230 180 281 145 228 Food Fats and Oils Coconut oil Groundnut oil Palm oil Soybean meal Soybean oil Soybeans $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt 884 1,127 766 344 784 389 348 997 300 207 463 255 504 799 347 212 378 237 995 1,243 798 335 890 398 1,406 1,616 915 324 1,056 440 921 2,019 828 434 1,017 490 773 1,750 757 423 977 464 749 1,554 725 367 876 430 Grains Barley Maize Rice, Thai, 5% Wheat, US, HRW $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt 103 164 539 227 83 113 280 140 86 99 227 128 140 165 433 198 168 237 441 257 199 247 467 260 187 236 440 260 Other Food Bananas US Meat, beef Meat, chicken Oranges Shrimp Sugar, world $/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg $/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg 495 362 99 525 1,511 82.9 559 265 112 549 1,106 28.6 475 216 147 407 1,696 20.2 769 297 168 915 889 41.6 787 329 157 724 970 46.6 816 343 172 720 834 39.4 330 257 520 355 183 551 308 213 666 379 246 751 394 317 764 271 187 2,986 188 89 3,508 146 75 3,332 202 324 3,837 292 61 152 237 252 177 42 101 136 123 173 49 137 154 113 Agricultural Raw Materials Timber Logs, Cameroonian $/cum Logs, Malaysian $/cum Sawnwood, Malaysian $/cum Other Raw Materials Cotton A Index ¢/kg Rubber, Malaysian ¢/kg Tobacco $/mt Forecast 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 69.3 76.8 8.1 4.0 10.9 68.9 75.3 7.9 4.1 10.6 68.4 73.8 7.7 4.2 10.2 67.9 72.4 7.5 4.3 9.8 65.4 66.3 6.5 4.6 8.2 176 276 141 226 172 270 137 225 168 265 134 223 165 259 130 222 161 254 127 220 144 229 111 212 727 1,485 704 321 821 407 712 1,455 683 312 802 398 697 1,426 663 305 784 391 683 1,397 644 297 767 383 668 1,369 625 290 750 376 654 1,341 607 282 733 368 588 1,209 523 248 654 333 171 215 414 239 156 195 391 211 152 190 382 208 149 185 374 204 145 181 366 201 141 176 358 198 138 172 350 195 121 150 314 180 798 334 164 688 818 36.6 773 287 160 685 825 31.9 743 246 158 704 860 29.7 727 248 155 693 852 28.9 712 249 153 683 845 28.2 697 251 151 674 837 27.5 683 252 148 664 830 26.8 669 254 146 655 823 26.1 601 255 134 608 784 22.9 374 299 727 366 290 712 364 288 705 364 288 705 363 287 706 363 287 707 362 287 708 362 286 709 361 286 715 350 278 706 271 392 3,646 163 280 3,560 147 269 3,419 151 259 3,267 156 250 3,127 157 244 3,079 158 238 3,033 159 233 2,987 159 227 2,942 160 222 2,897 163 196 2,679 443 109 294 338 256 503 150 354 438 342 447 154 380 383 336 407 142 350 350 317 390 127 327 339 295 375 117 297 328 274 367 111 288 318 265 359 105 279 309 256 351 100 270 300 248 344 95 262 291 240 336 90 253 282 232 301 69 216 242 196 Fertilizers DAP Phosphate rock Pottasium chloride TSP Urea $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt $/mt Metals and Minerals Aluminum Copper Iron ore Lead Nickel Tin Zinc $/mt $/mt ¢/dmtu ¢/kg $/mt ¢/kg ¢/kg 2,329 2,863 37 119 8,553 2,201 100 1,695 2,752 34 84 9,167 629 157 1,734 2,030 32 51 9,669 608 126 1,924 6,672 129 190 19,312 1,807 191 1,952 7,177 136 195 18,625 2,118 178 1,677 6,601 107 171 14,548 1,751 162 1,791 6,349 106 171 14,651 1,791 171 1,912 5,896 105 171 14,501 1,793 175 1,954 5,472 106 172 14,463 1,798 180 1,948 5,359 105 170 14,549 1,801 178 1,943 5,250 104 167 14,640 1,805 176 1,937 5,144 103 165 14,733 1,808 175 1,932 5,039 103 163 14,825 1,812 173 1,926 4,936 102 161 14,916 1,815 172 1,895 4,444 98 150 15,357 1,830 163 Metals and Minerals Gold Silver Platinum $/toz c/toz $/toz 798 2,730 891 397 500 488 312 554 610 1,084 1,785 1,425 1,276 2,864 1,398 1,384 2,581 1,286 1,302 2,523 1,257 1,235 2,350 1,171 1,173 2,189 1,090 1,135 2,126 1,059 1,100 2,065 1,029 1,065 2,006 999 1,032 1,949 971 999 1,893 943 850 1,634 814 a/ iron ore unit for years 1980 to 2005 is cents/ dmtu, thereafter is $/dmt. Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities Next update: April 2013 Commodity Price Forecast Update Released: January 15, 2013 Table 3: Weighted Indices of Commodity Prices and Inflation, 2005=100 1980 1990 Actual 2000 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Projection 2017 2018 2019 2020 2025 Price indices in nominal US dollars Energy 66.0 Non-energy commodities 102.2 Agriculture 119.6 Beverages 157.7 Food 124.6 Fats and oils 120.4 Grains 126.8 Other food 128.0 Raw materials 88.0 Timber 68.1 Other Raw Materials 109.9 Fertilizers 89.1 Metals and minerals a/ 68.1 Base Metals b/ 73.9 Precious Metals 162.7 43.4 84.0 90.5 90.5 90.6 82.3 99.4 93.6 90.2 82.3 98.9 65.4 72.8 78.1 81.3 53.2 72.2 78.7 76.8 76.6 76.6 79.9 73.8 84.7 90.9 77.9 67.0 59.5 63.0 63.6 144.7 173.9 170.4 182.1 169.6 184.5 171.8 148.2 166.3 130.5 205.4 187.2 179.6 169.2 272.2 188.2 209.9 209.0 208.2 210.1 222.7 238.5 167.8 206.7 153.5 264.8 267.0 205.5 193.2 371.9 187.4 190.0 194.0 166.2 211.6 230.0 244.2 157.9 165.3 142.7 189.9 259.2 174.0 168.6 378.3 182.6 186.2 187.8 158.4 204.8 220.5 239.0 153.1 161.7 142.1 183.1 244.8 176.3 170.8 378.3 182.8 180.4 179.6 155.3 191.7 206.0 224.7 143.0 162.4 143.9 182.6 231.9 176.1 169.9 352.8 182.8 175.4 173.2 153.3 181.3 196.0 208.8 137.0 163.5 146.6 182.0 219.8 174.9 167.3 339.9 182.8 175.6 173.1 153.1 180.5 194.6 207.7 137.4 165.1 149.3 182.4 215.4 176.1 168.2 335.3 182.7 175.7 173.0 152.9 179.8 193.3 206.7 137.8 166.7 152.1 182.8 211.2 177.3 169.2 330.8 182.5 175.9 173.0 152.8 179.1 191.9 205.6 138.1 168.4 154.9 183.2 207.0 178.5 170.2 326.3 182.4 176.2 173.0 152.6 178.4 190.6 204.6 138.6 170.1 157.8 183.6 203.0 179.8 171.2 321.9 182.3 176.5 173.1 152.4 177.7 189.3 203.6 139.0 172.4 161.6 184.1 199.0 181.0 172.2 317.5 183.4 177.7 172.7 151.7 174.0 182.8 198.6 140.2 180.1 173.8 186.9 180.6 187.7 177.7 296.6 Price indices in real 2005 US dollars c/ Energy 86.6 Non-energy commodities 134.1 Agriculture 156.9 Beverages 207.0 Food 163.4 Fats and oils 158.0 Grains 166.4 Other food 167.9 Raw materials 115.5 Timber 89.3 Other Raw Materials 144.2 Fertilizers 116.9 Metals and minerals a/ 89.4 Base Metals b/ 97.0 Precious Metals 213.4 44.9 86.9 93.6 93.6 93.7 85.1 102.8 96.8 93.3 85.1 102.2 67.7 75.3 80.8 84.1 59.5 80.8 88.1 86.0 85.8 85.7 89.5 82.6 94.8 101.8 87.2 75.1 66.6 70.6 71.2 128.1 154.0 150.9 161.3 150.2 163.4 152.1 131.2 147.2 115.5 181.9 165.7 159.1 149.8 241.1 153.0 170.7 169.9 169.3 170.8 181.1 193.9 136.4 168.0 124.8 215.3 217.0 167.0 157.1 302.4 155.4 157.5 160.8 137.8 175.4 190.7 202.4 130.9 137.0 118.3 157.4 214.9 144.3 139.7 313.6 148.7 151.6 152.9 128.9 166.7 179.4 194.5 124.6 131.6 115.7 149.1 199.3 143.5 139.0 307.9 145.6 143.7 143.1 123.7 152.7 164.1 179.0 113.9 129.4 114.7 145.5 184.8 140.3 135.3 281.1 142.9 137.1 135.4 119.8 141.7 153.2 163.2 107.1 127.8 114.6 142.3 171.8 136.7 130.8 265.8 140.4 134.8 132.9 117.6 138.6 149.5 159.5 105.5 126.8 114.7 140.0 165.4 135.2 129.2 257.5 137.8 132.6 130.5 115.4 135.6 145.8 155.9 103.9 125.8 114.7 137.9 159.3 133.7 127.6 249.5 135.3 130.4 128.2 113.2 132.7 142.3 152.4 102.4 124.8 114.8 135.8 153.4 132.3 126.1 241.9 132.8 128.3 125.9 111.1 129.9 138.8 149.0 100.9 123.9 114.9 133.7 147.8 130.9 124.7 234.4 130.4 126.3 123.8 109.0 127.1 135.4 145.7 99.4 123.3 115.6 131.7 142.4 129.5 123.2 227.2 119.9 116.1 112.8 99.1 113.7 119.5 129.8 91.6 117.7 113.6 122.1 118.0 122.7 116.1 193.9 76.2 96.7 2.4 89.3 -0.8 112.9 2.4 123.0 8.9 120.6 -1.9 122.9 1.9 125.5 2.2 127.9 1.9 130.2 1.8 132.6 1.8 134.9 1.8 137.3 1.8 139.8 1.8 153.0 1.8 47.8 72.3 4.2 88.7 2.1 111.0 2.3 113.4 2.1 115.5 1.9 117.0 1.3 119.5 2.2 122.1 2.2 124.7 2.2 127.4 2.2 130.2 2.2 133.0 2.2 135.9 2.2 151.3 2.2 Inflation indices, 2005=100 d/ MUV index e/ % change per annum US GDP deflator % change per annum a/ b/ c/ d/ Base metals plus iron ore. Includes aluminum, copper, lead, nickel, tin and zinc. Real price indices are computed from unrounded data and deflated by the MUV index. Inflation indices for 2011-2025 are projections. Growth rates for years 1990, 2000 and 2010 refer to compound annual rate of change between adjacent end-point years; all others are annual growth rates from the previous year. e/ Unit value index of manufacture exports (MUV) in US dollar terms for fifteen countries (Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, France, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Republic of Korea, South Africa, Spain, Thailand, United Kingdom, and United States). Please see the MUV Index and its compilation methodology online. Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. Historical US GDP deflator: US Department of Commerce. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities Next update: April 2013 Commodity Price Forecast Update Released: January 15, 2013 Table 4: World Bank Commodity Price Index Weights a/ Share of energy and nonenergy indices Share of sub-group indices 100.0 4.7 84.6 10.8 100.0 4.7 84.6 10.8 100.0 64.9 40.0 11.3 3.4 2.8 4.6 0.5 100.0 30.2 25.3 40.8 3.7 100.0 28.2 8.5 7.1 11.5 1.2 Vegetable Oils and Meals Soybeans Soybean Oil Soybean Meal Palm Oil Coconut Oil Groundnut Oil c/ 16.3 4.0 2.1 4.3 4.9 0.5 0.5 100.0 24.6 13.0 26.3 30.2 3.1 2.8 40.8 10.1 5.3 10.7 12.3 1.3 1.1 Other Food Sugar Bananas Meat, beef Meat, chicken Oranges d/ 12.4 3.9 1.9 2.7 2.4 1.4 100.0 31.5 15.7 22.0 19.2 11.6 31.0 9.8 4.9 6.8 6.0 3.6 Beverages Coffee Cocoa Tea 8.4 3.8 3.1 1.5 100.0 45.7 36.9 17.4 Agricultural Raw Materials Timber Hardwood Logs Sawnwood 16.5 8.6 8.6 1.9 6.7 100.0 100.0 22.1 77.9 Other Raw Matrials Cotton Natural Rubber Tobacco 7.9 1.9 3.7 2.3 100.0 24.7 46.7 28.7 Metals and Minerals Aluminum Copper Iron Ore Lead Nickel Tin Zinc 31.6 8.4 12.1 6.0 0.6 2.5 0.7 1.3 100.0 26.7 38.4 18.9 1.8 8.1 2.1 4.1 Fertilizers Natural Phosphate Rock Phosphate Potassium Nitogenous 3.6 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.5 100.0 16.9 21.7 20.1 41.3 Commodity Group Energy Coal Crude Oil Natural Gas Non-energy Commodities Agriculture Food Grains Rice Wheat Maize b/ Barley Precious Metals 7/ Gold Silver Platinum a/ b/ c/ d/ Share of food index 100.0 77.8 18.9 3.3 The weights are based on 2002-04 export values of low- and middle-income countries; the data are taken from the United Nations' Comtrade Database via World Bank WITS system, Food and Agriculture Organization FAOSTAT, International Energy Agency, BP Statistical Review of World Energy, World Metal Statistics, World Bureau of Metal Statistics and World Bank staff estimates. The maize weight includes sorghum. The groundnut oil weight includes groundnuts. The oranges weight includes orange juice. Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities Next update: April 2013 World Bank Commodity Price Indices: Groups and Weights ENERGY 100.0 COAL 4.7 CRUDE OIL 84.6 NATURAL GAS 10.8 NON-ENERGY 100.0 METALS 31.6 AGRICULTURE 64.9 FERTILIZER 3.6 BEVERAGES 8.4 FOOD 40.0 RAW MATERIALS 16.5 GRAINS 11.3 FATS & OILS 16.3 OTHER FOOD 12.4 PRECIOUS METALS 100.0 GOLD 77.8% SILVER 18.9% PLATIMUM 3.3% Note: Sum of components may not equal group total due to rounding. Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities Next update: April 2013 Commodity Price Forecast Update Released: January 15, 2013 Description of Price Series Maize (US), no. 2, yellow, f.o.b. US Gulf ports Aluminum (LME) London Metal Exchange, unalloyed primary ingots, high grade, cash price Natural Gas (Europe), import border price Bananas (Central & South American), import price, free on truck (f.o.t.) US Gulf Barley (Canada), feed, Winnipeg Exchange, wholesale farmers’ price Commodity Beef (Australian/New Zealand), frozen boneless, 85% chemical lean, c.i.f. U.S. East Coast Natural Gas (U.S.), Henry Hub, Louisiana Natural Gas (LNG) (any origin), c.i.f. Japan Nickel (LME), cathodes Oranges (Africa & Mediterranean region), European indicative import price, c.i.f. Paris Palm oil (Malaysian), bulk, c.i.f. N. W. Europe Chicken meat (US) whole birds, broilers, Georgia Dock weighted average, wholesale price Phosphate rock (Moroccan), 70% BPL, contract, f.a.s. Casablanca Coal (Australian), thermal, f.o.b. Newcastle/Port Kembla Potassium chloride, f.o.b. Vancouver Cocoa (ICCO), International Cocoa Organization daily price Rice (Thai), 5% broken, white rice, milled, indicative survey price, f.o.b. Bangkok Coconut oil Rotterdam c.i.f. Rubber (Southeast Asia), RSS 3, nearby contract SICOM; prior to 2004 RSS 1 grade f.o.b. Coffee (ICO), International Coffee Organization indicator price, other mild Arabicas, average New York and Bremen/Hamburg markets Sawnwood (Malaysian), dark red seraya/meranti, select and better quality, kiln dry, c. & f. UK (Philippines/Indonesian), bulk, Coffee (ICO), International Coffee Organization indicator price, Robustas, average New York and Le Havre/Marseilles markets Shrimps (Mexico), frozen, white No. 1, 26-30 count per pound, wholesale, New York Silver (Handy & Harman), refined, New York Copper (LME), grade A, cathodes and wire bar Soybean meal (any origin), c.i.f. Rotterdam Cotton (“cotton outlook A” index), c.i.f. Far East; prior to 2006 c.i.f. Northern Europe Soybean oil (Dutch), crude, f.o.b. ex-mill Crude oil, average spot price of Brent, Dubai and West Texas Intermediate, equally weighed DAP (diammonium phosphate), bulk, f.o.b. US Gulf Soybeans (US), c.i.f. Rotterdam Sugar (world), International Sugar Agreement daily price, raw, f.o.b. Caribbean ports Gold (UK), London afternoon fixing Tea, average of quotations at Calcutta, Colombo and Mombasa/Nairobi Groundnut oil (any origin), c.i.f. Rotterdam Tin (LME), refined, settlement price Iron ore, fines, spot, c.f.r. China 62% fe, in unit of US$/dmt; prior to 2006 (Brazilian) CVRD/Vale sinter feed, f.o.b. contract price to Europe, 66.5-68% fe, in unit of US¢/dmtu Tobacco (any origin) total unmanufactured US import unit value, twelve-months-rolling-averages Lead (LME), refined, settlement price Urea, (varying Europe Logs (West African), sapele, high quality (loyal and marchand LM), f.o.b. Cameroon Wheat (US), no. 1, hard red winter, export Gulf Logs (Malaysian), meranti, Sarawak, Tokyo import price TSP (triple super-phosphate), bulk, f.o.b. US Gulf origins), bagged, f.o.b. Eastern Zinc (LME), special high grade, settlement price Note: The MUV (unit value of manufacture) is a US dollar trade weighted index of manufactures exported from fifteen economies (Brazil, Canada, China, Germany, France, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, Republic of Korea, South Africa, Spain, Thailand, United Kingdom, and United States). Please see the compilation methodology of the MUV Index online. Source: World Bank, Development Prospects Group. http://www.worldbank.org/prospects/commodities Next update: April 2013
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