Pre-Drill Stresses From Seismic For Frac Designs Introduction The eco-political problems of shale gas production are well known, and the conversion of indicative resources to realistic producible reserves applying fraccing techniques is difficult using all known geological data. Fraccing is essentional for recovering unconventional reserves and poorly understood Earth stresses in frac planning can be a show-stopper. Conventional versus Unconventional reservoirs Conventional reservoirs are naturally occurring sandstones or carbonates with porosities generally greater than 15% having permeabilities greater than several tens of millidarcys. Vertical wells with standard completion methods can produce commercial flow rates (see top left of Figure 1) and fraccing is effectively a secondary recovery process. Multi-mineral and cemented sandstones vary in porosity between 15% and 5% and have very low permeabilities, often below one millidarcy. They require man-made stimulation to flow. Horizontal wells access greater potential reservoir surface area but fraccing is the necessary permeability stimulant for unconventional reservoirs. If porosity increases in the direction of the horizontal well (see the middle left of Figure 1) and fracs are directed parallel with the direction of the local maximum horizontal Earth stress (SHmax or SHD), fraccing efficiency can be maximised. These sands and silts and the shales with porosities less than 5%, shown below, plus deep coals, are increasingly referred to as unconventional composite plays. Shales adjacent to and sealing conventional productive reservoirs may still have high kreogen content having often previously sourced hydrocarbons during the burial process. Many shales are structurally simple, flat lying and uniform, extending over hundreds of kilometers and can be hundreds of metres thick. Porosity and permeability can also be locally enhanced by natural fractures (lower left of Figure 1) and fracs can propogate effectively. The simple structural properties of extensive shale basins are attributable to several now famous US ‘shales’ such as the Eagle Ford in Texas (see top right of Figure 1). Enormous in-place volumes of unexpelled gas and oil have been assigned to these unconventional units in several countries. The recent 96% downgrade in expected oil estimates of the rich Monterey shale in California which is also very extensive, may be strongly interbedded with hard chert (light, resistive bands, in lower right of Figure 1) and may be interrupted by reverse faults and folding which rapidly reduces frac propagation potential and the simple structural ideal of the fraccers. Thus indicative resource estimates give no indication of potentially producible commercial reserves. These unconventional hydrocarbons have to be extracted, and all require fraccing. This article briefly outlines the largest rarely considered problem facing fraccers: Earth stresses. CONVENTIONAL (Natural) & UNCONVENTIONAL (Man-made) RESERVOIRS Eagle Ford >15% Porosity Sand FRAC 5-15% Porosity Silt Natural fractures <5% Porosity Shale Monterey Figure 1. Left; diagrammatic representations of conventional (top) and unconventional reservoirs (middle and bottom) and right; outcrop examples of unconventional reservoirs, Eagle Ford (Texas) and Monterey (California). Structure and Stress Factors Faults are the basis of structural geology and have been described in terms of whether they represent failure due to being pulled, wrenched or pushed. Anderson (1905) described a normal fault as a subvertical offset resulting from extension or having been pulled; a wrench fault as horizontal offset (lateral or strike slip) resulting from extension and compression or having been sheared (twisted); and a reverse fault as a sub-vertical offset resulting from compression or having been pushed (see top left of Figure 2). Except for some earthquake data, Earth forces are essentially unquantified which leads to excessive simplification and hand-waving by structural geologists. This once caused a senior exploration manager in Aberdeen commenting on meeting me, that I was in a ‘specialist back-water’. Although I was initially taken aback, he wasn’t wrong, most structural geologists describe Earth structures resulting from a single force (plate tectonics) in which all the oceanic ridges ‘push’. If so, the South Atlantic earthquake data would be represented by pink, Anderson thrust or reverse faults circles with black, most with opposing east-west SHD arrows (see lower left of Figure 2). Ocean-floor spreading data and GPS show quite clearly the gap formed at the actively spreading oceanic ridge is simply the site of passive infill by the upper mantle as South America moves slowly north at 10 mm per annum and Africa moves more rapidly northeastwards at 25. There are another four, arguably five, global tectonic forces ultimately controlling 99% of the world’s hydrocarbon reserves. Can these forces be understood and harnessed for fraccing? Earthquake distribution rarely finds them where a fractured well is planned, but high definition 3D seismic generally can be placed as required. Anderson noted that ‘varieties in character between these three (fault) types’. Predrill Stresses International (PSI) has divided normal, wrenched (strike slip) and reverse faults into seven in order to extract more stress information from faults (see the upper-middle left of Figure 2). The quality of 3D seismic allows these ‘varieties’ to be recognised, for example, parallel strike slip (Anderson wrench) faults vary from compressive strike slip towards reverse faults and, in the opposite direction, extensional strike slip towards normal faults. PSI has patents covering derivation of quantified stresses from structures interpreted on seismic lines. The depths of successive pairs of horizon structure maps are subtracted to form a series of thickness maps or isopachs, which, together with the interpreted normal and reverse faults, are used by PSI’s 4DGeoStress software to map Earth stresses in threedimensions (see right of Figure 2). Quantified stress means a horizontal well can be planned parallel with Shmin, the direction of the smallest horizontal component of the Earth’s stress field (ShD), enabling fracs to be propagated at right angles, parallel with SHmax (SHD) the direction of extensional failure propogation, hence direction of potentially longest frac length; no wellbore breakout or laboratory rock property measurements are required. Frac Gradients The ratio of Shmin/Load (Sh/SV) or the ‘frac gradient’ can be extracted from the seismic and (SH<SV) Pull Push Shear SH>SV SV Anderson Stress States SV SH>>SV S V Sh Normal SH Strike Slip Sh st thru ck Ba SH Sh 2θ SH Thrust SV PSI Stress States Normal Loading (N) (L) S H /S V 0.675 S h /S V 0.650 GO SV> SH> Sh 0.825 0.725 SV> Sh≥ Sh Uplift (U) 0.875 0.775 SH> SV≥ Sh Ext. Strike Slip (ESS) 1.010 0.825 SH> SV>> Sh 1.075 0.875 Fracture Gradient Stress Derived Area Strike Slip (SS) SH> SV> Sh SH Direction Comp. Strike Slip (CSS) 1.200 0.925 Reverse (R) 1.400 1.000 SH>> Sv≥ Sh SH> Sh> SV 3.000 1.500 SH Magnitude Sh Magnitude STOP Extrapolated 25mm/a Al EJ 10mm/a Al Ap Figure 2. Left, top; diagrammatic representations of Anderson and PSI stress states and fracture gradients. Left, bottom; reverse and strike slip stress states from earthquake focal mechanism solutions (from the World Stress Map), and right; stress from seismic using 4DGeoStress software. mapped within any pair of horizons. The reverse fault areas are coloured red and wrench and normal fault areas are green as in the traffic light sense; red for stop (see middle left of Figure 2). This means undesirable horizontal fractures will be formed in red areas and desirable, reservoir-cutting vertical fractures in green areas. There is a 3% window between the two which serves as amber for caution. The advantages here are profound. Not only are detailed pressure-depth graphs generated for a well planned in any direction or inclination, but it means fracs can be directed and aligned vertically within the potential reservoir units, pre-drill. There are some 6000 line-km of 2D seismic available from the South Australian government (DMITRE) along with numerous 3D surveys. In 2011 PSI interpreted an even spread of lines across the basin and in 2013 one-fifth of the 2D lines were used to form stress isopachs. Further lines were added in June 2014 for the evolving non-exclusive report to which Southwest Queensland can be added. The frac gradient map for the South Australian part of the Cooper Basin (see left of Figure 3) shows the paleo North Nappamerri Trough has been strongly compressed to red reverse faulting with frac propagation horizontal as work is done against the load (SV), the least principal component of stress. Several wells have confirmed this prediction with flows rapidly dropping below 1MMcfpd due to no vertical splitting of the basin-centred, Permian gas. Amber areas to the south are proportionally too large due to the broad 2D line spacing. In other words, the amber areas can be reduced if individual operators wish to add extra 2D and 3D seismic to their acreage areas, thereby making very reliable maps with accurate red and green boundaries for frac planning. Faulting indicates dislocation of the rocks which, even in shales, can be conduits for fluids to the surface, a fact increasingly used by detractors to oppose fraccing. Not all normal faults leak and many reverse faults seal. These seemingly unresolvable, unquantifiable structural factors can be quantified by the fault seal analysis within PSI’s software. Areas where surface faulting has become an issue include Germany and France where there are bans on fraccing, and in each of Poland, UK and in the Karoo of South Africa where debate is intensifying. The remoteness of the northern Nappanerri Trough in Australia has not attracted that attention. Seismic data show water and possibly some gas expulsion up faults from the Mid Cretaceous occurred from 50 million years ago, but these are detached for the most part from the Permian. It appears the operator in some countries is going to be required to guarantee there will be no leakage; PSI can assist, but good luck! Global Stresses GPS and ocean-floor spreading data show Australia is the fastest drifting continent and has been moving north-northeastwards in excess of 60 mm per annum for the past 50+ million years. In doing so, Australia has experienced an increasing Earth radius as it approaches the Equator (see right nof Figure 3). The Earth’s crust is essentially rigid so the response has been to reduce the crustal curvature by compressing the upper crust (pink) and extending the lower crust (grey). This motion lifts the margins rather like the flanges of a hinge. The continental margins rise to over 2000 m on the East Coast and to 270 m on the more distant, less weakened crust to the West. Between these ‘flanges’ a compressional, but sinking, ‘hinge’ area is the Cooper and the Mesozoic Eromanga basins which, although extensively uplifted, reach a subsea elevation of -12 m at Lake Eyre as the lower crust concurrently extends and sinks. The compression is strong, causing an inversion of over 300 m of the pre-Tertiary in the northeast Nappamerri Trough and a resulting reverse fault stress state which predicted the lack of success in fraccing parts of the Permian. The short yellow bars on the upper right of Figure 3 are anticlines and are evidence for compressional earthquakes and surface uplift spanning the less rigid parts of the continent. Compres sion COOPER BASIN FRACTURE GRADIENTS Cu Extension rva 60m Ge Keleary-1 Tarragon-1 oi Paning-1 Telopea-1 Cleansweep-1 . H UG O TR lH eD ecr ig GPS 60mm/a h eas 40 m 20m Reg Sprigg-1 Moondie-1 da tur Beanbush-1 Pennie-1 Yanta-1 . Lamdina-1 RA AR E W IDG HA Innamincka-1 . Snatcher-1 Charo-1 Fig.11 Bookabourdie-1 Callabonna-1 Growler-1 Fly Lake-1 Kalladeina-1 TC PA R Burley-1 Bulyeroo-1 ERR M A PP NA Meranji-1 Swan Lake-1 Gidgealpa-1 Christies-1 GH OU R T Encounter-1 Merrimelia-1 Tindilpie-1 Sellicks-1 Kirby-1 Holdfast-1 Mootanna-1 I Mcleod-1 Moomba-74 Moomba-191 Della-1 Dullingari-1 Moomba-1 Spencer-1 Tantanna-1 Big Lake-1 Wancoocha-1 A NG U L L A Kidman-1 PER A Lycosa-1 Kerinna-1 Toolachee-1 McKinlay-1 Alwyn-1 AP Daralingie-1 Strzelecki-1 Narcoonowie-1 Reverse SH>Sh>SV Strike S >S >S H V h Slip Normal SV>SH>Sh SOUTH AUSTRALIAN BORDER Parsons-1 Wantana-1 Tirrawarra-1 GM I Bauer-1 Callawonga-1 Pondrinie-1 Moorari-1 >15% Porosity Sand 30 40 50 Kobari-1 kilometres Normal Loading (N) (L) S H /S V 0.675 S h /S V 0.650 S> V S> H Sh 0.825 0.725 S> V S≥ h Sh 5-15% Porosity Aldinga-1 Davenport-1 PSI Stress States Uplift (U) 0.875 0.775 S> H S≥ V Sh Ext. Strike Slip (ESS) 1.010 0.825 Vertical Fracs = reservoir creation S> H S>> V Sh Strike Slip (SS) 1.075 0.875 S> H S> V Sh Comp. Strike Slip (CSS) 1.200 0.925 S>> H S≥ v Sh Reverse (R) 420000 1.400 1.000 3.000 1.500 440000 460000 480000 500000 PREDRILL STRESSES INTERNATIONAL Fracture Gradient S> H S> Weena-1 h SV Horizontal Fracs = uplift Cooper Basin, South Australia Bellows-1 Date : 2/07/2013 Contour Int. : 0.01 () Author : Sam Ekins Project : X:/pep/pep Projects/Projects/CSP II/Cooper Stress Project/CSP 2013 Reserves 1.8 Tcf Composite 175 Tcf (minus NE Nappamerri) Silt SH Magnitude Sh Magnitude Produced 6.9 Tcf Unconventional FRAC 20 T EN Padulla-1 N 10 Tertiary Anticlines (50-0Ma) + Volcanic Centres Conventional Marsden-1 0 Stress Map of Australia <5% Porosity Shale 97 Tcf Shale Figure 3. Left; Cooper Basin fracture gradient map derived from seismic, and right top: diagrammatic representation of curvature reduction of the crust caused by migration of Australia towards the Equator, and bottom; conventional reserves and unconventional producible resource estimates for the Cooper Basin, South Australia (for details see text). Are there any clues of fraccing success in the gas volume numbers? The South Australian Cooper Basin Permian has produced 6.9 Tcf of conventional gas running up to 30% CO2 with 1.8 Tcf remaining (see lower right of Figure 3). The US EIA states unconventional ‘risked, recoverable shale gas’ of 97 Tcf and the South Australian state government states 175 Tcf from the tight sands, siltstones, shales and coals (unconventional composite plays). The SA government, however, has recently offered a Retention Licence for up to 15 years over the main basin-centred gas, stress inverted, northeast e Ma rc e ll us Bakken er nt Mo ey n ia rm Pe le g Ea rd Fo focal mechanism breakouts drill. induced frac. borehole slotter overcoring hydro. fractures geol. indicators World Stress Map Rel. 2005 Heidelberg Academy of Sciences and Humanities Geophysical Institute. University of Karlsruhe Figure 4. Significant producing unconventional shale basins of the USA overlain on the stress map (produced by the World Stress Map project). Nappamerri Trough tending to suggest the conventional and unconventional composite plays may be converging to nearer equal potential, but the latter at a far greater cost. The World stress Map of North America (see Figure 4) indicates scattered thrust or reverse fault stress states (blue circles and bars) in the eastcentral (Appalachia), the broad central and western three-quarters has few shear (strike slip, green) and many red normal fault stress states indicating low horizontal compression and desirable vertical frac reservoir potential. The far west strip (California) has dense reverse fault stresses where local fracs will be horizontal and unproductive, for example affecting the Monterey which also lies within dense strike slip green along the San Andreas Fault. The wide expanse of low to extensional stress states has promoted vertical fracs and excellent unconventional production in the Bakken and Eagle Ford. The Monterey appears to have largely dodged the lightly compressed reverse fault bullet. It very important to note that the strong reverse fault associated, large anticlinal growth has been a strong component of Los Angeles and San Joaquin basin Monterey conventional reservoir production success, but adverse for accompanying unconventional shale fraccing, the latter discussed in Figure 1. Almost all Australian earthquakes are strong reverse fault stress states which have so far eliminated the North Nappamerri Trough in the Cooper Basin and reduced the South Nappamerri to a single well reporting low flowing shale. The remarkably extensive lower stress states of the USA are due to differing global forces and largely to it moving at less than one-tenth of the speed towards the Equator as Australia, accounting for the huge difference between the two countries’ unconventional gas and oil success rates. This is a broad comparison but certainly good enough to answer the statement I have heard, ‘There is no reason why Australia shouldn’t be as successful as the US (in terms of shale gas potential)’. There clearly is. A glance at the World Stress Map indicates there are several other large and segmented, potential trouble spots.
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