Social Intelligence Report Public attitudes to space and satellites An update to the report ‘Public views on the commercial application of Space’ (2013), reviewing information available at the time of writing, January 2016. • Executive Summary Space and satellite technologies are developed for space exploration, spaceflight, or communication through space. They include many commonly used technologies such as GPS, telephone and internet connections, satellite television, aerial mapping and remote sensing. • This report is an updated version for 2016, but there has been no new research into the public’s attitudes to space and satellites in the last few years. Space technologies have been identified as one of the Eight Great Technologies by the Department of Business, Innovation and Skills, which states: • They have a strong desire to understand and contribute to decisions on the role of advanced space technology. “There is a surge in data coming from satellites which do not just transmit data but collect data by earth observation. We have opportunities to be a world leader in satellites and especially analysing the data from them.” (Willetts, 2013) • The UK’s involvement in space exploration, including astronaut Tim Peake joining the International Space Station, may cause a change in public attitudes that should be investigated. • Data from surveys in the original report shows that the public’s attitudes to satellites and the commercial applications of space technology are generally positive, with uncertainty about the future financial benefit. • People are ambivalent towards the UK’s development of the space industry, but generally support space exploration and developing space-related technologies. • Space exploration and tourism are viewed as having great potential to enthuse the UK about science and technology. • People are less certain about use of space for novel military purposes, as well as how the commercialisation of space will be funded, and the economic benefits. The prospect of mining minerals from space is rejected as inappropriate and too speculative. • People strongly support more education and engagement on space technologies, and desire more public involvement in developments. • Further policy should be based on public opinion, and consultation is advised. • Introduction The UK is a world leader in space technologies and the UK Space Agency has predicted future areas of growth to include: international telecommunications and navigation services; information systems to support carbon trading; surveillance of the hazards threatening space infrastructure; innovative launch systems; services to support space exploration; and space tourism. The UK space industry is estimated to have supported 106,300 jobs in 2012/13, and to be worth approximately £10.8 billion in GDP (UK Space Agency, 2014). The UK is a key player in global space research and is the second largest publisher of space research papers worldwide (BIS, 2010). In 2015, space exploration had particular prominence in the UK, as the Principia Mission to the International Sace Station made TIm Peake became the first British ESA astronaut. This has led to increased public interest in space, and so it is timely to understand what we now about public opinion on space and satellites. Since Sciencewise first gathered the existing evidence on public opinion in 2013, a small number of reports have been published. We have revised the text of the 2013 ‘Public Views on the Commercial Application of Space’ report (Sciencewise, 2013), adding new evidence, and highlighting gaps in our current knowledge, which research could usefully address to inform policy. Public views Awareness of the institutions and applications of space is mixed. An opinion poll was carried out in 2009 by Ipsos MORI, with the aim of investigating the public’s awareness of space (BIS, 2010). It found that only 5% of respondents could reference the British National Space Centre (BNSC) as the responsible body for space activities in the UK. Most people associate space with manned space missions and over half the respondents were unsure whether the UK had any space industry. A relatively high proportion (81%) of the public knew that weather forecasting is made possible by space technology, but only 47% knew that Sky News uses space technology. Less than a quarter (22%) of participants thought that bank transactions are helped by space technology, and just 7% thought space technology is involved with delivering the National Lottery Results. At the beginning of the ESA’s citizen’s jury in 2006 (Safwat, Stilgoe, and Gillinson, 2006), participants illustrated their perceptions of ‘space’. The participants drew rockets, planets and aliens, with no inclusion of satellites, televisions or the space-related technologies we rely upon. On the second day, after several talks from space professionals, the younger participants who had not seen the live Apollo Moon landings revealed that they felt as if space exploration “had skipped my generation”. “On a day-to-day basis, I don’t really think about space” was a comment from one participant. There was the feeling among the participants that the European Space Agency (ESA) does not make enough effort to interact with the public and that people are interested in space, but are no longer engaged with the area. Overall, the participants agreed that only an informed public could be expected to provide a useful input into the future of space, while an uninformed public could not. The participants emphasised the importance of educating the public on space exploration, and that polling the public with their present level of understanding would be of limited value. They summarised that to have an opinion on space exploration, an interest in space exploration and a certain level of understanding is required. The UK’s role in space A small majority feel space exploration in general is important. Over half of participants in a 2013 YouGov survey of 1,825 adults thought space exploration was ‘important’ (53%). Slightly less thought that it was ‘not important’ (43%) (YouGov, 2013). However, a more nuanced situation arises when people are specifically asked about the UK’s involvement. 44% thought that it was a good idea for the UK to have a space programme, with 34% disagreeing and 22% unsure. Support grows in response to specific space programmes. A 2005 poll by the BBC tested public opinion on a potential UK astronaut programme that would require £150 million in funding. 61% of participants supported the venture, while 26% did not (BBC, 2005). Views were expressed on how young people have become disconnected from science and how space exploration could arouse new interest. Any concerns mentioned were related to the cost of space exploration, rather than other issues such as religious beliefs or because they thought it wasn’t useful. Support for human spaceflight to achieve scientific goals had even greater support in a 2007 poll of 460 Royal Astronomical Society (RAS) Fellows, with 442 supporting the idea (RAS, 2007). There is a small amount of information available on public responses to satellite and other unmanned space technology. A Sciencewise dialogue on space weather found that participants would support satellites to monitor the sun, which would provide warning of solar events that might affect technology on earth. Participants also felt that a satellite, with regular updates would promote awareness of space weather and its potential impact (Sciencewise, 2015). Many believe that the space sector would become more popular in future. In 2012, The Engineer reported a poll that identified how the public perceived the space industry would develop in the future. 40% of participants believed that the space sector will become better known to the public and 37% thought that the space sector would receive more funding in the future. Just 8% believed it would help the UK space industry to receive more funding, and 15% stated that an increase in space funding would have limited impact (Nathan, 2012). Financing space Public awareness of the way space exploration is funded is poor. Participants in a citizen’s jury organised by the European Space Agency in 2006 were unaware of UK contributions to the ESA. They felt that the Government had a duty to make the public more aware of these costs when they are covered by the taxpayer. Concerns arose regarding the contributions that the UK makes to the ESA and whether they are compulsory for all EU countries, and whether the influence of the UK in the ESA is dependent on the amount of funding it commits. Comments included: “Are we just funding someone’s expensive hobby?”, “I always thought these things were funded by the defence budget” and “we need to know why we’re spending all that money up there”. Overall, twice as many participants thought that UK space funding should not be increased compared to those that did. Participants were asked which areas of space they would choose to fund themselves. The results are illustrated in Figure 1. A slightly larger group of young people think space should get more investment. A project for the Nestlé Social Research Programme sampled 1,058 young people aged between 11 and 21 from schools, colleges, universities and those not in education (Ipsos, 2004). The results showed that 36% of young people thought more money should be spent on space exploration, 27% thought that less money should be spent, 27% thought that the same money should be spent and 7% had no opinion or didn’t know. Figure 1. Responses to the question ‘Do you think it is a good or bad idea for the UK to have a space programme, as found by YouGov (2013) Public attitudes to space and satellites When asked if the UK should fund research specifically to search for life on other planets the results were similar to the responses on funding general space exploration. March 2016 The study established that 35% of the public surveyed wanted to travel to space and 24% remained undecided (Barrett, 1999). The most enthusiasm for space tourism was seen in the youngest age group with 70% of 10 to 19 year olds stating that they would like to undertake space travel. Most respondents (40%) thought that £700 was the maximum they would spend on traveling to space, while 12% (which represented 3.5 million people) were prepared to pay £8,500. Study participants ranked viewing Earth as the most popular reason for travelling to space. Many would like to travel to space as a tourist. In 2012, YouGov asked the public ‘Given the chance, and if all expenses were paid for, would you go into space?’ (YouGov, 2012). Most people agreed that they would like to travel to space and left comments such as “always dreamed of going to space” and “seeing Earth from so high up would be the most special thing about the experience”. Figure 2: Areas in space that participants at the ESA’s citizen’s jury would choose to fund. (ESA 2006) On satellite technology, there is limited evidence on how the public view Sciencewise space weather dialogue found that while participants did support some public money going to monitoring satellites, they also felt that industry should provide financial support to match public funding (Sciencewise, 2015). Military use of space The military is dependent upon space and the potential developments in that area. The role of the military in space has long been subject to debate and in 2012 a number of media articles considered the military and its activities in space (Oliphant, 2013; ITV News, 2012; Telegraph, 2012; Amos, 2012; BBC, 2012). There has been little activity in public dialogue surrounding military applications of space and space technologies over the past few years. In a 2004 poll of 1,000 British adults, just over half (56%) agreed that space should be a neutral place with no military uses. However, participants’ views were dependent on the type of military use of space. 79% of the same group of people felt that the military’s use of navigation and communication systems in space was acceptable, but actual weapons should not be used. Approximately half (51%) agreed that military use of space would be acceptable, but only for countries defending themselves, and not for attack. A high proportion (76%) of the public felt that military use of space was acceptable providing it was used for international partnerships such as NATO, rather than by individual countries. The poll also revealed that 80% of the British public would favour the USA exploring space as part of an international effort. Participants from the ESA citizen’s jury showed concerns towards the military’s use of space and had clear feelings towards only using space for positive technological advancements. Comments surrounding the military’s use of space included “don’t put weapons up there”. Space tourism The concept of space tourism is not new and was commercially proposed the morning after the first Apollo flight in 1968. The first space tourist was an American businessman who entered space in 2001 for $20,000. In 1999, Bournemouth University carried out a study to evaluate the potential demand for space tourism in the UK. Public attitudes to space and satellites Some participants did not share the same excitement for space travel and gave reasons such as fearing for their safety and being happy on Earth. Comments left on the website in response to the study included “I think it’s a real waste of money” and “another thing for the super-rich”. Space tourism has been a popular topic in media recently with a number of articles reporting on commercial space travel within the next decade. In January 2013, the Daily Mail Online released the article ‘Is this the year private space travel finally has lift-off? Why 2013 could be one giant leap for tycoons’ out-of-this-world ambitions’ (Daily Mail, 2013). The article received 27 comments from members of the public, of which there was a balance of opinion in support of Richard Branson’s spacecraft taking passengers to space and comments voicing scepticism on the issue. Concerns were raised relating to the carbon footprint and environmental damage that space flight would bring some considered space tourism as a “carnival ride for the wealthy and elite”. Mining minerals from space Mining minerals and natural resources from space is a topic that some of the public will have encountered in the media. Although media activity has not been as great for space mining as it has for space tourism in the UK, there has still been a variety of media coverage in the past few years (Clark, 2013; Collins, 2013a; Collins, 2013b). The comments that the public post on such articles generally tend to be critical and overall there is a lack of confidence in the potential to mine resources from asteroids. In a recent article by The Guardian on the US’s plans to mine asteroids by 2020, comments were left such as “how much will the first gram mined have cost”, “the forecast dates are way, way too optimistic” and “Ludicrous”. These reveal that the public currently consider asteroid mining to be more of a pipe dream than a realistic industry. Concerns brought up included the issue of international ownership of asteroids. The public debated whether or not it was right for the USA to mine asteroids when they do not own them. Other comments showed that some of the public did have enthusiasm for the concept of asteroid mining, but it was usually overridden by the opinion that asteroid mining would not be economically viable, and that the cost of mining would outweigh the value of the resources acquired. March 2016 Gap analysis References Little public attitudes research has been conducted in the area of space and satellites. No formal public dialogue has been conducted, and the evidence that exists relates to specific topics such as space tourism, asteroid mining and human space flight. These studies do not align with the areas of space technology that the UK are world leaders in, such as satellites and robotics. • Amos, J. (2012)“X-37B Spaceplane ‘spying on China’.” http://www. bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-16423881 Most public opinion in this report has been gathered from online forums and opinion polls with only one deliberative dialogue activity identified, meaning that while we can report the toplines of public opinion, there is little insight into the reasons people hold those views. The last academic study on space-related technologies and public opinion focused on space tourism and was published over a decade ago. Since then, UK academic research into other commercial applications of space has been limited. Activities that have gathered the views of the public have in most cases been instigated by, and focused on, the scientific community, with less involvement of the general public. Nonetheless, there have been a few studies that have actively included the wider public, with the most activity occurring between 2004 and 2009. Most of the polls and forums that have been identified do not record the demographics of the participants involved. Factors such as gender, location, household income, religion and ethnicity can all influence the way the public feel about the commercial space sector. Of the public engagement that has taken place, there has been no replication over a period of time. It would be useful to carry out the same opinion polls, containing the same questions to assess whether the public’s views are changing. This would enable a more accurate prediction of how the public feel about the development of the space industry in forthcoming years. Satellites play an integral part in the UK’s future commercial space ventures, but there has been no public dialogue where the main focus is on how the public feel about the use of satellites, now and in the future. Extreme space weather has recently been identified as a risk to the UK’s satellite infrastructure (RAEng, 2013), but there were no references to this in any of the sources identified, which suggests the public have little awareness of this issue. There is no data on public attitudes to the UK’s recent involvement in space exploration, such as astronaut Tim Peake’s time on the International Space Station. More public consultation should be considered for further developments. • Barrett, O. “Space future - an evaluation of the potential demand for space tourism within the United Kingdom.” http://www. spacefuture.com/archive/an_evaluation_of_the_potential_ demand_for_space_tourism_within_the_united_kingdom.shtml • BBC. “How China is Advancing its Military Reach.” Accessed March 2016. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-16588557 • ———. “UK should ‘Reverse Astronaut Ban’.” BBC,2005. http:// news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/4351688.stm • BIS. “The Space Innovation and Growth Strategy.” http:// webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/20121212135622/ • Clark, S. , 2013. “Asteroid mining is back in fashion (unlike the tank top).” The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/science/ across-the-universe/2013/jan/23/asteroid-mining-deep-spaceindustries?intcmp=239 • Collins, N., 2013. “Asteroid Prospecting: What could we Stand to Gain?” http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/science/space/9819612/ Asteroid-prospecting-what-could-we-stand-to-gain.html • ———. “World’s first fleet of asteroid-prospecting spacecraft launched.” 2013. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/science/ space/9818734/Worlds-first-fleet-of-asteroid-prospectingspacecraft-launched.html • Daily Mail. “Is this the year private space travel finally has lift-off?”. Accessed March 2016. http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/ article-2255784/Is-year-private-space-travel-finally-lift-Why-2013giant-leap-tycoons-world-ambitions.html • ITV News. “New MoD Skynet satellite to protect UK troops abroad.” Accessed March 2016. http://www.itv.com/news/2012-12-20/ ministry-of-defence-launch-satellite-into-space/ • Nathan, S., 2012. “Last Week’s Poll: Britain’s increasing ESA contribution http://www.theengineer.co.uk/last-weeks-pollbritains-increasing-esa-contribution/ • Oliphant, R., 2013. “Russia facing no access to space for first time since Cold War.” http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/ europe/russia/9792580/Russia-facing-no-access-to-space-forfirst-time-since-Cold-War.html • Royal Academy of Engineering, 2013. Extreme space weather: impacts on engineered systems and infrastructure: • Royal Astronomical Society. “Humanspace exploration survey” Accessed March 2016. http://www.ras.org.uk/component/ content/article/1147 • Safwat, B., Stilgoe, J., and Gillinson, S. “Open space: a citizen’s jury on space exploration.” http://esamultimedia.esa.int/docs/ exploration/Public/DEMOS_Space_Jury_final_report_v5.pdf • Sciencewise, 2015. Space Wweather public dialogue, final report. • Telegraph, 2012 “First Syrian in space defects from Assad regime”. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/middleeast/ syria/9454074/First-Syrian-in-space-defects-from-Assad-regime. html Acknowledgements • UK Space Agency, 2016 “The size & health of the UK space industry.” https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/ uploads/attachment_data/file/363904/SandH2014final2.pdf This report, and the others in the series, has been produced by Sciencewise. • Willetts, David. “Eight Great Technologies - Speeches - GOV. UK.” Accessed February 2016. https://www.gov.uk/government/ speeches/eight-great-technologies Sciencewise would like to thank Alison Crowther for taking the time to review draft versions of this report and for all their useful comments and insights. • YouGov. “Space exploration still seen as important.” Accessed March 2016. https://yougov.co.uk/news/2013/11/08/spaceexploration-still-important/ This report and others are available online at http://www. sciencewise-erc.org.uk/cms/what-the-public-say-3 • YouGov. “Space tourism: would you make an all-expenses paid trip?” Accessed March 2016. https://yougov.co.uk/ news/2012/08/02/space-tourism-would-you-make-all-expensespaid-tri/ Public attitudes to space and satellites March 2016
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