GoodPracticeinParliamentaryBudgetScrutiny: InternationalComparisons PreparedfortheBudgetProcessReviewGroupestablishedjointlybytheFinance andConstitutionCommitteeandtheScottishGovernment By JoachimWehner AssociateProfessorinPublicPolicy LondonSchoolofEconomicsandPoliticalScience Finaldraft,27February2017 Contents Executivesummary 1Introduction 2Globalnormsandrelatedliterature Internationaltransparencystandards Standardsforlegislativefinancialscrutiny Relatedliterature 3Casestudies Germany Sweden NewZealand Australia 4Summaryandrecommendations Acknowledgments References 2 Abbreviations BPRG BudgetProcessReviewGroup BPS BudgetPolicyStatement(NewZealand) FIAG FinancialIssuesAdvisoryGroup GIFT GlobalInitiativeforFiscalTransparency IBP InternationalBudgetPartnership IMF InternationalMonetaryFund MSP MemberoftheScottishParliament OECD OrganisationforEconomicCo-operationandDevelopment PEFA PublicExpenditureandFinancialAccountability VAT Value-AddedTax 3 Executivesummary ThisresearchwascommissionedbytheBudgetProcessReviewGroup(BPRG)to helpestablishasetofprinciplestounderpinaworldclassfinancialscrutinyprocess inScotland.Thereportsurveysexistingglobalnormsforbudgetarygovernanceand legislativebudgetscrutiny.Italsoexamineslessonsfromtheexperienceof legislaturesinfourcountriesthatexercisedifferentdegreesofinfluencein budgetarydecisions:Australia,NewZealand,SwedenandGermany. Globalstandardsrecognisethelegislature’sroleinbudgetapproval,andcallforinyearparliamentaryoversightofbudgetexecution,aswelleffectiveparliamentary auditprocedures.Moreover,thereisincreasedrecognitionthatparliamentary involvementshouldbecontinuous,coveringallstagesofthebudgetprocess, includingmedium-termbudgetingandprioritysetting.Yet,manydetailed institutionalchoicescannotbesettledwithreferencetoglobalnorms. Recommendation1:TheBPRGshouldspelloutaclearvisionforthefuture developmentofparliamentaryfinancialscrutinyinScotland.Inparticular,it shouldclarifywhetheritendorsestheFinancialIssuesAdvisoryGroup’s (FIAG)callforaparliamentaryprocessthatentails“muchmorescrutiny” thanatWestminsterandthepossibilitytoinfluencethebudget. Thecasestudieshighlightpracticesfromlegislaturesthatofferalternativescenarios forthedevelopmentoffinancialscrutinyinScotland.Onbalance,theAustralianand NewZealandexamplesareclosesttothedefaultmodeloftheWestminster Parliament,whichFIAGexplicitlyrejected.Thefollowingrecommendationsare premisedonFIAG’svision,anddrawonthesurveyofnormsandinternational experiencetosuggestimprovementstotheexistingarrangements: Recommendation2:Thediscussionofthedraftbudgetshouldbepreceded byaformalmedium-termbudgetpolicystatementthatistabledannually anddiscussedinParliamentpriortothetablingoftheannualbudget proposalintheautumn.Themedium-termbudgetpolicystatementshould, withinthecontextoftheeconomicoutlook,setoutthegovernment’sfiscal policyobjectivesanditsbroadprioritiesforthebudget.Itshouldbetabled sufficientlyfarinadvance,aboutsixmonthspriortothestartofthefiscal year,toallowmeaningfulparliamentarydiscussionthatisinformedbypublic consultationandengagement. Recommendation3:Thegovernmentshouldtableasinglebudgetproposal intheautumnthatshouldbescrutinisedbyparliamentarycommitteesand debatedintheplenary,withthepossibilitytotableandadoptamendments. Thiswouldreplacethecurrentdraftbudgetstagewiththetablingofaformal budgetproposalduringtheautumn.Maximumamendmentauthoritywould allowanychangestogovernmenttaxandspendingproposals.Ataminimum, itshouldbepossibleforMSPstoamendthebudgetbyshiftingfundsfrom oneitemtoanotherorbyreducinganexpenditure,andtoamendtax 4 measuresinawaythatdoesnotresultinalowerbudgetbalancethaninthe governmentproposal.Amendmentsshouldnotbetiedtoavoteof confidenceinthegovernment. Recommendation4:AcentralrolefortheFinanceCommitteeisessentialfor co-ordinatingparliamentarydecisionsonthesinglebudgetproposaltabledin theautumn.SimilartotheprocessinSweden,theFinanceCommittee shouldfirstconsiderthebudgetaggregatesandallocationsacrossthemain spendingareas,andmakerecommendationsthataredebatedandputtoa voteintheParliament. Recommendation5:Basedontheframeworkestablishedinthefirst parliamentarydecisiononthebudgetaggregatesandallocationsacrossthe mainspendingareas,asecondstageofparliamentaryreviewshouldinvolve detailedscrutinyofexpenditureprioritieswithinspecificsectorsbythe relevantsubjectcommittees.Anyamendmentsproposedbythecommittees atthisstageshouldbeconsistentwiththeframeworkestablishedinthefirst parliamentarydecision. Recommendation6:Givenincreaseddevolutionofauthorityovertaxation, theScottishParliamentshouldconsidertheestablishmentofseparate committeestoscrutinisespendingandtaxation.Aseparatecommitteeon taxationcouldhelptoensurethatappropriateattentioncanbegiventothe expenditureaswellastherevenuesideofthebudget. Recommendation7:TheBPRGshouldexploreoptionsforincreasingthe provisionofequalityrelevantinformation.Thisshouldincludegender incidenceanalysisthatquantifiestheimpactofbudgetmeasuresonmen andwomen,alongsideotherdistributiveimpactsbasedonageand householdincome. Recommendation8:TheBPRGshouldadoptacautiousapproachtothe incorporationofperformanceinformationintobudgetdocuments.Only performanceinformationthatisdirectlylinkedtospendingfiguresshouldbe presented.Outputscanbeattributedtoaspecificprogrammeandfiscalyear, whichmeansthatgovernmentbodiescanbeheldtoaccountfortheir delivery.Incontrast,anexcessivefocusonoutcomesislikelytoweaken accountability,asmanyimpactscannotbeclearlyattributed.Programmes shouldbelinkedtooutcomes,sothattheireffectivenesscanbeassessed againststatedobjectives.However,thelarge-scaleintroductionofoutcome informationintoannualbudgetdocumentsisnotrecommended. Recommendation9:Parliamentaryapprovalofspendingshouldbeatthe programmelevel.Thebudgetdocumentsshouldspelloutthefinancialcost ofeachprogrammeforatleastthecurrentyear,thebudgetyear,aswellas themediumterm,undertheassumptionthatcurrentpolicyismaintained. Ideally,thebudgetshouldalsocontainpastexpenditureinformationatthe programmelevel.Parliamentshouldbeconsultedtodeterminetowhat extentspendingshouldalsobepresentedonthebasisofotherclassifications, 5 inparticulareconomicandfunctional.Virementrulesshouldsetlimitsfor shiftingfundsbetweenapprovedprogrammestoensureparliamentary oversightandcontrolofin-yearadjustments. Recommendation10:TheAuditorGeneralforScotlandandtheScottish Parliamentshouldconsiderbroadeningtheflowofrelevantaudit informationtoparliamentarycommitteesbeyondthePublicAudit Committee.ThiscouldinvolvetheAuditorGeneralgivingevidenceand advicetodifferentcommitteesincludingduringthebudgetapprovalprocess tohighlightrelevantaspectsofaudits. 6 1Introduction ThisresearchwascommissionedbytheBudgetProcessReviewGroup(BPRG)to supportitsreviewoftheScottishParliament’sbudgetprocess.1TheReviewGroup wishestoestablishasetofprinciplestounderpinaworldclassfinancialscrutiny processthatareinformedby(a)statementsofbestpracticeonbudgetary governanceandtheroleoflegislaturesinbudgetscrutinyissuedbyrelevant internationalbodies;and(b)examplesofinternationalgoodpracticefromother jurisdictions.Inthiscontext,thereportisalsotoconsiderwhethertheprinciples developedbytheFinancialIssuesAdvisoryGroup(FIAG)andwhichinformthe currentScottishbudgetprocessmayrequirerevisiontofullyreflectthegood practiceidentified. CertaindevelopmentsmakeitparticularlyrelevanttorevisittheroleoftheScottish Parliamentinthebudgetprocessatthistime.Additionalpowersdevolvedunderthe 2016ScotlandActincludetheabilitytosetincometaxratesandbands.TheScottish Parliamentwillauthoriseandscrutinisetheuseofthesepowers.Inaddition,inhis 2016AutumnStatement,theChancelloroftheExchequerannouncedplanstomake taxchangesonlyonceayearintheautumn(HMTreasury2016).2Thesechanges raisethequestionofwhethertheScottishbudgetprocessshouldbeadjustedtotake accountofthesedevelopments,withpotentialimplicationsfortheroleofthe ScottishParliament. Thefundamentalpremiseofthisreportisthatitcannotdeliverananswertothe normativequestionofhowinfluentialaroletheScottishParliamentshouldhavein thebudgetprocess.Ultimately,thisisforthepoliticiansandpeopleofScotlandto decide.Theaimofthisreportistohighlighthowdifferentpracticescansupportthe roleofthelegislaturethatisenvisaged,andtosketchalternativescenarios.Put differently,whatconstitutesa“good”oreven“best”practice,ifthelatterexists,can inmostinstancesonlybeevaluatedagainstanormativeandcontext-specific decisionabouttheextenttowhichlegislativeinvolvementinbudgetingisdesired. Whiletherearesomeglobalnormsandminimumstandards,theseleavesubstantial roomtoshapelegislativeinvolvementinawaythatisdeemedappropriateina particularcontext.ThismeansthattheBPRGshoulddefineclearobjectivesforthe futureroleoftheScottishParliamentinthebudgetprocess. Withtheabovecaveatinmind,thisreportaimstosupportthediscussionof alternativescenariosforthefuturedevelopmentofthebudgetaryroleofthe ScottishParliament.InmappingoutitsvisionoftheScottishbudgetprocess,FIAG outlinedabudgetprocessthatinvolvestheScottishParliamentatanearlystageto debatestrategicpriorities(stage1),priortotheintroductionofadraftbudget(stage 2)thatgivesMembersoftheScottishParliament(MSPs)anopportunitytodebate 1 Inthisreport,thegenericterms“legislature”and“parliament”areusedinterchangeably. 2 Duringthe1990s,theUKexperimentedwithaunifiedbudgetprocesswherethegovernment announceditstaxandspendingplansatthesametime(Dorrel1993). 7 alternativesandproposechanges,followedbyformalapprovalbasedonasuitably updatedbudgetandpriortothestartofthefinancialyear(stage3).FIAGalso envisagedbroadcommitteeinvolvementdrawingontheFinanceCommittee, subjectcommitteesandtheAuditCommittee,aswellasparliamentaryoversightof budgetexecution.Theaimofitsproposalswastopromote“muchmorescrutinyby ParliamentoftheExecutive'sspendingproposalsthanispresentlythepracticeunder theWestminstersystem”(ConsultativeSteeringGroup1998:AnnexI,para.1.7). WhetherthisremainsadesirableobjectiveforScotlandhastobeclarified. Thecasestudiesinthisreportillustrateapossiblecontinuumofparliamentary involvement.Ontheonehand,theAustralianParliamentplaysalargelyceremonial roleinthebudgetprocess,especiallytheHouseofRepresentatives.TheNew ZealandParliamenthasseensomechangesinrecentdecadesthatmaketheprocess moreconducivetoparliamentaryparticipation,includingtheintroductionofaprebudgetdebate,andrevisedpowersofamendment.Inpractice,however,theprocess remainsdominatedbythegovernment.Swedenillustratesaperhapsmorecooperativeapproach.TheSwedishParliamentdebatestheoveralldirectionofbudget policyearlyintheyear,andapprovesbroadguidelinesinaSpringFiscalPolicyBill aheadoftheintroductionoftheannualbudget.WhiletheSwedishParliament amendsthebudgetlessfrequentlythaninpreviousdecades,itretainsthepowerto doso.TheGermanParliamentillustratesthemoreactiveendofthespectrum.The Bundestagmakeshundredsofamendmentstotheexecutivebudgetproposaleach year,whichoftenservetoreduceexpenditures.Thefourreferencecountrieschosen forthisreportillustratealternativebutpossibletrajectoriesforthebudgetaryroleof theScottishParliament.3 InlinewiththeTermsofReference,thisreporthastwosubstantiveparts.Thefirst surveysinternationalnormsonbudgettransparency,highlightingthoseelements thatarerelevantforassessinglegislativefinancialscrutiny.Italsogivesabrief overviewofrelevantaspectsoftheacademicliteratureontheroleoflegislaturesin publicfinance.Thesecondpartconsistsofaseriesofcasestudiesthathighlight practicesrelatedtolegislativefinancialscrutinyfromfourdifferentcountries.A detailedevaluationandoverviewoflegislativebudgetingacrossfourcountriesis impossiblewithintheshortspaceavailableforthisreport,norisitnecessary.The focusisonspecificelementshighlightedintheTermsofReferenceissuedbythe BPRGforthisresearchreport.Theconclusionsummarisesthekeyfindings,relates thesetotheFIAGprinciples,anddevelopsspecificrecommendations. 3 Theexperienceofmoreactivebudget-writinglegislatures,suchastheUSCongress,isdeliberately excludedfromthisreport.Anapproachwherethelegislaturewritesthebudgetisfarfromexisting practiceinScotlandandfromtheprinciplesespousedbyFIAG. 8 2Globalnormsandrelatedliterature Legislativescrutinyofthebudgetanditsimplementationisgenerallyregardedasan integralpartofatransparentbudgetsystem.TheOrganisationforEconomicCooperationandDevelopment(OECD)providesperhapsthemostcompactdefinition ofbudgettransparencyas“thefulldisclosureofallrelevantfiscalinformationina timelyandsystematicmanner”(OECD2002:7).Givingabitmoredetail,the InternationalMonetaryFund(IMF)definesitas“thecomprehensiveness,clarity, reliability,timeliness,andrelevanceofpublicreportingonthepast,present,and futurestateofpublicfinances.”4 Severalorganisationshavedevelopednormsandstandardsinthisareathatare relevantforthisreport.Whiletherearedifferencesinemphasis,thereiswide agreementaboutthedesirabilityofbudget(orfiscal)transparencyandmostofits coreelements(Petrie2003,WehneranddeRenzio2013:97-99).Thereisalso agreementonsomeminimumstandardsfortheroleoflegislaturesinthebudget process,butthisaspectislessdeveloped–thusfar.TheOECDiscurrentlyengaged inworktodefinebestpracticesforlegislativebudgeting,whichshouldhelpto furtherentrenchnormsinthisarea.Thestandardshighlightedhereapplytoboth nationalaswellasthesubnationallegislatures. Thispartofthereportstartswithanoverviewofinternationaltransparency standards.Itthendiscussesspecificelementsofthesestandardsthatrelateto parliamentaryscrutiny.Thefinalsectionofthispartdrawsoutrelevantkeyfindings fromtheacademicliteratureonlegislativebudgetscrutiny. 2.1Internationaltransparencystandards TheOECDBestPracticesforBudgetTransparencyrecommendthefollowingseven typesofbudgetreports:(i)acomprehensivebudgetthatincludesperformancedata andmediumtermprojections;(ii)apre-budgetreportthatstateslong-term economicandfiscalpolicyobjectives,andeconomicassumptionsandfiscalpolicy intentionsforthemediumterm;(iii)monthlyreportsthatshowprogressin implementationandexplaindifferencesbetweenactualandforecastamounts;(iv)a mid-yearreportthatprovidesacomprehensiveupdateonimplementation,including anupdatedforecastofthebudgetoutcomeforthemediumterm;(v)ayear-end reportauditedbythesupremeauditinstitutionandreleasedwithinsixmonthsof 4 TheIMFdefinitionisfromitstransparencyportal:http://www.imf.org/external/np/fad/trans/. AnotherwidelyciteddefinitionwasputforwardbyKopitsandCraig(1998:1):“FiscalTransparency is…opennesstowardthepublicatlargeaboutgovernmentstructureandfunctions,fiscalpolicy intentions,publicsectoraccounts,andprojections.Itinvolvesreadyaccesstoreliable,comprehensive, timely,understandable,andinternationallycomparableinformationongovernmentactivities– whetherundertakeninsideoroutsidethegovernmentsector–sothattheelectorateandfinancial marketscanaccuratelyassessthegovernment’sfinancialpositionandthetruecostsandbenefitsof governmentactivities,includingtheirpresentandfutureeconomicandsocialimplications.” 9 theendofthefiscalyear;(vi)apre-electionreportthatilluminatesthegeneralstate ofgovernmentfinancesimmediatelybeforeanelection;and(vii)along-termreport thatassessesthelong-termsustainabilityofcurrentgovernmentpolicies.Inaddition, theOECDrecommendsseveralspecificdisclosuresrelatedtoeconomicassumptions, taxexpenditures,andvarioustypesofassetsandliabilities.Afinalsectionaddresses integrity,controlandaccountabilitypractices,someofwhichwillbediscussed furtherbelow. TheOECDBestPracticeshavenotbeendirectlyrevisedorupdatedsincetheir publication.Moreover,unliketheIMFandsomeotherorganisationsdiscussed below,theOECDdoesnotdirectlyusetheBestPracticestoscoreandcompare transparencypracticesacrosscountries.In2015,theCounciloftheOECDdeveloped itsworkinthisareawhenitapproveda“RecommendationonBudgetary Governance.”Amongstothers,itadvocatesforbudgetdocumentsanddatatobe “open,transparentandaccessible”andforbudgetdebatestobe“inclusive, participativeandrealistic”(OECD2015a:sectionsII.4.andII.5.). TheOpenBudgetSurveyconductedbytheInternationalBudgetPartnership(IBP),a civilsocietygroup,assessesbudgetinformationandotheraspectsofthebudget process.Itmeasurestransparencyacrossasetofbudgetdocumentsthatisvery similartothoselistedintheOECDBestPractices.Oneadditionaldocumentthatthe IBPpromotesisa“citizenbudget”designedtocommunicatekeypublicfinance informationtothewiderpublic(IBP2015).The2017versionoftheOpenBudget Surveywillalsoincluderedesignedindicatorsonpublicparticipationandoversight practices,includingtheroleofthelegislatureandthesupremeauditinstitution.The OpenBudgetIndexandotherindicatorsderivedfromthesurveyarespecifically designedtoassesspracticesacrosscountriesandovertime,withupdatesthatare publishedeverytwoyears.5 TheIMFfirstpublishedaCodeofGoodPracticesonFiscalTransparencyin1998, whichitupdatedin2001and2007.Adecadeafteritslaunch,interesthadwaned andadecreasingnumberofcountriesrequestedassessmentsagainsttheCode. Fiscaltransparencyregainedprominenceinthewakeofthe2007-8financialcrisis, whentheIMFidentifieditasacentralplankinitsresponse(IMF2012).In2014,the IMFrelaunchedasubstantiallyrevisedFiscalTransparencyCode.Thisrevisionput greateremphasis,amongstothers,onforecastingandfiscalriskanalysis.Thenew Codecontainsasetofprinciplesbuiltaroundfourpillars:(i)fiscalreporting;(ii)fiscal forecastingandbudgeting;(iii)fiscalriskanalysisandmanagement;and(iv)resource revenuemanagement(thelatterisstillunderpublicconsultationatthetimeof writing).Foreachprinciple,theCodesetsoutstandardsthatcanbeusedtoassess practicesasbasic,goodoradvanced. Inaddition,severalotherorganisationshavedevelopedrelevantprinciplesor standards.Themulti-stakeholderGlobalInitiativeforFiscalTransparency(GIFT)has publishedHigh-LevelPrinciplesonFiscalTransparencythattheUnitedNations 5 TheOpenBudgetSurveywebsiteincludesausefuldataexplorertoolandotherresources: http://www.openbudgetsurvey.org. 10 GeneralAssemblyendorsedinDecember2012.Also,thedonor-ledPublic ExpenditureandFinancialAccountability(PEFA)initiativehasdevelopeda methodologyforassessingpublicfinancialmanagementacrosssevenbroadpillars, withelementsthatarerelevantforthisreport.ThePEFAframeworkhasbeen appliedextensivelyacrossdifferentlevelsofgovernment,toassessnationalaswell asregionalandmunicipalgovernments. 2.2Standardsforlegislativefinancialscrutiny Providingabroadstartingpoint,oneoftheGIFTPrinciplesrelatesdirectlytotherole ofthelegislatureinthebudgetprocess.Principle8demandsthat“Theauthorityto raisetaxesandincurexpenditureonbehalfofthepublicshouldbevestedinthe legislature.Nogovernmentrevenueshouldberaisedorexpenditureincurredor committedwithouttheapprovalofthelegislaturethroughthebudgetorother legislation.Thelegislatureshouldbeprovidedwiththeauthority,resources,and informationrequiredtoeffectivelyholdtheexecutivetoaccountfortheuseof publicresources.”Inaddition,theGIFTPrinciplescallforrolesandresponsibilitiesto beclearlyassignedtodifferentactorsinthebudgetprocess,includingthelegislature (principle7). TheOECDBestPracticesmakethreereferencestotheroleofparliament.Themost specificoftheserelatestothetimingofbudgetapproval(para.1.1):“The government’sdraftbudgetshouldbesubmittedtoParliamentfarenoughinadvance toallowParliamenttoreviewitproperly.Innocaseshouldthisbelessthanthree monthspriortothestartofthefiscalyear.Thebudgetshouldbeapprovedby Parliamentpriortothestartofthefiscalyear.”Thisestablishesclearminimum standardsforthetimingoftheparliamentaryprocess.TheBestPracticesalso demandthatparliamentmustscrutiniseauditreports(para.3.3)and,more generally,thatitmusthave“theopportunityandtheresourcestoeffectively examineanyfiscalreportthatitdeemsnecessary”(para.3.4). TheOECD’sRecommendationonBudgetaryGovernancepromotestheideathat parliamentaryengagementinbudgetingshouldbecontinuous.Itrecognisesthe “fundamentalrole”ofparliamentinbudgetapprovalandaccountability,butadds: “Theparliamentanditscommitteesshouldhavetheopportunitytoengagewiththe budgetprocessatallkeystagesofthebudgetcycle.”Notably,thetextsuggestsa roleinmedium-termbudgetingandprioritysetting(OECD2015a:sectionII.5). FutureworkoftheOECDonbestpracticesforlegislativebudgetingmayalsosuggest minimumstandardsforamendmentauthority.AbouthalfofallOECDcountrieshave legislatureswithunfetteredauthoritytoamendthebudget,whereasthe amendmentlimitsoftheUKHouseofCommonsareamongthemostrestrictive (DownesandNicol2016;seealsoWehner2006). TheIMF’s2014FiscalTransparencyCodemakestwomainreferencestotheroleof thelegislature.Itcontainstheprinciplethat“Thelegislatureandthepublicare consistentlygivenadequatetimetoscrutinizeandapprovetheannualbudget” (principle2.2.2.).InlinewiththebenchmarkestablishedintheOECDBestPractices, 11 ascoreof“advanced”againstthisprinciplerequiresthebudgettobe“submittedto thelegislatureandmadeavailabletothepublicatleastthreemonthsbeforethe startofthefinancialyear”and“approvedandpublishedatleastonemonthbefore thestartofthefinancialyear.”InitsevaluationoftheUKbudgetprocess,theIMF concludedthatthelatesubmissionandapprovalofthebudgetfalloutsidethe internationallyacceptedrangeofreasonablepractices,sothatbasicrequirements are“notmet”(IMF2016:42). AsecondIMFprinciple(2.4.2.)demandslegislativeoversightofbudgetexecution: “Anymaterialchangestotheapprovedbudgetareauthorizedbythelegislature.” Here,apracticeisconsidered“advanced”where“[a]supplementarybudgetis requiredpriortomaterialchangestototalbudgetedexpenditureorsubstantially alteringitscomposition.”Inthisregard,theIMFconcludedthattheUKbudget processallowedstrongparliamentaryoversightandmetthe“advanced”standard (IMF2016:47).6 Inaddition,theIMFCodementionsthelegislatureontwofurtheroccasions. Regardingbudgetdocuments,theCodereiteratesthewell-knownprincipleof budgetunity(2.1.1.):“Revenues,expenditures,andfinancingofallcentral governmententitiesarepresentedonagrossbasisinbudgetdocumentationand authorizedbythelegislature.”AmajorshortcomingoftheUKcentralgovernment budgetprocessisthat“thebulkofrevenuesandexpendituresprovidedareonanet basis”(IMF2016:34).TheIMFratedUKpracticesonthismeasureas“basic”and identifiedthisasareformpriority,citingcalculationsthatownsourcerevenues worth8percentofexpenditureareunreported. Intermsofthelegalframework,theIMFdemandsthatit“clearlydefinesthetime tableforbudgetpreparationandapproval,keycontentsofthebudget documentation,andthepowersandresponsibilitiesoftheexecutiveandlegislature inthebudgetprocess”(principle2.2.1).Againstthisprinciple,theIMFattestedthat UKstandardsare“basic”withsignificantgapsduetothelackoflegislationregulating thebudgetprocess,includingtheroleandpowersoftheHouseofCommons(IMF 2016:41). Finally,thePEFAFrameworkcontainsthreeindicatorsthatrelatetotheroleofthe legislature(PEFA2016).Notably,PillarIV(policy-basedfiscalstrategyandbudgeting) includesanindicator(17)thatlooksatthebudgetpreparationprocess,withone dimension(3)thatisrelatedtothebudgetsubmissiontothelegislature.Here,the highestpossiblescoreisachievedwhenthebudgetwassubmittedtothelegislature atleasttwomonthsbeforethestartofthefiscalyearineachofthelastthreeyears. ThisstandardislowerthanintheOECDBestPracticesandlessdemandingthanfor thetopcategoryintheIMFCode.ThismayreflectthefactthatthePEFAframework iswidely,althoughnotexclusively,usedtoassesspublicfinancialmanagementin developingcountries,wherebudgetprocessestendtobemorecompactthanin industrialisedeconomies. 6 However,thehighlyaggregatedlevelatwhichtheHouseofCommonsappropriatesmoneymeans thatParliamenthasfarlesscontrolthanotherlegislaturesthatapprovespendingattheprogramme levelorbasedonmoredisaggregatedcategories(Wehner2015).Thenextpartincludesexamples. 12 PillarVII(externalscrutinyandaudit)includesanindicatoronexternalaudit(30), withonedimension(2)thesubmissionofauditreportstothelegislature.Thisaspect isratedstrongestwherefinancialauditsaretransmittedthreemonthsafterthe accountsweresenttotheauditinstitution.Anotherindicator(31)coverslegislative scrutinyofauditreports,withseparatedimensionsontiming,hearings, recommendationsandtransparency.Here,thePEFAframeworkratespractices highlywherelegislaturesdebateauditreportswithinthreemonthsofreceipt;hold hearingswithallentitiesthatreceiveaqualifiedoradverseopinionoradisclaimer; issuerecommendationsonasystematicbasisandtrackthese;andconducthearings inpublic,debatecommitteereportsinthefullchamberandmakethemavailableto thepublic. 2.3Relatedliterature Recentreviewsoftheacademicliteratureonfiscaltransparency(deRenzioand Wehner2016)andtheroleoflegislaturesinpublicfinance(Wehner2014)are availableelsewhere.Thissectionislimitedtosomebroaderpointsandspecific findingsthataremostrelevantinthecontextofthisreport. Theempiricalliteraturecomparingtheroleoflegislaturesinbudgetingfindswide variationacrossmoderndemocracies(Lienert2005,Wehner2006,Stapenhurstetal. 2008).Somespecificdifferencesarediscussedinmoredetailinthenextpartofthis report.Whiletheglobalnormssurveyedintheprecedingsectionsuggestthatthere issomeagreementonselectedminimumstandards,thereisnoagreementonhow extensivearolethelegislatureshouldplayinbudgetarydecisions.Insomecountries, itisunthinkablethattheexecutivebudgetproposalwilleverbeacceptedunchanged bythelegislature,whilstinothersthereverseapplies.Moreover,withinthesame country,legislativebudgetingevolvesovertimeandadaptstochangingconditions (Schick2002). Wehner(2006,2010)reviewsseveralinstitutionalpreconditionsforlegislative controlofpublicfinance,focusingontwodimensions.Oneistheformalauthorityof alegislatureinbudgetarymatters.Thisincludesalegislature’spowerstoamendthe executivebudgetproposal,thereversionarybudgetthatisimplementedshould approvalbedelayedbeyondthestartofthefiscalyear,aswellasthedegreeof executiveflexibilitytoaltertheapprovedbudgetduringimplementationwithout havingtoseeklegislativeapproval.Asecondsetofvariablescapturesthe organisationalcapacityofalegislature.Thisrelatestotheamountoftimeavailable forparliamentarybudgetdiscussionspriortothestartofthefiscalyear,thedegree towhichparliamentaryscrutinyinvolvesspecializedlegislativecommittees,aswell asparliament’saccesstoindependentbudgetresearchcapacityintheformofa parliamentarybudgetoffice. Amajorconcernhighlightedbytheliteratureonbudgetinstitutionsisthatthere mightbeatrade-offbetweenlegislativeinfluenceandfiscalprudence.Several studiescautionthatstronglegislativeinvolvementinbudgetingmayleadtopoor fiscaloutcomesincludingincreaseddeficitsanddebt(Alesinaetal.1999,Hallerberg 13 andMarier2004,Hallerbergetal.2009).However,carefullydesignedprocedures maymitigatethesetendencies(Wehner2010:141): Tosome,thefiscalcostofparliamentaryactivismmaysimplybean acceptablesideeffectofdemocracy.Others,surely,willdisagree.Yetitmay notbeimpossibleforlegislaturestobebothpowerfulaswellasfiscally responsible.Thisrequirescarefullyengineeredinstitutionsthatforce legislatorstofixprudentaggregateparametersandtofocusdebateon allocativechoiceswithinahardbudgetconstraint.Seeminglyminor proceduraldetailsplayamajorroleinanyattempttoachievethisgoal. Somearguethatalegislaturemaynothavetoamendthebudgettoimpactonpolicy. Theexecutivemayanticipatelegislativereactionsandfashionthedraftbudget accordingly,therebyreducingthelikelihoodofamendments.However,itisunlikely thataprolongedabsenceofamendmentsindicatesthatthelegislatureisgettingits way.Anexecutivehasnoreasontoberesponsivetolegislativepreferencesunless theabsenceofsuchconsiderationhasconsequences.Amodicumofamendment activitymayberequiredtosignaltotheexecutivethatlegislativeactorshavethe capacity,inpractice,forsubstantialrevisionshouldthedraftbudgetnottake sufficientaccountoftheirpreferences(Wehner2010:57).Moreover,alackof meaningfulopportunitiestoinfluenceprioritiesalsoreducetheincentivesof legislatorstoinvesttheirtimeandefforttoscrutinisethebudget.Thecasestudiesin thefollowingpartdocumentpracticesthathaveallowedsomerelativelyinfluential parliamentstoreconcilelegislativeparticipationwithprudentbudgeting.7 7 Inaddition,fiscalrulescanbedevisedtopromoteprudentbudgets(Cangianoetal.2013, Schaechteretal.2012).Theseimposeconstraintsonanindicatorofoverallfiscalperformance,and bindboththeexecutiveaswellasthelegislature.Fiscalrulesarebeyondthescopeofthisreport.For ausefuloverviewofdesignchoices,seeAndersonandMinarik(2006). 14 3Casestudies NoscrutinyprocessisdirectlycomparabletothatoftheScottishParliament,with transferablepackagesof“good”or“best”practices.Forthisreport,itisimpossible andunnecessarytoattempttodescribeindetailthelegislativeprocessacross differentcountries.Instead,thisreporttakesamoretargetedlookatrelevant practicesinfourcountriesthatillustrateacontinuumofparliamentaryinfluence.Of thelegislaturesconsidered,theGermanParliamentisbyfarthemostactivein budgetarymatters.TheSwedishParliament,too,hashadanactiveandinfluential roleinthepast,butlesssonowadays.TheexperiencesofparliamentsinAustralia andNewZealandisperhapsmorefamiliar,duetothecommonheritageofthe Westminstersystem.Nonetheless,thereareareaswherethesecountrieshave reshapedparliamentarypracticesanddevelopedsometimesuniqueapproachesthat areworthhighlightinginthecontextofthisreport. AsspecifiedintheTermsofReference,thefocusofthissectionofthereportison scrutinypracticethat:(a)takesa“fullyearapproach”tobudgetconsiderations;(b)is informedbyadequateinformationpresentedinatransparent,accessibleand relevantmanner;(c)isinformedbythelong-termimplicationsofpolicyandbudget decisionsonaffordabilityandfinancialsustainability;8(d)considersandinfluences draftbudgettaxandspendingplanspriortoconsiderationoftheBudget/Finance Bill;(e)hassubject/departmentalcommitteeconsiderationofdepartmental spendingplans;(f)hasaclearfocusontheroleofpublicbodiesandlinesof accountability;(g)considerstheperformanceofpublicbodiesandimpacton outcomesincludinghowspendingdecisionsareprioritised;(h)considerswider performance,outputsandoutcomesandhowtheyinfluencespendingandtax decisions;(i)considershowoutcomesarelinkedtothebudgetdocumentation;(j) considersinyearchangestobudgetplans;(k)considersoutturnagainstbudgetsand consolidatedaccounts;(l)considersgoodpracticeinscrutinyofequalitiesissues;(m) considersauditfindingssystematicallyinbudgetscrutinywork. Basedontheaboverequirements,thispartofthereportidentifiespractices elsewherethatareusefulforthinkingaboutthescrutinyprocessintheScottish Parliament.However,itisimportanttopointoutthatotherinstitutionswillbe importanttofullyaddresssomequestionsthatariseintheScottishcontext.In particular,intergovernmentalco-operationinfiscalmatterscanbeachievedthrough avarietyofmechanismswithdifferentdegreesoflegislativeinvolvement(Shah2007, Ter-Minassian1997).InGermany,regionalgovernmentsarerepresentedinthelawmakingprocessatthenationallevelviatheBundesrat,andthusplayanimportant roleintaxdecisionsthataffecttheregions.InAustralia,theindependent CommonwealthGrantsCommissionadvisesonrevenuesharingbetweenthefederal 8 Theassessmentoffiscalsustainabilityisincreasinglycarriedoutbyindependentfiscalinstitutions, suchasfiscalcouncilsorparliamentarybudgetoffices(vonTrappetal.2016).Forexample,attheUK centralgovernmentlevel,theOfficeforBudgetResponsibilitypublishesaFiscalSustainabilityReport withlong-termfiscalprojectionsandanassessmentofthetrajectoryforpublicsectordebt.Thismay beoneoptionforthefuturedevelopmentofthemandateoftheScottishFiscalCommission. 15 governmentandthestates.Otherfederations,likeCanada,havewell-developed systemsforintergovernmentalnegotiationsthatinvolvefederalandprovincial executives.TheUKcurrentlylacksanequivalentmachinery.Oneimplicationforthis reportisthattherearelimitsindrawingoninternationalexperiencewith“scrutiny processeswithinlegislatureswheresimilarinteractionsbetweentiersofgovernment operate”,astheTermsofReferencephrasedit. Thefollowingsectionsproceedbycountry,startingwithasummaryofsalient featuresoftheapproachtolegislativebudgetscrutiny.Thisisfollowed,ineachcase, byadiscussionofspecificelementshighlightedascentralintheTermsofReference forthisreport.Insomeareas,thishighlightslackofconsensusaboutwhatmightbe “best”practice,andbringstotheforenotabledifferences.Someofthediscussion referstorelevantsubnationalexperiences.However,theexperiencesofnational legislaturesarenolessrelevant.InSwedenandNewZealand,theirunitarystructure meansthattherearenoobvioussubnationalcounterparts,butthesecountriesare particularlyinterestingbecauseofthechangesinbudgetpracticestheypioneeredin recentdecades.Moreover,theyhaverecentexperiencewithminorityandcoalition government.WithregardtoAustraliaandGermany,thereportnotessimilaritiesand differencesbetweennationalandsubnationalpractices. 3.1Germany TheGermanParliamenthas“anunusuallystrongandinfluentialengagementinthe annualbudgetprocess”(OECD2015b:73).Itreceivesthebudgetproposalaboutfive monthspriortothestartofthefinancialyear,andhasunlimitedauthoritytoamend it.Thescrutinyofthefederalbudgetmainlytakesplaceinthelowerhouse,the Bundestag.Theregionalchamber,theBundesrat,hasamoreimportantrolein changestothemostimportanttaxes,whicharesharedbetweenlevelsof government(incometax,corporationtax,andVAT).TheBundestagmakesregular useofitsbudgetarypowersandtypicallyadoptsseveralhundredamendments– aboutonethousandonaverageinrecentyears–totheexecutivebudgetproposal eachyear,evenwhenthegovernmentcommandsalargeparliamentarymajority. Thesepowersareusedresponsibly.Amendmentstypicallyreduce,ratherthan augment,totalspending(Wehner2001).ItisimportanttonotethattheBundestag isunusuallylarge,withcurrently631seats.Thismeansthatscrutinytaskscanbe distributedacrossalargemembershipandparliamentarycommitteesarelargeand canbehighlyspecialised.Severalelementsoftheparliamentarybudgetprocessat thenationallevelareinstructiveinthecontextofthisreport,asaresomeaspectsof theexperienceoftheparliamentsinGermany’sregions,theLänder. PowerfulBudgetCommittee.TheBudgetCommitteeisatthecentreoffinancial scrutinyintheBundestag.Whilesectoralcommitteescanprovidefeedback,and makesuggestionstotheBudgetCommittee,thelatterhasdecision-makingauthority andisresponsiblefortransmittingrecommendationstotheplenary.TheBudget Committeeiscomposedofmorethan40members,basedontheproportional representationofallpartiesintheBundestag.TheBudgetCommitteedoesnot recommendtaxchanges,andalltaxlegislationisdealtwithseparatelyintheFinance 16 CommitteeoftheBundestag.IntheparliamentsoftheLänder,thereistypicallya singlebudgetandfinancecommitteethatconsidersbothspendingandtaxquestions. Taxquestionsarelessprominentatthislevel,sincethemajortaxesareshared betweentheLänderandthefederalgovernment,andaregovernedbyfederal legislation.Forexample,theParliamentofLowerSaxonymaintainsaCommitteefor Budgets,FinanceandPublicAccounts. Roleofauditfindingsinbudgetscrutiny.IntheBundestag,theCommitteeonPublic AccountsisasubcommitteeoftheBudgetCommittee,consistingof15ofits members.AmemberofthelargestoppositionpartytraditionallychairstheBudget Committee,whileamemberofthegoverningcoalitionchairsthePublicAccounts Committee.Theintegrationofapprovalandauditfunctionsinasinglecommittee helpstoensurethatauditscanfeeddirectlyintobudgetarydecisions.This committeemodelisalsofoundinseveralparliamentsoftheLänder.Forexample,in Saxony-Anhalt,thePublicAccountsCommitteeisasubcommitteeoftheFinance Committee.9 Specialisedrapporteursystem.TheBudgetCommitteehasadecentralised approachtoscrutiny.Rapporteursareresponsibleforthebudgetofaspecific ministry,supportedbyassistantrapporteursfromeachpoliticalpartyrepresentedin theBundestag.Rapporteurstendtokeeptheirpositionsforseveralyearsand developahighdegreeofportfolio-specificexpertise.ThePublicAccountsCommittee alsooperatesarapporteursystem,butwithoutassistantrapporteurs.Arapporteur ofthePublicAccountsCommitteewillneverberapporteurforthesameministryin theBudgetCommittee. Full-yearapproach.Duringbudgetformulation,BudgetCommitteerapporteursare keptinformedbytherelevantofficialsinlinedepartmentsandsectoralofficialsin thebudgetdivisionofthefinanceministry.Duringthefirsthalfoftheyear,itisnot unusualforrapporteurstoconductsitevisits,forinstancetoinvestigatethe necessityofcertaindemandsforcapitalexpenditure,ortocheckonthestandardof administration.Since2011,thecabinetdecidesbindingceilingsforeachlineministry fortheupcomingbudgetinMarch,andthefinanceministerreportsthisdecisionto theBudgetCommittee.Duringbudgetexecution,theBudgetCommitteereceives monthlyexpenditureupdatesandquarterlyreportsondebtmanagement,andithas toapprovein-yearadjustmentsabovethelimitsitgrantsintheannualbudgetact. TheFederalCourtofAuditassiststheBundestagalsoduringthebudgetexecution stage,andanswersseveralhundredparliamentaryquestionseachyear. Uniquepowersoverin-yearchanges.Whenapprovingthebudget,theBundestag hasthepowertoinserta“qualifiedfreeze”torequirethefinanceministrytoobtain parliamentaryconsentbeforedisbursingfundsforaspecificitem,oracertain percentagethereof.Theexecutiveiscriticalofthismechanism,asitcaninterfere 9 InsomecountriesinfluencedbyNapoleonictraditions,parliamentsuseaformaldischarge proceduretoapprovetheimplementationofthebudgetforaspecificyear.Inmanycases,this approvalisroutinelygranted,butthismaynotalwaysbethecase.Forexample,theEuropean Parliament’srefusaltograntadischargein1998ultimatelyledtotheresignationoftheSanter CommissioninMarch1999. 17 withbudgetimplementation.Ontheotherhand,itisapowerfulparliamentary mechanismtoensuretheexecutiveprovidessufficientinformationtoParliament andproperlyjustifiesitsspendingproposals. Documentationwithdetailedinputinformation.Parliamentexercisescontrol throughthedetailedscrutinyofabout6000lineitems.In2009,thefinanceministry proposedtorestructurethebudgetintoprogrammesandtoreducethenumberof lineitemstoabout1000.TheBudgetCommitteehaltedtheimplementationofthis reform,fearinga“lossof…control”(JonesandLüder2010:269).Hence,the Bundestagcontinuestoapproveahighlydetailedbudget.Theannualbudgetlaw controlshowmuchflexibilitytheexecutivehastovirebetweenitemsandthereare mechanismsforcarry-overs(OECD2015b:27). 3.2Sweden TheSwedishRiksdagisaunicameralparliament.TheRiksdagfundamentally restructureditsbudgetprocessinthemid-1990s,aspartofawidersetofreforms adoptedinsupportoffiscalconsolidation(Blöndal2001).Amongstthemajor changestothebudgetprocessmostrelevantinthecontextofthisreportarethe movetoatwo-stageprocessofparliamentaryengagementwithbudgetformulation. Inaddition,thereformsalsoredesignedtheprocessbywhichparliamentary committeesscrutinisethebudget.Formanydecades,theSwedishParliament adoptedseveraldozenamendmentstothegovernmentbudgetproposaleveryyear, oftenresultinginadditionalexpenditures.Parliamentnowvotesonthebudgetasa package,whichmakesitdifficultforoppositionpartiestopromoteamendments, eveninaminoritygovernmentsetting.Ingeneral,sincethereformswereadopted Parliamenthasamendedthebudgetlessfrequently,andrarelyinawaythataffects totaloutlays(Wehner2007,2013).Thiswasnotthecasein2014,whenan oppositionbudgetwastemporarilyenacteduntilarevisedgovernmentbudget gainedparliamentarysupport(Mattson2014,OECD2017a). Earlyparliamentaryinvolvement.Inthemid-1990s,theSwedishParliament adoptedatop-downvotingprocessinwhichitvotesfirstonbudgettotalsbefore decidingindividualappropriations.ThereformsintroducedaSpringFiscalPolicyBill, inwhichthegovernmentproposedaggregateexpenditureceilingsfortheupcoming budgetplustwofurtheryears,aswellasindicativeceilingsor“frames”forthe allocationsacross27expenditureareas.ThisbillwastabledforthefirsttimeinApril 1996,precedingthepresentationofthedraftbudgetbyfivemonths.Following parliamentaryapprovalofthebillinJunetheexecutivewouldproceedtofinalisea draftbudgettobepresentedtoParliamentinSeptember,morethanthreemonths beforethebeginningofthenewfiscalyear.In2001,itwasdecidedthatthisprocess wastoocumbersome.TheSpringFiscalPolicyBillnowcontainsgeneralguidelines forbudgetpolicy,ratherthanfixedceilingsandindicativeframes,whicharedecided intheautumn. Subjectcommitteeinvolvement.Inconjunctionwiththetwo-stepdecision-making procedure,thereformsadoptedinthemid-1990sgavetheFinanceCommittee 18 responsibilityfordiscussingaggregatespendingaswellastheframesforeachofthe 27expenditureareas.BasedontheworkoftheFinanceCommittee,thefirst parliamentarydecisionintheautumnisnowontheexpenditureframesforthe upcomingbudget,followingwhichsectoralcommitteeslookatbetweenoneand fourexpenditureareasandproposeallocationswithintheapprovedceilings. Sectoralcommitteesmayproposeshiftingfundsbetweenitemswithinan expenditurearea,butnotinawaythatbreachesthetotalsetforthatarea. Performanceofagencies.TheSwedishgovernmentusesadecentralisedstructure withabout350agenciestoimplementpolicy.Sincethereformsofthemid-1990s, agenciesenjoyaconsiderabledegreeofautonomyandreceivelumpsum appropriationsfortheiroperations.Inreturn,therehavebeeneffortstostrengthen accountabilityforresults(Blöndal2001:49-54).TheBudgetBillnowcontainsabout twoorthreeperformanceobjectivesforeachofthe27expenditureareasthatare approvedwiththespendingplans,andperformanceisassessedwithamixofoutput andoutcomemeasures.Thisfollowsamorestrictlyoutcome-focusedapproach discontinuedin2009,whichwasfoundtobeapoorsteeringinstrumentwhen impactsarebeyondthedirectcontrolofanagency.Yet,theOECD(2017a)concludes that“performanceinformationlacksinfluenceinparliament’sbudgetarydialogue” dueto“weakpracticallinkagesbetweentheperformanceinformationprovidedin theannualreportsofagenciesandtheproposedappropriationsfortheupcoming budgetyear.”Workiscurrentlyunderwaytostrengthentheserelationships.It remainstobeseenwhetherthisinformationwillbecomemorecentraltobudget scrutiny,giventhatparliamentariansalreadyreceivelargevolumesofinformation, andtheinherentdifficultiesindocumentingclearlinksbetweenfundingandimpacts. Commitmenttoscrutinyofequalityissues.ParticularlynoteworthyareSweden’s effortsoverseveraldecadestomainstreamgendersothatitisanintegralpartof policyformulation.Thecurrentgovernmenthasannouncedamajornewinitiativeto advancegenderbudgeting,whichiscurrentlyintheprocessofbeingdeveloped (Quinn2016).Oneoftheprinciplesistoworktowardsthepresentationwiththe government’sbudgetproposalofinformationontheimpactsofbudgetmeasureson menandwomen.Anotheristomakemorerigorousgenderimpactassessmentan integralpartofthebudgetdiscussionsbetweenthefinanceministryandline ministriesatanearlystageduringbudgetformulation(OECD2017a).Itistooearly toevaluatethesedevelopments.10 3.3NewZealand NewZealand’sunicameralParliamentplaysaminorroleinthebudgetapproval process.Itreceivesthebudgetaboutonemonthpriortothestartofthefinancial year,andtypicallyapprovesitonlytwomonthsintothefinancialyear.Membersof 10 InAustria,genderbudgetingwasintroducedaspartofanambitiousperformancebudgetingreform in2013.Foreachofthe32budgetchapters,ministriesdefineamaximumoffiveimpactobjectives (andrelatedperformanceindicators)andoneofthesehastoberelatedtogenderequality.Foran overviewofotherOECDcountries,seeOECD(2017b). 19 theHouseofRepresentativescaninitiatechanges,butthegovernmenthasa “financialveto”overproposalsitconsidershaving“morethanaminorimpact”on thefiscalaggregatesorthecompositionofavote(NewZealandTreasury2011:8384).Thefinancialvetoisusedinpractice,butnotoften.11NewZealandprovidesa rareexampleofmanagingpublicmoneybasedonastrictlinkbetweenperformance andtheallocationoffunding,whereanincrementinresourcesisdirectlylinkedto anincrementinoutputs(Schick2003).TheestimatespresentedtotheNewZealand Parliamentlinktheexpenditureofadepartment,orvote,tospecificoutputs,and spendingisapprovedonthisbasis.12 Earlyparliamentaryinvolvement.TheBudgetPolicyStatement(BPS)setsoutthe overarchingpolicygoalsandprioritiesfortheforthcomingbudget.TheMinisterof FinancemustpresentaBPStotheHouseofRepresentativesby31Marcheachyear. Inrecentyears,theBPShasbeentabledinDecember,precedingthepresentationof thebudgetinlateMay,aheadofthestartofthefinancialyearinJuly.TheFinance andExpenditureCommitteecallsforpublicsubmissions,considerstheBPSand reportsitsfindingswithin40workingdaysofreceivingtheBPS.In2016,the committeereceived33submissionsandheldhearingsontwodays,includingwith theMinisterofFinanceandaselectionofninesubmitters.Thecommittee’sreport formsthebasisforapre-budgetdiscussionintheplenary,whichisintroducedbythe chairpersonoftheFinanceandExpenditureCommittee. Output-basedappropriations.TheNewZealandParliamentisaskedtoapprove spendingonspecificoutputs(NewZealandTreasury2013).13Theunderpinning performanceinformationintheestimatesdocumentsthe“budgetedstandard”in termsofoutputs.Thesearegroupedbysector,withanoverviewofthebroad strategicprioritiesandreferencingoutcometargetspublishedbythegovernment. Forexample,the2016-17estimatesfortheNewZealandPolicefallunderthejustice sector.Oneoftheappropriationsinthepolicevoteisfortheroadsafetyprogramme. Theestimateslistaseriesofoutputsofthisprogrammetowhichbudgeted standardsareattached.14 11 InJune2016,theFinanceMinisterissuedafinancialvetotoblockabillextendingthedurationof paidparentalleave,citinganoverallnetincreaseinspendingof$278millionoverafour-yearperiod. 12 NewZealand’sbudgetdocumentsareavailableathttp://www.treasury.govt.nz/budget. 13 Thesedistinguishdifferenttypesofappropriations:outputs(goodsorservicestobesupplied), benefitsorrelatedexpenses(fordirectresourcetransferstoindividuals),borrowingexpenses(such asinterestpayments),othersnotfallingintotheprecedingcategories,andcapitalexpenditure.There isalsoaseparatesingle-lineappropriationtypeforintelligenceandsecurityservicesofasensitive nature.Inaddition,areformin2013introducedanewtypeofmulti-categoryappropriationsthat cross-cuttwoormoreofthecategories,whichallowsforgreaterflexibility.Theappropriationsalso distinguishfundingforgoodsorservicesprovidedbythegovernmentdirectly(departmental)from thosesuppliedonbehalfofthegovernment(non-departmental).Appropriationscancoverdifferent timeperiods:annual,multi-year(butnotexceedingfiveyears),orpermanent(authorisedby legislationotherthananappropriationact). 14 Examplesofthelatterarethenumberofvariousofficerissuedenforcementactionsundertaken (e.g.590to635forspeed,per10,000population),thenumberofbreathtestsconducted(2-2.4 million),roadsafetysessionsdeliveredinschools(50,000),etc.Thisiscomplementedwithqualityrelatedmeasuresrelatedtotimeliness,suchasforthemedianresponsetimetoemergencytraffic 20 Subjectcommitteescrutiny.EstimatesarereferredtotheFinanceandExpenditure Committeeandmaybereferredtootherselectcommittees.Selectcommitteeshave twomonthsfromthedaythebudgetwaspresentedtoParliamenttoreportontheir examinationoftheestimates.Thesystemforauditscrutinyissimilarlydecentralised. In1962,thePublicAccountsCommitteewasdiscontinuedanditsfunctionsgivento thePublicExpenditureCommittee,andin1985totheFinanceandExpenditure Committee.Thelatterreceivesauditreportsandmayreceiveabriefingonspecific reportsfromtheAuditorGeneral.Othersubjectcommitteescanreceivebriefings fromtheAuditorGeneralonanyreportswithinthesubjectareaofthatcommittee, butitisrarethattheyreporttotheHouse.Duringthereviewoftheestimates,the AuditorGeneralsupportsselectcommitteeswithevidenceandadvice.Thisprovides anopportunityfortheAuditorGeneraltohighlightpertinentinsightsfromauditsto informparliamentaryscrutinyofspendingproposals. 3.4Australia TheAustralianParliamenthasamarginalroleinthebudgetapprovalprocess.Its formalpowerstoamendthebudgetarelimited.IntheWestminstertradition,itcan onlyrejectorapproveanexpenditure,orreduceit.Moreover,partydisciplineinthe lowerhouseisverystrong.Until1993,budgetswereonlyintroducedafterthestart ofthefinancialyearandapprovedaboutfivemonthsintoit.Anewtimetablesince thenisbasedonintroductioninMayandapprovalinJune,withthefiscalyear startinginJuly.TheestablishmentofaParliamentaryBudgetOfficein2012hasgiven membersaccesstoanewsourceofindependentbudgetanalysis,includingcostings ofpolicyproposals.TheHouseofRepresentativessubjectsthebudgettohardlyany scrutiny.ItisinthedirectlyelectedSenate,theupperhouse,thatmoredetailed scrutinyoftheestimatestakesplace.Thisinvolvessectorallegislationcommittees, whichconducthearingswithevidencefromexecutiveofficials.TheAustralian experienceisparticularlyrelevantforhighlightingthepotentiallydetrimentalimpact onparliamentaryscrutinyofaperhapsoverlyoutcome-focusedbudgetsystem. Outcome-basedappropriations.Atthefederallevel,theAustralianbudgetsystem wasamongstthefirsttomovetowardsastrongoutcomes-orientationinthelate 1990s(Kristensenetal.2002).Thisinvolvedappropriationsagainsthigh-level outcomesinsteadofprogrammesordepartments.Forexample,theDepartmentof Defencehadasinglelineforallitsoperations:“TodefendAustraliaandAustralia’s interests”(Blöndaletal.2008:155).Appropriationscoveredthefullcostsofoutputs calculatedonanaccrualbasisandwerenon-lapsingratherthanannual(Kellyand Wanna2004:98).Thisallowedthegovernmenttofundnewactivitieswithreference toanoutcome,eveniftheywerenotmentionedinthesupportingbudget documentation,aHighCourtjudgmentconfirmed(Blöndaletal.2008:166).The AustralianParliamentcontinuestoappropriatebyoutcome,althoughasingle organisationcanhavemorethanoneoutcome.Whileinformationonoutputsis events(8to9minutesinurbanareas,12to14inruralones).Foreachbudgetedstandard,the estimatesalsoprovidethebudgetedand“estimatedactual”figuresfortheprecedingfinancialyear. 21 presentedinthePortfolioBudgetStatementsthatarealsotabledinParliament, theseareforinformationonly(seebelow).15In2008,areviewoftheAustralian budgetsystemconductedbytheOECDconcludedthatoutcome-basedbudgeting “hadtheresultoffurtherlimitingParliament’srole”(ibid.:171).16 Programme-levelestimateslinkedtooutcomes.ThePortfolioBudgetStatements containprogramme-levelfundinginformationandstatewhichprogrammesare associatedwitheachoutcome.Programme-levelspendingestimatesareforthe currentbudgetyear(“estimatedactual”),theupcomingbudgetyearandafurther threeyears(“forwardestimates”).Forexample,theDepartmentofEducationand TrainingPortfolioBudgetStatementsfor2016-17listnineprogrammesas contributingtotheachievementofitsoutcome1(“Improvedearlylearning, schooling,studenteducationaloutcomesandtransitionstoandfromschoolthrough accesstoqualitychildcare,support,parentengagement,qualityteachingand learningenvironments”),aswellasthree“linked”programmesrunbyotherentities. Performanceinformationispresentedforeachprogramme,includingperformance criteriaandtargets. Approachtoperformanceatthestatelevel.Thebudgetapprovalprocessfollowed intheAustralianstatesismoreoutput-focused.Forexample,theappropriations authorisedbytheParliamentofVictoriaarefortheprovisionofoutputsinsteadof outcomes.However,whileoutputsarespecifiedinthebudgetdocumentationthatis providedtothelegislature,theappropriationsbundlefundingfordifferentbaskets ofoutputsatthedepartmentallevel(e.g.educationandtraining,healthandhuman services,etc.).Inotherwords,theappropriationsdonotfacilitateparliamentary controloftheallocationofexpenditureacrossdifferentprogrammesandoutputs withindepartments. 15 Australianbudgetdocumentsareavailableathttp://www.budget.gov.au/past_budgets.htm. 16 Ontheexperiencesofothercountries,seethecomparativeanalysisofperformancebudgeting reformsbyMoynihanandBeazley(2016).Theynotethatthe“impact[ofperformancebudgeting]on howannualbudgetsallocateresourceshasbeenminimal”(p.2). 22 4Summaryandrecommendations Globalstandardsforbudgettransparencydisplayasignificantdegreeofoverlapand consensusabouttheessentialingredientsofatransparentbudgetsystem,andthe typesofreportsthatshouldbeproduced.Thereissomewhatlessdetailontherole ofthelegislatureinthebudgetprocess,becauseofdifferentnationaltraditions, althoughthereisagreementonsomeaspects.TheOECDandIMFbothagreethat thebudgetshouldbetabledatleastthreemonthspriortothestartofthefiscalyear, andtheOECDconsidersthisanabsoluteminimum.Internationaltransparency standardsalsoacknowledgetheimportanceofin-yearparliamentaryoversightof theexecutionoftheapprovedbudget,aswellastimelyandeffectiveparliamentary auditprocedures.Moreover,thereisincreasedrecognitionthatparliamentary involvementshouldbecontinuous,coveringallstagesofthebudgetprocess, includingmedium-termbudgetingandprioritysetting.Yet,manydetailed institutionalchoicescannotbesettledwithreferencetoglobalnorms. Recommendation1:TheBPRGshouldspelloutaclearvisionforthefuture developmentofparliamentaryfinancialscrutinyinScotland.Inparticular,it shouldclarifywhetheritendorsesFIAG’scallforaparliamentaryprocessthat entails“muchmorescrutiny”thanatWestminsterandthepossibilityto influencethebudget. Thecasestudieshighlightedaselectionofpracticesfromlegislaturesthatoffer alternativescenariosforthedevelopmentoftheroleoftheScottishParliamentin financialscrutiny.TheAustralianandNewZealandexamplesareclosesttothe defaultmodeloftheWestminsterParliament,whereparliamentaryparticipationis limited.FIAGexplicitlyrejectedthisapproach(ConsultativeSteeringGroup1998: AnnexI,para.1.7).IftheBPRGreaffirmsthisvision,thiswouldpointtowardsa trajectorywherefinancialscrutinyevolvestowardsalevelofengagementthatis closertothatintheSwedishorGermanparliaments.Thefollowingparagraphs identifypracticesrelatingtospecificaspectshighlightedintheTermsofReference thatwouldbecompatiblewiththislatterapproach. Afull-yearapproachtreatsfinancialscrutinyasacontinuousprocessratherthanan event.Activefinancialscrutinyinvolvesparliamentsearlyintheformulationstage, allowssufficientroomtomakeamendmentstothebudgetduringtheapprovalstage, andenablesoversightofimplementationbothin-yearaswellasexpost.Anumber ofparliaments,includingseveralofthosecoveredinthecasestudysectionofthe report,haveadoptedpracticesthatsupportcontinuousscrutiny. Animportanttrendinbudgetingisthatmoreparliamentsgettodebatethebroad directionoffiscalpolicyandbudgetaryprioritiesaheadofthetablingoftheannual budget.TheBPSinNewZealandisoneexampleofthis.Swedenhasgonefurther andformalisedthisapproachinatwo-steplegislativeprocess,wheretheSpring FiscalPolicyBillisdebatedandapprovedseveralmonthsaheadofthetablingofthe budget.Thesepre-budgetdebatesprovideanopportunitytothinkbeyondthe annualbudgetandaboutthemedium-termpathoffiscalpolicy,majorobjectives,as 23 wellaslong-runsustainability.Theycanalsohelptobuildconsensusaboutdifficult trade-offsandcommitmenttomajorbudgetparameters,includingthroughpublic consultationandengagement.ThebudgetprocessenvisagedbyFIAGclearly envisagedparliamentarydiscussion“onstrategicprioritiesforthefollowingfinancial year”aspartofa“stage1”priortothetablingofadraftbudget(Consultative SteeringGroup1998:AnnexI,para.1.6). Recommendation2:Thediscussionofthedraftbudgetshouldbepreceded byaformalmedium-termbudgetpolicystatementthatistabledannually anddiscussedinParliamentpriortothetablingoftheannualbudget proposalintheautumn.Themedium-termbudgetpolicystatementshould, withinthecontextoftheeconomicoutlook,setoutthegovernment’sfiscal policyobjectivesanditsbroadprioritiesforthebudget.Itshouldbetabled sufficientlyfarinadvance,aboutsixmonthspriortothestartofthefiscal year,toallowmeaningfulparliamentarydiscussionthatisinformedbypublic consultationandengagement. Tobeameaningfulactorinthebudgetprocess,legislatorsshouldhavetheauthority tomakeamendmentstothebudget,anditshouldbepossibleinpracticetousethis authoritywheredeemedappropriate.TheWestminstertraditionsuppresses outrightparliamentaryamendments,butmanyotherparliamentarybodieshave amendmentpowersandroutinelymakechangestothegovernmentbudget proposal,basedonthescrutinyofthebudgetproposalinparliamentarycommittees. InScotland,FIAGrecommendedParliamentfirstdiscussingadraftbudgetpriorto formalapprovalofadetailedbudgetwithoutthepossibilityofamendments.This processmayreflectadesiretogivetheParliamentasay,butitalsorevealsa hesitationtodecisivelybreakwithWestminsterconventionsinthisregard.Froma comparativeperspective,thisisanunusualandcumbersomeprocess.Amore naturalsequencewouldbeforthebudgettobetabledanddebated,withthe possibilityofparliamentaryamendmentsinthisprocess.Ifthebudgetproposal respondstoanyissuesraisedinParliamentduringthepre-budgetdebate,alarge volumeofamendmentswouldbeunlikely. Recommendation3:Thegovernmentshouldtableasinglebudgetproposal intheautumnthatshouldbescrutinisedbyparliamentarycommitteesand debatedintheplenary,withthepossibilitytotableandadoptamendments. Thiswouldreplacethecurrentdraftbudgetstagewiththetablingofaformal budgetproposalduringtheautumn.Maximumamendmentauthoritywould allowanychangestogovernmenttaxandspendingproposals.Ataminimum, itshouldbepossibleforMSPstoamendthebudgetbyshiftingfundsfrom oneitemtoanotherorbyreducinganexpenditure,andtoamendtax measuresinawaythatdoesnotresultinalowerbudgetbalancethaninthe governmentproposal.Amendmentsshouldnotbetiedtoavoteof confidenceinthegovernment. Toensurethatparliamentaryreviewisdisciplinedandco-ordinatedrequiresa strongrolefortheFinanceCommitteeinthisprocess.Someparliamentsbundlethe scrutinyoftaxationandspendinginasinglecommittee,whileothersmaintain 24 separatecommittees,forexampleinGermanyandSweden.Parliamentsthatengage activelyinthebudgetprocess,includingbymakingamendments,ensurethatstrong financialcommitteesareinplacetoguidethisprocess.InSweden,theFinance Committeeisinstrumentalinreviewingtotalspendingaswellasallocationsacross thedifferentexpenditureareas,leavingsectoralcommitteestofocusonspending withinsectorsundertheirjurisdiction.TheNewZealandParliament’sFinanceand ExpenditureCommitteealsoplaysaco-ordinatingrole,althoughthepossibilityfor changesislimited.TheprocessintheGermanParliamentcentralisesdecisionmakingintheBudgetCommittee,butbenefitsfromsector-specificknowledge througharapporteursysteminwhichmembersdevelopspecialisedexpertiseand scrutinisespecificpartsofthebudget. Recommendation4:AcentralrolefortheFinanceCommitteeisessentialfor co-ordinatingparliamentarydecisionsonthesinglebudgetproposaltabledin theautumn.SimilartotheprocessinSweden,theFinanceCommittee shouldfirstconsiderthebudgetaggregatesandallocationsacrossthemain spendingareas,andmakerecommendationsthataredebatedandputtoa voteintheParliament. Recommendation5:Basedontheframeworkestablishedinthefirst parliamentarydecisiononthebudgetaggregatesandallocationsacrossthe mainspendingareas,asecondstageofparliamentaryreviewshouldinvolve detailedscrutinyofexpenditureprioritieswithinspecificsectorsbythe relevantsubjectcommittees.Anyamendmentsproposedbythecommittees atthisstageshouldbeconsistentwiththeframeworkestablishedinthefirst parliamentarydecision. Recommendation6:Givenincreaseddevolutionofauthorityovertaxation, theScottishParliamentshouldconsidertheestablishmentofseparate committeestoscrutinisespendingandtaxation.Aseparatecommitteeon taxationcouldhelptoensurethatappropriateattentioncanbegiventothe expenditureaswellastherevenuesideofthebudget. Anincreasingnumberofcountriesareattemptingtoincorporateagender perspectiveintothedecision-makingprocessonbudgets.Thisisanongoingprocess, anditisstilltooearlytoevaluatemanyoftheseinitiatives.Therearevarious mechanismstoincreaseconsiderationofequalityissuesinthecontextofthebudget process,suchasincidenceanalysisfromanequalityperspective,orrelevant performanceinformation. Recommendation7:TheBPRGshouldexploreoptionsforincreasingthe provisionofequalityrelevantinformation.Thisshouldincludegender incidenceanalysisthatquantifiestheimpactofbudgetmeasuresonmen andwomen,alongsideotherdistributiveimpactsbasedonageand householdincome. Manycountrieshaveattemptedtostrengthentheperformanceorientationofthe budgetprocessbyincorporatinginformationonoutputsoroutcomesintobudget documents,sometimesincombinationwithtargets.TheNewZealandParliament 25 appropriatesonanoutputbasis(i.e.thegoodsandservicesproduced),creatinga strictlinkbetweenoutputsandallocatedfunding,whichisveryrare.InAustralia, Parliamentapprovesfundingonanoutcomebasis(i.e.theintendedimpacton society).Theintroductionofthisapproachhasledtoalossofparliamentarycontrol andgivensubstantialdiscretiontotheexecutive.InSweden,performance informationhasbeenoflimitedusetoparliamentariansinassessingproposed appropriationsforagencies.Impactscanrarelybeclearlyattributedtoaspecific governmentprogramme.Moreover,theirachievementhasnoobviousrelationto thegovernment’s12-monthaccountingperiod,i.e.thefinancialyear,andtypically hastobeassessedoverlongertimeperiodsofvaryinglength.Enthusiasmfor performancebudgetingisgreatestincountrieswherethebudgetprocessis dominatedbytheexecutive.TheGermanParliament,themostinfluentialofthe legislaturessurveyedforthisstudy,hasrejectedaninitiativebytheMinistryof Financetoreducethenumberoflineitems. Recommendation8:TheBPRGshouldadoptacautiousapproachtothe incorporationofperformanceinformationintobudgetdocuments.Only performanceinformationthatisdirectlylinkedtospendingfiguresshouldbe presented.Outputscanbeattributedtoaspecificprogrammeandfiscalyear, whichmeansthatgovernmentbodiescanbeheldtoaccountfortheir delivery.Incontrast,anexcessivefocusonoutcomesislikelytoweaken accountability,asmanyimpactscannotbeclearlyattributed.Programmes shouldbelinkedtooutcomes,sothattheireffectivenesscanbeassessed againststatedobjectives.17However,thelarge-scaleintroductionofoutcome informationintoannualbudgetdocumentsisnotrecommended. Recommendation9:Parliamentaryapprovalofspendingshouldbeatthe programmelevel.Thebudgetdocumentsshouldspelloutthefinancialcost ofeachprogrammeforatleastthecurrentyear,thebudgetyear,aswellas themediumterm,undertheassumptionthatcurrentpolicyismaintained. Ideally,thebudgetshouldalsocontainpastexpenditureinformationatthe programmelevel.Parliamentshouldbeconsultedtodeterminetowhat extentspendingshouldalsobepresentedonthebasisofotherclassifications, inparticulareconomicandfunctional.18Virementrulesshouldsetlimitsfor shiftingfundsbetweenapprovedprogrammestoensureparliamentary oversightandcontrolofin-yearadjustments. Whileanoutcomefocusprovidesapoorbasisforparliamentaryscrutinyofthe annualbudget,itiscrucialthatparliamentsassesstheeffectivenessofprogrammes. Ultimately,suchinformationshouldinformdecisionsabouttheallocationof financialresources.However,abudgetproposalfilledwithoutcomemeasuresand targetswillnotenablesuchanapproach.Performancecanbeassessedaspartof 17 Forexample,theScottishGovernment’sworkonplanningforoutcomesinreoffendingprovidesa goodbasisforthinkingabouthowoutcomescouldbelinkedtobudgetsataprogrammelevel(Bisset 2015). 18 ProgrammebudgetingisdiscussedinKraan(2007)andRobinson(2007),andJacobsetal.(2009) giveanoverviewofbudgetclassifications. 26 otherprocessesingovernment,basedoncredibleimpactevaluation.For parliaments,valueformoneyaudits–especiallythosethatfocusoneffectiveness– canbeavaluablesourceofinformationontheimpactofindividualprogrammes. Thelinkbetweenauditsandthebudgetapprovalprocessisoftenpoorlydeveloped, buttherearemechanismsthatpromotesuchalink.IntheGermanParliament,the factthattheauditcommitteeisasub-committeeoftheBudgetCommitteeensures thatmembersdirectlydrawontheirknowledgeofauditinsightsinmakingdecisions aboutbudgets,includingamendments.InNewZealand,subjectcommitteescrutiny oftheestimatesbenefitsfromtheevidenceandadviceoftheAuditorGeneral. 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