Iraj Hashi The Disintegration of Yugoslavia: Regional Disparities and the Nationalities Question ● The end of the First World War and the break-up of the Austro-Hungarian and Ottoman empires witnessed the birth of a number of new states in Europe. The Kingdom of Serbs, Croats and Slovenes, as Yugoslavia was originally called, was one of these new states which came into existence in 1918. Sanctioned by the peace treaties of St. Germain, Neuilly and Trianon, its western and southern constituent parts separated from the former territories of Austria, Hungary, Bulgaria and Turkey and joined the kingdoms of Serbia and Montenegro which had existed as independent states before the War. Economically, socially and culturally the new state was one of the most diverse and heterogeneous countries of Europe: its population was made up of eight major and about twenty minor ethnic groups (Serbs being the largest group, followed by Croats), speaking four languages (Serbo-Croatian, Slovenian, Macedonian and Albanian), practicing three religions (catholic and orthodox Christianity and Islam), writing in two scripts (Latin and Cyrillic), and displaying massive social, cultural and economic differences. These differences played a major part in subsequent events and 41 42 Capital & Class ● 48 contributed to the growth of rivalry and rift between different nations and regions. In the inter-war period, Yugoslavia was governed by Serbdominated governments under the Karadjordjevic dynasty. The rightful aspirations of other nations for some form of selfrule and autonomy were disregarded and seeds of national discord sown. The monarchist period, or the ‘first’ Yugoslavia, was brought to an end in April 1941 by the occupation of most of the country by Nazi forces and their allies and the formation of the Nazi puppet ‘Independent State of Croatia’ The Socialist Federative Republic of Yugoslavia AUSTRIA HUNGARY Slovenia Ljubljana ROMANIA Zagreb Croatia Vojvodina Belgrade Bosnia-Herzegovina Serbia Sarajevo AD Montenegro RI AT Kosovo IC SE A Skopje Macedonia ITALY ALBANIA GREECE The disintegration of Yugoslavia 43 (the Ustasa regime) where appalling atrocities were perpetrated against Serbs, Jews and other minorities. But not before long the ‘second’ Yugoslavia, this time socialist and federal, was being built on the ruins of the ‘first’. With the rise of the Yugoslav Communist Party to political power, the ‘nationalities question’ was brought to the forefront of the political and economic agenda. The nationalities question, in this period, was closely bound with the economic problem of bridging the regional development gap and enabling the poorer regions of the country to grow rapidly. ‘Regional development’ policy, aimed at reducing regional disparities, became a major feature of economic policy in ‘socialist’ Yugoslavia. From 1950, Yugoslavia embarked on her own unique development strategy based on workers’ self-management and the increasing use of the market mechanism. The ‘second’ Yugoslavia was associated with rapid transformation of a poor and predominantly rural society to a modern industrial country. But despite all her achievements, she did not succeed in closing the regional development gap and resolving the nationalities problem. The 1980s witnessed worsening economic conditions, mounting dissatisfaction with the national and regional policies, and the outbreak of civil strife. The increased democratisation of the Yugoslav society in the mid-eighties and the weakening of the League of Communists of Yugoslavia (LCY) created the conditions for the revival of opposition political parties, including the extreme nationalist organisations, in all parts of the country. This was followed by the election of non-communist governments in Croatia and Slovenia in Spring 1990 which had campaigned on nationalist platforms (particularly extremist in Croatia). The unilateral declaration of independence by Slovenia and Croatia in June 1991 sparked off open armed conflict which, by the beginning of 1992, brought the ‘second’ Yugoslavia to an end. A comprehensive analysis of the roots of this conflict and their evolution must involve the unravelling of intertwined economic, political, historical and ethnic factors which have developed over most of this century. The purpose of this article is to highlight the impact of the uneven economic development and widening regional disparities on the evolving relations between Yugoslavia’s constituent regions. In particular, we shall analyse the nature and instruments of the v 44 Capital & Class ● 48 government’s active regional policy in the ‘socialist’ phase and assess the effectiveness of these policies. 1 Although the conflict between Serbs and Croats has been at the centre of recent developments, the present paper is concerned with the wider issue of the relations between all nationalities and regions. The paper is divided into four parts. The first section is devoted to the discussion of the roots of national discord. These are traced to the events surrounding the formation of Yugoslavia and their development in the inter-war period as well as during the Second World War. In the second section, we shall concentrate on the nature and instruments of regional policies of the post-war socialist government which were aimed at resolving the so-called ‘national question’, bridging the regional disparities, and accelerating the development of the less developed regions. In the third section, the LCY’s attempts at creating an ethnic balance in the hope of solving the nationalities problem will be discussed. A number of concluding remarks will be offered in the final section. I. THE ‘FIRST ’ YUGOSLAVIA: ROOTS OF THE CONFLICT The serb-croat conflict has its roots in the formation of Yugoslavia in 1918. Before that, the two peoples had been separate from each other for centuries and there is little evidence of serious strife or animosity between them. 2 Slovenia and Croatia had been, respectively, part of Austria and Hungary for nearly a millennia. Slovenia was never an independent state while Croatia, which had been a kingdom in the early middle ages, had gone into voluntary union with Hungary in 1102 and had been ruled from Hungary ever since.3 Serbia, on the other hand, had been a major empire in the medieval period, ruling over most of the present day BosniaHerzegovina, Montenegro and Macedonia, and reaching its zenith during the reign of Emperor Stefan Dusan (13311335). But by 1463, she had been completely conquered by the Ottoman empire. With the weakening of the Ottoman Empire, Serbia and Montenegro gained their independence during the 19th century and formed their independent kingdoms in 1878 and 1919, respectively. Austria annexed v The disintegration of Yugoslavia 45 Bosnia-Herzegovina in 1908, thwarting the Serbian desire of uniting all Serbs, including those under Turkish and AustroHungarian rule, in one state.4 The idea of a state unifying all South Slavs was initially put forward by the Croatian, Slovenian and Serbian intellectuals of the ‘Illyrian movement’ in the middle of last century.5 The outbreak of the First World War gave the intellectuals and politicians, from the territories ruled by the Austro-Hungarian empire, a renewed hope of realising their aspirations of a unified state. In April 1915, in Paris, the Yugoslav Committee (Jugoslovenski odbar) was set up to campaign for the unification of all South Slavs in a Yugoslav state.6 The Committee entered negotiation with the Serbian government-in-exile towards the end of the War and on 20 July 1917 the ‘Corfu Declaration’ was signed. The Declaration proclaimed the determination of Serbs, Croats and Slovenes to form an independent, constitutional, democratic and parliamentary state headed by the Karadjordjevic dynasty. It also recognised, at least formally, the equality of the three ‘tribes’, three religions and two alphabets.7 The events surrounding the formation of the new state profoundly affected the Serbo-Croat relations. Serbia, which had fought a long war, was now part of the victorious Allies; Croatia was associated with Hungary’s vanquished camp. The nationalist elements in the Serbian government, headed by prime minister Pasić, wanted a reward for Serbia’s part in the Great War. Italy’s claim to parts of Istria and Dalmatia further increased the pressure on the Croat and Slovene leaders to work with the Serbian government and participate in the peace negotiations as one team. They therefore hurriedly joined Serbia and agreed on the formation of the new state on largely Serbian terms.8 The union neither clearly expounded the relationship between the nationalities nor did it provide legal guarantees for their rights and duties. The Kingdom of Serbs, Croats and Slovenes formally came into existence on 1 December 1918.9 In October 1929, the new state formally adopted the informal name of Yugoslavia (Jugoslavia, meaning the land of South Slavs) as its official name. It is important to point out that economic factors did not play a major part in the formation of Yugoslavia. Of course, one could envisage the potential advantages of a wider market or the complementary nature of the industrialised and v 46 Capital & Class ● 48 agricultural regions. But these advantages were not used as justifications, or even important reasons, by the proponents of the idea of Yugoslavia in either the Illyrian movement or the Yugoslav Committee. For the Serbian government, of course, the access to the Adriatic and the control over the industrially developed areas of Croatia and Slovenia, must have constituted important considerations. The elections for a Constituent Assembly were held in November 1920. With the exception of the Yugoslav Communist Party ( YCP ), 10 all other parties had a strong regional base and nationalist orientation. The YCP campaigned for economic, political and social reforms in all of the South Slav lands and won the third largest number of seats in the Assembly. But before the Constituent Assembly could meet, the Government issued a special decree banning all communist organisations. In June 1921, in an atmosphere of hysteria and anti-communist witch-hunt, the new pro-Serbian Constitution was marginally passed by the Assembly.11 This Constitution concentrated the power in the hands of Serbdominated central government and denied any autonomy to other nationalities and regions. The mistrust created in the process of formation of the new kingdom was now reinforced and suspicions of the ultimate Serbian desire for hegemony became stronger. The mistrust between Serbs and other nationalities was further intensified by the population resettlement which followed the government’s limited Land Reform programme in 1918. Through this programme, many Serbian veterans of the First World War, as well as volunteers, paramilitary groups and poor peasants, were given land and settled in territories outside Serbia, particularly in Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Macedonia where large tracts of land were expropriated from Hungarian, Turkish and local feudal landlords. This internal migration was supported by the Serbdominated Army, with the resettled population being perceived as the instrument of Serbian rule in non-Serb areas.12 The economic situation deteriorated badly in the post-war period. The infrastructure and national capital, particularly in Serbia and Macedonia, suffered massive damage during the War. The value of fixed assets and national income did not reach pre-War levels until 1923. Rapid inflation and the widening price scissors (indicating the relative prices of The disintegration of Yugoslavia 47 agricultural and manufacturing goods), together with the monopolistic concentration of industrial and financial capital in a few largely foreign hands, resulted in a sharp decline in the real wages of workers and government employees. Standards of living of the bulk of the population declined, falling well below the subsistence level.13 There was strong opposition to government economic and nationality policies led by the YCP , the Croatian Peasant Party,14 trade unions and various sections of the population. But the opposition was met by more restrictive legislation and more repressive measures which contributed further to the deepening of national discord. Then, in January 1929, King Aleksandar declared a personal dictatorship abandoning any pretence to parliamentary democracy. The suppression of the opposition particularly the YCP and trade unions was intensified.15 In October 1934, as he arrived in Marseillaise on a state visit, King Aleksandar was assassinated by a member of IMRO (the International Macedonian Revolutionary Organisation) hired by the Croatian ultra-nationalist organisation Ustasa, dedicated to the setting up of a ‘racially pure’ Croat state. Anti-Croat, anti-Italian and anti-Hungarian demonstrations broke out in Yugoslavia. Another wedge was driven between the two main nationalities, pushing them further apart. On the eve of the Second World War, with mounting international tension and domestic discontent the Serbian government embarked on forming a coalition government with the political opposition. They signed the famous Agreement of August 1939 (Sporazum) with the Croatian Peasant Party headed by Mac ek, setting up a broad-based government with Macek as Deputy Prime Minister. For the first time, the Belgrade government yielded to the Croatian people’s demand for some form of autonomy and agreed to a Croatian parliament in Zagreb. The coalition government of Cvetković and Mac ek retained Yugoslavia’s neutrality until 25 March 1941 when they joined the Axis powers. Mass demonstrations broke out in many cities (though not in Zagreb) and on 27 March a group of air force officers organised a coup d’état, ousting Prince Regent Paul and the Prime Minister. A new government was set up and the 17-year old King Peter assumed power as the sovereign. Hitler, furious at the air force v v v v 48 Capital & Class ● 48 coup, ordered the invasion of Yugoslavia and a particularly barbaric bombardment of Belgrade on 6 April 1941, causing massive destruction and loss of life. On the same day, the German armies, supported by Hungarian, Bulgarian and Italian armies invaded Yugoslavia. Within ten days, the Yugoslav government and King Peter had fled and on 17 April their representative signed the capitulation documents.16 Thus the ‘first’ Yugoslav state ended in defeat, occupation and disintegration with relations between its nationalities badly damaged.17 Most of Slovenia was annexed by Germany which also occupied most of Serbia and put her under the administration of a puppet ‘Serb’ government headed by General Milan Nedić; Hungary took over northern Serbia; Italy occupied the rest of Slovenia, the Dalmatian coast and Montenegro; and Bulgaria occupied Macedonia. But, in terms of national relations, the worst development took place in Croatia. Under German and Italian protection, an ‘Independent State of Croatia’ was declared in Zagreb on 10 April, covering Croatia and most of Bosnia-Herzegovina, with its eastern borders extending to Zemun on the outskirts of Belgrade. The Ustasa leader, Ante Pavelić, until now a fugitive in Italy, returned to Zagreb on 15 April and took charge of the new state under the new title of Poglavnik (the headman).18 With the blessing of the Croatian Catholic church and its Archbishop Aloysius Stepinac, 19 Pavelić immediately embarked on the establishment of a racially pure, Catholic state in Croatia. He began passing anti-Serb and anti-Jewish laws through the Croatian parliament from May 1941, barely three weeks after taking power. Serbs and Jews first lost the right to own radio sets (16 May), and were then dismissed from public offices and obliged to wear distinguishing insignia (22 May). The campaign of terror, mass arrest, detention, deportation and extermination began in Summer 1941.20 The targets of this campaign were primarily Serbs of Croatia and Bosnia but also included Jews, Gypsies and political opponents of the regime. For Serbs, the Ustasa policy was to eliminate or expel as many as possible and convert the rest to Catholicism by force. In the Jasenovac concentration camp (or the Croats’ Auschwitz, as Dedijer called it), which was established along the lines of Nazi extermination camps and manned by Ustasa guards, tens of thousands of Serbs and other detainees were murdered. Tens of thousands more were v v v The disintegration of Yugoslavia 49 deported to other extermination camps in Germany and Poland. It is estimated that between half a million and one million people, largely Serbs, perished at the hands of the Ustasa regime of Ante Pavelić.21 These atrocities left their enduring mark on the Serb-Croat national relations. It would be true to say that the Serbs never forgot, and never got over, their sufferings in this period. After the war, many of the Ustasa leaders (though not Pavelić himself ) were arrested, brought to court and punished.22 But, for a variety of reasons, neither was the scale of atrocities publicised sufficiently nor were the Croatian people expected to confront, discuss and deal with this short but awesome period of their history. Whereas in Croatia the German invasion paved the way for the puppet Ustasa regime, in other parts of Yugoslavia the Germans faced hostile opposition. The principal opposition was organised by the Communist Party, which had moved its centre of activity from industrial areas to the mountains of Bosnia, Herzegovina and Montenegro and, from there, embarked on partisan warfare. 23 The YCP was the only political organisation in Yugoslavia committed to the principle of federal unity and the equality of all nationalities. The crimes committed by Germans in their occupied territories and by the Ustas i in Croatia and Bosnia resulted in an increasing number of people, mainly from the country-side, joining the ranks of partisans as the last hope of saving their lives and their dignity. The YCP, with Tito as its leader, turned Yugoslavia into a major theatre of war in the Balkans and engaged a larger and larger number of German forces. It survived large scale German offensive campaigns aimed at its annihilation and, with the Allies’ support, fought the German armies during these campaigns as well as in their retreat. In addition to the YCP, other political organisations were also active in different parts of occupied Yugoslavia. Amongst these groups, the ultra-nationalist Serbian groups, known as C etniks, should be mentioned.24 The C etniks, who operated mainly in Southern Serbia, Montenegro and parts of Bosnia, were committed to the idea of uniting all Serbs in one nation state and were prepared to resort to ethnic terror in achieving their aim. They committed brutal acts of violence against the Croat and Moslem population in Serbia and BosniaHerzegovina and played a major role in the intensification of national discord in Yugoslavia. Not before long, though, it v v v v v v 50 Capital & Class ● 48 became clear that they considered partisans as their main enemy and collaborated with the Nedić government and Germans. Britain withdrew her military personnel and ceased further supplies to Cetniks in December 1943.25 v II. SOCIALIST YUGOSLAVIA: AFFIRMATIVE ACTION FOR NATIONALITIES AND REGIONS By the end of 1944, Yugoslavia, was almost completely liberated from the occupation forces. The Constituent Assembly, elected in November 1945, formally deposed King Peter and declared the formation of the Federal Peoples Republic of Yugoslavia. The YCP now faced not only the uphill struggle of re-building a war-torn economy but also the much heavier task of national reconciliation.26 The victims of the Ustasi, in particular the Serbs, were now the victors and demanded retribution. But although many Ustasa (and Cetnik) leaders and activists were arrested, tried and punished, these trials could not encompass every supporter, sympathiser, petty informer or minor official of the ‘Independent State of Croatia’. Nor could they include all the Croatian population who silently observed the Ustasi atrocities. Wishing to make a fresh start and hoping for national reconciliation and healing of the wounds, the government severely discouraged any manifestation of nationalism or seeking of revenge (particularly by Serbs). 27 The legal framework for the improvement of national relations was laid by the Constitution of 1946. From the start, the equality of all nationalities and their right to use their own language, and develop their cultural heritage and identity on the basis of their own conditions, were guaranteed under Article 13 of the Constitution. The six constituent republics were given an equal position in the Federation irrespective of their size, population, wealth or level of development.28 As in the period following the First War, there was a strong population migration comprising of partisans (mainly poor peasants of Serb, Montenegrin and Bosnian nationality) moving into the land confiscated from churches, foreign (mainly German) landlords, and collaborators. In 1945, the Serbian National Committee declared that the resettled Serbs should seek their political future with the people of the v v v v The disintegration of Yugoslavia 51 regions where they had settled. With the population migration following the two wars, the nationalities were dispersed widely but unevenly throughout the country. In most regions, in addition to the majority nation, there were significant minorities of other nationalities. The uneven distribution of population remained largely unchanged during the post-war period. Table 1, representing the ethnic origin of the population in different parts of Yugoslavia, shows the complex mixture of population in most parts of the country. In particular, with the present hostilities in everyone’s mind the composition of population in Bosnia-Herzegovina, Croatia, Vojvodina, Kosovo and Serbia should be highlighted. Table 1 Ethnic Origin of the Population of Different Regions % Year Serb Croat Moslem Slovene Albanian Macedonian Montenegrin Hungarian Yugoslav Yugoslavia 1953 42 1981 36 23 20 * 9 9 8 4 8 5 6 3 3 3 2 6* 5 1953 44 BosniaHerzegovina 1981 32 23 18 * 40 ° ° ° ° ° ° ° ° ° ° 31* 8 1953 15 1981 12 80 75 ° 1 1 1 ° ° ° ° ° ° 1 1 ° 8 Croatia Macedonia 1953 1981 3 2 ° ° ° 2 ° ° 12 20 66 67 ° ° ° ° ° 1 Montenegro 1953 1981 3 3 2 1 * 13 2 ° 5 7 ° ° 87 68 ° ° 1* 5 1953 1981 1 2 1 3 ° 1 97 90 ° ° ° ° ° ° 1 ° ° 1 Serbia (All) 1953 74 1981 66 2 2 * 2 ° ° 12 14 ° ° 1 2 6 4 1* 5 Serbia Proper 1953 92 1981 85 1 1 * 3 ° ° 1 1 ° ° 1 1 ° 1 1* 5 Kosovo 1953 24 1981 13 1 1 * 4 ° ° 65 77 ° ° 4 2 ° ° 1* ° Vojvodina 1953 51 1981 54 7 5 * ° ° ° ° ° 1 1 2 2 25 19 1* 8 Slovenia ° Less than 1% * Moslems were not classified as a separate nation at this stage; they were included under Yugoslavs. Sources: SGJ (1960) pp.32-33; SGJ (1970) p.320: SGJ (1973) p.351; SGJ (1987) p.441; Yugoslavia 1945-1964, p.45. 52 Capital & Class ● 48 The initial enthusiasm of the YCP, boosted by the idealism of its victorious partisan cadres, had created the hope that in the new Yugoslavia, socialist relations would soon develop and would supersede and replace the relations and attachments based on nationality. The ‘nationalities’ problem, however, was now closely intertwined with the ‘regional development’ problem. The disparities in the level of social and economic development of different regions in 1947/48 are illustrated in Table 2. Table 2 Some Indicators of Regional Disparity in Yugoslavia in 1947/1948 Yugoslavia Slovenia Croatia Serbia* Vojvodina Bosnia-Herz. Macedonia Montenegro Kosovo National income 100 per capita, % of national average Share of population % 100 Share of social 100 product % Share of fixed 100 assets % (1952) Share of industry in 25 social products % Share of agriculture 45 in social products % Share of population 67 in agriculture % 25 Illiteracy % ** Dependents per 100 97 active population Natural increase 14 per 1000 population Infant mortality 102 per 1000 births Inhabitants per 2.6 physician (1952) in 1000s Inhabitants per 277 hospital bed (1952) 175 107 96 110 84 62 71 52 9 24 26 11 16 7 2 5 15 25 26 11 14 5 2 2 20 28 23 9 13 4 1 2 36 30 20 17 21 20 10 20 30 39 53 67 41 55 52 66 44 62 72 68 72 71 72 81 2 16 27 12 45 40 26 63 76 87 79 97 126 127 150 179 9 9 13 9 22 21 22 26 81 112 91 130 126 136 41 133 1.7 1.9 2.1 5.7 3.3 4.3 4.5 8.5 188 202 300 300 448 339 241 606 * Republic of Serbia excluding the autonomous provinces of Kosovo and Vojvodina. ** Share of illiterate population in total population over the age of 10. Sources: Jugoslavija 1945-1964, p.87; Yugoslavia 1945-1985, pp.197-218; Mladenović (1965) p.3004. The disintegration of Yugoslavia 53 The party believed that the nationalities question would persist in Yugoslavia as long as these wide disparities persisted. It was feared that these disparities would result in regional rivalries and give rise to nationalist tendencies. Interestingly, it was no longer Serbs and Croats, but the more and the less developed regions, who were on different sides of a divide. Slovenia and Croatia, the area north of the river Sava, became the economically more developed region (MDR) of the new state. Bosnia-Herzegovina, Macedonia, Montenegro and Kosovo formed the less developed region ( LDR ) of the country. Serbia, and its constituent Autonomous Province of Vojvodina, with an average level of development, roughly constituted the middle ground.29 It was clear from the beginning that, even with radical social and economic policies, the development of the less developed regions could not be achieved by reliance on local resources alone. Additional resources were needed in both short and long term in order to improve the economic capabilities and public services in these areas. The Federal government had to pursue an active regional development policy in order to make the faster development of the less developed regions possible.30 Only then would the working and living conditions of people across the whole country begin to converge and pronouncements on the ‘equality of nationalities’ would be meaningful. The rest of the community, therefore, agreed to assist these regions and the principle was enshrined in the Constitution.31 We shall now discuss the evolution of regional policy in the post-war period. An assessment of the effectiveness of these policies will be provided later in this section. II.1. THE EVOLUTION OF REGIONAL POLICY 1947-88 From the early post-war period to the late eighties, the Yugoslav economy went through three major stages: the central planning phase (1947-52), the market-based system of workers’ self-management (1952-1974), and the period of re-assertion of collective control through the concepts of ‘associated labour’ (udruz eni rad) and ‘social compacts’ (drus tveni dogovori) (1974-1988). In each stage, with the change in the Federal government’s ability to mobilise and deploy resources, the method of intervention also changed. v v 54 Capital & Class ● 48 1947-1952: The Central Planning Period From 1947 to 1952, the Yugoslav economy was organised and administered along the lines of the Soviet model with the strict subordination of economic units to central planning authorities. Prices and quantities, wages, employment, investment, foreign trade, etc. were all determined at the central level. Each enterprise was, effectively, another layer in the administrative hierarchy of a ministry. All enterprise profits and taxes went into the collective ‘kitty’, the Federal Budget. In return, the Federal Budget acted as the main source of funds for social and public services as well as for investment in different enterprises, sectors and regions. In terms of regional policy, in this period, the Federal government had full control over development funds and was in a position to channel these funds as it saw fit. The control of investment and other resources, particularly of those earmarked for LDRs, had enabled the Federal government to pursue an active ‘regional policy’. But, of course, resources were not unlimited and the demand for development funds outstripped their supply. The intense competition between different regions for these resources, backed up by political pressure and influence, resulted in a final distribution which was neither satisfactory to any of the LDRs, nor willingly accepted by the MDRs.32 By the early fifties, the Yugoslav leaders decided to abandon the central planning strategy and devise their own model of socialism based on workers’ self-management. The main factors contributing to this decision were: the disappointing performance of the economy under central planning; the emergence of a powerful bureaucracy; the apparent contradictions between Marxist theory and economic and political practice; the expulsion from the Cominform; the desire to receive American aid; and, last but not least, the adverse impact of a system of unified economic management on regional and national autonomy.33 The last point is of particular relevance to our present discussion. The imposition of centralised control on the six constituent members of the Federation was thought to be in conflict with the long standing commitment to regional and national autonomy. The diversity of the six republics required different approaches to economic construction in different areas— something for which a unified system of economic administration was ill equipped. The disintegration of Yugoslavia 55 The system of workers’ self-management was instituted in Yugoslavia between approximately 1952 and 1974 by means of a number of major economic reforms (notably in 1952, 196061 and 1965). These consisted of a comprehensive programme of transformation of both the mechanism of resource allocation and the locus of decision making power. The essential idea of the new system was to develop autonomous enterprises with independent decision making power which were managed by their workers (through elected workers’ councils) and linked together through the market mechanism. The workers’ councils were to decide on issues such as: the management structure; the division of revenue between employees’ incomes, reserves and investment; wages and bonuses. The state would guide the economy by means of a system of non-compulsory indicative planning and provide for social services and the infrastructure. Most prices were liberalised and allowed to find their free market levels. Investment decisions were gradually transferred to enterprises and so did the burden of investment financing. The Budget ceased to be the source of investment resources given to enterprises freely. Funds were allocated to enterprises as ‘credits’ and on a competitive basis through the General Investment Fund (in the fifties) and the banking system (from 1963 onwards). The allocation of credit was to be based on the borrower’s credit worthiness and other purely economic criteria. The coordination between different enterprises and different industries and the matching of production to the consumption requirements of the population was to be achieved by the ‘market mechanism’. In this period, the Federal government’s ability to direct resources for regional development purposes was weakened. Investment resources, separated from the Federal Budget in the early fifties, were provided as loans by a newly established General Investment Fund. During the fifties and early sixties, annual and five-year social plans earmarked a certain amount of resources (as guaranteed bulk appropriation) from the General Investment Fund for allocation to enterprises in the LDRs on preferential terms.34 Following the abolishing of the General Investment Fund in 1963 and the transfer of its resources to the banking system, the mechanism of allocation and the amount of resources for the specific use of LDRs had to change too. Eventually in 1965, after much dispute and discussion, the Federal Assembly passed 1952-1974: The period of market-based workers’ selfmanagement 56 Capital & Class ● 48 a law to create the Federal Fund for Crediting Economic Development of Less Developed Republics and Regions.35 Since then, this Fund has been the main instrument of regional policy and the vehicle of inter-regional transfer of resources. The Fund is managed by an independent board consisting of eight members, one from each region. Its resources are formed by an obligatory contribution imposed on all enterprises in the socialised sector of the economy in the form of a percentage of their total social product. The level of contribution (which was initially set at 1.85%) as well as the distribution of the Fund’s resources between the LDRs were to be decided every five years by the agreement of all republics and provinces. In addition to the Fund, which is mainly concerned with the provision of investment resources for LDRs, the Federal government has always been required by the Constitution to provide additional resources for the financing of social services in LDRs.36 This requirement aimed at ensuring that all Yugoslav citizens, irrespective of their place of residence and work, enjoyed a reasonable minimum level of social services. This type of assistance takes the form of a subsidy paid to LDRs from the Federal Budget in order to supplement their own revenues and enable them to provide social services similar to average Yugoslav level. The level of this contribution is also decided every five years by the agreement of all the eight republics and provinces. The crucial feature of Yugoslavia’s regional policy, particularly in the fifties and sixties, was the way the Federal resources earmarked for LDR s were utilised. The regional development policy in Yugoslavia was dominated by the concept of ‘rapid industrialisation’, generally associated with the Soviet model of socialist construction. Not only a continually high proportion of national product was spent on investment, but also investment resources were channelled into building large power stations, coal mines, raw material and metal extraction and processing plants, iron and steel complexes, chemical works, etc.37 What is more, the emphasis was on the setting-up of a comprehensive, vertically integrated industrial base in every region. This latter aspect, of course, corresponded to the underlying desires for economic independence present in all republics and provinces. A glance at Table 3, showing the rate and growth of investment in different parts of the country, confirms this high investment strategy which dominated the policy maker’s thinking for over forty years. The disintegration of Yugoslavia 57 Table 3 Rate and Growth of Investment* in Different Regions Share of Investment in Social Product (%)** Yugoslavia Bosnia-Herzegovina Croatia Macedonia Montenegro Slovenia Serbia*** Kosovo Vojvodina Increase in Investment Expenditure (%) 1952-65 1966-75 1952-75 36 37 30 64 75 29 40 53 26 30 37 27 38 49 25 31 58 25 513 305 563 480 321 601 378 1333 1698 * Based on constant 1972 prices. ** Social sector only. *** Republic of Serbia excluding the autonomous provinces of Kosovo and Vojvodina. Sources: SGJ (1990) p.413; Yugoslavia 1945-1985, p.202. Table 3 shows that, firstly, a high rate of investment was sustained in all areas of the country throughout this period. Secondly, while in Croatia and Slovenia the rate was 25-30% (quite high by international standards) in the LDRs the rate was even higher. Thirdly, the actual volume of investment, in real terms, increased significantly over the period under consideration: by 4-7 times in most places and by 14 times in the least developed region of Kosovo.38 The development strategy based on high investment, however, failed to satisfy the high expectations of policy makers and, also, disappointed all those who had argued for the ‘preferential treatment’ of LDR s in terms of access to investment resources. Two factors account for this failure. Firstly, the regional desire for a comprehensive economic base overshadowed the reality of the small size of the Yugoslav market. Secondly, in the midst of rivalry for obtaining resources to finance large scale projects, the availability of other relevant resources and complementary economic activities was disregarded. Scarce resources were wasted on prestige projects and ‘political factories’ to satisfy regional considerations; the gestation period of investment projects was much longer than expected; the location of industrial plants in relation to raw material and markets was not always properly 58 Capital & Class ● 48 considered; and sufficiently skilled manpower to run these projects was in short supply.39 The maintenance of fixed low prices for raw materials, energy, agriculture and transport, prevalent before 1965, benefited enterprises in the MDRs and adversely affected the LDR s which concentrated on these activities. The performance of the self-management system, on the whole, was somewhat mixed and, in terms of the aspirations of the Yugoslav leaders, certainly far from satisfactory. It is true that the Yugoslav economy grew very rapidly in this period (for a while at one of the highest rates of growth in the world). 40 A predominantly agricultural country was transformed into an industrial nation with a wide and modern industrial base. Standards of living grew fast. Health, education and other social services improved and reached levels which could match those of other medium developed European nations.41 But along with these achievements, some unplanned and undesired features and tendencies began to emerge too. By the late sixties, when the system of market-based workers’ selfmanagement was fully established, these undesirable tendencies had become serious trends in the system and soon began to dominate it. These developments are briefly mentioned here. Firstly, as the size and technological complexity of production units increased, the decision making power was increasingly concentrated in the hands of the technicalmanagerial elite of each enterprise, and the influence of ordinary blue-collar production workers weakened. This gave rise to increasing labour turnover, worker absenteeism, work stoppages and strikes.42 Secondly, given the small size of the Yugoslav market, liberalisation resulted in the strengthening of oligopolistic tendencies with adverse implications for employment and price levels. 43 Inefficient oligopolies could hide their inefficiencies by charging higher prices and offering their workers higher personal incomes. At macroeconomic level, this tendency was one of the main causes of the rising inflation and unemployment.44 Thirdly, given that conditions of demand, resource endowment, technology, and access to markets varied widely, the performance of enterprises was bound to be widely The disintegration of Yugoslavia 59 different too. As ‘performance’ became the main determinant of the enterprises’ ability to attract investment credits and pay higher incomes, inequalities amongst enterprises and employees (and regions) expanded too. In particular, being more efficient and technologically advanced, enterprises in more developed regions were able to attract better quality human resources and more investment credits, and perform even better. Thus was generated a centrifugal force which widened the gap between different regions. These unexpected consequences of self-management and market socialism caused much concern, disillusion and protest across the country. The demand for curtailing the increasing income differential came not only from the striking workers and LDRs but also from protesting students (of the 1968 student movement) which had thrown into the open the question of the LCY’s political legitimacy.45 The Yugoslav government and party leaders had to come to terms with these unwanted and unexpected developments. While the economic consequences of the ‘market socialism’ were at the forefront of the protesters’ minds, the party bureaucracy was primarily concerned with the preservation of the LCY’s political power. Their answer, after a period of discussion in the late sixties and early seventies was the 1974 Constitution which formally restored the ‘social authority’ and ‘guiding role’ of the party, and reasserted the primacy of collective interests over those of individual economic units. It reinforced the position of the LCY and its involvement in social and economic affairs, and increased the authority and control of local governments over enterprises in their area.46 The 1974 constitutional changes ushered in the principles of ‘associated labour’, ‘social compact’ and ‘consensus’. Most enterprises were divided into smaller sub-units, called the Basic Organisation of Associated Labour (BOAL), the smallest unit which was technically and economically identifiable. BOALs, with their own organs of self-management, became the basic decision making unit, empowered to decide on all of their affairs. In terms of our earlier discussion, this provision aimed at reducing the size of the unit and enabling the workers to realise their self-management rights. 1974-1988 The period of ‘associated labour’ and ‘social compacts’ 60 Capital & Class ● 48 The relationship between the BOALs of an enterprise, as well as between enterprises, was to be governed by negotiated binding contracts called ‘self-management agreements’.47 On all important issues, the constituent BOALs had to reach a ‘consensus’, effectively giving the workers’ council of each BOAL the right of veto over the decisions and wishes of other BOALs. Wages and bonuses were to be regulated by ‘social compacts’—agreements negotiated between enterprises, their associations, trade unions and the relevant governmental unit. Market forces were relegated to a secondary position, superseded by surrogates such as ‘self-management agreements’ and ‘social compacts’. The coordination of economic activity was to take place, not ‘by the blind forces of the markets’, but through these surrogates.48 The net effect of all this was the creation of a cumbersome and slow decision making process with a detrimental effect on enterprise efficiency.49 In the context of the present discussion, an important aspect of 1974 constitutional changes was that the republics and provinces obtained the greatest degree of independence in Yugoslavia’s short history. The powers of the Federal government were severely restricted. Major decisions relating to the Federation (such as the conduct of fiscal and monetary policy, taxation, public expenditure, the social plan of the Federation and the level of contribution to the Federal Fund for the Development of LDRs) had to be reached through social compacts and agreements which required the consent of all eight republics and provinces. 50 Decisions on the development programme and the methods of utilisation of development funds were transferred to the LDRs themselves— a decision which proved controversial later. The principle of solidarity, of course, remained unquestioned, at least until the mid-eighties, and in addition to the two types of resources mentioned earlier (the regional development fund and subsidies from the Federal Budget) additional measures, aiming particularly at Kosovo, were also taken. These included the priority allocation of the bulk of credits from the World Bank and IMF; exemption from customs on the import of production equipment; higher than average export subsidies; refunding part of their contribution to the Federal Budget; assistance with the repayment of their loans as well as additional assistance from the budget.51 The disintegration of Yugoslavia 61 The size of contributions to the Fund for the Accelerated Development of LDRs and the subsidies from the Federal Budget, as well as their distribution amongst the LDRs, were decided upon every five years through hard negotiations. It must be pointed out that these contributions remained at relatively modest levels. The contribution to the Fund varied between 1.56% and 1.97% of the social product of enterprises in the social sector. The subsidies from the Federal Budget, to support the provision of social services, varied between 0.53% and 0.85% of Yugoslavia’s national income.52 Of course, despite being modest, the resources of the Funds for Accelerated Development of LDRs account for a major share of total investment (18-33%) in most of these areas and up to 95% in Kosovo.53 By the mid-eighties, it had become apparent that the system of BOALs, and all that was associated with the 1974 Constitutional changes, had created more problems than they had solved. The ‘associated labour’ extension of selfmanagement had not resolved the basic problems faced by all socialist economies: incentives for workers and enterprises, innovative activity and efficiency, and meeting the aspirations of the poorer regions. Macroeconomic policy had become much more problematic because of the enhanced possibility of political intervention in economic affairs. 54 Inflation, unemployment, falling productivity. increasing poverty particularly in some LDRs,55 and rising foreign debt were some of the manifestations of the economy’s poor performance. The system was badly in need of reform and preparations began for a new phase in the development of the Yugoslav model of socialism. The outcome of discussions and consultations was the 1988 Constitutional Amendments IXXLVIII. The ideas of ‘associated labour’ and consensus were abandoned. Market forces were to replace the ‘compacts’ and ‘agreements’ and to become the main mechanism of economic coordination, reminding the seasoned observers of conditions prevailing in the post-1965 period. The legal and constitutional conditions for the gradual evolution of a social market economy, one based on mixed ownership, private initiative and state regulation, were prepared by subsequent laws.56 But with the separation of Croatia and Slovenia and the ensuing civil war, these plans were completely disrupted. 62 Capital & Class ● 48 II.2. THE ASSESSMENT OF REGIONAL POLICY The active regional policy involved the transfer of a large volume of resources to LDRs in order to make up for the shortage of their own resources, stimulate their faster economic development, and ensure the provision of social services in these areas. But what were the effects of this active inter-regional transfer of resources? How did the economies of LDRs respond to the additional resources provided in aid or grant by the Federation? The answer to these questions are not unambiguous and straight forward and, depending on the criteria chosen, conflicting results may be obtained. It is beyond dispute that in the post-war period, the economic and social conditions of the LDR s improved significantly. All measures of social and economic progress (indicators of health education, care of the young and elderly, participation of women, social security, economic growth, employment and others) have grown significantly and testify to the great improvement in the living conditions of people in the LDRs.57 But these achievements are overshadowed by the slow pace of change in LDRs in comparison with the rest of the country, particularly with Croatia and Slovenia. It is equally beyond dispute that the gap between MDRs and LDRs has widened and the relative position of the latter increasingly deteriorated. More significantly, the gap between the extremes of the two groups, Slovenia and Kosovo, has particularly widened. Table 4 shows the change in the relative per-capita social product of different parts of Yugoslavia during the post-war period. It is clear that while the position in Slovenia and Croatia has improved significantly in relation to the Yugoslav average, that of the LDR s, especially Kosovo, has continually deteriorated. The position of Serbia (which is a contributor to the regional assistance efforts but not a recipient) has remained roughly around the Yugoslav average.58 This is a particularly stark observation in the light of four decades of active regional policy. The successive reforms of the economic system, while paving the way for the operation of market forces and the process of decentralisation, failed to improve the ability of LDRs to break out of the ‘vicious circle’ of underdevelopment despite a significant investment effort by the Federation. Many factors contribute to the persistence of this vicious circle, amongst them the high rate of population growth, low labour The disintegration of Yugoslavia 63 Table 4 Social Product per capita in Different Regions as % of Yugoslav Average* 1947 1953 1965 1975 1988 Yugoslavia Slovenia Croatia Serbia** Vojvodina Bosnia-Herzegovina Macedonia Montenegro Kosovo Slovenia as a proportion of Kosovo 100 163 104 101 100 86 70 94 49 3.3 100 161 116 97 100 86 68 75 46 4.1 100 183 120 96 113 71 67 76 36 5.0 100 205 124 97 115 66 68 69 34 6.1 100 208 128 101 119 68 64 74 27 7.4 * Based on constant 1972 prices. ** Excluding the autonomous provinces of Kosovo and Vojvodina Sources: SGJ (1989) pp.421 & 424; SGJ (1980) p.406. productivity, low efficiency of investment, and the impact of the market mechanism deserve specific mention. Firstly, the rate of growth of population in the LDRs has been significantly higher than that of the MDRs throughout the period under consideration, thus reducing the impact of the growth of output. Between the 1981 and 1991 census, for example, the natural growth of population was 6.5 per thousand for Yugoslavia as whole, ranging from 3.4 for Slovenia, 2.9 for Serbia, 1.9 for Croatia and 0.6 for Vojvodina to 9.9 in Bosnia-Herzegovina, 10.8 in Montenegro, 12.2 in Macedonia and 24.3 in Kosovo. More importantly, while in the post-war period the rate of growth of population dropped significantly in all regions, it remained almost unchanged in Kosovo. As a result, Kosovo’s share of total population increased from 4.6% in 1948 to 8.3% in 1991.59 The high population growth results in a high level of dependency on active population and high rate of unemployment. The expenditure on health, education and other services, partly supported by subsidies from the Federal Budget, will be stretched with adverse effect on the quality of human resources. Similarly, the investment resources from the regional development Fund will be partly redirected to areas such as housing, transport and communication which are directly affected by the population size.60 In short, the rapid growth of population 64 Capital & Class ● 48 has, to some extent, undermined the development efforts and contributed to the vicious circle. The second factor explaining the widening gap is the low factor productivity in the LDRs: low efficiency of investment and low productivity of labour. Efficiency of investment is measured by the increase in social product resulting from 100 dinars of investment; labour productivity by output per worker in the industrial sector of the economy. These two indicators are shown in Tables 5 and 6 respectively. Table 5 Productivity of Investment* in Different Regions as % of Yugoslav Average Yugoslavia Slovenia Croatia Serbia** Vojvodina Bosnia-Herzegovina Macedonia Montenegro Kosovo 1952-65 1966-75 1976-83 100 119 111 101 143 80 63 43 77 100 135 108 97 109 77 87 50 65 100 109 89 117 105 103 90 82 44 * Change in the social product per 100 dinar investment (in social sector). ** Excluding the autonomous provinces of Kosovo and Vojvodina. Source: Yugoslavia 1945-85 p.203. Table 6 Labour Productivity in Industry* in Different Regions as % of Yugoslav Average Yugoslavia Slovenia Croatia Serbia** Vojvodina Bosnia-Herzegovina Macedonia Montenegro Kosovo 1952 1965 1975 1988 100 105 98 106 87 95 105 137 88 100 117 102 105 89 93 78 103 79 100 125 108 96 101 84 77 89 77 100 126 105 98 111 85 86 88 71 Measured by social product in industry per worker (in social sector only), based on constant 1972 prices.. ** Excluding the autonomous provinces of Kosovo and Vojvodina. * Sources: SGJ (1990) p.405; and Yugoslavia 1945-85 p.204. The disintegration of Yugoslavia 65 The efficiency of investment in all LDRs was well below the Yugoslav average throughout the period under consideration (with the exception of Bosnia-Herzegovina’s slightly above average figure for 1976-83). The difference was particularly large in Montenegro and Kosovo. Similarly, labour productivity in LDRs was below the Yugoslav average, in most periods, and also declining over time. The nature and quality of investment projects (referred to earlier), the availability of suitable inputs (especially management) and complementary activities account for the low levels of efficiency of investment. The work force’s lower levels of skill and qualification and a shorter experience of an industrial culture in LDRs account for labour productivity trailing behind the rest of the country. At the same time, the deployment of more modern production technologies, the availability of complementary economic activities, higher levels of education and skill attainment, better housing, health and other social services in the MDRs have also contributed to the growing factor productivity gap. The low levels of factor productivity, in turn, result in low levels of industrial output, income and demand, and given the higher rate of growth of labour force, produces higher levels of unemployment too. The ‘vicious circle’ of underdevelopment is completed by the lower standards of living, lower public expenditure on social services and lower labour productivity. Table 7 shows the extent of unemployment, measured by the number of job seekers per 1000 employed, in different regions of Yugoslavia since the early fifties. Table 7 Unemployment* Yugoslavia Slovenia Croatia Serbia** Vojvodina Bosnia-Herzegovina Macedonia Montenegro Kosovo 1952 1965 1975 1989 26 19 29 25 30 15 67 33 26 65 17 59 79 47 50 156 54 179 113 15 58 143 119 128 267 168 297 175 35 86 183 156 260 283 294 583 * Measured by the number of registered job seekers per 1000 employed. ** Excluding the autonomous provinces of Kosovo and Vojvodina. Sources: SGJ (1990) pp.408 and 467; Yugoslavia 1945-85 pp.199-200. 66 Capital & Class ● 48 It is clear that the LDRs, particularly in the latter half of the period under review, have been suffering from much higher as well as increasing rates of unemployment. Slovenia and Croatia, on the other hand, have always had lower than average unemployment rate which has also been falling in proportion to the national average. The Slovenian unemployment rate was about 70% of the national rate in 1952 and dropped to 20% of the national average by 1988. Finally, the differential impact of the decentralisation process and developing market relations on different regions should be highlighted. Regions such as Slovenia and Croatia, were less damaged during the war, started with a better endowment of resources, a more educated and skilled work force, and a more diversified economy. Enterprises in these regions were more efficient, and with developing market relations, became more profitable, could raise more internal funds for expansion, and attract even more from the banking system. They gained from their advantageous position in the Federation and prospered rapidly. The less developed regions, on the other hand, started from what can only be described as backward economic conditions, suffered serious damage during the war, had poor endowment of resources, insufficient technical know-how and lower levels of education. Their enterprises were less efficient and could not compete with those from the MDRs. Their profitability was lower, their internal resources and those raised from the banking system were limited, and they had to rely heavily on outside assistance. 61 But the available support from the Federation, in the amounts provided, could not transform their position significantly. As mentioned earlier, during the post-war period, the emphasis on the faster development of LDRs has focused the observer’s attention on the relation between richer and poorer regions and nationalities, thus overshadowing the Serb-Croat relation. The richer regions made their contributions to the LDRs under much pressure and, in the latter years, under great duress. It is certainly true that, as the following Table 8 shows, the bulk of transferred resources came from the contributions made by enterprises outside the LDRs. But it is also important to note that Serbia (excluding Vojvodina and Kosovo), whose position throughout this period remained about the Yugoslav average, made a major contribution, often higher than Slovenia and Croatia, to the transferred resources. The disintegration of Yugoslavia 67 Table 8 Contributions of Different Regions to the Fund for Accelerated Development of LDRs (% of total) MDRs Slovenia Croatia Serbia* * 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 75 13 23 27 78 19 26 24 74 16 27 21 76 15 25 27 79 18 23 21 73 18 24 18 77 20 24 26 77 24 26 19 Excluding the autonomous provinces of Kosovo and Vojvodina. Sources: SGJ (1988) p497; SGJ (1990) p.496. To sum up this assessment, it has to be pointed out that both sides of the regional divide became increasingly unhappy with the evolution of the regional policy. On the one hand, a lot of resources had been allocated to, and spent on, the development of LDRs. Some results had been obtained but they were far from sufficient and satisfactory, leaving LDRs frustrated and suspicious. They resented the expanding regional gap and the insufficient help from their better-off neighbours. The more developed regions, on the other hand, felt that the LDRs were not using their increasing autonomy to direct the Federal assistance effectively.62 In their eyes, scarce investment resources were being transferred from their more efficient enterprises with higher productivity to enterprises in LDRs with lower productivity, thus retarding the development of MDRs. They wanted better application of economic and profitability criteria. They also wanted to have a say in how the transferred resources were being utilised and wished to encourage inter-regional joint ventures, in the hope of influencing the utilisation of these resources.63 The leaders of the more developed Croatia and Slovenia, continually complained of the slow pace of economic reform. They saw their future in further decentralisation, the extension of market-based economic reforms, and the limitation of the role of central authorities. They believed that further extension of the market mechanism and depoliticisation of resource allocation would force enterprises in LDRs to become more efficient and to base their decisions on profitability and other economic criteria. The LDRs, however, felt that their enterprises were not at the same technological and efficiency levels as those of the MDRs and could not easily compete with them. The growing 68 Capital & Class ● 48 autonomy of regions under self-management was seen to be condemning them to a perpetual ‘poorer partner’ position with a slower rate of growth. The LDRs, with a preference for an active interventionist policy, became associated with opposition to reforms. The notion of ‘progressive northwest’ versus ‘conservative southeast’ found increasing usage.64 Regions resorted to restrictive practices and autarkic measures, remnant of the sixties, which effectively barred many enterprises from operating outside their own regions. Selfmanagement agreements and social compacts were used as means of closing the market to ‘non-domestic’ producers and workers. Each region, therefore, had to resort to hard bargaining in order to establish a workable (if not ideal) economic relation with other regions. The field of economic policy was the most fertile ground for political and economic horse-trading, an ultimately unsatisfactory state of affairs. Economic disputes gradually were expressed in regional and national terms and took nationalistic tones, thus contributing to the rise of nationalism and the degeneration of national relations. The argument between the two groups was essentially based on regional self-interest. The richer regions had been campaigning, since the sixties, to move rapidly towards a market economy. They did not wish to be held back by the slower moving regions. Nor did they believe in continuing the inter-regional transfer of resources to these regions. With the disintegration of the LCY, the only mechanism for imposing some form of socialist solidarity had disappeared, creating conditions for Croatia and Slovenia to speed up their campaign for either a loose confederation or separate states. Two points need to be emphasised before we end this section. Firstly, that for nearly forty years, the MDRs operated in an environment where product markets were largely liberalised but input markets, particularly raw material, energy and minerals were subject to controls. This benefit has never appeared in the loss-gain balance sheet of the relation between regions. Secondly, the magnitude of the transferred resources, though considerable, should not be exaggerated. The overall resources contributed to the Fund for the Development of LDRs and to the subsidies from the Budget remained in the range of 2-3% of the social product of each region—and declined in the last decade too. The claim that this contribution has held back the MDRs is rather strong and unjustified. The disintegration of Yugoslavia 69 III. THE PARTY, THE NATIONAL QUESTION AND SERBIAN DOMINATION The Yugoslav Communist Party was always aware of the existence of national and regional prejudices which developed in the inter-war period and intensified during the Pavelić’s regime. But its own war-time experience had strengthened its deep belief in the possibility of peaceful development of relations between nationalities. The re-publication of Kardelj’s pre-war essay on The Development of the Slovenian National Question in 1958, drew public attention to the nationalities question again.65 For a time, particularly in the fifties, the Party believed that with the development of selfmanagement, the conditions would be created for the emergence of a ‘Yugoslav’ identity, which would supersede the narrower national or regional identities. The idea of ‘Yugoslavianism’ (Jugoslovenstvo) was promoted and attempts were made to identify and spread a ‘Yugoslav’ culture, and develop a new consensus about the relations between nationalities. 66 However, the federal structure and the importance of regions in national affairs meant that the notion of nationality would survive all this.67 The idea of ‘Yugoslavianism’ was eventually dropped at the Eighth Party Congress in 1964. From then on, the Party focused on the idea of ‘parity of representation’, trying to ensure that regions and nationalities were represented in the national decisionmaking process. With the liberalisation of the Yugoslav society, however, public manifestations of nationalism (and even chauvinism) became possible. In the fifties and sixties, Serb and Croat writers and historians were in dispute over their cultural heritage, the status of Croatian as a language separate from Serbian, and the position of the Croatian Communist Party over the 1939 Sporazum.68 More serious was the struggle in the early sixties with an anti-reform group, headed by Aleksandar Ranković, the de facto leader of the Serbian Party and the most powerful member of the leadership after Tito. Although the struggle revolved around the direction and pace of reforms and Ranković was aligned with many representatives from the LDRs, Serbian nationalism became the focus of criticism which culminated in the removal of Ranković in 1966. 70 Capital & Class ● 48 In the late sixties and early seventies, when most of Yugoslavia was concerned with the consequences of marketbased socialism (discussed earlier), the Croatian and Slovenian parties were pressing for greater autonomy and faster reforms, drawing an angry response from other parts of the country. The Serbian cultural organisation Matica Srpska, the Serbian Orthodox Church, the Serbs in Croatia and their organisation Prosvjeta, as well as the Croatian cultural organisation Matica Hrvatska and organisations of economists, writers and students, all actively took part in these exchanges. It was in this period that ideas such as a Croatian Republic, a separate Croatian Army, and a Serbian autonomous region in Croatia were publicly floated. This time, Croatian nationalism was the focus of criticism and resulted in large scale resignations, purges and arrests. The criticism was also used to strengthen the LCY ’s political power and pave the way for the 1974 Constitutional amendments.69 Despite these occasional outbursts of nationalism, the relation between nationalities improved significantly during the ‘socialist’ phase of Yugoslavia’s history, albeit with the exception of Kosovo. The nationalities policy was, on the whole, successful and received public support. Incidents of public and open hostilities towards any nation were extremely rare. The evidence from research work in the fifties, sixties and seventies, in Yugoslavia and abroad, indicated strongly that the ‘ethnic distance’ had narrowed down, the political incorporation of different regions into Yugoslavia had been accepted, and their political cohesion had been enhanced.70 This improvement in national relations should be seen in the context of the rising economic prosperity and the prestige enjoyed by Yugoslavia in the international community. It is not by pure coincidence that by the late eighties, when the economy was in serious crisis, the national relations had deteriorated too. The only significant instance of violent confrontation between nationalities, prior to the recent events, occurred in Kosovo in 1981 and then 1988-89. The relation between Kosovo’s Albanian nationality and the Serbian and Federal governments deteriorated sharply during the eighties resulting in large scale mass demonstrations which were violently suppressed by Federal troops. The problem of Kosovo, where Albanians gradually became the largest and most dominant nationality in an area which had been inhabited by Serbs for The disintegration of Yugoslavia 71 centuries, remains one of Yugoslavia’s most complex problems. This problem, however, has been more about the demands of the Albanian nationality for greater autonomy (including the status of a republic) and much less about the relation between Albanians and Serbs. Although the Serbian government has a lot to answer for the escalation of tension in the Province, all members of the Federation must share the blame for the decision to declare a ‘state of emergency’ and deploy Federal troops on the streets of Pristina and other towns, and its disastrous consequences. The Kosovo problem can not be discussed in the context of the present paper for lack of sufficient space.71 The events of 1990 and 1991, leading to the break-up of the ‘second’ Yugoslavia, have to be studied separately and in much greater detail. Suffice to say that the situation is particularly worrying in Croatia and Bosnia, with serious violation of the rights of ordinary citizens. The little that has become known, does not justify any confidence in future. The Serbs in Croatia have witnessed many atrocities in the past year, and so have the Croats in Croatia and all nationalities in Bosnia. But, what is more serious, is the systematic violation of the rights of minorities in Croatia which is tolerated by the state. The new Croatian Constitution declares that Croatia is the land of Croats; the use of the Cyrillic alphabet for official communication is banned (even in areas where Serbs are in a majority). The insignia and flags resembling the Ustasa’s are reappearing. The hidden agenda seems to be to change the history of 1941-45. Against international protest by the victims of the holocaust, the ‘Victims of Fascism’ Square in Zagreb was renamed the ‘Croatian Heroes’ Square. The site of the former extermination camp at Jasenovac is to become a national park. The Croatian parliament, at this moment, is discussing the rehabilitation of Archbishop Stepinac. Arbitrary arrests, disappearance of Serbs and unlawful killings are now happening again. Reports by Amnesty International and other human rights organisations are appearing regularly and indicate a deteriorating situation.72 The EC recognition of Croatia, under pressure from conservative forces in Europe,73 despite an unfavourable report on the rights of minorities by Judge Robert Badinter, the president of the French Constitutional Court, may prove to have been a mistake (particularly as it failed to stop further escalation of violence).74 v v 72 Capital & Class ● 48 One particular aspect of national relations which deserves some clarification is the issue of Serbian over-representation in the party and state institutions. This is an issue which has received much attention in the context of the present hostilities. It is certainly true that under the pro-Serb governments of the ‘first’ Yugoslavia, state institutions were dominated by Serbs, giving rise to strong feeling of subjugation by other nations, particularly Croats and Slovenes.75 In the immediate post-war period, too, Serbs and Montenegrins were heavily over-represented in the army and state administration. But the reason for this was entirely different from that of the inter-war period. The post-war political elite in Yugoslavia has its roots in the partisan and the relatively small communist movements. Serbs (and mainly Croatian Serbs) and Montenegrins were the most numerous ethnic components of the partisan movement. All historians of the movement have pointed out that, the Serb-populated areas of Croatia were the first areas to engage in armed uprising against the Pavelić regime and Germans. For these Serbs, the partisan movement was almost the only alternative to death or conversion to Catholicism at the hands of Ustasi armed gangs.76 The crucial point, however, is that, starting from the heavy over-representation of Serbs (and also Montenegrins), the party and the government made conscious attempts to change the status quo during the period of the ‘second’ Yugoslavia. The notion of ‘national parity’ was the vehicle by which these attempts were promoted.77 At the higher levels of decisionmaking, the ethnic balance was certainly changed and some form of parity obtained. Republics and Provinces were well represented at the leading level of almost all Federal institutions.78 But at lower echelons of Federal institutions, the cadres and technical staff, the change was much slower, with Serbs and Montenegrins retaining their more-than-proportionate presence. The change in the ethnic composition of two particularly important institutions deserve a brief mention. These are the LCY and the Army. The membership of LCY has undergone much change in the post-war period. The total party membership increased steadily from a mere 161,000 in 1945 to over 2 million in 1983 when it started to decline slowly. The increase in membership, of course, was not homogeneous in different parts of the country. Table 9 represents the ethnic composition of the LCY since the mid-fifties. v The disintegration of Yugoslavia 73 Table 9 National Origin of Members of the League of Communists of Yugoslavia 1957-1988 Nationality in percentages 1957 LCY Population Serb Croat Slovene Montenegrin Macedonian Moslem Albanian Hungarian Yugoslav Others v 54.5 19.0 7.7 6.7 6.4 n/a 2.4 1.1 n/a 2.2 1971 LCY Population 41.7 23.5 8.7 2.1 5.2 n/a 4.5 3.0 5.9 5.4 49.4 17.4 6.4 6.4 6.2 4.6 3.4 1.1 3.8 4.3 41.7 22.9 8.6 2.4 5.6 6.9 4.7 2.7 1.4 3.1 LCY 44.2 12.6 4.8 5.5 7.5 7.6 4.7 1.2 10.6 1.3 1988 Population 38.4 20.5 8.0 2.5 5.9 7.8 5.6 2.2 5.6 3.5 v Sources: Boris Vus ković (1985) p.121; Izdevac ki centar komunist (1989) p.57; Jugoslovenski Pregled, July-August 1964, p.294. The table clearly shows that, between 1957 and 1988, the extent of over-representation of the Serb and Montenegrin nationalities gradually declined, though not eradicated. At the same time, the representation of Moslems, Albanians, Hungarians and particularly ‘Yugoslavs’ has gradually increased. The Croat and Slovene under-representation, however, has somewhat increased, mainly because of a general drift away from the LCY in these two republics during the eighties. The ethnic composiTable 10 tion of the Yugoslav Ethnic Origin of the Officer Corp in the Yugoslav National Army (JNA) also National Army (1991) went through a similar process in the post-War Nationality Army Population period. From a predomi% share % share nantly Serb and MonteSerb 60 36 negrin army, it was transCroat 13 20 formed to an army in Slovene 3 8 which other nationalities Montenegrin 7 3 Macedonian 6 6 were also represented, Moslem 2 9 though the Serbian overAlbanian 1 8 representation has persistHungarian 1 2 ed. This is illustrated in Yugoslav 7 5 Table 10, showing the Others 2 3 ethnic composition of Source: Vreme, 15 July 1991 the JNA. 74 Capital & Class ● 48 From a very high level in its early days, the overrepresentation of Serbs in the JNA reached 70% of the officers’ corps in 1971,79 and then slowly reduced to some 60% shown above. But the representation of other nationalities, though improving, never reached the proportions warranted by their share in total population. Again, as in the case of the LCY itself, there was a process of change towards greater representation of other nationalities but the process was too slow. Of course, as long as the League was in control of the Army, it was reasonable to expect that the army would be essentially concerned with its primary task: the defence of the territorial integrity of the Federation. But with the rapid disintegration of the League in 1990-91, the army gradually turned to an autonomous organisation fighting for its own interest. The present size of JNA as well as its human and material resources could be justified only in the context of a 23-million strong nation. With the separation of four republics from the Federation, the JNA has to shrink to a much smaller size—not a welcome prospect for the JNA leaders. IV. CONCLUDING REMARKS In this paper, some of the causes of the deterioration of national relations in Yugoslavia have been discussed. In particular, the role of regional development policies in the escalation of conflicts has been highlighted. The pro-Serbian policies of the inter-war government resulted in disappointment amongst those intellectuals and politicians who had campaigned for the unification of South Slavs, and in disharmony and rancour between Serbs and other nationalities (particularly Croats). The Second World War created conditions in which Croatian nationalists could realise their aspirations for an ‘independent’ state, even though delivered by Nazi invaders. They, then embarked on a policy of genocide against Serbs and other minorities in Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina. Some apologists of the Ustasi regime, have tried to reduce the weight of these crimes by counterposing them to the hegemonistic policies of the Belgrade government in the previous twenty years. 80 However, it has to be emphasised that the open, large scale and systematic anti-Serb policies of the Croatian rulers v The disintegration of Yugoslavia 75 between 1941-45, are without any parallel in Yugoslavia’s modern history. The ‘socialist’ phase in Yugoslavia’s history, witnessed significant improvements in the relation between nationalities. Although the policies of the new state did not bring about full equality of representation and political power amongst its constituent nationalities and regions, it went a long way in that direction. Given the largely Serb and Montenegrin makeup of the partisan movement and the party, the subsequent gradual change in the ethnic balance of the Party, the Army and state institutions were the result of a conscious effort by the leaders of the ‘second’ Yugoslavia. During this phase, the nationality question was linked to the uneven economic development of different regions. It was thought that only with economic convergence of different regions would national rivalries and disputes diminish and, eventually, disappear. The achievement of rapid economic growth in the LDRs, therefore, became the key to the nationalities question and the cornerstone of government policies. Throughout this period, the government pursued an active regional policy involving the redistribution of investment and budgetary resources in favour of the LDRs. As a result of these policies, there was significant economic progress in the LDRs. But regional policy and policy instruments were themselves directly influenced by Yugoslavia’s overall development strategy: the establishment of a system of market-based workers’ self-management. This system, by its emphasis on market allocation of resources, decentralisation and granting of unprecedented autonomy to regions, weakened the Federal government’s ability to mobilise resources for inter-regional transfer. Decentralisation and the market mechanism gave regions and republics increasing autonomy over their affairs, thus retaining and even expanding their differences. They also generated centrifugal forces which could not be weakened by the regional policy instruments used. The ‘high investment’ strategy employed for the rapid development of LDRs was, on the whole. unsuccessful. This was partly because of the concentration of investment in capital intensive heavy industries and partly because of low labour productivity and low efficiency of investment in LDRs. The subsidies from the Federal Budget, aimed at improving the provision of social services, were insufficient to counteract 76 Capital & Class ● 48 the effects of high population growth rates. Over time, despite the continued involvement of the Federation and the acceptance of the need for active regional policy by all concerned, the gap between the less developed and the more developed regions widened. The inter-regional transfer of resources satisfied neither the LDRs nor the MDRs. The LDRs believed that the resources provided by the Federation were not sufficient to improve their relative position. The MDRs, however, maintained that any improvement should come from better utilisation of these resources and not from their expansion. Serbia’s position over this on-going debate was of particular relevance. While itself not one of the MDRs, Serbia supported the redistributive efforts of the Federation and played a major part in providing supplementary resources for LDRs. It is difficult to see if, in return, Serbia derived any special economic advantage during the life of the ‘second"’ Yugoslavia. The generalised crisis of the Yugoslav economy during the 1980s, manifested by high rates of inflation, unemployment, inefficiency, rising foreign debt, poverty, etc., resulted, amongst other things, in the reduction of resources allocated to the development of poorer regions, precisely at a time when more resources were needed. The richer regions, notably Slovenia and Croatia, were unhappy with the contributions they were making to the less developed regions. The less developed regions, on the other hand, felt left out, unassisted and exploited. Either a new solution to the problem of regional polarisation and dispute had to be found or, the rapid deterioration of the situation was to be expected. It may seem that the recent conflict in Yugoslavia has been more about the assertion of the right to statehood and the dismantling of the ‘socialist’ state than about regional disparities and growing polarisation. Economic factors, nevertheless, played an important role: Slovenia and Croatia did not wish to continue to ‘subsidise’ the less developed parts of Yugoslavia and be slowed down by their pace of growth. Had regional policies been more successful and the gap between different regions narrower, the economic justification for separation would have been weaker. ______________________________ The disintegration of Yugoslavia 77 v I am grateful to many friends and colleagues, particularly to Mis a Crnobrnja, Gabi Herbert and George Potts, for their comments on an earlier version of this article. Acknowledgement ______________________________ 1. Other aspects of the ‘nationalities problem’, which have contributed to the unfolding of the present tragedy, have been left out because they are beyond the scope of this paper. 2. For relations between Serbs and Croats in the 19th century, see Jelavich (1962) pp.31-37. 3. Ostović (1952) pp.4-13. Hungary’s rule in Croatia had been particularly oppressive and brutal, giving rise to Croatian nationalism long before Serbs were a major factor on the scene. See Crnja (1962) esp. pp.248-255. 4. For details see Banac (1984) pp.31-41 and Ostović (1952) pp.4–13. 5. See Shoup (1968) pp.7-8. 6. Ostović (1952) pp. 54-60; and Banac (1984) p.118. 7. Ibid, pp.123-4. The question of ‘nationhood’ of Montenegrins, Macedonians and Bosnian Moslems was shelved at this stage. 8. As it turned out, France and Great Britain, had already (secretly) promised the disputed areas including the major ports of Trieste, Fiume (Rijeka) and Zadar to Italy by the London Treaty of 1915. Under pressure from Allies and other neighbours, the Yugoslav delegation finally signed the Peace Treaty conceding the Italian claims. Most of these areas (though not Trieste) were recovered after the Second World War. For details, see Ostović (1952) p.59. Macedonia and Southern Serbia (including Kosovo) were returned to the new state at this stage—despite Bulgarian protestation. 9. While some 700,000 of its potential citizens were left outside its borders (more than half of them in Italy), the new State was also ‘assigned’ more than a million minority citizens of Magyar, Romanian and German origin through various peace treaties. The national composition of the 12 million strong population at this stage was: 39% Serb; 24% Croat; 9% Slovene; 6% Bosnian Moslem; 5% Macedonian; 4% Albanian; and 17% other nationalities including Germans, Hungarians, Austrians, Romanians, Turks, Jews, Italians, and other Slavs. See Lederer (1963) p.309; and Banac (1984) p.58. Notes 78 Capital & Class ● 48 10. The Socialist Workers Party of Yugoslavia was formed in 1919 by the progressive elements of the Serbian, Croatian and Slovenian social democratic parties, other leftist groups and the returnees from the Russian front who had come in contact with the Bolshevik Revolution during the War. It was renamed as the Yugoslav Communist Party (YCP) in 1920 and the League of Communists of Yugoslavia ( LCY ) in 1952. See Avakumović (1964). 11. For a full discussion of the 1921 elections, see Ostović (1952) p.102; Auty (1970) p.48; and Cohen and Warwick (1983) ch.4. Given the extent of opposition, it is useful to point out that had the YCP not been banned, the 1921 Constitution would not have been passed by the Assembly. 12. See Bićanić (1973) p.16 and Banac (1984) pp.148-153. For a brief survey of the Serbian domination of the Police, the Army and the civil service in this period, see Ostović (1952) pp.122-130. 13. For a discussion of the economic conditions in the twenties, see Bićanić (1973) ch.1. 14. The Croatian Peasant Party boycotted the Assembly until 1925. Later, in 1928, when the party leader Stjepan Radić was assassinated in the Parliament by another deputy in June 1928, the Party withdrew all its deputies from the Parliament again and refused further cooperation with the government until just before the Second World War. See Macek (1957), especially p.105. 15. For the role of the YCP in this period and the disastrous influence of the Comintern on its policies, see Auty (1970) pp.59-81; and Shoup (1968) pp.35-36. For Tito’s account of his own relations with the Comintern, see Dedijer (1953) ch.7. 16. For details of the social conditions at the outset and in the early months of the War in Yugoslavia, see Hoptner (1962), Kingscoat (1942) and Ristić (1966). 17. In a recent article in the pages of this journal, Magas has blamed Serbian nationalism, and not Nazi occupation and Ustas i collaboration, for the disintegration of the ‘first’ Yugoslavia (Magas , 1992). In this article on ‘lessons of history’, there is not a single reference to the Ustas a regime and its role in shaping the nationality relations in Yugoslavia. 18. Pavelić had left Yugoslavia in 1929 when he had failed in his attempt to mobilise an ultra-nationalist party in Croatia. He developed contacts with Italian and Austrian fascists and set up training camps for his Ustas a movement in these countries. He was wanted by the Yugoslav police in connection with terrorist activities including the murder of King Aleksandar. He was also tried, in absentia, and condemned to death by a French court for his involvement in the King’s murder. See Maclean (1957) pp.61-3. 19. In a Circular Letter to his priests, dated 28 April 1941, Stepinac called the setting up of the new state ‘momentous events, …the culmination of an ideal long cherished and desired by our people’ v v v v v v The disintegration of Yugoslavia 79 and appealed to the faithful to ‘fulfil (their) duty’ by working for the preservation of the young ‘independent Croat state’. For the full text of the letter, see Pattee (1953) p.84. After some time, Archbishop Stepinac became wary of the increasing scale of atrocities and moderated his public support for the regime, though never condemning Pavelić or the Ustasa. 20. The accounts of Ustasi crimes do not come from Yugoslav sources alone. Outsiders like the British military and intelligence officers parachuted to Yugoslavia, the New Zealand surgeon Rogers, the Jewish organisations and many others have given detailed account of the most barbaric cruelties (including shooting, drowning, hacking, burning, and throwing en masse over precipices) committed in the ‘Independent State of Croatia’. For detailed accounts, see Colaković (1962) pp.157, 167 and 180-3; Davidson (1946) p.80; Dedijer (1951) pp.163-5; Dedijer (1953) pp.139 and 152; Lowenthal (1957); Maclean (1957) pp.123-4 and 161-4; and Rogers (1957) p.46. 21. Cohen and Warwick (1983) p.58 and Davidson (1946) p.331. The precise number, of course, will always remain a secret because, as with Nazi extermination camps, no systematic record of arrests, deportations and killings were kept. 22. Archbishop Stepinac was brought to justice and after a much publicised trial, was sentenced to sixteen years imprisonment. For details of the trial and the documents presented as evidence, see Pattee (1953). Pavelić and many of his henchmen, though, fled from Yugoslavia and with the help of the Catholic church, the Vatican and even the Allies, they reached Argentina. There, he reorganised his Ustas a movement, even publishing the journal Hrvatska Revija (Croatian Review). The Ustas i, in exile, continued to organise terrorist activities against Yugoslav government officials. They have been responsible for scores of bombings at Yugoslav embassies and the murder of a number of Yugoslav diplomats around the world. The documents on the flight of Nazi war criminals to South America after the end of World War II, released by the new Argentinian government in February 1992, points the finger of accusation for complicity at the Vatican (Guardian, 15 February 1992). 23. For the activities of the YCP in this period, especially its attitude to Nazi Germany before the invasion of the USSR, see Shoup (1968) pp. 44-50; Auty (1970) pp.150-4 and Frankel (1955) pp.51-2. 24. The Cetnik leader Draza Mihailović, a colonel in the Serbian army during the First World War, was appointed as the Minister of War by the exiled ‘Royal’ Yugoslav government in London and his Cetniks began receiving military support from Great Britain. 25. For more details on C etnik activities, see Tomasovich (1975) p.261 and Ostović (1952), esp. pp.219-228. For observations by the British Liaison Officers, see Davidson (1946) pp.82-5; Lawrence (1947), Maclean (1957) pp.176-7 and 263-4 and v v v v v v v v v 80 Capital & Class ● 48 v Rootham (1946). For reports by Yugoslavs, see Colaković (1962) pp. 207, 234-5 and 243-5 and Dedijer (1953) pp.253-6. Mihailović was finally arrested in March 1946, tried and condemned to death in July of the same year. For a sympathetic treatment of the Cetnik movement, see Lees (1989). 26. While the party’s basic line remained one of national reconciliation, the opposition from some reactionary sections of some nationalities (often with religious overtones) was severely put down. There were violent confrontations with the Albanian minority in Kosovo reaching the point of an armed uprising in 1944 with scores of deaths. The relations with the Catholic church in Croatia and with the Islamic Religious Community in Bosnia, became very tense. For a detailed discussion of the Party’s relations with minorities in this period, see Shoup (1968) ch.3, esp. pp.102-118. 27. According to a Law passed soon after the War, any incitement to hatred on the basis of nationality, religion or race was made a criminal offence. Sluzbeni List DFJ (Official Gazette) No.36, 1945. 28. The decision to make Bosnia-Herzegovina a separate republic and the sixth unit of the Federation was taken, after much debate, at the second session of AVNOJ (Anti-Fascist National Liberation Council of Yugoslavia) in November 1943. For details of the discussion leading up to this decision, see Colaković (1962) pp.283-5. The status of Bosnian Moslems as a separate nationality, however, was not settled at this stage but had to wait until the early sixties. For details, see Shoup (1968), Ch.6. From then on ‘Moslem’ has denoted a nationality rather than a religion. 29. The designation of various regions as ‘economically less developed’ has changed a number of times, affecting the flow of development funds. However, since 1965, the areas designated as such have remained unchanged. See Ocić (1986) pp.9-15. The position of Serbia was of course particularly crucial: though it was not a developed region, it contributed to development funds heavily but not being a less developed region, she did not receive any of the funds (more on this later). 30. The rapid development of the less developed regions has been one of the objectives of all five-year social plans since 1947. See Bićanić (1973) p.61. 31. The Constitution of SFRY , 1974, Basic Principle III, p.15. Similar pronouncements were made in earlier Constitutions. 32. The scarcity of resources for regional development and the competing claims of different regions for these resources was, furthermore, compounded by Yugoslavia’s expulsion from the Cominform in 1948. This resulted in serious disruption of external trade and diversion of resources from civilian to military industries. The associated dislocation meant that the scarce investment funds had to be allocated to those regions and projects with higher productivity of investment. This, in general, meant the more developed regions and their industrial projects. v v v The disintegration of Yugoslavia 81 33. For details of the development of the idea of workers’ selfmanagement, see Djilas (1969), esp. pp.157-8; Horvat (1971) pp.75-7 and Milenkovitch (1971) pp.62-5. For the dispute with Cominform, see Clissold (1975); Claudin (1975) and Freedman (1970). 34. In addition to these resources, enterprises in LDRs could also apply for investment credits directly to the General Investment Fund. These applications were to be given preferential treatment subject to profitability considerations. See Mladenović (1965) pp.3000-3001; and Bićanić (1973) p.187. 35. Sluzbeni List SFRJ, no.35, February 1965. 36. Article 258, section 4 of 1974 Constitution. A similar article existed in the previous Constitution. 37. By the mid-fifties, 40-50% of total investment was being allocated to manufacturing and mining (of which 30-40% was spent on metallurgy and chemicals and only 5-10% on food processing and drinks) and only 6-8% of the total was going into agriculture. Statistic ki Godis njak Jugoslavije (1960) (hereafter SGJ) p.233. From 1947 to 1962, e.g. metallurgical industries accounted for 13% of total investment in MDRs, but 25% in LDRs; durable consumer goods accounted for 16% of industrial investment in MDRs, but 5% in LDRs. For more details, see Mladenović (1965) p.2998-9. 38. Given that the Yugoslav economy has had a relatively high rate of inflation throughout the period under consideration, these real increases in investment take an even more significant dimension. 39. Gregory (1973) p.228 and Milenkovich (1971) p.181. 40. Between 1952 and 1960, total social product, industrial production, investment and personal incomes grew at annual rates well over 10%, and agricultural production at 9% (all in real terms). Jugoslavija 1945-64, pp.87-9. 41. For data on the achievements of this period, see Hashi (1979) p.233. 42. Stanković (1981) pp.16-18, basing himself on the work of Yugoslav sociologist Neca Jovanov, talks of ‘several thousand’ strikes between 1958 and 1978. See also Benson (1974), Kavc ić, Rus and Tannenbaum (1971), Obradović (1975), Rus (1970), –Zupanov and Tannenbaum (1968). 43. See Estrin (1978). 44. The tendency to restrict employment is one of the main features of various versions of the theory of the labour-managed firm. 45. The most well known protests took place at Belgrade University, where students demanded the sharing of the burden of reforms by all sections of the society and the curtailing of the power of the ‘red bourgeoisie’. For details, see Fejto (1977) pp.209-10 and Stanković (1981) pp.16-18. 46. Articles 129-131 of the Constitution. See also Fejto (1977) p.507; and Prout (1985) pp.77-81. 47. Article 70, 1974 Constitution, p.59. v v v v v 82 Capital & Class ● 48 48. Preamble to the 1974 Constitution, p.16. 49. Two examples of the magnitude of bargaining involved in this period would be sufficient to illustrate this point. The first example concerns the decision on the allocation of investment resources involving many participants. For the 1976-80 social plan, the investment expenditure in each industry and region was decided through simultaneous negotiations between enterprises, their industry chambers, trade unions, socio-political communities of all levels, which eventually resulted in 240 social compacts, 30 in each republic or province. For details, see Prout (1985) pp.73-4. The second example describes the situation in one firm alone. The Rakovica Motor Works, which was made up of 10 BOALs (one engaged in producing chassis. one for engines, another for transmissions, another in sales, and so on) with ten workers’ councils. There were 78 self-management agreements negotiated to regulate inter-enterprise arrangements. It is estimated that some 18,000 man-hours were taken to negotiate these agreements. In 1987, they decided to abolish the ten BOALs and have just one organisation for the whole enterprise. For details, see The Wall Street Journal, 25 March 1987. 50. The principle of ‘equality of all nations’, therefore, gave Montenegro with half a million population, exactly the same powers on the top decision making body as Serbia with over seven million, and an effective veto power. 51. Yugoslavia, 1945-8. p.195; Mladenović (1978) p.68 and Mladenović (1982) pp.15-17. 52. Mladenović (1978) pp.63 and 66; Mladenović (1982) pp.14-16 and –Durd–ević (1987) pp.23-4 and 38-9. 53. Yugoslavia, 1945-85, p.192. 54. The intervention of the LCY in the process of formulation and implementation of the government’s macroeconomic policy, e.g., led to the resignation of at least two prime ministers (Milka Planinc in 1985 and Branko Mikulić in 1988). See Gapinski, Skegro and Zuehlke (1989) pp.93 and 232-3. 55. According to research conducted at the Institut ekonomski nauka, between 1978 and 1989, the proportion of population below the poverty line increased from 17.2% to 23.6%. The variation across the regions was even more startling: 2.9% in Slovenia and 81.9% in Kosovo. For details, see Posarac (1991) p.95-97. 56. The Enterprise Law, sanctioning the plurality of forms of ownership; Foreign Investment Law; Financial Operations Act; Law on Banks and Other Financial Organisations; Law on Securities; Money Market and Capital Market Laws and a number of other related laws were enacted to make these constitutional changes operational. For details, see Jugoslovenski Pregled (1989a), (1989b) and (1990). 57. For a recent statistical survey of achievements in LDR s, see Federal Statistical Office (1986), ch.7. v The disintegration of Yugoslavia 83 58. Using a variety of analytical methods (cluster analysis, regression method, etc), Gregory (1973); Ocić (1986) and Flaherty (1988) also have reached the same conclusions. 59. Yugoslav Survey, No.3, 1991, pp.7-10. Even forty years of socialist policies could not reduce the high rate of population growth resulting from the interaction of economic, social and cultural (especially religious) factors. 60. In fact if the population size is taken into account, the ‘high investment’ regions of Table 3 will mostly change to ‘low investment per capita’ regions. 61. During the 1964-72 period, for example, when the market-based self-management system was in place, the share of internally generated resources in total investment in Slovenian and Croatian enterprises was 36-47%, that of bank credits 40-52%; in Kosovo these shares were 10-15% and 13-30% respectively. The share of investment provided by social funds, however, was almost zero in the former regions but 50-70% in Kosovo. SGJ (1966) p.471; and SGJ (1973) pp.477-81. 62. Thus the accusation (sometimes well founded) that the LDRs were directing these resources to prestige projects, massive buildings in their capital and higher education institutions which concentrated not on science and technology but on literature and history of the particular regions. 63. From 1976 onwards, part of the contribution of enterprises to the Fund for Accelerated Development of LDRs was to be made in the form of ‘pooling of labour and resources’ of BOALs in MDRs and LDRs, i.e. joint ventures arranged between BOALs themselves. See –Durd–ević (1987) p.23. But this type of collaborative effort, which might have had beneficial effect in terms of transfer of technology or know-how, was not particularly successful partly because of the non-transferability of property rights in Yugoslavia and partly because the LDRs regarded this as an infringement of their independence. 64. The most important example of this unity is the alliance supporting Aleksandar Ranković in the early sixties which actually succeeded in forcing the postponement of major economic reforms until 1965. For details, see Shoup (1968) pp.248-255. In the late-eighties, a similar alliance was formed around Milosević in order to thwart Slovenia and Croatia’s dash for a loose confederate state. For some of the documents of the Federal Presidency, see Yugoslav Survey, No.4, 1990 and No.1, 1991. 65. Kardelj (1958). In this essay Kardelj argued that ‘nations’ would continue to play an important role until the realisation of socialism. 66. The concept of a common core of ‘Yugoslav’ literature and history, to be covered in school text-books, was discussed and cultural cooperation between different nations was encouraged. From 1963, it became legally possible to declare one’s nationality as ‘Yugoslav’ on official forms. By 1981, some 5% of the v 84 Capital & Class ● 48 population, spread in almost all republics, chose to describe themselves as Yugoslavs (see Table 1). 67. The tendency amongst local officials to focus on their own narrow economic interests accentuated this process. See, e.g. Djilas (1957) p.101. 68. For details, see Shoup (1968) pp.190-198. 69. See Burg (1983) pp.100-160; Fejto (1977) pp.505-508; and Drachkovitch (1972) p.106. 70. For details, see Frankel (1955) p.59; Pantić (1967) pp.16-24; Zanninovich (1971) pp 68-9; and Cohen and Warwick (1983) p.89. 71. For an in-depth analysis of this problem, see Horvat (1987). 72. The Amnesty International Report, EUR 48/26/91, November 1991; Helsinki Watch report, Guardian 15 February 1992; and Index on Censorship, No. 5, 1992, p.35. 73. In an interview with Croatian Television, Margaret Thatcher, for example. referred to the dispute as a fight between communism and democracy and criticised the British Government for not actively supporting Croatians (including sending them arms). The Times. 23 November 1991. 74. The Economist 18 January 1992 and Guardian, 17 January 1992. 75. During the inter-war period, Serbs (together with Montenegrins and Macedonians), accounted for some 44% of the population but constituted 70% of the officers’ corp, 87% of generals rank, 56% of judges of regular courts, 67% of prosecutors, and 69% of ministerial positions in Belgrade. The Croats, on the other hand, accounted for 24% of population but 16% of officers corps, 9% of generals, 31% of judges, 22% of prosecutors and 18% of ministerial positions. For details, see Cohen (1989) pp.128 and 263; and Banac (1984) pp.58 and 217. 76. Davidson (1946) p.95; Dedijer (1953) p.152, Maclean (1957) p.168; Colaković (1962) pp.317-320; and Cohen and Warwick (1983) p.60. The First Proletarian Brigade, the core of the National Liberation Army, formed in December 1941, was also made up of mainly these two nationalities: 62% Serbs and 31% Montenegrins. Ibid., p.71. A study of the ethnic origin of the surviving veterans of the partisan movement, showed that, even in 1977, Montenegrins, Macedonians and Serbs from Croatia, Bosnia, Vojvodina and Kosovo constituted a higher percentage of the veterans than of the population. The Croats of Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina and Vojvodina, on the other hand, were under-represented in the veteran population. See Savzni zavod za statistiku, Statistic ki Bilten, 1174, April 1980. 77. The notion of ‘parity of representation’, of course, is one that has aroused much emotion in Yugoslavia and has contributed to the rise of nationalism everywhere. Serbia is the largest republic and Serbs constitute some 40% of the population. But they have not had the same proportion of the leading posts in Federal institutions. The Montenegrins, who constitute less than 3% of v v The disintegration of Yugoslavia 85 the population, have occupied a much greater proportion of leading positions. ‘Parity’, for Serbs, has meant that, in many areas of social and political life, they would carry less weight than their numerical strength in the Federation warranted. This became a particularly thorny issue in the recent period and was heavily relied on by the nationalist forces and groups. 78. 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