March 2015 Casablanca City Report Morocco 2 Casablanca City Report March 2015 Casablanca is the main economic centre of Morocco and a favoured location for international corporations. It has also emerged as one of Africa's major commercial hubs and, in becoming the largest port in North Africa, has developed important trading functions. City Population 3.5 million GDP Growth 4.3% pa Economic Size US$ 41 billion Market Overview Casablanca has witnessed increased delivery of new office buildings that meet the exacting requirements of international occupiers. Occupier confidence is showing signs of improvement with a number of corporate tenants now actively considering relocation to prime buildings. Real Estate Dashboard Development Activity Outlook Offices Casablanca is experiencing a notable increase in development activity; in particular, a number of new office buildings were delivered at La Marina in 2014. There are also significant development plans at Casa Anfa, a mixed-use project which will host the new Casablanca Finance City (CFC). The scheme will be developed in phases and is expected to substantially increase the city’s office stock, catering to financial services, professional services and regional and international headquarters. Initial deliveries are not expected until 2017/2018. Although development activity is ongoing and will raise stock levels, corporate occupiers currently seeking high-quality office space still have limited relocation options (La Marina, Anfa Place, the CBD). The lack of modern office space is expected to drive rental growth over 2015. 1.3 million m2 total stock 272 US$/m2/pa average prime rent Hotels 10 international-grade hotels 100 US$ average room rate Industrial 620,000m2 total stock 60-80 US$/m2/pa prime rent Demographic and economic data refers to 2015 values/estimates Real estate data refers to Q1 2015 values/estimates JLL Property Clock Notable recent events Rental growth slowing Rental growth accelerating Offices Rents falling Hotels Rents bottoming out Industrial The JLL Property ClocksSM Anfa Place Shopping Centre (30,000m2) sold to Delta International Property Holdings Limited (2014). 3 Casablanca City Report March 2015 $ Offices Office stock 1.3 million m 2 Vacancy rate 5-10% Rent US$ 272/m /pa Overview The number of office market transactions continues to be limited due to the shortage of modern building stock. However, with the delivery of several high-quality developments (Contempo by Amundi, La Marina, Anfa Place), an essential stimulus is expected to be given to market dynamics. The increasing number of office buildings within La Marina being developed by local and foreign investors is clear evidence of the current appetite for investing in international-standard office space. Demand Supply Rental Performance Corporate occupiers still have limited location options in the city. The CBD remains the most attractive district given its strategic location and continues to be popular with the finance and business services industries. The majority of prime office space is concentrated within the CBD, Casa Anfa and La Corniche. Take-up by corporate occupiers and large Moroccan companies, such as Mastercard, CasaAmenagement, Samir, Mitsui, Sage and Phillips, has been behind the reduced volume of available stock. The market witnessed the delivery of new office space (namely La Marina) in 2014. The Casablanca Finance City (CFC) is a 100 hectare development located at the central axis of Casablanca's new city centre with the ambition of introducing international-grade stock for large national and global institutions. While deliveries are not anticipated until 2017/2018, the planned development is expected to substantially expand the current office stock in the future. The final quarter of 2014 saw an increase in prime office rents at La Marina, which remains the largest office hub in the country’s economic capital, and the preferred option for international and corporate occupiers. Other office areas, such as the central CBD, Sidi Maarouf and Ain Sebaa, have seen rents unchanged. Incentives have also begun to drift inwards, with rent-free periods reducing to a maximum of two months from the previous three-four months. Yields are estimated to be between 8% to 11%, while prime yields range from 8% to 10%. Recent Completions Pipeline Key Deals La Marina 4,261m² La Marina 30,000m2 La Marina 2,000m² Anfa Place 2,500m2 Sale of one of the two office buildings in Anfa Place to British American Tobacco acting as an occupier/investor. 2 Rental outlook 7 Casablanca City Report March 2015 Key Sector Nodes Contact us JLL Morocco: 13, rue Ibnou Toufail Quartier Palmiers 20 340 Casablanca Morocco www.africa.jll.com Fabrice Leger Managing Director Tel +212 (50) 20 44 77 04 [email protected] JLL Sub-Saharan African: Mark Bradford Chairman: Sub-Saharan Africa Tel +27 (0) 81 018 0265 [email protected] Aashna Puri Africa Desk Tel +27 11 507 2200 [email protected] COPYRIGHT © JONES LANG LASALLE IP, INC. 2015. This report has been prepared solely for information purposes and does not necessarily purport to be a complete analysis of the topics discussed, which are inherently unpredictable. It has been based on sources we believe to be reliable, but we have not independently verified those sources and we do not guarantee that the information in the report is accurate or complete. Any views expressed in the report reflect our judgment at this date and are subject to change without notice. Statements that are forward-looking involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause future realities to be materially different from those implied by such forward-looking statements. Advice we give to clients in particular situations may differ from the views expressed in this report. No investment or other business decisions should be made based solely on the views expressed in this report.
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