Poster # Estimates of the seasonal variability of volume, heat, and freshwater fluxes in the eastern subpolar North Atlantic T1-39 Stefan F. Gary1*, Stuart A. Cunningham1, Clare Johnson1, N. Penny Holliday2, Loic Houpert1 SAMS, Oban, UK 2NOC, Southampton, UK 1 1) Motivation 2) Our Goals The Extended Ellett Line (EEL) is a repeat hydrographic section with a 40 year history. Understanding of the variability in the area may help climate predictions1. Rough winter weather results in few winter occupations. Previous work has resolved interannual variability2 but not seasons3. Contribute to the search for a seasonal cycle of volume, heat and freshwater fluxes with winter glider occupations. Merge glider data with ship and float data. Sampling on a single section may be impacted by spatial and temporal aliasing of the eddy variability4. EEL 3) Where would we expect geostrophic transports to reflect the seasonal cycle? Model-based conclusions: ● IB ● SAMS Glider Missions in this region ● ● ● ● ● ● ● Talisker EEL, '09-'10, 784 dives, 3020 km Talisker EEL, 2011 836 dives, 2292 km Talisker FASTNEt, '13-'14, 1857 dives, 2851 km Ardbeg FASTNEt, '13-'14, 1803 dives, 2835 km Ardbeg EEL, 2015, 1200+ dives, 3100+ km Laphroig FASTNEt, 2014 1515 dives, 1743 km Jura OSNAP, '14-'15 1844 dives, 3103 km Knockando FASTNEt, 2014 1316 dives, 1919 km ● Scapa OSNAP, '14-'15 1593 dives, 2987 km ● Bowmore OSNAP, 2015 946 dives, 2607 km ● Bellatrix 5, EEL, 2014, 651 dives, 1423 km ● +3 more in the water right now! Follow: @samsglider velocity.sams.ac.uk/gliders * SAMS, Scottish Marine Institute, Oban, Argyll, PA37 1QA (+44) (0)1631 559419 (+44) (0)7474 387218 [email protected] References: 1) Hermanson et al., 2014, GRL, doi:10.1002/2014GL060420 2) Holliday et al., in review, JGR 3) Holliday et al., 2000, DSRI, doi:10.1016/S0967-0637(99)00109-0 RHP RT ● Figure 1: r2 for co-located depthintegrated absolute and geostrophic transports along sections in the FLAME 1/12o model5 over Rockall Trough (RT), Rockall Hatton Plateau (RHP), and Iceland Basin (IB). 15-year time series, at 3-day resolution, were smoothed with a 3-month boxcar filter. ● Good correlations in the RT, RHP and southern IB are not isolated to a particular section. Difficult to resolve the northern IB. There is strong, bottom-intensified flow over sloping topography here due to the overflow water. There is a seasonal cycle in the model absolute velocity field which is consistent with the geostrophic velocity field. However, the uncertainties in the seasonal cycle can be impacted by strong interannual variability. 4) Data sources and Quality Control (QC) 5) Volume, heat, and freshwater fluxes Figure 4: Seasonal RT fluxes using geostrophic transports referenced to, and summed above, 1200 m in a smoothed, ¼o, 3D, QC'ed, seasonal climatology. The black line is the EEL, others are the dotted sections shown in Fig. 1. ← Glider missions. Ship & Argo data span 1950-20126. Challenges: Assumptions are needed for processing SeaGlider data7 but QC'ing glider data based on ship & float data may remove variability observed by gliders. Gliders profile every ~5 km but ships & floats profile every ~10-100 km. The density of glider profiles can bias climatologies and the QC process. Solution: all profiles that fall in each year, season, and ¼o x ¼o bin are isopycnally averaged. The statistical envelope of the binned profiles is used to QC ship, float, and glider data together8. Here, we using 1.2x105 profiles with 7.9x106 S,T,P triplets, which are 83% and 90% of the input into the QC filter, respectively. Figure 3: Example of T-S space statistical data QC filter in a 1o x 1o square in RT. Accepted points are shaded by pressure, 02000 dbar, rejected points are black + symbols and the mean and ± 2.3 std of the binned profiles at each density level are shown in green & red, respectively. Conclusions: ● ● 4) Sherwin et al., 2015, OS, doi:10.5194/os-11-343-2015 5) Böning et al., 2006, GRL, doi:10.1029/2006GL026906 6) NODC, 2012, www.nodc.noaa.gov/OC5/ SELECT/dbsearch/dbsearch.html 7) UW SeaGlider QC manual, 2012 8) Lozier et al., 1995, Prog. Oce. www.whoi.edu/science/PO/hydrobase/ php/index.php 9) Johnson et al., 2015, D22.31, http://www.naclim.eu Here, glider data are retained at 92%, similar to ship & float data. Compare to 77% for separate QC9. Figure 2: (top) Transport in the upper EEL RT in FLAME. (bottom) Seasonal cycle of the time series above with ± 1 std. ● No clear seasonal cycle yet, but transport consistent with previous work3. Geostrophic fluxes are sensitive to smoothing since they are based on density gradients. More data (update ship and float database, more glider missions this winter) will help reduce the smoothing. Also, revisit the data pipeline to minimize smoothing. Estimate error bars with a “leave-someout” analysis. Acknowledgements: We are grateful for NERC funding. The research leading to these results has received funding from NACLIM, a project of the European Union 7th Framework Programme (FP7 2007-2013) under grant agreement n.308299. We are also grateful for Claus Böning (GEOMAR) sharing the FLAME model output. Thanks to Estelle Dumont, Toby Sherwin, Mark Inall, Marie Porter, Karen Wilson, Colin Griffiths, John Beaton, Lovro Valcic, the Captains and crews of the RRS James Clark Ross, NLB Pole Star, FRV Magnus Heinason and Bogi Hansen and Brian King.
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