VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES Volume 2 Number 2 September/October 2013 ISSN 2212-1099 VOLUME 2 NUMBER 2 SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER 2013 PAGES 169–334 ELSEVIER EDITORIAL BOARD Co-Editor-in-Chief (For CEEWAA Issues) Dan Greenberg, PhD Ben-Gurion University of the Negev Beer-Sheva, Israel [email protected] Co-Editor-in-Chief (For Asia Issues) Bong-Min Yang, PhD Seoul National University Seoul, Korea [email protected] Co-Editor-in-Chief (For Latin American Issues) Federico Augustovski, MD, MSc, PhD Institute for Clinical Effectiveness and Health Policy (IECS); University of Buenos Aires; Hospital Italiano of Buenos Aires Buenos Aires, Argentina [email protected] CO-EDITORS Asia Central & Eastern Europe, Western Asia & Africa Latin America Nathorn Chaiyakunapruk, PharmD, PhD Monash University, Sunway Campus Selangor, Malasia [email protected] Imre Boncz, MD, MSc, PhD, Habil University of Pécs Pécs, Hungary [email protected] J. Jaime Caro, MDCM, FRCPC, FACP United BioSource Lexington, MA, USA [email protected] Jeff Jianfei Guo, MS, PhD University of Cincinnati Health Academic Center Cincinnati, Ohio, USA [email protected] Mohamed Izham b. Mohamed Ibrahim, PhD College of Pharmacy, Qatar University Doha, Qatar [email protected] Marcos Bosi Ferraz, MD, MSc, PhD Federal University of São Paulo São Paulo, Brazil Marcos.Ferraz@fleury.com.br Kenneth KC Lee, JP, MPhil, PhD Reg Pharm (HK) Monash University Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia [email protected] Victor Zarate, MD, MSc University of York Santiago, Chile [email protected] EDITORIAL ADVISORY BOARD Central & Eastern Europe, Western Asia & Africa Mary Geitona, BSc, PhD University of the Peloponnese Damaskinou & Kolokotroni, Greece [email protected] László Gulácsi, MSc, MD, PhD Corvinus University of Budapest Budapest, Hungary [email protected] Zoltán Kaló, MSc, MD, PhD Eötvös Loránd University (ELTE) and Syreon Research Institute Budapest, Hungary [email protected] Dominik Golicki, MSc, MD, PhD HealthQuest Warsaw, Poland [email protected] Mihajlo B. Jakovljevic, MD, PhD University of Kragujevac Kragujevac, Serbia [email protected] Hakan Ergün, MD, PhD Ankara University Ankara, Turkey [email protected] EDITORIAL OFFICE MANAGEMENT ADVISORY BOARD Jan Busschbach, PhD (Chair) Erasmus University Rotterdam, Netherlands [email protected] Maarten J. IJzerman, PhD University of Twente Enschede, The Netherlands [email protected] Donald Patrick, PhD, MSPH University of Washington Seattle, WA, USA [email protected] Managing Editor Editorial Assistant Stephen L. Priori [email protected] Nancy Sun [email protected] Malgorzata (Gosia) Juszczak-Punwaney, MA [email protected] For complete listing of the Editorial Advisory Board, please visit http://www.ispor.org/publications/VIHRI/Editorial-Advisory-Board.asp VOLUME 2 NUMBER 2 SEPTEMBER/OCTOBER 2013 TABLE OF CONTENTS EDITORIAL 169 Further Steps in the Development of Pharmacoeconomics, Outcomes Research, and Health Technology Assessment in Central and Eastern Europe, Western Asia, and Africa Dan Greenberg, Imre Boncz, Zoltán Kaló, and Mohamed Izham B. Mohamed Ibrahim ECONOMIC EVALUATION 171 Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Aripiprazole Augmentation Treatment of Patients with Major Depressive Disorder Compared to Olanzapine and Quetiapine Augmentation in Turkey: A Microsimulation Approach Mete Saylan, M.J. Treur, R. Postema, N. Dilbaz, H. Savas, B.M. Heeg, and P.B. Drost 181 Cost-Utility Analysis of Depot Atypical Antipsychotics for Chronic Schizophrenia in Croatia Vlado Jukic, Miro Jakovljevic, Igor Filipcic, Miroslav Herceg, Ante Silic, Tatjana Tomljanovic, Roman Zilbershtein, Rasmus C.D. Jensen, Michiel E.H. Hemels, and Thomas R. Einarson 189 Cost-Utility Analysis of Pharmaceutical Care Intervention Versus Usual Care in Management of Nigerian Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Maxwell O. Adibe, Cletus N. Aguwa, and Chinwe V. Ukwe 199 Economic Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases in the Russian Federation Anna Kontsevaya, Anna Kalinina, and Rafael Oganov 205 Cost for Treatment of Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia in Specialized Institutions of Ukraine Olena Mandrik, Isaac Corro Ramos, Olga Zalis’ka, Andriy Gaisenko, and Johan L. Severens 210 Costs of Medically Attended Acute Gastrointestinal Infections: The Polish Prospective Healthcare Utilization Survey Marcin Czech, Magdalena Rosinska, Justyna Rogalska, Ewa Staszewska, and Pawel Stefanoff 218 Radiology Services Costs and Utilization Patterns Estimates in Southeastern Europe—A Retrospective Analysis from Serbia Mihajlo Jakovljević, Ana Ranković, Nemanja Ranč ić, Mirjana Jovanović, Miloš Ivanović, Olgica Gajović, and Zorica Lazić 226 Children Hospitalized for Varicella: Complications and Cost Burden Ozden Turel, Mustafa Bakir, Ismail Gonen, Nevin Hatipoglu, Cigdem Aydogmus, Emine Hosaf, and Rengin Siraneci PATIENT-REPORTED OUTCOMES 231 The Methodological Challenges for the Estimation of Quality of Life in Children for Use in Economic Evaluation in Low-Income Countries Travor Mabugu, Paul Revill, and Bernard van den Berg 240 The Impact of Pharmaceutical Care Intervention on the Quality of Life of Nigerian Patients Receiving Treatment for Type 2 Diabetes Maxwell O. Adibe, Chinwe V. Ukwe, and Cletus N. Aguwa TABLE OF CONTENTS - continued 248 An Audit of Diabetes-Dependent Quality of Life (ADDQOL) in Older Patients with Diabetes Mellitus Type 2 in Slovenia Eva Turk, Valentina Prevolnik Rupel, Alojz Tapajner, Stephen Leyshon, and Arja Isola 254 Patient-Reported Quality of Life During Antiretroviral Therapy in a Nigerian Hospital Azuka C. Oparah, Jeffrey S. Soni, Herbert I. Arinze, and Ifeanyi E. Chiazor CLINICAL OUTCOMES STUDIES 259 Clinical Burden of Invasive Pneumococcal Disease in Selected Developing Countries Namaitijiang Maimaiti, Zafar Ahmed, Zaleha Md Isa, Hasanain Faisal Ghazi, and Syed Aljunid HEALTH POLICY ANALYSIS 264 Capacity Building for HTA Implementation in Middle-Income Countries: The Case of Hungary Zoltán Kaló, József Bodrogi, Imre Boncz, Csaba Dózsa, Gabriella Jóna, Rita Kövi, Zsolt Pásztélyi, and Balázs Sinkovits, on behalf of ISPOR Hungary Chapter 267 What Influences Recommendations Issued by the Agency for Health Technology Assessment in Poland? A Glimpse Into Decision Makers’ Preferences Maciej Niewada, Małgorzata Polkowska, Michał Jakubczyk, and Dominik Golicki 273 A Framework for Applying Health Technology Assessment in Cyprus: Thoughts, Success Stories, and Recommendations Panagiotis Petrou and Michalis A. Talias 279 Systematic Review of Economic Evaluation Literature in Ghana: Is Health Technology Assessment the Future? Emmanuel Ankrah Odame 284 Dossier System as a Practical Tool for Compiling Reimbursement Lists Maria V. Sura and Vitaly V. Omelyanovskiy 290 Impact of the Pharma Economic Act on Diffusion of Innovation and Reduction of Costs in the Hungarian Prescription Drug Market (2007–2010) Rok Hren 300 Performance Assessment of Ga District Mutual Health Insurance Scheme, Greater Accra Region, Ghana Eric Nsiah-Boateng and Moses Aikins 306 The Process of Privatization of Health Care Provision in Poland Krzysztof Kaczmarek, Hannah Flynn, Edyta Letka-Paralusz, Krzysztof Krajewski-Siuda, and Christian A. Gericke 312 Transforming Public Servants’ Health Care Organization in Greece through the Implementation of an Electronic Referral Project Kyriakos Souliotis, Vasiliki Mantzana, and Manto Papageorgiou CONCEPTUAL PAPER 319 Recommendations for Reporting Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations in Egypt Gihan H. Elsisi, Zoltán Kaló, Randa Eldessouki, Mahmoud D. Elmahdawy, Amr Saad, Samah Ragab, Amr M. Elshalakani, and Sherif Abaza TABLE OF CONTENTS - continued 328 Note from the Editors 329 Erratum LETTERS TO THE EDITORS 331 Response to “Potential Regulatory and Commercial Environment for Biosimilars in Latin America” by Azevedo et al. 333 Response to Letter from Dr. Jorge Revilla Beltri dated 22nd March, 2013 I Guide for Authors Editorial Office. Value in Health Regional Issues, ISPOR, 505 Lawrence Square Blvd. South, Lawrenceville, NJ 08648. ISPOR Office. Marilyn Dix Smith, RPh, PhD, Executive Director, 505 Lawrence Square Blvd. South, Lawrenceville, NJ 08648. Tel: (609) 586-4981, Fax: (609) 586-4982, E-mail: [email protected], Web site: http://www.ispor.org/publications/VIHRI/VIHRImain.asp Value in Health Regional Issues (ISSN 2212-1099) is published 3 times a year on behalf of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research by Elsevier Inc, 360 Park Avenue South, New York, NY 10010-1710. 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Because of rapid advances in the medical sciences, in particular, independent verification of diagnoses and drug dosages should be made. Although all advertising material is expected to conform to ethical (medical) standards, inclusion in this publication does not constitute a guarantee or endorsement of the quality or value of such product or of the claims made of it by its manufacturer. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 169–170 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri EDITORIAL Further Steps in the Development of Pharmacoeconomics, Outcomes Research, and Health Technology Assessment in Central and Eastern Europe, Western Asia, and Africa During the organizational and functional development of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR), more attention was paid to developing regions. In addition to the traditional annual meetings in Western Europe and North-America, the 1st Asia-Pacific Conference and the 1st Latin America Conference were organized in 2003 and 2007, respectively. In addition to Value in Health, its well-established journal, ISPOR introduced Value in Health Regional Issues (ViHRI), its new independent, official scientific journal in 2012. Its 1st volume, published in 2012, consisted of two issues covering the regions of Asia [1,2] and Latin America [3,4]. As of 2013, a special issue has been devoted to the regions of Central and Eastern Europe, Western Asia, and Africa (CEEWAA). Countries eligible from Central and Eastern Europe include Albania, Belarus, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Estonia, Greece, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Montenegro, Poland, Republic of Moldova, Romania, Russian Federation, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Ukraine, and The Former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia. Countries eligible from Western Asia are Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Cyprus, Georgia, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Occupied Palestinian Territory, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syrian Arab Republic, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen. All African countries are eligible. The criteria of an article to be considered in ViHRI CEEWAA are as follow: at least one of the authors of an article submitted to the journal must reside in the region; when an article reporting on an empirical study is submitted, it must include subjects from population(s) in the region. For the first CEEWAA issue of ViHRI, 54 manuscripts were submitted of which 24 have been accepted for publication following a thorough review process. The introduction of a special issue for the CEEWAA region of ISPOR provides a great opportunity for scholars from these countries to publish their research findings and health policy reports in an international scientific journal. Yet, it is very challenging to include in one issue articles from a variety of regions. One should bear in mind that countries of the CEEWAA region represent a heterogeneous region with substantial differences and challenges relating to country’s wealth (i.e., gross domestic product per capita), political environment, population’s health status, health care affordability, and spending. For example, the life expectancy at birth for males is 72 years for the World Health Organization (WHO) European Region, 67 years for the Eastern Mediterranean Region, and 55 years for the African Region, while for females, the values are 79, 70, and 58 years, respectively. The number of physicians per 10,000 populations is 33.3 for the WHO European Region, 10.8 for the Eastern Mediterranean Region, and 2.5 for the African Region. The per-capita total expenditure on health (purchasing power parity international $) is 2282 for the WHO European Region, 326 for the Eastern Mediterranean Region, and 154 for the African Region [5]. The diversity of challenges in these countries could result in a broader spectrum of published articles. While in some developed countries, cutting of hospital beds or narrowing the health insurance basic benefit package represent key health policy objectives, other countries try to establish a hospital system or introduce a basic benefit package for larger parts of their population. Whatever is a current leading health policy issue in either a nationwide or a local health care system, decision making should rely on strong scientific evidence. In this decision-making process, health-economics and outcomes research must play an important role by informing decision makers on the costs and benefits of alternative medical interventions. Although publications from the CEEWAA relating to pharmacoeconomics and outcomes research are limited, current research topics cover health-economic analyses [6,7], coverage policy of new medical technologies [8,9], pharmaceutical market analyses [10,11], burden of disease studies [12], and budget constraints issues [13]. The current issue of ViHRI features articles from 15 different countries and include economic analyses and patient-reported outcomes on various disease areas such as cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, cancer, and psychiatric conditions, as well as clinical outcomes studies and health policy analyses. We hope that both readers and policymakers will find this issue informative and enriching. Finally, we thank the ISPOR staff for initiating and supporting this new journal and encourage scholars from ISPOR’s CEEWAA countries to submit their research findings to ViHRI. Imre Boncz, MD, MSc, PhD, Habil Institute for Health Insurance, Faculty of Health Sciences, Institute for Health Insurance, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary Zoltán Kaló, MSc, MD, PhD, Habil Department of Health Policy and Health, Health Economic Research Center, Economics Eötvös Loránd University (ELTE), and Syreon Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary Mohamed Izham B. Mohamed Ibrahim, PhD, College of Pharmacy, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Source of financial support: The authors have no other financial relationships to disclose. 170 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 169–170 Dan Greenberg, PhD, MSc Department of Health Systems Management, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Beer-Sheva, Israel [4] [5] 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.07.007 [6] [7] [8] R EF E R EN CE S [9] [10] [1] Khonputsa P, Veerman LJ, Bertram M, et al. Generalized costeffectiveness analysis of pharmaceutical interventions for primary prevention of cardiovascular disease in Thailand. Value Health Regional 2012;1:15–22. [2] Kim BRM, Lee TJ, Lee HJ, et al. Cost-effectiveness of sertindole among atypical antipsychotics in the treatment of schizophrenia in South Korea. Value Health Regional 2012;1:59–65. [3] Janusz CB, Jauregui B, Sinha A, et al. Performing country-led economic evaluations to inform immunization policy: ProVac [11] [12] [13] experiences in Latin America and the Caribbean. Value Health Regional 2012;1:248–53. Augustovski F, Rojas JAD, Ferraz MB, et al. Status update of the reimbursement review environment in the public sector across four Latin American countries. Value Health Regional 2012;1:223–7. World Health Organization. World Health Statistics 2013. Geneva, Switzerland: World Health Organization, 2013. Vokó Z, Nagyjánosi L, Margitai B, et al. Modeling cost-effectiveness of cervical cancer screening in Hungary. Value Health 2012;15:39–45. Shmueli A, Fraifeld S, Peretz T, et al. Cost effectiveness of baseline lowdose CT screening for lung cancer: the Israeli experience. Value Health 2013;16:922–31. Inotai A, Pékli M, Jóna G, et al. Attempt to increase the transparency of fourth hurdle implementation in Central-Eastern European middle income countries: publication of the critical appraisal methodology. BMC Health Serv Res 2012;12:332. Abuzar A, Yassir AH, Mohamed Izham MI. Do Saudi community pharmacists know how to use MDIs? J Pharm Prac Res 2012;42:77. Greenberg D, Siebzehner M, Pliskin JS. The process of updating the National List of Health Services in Israel: is it legitimate? is it fair? Int J Technol Assess Health Care 2009;25:255–71. Abdulkareem MAS, Mohamed Izham MI, Ahmed AR. The quality of prescriptions with antibiotics in Yemen. J Clin Diagnostic Res 2011;5:808–12. Boncz I, Brodszky V, Péntek M, et al. The disease burden of colorectal cancer in Hungary. Eur J Health Econ 2010;10(S1):S35–40. Boncz I, Sebestyen A. Financial deficits in the health services of the UK and Hungary. Lancet 2006;368:917–8. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 171–180 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri ECONOMIC EVALUATION Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Aripiprazole Augmentation Treatment of Patients with Major Depressive Disorder Compared to Olanzapine and Quetiapine Augmentation in Turkey: A Microsimulation Approach Mete Saylan, MD1,, M.J. Treur2, R. Postema2, N. Dilbaz3, H. Savas4, B.M. Heeg2, P.B. Drost5 1 Market Access Department, Bristol Myers Squibb, Istanbul, Turkey; 2Pharmerit, Rotterdam, The Netherlands; 3Psychiatry Department, Ankara Numune Research and Training Hospital, Ankara, Turkey; 4Psychiatry Department, Gaziantep University Medical School, Gaziantep, Turkey; 5Bristol Myers Squibb, Paris, France AB STR A CT Objectives: Major depressive disorder (MDD) is a chronic illness associated with a major burden on quality of life (QOL) and health care resources. Aripiprazole augmentation to antidepressant treatment was recently approved for patients with MDD responding insufficiently to antidepressant treatment in Turkey. The objective was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of aripiprazole augmentation in this indication compared with olanzapine and quetiapine augmentation from a payer perspective. Methods: A lifetime economic model was built simulating transitions of patients with MDD between major depressive episodes (MDEs) and remission. During MDEs, patients were treated with adjunctive aripiprazole, quetiapine, or olanzapine. Patients who did not respond switched to subsequent treatment lines. Comparative effectiveness between adjunctive aripiprazole, quetiapine, and olanzapine was estimated by using an indirect comparison. Resource utilization and costs were obtained from Turkish studies. Results: Over a lifetime horizon, patients treated with aripiprazole spent less time in MDEs than did patients treated with quetiapine (−11 weeks) and olanzapine (−7 weeks). On average, patients treated with aripiprazole showed improvement in QOL compared with patients treated with quetiapine (þ0.054 quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs]) and olanzapine (þ0.039 QALYs) combined with cost saving of 593 Turkish lira (TL) versus quetiapine and 485 TL versus olanzapine. The probability that adjunctive aripiprazole would be cost-effective among the three strategies ranged between 74% and 75% for willingness-topay values between 0 TL and 100,000 TL per QALY gained. Conclusions: This is the first lifetime health-economic model in Turkey that takes patient heterogeneity into account when assessing QOL and costs of different adjunctive strategies in MDD. The results indicate that adjunctive treatment with aripiprazole provides health benefits at lower costs in patients with MDD when compared with quetiapine and olanzapine augmentation. Keywords: antipsychotics, aripiprazole, cost-effectiveness analysis, depression, discrete probability distribution, major depressive disorder, olanzapine, quetiapine, simulation model, Turkey. Introduction patients with a history of two episodes will have another recurrence during their lifetime [5]. Because of the high risk of suicide (6.3% annually [6]), depression can be a life-threatening illness. According to the World Health Organization, major depression is currently ranked as the leading cause of disability in middleand high-income countries. At an international level, 4.1% of the total global burden of disease is due to major depression [7]. Depression, being an important source of impaired health-related quality of life (HRQOL) of patients [8,9], was also the fourth leading cause of disease burden in Turkey [4]. Depression primarily impacts the usual activities, pain and discomfort, and anxiety and depression domains on the EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire [10]. Reported utility values for depressive episodes were between 0.09 and 0.47 [10–14]. Total cost for depression was estimated at $267 million in Turkey in 2004, primarily related to hospital-based treatment (93%) [15]. Mood disorders represent a major health problem. Depression is a frequent and severe illness with a substantial impact on personal and familial suffering. Several surveys such as the National Comorbidity Survey Replication in the United States have shown a lifetime prevalence of mood disorders of more than 20% in adults [1]. Most of this prevalence was associated with major depression, which had a lifetime prevalence of 16.6%. In the World Health Organization’s World Mental Health Survey Initiative, the projected lifetime prevalence of any mood disorder was 31.4% in the United States [2]. In the European Study of the Epidemiology of Mental Disorders, 13% of the individuals reported a history of major depression, with a 12-month prevalence of 4% [3]. In Turkey, the prevalence of depression was estimated to be 21% in 2004 [4]. Depression is a highly recurrent disease; 80% of the Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Mete Saylan, Market Access Department, Bristol Myers Squibb, Istanbul, Turkey. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.004 172 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 171–180 Today, the ultimate goal in the treatment of major depression is remission, that is, a full symptomatic recovery with a return to premorbid functioning. Indeed, partial remission is associated with a greater risk of relapse and recurrence, decreased quality of life, a poorer psychosocial functioning, a higher mortality risk, and increased cost of illness. A Swedish study has shown that patients who are not in remission use 1.6 times more medical resources than do those in remission [16]. In the Sequenced Treatment Alternatives to Relieve Depression (STAR*D) study, less than 30% of the patients reached remission with first-step antidepressant treatment within 14 weeks of starting treatment [17,18]. Another recent study performed in primary care also reported very low remission rates with antidepressant treatment: 28.3% according to the clinicians and 17.1% according to the patients [19]. For these insufficient responders to antidepressant treatment, one may consider increasing the dose or switching to another antidepressant, depending on the level of initial response. Alternatively, the treatment of patients with an insufficient response to an antidepressant may be augmented with an atypical antipsychotic. Turkey was the first country in Europe to approve aripiprazole augmentation for the treatment of major depressive episodes in patients who showed inadequate response after at least one antidepressant treatment [20]. For reimbursement decisions, it is important to consider the value for money of this strategy compared with other alternatives. Quetiapine augmentation is also approved for this indication in Turkey [20], and olanzapine augmentation is used off-label (it is not officially approved in Turkey but has a US license as combination with fluoxetine [http://www.accessdata.fda.gov/drugsatfda_docs/label/2011/0205 92s060s061,021086s038s039lbl.pdf]). The short-term use of these regimens has been compared in a recent cost-effectiveness analysis in the United States [21]. A Turkish cost-effectiveness assessment, however, is still missing. As such, this article aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of aripiprazole augmentation compared with that of quetiapine and olanzapine augmentation for the treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD) in Turkey from a payer perspective. Methods Model Structure A patient-level simulation model was built structuring the evidence on clinical and economic outcomes of treating patients suffering from MDD with adjunctive aripiprazole compared with adjunctive quetiapine and adjunctive olanzapine. The model was built in Microsoft Excel and Visual Basic for applications. A total of 50,000 patients were simulated to reach stable results. A microsimulation approach was deemed most appropriate in this indication, due to the heterogeneity of the patient population and the strong association between a patient’s history and his or her future disease course. To represent this with a Markov model would require too many health states. A schematic overview of the simulation model structure is presented in Figure 1, representing the modeled health states and possible transitions. The depressive episode is the initial health state of a patient. Duration was simulated to determine the time at which a patient would Depressive episode Remission Between Episodes Death Fig. 1 – Schematic model representation. move to the remission state. Once there, the time until a next depressive episode was simulated, specifying the length of stay in remission. If that period was longer than 9 months, a patient spent the remaining time in the “between episodes” state, incurred fewer costs and experienced further quality of life improvements. Back in the depressive episode state, the procedure was repeated until a patient died. Time of death was simulated at model entrance (based on age and gender) and could be shortened if a patient committed suicide, which was possible only during a depressive episode. During each depressive episode it was simulated whether a patient had committed suicide. It was assumed that this would take place in the middle of the episode. Further model details are provided in the following sections. Patient Population Simulated The characteristics of the patients that were simulated at model entrance resemble the populations enrolled in the double-blind randomization phases of the three clinical trials assessing the efficacy of aripiprazole augmentation [22–24]. The patients in these trials suffered from a major depressive episode and had an insufficient response to at least two prior antidepressant therapies prior to trial entry. Their characteristics and the distributions used for simulating them in the model are provided in Table 1. Clinical Data The time a patient spent in the depressive episode state depended on the remission rate of the therapy. Remission rates with aripiprazole augmentation were based on the three clinical trials assessing the efficacy of aripiprazole as adjunctive therapy in MDD [22–24]. During a 6-week treatment period, 28.8% of the patients reached remission (see Table 2). A Bernoulli distribution with a probability of 0.288 was used in the model to simulate whether a patient would respond to aripiprazole augmentation within 6 weeks. This discrete probability distribution takes a value of 1 (response) with a probability of 28.8% and a value of 0 (no response) with a probability of 71.2%. A remitting patient would move to the remission state after 6 weeks. Patients not reaching remission after 6 weeks remained in the depressive state and were switched to a subsequent treatment line (see Fig. 2). Comparative 6-week remission rates of the other adjunctive strategies were based on a formal indirect comparison due to a lack of direct comparable data in this indication. To estimate the efficacy of other adjunctive strategies, a systematic review was conducted identifying head-to-head or placebo controlled studies (PCSs) of antidepressant augmentation with aripiprazole, Table 1 – Baseline patient characteristics [13–15] and corresponding distributions used for simulating. Characteristic Age (y) Gender (% males) Number of prior episodes Mean ⫾ SD Distribution Parameter (s) 45.1 ⫾ 4.4 68.0 6 ⫾ 5.2 Normal Bernoulli Geometric m ¼ 45.1, s ¼ 4.4 P ¼ 0.68 P ¼ 0.17 173 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 171–180 Table 2 – Health economic model input parameters. Remission probability (%) at 6 wk Aripiprazole augmentation Quetiapine augmentation Olanzapine fluoxetine combination Lithium augmentation Triiodothyronine augmentation Best supportive care (yearly hazard) 28.8 (25.0–33.0) 24.5 (16.7–32.2) 25.4 (18.2–33.2) 16.0 (1.00–44.6) 67.9 (14.5–89.8) 0.78 Remission probability prior responders 90.0 (50.0–99.0) Utility values Depressive episode 0.46 (0.34–0.58) Costs ($/TL) Aripiprazole augmentation Quetiapine augmentation Olanzapine fluoxetine combination Lithium augmentation Triiodothyronine augmentation Best supportive care Suicide attempt cost 221 200 210 188 187 187 (108–327) (87–306) (96, 316) (74–294) (74–293) (61–307) Remission 0.81 (0.76– 0.86) 119 119 119 119 119 119 (48–186) (48–186) (48–186) (48–186) (48–186) (48–186) Between episodes 0.86 (0.84–0.88) 4 4 4 4 4 4 1269 (801–1763) Note. 95% Confidence intervals reported between parentheses. All parameters showing confidence intervals in this table were varied in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis. TL, Turkish lira. Please note that the purchasing power parity between Turkey and the United States is 1.0 (2010 figure, http://stats.oecd.org). quetiapine, olanzapine, lithium, and triiodothyronine in a treatment-resistant depression adult population. A literature search was conducted in MEDLINE covering studies published between January 1980 and June 2010. Three PCSs for aripiprazole [22–24], two PCSs for adjunctive quetiapine [25,26], three PCSs for adjunctive olanzapine [27–29], one PCS for lithium [30], and one PCS for T3 [31] were identified. Remission rates of the active treatments and the control group were extracted. Study characteristics and remission numbers are summarized in Table 3. Subsequently, a fixed effects Bayesian meta-analysis using noninformative priors implemented in WinBUGS [32] was conducted on the remission rates to obtain indirect odds ratios of each treatment compared with aripiprazole [33]. The indirect odds ratios were applied to the aripiprazole remission rate to obtain remission rates for the other treatments (Table 2). Again, a Bernoulli distribution was used to simulate whether a patient would respond to a subsequent treatment line. A patient failing three consecutive adjunctive therapies was assumed to receive so-called best supportive care (BSC). In reality, Strategy 1 Strategy 2 Strategy 3 Aripiprazole Augmentaon Queapine Augmentaon Olanzapine Augmentaon Lithium Augmentaon T3 Augmentaon Best Supporve Care Fig. 2 – Treatment sequence strategies. T3, triiodothyronine. at this stage, medical professionals will try different therapies including different treatment combinations. It is difficult to formally implement all these different treatment options in a health economic model structure because of the complexity of decisions and lack of published data to substantiate corresponding efficacy. Therefore, BSC grouped all these treatment alternatives into one for which efficacy was based on the STAR*D trial, thereby mimicking real-life practice [34]. It was anticipated that this simplification would not affect incremental results. STAR*D found that 13% of the patients responded to treatment within 9.2 weeks. This was implemented in the model by drawing a duration on BSC from an exponential distribution with a weekly hazard rate of 0.015 (− ln(1 − 0.13)/9.2). A patient who developed a new major depressive episode received the same treatment as he or she had previously responded to. No efficacy data are available for patients with a prior response to adjunctive treatment. However, it is highly likely that this subgroup of patients will have an increased probability of remission, reflected by assuming a 6-week probability of remission of 90%. This value was applied to all therapies except for BSC, for which the duration was drawn from the same exponential distribution as for the first treatment episode. The impact of the remission probability value for prior responders was tested in a sensitivity analysis. The assumed risk of developing a new major depressive episode reflected the naturalistic data observed by Solomon et al. [35]. They followed 318 patients suffering from MDD over a period of 10 years and found a decrease in mean time until the next major depressive episode with an increase in the amount of prior episodes. Weibull curves were fitted on their data (see Fig. 3), and time until the next major depressive episode was simulated from the appropriate distribution reflecting the number of prior episodes a patient had experienced. Weibull curves were selected on the basis of a least square difference between fit and actual data. Patients in the remission and time between episodes health states continued their antidepressant but stopped their augmentation strategy. To date, there is no evidence surrounding the impact of long-term atypical augmentation on the risk of developing a depressive episode. 174 Table 3 – Characteristics of studies used in indirect comparison. Study Dur. (wk) Country Participants Berman et al. [22] 6 US Age: 18–65 y; MDE according to DSM-IV-TR; HAM-D-17 score ≥ 18 at end of the screening phase; 1–3 historical ADTs of 4 6 wk Quetiapine Marcus et al. [24] Berman et al. [23] McIntyre et al. [26] 6 6 8 US US CA Same as above Same as above Age: 18–65 y; MDE according to DSM-IV; HAM-D-17 score ≥ 18. One historical ADT of ≥ 6 wk. Bauer et al. [25] 6 AU, CA, EU, and ZA Outpatients; age: 18–65 y; MDD according to DSM-IVTR; HAM-D-17 score ≥ 20; HAM-D item 1 ≥ 2. One historical ADT of ≥ 6 wk. Shelton et al. [27] 8 US and CA Age: 18–65 y; DSM-IV unipolar, nonpsychotic MDD; MADRS score ≥ 20 at the beginning and the end of the screening phase. One historical ADT (SSRI ≥ 4 wk at a therapeutic dose). Olanzapine 7–28-d screening phase; 8-wk prospective treatment phase with open-label ADT plus single-blind adjunctive placebo. Patients with incomplete response continued ADT and entered the randomization phase. Same as above Same as above Patients treated for current episode with single AD at therapeutic dose for ≥ 6 wk and meeting study criteria for residual depressive and comorbid anxiety symptoms were randomized. Eligible patients with an inadequate response to an ADT during their current episode were randomized to 6- wk double-blind quetiapine extended release or placebo adjunctive to ongoing ADT. 2–7-d screening/washout phase; 7-wk lead-in phase of nortriptyline to demonstrate treatment failure to a TCA, 8wk randomized, doubleblind phase: olanzapine/ fluoxetine combination, olanzapine, fluoxetine, or nortriptyline Remission definition Placebo Active arm N n N n ≥ 50% decrease in MADRS score þ MADRS score ≤ 10 172 27 181 47 Same as above Same as above HAM-D-17 score ≤ 7 184 169 29 28 32 5 185 174 29 47 64 9 MADRS score ≤ 10 160 50 327 134 2 consecutive MADRS total scores of ≤ 8 142 19 146 25 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 171–180 Aripiprazole Methods Various Age: ≥ 18 y. DSM-IV MDD, single or recurrent, unipolar, without psychotic features; CGI-S score ≥ 4. One historical ADT (SSRI ≥ 6 wk at a therapeutic dose) Thase et al. [28] 8 US and CA Age: 18–65 y; DSM-IV MDD, recurrent, without psychotic features; HAMD-17 score ≥ 22. One historical ADT ≥ 6 wk Thase et al. [28] 8 Same as above Lithium Nierenberg et al. [30] 6 US and CA US T3 Joffe et al. [31] 2 CA Age: 18–70 y. DSM-III-R MDD, HAM-D-17 score ≥ 18; 1–5 historical adequate AD courses. One prospective ADT Mean age 37.4 y; RDC unipolar, nonpsychotic MD; HAM-D score ≥ 16 after 5 wk of desipramine or imipramine 2–7-d screening phase; 7-wk open-label venlafaxine leadin phase; patients with o 30% improvement on MADRS score proceeded to 5–9-d double-blind taper phase before the randomization phase. 3–14-d screening phase; 8-wk open-label lead-in phase to establish fluoxetine resistance; patients with o 25% decrease in HAM-D17 score and HAM-D-17 score ≥ 18 and ≤ 15% decrease between week 7 and 8 of lead-in entered Same as above 2 consecutive MADRS total scores of ≤ 8 56 10 230 69 MADRS score ≤ 10 at end point 102 18 101 24 Same as above 101 16 97 30 1–5 adequate AD courses failed; 6-wk prospective open-label nortriptyline ≥ 50% decrease in HAM-D-17 17 3 18 2 Subjects were randomly assigned to receive 2-wk liothyronine, lithium, or placebo in addition to desipramine or imipramine ≥ 50% decrease and HAM-D score ≤ 7 16 2 17 7 AD, antidepressant; ADT, antidepressant trial/therapy; AU, Australia; CA, Canada; CGI-S, Clinical Global Impression – Severity; Dur., duration; DSM-III-R, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Revised Third Edition; DSM-IV, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition; DSM-IV-TR, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fourth Edition, Text Revised; EU, Europe; HAM-D-17, Hamilton rating scale for depression; MADRS, Montgomery Åsberg Depression Rating Scale; MD, major depression; MDD, major depressive disorder; MDE, major depressive episode; N, patient population size; n, number of remitted patients; RDC, Research Diagnostic Criteria; SSRI, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor; TCA, tricyclic antidepressant, US, United States; ZA, South Africa. Two identical studies reported in one article. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 171–180 12 Corya et al. [29] 175 176 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 171–180 Time of death was simulated at model entry on the basis of general mortality statistics in Turkey taken from the World Health Organization (http://apps.who.int/whosis/database/life_ tables/life_tables.cfm, accessed April 2010). The risk of suicide during major depressive episodes was based on information from Bernal et al. [36] who found a 3.91-fold (95% confidence interval 2.74–5.6) higher suicide risk for patients with MDD relative to the general population. According to Devrimci-Ozguven and Sayil [37], suicide risk in the general Turkish population was 112.11 per 100,000 inhabitants in 2001. This gives an estimated suicide attempt probability (rate) of 0.4% (0.044) per year for patients with MDD in Turkey. A constant hazard rate was assumed for determining the probability of attempting suicide, based on the patient’s actual depressive episode duration. The model imputed an 8.3% probability that an attempted suicide resulted in death, which was based on Bilici et al. [38] who found 2.6 completed suicides out of 31.5 attempts per 100,000 person-years. Utility Weights No specific utility values for Turkish patients with MDD were available at the time of this research. A Swedish study by Sobocki et al. [10,16], however, reported utility values for patients with moderate depression (Clinical Global Impression – Severity score of 4) and remission, based on a naturalistic longitudinal observational study of 447 patients in primary care. Utilities were derived from patients’ EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire health status questionnaires, applying UK national tariff in the absence of specific social tariffs for Sweden at the time of their study [10]. Utility values were applied to the depressive episode and remission health states in the model. It was assumed that the quality of life of patients in the between episodes health state resembled the quality of life in the general population [39] (see also Table 2). Cost Data Cumulave percentage of paents feer of new depressive episode Drug prices were extracted from the Turkish Ministry of Health, Directorate of Pharmaceuticals Official Web Page on February 2, 2010 [40], and adjusted for mandatory discounts to obtain reimbursed prices. It was assumed that all patients would incur the same background antidepressant cost during the entire model horizon. Background antidepressant costs were calculated as a weighted average cost of the antidepressants used at randomization in the clinical trials of aripiprazole augmentation [22–24]. Augmentation treatment costs were incurred during depressive episodes. Health care resource use during a depressive episode is generally higher than during remission periods. Turkish-specific data about resource use is available only for patients with MDD in general without stratification between both states [41]. A Swedish study, however, has shown that patients in a depressive episode and a remission episode have 1.24 and 0.8 times the medical resource consumption of an average patient with MDD, respectively [16]. The number of psychiatrist visits and the average number of hospitalization days were obtained from Karamustafalioglu et al. [41] and multiplied with corresponding Turkish unit costs [42] to obtain health care resource costs for an average patient with MDD. The ratios from Sobocki et al. [16] were multiplied with this number to obtain depressive and remission cost estimates for Turkey. Costs during the between episodes state were assumed to reflect only the antidepressant use. The cost of suicide attempts was based on Karamustafalioglu et al. [41], including only the costs of care received. Total weekly costs per health state and adjunctive treatment are outlined in Table 2. Please note that remission cost and between episode cost are identical for all treatments because there is no differentiation in treatment costs opposed to the depressive episode phase. Costs and quality-adjusted lifeyears (QALYs) were discounted with 3.5% per annum. Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis As with all health-economic models, the input parameters are subject to uncertainty. To describe the influence of the uncertainty in model parameters on the incremental model outcomes, a probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) was conducted. The joint uncertainty surrounding incremental costs and effects following from the uncertainty around all model input parameters was addressed by generating 1000 random sets of input parameters, using probability distributions for each parameter that reflect its 100% 90% 80% 1 prior episode 2 prior episodes 3 prior episodes 4 prior episodes 5 prior episodes 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 5 Time since end of previous depressive episode (years) Fig. 3 – Time until next episode per number of prior episodes. Data points are from Solomon et al. [35]. Lines represent Weibul survival curve fits. 177 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 171–180 uncertainty. Model outputs were subsequently recorded. The 95% confidence intervals for each parameter are presented in Table 2. A major source of the uncertainty in incremental model outcomes is the uncertainty surrounding the difference in remission rates between adjunctive aripiprazole and adjunctive quetiapine and olanzapine as represented by their respective odds ratios. The uncertainty surrounding these inputs was based on the joint posterior distribution obtained from the indirect comparison. The corresponding uncertainty surrounding the remission rates of adjunctive quetapine and olanzapine is presented in Table 2. Utility values were varied by using beta –distributions, and the costs inputs were varied by using gamma distributions. A scatter plot was generated, showing the 1000 combinations of incremental costs and effects generated from the PSA. Corresponding costeffectiveness acceptability curves were drawn, showing the probability that adjunctive aripiprazole augmentation is cost-effective compared with adjunctive quetiapine and olanzapine at various levels of willingness to pay (WTP) per QALY gained. Results Base Case Results for the comparison of adjunctive aripiprazole with adjunctive quetiapine and adjunctive olanzapine are presented in Table 4. Costs are presented in Turkish lira (TL), which has a purchasing power parity of 1.0 compared with the US dollar (2010 figure, http:// stats.oecd.org). The average life expectancy of a patient in the model is 31.6 years, with an average starting age of 45 years, implying that patients, on average, live to be 76 years old. The minor difference in life expectancy between the different treatment sequences is explained by a difference in completed suicides. Aripiprazole augmentation has fewer attempted and thereby fewer committed suicides compared with adjunctive quetiapine and olanzapine. This difference is explained by the lesser time spent in major depressive episodes with aripiprazole, during which patients are exposed to the risk of suicide (11 and 7 weeks less compared with quetiapine and olanzapine augmentation). Because of a higher remission rate with adjunctive aripiprazole, on average, patients treated with adjunctive aripiprazole spend less time in the depression state than do those treated with adjunctive quetiapine and olanzapine. Because the depressive episode is associated with diminished quality of life, patients starting with aripiprazole augmentation gain 0.054 and 0.039 QALYs on average than do those starting with quetiapine augmentation and olanzapine augmentation, respectively. A major cost driver in the model is hospitalization costs, which comprise approximately 71% of total costs. Because patients in the depressive episode are more likely to be hospitalized and patients in the aripiprazole augmentation arm spend less time in that episode, hospitalization costs are saved compared with quetiapine augmentation (712 TL) and olanzapine augmentation (554 TL). A similar pattern is observed for psychiatrist visit costs (savings of 240 TL and 174 TL, respectively). Augmentation costs for the aripiprazole augmentation arm are higher than for quetiapine and olanzapine augmentation arms due to the higher drug acquisition costs for aripiprazole. Because of the savings on hospitalization and psychiatrist visit costs, however, aripiprazole augmentation saves, on average, 593 TL and 485 TL per patient than do quetiapine and olanzapine augmentation, respectively. Dominance of aripiprazole augmentation was independent of the remission probability value for prior responders. Table 4 – Health economic model results. Outcome Aripiprazole augmentation Quetiapine augmentation Olanzapineaugmentation Difference aripiprazole with quetiapine Difference aripiprazole with olanzapine Life expectancy (y) Time spent in depressive episodes (y) Time spent in remission (y) Time spent between episodes (y) 31.62 9.44 31.61 9.64 31.62 9.58 0.012 −0.21 0.010 −0.14 8.88 8.81 8.83 0.08 0.06 13.31 13.17 13.22 0.14 0.09 Percentage of patients attempting suicide Percentage of patients completing suicide 4.30 4.30 4.33 −0.01 −0.04 0.30 0.33 0.34 −0.03 −0.04 13.62 13.56 13.58 QALYs (discounted) Total costs ($/TL) Antidepressant Augmentation Psychiatrist visits Hospitalization Suicide 84,800 3,840 580 20,265 60,086 29 85,393 3,839 222 20,504 60,798 29 85,285 3,841 367 20,439 60,604 29 0.054 (−0.038 to 0.213) 0.039 (−0.048 to 0.171) −593 (−3780 to 619) 1 359 −240 −712 1 −485 (−3132 to 757) 1 212 −174 −554 1 QALY, quality-adjusted life-years; TL, Turkish lira. Please note that the purchasing power parity between Turkey and the United States is 1.0 (2010 figure, http://stats.oecd.org). Numbers in the table may not add up because of rounding errors. 178 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 171–180 $ \ TL 4,000 13% 13% 1% 1% $ \ TL 2,000 Incremental Costs Comparison Aripiprazole - Queapine Comparison Aripiprazole - Olanzapine -0.30 -0.20 -0.10 $ \ TL 0 0.00 0.10 0.20 0.30 0.40 0.50 -$ \ TL 2,000 -$ \ TL 4,000 -$ \ TL 6,000 1% 1% 85% 86% -$ \ TL 8,000 Incremental QALYs Fig. 4 – Scatter plot of comparison adjunctive aripiprazole with adjunctive quetiapine and adjunctive olanzapine. QALY, quality-adjusted life-year; TL, Turkish lira. Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis The scatter plot illustrated in Figure 4 represents the joint uncertainty surrounding incremental QALYs and incremental costs for both comparisons, based on 1000 Monte Carlo simulations. This is a result of the combined uncertainty surrounding all model parameters, including efficacy, quality of life, and cost inputs. Scatter points in the lower right quadrant represent instances in which aripiprazole augmentation improves quality of life and saves costs. This occurs in 85% and 86% of the cases for the comparison with quetiapine and olanzapine, respectively. The top left quadrant represents instances in which aripiprazole augmentation decreases quality of life and is more expensive. This occurs in 13% of the cases for both comparisons. The uncertainty surrounding results is mainly driven by the uncertainty around the remission probabilities for aripiprazole, quetiapine, and olanzapine augmentation. Figure 5 presents the cost-effectiveness acceptability curves for the three treatment strategies showing the probability that each of them is cost-effective at various WTP thresholds. If one is interested only in health gains at no additional costs, aripiprazole augmentation has a probability of being cost-effective of 74%, whereas quetiapine and olanzapine each have a probability of 13% to be cost-effective. The acceptability lines remain relatively stable at various WTP levels. This is because only 2% of the scatter points for both comparisons are in the northeast and southwest quadrants, where an actual trade-off is made between 100% 90% Probability of being cost-effecve 80% 70% 60% 50% Aripiprazole Queapine Olanzapine 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% $ \ TL 0 $ \ TL 20,000 $ \ TL 40,000 $ \ TL 60,000 $ \ TL 80,000 $ \ TL 100,000 Willingness to Pay per QALY gained Fig. 5 – Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves. QALY, quality-adjusted life-year; TL, Turkish lira. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 171–180 incremental QALYs and incremental costs. As such, at WTP values ranging from 0 to 100,000 TL per QALY gained, the probability that aripiprazole is cost-effective among all three strategies varies between 74% and 75%. Discussion The objective of this research was to assess the cost-effectiveness of adjunctive aripiprazole treatment compared with adjunctive quetiapine and olanzapine treatment in patients with MDD who had an insufficient response to antidepressant treatment in Turkey. A patient-level simulation model was developed simulating the chronic and deteriorating course of the disease, as well as the sequence of treatment steps. The model results showed that adjunctive aripiprazole is dominant compared with quetiapine and olanzapine. Patients starting with adjunctive aripiprazole spend 11 weeks and 7 weeks less in major depressive episodes than do patients starting with quetiapine and olanzapine, respectively. This translates to 0.054 and 0.039 QALY gains, respectively. Despite the higher drug acquisition cost, on average, the total cost for a patient starting with adjunctive aripiprazole is 593 TL and 485 TL less than those for a patient starting with adjunctive quetiapine and olanzapine, respectively. These savings are mainly explained by less hospitalization costs and fewer psychiatrist visits. The increased remission rate of adjunctive aripiprazole compared with quetiapine and olanzapine underlies the health gains and cost savings. The difference in remission rates between adjunctive aripiprazole, quetiapine, and olanzapine were obtained from an indirect comparison, combining the available evidence reported in the published literature by using 10 identified PCSs [22–31]. The influence of the uncertainty in the estimated differences in remission rates between the three adjunctive atypical antipsychotic treatments resulting from this indirect comparison was incorporated in a PSA. In addition, the uncertainty surrounding the other model inputs was incorporated in the PSA. The probability that adjunctive aripiprazole would be cost-effective among the three strategies ranged between 74% and 75% for WTP values between 0 TL and 100,000 TL per QALY gained. To ensure that the model resembled Turkish clinical practice, resource use, unit cost, and mortality data were based on Turkish sources. To the best of our knowledge, no lifetime costeffectiveness models in this indication have been published. Previously published cost-effectiveness models in MDD are limited. Only two lifetime horizon models have been published so far, both by Revicki et al. in 1995 and 1997 [43,44]. Economic guidelines by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence [45] and Drummond and Jefferson [46] recommend a lifetime model horizon in the case of chronic illnesses such as depression. Also, the deteriorating course of depression should ideally be captured in the model. This is, however, possible only when the model is able to take the history of a patient into account. Until now, the only published model in which patients could experience multiple recurrences was a Markov model published by Sobocki et al. in 2006 [47]. A recent cost-effectiveness analysis in the United States also compared adjunctive aripiprazole, quetiapine, and olanzapine for acute treatment of MDD [21]. It was concluded that the cost per additional responder was lower for aripiprazole than for quetiapine or olanzapine/fluoxetine [21]. In the present analysis, aripiprazole is not only more effective but also cost saving. This difference is likely due to the short horizon length of the US analysis (6 weeks only) that cannot capture future cost savings. 179 Limitations Because of a lack of Turkish evidence, Swedish-specific utility values were used. Different utility values, however, would impact only the magnitude of QALYs gained. As such, the base-case and PSA conclusions are independent of country-specific utilities. Clinical trial data were largely based on US populations; however, it is not expected that these would be different in a Turkish population. The only data available for adjunctive aripiprazole in MDD consider the treatment of acute depressive episodes for a duration of 6 weeks. This is also the case for the comparators. The impact on relapse prevention of adjunctive aripiprazole is yet to be investigated. As such, the differences in outcomes between the three adjunctive atypical antipsychotic treatments are solely based on the differences observed during the acute depressive episode treatment. When additional data about relapse prevention become available, however, the model can be adjusted to incorporate this. The relative efficacies of the three treatments are major drivers of uncertainty in the incremental outcomes. Preferably, these should be based on direct comparable data; however, such trials have not been conducted so far, which is why an indirect comparison of PCSs was used for this research. If direct comparable evidence would become available in the future, this can be imputed in the model. Adverse events are not included in the model. This is because augmentation treatment is given only for a short period of time and most important side effects for these drugs will develop when taking the drug for a longer duration. Aripiprazole augmentation treatment is associated with akathisia. This side effect was not implemented in the model. This is because akathasia will be present only in the 6 weeks of treatment and will therefore have a minor influence on the total model outcomes. However, side effects commonly associated with quetiapine and olanzapine (such as extrapyrimidal syndrome, weight gain, and diabetes) are also not incorporated. Because of the relatively short amount of time in which the drugs are given in the model and the already high disability of the disease itself, it is expected that incorporating side effects would have only a minor influence on model outcomes and omitting them is expected to be a conservative approach for aripiprazole. Costs associated with monitoring tests during atypical antipsychotic use were not incorporated. Because monitoring would be required for all three atypical augmentation regimes compared, this would not affect incremental costs. When implementing long-term data on the effects of aripiprazole augmentation in the model, side effects should be taken into account. In the long run, the chronic use of antipsychotic medication is a risk factor for developing diabetes mellitus type 2 and extensive weight gain. There is evidence, however, substantiating that aripiprazole is an exception and will have less impact on these side effects than, for example, quetiapine or olanzapine. Indirect costs associated with work productivity losses, which are not uncommon in patients with MDD, are not considered by the Turkish payer, which is why these were excluded from the analysis. Including indirect costs, however, would likely result in further cost savings for aripipazole augmentation. Less time is spent in depressive episodes with this treatment, during which patients have a higher chance of incurring work productivity losses than during phases of remission. Conclusions The cost-effectiveness model described here showed that aripiprazole augmentation dominates quetiapine augmentation and olanzapine augmentation. Taking into account the uncertainty in all model input parameters, the probability that adjunctive aripiprazole would be cost-effective among the three strategies 180 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 171–180 ranged between 74% and 75% for WTP values between 0 TL and 100,000 TL per QALY gained. 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VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 181–188 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Cost-Utility Analysis of Depot Atypical Antipsychotics for Chronic Schizophrenia in Croatia Vlado Jukic, MD, PhD1, Miro Jakovljevic, MD, PhD2, Igor Filipcic, MD, PhD2, Miroslav Herceg, MD, PhD1, Ante Silic, MD, PhD3, Tatjana Tomljanovic, MD4, Roman Zilbershtein, MSc5, Rasmus C.D. Jensen, MSc6, Michiel E.H. Hemels, MSc, MBA6, Thomas R. Einarson, PhD7, 1 University Psychiatric Hospital “Vrapce,” Zagreb, Croatia; 2Department of Psychiatry, University Hospital of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia; 3University Psychiatric Hospital “Sv Ivan,” Zagreb, Croatia; 4Janssen Division of Johnson & Johnson S.E., Zagreb, Croatia; 5Pivina Consulting, Inc., Mississauga, Canada; 6Janssen Cilag, Birkerød, Denmark; 7Leslie Dan Faculty of Pharmacy, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada AB STR A CT Objectives: As a nation with a developing economy, Croatia is faced with making choices between pharmaceutical products, including depot injectable antipsychotics. We conducted a pharmacoeconomic analysis to determine the cost-effectiveness of atypical depots in Croatia. Methods: A 1-year decision-analytic framework modeled drug use. We determined the average direct cost to the Croatian Institute for Health Insurance of using depot formulations of paliperidone palmitate long-acting injectable (PP-LAI), risperidone LAI (RISLAI), or olanzapine LAI (OLZ-LAI). An expert panel plus literaturederived clinical rates populated the core model, along with costs adjusted to 2012 by using the Croatian consumer price index. Clinical outcomes included quality-adjusted life-years, hospitalization rates, emergency room treatment rates, and relapse days. Robustness of results was examined with one-way sensitivity analyses on important inputs; overall, all inputs were varied over 10,000 simulations in a Monte Carlo analysis. Results: Costs (quality-adjusted life-years) per patient were €5061 (0.817) for PP-LAI, €5168 (0.807) for RIS-LAI, and €6410 (0.812) for OLZ-LAI. PP-LAI had the fewest relapse days, emergency room visits, and hospitalizations. Results were sensitive against RIS-LAI with respect to drug costs and adherence rates, but were generally robust overall, dominating OLZ-LAI in 77.3% and RISLAI in 56.8% of the simulations. Conclusions: PP-LAI dominated the other drugs because it had the lowest cost and best clinical outcomes. Compared with depots of olanzapine and risperidone and oral olanzapine, PP-LAI was the cost-effective atypical LAI for treating chronic schizophrenia in Croatia. Using depot paliperidone in place of either olanzapine or risperidone would reduce the overall costs of caring for these patients. Introduction Problems in drug use, especially nonadherence and polypharmacy, have exacerbated the situation [11,12]. As a result, there have been increasing numbers of hospitalizations [13]. Harvey et al. [14] noted that hospitalization consumed the largest proportion of total health care costs (430%) in Croatia. In addition, the plan to reintegrate persons with schizophrenia into the community has not been entirely successful [15]. All these factors have served to increase costs for the health system; however, its financial resources are insufficient to cover all the demands. Therefore, cost-effective approaches are needed to maintain and improve the treatment of persons with chronic schizophrenia. In 2002, the Croatian Institute for Health Insurance funded a project to address rational drug use [14]. A main component was determining how savings could be made by incorporating pharmacoeconomic principles into the selection and purchase of drugs on the Croatian formulary. They observed that “there was Croatia is a country with a developing economy whose health care system has been developing over some time [1,2]. The Croatian Institute for Health Insurance [3] was established in 1993 to manage the health system that is provided for all citizens. This system is based on a national health insurance model, with compulsory contributions for all employed persons and employers, with copayments for drugs and services. Noninsured services are paid either out of pocket or through additional voluntary health insurance. In 1998, a law was passed that guaranteed treatment and also safeguarded the personal rights for persons with schizophrenia requiring involuntary hospitalization [4,5]. Since that time, there has been an increase in both the availability and use of antipsychotics [6,7]. Utilization patterns have changed, with a shift from the older, less expensive first-generation drugs to newer and more costly atypical antipsychotics [6–10]. Keywords: Croatia, long-acting injectable, paliperidone palmitate, pharmacoeconomic analysis, risperidone, schizophrenia. Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Thomas R. Einarson, Leslie Dan Faculty of Pharmacy, 144 College Street, Room 674, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada M5V 3M8. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.008 182 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 181–188 Fig. 1 – Model used for the pharmacoeconomic analysis. LAI, long-acting injectable; OLZ-LAI, olanzapine pamoate long-acting injectable; PP-LAI, paliperidone palmitate long-acting injectable. a lack of information about what constituted cost-effective treatment appropriate to the Croatian economic situation.” This observation highlights the need for evidence-based information on the cost-effectiveness of psychopharmaceuticals. At the same time, the rights and dignity of these people must be respected. Two critical aspects are image [16] and quality of life [17,18]. Nawková et al. [19] assessed articles in the lay press in Croatia describing mental health and found that 40 out of the 75 (53%) articles portrayed a negative image. Mentally ill persons were mostly presented as dangerous and involved in aggressive crimes such as homicide (49%) or physical assaults (31%). MartićBiocina and Barić [12] also identified dissatisfaction with the role of the media in that respect. They also found a high level of stigma toward people with schizophrenia and that it correlated with medication nonadherence and hospitalizations. The same was found with quality-of-life issues [18]. These authors also reported that the atypical antipsychotics were superior to traditional drugs with respect to increasing quality of life in persons with chronic schizophrenia. Jukić et al. [20] suggested that their side-effect profile may be responsible for improved quality of life. Depot forms of antipsychotic drugs were developed to at least partially address issues of nonadherence [21]. In the past decade, long-acting injectable (LAI) formulations of atypical agents have been marketed to fill a perceived need. Risperidone LAI (RIS-LAI) was the first such drug [22], and has recently been joined by olanzapine LAI (OLZ-LAI) [23] and paliperidone LAI (PP-LAI) [24]. In another country undergoing economic change, a pharmacoeconomic analysis found that PP-LAI was costeffective when compared with RIS-LAI [25]. It is not currently known whether the outcomes would be similar in this country. We therefore undertook this research to assess the cost-utility of PP-LAI compared with other LAIs in Croatia from the point of view of the Croatian Institute for Health Insurance. Methods Target Population We examined the use of atypical LAIs in persons with stable chronic schizophrenia but who had a history of relapses and hospitalizations. They have been referred to as “revolving door” patients who are difficult to treat and have problems with adherence to prescribed medications [26,27]. Consequently, they impose a very large burden on health care resources. Drugs Analyzed The drug of primary interest was PP-LAI. Comparison drugs included the other atypical depots (i.e., RIS-LAI and OLZ-LAI). According to the product summaries of the European Medicines Agency, PP-LAI (Xeplion) can be dosed monthly [28], OLZ-LAI (Zypadhera) is administered every 2 or 4 weeks [29], and RIS-LAI (Risperdal Consta) requires biweekly injections [30]. 183 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 181–188 Table 1 – Clinical inputs into the model. LAI antipsychotic Clinical input (amount/rate) Olanzapine Dose to initialize therapy Maintenance dose Dose for acute relapse Adherence Stable disease ER visits Hospitalization rate Dose to initialize therapy Maintenance dose Dose for acute relapse Adherence Paliperidone Risperidone Rate Source 300 mg q2 weeks 3 injections European Medicines Agency [29] 432 mg q4 weeks Kane et al. [34] 473 mg q4 weeks Lauriello et al. [35] 0.803 0.793 0.062 0.145 Ascher-Svanum et al. [36] Kane et al. [34] Kane et al. [34] Calculation [1 – rates of (ER visits þ stable disease)] 150 mg week 1, 100 mg week 2, then 82.8 mg every 4 wk 69.3 mg monthly European Medicines Agency [28], Hough et al. [37] Average from Gopal et al. [38] and Fleischhacker et al. [39] 84.9 mg monthly Gopal et al. [40], Pandina et al. [41], Hough et al. [42], Nasrallah et al. [43], Pandina et al. [44] RIS-LAI rate from Olivares et al. [45] adjusted via Mehnert and Diels [46] Calculation [1 – rates of (ER visits þ hospitalization)] Hospital rate ER:hospital ratio from Ascher-Svanum et al. [36] Hough et al. [37], Gopal et al. [38] 0.872 Stable disease ER visits Hospitalization rate Maintenance dose Dose for acute relapse 0.803 0.059 0.138 40.3 mg biweekly Fleischhacker et al. [39], Kissling et al. [47], Lee et al. [48], Lindenmayer et al. [49], Olivares et al. [50] Prorated from PP-LAI dose; similar to doses used by Kane et al. [22], Chue et al. [51], Eerdekens et al. [52] who used 58 mg, but 50 mg is the maximum allowable dose [30] Olivares et al. [45] Calculation [1 – rates of (ER visits þ hospitalization)] Hospital rate ER:hospital ratio from Ascher-Svanum et al. [36] Olivares et al. [50], Weiden and Olfson [53] 50 mg biweekly Adherence Stable disease ER visits Hospitalization rate 0.823 0.763 0.071 0.166 ER, emergency room; LAI, long-acting injectable; PP, paliperidone palmitate; RIS, risperidone microspheres. an average patient having chronic relapsing schizophrenia but whose disease is currently stabilized. Because of adherence problems, patients are maintained on standard doses of depot antipsychotics. They may be either adherent or nonadherent, as Model and base case We adapted a previously validated decision tree [25] for use in Croatia, using input from clinical and administrative experts. Figure 1 depicts the model. To begin the analysis, we start with Table 2 – Cost inputs (2012€). Resource Item Unit mg mg mg mg mg mg Cost (€) Drugs Olanzapine depot Risperidone depot Paliperidone depot Olanzapine tablets Risperidone tablets Clozapine tablets 3.50 3.50 3.76 0.21 0.20 0.0036 Medical Primary care physician Psychiatrist outpatient visit Psychiatric nurse 1 visit 1 visit 1h 16.62 14.10 7.45 Hospital Emergency room Hospital bed acute care Hospital long-term bed Day care visit 1 visit 1d 1d 1d 230.32 96.81 33.51 26.20 Source Croatian Croatian Croatian Croatian Croatian Croatian Official Official Official Official Official Official Gazette Gazette Gazette Gazette Gazette Gazette Local medical price list Vrapče hospital price list Vrapče hospital price list Vrapče Vrapče Vrapče Vrapče hospital hospital hospital hospital price price price price list list list list [58] [58] [58] [58] [58] [58] 184 Economic conclusion Dominant‡ Dominated Dominated 0.010 0.005 LAI, long-acting injectable; PP, paliperidone palmitate; RIS, risperidone microspheres; QALYs, quality-adjusted life-years. All costs are in 2012 euros. † Because of dominance, comparisons are against PP-LAI. ‡ Has lowest cost and highest QALYs and therefore is the drug of choice. 107 1349 0.817 0.807 0.812 0.252 0.305 0.280 329.3 322.8 325.5 PP-LAI RIS-LAI OLZ-LAI 5061 5168 6410 0.129 0.148 0.143 Total QALYs per patient Hospitalizations Days in remission Emergency room visits per published rates and expert opinion. Some will continue in the stable state, while the rest will relapse. All relapsers would be seen at the emergency room, and the more severe cases would be admitted to the acute psychiatric unit. Those unable or unwilling to tolerate the initial treatment would be switched. Those discontinuing PP-LAI or RIS-LAI would then receive OLZ-LAI, and those switching from OLZ-LAI would receive PP-LAI; discontinuers of oral OLZ would receive RIS-LAI. Patients who failed two different drugs would be given clozapine, in accordance with National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence guidelines [31] and local practice using doses reported in the literature [32,33]. Clinical Inputs Total cost per patient (€)* Drug Table 3 – Clinical and economic outputs from the decision tree model analysis for Croatia. Incremental cost per patient (€)† Incremental QALYs per patient† VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 181–188 Table 1 lists the clinical inputs used in this mode, by drug, as well as the sources of information [22,28–30,34–53]. The doses of drugs used were derived from randomized clinical trials and long-term studies published in the literature. Where data were presented for nonadherent patients, we extracted rates from the published articles. In other cases, we used either the rates for placebo in trials (e.g., PP-LAI; OLZ-LAI assumed equal) or we calculated rates by using the ratio of adherent: nonadherent patients from Weiden and Olfson [53] (e.g., RISLAI). With each drug, adjunct therapy was added, in accordance with typical clinical trials. Gopal et al. [38] indicated that PP-LAI was augmented with oral risperidone in a dose of 6.8 mg/d for 30.5 days. In a similar trial, Möller et al. [54] reported that 22% of the patients receiving RIS-LAI required oral supplementation with 3.2 mg/d for 43 days. Ascher-Svanum et al. [55] noted that OLZ-LAI required 10.8 mg/d for 31 days in 21% of the patients. Some economic analyses have used standard doses such as defined daily doses (DDDs) [56]; however, DDDs reflect the average dose when used for the most common indication. It should be remembered that we are dealing with revolving door patients who comprise only a subset of patients who represent the extreme of the spectrum. Thus, we feel that DDDs would underestimate the doses used in actual practice when managing such problematic patients. In calculating adherence rates, we used experience from large observational studies. The rate for RIS-LAI was taken from a large patient registry (n ¼ 1648) of patients with longstanding schizophrenia [45]. Because there was insufficient long-term experience with PP-LAI, that rate was adjusted by using results from the study by Mehnert and Diels [46]. They compared adherence between RIS-LAI when administered monthly and twice weekly, finding a minimum of 5.1% increase in adherence with monthly injections. That factor was applied to PP-LAI, which is administered monthly and is a metabolite of RIS-LAI, thereby having the same adverse-event profile. For OLZ-LAI, we used the rate from a large cohort (n ¼ 1906). Even though that rate was with oral drugs (which normally have lower adherence rates than do depots), we used that value of 80.2% because it was higher than the 72.7% rate in 931 patients found with the depot form by AscherSvanum et al. [57], and was quite similar to the rates of other depot atypicals. Cost Inputs We considered all direct costs from the viewpoint of the National Health Service of Croatia, as presented in Table 2 [58] (local medical price list and Vrapče hospital price list). We did not include indirect costs such as time lost from work, because very few of these people participate fully in the workforce. A multicountry study in Europe reported that less than 10% of VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 181–188 185 Fig. 2 – Cloud diagram from the probabilistic sensitivity analysis comparing incremental costs (Y axis) and QALYs (X axis) between (A) PP-LAI and RIS-LAI and (B) PP-LAI and OLZ-LAI. OLZ-LAI, olanzapine pamoate long-acting injectable; PP-LAI, paliperidone palmitate long-acting injectable; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year; RIS-LAI, risperidone long-acting injectable. 3996 persons with schizophrenia were employed full-time and another 12.3% worked part-time [59]. We did not apply discounting because the analytic time horizon was 1 year. Prices were taken from current lists or from the literature, and then inflated to 2011 euros by using the consumer price index for Croatia [60]. Utilities Utilities for the analysis were obtained from the literature; values obtained were simply averaged [61–65]. Stable disease had a utility of 0.890; an exacerbation requiring outpatient treatment at the hospital emergency room had a utility of 0.659 for emergency room exacerbation and 0.490 for hospitalization. Analysis and Outputs No official guidelines currently exist for pharmacoeconomic analyses in Croatia. We therefore used a standard approach that had been used in previous analyses in Europe [25]. The decision tree produced expected outcomes for the average patient treated with average doses of each drug. These outcomes included the cost per patient treated, measured in 2012 euros, as well as numbers of hospitalizations, emergency room visits, days with stable disease, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for each drug. The economic outcome of prime interest was the incremental cost per QALY. We explored the effect of variations in input values on outputs by applying one-way sensitivity analyses on all important inputs such as costs and clinical rates. Break-even analysis identified the points where outcomes changed qualitatively. We 186 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 181–188 also conducted a set of pairwise probabilistic analyses by using 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations on all inputs and standard distributions (i.e., beta for rates and gamma for costs) [66]. Proportions of incremental cost-effectiveness ratios falling into each of the four major quadrants (cost vs. QALYs) were calculated and compared. Results Results of the base-case analysis appear in Table 3. PP-LAI had the lowest overall cost to treat one patient for 1 year (€5061), followed by RIS-LAI (€5168), with OLZ-LAI costing the most (€6410). Clinical outcomes were also better in all cases for PPLAI; it had the most days in remission and the fewest hospitalizations and emergency room visits. Also, it was associated with the highest QALY score, but differences for this outcome were not large. Because its cost was lowest and QALYs (and other beneficial clinical outcomes) highest, it dominated the other drugs. That is, it should be considered the preferred choice. In one-way sensitivity analyses, PP-LAI was not sensitive to changes in cost relative to OLZ-LAI. Its cost would need to increase 64% or that of OLZ-LAI decrease by 54% to lose its dominance. However, it would not dominate RIS-LAI with a 4% increase in the cost of PP-LAI or a 4.4% decrease in the cost of RISLAI. If the unit cost of PP-LAI were equal to that of RIS-LAI, the expected cost/patient would decline to €4756. Results were sensitive to reasonable changes in adherence rate (⫾10% for OLZ-LAI and ⫾18% for RIS-LAI). Hospitalization rates were not sensitive. Figure 2A,B depicts results from the probabilistic sensitivity analyses. PP-LAI dominated OLZ-LAI in about 77.3% of the simulations and RIS-LAI in 56.8% of the simulations. It was cost-effective (i.e., incremental cost-effectiveness ratios o €30,000) compared with RIS-LAI in another 37% of the trials (overall 93%). However, PP-LAI was dominated in 1.3% of the 20,000 iterations, in total. Discussion A search of the literature could find no examples of pharmacoeconomic analyses that examined the pharmacotherapy of schizophrenia in Croatia. Therefore, we believe that this is the first such analysis. Because decision makers and health care providers are being faced with increasing demands from patients and their advocates without a corresponding increase in revenues, they must take advantage of these quantitative approaches to aid in selecting what to fund. Relying solely on acquisition prices of drugs, services, or other products can be misleading because all factors impacting the choice are not being considered. Because of enhanced efficacy, a drug with a higher price may be the best choice if it prevents the consumption of other resources, such as hospitalization. In this analysis, PP-LAI dominated the other available atypical LAIs. Results could change against RIS-LAI with changes in cost or against OLZ-LAI with changes in adherence. The overall probabilistic sensitivity analyses, however, did indicate that PPLAI would be the drug of choice in the majority of cases. In addition to the clinical and economic advantages, there is an advantage for PP-LAI with respect to convenience. This drug may be administered monthly, while its nearest competitor, RISLAI, must be given every 2 weeks. Monthly dosing would seem to be the preferable situation for both the patient and the busy practitioner. This analysis has some limitations, which should be noted. Rates of adherence and hospitalization were taken from the literature and were assumed to apply as well in this country. We considered only persons with chronic schizophrenia in a stable state. Those who are hospitalized or experiencing an acute exacerbation of symptoms would require more aggressive treatment; therefore, costs and outcomes might vary. We did not consider the treatment of adverse events other than postinjection syndrome in this analysis for a number of reasons. First, these events are quite common in all antipsychotic drugs. Many of these problems can be managed by reducing the dose or changing to another drug. Also, these patients are required to visit their physician or other practitioner (e.g., psychiatric nurse or psychologist) on a regular basis, and so they would not likely incur extra visits because of adverse events. In addition, many require treatment with drugs (e.g., anticholinergics) that are very inexpensive and add little to the overall cost of care, especially on a comparative basis. Finally, reports from official agencies have concluded that adverse events associated with these drugs have little appreciable impact overall [67,68]. Conclusions In this analysis, we found that PP-LAI was the dominant choice for treating chronic relapsing schizophrenia in Croatia. Its higher acquisition cost was more than offset by reductions in other health care areas, such as decreased hospitalizations, visits to emergency room, and visits to other health care practitioners. 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VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 189–198 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Cost-Utility Analysis of Pharmaceutical Care Intervention Versus Usual Care in Management of Nigerian Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Maxwell O. Adibe, BPharm, MPharm, PhD1,2,*, Cletus N. Aguwa, PharmD1,2, Chinwe V. Ukwe, BPharm, MPharm, PhD1,2 1 Department of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmacy Management, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Enugu, Nigeria; 2Pharmacotherapeutic Group, Department of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmacy Management, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Enugu, Nigeria AB STR A CT Objective: To assess the cost-effectiveness of pharmaceutical care (PC) intervention versus usual care (UC) in the management of type 2 diabetes. Methods: This study was a randomized, controlled study with a 12-month patient follow-up in two Nigerian tertiary hospitals. One hundred and ten patients were randomly assigned to each of the “intervention” (PC) and the “control” (UC) groups. Patients in the UC group received the usual/conventional care offered by the hospitals. Patients in the PC group received UC and PC in the form of structural self-care education and training for 12 months. The economic evaluation was based on patients’ perspective. Costs of management of individual complications were calculated from activities involved in their management by using activity-based costing. The impact of the interventions on quality of life was estimated by using the HUI23S4EN.40Q (Mark index 3) questionnaire. The primary outcomes were incremental cost-utility ratio and net monetary benefit. An intentionto-treat approach was used. Two-sample comparisons were made by using Student’s t tests for normally distributed variables data at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. Comparisons of proportions were done by using the chi-square test. Results: The PC intervention led to incremental cost and effect of Nigerian naira (NGN) 10,623 ($69) and 0.12 quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, respectively, with an associated incremental cost-utility ratio of NGN 88,525 ($571) per QALY gained. In the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve, the probability that PC was more cost-effective than UC was 95% at the NGN 250,000 ($1613) per QALY gained threshold and 52% at the NGN 88,600 ($572) per QALY gained threshold. Conclusions: The PC intervention was very cost-effective among patients with type 2 diabetes at the NGN 88,525 ($571.13) per QALY gained threshold, although considerable uncertainty surrounds these estimates. Introduction using QALYs as the principal measure of outcome, often termed cost-utility studies, have become increasingly popular in the literature and have also been adopted by a number of health technology assessment agencies as the methodology of choice [1]. Cost-utility analysis was developed to help decision makers compare the value of alternative interventions that have very different health benefits, and it facilitates these comparisons without recourse to placing monetary values on different health states. Cost-utility analysis specifies what value is attached to specific health states, and thus increasingly facilitates the transparency of resource allocation processes [2]. Cost-utility analysis was developed to address the problem of conventional cost-effectiveness analysis, which did not allow decision makers to compare the value of interventions for different health problems. The utilities can now be obtained from standardized and validated health status instruments, making the evidence required to inform cost-utility analysis relatively Analytic techniques used for economic evaluation in health care, for example, cost-benefit analysis, cost-effectiveness analysis, and cost-consequences analysis, are designed to compare alternative courses of action in terms of costs and outcomes. The choice of the technique depends on the decision the health economists intend to influence. Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) measure health as a combination of the duration of life and the health-related quality of life [1]. The primary outcome of a cost-utility analysis is the cost per QALY, or incremental costutility ratio (ICUR), which is calculated as the difference in the expected cost of two interventions divided by the difference in the expected QALYs produced by the two interventions. The results of a cost-utility analysis are compared with a threshold incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER); interventions with an ICER below this threshold are funded, whereas those with an ICER above the threshold tend not to be. Economic evaluations Keywords: cost-effectiveness analysis, cost-utility analysis, Nigeria, patients with type 2 diabetes, pharmaceutical care, usual care. Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Maxwell O. Adibe, Department of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmacy Management, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Enugu, Nigeria. E-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.009 190 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 189–198 straightforward and cheap to acquire—certainly when compared with the cost of acquiring evidence on clinical effectiveness, and indeed the cost of many of the treatments being reviewed [3]. Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with considerable morbidity and mortality [4]. It is also a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease, stroke, and kidney failure [5]. In Africa, DM probably has the highest morbidity and mortality rates of all chronic noninfective diseases [6]. DM was once regarded as a disease of the affluent, but it is now vastly visible as a growing health problem in developing economics because almost 80% of diabetes deaths occur in lowand middle-income countries [7,8]. The national standardized prevalence rate of DM in Nigeria is 2.2%, while the crude prevalence rate is 7.4% in those aged 45 years and above who live in urban areas [9]. Global estimates of the prevalence of diabetes showed that the prevalence of diabetes in Nigeria in 2010 was 4.7% (vs. 3.9% for world population) and that it would be 5.5% (vs. 4.3% for world population) in 2030 [10]. With the increasing demand for better management of type 2 diabetes, attention has focused on the potential benefits of pharmaceutical care (PC) to improve patients’ health outcomes. Many PC programs have been established in various countries to enhance clinical outcomes and the health-related quality of life. These programs were implemented by pharmacists, with the cooperation of physicians and other health care professionals. PC and the expanded role of pharmacists are associated with many positive diabetes-related outcomes, including improved clinical measures [11], improved patient and provider satisfaction [12,13], and improved cost of management [12,14]. The pharmacists can, therefore, in collaboration with physicians and other health care professionals, contribute to an improvement in the quality of life of patients with diabetes by informing and educating patients, answering their questions, and, at the same time, monitoring the outcomes of their treatment [15]. In view of the above issues, the objective of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of the PC intervention in the management of type 2 diabetes versus usual care (UC). Methods Study Design This study was a randomized, controlled, and longitudinal prospective study with a 12-month patient follow-up. The study followed the Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards guideline for reporting economic evaluation of interventions [16]. The study protocol was approved by the Research Ethical Committees of the University of Nigeria Teaching Hospital, Ituku Ozalla, and Nnamdi Azikiwe University Teaching Hospital, Nnewi, in which this study was conducted. These hospitals are tertiary hospitals that serve as referral centers to most of the hospitals in the southeastern part of Nigeria. patients who expressed willingness to withdraw from the study (participation is voluntary). The sample size determination showed that a sample size of at least 104 patients was required in each of the control and intervention groups [17]. Based on these data, to ensure sufficient statistical power and to account for “dropouts” during the study, a target sample size of 220 patients was recruited (110 patients from each of the hospitals). The folders of the 110 selected patients in each hospital were assigned numbers 1 to 110, which represented an individual patient. Patients were randomly assigned to one of two groups (intervention group or control group) on the basis of the number assigned to their folders by using online “random sequence generator” [18] with sequence boundaries of 1 to 110 (boundaries inclusive) set in a two-column format: the first column was a priori designated to the intervention group PC (55 patients) and the second column to the control group UC (55 patients). Patients in the UC group received the usual/conventional care offered by the hospitals, which included hospital visits on appointment or on a sick day, consultations with physicians, prescription of drugs and routine laboratory tests, review of diagnosis and medications, refilling of prescriptions by patients, and referral. This UC was offered with education/training of the patients in an uncoordinated manner and without structured educational materials. Patients in the PC group received UC and PC for 12 months on monthly schedule. This additional PC included a stepwise approach: setting priorities for patient care, assessing patients’ specific educational needs and identification of drug-related problems, development of a comprehensive and achievable PC plan in collaboration with the patient and the physician, implementation of this plan, and monitoring and review of the plan from time to time [19]. The nurses collaborated with the pharmacists in terms of organizing the patients and patients’ folders, taking point-of-care testing, counseling the patients, and reinforcing the information given to the patients during training sections. The physicians provided the visitation/appointment schedule for the patients, and prescription of laboratory tests. They were also involved in the implementation of consensus strategies in managing drug-related problems in areas of changing, substitution, and withdrawal of medications. All the members of the health care team were trained before the implementation of the intervention. The medical and educational contents of the training materials were evaluated by the physicians and nurses in diabetes clinics before the researchers conducted the training for the patients. The physicians and nurses were asked to rate the materials as being excellent, very good, good, fair, poor, and useless. The monthly educational/training program for the patients consisted of four sections of 90 to 120 minutes. The program covered the following areas: diabetes overview and its complications, self-monitoring blood glucose techniques and interpretation of diabetes-related tests, medications and their side effects, lifestyle modification, counseling, and effective interaction with health providers. PC provided ground for the patients to monitor and react to changes in their blood glucose levels, allowing them to integrate their diabetes into the lifestyle they preferred. Inclusion Criteria Patients with type 2 DM who fulfilled the entrance criteria were identified and included in the study. Inclusion criteria included patients with type 2 diabetes who were on oral hypoglycemic therapy and provided written informed consent in addition to willingness to abide by the rules of the study and being certified fit to take part by the consulting physician. Exclusion criteria were patients who were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes (to avoid complexity in the scope of the study), patients who were younger than 18 years (they are legally regarded as dependents and consequently they cannot take decisions of their own), patients who were pregnant (they are generally not allowed to participate in a study of this nature by the institutions used for the study), and Data Collection Data were collected on utilization of health care resources for 12 months for control and intervention groups at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. Information was obtained on the frequency of self-monitoring, number and average duration of visits to a hospital, daily doses of drugs taken regularly, and the variable of “other health care resource use,” including primary care (general practitioner and nurse consultations), hospital care (visits to an accident and emergency department, outpatient care, day hospital care, and inpatient care), auxiliary health care (services of a podiatrist, optician, or dietitian), and private health care. These data were collected by means of patients’ PC diaries notes VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 189–198 supplemented when necessary by information from patients’ medical records. Patient-specific data on the incremental resources required for intervention and control groups and the resources associated with the treatment of complications were taken. Treatment resources included doses of drugs used for treating diabetes, antihypertensive drugs, other drugs, blood-glucose tests, selfmonitoring resources such as test strips, lancets, and glucometers, and visits to general practitioners, practice nurses, and clinics. Resources associated with complications included the number, duration, and specialty of admissions to hospital; outpatient consultations; medical procedures such as photocoagulation and cataract extraction; and day case episodes. The unit cost of these resource volumes (drugs and other consumables, laboratory tests, and specialty care per visit) was derived by using the National Health Insurance Scheme price list [20] and International Drug Price Indicator Guide 2010 edition [21], and the cost of all inpatient bed-days and outpatient visits was derived from World Health Organization-Choosing Intervention that is CostEffective (WHO-CHOICE) [22] unit-cost estimates. Costs of the management of individual complications were calculated from activities involved in their management by using the ingredient approach or activity-based costing as opined by the experts; all costs were adjusted to 2011 cost [23]. The effect of either a higher or lower adjustment rate was examined in the sensitivity analysis. All costs are reported in year 2011 values of Nigerian naira (NGN 155 ¼ $1). Each item for resource use was categorized into the “cost of the intervention,” the “cost of drugs,” and the “cost of other health care resource use” (including primary care, hospital care, and auxiliary health care). The costs were calculated by multiplying the volume of resource use in each category by the associated unit cost in 2010 prices (Table 1). Average costs were estimated in each arm of the study for the 12 months of follow-up Table 2. The impact of the interventions on quality of life was estimated by using the HUI23S4EN.40Q (developed by HUInc Mark index 2&3) questionnaire at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months in accordance with the HUI procedures manual (HUI23S4EN.40Q, HUI23-40Q.MNL) [24]. We adopted the QALY [2] because this measure captures both increases in life expectancy and improved quality of life that results from the prevention of complications, providing a composite outcome measure of fatal and nonfatal events that permits comparison between many health interventions. Because the economic evaluation perspective was that of the health care purchaser, only direct health service costs were included. These included treatment costs, visits to a nurse or a general practitioner based on “standard practice” assumptions, and costs of treating diabetes complications. Not included in this analysis were nonmedical costs such as out-of-pocket expenses incurred when visiting clinics, cost of informal care provided by family members, and production losses resulting from work absences, long-term disability, or premature death. Statistical Analysis Statistical analyses were performed by using the SPSS package, version 14 (SPSS, Inc., Chicago, IL). An intention-to-treat approach was used. Data were summarized as means ⫾ SD, mean differences with 95% confidence intervals. Two-sample comparisons were made by using Student’s t tests for normally distributed variables or Mann-Whitney U tests for nonnormally distributed data (0, 6, and 12 months). Comparisons of proportions were carried out by using chi-square, Fisher’s exact, or McNemar’s tests. An a priori significance level of P less than 0.05 was used throughout. Based on the overall health-related quality-of-life score for the patients at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months, 191 QALYs were determined. Areas under the curves were determined by using WinNonlin standard edition version 2.1 [3,22]. Sensitivity analysis To address uncertainty around the ICUR, univariate sensitivity analysis was conducted, where one cost variable was varied at a time (upper and lower limits) while keeping all other variables constant at their mean base-case cost. Then, two alternative-case outcomes of ICUR were generated on the basis of upper and lower boundaries of ⫾20% of the mean base-case cost. To assess how a simultaneous change in several variables (QALYs, total intervention cost, cost of antidiabetes medications, cost of antihypertensives, cost of antidiabetes antihypertensives medications, total cost of drugs, hospital care cost, auxiliary health care cost) affects the cost-utility ratio, a Monte-Carlo simulation (a type of multivariate sensitivity analysis) was performed. This technique runs a large number of simulations (here 1000) by repeatedly drawing samples from probability distributions of input variables. Thus, it provides a probability distribution of the output variable; that is, QALYs, incremental costs, incremental effectiveness, and ICURs. Beta and gamma distributions were assumed for utility (QALYs) and unit cost, respectively [25–27]. Given that the interpretation of negative ICURs is ambiguous, the ICURs were transformed into net monetary benefits (NMBs). The decision rule used was to adopt the intervention in question if the NMB is greater than zero. Given that the appropriate value of λ is unknown, λ was varied from NGN 0 to NGN 450,000. A costeffectiveness acceptability curve was generated on the basis of the distribution of NMB for each λ. A cost-effectiveness acceptability curve allows a decision maker to consider whether an intervention (PC) is cost-effective in relation to the maximum amount a decision maker is willing to pay for a QALY. A discount rate of 3% and 6% was used in sensitivity analysis [28]. At each ceiling value for the willingness to pay for a QALY, the cost-effectiveness curve shows the probability that the treatment is cost-effective. All calculations were done in Microsoft Excel 2007 (Microsoft Corporation, Redmond, WA). Results Economic Outcomes The medical and educational content of the training course was rated positively by the 17 physicians and 29 nurses: the majority 38 (82.6%) rated the content as “excellent” and the remaining 8 rated the content as “very good” or “good”; only 3 (6.5%) of them suggested little modification or changes. The number of patients who completed the study and whose data were analyzed at 6 months and 12 months in UC and PC arms were 98 (89.09%) versus 102 (92.73%) and 93 (84.55%) versus 99 (90.0%), respectively. The general cost of care/laboratory cost per patient for UC versus PC at 12 months was NGN 16,519 ⫾ 7,905 ($107 ⫾ $51) versus NGN 17,369 ⫾ 6,673 ($112 ⫾ $43), P ¼ 0.4208. PC-specific cost per patient was NGN 7,345 ⫾ 2,651 ($47 ⫾ $17), while the costs of antidiabetes medications for UC and PC arms were NGN 9,703 ⫾ 4,632 ($63 ⫾ $30) and NGN 7,808 ⫾ 4,183 ($50 ⫾ $27), P ¼ 0.0033, respectively. The cost of antihypertensives for UC was NGN 6,625 ⫾ 4,691 ($43 ⫾ $30) while that of PC was NGN 5,155 ⫾ 2,619 ($33 ⫾ $17), P ¼ 0.0228. The cost of antidiabetes medications plus antihypertensives for UC was NGN 16,328 ⫾ 5,086 ($105 ⫾ $33) as against NGN 12,963 ⫾ 7,549 ($84 ⫾ $49) for PC, P ¼ 0.0004. The cost of other medications was NGN 3,243 ⫾ 2,637 ($21 ⫾ $17) and NGN 4,945 ⫾ 1,687 ($32 ⫾ $11), P o 0.0001, for UC and PC, respectively. 192 Table 1 – Categories of resources used and their cost sources. Cost centers Source 3,300 2,200 600 2,900 800 Market Market Market Market Market 1,700 250 700 400 700 600 300 34,000 UNTH [20] [20] [20] [20] [20] [20] [20] 15–60 3,200 950 850 [20,21] [20,21] [20] [20] 5–1,400 5–280 [20,21] [20,21] 8,000–20,000 (12,000)† 2,149.50 4,404 price price price price price Experts’ opinion (UNTH/NAUTH) [22] [22] 700 700 [20] [20] 700 700 700 700 [20] [20] [20] [20] Note. NGN 155 ¼ $1. BP, blood pressure; Hb A1c, hemoglobin A1c; HDL, high-density lipoprotein; LDL, low-density lipoprotein; NAUTH, Nnamdi Azikiwe University Teaching Hospital; NGN, Nigerian naira; NHIS, National Health Insurance Scheme; UNTH, University of Nigeria Teaching Hospital. When the individual drug was not in the NHIS price list, the International Drug Price Indicator Guide 2010 edition was used; the total cost of drug category was presented because many drugs were encountered. The ranges of their prices are represented. † The price in parentheses was used. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 189–198 Intervention Meter (Acu-check Active) Test strips/50 strips Lancet/200 BP apparatus (Aneroid sphygmomanometer and stethoscope) Training/educational materials Laboratory tests Hb A1c Fasting blood glucose Liver function test HDL LDL Triglyceride Total cholesterol Others Drugs Oral antidiabetes drugs per tablet Human insulin per vial Insulin soluble per vial Insulin zinc per vial Suspension (insulin zinc suspension) Antihypertensives (tablet, injection, injection powder, syrup) Others (tablet, injection, injection powder, syrup) Hospital care (per episode) Emergency care Outpatient care (tertiary hospital) Inpatient (per day) (tertiary hospital) Primary care General practitioner consultation Nurse consultation Auxiliary health care (per session) Dietician Optician Podiatrist Others Unit cost in NGN (cost used in study) 193 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 189–198 The total drug cost was NGN 19,571 ⫾ 7,514 ($126 ⫾ $49) for UC as against NGN 17,908 ⫾ 8,549 ($116 ⫾ $55) for PC, P ¼ 0.1549. The hospital care costs for UC and PC were NGN 10,302 ⫾ 5,657 ($67 ⫾ $37) and NGN 9,766 ⫾ 4,234 ($63 ± $27), P ¼ 0.4565, respectively, while their auxiliary health care costs were NGN 4,060 ⫾ 1,675 and NGN 8,687 ⫾ 2,365 ($56 ± $15), P o 0.0001, respectively. The total cost per patient per year was NGN 50,452 ⫾ 35747 ($326 ± $231) for UC and NGN 61,075 ⫾ 43763 ($394 ± $282), P ¼ 0.1009, for PC (Table 3). Cost-effectiveness or cost-utility was NGN 78524.51 ($507) per QALY for UC and NGN 80,098.36 ($517) per QALY for PC, while the incremental cost and incremental QALY were NGN 10,623 ($69) and 0.12, respectively. Thus, the ICUR was NGN 88,525 ($571) per QALY. Sensitivity Analysis The cost-effectiveness plane that was obtained from a Monte Carlo simulation with 1000 iterations showed that 93.8% of the simulations were within the northeast quadrant, where the PC intervention resulted in gain in QALY and cost, whereas 5.6% of the simulations were in the southeast quadrant, where the PC intervention resulted in gain in QALY and reduced cost. Only 0.5% of the simulations were within the northwest quadrant, where the addition of PC resulted in loss in QALY and increased cost. The 1000 iterations produced an incremental QALY that ranged from −0.022 to 0.293 and an incremental cost that ranged from NGN −8,276.40 to NGN 28,294.27 (Fig. 1). The mean NMB within a willingness to pay of NGN 0 to NGN 450,000 was greater in the PC intervention whatever the willingness to pay was. This result also revealed that 90% of PC credibility interval was far above the mean of UC though the interval overlapped with about 5% of the UC (Fig. 2). The PC intervention led to incremental cost and incremental QALY/effect of NGN 10,623 and 0.12 QALY gained, respectively, with an associated ICUR of NGN 88525 per QALY gained. The Table 2 – Baseline characteristics of the patients in PC and UC arms. Demographic data Mean age ⫾ SD (y) Grouped age: 453 y, n (%) Sex: male, n (%) Level of education, n (%) Primary school Secondary school University Marital status, n (%) Currently married Widowed Single Occupation, n (%) Self-employed Employee Retired Smoking status: smoker, n (%) Duration, mean ⫾ SD Duration: ≥5 y, n (%) Family history of diabetes, n (%) Physical activity/exercise, n (%) Comorbidities Hypertension Congestive heart failure Ischemic heart disease Arthritis ≥2 comorbidities, n (%) Overnight hospitalization, n (%) Emergency room, n (%) Use of insulin, n (%) Antidiabetic medications, n (%) Other medications, n (%) Daily aspirin Diuretics Antihypertensives Lipid-lowering Complications, n (%) Myocardial infarction Stroke Foot ulcer Blindness Renal failure UC (n ¼ 110) PC (n ¼ 110) 52.8 ⫾ 8.2 81 (73.64) 49 (44.55) 52.4 ⫾ 7.6 75 (68.18) 44 (40) 3 (2.72) 71 (64.55) 36 (32.73) 6 (5.45) 63 (57.27) 41 (37.27) 37 (33.64) 71 (64.54) 2 (1.82) 46 (41.82) 63 (57.27) 1 (0.91) 37 (33.64) 35 (31.82) 38 (34.54) 34 (30.91) 4.5 ⫾ 2.2 62 (56.36) 71 (64.55) 18 (16.36) 34 (30.91) 42 (38.18) 34 (30.91) 21 (19.09) 4.8 ⫾ 2.8 71 (64.55) 62 (56.36) 23 (20.91) P 0.708 0.373 0.495 0.406 0.409 0.611 0.043 0.378 0.215 0.214 0.387 60 11 7 37 72 9 1 17 103 (54.55) (10.00) (6.36) (33.64) (65.45) (8.18) (0.91) (15.45) (93.64) 73 15 8 43 81 7 2 13 107 (66.36) (13.64) (7.27) (39.09) (73.64) (6.36) (1.82) (11.82) (97.27) 0.073 0.404 0.789 0.400 0.187 0.604 0.561 0.432 0.195 43 71 98 23 (39.09) (64.55) (89.91) (20.91) 57 84 78 14 (51.82) (76.36) (70.91) (12.73) 0.058 0.055 0.0007 0.105 2 9 2 1 3 (1.82) (8.18) (1.82) (0.91) (2.73) 4 6 3 1 8 (3.64) (5.45) (2.73) (0.91) (7.27) 0.408 0.422 0.651 1.000 0.122 NGN, Nigerian naira; PC, pharmaceutical care; UC, usual care. P o 0.05. 194 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 189–198 QALY value of PC was varied by ⫾10% (0.68625 and 0.83875) in the sensitivity analysis, which made the ICUR moved from NGN 88,525 per QALY gained to upper and lower limits of NGN 252,173 per QALY gained and NGN 54,777 per QALY gained, respectively. When a 3% and 6% adjustment rate of costs was applied, the lower and upper extremes of ICURs were NGN 85,936 per QALY gained and NGN 88,799 per QALY gained from the base value of NGN 88,525 per QALY gained. Varying the base costs by ⫾20% (lower limit to upper limit) and using these extreme values in simulations, the total intervention costs center produced ICURs that ranged from NGN 47,426.41 to NGN 126,544.5 per QALY gained. The antidiabetes cost center produced ICURs that ranged from NGN 74,817.97 to NGN 104,206.6 per QALY gained. The ICURs moved from NGN 79,210.06 to NGN 98,038.14 per QALY gained when the base cost of the antihypertensives cost center was varied. The antidiabetes medications plus antihypertensives produced ICURs that ranged from NGN 70,020.39 to NGN 109,161.3 per QALY gained, and total drug cost center produced ICURs that ranged from NGN 58,950.02 to NGN 120,469.9 per QALY gained. The ICURs of hospital care cost and auxiliary health care centers ranged from NGN 72,582.82 to 106,161.6 per QALY gained and NGN 74,454.77 to 105,414.0 per QALY gained, respectively, when base costs of the cost centers were varied. The ICUR was most sensitive to variation in QALY and “total intervention-specific cost center” variable followed by that of total drug cost center (Fig. 3). In the cost-effectiveness acceptability curve, the probability that PC was cost-effective versus UC was 95% at the threshold of NGN 250,000 per QALY gained and 52% at the threshold of NGN 88,600 per QALY gained (Fig. 4). Discussion At the end of this period, the PC intervention resulted in an incremental gain in QALYs and cost compared with the UC. This economic evaluation demonstrates that PC is the most costeffective strategy for managing patients with type 2 diabetes if the patients are willing to pay at least NGN 88,600 per QALY gained. The addition of the PC intervention to UC, as noted in this study, should be considered a highly cost-effective management option for patients with type 2 diabetes because treatments costing no more than £20,000 (NGN 4,761,905) to £30,000 (NGN 7,142,857) per QALY gained are generally considered to be costeffective [1,31]. This PC intervention also generated greater NMBs when compared with UC; therefore, the addition of PC to UC might be considered an appropriate management option for patients with diabetes who have comorbidities where the probability or likelihood of drug-related problem is higher. Cost-Effectiveness Plane The cost-effectiveness plane showed that most of the simulations were within the northeast quadrant, where the addition of PC to UC resulted in gain in QALY and cost, which indicated that although the PC intervention generated more QALYs than did UC, it was more costly. The 1000 iterations showed that the 95% confidence interval of incremental QALYs and incremental cost was wide. This wide range shows that there are uncertainties surrounding both QALYs and cost. The magnitude of QALYs gained, specific intervention cost, and cost of all drugs were found to have affected the ICUR most. This provides avenues for urgent intervention to reduce the cost of drugs used for the management of diabetes and its comorbidities and an urgent institution of intervention that will improve the quality of life of patients with diabetes in Nigerian tertiary hospitals. Net Monetary Benefit Quality-Adjusted Life-Years QALYs associated with PC were significantly higher than those associated with UC after 12 months. This indicates that extending this study beyond 1 year could offer more benefits to patients with diabetes in terms of QALYs gained. Some studies had demonstrated that extension of PC beyond 1 year could offer extra benefits to patients with diabetes [29,30]. The NMB approach provides a useful mechanism for identifying which arm of the study is most cost-effective. The NMB of additional PC over UC alone for a willingness to pay of NGN 0 to NGN 450,000, the additional PC alternative, was associated with the greater mean NMB whatever the willingness to pay was. It is interesting to note that the lowest trough (NMB) of PC was far higher than the mean of UC NMB. Addition of the PC intervention was found to be superior to UC alone in all willingness to pay, even as the willingness to pay Table 3 – Costs and QALY per patient per year at the end of the 12-mo follow-up period for UC versus PC (NGN 155 ¼ $1). Cost per patient per year General intervention and laboratory cost Specific intervention cost for PC Total cost of intervention Antidiabetes medications Antihypertensives Antidiabetes medications plus antihypertensives Other medications Total drug cost Hospital care cost Auxiliary health care cost Total cost per patient QALY per patient per year UC PC P Mean cost difference 16,519 ⫾ 7,905 17,369 ⫾ 6,673 0.4208 NA 16,519 ⫾ 7,905 9,703 ⫾ 4,632 6,625 ⫾ 4,691 16,328 ⫾ 5,086 7,345 24,714 7,808 5,155 12,963 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 2,651 11,655 4,183 2,619 7,549 NA o0.0001 0.0033 0.0228 0.0004 NA 8,195 −1,895 −1,470 −3,365 NA 5,341.9–11,048 −3,150.1 to −639.92 −2,733.7 to −206.34 −5,209.3 to −1,520.7 3,243 ⫾ 2637 19,571 ⫾ 7514 10,302 ⫾ 5,657 4,060 ⫾ 1,675 50,452 ⫾ 35,747 0.6425 ⫾ 0.13 4,945 17,908 9,766 8,687 61,075 0.7625 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 1,687 8,549 4,234 2,365 43,763 0.15 o0.0001 0.1549 0.4565 o0.0001 0.1009 o0.0001 1,702 1,663 −536 8,627 10,623 0.1200 1,074.7–2,328.3 −3,960.2 to 634.16 −1,952.9 to 880.88 8,040.2–9,213.80 −2,088.5 to 23,335 (0.07–0.1601) 850 CI, confidence interval; NA, not applicable; PC, pharmaceutical care; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year; UC, usual care. P ≤ 0.05; Negative cost differences indicate cost savings associated with the PC intervention. 95% CI per patient −1,228.1 to 2,928.1 195 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 189–198 35000.000 30000.000 Incremental cost (NGN) 25000.000 20000.000 15000.000 10000.000 5000.000 0.000 -0.050 0.000 -5000.000 0.050 0.100 0.150 0.200 0.250 0.300 0.350 -10000.000 -15000.000 Incremental QALYs Fig. 1 – Cost-effectiveness plane. NGN, Nigerian naira; QALYs, quality-adjusted life-years. increases. This result shows that if the willingness to pay is in the range of NGN 0 to NGN 450,000, there is a net monetary gain or saving of NGN 56,148 in 1 year. This amount is more than 3 months salaries of a Nigerian low-income earner based on the current NGN 18,000 minimum wage [32]. Therefore, there is need for introduction and exploitation of the PC intervention in Nigerian health facilities because this is very cost-effective with enormous NMB. Sensitivity Analyses This study found out that a little variation in QALY gained in PC to the tune of ⫾10% resulted in a tremendous increase and mild lowering of the base ICUR, respectively. This result showed that the economic burden placed on patients with diabetes by 10% health deficit was enormous; therefore, interventions such as PC that would be aimed at improving the quality of life of patients and resolution/reduction of drug-related problems that would ultimately reduce the cost of drugs would certainly reduce the cost per QALY associated with diabetes. These results indicate that the additional PC intervention has a cost per QALY gained that is lower than that of UC. In the United Kingdom, interventions appear to have a high chance of acceptance by the National Institute for Clinical Excellence if their costeffectiveness is more favorable than approximately £30,000 per QALY [1]. Several other studies had classified cost-effectiveness. WHO-CHOICE classified interventions on the basis of the level of 400000 Net Monetary Benefits (NGN) 350000 PC 300000 UC 250000 200000 150000 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 400000 450000 Willingness to pay (NGN) Fig. 2 – Net monetary benefit of PC and UC at different levels of willingness to pay for a QALY. NGN, Nigerian naira; PC, pharmaceutical care; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year; UC, usual care. 196 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 189–198 cost-effectiveness by convention as described in the literature [33– 35]. An intervention is cost saving when the intervention generates a better health outcome and costs less than the comparison intervention. The intervention is cost neutral if the ICER is 0. The intervention is very cost-effective when the ICER is more than 0 or $25,000 or less per QALY or life-year gained (LYG) while the intervention is cost-effective when the ICER is between more than $25,000 to $50,000 per QALY or LYG. The intervention is marginally cost-effective when the ICER is between more than $50,000 and $100,000 per QALY or LYG, whereas an intervention is said to be not cost-effective when the ICER is more than $100,000 per QALY or LYG. WHO-CHOICE published in 2005 the cost-effectiveness threshold for different regions of the world. WHO-CHOICE suggested a cost-effectiveness threshold based on gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. An intervention that produces cost per QALY gained of less than GDP per capita of the country is said to be very cost-effective while an intervention with cost per QALY gained of between one to three times the GDP per capita of the country is cost-effective. An intervention with cost per QALY gained of greater than three times the GDP per capita of the country is not cost-effective. For AFRO D where Nigeria belongs, the costeffectiveness threshold ranges from $1,695 to $5,086 [7]. With a conversion factor of NGN 155 ¼ $1, the threshold ranges from NGN 262,725 to NGN 788,330. World Bank in 2010 published a GDP per capita, considering purchasing power parity-current international $; for Nigeria, it is $2,381 (NGN 369,055:00) [34]. The associated ICUR from this study was NGN 88,525 per QALY ($571.13/QALY) gained in the PC arm, which was far lower than the GDP per capita of Nigeria in 2010 [36]. Based on the above facts, the PC intervention with an ICUR of NGN 88,525 per QALY gained is very cost-effective although this may still not be affordable for low-income earners in relation to the NGN 18,000 minimum wage approved in Nigeria in 2011 because NGN 88,525 is about 5 months’ salary of this group of Nigerians [32]. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, based on the costeffectiveness acceptability curve, the PC dominated UC at the threshold of NGN 88,600 per QALY gained and the probability of PC being more cost-effective approached 95% at the threshold of NGN 250,000 per QALY gained. Nevertheless, if a patient is willing to pay NGN 400,000 per QALY gained, the probability that PC is the most cost-effective option for managing patients with diabetes increases to 97%. In contrast, the probability that UC is the most cost-effective option at the threshold of NGN 400,000 per QALY gained approaches zero. Studies of this kind must address inherent potential threats to internal validity [37,38]. The major limitations of this study 300,000 252,173 250,000 Cost Per QALY (NGN) 200,000 150,000 126,545 120,470 109,161 104,207 100,000 106,162 105,414 98,038 88,799 85,936 74,818 79,210 72,583 70,020 74,455 58,950 50,000 54,777 47,426 0 Variables Fig. 3 – Univariate sensitivity analysis of cost and utility variables on incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. NGN, Nigerian naira; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year. A ¼ QALY (⫾10%); B ¼ Adjustment rate (3% and 6%); C ¼ Total intervention-specific cost (⫾20%); D ¼ Cost of antidiabetes medications (⫾20%); E ¼ Cost of antihypertensives (⫾20%); F ¼ Cost of antidiabetes + antihypertensives medications (⫾20%); G ¼ Total cost of drugs (⫾20%); H ¼ Hospital care cost (⫾20%); I ¼ Auxiliary health care cost (⫾20%). 197 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 189–198 1 Pharmaceutical Care 0.9 Probability cost-effecveness 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 Usual care 0 0 50000 100000 150000 200000 250000 300000 350000 400000 450000 Treshold Willingness to pay for a QALY (NGN) Fig. 4 – Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves. NGN, Nigerian naira; QALY, quality-adjusted life-year. were missing data, selection bias, short period of study, attrition, and consideration of only direct cost. Data on humanistic outcome measures were self-reported; however, self-reported data about diabetes status have been established to be both valid and reliable [39]. We recommend that future research studies of this kind address these limitations. This pharmaceutical intervention could be adopted for patients suffering from other chronic diseases such as HIV, hypertension, asthma, psychosis, epilepsies, and cerebrovascular and cardiovascular diseases. Conclusions The PC intervention was very cost-effective among patients with type 2 diabetes at the NGN 88,525 ($571.13) per QALY gained threshold, although considerable uncertainty surrounds these estimates. This study also revealed that cost incurred and QALYs gained by patients in the PC group were higher than those of their counterparts in the UC group. This indicates that the extra cost paid for extra QALYs gained is worth it because it saves future expenditures and improves the quality of life of patients. The results of this study illustrate a convincing economic rationale for improving standards of care for patients with type 2 diabetes through the PC intervention. This study provides further evidence that the cost-effectiveness of interventions to reduce the burden of diabetes-related complications compares favorably with that of other accepted uses of health care resources. The results should be of interest and used by other economists and health service researchers, and in particular should be considered by decision makers when considering the allocation of resources to diabetes care. Cost-utility analysis thus increasingly facilitates the transparency of resource allocation processes. The usefulness of costutility analysis to decision makers explains the rapid expansion in the utilization of cost-utility analysis over the last decade. Acknowledgment We acknowledge Health Utility Incorporated for granting and awarding us HUI23S4En.40Q and HUI23.40Q.MNL. Source of financial support: Funding for this project was provided from Science and Technology Education Post Basic (STEP-B) through the University of Nigeria. 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Diabetes self-care knowledge among outpatients at a Veterans Affairs medical center. Am J Health-Syst Ph 2002;59:849–52. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 199–204 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Economic Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases in the Russian Federation Anna Kontsevaya, PhD*, Anna Kalinina, PhD, Rafael Oganov, PhD Department of Primary Prevention in Healthcare, National Research Center for Preventive Medicine, Moscow, Russia AB STR A CT Objectives: In the Russian Federation, cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the primary cause of death and premature death; however, to date, there have been no systematic cost-of-illness studies to assess the economic impact of CVD. Methods: The economic burden of CVD was estimated from statistic data on morbidity, mortality, and health care resource use. Health care costs were estimated on the basis of expenditure on primary, outpatient, emergency, and inpatient care, as well as medications. Non–health care costs included economic losses due to morbidity and premature death in the working age. Results: CVD was estimated to cost Russia RUR 836.1 billion (€24,517.8 million) in 2006 and RUR 1076 billion (€24,400.4 million) in 2009. Of the total costs of CVD, 14.5% in 2006 and 21.3% in 2009 were due to health care, with 85.5% and 78.7%, respectively, due to non–health care costs. Conclusions: CVD is a leading public health problem. We first assessed the economic burden of CVD in Russia. Our results can be used for planning investments in prevention programs and measures for improving care for patients with CVD. Regular monitoring of the economic burden of CVD in the future at the federal, regional, and municipal levels will allow assessment of the dynamics of economic burden, as well as the effectiveness of investments in the economy in primary and secondary prevention. Because data are relatively unavailable, there are important limitations to this study, which highlight the need for more accurate CVD-specific information. Keywords: cardiovascular disease, coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular diseases, cost-of-illness study, economic burden, Russia. Introduction Methods In the Russian Federation, cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the primary cause of death and premature death [1]. There has been, however, no systematic cost-of-illness study to assess its economic impact. The World Bank calculated health care expenditures in two regions of Russia and extrapolated these data to the entire country [2]. These regions, however, were not representative of the entire country because the calculations included only health care costs. Another attempt to calculate the economic burden of CVDs in Russia was made by the World Health Organization. It calculated the economic burden for 2005 and predicted a prognosis of burden for 2015 and 2030 of the most prevalent noncommunicable diseases from a macroeconomic perspective based on death rate [3]. The objectives of this study were to estimate the economic costs of CVD in Russia, including health care costs and productivity loss, and to estimate the proportion of total CVD cost attributable to coronary heart disease (CHD) and cerebrovascular diseases as was estimated in the study of Leal et al. [4] in the European Union (EU). Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Methodological Background Cost-of-illness analyses involved the identification, measurement, and valuing of resources related to CVD in Russia in the period 2006 to 2009. The calculation included health care costs and costs outside the health care sector (productivity losses associated with premature death or morbidity and disability pensions). All expenditures were measured for the period 2006 to 2009 in the prices of the appropriate year. Additional file 1 includes the sources of information used for calculations. The national currency rubles was converted to euros (€) by using a weighted exchange rate for the period 2006 to 2009. Epidemiological and health care utilization data were acquired from the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation and the market research company COMCON from the published literature. Analysis was based on the International Statistical Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) categories: CVD (ICD-10 category I00–I99), hypertensive diseases (ICD-10 category I10– I15), CHD (ICD-10 category I20–I25), and cerebrovascular disease Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Anna Kontsevaya, Department of Primary Prevention in Healthcare, National Research Center for Preventive Medicine, Petroverigski Lane, 10, 101990, Moscow, Russia. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.010 200 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 199–204 (ICD-10 category I60–I69). All sources of information used for the calculations are listed in the Additional information file. Health Care Expenditure The following categories of CVD health care services were included in the calculations: primary and outpatient care, accident and emergency (A&E) care, hospital inpatient care, cardiosurgery and percutaneous coronary interventions (PCIs), and medications. Cardiosurgery and PCI expenditures were calculated separately from hospital inpatient care because they are financed through different sources in Russia. Hospital inpatient care is paid by the health insurance system, while cardiosurgery and PCIs are paid by direct payment from the federal budget in the framework of the federal program on high technology and costly medical care or by the patient. Other types of activities related to the CVD were not included because of the difficulties in locating information. Data for A&E care and hospital inpatient care were received from the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation; data on primary and outpatient care were obtained from several information sources; and data on medications were received from annual pharmacoepidemiology surveys through the COMCON company and other literature data. Health Service Utilization Primary and outpatient care Primary care activities consisted of CVD-related visits to general practitioners (GPs), as well as GP visits to patients’ homes. There is a specific statistical form for all medical organizations that includes data on the number of patients who visited this organization for outpatient care during the year according to the ICD-10 categories. This statistical form is centrally received in the Ministry of Health and processed as a single form for the entire country. We received a single form for the entire country for 2006 to 2009. The number of visits for each outpatient was calculated on the basis of these statistical forms and data from previous studies examining the mean number of visits of patients with CVD during the year. Hospital inpatient care Inpatient care was estimated on the basis of the number of CVDrelated days in the hospital. There is also a specific statistical form for all inpatient medical organizations that includes data on the number of hospitalizations and number of hospital days in this organization during the year according to the ICD-10 categories. This statistical form is also centrally received in the Ministry of Health and processed as a single form for the entire country. We received the statistical single form for inpatient care in Russia for 2006 to 2009 and selected data on ICD-10 categories of interest. A&E care A&E care consisted of all CVD-related hospital emergency visits. A 2009 special statistical form for all inpatient medical organizations included information regarding the number of hospital emergency visits according to the ICD-10 categories. We selected data on ICD-10 categories in 2009 and extrapolated these values for 2006 to 2008. Cardiosurgery and PCI The main cardiosurgery institution in Russia, the Bakoulev Center for Cardiovascular Surgery, centrally collects information from all medical organizations involved in such interventions in Russia and annually publishes a statistical yearbook. We selected data regarding the number of PCI, coronary artery bypass grafting, and some other cardiosurgeries performed in Russia in 2006 to 2009. Health care unit costs Unit costs of an inpatient day, outpatient visit, and emergency visit were obtained from the Ministry of Health. The official Web site annually publishes information on the mean costs of inpatient days, outpatient visits, and emergency visits in different specialties and total expenditures in the framework of the program of the governmental guarantees of the medical care. The costs of cardiosurgery and PCI paid directly by the federal budget are published annually on the Web site of the Ministry of Health in the description of the Federal Program on High Technology and Costly Medical Care. Expenditure on medication There are no national sources of information regarding national expenditures on medications in Russia. We used data from several pharmacoepidemiology surveys made in Russia in 2006 to 2009 and extrapolated these data for the entire country. The main source was the databases of annual surveys conducted by the COMCON company; other studies were used to identify patients with CVD regularly taking medication for long periods as well as some other data. Costs of medications were calculated on the basis of mean prices during the studding years, including value added tax (VAT). Non–Health Service Costs Non–health service costs included productivity losses associated with premature death and morbidity and disability pensions. Because little information was found on informal care costs and out-of-pocket expenses across the country, these costs were not included in the calculations. Estimation of productivity costs due to premature death during working age Productivity costs due to premature death during working age included the gross domestic product (GDP) per employed person related to CVD attributable to mortality. The productivity loss from CVD-mortality was estimated by calculating the following: 1. number of CVD-related deaths during working age (retirement age is 60 years for men and 55 years for women); 2. number of remaining work years at the time of death (to estimate the likely GDP that an individual who died would have otherwise produced); 3. annual GDP per employed person; and 4. economic activity and unemployment rates. Future GDP was not indexed in the main analysis, as the usual discount rate of 3% to 3.5% is not reasonable for Russia. The inflation rate was 9% in 2006, 11.9% in 2007, 13.3% in 2008, and 8.8% in 2009. The effects of indexation on productivity costs using rates of 10% and 15% were studied through sensitivity analysis. Estimation of productivity costs due to cardiovascular morbidity Morbidity costs were defined as those associated with CVDattributable absence from work, estimated by multiplying the number of certified days off work due to CVD by GDP produced in one working day. The number of CVD-related working days lost was obtained from a special statistical form for all medical organizations that included data on the number of disability days during the year according to the ICD-10 categories. This statistical form is also centrally received at the Ministry of Health and processed as a single form for the entire country. We received a single form for working days lost in Russia for 2006 to 2009 and selected data on ICD-10 categories related to CVD. 201 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 199–204 Sensitivity analysis We examined the effects of 20% changes in health care costs. Because medication costs were estimated by using subjective assumptions, the effect of 50% changes in these categories was tested. We also assessed the effects of indexation on productivity costs by using rates of 10% and 15%. Results Table 1 shows the average unit costs used for calculations and those aggregated from different sources. Health Care Costs CVD accounted for more than 69.6 million hospital bed days in Russia in 2006 and 68.0 million in 2009. The number of hospitalizations did not change, but the mean duration of hospital stay decreased each year (from 15.0 to 14.1 days). The number of hospital bed days for CHD was 27.1 million in 2006 and 26.3 million in 2009, and for cerebrovascular diseases it was 17.6 and 17.2 million, respectively. CVD represented 479.2 hospital bed days per 1000 persons in 2009 (Table 2), 185.2 days for CHD, and 121.2 days for cerebrovascular diseases. This parameter is higher than the total for the EU [4] but comparable to some European countries. The number of GP and outpatient visits was 1603.2 per 1000 persons in 2009, with CHD representing 300.9 visits for 1000 persons and cerebrovascular diseases representing 286.6 (Table 2). CVD cost Russian health care systems approximately RUR 121 billion or €3558.5 million in 2006 and (Table 3) RUR 229.5 billion or €5204.4 million in 2009. The major component of CVD-related health care expenditure was inpatient care, which accounted for RUR 52.7 billion (€1545.1 million) in 2006 and RUR 109 million (€2470.8 million) in 2009, representing 43.4% and 47.5% of total health care costs, respectively. CVD-related medication expenditure was also a large cost, representing 27% in 2006 (RUR 32.6 billion) of total costs and 21% in 2007 (RUR 47.6 billion) of health care costs. The third largest component of CVD-related health care expenditure was outpatient care, which represented 20.2% of the total health care costs in 2006 and 21.7% of the total health care costs in 2009. The other two cost components (emergency care and cardiosurgery) accounted for 9.5% in 2006 and 10.0% in 2009 of costs, with A&E representing the smallest component. The structure of the CVD costs in Russia was similar to that of the EU [4], where inpatient care and pharmaceutical expenditure were major components of CVD-related health care expenditure. Non–Health Care Costs Mortality losses were relatively high in Russia because of high CVD death rates in the general population and in the working age population. The number of CVD deaths per 1000 persons was several times higher than in Europe [4]. There is a prominent difference in the number of deaths in working-age men and women. The death rate of working-age men (younger than 60 years) was 3.2 in Russia in 2009, while for working-age women it was 0.7. This explains the significant difference in working year losses between men and women (22.1 and 3.4 for 1000 persons in 2009). In the EU, working year losses in men were also higher than in women [4], but to a lesser degree than in Russia. CHD accounted for approximately half of CVD mortality losses, while values for cerebrovascular diseases were much lower, particularly regarding working-year losses. CVD accounted for 2.1 million working years lost in 2006 and 1.7 million in 2009 owing to deaths during working ages. GDP losses due to mortality in working ages were estimated to cost approximately RUR 630 billion (€18,483.3 million) in 2006 and RUR 117.1 billion (€16,509.6) in 2009, respectively, after adjusting for working status (Table 3). There were 70.1 million working days lost in 2006 and 67.3 million in 2009 because of CVD morbidity. This represented a cost of RUR 83.8 billion (€2458.4 billion) in 2006 and RUR 117.4 billion (€2662.5 billion) in 2009 after adjusting for working status (Table 3). The costs of disability pensions were rather small, €17.7 million in 2006 and €23.9 million in 2009. Total Costs of CVD Overall, CVD was estimated to cost the Russian economy RUR 836.1 billion (€24,517.8 million) in 2006 and RUR 1076 billion (€24,400.4 million) in 2009 (Table 3). Of the total costs of CVD, 14.5% in 2006 and 21.3% in 2009 were due to health care, whereas non–health care costs were 85.5% and 78.7%, respectively. The structure of costs is completely different from the EU data, where the health care cost was the most significant [4]. Share of GDP (CVD) The total costs of CVD were equal to 3.1% of the GDP of the Russian Federation in 2006 and 2.8% in 2009, respectively (Table 4). Costs of CHD and Cerebrovascular Diseases The total costs of CHD were RUR 339.7 billion (€9962.2 million) in 2006 (Table 4) and RUR 406.6 billion (€9220.4 million) in 2009. Health care costs were RUR 58.6 billion (€1719.0 million) and RUR 103.9 billion (€2355.2 million) in 2009. The share of health care costs relative to total costs increased from 17.3% in 2006 to 25.5% in 2009. The total costs of cerebrovascular diseases were much lower than those of CHD. Total care costs were RUR 139.2 billion (€4083.3 million) in 2006 and RUR 184.5 billion (€4183.9 million) in 2009. Health care cerebrovascular costs were RUR 18.8 billion (€551.9 million) in 2006 (Table 4) and RUR 38.6 billion (€874.1 million) in 2009. The share of health care costs compared with total costs increased from 13.5% in 2006 to 20.9% in 2009. Table 1 – Average unit costs in Russia in 2006–2009. 2006 GDP per employed person Annual Daily Health care unit cost GP and outpatient visit A&E visit Inpatient day 2007 2008 Ruble Euro Ruble Euro 389,021 1,195 11,408.2 35.0 467,463 1,445 13,668.5 42.3 115 686 754 3.4 20.1 22.1 149 888 947 4.4 26.0 27.7 A&E, accident and emergency; GDP, gross domestic product; GP, general practitioner. Ruble 2009 Euro Ruble Euro 584,338 1,837 16,053.2 50.5 562,500 1,745 12,755.1 39.6 181 1,110 1,232 5.0 30.5 33.8 219 1,387 1,602 5.0 31.5 36.3 202 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 199–204 Table 2 – Resource units per 1000 population in the Russian Federation in 2009. Mortality losses Deaths All Men Women Working years lost All Men Women Morbidity losses Working days lost Health care unit GP and outpatient visits Hospital emergency visits Inpatient days CVD CHD Cerebrovascular diseases 8.0 7.8 8.2 4.1 4.2 4.0 2.6 2.2 3.0 11.1 22.1 3.4 4.5 9.1 0.9 1.9 3.5 0.8 474.2 80.1 73.3 1603.2 47.9 479.2 300.9 5.1 185.2 286.6 10.6 121.2 CHD, coronary heart disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; GP, general practitioner. structures of the total costs were completely different in Russia and the EU. A European study found that health care expenditure accounted for 61% of costs, but in our study the share of health care expenditures was only 14.5% of total costs in 2006 and 21.3% in 2009. If our study included the cost of informal care, health care costs would be even lower. Non–health care costs (mainly due to premature death during working age) account for 80% of total CVD costs in Russia. Direct costs associated with CVD in the EU included costs for hospital admissions (57%), costs for drug therapy (27%), and costs for ambulatory care and A&E (16%) [4]. In general, the structure of direct costs in our study was similar. In our study, the share of health care costs for CVD relative to total costs was 13.5% to 20.9%. In the study of 27 EU countries, it was shown that total costs from stroke were 68.5% due to direct costs and 31.5% due to indirect costs [5]. In the United States, the economic burden of stroke includes 67% of direct health care costs and 33% of losses in the economy due to premature mortality and disability days [6]. Thus, in Russia, the structure of the economic burden of CVD is different from that due to the predominance of indirect costs. Sensitivity Analysis Varying total health care costs upwards and downwards by 20% produced a variation of 1% in the baseline of total CVD-related costs in the period 2006 to 2009. Our results did not vary significantly when the assumptions used to derive medication cost estimates were varied by 50%, resulting in changes of 1% in total costs. Future earning losses at a 10% discount rate were associated with a reduction of 8% in costs, while a 15% discount rate was associated with a reduction of 11% in costs. Discussion This is the first study to estimate the full burden of CVD, including health care and non–health care costs in Russia. We estimated that the total burden of CVD varied between €24.4 and €32.3 billion in the period 2006 to 2009. In a recent European study, the estimated cost of CVD was €169 billion [4]. Because the population of EU is several times higher than that of Russia, the amounts were comparable. We found, however, that the Table 3 – Cost of CVD in Russia in 2006–2009. 2006 Inpatient care Primary and outpatient care A&E care Cardiosurgery and PCI Medications Total health care costs GDP losses due to mortality in working age GDP losses due to morbidity Disability pensions Total non–health care costs Total costs 2007 2008 2009 RUR million € million RUR million € million RUR million € million RUR million € million 52,687.9 24,469.5 4,032.4 7,517.5 32,637.0 121,344.3 630,280.4 1,545.1 717.6 118.3 220.5 957.1 3,558.5 18,483.3 65,791.5 32,385.6 5,614.5 9,451.6 35,249.0 148,492.3 687,087.1 1,923.7 946.9 164.2 276.4 1,030.7 4,341.9 20,090.3 85,283.7 40,262.8 7,410.2 11,701.9 40,124.4 184,783.0 860,872.9 2,343.0 1,106.1 203.6 321.5 1,102.3 5,076.5 23,650.4 108,960.9 49,833.0 9,425.8 13,714.5 47,578.7 229,513.0 728,075.2 2,470.8 1,130.0 213.7 311.0 1,078.9 5,204.4 16,509.6 83,830.7 602.2 714,713.3 836,057.6 2,458.4 17.7 20,959.3 24,517.8 104,067.2 666.7 791,821.0 940,313.3 3,042.9 19.5 23,152.7 27,494.5 127,864.4 833.8 989,571.0 1,174,354.0 3,512.8 22.9 27,186.0 32,262.5 117,416.1 1,054.1 846,545.4 1,076,058.3 2,662.5 23.9 19,196.0 24,400.4 A&E, accident and emergency; CVD, cardiovascular disease; GDP, gross domestic product; PCI, percutaneous coronary intervention; RUR, rubles. 874.1 20.9 2,355.2 25.5 5,204.4 21.3 Cere, cerebrovascular disease; CHD, coronary heart disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; GDP, gross domestic product; RUR, rubles. 844.3 15.6 2,311.8 17.8 697.0 15.1 4,341.9 15.8 1,719.0 17.3 551.9 13.5 2,021.7 18.3 5,076.5 15.7 38,550.0 103,862.9 229,513.0 30,731.2 84,148.4 184,783.0 23,837.6 69,141.8 148,492.3 18,821.2 58,619.1 4,183.9 0.47 9,220.4 1.04 24,400.4 2.8 5,408.0 0.48 12,962.5 1.14 32,262.5 2.8 4,621.2 0.48 11,028.7 1.14 27,494.5 2.8 4,083.3 0.52 9,962.2 1.26 184,511.9 406,618.8 1,076,058.3 196,851.7 940,313.3 Total costs RUR 836,057.6 million € million 24,517.8 3.1 Share of GDP (%) Health care costs RUR 121,344.3 million € million 3,558.5 14.5 Share of total costs (%) 339,712.3 139,239.6 1,174,354.0 158,044.4 377,182.3 471,835.9 CHD CHD Cere CHD CVD Cere CHD CVD 2006 Table 4 – Cost of CVD, CHD, and cerebrovascular diseases in Russia in 2006–2009. CVD 2008 2007 Cere CVD 2009 Cere VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 199–204 203 Several studies demonstrated that health care costs for various CVDs differ significantly depending on the country, the length of hospitalization, and other factors [7–9]. CHD was the most costly CVD (37.8% of total CVD costs). According to estimates of economic burden in the United States, CHD was also the most expensive disorder [10]. In a European study, CHD accounted for 27% of total costs [4]. A UK study showed that CHD and stroke costs were similar (29% and 27% of total CVD costs, respectively) [11]. In some studies, it was shown that myocardial infarction typically accounts for the largest share of CHD costs owing to long hospitalization and costly interventions [12,13]. Studies examining the economic burden of diseases enable comparisons between the burdens of different diseases, allowing decision makers to prioritize limited research funds to areas with the highest burden [14]. Furthermore, if such studies are performed at regular intervals, the impact of health policy decisions can be measured. In Russia, these studies can be used to monitor governmental programs involved in chronic disease prevention. The results of calculations performed in this study can be used to plan investments in prevention programs and improve care to patients with CVD. Regular monitoring of the economic burden of CVD in the future at the federal, regional, and municipal levels will allow the assessment of the dynamics of economic burden, as well as the effectiveness of investments in the economy in primary and secondary prevention. The next step of such studies is to estimate the economic cost of risk factors of chronic disease. This will provide support for prioritizing resources for prevention and public health [15]. To be in a better position to inform policy decisions aimed at reducing the burden of disease, improved information regarding epidemiology and accurate information regarding resource use and unit costs is imperative. In Russia, there is lack of recent reliable epidemiology data as well as gaps in the official statistics on resource use. Our results are likely underestimated. Some categories of costs, such as costs of informal care, were not included because of data limitations. Despite these acknowledged and important data limitations, this is the first study to quantify the burden of CVD in Russia. Acknowledgments We are grateful to Michail Khudjakov for useful contributions to this project. The comments from three anonymous reviewers are also acknowledged.Source of financial support: The authors have no other financial relationships to disclose. Source of financial support: The authors have no other relationships to disclose. R EF E R EN C ES [1] Population data for 2006–2009 from Russian Federal Service of State Statistics (Rosstat). Available from: http://www.gks.ru/wps/wcm/ connect/rosstat/rosstatsite/main/ [Accessed October 16, 2010]. [2] World Bank. Dying too young: addressing premature mortality and ill health due to non communicable diseases and injuries in the Russian Federation. 2005: 145. Available from: http://siteresources.worldbank.org/ INTECA/Resources/Dying_too_Young_Summary_UPDATED_Oct_19.pdf [Accessed October 16, 2010]. [3] Abegunde DO, Mathers CD, Adam T, et al. The burden and costs of chronic diseases in low-income and middle-income countries. Lancet 2007;370:1929–38. [4] Leal J, Luengo-Fernández R, Gray A, et al. Economic burden of cardiovascular diseases in the enlarged European Union. Eur Heart J 2006;27:1610–9. [5] European Heart Network. European Cardiovascular Disease Statistics 2008. Brussels: European Heart Network, 2008. Available from: http:// 204 [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 199–204 www.herzstiftung.ch/uploads/media European_cardiovascular_disease _statistics_2008.pdf [Accessed October 16, 2010]. Go AS, Mozaffarian D, Roger VL, et al. Heart disease and stroke statistics— 2008 update: a report from the American Heart Association Statistics Committee and Stroke Statistics Subcommittee. Circulation 2008;117:e25–146. Kauf TL, Velazquez EJ, Crosslin DR, et al. The cost of acute myocardial infarction in the new millennium: evidence from a multinational registry. Am Heart J 2006;151:206–12. Tiemann O. Variations in hospitalisation costs for acute myocardial infarction—a comparison across Europe. Health Econ 2008;17(1, Suppl.): S33–45. Epstein D, Mason A, Manca A. The hospital costs of care for stroke in nine European countries. Health Econ 2008;17(Suppl.):S21–31. Druss BG, Marcus SC, Olfson M, Pincus HA. The most expensive medical conditions in America. Health Aff 2002;21:105–11. [11] Luengo-Fernández R, Leal J, Gray A, et al. Cost of cardiovascular diseases in the United Kingdom. Heart 2006;92:1384–9. [12] Reinhold T, Lindig C, Willich SN, Brüggenjürgen B. The costs of myocardial infarction—a longitudinal analysis using data from a large German health insurance company. J Public Health 2011;19:579–86. [13] Ioannides-Demos LL, Makarounas-Kirchmann K, Ashton E, et al. Cost of myocardial infarction to the Australian community: a prospective multicenter survey. Clin Drug Investig 2010;30:533–43. [14] Gross CP, Anderson GF, Powe NR. The relation between funding by the National Institutes of Health and the burden of disease. N Engl J Med 1999;340:1881–7. [15] Scarborough P, Bhatnagar P, Wickramasinghe KK, et al. The economic burden of ill health due to diet, physical inactivity, smoking, alcohol and obesity in the UK: an update to 2006–07 NHS costs. J Public Health (Oxf) 2011;33:527–35. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 205–209 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Cost for Treatment of Chronic Lymphocytic Leukemia in Specialized Institutions of Ukraine Olena Mandrik, PhD1,2,*, Isaac Corro Ramos, PhD3, Olga Zalis’ka, PhD1, Andriy Gaisenko, PhD4, Johan L. Severens, PhD2,3 1 Danylo Halytsky Lviv National Medical University, Lviv, Ukraine; 2Institute of Health Policy & Management, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands; 3Institute for Medical Technology Assessment, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands; 4National Cancer Institute, Kyiv, Ukraine AB STR A CT Objective: The aim of this study was to identify, from a health care perspective, the cost of treatment for chronic lymphocytic leukemia in specialized hospitals in Ukraine. Methods: Cost analysis was performed by using retrospective data between 2006 and 2010 from patient-file databases of two specialized hospitals (145 patients). Uncertainty was assessed by using bootstrapping and multivariate sensitivity analyses. Linear regression analysis was used to analyze whether patients’ characteristics are related to health care costs. In addition, one-way analysis of variance (Welch test) and pairedsample t test were conducted to compare mean costs of treatment between the two hospitals and mean expenses for drugs and inhospital stay. Results: The average annual cost for a patient’s drug treatment is 2047 EUR. The cost of hospitalization was significantly lower (t ¼ 5.026; significance two-tailed ¼ 0.000) and equal to 541 EUR per person, resulting in total expenditures of 2589 EUR. Mean total costs in the bootstrap analysis were equal to 2584 EUR (median 2576 EUR, 97.5th percentile 3223 EUR; 2.5th percentile 1987 EUR). The regression analysis did not reveal a relation between patients’ characteristics and health care costs, although hospital choice was an influential parameter (β ¼ −0.260; significance ¼ 0.002). Significant difference in mean costs of two analyzed hospitals was also confirmed by one-way analysis of variance (Welch statistics 19.222, P ¼ 0.000). Conclusions: Drug treatment comprises the largest portion of total costs, but differences between hospitals exist. Because many patients in Ukraine pay out of pocket for in-hospital drugs, these costs are a high economic burden for patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia. Keywords: chronic lymphocytic leukemia, cost of treatment, hematologic malignancies. Introduction indicators of a patient’s life expectancy to positive values [6]. For example, in the United States for the time period 1999 to 2005, the 5-year survival rate for leukemia was 82% (79% for CLL), although in the time period 1975 to 1977, this indicator was close to Ukrainian data—35% [7,8]. In-hospital medical care for patients with CLL is generally provided in 35 hematologic departments, based in district hospitals (16), state city hospitals (12), oncologic dispensaries (4), and specialized institutes of the National Academy of Medical Science of Ukraine (3) [2,9]. To the latter group belong two hematologic institutes and the National Cancer Institute, which is a leading state institution additionally responsible for methodological and scientific development in this clinical area. Treatment schemes for patients with CLL are based on a clinical protocol that proposes a number of treatment options for patients with CLL and was first developed and approved under an order of the Ministry of Health of Ukraine in 2010 [10]. State pharmaceutical provision for adult oncologic patients is granted through the national treatment program “Oncology” for the years 2011 to 2016, although governmental financing is insufficient and drug treatment is usually paid out of pocket by patients [11]. Globally, there are approximately 7.4 million cancer deaths per year, which is approximately 13% of deaths from all causes. Because the population of many countries around the world is aging, it can be expected that cancer incidence will increase [1]. Among oncologic diseases, chronic hematologic malignancies are comparatively rare. In Ukraine in 2010 the officially registered total morbidity rate for patients with diagnosed leukemia was 7.8 per 100,000 people, of which 39.3% did not live a year after diagnosis [2]. Chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) is the most frequent form of leukemia in Western countries, and it accounts for approximately 30% to 40% of all leukemias [3,4]. It is characterized by the clonal proliferation and accumulation of neoplastic B lymphocytes in the blood, bone marrow, lymph nodes, and spleen. Although the median age of patients at diagnosis is higher than retirement age and so has no significant impact on state productivity loss [5], the economic impact of CLL is significant due to long duration and high expenses related to treatment, combined with low cure rates. Nevertheless, early diagnosis and effective treatment of hematologic malignancies shift the Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Olena Mandrik, Danylo Halytsky Lviv National Medical University, 69 Pekarska Street, Lviv, Ukraine 79010. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.006 206 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 205–209 Although CLL has a significant impact on patients’ quality of life [12,13], studies exploring economic costs and burden of hematologic malignancies are relatively rare in Englishlanguage publications worldwide [14,15]. Possible reasons for this lack of information appear to include the low incidence rate and aged study population (over 60 years old), which make broad, well-designed economic analyses a challenge for most researchers [5,16]. These few cost reviews identified cost drivers for CLL as chemotherapy costs, intravenous immunoglobulin costs, transplantation costs, and costs associated with the differential staining cytotoxicity assay, with the main cost drivers related to the treatment chosen [14–16]. The health care system itself, including organization of medical care for oncologic patients, is going through a stage of transformation. Changes include the implementation of a universal reimbursement system to begin in 2016, standardization of medical help with enhanced control on follow-up of clinical protocols, and more strict division between primary, secondary, and tertiary levels of medical help. Considering that the major recipients of the central state budget are specialized institutions (tertiary level of help), the primary aim of this research was to identify the cost of treatment for CLL in specialized hospitals in Ukraine from a health care perspective and to understand whether patient characteristics are related to these costs. Methods The study was conducted from a health care perspective, accounting for direct medical costs to illustrate which costs will be paid by the Ministry of Health after the health care system transformation. Analysis included data from databases of two specialized hospitals—National Cancer Institute and State Institute of Hematology—that receive state financing through the national treatment program “Oncology.” These hospital databases were made in the programs Access and Word for the purpose of data storage and included all the information available in hard copies of hospital cards; the data were typed into the hospital databases retrospectively by qualified personnel (hospital assistants). Afterward, data from the two hospital databases were transferred into Excel, and SPSS databases were created for the purpose of data analysis. The study population included all newly diagnosed and relapsed patients with CLL (145 in total) who were hospitalized during the period from 2006 to 2010 and whose data were recorded in the electronic database. The information derived from the hospital cards (excluding patients’ identification information) contained the following data: sex of the patient, age during diagnosis and treatment, number of years a patient lives with the disease, year of treatment, therapies prescribed and duration of treatment, the number of hospitalizations per year, and the duration of hospitalization. Stage of the patient’s disease and health state on Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status were excluded from the factor list because data on these parameters were frequently missing. Costs related only to CLL diagnosis for the last observational year were calculated. These costs included drug expenses and inhospital costs. The cost of diagnostics, medical procedures, hotel services, and medical personnel is included in the integral inhospital cost, based on data of the economic department of the National Cancer Institute. These costs reflect the approximate costs for oncologic patients in a specialized hospital and are equal to 16.3 EUR per patient-day [17]. Out-of-hospital health care costs were not calculated because according to the clinical protocol [10], the treatment of patients with CLL should be conducted only in hospital. The average length of hospital stay and drug costs were assessed by retrospective analysis of patient file data. To assess drug usage, daily defined doses and total amount received during the year were recorded. To calculate drug costs, we used a stepwise approach to determine an average price, depending on the availability of information: tariff in governmental purchases (2010); price, registered in the Ministry of Health; and distributors’ price. Multivariate sensitivity analysis was conducted. Price deviations for the sensitivity test of all drugs were calculated by using the minimum and maximum prices from the available sources (hospital purchases, state registered prices, and distributors’ prices). There are no defined general tariffs for hospital stay in Ukraine, which are relatively low in comparison to medical costs in the European countries and may vary from 3.4 to 19.2 EUR [17– 19]. All statistical analyses were performed in IBM SPSS Statistics 20 (SPSS, Inc., Chicago, IL), and bootstrapping (1000 replications) was performed in Microsoft Excel 2010. To analyze whether choice of the hospital and age and sex of a patient have an impact on total health care costs, logarithmic data transformation was performed on nonnormally distributed costs and a linear regression analysis was applied. Because of frequently missing data for the parameter “stage of the disease,” as a proxy for disease progression we included “number of years a patient is living with the disease” in the linear regression analysis. Based on Cook’s distance (0.028571), which measures the effect of deleting a given observation and so allows to define data points with large residuals, we excluded six outliers to improve the residuals plot and model validity. One-way analysis of variance (Welch test) was conducted to compare mean costs of treatment in the two hospitals involved (asymptotically F distributed). Paired-sample t test was used to compare difference in mean expenses for drugs and in-hospital stay. Results Overall, data of 113 patients from the first hospital (State Hematology Institute) and of 32 patients from the second hospital (National Cancer Institute) were analyzed. Patients were aged 40 to 85 years (mean age 62.9 years, mean age during diagnosis 60.3 years, SD 9.8 years). From the sample, 27.6% (40) of the patients were newly diagnosed. Because of limited sample size, the distribution of patients by sex was not equal in different age groups, with the total proportion of men being equal to 60.7% (88 men). Values of the cost items (drugs) and cost deviations for the sensitivity test are presented in Table 1. As can be seen in Table 1, the highest cost per milligram was for fludarabine, vincristine, and rituximab. Rituximab and fludarabine (if Fludara was prescribed) had the highest price per average daily dose, equal to 312.03 EUR for fludarabine and 237.93 EUR for rituximab. Because drug expenditures depend not only on cost per item but also on total volume used, we present cost-items utilization and characteristics of population using it in Table 2. Data are presented for items that were used by more than 3% of patients. Cyclophosphamide, fludarabine, and vincristine were prescribed to most of the patients. Characteristics of the study population using specific cost items showed a significant difference in the percentage of men prescribed cyclophosphamide, mitoxantrone, and chlorambucil in comparison to other drugs. No significant difference in the patients’ age was observed, although on average the age of patients receiving alemtuzumab was lower and of those receiving chlorambucil was higher. From Table 2 it also may be observed that the injectable form of fludarabine is prescribed significantly more than the oral form. 207 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 205–209 Table 1 – Price values of the drugs for the cost and sensitivity analyses. Drugs* Alemtuzumab (inj.) Bleomycin (inj.) Chlorambucil Cyclophosphamide (Adriablastine) Cyclophosphamide (other generics) Dexamethasone (inj.) Dexamethasone (po) Doxorubicin (inj.) Etoposide phosphate (po) Fludarabine (Fludara inj.) Fludarabine (Netran inj.) Fludarabine (Netran po) Fludarabine (other generics) Methylprednisolone (inj.) Methylprednisolone (po) Mitoxantrone (inj.) Prednisolone (inj.) Prednisolone (po) Rituximab (inj.) Vincristine (inj.) Vinblastine (inj.) Base-case price (EUR per mg) Range used in sensitivity analysis (EUR per mg) 0.4500 1.5100 0.0080 1.0600 0.0077 0.0200 0.0002 0.1300 0.1000 3.7400 0.7700 0.1500 2.7800 0.1100 0.0260 0.3800 0.0160 0.0072 2.0300 3.6700 0.6300 – 1.5100–1.6300 0.0080–0.2290 0.6700–1.4500 0.0010–0.0120 0.0040–0.0840 – 0.1300–0.4400 0.0980–0.1000 3.2200–3.7400 – – 0.7600–3.3700 0.0140–0.1100 0.0220–0.0300 0.3800–3.8300 0.0130–0.0170 0.0072–0.0077 1.3500–2.9600 2.8600–4.0600 0.4000–0.6300 Source† Tariff in governmental purchases Distributors’ price Tariff in governmental purchases Price, registered in the MOH Tariff in governmental purchases Price, registered in the MOH Price, registered in the MOH Tariff in governmental purchases Price, registered in the MOH Tariff in governmental purchases Tariff in governmental purchases Tariff in governmental purchases Price, registered in the MOH Price, registered in the MOH Price, registered in the MOH Tariff in governmental purchases Price, registered in the MOH Price, registered in the MOH Tariff in governmental purchases Tariff in governmental purchases Price, registered in the MOH 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 inj., injection; MOH, Ministry of Health; po, per os (by mouth). Trade name is indicated if the product was prescribed specifically by it. † To value the use of the drugs from a health care perspective, we used a stepwise approach to determine an average price, depending on the availability of information: tariff in governmental purchases (2010); price registered in the MOH; distributors’ price. The average annual cost for a patient’s drug treatment is 2047 EUR. The average cost of in-hospital stay is 542 EUR per person, resulting in total expenditures of 2589 EUR. Results indicate that expenses for drugs significantly exceed hospitalization costs (t ¼ 5.026; significance two-tailed ¼ 0.000). Mean total cost in the bootstrap analysis was 2584 EUR (median 2576, 97.5th percentile 3223 EUR; 2.5th percentile 1987 EUR). Sex of the patient, number of years a patient lives with the disease, and age at the time of hospitalization had no significant impact on health care costs per patient. Hospital choice (β ¼ −0.260; significance ¼ 0.002), however, was a strong determinant of health care costs. One-way analysis of variance also showed a significant difference in mean costs between the two hospitals involved (Welch statistics 19.222, P ¼ 0.000). The results of the multivariate sensitivity analysis showed that in the best-case (lowest cost) scenario, the average annual spending on drug treatment of a patient with CLL is 1659 EUR, and in the worst-case scenario, it is 2332 EUR. The deviation of drug costs does not exceed 12% on the negative side and 19% on the positive side. The annual cost of hospitalization ranges from 251 to 597 EUR per person and depends on the type of hospital at which a patient is treated. Discussion A literature review was conducted in the database PubMed to explore whether our results were consistent with results from studies in other countries and to understand whether factors that impact the cost of other cancer conditions are similar to those affecting CLL. The search was limited to a 10-year period of Englishlanguage articles studying multiple cancer conditions. The literature review showed that the major factors influencing the cost of cancer conditions are related to patients’ characteristics, such as stage at diagnosis and stage at treatment, degree of comorbidity, age and gender of a patient, and tumor site. Lal et al. [20], Longo et al. [21,22], and Yabroff et al. [23] recorded increased costs due to higher stage of the disease during treatment. Akushevich et al. [24], in a retrospective analysis on oncologic patients in the United States, determined that the highest costs exist in the period of treatment immediately after diagnosis. Yabroff et al. [23] also recorded that both the first stage and the last stage of the disease at the time of treatment are associated with higher costs. The results of the studies by Lal et al. [20] and Kuse et al. [25] demonstrated a connection between the degree of comorbidity and treatment costs. The impact of patient’s age on the cost of cancer was significant in a number of studies, but differed in scale and type of impact [20– 22,24,25]. Some research described an impact of tumor site on total costs of the diseases [21,22,24]. Yabroff et al. [23] showed that cost for the treatment of localized diseases is lower, a conclusion supported by Lai et al. [20] who noted that the highest costs were for hematological malignancies among other types of cancer. A limited number of economic analyses that describe factors influencing the cost of CLL treatment specifically were found. These studies showed a positive correlation between age and cost of drug treatment [6,26]. Danese et al. [26] also concluded that male gender is associated with higher cost for CLL drug treatment. Similar to Yabroff et al. [23], CLL phase-specific health care costs for the US-Medicare population were found to have a Ushaped pattern over lifetime [27]. A study in the United States by Lafeuille et al. [27] also reported significantly higher health care costs for a CLL population compared to matched controls, mainly because of the higher costs for physicians, caregivers, and inpatient care. Besides inpatient hospital stay, pharmaceuticals were the main cost drivers of CLL in a study in Germany [28], where the cost of treatment per case is about twice as high as the cost per case for highly prevalent diseases, such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or diabetes. This study also revealed that the average annual cost for patients with CLL from 208 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 205–209 Table 2 – Drug utilization related to patients’ population characteristics. Drugs* Patients using the drug (%) Average age (SD) of patients using this item (y) Men among ones who are using this drug Alemtuzumab (inj.) Chlorambucil (po) Cyclophosphamide (Adriablastine inj.) Cyclophosphamide (all brand names) Dexamethasone (inj.) Dexamethasone (po) Fludarabine (Fludara inj.) Fludarabine (po) Fludarabine inj. (all brand names) Methylprednisolone (po) Mitoxantrone (inj.) Prednisolone (inj.) Prednisolone (po) Rituximab (inj.) Vincristine (inj.) Mean volume per patient (mg) n (%) Prescriptions during the first year of treatment 10.3 7.6 4.8 57.90 ⫾ 9.25 74.45 ⫾ 4.61 64.29 ⫾ 5.85 9 (60.00) 5 (45.50) 6 (85.70) 0 (0.00) 6 (54.5) 4 (57.10) 87.14 4.76 7.24 66.2 62.95 ⫾ 9.13 59 (61.50) 29 (30.20) 2900.34 10.0 60.07 ⫾ 8.71 19 (65.50) 7 (24.10) 22.70 5.4 44.4 59.20 ⫾ 6.50 60.56 ⫾ 8.82 3 (60.00) 36 (57.10) 1 (20.00) 13 (20.60) 4.41 377.87 3.4 47.6 59.80 ⫾ 8.35 60.65 ⫾ 8.82 3 (60.00) 40 (58.00) 0 (0.00) 13 (18.80) 30.48 411.79 4.8 56.29 ⫾ 10.42 4 (57.1) 1 (14.3) 22.59 5.5 5.5 26.2 12.4 31.0 58.12 60.63 66.63 59.28 64.51 ⫾ 6.31 ⫾ 10.64 ⫾ 8.07 ⫾ 6.72 ⫾9.57 7 5 26 13 34 (87.50) (62.50) (68.40) (72.20) (75.60) 0 2 14 5 17 (0.00) (25.00) (36.80) (27.80) (37.80) 4.35 224.63 179.37 258.62 1.66 inj., injection; po, per os (by mouth). Trade name is indicated if a product was prescribed not by generic but by a trade name with a high frequency (for cyclophosphamide and fludarabine). the sickness fund perspective decreased with increasing age until 60 to 65 years, and thereafter increased. Results of these US and German studies [27,28] differed from the results of our analysis conducted in Ukraine, where the cost of medical care is relatively low and the major expenses are drug related. Similar to our results, a literature review conducted by Stephens et al. [16] concluded that the cost of drug therapy is the main driver for CLL treatment costs, significantly exceeding hospitalization costs. Previous research has suggested that the major factors influencing the cost of cancer conditions are stage at diagnosis and stage at treatment, degree of comorbidity, age and gender, tumor site, and type of therapy received. Our study on a Ukrainian sample from two specialized institutions, however, showed that only hospital choice had a significant impact on the cost of drug treatment. Possible explanations may be risk-patient selection or difference in treatment practice within the hospitals. High usage of injectable forms of drugs such as fludarabine and dexamethasone also was observed in this study. Because no health technology assessment agency currently exists, there are no recommendations comparing injectable and oral forms developed in Ukraine. Nevertheless, the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence [29] recommends giving preference to the oral form of fludarabine because of its higher efficiency. Rationality of the use of the injectable form of fludarabine in CLL treatment practice may be a potential topic for further research in Ukraine. Ukraine is a country with a post-Semashko model of the health care system, and currently there is no state reimbursement system. Limited reimbursement for in-hospital treatment, however, is provided under governmental programs for such diseases as AIDS, tuberculosis, diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, and cancer, among other diseases. These in-hospital state purchases cover from 7% to 40% of oncologic patients’ needs depending on the region and hospital type [30,31]. Major expenses on drugs are covered by patients’ out-of-pocket payments. Thus, the high treatment cost of chronic conditions such as CLL may be a significant economic burden, especially for patients with low income. The average annual cost of drug treatment for patients with CLL is 2047 EUR, with the majority of costs paid out of pocket. From December 1, 2011, the minimum annual subsistence level in Ukraine is equal to 1155 EUR for people of working age and 920 EUR for those who are retired. These figures are lower than annual costs of drug treatment for patients with CLL in Ukraine, according to current clinical practice in specialized hospitals. This may impose a significant economic impact of the disease on vulnerable populations (e.g., elderly poor), taking into account only limited governmental subsidy. With high costs for the treatment of hematologic malignancies [15,26], and insufficient reimbursement level for drug treatment in Ukraine [9], the treatment of CLL in specialized hospitals may be financially difficult for economically unprotected patients because of high therapy costs. Implications Our analysis indicates that there is likely to be a significant difference in the practice of treating CLL within different hospitals of Ukraine, resulting in a significant deviation in drug expenditures. Therefore, it is not clear whether treatment standards are being followed within the hospitals and whether the schemes used are evidence based and rational. These issues should be explored further in future studies. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 205–209 Limitations Retrospective analysis allowed us to make an estimation of treatment cost for CLL in specialized medical institutions of Ukraine and to explore its correlation with patient characteristics. Our research, however, suffered from several limitations. First, our research does not allow us to assess the economic burden of CLL in Ukraine. It is expected that costs of treatment in the current study may be higher than in the regional oncology dispensaries because of larger state subsidiaries and patients’ expenditures on drugs. Moreover, data on stage of the patient’s disease and health state on Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) criterion were missing and thus excluded from the factor list. It is possible, however, that these factors may have an impact on CLL costs. We conducted a linear regression analysis on logarithmictransformed costs data while excluding six outliers on the basis of Cook’s distance. Disregarding these six observations may have increased the significance of the statistical analysis and the strength of the relation between the independent variable (hospital choice) and the dependent variable (health care costs). Conclusions Drug treatment comprises the largest portion of total costs, which presumably may be a high economic burden for a patient with CLL who is the major payer of treatment expenses in Ukraine. Costs of drug treatment significantly depend on the type of hospital selected. Acknowledgment We thank Carter Mandrik, PhD, for help in manuscript editing. Olena Mandrik is employed by MSD Ukraine and affiliated with Erasmus University Rotterdam, Institute of Health Policy & Management by means of a PhD-hospitality agreement. The views expressed in this article are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the authors’ employers. Source of financial support: The authors have no other financial relationships to disclose. 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VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 210–217 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Costs of Medically Attended Acute Gastrointestinal Infections: The Polish Prospective Healthcare Utilization Survey Marcin Czech, PhD, MD, MBA1,*, Magdalena Rosinska, PhD, MD2, Justyna Rogalska, MSc2, Ewa Staszewska, MSc2, Pawel Stefanoff, PhD, MD, MSc2 1 Faculty of Pharmacy, Department of Pharmacoeconomics, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland; 2Department of Epidemiology, National Institute of Public Health–National Institute of Hygiene, Warsaw, Poland AB STR A CT Objectives: The burden of acute gastrointestinal infections (AGIs) on the society has not been well studied in Central European countries, which prevents the implementation of effective, targeted public health interventions. Methods: We investigated patients of 11 randomly selected general practices and 8 hospital units. Each patient meeting the international AGI case definition criteria was interviewed on costs incurred related to the use of health care resources. Follow-up interview with consenting patients was conducted 2 to 4 weeks after the general practitioner (GP) visit or discharge from hospital, collecting information on self-medication costs and indirect costs. Costs were recalculated to US dollars by using the purchasing power parity exchange rate for Poland. Results: Weighting the inpatient costs by age-specific probability of hospital referral by GPs, the societal cost of a medically attended AGI case was estimated to be US $168. The main cost drivers of direct medical costs were cost of hospital bed days (US $28), cost of outpatient pharmacotherapy (US $20), and cost of GP consultation (US $10). Patients covered only the cost of outpatient pharmacotherapy. Considering the AGI population GP consultation rate, the age-adjusted societal cost of medically attended AGI episodes was estimated at US $2222 million, of which 53% was attributable to indirect costs. Conclusions: Even though AGIs generate a low cost for individuals, they place a high burden on the society, attributed mostly to indirect costs. Higher resources could be allocated to the prevention and control of AGIs. Keywords: direct medical costs, direct nonmedical costs, gastrointestinal infections, indirect costs, Poland. Introduction caused by other pathogens have not been well documented, although recent evidence indicates that costs for AGIs caused by different etiological factors can be similar [10]. Poland, located in Central Europe, with its 38.4 million habitants is the 34th most populous country in the world and the 6th largest country in the European Union. The gross national product per capita is almost US $16,710 [11]. The overall quality of health care provision nationwide, as judged by European standards, is regarded as being high, which is reflected in the nation’s average life expectancy, estimated at 71 years for men and 80 years for women [11]. Poland’s health care system is based on an all-inclusive social insurance system. An insured person and members of his or her family are entitled to free health services offered by providers who have signed contracts with the National Health Fund. The National Health Fund is a state-owned third-party payer. It finances health services and assures reimbursement of medicines. There is a rapidly growing private sector consisting of private general practitioners’ (GPs’) and specialists’ practices and rarely private clinics and hospitals, paid on a fee-for-service or prepaid basis. The drugs reimbursement system grants unrestricted access to essential drugs and different level of copayment for the remaining specialty medicines (depending on the Acute gastrointestinal infections (AGIs) can be caused by viruses, bacteria, and parasites, as well as through physical or chemical intoxications. Symptoms and high incidence of AGIs may put a substantial burden on patients and the health care system—from medical, social, and economic perspectives. An estimation of the true burden of AGI symptoms on the society, however, is difficult [1]. In developed countries, AGIs are common but usually do not cause severe disease. Sufferers frequently downplay its significance, and doctors often do not trace the causes of individual cases. The majority of AGIs in Poland are not treated at all or are treated with rehydration and/or over-the-counter drugs [2,3]. For these reasons, economic consequences of AGIs are not properly assessed and thus their true burden is underestimated. Available scarce evidence indicates that the societal cost of the so-called mild gastrointestinal illnesses is considerably higher than the costs associated with acute hospitalized cases [4]. To date, high-quality evidence on burden and costs to the society has been collected mostly for rotavirus-associated AGIs—in relation to both ambulatory care [5,6] and hospital settings [7–9]. Costs for AGIs Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Marcin Czech, Faculty of Pharmacy, Department of Pharmacoeconomics, Medical University of Warsaw, Zwirki i Wigury 81, 02-091 Warsaw, Poland. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.011 211 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 210–217 Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical [ATC] Classification System group, disease, patient’s status, etc.). Currently in Poland, no reliable cost data in health care system are available [12]. These data are not recorded by health care institutions, because GP practices are reimbursed for the number of registered patients and hospital admissions are reimbursed on the basis of discharge codes of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision, not depending on the health care procedures used. Consequently, there are no health care cost databases in Poland that are similar to those in other developed countries, such as the National Health Service database in the United Kingdom [13]. The aim of the present article was to summarize direct medical, nonmedical, and indirect costs related to the management of AGI cases to estimate its societal costs and to enable better planning and monitoring of AGI prevention programs in the future. Methods We estimated AGI-related resource use linked to GP consultations and hospitalizations by using a prospective study conducted between May 2008 and September 2009. We have described detailed methods for study site selection and AGI cases recruitment in previous publication [3]. Studied Population The Polish Prospective Healthcare Utilization Survey was performed in a randomly selected population sample served by 11 Table 1 – List of unit costs generated by AGI cases consulting GPs in Poland between May 2008 and September 2009. Detailed cost categories GP consultation Laboratory testing Complete blood count Stool sample for microbiological confirmation Other (blood smear, electrolytes, etc.) Imaging diagnostics (ultrasonography) Pharmacotherapy (ATC) Rehydration fluids (−) Intestinal anti-infectives (A07A) Antidiarrheal microorganisms (A07F) Other probiotics (−) Other antidiarrheals (A07X) Drugs for functional gastrointestinal disorders (A03) Analgesics and anti-inflammatory products (N02B, M01A) Antibacterials for systemic use (J01) Other pharmaceuticals (A01A, A02B, A07D, A09A, R05C, R06A, V06D, no ATC code) Materials used Medical devices (syringes, needles, ports, fluid transfusion sets) Biological specimen containers Other (gloves, swabs, disposable towels, gowns, disinfectants, soaps, etc.) Emergency department visits Specialist consultation Transport (number of kilometers) Cost per kilometer number of kilometers Home care (family, friends, service) Absence from work (number of days off work) Cost per day off number of days Unit cost per patient (US $) Number Total cost (US $) Mean 95% CI Median 95% CI Paid by payer† Paid by patient 385/385 14/385 10/385 10.25 19.26 3.52 9.64–10.86 13.91–24.62 3.02–4.03 8.14 19.46 3.74 8.05–8.21 12.40–26.52 2.83–4.65 3946.54 269.70 35.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 9/385 14.17 11.14–17.21 13.51 9.17–17.85 127.57 0.00 10/385 10.69 7.58–13.79 10.24 6.45–14.03 106.91 0.00 11/385 17.28 14.46–20.10 13.51 6.60–20.43 190.11 0.00 382/385 230/385 229/385 20.71 6.72 5.77 19.86–21.55 6.18–7.25 5.53–6.02 19.33 5.06 4.75 18.51–20.15 4.76–5.37 4.02–5.47 985.11 442.67 0.00 6924.65 1102.28 1322.01 144/385 8.30 8.03–8.57 8.83 – 0.00 89/385 127/385 8.97 7.59 8.14–9.84 7.48–7.70 8.03 7.53 – – 0.00 0.00 798.83 963.81 81/385 5.12 4.36–5.89 4.59 4.37–4.81 41.81 373.22 82/385 4.02 3.28–4.77 1.74 0–3.58 67.32 262.42 60/385 8.02 6.68–9.35 7.35 6.85–7.85 159.89 320.94 68/385 10.63 8.82–12.44 8.47 3.32–13.62 273.42 449.19 66/385 0.34 0.17–0.51 0.09 0.04–0.14 22.30 0.00 1195.4 19/385 0.37 0.19–0.55 0.15 0.12–0.28 7.01 0.00 4/385 1.29 0.11–2.46 0.95 0–2.43 5.16 0.00 66/385 0.15 0.10–0.20 0.09 0.04–0.14 10.14 0.00 4/115 7/115 82/115 54.05 17.78 36.96 – – 17.91–56.01 54.05 17.78 13.00 – – 9.21–16.79 216.22 124.45 – 0.00 0.00 – 82/115 16.84 8.02–25.66 6.32 4.26–8.39 0.00 1380.85 34/115 127.98 64.37–29.42 62.89 36.11–89.66 4,351.30 54.05 10/115 6.10 10/115 511.48 3.89–8.31 330.91–692.04 6.00 503.09 3.03–8.97 262.75–743.44 – 5,114.77 – 0.00 AGI, acute gastrointestinal infection; ATC, Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical Classification System; CI, confidence interval; GP, general practitioner; WHO, World Health Organization. US $1 ¼ 1.85 PLN (WHO CHOICE). † State institution (National Health Fund or social insurance). 212 Table 2 – List of unit costs generated by AGI cases admitted to a hospital in Poland between May 2008 and September 2009. Detailed cost categories Unit cost per patient (US $)* Total cost (US $)* Mean 95% CI Median 95% CI Paid by payer† 504/504 504/504 503/504 497/504 384/504 310/504 479/504 494/504 308/504 385/504 325/504 149/504 467/504 351/504 78/504 42/504 50/504 288/504 251/504 178/504 96/504 109/504 84/504 504/504 492/504 163/504 156/504 39/504 55/504 136/504 179/504 4.74 832.63 49.74 4.03 3.27 4.51 2.34 6.57 3.24 2.76 4.21 5.13 3.7 13.68 5.83 13.99 8.55 13.19 32.29 18,00 13.19 10.06 30.21 15.57 5.72 3.09 1.80 2.43 1.68 1.36 15.08 4.41–5.06 782.84–882.43 47.36–52.10 3.86–4.19 3.14–3.40 4.29–4.72 2.24–2.44 6.17–6.98 3.10–3.38 2.62–2.89 3.03–5.39 4.47–5.79 3.54–3.86 12.89–14.46 5.22–6.43 10.83–17.15 7.43–9.67 12.1–14.28 28.89–35.69 16.63–19.37 11.42–14.96 8.29–11.84 24.43–35.98 13.98–17.15 5.25–6.18 2.58–3.6 1.45–2.15 1.98–2.87 1.30–2.06 1.08–1.65 13.06–17.09 4.00 688.84 47.84 4.05 3.24 3.62 2.16 4.59 3.24 2.16 2.16 3.24 3.78 9.73 4.86 9.73 8.65 10.27 24.32 20,00 9.73 5.41 23.94 9.70 4.25 2.19 1.10 2.22 1.17 0.63 11.73 3.86–4.14 644.99–732.70 44.46–50.95 3.96–4.15 – 2.08–5.16 – – 3.21–3.28 1.63–2.70 2.05–2.27 2.49–3.99 3.26–4.30 9.26–10.20 – 9.33–10.13 5.48–11.82 8.18–12.36 23.16–25.49 19.15–20.85 8.51–10.95 2.88–2.52 18.61–29.26 8.70–10.71 3.69–4.81 1.92–2.47 0.87–1.32 1.57–2.87 0.83–1.51 0.35–0.90 10.41–13.05 – 419,647.46 25,015.72 2,002.53 1,254.95 1,396.70 1,120.80 3,248.30 999.24 1,062.27 1,369.04 764.65 1,728.10 4,800.70 454.35 587.57 427.57 3,798.95 8,104.74 3,204.39 1,266.35 1,096.91 2,537.09 7,798.49 2,813.16 503.55 280.50 94.66 92.15 185.37 2,698.90 – 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 338/504 3.34 2.74–3.95 1.71 1.51–1.90 1,130.20 0.00 71/504 504/504 504/504 17.78 30.26 3.89 15.22–20.33 25.99–34.53 3.59–4.19 16.22 12.42 2.98 15.42–17.02 10.72–14.13 2.70–3.25 1,262.16 15,250.69 1,959.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 475/504 1.23 1.11–1.36 0.92 0.88–0.97 586.27 0.00 Paid by patient VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 210–217 Number of bed days of hospitalization Cost per bed day number of bed days Laboratory testing Complete blood count Blood smear C-reactive protein Erythrocyte sedimentation rate Electrolytes Urea Creatinine Glucose Gasometry General urine examination Stool sample for microbiological confirmation Stool sample Blood culture Nasopharyngeal sample for microbiological confirmation Other Imaging diagnostics Abdominal ultrasonography Chest radiography Electrocardiography Other Pharmacotherapy Rehydration fluids Intestinal anti-infectives (A07A) Antidiarrheal microorganisms (A07F) Other antidiarrheals (A07X) Drugs for functional gastrointestinal disorders (A03) Analgesics and anti-inflammatory products (N02B, M01A) Antibacterials for systemic use (J01) Other pharmaceuticals (A02A, A02B, A05B, A06A, A07C, A07D, A07E, A11G, A12B, B05A, H02A, J05A, N03A, N06B, R05C, R06A, V06D, V07A, no ATC code) Specialist consultation Materials used Medical devices (syringes, needles, fluid transfusion sets) Containers and test tubes (urine and other biological specimen containers) Number 213 ambulatories and an independent population served by 8 hospital units located in 6 Polish voivodships (14.4 million inhabitants, 38% of Poland’s population). During the study period, local coordinators recruited patients meeting inclusion criteria. The inclusion and exclusion criteria used in the present study were compatible with the AGI definition proposed by the International Collaboration on Enteric Disease Burden of Illness [14] and used in the recent study of AGI prevalence in the community [15]. The Ethical Committee at the National Institute of Public Health in Warsaw reviewed and accepted the study protocol. AGI, acute gastrointestinal infection; ATC, Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical Classification System; CI, confidence interval; WHO, World Health Organization. *US $1 ¼ 1.85 PLN (WHO CHOICE). † State institution (National Health Fund or social insurance). 0.00 – 6850.80 6850.80 0.00 – 0.00 0.00 0.00 477,079.26 – 0.00 0.00 19,274.71 – 2,635.24 1,928.52 23,838.47 893.92–999.25 86.76–165.51 40.10–75.04 40.10–75.04 257.05–456.83 – 141.36–264.06 329.75–955.93 261.30–459.39 504/504 119/145 119/145 119/145 54/145 – 13/145 3/145 70/145 946.59 126.13 57.57 57.57 356.94 – 202.71 642.84 360.34 803.70 50.00 22.59 22.59 251.55 – 179.68 838.49 251.55 733.41–873.98 31.15–68.85 14.34–30.84 14.34–30.84 179.19–323.90 – 120.54–238.82 329.31–1130.18 161.06–342.03 0.00 0.00 967.55 6.44–8.30 7.37 1.62–2.24 19.66–26.91 1.93 504/504 Disinfectants and soaps Other (gloves, swabs, cotton balls, pampers, disposable towels, gowns, etc.) Direct medical costs Transport (number of kilometers) Cost per kilometer number of kilometers Direct nonmedical costs Home care (family, friends, service) Absence from work (only patients aged 18–65 y) Due to hospitalization After hospitalization Indirect costs 501/504 23.29 0.70 0.56–0.85 11,737.04 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 210–217 Collection of Data on Costs For each patient, local coordinators filled a standardized questionnaire on health care resource utilization that was developed specifically for this study. The questionnaire recording information on GP visits consisted of 18 items, which were divided into general demographic information, clinical presentation, use of pharmaceutical preparations, diagnostic tests, materials, and specialist consultations. For each health care resource used, a monetary value was allocated. The hospital resource utilization questionnaire consisted of 26 items, which were divided into general demographic and clinical information as well as patient management at the admission unit and separately at the hospital ward. The local coordinators fill the information on monetary cost incurred on the basis of internal unit prices. Study coordinators interviewed all consenting patients 2 to 4 weeks after GP visit or discharge from hospital. A structured telephone interview comprised 16 questions related to the current occupation, effect of the disease on daily activities, absence from work, and use of home care and transport in relation to AGIs, further GP or specialist consultations, admissions to the hospital, and use of prescription and over-thecounter medications and diagnostic tests. Cost Analysis We obtained reference values for the calculation of costs from official state publications for the period January to December 2009. We summarized detailed use of health care resources separately for GP consultations and hospital admissions. We collected data on type, form, and quantity of pharmaceuticals, medical devices, diagnostic procedures, laboratory tests, referrals to specialists and emergency departments, as well as on hospitalizations and grouped them by using a bottom-up microcosting approach [16]. GP consultation cost and hospital cost of bed day was obtained from a query of studied health care facilities accounting departments by using accounts breakdown [17], dividing cost items into personnel, building, equipment, administration, food, cleaning, laundry, maintenance, and other costs. To calculate the cost of GP consultation, we summed monthly costs pertaining to the maintenance of the GP practice and divided them by the number of physicians working in the health unit and their working time (cost per minute of GP consultation). To calculate the cost of hospitalization bed day, we divided the monthly costs of the hospital ward maintenance by the number of patients admitted to the hospital ward. We obtained costs of pharmaceuticals (ATC coding), medical devices, and other medical materials from purchasing units in hospitals. Emergency department costs were taken from an official diagnosis-related group system. For the imputation of quantitative missing data, we used the mean values from the current study data set or average prices from participating health unit price lists. Missing values for pharmaceutical costs were obtained from the national pharmaceutical formulary [18]. If only international names were provided by respondents, then we would impute the values on the basis of prices of the most commonly used generics. Transportation costs were based on official mileage rates [19]. We calculated indirect costs 214 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 210–217 related to absence from work and time devoted to care by using a human capital approach based on average wages lost [16]. We did not take into account reduced productivity owing to presenteeism or premature death. We used three perspectives for cost calculations: household/ patient, public payer, and societal. We applied a standard cost division into direct medical, nonmedical, and indirect costs [16]. We estimated separately costs of outpatient and inpatient care, stratified by age group (o4, 5–18, 19–65, and 465 years). For each cost category, we calculated the mean, median, and total cost. For the mean and median, we computed confidence intervals by using 1000 bootstrap percentile replications. For the estimation of the overall cost of medically attended AGI cases, we weighted the costs related to hospitalization by age-specific proportion of patients referred to the hospital. These figures were based on two recent Polish studies of AGI burden [3,15]. All costs collected in the local currency (PLN) were recalculated into US dollars by using the purchasing power parity exchange rate for Poland [20]. All analyses and data manipulations were done in Stata version 10 (StataCorp LP, College Station, TX) [21]. Estimating Population AGI Burden For the estimation of AGI monetary costs in the society (total national cost, TNC), we developed a stochastic model by using @RISK 5.0 (Palisade Corporation, Ithaca, NY), a Monte Carlo simulation add-in to Microsoft Excel: TNC ¼ ∑ pop n IGP n CGP þ pop n IHOSP n CHOSP age group where age group is either 0 to 17 and 18 years or more, pop is the population, IGP is the rate of GP visits per person-year, IHOSP is the hospital admission rate per person-year, CGP is the societal cost per GP visit, and CHOSP is the societal cost per hospital admission. All parameters are age-group specific. Our study was designed to collect data on individual costs of AGI cases at different levels, and it was not feasible to derive incidence and follow-up data directly. Therefore, to obtain population estimates of AGI-related GP visits and hospitalizations, we related our data to a population-based survey performed at the same time [15]. We selected this particular survey owing to large sample size, similar time span, and geographic coverage. Annual rates of AGI-related GP visits and hospital admissions were represented by beta distributions. The cost estimates per GP visit and hospital admission were represented by log-logistic distributions. The distribution parameters were estimated on the basis of sample cost distributions by using maximum likelihood estimators. The national annual cost of medically attended AGIs was calculated by using Monte Carlo simulation with the above-mentioned probability distributions and the 2009 population estimate for Poland. The model was run for 150,000 iterations to stabilize the output distributions. The mean and 95% uncertainty limits were reported. Direct Medical Cost Unit costs related to GP consultations of AGI cases are listed in Table 1. Overall, direct medical costs amounted to US $34 per AGI patient consultation. Prescribed pharmaceuticals, paid in 88% by patients, were the main cost driver in relation to GP consultations. Particularly, pharmaceuticals of the A07 ATC group (antidiarrheal and intestinal anti-inflammatory/anti-infective agents) were not reimbursed. However, an important share of antiinflammatory and analgesic drugs (M01A, N02B) and antibiotics (J01) costs was reimbursed by the state. The next cost driver in primary care were GP visits’ costs, equal to US $11, entirely paid by the state payer. Laboratory testing and diagnostic procedures were relatively cheap for an average AGI patient owing to their rare utilization (US $0.7 and US $0.5, respectively) but substantial in terms of unit cost values (US $19 and US $17, respectively). Unit costs related to the hospital treatment of AGI cases are listed in Table 2. Inpatient care generated on average US $947 of direct medical costs, including US $833 of bed days (average cost per bed day was US $176). The other cost drivers in inpatient care were costs of laboratory diagnostics, materials, imaging diagnostics, and pharmacotherapy. All direct medical costs were covered by the state-owned third-party payer. Taking into account the summed costs generated by medically attended AGI cases, direct medical costs were highest for patients aged 5 to 18 years (Table 3). The excess cost was related mostly to the higher cost of hospitalization bed day in pediatric wards than in adult wards (US $226 vs. US $117), and substantially lower probability of hospitalization among 18- to 64-year-old AGI cases. Direct Nonmedical Costs The only nonmedical direct cost considered in our study was the cost of transportation in relation to health care services. In outpatient care, the average cost of reaching the service (average distance of 20 km) amounted for US $17 (Table 1). In relation to inpatient care, this cost was higher (mean cost per patient was US $58) (Table 2) owing to longer distance to the hospital and common necessity of several trips to the hospital undertaken by primary carers. The costs of transportation were higher for persons younger than 18 years, which was especially marked in relation to inpatient care-related costs (Table 3). All nonmedical direct costs were covered by the patients. Indirect Costs The indirect costs assessed in our study related to home care (average cost per hour was US $10 ) and absence from work in relation to AGI (average cost of 1 day off work was US $84 ). In relation to outpatient care, the average cost of home care of 34 patients (on average 13 hours of care) was US $128 and the average cost of absence of 10 patients from work (on average 6 days off work) was US $511 (Table 1). In relation to inpatient care, the average cost of home care of 54 patients was estimated at US $357 and the average cost of absence from work of 13 patients was US $351 (Table 2). Costs of home care were substantially higher for persons younger than 18 years in outpatient care and were highest for persons older than 65 years in relation to inpatient care (Table 3). Costs of absence from work were almost exclusively limited to patients aged 18 to 64 years and were by far the most important cost driver in this age group overall. Results During the study period, valid questionnaires were collected on 385 GP visits, including 113 follow-up interviews, and on 504 hospital admissions, including 145 follow-up interviews. A detailed description of the selection of study sites and study population is presented elsewhere [3]. Cost Perspectives and Estimated AGI Societal Burden The average cost of one medically attended AGI case in Poland, taking into account patient management and flow of patients from primary to secondary care observed in population-based studies, was estimated at US $136 from the state-owned third-party payer, US $32 215 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 210–217 Table 3 – Average societal costs of medically attended AGI cases, by cost category and age group in Poland between May 2008 and September 2009. Cost category (US $)* Outpatient Average cost of GP visit Laboratory testing Imaging diagnostics Pharmacotherapy Materials Emergency department visit Specialist consultation Inpatient† Average cost of hospitalization Laboratory testing Imaging diagnostics Pharmacotherapy Materials Specialist consultation Total direct medical costs Transport related to GP visit Transport related to hospitalization‡ Total direct nonmedical costs Outpatient Home care (family, friends, service) related to visit Absence from work related to GP visit Inpatient† Home care related to hospitalization Absence from work related to hospitalization Total indirect costs Total cost allocated to one studied patient Of which direct Of which indirect 0–4 y 5–18 y 19–64 y 65þ y All age groups 10.94 0.89 0.16 21.19 0.06 0.00 0.67 10.15 0.49 0.69 19.35 0.09 3.86 0.36 9.62 0.78 0.73 20.71 0.05 3.28 0.00 10.42 0.00 0.76 21.18 0.01 0.00 0.00 10.25 0.70 0.49 20.54 0.06 1.88 0.32 38.56 1.97 0.35 0.50 1.56 0.15 77.00 12.89 2.27 15.16 57.20 3.68 0.79 0.77 1.36 0.21 99.00 10.59 3.39 13.98 4.35 0.36 0.14 0.15 0.21 0.01 40.39 12.80 0.06 12.86 22.56 1.29 0.99 0.63 0.74 0.02 58.60 1.51 0.49 2.00 28.11 1.68 0.54 0.52 1.02 0.08 66.19 12.01 1.60 13.61 45.66 0.00 51.66 8.98 16.52 147.37 10.48 0.00 38.31 44.48 4.77 0.00 50.43 142.59 92.16 50.43 5.62 0.00 66.26 179.24 112.98 66.26 0.81 2.64 167.34 220.59 53.25 167.34 8.97 0.00 19.45 80.05 60.60 19.45 4.49 1.06 88.34 168.15 79.81 88.34 AGI, acute gastrointestinal infection; GP, general practitioner; WHO, World Health Organization. US $1 ¼ 1.85 PLN (WHO CHOICE). † Inpatient costs weighted by age-specific proportion of GP patients referred to the hospital. ‡ Based on the number of kilometers. from household, and US $168 from societal perspective (Table 4). The majority of this cost is paid by the state. The estimated societal cost of medically attended AGI episodes amounted to US $2222 million (95% uncertainty interval was US $734 to US $6367 million). Discussion The costs of medically attended AGI episodes in Poland were examined in primary and secondary care, from state, household, and societal perspectives, in terms of direct and indirect costs. We did not assess separately costs attributed to AGI etiological agents because the evidence from the literature showed that their direct costs are in a similar range [10]. When weighting the inpatient costs by age-specific probability of hospital referral by GPs, we estimated the societal cost of a medically attended AGI case amounting to US $168. In terms of direct medical costs, the main cost drivers were cost of hospital bed days, cost of GP consultation (both paid by the state-owned third-party payer), and cost of outpatient pharmacotherapy, covered in majority by patients. Overall, indirect costs prevailed over direct costs (US $88 vs. US $80), which was mostly pronounced among adults in the productive age, where 76% of the costs were attributed to indirect costs. Based on the GP consultation rate estimated in a parallel population-based telephone survey [15], the estimated age-adjusted societal cost of medically attended AGI episodes would be US $1681 million. International comparisons of economic costs between countries are difficult from the methodological point of view. The societal costs of AGI cases depend on the disease prevalence, differences in health-seeking behaviors, and health care system organization. Historically, different AGI case definitions were used, different currency exchange rates were applied, and different cost categories were taken into account in the cost calculations. Estimates of AGI costs referring to the general population are sparse. The societal costs of medically attended AGI cases were estimated to be US $3510 million in the United States [22], which, considering a conservative assumption of 2% annual discounting until June 30, 2009, would give US $688 for a medically attended AGI case. Another study estimated the societal costs of all AGI cases in New Zealand at NZ $89 million [23], which would be equivalent to US $359 per AGI episode, as of 2009. Straightforward comparisons with developing countries are difficult because only estimates of costs for AGI hospitalization costs were published. The societal cost of rotavirus hospitalization ranged from US $36 in Vietnam [24], US $77 in Uzbekistan [25], US $81 in one center in India [10] to US $87 in Kyrgyzstan [26]. The study on the hospital cost of bacterial diarrhea in Thailand showed similar numbers: US $77 per inpatient episode [8]. The above figures are much lower compared with our estimate of US $1078 per hospital admission. These differences reflect the important disparities in the cost of health care services between the developed and developing world and are concordant in great extent with World Health Organization estimates for different World Health Organization regions [20]. 216 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 210–217 Table 4 – Average costs of medically attended AGI cases, by cost category and cost perspective, in Poland between May 2008 and September 2009. Cost category (US $)* Outpatient Average cost of GP visit Laboratory testing Imaging diagnostics Pharmacotherapy Materials Emergency department visit Specialist consultation Inpatient† Average cost of hospitalization Laboratory testing Imaging diagnostics Pharmacotherapy Materials Specialist consultation Total direct medical costs Transport related to GP visit Transport related to hospitalization† Total direct nonmedical costs Outpatient Home care (family, friends, service) related to visit Absence from work related to GP visit Inpatient† Home care related to hospitalization Absence from work related to hospitalization Total indirect costs Total cost allocated to one studied patient Of which direct Of which indirect Patient Payer Societal 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.25 0.70 0.49 2.56 0.06 1.88 0.32 10.25 0.70 0.49 20.54 0.06 1.88 0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.99 12.01 1.60 13.61 28.11 1.68 0.54 0.52 1.02 0.08 48.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.11 1.68 0.54 0.52 1.02 0.08 66.19 12.01 1.60 13.61 0.47 0.00 37.84 44.48 38.31 44.48 0.00 0.00 0.47 32.07 31.60 0.47 4.49 1.06 87.87 136.08 48.21 87.87 4.49 1.06 88.34 168.15 79.81 88.34 AGI, acute gastrointestinal infection; GP, general practitioner; WHO, World Health Organization. US $1 ¼ 1.85 PLN (WHO CHOICE). † Inpatient costs weighted by age-specific proportion of GP patients referred to the hospital. In our study, indirect costs constituted 53% of all costs attributed to AGI cases. The predominance of indirect costs over direct costs generated by AGI cases was seen in all studies performed in developed countries. Indirect costs represented 64% of total AGI-related costs in the United States [22], 70% in Israel [6], and 87% in New Zealand [23]. In Poland, AGIs are perceived as low public health priority, which is probably related to typical mild and self-resolving symptoms. Control measures are limited to the investigation of foodborne outbreaks, and Salmonella control program in poultry flocks mandated by the European Commission resolution since 2003 [27]. Rotavirus vaccination is also not considered as priority by the national advisory group for immunization. Currently, the cost of etiological investigation for selected pathogens (most commonly Salmonella and Shigella) is free of charge only if performed in the course of an outbreak investigation. As a result of this situation, most AGI cases reported to surveillance have unknown etiology [15], which prevents implementation of efficient interventions. Our study indicates that AGIs place a high burden on the society. Out-of-pocket spending for an average patient with AGI in Poland seems to be relatively small, amounting only to US $32 for a medically attended case. Even coupled with indirect costs associated with absence from work and home care equal to US $88, the burden to the individual patient may be regarded as relatively low as equivalent to 7% of mean monthly income of a Polish citizen. Similarly calculated monetary burden on an affected household was estimated to be 25% in Malaysia [28] and 40% in Taiwan [29]. If we considered the impact of AGIs on Poland’s economy, the ratio of estimated AGI societal cost to GDP would be 0.3% and the ratio to the total expenditure per capita would be equal to 4.3%. Considering the estimate of 81% of the societal cost attributable to the public payer, AGIs clearly constitute a high burden on the national health care system. A similar comparison performed in New Zealand found that the ratio of foodborne illness cost to GDP was 0.1% [23]. Our study has a number of limitations. First, restricting the study to health care facilities did not allow the estimation of costs of AGI episodes not consulting GPs. The follow-up interviews provided some insight into self-medication practices and indirect costs of home care. These data are however not sufficient to extrapolate to the general population estimates of AGI cases that were not medically attended. Second, noninclusion of thirdlevel reference hospitals led to the underestimation of our cost estimates because it included only the costs generated by uncomplicated AGI cases treated in general hospitals located near patients’ residence. Cases with severe complications, although rare, would lead to higher direct as well as indirect costs of treatment. Third, we did not include private sector health care units in our study. In the private practices and private hospitals, patients are paying for each service. By not including private health care units, we probably underestimated the AGI management cost. However, the calculation of the actual costs incurred in the health care units would lead to the approximation of general health care costs, as the private sector units compete for the same patients with the public sector health care and have to calculate their services accurately. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 210–217 Conclusions These data may imply that much higher resources could be allotted to the prevention and control of acute gastroenteritis, even when considering only their direct medical costs. For better targeting of public health interventions, it would be necessary to understand the relative importance of different transmission routes as well as the relative burden placed by different pathogens in Poland. An appropriate prioritization of interventions, in turn, would enable improvement in their cost-effectiveness. These results can also impact health care planning, as the prevention of nosocomial transmission of AGI pathogens may lead to substantial savings. Source of financial support: The Polish Prospective Healthcare Utilization Survey was jointly funded by two European Commission Sixth Framework Programme projects—POLYMOD (SSP22CT-2004–502084) and the Network of Excellence MED-VET-NET (FOOD-CT-2004-506122)—and cofinanced by the Polish Ministry of Science and Higher Education. R EF E R EN CE S [1] Nathavitharana KA, Booth IW. Pharmacoeconomics of the therapy of diarrhoeal disease. Pharmacoeconomics 1992;2:305–23. [2] Szajewska H, Hoekstra JH, Sandhu B. Management of acute gastroenteritis in Europe and the impact of the new recommendations: a multicenter study. The Working Group on Acute Diarrhoea of the European Society for Paediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition. J Pediatr Gastroenterol Nutr 2000;30:522–7. [3] Stefanoff P, Rogalska J, Czech M, et al. Antibacterial prescriptions for acute gastrointestinal infections: uncovering the iceberg. Epidemiol Infect 2012;15:1–9. [4] Payment P. Epidemiology of endemic gastrointestinal and respiratory diseases—incidence, fraction attributable to tap water and costs to society. Water Sci Technol 1997;35:7–10. [5] Flores AR, Szilagyi PG, Auinger P, Fisher SG. Estimated burden of rotavirus- associated diarrhea in ambulatory settings in the United States. Pediatrics 2010;125:e191–8. [6] Stein M, Roisin H, Morag B, et al. The burden and cost of ambulatory cases of rotavirus gastroenteritis in Central Israel. Isr Med Assoc J 2010;12:168–71. [7] Osano BO, Wang’ombe JK, Rose W, et al. Cost analysis of care for children admitted to Kenyatta national hospital with rotavirus gastroenteritis. Vaccine 2011;29:4019–24. [8] Riewpaiboon A, Intraprakan K, Phoungkatesunthorn S. Predicting treatment cost for bacterial diarrhoea at a regional hospital in Thailand. J Health Popul Nutr 2008;26:442–50. 217 [9] Lee BP, Azimi PH, Staat MA, et al. Nonmedical costs associated with rotavirus disease requiring hospitalization. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2005;24:984–8. [10] Mendelsohn AS, Asirvatham JR, Mkaya Mwamburi D, et al. Estimates of the economic burden of rotavirus-associated and all-cause diarrhoea in Vellore, India. Trop Med Int Health 2008;13:934–42. [11] World Health Organization. WHO country profile for Poland. Available from: http://www.who.int/countries/pol/en/ [Accessed July 28, 2011]. [12] Czech M. Pharmacoeconomic evaluation and its role in management in health care in Poland. Hum Factors Ergon Manuf 2005;1:99–108. [13] NHS reference costs 2010–11. Available from: http://data.gov.uk/ dataset/nhs-reference-costs-2010-11 [Accessed June 1, 2013]. [14] Majowicz SE, Hall G, Scallan E, et al. A common, symptom-based case definition for gastroenteritis. Epidemiol Infect 2008;136:886–94. [15] Baumann-Popczyk A, Sadkowska-Todys M, Rogalska J, Stefanoff P. Incidence of self-reported acute gastrointestinal infections in the community in Poland—a population-based study. Epidemiol Infect 2011;20:1–12. [16] Drummond MF, Sculpher MJ, Torrence GW, et al. Methods for the Economic Evaluation of Health Care Programmes (3rd ed). Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2005. [17] Act on Accounting of 29 September 1994. J Laws 1994, No 121, item 591. [18] Medycyna Praktyczna. Pharmaceutical Index with Price List, issue 1/2009. Kraków: Medycyna Praktyczna, 2009. [19] Decree of the Minister of Infrastructure of 25 March 2002 on the conditions for specifying the amount and method for refunding costs of the use of cars, motorbikes and mopeds not owned by the employer for official purposes. Offi J Laws Oct 30, 2007, No 201, item 1462. [20] World Health Organization. Tables of costs and prices used in WHOCHOICE analysis. Available from: http://www.who.int/choice/costs/en/ [Accessed November 13, 2011]. [21] StataCorp. Stata Statistical Software: Release 10. College Station, TX: StataCorp LP, 2007. [22] Garthright WE, Archer DL, Kvenberg JE. Estimates of incidence and costs of intestinal infectious diseases. Public Health Rep 1988;103:107–16. [23] Scott WG, Scott HM, Lake RJ, Baker MG. Economic cost to New Zealand of foodborne infectious disease. N Z Med J 2000;113:281–4. [24] Fischer TK, Anh DD, Antil L, et al. Health care costs of diarrhoeal disease and estimates of the cost-effectiveness of rotavirus vaccination in Vietnam. J Infect Dis 2005;192:1720–6. [25] Isakbaeva ET, Musabaev E, Antil L, et al. Rotavirus disease in Uzbekistan: cost-effectiveness of a new vaccine. Vaccine 2007;25:373–80. [26] Flem ET, Latipov R, Nurmatov ZS, et al. Costs of diarrheal disease and the cost-effectiveness of a rotavirus vaccination program in Kyrgyzstan. J Infect Dis 2009;200(Suppl.):S195–202. [27] Regulation no 2160/2003 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 17 November 2003 on the control of salmonella and other specified food-borne zoonotic agents. Off J Eur Union December 12, 2003, L 325/1. [28] Chai PF, Lee WS. Out-of-pocket costs associated with rotavirus gastroenteritis requiring hospitalization in Malaysia. Vaccine 2009;27 (Suppl. 5):F112–5. [29] Kow-Tong C, Shiang-Fang F, Ren-Bin T, et al. Hospital-based study of the economic burden associated with rotavirus diarrhea in Taiwan. Vaccine 2007;25:4266–72. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 218–225 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Radiology Services Costs and Utilization Patterns Estimates in Southeastern Europe—A Retrospective Analysis from Serbia Mihajlo Jakovljevic,́ MD, PhD1,, Ana Rankovic,́ MD2, Nemanja Rančic,́ MD3, Mirjana Jovanovic,́ MD, PhD4, Miloš Ivanovic,́ PhD5, Olgica Gajovic,́ MD, PhD6, Zorica Lazic,́ MD, PhD7 1 Faculty of Medical Sciences, Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology, University of Kragujevac, Kragujevac, Serbia; 2Radiology Diagnostic Service, University Clinical Center, Kragujevac, Serbia; 3Medical Faculty, Centre for Clinical Pharmacology, Military Medical Academy, University of Defence, Begrade, Serbia; 4The Psychiatry Clinic, University Clinical Center, Kragujevac, Serbia; 5The Faculty of Science, University of Kragujevac, Kragujevac, Serbia; 6The Infectious Diseases Clinic, University Clinical Center, Kragujevac, Serbia; 7The Pulmonary Diseases Clinic, University Clinical Center, Kragujevac, Serbia AB STR A CT Objective: Assessment of costs matrix and patterns of prescribing of radiology diagnostic, radiation therapy, nuclear medicine, and interventional radiology services. Another aim of the study was insight into drivers of inappropriate resource allocation. Methods: An indepth, retrospective bottom-up trend analysis of services consumption patterns and expenses was conducted from the perspective of third-party payer, for 205,576 inpatients of a large tertiary care university hospital in Serbia (1,293 beds) from 2007 to 2010. Results: A total of 20,117 patients in 2007, 17,436 in 2008, 19,996 in 2009, and 17,579 in 2010 were radiologically examined, who consumed services valued at €2,713,573.99 in 2007, €4,529,387.36 in 2008, €5,388,585.15 in –2009, and €5,556,341.35 in 2010. Conclusions: The macroeconomic crisis worldwide and consecutive health policy measures caused a drop in health care services diversity offered in some areas in the period 2008 to 2009. In spite of this, in total it increased during the time span observed. The total cost of services increased because of a rise in overall consumption and population morbidity. An average radiologically examined patient got one frontal chest graph, each 7th patient got an abdomen ultrasound examination, each 19th patient got a computed tomography endocranium check, and each 25th patient got a head nuclear magnetic resonance. Findings confirm irrational prescribing of diagnostic procedures and necessities of cutting costs. The consumption patterns noticed should provide an important momentum for policymakers to intervene and ensure higher adherence to guidelines by clinicians. Keywords: costs, interventional radiology, nuclear medicine, radiation therapy, radiology diagnostics, utilization patterns. Introduction secondary and tertiary care hospitals. Health economic estimates of radiation-mediated diagnostic and treatment procedures are seldom reported in the literature. Of those that are available, most deal with imaging diagnostics or radiotherapy in oncology on a separate basis. This would be the first study to compare all these examinations and interventions in a large-scale trial. In Serbia, as a typical upper-middle income southeastern European country, expensive high-tech services were centralized to several tertiary facilities, the third largest of them being the Clinical Center in Kragujevac. For this reason, we chose this particular university clinic with approximately 1,300 beds, more than 50,000 hospital admissions, and 400,000 outpatient examinations per year. Another problem lies in the fact that these expensive high-tech services are nonrationally prescribed, which also contributes to excessive consumption and spending from the modest health budget. By analyzing the 3-year-long trend in the consumption of services (the volume, i.e., the number of, the frequency, or expenses), we are of the opinion that the key Our time witnesses unseen contemporary advances in medical technology and development of modern equipment in all branches of medicine. A great number of new diagnostic and therapeutic methods have come up in radiology as well. They are very powerful, but their purchase price (which often amounts to a few million euros, for, for example, computed tomography [CT] and nuclear magnetic resonance [NMR]) limits broader usage and replacement of existing appliances. Apart from diagnostic appliances, there has been a technological revolution in radiological methods of intervention radiology and radiotherapy, the development and application of which have prospered in the last 10 years. Parallel to the invention of such appliances and their procurement, a problem has been noted because their services are very expensive and keep a constant burden on health funds [1–8]. These appliances represent mass consumers of health care budgets worldwide. This is particularly the case when considering Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. * Address correspondence to: Mihajlo Jakovljevic, Faculty of Medical Sciences, Department of Pharmacology and Toxicology, University of Kragujevac, Svetozara Markovica 69, 34 000 Kragujevac, Serbia. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.07.002 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 218–225 weakness of clinical practice is the lack of consistency in following guidelines for good clinical practice. Based on these above-mentioned facts, interventions could be made in the future aimed toward more rational prescription, especially diagnostic methods, which would redistribute the limited resources to the cases in which these are necessary for proper treatment. Similar to our postulates, numerous studies have shown an increasing trend of the unrealistic use/consumption of radiologic diagnostic methods [9–13], and it is specially the case with new radiologic methods. The downside of these studies, and thus of ours too, is the short time during which the study was carried out (3–6 years), which will be annulated by the future prolonging of the study time of this study. We consider it necessary to establish a special organization whose purpose would be to monitor the prescription of radiologic measures and mark the cumulative annual accepted dosage of radiation given to patients, as was the case with patients who took medicines in some countries, the Czech Republic for instance [14]. The aim of this article was to establish whether radiologic methods in diagnostics and therapy have been used rationally during the last 4 years and to substantiate the need for making a guideline for the application of radiologic methods in clinical practice. Methods The 4-year-long retrospective analysis of total expenditure trends of radiologic services from the spheres of the classical radiographic, high-tech imaging diagnostics, interventional radiology, radiation therapy, and procedures of nuclear medicine during the years 2007, 2008, 2009, and 2010 was provided by the database of the Clinical Center in Kragujevac (Figs. 1 and 2). The regular invoicing of services provided in the daycare service and to hospitalized patients according to International Statistical Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision code of illnesses and the name/ surname/personal identification number resulted in a large administrative database, which is regularly updated. By the cooperation of the clinics and departments in charge, the preview of the database was obtained. Authors analyzed services that were used the most frequently during the above-mentioned years (top 10 of the expenditure volume) and the most expensive services (top 10 of the total value of services), that is, those that by themselves take up 67% to Fig. 1 – Division of core services. 219 95% (arithmetic mean ⫾ 1 or 2 SD) of the total value of services. The population included in this research amounts to 600,000 inhabitants and is situated in central Serbia, in Sumadija, and the clinical center in charge is the one in Kragujevac. Results More than 17,000 radiologically examined inpatients per year have been noted in the clinical center in Kragujevac (Table 1). During 2007, most of the services were provided to outpatients; during 2008 and 2009, most of the services were provided to inpatients; and in 2010, all the radiological diagnostic and therapy services in nuclear medicine and interventional radiology were provided to inpatients exclusively. Total expenses constantly increased during the 4-year period analyzed (Table 1). Nine percent of total 4-year expenses belong to nuclear medicine, 16% to radiotherapy, while the radiodiagnostic service including interventional radiology spends 75% of the budget intended for radiological services. The number of inpatients constantly increased from 2007 to 2010 (Table 1), but the ratio of patients who received one of the radiological services was relatively reduced with periodic oscillations (44.04% in 2007, 34.55% in 2008, 35.55% in 2009, and 31.39% in 2010). In 2007, on average every second patient hospitalized received one of the radiological services, while in 2010, every third patient received one of the radiological services. The average price of radiological services per patient constantly increased during this 4-year period analyzed—in 2007, 10,658.97 RSD (€134.89); in 2008, 20,516.81 RSD (€259.77); in 2009, 26,506.07 RSD (€283.67); and in 2010, 33,045.99 RSD (€316.08) (Fig. 3). The total number of hospital admissions with radiologically examined patients slightly reduced from 2007 to 2010 (Table 1). Eighty-three percent of all the first hospitalizations at the Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine belong to radiodiagnostics with interventional radiology. The number of patients examined and nuclear medicine services provided in this period decreased (Table 1). Costs, however, increased significantly although the number of patients examined or services provided reduced, from 32,272,107.84 RSD (€408,404.30) to 50,264,302.32 RSD (€481,597.20) in 2010, with a slight decline in 2008 (Table 1). The number of patients who received some of the radiodiagnostic services remained at about 15,000 during the 4-year period (range of 17,000–19,000). The expenses of these services, however, constantly increased, tripling from 2007 to 2010 (Table 1). The number of patients who received some of the radiotherapy services, and the number of services provided as well, had a slight increase (Table 1). This slight rise in the obtained services volume follows the increase in cost (Table 1). The services of nuclear medicine lowered their expenses from 15% in 2007 to 8.6% in 2010 per year. A similar fall was noticed in radiotherapy, from 23% in 2007 to 12% in 2010. However, radiodiagnostic services mark a constant increase in the percentage share from 62% in 2007 to 79.55% in 2010. The total number of services given, including the repetitive one, constantly increased (Table 1), With 81% of the services provided belonging to the field of radiotherapy, 18% belonging to radiology diagnostic services with interventional radiology, and only 1% belonging to nuclear medicine. The total number of nuclear medicine services provided was doubled in 2010 compared with that in 2007 (Table 1). In contrast to nuclear medicine, the total number of radiology diagnostic services and radiotherapeutic services provided constantly grew (Table 1). The trend of increase in the total number of radiology diagnostic services provided from 2007 to 2010 was 30 times bigger (Table 1). 220 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 218–225 4,500,000 Total financial value of spending (€) 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 Nuclear Medicine 2,500,000 Radiaon Therapy 2,000,000 Radiology Diagnosc Service *(including intervenonal) 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 Fig. 2 – Expenditure comparison between three clinical branches. The diversity of services offered suffered from a short recessional drop in some areas but in total all the three groups (nuclear medicine, radiology diagnostic, and radiotherapy) recorded an increase of two to three times from 2007 to 2010 (Table 1). A total of 3% of the patients received some of the radiotherapeutic services, 16% received nuclear medicine services, while 81% of the patients received some other radiology diagnostic or emergency radiology services. The upward trend in diversity is the largest in the field of interventional radiology and classical radiographics, while the trend shows a slight increase in nuclear medicine and radiation therapy. The services that are most used in nuclear medicine (Table 2) are those that determine the thyroid gland hormones and thyroid-stimulating hormone. We can notice that the number of given services reduced by two times from 2007 to 2010. Most of Table 1 – Display of all radiological services analyzed and respective costs incurred. Number of patients treated 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total number of inpatients admitted (regardless of radiological examination presence/absence) Nuclear medicine Radiology diagnostic service (including interventional) Radiation therapy Total 45,677 50,459 53,433 56,007 4,456 15,224 437 20,117 2,041 14,918 477 17,436 2,566 15,903 527 19,996 2,990 14,050 539 17,579 Number of single hospital admissions Nuclear medicine Radiology diagnostic service (including interventional) Radiation therapy Total 2007 5,193 18,320 457 23,970 2008 2,114 18,227 517 20,858 2009 2,715 19,231 563 22,509 2010 3,267 17,094 565 20,926 Total frequency of services provided (including repeated procedures) Nuclear medicine Radiology diagnostic service (including interventional) Radiation therapy Total 2007 18,145 53,416 2,975,493 3,047,054 2008 10,670 183,540 3,104,262 3,298,472 2009 18,684 928,777 3,196,789 4,144,250 2010 32,002 1,591,285 3,468,228 5,091,515 Diversity of services offered (number of different services available) Nuclear medicine Radiology diagnostic service (including interventional) Radiation therapy Total 2007 73 216 277 566 2008 159 488 266 913 2009 128 596 275 999 2010 169 658 348 1,175 2007 408,404.3 1,691,606.7 613,562.9 2,713,573.99 2008 339,539.4 3,352,212.6 837,489.5 4,529,387.36 2009 432,617.4 4,253,573.2 702,228.3 5,388,585.15 2010 481,597.2 4,424,357.8 659,968.8 5,556,341.35 Total financial value of services consumed (€) Nuclear medicine Radiology diagnostic service (including interventional) Radiation therapy Total VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 218–225 221 Fig. 3 – Average cost per patient treated and average cost per admission. the expenses in nuclear medicine belong to services related to determining the thyroid gland hormones (Table 2). The greatest expenses of radiotherapy (Table 2) during the analyzed 4-year period were for gentigrey. According to the expenditure volume, gentigrey is the leader of radiotherapeutic methods (Table 2). According to the volume of services, nuclear medicine significantly decreased the prescription of its services from 2007 to 2010. The most common radiotherapy service, gentigrey, shows the application plateau at about 60 units per patient hospitalized during the analyzed period, while the accelerator isocenter technique reduced the volume of consumption, since every 8th patient received that service, and in 2010, every 12th patient received it. Team treatment in 2007 of the patient for radiation therapy was significantly increased in volume. In 2007, every 501st patient received this service while in 2010 every 133rd patient received it. Table 2 shows that the lung RO in maximum expiration is the most common method applied among the classical radiology diagnostic (RO) methods. Its use has a clear trend of increase—an increase of 3.5 times from 2007 to 2010. It means that almost every patient who received some of the classical diagnostic methods of radiology got at least one RO graphy of lungs in maximum expiration, and out of all hospitalized patients every 4th patient got the lung RO graphy in maximum expiration in 2010, while in 2007 every 13th patient received it. The use of RO graphy of the abdomen in the posterior-anterior (PA) position and profile in the same period increased about 7 times. Similarly, the consumption of classical methods of radiology as the most widespread methods is the most expensive, and the trend of consumption is evident, from 726,269.49 RSD (€9,190.96) in 2007 to 3,278,406.48 RSD (€31,411.27) in 2010 (a jump of 4.5 times in consumption) (Table 2). Imaging methods are great consumers, and the greatest consumer is the CT-targeted imaging of particular organs accompanied with reconstructions, and the expenses of this method increased 23 times during the 4-year period. Right afterwards come the head and neck CT without contrast agents for which there was an increase of 1.3 times. In Table 2, we notice that imaging methods are prescribed very often. Targeted CT of particular organs followed by reconstruction is the most common method, and its frequency of usage represents a clear trend of growth of 18.5 times during the period analyzed. It means that every 3rd patient hospitalized received this service in 2010, while in 2007, it was every 52nd patient. It is interesting to note that the use of the standard abdominal ultrasound examination (examination of liver, gall bladder, pancreas, spleen, and kidney) decreased 1.8 times. The greatest leap (50 times) is noticed for the head and neck CT without contrast agents. Methods of interventional radiology are applied to a lesser extent, and the most common method is invasive hemodynamics, followed by selective coronary angiography and cardiac catheterization. Throughout the analyzed period, each patient received the service of invasive hemodynamics. Percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PTA) revascularization (without stent implantation) and endovascular treatment of intracranial aneurism are the largest consumers, and costs have a growing trend of about three times during the period analyzed (Table 2). The top 10 most expensive disorders to treat were recognized by analyzing resource use and costs related to the patient's diagnosis at hospital discharge. These are provided jointly for radiology diagnostic examinations, nuclear medicine procedures, and radiation therapy in oncology in Table 3. 222 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 218–225 Table 2 – Top 10 services according to the volume of unit consumption and according to treatment expenditures. Radiodiagnostics Unit consumption Chest graph in the maximum expiration AP Value of consumption (€) 9,598,728 RO graphy of the abdomen in the PA position and profile 399,191 The esophagus, stomach, and duodenum— double volume control methods targeted shooting RO graphy of knee joint, lower leg, ankle, or foot in two directions RO graphy pelvis—AP position Irrigography double contrast medium RO L and LC spine in two directions RO graphy PA skull in profile position 351,846 281,978 196,383 184,345 183,697 Lung RO graphy in the D or L decubitus 156,841 380,503 Skull RO graphy in children 71,135 Target CT images with reconstruction of some organs PTA revascularization (without stent implantation) Endovascular treatment of intracranial aneurysm Coronarography—Catheterization CT head and neck without contrast media Selective coronary angiography Invasive hemodynamics CT of abdominal organs with contrast medium CT of abdominal organs without contrast media Percutaneous balloon angioplasty of coronary artery catheter 1,650,655 1,531,675 1,414,823 885,123.9 524,185.6 312,544.9 291,353.5 21,2791 19,0800 56,910.3 Nuclear medicine Unit consumption Value of consumption (€) TSH—tireotrophic homone RIA Free T4 (FT4)—RIA Free T3 (FT3)—RIA Mikrosomic antibody (anti-TMS) (IRMA) Serum prolactin (RIA) LTH Cortisol determination (RIA)—method of incubation and separation Determination of insulin RIA Tireoglobulin (RIA) Titer thyroglobulin antibody 11,005 10,984 3,705 3,256 3,022 2,996 2,908 1,794 1,652 Scintigraphy of the whole body J-131 1,193 TSH—tireotrophic hormone RIA Free T4 (FT4)—RIA Free T3 (FT3)—RIA Microsomic antibodies (anti-TMS) (IRMA) Tireoglobulin (RIA) Serum prolactin (RIA) LTH Insulin determination RIA Scintigraphy of the whole body J-131 Determination of cortisol (RIA)—method of incubation and separation Titer tireoglobulin antibody 170,801.1 144,161.3 110,124.7 108,182.5 63,723.5 59,135.47 51,449.5 47,230.93 40,631.77 26,918.96 Radiation therapy Unit consumption Gentigrey (in units) Accelerator—isocentric technique Supervoltage accelerator radiotherapy with the modified field Supervoltage accelerator radiotherapy with wedge-shaped filter Determination of the airfield graphs Determination of markers spelling Team treatment for aerial treatment of the patient Value of consumption (€) 11,581,975 19,732 12,224 8,028 Radiotherapy—accelerator leaning After loading the applicator with the applications with source intensity catheter Intracavitary gynecological applications 20 Gentigrey (in radiation absorbtion units) Determination of airfields spelling Intracavitary gynecological applications Team treatment for aerial treatment of the patient Determination of markers spelling Accelerator—an isocentric technique Supervoltage accelerator radiotherapy with the modified field Supervoltage accelerator radiotherapy with wedge-shaped filter Radiographic verification using selectron 20 Team treatment—selectron 6,320 1,334 1,250 579 1,439,235 26,566.63 21,739.46 19,564.45 5,199.80 735.70 463.62 436.10 203.54 142.78 AP, anterior-posterior; IRMA, Immunoradiometric assay; LTH, luteotropic hormone; PA, posterior-anterior; PTA, percutaneous transluminal angioplasty; RIA, Radioimmunoassay; RO, radiology diagnostic; TMS, thyroid microsomal antibodies. Discussion In 2007, the largest portion of services was obtained outpatiently; in 2008 and 2009, services were equally obtained outpatiently and inpatiently; and in 2010, radiological services were mostly obtained inpatiently because it was noticed that more strict prescription is important as a way to achieve serious cost-containment, which is already less in comparison to that in some other countries [15]. By that measure, the number of radiological services provided decreased in 2010, but because the price of these services multiplied, and some more expensive methods started to be used, treatment expenses tripled compared with those in 2007. We can notice VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 218–225 Table 3 – Top 10 most expensive diagnoses of radiologically examined and/or treated patients 2007–2010 (€). ICD code Z95 C50 C73 I21 I20 C01 I60 I67 I10 G81 Diagnosis Value consumed Persons with potential health hazards related to family and personal history and certain conditions influencing health status—Presence of cardiac and vascular implants and grafts Malignant neoplasm of breast Malignant neoplasms of thyroid and other endocrine glands— Malignant neoplasm of thyroid gland Ischemic heart diseases—Acute myocardial infarction Ischemic heart diseases—Angina pectoris Malignant neoplasms of lip, oral cavity, and pharynx—Malignant neoplasm of base of tongue Cerebrovascular diseases— Subarachnoid hemorrhage Cerebrovascular diseases—Other cerebrovascular diseases Hypertensive diseases—Essential (primary) hypertension Cerebral palsy and other paralytic syndromes—Hemiplegia 1,365,643.22 973,285.91 920,159.01 664,869.96 653,568.84 460,959.67 442,914.85 424,082.16 410,427.79 373,981.90 ICD, International Statistical Classification of Diseases. the disproportion between services volume and treatment costs. Radiology diagnostics and interventional radiology are the largest consumers of these three groups of services. This was expected because these services are often prescribed, and the price of the interventional radiology service was high, and so 75% of the budget of radiology and nuclear medicine was spent for this purpose. Because the number of hospitalized patients constantly increased during the analyzed period, the expectations of cost expenditure are justified. Although more stringent prescription of these services is applied, so that the percentage share of patients who receive radiological and nuclear services is decreased significantly, the leap in the expense of these services led to an increase in total costs. The average service price increased about three times per patient and that is a great deal of the budget obtained for these purposes. Although recession significantly affected the more strict prescription, the services price leap led to the growth in average service price per patient. The number of patients hospitalized for the first time who received some service was significantly decreased, and the number of patients processed from all three groups decreased as well. In contrast to reducing the volume of unit consumption, the costs increased many times. Out of all services, the radiology diagnostic service with interventional radiology recorded a constant increase in percentage cost share, from 62% to 79.55%. The increase in expenses followed because of the increase in the service volume of interventional radiology methods, which are very expensive and their prices are constantly growing on the world market. The increase in the number of various services offered led to an increase in cost, because the constant promotion of institutions and the education of physicians widen the 223 service assortment available, and therefore covers the greater range of diseases that can be treated. Because the thyroid gland diseases are increasing in Serbia, it is expected that the volume and the price of services used for the thyroid gland examination will increase. This is most evident when we look at nuclear medicine services among the top 10 services, and their volume and consumption—six to seven of the top 10 services are connected with the examination of the thyroid gland. It is believed that the main reason for the poor economic status of the population (upper-middle gross national income per capita), and therefore, poor diet, increasing stress, and environmental damage caused by the NATO bombing campaign of 1999. In the last decade, a fivefold increase was marked in thyroid gland and other endocrine gland diseases. Malignant diseases, which require radiotherapy, are rising as well. Thus, although the percentage share of expenditure of radiotherapy services in relation to the entire annual consumption decreased, customer value of these services increased by one third. The most number of services was provided in the radiotherapy domain. That is to be expected when every session in the treatment of some malignant disease means giving a larger number of cytostatics several times during the treatment. Almost every patient who received some of the diagnostic methods of classical radiology got at least one lung RO graphy in maximum expiration, and out of all hospitalized patients every 4th patient got the lung RO graphy in maximum expiration in 2010, while in 2007, every 13th patient got the lung RO graphy. This meant that the number of hospitalized patients increased, but the lung RO graphy in maximum expiration was prescribed even more often in 2010—although it was expected because of its stringent regulation—rarely an indication of recession. Therefore, this method is the biggest consumer, and marks a jump of 4.5 times in the period analyzed. The important data are that CT-targeted recordings of particular organs with reconstruction are the greatest consumers of imaging methods and that their consumption increased 23 times, which is affirmed by the data that the volume trend of this method marked a clear growth of 18.5 times. The findings in the literature were also similar [7,16]. The methods of interventional radiology did not record any increase in the consumption volume, and the growth in the prices of the services led to a consumption increase of about three times. Although the opening of the catheterization hall in Kragujevac should have led to a significant influx of patients in this field and increase the service volume, it had not happened. Because each 40th patient in our center received some kind of a radiology service, it is considered as the nonrational use of these diagnostic methods. The tendency of the growth in consumption from 2007 till 2008, which dropped in 2009, can be explained by the means of the global economic crisis, and should not be ascribed to the rationally prescribed radiologic procedures. This is a devastating piece of information and must be taken with a great caution and a guide of good practice should be made in the future concerning the radiologic procedures and in that way try to examine the prescription of the treatment and sanction those who do not follow this guide. All this should reduce the unnecessary waste of budget assets. When compared with the Levin [17] study in Pennsylvania, PA, of about 6 million health insurance holders, significantly higher expenses were incurred in total on radiologic check-ups, out of which 62% were nonradiologic expenses. It is a relatively small consumption for these services, but it still represents an enormous expense for our modest budget assets and it prevents the allocation of necessary financial assets for other purposes. Sunshine et al. [18] reported that during 1996 and 1997, large financial resources were spent during the full-time workload at 224 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 218–225 radiology for about 320 radiologic procedures in the United States (including the methods of radiologic oncology). A great importance is given today to the methods of interventional radiology, which replace the classical surgery and greatly shorten the postoperational recuperation of patients who are hospitalized and in this way reduce the expenses as well. These should be used more and more, and the fall in their use in our study during 2009 was, although a partial explanation can be found in the reduction of the health budget, due to the financial hardship. Average expenses for radiologically examined patients in all the three analyzed years were in the range from 10,000 RSD (€125) to 17,000 RSD (€218), and if this is multiplied with the size of the population of a million residents, it is a great expense. The devastating fact is that irrespective of the discharge diagnosis each patient gets a lung graph or every 10th gets a CT of the endocranium on average. This is a dubious piece of information when it is compared with other studies, as the one by Bhargavan and Sunshine [19], in which out of the total 4176 radiologic procedures, 49.3% go to all the radiologic check-ups and 9.36% to all the CTs. When these two populations are compared, this is a catastrophic information for our health care system and speaks in favor of the human neglect and the great need for a guide of good clinical practice with strict indications [7]. It is interesting to note that among the 10 most expensive methods, RO of the lung graph ranked second, the reason for this being its nonrational consumption, which must be stopped because of not only huge expenses but also the unnecessary radiation to which patients are exposed. Many studies have shown that there has been a reduction in the total number of radiologic check-ups. The number of offered services using new methods (CT and NMR) has increased, which means that they are often misused and that patients are unnecessarily undergoing shots and radiation [20]. As it is a well-known fact that the dosage during the CT treatment is 300 times higher than that during ordinary CT scan graph, here lies the danger of the possible development of tumor, which originates from mutations caused by such radiation. When compared with the American study from 2001, in which out of the 4176 radiologic services there were 215 services of interventional radiology [19], the percentage of the intervention radiology service is modest in our case, but at the same time the use of other conventional methods is very high. The age distribution, as well as the sex distribution, only confirms that today the presence of the disease is the same for both sexes and that the older population is much more exposed to the radiologic radiation. The devastating piece of information is that one tenth of the patients who undergo the radiologic check-up are younger than 18 years. With this population one should be stricter when prescribing the radiology diagnostic imaging (RDI) methods because of the impact of the radiation on gonad cells. Our study once again confirmed that the most frequent are still the cardiovascular diseases and that their prevention is the most important. A special attention should be paid to this piece of information, and the guide for the prevention of such disorders should be used. Because CT ranked eighth among the top 10 services according to the unit consumption, it is a worrying information because it is not possible that all these patients have fulfilled the conditions for certain indications in which these very powerful but at the same time very harmful radiologic methods are prescribed. It is also very important that the RDI of lungs is still the most often used of all radiologic methods and that it is unbelievable that each patient gets along a graph on average. It is an irresponsible prescription of this RTG method, and strict instructions should be given to stop such nonrational prescription. Top 10 lists according to the total consumption have been shown, which claim that the lungs RDI is ranked second and that the remaining ranks are filled with CT methods and two intervention methods. Huge resource consumers are also the adjoining expenses of these radiologic procedures: RO films, contrasts, and radioactive isotopes. A special attention should be paid to lists of most expensive disorders per clinical radiology branch-department. Nuclear medicine top 10 list of most expensive diagnosis reveals an anticipated structure, with endocrine disorders dominating. Oncology radiation therapy services consumption exhibits unique morbidity rates of particular cancer types in the region. A very interesting finding in the domain of radiology diagnostics is for cardiovascular and orthopedic surgical implantation procedures and dealing with their complications, being placed at the very top of the list. Other details can be studied in Table 3. The trend of a constant rise in expenses as well as the volume of services in radiology was marked with many services. We have chosen only some of them and shown them on the graph, in which a trend of growth can clearly be seen, with a slight decrease during 2009 due to the reduction in the budget as a result of the global economic crisis [21]. The data concerning the number of services provided, which rises from year to year and is tripled every year, is a very good indicator of how nonrationally the methods of radiologic diagnostics and therapy are used. At the same time, however, a decrease in the application of the methods of interventional radiology is discomforting, because the recently opened theatre of interventional radiology should replace the big expenses of the surgical blocks and contribute to the quick diagnostics and treatment of these patients [22]. Conclusions The total level of the value of the consumption of radiologic services is comparable (higher/lower) with other tertiary clinics of similar size among developing countries. However, the structure of the consumption within the available hospital budget is not the best and could be significantly improved by redirecting the nonrationally spent resources toward priority domains. The suggested measure for the improvement of the structure of the suggested diagnostic and therapeutic intervention is the making of a local protocol of good practice by which a desirable and suggested dynamics of the frequency of doing certain check-ups in certain indications (pneumonia, stroke, tumors, etc.) is to be established. The investment of resources for the implementation and application of such a guide and a periodical (annual) estimation of following the protocol, which was agreed upon, would be a good idea. Consumption patterns should be transformed in respect to their quality and upgraded, so that the decision is more significantly based on evidence. The recession, macroeconomic events, and current cuts in the budget for the health sector in Serbia will increase the external pressure on management bodies and so such changes will probably be inevitable in the coming years. Acknowledgments We express our gratitude to the Ministry of Science Education and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia for grant number 175014, out of which this research project was partially financed. Source of financial support: This study was partially financed by the Ministry of Science Education and Technological Development of the Republic of Serbia (grant no. 175014). VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 218–225 R EF E R EN CE S [1] Goedert J. The hidden costs of radiology. Health Data Manag 2007;15:24–6. [2] Clevert DA, Stickel M, Jung EM, et al. Cost analysis in interventional radiology–a tool to optimize management costs. Eur J Radiol 2007;61:144–9. [3] Golder W. Benefits, costs and analysis in diagnostic radiology: definitions and glossary. Rofo 1999;170:73–9. [4] Kelekis DA, Brountzos EN. How much does radiology contribute to increasing health care costs? The situation in Greece. Acad Radiol 1996;3(Suppl. 1):S121–4. [5] Gerhardt P. 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VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 226–230 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Children Hospitalized for Varicella: Complications and Cost Burden Ozden Turel, MD1,, Mustafa Bakir, MD2, Ismail Gonen, MD1,3, Nevin Hatipoglu, MD3, Cigdem Aydogmus, MD3, Emine Hosaf, MSc4, Rengin Siraneci, MD3 1 Department of Pediatrics, Bezmialem Vakif University Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul, Turkey; 2Department of Pediatrics, Marmara University Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul, Turkey; 3Department of Pediatrics, Bakirkoy Maternity and Children's Educational and Treatment Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey; 4Department of Microbiology, Bakirkoy Maternity and Children's Educational and Treatment Hospital, Istanbul, Turkey AB STR A CT Objective: To evaluate the direct medical cost of hospital admissions for patients with varicella (i.e., chickenpox) to assess the cost burden of varicella from a health care perspective for ultimate use in health economics studies in Turkey. Methods: Records of children hospitalized with varicella at the Bakirkoy Maternity and Children’s Hospital between November of 2006 and June of 2011 were reviewed. Reasons for hospitalization, types of varicella-associated complications, and direct medical cost of hospitalization were noted. Patients with underlying risk factors were excluded. Data obtained from one hospital were used to estimate the national cost of the disease. Results: During the 4.5-year study period, 234 patients were hospitalized with varicella. Of these cases, 48 (20%) children previously ill with underlying cancers or chronic diseases were excluded from the study. Ultimately, 186 previously healthy children (age range: 14 days to 159 months, median age: 14 months) were included. The main reasons for hospitalization were complications related to varicella (79%), the most frequent of which was skin and soft tissue infections, followed by neurological complications and pneumonia. The median cost of hospitalization per patient was US $283, 50% of which was attributed to medication costs. The annual cost for varicella hospitalizations in Turkey was estimated at US $396,200. Conclusions: A significant number of healthy children are hospitalized for varicella and associated complications. Descriptions of these complications and their related costs provide important data for cost-effectiveness studies for decisions about the inclusion of the varicella vaccine in a childhood vaccination program. Introduction has also decreased in nonvaccinated groups, including adults and infants who are too young to be vaccinated, thereby suggesting a strong herd protection effect [7–10]. A widespread varicella vaccination program, however, has not yet been introduced everywhere, especially in developing countries. The health economics of a VZV immunization program is vital for decisions on vaccine funding and has been studied in many countries [14–17]. To facilitate the decision-making process regarding the introduction of a vaccination program, each country needs to collect data on the incidence, complications, and cost due to hospitalizations associated with the particular disease under consideration. Surveillance of varicella complications is also important to assess the potential impact of a vaccination program. In Turkey, a few studies have evaluated complication rates; however, knowledge about the cost of varicella hospitalizations is quite limited. A more detailed investigation of the cost burden of varicella from a health care perspective can be accomplished by collecting data about the number and cost of hospitalizations in a tertiary care hospital in Istanbul, which can then be extrapolated to the whole country to estimate the national burden of this disease. Varicella, otherwise known as chickenpox, that is, the primary manifestation of a varicella zoster virus (VZV) infection, is generally mild; indeed, severe complications are seldom reported in immunocompetent children [1]. Nevertheless, hospitalizations due to varicella do occur in otherwise healthy children, thereby producing an economic burden on the health care system [2]. Worldwide, the reported incidence of varicella-related hospitalizations involving children varies widely, that is, from 0.9 to 29.4/ 100,000, depending on the geographic setting and hospital admission policies [3–5]. In Turkey, the exact incidence is unknown because varicella is not on the list of tracked diseases; however, estimates indicate that the rate is 6.3/100,000 [6]. A safe and effective vaccine against varicella was developed in 1970 and has been made a recommended part of childhood vaccination programs in several countries. Countries with routine childhood varicella vaccinations have seen a positive effect on disease prevention and control [7–13]. In the United States, the annual varicella-related hospitalization rate decreased from 0.5 per 10,000 in 1993 to 0.13 per 10,000 in 2001. The incidence of varicella Keywords: child, complications, cost, varicella. Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflict of interest: The authors report no conflict of interest. Address correspondence to: Ozden Turel, Department of Pediatrics, Division of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, School of Medicine, Bezmialem Vakıf University, Adnan Menderes Bulvarı Vatan caddesi 34093 Fatih, Istanbul, Turkey. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.05.003 227 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 226–230 Methods Table 1 – Varicella-related hospitalized patients with underlying illnesses. Study Design Underlying illness In this retrospective cohort study, we reviewed the records of children with varicella who were admitted to the Bakirkoy Maternity and Children’s Educational and Treatment Hospital (BEH) between November of 2006 and June of 2011. In Istanbul, a majority of patients are treated at secondary and tertiary care hospitals [18]. BEH is one of the main tertiary referral centers for pediatric patients in which 40,000 patients are hospitalized and over 500,000 patients are examined annually [19]. The population of children aged younger than 15 years in Istanbul is 3,455,049, that is, one-fifth of the population under 15 in Turkey [20]. Data Collection Enrollment in this study required a discharge diagnosis of varicella or its associated complications as defined by the International Classification of Disease codes. Further detailed investigations of medical records of patients hospitalized with varicella were undertaken to avoid incorrect diagnoses. Data on the demographic features of the patients, their underlying conditions, reasons for hospitalization, types of varicella-related complications, blood culture results, length of hospital stay, outcomes, and costs were collected. Hospital expenses noted in this study included the cost of the prescribed drugs, doctor visits, nursing care, laboratory and radiological diagnostic tests, bed stay, and other related charges. The records of the patients logged hospital costs in the Turkish lira and were converted into the US dollar. Statistical Analysis Version 16 of the Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS for Windows) was used for all statistical analyses. One-way analysis of variance was used to compare continuous data among more than two groups. Multiple comparisons were analyzed by using Tukey’s honestly significant difference post hoc test, while Pearson’s correlation test was used to assess the relationships among continuous variables. Results Of the 684 children with varicella who were examined at BEH during the study time period, 234 were hospitalized. Of these cases, 48 patients (i.e., 20%) had an underlying illness and were thus excluded from the study (Table 1). Therefore, 186 previously healthy children (i.e., 55.9% males) were included in this study. Considering that BEH provides services to 15% of all children hospitalized in Istanbul and 3% of all children hospitalized in Turkey, the annual number of formerly healthy children younger than 15 years who are hospitalized because of varicella in Turkey was estimated at 1400. The median age of the patients with varicella in our study was 14 months (i.e., ranging from 14 days to 159 months). The highest rate of hospitalization occurred in patients younger than age 3 years (i.e., 74.15%), of which 64.2% were younger than or equal to age 1 year. The median length of hospital stay for this population was 5 days. The majority of the cases were detected in the spring and early summer months, with a peak in May (Fig. 1). The main reasons for hospitalization were complications associated with varicella (i.e., accounted for 79% of the admissions). Bacterial superinfections involving the skin and soft tissues accounted for 32.6% of the admissions and were the most frequently observed complications; this was followed by neurological complications in 29.9% of the admissions and pneumonia in 21.7% of the Malignancy Acute lymphoblastic leukemia Lymphoma Rhabdomyosarcoma Spinal tumor Neuroblastoma PNET Metabolic Type 1 diabetes mellitus Congenital adrenal hyperplasia Cystic fibrosis Graves’ disease Niemann Pick Hematologic Hereditary spherocytosis Diamond Blackfan anemia Thalassemia major Thrombasthenia Factor 7 deficiency Chronic ITP Primary immunodeficiency SCID IgA deficiency CVID Cyclic neutropenia Other Other Holoprosencephaly CMV hepatitis, hyperphenylalaninemia Echinococcal cyst Total n % 14 2 1 1 1 1 29 4.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 5 2 1 1 1 10.4 4.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2 1 1 1 1 2 4.2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 4.2 1 1 1 1 2 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 4.2 1 1 1 48 2.1 2.1 2.1 100 CMV, cytomegalovirus; CVID, common variable immunodeficiency; IgA, immunoglobulin A; ITP, idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura; PNET, primitive neuroectodermal tumor; SCID, severe combined immunodeficiency. admissions (Table 2). The children who were hospitalized for pneumonia were younger than those hospitalized with neurological complications (P o 0.05) (Fig. 2). Most outcomes were favorable with exception to one child needing thoracal tube insertion to treat empyema, one with abduscent nerve paralysis, and one with cellulitis that resulted in severe scarring. The median cost of hospitalization per patient was US $283, 50% of which was attributed to medication costs (Table 3). The costs for physician visits were lowest among the cost categories listed in Table 3 because revisits are not billed in accordance with current Turkish regulations. A positive correlation was observed between the total costs and the age of the patients (r ¼ 0.27, P o 0.001). Costs for hematological complications were higher than the costs for any of the other complications. For the five patients with the highest total costs, three had hematological complications and received blood transfusions; for the remaining two, one had septicemia and the other child had severe cellulitis that necessitated 26 days of hospitalization. The direct annual cost for otherwise healthy children hospitalized with varicella in Turkey was estimated to be US $396,200. Discussion Although varicella complications are believed to be rare in immunologically healthy children, related hospitalizations have 228 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 226–230 35 Number of patients 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Months Fig. 1 – Number of hospitalized varicella cases according to months of the year. been reported in children without any identified risk factors [2,21]. Of the 24,488 varicella-related hospitalizations during 2000-2006 in the United States, 70% were among healthy persons with no contraindications for vaccination [22]. Similarly, we noted that 80% of the children with varicella who were hospitalized during the study period at BEH had no underlying diseases. Carapetis et al. [2] reported that immunocompromised patients with varicella were admitted earlier in their illness and had lower complication rates than did otherwise healthy patients. For this reason, we conducted a detailed examination of hospitalizations for varicella only in previously healthy children. We estimated that hospitalizations due to varicella in otherwise healthy children have an incidence of 7.7/100,000. A Table 2 – Reasons for hospitalization in children with varicella. Cause Complications Skin, mucosa and soft tissue infections Pyoderma Cellulitis Abscess Cervical lymphadenitis Stomatitis Neurologic Cerebellar ataxia Convulsion Meningoencephalitis Papilloedema, optic neuritis Pneumonia Other Hematologic (thrombocytopenia) Sepsis Upper respiratory tract infection Arthritis Gastrointestinal Other causes Ageo2 months Fever Generalized skin lesions Poor feeding Poor general appearance Total n (%) 147 48 25 12 5 2 4 44 19 17 5 1 32 23 7 8 4 2 2 39 21 8 3 3 2 186 (79) (25.8) (23.7) (17.2) (12.3) (21) (100) multicenter study in Turkey also showed that 73.3% of hospitalized patients were previously healthy [23]. The estimated overall incidence was 5.29 to 6.89/100,000 in all children aged 0 to 15 years; therefore, considering that hospitalized patients constitute 1% of all cases of varicella, the overall incidence of varicella was estimated as 466 to 768/100,000 [23]. The median age of children hospitalized with varicella-related complications in the United Kingdom and Ireland was reported as 3 years [5]. In our study, children hospitalized for varicella tended to be younger; indeed, 47.6% of the patients in our study were 1 year or younger. Seroprevalence studies in Turkey have shown that after the decline in maternal antibodies present in the bloodstream at birth, seropositivity rates for VZV were low until the end of the first year (i.e., 16.6%) and gradually increased to 41.2% at age 5 years [24,25]. Protection of children younger than 1 year, however, can be achieved only by increased herd immunity that is established via a widespread vaccination program because the vaccine is not recommended in children younger than 1 year. A multicenter study in France demonstrated a strong inverse correlation between levels of circulating anti-VZV maternal antibodies in full-term infants and the occurrence of varicella complications in children who contract the disease at age younger than 1 year [26]. During the first 3 months of life, maternal antibodies against VZV protect most infants, and unless this immunity is absent, newborns with mild chickenpox should not require antiviral therapy [27]. In our study population, we identified 21 patients aged 14 days to 2 months who were hospitalized solely for varicella without any complications, and most of them received antiviral therapy. This indicates that many physicians still view the disease as a serious illness during early infancy. The majority of varicella complications identified in our study were bacterial superinfections, which is similar to the findings of previous studies [6,21]. Staphylococcus aureus and group A βhemolytic streptococci are the main pathogens responsible for bacterial complications related to varicella [28,29]. Pathogens were isolated from cultures of tissue samples in only five of our study patients (i.e., two had coagulase-negative staphylococci and one had α-hemolytic streptococci from blood cultures, whereas one had methicillin-sensitive S. aureus from abscess material, respectively). The low yield of microorganisms in our study is likely caused by insufficient culturing practices that must be improved in future studies and treatment of patients with varicella. Neurological complications were the second most common complication in patients who were hospitalized for varicella in VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 226–230 229 P<0.05 (hematologic, sepsis, upper respiratory tract infection, arthritis, gastrointestinal) Fig. 2 – Distribution of complications according to age of the patients. our study. Bozzola et al. [30] reported that although neurological complications did not usually result in permanent sequelae, they could lead to prolonged hospital stays and other indirect costs. The indirect costs from absenteeism and loss of associated productivity are more important than the direct health care costs [31]. The proportion of indirect costs in the total cost of varicella was reported to range from 42% to 98% in different sudies [32]. The highest percentage reported by Lieu et al. [33] was explained by the inclusion of the cost of death or prolonged disability resulting from the disease. Only direct costs were evaluated in our study. The costs of varicella-related hospitalizations may vary according to the epidemiologic features, management strategies of the disease, and the type of complications. Zhou et al. [17] estimated that in 2006, the direct per case medical cost of hospitalization for uncomplicated varicella, varicella pneumonia, and varicella encephalitis was US $3,317, US $4,213, and US $12,064, respectively. In Australia, the cost of hospitalization for children with varicella was reported to be US $3,272 per case in 2004 [2]. In Spain, hospitalization cost per case was Table 3 – Total hospital costs (US dollar). Variable MED PHY LAB NC HOS Total Cost Mean SD Median Min Max 206 7 60 28 106 407 469 12 80 30 73 552 108 4 30 20 88 283 0 0 0 0 0 15 4529 91 515 185 696 4886 MED, medications; PHY, physicians’ fees for examinations and consultations; LAB, diagnostic tests and radiological examinations; NC, nurse care; HOS: bed stay; SD, standard deviation. US $5,113, with the total associated national cost excluding symptomatic treatment at US $516,531 [34]. We estimated the direct national cost of varicella-related hospitalizations as US $396,200 in Turkey. Differences in health service fees such as hospital and physician costs may explain why hospital care in Turkey costs less than in the United States, Australia, and Spain. For Brazil, a country with a socioeconomic background similar to that of Turkey, Valentim et al. [14] reported that the hospital cost for a case of varicella was US $439. In China, inpatient care cost was US $640 per case [35]. In previous studies, the costs of hospitalizations for varicella were significantly higher in children who had underlying diseases [15,23]. Only otherwise healthy children were included in our study. Decisions on vaccine funding are often based on a number of variables, such as immunogenicity of the vaccine and the costeffectiveness of the immunization program. The varicella vaccine prevents the disease in 85% of immunized children but offers a 97% protection against its most severe forms [36]. Moreover, the universal two-dose immunization has been shown to be costeffective in Western temperate countries [37]. In Brazil, the costeffectiveness of a universal vaccination program against varicella was dependent on the vaccine price and the required number of doses [14]. In Turkey, one dose of varicella vaccine costs US $45 and the national birth cohort is 1.2 million. As a preventive measure, a universal vaccination program will require a large investment. In this study, however, we confirmed that hospitalization in varicella cases contributes to a significant cost burden even in previously healthy children. Our estimates of costs should contribute to future cost-effectiveness research in Turkey. Conclusions In Turkey, a significant number of otherwise healthy children have been hospitalized because of varicella and its complications. Data gathered about hospitalization expenses provide important 230 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 226–230 knowledge for future cost-effectiveness studies. This information will, therefore, assist policymakers in decisions about whether to include the varicella vaccine in childhood vaccination programs. Rates of complications may provide significant background knowledge for evaluating the impact of vaccinations against childhood varicella. Source of financial support: The authors have no other financial relationships to disclose. R EF E R EN CE S [1] Heininger U, Seward JF. Varicella. Lancet 2006;368:1365–76. [2] Carapetis JR, Russell DM, Curtis N. The burden and cost of hospitalized varicella and zoster in Australian children. Vaccine 2004;23:755–61. [3] Liese JG, Grote V, Rosenfeld E, et al. The burden of varicella complications before the introduction of routine varicella vaccination in Germany. Pediatr Infect Dis J 2008;27:119–24. 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VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 231–239 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri PATIENT-REPORTED OUTCOMES The Methodological Challenges for the Estimation of Quality of Life in Children for Use in Economic Evaluation in Low-Income Countries Travor Mabugu1,*, Paul Revill2, Bernard van den Berg2 1 Clinical Research Centre, University of Zimbabwe, Harare, Zimbabwe; 2Centre for Health Economics, University of York, York, UK AB STR A CT Objectives: The assessment of quality of life (QOL) in children has been underresearched in high- and low-income countries alike. This is partly due to practical and methodological challenges in characterizing and assessing children’s QOL. This article explores these challenges and highlights considerations in developing age-specific instruments for children affected by HIV and other health conditions in Africa and other lowincome settings. Methods: A literature search identified works that have 1) developed, 2) derived utilities for, or 3) applied QOL tools for use in economic evaluations of HIV interventions for children. We analyzed the existing tools specifically in terms of domains considered, variations in age bands, the recommended respondents, and the relevance of the tools to African and also other low-income country contexts. Results: Only limited QOL research has been conducted in low-income settings on either adults or children with HIV. A few studies have developed and applied tools for children (e.g., in Thailand, Brazil, and India), but none have been in Africa. The existing methodological literature is inconclusive on the appropriate width or depth by which to define pediatric QOL. The existing instruments include QOL domains such as “physical functioning,” “emotional and cognitive functioning,” “general behavior (social, school, home),” “health perception,” “coping and adaptation,” “pain and discomfort,” “extended effects,” “life perspective,” and “autonomy.” Conclusions: QOL assessment in children presents a series of practical and methodological challenges. Its application in low-income settings requires careful consideration of a number of context-specific factors. Introduction many cases are simpler to address for adults. From a practical viewpoint, it is simply less straightforward to ask children to describe the domains that make up their QOL or to assess their own QOL because they might find it hard to clearly communicate their thoughts and feelings. They can also face difficulties in distinguishing between good and ill health or well-being, and permanent and transitory health problems. Approaches that have been proposed to overcome these difficulties include using innovative instruments to aid understanding (e.g., use of pictures [5]), varying questions and tools by age (e.g., see Paediatric Quality of Life Inventory [PedsQL] in Overview of Children’s QOL Instruments section) and stage of development of children, and delivering questions to adult proxies responsible for children (such as parents or carers). Obviously, the responses of children and their proxies can vary [6]. They have been shown to differ most widely with respect to domains around social and emotional functioning, whereas they seem more similar within physical activity, functioning, and symptoms domains [7]. Effectiveness research on child health interventions in lowincome countries has usually relied solely on intermediate clinical markers (used primarily to inform narrow clinical decisions) instead of QOL measures, which aim at assessing the wider The assessment of quality of life (QOL) is crucial to inform comparisons of the effectiveness of health care and public health interventions, comparative health research, performance measurement, purchasing decisions, and economic evaluations in high- and low-income countries alike (see Smith et al. [1] for a conceptual overview of the QOL literature). Much less progress has been made in QOL assessment in children than in adult health. The unique challenges of child health state assessment have been highlighted elsewhere [2,3]. Ungar and Gerber [4] explain that children start life as vulnerable infants and develop toward independent persons. Throughout this process the child experiences change in dependency relations with parents, relatives, friends, teachers, neighbors, and people from the community and encounters various types of health care workers such as doctors, nurses, and community health workers. The nature of the child’s relationships and his or her encounters with health care workers are likely to significantly affect patterns of health care use, which then impacts his or her health status. The development of QOL instruments for children involves tackling a series of practical and methodological issues that in Keywords: children, HIV/AIDS, low-income, quality of life. Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflict of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Travor Mabugu, Clinical Research Centre, University of Zimbabwe, Parirenyatwa Hospital Annexe, Cnr J Tongogara/Mazowe Street, Harare, Zimbabwe. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.07.005 232 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 231–239 impact of a disease on a child’s life and his or her social environment (see Wilson and Cleary [8] on the conceptual distinction between clinical and QOL outcomes). The usefulness of these narrow clinical indicators to evaluate a range of medical alternatives is limited. Instead, particularly when adopting a public health approach, there is a need to understand the effect of health care on a person’s QOL in whatever way this is defined. The estimation of children’s QOL should therefore be a central priority. In addition to the practical challenges in assessing children’s QOL, there are considerable methodological challenges. This article aims to contribute to the literature by debating methodological challenges related to pediatric QOL measurement in low-income settings. By doing so we challenge existing instruments based on the scope and perspective of existing pediatric QOL tools. We also aim to inform how pediatric QOL estimation can be used within economic evaluation. Although the article has a general focus—contributing to outcome research in general—special attention is paid to addressing these challenges of QOL assessment for use in the economic evaluation of health care, and especially HIV/AIDS interventions. The article proceeds as follows. A literature search for QOL assessment in children is outlined. Based on the literature search considerations of the QOL domains, suggested respondents and age bands are described. Next, methodological considerations for transforming QOL outcomes for economic evaluation are presented Screening Idenficaon Arcles idenfied through PubMed database searching (n = 393) together with a general typology on the forms of economic evaluation that QOL estimation can inform. The article concludes after a general discussion on the scope of the implications of our article and a reflection on our work compared with other studies. Literature Search Search The literature search was conducted by the first author. He followed the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. The primary search term used was “quality of life” and the following secondary search terms were used: “children,” “HIV,” “AIDS,” “instrument,” and “measurement.” The PubMed and PubMed Central search engines were used. In addition, the following selected journals were searched: Quality of Life Research, Pharmacoeconomics, Journal of Health Economics, AIDS & STD Patient Care, and Cost-Effectiveness and Resource Allocation. Eligibility Criteria Included articles 1) developed QOL instruments for, 2) derived utilities (values) for, or 3) applied tools in economic evaluations of Arcles idenfied through PMC database searching (n = 159) Arcles idenfied through selected Journals Pharmaco-economics (n = 300) Health Economics (n = 312) Cost-effecveness & Resource Allocaon (n = 35) AIDS Paent Care & STDs (n = 424) Quality of Life research (n = 113) Records aer duplicates removed and addion of informal search arcles (n = 1495) Eligibility Records excluded aer inial screening by tle and abstract (n = 1444) Full-text arcles assessed for eligibility (n = 51) Included Full-text arcles excluded, with reasons (n = 35) Studies included in qualitave synthesis (n = 13) Fig. 1 – Flow chart of literature search events. Thirty-five articles were excluded for a number of reasons, with the main reasons for exclusion being as follows: assessed the QOL of adults with HIV-infected children (13 articles), commentaries (3) or letters (4) that highlighted measurement issues of QOL in HIV-infected children, compared the type of interview (researcher vs. selfadministered interviews) (2 articles), the tools used applied to children older than 18 years (8 articles), and reviews that highlighted general measurement of health outcomes in both children and adults (5 articles). We ensured that tools used or mentioned in these excluded articles were captured in the final 13 articles used in the analysis. QOL, quality of life. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 231–239 HIV interventions in children. Articles published in any language other than English were excluded. The focus population was children in low-income settings, but particular attention paid to the QOL of children with HIV in Africa. See Figure 1 for more details. Overview of Children’s QOL Instruments The overview revealed an appreciable body of work on QOL research in HIV/AIDS conducted internationally [9], including some studies in sub-Saharan Africa [10,11], as well as for children [12–14], but not for children in Africa. Table 1 shows all articles for which pediatric QOL tools for HIV/AIDS have been developed or applied and names the tools that were taken forward for qualitative analysis. The QOL instruments are either generic health status instruments (in which scores can be compared for many diseases, e.g., Child Quality of Life Scale [CQLS], PedsQL, and Quality of Life Assessment Questionnaire [QLAQ]) or HIV condition/disease-specific instruments (which measure narrowly focused patient views on the impact of HIV/AIDS). The literature search yielded a mixture of these tools but mostly generic instruments. The identified tools have all been developed for use primarily in high- and upper-middle-income countries. A few studies have applied these tools in middle-income countries such as Thailand, Brazil, and India. Zambia is the only lower-middle income country in Africa that has reported application of child utilities in economic evaluation [15]. In this study, adult utilities were extrapolated for use in children, and the authors highlight lack of child-specific QOL weights appropriate to lower-income settings. The dimensions or domains of the retrieved tools are summarized in Table 2. The number of domains varies from 4 (in PedsQL 4.0) to 12 (Child Health Questionnaire 28). The most common domains included in the tools were variants of physical, emotional, and social functioning, and general health perception. The CQLS contains leisure and family domains, and the QLAQ has a measure of physical resilience. Despite requests we were unsuccessful in obtaining access to the Thai Quality of Life for HIV Infected Children tool, and therefore it was not included in subsequent analyses. Table 3 shows the origin of the tools considered in this analysis. It also gives a summary of the key factors that were considered in the elicitation of responses, how the summary scores were obtained, and which age groups were considered in the studies analyzed. An important issue when assessing child QOL is the determination of an appropriate respondent—in particular whether it should be a child and/or a proxy (parent or carer). Only the PedsQL, Thai Quality of Life for Children, and Child Health Questionnaire 28 allow for both adult proxy responses and child self-responses. Other instruments recommend either adult proxies (e.g., the QLAQ and General Health Assessment for Children) or child self-response (e.g., the CQLS). Table 3 also contains a subanalysis on the age sensitivity of the identified tools. We also note the width of age variation, and this is further discussed below. Most instruments were developed in what would be categorized as middle- to high-income countries using standard World Bank classifications [16]. Application of these tools in lower-income settings can raise a number of concerns associated with the diverging socioeconomic and cultural contexts of these settings, although some similarities can also be drawn between these different economies. We believe that three primary questions need to be addressed: 1) which dimensions and 2) which age bands apply in the African context, and finally 3) whose response is most appropriate to elicit (the child’s or a proxy’s). 233 Key Issues to Consider in Assessment of QOL in Children What Dimensions to Consider? Table 4 presents the domains that have been used to assess child QOL in existing instruments. This table generally suggests, as observed above, that major domains such as physical, psychological, and social functioning and general health perception form basic and fundamental pillars of a child’s QOL. Physical functioning is an assessment of a child’s ability to perform daily tasks and includes sitting, walking, running, and playing. It is about general motility. Psychological functioning assesses aspects such as cognitive and attentive abilities, emotions, personality, behavior, and interpersonal relationships. Social wellness assesses internal and external engagement at all levels (such as at the micro level of individual agency and the macro level of systems at school, home, and other social structures). Finally, general health perception assesses sentiments relating to current health status. It is a function of an individual’s perception of the extent of deviation in health status from a desired or aspired level, and is often affected by changes in health status over time. In addition, other descriptors of QOL that need to be explored for importance and relevance include domains such as life perspective; autonomy, pain, and discomfort; extended effects; and coping and adaptation strategies. Whose Response to Consider? It is inevitable that different individuals report QOL differently, especially if they are proxy respondents. Various potential choices exist for pediatric study populations. A key distinction can be made between children themselves and adult proxies— either a parent or caregiver, or a health care provider. The literature highlighted here is inconclusive on this issue. A more precise response can be obtained from self-responses, although younger children face more cognitive difficulties in expressing themselves than do older children. Therefore, because of developmental and cognitive changes that occur as the child grows (see Is Age Sensitivity an Issue? section), it may be useful to obtain either child and/or adult proxy responses depending on the age of the child. Adult proxy responses represent close substitutes for younger children who are not able to comprehend and express themselves clearly. As children grow older, however, their responses can then be considered. Is Age Sensitivity an Issue? A closely related consideration to determining the appropriate respondent is to reflect childhood developments in QOL measurement based on a child’s age. A child’s life trajectory is typically characterized by development in cognitive abilities and changing dependency relations as the level of autonomy increases. The studies highlighted in the review do not offer one consistent approach to address the age-dependent elements of pediatric QOL measurement (see Table 3). If we consider the ecological model of influences on child development [4], different systems exert differing effects on the development of children and are each introduced at varying ages (and with some degree of overlap). This results in unpredictable impacts on the cognitive abilities of a child. Different health systems in Africa have categorized children by age to inform clinical practice. In Malawi, for example, children are grouped into the following age groups: 0 to 2 years, 3 to 5 years, and 6 to 15 years. Appropriate tools should therefore be age sensitive to reflect key developmental milestones that affect pediatric QOL. 234 Table 1 – Articles included for qualitative data analysis. Title AA 22 Oral health related quality of life of paediatric patients with AIDS Poor quality of life among untreated Thai & Cambodian children without severe HIV symptoms Health related quality of life assessment questionnaire for children aged 5-11 years with HIV/AIDS: cross-cultural adaptation for Portuguese language Development of the EQ-5D-Y—a child friendly version of the EQ-5D AA 24 AA 25 AA 29 Authors Year Journal Country Massarente et al. [33] 2011 BMC Oral Health Journal Brazil Bunupiradah et al. [34] 2011 AIDS Care Thailand, Cambodia Costa et al. [14] 2011 Cad. Saúde Pública, Rio de Janeiro Brazil Wille et al. [31] 2010 Quality of Life Research Germany, Italy, Spain, and Sweden AA 17 Quality of life of children living in HIV/AIDS-affected families in rural areas in Yunman, China Xu et al. [13] 2010 AIDS Care China AA 18 Health-related quality of life in HIVinfected children using PedsQL™ 4.0 and comparison with uninfected children Banerjee et al. [35] 2010 Quality of Life Research India Objectives Population group (sample size) Eligibility criteria Instrument used GNI per capita Setting 10–15 y (88) Value elicitation OHR-QoL 11,420.00 MIC 1–11 y (294) Tool development and value elicitation GCHA 8,360.00 and 2,230.00 UMIC/ LMIC To assess cross-cultural adaptation of the QLAQ used to measure the HRQOL in Brazilian children aged 5–11 y with HIV/ AIDS 5–11 y (35) Tool development QLAQ 11,420 MIC To develop a self-report version of the EQ-5D questionnaire for younger respondents (EQ-5D-Y), and test comprehensibility of children and adolescents with HIV/AIDS To explore factors influencing the HRQOL of children living in HIV-affected families in rural areas in Yuunan, China. Assess reliability and validity of PedsQL 4.0 in children with HIV, and the association of HIV infection treatment regimens 48 y Tool development EQ-5D-Y 40,170.00/ 32420.00/ 31,440.00/ 42,210.00 HIC (all) 8–17 y (225) Values elicitation PedsQL 4.0 8,390.00 MIC 8–12 y (300) Values elicitation PedsQL 4.0 3,620.00 LMIC Assessment of oral HRQOL of HIV/AIDSinfected children and associated factors To evaluate QOL in untreated Thai and Cambodian children with HIV who do not have severe HIV VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 231–239 Code Value elicitation PedsQL 4.0 3,620.00 LMIC 8–16 y (292) Value elicitation PedsQL 4.0 and ThQLC 8,360.00 MIC To develop a reliable and valid selfreported HRQOL instrument for HIVinfected children in Thailand Z8 y (292) Tool development ThQLHC 8,360.00 MIC USA, Pourte Rica To examine the impact of HIV disclosure on pediatric QOL 45 y (395) Values elicitation GHAC 48,820.00/- HIC/ HIC AIDS Zambia 1–14 y (534) Utilities equated VAS, TTO, SG 1,490.00 LMIC Quality of Life Research USA Assess the CEA of cotrimoxazole prophylaxis in HIVinfected children in Zambia To expand the psychometric properties of the Child Health Questionnaire 28 (CHQ-28) parent report short form as a measure of wellbeing for children with chronic illness 5–18 y(33) Tool development/ adjustment CHQ-28 48,820.00 HIC Quality of life and psychosocial functioning of HIVinfected children Das et al. [36] 2010 Indian Journal of Paediatrics India AA 20 Health-related quality of life of Thai children with HIV infection: a comparison of the Thai Quality of Life in children (TlQLC) with the PedsQL™ 4.0 generic core scales Development of a culturally appropriate healthrelated quality of life measure for HIVinfected children in Thailand Impact of disclosure of HIV infection on HRQoL among children and adolescents with HIV infection Cost- effectiveness of cotrimoxazole prophylaxis in HIVinfected children in Zambia Psychometrics of child health questionnaire parent short form (CHQ-28) used to measure quality of life in HIV-infected children in complex anti-retroviral therapy Punpanich et al. [37] 2010 Quality of Life Research Thailand Punpanich et al. [38] 2010 Journal of Peadiatrics and Child Health Thailand Butler et al. [39] 2009 Paediatrics Ryan et al. [15] 2008 Byrue et al. [40] 2005 AA 27 AA 26 AA 28 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 231–239 Z6 y(71) AA 19 AA 21 and type of care received on QOL To assess the QOL and psychosocial problems of HIVinfected children, in comparison to children with cystic fibrosis Assess reliability and validity of the ThQLC instrument in comparison with the PedsQL 4.0 in children on longterm HIV care 235 236 CEA, cost-effectiveness analysis; CHQ-28, Child Health Questionnaire 28; CQLS, Child Quality of Life Scale; EQ-5D, EuroQol five-dimensional; GHAC, General Health Assessment for Children; HIC, high income country; HRQOL, health-related quality of life; LMIC, lower middle income country; OHR-QoL, oral health related-quality of life; PedsQL, Paediatric Quality of Life Inventory; QLAQ, Quality of Life Assessment Questionnaire; QOL, quality of life; SG, standard gamble; ThQLC, Thai Quality of Life for Children; ThQLHC, Thai Quality of Life for HIV Infected Children; TTO, time trade-off; UMIC, upper middle income country; VAS, visual analogue scale. LMIC 11,420.00 CQLS Tool development and application 4–12 y (100) To validate the scale of children’s QOL in a group of children infected with HIV receiving clinical care in Brazil 2005 Ferreira et al. [41] AA 23 Validation study of a scale of life quality evaluation in a group of paediatric patients infected with HIV Ciência Saúde Coletiva Brazil Population group (sample size) Year Authors Title Code Table 1 – continued Journal Country Objectives Eligibility criteria Instrument used GNI per capita Setting VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 231–239 Table 2 – List of domains found in identified tools. Number Instrument 1 PedsQL4.0 2 ThQLC 3 ThQLHC 4 CQLS 5 QLAQ 6 EQ-5D-Y 7 GHAC 8 CHQ-28 Domains considered Physical, emotional, social, and school functioning Physical, emotional, social, life, and school functioning HIV-targeted tool used to assess symptoms associated with HIV in children Autonomy, leisure, functions, and family Physical, psychological, social/role functioning, health perceptions, health care utilization, and physical resilience Mobility, self-care, pain/discomfort, anxiety/depression, and usual activities General health perception, symptom distress, psychological status, and physical functioning Physical function; limitation to social role related to emotional or physical function; bodily pain; general behavior; mental health; self-esteem; general health perception; change in health over past year; impact on parental time; impact on parental emotions; family activities; and family cohesion CHQ-28, Child Health Questionnaire 28; CQLS, Child Quality of Life Scale; EQ-5D-Y, EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire for younger respondents; GHAC, General Health Assessment for Children; PedsQL, Paediatric Quality of Life Inventory; QLAQ, Quality of Life Assessment Questionnaire; ThQLC, Thai Quality of Life for Children; ThQLHC, Thai Quality of Life for HIV-Infected Children. This is an HIV-specific tool and could not access the tool for comparison purposes. Children aged 2 years or younger generally require the full-time attention of the mother or another adult. The mother or carer is then fully responsible for assessing the welfare of the child by using means such as interpreting their expressions. Children aged 3 to 5 years old have some increased autonomy and will likely spend some time away from the major caregiver, be given opportunity to play alone or with others, and will perhaps spend time in day care activities. They also have an improved ability to report ill health and discomfort, even though they may not be able to describe this in detail. Children aged 6 to 12 years experience life increasingly away from family members. They are often introduced to formal education (although not always in the African context), and the expectations placed on them are somewhat higher—for instance, they may need to do homework or help with housework. In the age range 13 to 15 years, children have their final years of childhood. They start to experience hormonal changes and transition to life as adults. Using QOL Measurement in Economic Evaluation After the outcomes of health care interventions have been measured, using a context-sensitive QOL tool, there is a need to 237 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 231–239 Table 3 – Origins of tools, income settings, variation in respondents, and age sensitivity of tools. Tool Country originally developed (and tested) Development PedsQL 4.0 ThQLC CQLS QLAQ EQ-5DY GHAC CHQ-28 Tested Income Respondent Age sensitive Self Adult proxy Yes/ no Specify San Diego, CA San Diego, CA High income Yes Yes Yes 2–18 y Thailand Brazil Brazil Germany, Italy, Spain, and Sweden USA USA Thailand Brazil Brazil Germany, Spain, and South Africa USA USA Upper-middle income Upper-middle income Upper-middle income High- and uppermiddle income High income High income Yes Yes No Yes Yes No Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes 5–16 y 4–12 y 5–12 y Z8 y No Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Z5 y Z8 y CHQ-28, Child Health Questionnaire 28; CQLS, Child Quality of Life Scale; EQ-5D-Y, EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire for younger respondents; GHAC, General Health Assessment for Children; PedsQL, Paediatric Quality of Life Inventory; QLAQ, Quality of Life Assessment Questionnaire; ThQLC, Thai Quality of Life for Children. value these outcomes if these are to be used within economic evaluation. Economic evaluations can guide decision makers on the allocation of their budgets, whether this is in health care or more specifically for HIV/AIDS interventions. There are various approaches to conducting economic evaluations depending on the scope and perspective of the study. Literature however points broadly to two predominant forms of analyses: cost-utility (sometimes called cost-effectiveness) analyses and cost-benefit analyses [17]. The key challenge in all forms of economic evaluation is to capture the impact of various interventions in affecting the QOL of patients, or potential future patients, and their associated costs. For pediatric evaluations, there is therefore a need to measure the QOL impacts of pediatric interventions, using some form of instrument, and then for these impacts to be valued. These values can then be compared directly to costs to inform an assessment of value for money. There are then broadly two ways of incorporating QOL estimation into economic evaluation, and the appropriate approach to valuation relates to the form of analysis adopted: (1) for cost-utility/cost-effectiveness analyses, effects of interventions have to be translated into “utilities,” and (2) for cost-benefit analyses, it is necessary to translate effects of interventions into monetary values. These two approaches are considered below. Calculating Utilities for Use within Cost-Utility/Effectiveness Analyses Utilities value QOL on a scale in which 1 represents “full health” and 0 represents “death.” This has two major advantages: first, they enable comparisons across different interventions and therapeutic areas, and second, they can enable reduced mortality and reduced morbidity to be assessed concurrently. The applied literature on the evaluation of pediatric interventions has often struggled to determine appropriate utilities in both high- and low-income country settings. For instance, in an evaluation of prophylaxis for HIV-infected children, Ryan et al. [15] had to apply adult utility values to child health outcomes. The authors explain that there were no utilities available for HIVinfected children and instead they have to rely on the use of adult utilities. This clearly is a limitation of this and other pediatric economic evaluations in HIV/AIDS. Two of the most widely used methods to determine preference or utility scores are the standard gamble and time trade-off [17,18]. These are choice or preference-based methods in which standard gamble involves eliciting preferences from respondents between health states that are uncertain, whereas time trade-off involves making choices on the basis of the length of time spent in alternative health states. Both approaches are relatively expensive to undertake on a case-by-case basis. One alternative is the visual analogue scale, which can be administered alongside QOL measurement tools to inform utilities [19]. Table 4 – Description of new domains for QOL in children. Domain Physical functioning Emotional and cognitive functioning General behavior (social, school, home) Life perspective Health perceptions Copying/adaptation Pain and discomfort Extended effects Autonomy QOL, quality of life. Description Ability to sit, walk, run, play, participate in general activities that require use of body, general motility Mental wellness (neurological impairment, anxiety, depression), emotions (sad, anger, fear, happiness, self-esteem, confidence), and cognitive (intellectual mind, comprehension, etc.) Behavior at home (e.g., family participation and cohesion), school (class participation, schoolwork, group work, school absenteeism or preseentism), and social/role playing (among other kids) Views on life events, life expectations Overall perception of health (includes perception of current health, changes in health over the previous period, health care utilization as a proxy to overall health status) Ability to cope or adapt to changes in health or to changes not related to health Pain and discomfort The external effects of caring for the sick child, e.g., time, emotions, burden, effort, and impact on your current health and well-being Examines the level of independence of the child, self-reliance 238 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 231–239 Calculating Monetary Values for Use within Cost-Benefit Analyses A second means of assessing value from HIV/AIDS and health care interventions is to assign monetary values to health outcome measures directly. Monetary valuation can be assigned by using either revealed preferences or stated preferences (SP) of subjects. The well-being valuation method is a relatively new approach in the revealed preferences tradition to calculate monetary valuations (see Powdthavee and van den Berg [20] or Deaton et al. [21]). In the absence of a functioning market for particular commodities, such as is the case for health gains resulting from interventions, an SP approach usually has to be adopted by an analyst. One common way to elicit SP to calculate monetary values is to use contingent valuation. This method elicits values by using hypothetical questions contained in a survey [22,23]. Individuals are asked to directly state their willingness to pay for medicines or treatments associated with an illness, or for inclusion of interventions in health insurance packages or reimbursement lists [24–28]. The related approach of undertaking discrete choice experiments asks similar questions but over a whole range of attributes, including health domains and monetary outcomes, enabling monetary values to be placed on the outcomes associated with the receipt of interventions [29]. Discussion and Conclusions The idea of this article arose during the development of an instrument for QOL assessment in children with HIV in subSaharan Africa. During the process of developing that instrument, it became clear that there were quite a few methodological challenges that remained unresolved in the literature—in particular relating to choices of domains, recommended respondents, and child age bands. It also became clear that these are of relevance not only to the evaluation of HIV-related outcomes in Africa but also to pediatric QOL estimation in low-income countries more generally. This article therefore is not meant as a research manuscript but instead has outlined some of the methodological challenges. It is hoped this will encourage further debate on methodological issues relating to QOL assessment in children. The article has also outlined how QOL outcomes can be valued for use within economic evaluation studies. Identifying existing instruments on the basis of the literature search suggested that quite a broad range of QOL domains should be considered for inclusion in any instrument. These could be labeled as “physical functioning,” “emotional and cognitive functioning,” “general behavior (social, school, home),” “health perception,” “coping and adaptation,” “pain and discomfort,” “extended effects,” “life perspective,” and “autonomy.” We do not claim that our search was exhaustive, for example the CHU9D tool [42] did not appear in our search. However, the domains are broadly similar. This finding is particularly interesting because it suggests that two of the most notable existing instruments (PedsQL and EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire for young respondents [EQ5D-Y]) may have a focus that is too narrow to fully capture children’s QOL. The PedsQL is considered one of the most promising QOL instruments for children [13]. It includes domains covering physical, emotional, social, and school functioning. It does not, however, contain domains found in other tools such as health perception, coping and adaptation, and pain and discomfort. The EQ-5D-Y stems from the well-known adult EQ-5D questionnaire, which is the main outcome measure in costutility analysis [30]. It assesses childhood QOL by using domains of mobility, self-care, pain/discomfort, anxiety/depression, and usual activities. These match domains used for adults although it is expected that the types of considerations within each may change between adults and children—for instance, usual activities for adults will typically include work and leisure, whereas for children they are more likely to focus around things such as school and play. The scope of both the PedsQL and the EQ-5D-Y may therefore not be wide enough to capture what is really important for children’s QOL. This has already notably been acknowledged, for instance, by Willie et al. [31]. The implication, however, is that the search for appropriate measurement tools for pediatric QOL, even in high-income countries, is not a concluded task. This article has also highlighted other considerations relating to whether tools should be catered to particular age groups and the related question of whose responses to consider (the child’s or an adult proxy’s). As a result of developmental and cognitive changes that occur as the child grows, we believe that catering tools to different age groups is required. This also has implications on who should respond to questions. Adult proxy responses represent close substitutes for younger children who are not able to comprehend and express themselves clearly. As children grow older, however, their responses can be considered. Others have discussed QOL measurement in pediatric patients with HIV on the basis of demonstrating adequate psychometric properties of existing instruments [12]. Finally, this article has outlined how pediatric QOL estimation can be used within economic evaluation. This requires valuation of the effects of interventions—either using utilities (for use in cost-utility/effectiveness analyses) or assigning monetary values (for use in cost-benefit analysis). The applied QOL literature has tended to use adult health profiling instruments in child health state assessment and/or adult preferences for health utilities. This is a major limitation that risks leading to inappropriate policy advice on the use of pediatric health care interventions. Although there is a substantial literature on parents’ willingness to pay even in low-income settings that we may not have captured in our search, it is worth emphasizing that in this literature it is generally parents who value children’s QOL. It seems therefore fair to conclude that the more accurate informing of policy requires either both child-specific measurement and valuation of QOL or better involvement of parents in valuation of children’s QOL. When parents are going to value children’s QOL, the analyst should consider basing QOL estimations on interdependent utility functions [32]. It also requires measurement and valuation to be appropriately culturally sensitive [14]. Regardless of the valuation approach, it is necessary to be sensitive to cultural variations in the conception of QOL that will ultimately affect the value put on the QOL estimated. Cultural variations often correlate with levels of economic well-being, although this is not necessarily always true. QOL estimation should therefore be based on a culturally sensitive tool, and valuation should also be sensitive to cultural differences and economic conditions. In conclusion, QOL estimation in children presents a series of practical and methodological challenges. Its application in lowincome countries requires careful consideration of a number of context-specific factors. The article challenges existing instruments to capture a broader range of domains to assess pediatric QOL for effectiveness research. We have also informed how pediatric QOL outcomes can be valued for use within economic evaluation studies. Acknowledgment We gratefully acknowledge the suggestions and comments of three anonymous reviewers. We thank the Department for International VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 231–239 Development and the Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit for supporting this work. Source of financial support: This work was funded by the Department for International Development, through the Medical Research Council Clinical Trials Unit, as part of the ARROW: Young Lives project and the Lablite Project. R EF E R EN CE S [1] Smith KW, Avis NE, Assmann SF. Distinguishing between quality of life and health status in quality of life research: a meta-analysis. Qual Life Res 1999;8:447–59. [2] Halfon N, Nweacheck PW. Characterizing the social impact of asthma in children. In: Weiss KB, Buist AS, Sullivan SD,eds., Asthma’s Impact on Society, the Social and Economic Burden. New York: Marcel Dekker, Inc, 2000. [3] Sameroff A, Chandler M. 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Aguwa, PharmD1,2 1 Department of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmacy Management, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Enugu, Nigeria; 2Pharmacotherapeutic Group, Department of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmacy Management, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Enugu, Nigeria AB STR A CT Objectives: To evaluate the impact of pharmaceutical care (PC) intervention on health-related quality of life (HRQOL) of patients with type 2 diabetes. Methods: This study was a randomized, controlled study with a 12-month patient follow-up. The study protocol was approved by the Research Ethical Committees of the institutions in which this study was conducted. A total of 110 patients were randomly assigned to each of the “intervention” (PC) and “control” (usual care [UC]) groups. Patients in the UC group received the usual/ conventional care offered by the hospitals. Patients in the PC group received UC and additional PC for 12 months. The HUI23S4EN.40Q (developed by HUInc - Mark index 2&3) questionnaire was used to assess the HRQOL of the patients at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. Two-sample comparisons were made by using Student’s t tests for normally distributed variables or Mann-Whitney U tests for nonnormally distributed data at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. Comparisons of proportions were done by using the chi-square test. Results: The overall HRQOL (0.86 ⫾ 0.12 vs. 0.64 ⫾ 0.10; P o 0.0001) and single attributes except “hearing” functioning of the patients were significantly improved at 12 months in the PC intervention arm when compared with the UC arm. The HRQOL utility score was highly negatively (deficit ≥10%) associated with increasing age (≥52 years), diabetes duration (44 years), emergency room visits, comorbidity of hypertension, and stroke in both PC and UC groups. Conclusion: Addition of PC to UC improved the quality of life in patients with type 2 diabetes. Keywords: HRQOL, patients with diabetes, pharmaceutical care intervention, quality of life, usual care. Introduction standard treatment guideline to streamline the process of diabetes management and what service the patients should receive [7]. Several research studies have been carried out on health deficit associated with diabetes comorbidities. For instance, the work done by Maddigan et al. [8] to assess the impact of comorbid heart disease, stroke, and arthritis on HRQOL in people with diabetes in the general Canadian population concluded that “The illness burden experienced by individuals with diabetes is not only associated with diabetes itself, but largely with co-morbid medical conditions.” Also, Westaway [9] reported that chronic disease status and comorbidities were more important determinants of health and well-being than were ethnicity, age, language, gender, and marital status. Quality of life (QOL) is also increasingly recognized as an important health outcome in its own right, representing the ultimate goal of all health interventions [10]. The health utilities index Mark 3 (HUI3) classification system comprises eight attributes: vision, hearing, speech, ambulation, dexterity, emotion, cognition, and pain—each with five or six levels of ability/disability. Most of these attributes can be negatively affected by diabetes and its complications. Pharmaceutical care (PC) is the direct, responsible provision of medication-related care with the purpose of achieving definite Chronic medical conditions can impact multiple dimensions of health-related quality of life (HRQOL) [1]. Given that diabetes is part of a metabolic syndrome that increases the risk of heart disease and stroke [2], it is not uncommon for these conditions to occur as comorbidities in individuals with diabetes. Because comorbidities are prevalent in diabetes, it is unlikely that the HRQOL deficits associated with diabetes would be limited to the condition itself. Indeed, the presence and severity of complications or comorbidities have been associated with depression, anxiety, and impairment on multiple dimensions of HRQOL in diabetes [3]. The presence of cardiovascular complications as comorbidity with diabetes also leads to deficit in HRQOL [4]. The national standardized prevalence rate of diabetes mellitus in Nigeria is 2.2%, while the crude prevalence rate is 74% in those aged 45 years and above who live in urban areas [5]. Global estimates of the prevalence of diabetes for 2010 and 2030 showed that the prevalence of diabetes in Nigeria in 2010 was 4.7% and that it would be 5.5% in 2030 when compared with world population [6]. The complex nature of diabetes management prompted the Nigerian Ministry of Health to come up with a Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Maxwell O. Adibe, Department of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmacy Management, University of Nigeria, Nsukka, Enugu, Nigeria. E-mails: [email protected]; [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.007 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 240–247 outcomes that improve a patient’s QOL [10]. The principal elements of PC are that it is medication related; it is care that is directly provided to the patient; it is provided to produce definite outcomes; these outcomes are intended to improve the patient’s QOL; and the provider accepts personal responsibility for the outcomes [10]. It is also the determination of the drug needs for a given individual and the provision of not only the required drug but also the necessary services (before, during, or after treatment) to ensure the optimally safe and effective drug therapy [11]. Diabetes is a disease that desperately needs more pharmacist involvement. Pharmacists who are specialized in this growing chronic condition can make a significant, positive impact on the patient, the health care system, and themselves [12]. Health care professionals are becoming increasingly aware of the need to assess and monitor the QOL as an important outcome of diabetes care. The QOL is an important outcome in its own right and because it may influence the patient’s self-care activities, which may consequently have an impact on the diabetes control [13]. Many PC programs have been established in various countries to enhance clinical outcomes and the HRQOL. These programs were implemented by pharmacists, with the cooperation of physicians and other health care professionals. PC and the expanded role of pharmacists are associated with many positive diabetes-related outcomes, including improved clinical measures [14], improved patient and provider satisfaction [15,16], and improved cost of management [15,17]. The pharmacist can, therefore, in collaboration with physicians and other health care professionals, contribute to an improvement in the QOL of patients with diabetes by informing and educating patients, answering their questions, and, at the same time, monitoring the outcomes of their treatment [18]. Such interventions, however, are not very common in Nigeria. Therefore, this research was aimed at evaluating the impact of the PC intervention on the QOL of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus in a tertiary hospital setting in Nigeria. Methods Research Design This study was a randomized, controlled, and longitudinal prospective study with a 12-month patient follow-up. The study protocol was approved by the Research Ethical Committees of the University of Nigeria Teaching Hospital, ItukuOzalla, and Nnamdi Azikiwe University Teaching Hospital, Nnewi, in which this study was conducted. These hospitals are tertiary hospitals that serve as referral centers to most of the hospitals in Nigeria. Patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who fulfilled the entrance criteria were identified and included in the study. The inclusion criteria were as follows: 1. patients who were diagnosed with type 2 diabetes mellitus, 2. patients with type 2 diabetes who were receiving oral hypoglycemic and/or insulin therapy, 3. patients who provided written informed consent, 4. patients who expressed willingness to abide by the rules of the study, and 5. patients who were certified fit for the study by their consulting doctors. Exclusion criteria were as follows: 1. patients who were diagnosed with type 1 diabetes (to avoid complexity in the study scope), 2. patients who were younger than 18 years (they are legally regarded as dependents and consequently they cannot take decisions of their own), 241 3. patients who were pregnant (they are generally not allowed to participate in a study of this nature by the institutions used for the study), and 4. patients who expressed willingness to withdraw from the study (participation is voluntary). These criteria were according to the guiding principles of the institutional review boards of the hospitals used in this study. Following sample size determination, a sample size of at least 104 patients in each of the control and intervention groups was required. Based on these data, to ensure sufficient statistical power and to account for “dropouts” during the study, a target sample size of 220 patients was recruited (110 patients from each of the hospitals). The folders of the 110 selected patients in each hospital were assigned numbers 1 to 110, which represented an individual patient, and patients were randomly assigned to one of two groups (intervention group or control group) on the basis of the number on their folders by using online “random sequence generator” [19] with sequence boundaries of 1 to 110 (boundaries inclusive) set in a two-column format: the first column was priori designated to the intervention group (55 patients) and the second column to the control group (55 patients). Patients in the usual care (UC) group received the usual/ conventional care offered by the hospitals, which included hospital visits on appointment or on a sick day, consultations with doctors, prescription of drugs and routine laboratory tests, review of diagnosis and medications, refilling of prescriptions by patients, and referral. This UC was offered with no education/ training of the patients on their diseases and drugs and without empowerment of the patients to be fully involved in the selfmanagement of their illnesses. Patients in the PC group received UC and PC for 12 months. This additional PC included a stepwise approach: setting priorities for patient care, assessing patients’ specific educational needs and identification of drug-related problems, development of a comprehensive and achievable PC plan in collaboration with the patient and the doctor, implementation of this plan, and monitoring and review of the plan from time to time [10]. The nurses collaborated with the pharmacist in terms of organizing the patients and patients’ folders, taking point-of-care testing, counseling the patients, and reinforcing the information given to the patients during training sections. The physicians provided the visitation/appointment schedule for the patients, and prescription of laboratory tests. They were also involved in the implementation of consensus strategies in managing drug-related problems in areas of changing, substitution, and withdrawal of medications. The educational/training program for the patients consisted of four sessions of 90 to 120 minutes. The program covered the following areas: diabetes overview and its complications, selfmonitoring blood glucose techniques and interpretation of diabetes-related tests, medications and their side effects, lifestyle modification, counseling, and effective interaction with health providers. PC provided ground for the patients to monitor and react to changes in their blood glucose levels, allowing them to integrate their diabetes into the lifestyle they preferred. Data Collection The HUI23S4EN.40Q (developed by HUInc - Mark index 2&3) questionnaire was used to assess the HRQOL of the patients. HUI23S4EN.40Q questionnaires were interviewer-administered to the patients in the intervention group and the control group at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. The HUI3 classification system comprises eight attributes. It defines 972,000 unique health states. Single-attribute scores of morbidity are defined on a scale such that the worst level has a score of 0.00 and the best level has a score of 1.00. Multiattribute 242 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 240–247 Table 1 – Baseline characteristics of the patients in PC and UC arms. Demographic data Mean age ⫾ SD (y) Grouped age: 4 53 y, n (%) Sex: Male, n (%) Level of education, n (%) Primary school Secondary school University Marital status, n (%) Currently married Widowed Single Occupation, n (%) Self-employed Employee Retired Smoking status: Smoker, n (%) Duration, mean ⫾ SD Duration: ≥5 y, n (%) Family history of diabetes, n (%) Physical activity/exercise, n (%) Comorbidities, n (%) Hypertension Congestive heart failure Ischemic heart disease Arthritis ≥2 comorbidities Overnight hospitalization, n (%) Emergency room, n (%) Use of insulin, n (%) Oral antidiabetic medication, n (%) Other medications, n (%) Daily aspirin Diuretics Antihypertensives Lipid-lowering Complications, n (%) Myocardial infarction Stroke Foot ulcer Blindness Renal failure UC (n ¼ 110) PC (n ¼ 110) 52.8 ⫾ 8.2 81 (73.64) 49 (44.55) 52.4 ⫾ 7.6 75 (68.18) 44 (40) 3 (2.72) 71 (64.55) 36 (32.73) 6 (5.45) 63 (57.27) 41 (37.27) 37 (33.64) 71 (64.54) 2 (1.82) 46 (41.82) 63 (57.27) 1 (0.91) 37 (33.64) 35 (31.82) 38 (34.54) 34 (30.91) 4.5 ⫾ 2.2 62 (56.36) 71 (64.55) 18 (16.36) 34 (30.91) 42 (38.18) 34 (30.91) 21 (19.09) 4.8 ⫾ 2.8 71 (64.55) 62 (56.36) 23 (20.91) 0.043 0.378 0.215 0.214 0.387 60 (54.55) 11 (10.00) 7 (6.36) 37 (33.64) 72 (65.45) 9 (8.18) 1(0.91) 17 (15.45) 103 (93.64) 73 15 8 43 81 7 2 13 107 (66.36) (13.64) (7.27) (39.09) (73.64) (6.36) (1.82) (11.82) (97.27) 0.073 0.404 0.789 0.400 0.187 0.604 0.561 0.432 0.1954 P 0.708 0.373 0.495 0.406 0.409 0.611 43 71 98 23 (39.09) (64.55) (89.91) (20.91) 57 84 78 14 (51.82) (76.36) (70.91) (12.73) 0.058 0.055 0.0007 0.105 2 9 2 1 3 (1.82) (8.18) (1.82) (0.91) (2.73) 4 6 3 1 8 (3.64) (5.45) (2.73) (0.91) (7.27) 0.408 0.422 0.651 1.000 0.122 PC, pharmaceutical care; UC, usual care. P ≤ 0.05 utility functions convert comprehensive health state descriptions (i.e., vectors of one level for each attribute defined by a HUI classification system) into preference measures of overall HRQOL. The multiattribute scales of overall HRQOL are defined such that the score for dead is 0.00 and the score for perfect health is 1.00. Both HUI2 and HUI3 allow for negative scores of HRQOL that represent health states considered worse than dead. The lowest possible HRQOL scores are −0.03 for HUI2 and −0.36 for HUI3 [20]. Also collected were data on patients’ demographics characteristics, lifestyles, and medical conditions, as outlined in Table 1. Because we used two hospitals, we initially made comparisons of the groups (UC and PC) across the hospitals to determine their similarity, or, more specifically, to uncover any problems related to selection, history, or maturation effects. If the groups were found to be essentially similar in these respects, we planned to combine the groups for baseline, 6-month, and 12-month assessments of the effects of PC. If major differences were identified, we planned to analyze and report the group findings separately [21]. Data Analysis Statistical analyses were performed by using the SPSS version 16. An intention-to-treat approach was used. Two-sample comparisons were made by using Student’s t tests for normally distributed variables or Mann-Whitney U tests for nonnormally distributed data. Comparisons of proportions were done by using chi-square, Fisher’s exact, or McNemar’s tests. The differences in PC and UC were assessed at baseline, 6 months, and 12 months. An a priori significance level of P less than 0.05 was used throughout. Results The medical and educational content of the training course was rated positively by the 17 doctors and 29 nurses: the majority 38 (82.6%) rated the content as “excellent” and the remaining 8 rated the content as “very good” or “good”; only 3 (6.5%) of them o0.0001 0.0629 0.0014 o0.0001 o0.0001 o0.0001 o0.0001 o0.0001 o0.0001 0.0577 0.1853 0.1526 o0.0001 0.0629 o0.0001 o0.0001 0.005 0.0908 0.1947 0.7510 0.3516 0.2760 0.3333 0.008 0.77 0.86 0.89 0.81 0.81 0.85 0.91 0.71 0.10 0.13 0.21 0.27 0.19 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.81 0.90 0.92 0.82 0.79 0.87 0.89 0.67 Overall HRQOL Vision Hearing Speech Ambulation Dexterity Emotion Cognition Pain CI, confidence interval; HRQOL, health-related quality of life; PC, pharmaceutical care; UC, usual care. P ≤ 0.05. ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 0.11 0.21 0.12 0.19 0.12 0.15 0.18 0.10 0.61 ⫾ 0.08 0.63 ⫾ 0.04 0.79 0.91 0.92 0.83 0.84 0.86 0.88 0.70 0.09 0.18 0.09 0.16 0.15 0.20 0.11 0.14 0.94 0.96 0.94 0.88 0.92 0.90 0.96 0.82 0.10 0.19 0.12 0.29 0.09 0.08 0.14 0.15 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 0.83 0.92 0.91 0.84 0.80 0.86 0.85 0.68 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 0.10 0.12 0.08 0.07 0.10 0.15 0.08 0.15 0.97 0.97 0.95 0.94 0.95 0.96 0.98 0.84 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 0.08 0.23 0.09 0.10 0.22 0.10 0.12 0.10 0.14 0.05 0.04 0.10 0.15 0.10 0.13 0.16 (0.1143–0.1657) (−0.0027 to 0.1027) (0.0157–0.0643) (0.0753–0.1247) (0.1008–0.1992) (0.0639–0.1361) (0.1008–0.1592) (0.1239–0.1961) o0.0001 o0.0001 0.1029 0.79 ⫾ 0.07 0.65 ⫾ 0.05 0.64 ⫾ 0.10 0.86 ⫾ 0.12 0.22 (0.1884–0.2516) 12 mo 6 mo PC minus UC (95% CI) PC (n ¼ 99) UC (n ¼ 93) PC (n ¼ 102) UC (n ¼ 98) PC (n ¼ 110) UC (n ¼ 110) 12-mo change 12th month 6th month Baseline Outcomes Table 2 – Changes in overall HRQOL and single attributes between the PC and UC groups after 12-mo follow-up. Baseline P VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 240–247 243 suggested little modification or changes. With the exception of the number of participants taking hypertensive drugs and smoking, we found no other significant differences at baseline in both UC and PC groups. The number of patients who completed the study and whose data were analyzed at 6 months and 12 months in UC and PC groups were 98 (8.09%) versus 102 (92.73%) and 93 (84.55%) versus 99 (90.0%), respectively (Table 1). The overall HRQOL of the patients was significantly improved at 6 months and 12 months in the PC arm when compared with the UC arm (0.79 ⫾ 0.07 vs. 0.65 ⫾ 0.05; P o 0.0001 and 0.86 ⫾ 0.12 vs. 0.64 ⫾ 0.10; P o 0.0001, respectively). The following single attributes were significantly improved in the PC arm over the UC arm at 6 months: vision (0.94 ⫾ 0.10 vs. 0.79 ⫾ 0.09; P o 0.0001), dexterity (0.92 ⫾ 0.09 vs. 0.84 ⫾ 0.15; P o 0.0001), cognition (0.96 ⫾ 0.14 vs. 0.88 ⫾ 0.11; P o 0.0001), and pain (0.82 ⫾ 0.15 vs. 0.70 ⫾ 0.14; P o 0.0001). There was no significant improvement in hearing, speech, ambulation, and emotion attributes. At 12 months, there were significant improvements in all the single attributes except hearing (Table 2). Increasing age (≥52 years, the overall mean age) had high negative impact (deficit ≥10 %) on overall HRQOL in both PC and UC. A greater percentage of patients had ages greater than the overall mean age of about 52.6 years; this is reflected in more than one third of the patients being retirees. Patients older than 52 years, that is, older patients, had clinically significant lower QOL than did younger patients in both UC and PC groups. A majority of the patients had secondary education, and about a third were self-employed. Family history of diabetes was reported by a majority of the patients in both UC and PC groups. Those without a family history of diabetes had higher QOL in both groups. This result was consistent with what was expected, but it should be understood that some of the patients did not know their families’ full medical history in detail. Diabetes duration (44 years), emergency room visits, and comorbidity of hypertension and stroke had a high negative impact (deficit ≥10%) on the overall HRQOL in both PC and UC groups (Table 3). These factors were also associated with a low single-attribute score recorded in both arms of the study (Table 4). The changes in the overall HRQOL score and single-attribute scores of patients in the PC group were higher than in the UC group, which showed that the PC intervention had an overriding effect over the patients’ characteristics than did UC. The percentage changes (improvements) in the PC group were higher than in the UC group (Table 3). Addition of PC to UC resulted in a significant gain in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) (PC vs. UC) (0.7625 ⫾ 0.15 vs. 0.6425 ⫾ 0.13; P o 0.0001), with 0.12 (0.07 to 0.1601; 95% confidence interval) QALY gained at the end of 12 months. Discussion Impact of the PC Intervention on the HUI3 Overall HRQOL The overall HRQOL of the patients was significantly improved at 6 months and 12 months in the PC arm when compared with the UC arm. All the single attributes were significantly improved in the PC arm when compared with the UC arm at 12 months except hearing. The PC intervention impacted positively on patients assigned to it, and this change was both clinically (difference ≥0.03) and statistically significant [22,23]. PC interventions can have a positive change on the overall HRQOL and single attributes, that is, how patients with diabetes are able to cope with daily activities [24–26]. The improvement in the HRQOL may in part be attributed to the increased contact of patients with diabetes with the clinical pharmacist, but it is also likely to be associated with improved adherence to lifestyle advice. The results of this intervention were similar to that of a prospective study on the impact of PC on QOL in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus that was conducted in a private tertiary care teaching hospital in South India for a period of 8 months, 244 Table 3 – Impact of patients’ characteristics on overall utility score of the patients. Patients’ characteristics Overall HRQOL score after 12 mo (with characteristics minus without characteristics) UC Deficit PC Change† (%) With condition Without condition With condition Without condition UC PC UC PC 0.54 0.59 0.58 0.62 0.65 0.62 0.61 0.67 0.64 0.73 0.72 0.72 −0.08 −0.06 −0.04 −0.12 −0.05 −0.08 0.07 (13.0) 0.08 (13.6) 0.06 (10.3) 0.11 (17.7) 0.07 (10.8) 0.10 (16.1) 0.51 0.58 0.56 0.63‡ 0.63‡ 0.62 0.56 0.65 0.67 0.74‡ 0.74‡ 0.74 −0.12 −0.05 −0.06 −0.18 −0.09 −0.07 0.05 (9.80) 0.07 (12.1) 0.11 (19.6) 0.11 (17.5) 0.11 (17.5) 0.12 (19.4) 0.58 0.59 0.61 0.60 0.61 0.67 0.62 0.68 0.76 0.73 0.76 0.79 −0.02 −0.02 −0.06 −0.11 −0.08 −0.03 0.04 (6.9) 0.09 (15.3) 0.15 (24.6) 0.13 (21.7) 0.15 (24.6) 0.12 (17.9) 0.62 0.42 0.63 0.58 0.64 0.59 0.66 0.67 0.74 0.57 0.69 0.63 0.78 0.82 0.73 0.71 −0.02 −0.17 −0.03 −0.09 −0.04 −0.25 −0.04 −0.08 0.12 0.15 0.06 0.05 0.14 0.23 0.07 0.04 (19.4) (35.7) (9.5) (8.6) (21.9) (39.0) (10.6) (6.0) Note. Mean difference is the actual deficit associated with a particular condition (comorbidity, severity, and resource utilization). Negative values (−) indicate that the characteristic impacted negatively (lower utility scores) on the patients. ER, emergency room; PC, pharmaceutical care; UC, usual care. Deficit, utility scores of patients with the characteristic minus utility scores of patients without the characteristics within the UC or PC group. † Change, utility scores of patients in the PC group minus utility scores of patients in the UC group. “Deficit” and “change” values ≥0.03 or ≤0.03 are clinically significant. ‡ Noninsulin nonantidiabetes medications (NINM). VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 240–247 Sociodemographic Age (≥52 y) Family history of diabetes Smoking status Severity Use of insulin and oral medications Use of oral medication only Diabetes duration 44 y Resource utilization Overnight hospitalization Contact with physician in ER Doctor visit more than 12 times Comorbidity Hypertension Stroke Eye problems Number of medical conditions ≥2 Change in overall HRQOL score after 12 mo (PC minus UC) 245 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 240–247 Table 4 – Impact of patients’ characteristics on single-attribute utility score for HUI3. Single attributes PC Mean difference Sociodemographic Vision Hearing Speech Ambulation Dexterity Emotion Cognition Pain Resource utilization Smoking status 0.8681 0.0707* 0.9013 −0.0380 0.9962 0.0303 0.8928 0.0867* 0.8189 0.0433 0.9028 −0.0378 0.8157 0.0935* 0.7096 0.1008* Overnight hospitalization Family history of diabetes 0.7977 0.0302 0.9270 0.0063 0.9671 0.0110 0.8126 0.0257 0.8198 0.0629* 0.8746 0.0014 0.7215 0.0420 0.6283 0.0077 Contact with physician in ER Age (≥52 y) 0.9295 0.9670 0.9890 0.9465 0.8494 0.9154 0.8606 0.7389 Physician visit Vision Hearing Speech Ambulation Dexterity Emotion Cognition Pain Severity 0.8302 0.8522 0.9861 0.8909 0.7996 0.8948 0.8035 0.7059 0.8216 0.9378 0.9825 0.8688 0.8199 0.8884 0.7933 0.6799 0.8331 0.0487 0.9471 0.0419 0.9830 0.0249 0.8892 0.1541* 0.8475 0.1948* 0.8648 0.0217 0.8254 0.199* 0.7522 0.2923* Duration of diabetes 4 4 y Vision Hearing Speech Ambulation Dexterity Emotion Cognition Pain 0.8319 0.9413 0.9886 0.9010 0.8531 0.8858 0.8179 0.7542 Comorbidity Vision Hearing Speech Ambulation Dexterity Emotion Cognition Pain 0.9047 0.9269 0.9914 0.9171 0.8790 0.9024 0.8400 0.7591 0.0315 0.0423 0.0254 0.1251* 0.0268 0.0407 0.1152* 0.1426* Use of insulin 0.0377 0.023 0.0328 0.1568* 0.1417* 0.0252 0.1552* 0.2563* Eye problem 0.1909* 0.0074 0.0388 0.1908* 0.1962* 0.0601* 0.2017* 0.2667* PC Mean difference 0.9750 1.0000 1.0000 0.9670 0.9880 0.9280 0.9760 0.8610 0.9190 0.9462 0.9300 0.9190 0.8138 0.9521 0.8352 0.7383 0.0445 0.0437 0.0557* 0.2488* 0.2005* 0.0855* 0.2886* 0.279* Use of medication 0.1695* 0.0733* 0.0284 0.1479* 0.2128* 0.057* 0.244* 0.2406* Heart disease 0.1228* 0.0185 0.0316 0.1082* 0.0327 0.0915* 0.1064* 0.1238* PC Mean difference 0.1686* 0.0534* 0.0234 0.1752* 0.0928* 0.0607* 0.1699* 0.1554* ≥ 12 visits 0.8653 0.8478 0.9911 0.9119 0.8403 0.8956 0.8424 0.7589 0.1278* 0.0436 0.0448 0.2098* 0.1266* 0.055* 0.2444* 0.3029* 0.8298 0.9399 0.9849 0.8883 0.8492 0.8932 0.7964 0.7158 Stroke 0.1091* 0.0654* 0.0821* 0.4262* 0.4371* 0.1332* 0.3598* 0.5748* Note. Mean difference represents the single-attribute utility score for patients in the PC group minus patients in the UC group. Positive value (þ) indicates high single-attribute utility score for the PC group (i.e., HRQOL gained). ER, emergency room; HRQOL, health-related quality of life; HUI3, health utilities index Mark 3; PC, pharmaceutical care; UC, usual care. Clinically significant for HUI3 single-attribute utility score (value ≥0.05). which concluded that the PC program was effective in improving the clinical outcome and QOL of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus [27]. Also, another 1-year observational study that evaluated the QOL in patients at the Medical University of South Carolina Family Medicine Clinic, who were followed by a clinical pharmacist diabetes educator, showed that patients rated their QOL high after the follow-up [28]. A 1-year study by Correr et al. [29] concluded that pharmacotherapy follow-up of patients with type 2 diabetes in community pharmacies can improve the HRQOL and satisfaction of patients. Impact of Patients’ Characteristics on Overall HRQOL The health deficit imposed by old age cut across both groups, but the patients in the PC group has a significantly higher QOL than did those in the UC group, which showed that the intervention had an overriding effect over the effect of age on QOL. Low education and unemployment are associated with low income, which consequently affects the QOL of patients. This result is consistent with a study carried out in a Nigeria teaching hospital by Issa and Baiyewu [30] who concluded that lower income, low education level, and low-rated employment affect the QOL of Nigerian patients with diabetes. The overall HRQOL scores of nonsmokers in both UC and PC groups were greater than scores of the smokers. This result was consistent with what was expected but could be attributed to the fact that the PC group had more female patients and there is sociocultural stigma associated with females smoking in Nigeria. The comorbidities considered in the study were eye problem, heart disease, and stroke. The respondents without eye problem had clinically significant higher QOL than did those with eye problem, in both UC and PC groups. This eye problem could be attributed to diabetes retinopathy, which is a complication of diabetes. This is consistent with a study performed in Canada [8] that concluded that the illness burden experienced by individuals with diabetes was associated not only with diabetes itself but largely with the comorbid medical condition. Lloyd et al. [31] concluded that the presence of even mild diabetes complications had a significant impact on patients’ QOL. Early diagnosis and treatment is essential to help prevent the deterioration in the HRQOL of these patients. 246 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 240–247 A majority of the patients in this study had comorbidities. Stroke imposed the greatest HRQOL deficit among all other comorbidities in both PC and UC groups but more in the UC group. The HRQOL deficit associated with stroke and hypertension had been reported by Ekwunife et al. [32]. Their study demonstrated that patients with hypertension alone had a higher overall mean utility score while hypertensive patients with stroke had the lowest overall mean score. Other similar studies [2,9,33] revealed that stroke and other comorbidities can impose considerable health deficits on patients and concluded that the illness burden experienced by individuals with diabetes is associated not only with diabetes itself but largely with comorbid medical conditions. The results of this study also conform to a study that found that the presence of cardiovascular complications as comorbidity with diabetes also leads to deficit in HRQOL [3]. This emphasized the considerable public health impact that all these chronic conditions have on the HRQOL, particularly when they occur together. This study has shown that diabetes complications have a profound effect on the HRQOL of patients with type 2 diabetes. Even the presence of mild diabetes complications has a significant impact on the HRQOL. In this study, the following four parameters were used to assess the severity of the disease: use of insulin and diabetes medications, use of diabetes medication only, duration of diabetes, and number of absenteeism from work or school in the last 1 year. Those who use a combination of insulin and oral antidiabetes medications and only oral antidiabetes medication had severe health deficits when compared with patients using noninsulin nonmedications in both UC and PC groups. This is consistent with the results of a study by Rubin [34] who assessed the feelings and complaints made by patients with diabetes using insulin and found that these could impact negatively on their QOL. This shows that as the disease progresses to a more severe situation, treatment option changes from diet to the use of oral medication only and deteriorates to the use of insulin in combination with oral medication. This study revealed that those with a duration of diabetes of more than 4 years also had a considerable health deficit when compared with patients with a duration of diabetes of 4 years or less in both UC and PC groups. This result is consistent with a report from the American Diabetes Association [35] that stated that the longer the duration of diabetes the higher the chances of a patient developing overt nephropathy, which, in turn, lowers the HRQOL of the patients. To improve the HRQOL of patients with type 2 diabetes, early diagnosis of the disease and aggressive management of risk factors are necessary to prevent or delay the development of diabetes complications. Resource utilization was assessed as overnight hospitalization, contact with doctor in emergency room, and number of doctors’ visit in the past 1 year. These resources included physicians, pharmacists, and nurses’ time, hospital bed space, and spent more money. There was a considerable health deficit associated with resource utilization factors in both UC and PC groups. Patients who had overnight hospitalization and contact with physician or nurse in emergency room in the past 12 months had more health deficit when compared with patients who were not in their categories in both UC and PC groups. Despite the enormous burdens imposed by the above-outlined patients’ characteristics on the overall HRQOL, the patients in the PC group had significantly higher overall HRQOL scores than did their counterparts in the UC group, implying that the PC intervention had an overriding effect over the debilitating powers of the patients’ characteristics. Impact of Patients’ Characteristics on the HUI3 Single Attributes Comorbid stroke and old age (≥52 years) were associated with a relatively large mean difference between PC and UC groups in all single attributes. This indicates that patients in the PC intervention who were 52 years or older and had stroke benefited most in all their single-attributes domains. Patients with diabetes in the UC group who were with comorbid medical conditions had lower utility scores on the anticipated diabetes-relevant single attributes than did their counterparts in the PC group, which resulted in a large mean difference. Based on the literature, it was anticipated that diabetes would affect the vision, dexterity, ambulation, emotion, and pain attributes of the HUI3 [4,36,37]. The considerable burden associated with diabetes and its comorbidities on these specific single attributes was therefore not surprising. Association of all sociodemographic, severity, comorbiditiy, and resource utilization factors, except family history, with the “pain” attribute was clinically and statistically significant. Ischemic heart disease, angina, and congestive heart failure are all associated with pain [38,39]. This is consistent with a study conducted by Ekwunife et al. [32] that demonstrated that the pain attribute had the lowest health state utility score among Nigerian patients with hypertension alone, hypertension and heart failure, hypertension and coronary heart disease, and hypertension and stroke. For the pain attribute in this study, the utility score recorded by the patients with stroke in the PC group far exceeded the score in the UC group after 12 months, resulting in a large mean difference. This means that the PC intervention was able to counter and override the utility-reducing power of comorbidities within 12 months. It is possible that some of the pain and discomfort (low score) found in the UC group was not attributable to stroke, but rather to another painful comorbid condition associated with diabetes and heart diseases, such as peripheral vascular disease [40,41]. Functioning on the “ambulation” attribute was similar to that of pain. All the sociodemographic, severity, comorbidity, and resource utilization factors were significantly associated with ambulation clinically. This means that the ambulation attribute of patients in the PC intervention group was highly improved compared with that of patients in the UC group. Also, the PC intervention had overriding benefits over all these factors that impair the QOL. The burden on the ambulation attribute associated with diabetes, comorbidities, and other factors was quite visible, not peculiar to one but all the factors. Clinically important burden on the emotion attribute was apparent for comorbidities and older patients. The largest emotional benefits of the PC intervention were observed in patients with diabetes with stroke compared with the UC group. These findings are consistent with a report of Maddigan et al. [8] that demonstrated that diabetes and its comorbidities could impact negatively on the overall utility state and single attributes. QALYs associated with PC were significantly higher than those of UC. This indicates that extending this study beyond 1 year could offer more benefits to patients with diabetes in terms of QALYs gained. Some studies had demonstrated that the extension of PC beyond 1 year could offer extra benefits to patients with diabetes [42,43]. This study lends support to the use of the HUI3 for the evaluation of HRQOL as an outcome in PC intervention programs for patients with diabetes, as suggested by Feeny et al. [20]. Although the patients’ characteristics affected the single attributes of the patients’ HRQOL adversely, the intervention not only had overriding effects of these patients’ characteristics that lower the overall HRQOL but also improved the single attributes of the QOL of these patients. Limitations Our study was subject to the following limitations, and the results were interpreted in this light: Selection bias was a threat because participation was voluntary though the groups were randomized. It remains possible that patients who chose to participate in the program may have differed in some important way from those who did not participate, which could pose a threat to external validity or generalizability. Given the difficulty in blinding in this VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 240–247 type of study, the clinicians involved in providing care and the interviewers administering the HUI3 questionnaire were not blinded to patient allocation. Recall bias was possible in this study because HUI3 was a 4-week recall questionnaire. Attrition bias or loss during follow-up was also a serious threat but was avoided by using an intention-to-treat design. The data were selfreported; however, self-reported data about diabetes status have been established to be both valid and reliable [44]. Conclusions The addition of PC to UC resulted in improving the QOL of patients with type 2 diabetes. The overall HRQOL of the patients was significantly improved at 6 months and 12 months in the PC arm when compared with the UC arm. Vision, cognition, and pain single attributes were significantly improved in the PC arm over the UC arm after 6 months and all single attributes except hearing were significantly improved after 12 months. Stroke imposed the greatest HRQOL deficit among all other patients’ characteristics in both PC and UC arms but more in the UC arm. The results of this study illustrate a convincing rationale for improving standards of care for patients with type 2 diabetes through the PC intervention. Further research, however, is needed to improve on the current PC intervention strategies such that the recorded improvements in HRQOL will be sustained for a very long time after an intervention. Acknowledgment We acknowledge Health Utility, Inc., for granting and awarding us HUI23S4En.40Q and HUI23.40Q.MNL used in this study. Source of financial support: Funding for this project was provided by Science and Technology Education Post Basic (STEP-B) through the University of Nigeria. The views expressed in this article are those of the authors, and no official endorsement by STEP-B is intended or should be inferred. R EF E R EN CE S [1] Stewart M, Brown J, Boon H, et al. Evidence on patient-doctor communication. Cancer Prev Control 1999;3:25–30. [2] Beckman J, Creager M, Libby P. Diabetes and atherosclerosis: epidemiology, pathophysiology, and management. JAMA 2002;287:2570–81. [3] Peyrot M, Rubin R. Levels and risks of depression and anxiety symptomatology among diabetic adults. 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VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 248–253 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri An Audit of Diabetes-Dependent Quality of Life (ADDQOL) in Older Patients with Diabetes Mellitus Type 2 in Slovenia Eva Turk, MA, MBA1,, Valentina Prevolnik Rupel, PhD2, Alojz Tapajner, BSc3, Stephen Leyshon, RN, MSc1, Arja Isola, RN, PhD4 1 Det Norske Veritas, Healthcare & Biorisk, DNV Research and Innovation, Høvik, Norway; 2Institute for Economic Research, Ljubljana, Slovenia; 3Faculty of Medicine, University of Maribor, Maribor, Slovenia; 4Faculty of Medicine, Institute of Health Sciences, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland AB STR A CT Objective: This article reports a study to measure diabetes-dependent quality of life (QOL) in older Slovenian patients with diabetes mellitus type 2 (DMT2). Methods: A cross-sectional study of older (age ≥ 65 years) patients with DMT2 at outpatient diabetic centers was conducted in all regions in Slovenia. The Audit of Diabetes-Dependent Quality of Life questionnaire was carried out between January and May 2012. Statistical analysis was performed by using IBM SPSS Statistics software, version 18.0. Results: After exclusion of noneligible respondents, a total of 285 respondents were included in the analysis, which represented a 57% response rate. Lower QOL was significantly connected to a heart attack episode (odds ratio 2.42; 95% confidence interval 1.06–5.20) and to the perception of not having diabetes under control (odds ratio 0.36; 95% confidence interval 0.18– 0.69). Eleven (3.9%) patients reported no impact of DMT2 on their QOL at all, while in the remaining respondents, particular reference was put to the effects on freedom to eat, dependency on others, and family life. There was no significant difference between the older people living in urban and rural areas. Conclusions: The findings of the present study highlight the impact of DMT2 on QOL. DMT2 imposes a personal burden on individuals. Information on the QOL of older patients with diabetes is important to Slovenian policymakers and family physicians to identify and implement appropriate interventions for achieving better management of diabetes and ultimately improving the QOL of patients with diabetes. Keywords: ADDQOL, DMT2, elderly, patient-reported outcomes, quality of life. Introduction of Europe, the population in Slovenia is ageing and population health improvement is an increasingly important component of coordination and collaboration among patients and health care providers [8,9]. Internationally, there has been a marked shift in thinking about what health is and how it is measured [10]. Traditional clinical ways of measuring health and the effects of treatment are either accompanied by or even replaced by patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs), which present an entirely subjective report of the status of a patient’s health condition. Research has shown that patients with diabetes are more concerned about physical and social function, emotional and mental health, as well as the burden of illness and treatments on daily life than with clinical biomarkers such as hemoglobin A1c, blood pressure, or lipid levels [11,12]. PROMs are thus meaningful and relevant outcomes. Furthermore, there is evidence that when the healthrelated quality of life (HRQOL) of individuals with diabetes is properly measured and the results are incorporated into health care management, improvements in patient outcomes occur [13,14]. Improvements in glycemic control and QOL, as well as reduction in short-term complications including the incidence of severe hypoglycemia, can be observed in combination of treatment and education of patients [15–17]. Diabetes is a chronic metabolic disease that can have a profound impact on the health status and quality of life (QOL) of patients in terms of physical, social, and psychological well-being [1–3]. Diabetes is now a global health concern: affecting both industrialized and transitioning countries. The number of people with diabetes is increasing because of population growth, aging, urbanization, and increasing prevalence of obesity and physical inactivity. Diabetes mellitus (DM) currently affects about 285 million adults worldwide, and it is projected to rise to 366 million in 2030 [4,5]. The most important demographic change to diabetes prevalence across the world appears to be the increase in the proportion of people aged 65 years or older [4]. In Europe alone, more than 50 million individuals are affected by diabetes, 90% of whom have diabetes mellitus type 2 (DMT2) [6]. Slovenia does not differ significantly from other European Union countries with regard to the prevalence of diabetes. The estimates of the National Institute of Public Health [7] amount to approximately 125,000 patients with diabetes in Slovenia, which is 6.3% of the population. Of these, 22.2% are aged 75 years or older, and 16% are aged between 65 and 74 years, with the mean age of patients with DMT2 being 65 years. Similarly, as in the rest Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflict of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Eva Turk, Healthcare Programme, DNV Research and Innovation, Veritasveien 1, 1322 Høvik, Norway. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.05.001 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 248–253 Many valid instruments to measure PROMs in diabetes have been developed and are already used in industrialized countries [18–20]. Among diabetes-dependent QOL measures, the Audit of Diabetes-Dependent Quality of Life (ADDQOL) is a widely used instrument [21–24]. In Slovenia, however, despite the high prevalence of diabetes, so far no studies evaluating patient-reported outcomes, such as HRQOL, have been conducted. According to the literature, less research was conducted on how various risk factors influence the QOL of patients with diabetes [25–27]. In this manner, the objective of the current study was to measure diabetes-dependent QOL in the older Slovenian patients with DMT2 and to assess its relationships with sociodemographic and health factors. 249 A total of 500 patients with DMT2 were invited to participate in the research. Of them, 391 agreed and after exclusion of incomplete questionnaires, our sample included 285 patients with DMT2. The response rate was 57%. After informed consent was obtained, all prospective participants were given the questionnaire. Where assistance was needed in completing the questionnaire, this was given by medical students, who were trained in the use of the ADDQOL questionnaire prior to the launch of this study. Ethical Considerations The study was approved by the National Medical Ethics Committee of the Republic of Slovenia. The data obtained through the questionnaires were anonymous and based on participant consent. Methods Statistical Analysis Instrument The ADDQOL consists of two overview items; one measures generic overall QOL and a further 19 items are concerned with the impact of diabetes on specific aspects of life. The 19 life domains are as follows: leisure activities, working life, local or long-distance journeys, holidays, physical health, family life, friendships and social life, close personal relationships, sex life, physical appearance, self-confidence, motivation to achieve things, people’s reactions, feelings about the future, financial situation, living conditions, dependence on others, freedom to eat, and freedom to drink. These 19 domains ask the respondents to evaluate how their life would be if they did not have diabetes. The scales range from −3 to þ1 for 19 life domains (impact rating) and from 0 to þ3 in attributed importance (importance rating). A weighted score for each domain is calculated as a multiplier of impact rating and importance rating (ranging from −9 to þ3). Lower scores reflect poorer QOL. Finally, a mean weighted impact score (ADDQOL score) is calculated for the entire scale across all applicable domains [21,23,28]. Apart from the perceived QOL, data on patients’ demographic characteristics, duration of diabetes, and existing diabetic complications were measured. The linguistic validation and cultural adaptation of the original English ADDQOL into Slovenian version is described elsewhere (E. Turk, V. Prevolnik-Rupel, A. Tapajner, et al., unpublished data, 2013). Study Design and Participants A cross-sectional study was conducted between January and May 2012 by using a structured questionnaire. Patients from the 12 participating outpatient diabetic centers were recruited by using the convenience sampling method. The regions selected were defined by the Statistical office of the Republic of Slovenia (E. Turk, V. Prevolnik-Rupel, A. Tapajner, et al., unpublished data, 2013). For recruitment, we used the largest outpatient center in each region in consideration that patients were approximately half from urban and rural areas. Each outpatient center recruited from 20 to 80 patients according to region size and diabetes prevalence [29]. All the study patients had an established relationship with the outpatient centers. Patients who met our inclusion criteria were asked to participate in this study. The inclusion criteria were as follows: physiciandiagnosed DMT2, noninsulin treatment, and age 65 years or older. Patients who were diagnosed as suffering from type 1 diabetes, secondary diabetes, or gestational diabetes were excluded. All patients were diagnosed by physicians in light of diagnostic criteria recommended by the World Health Organization in 1999 [31]. The sample data were expressed as frequencies and percentages for categorical variables or by mean values and SDs for continuous variables. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to assess the influence of sociodemographic and health characteristics of patients with DMT2 on their QOL by using the ADDQOL. The calculation included Wald chi-square, odds ratio (OR), 95% confidence interval (95% CI), and P value. Nagelkerke’s R2 was used to indicate goodness of fit. Patients were divided into two groups by using the ADDQOL score by using quartiles; the first group in the lower quartile was considered as having lower QOL. Such a cutoff strategy was previously applied in the literature [26,31]. Statistical analysis was performed with the SPSS 18.0 software (SPSS, Inc., Chicago, IL). A P value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results Sociodemographic characteristics of the studied population are presented in Table 1. The age ranged from 65 to 84 years, with a mean of 70.0 ⫾ 4.9 years. Among the 285 respondents, less than half were female (135, 47.4%). The majority of the respondents were married (191; 67.0%), owned their own house (171; 60.0%), and lived in an urban area (243; 85.3%). The body mass index (kg/m2) ranged from 16.9 to 53.0, with a mean value of 29.6 ⫾ 5.0. A majority of the respondents have been living with DMT2 for 11 years or more (56.5%), and many had problems with hypertension (78.9%) and high cholesterol (59.6%). More details about respondents’ health characteristics are shown in Table 2. A vast majority of the respondents (230, 80.7%) reported to be satisfied with professional health support provision, and 114 (40.0%) were of the opinion that their diabetes was under control. The ADDQOL score of 285 patients with DMT2 was calculated in a range of −8.3 to 0.0 on a defined range from −9 to þ3. The median ADDQOL score was calculated at −1.6, lower quartile cutoff was calculated at −3.0, 213 (74.7%) patients with DMT2 reported an ADDQOL score of −3.0 or more, and 72 (25.3%) patients had an ADDQOL score of less than −3.0 (lower QOL). Eleven patients (3.9%) reported an ADDQOL score of 0, which means that their QOL was not affected by diabetes at all. Table 3 shows the logistic regression model results of the predictors of QOL according to the ADDQOL score. Lower QOL was significantly connected to a heart attack episode (OR 2.42; 95% CI 1.06–5.20). From a patient perspective, being of the opinion that their diabetes was under control decreased the likelihood of a lower QOL (OR 0.36; 95% CI 0.18–0.69). Living in a rural environment was not significantly connected to a lower QOL. Results in Figure 1 show that only 13.6% of the patients without heart attack 250 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 248–253 Table 1 – Sample data. N ¼ 285 Gender Male Female Education Primary education Secondary education College or higher Marital status Married, in partnership Widowed Divorced Alone Residence Own house Own apartment Renting Relatives Nursing home Monthly income in euro ≤365 366–730 731–1100 ≥1101 or above Region ≤200 per km2 (rural) 4200 per km2 (urban) Age (y), mean ⫾ SD, range Body mass index, mean ⫾ SD, range % 150 135 52.6 47.4 87 163 35 30.5 57.2 12.3 191 71 11 12 67.0 24.9 3.9 4.2 171 92 11 8 3 60.0 32.3 3.9 2.8 1.1 36 162 60 27 12.6 56.8 21.1 9.5 42 243 70.0 ⫾ 4.9 29.6 ⫾ 5.0 was 54.0%) domains (Table 4). NA responses are important when the reliability and construct validity of the ADDQOL instrument are considered. In our study, because of the high NA response in working life and sex life, reliability and instrument validity calculation was possible only on 17 domains. Even then, the sample size for reliability and construct validity was n ¼ 180 because holidays, family life, and personal relationship domains in combination excluded n ¼ 105 respondents. The reliability of the ADDQOL instrument according to Cronbach’s alpha was 0.91 (weighted impact score). For validation purposes, we used factor analysis with forced one-factor solution. This condition was imposed because the ADDQOL was intended to provide a single summary score [21]. In the forced one-factor solution, all domains with the exception of “freedom to drink” had factor loadings of more than 0.4. Freedom to drink loaded with a value of 0.285 into this factor. The forced one-factor solution explained 48.8% of the total variance. Discussion 14.7 85.3 65–84 16.9–53.0 and being of the opinion that their diabetes was under control reported a lower QOL. The distribution of responses and the weights assigned to the impact ratings are shown in Table 4. Diabetes had the greatest impact on “freedom to eat” (mean impact rating: −1.5 ⫾ 1.0) and the least impact on “people’s reaction” (mean −0.4 ⫾ 1.0). “Dependence on others” was rated as the most important (mean 2.5 ⫾ 0.7), and “freedom to drink” was rated as the least important to them (mean 1.2 ⫾ 1.0). After considering weighting, “freedom to eat” remained as the most (mean −3.2 ⫾ 2.9) and “people’s reaction” as the least (−0.8 ⫾ 1.5) affected QOL domains, respectively. The ADDQOL instrument includes five domains that respondents can choose not to score. If no answer is provided, the ADDQOL score is calculated without these domains. Respondents in this study showed less interest in working life (the “not available” [NA] response was 76.5%) and sex life (the NA response Table 2 – Health characteristics. N ¼ 285 Duration of diabetes mellitus (y) ≤4 5–10 ≥11 Hypertension High cholesterol Poor eye vision Kidney dialysis Foot amputation Brain stroke Heart attack 51 73 161 225 170 26 0 8 23 39 % 17.9 25.6 56.5 78.9 59.6 9.1 0.0 2.8 8.1 13.7 This study provides detailed information about diabetesdependent QOL and its assessment among older patients with DMT2 in Slovenia by using the ADDQOL, which is a widely used diabetes-specific scale in the literature [21–25,32,33]. To the best of our knowledge, the current study is the first to measure the HRQOL of older patients with DMT2 in Slovenia. Weighted ADDQOL domain scores reliability was similar to that in previous studies [26,27,32]. Structure validity results supported the onefactor scale structure of the ADDQOL, and the “freedom to drink” domain was calculated as the only possible domain that may not contribute to the ADDQOL instrument. The forced one-factor solution explained 48.8% of the total variance, which was also similar to that in previous studies [27,34]. The findings of the present study highlight the impact of DMT2 on QOL. An interesting finding in the current study was that a few patients report no impact of DMT2 on their QOL at all. In the rest, however, particular emphasis was put on the impact of “freedom to eat,” “dependency on others,” and “family life.” Consistent with earlier studies [22–24,28,32], we found that the greatest negative impact observed was for the domain “freedom to eat,” indicating the strong influence of dietary restrictions on the QOL. Similarly, the least affected domain was “people’s reaction.” Relative to the overall negative effects of diabetes on the QOL, the effect of specific sociodemographic and clinical factors was fairly modest [25,31]. The results in the present study show that lower QOL was significantly connected to the presence of additional health problems (i.e., heart attack). Other studies show that the influence of comorbidities or health complications in diabetesdependent QOL seems unclear. Collins et al. [25] measured the amount of diabetes complications and concluded that the increased number did not result in lower QOL. Similarly, in Chung et al. [26], increased microvascular complications showed no association. Conversely, in Wang and Yeh [27], complications resulted in lower QOL, yet comorbidities provided no association. In concordance with Collins et al. [25], the study presented here provided no association of demographic data on diabetesdependent QOL. Wang and Yeh [27], however, concluded that more education has negatively affected the QOL, and Chung et al. [26] found a positive association between older age and higher QOL. In the study presented here, we also measured the influence of diabetes duration on the QOL and found no association, which was in concordance to the results of Wang and Yeh [27]. Respondents who reported that they managed their disease well and have it under control showed a decreased likelihood of lower QOL, which suggests the importance of self-management 251 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 248–253 Table 3 – Predictors for lower QOL according to the ADDQOL score (prediction model: χ 2 : 48.697, df ¼ 22, P o 0.001). ADDQOL score Living in rural areas (≤200 /km2) Female Age (y) 65–74 (old) 75–84 (old-old) Body mass index o25 ≥25–o30 ≥30 Education Primary education Secondary education College or higher Monthly income (euro) ≤365 366–730 731–1100 ≤1101 Residence in own house Single/divorced/widowed Years of diabetes ≤4 5–10 ≥11 Hypertension High cholesterol Poor eye vision Foot amputation Brain stroke Heart attack General health care satisfaction Being of opinion to manage the disease Higher ≥−3.0 n ¼ 213 (in %) 12.7 49.8 Lower o−3.0 n ¼ 72 (in %) 20.8 40.3 Wald χ2 OR (95% CI) P 2.38 1.54 1.96 (0.83–4.63) 0.66 (0.34–1.28) 0.123 0.215 72.3 27.7 75.0 25.0 0.32 1.00 (ref) 0.81 (0.38–1.71) 0.573 13.1 50.7 36.2 13.9 43.1 43.1 1.99 1.36 1.00 (ref) 0.48 (0.14–1.12) 0.56 (0.21–1.48) 0.156 0.244 29.6 57.7 12.7 33.3 55.6 11.1 0.01 0.73 1.00 (ref) 0.96 (0.46–2.01) 0.55 (0.14–2.16) 0.922 0.394 11.3 56.8 22.5 9.4 61.5 32.9 16.7 56.9 16.7 9.7 55.6 33.3 0.28 1.09 0.22 1.73 0.02 1.00 0.78 0.55 1.46 0.65 1.05 (ref) (0.31–1.97) (0.17–1.70) (0.30–7.13) (0.34–1.24) (0.50–2.21) 0.598 0.296 0.639 0.189 0.888 17.8 27.7 54.5 77.9 56.8 7.0 1.4 9.4 11.7 82.2 45.1 18.1 19.4 62.5 81.9 68.1 15.3 6.9 4.2 19.4 76.4 25.0 2.10 0.48 0.02 2.24 3.61 1.34 3.23 4.53 0.10 9.25 1.00 0.50 0.75 0.95 1.64 2.53 2.62 0.28 2.42 0.89 0.36 (ref) (0.20–1.28) (0.33–1.69) (0.44–2.02) (0.86–3.15) (0.97–6.61) (0.51–13.38) (0.07–1.12) (1.06– 5.20) (0.41–1.91) (0.18–0.69) 0.147 0.487 0.888 0.134 0.057 0.247 0.072 0.036 0.757 0.002 Note. Nagelkerke R2 ¼ 0.215. ADDQOL, Audit of Diabetes-Dependent Quality of Life; CI, confidence interval; OR, odds ratio; QOL, quality of life. of the disease [16,36–37]. In the present study, despite the fact that more than 50% of the patients have been living with DMT2 for 11 or more years, only 40% reported that they have their disease under control. This finding suggests that work is needed to increase patient empowerment and DMT2 self-management in Slovenia. Open access to primary health care is ensured for all health care–insured individuals in Slovenia, in terms of both economic and geographical accessibility. Despite this, differences between regions in Slovenia have been reported, mainly due to an inadequate distribution in the number of primary health care personnel in some of the more remote rural areas, in which there can be a lack of doctors [38]. Therefore, we hypothesized that older patients with DMT2 living in rural areas would show a lower QOL than would patients living in urban areas. The present study, however, showed no connection with place of living and QOL. This finding, together with the finding of the parallel research on diabetes knowledge [39], implies that accessibility to chronic disease care provision and information does not depend on the place of living in Slovenia. This is in line with the European Health Interview Survey study [29,40], which implies that the use of primary care is relatively evenly spread across socioeconomic classes in Slovenia. In addition to the QOL, our results suggest that the older patients with DMT2 are satisfied with the delivery of care. Although the research presented here shows no difference in QOL between rural and urban areas, this is not the same as saying that both groups receive high-quality care or that it cannot be improved. Health services should aspire to improve the QOL of older patients with DMT2. This is going to become an increasingly important issue as the prevalence and economic burden of diabetes among the Slovenian older population rises. A lack of critical assessment at a system level may hamper the attempt to improve the QOL. Hence, a well-translated and culturally adapted disease-specific HRQOL measure such as the ADDQOL could contribute to the more accurate assessment of the effectiveness of disease management programs. Study Strengths and Limitations The study gives an overview of the self-perceived QOL of older populations with DMT2. The main strength of the ADDQOL is that it measures the QOL in various areas of people’s lives. This, however, can have a consequence that not all areas are applicable to all respondents. As a result, some respondents did not provide complete data for all ADDQOL domains, which may have 252 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 248–253 patients’ willingness to participate in the study, a response bias might have occurred. A larger sample would provide more power to detect significant relationships between study variables and differences between groups. In the literature, we were not able to find many studies that researched the influence of various characteristics on diabetesdependent QOL. Generally, all studies included demographic data and health problems together with some specific characteristics of their research interest; in our case, this was urban or rural living area. Among demographic data, age and gender were used always; other data such as education, marital status, or employment (income) were used optional. Health problems were presented as sum variables called complications and once separately as complications and comorbidities. In our study, we decided to show the influence of some complications and comorbidities by displaying the exact type of the disease (e.g., hypertension, heart attack, and brain stroke). This can provide an added insight that the existing literature is missing and lead to improved diabetesdependent QOL knowledge. Fig. 1 – Percentage of patients in the lower ADDQoL quartile (o3.0) according to heart attack (HA) status and their perception of disease control. ADDQOL, Audit of DiabetesDependent Quality of Life; QOL, quality of life. introduced unintended biases into the analyses. The reason for the low response rate of the item “working life” might be a reflection of the fact that all the responders were aged 65 years or older and mainly retired. The lack of a randomized sampling and use of a convenience sampling limit the ability to generalize the results. Because of Conclusions The results of the current study are similar to findings in prior research conducted in other countries. This study also demonstrates that many of the factors related to diabetes-dependent HRQOL are applicable regardless of the country and health care system. DMT2 is of growing public health concern in Slovenia. It imposes a personal burden on individuals and consumes a significant portion of society’s scarce health care resources. Information on the QOL of older patients with diabetes is therefore important to Slovenian policymakers and health workers. It is essential in helping to identify and implement appropriate Table 4 – Distribution of response (N ¼ 285) by impact and importance rating together with weighted impact score. Domain Mean ⫾ SD Not available response (%) Impact rating Leisure activities Working life Journeys Holidays Physical health Family life Friendship and social life Personal relationship Sex life Physical appearance Self-confidence Motivation People’s reaction Feelings about future Financial situation Living conditions Dependence on others Freedom to eat Freedom to drink 218 (76.5) 98 (34.4) 8 (2.8) 74 (26.0) 154 (54.0) −1.1 −1.4 −1.3 −1.1 −1.2 −0.9 −0.9 −0.8 −1.1 −0.7 −0.8 −0.9 −0.4 −1.1 −0.6 −0.9 −0.6 −1.5 −0.9 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.7 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 Importance rating 1.9 2.1 1.8 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 1.8 1.5 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.5 1.8 1.2 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.0 Weighted impact score −2.2 −3.0 −2.5 −2.0 −2.5 −2.3 −1.9 −1.9 −2.3 −1.4 −1.8 −2.0 −0.8 −2.5 −1.3 −2.0 −1.5 −3.2 −1.5 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 2.2 2.8 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.1 2.4 2.6 1.5 2.5 2.2 2.5 2.3 2.9 2.3 Notes. Impact rating (conditions without diabetes): −3, very much better; −2, much better; −1, a little better; 0, the same; þ1, worse. Importance rating: 0, not at all important; 1, somewhat important; 2, important; 3, very important. Weighted impact score ¼ impact rating (−3 to þ1) importance rating (0–3) ¼ −9 (maximum negative impact of diabetes) to þ3 (maximum positive impact of diabetes). VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 248–253 interventions for achieving the better management of diabetes and ultimately improving the QOL of patients with diabetes. Acknowledgments The authors thank Jelka Zaletel, MD, PhD, for her suggestions and advice. We gratefully acknowledge the outpatient diabetic centers and the diabetic patients in the regions for their willingness to participate in the study. E.T. and A.I. were responsible for the study conception and design. E.T. performed the data collection. 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Chiazor, PharmD Department of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmacy Practice, University of Benin, 300001, Benin City, Nigeria AB STR A CT Objectives: We assessed the reported quality of life of patients with HIV/AIDS and explored the impact of patients’ sociodemographic profile on the quality-of-life domains. Methods: Consenting outpatients who met criteria were consecutively selected in a secondary health care facility in Benin City, Nigeria. Quality of life was determined in the nine domains of HIV/AIDS Targeted Quality of Life (HATQOL) instrument. Quality-of-life scores were computed on the scale of 0 to 100 and triangulated with a rated interval scale of 1 to 5 suited for quantitative analysis. Association between rated scores and each domain was explored by using Students’ t test and analysis of variance at 95% confidence interval. Results: Out of the 403 patients, 82.1% were females; 147 (36.1%) belonged to the modal age group of 20 to 30 years; the mean age for grouped data was 39.2 years. About 239 (58.7%) were not married. Also, 338 (83.0%) earned below $1500 per annum and 303 (74.40%) had basic education (grade 1 to grade 9). HATQOL scores indicated the following: overall function (89.96 ⫾ 5.62); life satisfaction (91.94 ⫾ 3.62); health worries (87.06 ⫾ 4.28); financial worries (81.00 ⫾ 3.95); medication worries (91.65 ⫾ 4.47); HIV mastery (71.00 ⫾ 3.11); disclosure worries (27.50 ⫾ 7.57); provider trust (91.63 ⫾ 1.96); and sexual function (70.25 ⫾ 3.51). Likert-type rated scores were in agreement with HAT-QOL scores. Provider trust was associated with gender, employment status, and educational level. Sexual function was associated with gender and age (P o 0.05). Conclusions: Patients reported satisfactory quality of life in the domains of overall function, life satisfaction, health worries, financial worries, medication worries, HIV mastery, provider trust, and sexual function. Quality of life was low in the domain of disclosure worries, indicating concerns for discrimination and stigmatization. Age, level of education, and employment status had a strong impact on the quality of life of patients with HIV/AIDs. Introduction well-being and includes aspects such as happiness and satisfaction with life as a whole. QOL relates both to the adequacy of material circumstances and to personal feelings about these circumstances with overall subjective feelings of well-being that is closely related to morale, happiness, and satisfaction [3–5]. QOL has recently been scientifically defined, and it has been considered synonymous with health status, functional status, psychological well-being, happiness with life, satisfaction of needs, and assessment of one’s own life [6]. Several instruments for measuring QOL have been developed and described [7]. A study on the QOL of PLWHA in São Paulo, Brazil, reported that despite differences in sex, skin color, income, and mental and immunological status, PLWHA have better (physical and psychological) QOL than do other patients, but lower quality in the social relationships domain [8]. A similar study in South India also showed that patients had the worst QOL in the social domain, indicating that the patients’ social contacts and sexual activity were affected markedly to a great extent [9]. Fatiregun et al. [2], in their own study of PLWHA in Kogi State, Nigeria, suggested that stigma and discrimination as well as poor living conditions in the physical environment accounted The HIV epidemic has resulted in history’s single sharpest reversal in human development. Sub-Saharan Africa remains the region most heavily affected by HIV, accounting for 67% of all people living with HIV and for 75% of AIDS deaths in 2007. In terms of disease burden, Nigeria rank second in sub-Saharan Africa, behind South Africa, and third in the world, behind India [1]. HIV/AIDS continues to contribute significantly to public health problems in Nigeria. Although HIV infection was initially limited to people with risky behaviors, such as commercial sex workers, adolescents, youths, prisoners, and people with multiple sexual partners, the currently available evidence suggests that this infection has permeated all strata of the Nigerian population [2]. With the alarming increase in HIV/AIDS pandemic in developing countries, and the limited accessibility and availability of highly active antiretroviral therapy (ART), majority of the people living with HIV/AIDS (PLWHA) continue to suffer the disease, with a serious impact on their quality of life (QOL). Quality of life is a term that is popularly used to convey an overall sense of Keywords: HAT-QOL, HIV/AIDS, Nigeria, quality of life. Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Azuka C. Oparah, Department of Clinical Pharmacy and Pharmacy Practice, University of Benin, 300001 Benin City, Nigeria. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.07.004 255 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 254–258 for lower QOL in the environment and social relationships domain [2]. An investigation of the determinants of QOL of PLWHA identified gender, mental status, CD4 cell count, and stage of the disease to be important factors associated with the QOL of patients [6]. In a study of the QOL of HIV-infected Brazilians, the authors reported that unemployment was associated with worse QOL in all the domains measured, except the domain of spirituality [10]. Other studies concluded that education, income, occupation, family support, and clinical categories were significantly linked to patients’ QOL [11,12]. In a sample of highly active ART-naive asymptomatic HIV-infected subjects, high viral loads and low CD4 count were significantly associated with poorer scores in the psychological and social domains [13]. Self-reporting indicates that QOL is severely compromised in PLWA in stages 3 and 4 and limitations in the four domains of mobility, usual activities, pain/discomfort, and anxiety/ depression constitute major problems for PLWA [14]. Focus group discussions have also revealed that QOL weights are strongly correlated to disease stage. Furthermore, clinical experts consistently report that ART has a strong positive impact on the HIV/AIDS Targeted Quality of Life (HAT-QOL) of patients, although this effect appears to rebound in cases of drug resistance [15]. Cotton et al. [16] tested six new items addressing personal and social domains of religiosity and spirituality. The authors reported that many patients had become more spiritual or religious by virtue of having HIV/ AIDS, and half of the patients believed that their spirituality/religion was helping them to live longer. In the setting of this study, patients with HIV/AIDS receive free medications on a donor-funded project that has been in existence for over 5 years. No investigation has been carried out to determine the QOL of patients, which is an important treatment outcome. We assessed the reported QOL of patients with HIV/AIDS and explored the impact of the patients’ sociodemographic profile on the QOL domains. Methods Design and Setting This study used a cross-sectional descriptive design and was carried out at Central Hospital Benin City, Edo State. The facility has 432 bed spaces and an average daily outpatient attendance of 900. This hospital is a secondary public health care facility that offers comprehensive HIV care services, including ART. HIV/AIDS outpatients were accessed at the Antiretroviral Pharmacy, a subunit of the main pharmacy in the hospital. Data Collection Data on patients’ QOL were gathered by using the HIV/AIDSTargeted Quality of Life (HAT-QOL) instrument [17]. The HAT-QOL consists of 34 item stems in nine domains: overall function, life satisfaction, health worries, financial worries, medication concerns, HIV mastery, disclosure worries, provider trust, and sexual function. Response to the questionnaire items was anchored on a scale of 5 to 1 as follows: all of the time ¼ 5, a lot of the time ¼ 4, some of the time ¼ 3, a little of the time ¼ 2, and none of the time ¼ 1. Eight of the 34 items were negatively worded; these items were reverse scored for analysis so that higher scores indicated higher QOL in each domain. Consenting outpatients, 18 years and above, visiting the facility during the period of August 1 to 30, 2011, were consecutively approached. A brief introduction of the questionnaire was given to the participants, who were asked to complete the assessment. Patients who were literate completed the questionnaire unaided, while those unable to read were aided by an interpreter, until 403 participants were recruited within the targeted period. Sociodemographic characteristics of the patients were obtained from their case notes. Ethical Considerations The ethical approval for this study was obtained from the Ethical Committee of the Central Hospital, Benin City, Nigeria. Participants gave a verbal consent and were assured of the confidentiality of the information that they volunteered. Data Analysis Usable responses from the 34-item questionnaire with five-point response scale were entered into a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet and rechecked for accuracy prior to analysis. Data were loaded into the Statistical Package for Social Sciences software version 17.0 for descriptive statistical analysis. All HAT-QOL domains were scored so that the final domain score was transformed into a linear 0 to 100 scale, where 0 was the worst score possible and 100 was the best score possible. Obtaining this final transformed domain score was done in four steps indicated below. 1. A value for all subject responses, item by item, as noted below was imputed. Most item responses were valued by using Code A, while others were valued by using Code B. Response Option Code A Code B “All of the time” 1 5 “A lot of the time” 2 4 “Some of the time” 3 3 “A little of the time” 4 2 “None of the time” 5 1 2. Code A was used for the following items: 1b, 1c, 1d, 1e, 1f, 3a, 3b, 3c, 3d, 4a, 4b, 4c, 5a, 5b, 5c, 5d, 5e, 6a, 6b, 7a, 7b, 7c, 7d, 7e, 9a, and 9b; while 3. Code B was used for the following items: 1a, 2a, 2b, 2c, 2d, 8a, 8b, and 8c. The mean score of items within each domain was used to calculate the domain scores and subsequently transformed to a 0 to 100 scale by using the questionnaire scoring guide as follows: Overall function: OVFXN100 ¼ (100/(306)) (OVFXN6) Life satisfaction: LISAT100 ¼ (100/(204)) (LISAT-4) Health worries: HEAWO100 ¼ (100/(204)) (HEAWO4) Financial worries: FINWO100 ¼ (100/(153)) (FINWO-3)Medication worries: MEDWO100 ¼ (100/(25 5)) (MEDWO-5) HIV mastery: HIVMA100 ¼ (100/(102)) (HIVMA-2) Disclosure worries: DISWO100 ¼ (100/(255)) (DISWO-5) Provider trust: PROTR100 ¼ (100/(153)) (PROTR-3) Sexual function: SXFXN100 ¼ (100/(102)) (SXFXN-2) Furthermore, the summated rated scores (range of 1–5) for each domain were computed in terms of mean and the SD, and Cronbach’s alpha. Association between rated scores and each domain was explored by using Students’ t test and one-way 256 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 254–258 analysis of variance at 95% confidence interval with the aid of GraphPad Instat version 3.0. The level of statistical significance was set at P less than .05. Results Patients’ Demographic Characteristics Of the 403 patients, 72 (17.7%) were males and 331 (81.3%) were females. Majority of the patients (147, 36.1%) were aged 20 to 30 years, and 239 (58.7%) were not married. Also, 338 (83.0%) earned below $1500 per annum, and 303 (74.40%) had basic education (grade 1 to grade 9). Other demographic characteristics are shown in Table 1. Fig. 1 – Mean scores across the HAT-QOL domains. HATQOL, HIV/AIDS Targeted Quality of Life. HAT-QOL Scores The highest mean score was in medication worries (91.65), followed by provider trust (91.63) and life satisfactions (91.94). Disclosure worries had the least mean score (27.50) (Fig. 1). Likert-Rated QOL Scores Medication worries had the highest Likert mean score (4.67 ⫾ 0.894; range 1–5), followed by provider trust (4.67 ⫾ 0.980). Disclosure worries had the least Likert score (2.10 ⫾ 1.152). The Cronbach’s alpha for the domains ranged from 0.580 to 0.954 (Table 2). Impact of Sociodemographic Characteristics on HAT-QOL Domains Age and gender of the patients were associated with the sexual function domain. Furthermore, level of education and Table 1 – Sociodemographic data of patients. Variable Age (y) Below 20 20–29 30–39 40–49 50 and above Sex Male Female Not indicated Marital status Not married Married Divorced Widowed Occupation Unemployed Employed Monthly income (NGN 150 to $1) Below 20,000.00 20,000–49,000.00 50,000–69,000.00 70,000–99,000.00 100,000.00 and above Educational level No formal education Basic education (grades 1–9) Post–basic education (grades 10–16)macmac Number reporting, n (%) 5 73 147 98 84 (1.2) (17.9) (36.1) (24.1) (20.7) 72 (17.7) 331 (81.3) 4 (1.0) 239 106 22 40 (58.7) (26.0) (5.4) (9.9) 46 (11.3) 361 (88.7) 338 51 9 5 4 (83.0) (12.5) (2.2) (1.2) (1.0) 33 (8.1) 303 (74.4) 71 (17.4) employment status were associated with the provider trust domain (P o 0.05). Details of the statistically significant associations between the sociodemographic factors and HAT-QOL domains are presented in Table 3. Discussion The validity of HAT-QOL has been demonstrated [18–20]. No studies, however, have been conducted in this southern part of Nigeria. The instrument produced high internal consistency in the various domains, indicating the validity of the HAT-QOL instrument in a Nigerian setting, bearing the cultural sensitivity of QOL instruments. Patients in this cross-sectional study reported a high QOL in all the domains except the domain of disclosure worries. This is consistent with the study carried out in Kogi State, Nigeria, where disclosure worries was also found to be low [2]. This could be a result of fear of stigmatization and discrimination among patients with HIV/AIDS. Stigmatization is an inhibiting factor to the uptake of HIV counseling and testing and other preventive, care, and support services. Stigmatization and discrimination contribute inadvertently to the transmission of HIV/AIDS among unsuspecting sexually active people. The fear of violence as a consequence of HIV/AIDS status disclosure also contributes to HIV transmission. HIV stigma has a significantly negative and constant impact on life satisfaction QOL for people with HIV infection. In the absence of any intervention to address and reduce stigmatization, individuals will continue to report poorer life satisfaction, evidenced by reduced living enjoyment, loss of control in life, decreased social interactivity, and decreased perceived health status [19]. Table 2 – Likert-rated scores and Cronbach’s alpha for the HAT-QOL domains. Domain Likert score Cronbach’s α Overall function Life satisfaction Health worries Financial worries Medication worries HIV mastery Disclosure worries Provider trust Sexual function 4.56 4.68 4.48 4.24 4.67 3.84 2.10 4.67 3.81 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 0.824 0.816 0.633 0.694 0.704 0.871 0.790 0.580 0.954 0.936 0.905 1.070 1.317 0.894 1.555 1.152 0.980 1.759 HAT-QOL, HIV/AIDS Targeted Quality of Life. 257 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 254–258 Table 3 – Impact of sociodemographic characteristics on HAT-QOL domains. Mean score ⫾ SD Calculated value P Sex ○ Male ○ Female 4.433 ⫾ 1.206 4.690 ⫾ 0.956 t ¼ 1.967 0.0499 Sexual functions ○ Male ○ Female 4.450 ⫾ 1.375 3.675 ⫾ 1.831 t ¼ 3.388 0.0008 Health worries Employment status ○ Employed ○ Unemployed 4.525 ⫾ 1.014 4.150 ⫾ 1.401 t ¼ 2.229 0.0264 ○ Employed ○ Unemployed 4.710 ⫾ 0.889 4.146 ⫾ 1.541 t ¼ 3.628 0.0003 Level of education ○ Basic education ○ Post–basic education 4.357 ⫾ 1.241 3.793 ⫾ 1.146 t ¼ 3.451 0.0006 Provider trust ○ Basic education ○ Post–basic education 4.705 ⫾ 0.936 4.320 ⫾ 1.360 t ¼ 2.820 0.0050 Life satisfaction Age (y) ○ 20–29 ○ 30–39 ○ 40–49 ○ 50 and above 4.382 4.700 4.692 4.875 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 1.259 0.871 0.850 0.528 F ¼ 6.169 0.0004 3.450 3.685 4.160 4.025 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 1.145 1.624 1.268 1.508 F ¼ 4.370 0.0048 2.130 4.190 3.705 2.970 ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ ⫾ 1.490 1.518 1.817 1.968 F ¼ 26.767 0.0001 HAT-QOL domain Provider trust Provider trust Financial worries HIV/AIDS mastery Variable ○ 20–29 ○ 30–39 ○ 40–49 ○ 50 and above Sexual function ○ 20–29 ○ 30–39 ○ 40–49 ○ 50 and above HAT-QOL, HIV/AIDS Targeted Quality of Life. HAT-QOL scores were high in the following domains: health worries, medication worries, HIV/AIDS mastery, provider trust, overall function, financial worries, life satisfaction, and sexual function. This is in line with the studies conducted in Philadelphia, PA [18], although a similar study carried out in the Niger Delta region in Nigeria revealed that there was impairment in the QOL except in medication worries and sexual function domains in PLWHA in that region [19]. Income assessment did not affect any of the HAT-QOL domains. This also supports the finding in a study carried out in three hospitals in Thailand [21]. This is mainly due to similarities in some sociodemographic characteristics, free availability of and adherence to ART, and accessibility to other HIV/ AIDS care components. Provider trust and sexual function were affected by gender. Gender refers to the expectations or norms within a society about the roles and responsibilities that are appropriate for women and men. Research has shown that the gender-based imbalance in power found in the economic and social spheres of life is reflected in sexual relationships. Women often have less control over the nature and timing of sex and the practice of protective behaviors. A woman’s ability to practice safer sex may be influenced by her ability to communicate openly about sex with her partner, the power dynamic in their relationship, or how much the partner believes in traditional gender roles. Beliefs or norms about masculinity and femininity often encourage men to have multiple partners and women to be passive and ignorant about matters of sexuality and reproduction. Gender, therefore, affects both women’s and men’s risk of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections [23]. Employment status affected health worries and provider trust domains. Level of education affected financial worries and provider trust, while life satisfaction, HIV/AIDS mastery, and sexual function were affected by age. Positive changes tended to be associated with higher educational levels and greater income, while negative changes were inversely related to health status and level of optimism [12,13,22,23]. Implications of the Findings Patients reported high QOL in all domains, except disclosure worries, indicating their concern for stigmatization and discrimination in the society. There is need for governmental and nongovernmental agencies to heighten advocacy toward reducing stigmatization and discrimination of PLWHA to encourage the uptake of HIV/AIDS care and reduce its spread. 258 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 254–258 The QOL was found not to be associated with income. The reason may probably be due to free care the patients received through donor agencies. That would remain so if free care is sustained. Bearing donor fatigue, Nigerians need to build local capacity for long-time sustainability of free HIV/AIDS care at community levels. Provider trust has implications for patient care. Patients with a lower level of trust in their care provider are more likely to report that requested or needed services are not provided. Understanding this relationship may lead to better ways of responding to patient requests that preserve or enhance patient trust, leading to better outcomes. Study Limitations This study used a cross-sectional design, which could not account for changes in the QOL of PLWA over time such as a longitudinal survey would provide. Some respondents were aided to complete the survey, and the possibility of bias cannot be completely eliminated, despite efforts. Patients were consecutively recruited during the study period; a randomized selection process would yield a more generalizable result. Conclusions Patients reported satisfactory QOL in the domains of overall function, life satisfaction, health worries, financial worries, medication worries, HIV mastery, provider trust, and sexual function. The QOL was low in the domain of disclosure worries, indicating concerns for discrimination and stigmatization. Age, level of education, and employment status had a strong impact on the QOL of patients with HIV/AIDS. Source of financial support: The authors have no other financial relationships to disclose. R EF E R EN CE S [1] United Nations Joint Programme on HIV/AIDS (2008). Report on the global AIDS epidemic. Geneva, UNAIDS. Available at: www.unaids.org/ en/media/unaids/contentassets/dataimport/pub/globalreport/2008/ jc1510_2008globalreport_en.pdf. [Accessed August 30, 2013]. [2] Fatiregun AA, Mofolorunsho KC, Osagbemi KG. Quality of life of people living with HIV/AIDS in Kogi State, Nigeria. Benin J Postgrad Med 2009;2:2–10. [3] Lesserman J, Perkins DO, Evans DL. Coping with the threat of AIDS: the role of social support. Am J Psychiatr 1992;149:1514–20. [4] Namir S, Wolcott D, Fawzy F, Alumbaugh M. Implications of different strategies for coping with AIDS. In: Temoshack L, Baum A,eds. Psychological Perspectives on AIDS. Hillsdale, NJ: Erlbaum, 1990. [5] Rabkin JG, Remien R, Kattoff L, Williams JB. Residence in adversity among long time survivors of AIDS. Hosp Comm Psychiatr 1993;44:162–7. [6] Elisabete C, Morandi Dos Santos, Ivan FJ, Fernanda L. Quality of life of people living with HIV/AIDS in São Paulo. Brazil: Rev Saúde Pública 2007;741(supp.2):647. [7] McDowell I, Newell C. Measuring Health: A Guide to Rating Scales and Questionnaires. (2nd ed.). New York: Oxford University Press, 1996. [8] Razera F, Ferreira I, Bonamigo R. Factors associated with health-related quality of life in HIV infected Brazilians. Int J STD 2008;19:519–23. [9] Basavarj KH, Navya MA, Rashmi R. Quality of life in HIV/AIDS. Ind J Sex Transmission 2010;31:75–80. [10] Razera F, Ferreira I, Bonamigo R. Factors associated with health-related quality of life in HIV infected Brazilians. Int J STD 2008;19:519–23. [11] Wig N, Lekshmi R, Pal H, et al. The impact of HIV/AIDS on the quality of life. Ind J Med Sci 2006;60:3–12. [12] Odili VU, Oparah AC, Usifoh SF, Ikhurionan IB. Determinants of quality of life in HIV/AIDS patients. West Afr J Pharm 2011;22:42–8. [13] Chandra PS, Gandhi C, Satischchandra P, et al. Quality of life of HIV sub type c infections among asyptomatic subjects and its association with CD4 counts and viral load—a study from India Qual Life Res 2006;15:1597–605. [14] Janeen H, Jennifer J, Emilou M, et al. The health-related quality of life of people living with HIV/AIDS. Informa Healthcare 2004;26:371–6. [15] Robberstad B, Olsen JA. The health related quality of life of people living with HIV/AIDS in sub-Saharan Africa—a literature review and focus group study. Cost-Effect Res Alloc 2010;8:5. Available from: http:// www.resource-allocation.com/content/8/1/5). [Accessed February 28, 2012]. [16] Cotton S, Puchalski CM, Sherman SN, et al. Spirituality and religion in patients with HIV/AIDS. J Gen Intern Med 2006;21(Suppl):S5–13. [17] Holmes WA, Shea JA. Performance of a new HIV/AIDS Targeted Quality of Life (HAT-QOL) instrument in asymptomatic sero-positive individuals. Qual Life Res 1997;6:561–71. [18] Holmes WC, Ruocco JE. Test-retest evaluation of HAT-QoL and SF-36 in an HIV-seropositive sample. AIDS Care 2008;20:1084–92. [19] Greeff M, Uys LR, Wantland D, Makoae L. Perceived HIV stigma and life satisfaction among persons living with HIV infection in five African countries: a longitudinal study. Int J Nurs Stud 2009: (NS-1559:12). [20] Ekott FA, Bassey JU, Etukumana AE. Quality of life in people living with HIV/AIDS in Niger Delta Region, Nigeria. J Ment Health 2010;19:211–8. [21] The HIV/AIDS Survey Library HIV research domains: gender and sexual relationships. Available from: www.popcouncil.org/Horizons/ ORToolkit/AIDQuest/topics/gender.html. [Accessed February 29, 2012]. [22] Updegraff JA, Taylor SE, Kemeny ME, Wyatt GE. Positive and negative effectives of HIV infection in women with low socioeconomic resources. Pers Soc Psychol Bull 2002;28:382–94. [23] Marie P, Fabienne M, Patrizia MC, France L. Health-related quality of life in French people living with HIV in 2003: results from the national ANRS-EN12-VESPA Study. The VESPA Study Group. 2007;21(Suppl.): S19–27. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 259–263 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri CLINICAL OUTCOMES STUDIES Clinical Burden of Invasive Pneumococcal Disease in Selected Developing Countries Namaitijiang Maimaiti, PhD1,2,, Zafar Ahmed, PhD1,3, Zaleha Md Isa, PhD2, Hasanain Faisal Ghazi, PhD1,2, Syed Aljunid, PhD1,3 1 International Institute for Global Health, United Nations University, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia; 2Department of Community Health, Faculty of Medicine, UKM; International Centre for Case-Mix and Clinical Coding, UKM Medical Centre 3 AB STR A CT Objective: To measure the clinical burden of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in selected developing countries. Methods: This is an extensive literature review of published articles on IPD in selected developing countries from East Asia, South Asia, Middle East, subSaharan Africa, and Latin America. We reviewed all the articles retrieved from the knowledge bases that were published between the years 2000 and 2010. Results: After applying the inclusion, exclusion, and quality criteria, the comprehensive review of the literature yielded 10 articles with data for pneumococcal meningitis, septicemia/bacteremia, and pneumonia. These selected articles were from 10 developing countries from five different regions. Out of the 10 selected articles, 8 have a detailed discussion on IPD, one of them has s detailed discussion on bacteremia and meningitis, and another one has discussed pneumococcal bacteremia. Out of these 10 articles, only 5 articles discussed the case-fatality ratio (CFR). In our article review, the incidence of IPD ranged from less than 5/100,000 to 416/100,000 population and the CFR ranged from 12.2% to 80% in the developing countries. Conclusions: The review demonstrated that the clinical burden of IPD was high in the developing countries. The incidence of IPD and CFR varies from region to region and from country to country. The IPD burden was highest in sub-Saharan African countries followed by South Asian countries. The CFR was low in high-income countries than in low-income countries. Introduction high, with an estimated 600,000 to 800,000 adult deaths each year from pneumococcal pneumonia, meningitis, and sepsis [8]. The vast majority of its victims come from the world’s poorest countries, and half of them are children younger than 5 years. It is extraordinary, in view of these facts, that pneumococcal disease remains a relatively unknown disease and does not have a higher place on the agenda of the international community [3]. Compared with other diseases affecting the developing world, determining the incidence of pneumococcal disease is relatively difficult [9]. This is due to a number of factors including the difficulties involved in stringent laboratory testing and sample collection and the unavailability of quality surveillance data in developing countries. This lack of epidemiological evidence has likely contributed to a gross underappreciation of the economic, clinical, and human burdens imposed by pneumococcal disease and hindered public health planning and decision making in developing countries [3]. Most of the researchers have done the review of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) for patients belonging to a particular age group, for example, pediatric age group, and limited to a single region. We extended our review of Streptococcus pneumoniae is a major public health problem causing meningitis, bacteremia, pneumonia, and acute otitis media [1,2]. S. pneumoniae is the most common cause of pneumonia worldwide, causing approximately 36% of all childhood pneumonias. S. pneumoniae can cause potentially life-threatening lung infections including severe pneumonia, which hinders the movement of oxygen into the bloodstream, potentially resulting in death from respiratory failure [3]. Invasive pneumococcal infections often prove rapidly fatal, even where good medical treatment is readily available. In developed countries, up to 20% of people who contract pneumococcal meningitis die; however, in the developing world, mortality is closer to 50%, even among hospitalized patients [4]. In one study from Gambia, 48% of children who contracted pneumococcal meningitis and reached hospital did not survive [5]. The World Health Organization (WHO) estimated that 1.6 million people die from pneumococcal disease every year [6], with 0.7 million to 1 million being children younger than 5 years [7]. The pneumococcal disease burden among adults is also Keywords: clinical burden, developing countries, East Asia, IPD, Latin America, Middle East, South Asia, sub-Saharan Africa. Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. * Address correspondence to: Namaitijiang Maimaiti, International Institute for Global Health, United Nations University, UKMMC, Jalan Yaacob Latif, Bandar tunrazak, Cheras 56000, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.07.003 260 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 259–263 IPD to all age groups on the basis of availability of data and extended to five different regions in the world. The developing countries are defined as a nation with a low living standard, underdeveloped industrial base, and low human development index relative to other countries [10]. This will help us better understand the disease burden in all the age groups in selected developing countries in different parts of the world. We measured the clinical burden of IPD in selected developing countries by geographical and economical point of view. Clinical burden is a burden that differs from genetic burden mainly in the added component of morbidity; a trait that is either clinically or genetically lethal may be grossly disabling [11]. Methods We conducted a detailed review of published articles on IPD. Literature searches were conducted by using the PubMed database, Google scholar, and The Lancet, and were limited to articles written in English. We selected 10 developing countries from five regions, namely, East Asia (Malaysia and Thailand), South Asia (Bangladesh and Nepal), Middle East (Saudi Arabia and Qatar), sub-Saharan Africa (The Gambia and Mozambique), and Latin America (Cuba and Peru). The World Bank categorizes the countries by income into five different categories: low-income economics, lower-middle-income economics, upper-middleincome economics, high-income economics, and high-income Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development members [12]. The main criterion for the selection of these countries from the designated regions was that they should belong to same economic status (as defined by the World Bank) and preferably be neighbors. When selected countries did not have an equivalent neighbor, we selected the next nearest country in the region with the same economic status. The search term combinations used to search the knowledge base included pneumococcal pneumonia, epidemiology, incidence rate, clinical burden AND pneumococcal meningitis, epidemiology, incidence rate, clinical burden AND pneumococcal septicemia, epidemiology, incidence rate, and clinical burden. We started with reviewing the abstracts of these articles published between the year 2000 and 2010 to find out which of the studies met our inclusion criteria and then reviewed only those fulllength articles that complied with our inclusion criteria. The knowledge base searches were conducted from March 1, 2011, till July 31, 2011. We included only published articles and articles that described the clinical burden of pneumococcal disease with the quantitative data of the selected developing countries in the different regions. If there was more than one article in each country, the most comparable study or the study with a high quality of methodology was reviewed. We excluded case reports, reports, and special populations, such as reports for patients with HIV/AIDS. We also excluded articles published before 2000 and after 2010, or articles from developed countries. We accepted each author’s definition and methods except for the exclusion criteria mentioned. Two individuals (Namaitijiang Maimaiti and Zafar Ahmed [NM and ZA]) independently screened the titles and abstracts of each citation retrieved from the search term and identified the articles for full review. The decision to review an article in detail was based on the content of the abstract and whether the article described the clinical burden of pneumococcal disease. If the reviewed article included both clinical and economic burdens of pneumococcal disease, we still included this article in our study, but reviewed only the clinical burden of disease for our study. Initially, the search process using the search term yielded 51 articles. Finally, 22 articles remained to be reviewed in detail. If more than one article from the same country was identified that described the clinical burden of pneumococcal disease, we selected the article with the later publication date with same quality or better quality methods compared with previous studies. The detailed review of the selected 22 articles was carried out by MN and ZA in a team, and finally they selected 10 articles that fulfilled all the selection criteria. Out of these 10 selected articles, 8 were full-text original publications and 2 were review articles, and the 10 articles selected were then used for our analysis. We gathered information such as study design (retrospective/prospective study), study period, study location (urban/rural), study population and age of sample, incidence rate, and case-fatality ratio (CFR) (Fig. 1). Results The list of the selected articles from 10 developing countries belonging to five different regions is presented in Table 1. Among the 10 articles selected, 8 articles had a detailed discussion on IPD, 1 discussed meningitis, and 1 discussed pneumococcal bacteremia. Out of the 10 articles selected, only 5 articles described the CFR (Table 2). The studies included in this review were carried out in a variety of settings. Seven studies were carried out in an urban seating; two studies were carried out in rural areas, whereas only one study was carried out in both urban and rural settings. 51 were identified 22 were read and abstracted 29 from full text did not meet inclusion criteria, published before 2000 or after 2010, duplicate reference, repeated data or poor quality. 10 Full text article, review Fig. 1 – Flow diagram for the process of review of the literature. *HI, high income; LI, low income; UMI, upper-middle income. 261 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 259–263 Table 1 – List of the 10 selected articles and data of publication. No. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Title of selected articles Year of publication Epidemiology of invasive pneumococcal infection in children aged five years and under in Saudi Arabia: a five-year retrospective surveillance study Acute bacterial meningitis in Qatar Invasive pneumococcal disease among children in rural Bangladesh: results from a populationbased surveillance Invasive pneumococcal disease in Kanti Children’s Hospital, Nepal, as observed by the South Asian Pneumococcal Alliance Network Invasive pneumococcal diseases among hospitalized children in Lima, Peru Bacterial meningitis in children and adolescents: an observational study based on the national surveillance system Invasive pneumococcal disease in children o5 years of age in rural Mozambique Efficacy of nine-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine against pneumonia and invasive pneumococcal disease in The Gambia: randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial Overview of the disease burden of invasive pneumococcal disease in Asia Incidence of pneumococcal bacteremia requiring hospitalization in rural Thailand Table 3 shows that the IPD incidence ranged from less than 5 per 100,000 to 416 per 100,000. In general, the incidence rate of IPD varies directly with the respective country’s income category, with higher income countries having a low incidence rate and low-income countries having a high incidence rate. The only country that shows an exception is the Saudi Arabia, where the overall incidence rate for IPD (bacteremia and meningitis) is 17.4 per 100,000 population; if we look at the incidence rate for meningitis alone, 4/100,000, it is higher than that in Qatar, 2.4/ 100,000. Figure 2 also shows that the incidence rate in low-income countries is way higher than the incidence rate in countries among other income categories. We selected low-income countries from two different geographic regions. The data show that the incidence rate of IPD in the low-income countries of subSaharan Africa (Gambia and Mozambique) is considerably higher than the incidence rate of IPD in the low-income countries from South Asia (Bangladesh and Nepal). Reference 2010 [13] 2006 2009 [14] [15] 2009 [16] 2010 2005 [17] [18] 2006 2006 [19] [20] 2010 2009 [21] [22] When we look at the incidence rate of IPD according to the geographic region, we found that the incidence rate in East Asian and Latin American countries was not very different from each other—less than 10 per 100,000 for both the regions. The incidence rate of IPD in middle eastern countries was slightly higher than that in East Asian and Latin American countries, but it was still less than 20 per 100,000. Among the five regions, the CFR was reported in four regions —East Asia, South Asia, Middle East, and Latin America. Based on available data, the highest CFR was recorded in South Asia (80%), followed by East Asia (33.3%), Latin America (27%), and Middle East (12.2%). Concluding from these published evidences, we can say that the incidence rate is high in low-income developing countries such as Mozambique, Gambia, Bangladesh, and Nepal, and this could be due to inequality, inequitable distribution of wealth, inadequate provision of health care services, lack of human resource and human capacity to manage IPD effectively, and also lack of latest technology in the health care system. Table 2 – Summary of epidemiology of invasive pneumococcal infections in selected developing countries by geographic area and per-capital income. Region Country Country category Study design Study period Study location Study population Age of sample East Asia Malaysia Urban 216 o5 y 2005–2009 Rural 23,853 2004–2007 Rural 22,378 All age groups o5 y Nepal Saudi Arabia Qatar Mozambique Low- income High- income High- income Low-income 2004–2007 1999–2003 1998–2002 2001–2003 Urban Urban Urban Urban 2,528 82 64 10,702 o5 y o5 y o12 y o5 y Gambia Low-income 2000–2003 Urban 17,437 o3 y Peru Upper-middle income Upper-middle income Retrospective study Population-based surveillance Population-based surveillance Retrospective study Retrospective study Retrospective study Prospective surveillance Clinics: controls in a vaccine trial Retrospective study 2004–2006 Bangladesh Upper-middle income Upper-middle income Low-income 2006–2008 Urban 101 o5 y 1998–2003 Both 1,023 o18 y Thailand South Asia Middle east Sub-Saharan Africa Latin America Cuba Retrospective study CFR, case-fatality ratio; IPD, invasive pneumococcal disease; IR, incidence rate; PP, pneumococcal pneumonia. 262 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 259–263 Table 3 – The IR and CFR of pneumococcal disease by region, country, and economic level of countries Region Middle east East Asia Latin America South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa Country category High-income High-income Upper-middle Upper-middle Upper-middle Upper-middle Low-income Low-income Low-income Low-income income income income income Country Saudi Arabia Qatar Malaysia Thailand Peru Cuba Bangladesh Nepal Mozambique Gambia IR of IPD/100,000 17.4 2.4 8.6 5.7 7.7 6 86 52.4 416 388 CFR 12.20% NA 33.30% NA 22% 27% NA 80% NA NA CFR, case-fatality ratio; IPD, invasive pneumococcal disease; IR, incidence rate; NA, not applicable/available. Single disease IR. When we look at the CFR, it was high in low-income countries (80%) and upper-middle-income countries (33.3%, 31.7%, and 22%) than in high-income countries (12.2%). Even though the incidence rate was higher in high-income countries than in upper-middleincome countries, the CFR was low in these high-income countries than in middle-income countries. This can be explained with the argument that generally high-income countries have good capacity to provide excellent quality health care to their population by using latest technology and hire properly qualified professionals to operate health facilities. We recommend that future studies should be carried out with large sample size, be conducted in both urban and rural areas among all age groups, and should report the CFR. This study included five different regions covering both urban and rural settings and critical morbidity. In this study, most of the articles covered all age groups. A limitation of this study was that it was conducted only in 10 developing countries and the result may not reflect the situation in other developing countries. Conclusions Discussion The clinical burden of the disease was slightly different among the neighboring countries within the same region in this review. These differences in the disease burden between neighboring countries even though they belong to the same economic level may be due to differences in the health care system, human resource, budget for health care expenditures, health insurance coverage, climate, and so on. Collectively, these differences can also be due to the objectives of the study, study design, different sample demographic, location, and other factors. One of the limitations of the study is that only two countries were selected from each region. Our review confirmed that the clinical burden of IPD was high in developing countries. The incidence rate and the CFR of IPD were different from region to region and country to country. The disease burden was high in sub-Saharan African countries followed by South Asian countries. The CFR was low in highincome countries than in low-income countries. The disease burden was not significantly different among the countries that belong to the category of upper-middle-income countries. The review found that generally the disease burden was high in rural areas than in urban areas, which can be explained by the inequity in health care facilities available in rural areas. Studies from Middle Eastern countries and Peru had a very small sample size; therefore, because of the small sample size, these studies may Fig. 2 – Incidence rate of IPD by income. IPD, invasive pneumococcal disease. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 259–263 not reflect the true disease burden of these countries. Only three studies were conducted among all age groups, and the other studies were carried out only among children. The WHO reported that 1.6 million people die every year from pneumococcal disease, with 0.7 million to 1 million of these being children younger than 5 years. The pneumococcal disease burden among adults is also high, with an estimated 600, 000 to 800, 000 adult deaths each year from pneumococcal pneumonia, meningitis, and sepsis [7]. The review done is in accordance with the WHO report that says that the pneumococcal disease burden is high among children as well as among adult populations. Source of financial support: This research project was funded by GlaxoSmithKline SdnBhd. R EF E R EN CE S [1] WHO position paper: pneumococcal vaccines. Wkly Epidemiol Rec 1999;74(23):177–83. [2] O’Brien KL, Wolfson LJ, Watt JP, et al. Burden of disease caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae in children younger than 5 years: global estimates. Lancet 2009;374:893–902. [3] Preventing pneumococcal disease: report from the All-Party Parliamentary Group on Pneumococcal Disease Prevention in the Developing World. 2008. Available from: www.appg-preventpneumo.org.uk. [4] World Health Organization. Pneumococcal vaccines. Wkly Epidemiol Rec 2003;14:110–9. [5] Goetghebuer T, West TE, Wermenbol V, et al. Outcome of meningitis caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae and Haemophilus influenza type b in children in The Gambia. Trop Med Int Health 2000;5:207–13. [6] World Health Organization. Pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for childhood immunization: WHO position paper. Wkly Epidemiol Rec 2007;82(12):93–104. [7] World Health Organization. WHO Report: Bi-regional Meeting on Prevention of Childhood Pneumonia and Meningitis by Vaccination, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, 30–31 March 2006. Manila, Philippines: World Health Organization Regional Office for the Western Pacific, 2006. 263 [8] Chun first initial, 2 more authors, et al. Estimation of otitis media disease and cost burden in Korea. Presented at 12th Western Pacific Congress on Chemotherapy and Infectious Diseases [WPCCID], 2010. [9] Madhi SA, Kuwanda L, Cutland C, et al. The impact of a 9-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on the public health burden of pneumonia in HIV-infected and -uninfected children. Clin Infect Dis 2005;40:1511–8. [10] Sullivan A, Sheffrin SM. Economics: Principles in Action. Upper Saddle River, NJ: Pearson Prentice-Hall, 2003. [11] Drugs.com. Clinical burden. Available from: http://www.drugs.com/ dict/clinical-burden.html. [12] The World Bank. Country and landing groups. Available from: http:// data.worldbank.org/about/country-classifications/country-and-lending-groups#East_Asia_and_Pacific. [13] Memish ZA, El-Saed A, Al-Otaibi B, et al. Epidemiology of invasive pneumococcal infection in children aged five years and under in Saudi Arabia: a five-year retrospective surveillance study. Int J Infect Dis 2010;14(8):e708–12. [14] Elsaid MF, Flamerzi AA, Bessisso MS, Elshafie SS. Acute bacterial meningitis in Qatar. Saudi Med J 2006;27:204–10. [15] Arifeen SE, Saha SK, Rahman S, et al. Invasive pneumococcal disease among children in rural Bangladesh: results from a population-based surveillance. Clin Infect Dis 2009;48(Suppl. 2):S103–13. [16] Shah AS, Knoll MD, Sharma PR, et al. Invasive pneumococcal disease in Kanti Children’s Hospital, Nepal, as observed by the South Asian Pneumococcal Alliance Network. Clin Infect Dis 2009;48(Suppl. 2):S123–8. [17] Ochoa TJ, Egoavil M, Castillo ME, et al. Invasive pneumococcal diseases among hospitalized children in Lima, Peru. Rev Panam Salud Publica 2010;28:121–7. [18] Dickinson FO, Pérez AE. Bacterial meningitis in children and adolescents: an observational study based on the national surveillance system. BMC Infect Dis 2005;5:103. [19] Roca A, Sigaúque B, Quintó L, et al. Invasive pneumococcal disease in childreno5 years of age in rural Mozambique. Trop Med Int Health 2006;11:1422–31. [20] Cutts FT, Zaman SM, Enwere G, et al. Efficacy of nine-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine against pneumonia and invasive pneumococcal disease in The Gambia: randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial. Lancet 2005;365(9465):1139–46. [21] Bravo LC. Overview of the disease burden of invasive pneumococcal diseases in Asia. Vaccine 2009;27(52):7282–91. [22] Baggett HC, Peruski LF, Olsen SJ, et al. Incidence of pneumococcal bacteremia requiring hospitalization in rural Thailand. Clin Infect Dis 2009;48(Suppl. 2):S65–74. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 264–266 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri HEALTH POLICY ANALYSIS Capacity Building for HTA Implementation in Middle-Income Countries: The Case of Hungary Zoltán Kaló, MSc, MD, PhD1,2,, József Bodrogi, MSc3, Imre Boncz, MSc, MD, PhD4,5, Csaba Dózsa, MSc, PhD6, Gabriella Jóna, MD, MSc7, Rita Kövi, MD7, Zsolt Pásztélyi, MD, MSc8, Balázs Sinkovits, MSc9, on behalf of ISPOR Hungary Chapter 1 Health Economics Research Centre, Eötvös Loránd University (ELTE), Budapest, Hungary; 2Syreon Research Institute, Budapest, Hungary; 3Independent Senior Health Economist, Budapest, Hungary; 4Faculty of Health Sciences, Institute for Health Insurance, University of Pécs, Pécs, Hungary; 5Faculty of Economics, Health Economics and Health Technology Assessment Research Centre, Corvinus University of Budapest, Budapest, Hungary; 6Health Care Faculty, University of Miskolc, Miskolc, Hungary; 7National Institute for Quality- and Organizational Development in Healthcare and Medicines, Budapest, Hungary; 8Railway Health Services, Budapest, Hungary; 9AstraZeneca, Budapest, Hungary AB STR A CT Objectives: Middle-income countries often have no clear roadmap for implementation of health technology assessment (HTA) in policy decisions. Examples from high-income countries may not be relevant, as lower income countries cannot allocate so much financial and human resources for substantiating policy decisions with evidence. Therefore, HTA implementation roadmaps from other smaller-size, lower-income countries can be more relevant examples for countries with similar cultural environment and economic status. Methods: We reviewed the capacity building process for HTA implementation in Hungary with special focus on the role of ISPOR Hungary Chapter. Results: HTA implementation in Hungary started with capacity building at universities with the support of the World Bank in the mid 90's, followed by the publication of methodological guidelines for conducting health economic evaluations in 2002. The Hungarian Health Economics Association (META) - established in 2003 - has been recognized as a driving force of HTA implementation. META became the official regional ISPOR Chapter of Hungary in 2007. In 2004 the National Health Insurance Fund Administration made the cost-effectiveness and budget impact criteria compulsory prior to granting reimbursement to new pharmaceuticals. An Office of Health Technology Assessment was established for the critical appraisal of economic evaluations submitted by pharmaceutical manufacturers. In 2010 multicriteria decision analysis was introduced for new hospital technologies. Conclusion: The economic crisis may create an opportunity to further strengthen the evidence base of health care decision-making in Hungary. In the forthcoming period ISPOR Hungary Chapter may play an even more crucial role in improving the standards of HTA implementation and facilitating international collaboration with other CEE countries. Keywords: capacity building, HTA implementation, ISPOR Hungary Chapter, middle-income countries. Introduction countries such as the United Kingdom (i.e., the “National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence experience”) may not be relevant because lower income countries cannot allocate so many financial and human resources for substantiating health policy decisions with evidence. In addition, the size of the country matters; the smaller a country is the more limited facilities for preparing full HTA reports it has. Therefore, HTA implementation roadmaps from other smaller size, middle-income countries can be more relevant, especially if the country is from the same geographical and cultural environment with similar economic status. One of the most important questions of the HTA implementation roadmap is whether capacity building should come first or whether mandatory HTA requirement in the reimbursement process can induce the necessary background knowledge. The health status of the population in middle-income countries is usually worse than in high-income countries. Because health care resources are scarcer in these countries, the societal cost of inappropriate pricing and reimbursement decisions of new health care technologies is even higher. Implementation of health technology assessment (HTA) in the decision-making process may alleviate this problem. Key success factors for HTA implementation, however, are building human resource and financial capacities, establishing a transparent decision-making process, and implementing robust HTA methodology. Middle-income countries often have no clear roadmap for HTA implementation. Examples from high-income and resource-rich Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflict of interest: Authors have no conflicts of interest. * Address correspondence to: Zoltán Kaló, Faculty of Social Sciences, Eötvös Loránd University, Pázmány Péter sétány 1/a, H-1117 Budapest, Hungary. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.002 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 264–266 Both options are feasible and have their advantages and disadvantages. Previous publications have already addressed major steps of HTA implementation in Hungary [1–3]. Because HTA implementation in Hungary started with capacity building, our objective was to summarize the role of International Society of Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR) Hungary Chapter in human resource development. The Hungarian example for HTA capacity building can be especially relevant for other Central Eastern European countries. Hungary has 9.94 million inhabitants, and its gross domestic product per capita was €10,016 in 2011 [4]; therefore, the country has passed the World Bank’s threshold of high-income countries. A major part of the HTA implementation, however, happened in the years when Hungary was classified as a middle-income country. Step 1: HTA Capacity Building In the mid-1990s, two new academic centers, the School of Public Health at the University of Debrecen and the Health Care Management Training Center at Semmelweis University, were established. Tutors received World Bank scholarships to study health economics, health care management, epidemiology, biostatistics, public health, and other related sciences in distinguished international academic centers. Many graduates of the World Bank program left the country, but many of them stayed or even returned after some years of international experience. Smaller scale educational projects also contributed to HTA capacity building. The TUDOR program at the University of Szeged was established to facilitate the application of evidence-based medicine in Hungary. The program was sponsored by the British Department for International Development, Know How Fund [5]. By 2000, the number of trained professionals with a thorough understanding of HTA reached 50. Several Hungarian universities (Corvinus University of Budapest, University of Debrecen, University of Pécs, and University of West Hungary) introduced training programs in economic evaluation of medical technologies for undergraduate students. The first postgraduate course with a major focus on economic evaluation and economic modeling was introduced by the Faculty of Social Sciences at the Eötvös Loránd University in 2007. By 2010, the number of trained professionals with personal experience in HTA research or appraisal exceeded 200. Step 2: Methodological Guidelines Standardization of economic evaluations is a necessity prior to mandating the use of economic evaluation in policy decisions. The Hungarian methodological guidelines for conducting economic evaluation of health care interventions were published in 2002 [6]. These guidelines covered all health care interventions; therefore, they were not specific for pharmaceuticals and not limited to reimbursement questions. The intention was to update the guidelines every 2 years; however, the Ministry of Health did not implement any revision before 2013. Step 3: Scientific Organization The Hungarian Health Economics Association (Magyar Egészséggazdaságtani Társaság [META]) was established in 2003. The founders aimed at establishing an independent organization to discuss major health economic and health policy issues at monthly meetings. Since 2003 META has been organizing 8 to 10 meetings a year. Each 2-hour monthly meeting is dedicated to a particular research, policy, or methodological topic, with an advocate (or researcher), an opponent, and a moderator. Pricing and reimbursement policy of new health technologies and 265 methodological standards of HTA research have been discussed at several meetings over the years. In 2006, META was one of the main organizers of the highly successful 6th European Congress of Health Economics in Budapest [2]. In 2007, META became the official Hungarian Chapter of the ISPOR. ISPOR Hungary Chapter has a strong commitment to facilitate international collaboration with other Central Eastern European countries. In 2007, ISPOR Hungary Chapter organized its first 1-day annual national congress in health economics. Since 2010, the 2-day congress with more than 200 participants has an international plenary session with invited speakers from other ISPOR regional chapters. The achievements of the ISPOR Hungary Chapter have been recognized by policymakers. Several former ministers and state secretaries gave lectures at the annual health economics congress. Moreover, in 2010, the State Secretary of Health invited META to establish the Management and Health Economics Section of the Professional Health Care College (the Advisory Board of the Health Care Secretariat of the Ministry of Human Resources). META also gained official recognition on behalf of other professional medical societies by joining the Association of Hungarian Medical Society (Magyar Orvostársaságok és Egyesületek Szövetsége [MOTESZ]). In 2012, ISPOR Hungary Chapter and Eötvös Loránd University launched a 1-week summer university course with the title of “Implementation of HTA in CEE countries,” attended by participants from 10 countries. In 2013, ISPOR Hungary Chapter has 114 members, with 350 professionals visiting local meetings in 2012. Step 4: Compulsory HTA in Policy Decisions In 2004, the Hungarian National Health Insurance Fund Administration made the cost-effectiveness and budget impact criteria compulsory prior to granting reimbursement to new pharmaceuticals. The Ministry of Health established a Department of Health Technology Assessment (HTA Department) at one of its background institutes for the critical appraisal of economic evaluations submitted by pharmaceutical manufacturers. The summary appraisal prepared by the HTA Department is taken into account by the National Health Insurance Fund Administration in reimbursement decisions. The single HTA process for patented outpatient pharmaceutical products is described in Fig. 1. Experience of the first 6 years of the Hungarian fourth hurdle indicated that the quality of economic evaluations submitted in reimbursement dossiers was rather heterogeneous. In 2009, a working group was set up to develop a policy-relevant, detailed Hungarian critical appraisal checklist to improve the quality of pharmacoeconomic evaluations submitted for single HTA in pharmaceutical reimbursement applications. The critical appraisal checklist has been published recently [7]. In 2010, new multicriteria decision analysis was introduced for new hospital technologies, mainly for medical devices. Recent Activities and Further Steps ISPOR Hungary Chapter has been growing continuously. The society has a balanced membership structure from the academia, public, and private sectors. It has a Young Professional Unit with an age limit of 35 years. Young professionals are especially active in driving changes by establishing working groups in several policy and research areas. The chapter established a student unit for graduate, postgraduate, and PhD students in 2012. ISPOR Hungary Chapter has coordinated the revision of methodological guidelines for conducting economic evaluation of health care interventions. The revised guidelines were published in March 2013. The new guidelines indicate explicit costeffectiveness thresholds for Hungary (two to three times of gross 266 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 264–266 Fig. 1 – Pricing and reimbursement process with single HTA for patented outpatient pharmaceutical products. HTA, health technology assessment. domestic product per capita). According to the guidelines, these thresholds are considered as a tool (reference point), and so they are not used as mandatory criterion for reimbursement. In the new guidelines, the discount rate for both costs and health gains has been reduced from 5% to 3.7%. Yet, health policy and major reimbursement decisions are still not fully transparent in Hungary. The National Health Insurance Fund Administration has implemented serious cost-containment measures for pharmaceuticals in recent years; therefore, budget impact has become the most important element for reimbursement decisions with mandatory financial risk-sharing agreements. The Young Professional Unit of ISPOR Chapter Hungary has established a working group to develop proposals for improving the transparency and evidence base of pharmaceutical pricing and reimbursement decisions. Conclusions The global economic crisis significantly influenced the Hungarian economy. Public health care resources are highly limited, and they are not sufficient to maintain the current health care infrastructure and the publicly funded benefit package; therefore, health care financing and provision have to be restructured. There is growing pressure on policymakers to justify their major policy decisions. The economic crisis may create an opportunity to strengthen the evidence base of health care decision making in Hungary [8]. ISPOR Hungary Chapter has played a crucial role in HTA implementation. In the forthcoming period, the chapter will be most likely to play an even more crucial role in improving the standards of HTA implementation and facilitating international collaboration with other countries in the Central Eastern European region. Source of funding: The authors have no other financial relationships to disclose. R EF E R EN C ES [1] Gulácsi L, Boncz I, Drummond M. Issues for countries considering introducing the “fourth hurdle”: the case of Hungary. Int J Technol Assess Health Care 2004;20:337–41. [2] Boncz I, Dózsa C, Kaló Z, et al. Development of health economics in Hungary between 1990-2006. Eur J Health Econ 2006;7(Suppl.1):4–6. [3] Gulácsi L, Orlewska E, Péntek M. Health economics and health technology assessment in Central and Eastern Europe: a dose of reality. Eur J Health Econ 2012;13:525–31. [4] Central Statistical Office of Hungary. Per capita gross domestic product (GDP) (1995-), 2012. Available from: http://www.ksh.hu/docs/eng/ xstadat/xstadat_annual/i_qpt016.html. [Accessed November 18, 2012]. [5] EBM TUDOR 2012. Available from: http://tudor.szote.u-szeged.hu/ webeng/what/whatbe.php. [Accessed November 18, 2012]. [6] Szende Á, Zs Mogyorosy, Muszbek N, et al. Methodological guidelines for conducting economic evaluation of healthcare interventions in Hungary: a Hungarian proposal for methodology standards. Eur J Health Econ 2002;3:196–206. [7] Inotai A, Pékli M, Jóna G, et al. Attempt to increase the transparency of fourth hurdle implementation in Central-Eastern European middle income countries: publication of the critical appraisal methodology. BMC Health Serv Res 2012;21:332. [8] Kaló Z, Boncz I, Inotai A. Implications of economic crisis on health care decision-making in Hungary: an opportunity to change? J Health Pol Outcomes Res 2012;1:20–6. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 267–272 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri What Influences Recommendations Issued by the Agency for Health Technology Assessment in Poland? A Glimpse Into Decision Makers’ Preferences Maciej Niewada, MD, PhD1,2,, Małgorzata Polkowska, MS2, Michał Jakubczyk, PhD2,3, Dominik Golicki, MD, PhD1,2 1 Department of Experimental and Clinical Pharmacology, Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland; 2HealthQuest Consulting Company, Warsaw, Poland; Institute of Econometrics, Warsaw School of Economics, Warsaw, Poland 3 AB STR A CT Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the factors that are associated with positive (supporting public funding) and negative recommendations of the Agency for Health Technology Assessment in Poland. Methods: Two independent analysts reviewed all the recommendations publicly available online before October 7, 2011. For each recommendation, predefined decision rationales, that is, clinical efficacy, safety, cost-effectiveness, and formal aspects, were sought, either advocating or discouraging the public financing. In the analysis, we used descriptive statistics and a logistic regression model so as to identify the association between predefined criteria and the recommendation being positive. Results: We identified 344 recommendations—218 positive (62.8%) and 126 negative (37.2%). Negative recommendations were better justified and also the comments were less ambiguous in accordance with the recommendation (except for clinical efficacy). In general, the specified criteria supported the decision (either positive or negative) in 209 (60.8%), 107 (31.1%), 124 (36.0%), 96 (27.9%), and 61 (17.7%) recommendations, respectively, and ran contrary to the actual decision in the remaining ones. Threshold values for either cost-effectiveness or budget impact distinguishing positive from negative recommendations could not be specified. The following parameters reached statistical significance in logistic regression: clinical efficacy (both explicitly positive and explicitly negative evaluations impacted in opposite directions), lack of impact on hard end points, unfavorable safety profile, cost-effectiveness results, and formal shortcomings (all reduced the probability of a positive recommendation). Conclusions: Decision making of the Agency for Health Technology Assessment in Poland is multicriterial, and its results cannot be easily decomposed into simple associations or easily predicted. Still, efficacy and safety seem to contribute most to final recommendations. Introduction independent entity playing a key role in reimbursement decision making. The most important role of the AHTAPol is to prepare recommendations for and support decision making by the Ministry of Health on financing health care services from the public budget. The AHTAPol assesses and appraises all medical technologies, drugs, devices, and other services that are claiming public funding. The role of the AHTAPol covers the assessment and appraisal of the HTA reports including systematic review of clinical findings, economic evaluation, and budget impact analysis, majority of which are submitted by the pharmaceutical industry. Assessment is provided by a team of analysts and based on the Polish HTA guidelines (first issued in 2007 and reviewed in 2009) [1]. Appraisal is completed by the Consultative Council (transformed into the Transparency Council with the beginning of 2012), a team of highly qualified and experienced specialists, and the president of the AHTAPol. Final judgment is made in the specific context of the alternative options available, social Health technology assessment (HTA) agencies play a vital role in the decision-making process, whether or not to reimburse given health technologies. These agencies are expected to be guided by medical, economic, and ethical criteria and to account for limited resources and sometimes limited evidence regarding the profile of assessed technologies. Therefore, there are many possible drivers for the final decision. The aim of the current scientific project was in general to detect the criteria that can be considered important for the Agency for Health Technology Assessment in Poland (AHTAPol), and in particular to try to find the characteristics of HTA reports that are associated with positive and negative recommendations. The AHTAPol was established in 2005 by the Ministry of Health as a first of its kind of institution in Central and Eastern Europe. Since 2009, the AHTAPol is defined as a legal and Keywords: decision making, health technology incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, reimbursement. assessment, Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Maciej Niewada, Department of Experimental and Clinical Pharmacology, Medical University of Warsaw, Krakowskie Przedmieście 26/28, 00-927 Warsaw, Poland E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.05.002 268 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 267–272 consequences, health care delivery organization implications, national health priorities, and social and ethical aspects. Based on AHTAPol recommendations, reimbursement decisions are made by the Ministry of Health following negotiations with pharmaceutical industry representatives. Recommendations issued by the AHTAPol have evolved over time. The new types of recommendations (i.e., conditional, temporal, combined, and others [2]) were introduced. Legal background of recommendations has also changed and currently statements by the Consultative Council and final recommendations by the President of the AHTAPol are issued [3]. The current article can be located in the line of research established by a classical article of Devlin and Parkin [4] and a study by Towse [5]. Devlin and Parker analyzed past decisions made by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) in the United Kingdom to determine factors that were associated with positive decisions, and in particular the threshold level for the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). In their study, they managed to detect that the threshold level probably lies above approximately 35,000 GBP. The study of Devlin and Parker motivated subsequent articles. And so, Tappenden et al. [6] tried to identify the preferences of the members of NICE Appraisal Committees by using a questionnaire-based study. They concentrated more on the ethical issues, that is, on the impact of such variables as baseline quality of life or age of the beneficiaries. Dakin et al. [7] introduced multinomial approach to these kinds of studies, accounting for conditional approval by NICE. Analysis—Data Extraction and Interpretation Methods Clinical criteria Material The analysis covered all recommendations and statements of the Consultative Council of the AHTAPol issued following two separate regulations (the Ordinance of the Minister of Health dated September 10, 2009, and the Act on Healthcare Services Financing From Public Funds) and available on the official Web site of the agency (http://www.aotm.gov.pl) before October 7, 2011. It may be somewhat misleading that we call “a recommendation” both the text published by the AHTAPol and the final conclusion thereof. We do not call the latter “a decision” because this is made only by the Ministry of Health and need not agree with the AHTAPol recommendation. At the same time, we decided to analyze recommendations, not decisions, because the decisions are not accompanied by any justifications and thus would be difficult to spot any regularities. Only recommendations’ texts were analyzed, neither HTA reports nor critical appraisal, which in most cases were not available on the official Web site of the AHTAPol. For every recommendation, the following data were extracted: medical technology being evaluated, medical therapeutic area in which the technology reimbursement was appealed, and the year of issuing the recommendation. Different types of AHTAPol recommendations (e.g., supporting or rejecting funding, conditional, temporary, and combined) were redefined into statements of limited or no financing technology (negative recommendations) or ones supporting financing or increase in funding (positive recommendations). Each recommendation was evaluated independently by two researchers by using predefined criteria listed below (language specialist with experience in auditing of HTA reports and HTA specialist). Disagreements were resolved by discussion. For every recommendation (positive or negative), it was classified whether the final recommendation was supported or discouraged by each criterion. Table 1 presents the data interpretation. Consistency was found if for a particular criterion positive and negative findings were reported and explicitly referred to support positive and negative recommendations, respectively. For other situations, we interpreted the criterion as not reflected in the final judgment. Following pilot analysis of the AHTAPol recommendations, clinical, economic, and formal criteria used to judge final statements were distinguished. In a few recommendations, rationales used to judge final statement could not be classified as the above-listed criteria and were not defined separately. The importance of general relative efficacy and safety over comparators in decisions’ reasoning by the Consultative Council was recognized in pilot analysis. Thus, the clinical criteria were further split into three subcriteria: the efficacy (benefit over the comparator used in the analysis—an active treatment or placebo), safety, and the impact of the technology on clinical hard end points (which were treated separately as anticipated significant driver of clinical decision making). Hard end points were defined following reviewed Polish guidelines for HTA as clinically significant end points, playing an important role in a given disease, that is, deaths, cases or recoveries, quality of life, adverse effects (divided into serious and nonserious), or medical events [1]. The issue of difference between the efficacy, studied in clinical trials, and effectiveness, observed in real life settings, was not taken up explicitly in any recommendation; thus, it was not addressed in our analysis. Economic criteria Inclusion and exclusion criteria All recommendations and statements were included with the exception of collective recommendations for dental interventions (covering not a single technology but a group of technologies). Some recommendations were explained either poorly or not at all —then the recommendation was excluded altogether. Economic criteria were also further split into two subcriteria: cost-effectiveness and the impact on the payer’s budget. The evaluation of the technology’s cost-effectiveness significance was based on values for cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) or life-year gained (LYG) reported in the recommendations and assumed cost-effectiveness threshold of three times the gross domestic product per capita (∼83,239 PLN) [7]. The Table 1 – Data interpretation for predefined criteria determining the AHTAPol recommendations. Positive recommendations Criterion Positive data (consistent impact on final judgment) Negative data (not driving final judgment) AHTAPol, Agency for Health Technology Assessment in Poland. Negative recommendations Negative data (consistent impact on final judgment) Positive data (not driving final judgment) 269 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 267–272 cost-effectiveness interpretation of technology profitability by the Consultative Council was analyzed independently of the statistical analysis of cost per QALY or LYG values reported in recommendations. The extent of the medical technology reimbursement impact on the payer’s budget and its influence on the recommendations were also analyzed. Because there was no clear definition of a large or small impact on the budget, we could extract only the Consultative Council perception and interpretation of budget impact data and analyze independently estimated annual mean payer’s expenses reported in recommendations. Formal criteria Another group of rationales recognized in pilot analysis, which influenced the issuing of the positive or negative recommendation by the AHTAPol Consultative Council, was of legal or procedural nature and encompassed failure to meet requirements of the AHTAPol for HTA reports or deficiencies of the reports submitted to the agency, submission of reports after the deadline, the discrepancy between expert opinions and analyses submitted by pharmaceutical industry, submission for unauthorized (off-label) use, and so forth. Statistical Analysis We compared frequencies of values for binary criteria and means for continuous ones between positive and negative recommendations. Mean values were compared with unpaired t test with separate variance estimation. We performed multivariate analysis by using logistic regression to determine the association between criteria values and final recommendation. In this approach, we redefined the binary criteria to denote that a given criterion is favorable or unfavorable for technology (rather than agrees or not with the final recommendation). Because for many recommendations, there was neither a favorable nor an unfavorable comment, for each criterion we introduced two binary variables that were used in econometric modeling—denoting, respectively, that a favorable, unfavorable comment is presented in the recommendation text. Obviously, both these variables could be equal to zero, but not to one for any single recommendation. While building the logistic regression model, we removed individually variables that were not statistically significant (α ¼ 0.05). Results Three hundred forty-four recommendations were analyzed. We identified 218 positive (62.8%) and 126 negative (37.2%) recommendations. Eighty-nine recommendations addressed oncological technologies, mostly drugs. Other most common recommendations were identified for psychiatry, cardiology, neurology, rheumatology, and diabetes (32, 24, 20, 19, and 17 recommendations, respectively). Only 14 recommendations were dedicated to technologies authorized for rare diseases. Clinical efficacy, impact of hard end points, safety, costeffectiveness, and formal issues were explicitly discussed by the Consultative Council in 238 (69.2%), 169 (49.1%), 155 (45.1%), 140 (40.7%), and 47 (13.7%) recommendations, respectively. From this perspective, clinical issues seem to be more important than economic ones. Exact ICER values could be found for 106 (30.8%) recommendations, while exact budget impact estimates could be found for 193 (56.1%) recommendations. In general, we observed that in the recommendations texts the elements that support the final recommendation were explicitly stated more often. The clinical efficacy, impact of hard end points, safety, cost-effectiveness, and formal issues have been explicitly pointed by the Consultative Council to justify 209 (60.8%), 107 (31.1%), 124 (36.0%), 96 (27.9%), and 61 (17.7%) recommendations, respectively. However, 29 (8.4%), 62 (18.0%), 31 (9.0%), 44 (12.8%), and 36 (10.5%) recommendations were made against the results reported on the clinical efficacy, impact of hard end points, safety, cost-effectiveness, and formal issues, respectively. This data are presented in Table 2. In addition, these numbers are presented separately for positive and negative recommendations in Figures. 1 and 2. The following interpretations can be made. First, Consultative Council tries explicitly to give rationale especially for negative recommendations—the percentage of recommendations accompanied with a comment on criterion that backs this recommendation up is higher for negative recommendations (stacked columns higher in Fig. 2), except for clinical efficacy. This type of reasoning is more often presented for positive recommendations. Second, the Consultative Council is more reluctant to present arguments opposing the final opinion in case of negative recommendations (stacked columns consisting mostly of the “agree” part). In other words, in the case of positive recommendations, the Council tones down the message more often. Again, the clinical efficacy is Table 2 – Summary of the impact of different criteria on positive and negative AHTAPol recommendations. Criteria Clinical Efficacy Impact on hard end points Safety Economic Cost-effectiveness Budget impact Other Formal issues Positive recommendations (n ¼ 218) Negative recommendations (n ¼ 126) n (%)* n (%)† n (%)‡ n (%)§ 141 (64.7) 59 (27.1) 67 (30.7) 9 (4.1) 43 (19.7) 21 (9.6) 68 (54) 48 (38.1) 57 (45.2) 20 (15.9) 19 (15.1) 10 (7.9) 40 (18.3) 18 (8.3) 41 (18.8) 8 (3.7) 56 (44.4) 17 (13.5) 3 (2.4) 4 (3.2) 35 (10.2) 61 (17.7) 0 0 AHTAPol, Agency for Health Technology Assessment in Poland. Number (%) of positive recommendations that referred directly to the favorable profile of technologies in the analyzed criterion. † ‡ § Number (%) of positive recommendations issued despite the explicitly referred lack of benefit (advantage) of the technology for the analyzed criteria. Number (%) of negative recommendations referred to unfavorable profile of the technology for the analyzed criteria. Number (%) of negative recommendations issued despite the explicitly referred benefit (advantage) of the technology for the analyzed criteria. 270 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 267–272 Fig. 1 – Number of references to single criteria for positive recommendations. BI, budget impact; CE, cost-effectiveness. an exception— here, it is more uniformly in concordance with the final recommendation for positive ones than for negative ones. Third, the criteria that are most ambiguous for positive recommendations (dashed and solid parts almost equal in stacked columns) are the impact on hard end points and costeffectiveness—among all the positive recommendations that mention these criteria in only 57.8% and 49.4%, respectively, these criteria support the final recommendation. For example, for clinical efficacy in 94% of the cases it is presented for a positive recommendation, it is also favorable for the technology. What is quite intuitive is that formal issues are almost exclusively brought forward in a fashion unfavorable for a technology, and much more frequently in negative recommendations. Except for that, it is cost-effectiveness that is usually casting an unfavorable light on the technology. We also calculated how much the relative frequencies of favorable or unfavorable comments differ for positive or negative recommendations. We calculated the odds ratio (OR) for a criterion being favorable between positive and negative recommendations (by definition identical to the OR of a recommendation being positive between favorable and unfavorable criterion). Clinical efficacy changes most between two types of recommendations (OR ¼ 53.3) followed by safety and cost-effectiveness (OR ¼ 18.2 both), and then impact on hard end points (OR ¼ 3.5). The composition for the formal issues criterion barely differs. More in-depths analysis of economic findings, either costeffectiveness (mean cost per QALY or LYG) or budget impact (mean annual payer’s spending) values, showed no difference in mean values reported for positive and negative recommendations (P ¼ 0.9045 for ICER and ¼ 0.3868 for budget impact). No clear relation between cost-effectiveness (Fig. 3) and budget impact (Fig. 4) values and positive and negative recommendations rates was observed. This is the first signal, before the logistic regression, that threshold values either for costeffectiveness or for budget impact distinguishing positive and negative recommendations cannot be specified. Finally, a logistic regression model showed joint associations between analyzed criteria and final recommendation (being positive; Table 3). Clinical efficacy seems to be the most important variable—impacting both when explicitly stated to be favorable or Fig. 2 – Number of references to single criteria for negative recommendations. BI, budget impact; CE, cost-effectiveness. 271 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 267–272 Fig. 3 – Distribution of ICER values for positive and negative recommendations. ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. unfavorable. The remaining variables have predictive power only when presented in an unfavorable fashion. Discussion In deciding whether or not to recommend the reimbursement of technology from the public budget, the AHTAPol Consultative Council seems to be considering many aspects of the problem. Although the AHTAPol has adopted a standardized approach and continuously publishes key documents online, in case of individual decisions, various aspects of the assessment were weighted differently. It is still therefore a challenge to define a clear pattern of decision making by the AHTAPol. The most important criterion found to be used as a rationale to back up the decisions by the AHTAPol Consultative Council was clinical efficacy. It is called for most often in the recommendations texts (69.4%). It is illustrated by the number of positive recommendations guided by the proved efficacy and negative ones resulting from the lack of it, which altogether accounted for 61% of all recommendations. Safety and costeffectiveness contributed less often to justification of the final decisions. To be granted with positive recommendation, technology should prove unequivocal efficacy. Almost twice less often, the impact on hard end points was supportive for the recommendations. Hard end points are hierarchical, which was reflected in the content of the recommendations. It is likely that the Consultative Council of the ATHAPol appreciated information on mortality more than on the quality-of-life benefit, but it needs further studies. Another important criterion for reasoning the recommendations was safety for either negative or positive ones. The economic profile of the technology, that is, cost-effectiveness and budget impact, was less often used to justify the final decisions. The cost-effectiveness seems not to be a sine qua non criterion when issuing positive recommendations, because in 41 cases, even though the council referred to the reports of an unfavorable cost-effectiveness profile, the recommendation was positive. Such a nonstrict use of cost-effectiveness data was also reported for NICE health technology coverage decisions [8]. NICE seems to perceive cost-effectiveness as secondary to clinical efficacy, and profitability is considered only if the technology has passed a clinical effectiveness hurdle. We failed to detect any empirical threshold value for costeffectiveness and budget impact analyses that would separate positive and negative recommendations. Similar approach for NICE decisions was based on modeling and produces inconsistent results [9,10]. Studies indicated that NICE makes use of some form of cost-effectiveness threshold but expressed concern about its basis and its use in decision making [4]. In addition, sensitivity analysis around cost-effectiveness represents a challenge in making it accessible to those making decisions [11]. In our study, we follow most closely the approach by Devlin and Parker, trying to detect factors associated with positive recommendation, and among others, to find the impact of ICER on AHTAPol’s decisions. Both the explanatory variables and interpretation, however, differ from above-mentioned studies. And so we dispose over not the original reports but the recommendations issued by the AHTAPol. These recommendations usually contain information on the interpretation by the AHTAPol whether a technology was shown in the original HTA report to offer benefits in each of the analyzed criteria. More importantly, these descriptors are available only when AHTAPol decides to include it in the recommendation text. Therefore, the characteristics of the HTA report are often missing, and most probably not missing in random. Therefore, we would hardly interpret our analysis as finding predictors of AHTAPol’s decisions, but rather finding regularities in the way its decisions are rationalized. Table 3 – Logistic regression modeling results: Variables associated with positive recommendation. Variable; only statistically significant predictors are listed (all P values o0.005) Fig. 4 – Distribution of budget impact values for positive and negative recommendations. Clinical efficacy established No evidence for impact on hard end points Lack of clinical efficacy Safety ambiguous or unfavorable No cost-effectiveness Formal shortcomings Odds ratio for positive recommendation 12.29 0.251579 0.213248 0.170623 0.187739 0.21062 272 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 267–272 Further efforts on promoting systematic consideration of all decision criteria and the underlying evidence are necessary. A decision support framework can allow a consistent approach to appraising health care interventions and evidence-based resource allocation as shown by incorporating multiple-criteria decision analysis in HTA to support transparent and systematic appraisal of health care interventions [12–15]. Limitations Our analysis was based only on recommendation texts (predominantly on recommendation justification section); thus, indirect conclusions on recommendation determinants could not be fully objective. It should be emphasized that the recommendations available on the Web site of the AHTAPol do not have a unified structure that would allow a thoroughly consistent analysis. Although the Consultative Council certainly evaluated all the aspects of submissions, in the recommendations’ texts, presumably selected and the most important elements determining the decision were reported. For this reason, our evaluation of recommendations is subject to some subjectivity, which we tried to limit as far as possible by developing a common interpretation driven by both language and technical interpretation of the available documents. Our analysis, because of formal grounds, defined by available information (the text of individual recommendations issued by the Consultative Council or the opinion of the president), could not focus on all aspects that influenced issuing a particular opinion, but only on those that appeared explicitly in the recommendations’ text. We analyzed not only justification sections, but all the recommendations’ document content; therefore, some arguments not raised in the justification but emphasized as important could be also identified and analyzed. In assessing the technology efficacy it was taken into account whether the Consultative Council found it satisfactory, regardless of whether the effectiveness of the technology was compared with placebo or an active comparator. Comparable efficacy profile of the assessed intervention over its comparators, depending on individual circumstances, might have been assessed by the Council separately, that is, negatively, as an intervention that did not add anything and represented only a burden on the budget of the payer, or positively, as an intervention of similar efficacy to others used for the same therapeutic indication. Difficulties in determining the significance of a technology’s cost-effectiveness resulted from alternative ways of expressing the ICER, other than the cost of the QALY or the LYG, which made interpretation practically impossible. Conclusions The decision-making process of the AHTAPol Consultative Council is a multifaceted and a multicriterial one, and its results cannot be easily decomposed into simple associations nor can be easily predicted. Still, efficacy and safety profile seem to contribute most to final recommendations. Source of financial support: These findings are the result of work supported by the Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw School of Economics, and HealthQuest Consulting Company. The views expressed in this article are those of the authors, and no official endorsement by the Medical University of Warsaw or Warsaw School of Economics is intended or should be inferred. R EF E R EN C ES [1] Guidelines for conducting Health Technology Assessment (HTA), version 2.1, April 2009. Available from: http://www.aotm.gov.pl/assets/ files/wytyczne_hta/2009/09.06.29_wytyczne_HTA_eng_MS.pdf. [Accessed December 15, 2012]. [2] Agency for Health Technology Assessment in Poland (AHTAPol). http:// www.archiwum.aotm.gov.pl/pliki/edu/AOTM%20zarz%2020.pdf. [Accessed December 7, 2012]. [3] Załącznik nr 2 do Zarządzenia nr 20 Dyrektora Agencji Oceny Technologii Medycznych z dnia 27 marca 2007 r. [4] Devlin N, Parkin D. Does NICE have a cost-effectiveness threshold and what other factors influence its decisions? A binary choice analysis. Health Econ 2004;13:437–52. [5] Towse A. What is NICE’s threshold? An external view. In: Devlin N, Towse A,eds., Cost Effectiveness Thresholds: Economic and Ethical Issues. London: King’s Fund/Office for Health Economics, 2002: chapter 2. [6] Tappenden P, Brazier J, Ratcliffe J, et al. A stated preference binary choice experiment to explore NICE decision making. Pharmacoeconomics 2007;25:685–93. [7] Dakin HA, Devlin NJ, Odeyemi IA. “Yes”, “no” or “yes, but”? Multinomial modelling of NICE decision-making. Health Policy 2006;77:352–67. [8] Agency for Health Technology Assessment in Poland (AHTAPol). http:// www.aotm.gov.pl/assets/files/rada/uchwala_rk_aotm_56_16_2008_ sunitynib_Sutent.pdf. [Accessed December 7, 2012]. [9] Williams I, Bryan S, McIver S. How should cost-effectiveness analysis be used in health technology coverage decisions? Evidence from the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence approach. J Health Serv Res Policy 2007;12:73–9. [10] Schlander M. The use of cost-effectiveness by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE): no(t yet an) exemplar of a deliberative process. J Med Ethics 2008;34:534–9. [11] Williams I, McIver S, Moore D, et al. The use of economic evaluations in NHS decision-making: a review and empirical investigation. Health Technol Assess 2008;12:1–175. [12] Andronis L, Barton P, Bryan S. Sensitivity analysis in economic evaluation: an audit of NICE current practice and a review of its use and value in decision-making. Health Technol Assess 2009;13:1–61. [13] Tony M, Wagner M, Khoury H, et al. Bridging health technology assessment (HTA) with multicriteria decision analyses (MCDA): field testing of the EVIDEM framework for coverage decisions by a public payer in Canada. BMC Health Serv Res 2011;11:329. [14] Miot J, Wagner M, Khoury H, et al. Field testing of a multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework for coverage of a screening test for cervical cancer in South Africa. Cost Eff Resour Alloc 2012;10:2. [15] Goetghebeur MM, Wagner M, Khoury H, et al. Bridging health technology assessment (HTA) and efficient health care decision making with multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA): applying the EVIDEM framework to medicines appraisal. Med Decis Making 2012;32:376–88. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 273–278 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri A Framework for Applying Health Technology Assessment in Cyprus: Thoughts, Success Stories, and Recommendations Panagiotis Petrou, MBA, PhD, PhDc, Michalis A. Talias, PhD Healthcare Management Programme, Open University of Cyprus, Nicosia, Cyprus AB STR A CT Objectives: Health care decision making, assessment, and procurement of medicines is a complex, human resource–demanding, and time-consuming process. A thorough evaluation of all factors involved is necessary to optimize the process. The objective of this study was to describe and analyze the current stage of health technology assessment (HTA) in Cyprus. Methods: Literature research and private communication with all involved parties and competent authority. Moreover, data, decisions, and recommendations of the Drug’s Committee were used. Results: Cyprus is a latecomer in this field. HTA has entered a growing phase after the 2007 reform. It has not reached its full potential, and the current state is applicable only to the public sector, because of the nonexistence of a national health system. Therefore, this poses both a great challenge and a great barrier considering maximization of the value of money spent and health access equity. Conclusions: There is definitely enough space and clear necessity for further dissemination, and early successes indicate that steps should be taken toward the introduction of an HTA procedure that will cover both private and public sectors. The introduction of a national health system will further enhance the uptake of HTA, optimize the process, and use the common knowledge strategy for evidence-based decision making. Health Care Sector in Cyprus 2. Lack of prescribing control due to the nonexistence of an interface management system. The system was launched in 2010, but it is still not fully operational. 3. No direct contribution of beneficiaries—Exploitation of moral hazard. 4. Policy susceptible to colloquial evidence especially regarding new expensive products. 5. Pharmaceuticals in the private sector are regulated only at the price level. 6. There is a duplication of high-cost hospital services in Cyprus, which have high running cost but are not fully utilized. 7. The above remark is augmented by the low value of the public sector perceived by beneficiaries. This was an undisputable finding of a recent study [6] that examined the value for money regarding beneficiaries of the public sector. Under the hypothesis that all health care systems want to gain more health for the same amount of money, the perceived value of the health system was assessed. The most important finding is presented in Fig. 1. 8. Preventive programs are underfunded. Preventive programs apply usually to beneficiaries, while the financial burden of many diseases is entirely shifted to the MOH. 9. There are no quality indicators. As a result, the MOH cannot assess any health policy, and consequently arbitrary decisions are taken regarding abortion or carryover of them. Currently in Cyprus, two fragmented systems run in a parallel, overlapping, and competitive manner with clear disparities among them: public sector and private sector. This situation is caused by the absence of a national health system. The Ministry of Health (MOH) is the provider, regulator, and payer of public sector beneficiaries. Public health care is highly centralized, and the policymaking process takes place at the macro (ministerial) level. There are five major categories of beneficiaries [1] according to income and employment status. It is essential to underline that 85% of the total population is entitled to free public medical care, without any direct or indirect contribution. As a result, moral hazard [2] has been prominent and was expressed by overuse and misuse of medicines in the pharmaceutical sector. In contrast, private sector’s patients pay the full amount out of pocket, unless they are covered by an optional private insurance. Health care costs in Cyprus account for 6% of gross domestic product [3], which pushes Cyprus to the European low segment. The rate of increase in costs in the health care sector outpaces almost all other European Union (EU) countries [4] primarily because of the following reasons [5]: 1. An aging population that has an increasing life expectancy, with concurrent increased morbidity. Keywords: Drug’s Committee, evaluation, HTA, pharmaceuticals, private sector, public sector. Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. * Address correspondence to: Panagiotis Petrou, Healthcare Management Programme, Open University of Cyprus, P.O. BOX 12794, 2252. Latsia, Nicosia Cyprus. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.016 274 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 273–278 Fig. 1 – Estimated savings from free public health care by age per household member (as percentage of household income). For beneficiaries to free public health care of the age group 30 to 50 years, “no perceptible benefit is realized from access to free of charge public medical care.” This partly explains the fact that although 85% of the total population is a beneficiary of free medical care, Cyprus has one of the highest out-of-pocket contributions in the European Union, along with the higher prices of the private sector. The pharmaceutical market has some unique and inherent traits that make it quite hard to interpret and definitely tell it apart from other products with regard to their market analysis. The pharmaceutical market posseses an unrivalled demand and supply feature. There is a three-tier demand structure in which the recipient (patients) of the products consumes but has little, if any at all, involvement in the decision-making process. Moreover, the prescriber of the product is perceived as the customer, but does not consume the product. Another feature is that the cost does not represent the production cost. This is quite illustrative in generic products that have, in certain cases such as in Italy, half of the original product’s price, and they are still profitable. The price of the product is set to offset the research and development expenses and in certain cases, such as in France, is set at a premium to reward innovation. Governments worldwide and health agencies have applied specific and strict legislation to the pharmaceutical market to ensure that 1. Life-saving products are available; health systems should not be exploited by industry. 2. Good manufacturing processes are safeguarded along the way. 3. The unique demand and supply does not hinder the control role of health agencies regarding product availability [7]. HTA in Cyprus Many authors have described HTA in a detailed manner [8]. In Cyprus, HTA appeared as a term of reference of the Drug’s Committee in early 2000 as a tool to address uncontrolled increase in expenditure through rationalization of the decisionmaking process [9]. Terms of reference were updated and enriched in 2007, allowing further flexibility and introduction of more complex and legally demanding schemes. HTA is performed through the Drug’s Committee, which falls under the MOH (Pharmaceutical Services). We must highlight the participation of Health Insurance Organization in the Stakeholder Forum and the participation of Pharmaceuticals Services at the Joint Action 2 of European Network of Health Technology Assessment . The successful use of tendering, however, led to significantly low prices for the public sector, which distorted the need for a sustaining and rational decision-making process (Fig. 2). Goals of HTA in Cyprus According to the terms of reference, HTA should reach the following goals [9,10]: 1. Constantly upgrade, change, and improve clinical guidelines. Currently, guidelines exist in the majority of therapeutic areas. 2. Define performance indicators and assess effectiveness of medicines. 3. Limit the use of newly launched technologies to therapeutic areas for which there is sufficient documentation of efficacy and safety. 4. Reevaluate high expenditure monopoly medicines that contribute disproportionately to the overall cost. 5. Categorize evidence deficit in areas in which certain technologies are destined and ways to fill this. 6. Disinvestment. Criteria for Inclusion of a Medicine in the Formulary The Drug’s Committee decides on the reimbursement (or not) of a product. It assesses drug request on the basis of five main pillars: 1. Prevalence and epidemiology of the disease (prioritization of resource allocation). 2. Comparative effectiveness according to common practice. 3. Economic evaluation, primarily budget impact analysis and to a lesser degree substantial cost-effectiveness studies (no inclusion of indirect data). VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 273–278 275 Fig. 2 – SWOT analysis of health technology assessment in Cyprus. Source: Authors approach. HTA, health technology assessment; MOH, Ministry of Health; NHS, National Health System; SWOT, strength, weakness, opportunities, and threat; WTP, willingness to pay. 4. Appraisal of medicine by other HTA agencies such as the National Institute of Clinical Excellence. 5. Existing competitive medicines in the formulary. The breadth and quality of data are assessed. As in other small countries, the goal is to foster best practices instead of developing ones. Because assessment is a context-free and context-sensitive issue [11], transferability of data may be flawed because of 1. Demographic heterogeneity. 2. Costs. Difference in pricing, reimbursement rates, and between the negotiating power of health prices will lead to cost divergence between countries. 3. Health care practices/different efficiency factor between health systems. 4. Cultural differences and social values between different populations [12]. The Committee assesses medicines on the basis of several criteria (Table 1) [13]: Health outcomes measures include cost per quality-adjusted life-years, life-years gained, progression-free and overall survival, and disease-specific measures such as Psoriasis Approach Severity Index and American College of Rheumatology Index. The number needed to treat approach was implemented in the assessment of smoking cessation products. This was also implemented for competitive medicines that have a significant price difference (e. g., different Anatomic Therapeutic Chemical 3 categories) in order to enhance competition in the tendering process. In 2007, the ministerial decision [13] enabled the formation of a therapeutic algorithm based on the outcome of the tender. Therapeutically equal products competed and instead of eliminating the losers, these were designated as second- and third-line therapy, respectively. This occurred in certain therapeutic categories for which there is enough documentation that tolerance to relevant medicines is limited and therefore, there is strong possibility that patients may need to switch treatment. The case of the anti–tumor necrosis factor agents was a landmark because the contribution of all stakeholders (MOH, physicians, and patients) to the HTA process has led to a mutually beneficial outcome, and as a result every year the list for anti–tumor necrosis factor agents has still available slots. Major therapeutic categories that got into this scheme include aromatase inhibitors, adjuvant immunosuppressive treatment, such as mycophenolic acid, antidepressants, antiepileptic agents, and erythropoetins. Before the assessment, companies are allowed to provide further supporting materials regarding the efficacy and estimated cost of their products, which adds to the transparency of the process. Another concern of the Drug’s Committee is the possible offlabel use of expensive products, due to the overuse of medicines in Cyprus as addressed earlier. This may lead to a reduction in health benefits associated with the use of a product, due to the uncertainty associated with its off-label use. Therefore, the risk of off-label use is counterbalanced by the requirement of preapproval. This was the primary reason for the rejection of ranibizumab, despite recommendations by the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence [14]. HTA implementation has not always been very successful in broadening the scope and in certain cases overlooked one intrinsic factor, interrelation to health policy [15]. The MOH implemented a public campaign to create awareness among the public for the prevention of cervix cancer; however, the Drug’s Committee did not approve the only available vaccine. Moreover, as the complexity factor of the therapeutic regimen increases, such as in immunosuppressive ones, assessment can be complicated and lengthy. A prominent example was assessment of the mammalian target of rapamycin inhibitors whose dosage is highly personalized and budget impact of each product is 276 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 273–278 Table 1 – Criteria for assessment. Criteria Importance Disease prevalence Guidelines of the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence Efficacy data Budget impact analysis Off-label use Cost-effectiveness Impact on spending for other medical interventions Comments Major Major Easy to assess Transferability of data has to be checked for major divergences Clinical effectiveness must be assessed May conflict with cost-effectiveness approach Major Dominant Medium (unless specific trend documented) Major (difficult to apply for each medicine a country-specific study) Medium Difficult to assess, may compromise actual medical need. Interface management will address this issue A basic economic analysis is performed Incorporation of nonpharmaceutical interventions. Interface management may enable control. Difficult to assess Source: Terms of Reference, Drug’s Committee. determined by other factors, such as adjuvant immunosuppressive treatment. Prescription Guidelines and Preapprovals The Drug’s Committee has successfully implemented controlled prescription of certain medicines. The majority of guidelines specify treatment line, exceptions, patient profile, further requirements such as serum marker levels, expected duration of treatment, and indication of failure. Statins were one of the most successful examples. The introduction of prescription guidelines for statins (including preapproval for high-potency statins) concomitantly with the introduction of generic simvastatin was successful in avoiding the “reallocation of demand,” as observed in Belgium (2007–2011: Daily defined dose consumption increased by 52%, cost decreased by 48%). Similar guidelines were elaborated for the prescription of all oncology medicines, insulin glargine, rosiglitazone, cinacalcet, and darbeopetin alpha. For the majority of these products, a preapproval is also necessary, usually with the obligation for the submission of relevant laboratory documentation. The details of the patients are filed. Indication-based guidelines were elaborated for angiotensin II receptor blockers. Different protocols were compiled for hypertension, congestive heart failure, and diabetic nephropathy. In oncology medicines with significant uncertainty and high cost, due to the lack of effectiveness data, the Drug’s Committee has made exceptions for the compassionate use of cancer drugs in a small target group population in which benefits may not be sufficiently captured. Criteria are as follows: 1. Patient’s life expectancy is less than 24 months. 2. There is sufficient data that the treatment will extend life for at least an additional 3 months compared with current treatment. 3. There is no alternative treatment with equal effectiveness available. 4. The target group is a small patient population [16]. Managed Entry Agreements in Cyprus Risk sharing [17] has not been implemented and price volume agreement has been applied only scarcely, mainly due because of human resources required for monitoring. Pemetrexed gained another indication of malignant pleural mesothelioma, in addition to the one existing for non–small cell lung cancer. Because of comparative effectiveness among all available treatments for non–small cell lung cancer, an approach was set up that consisted of three scenarios. The prices incorporated expected efficacy of the product and net benefit for the company. The addition of a new indication of deferasirox and the increase in the daily dose to 40 mg/kg led to the managed entry agreement of dose capping agreement between Novartis and the MOH. On the basis of this agreement, the MOH reimburses daily doses up to 30 mg/kg (average 2160 mg daily per patient) while additional dosage burdens the company. The company is obliged to provide free goods to the MOH, based on dose agreements. Currently, 38 patients are registered in this scheme, which will last for 3 years, and data will be revised every 6 months to check for deviations. Further Potential for HTA in the New Financial Era Cyprus has recently signed a memorandum of understanding with Troica (term used to define the committee consisting of the International Monetary Fund, the European Union, and the European Central Bank) to secure a life-sustaining bailout of 10 billion euros. As Troica’s primary target is to enhance the efficiency of governance, one important prerequisite for the health sector is the implementation of HTA for the 10 costlier pharmaceutical and medical equipment. This provision will further leverage shift toward an integrated HTA system, and several approaches are currently being considered, such as the introduction of two HTA formats, according to the estimated budget impact (light and full version), an approach currently implemented in many countries such as The Netherlands [18]. Challenges for HTA in Cyprus The current product mix of these two fragmented markets does not allow dissemination of policies in the private sector, negatively affecting health equity. Moreover, the Drug’s Committee should be authorized to act proactively regarding the assessment of new medicines. An important limitation is the lack of an official willingnessto-pay threshold in Cyprus [19] regarding economic evaluation. Finally, the conflicting role of the MOH, which in the case of HTA, it assesses, appraises, and procures as well, is a VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 273–278 major negative aspect of the system, compromising objective appraisal. Discussion HTA should be incorporated in the context of a general health policy because health policy defines the optimum use of a medicine to deliver superior results. Health policy should cover both sectors because ultimately all chronic patients will be beneficiary of the public sector and prevention of discrimination must be pursued. Incorporation of other stakeholders (university, patient associations) may enrich the decision-making process and lead to a context for more informative outcomes, diverting the conflicting role of the MOH. A detailed cost-effectiveness analysis must be implemented, at least for the cost driver categories, which also needs to be regulated with regard to technical parameters, such as time horizon, modeling methods, discounting, and type of economic evaluation (budget impact, cost-effectiveness analysis). This was also recommended by the Internal Audit department of Cyprus [20]. Uncertainty needs to be addressed in the context of HTA in all its expressions because it affects the impact of the decision and sensitivity analysis must cover a range of assumptions. Because of the variety of statistical approaches such as metanalysis or mixed treatment comparison, an accepted format should be elaborated taking into consideration particularities of certain therapeutic categories. Moreover, the rating of evidence is crucial and we suggest that GRADE classification should be adapted because it provides an excellent grading of evidence [21]. The scope of the assessment should be broad and must be able to compare interdisciplinary interventions (i.e., medical vs. pharmaceutical interventions) [22,23]. The existing coverage system does not make provision for different levels of reimbursement, because all diseases are considered to have the same utility. Consequently, the reimbursement levels are the same for all diseases. A classification of strength of evidence will enable better forecasting, resource allocation, and demand control. We observed that reduction in the pharmaceutical growth rate seems to have coincided with the introduction of HTA methods; however, this has to be verified. The normalization of the annual pharmaceutical growth rate to less than 3% is a good first sign and at least partially is attributed to HTA implementation, which is gaining ground in Cyprus [24], as seen in Table 2. We must however interpret this reduction in the increase rate with caution because Cyprus’s economy entered a prolonged recession period in 2008 [25]; therefore, this reduction can be attributed to a tighter control of expenditures, rather than to the ability to control expenses as such. Table 2 – Output of Drug’s Committee. Year 2010 2009 2008 Number of HTAs performed 11 24 8 Total number of appraisals (including resubmissions) 116 116 165 HTAs, health technology assessments. Source: Annual Report of Ministry Of Health, 2010. 277 The Drug’s committee evaluates each product only at request. We believe that this leads to lack of symmetry of the system. More importantly, this does not allow comparison among treatments and does not elaborate an overall approach to a disease, which could be achieved by assessing other intervention methods. Several therapeutic interventions run in parallel and comparative effectiveness has not been documented. Periodical assessment of guidelines and disease management should be established and also assessment of medicines by the Drug’s Committee would minimize reactions from the industry and subsequent exerted pressures. Finally, newer approaches must be incorporated taking into account clinical uncertainty. The introduction of risk-sharing methods, price volume agreements, and managed entry agreement will further optimize the HTA context in Cyprus. HTA is emerging in Cyprus’s health care sector. There is an imperative need, and the current financial era does support further dissemination. The small size of the country and market fragmentation hinders its full uptake. Sources of financial support: The authors have no other financial relationships to disclose. R EF E R EN C ES [1] Golna C, Pashardes P, Allin S, et al. Health Care Systems in Transition: Cyprus. Copenhagen: WHO Regional Office for Europe on behalf of the European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies, 2004. [2] Sachs JD. Macroeconomics and Health: Investing in Health for Economic Development. World Health Organization WHO Library Catalogue-in-Publication Data World Health Organization. Geneva, Switzerland: World Health Organization, 2001. [3] Eurostat [online]. Health care statistics, 2009. Available from: http:// epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/statistics_explained/index.php/ Healthcare_statistics. [Accessed September 17, 2011]. [4] Sammoutis G, Paschalides C. Will the sun shine over Cyprus’s national health system? Lancet 2011;377:29. [5] Antoniadou M. Can Cyprus overcome its health care challenges? Lancet 2005;365:1017–20. [6] Andreou M, Pashardes P, Pashourtidou N. Cost and value of health care in Cyprus. Policy paper. Nicosia: University of Cyprus, 2010. Available from: http://www.ucy.ac.cy/data/ecorece/DOP02-10. [Accessed August 18, 2011]. [7] Kanavos P, Vandegrift M. Health policy versus industrial policy in the pharmaceutical sector: the case of Canada. Health Policy 1997;41:241–60. [8] Battista RN, Hodge NJ. The development of health care technology assessment: an international perspective. Int J Technnol Assess Health Care 1995;11:287–300. [9] Petrou P. PHIS Hospital Pharma Report; 2009. Available from: http:// phis.goeg.at/downloads/hospitalPharma/PHIS%20Hospital%20Pharma %20Report%202009%20Cyprus.pdf. [Accessed September 6, 2011]. [10] Ministry of Health. Pharmaceutical reform in Cyprus. 2006. Available from: http://www.cyprus.gov.cy/moi/pio/pio.nsf/All/BEFF3C4943A9C69 6C2257127003D66A8?OpenDocument&print. [Accessed September 11, 2011]. [11] Velasco Garrido M, Gerhardus A, Røttingen JA, Busse R. Developing health technology assessment to address health care system needs. Health Policy 2010;94:196–202. [12] Goeree R, He J, O’Reilly D, et al. Transferability of health technology assessments and economic evaluations: a systematic review of approaches for assessment and application. Clinicoecon Outcomes Res 2011;3:89–104. [13] Drug’s Committee, Ministry of Health. Terms of reference drug’s committee. Available from: http://www.moh.gov.cy/moh/phs/phs.nsf/ dmlphcomm_gr/dmlphcomm_gr?OpenDocument. [Accessed June 10, 2013]. [14] Appraisal of macular degeneration (age-related)—ranibizumab and pegaptanib (TA155). 2008. Available from: http://www.nice.org.uk/ TA155. [Accessed December 17, 2011]. [15] Drummond M, Kanavos P, Sorenson C. Ensuring Value for Money in Health Care: The Role of Health Technology Assessment in the European Union. Denmark: World Health Organization on behalf of the European Observatory on Health Systems and Policies, 2008. [16] National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence. Appraising end of life medicines. 2008. Available from: http://www.nice.org.uk/media/ 26E/43/Endoflifemedicines.pdf. [Accessed December 17, 2011]. 278 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 273–278 [17] Espín J, Rovira J, García L. Experiences and Impact of European Risk Sharing Schemes Focusing on Oncology Medicines. Grenada, Spain: Andalusian School of Public Health, 2011. [18] Stolk AE, de Bont A, van Halteren AR, et al. Role of health technology assessment in shaping the benefits package in The Netherlands. Expert Rev Pharmacoecon Outcomes Res 2009;9:85–94. [19] Dorte Gyrd-Hansen. Willingness to pay for a QALY. Health Econ 2003;12:1049–60. [20] General audit recommendations for rational medicines procurement. 2011. Available from: http://pdf.politis-news.com/pdf/ pdf?-A=257761,pdfview.html&-V=pdfarchivefullpaper. [Accessed November 17, 2011]. [21] Guyatt GH, Oxman AD, Vist GE, et al. GRADE: an emerging consensus on rating quality of evidence and strength of recommendations. BMJ 2008;336:924–6. [22] Culyer AJ, Lomas J. Deliberative processes and evidence-informed decision making in healthcare: do they work and how might we know? Evidence Policy 2006;2:357–71. [23] Garrido VM, Kristensen FB, Nielsen CP, et al. Health Technology Assessment and Health Policy Making in Europe: Current Status, Challenges and Potentials. Denmark: World Health Organization, 2008. [24] Cyprus Ministry of Health. Annual health report, Nicosia; 2010. Available from: http://www.moh.gov.cy/moh/moh.nsf/page09_gr/ page09_gr?OpenDocument. [Accessed June 10, 2013]. [25] Statistical Service of the Republic of Cyprus. Latest figures: GDP growth rate, 1st quarter 2010. Available from: http://www.cystat.gov.cy/mof/ cystat/statistics.nsf/All/ADAE80767589A7B9C22579AE0029E929. [Accessed June 8, 2012]. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 279–283 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Systematic Review of Economic Evaluation Literature in Ghana: Is Health Technology Assessment the Future? Emmanuel Ankrah Odame, MBCHB, MPH Ghana College of Physicians and Surgeons, Accra, Ghana AB STR A CT Objectives: In many countries, such as Ghana, there is an increasing impetus to use economic evaluation to allow more explicit and transparent health care priority setting. An important question for policymakers in low-income countries, however, is whether it is possible to introduce economic evaluation data into health care priority-setting decisions. Methods: This article systematically reviewed the literature on economic evaluation on medical devices and pharmaceuticals in Ghana published between 1997 and 2012. Its aim was to analyze the quantity, quality, and targeting of economic evaluation studies that relate to medical devices and pharmaceuticals and provide a framework for those conducting similar health technology assessment reviews in similar contexts. Results: The review revealed that the number of publications reporting economic evaluations was minimal with regard to medical devices and pharmaceuticals. Conclusions: With the introduction of the National Health Insurance Scheme since 2004 policymakers are confronted with the challenge of allocating scarce resources rationally. Priority setting therefore has to be guided by a sound knowledge of the costs of providing health services. The need for economic evaluation is thus important. More costing studies were found; there were very few cost-effectiveness analysis studies. If economic evaluation is useful for policymakers only when performed correctly and reported accurately, these findings depict barriers to using economic evaluation to assist decision-making processes in Ghana; hence, there is a need for an independent health technology assessment unit. Background although the principles were considered relevant by HTA producers and users, the level of application was uniformly low. Although resource allocation for health and demand for new health technologies have increased in many low-income countries, robust decision-making mechanisms have not developed in parallel. Decisions are often driven by experience, thrust of donor agencies, and lobbying pressure [6]. For example, a report from Peru noted that decisions on the human papilloma virus vaccine at the local level were mainly driven by local political pressure rather than scientific evidence [11]. In Rwanda, the government had allocated a disproportionately large amount of funds for HIV/ AIDS than for malaria and other greater perceived needs, because donor grants were specifically allocated for HIV/AIDS [22]. Likewise in India, sustained single-point focus on poliomyelitis eradication using supplementary immunization (owing to World Health Organization and global pressure) has critically weakened the routine immunization program with other childhood vaccines [20]. Commercial pressure is also a major force skewing the decision-making process in developing countries; this is especially relevant for newer vaccines, expensive drugs, devices, and equipment [24]. For example, current immunization recommendations of the Indian Academy of Pediatrics were produced by expert consensus at a meeting sponsored by a multinational company. Modern health care is cost and technology intensive and expects value for money, creating demand for evidence-based practice and health technology assessment (HTA). In high-income countries, HTA is often done in specialized HTA institutions. In developing countries, however, HTA is often lacking, despite the apparent need. Therefore, health care decisions are often subjective. Improved understanding of the practice of evidencebased medicine (EBM) in many developing countries, and organizations such as the Cochrane Collaboration, now facilitate evidence-informed decisions [5]. HTA is the scientific process of evaluating health technologies (pharmaceuticals, vaccines, surgical procedures, medical equipment and devices, etc.) to facilitate informed decisions by stakeholders: health care providers, payers, consumers, regulators, policymakers, and so on [1]. In high-income countries, HTA is a formal discipline undertaken by trained professionals to guide stakeholders, including governments, to make decisions on the basis of sound scientific principles. Most resource-poor settings lack formal HTA mechanisms; in such settings, health care decisions are often based on no evidence and are more subjective. A recent survey [9] evaluating the use of key HTA principles [2] reported that even in the few developing countries in which HTA is being used, Keywords: economic evaluation, Ghana, medical devices, pharmaceuticals. Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The author has indicated that he has no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Emmanuel Ankrah Odame, Ghana College of Physicians and Surgeons, 54 Independence Avenue, Ridge, Accra, Ghana. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.07.006 280 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 279–283 Not surprisingly, the stated objective of the recommendations was to produce guidance for three products recently marketed by the company in India [15]. Although poorer countries should be more careful in spending money, the opposite often happens in most instances. Health care systems sometimes successfully negotiate lower pricing for pharmaceuticals, but public health programs end up paying more than the negotiated prices [16]. Such observations corroborate the argument of Chalkidou et al. [6] that in many developing countries, “health services and technologies purchased with public funds are selected through idiosyncratic processes that often have little to do with systematic analysis of their potential health benefit or value for money.” In many developing countries, “expert-based” guidance is used as a surrogate for robust methods, perhaps in good faith [12]. A group of “experts” prepares a “consensus” statement on a given health technology. The procedure for selecting the experts and the processes used to reach consensus are seldom described [15]. In developing countries, physicians often base their “advice” on nonscientific considerations, particularly the influence of the pharmaceutical industry [21]. Material provided by pharmaceutical manufacturers is reported as the most frequently used resource by many physicians, with prescribing decisions influenced by training activities sponsored by pharmaceutical companies and visits by sales representatives [21]. In Ghana, a National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS) was established in 2004, and the Ghana Diagnostic Related Group provider payment mechanism has been fully implemented, and although there are a number of challenges, the payment system is functioning well and generally accepted by providers. It has not, however, succeeded in containing costs, particularly for outpatient services, with outpatient claims now accounting for 70% of total NHIS claims and 30% of total costs of the NHIS. Furthermore, between 2007 and 2009, the average outpatient cost per claim increased by nearly 50% from US$3.47 to US$5.06. Without a control of the rapid rise in service delivery costs of the NHIS, in addition to mobilization of more revenue, the scheme will not be sustainable [29]. Meanwhile, to date there is no institution that does cost -effectiveness analysis of the pharmaceuticals that are part of the benefit package. There is no evidence base guiding the drugs that are part of the benefit package. Clearly, health care decisions by all stakeholders in Ghana are often highly subjective. There is an urgent need to bring in objectivity, reproducibility, and transparency. HTA as a scientific process of evaluating health technologies (pharmaceuticals, vaccines, surgical procedures, medical equipment and devices, etc.) to facilitate informed decisions by stakeholders—health care providers, payers, consumers, regulators, policymakers, and so on—can address this need. Hence, the need of this systematic review to critically evaluate the evidence base of costeffectiveness analysis of medical devices, vaccines, pharmaceuticals, and surgical procedures. Methods Literature searches were carried out in November 2012 by using the following keywords: “Ghana” and “economic evaluation” or “cost-minimisation” or “cost-effectiveness” or “cost-utility” or “cost-benefit.” The search was performed by using the following databases: PubMed, EMBASE (Ovid), and Academic Search Elite (EbscoH). It included all published and unpublished literature available between January 1, 1997, and October 31, 2012. Inclusion criteria were all economic evaluations on medical devices and pharmaceuticals including vaccines. All identified abstracts were reviewed by the first author. Studies were excluded if they did not present both the costs and the outcomes of a study, or if they were an editorial or methodological article. Studies were also rejected if they were not applied to a Ghanaian context and all other economic evaluations apart from medical devices, vaccines, and pharmaceuticals. All remaining articles were reviewed by using their full-text formats and classified according to: 1) the type of evaluation, 2) the type of intervention, and (3) the body system affected by the particular health problem. Published articles were grouped by type of evaluation, and were considered to be: 1) a partial economic evaluation if only either the costs or the outcomes of a single intervention were compared; 2) a cost-minimization analysis if costs of different interventions were compared with evidence of equal ease burden in terms of disability-adjusted life-years; 3) a cost-effectiveness analysis if health outcomes were presented in intermediate terms, for example, disease prevented; (4) a cost-utility analysis if health outcomes were expressed in terms of quality-adjusted life-years or disability-adjusted life-years; and 5) a cost-benefit analysis if health outcomes were measured in monetary units. Only those studies that did economic evaluation in relation to medical devices, pharmaceuticals, and vaccines were considered. The quality of studies was measured in two different ways. First, studies were appraised on their adherence to specific methodological and reporting practices based on published recommendations [7,8]. These included: 1) clearly indicating the study perspective; 2) description of comparator(s); 3) use of discounting methods if the costs and/or outcomes were from a study period of more than 1 year; 4) reporting the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) rather than the average costeffectiveness ratio; 5) performing uncertainty analysis on the results; and 6) disclosing funding sources. Results A total of 50 abstracts were identified from the search of both published and unpublished material (Fig. 1). Of these, 45 abstracts were initially excluded because costs and outcomes were not mentioned simultaneously and because they disclosed funding sources. Seven articles were reviewed in full-text format. From the review of seven full-text articles, four articles were found not to be relevant because they were not economic evaluations of medical devices and pharmaceuticals including vaccines. The culmination of this was three economic evaluations, one looked at vaccines and two on malaria management. In terms of where they were published, international peer review was the source and an international person was the principal author for two of them, with a Ghanaian author as the principal author for one of them. All three economic evaluations were cost- effectiveness analysis. Two of them used an ICER. International standards recommend that economic evaluation studies should extend (through modeling) over a time period that is long enough to capture the full costs and consequences of an intervention. The funding sources were all from international nonprofit organizations. There was no significant relationship between the source of funding and the quality of the report (using chi-square and Fisher’s exact tests, where appropriate). See Table 1. Discussion HTA is the scientific process of evaluating health technologies (pharmaceuticals, vaccines, surgical procedures, medical equipment and devices, etc.) to facilitate informed decisions by stakeholders: health care providers, payers, consumers, regulators, VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 279–283 281 50 abstracts were identified 45 abstracts were excluded 5 full articles were reviewed 2 articles were identified from references of the initially searched articles 3 economic evaluation publications were finally reviewed 4 articles excluded after reviewing their full texts Fig. 1 – Flow diagram of systematic review. policymakers, and so on [1]. A medical device is a product used for medical purposes in patients, diagnosis, therapy, or surgery. Pharmaceutical products achieve their principal action by pharmacological, metabolic, or immunological means. However, medical devices act by other means such as physical, mechanical, thermal, physicochemical, or chemical [28]. A survey of experts, conducted by Daar et al. [29], clearly showed the greatest need of new technology for affordable, simple diagnosis of infectious diseases in developing countries. From the systematic review it is evidently clear that very scanty technology assessment has been done for medical devices and pharmaceuticals. In Ghana, currently with the NHIS the cost of medicines is a major cost driver, but evaluation of medicines as part of the benefit package is done without a robust evidence base. In this age in which there are multiple solutions and generally a wide spectrum of possibilities and strategies for most health care problems, the need for the evaluation of the technology and of the relevant alternative technologies available has never been greater. Second, as the health sector has limited budgets, HTA becomes one of the most important tools used to contain the increasing cost of health care without compromising safety. HTA should form the basis for health technology policies [2]. Prioritizing resource allocation and the need for new medical technologies are also increasing in developing countries [3]. Health insurance programs are emerging and expanding in subSaharan Africa [6]. Besides, health insurance programs are emerging and expanding more and more in this region [27]. But decisions can easily be influenced by experience, thrust of donor agencies, and lobbying pressure for new technologies, for example, from commercial organizations. This can lead to inappropriate use of technologies, which do not address health needs, and inefficient use of resources. Pichon-Riviere et al.’s [9] survey about the usage of HTA methods in a resource-poor setting suggested that principles of HTA were seen as relevant, but there was a lack of application. South Africa, as a middle-income country, however, has planned strategies for HTA. Yet, the implementation of such a national HTA framework has been slow. The lack of skills related to HTA is also a critical problem. Although there is a growing base of skills in the running of clinical trials, there are very few health economists trained in applying HTA methodologies. In Ghana, there was some training on pharmacoeconomics organized by the Ministry of Health, but the follow-up activities have not been sustained. The emergence and spread of EBM was expected to address relevant needs, through building local capacity for using systematic reviews and influencing policymakers to make evidencebased decisions. However, EBM has major limitations in that it focuses on generating evidence of efficacy alone. In addition, it fails to factor in local needs and contexts for transferability of evidence generated in different health care settings [5]. The development process of HTA is usually expensive and time consuming [6], which poses problems in many resource-poor settings. In Ghana, as in other low- and middle-income African countries, policymakers have in recent years come under increasing pressure to justify resource allocation decisions in the health sector [26]. The number of economic evaluation studies in Ghana is quite low, however, especially in the area of medical devices, vaccines, and pharmaceuticals, in contrast to Canada, the United Kingdom, or The Netherlands [17] where economic evaluation has been formally accepted for use in policy decision making. In addition, this review found that the majority of economic evaluation studies performed in Ghana between January 1, 1997, and October 31, 2012, were vulnerable to bias because of the quality of the evidence used. Poor reporting quality limits the usefulness of economic assessment in the making of policy decisions. Evidence-based policy according to scientific methods can reduce costs and improve the outcome for patients. Such analysis thus provides an ethical way of evaluating new health technologies. Therefore, the participation of health care authorities in Ghana is crucial. There is an urgent need to bring in objectivity, reproducibility, and transparency for local health policy makers in Ghana. The review indicates that cost-effectiveness analysis was the only study type for economic evaluations performed in a Ghanaian setting for the study period. This is comparable to findings in other settings [13,14], probably because the approach is relatively straightforward. It compares costs with outcomes measured in natural units, such as per life saved, per case detected, and per pain- or symptom-free day. This is in contrast to cost-utility analyses (which require more assumptions on health-state preferences [18]) and cost-benefit approaches (which face difficulties and controversy in applying a monetary value to human life [19]). Cost-effectiveness analysis can be very useful when different health care interventions are not expected to produce the same outcomes. This type of study alone, however, cannot handle questions of efficiency of resource allocation when such decisions have to be made across different health problems [23]. In both technical and resource-allocation terms, there is a need to encourage and support the undertaking of cost-utility or cost-benefit analyses by academics and health researchers because these evaluation types are better able to assist decision makers in judgments about the allocation of resources across health care programs. In addition, this review highlights that serious attention needs to be given to the quality of the reporting and information used in 282 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 279–283 Table 1 – Type of economic evaluation and their characteristics. Type of evaluation by year of publication Type of uncertainity analysis Use of ICER Discount rate used Cost-effectiveness analysis published in 2010 Cost-effectiveness analysis published in 2012 Cost-effectiveness analysis published in 2012 Probabilistic sensitivity analysis ICER used 3% One-way and multiway sensitivity analysis One-way and multiway sensitivity analysis ICER used 3% ICER not used 3% Funding source International funding agency International funding agency International funding agency ICER, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. economic analyses performed in Ghanaian settings. The advantages of using systematic reviews of clinical effects are twofold [4]. First, a more precise estimate can be obtained from combining outcome data from a number of studies. Second, by using results from studies carried out in a range of settings (assuming that these studies are sufficiently homogenous to be comparable), the estimate can be applied to a more general patient population with different baseline risks, rather than specifically to the narrow population selected for individual economic evaluations as was observed in the studies trial. It is noteworthy that there were two serious methodological pitfalls that were commonly found in the Ghanaian economic evaluations. The first was the lack of calculation of an ICER in one of the studies. This study reported an average cost-effectiveness ratio, that is, total cost divided by total effect for the interventions being compared. The report of an average ratio may lead to dangerously flawed conclusions and may limit attempts to make direct comparisons between interventions because an average ratio implies the comparison of each alternative with an intervention that incurs no costs and no effects [10]. Without calculating and presenting ICERs, it is possible for readers to be misguided by the results and to conclude that the new technique was simply fourfold more expensive than the standard test. Combined with the use of poor-quality evidence for estimating clinical effects, this could seriously undermine confidence in the findings of these economic evaluations and their ability to inform health care resource-allocation decisions. Among the studies that applied discounting, the review also found that the discount rate used was 3%. There is still no international agreement, however, on how to deal with future costs and benefits. Major debate continues about whether it is justified to discount health benefits, and if so, what discount rate should be used and whether it should be different from that used for monetary costs [3]. Nevertheless, this review of the literature on economic evaluations performed in Ghanaian settings has shown limited evidence of economic evaluation publications with regard to medical devices and pharmaceuticals. It is important to point out the limitations of this study. There is no national database for health care publications in Ghana. This study searched the literature in international databases and only included literature published in English and also unpublished literature in some of the university campuses. The use of these databases also meant that abstracts, conference proceedings, Ghanaian publications, masters and doctorate theses, and articles presented at symposia or seminars were not included in the search results. The number of publications available, however, can be used as a proxy to reflect the research capacity in this field in Ghana, and this review has shown that the quantity, quality, and targeting of economic evaluation studies is not yet adequate to meet the needs and concerns of decision makers in Ghana. Current studies support the establishment of HTA institutions in low- and middle-income countries [25]. Conclusions This review demonstrates an urgent need for a comprehensive and systematic method for conducting economic evaluations for medical devices and pharmaceuticals, especially in an era of increasing cost in the Ghanaian health care system and also dwindling donor support to the health sector. HTA of medical devices and pharmaceuticals seems the most viable option to ensure cost-containment, which is the main agenda of the NHIS, and ultimately save the health care system. Acknowledgment I thank Amanda Odame for her secretarial support. 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VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 284–289 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Dossier System as a Practical Tool for Compiling Reimbursement Lists Maria V. Sura, MD, PhD*, Vitaly V. Omelyanovskiy, MD, PhD National Center for Health Technology Assessment, Moscow, Russia AB STR A CT The article describes the procedure for preparing reimbursement lists with the “Dossier” automated system at the regional level. Basic advantages and characteristics of the system, procedures for filling out the application form (dossier) for the inclusion of the drug into reimbursement lists, and the algorithm of expert evaluation are presented. Keywords: “Dossier” automated system, health technology assessment (HTA), reimbursement lists. Introduction health care system can serve as prototypes of such HTA bodies. Unified algorithms, criteria, and decision-making rules as well as evidence-based medicine and clinical and economic analysis principles that were developed within the framework of the Dossier automated system represent an important platform for incorporating the HTA methodology in the activities of the aforementioned expert organizations. The project of preparing formulary lists of pharmaceutical drugs at various levels, from formularies for particular medical organizations to federal lists, has been going on in Russia for nearly 20 years. These lists are made by different expert bodies and serve a number of functions: provide the basis for state regulation of prices, determination and adjustment of wholesale and retail surcharges, drug reimbursement, and state supply orders in health care. At present, the system of drug selection at the federal level is the most transparent and well regulated [1–3], while that at the level of medical organizations is the least developed. As for the rules and procedures for making reimbursement lists at the regional level, in practice there are no standardized requirements or criteria for drug evaluation: the principles and rules of drug evaluation, decision-making criteria, and requirements concerning the information to be submitted vary to a considerable extent (if such mechanisms exist at all) [4]. The need to standardize the requirements for expert evaluation and submission of information about the drug, the decision-making criteria, the implementation of the principles of evidence-based medicine, and clinical and economic analysis (pharmacoeconomics), as well as the need to make the process of decision making for the inclusion of particular drugs in the regional reimbursement lists more transparent, has led to the creation of an automated system called “Dossier” for the preparation of formulary lists. This system was originally created as a potential health technology assessment (HTA) tool for compiling reimbursement drug lists on the regional level. If and when necessary, however, such a system can be easily adapted for the purpose of compiling formulary lists on the federal and hospital/medical organization’s levels. Currently, there is no accredited official HTA body in Russia. Formulary commissions working on the different levels of the Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Dossier: An Automated System for the Preparation of Reimbursement Lists Dossier, an automated system for preparing reimbursement lists (hereafter referred to as “the system”), was developed in the Research Center for Clinical and Economic Evaluation and Pharmacoeconomics of the N.I. Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University in 2010. It is designed to help formulary commissions of the ministries/departments of health in federal subjects of Russia in their task of preparing reimbursement lists of pharmaceuticals (formulary lists) on the regional level. The online system Dossier allows the user to enter, update, store, and evaluate information about the medicines when they are submitted for inclusion into reimbursement lists. The entire cycle of evaluation is thus supported by the system, from the initial application to the final decision of the formulary commission to grant or refuse inclusion of the drug in the reimbursement list. Three basic principles were taken into account during the development of the Dossier system: the principle of objective evaluation, the principle of intellectual support, and the principle of informatization, or the information technology principle. The principle of objective evaluation presumes a multilevel assessment of pharmaceutical drugs that includes three main stages: technical evaluation, scientific evaluation (by nonstaff chief specialist of the regional Department/Ministry of Health in different fields of medicine), and the final decision to include (or not to include) the drug into the reimbursement list. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. * Address correspondence to: Maria V. Sura, National Center for Health Technology Assessment, POB 88, Moscow 117335, Russia. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.012 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 284–289 Technical evaluation is a preliminary stage of processing the application (drug dossier), which includes verifying whether the data submitted by the applicant meet all relevant requirements. Scientific evaluation is the stage of assessment by a chief specialist. This task calls for expertise in a particular medical field and a good working knowledge of modern therapies and management of the disease in question in real-life clinical practice and its current financial burden. The evaluation includes an analysis of data on clinical efficacy and costeffectiveness of the drug, real-life management of patients covered by the regional reimbursement scheme, the cost of the new medication, and so on. The first two stages of the evaluation take place on the Web page of the automated system. At the third stage, members of the formulary commission meet and discuss the issue with chief specialists, and after their meeting, the decision of the commission is posted on the Internet page. The principle of intellectual support refers both to the applicant (usually members of the pharmaceutical industry) and to health care authorities (regional ministries or departments of health, formulary commissions). To implement this principle, the application form contains sections that encourage the applicant to take a more rational approach to the task of determining prioritized indications, target patient groups, and the requested reimbursement. For example, the system asks to specify the patient group, the number of patients covered by the regional reimbursement scheme, the cost of medical treatment of the disease in question, and the estimated cost to the budget of purchasing the drug if it is included in the list for the prioritized group. Thus, the applicant (when requesting that the drug be included in the list), the chief specialist of the Department of Health (when providing recommendations regarding the expediency of adding the new medication to the reimbursement list), and the representative of the Ministry/Department of Health (when deciding whether to include the drug in the list) focus on the actual costs and the actual patients who are already reimbursed for the treatment of this particular medical condition. Thanks to this approach, it becomes possible to provide a clear justification of the need to include the new drug and the additional financial costs that it entails, or, alternatively, of the need to reject the application. The essential considerations that determine whether the drug will be included in the list within the framework of the Dossier system are the following: a reasonable (scientifically proven) reduction in costs for the budget, an adequate (effective and economically expedient) deployment of the available resources, and a clear recognition of the existing situation with regards to the provision of medications to patients covered by the regional reimbursement scheme. The principle of informatization presumes that the submission, evaluation, and scientific analysis of the dossier (application for inclusion in the list) take place online, while the wizard presents prompts (requirements) that guide the user in the process of filling in the blanks. Besides, informatization of the entire process of adding a new drug to the reimbursement list makes the final decision more transparent because the system allows users to track and time each stage of evaluation and decision making and to view comments by experts. Working online makes it possible to ensure interregional cooperation of formulary commissions, and the involvement of experts from various fields (more than 25) enables an interdisciplinary approach to selecting the drugs to be included in the reimbursement lists. At the moment of publication, the automated system consisted of four independent modules, one for each of the following regions: Moscow region, Sverdlovsk region, Khanty-Mansi autonomous area, and Samara region. More regional modules can be added to the system as required. 285 Registration and User Levels in the Dossier Automated System To start using the system, it is first necessary to choose the right region and section and to register. Depending on the accessibility of particular databases and the procedures used for evaluating the submitted applications and for their revision/modification (changing application status), there are five possible user levels: applicant, technical expert, scientific expert, member of the formulary commission, and regional Ministry/Department of Health. The lowest level of access to databases of the system is the applicant level, and the level of regional Ministry/Department of Health is the highest. Access to various databases of the automated system, authorization to edit/moderate applications (dossiers), menu types, and other options that depend on the user level can be changed (adjusted) depending on the needs of particular regions and medical organizations. Status of the Applications Stored in the Dossier Automated System Depending on the stage of evaluation, the application (dossier) stored in the automated system is assigned a particular status (moderation). The system specifies by whom (the name of applicant and expert), when (time), and how (comments on the evaluation and its result) the application was submitted and evaluated and at which time it was assigned a particular status. The status of an application can be modified in the “Moderation” section. The system supports eight different statuses, for example, “under evaluation,” “passed” or failed” technical or scientific evaluation, “approved” or “rejected” by the formulary commission, and others. The entire cycle of expert evaluation is thus fully transparent, from the submission of the initial application until the final decision of the formulary commission. Application Form for Inclusion in the Regional List and Its Completion The application (dossier) for inclusion of the drug in the regional reimbursement list contains more than 30 sections that may be divided into three main blocks: general information about the medication, or the passport block (name and pharmaceutical group of the drug, etc.); study results, or the evidence block (results of clinical and pharmacoeconomic studies); and the regional specification block (the number of patients entitled to reimbursement in the region, local cost of pharmacotherapy for this disease, as determined by the system based on the submitted International Statistical Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision [ICD10] code, high-priority groups of patients who will be receiving this medication, including the number of patients, the cost of therapy, etc.) (Table 1). The application thus contains as much information as possible not only about the drug but also about the current situation with supply of reimbursed medications in the region. Submitting an application for inclusion in the list and evaluating submitted applications, applicants, chief specialists, and members of the formulary commission together determine the strategy of drug promotion and its potential/optimal place (“niche”) in the system of drug reimbursement. Now we describe in greater detail how to fill out the application and some sections that are particularly problematic in terms of the frequency of mistakes made by the applicants. The sections that seldom give rise to questions and mistakes are mentioned only briefly. Sections 1 to 8, 10 to 13, and 30 may be called the “passport” part of the application that provides a description of the drug: its name, pharmaceutical form, pharmacotherapeutic group, group of Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical classification, grounds for 286 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 284–289 Table 1 – “Dossier” automated system application form: three main blocks and their 30 sections. Passport block Evidence block Regional specification block 1. International Nonproprietary Name (INN) 14. Advantages of a new drug 2. Trade name 15. Clinical efficacy and safety (clinical trials) 15А. Level of evidence 9. Should the drug be covered from the regional budget under the government resolution regulating reimbursement at the regional level? 17. Clinical trials at the regional level or real-practice data 18. Priority patients’ groups (age, severity and duration of disease, complications) 19. Other indications (not for reimbursement list) 20. Cost of 1-y treatment 21. The number of patients entitled for reimbursed drugs in the region 22. Share and number of patients eligible for prescribing of a new drug 23. Share and number of priority patients’ groups eligible for a new drug 24. Current standard treatment practice 25. Presence of drug in the Standards of Care, Clinical Guidelines 26. Current cost of medications for treating of patients for whom the proposed drug is prescribed 27. Exclusion of other drugs 3. Original/generic 4. Included in other reimbursement lists or not 5. Manufacturer 6. About the applicant 16. Pharmacoeconomics (costeffectiveness of the drug) 7. Pharmacotherapeutic group 8. Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) code 10. Indications for which the drug is reimbursed 11. Dosage 12. Dosage forms 13. Course of treatment/lifelong prescription 30. References inclusion in the list, and so on, as well as information about the applicant. In section 6 (“About the applicant”), it is important to include a personal e-mail address (of the person in charge of completing the application) without any spelling mistakes in the address. Failure to do so will result in the applicant not being able to stay in touch with the database and be informed about the progress of evaluation and its results. Section 9 asks to specify the disease (or the disease within a particular target social category) that is the indication for prescribing the drug, in accordance with Decree № 890 of the Russian government of July 30, 1994. In this section, the applicant has to specify whether the drug can be included in the regional reimbursement list for a particular social or nosological category (a particular medical condition, independently of a social category), or both. Section 14 of the application asks the applicant to describe the advantages of the new drug that justify its inclusion in the reimbursement list. The applicant should list the main features of the medication that make it preferable to, and different from, other medications with the same indications that are already on the reimbursement list. Apart from clinical advantages, it is important to specify the economic advantages of the drug in this section (if any), as well as convenience of use (a more convenient regimen, tablets vs. injections, etc.), good compliance with treatment, inclusion in international and Russian treatment guidelines or standards of medical care, and so on. Any advantages of 28. Cost for inclusion of a drug into the reimbursement list for priority patients’ groups 29. Training of physicians the drug have to be very specific (preferably numbered) and supported by evidence from well-designed clinical and pharmacoeconomic studies, approved standards, guidelines, and instructions. Section 15, “Clinical efficacy and safety,” requires filling out a separate form (abstract) describing the clinical studies that are referred to in this section. Priority is given to systematic reviews, meta-analyses, and randomized controlled double-blind clinical trials. Abstracts should contain a description of study design, duration of follow-up, number of patients included in the study, comparators, study results, level of evidence for the efficacy of the drug, and so on. At present, many applicants consciously (exaggerating the quality of the study on purpose) or unconsciously (because of technical errors or poor knowledge) make mistakes in this section. The problem is that incorrect data that contradict the clinical trials submitted for evaluation are entered in the form; for example, randomization is claimed when it was not performed, and a control group is mentioned where there was none, or the level of evidence for drug efficacy is exaggerated. The data presented in the abstract are always compared with the actual results of the clinical trial in the course of evaluating the application; therefore, the expert will not be led astray by such incorrect statements. In section 15A, the applicant has to specify the level of evidence proving the clinical efficacy of the drug, that is, the VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 284–289 highest level achieved in clinical trials submitted for evaluation. A list of possible levels of evidence is given in the application. Section 16 contains data on the cost-effectiveness of the drug. As with clinical efficacy and safety, the applicant has to fill out a separate form—an abstract of the pharmacoeconomic study. The abstract should include a description of study design, the type of pharmacoeconomic analysis, effectiveness criteria, costs, effectiveness, cost/effectiveness ratio, etc. As in the clinical efficacy and safety section, applicants often make mistakes here or misinterpret the results of pharmacoeconomic studies. Often, the results of these studies do not correspond to the data included in the abstract. Thus, costs may be incorrectly described as direct and indirect, whereas only direct costs were considered in the study, effectiveness criteria may be described incompletely or incorrectly, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio may be mentioned while it was never calculated in the study, and so on. In section 17, experience in the region, the applicant has to list all clinical trials that were conducted in medical organizations of the region for which inclusion in the reimbursement list is considered. In practice, however, such studies are very uncommon. Accordingly, the applicant will normally simply list all medical organizations that have already used this drug. A complete lack of experience using the drug in this particular region or by the chief specialist may become the ground for rejection of the application for inclusion into reimbursement lists, even if the chief specialist provides a formal approval. There have already been such cases. In section 18, the applicant is asked to define prioritized groups of patients who will receive the drug for a particular indication(s) as far as this is possible (these are the patients who will be particularly likely to need this medication if it is included in the reimbursement list). Prioritized patient groups, or segments, may be defined by age, severity and duration of the disease, complications, comorbidities, and so on. This section is completed together with a chief specialist who is a member of the formulary commission. In practice, it may be hard for the applicant (who is usually a representative of the pharmaceutical company that manufactures the drug) to define the prioritized group(s) of patients. First, the applicant is not well informed about all the characteristics of regional reimbursed patients. Second, the applicant’s a priori position is that all patients to whom such treatment is indicated and who are entitled to reimbursement should be given this particular drug. This reasoning, however, fails to take into account the types of therapy currently in use and the results of comparative analysis of the efficacy, safety, and cost-effectiveness of alternative therapies already on the list. In section 19, the applicant has to indicate whether the drug may be used for other indications than the one chosen as the main justification for inclusion in the list (section 9 based on ICD10 and section 10 based on instructions for use). In other words, is there a possibility that there will be a “leakage” of the drug for the treatment of other medical conditions or forms of disease if it is included in the list? Section 20 asks the applicant to estimate the cost of treatment with the new medication per patient per year. The cost should be calculated for the categories listed in section 9 in accordance with ICD-10. The source of price information, the day when calculations were performed, and the steps of cost estimation should be provided in the field for text comments. Sections 21 to 23 are devoted to quantitative analysis of patients on the regional reimbursement list for the given ICD10 code. The number of patients on the regional reimbursement list for the given ICD-10 code (section 21) is determined automatically, thanks to an inbuilt database of regional reimbursement (regionspecific), which contains information about the number of 287 prescriptions for the previous year according to the statistics of regional ministries/departments of health. Sections 22 and 23 are concerned with “quantitative prioritization” of patients entitled to reimbursement. The percentage and number of patients who may be prescribed the reimbursed drug are estimated in the former and the percentage and number of patients who should have priority in drug supply are estimated in the latter. Once the percentages are entered, the number of such patients is calculated automatically: in the former case (section 22) as a share of the total number of patients entitled to reimbursement in the region (section 21), and in the latter case (section 23) as a share of the total number of patients entitled to reimbursement in the region who may be prescribed the evaluated drug (section 22). High-priority patient groups are always determined by the chief specialist or members of the formulary commission. The applicant, if this is a representative of a pharmaceutical company, does not have enough competence or authority to make such decisions. In section 24, the applicant has to describe the existing approaches to the management of patients with this disease in the region. Two approaches are possible when filling out this section. Either the chief specialist may provide this description or (the more formal approach) a query may be made for the appropriate ICD-10 code to collect data about the prescription of drugs to patients entitled to reimbursement over the last year. This information can be found in the automated system itself as a separate database. If the second approach is used, it is important to filter the results obtained from the database, selecting from the list only those drugs that are directly relevant to the therapy of this particular disease (have the same indications as the evaluated drug). The reason for this is that the database search yields information about all the medications dispensed to reimbursed patients under a particular ICD-10 code (which often refers to symptomatic treatment, therapy for exacerbations or comorbidities, etc.). In section 25, the applicant submits information about the inclusion of the evaluated drug in Russian and foreign regulations governing drug acquisition and prescription, such as the list of vital and essential drugs, standards of medical care, national and foreign treatment guidelines, and so on. Section 26 of the application describes the cost of managing patients with the medical condition for which the evaluated drug is indicated. This section also contains a database listing the cost of prescribed medications for different ICD-10 codes over the last year. Section 27 of the application discusses the possible need to exclude or limit the use of other medications previously included in the regional list in case the new drug is added. This section is particularly relevant in case of regional budget deficit and should be completed by a chief specialist on the basis of a detailed analysis of the use of medications in the framework of the regional reimbursement scheme. In section 28, the applicant has to estimate the cost of including the evaluated drug in the list for prioritized reimbursement groups. The following formula should be used for this calculation: the cost of treating one patient with this medication for 1 year (s. 20) the number of patients entitled to reimbursement in the region who have a high priority for the provision of this medication (s. 23) savings due to exclusion/ limited use of other medications (s. 27). This calculation should be repeated for all conditions (ICD-10 codes) mentioned in the application. Section 29 describes the need for special training of physicians concerning the prescription of the new drug in their practice. Overall, because the new medication will be prescribed and used in ambulatory practice, any possible difficulties with dosing, administration, special training, and so on have to be minimal. 288 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 284–289 The applicant has to list all the sources of information used as references in the completed application in the bibliography (section 30). Bibliography can be arranged alphabetically or in the order of citation and should include the author(s) of each study (surname and initials), study/regulation title, and publisher. The application can be completed in several sessions. Incomplete applications can be saved as drafts and continued later at a convenient time. Before previewing and submitting the application, the system performs a preliminary check. If the checkup is not successful, the user is prompted to fill in the incorrect or missing fields. According to experts and representatives of the regional ministries of health, the Dossier automated system is convenient for use and allows one to make evidence-based decisions taking fully into account all the preparation’s characteristics, subgroup analysis results, and capacities of the local budgets. On average, the full expert cycle of one preparation (from the moment of the application’s submission in the system to the formulary commission’s final decision) takes 1.5 months. It can take longer than that if there are mistakes in the Dossier application form (which may lead to the return of the application for updating) and depending on the frequency of the formulary commissions’ meetings, which make a final decision on listing (in some regions, formulary commissions’ meetings take place not more than once a quarter). Special trainings are arranged for experts and potential applicants (trainings for experts are conducted separately) before the implementation of the Dossier system in the practical activities of the regional ministries of health. Following completion of the theoretical section of the training, the participants are offered to work in the system online independently, for example, to enter application and perform evaluation of the drug. The number of new drugs that receive positive assessment by experts of formulary commissions and are listed may vary significantly depending on the region, number, and composition of people entitled to the regional pharmaceutical benefits programs, financial situation in the region as well as the backlog of applications submitted for listing. For example, in the Moscow region, the number of drugs that were included in reimbursement lists during 1 year did not exceed 15 names. The total number of submissions through the Dossier system, however, was approximately twice as large. Algorithm of Decision Making Based on an Analysis of the Application (Dossier) for Inclusion in the Reimbursement List The decision to include or not to include the evaluated drug in the list has to be reached by the chief specialist and members of the formulary commission on the basis of a multicriteria analysis of the data pertaining to the evaluated drug, the number of reimbursed patients in the region, the high-priority groups to whom the drug is indicated, the cost of therapy, and so on. Thus, an expert making a decision has to have an intimate knowledge of both WHAT is recommended for inclusion in the list and FOR WHOM this drug is added to the list (as regards the number of patients and the cost). The stages of expert evaluation of submitted data leading to the final decision are presented in Fig. 1. Adherence to this algorithm, a careful consideration of all pros and cons of adding the drug to the list, and a stepwise evaluation will allow us to optimize the purchase of medications, choosing from a large number of drugs suggested for inclusion in limited lists the most expedient in terms of both clinical and economic characteristics and the real demands of pharmacological therapy and the budget resources. Fig. 1 – Algorithm for evaluation of the application (dossier) for inclusion in the regional reimbursement list. Conclusions The creation of the Dossier automated system is an initiative of the Research Center for Clinical and Economic Evaluation and Pharmacoeconomics of the N.I. Pirogov Russian State Medical University with the support of several regional ministries and departments of health. Today, the actual implementation of this automated system is a unique experience of only a handful of regions. The system, however, is ready for implementation and, if necessary, can be adjusted for use in every federal subject of Russia. The advantages of setting up an automated system for the compilation of regional lists are self-evident. For instance, we can mention the following: a formal procedure for the completion of the application form (dossier) and expert evaluation; a stepwise evaluation and multidisciplinary approach; decision making based on a comprehensive, multicriteria analysis of data on the new drug; transparency of all decisions (every stage of the evaluation is reflected in the system, including the grounds for every decision and the time of decision); a shift to electronic documentation, which can save time and money (the applications can be completed, evaluated, and edited online); and an opportunity to process data on the new medication analytically, considering pooled data on pharmacotherapeutic and Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical groups, nosological categories, and so on. Furthermore, the system has a significant educational component that helps the user build a logical chain to promote the new drug on the market and helps the chief specialist to determine whether there is a real need to add this drug to the list, as well as to estimate the requisite purchase size and budget expenses. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 284–289 If such a system was implemented in federal subjects, this could provide standard algorithms of expert evaluation, decision-making criteria, and requirements concerning the data to be submitted with the application for inclusion in the lists. As more data on different medications are accumulated in regional automated systems, a single “databank” can be created with the help of both experts and applicants that will include comprehensive information about the efficacy, safety, and economic acceptability of reimbursed drugs, as well as the cost and quantitative characteristics of pharmacotherapies of various medical conditions. Source of financial support: The authors have no other financial relationships to disclose. R EF E R EN CE S [1] Sura M V, Omelyanovsky V V. Evolutsiya sistemy expertizy pri formirovanii Perechnya zhiznenno neobhodimyh i vazhneyshih 289 lekarstvennyh preparatov. Meditsinskiye tehnologii. Otsenka i vybor 2011;3(5):30–3. In Russian [Sura MV, Omelyanovsky VV. The evolving assessment system for preparing the list of vital and essential pharmaceuticals. Medical Technologies. Assessment and Choice.] [2] Prikaz Ministerstva zdravoohraneniya i sotsialnogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 27.05.2009 g. No276n “O poryadke formirovaniya proekta Perechnya zhiznenno neobhodimyh i vazheyshih lekarstvennyh sredstv”. In Russian [Order 276n of the Ministry of Health and Social Development of the Russian Federation of 27.05.2009, “On preparing a list of vital and essential pharmaceuticals”.] [3] Proekt prikaza Ministerstva zdravoohraneniya i sotsialnogo razvitiya Rossiyskoy Federatsii ot 28.04.2011 g. “O poryadke formirovaniya proekta Perechnya zhiznenno neobhodimyh i vazheyshih lekarstven- nyh sredstv”. In Russian. [Draft order of the Ministry of Health and Social Development of the Russian Federation of 28.04.2011, “On preparing a list of vital and essential pharmaceuticals”.] [4] Omelyanovsny V V. Avxentyeva M V. Soldatova I G, et al. Klinicheskaya i ekonomicheskaya exper- tiza pri formirovanii perechney lekarstvannyh sredstv. Meditsinskiye tehnologii. Otsenka i vybor 2010;1:28–31. In Russian. [Pharmaco-economic evaluation for preparing formulary lists of pharmaceuticals. Medical Technologies. Assessment and Choice.] VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 290–299 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Impact of the Pharma Economic Act on Diffusion of Innovation and Reduction of Costs in the Hungarian Prescription Drug Market (2007–2010) Rok Hren, PhD, MSc, IHP (HE) University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia AB STR A CT Objective: In this study, we examined the impact of the Pharma Economic Act, which was introduced in Hungary in 2007. Methods: We used detailed data on the Hungarian prescription drug market, which had been made publicly available by the authorities. We evaluated the effect of the Pharma Economic Act on both dynamic and static efficiencies and also on equity, which has been historically a controversial issue in Hungary. We analyzed the overall prescription drug market and statin and atorvastatin markets; as a proxy for determining dynamic efficiency, we examined the oncology drug market for some specific products (e.g., bortezomib) and the longacting atypical antipsychotic drugs market. Results: There is no denying that the authorities managed to control the overall prescription drug costs; however, they were still paying excessive rents for offpatent drugs. Examples of oncology and long-acting atypical antipsychotic drugs showed that the diffusion of innovation was on percapita basis at least comparable to G-5 countries. While the share of out-of-pocket co-payments markedly increased and the reimbursement was lowered, the concurrent price decreases often meant that the co-payment per milligram of a given dispensed drug was actually lower than that before the Act, thereby benefiting the patient. Conclusions: It appears that strong mechanisms to control volume rather than price on the supply side (marketing authorization holders) contained the drug expenditure, while offering enough room to strive for innovation. Making data on prescription drug expenditures and associated co-payments publicly available is an item that should be definitely followed by the surrounding jurisdictions. Introduction physicians, pharmacists, and patients) and one group on the supply side (e.g., MAHs). If we use a simple equation that expenditure for prescription drugs E is In this study, we examined the impact of the Pharma Economic Act (PEA) [1], which was introduced in Hungary in 2007. The motivation to analyze this particular legislative measure within a single midsize country is in its comprehensiveness and unique approach toward marketing authorization holders (MAHs). Moreover, the recent economic crisis is making such a “laboratory of cost-containment tools” attractive for authorities and payers not only among the Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries but also among Western (e.g., European Union [EU]-15) jurisdictions. The final reason for the analysis is the availability of detailed data on the Hungarian prescription drug market, which are provided to the public by the authorities [2]. Controlling prescription drugs spending is fraught with difficulties, and particularly notable are examples of the GP Fundholding scheme in the United Kingdom [3–5] and prescribing drug budgets [5–7]. The difficulties arise because of multifactorial reasons for pharmaceutical expenditure growth, which are usually addressed only partially with national prescription drug policies. Typically, the authorities/payers introduce two groups of policies: one group on the so-called demand side (e.g., Keywords: austerity measures, cost-containment, prescription drug spending. Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. E ¼ ∑pi Vi where pi is the price of a given drug and Vi is its corresponding volume, then supply-side policies target mostly the price side of the equation, while demand-side policies work mostly on the volume side of the equation. For example, international reference pricing [8] has been widely embraced by authorities/payers in CEE jurisdictions as a particular supply-side tool geared toward regulating prices of primarily branded drugs; while such an approach may indeed result in a short-term reduction in prescription drug expenditure, the long-term effects may be ambiguous because the volume of prescribed drugs may readily expand. Hungarian authorities/payers with PEA took a somewhat different approach and included—among a plethora of other measures—strong mechanisms to control volume on the supply side, with MAHs (i.e., branded and generic firms) being responsible to cover any overshoot of the preagreed volume. In that sense, PEA is unique among CEE jurisdictions; however, at its Conflicts of interest: The author has indicated that he has no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Rok Hren, University of Ljubljana, Jadranska 19, 1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.013 291 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 290–299 conception there were serious warnings that the austerity act may jeopardize innovation and could even lead to withdrawals of breakthrough branded drugs [9]. Accordingly, we are here specifically evaluating the effect of the PEA on both dynamic and static efficiencies [10–12], which present well-known and fundamental microeconomic framework, and also on equity, which has been historically a controversial issue in Hungary (see, e.g., [13–15]). Throughout this article, we will present data in local currency— Hungarian forint (HUF), with the conversion rate (as of March 28, 2013) of 1 euro (EUR) for 304.24 HUF, which means that 1 billion HUF equals approximately 3.3 million EUR. expenditure stood at 6% in 2006, with public pharmaceutical expenditure of 25%; the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the period 1998 to 2006 was 13%. Although these data appear intuitively supportive of austerity measures, it is noteworthy that population health of Hungary has been severely lagging behind the EU-15 jurisdictions; for example, life expectancy at birth is 73.3 years versus 80.9 years in Sweden, infant mortality rate is 5.82 versus 2.56 in Sweden, and coronary heart disease death rate is 169 versus 30 in France [18]. Hungary’s population health indicators are among the worst even among CEE countries. Cost-Containment Tools of the PEA Policy Drivers of the PEA It is impossible to consider the PEA outside of the wider package of the Hungarian governmental austerity measures aimed at reducing the then (in 2006) whopping budget deficit of 10.1% of the gross domestic product (GDP) to the Maastricht level of 3% of the GDP by 2010, with special focus on reducing the health care spending by 0.9% of the GDP by 2009. While Hungary spent 8.3% of the GDP on health care in 2006 (vs. 8.9% of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development [OECD] members' average), the prescription drug spending appeared a convenient costcontainment target because of (1) its high proportion in the total health care expenditure (in 2006, 26.7% vs. 15.5% of the OECD average) [16] and (2) the fifth highest growth rate in the 1998 to 2003 period among the OECD members, following Ireland, Korea, the United States, and Australia, which all are jurisdictions with substantially higher GDP per capita than Hungary [17]. National Health Insurance Fund-Országos Egészségbiztosítási Pénztár (NHIF-OEP) data [2] reveal that total public health Cost-containment measures had not started in 2007: The NHIFOEP already in 2003 mutually agreed with the pharmaceutical industry to introduce the so-called claw-back system (firms required to cover overspending the budget for reimbursable drugs) and later negotiated with the industry the price freeze of drugs in exchange for allowing new products to enter the reimbursement list. The industry in fact under the claw-back regime paid back to the NHIF-OEP the amount of 20 billion HUF (66 million EUR) and 23 billion HUF (76 million EUR) in 2005 and 2006, respectively. The PEA thus built on this general claw-back system by bringing additional broad cost-containment policies described below to the prescription drug market. Supply-side control—MAHs In this review, we will focus on cost-containment policies applied to the MAHs. The first bold measure was an introduction of 12% statutory rebate/payback on reimbursed expenditure for both branded and generic firms, which substantially reduced the profit 800,000 700,000 600,000 500,000 Actual Actual minus 12% rebate 400,000 Projected /GR 6%/ Projected /CAGR 03-06/ 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2003 2004 Actual 228,050 257,370 Actual minus 12% rebate Projected /GR 6%/ Projected /CAGR 03-06/ year-on-year Actual change, including rebate 13% Savings 07-10 = Actual minus Projected /GR 6%/ 12% rebate 07-10 mio HUF 2008 2005 316,196 23% 2009 2006 364,250 364,250 364,250 364,250 15% 2010 2007 295,845 260,344 386,105 425,784 -29% 90,260 35,501 2008 310,973 273,656 409,271 497,713 5% 98,298 37,317 2009 332,929 292,978 433,828 581,794 7% 100,899 39,951 2010 350,416 308,366 459,857 680,078 5% 109,441 398,898 42,050 154,820 Fig. 1 – Public prescription drug expenditure in Hungary between 2003 and 2010 [2], shown in million HUF. Two counterfactual curves are displayed: one for 6% annual growth rate and one for the CAGR of 16.9% for the period 2003 to 2006. CAGR, compound annual growth rate; GR, growth rate; HUF, Hungarian forint. 292 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 290–299 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 Public expenditure Public expenditure minus 12% rebate 200,000 Social welfare "co -pay" Co-payment 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2003 2004 2005 mio HUF Public expenditure Public expenditure minus 12% rebate Social welfare "co-pay" Co-payment Share of co-payment as of total prescription drug market, rebate included year-on-year change of co-payment 2006 2007 2008 2009 2003 228,050 2004 257,370 2005 316,196 15,789 73,695 15,893 82,412 23% 23% 12% 2010 18,320 95,956 2006 364,250 364,250 19,062 104,634 2007 295,845 260,344 18,943 119,205 2008 310,973 273,656 17,835 113,137 2009 332,929 292,978 17,986 115,782 2010 350,416 308,366 18,326 116,201 22% 16% 21% 9% 30% 14% 28% -5% 27% 2% 26% 0% Fig. 2 – Public prescription drug expenditure along with out-of-pocket co-payment and “co-payment” covered by the social welfare for disadvantaged population in Hungary between 2003 and 2010 [2], shown in million HUF. HUF, Hungarian forint. of the firms. The 12% rebate could be proportionately decreased by the firm’s voluntary price decrease (e.g., 10% price decrease would lead to 10.8% rebate) or could be partially or from 2010 onwards fully waived because of the firm’s local R&D investment. As of July 1, 2011, this rebate was due to financial crisis increased to 20% for the duration of 3 years [19]. Second, the PEA required firms to pay sales representative registration fee in the amount of 5 million HUF (about 16,500 EUR) per pharmaceutical sales representative per annum, thereby increasing firms’ operational costs and consequently decreasing their profits; the registration fees remained in power in terms of monthly fees (416,000 HUF) despite the opposition of the pharmaceutical industry; more so, as of July 1, 2011, the fee has been increased to an annual level of 10 million HUF (33,000 EUR). Particularly domestic generic firms reacted to these fees by employing sales representatives as market researchers, while the branded firms reduced the size of their sales force; the overall number of sales representatives in Hungary fell from 2700 to 2300 because of the PEA [20]. Third, price-volume agreements based on ad-hoc negotiations between the branded firm and the NHIF-OEP were put in place already in 2003; on the request of the pharmaceutical industry, these agreements have stayed confidential despite the fact that the NHIF-OEP in principle preferred transparency. Any overspending beyond the agreed-upon expenditure (which in most cases also includes wholesalers’ and pharmacists’ margins, and value added tax [VAT]) would need to be paid by the firm to the NHIFOEP. Price-volume agreements were implemented on three levels: 1. a single product per 1 year; 2. a single product per 3 years (e.g., 20%, 35%, and 45% of the 3-year expenditure within the first, second, and the third year, respectively, although the overall expenditure remained crucial); 3. multiple products, sometimes even with multiple indications (e.g., biologics), where the payback is calculated by the market share of an individual drug within the group. Price-volume agreements have been applied by the NHIF-OEP to new entries since 2003 and essentially constituted the microcontrol of the overall prescription drug budget. In addition to these policies controlling the expenditure, that is, the “volume,” well-known price controls were strengthened by the PEA, such as internal (“therapeutic”) reference pricing, quarterly revised by the two-step “iterative” bidding process of the firms. As of July 1, 2011, the bidding has been blind, precluding firms to resubmit their prices. Demand-side control Among other demand-side policies, the PEA decreased reimbursement levels from 30% to 25%, 60% to 55%, and 90% to 85%, while to 100% reimbursement level the mandatory prescription fee in the amount of 300 HUF (1 EUR) was attached, with the maximum total prescription fee per patient per annum of 16,667 HUF (55 EUR). Socially disadvantaged patients (approximately 5% of the population) had prescription fees and co-payments covered by the special welfare fund set up by the government. Assessment of the PEA Cost-Containment Tools in Practice Overall prescription drug market We first examined the overall prescription drug market by simply assessing the change in the public expenditure and co-payments 293 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 290–299 30,000 25,000 20,000 Atorvastatin Other statins 15,000 Simvastatin 10,000 Total statin market (C10AA) 5,000 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Public expenditure for statins minus 12% rebate mio HUF 2006 2007 Atorvastatin 9,682 8,236 Other statins 6,440 3,992 Simvastatin 9,311 6,662 Total statin market (C10AA) 25,433 18,890 year-on-year change -26% Simvastatin + ezetimibe 0 183 0 0 Atorvastatin + amlodipine 2008 10,943 3,018 5,162 19,123 1% 1,096 305 2009 12,698 3,719 4,110 20,528 7% 1,585 546 2010 13,247 4,766 2,849 20,862 2% 1,861 627 Fig. 3 – Public expenditure, including 12% rebate, for statins (ATC4 group C10AA) between 2006 and 2010 [2], shown in million HUF. HUF, Hungarian forint. made by patients and to this end, we perused NHIF-OEP data, which are publicly available [2]. Co-payments are directly linked to equity because of their regressive nature. Figure 1 shows public prescription drug expenditure in Hungary between 2003 and 2010 [2]; for the sake of assessing the impact of the PEA, two counterfactual curves were derived: one for 6% annual growth rate and one for the CAGR of 16.9% for the period 2003 to 2006, which clearly indicates that the public expenditure on prescription drugs was unsustainable and that reforms were indeed mandatory. The effect of the PEA cost-containment policies due to price reductions is evident, and the cummulative amount “saved” in the period 2007 to 2010 was 399 billion HUF (1.3 billion EUR) if we take conservative 6% annual growth curve as the comparator. We modeled additional savings of the NHIF-OEP by the lump sum 12% rebate because the data on specific measures had not been available before 2010: our estimated cummulative amount in various forms of paybacks/rebates was for 2007 to 2010 155 billion HUF (510 million EUR) (Fig. 1), thus bringing the grand total savings to 554 billion HUF (1.81 billion EUR). In fact, our “12%rebate” estimate turns out to be conservative if we compare for 2010 our lump sum 12% rebate of 42 billion HUF with publicly available 2010 figures [2], which indicate that the overall OEPNHIF revenue amounted to 50.4 billion HUF (165 million EUR): The 12% rebate was actually 30.5 billion HUF (due to reductions arising from R&D investment discussed above), the total sales representative fees were 11.8 billion HUF, the wholesaler fees were 0.55 billion HUF, the price-volume agreements for products totaled 8.8 billion HUF, and there was no overall claw-back. The public expenditure for prescription drugs decreased by 18.8% in 2007 versus 2006 or by 29% (Fig. 1) if we take into account our lump sum 12%-rebate estimate; our calculation is close to the Business Monitor International report [21], which appraised that in 2007 versus 2006 the NHIF-OEP prescription drug expenditure contracted by 30.5%. As shown in Figure 1, the prescription Table 1 – Public expenditure along with out-of-pocket copayment for statins (ATC4 group C10AA) between 2006 and 2010 [2]. Total statin market Public expenditure Social welfare “co-pay” Co-payment Total market, no rebate Public expenditure minus 12% rebate Share of co-payment as of total statin drug market, rebate included (%) Year-on-year change of co-payment (%) Note. Values are in million HUF unless otherwise indicated. HUF, Hungarian forint. 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 25,433 13 3,789 29,235 25,433 13 21,466 354 4,879 26,699 18,890 20 29 21,731 464 4,639 26,834 19,123 19 5 23,327 551 5,560 29,438 20,528 21 20 23,707 647 6,373 30,727 20,862 23 15 294 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 290–299 25,000 20,000 Public expenditure 15,000 Projection /trend 04 - 06/ Social welfare "co -pay" 10,000 Co-payment Public expenditure minus 12% rebate 5,000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 atorvastatin mio HUF Public expenditure Projection /trend 04-06/ Social welfare "co-pay" Co-payment Public expenditure minus 12% rebate Share of co-payment as of total atorvastatin market, rebate included year-on-year change of co-payment 2003 2,267 2004 3,685 2005 6,496 0 908 0 612 0 845 29% 14% -33% 12% 38% 2006 9,682 9,682 6 1,492 9,682 2007 9,359 12,681 126 1,836 8,236 2008 12,435 15,679 217 2,362 10,943 2009 14,430 18,678 317 3,402 12,698 2010 15,053 21,677 389 3,935 13,247 13% 77% 18% 23% 17% 29% 21% 44% 22% 16% Fig. 4 – Public expenditure along with out-of-pocket and social welfare co-payments for atorvastatins (ATC5 group C10AA05) between 2006 and 2010 [2], shown in million HUF. A counterfactual curve based on the trend in the period 2004 to 2006 is displayed. HUF, Hungarian forint. expenditure grew moderately in the period between 2007 and 2010, with a CAGR of 5.8%. The major reason for the 18.8% decrease was extensive price cuts of both branded and generic drugs and an increase in co-payment of patients (see below). The price cuts throughout 2007 were truly extensive; in April 2007 alone, the prices of 1000 drugs were reduced on average by 16% [2]. While the overall claw-back on total public expenditure remained in place even after 2007, it has never been realized: it seems that all other measures in the view of the NHIF-OEP sufficiently contained the costs. Figure 2 shows the public prescription drug expenditure along with out-of-pocket co-payment and “co-payment” covered by the social welfare for disadvantaged population in Hungary between 2003 and 2010. The out-of-pocket co-payment increased by 14% in 2007 versus 2006, and with public expenditure falling, its share of the total prescription market surged sharply (30% in 2007 vs. 21% in 2006). As shown in Figure 2, the absolute increase in copayments in 2007 was around 15 billion HUF (50 million EUR), which is less than that estimated by the Business Monitor International report [21], putting the range at 20 to 50 billion HUF. An increase in co-payment was due to two factors: (1) decreasing the reimbursement level for a number of drugs and (2) a 300-HUF prescription fee. Co-payment was relatively stable from 2008 onwards and even slightly declined both in absolute value and in its relative share; in 2010, co-payment amounted to 26% of the total prescription drug expenditure, which is still a substantial figure [2]. Social welfare “co-payments” remained stable since 2005, being around 4% of the total prescription drug expenditure [2]. Opposition against co-payments is considerable in Hungary, and in 2008 public with large majority rejected on the referendum copayments for physicians’ visits and in-patient stays although copayments for prescription drugs were not voted on. In the survey of 2007, 11% of the people stated that prescription drug fees of 300 HUF, which are capped at an annual maximum of 16,667 HUF (55 EUR), would make otherwise fully reimbursed drugs unaffordable [15]; recent local data (in the period from April 2010 through March 2011) however showed that 97% and 75% of the population pay less than 6,667 HUF (22 EUR) and 1,667 HUF (5.5 EUR) per annum, respectively. Specific prescription drug markets In the previous section, the NHIF-OEP data provide strong evidence that the PEA resulted in cost-containment of the public expenditure for prescription drugs in Hungary. Cost-containment itself, however, may not lead to efficiencies either in the prescription drug market, let alone in the overall health care market. As is well known, cost-containment may stifle innovation, thereby reducing the dynamic efficiency; however, price reductions of off-patent drugs and their generic versions may be insufficient, allowing their prices to remain way above the marginal cost of production and thus promoting static inefficiencies [11,22,23]. Statins (Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical [ATC4] group C10AA) To assess static efficiency, we examined a group of statins (ATC4 group C10AA), and within this group in more detail atorvastatins (ATC5 group C10AA05). Statins are suitable proxies for highly genericized therapeutic group at the time of introduction of the PEA. Figure 3 shows the public expenditure for statins, taking into account the 12% rebate. Similarly as the overall market, the statin market contracted by 26% in 2007 (vs. 2006) and grew modestly at the CAGR of 2.9% in the period 2008 to 2010. Statins accounted for 8.0% of the total public expenditure in 2006 and 6.3% in 2010. In 2006, simvastatin and atorvastatin were the dominant molecules, about equal in public expenditure and jointly accounting for about 75% of the total statin market. From 2007 onwards, we have witnessed a clear shift in prescribing habits of physicians as atorvastatin became the leading molecule, reaching a market share of 63% of the entire C10AA market by 2010. The decline in 295 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 290–299 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 10 mg 20 mg 40 mg 1,000,000 80 mg 500,000 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 atorvastatin - packs-per-30-tablets equivalents 2003 10 mg 316,913 20 mg 41,473 40 mg 52,610 80 mg 0 Total mg 183,089,700 year-on-year change - total mg 2004 53,171 22,926 284,359 0 370,937,700 103% 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 102,943 217,556 275,965 393,193 456,090 460,146 165,500 499,472 730,063 1,331,798 1,773,735 1,935,304 449,340 637,291 773,674 1,194,641 1,588,795 1,755,123 13,167 32,139 62,320 80,226 97,807 97,099 700,991,600 1,206,832,700 1,598,804,100 2,543,148,300 3,342,358,800 3,638,411,400 89% 72% 32% 59% 31% 9% Fig. 5 – Number of units (in per-30-tablets equivalents) and total milligrams of atorvastatin dispensed in Hungarian pharmacies between 2003 and 2010 [2]. simvastatin is notable even if we add the uptake of combination of simvastatin and ezetimibe, which lies outside the C10AA ATC group. Table 1 outlines the public expenditure for statins along with out-of-pocket and social welfare co-payments for the period 2006 to 2010. As in the total prescription drug market, the share of outof-pocket co-payment increased from 13% in 2006 to 20% in 2007, while in the absolute amount, it increased by 29%. The hike was mostly due to higher co-payments and the unwillingness of patients to switch to cheaper substitution: study of GfK Hungaria noted that “only one tenth of population chooses their medication based on price” and while general practitioners offered cheaper alternatives to 61% of their patients, only 30% of the patients actually agreed to the substitution [21]. years among the top 10 leading molecules. In 2010, atorvastatin’s share of the total prescription market was 4.3%. Figure 4 shows the public expenditure for atorvastatin along with out-of-pocket and social welfare co-payments for the period 2003 to 2010. A counterfactual curve was constructed on the basis of average year-on-year added expenditure between 2004 and 2006: we estimate that in 2007 and 2008 alone, the PEA measures saved 9.2 billion HUF (30.6 million EUR). Out-of-pocket co-payment increased steadily since 2004, with the share of co-payment representing 12% to 14% of the total atorvastatin market. Similarly as in the total and statin market, the co-payment share increased to 18% in 2007 from 13% in 2006. So far, we have not related contracting of public expenditure to the trend in the number of atorvastatin units and one could intuitively argue that the lower expenditure simply resulted from patients failing to fulfill their prescriptions or patients covering the difference by out-of-pocket co-payment. Yet, Figure 5 shows that the total milligrams of atorvastatin issued at pharmacies grew faster (þ32%) in 2007 versus 2006 than either public Atorvastatin (ATC5 group C10AA05) Among statins, the most important single molecule is atorvastatin, which has been in the Hungarian prescription market for Table 2 – Average out-of-pocket co-payment per milligram and public expenditure per milligram (with 12% rebate included) in Hungary for all strengths (10 mg, 20 mg, 40 mg, and 80 mg) of atorvastatin between 2003 and 2010 [2]. Co-payment per milligram (HUF) Year-on-year change (%) Public expenditure per milligram (HUF), 12% rebate included Year-on-year change (%) HUF, Hungarian forint. 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 5.0 1.6 67 9.9 20 1.2 27 10.3 7 1.2 3 8.5 13 1.1 7 4.1 36 0.9 19 3.3 16 1.0 10 2.9 12 1.1 6 2.8 4 12.4 296 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 290–299 Prices (in HUN) - atorvastatin 40 mg x 30 8000 7000 6000 Off-patent originator 5000 Generic #1 Generic #2 4000 Generic #3 Generic #4 3000 Generic #5 2000 Generic #6 1000 0 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Fig. 6 – Prices (in HUF) of atorvastatin 40 mg (30 tablets) for an off-patent originator and various generic bioequivalent alternatives between January 2007 and January 2011 [2]. HUF, Hungarian forint. Table 3 – ATC5 market share of off-patent atorvastatin originator in units per strength and in public expenditure [2]. 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 41 24 92 81 21 16 64 69 0.01 0.002 27 50 0.001 14 50 53 16 Off-patent originator ATC5 market share (%) in units 10 mg 100 100 20 mg 100 99 40 mg 100 100 80 mg Off-patent originator ATC5 market share (%) in public expenditure All strengths 100 100 88 9 2009 2010 9 42 7 37 6 5 Table 4 – Number of drug firms marketing various atorvastatin strengths in the Hungarian prescription drug market between 2003 and 2010 [2]. 10 20 40 80 mg mg mg mg 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 1 1 1 0 2 2 2 0 4 4 5 3 7 8 6 3 8 8 9 4 9 10 11 4 10 11 12 4 13 13 16 4 expenditure (15%) or out-of-pocket co-payment (þ23%). The trend continued in 2008, with total milligrams increasing by 59%, public expenditure by 33%, and co-payment by 29%. In other words, this means that both the NHIF-OEP and patients were paying less per milligram than before the implementation of the PEA, as is corroborated by Table 2. Table 2 reveals two important additional trends, though: since 2009, out-of-pocket co-payment per milligram started increasing again, while the decrease in public expenditure per milligram (with included 12% rebate) markedly slowed down. Both trends clearly show the unwillingness of the off-patent branded firm and generic firms to further reduce prices. Figure 6 substantiates this claim by explicitly showing an example of the price dynamics for atorvastatin 40 mg during the period following the implementation of the PEA. The generic paradox [24,25] could not apply here because the off-patent branded drug would be delisted if its price was increased, although the branded drug does retain some premium over generics as has been noted elsewhere [11,26]. The premium of off-patent originator appears a logical choice in the Hungarian market because of patients’ relative price insensitivity. Lingering presence of the off-patent originator and price convergence of generics, however, strongly suggest that both the NHIF-OEP and patients may be financing rents to which neither the branded firm nor generic firms are entitled. But can we estimate the price that would be close to the marginal cost of production of atorvastatin without having direct access to this proprietary information? Table 3 shows the ATC5 market share of the off-patent atorvastatin originator, which encountered the first generic entries toward the end of 2004 and rapidly lost the share in 10mg and 20-mg strengths. As indicated by Table 4, the number of entries grew larger with each year and at least formally formed the conditions for the perfectly competitive market, which should drive the prices toward the marginal cost of production [27,28]. In Table 2, we can deduce that the average price 297 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 290–299 Fig. 7 – Total milligrams of long-acting atypical antipsychotics dispensed in the Hungarian prescription drug market between 2005 and 2010 [2]. Fig. 8 – Number of units of bortezomib dispensed in the Hungarian prescription drug market between 2004 and 2010 [2]. (equaling public price plus co-payment) per milligram of the then branded atorvastatin with monopoly position in the market was between 11.5 HUF (in 2004) and 17.4 HUF (in 2003). Small molecules launched in 1990s had—as a general rule of thumb— cost of goods sold (COGS) typically at 10% (or even lower) of their monopoly price. From this rather crude, but unlikely inaccurate, estimate, the price between 1.15 HUF per mg and 1.74 HUF per mg should be comfortable enough and should even retain some considerable rent for generic firms. Table 2 reveals that in 2010 the average price per mg was 4.7 HUF, about three times higher than the estimate above. On the basis of this estimate, we may conclude that the NHIF-OEP could easily save two thirds of 13.2 billion HUF (i.e., 8.8 billion HUF—29 million EUR) in its annual expenditure for atorvastatin and patients could save two thirds of their annual out-of-pocket co-payments of 2.9 billion HUF (i.e., 1.9 billion HUF—6.3 million EUR). controlled nature of growth, the long-acting atypical antipsychotic achieved in Hungary diffusion that was globally surpassed only by Spain; in April 2011, its market share in the total antipsychotic market (N05A) was 23.7% (vs. 26.7% in Spain, 17.1% in France, 13.4% in Italy, 10.9% in Germany, and 6.8% in the United Kingdom) [35]. Co-payment surged in 2007, and the absolute amount has been with an average monthly dose of 75 mg around 525 HUF (1.7 EUR), which is likely not excessive. Long-acting injectable risperidone (ATC5 group N05AX08) To examine dynamic efficiency, we first analyzed the long-acting injectable risperidone (administered once every 2 weeks), which represents a line extension of the oral risperidone, thus addressing the issue of adherence of patients suffering from schizophrenia [29–32] and associated higher hospitalization rates and costs [33,34]. The MAH/branded firm entered in 2005 into a pricevolume agreement with the NHIF-OEP, which was renewed in 2008. The controlled nature of growth is obvious from the examination of total milligrams dispensed (Fig. 7) and public expenditure including 12% rebate (Table 5). Because the NHIF-OEP did not resort to international reference pricing once the branded drug had entered the market, the price per milligram remained unchanged until the 12% rebate was mandated. In spite of the Oncology drugs (ATC5 groups L01XX32 and L01XE01) Oncology drugs are good proxies for examining dynamic efficiency; here, we will consider bortezomib (ATC5 group L01XX32). As with the long-acting atypical antipsychotic, its MAHs/branded firm entered into price-volume agreements with the NHIF-OEP in 2005 (Figure 8). Bortezomib’s consumption per capita was in 2010 in Hungary on par with that in Italy and the most developed CEE jurisdiction Slovenia, and although lower than in Spain, France, and Germany, it was markedly higher than in the United Kingdom [36]. Since 2007, co-payment amounted to 300 HUF per prescribed 3.5-mg bortezomib vial (Table 6). As with the long-acting atypical antipsychotic, the absence of international reference pricing implies that public expenditure per milligram changed only in 2007 with the introduction of the 12% rebate. Discussion To our knowledge, this is the first study to systematically evaluate the impact of the PEA in the period between 2007 and Table 5 – Public expenditure along with out-of-pocket co-payment for the long-acting atypical antipsychotic dispensed in the Hungarian prescription drug market between 2005 and 2010 [2]. 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Public expenditure Social welfare “co-pay” Co-payment Total market Public expenditure minus 12% rebate 1,093 0 0 1,093 3,168 0 0 3,168 3,633 1 24 3,658 3,197 4,067 3 26 4,096 3,579 4,546 4 27 4,578 4,001 4,950 5 29 4,984 4,356 Public expenditure per milligram (HUF), rebate included 1,133 1,128 984 983 983 983 0.3 0.0 7.2 7.1 6.7 6.4 Co-payment per milligram (HUF) Note. Values are in million HUF unless otherwise indicated. HUF, Hungarian forint. 298 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 290–299 Table 6 – Public expenditure along with out-of-pocket copayment for bortezomib dispensed in the Hungarian prescription drug market between 2005 and 2010 [2]. Public expenditure Social welfare “co-pay” Co-payment Total market Public expenditure minus 12% tax Public expenditure per milligram (HUF), rebate included Co-payment per milligram (HUF) 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 366 0 0 366 1,551 0 0 1,551 1,729 0.0 1.6 1,731 1,521 1,934 0 2 1,936 1,702 2,303 0 2 2,305 2,027 2,562 0 2 2,565 2,255 88,227 87,792 77,186 77,182 77,182 77,016 20.0 0.0 79.4 84.0 84.8 85.1 Note. Values are in million HUF unless otherwise indicated. HUF, Hungarian forint. 2010 and the results of our study could have potential implications for prescription drug policy in Hungary and other jurisdictions within CEE and EU-15 regions. There is no point denying that the NHIF-OEP managed to control the prescription drug costs by implementing the PEA in January 2007. The PEA caused a substantial decrease in prices of off-patent drugs and imposed a 12% rebate on pharmaceutical firms. While the share of out-of-pocket co-payments markedly increased and the reimbursement was lowered, the concurrent price decreases often meant that the co-payment per milligram of a given dispensed drug was actually lower than that before the act, thereby benefiting the patient. We also have no reason to believe that the cost-containment policies were excluding innovation: examples of long-acting atypical antipsychotic and bortezomib suggest that the Hungarian prescription market under the PEA has enabled diffusion of new technologies, on per-capita basis comparable to those of G-5 countries. The NHIF-OEP set up before the PEA an excellent information technology system for tracking the number of prescription drugs dispensed and associated public expenditure and co-payments; while most of the jurisdictions in the EU have in place electronic prescribing systems, the analysis provided to the public by the NHIF-OEP is exemplary in the CEE region and maybe even wider. With such accolades, it is almost impossible to resist the temptation in adopting the NHIF-OEP “model” all over Europe. The PEA, however, has some serious shortcomings, which are promoting inefficiencies. An obvious inefficiency is that the PEA is still financing excessive rents for off-patent drugs, which remain a global challenge for payers [22]. The Hungarian offpatent market reinforces in particular the general notion that regulating generic prices may lead to price convergence and inefficiencies [7,37] and that generic competition is not sufficiently fierce in a regulated environment. It may well be that the NHIF-OEP also needed to make in design of its policies “compromises” with the local pharmaceutical industry (e.g., Gedeon-Richter), which are significant local employers and contributors to local taxes. As an example, NHIFOEP’s continued efforts of international-nonproprietary-name prescribing were blocked by the dominant generic player Gedeon-Richter. A 12% rebate (currently 20% rebate and for drugs older than 5 years 30% rebate) imposed on the pharmaceutical industry deserves a comment. This was indeed a bold move that could lead to a serious unintended consequence of branded firms leaving the Hungarian market en masse as their profits and particularly profit versus net-trade-sales ratios plummeted way below the expectations of their shareholders. The fact that branded firms stayed behind indirectly speaks for the relatively low production costs of prescription drugs, which is also the reason why protection of intellectual property rights is needed [38,39]. In this way, the NHIF-OEP not only collected financial rebates but also optimized social welfare via the optimization of payments for drugs. Overall, NHIF-OEP’s 12% or even 20% rebate could be interpreted as a hostile act against mostly branded and foreign generic firms (as local generic firms are exempt from it because of their local R&D investment), which indeed led to downsizing of branded firms’ sales forces and reduction in their promotional capabilities. The advantage of the 12% rebate is in its simplicity of implementation and in avoiding legal hassle when ex-factory prices potentially decrease below the COGS—particularly of some older products with usually low expenditure but that are critical for health care (e.g., fentanyl ampoules). Another argument might be that the 12% rebate is just a starting tool that could be always accompanied by a reduction in ex-factory prices either via international reference pricing or the so-called risksharing mimicking the UK bortezomib scheme [40,41]. The PEA was launched into the milieu of co-payments while many jurisdictions in the CEE region still largely exempt patients from co-payments. When introducing co-payments de novo, the adverse effect on adherence could be severe. Also, co-payments in Hungary are collected diligently, while it may well be that administration costs of applying co-payments may exceed in some instance the amount of co-payment. Further studies would be needed to address this point. Our study has some obvious limitations. We have examined a limited number of products and one might well find the product or a group of products that would deviate from our conclusions. In fact, we are planning to extend our analysis to the wider range of ATC groups, including antihypertensives and proton pump inhibitors and a wider number of innovative drugs. We also plan to examine the impact of the reforms that were introduced after July 1, 2011, and which we have referred to in the text. One may argue that deriving the marginal cost of production from the assumption of 10% COGS is invalid and may at best apply to a limited number of drugs. A good counterargument is a real-life case from Romania in which in March 2005 the first generic after the patent expiry entered the antipsychotic market with 12% to 15% (depending on strength) of the price of the offpatent originator [42]. Other generics quickly followed by decreasing the price even below the 10% mark of the original monopoly price. Another more recent example also from the Romanian pharmaceutical market is an entry of a generic version of an oncological drug at 7% of the originator’s price [43]. Population health in Hungary is among the worst in Europe, and it may well be that the PEA might adversely contribute to the mid-term and long-term health prognosis. Our analysis cannot assess this impact. In the same way, we cannot address whether lower expenditure on drugs increased the use of other health care services (e.g., on the secondary or tertiary levels) via the so-called VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 290–299 squeezed balloon effect because we have not considered expenditures outside of the prescription drug market. Finally, which are the tools of the NHIF-OEP that could be shared with other jurisdictions in the CEE region and beyond? The overall philosophy of focusing on volume rather than price is a good guiding beacon and price-volume agreements appear to work and also provide enough room for innovation to strive. In other particulars, the tools to be shared without modifications are less obvious due to shortcomings/inefficiencies discussed above. 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VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 300–305 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Performance Assessment of Ga District Mutual Health Insurance Scheme, Greater Accra Region, Ghana Eric Nsiah-Boateng, MPH1,*, Moses Aikins, PhD2 1 Claims Department, National Health Insurance Scheme, Ashiedu Keteke Submetro Office, Accra, Ghana; 2Health Policy, Planning and Management Department, School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana AB STR A CT Objective: This study assessed performance of the Ga District Mutual Health Insurance Scheme over the period 2007-2009. Methods: The desk review method was used to collect secondary data on membership coverage, revenue, expenditure, and claims settlement patterns of the scheme. A household survey was also conducted in the Madina Township by using a self-administered semi-structured questionnaire to determine community coverage of the scheme. Results: The study showed membership coverage of 21.8% and community coverage of 22.2%. The main reasons why respondents had not registered with the scheme are that contributions are high and it does not offer the services needed. Financially, the scheme depended largely on subsidies and reinsurance from the National Health Insurance Authority for 89.8% of its revenue. Approximately 92% of the total revenue was spent on medical claims, and 99% of provider claims were settled beyond the stipulated 4-week period. Conclusions: There is an increasing trend in medical claims expenditure and lengthy delay in claims settlements, with most of them being paid beyond the mandatory 4-week period. Introduction of cost-containment measures including co-payment and capitation payment mechanism would be necessary to reduce the escalating cost of medical claims. Adherence to the 4-week stipulated period for payment of medical claims would be important to ensure that health care providers are financially resourced to deliver continuous health services to insured members. Furthermore, resourcing the scheme would be useful for speedy vetting of claims and also, community education on the National Health Insurance Scheme to improve membership coverage and revenue from the informal sector. Introduction though implementation in terms of access to benefits began in November 2005 [3–5]. Its policy objective is that “within the next five years, every resident of Ghana shall belong to a health insurance scheme that adequately covers him or her against the need to pay out-of-pocket at point of service use in order to obtain access to a defined package of acceptable quality health services” [6]. The NHIS was designed as a mandatory health insurance system, with risk pooling across district schemes, funded from members’ contributions and a levy on the valueadded tax charged on selected goods and services [3–6]. As a key social sector initiative to support the Ghana Poverty Reduction Strategy II policy objective of ensuring sustainable financial arrangements that protect the poor, the NHIS’s performance and long-term sustainability are significant. The performance assessment of the scheme is also key to Ghana’s attainment of the Millennium Development Goals 1, 3, 4, and 5. Since its full implementation in 2005, the NHIS has been facing major structural and administrative challenges, including significant delays in issuing membership cards; lack of a uniform contribution system across schemes, which has implications for portability and equity within the national scheme; and Many low- and middle-income countries are challenged with how to finance their health care systems to achieve universal coverage of health services. In 2005, the member states of the World Health Organization adopted a resolution encouraging countries to develop health financing systems aimed at providing universal coverage [1]. This was defined as securing access for all to appropriate promotive, preventive, curative, and rehabilitative services at an affordable cost. In the 1990s, a number of mutual health organizations were established in Ghana, with funding and technical support from external partners. Most of these mutual health organizations, however, primarily focused on providing financial protection against the potentially catastrophic costs of a limited range of inpatient services for the disadvantaged people in society [2]. The National Health Insurance Scheme (NHIS) was introduced in 2004 to build on these organizations and provide comprehensive health services to all citizens in Ghana [3]. The National Health Insurance Act, Act 650, was passed into law in Ghana in 2003 through the Legislative Instrument (LI 1809), Keywords: claims settlements, Ghana, membership coverage, National Health Insurance Scheme.. Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. * Address correspondence to: Eric Nsiah-Boateng, MPH, Claims Department, National Health Insurance Scheme, Ashiedu Keteke Submetro Office, Derby Avenue, Accra, Ghana. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.005 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 300–305 considerable delays in provider claims reimbursement [3,7,8]. An independent health sector review report shows that at the end of 2008, the health facilities had outstanding claims worth GH¢49 million [7]. A number of initiatives and activities by researchers and development partners aimed at tackling performance challenges facing the District Mutual Health Insurance Schemes (DMHISs) have taken place. Most of these research and initiatives, however, focused on inventories of DMHISs and access, utilization, and quality of care and were largely uncoordinated. Moreover, key findings and associated recommendations were left unimplemented [9]. Therefore, little is known about performance elements of membership coverage, revenue mobilization, expenditure, and medical claims settlements of the DMHISs. The study aimed at filling this gap by providing performance assessment of Ga DMHIS. According to the 2010 NHIS Annual Report, there are 145 DMHISs nationwide, with 10 in the Greater Accra region [10]. The Ga DMHIS is the biggest DMHIS in the Greater Accra region in terms of catchment area. The Ga district has a large number of suburban and rural communities, making it suitable for this study. Madina is the largest cosmopolitan settlement in the district, which also made it appropriate for the household survey. This article reports performance assessment of the scheme for the 2007-2009 period and recommendations for improving its operations. Conceptual Framework The conceptual framework for the study was adopted from the World Health Organization proposed framework for health systems performance assessment and modified to reflect the International Labour Organization’s core performance indicators for assessing social health insurance schemes [11,12]. According to the framework, high membership coverage, high revenue base, low expenditure, and prompt settlement of provider claims enhance performance ratios such as coverage rate, renewal rate, expense ratio, and claims ratio, which, in turn, results in high performance and an improved health status of the target population (Fig. 1). 301 Data Collection Method Desk review Documents on membership, operational reports, audited reports, financial statements, and claims payment books of the scheme were reviewed. The registration files were reviewed in terms of the number of people registered, number of membership cards issued, and number of renewals for each year under review. The audited accounts for 2007-2008 and unaudited accounts for 2009 were examined for total contribution collected, subsidies received from the National Health Insurance Authority (NHIA), donor support, and other internally generated funds. Information on administrative expenditure and medical bills was also collected. The claims submission registers and claims payments for 2009 were reviewed to determine the number of days between submission of claims and reimbursement. Face-to-face interview A community household survey was conducted in the Madina Township to determine the community coverage rate. A multistage sampling method was used to select the study subjects. In all, 376 household heads were sampled on the basis of an estimated prevalence rate of 43% membership coverage, a confidence level of 95%, and 5% margin of error. The questionnaire covered background characteristics and membership in the NHIS. The household membership section looked at knowledge on the NHIS, membership status, and reasons for not enrolling into the scheme. Data Analysis The performance indicators for the study were analyzed as follows. Coverage rate Membership files for the period 2007-2009 were reviewed to determine the total number of valid card-bearing members in each year. The coverage rate was determined by dividing the total number of valid card-bearing members in each year by the estimated district population in the same year. Methods Community coverage rate Study Area This was estimated by dividing the total number of participants with valid membership cards as of March 2010 by the total number of participants interviewed. The study was conducted at Ga DMHIS and Madina Township, all in the Ga district of the Greater Accra region. The Ga DMHIS has a staff strength of nine and 74 contracted health care providers. The Ga district lies in the northern part of the Greater Accra region and is bounded in the north by Akuapim South district, in the east by Tema Municipal, and in the south by Accra Metropolis. It has three subdistricts, namely, Ga South, Ga East, and Ga West, with 594 communities comprising mixed settlements: urban, periurban, and rural areas. The district has an estimated population of 891,609 and a growth rate of 4.4%. There are 58 health facilities in the district comprising public, private, and Christian Health Association of Ghana facilities. The main economic activities in the district are public service, trading, farming, and craftsmanship. Study Design The study was a cross-sectional survey of households and a retrospective analysis of membership, revenue, and expenditure records of the Ga DMHIS for the period 2007-2009. The study population consisted of membership data of Ga DMHIS and selected heads of surveyed households in the Madina Township. Annual revenue This was estimated by adding the total amount of money collected from contributors, received from the NHIA and other donor agencies, and investment returns in each year of the period under review (2007–2009). Annual expenditure This was estimated by adding administrative expenses and medical claims expenses in each year of the period 2007-2009. The administrative expenses comprised salaries, membership cards’ processing cost, and other operational costs, while the medical claims expenses constituted payment of outpatient, inpatient, specialized medical services and essential medicines in the NHIS minimum benefit package. Expense ratio This was estimated by dividing the total administrative expenses incurred in each year by the total amount of contributions collected in the same year for the period 2007-2009. 302 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 300–305 High membership coverage High renewal rate and growth rate -Registered members with valid ID Cards High revenue -Premium -NHIA subsidy Low expense ratio and claims ratio -Other income High performance Low expenditure Improved health status of the population -Administrative -Medical bills (claims) Prompt provider claims settlement Fig. 1 – Conceptual framework for assessment of Ga DMHIS. DMHIS, District Mutual Health Insurance Scheme; NHIA, National Health Insurance Authority. Claims ratio This was estimated by dividing the total medical claims expenses incurred in each year by the total amount of contributions collected in the same year for the period 2007-2009. Combined ratio This was calculated by adding the expense ratio and the claims ratio. Promptness of claims settlements All provider claims submitted within the October-December 2009 period were reviewed to determine the number of days it took to settle them. The settlements days for each provider claim were grouped according to a defined schedule of 0 to 28 days, and more than 28 days. Based on the stipulated period of 4 weeks for claims settlements, all claims paid within 0 to 28 days were considered as prompt payment and those paid beyond 28 days as delayed payment. Ethical consideration Ethical clearance for the study was obtained from Ghana Health Service Ethical Review Committee on Research Involving Human Subjects. Approval was sought from the Ga DMHIS to use its data, and permission was sought from the Municipal Health Services to conduct the household survey in the Madina Township. Participants were informed of the objective of the study and that they were free to participate and to leave at any point. A total of 365 household heads out of the 376 sampled voluntarily provided signed informed consent and were interviewed. Table 1 – Membership by category (2007–2009). Year District population Formal sector Informal sector (18–69 y) SSNIT pensioners Aged (≥70 y) Younger than 18 y Indigent Pregnant women Total coverage (%) 2007 2008 2009 749,022 782,715 817,924 4,957 9,794 15,943 19,035 42,318 55,561 237 1,171 3,484 1,990 4,027 7,909 25,598 47,240 63,512 831 2,920 2,920 NA 11,997 28,594 7.0 15.3 21.8 NA, not applicable (the free maternal care policy was introduced in 2008); SSNIT, Social Security and National Insurance Trust. 303 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 300–305 Table 2 – Reasons for not registering with the Ga DMHIS. Reason (n ¼ 284) Revenue and expenditure In all, the expenditure of the scheme for the period under study exceeded the revenue. This occurred in 2007 and 2008 but was reversed in 2009 by a significant increase in NHIA support (Fig. 2). In 2009, the scheme generated 60.9% of the total revenue and expended 41.8%. The total revenue generated and the expenditure incurred for the period under study were GH¢12.8 million and GH¢13.7 million, respectively. % Contribution is expensive Not sick now Hospital is too far Treat elsewhere Does not offer services needed Belong to other district scheme (NHIS) Total 35.3 10.5 1.0 9.5 33.2 10.5 100 Annual revenue While proportions of NHIA support in the form of subsidy for the exempt group and reinsurance for claims payment increased significantly from 82.9% in 2008 to 93.9% in 2009, contributions collected and other income generated showed a decreasing trend (Fig. 3). DMHIS, District Mutual Health Insurance Scheme; NHIS, National Health Insurance Scheme. Limitations of the study Annual expenditure First, there were no separate data for active and nonactive members between the 2007 and 2008 period, making it difficult to determine the true membership coverage of card-bearing members in that period. Second, the financial audit report for 2009 was not available; hence, revenue and expenditure data were retrieved from account ledger books and financial statements, which might not give the true picture of financial flows in 2009. The main expenditure areas of the scheme were administrative and medical claims. The total expenditure for the period under review doubled from GH¢2.2 million in 2007 to GH¢5.8 million in 2008, and dropped slightly in 2009 (i.e., GH¢5.7 million) (Table 3). The proportion of administrative expenses showed a downward trend from 18.2% in 2007 to 3.6% in 2009, while that of medical claims expenses went up from 81.8% in 2007 to 96.4% in 2009. Claims settlements Results About 99% of 38,737 medical claims reviewed for the period October-December 2009 were paid beyond the stipulated period of 28 days for claims settlements. Coverage Rate Expense, claims, and combined ratios In general, the membership coverage of the scheme increased from 7% in 2007 to 21.8% in 2009 (Table 1). The number of registered members, however, dropped from 8.3 percentage points in the first year (2007–2008) to 6.5 in the second year (2008–2009). In all, the informal sector constituted one-third of the registered members; there were no registrations of pregnant women in 2007 and indigent in 2009. The expense ratio showed a downward trend from 2.7 in 2007 to 0.7 in 2009, while the claims ratio increased from 12.2 in 2007 to 18.1 in 2009 (Table 4). The combined ratio, which is the sum of the expense ratio and the claims ratio, increased from 15.0 in 2007 to 18.8 in 2009. Discussion The membership of the scheme is categorized into formal sector workers, informal sector workers, pensioners, the aged (70 years and older), children younger than 18 years, indigent, and pregnant women. The membership coverage increased over the period under study, driven mainly by the exempt groups: children younger than 18 years, the aged, indigent, and pregnant women; only one-third of the informal sector group who pays contributions is registered. The increasing trend in annual membership Community coverage rate Out of the total number of 365 household heads who participated in the survey, 81 (22.2%) were registered members with valid ID cards. The main reasons why some of the respondents had not registered with the scheme were “contribution is expensive” and “does not offer services needed” (Table 2). 70 60.9 Percentage (%) 60 50 41.8 42 40 26.9 30 20 16.3 12.2 10 0 2007 Revenue (GHc 2008 Years 2009 Expenditure (GHc Fig. 2 – Revenue and expenditure status (2007–2009). 304 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 300–305 100% 90% 80% Percentage 70% 60% 50% 84.9 82.9 93.9 2007 2008 2009 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Year Contributions collected NHIA support Other income Fig. 3 – Revenue distribution of the scheme (2007–2009). NHIA, National Health Insurance Authority. coverage is good for membership growth and development of the scheme as shown in previous studies [11,13,14]. It indicates that registered members have accepted the NHIS program and are ready to pool their resources to seek a measure of protection from the risks that they face [13]. The small proportion of registered informal group who pays contributions, however, could affect the revenue base and presents long-term sustainability problems [3]. In spite of the increasing trend in annual membership coverage, the number of registered members declined from 8.3 percentage points in the first year (2007–2008) to 6.5 in the second year (2008– 2009), a trend found in other studies [3,8,15]. The cause of this decline in membership registration could be attributed to reasons found in the household survey. The household survey shows a membership coverage of 22%, which gives credence to that obtained from the desk review at the scheme office. Most of the respondents considered the annual contribution of the scheme, which ranges from GH¢ 10.00 to GH¢24.00, as expensive, and hence they did not register for the scheme. Others believe that the scheme does not offer the services that they need or are simply not sick; hence, they do not see the need to register. These reasons show that respondents do not understand the importance of the NHIS; therefore, continuous community education would be useful to sensitize people on the role that health insurance plays in stabilizing their situation. In relation to revenue, the main sources are support from the NHIA in the form of subsidy and reinsurance, contributions from the informal sector, and internally generated funds such as membership cards’ processing fees and interest on investments. The total revenue of the scheme increased significantly over the study period, which is good for growth and long-term sustainability as evidenced in a study by Guy [4]. In spite of the annual increase in revenue, NHIA support was the predominant contributing factor, which constitutes about 90% of total revenue of the Table 3 – Expenditure status of the scheme (2007– 2009). Year 2007 2008 2009 Administrative expense (%) 18.2 8.9 3.6 Medical claims expense (%) 81.8 91.1 96.4 Total expenditure (GH¢) 2,232,163.34 5,757,550.21 5,732,104.33 scheme. In absolute terms, the contributions collected and other income generated increased in the first year (2007–2008) and declined in the second year (2008–2009), which might be due to a similar trend observed in the membership registration, particularly informal sector registration. The decline in contributions from the informal sector, if it continues in subsequent years, would reduce the revenue base and cause further days in the payment of provider claims. In the long term, it could threaten the financial viability of the scheme if support from the NHIA goes down. These trends in revenue were also found in the study by Witter and Garshong [3]. The main expenditure areas of the scheme are administrative expenses and medical claims expenses. The annual expenditure went up in the first year of the study period and dropped slightly in the second year. The total expenditure, however, exceeded revenue, with medical claims expenses as the major contributing factor. This trend in the scheme’s expenditure was also seen in the estimation of the expense and medical claims ratios. The combined ratio increased consistently over the study period, with medical claims ratio as the driving force. The increasing trend in medical expenses could pose a serious financial challenge to the scheme. In the long term, it may result in diminished social protection and value to the insured members. The change in claims payment mechanism from fee-for-service to Diagnostic Related Groupings and an upward review of the medicine price list in 2008 might partly account for the high medical claims expenditure observed in 2008 [3]. According to the 2010 independent health sector review, claims for medicines totaled 60% of all claims in 2009 [7]. These factors contributed to a growth in distressed schemes and failure to pay outstanding provider claims in 2008 [3]. As emphasized earlier, it would be important for the scheme to attract more members and to retain them over long periods during which they consume no or few services [16]. The increasing rate of medical bills expenditure as explained by the management is due to 1) comprehensive benefit package with no co-payment mechanism to control cost; 2) ineffective gatekeeper system, which contributes to increase in health care utilization and cost at secondary and tertiary facilities; and 3) client and health care provider abuse. The claims settlements pattern of the scheme shows lengthy delays in the payment of provider claims. According to the NHIS Legislative Instrument (LI 1809), the stipulated period for vetting and payment of claims is 4 weeks after receipt of the claims from a health care provider [5]. About 99% of sampled claims submitted within October-December 2009, however, were settled beyond the mandatory period. Because the main source of income for health VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 300–305 Table 4 – Expense, claims, and combined ratios (2007–2009). Year 2007 2008 2009 Expense ratio 2.7 1.4 0.7 Claims ratio 12.2 14.0 18.1 Combined ratio 14.9 15.4 18.8 care providers is the internally generated fund that comes from claims reimbursed by the NHIA, this situation would affect their revenue base and may result in poor delivery of health service to insured members [7]. Delays in claims settlements remains a problem in most of the DMHISs, and this has raised acute problems of bankruptcy of certain providers and lack of trust by suppliers [7]. It has been found that paying claims promptly is an important aspect of service and good value [17]. It is also an essential element of the financial incentives of health care providers and as a result, a key factor affecting provider behavior [18]. Early settlement of provider claims will enable health care providers to render continuous service to insured members. More often, health care providers require funds immediately after the provision of service; hence, significant delays in claims settlements may force them to take other measures that defeat the purpose of the scheme [17]. For instance, they may indulge in unhealthy practices including extortion of money from insured members and refusing health care services to insured members. These provider-abuse practices may affect the renewal rate because dissatisfied insured members see no value in the scheme and as such are less likely to renew their memberships [13]. Since its introduction in 2004, the NHIS has partly accounted for reduction in availability of Government of Ghana resources for operations and public health activities of health care providers because service claims reimbursed by the NHIS cover some of the facility-based operational costs [7]. The scheme has also been a contributory factor to delays in the release of funds from the central government, which affects the implementation of planned activities of health care providers. According to the Ministry of Health, by December 2009, the ministry received only 20% of expected transfers from the National Health Insurance Fund, mainly because of delays in inflows in the National Health Insurance Fund [7]. As a result, health care providers largely depend on claims reimbursement funds to cope with the significant increase in health cost and workload. Further delays in claims payment by the DMHISs will therefore cause cash problems for health care providers. The factors contributing to delays in claims settlements as explained by the management of the scheme were delays in the transfer of subsidies and reinsurance from the NHIA, large volumes of medical claims, inadequate number of personnel, and ineffective claims processing software. The review of the medical claims showed that the scheme receives an average volume of 30,000 claims per month, which makes it practically challenging to vet and settle payments within the mandatory 28 days. These factors were also found to be contributing to delays associated with provider claims settlements in 2009 [7]. Conclusions There are increasing trends in membership coverage and revenue that are largely driven by the exempt groups and subsidies from the NHIA, respectively. The medical claims expenditure is increasing with significant delays in settlement. Introduction of cost-containment measures including copayments and capitation payment mechanism would be necessary to reduce the escalating cost of medical claims. 305 Adherence to the stipulated 4-week period for claims payment would also be important to ensure that health care providers are financially resourced to deliver continuous health services to insured members. Furthermore, the scheme should be adequately resourced to ensure speedy vetting of medical claims and also to facilitate community education in the district to improve membership coverage and revenue from the informal sector. Acknowledgments We acknowledge contributions of the management and staff of Ga DMHIS, field workers, and field supervisors. We thank the Ga East District Director of Health Services for permitting us to conduct the household survey in the Madina Township and the staff of Madina Polyclinic for their support in the recruitment and training of field workers. Source of financial support: This study was self-financed by the authors. The views expressed in this article are those of the authors. R EF E R EN C ES [1] World Health Organization. Sustainable Health Financing, Universal Coverage and Social Health Insurance [A58/33]. Geneva, Switzerland: World Health Organization, 2005. [2] Atim C, Grey S, Apoya P, et al. A Survey of Health Financing Schemes in Ghana. Bethesda, MD: Partners for Health Reformplus Project, Abt Associates, Inc., 2001. [3] Witter S, Garshong B. Something old or something new? Social health insurance in Ghana (Article). BMC Int Health Hum Rights 2009;9:20. [4] Republic of Ghana. National Health Insurance Scheme Act, Act 650. Accra, Ghana: Ghana Publishing Corporation, 2003. [5] Republic of Ghana. National Health Insurance Scheme, Legislative Instrument, LI 1809. Accra, Ghana: Ghana Publishing Corporation, 2004. [6] Ministry of Health. National Health Insurance Policy Framework for Ghana, Revised Version. Accra, Ghana: Ministry of Health, 2004. [7] Ministry of Health. Independent Review: Health Sector Programme of Work 2009, Ghana. Accra, Ghana: Ministry of Health, April 2010:8–19. [8] Ministry of Health. Independent Review: Health Sector Programme of Work 2007, Ghana. Report. Accra, Ghana: Ministry of Health, April 2008:54–8. [9] National Health Insurance Authority (NHIA) and Development Partners (DP). Ghana National Insurance Scheme: joint development mission. Aide Memoire 2007. Available at: http://www.snvworld.org/sites/www. snvworld.org/files/publications/5.ghana_national_health_insurance_ scheme_joint_dp_mission_aide_memoire.pdf. [Accessed August 30, 2013]. [10] National Health Insurance Scheme. Annual Report 2010. Accra, Ghana: National Health Insurance Authority, 2011. [11] Wealth Health Organization. World Health Report 2000. Health Systems: Improving Performance. Health Financing Policy Issue Paper. Geneva, Switzerland: Wealth Health Organization, 2000. [12] International Labour Organization. Performance Indicators of Statutory Social Insurance Schemes: Global Extension of Social Security. Working Paper 2009. [13] Wipf J, Garand D. Performance Indicators for Microinsurance: A Handbook for Microinsurance Practitioners. Luxembourg: ADA asbl, 2008. [14] Guy C. Social health insurance in developing countries: a continuing challenge. Int Soc Secur Rev 2002;55:2. [15] Yevutsey SK, Akins M. Financial viability of District Mutual Health Insurance Schemes of Lawra and Sissala East Districts, Upper West Region, Ghana. Ghana Med J 2010;44(4):130–7. [16] Dror D. Health insurance for the poor through community schemes—is it viable? Defining an agenda for poverty reduction. Proc First Asia Pacific Forum Poverty 2007;2:193–208. [17] CGAP Working Group on Microinsurance. Performance Indicators for Microinsurance Practitioners. Luxembourg: ADA asbl, 2006; Workshop report. October 16–17, 2006. [18] Kwon S. Thirty years of national health insurance in South Korea: lessons for achieving universal health care coverage. Health Policy Planning 2009;24:63–71. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 306–311 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri The Process of Privatization of Health Care Provision in Poland Krzysztof Kaczmarek, PhD1, Hannah Flynn, MPH2, Edyta Letka-Paralusz, MA3, Krzysztof Krajewski-Siuda, MD, PhD4,5, Christian A. Gericke, MD, PhD6,7,8, 1 Department of Health Policy, Medical University of Silesia, Katowice, Poland; 2PenCLAHRC, National Institute for Health Research, Plymouth University Schools of Medicine and Dentistry, Plymouth, UK; 3Department of Public Health, Medical University of Silesia, Katowice, Poland; 4Sobieski Institute, Warsaw, Poland; 5 University of Information Technology and Management, Rzeszow, Poland; 6The Wesley Research Institute, Brisbane, Australia; 7University of Queensland School of Population Health, Brisbane, Australia; 8Queensland University of Technology School of Public Health, Brisbane, Australia AB STR A CT Objectives: In January 1999, a new institutional structure for Poland's health care system was laid out, instigated by the dramatic change in both the political and economic system. Following the dissolution of state socialism, private financing of health care services was encouraged to fill an important role in meeting rising consumer demand and to encourage a more efficient use of resources through competition and private initiative. However, from the outset of the intended transformations, systemic limitations to the privatization process hindered progression, resulting in varying rates of privatization amongst the distinct health care sectors. The aim of this paper is to describe the privatization process and to analyze its pace and differences in strategic approach in all major health care sectors. Methods: Policy analysis of legislation, government directives, and published national and international scientific literature on Polish health reforms between 1999 and 2012 was conducted. Results: The analysis demonstrates a clear disparity in privatization rates in different sectors. The pharmaceutical industry is fully privatized in 2012, and the ambulatory and dental sectors both systematically increased their private market shares to around 70% of all services provided. However, despite a steady increase in the number of private hospitals in Poland since 1999, their overall role in the health care system is comparatively limited. Conclusions: Unclear legal regulations have resulted in a gray area between public and private health care, where informal payments impede the intended function of the system. If left unchanged, official health care in Poland is likely to become an increasingly residual service for the worst-off population segments that are unable to afford the legal private sector or the informal payments which guarantee a higher quality service in the public sector. Introduction Initial Drivers for Health Care Reform On January 1, 1999, a new institutional structure for Poland’s health care system was founded, instigated by a dramatic change in both the political system and the economic system [1]. In the years preceding such change, a state-funded and centralized health care system had operated where the public sector had dominated in terms of both funding and service provision. The collapse of state socialism in 1989 because of increased opposition and a failing economy, however, had severe consequences on the state’s ability to provide health care coverage [2]. This resulted in a growing imbalance between the needs expressed by the population and the system’s ability to meet them, exacerbated by the ever-increasing cost of health care service provision. In an attempt to address this, Poland transformed the health care system and encouraged competition and private initiative [3,4]. From the outset of the intended transformations, however, systemic limitations to the privatization process have hindered progression. This has resulted in varying rates of privatization among the distinct health care sectors and an ambiguous relationship between public and private health care provision. During state socialism, Poland, like many other Soviet bloc nations, adopted the Semashko model for health care [5]. Statefunded through taxation and heavily centralized, this particular system was designed with the intention of guaranteeing egalitarian health care coverage for the entire population. After the dissolution of the Soviet Union, however, Poland along with many other Central European countries suffered severe economic difficulties that significantly affected health care provision [6]. Because of cuts in government expenditure and a shortage of providers, public health care facilities became overcrowded and had long waiting lists, scarce medical supplies, and out-of-date technologies [7]. Receptive to this, Poland began to allow limited private providers to manage demand for public health services [8]. The principal idea envisaged was to establish a new set of institutions and market-type mechanisms that would ensure a more efficient use of productive assets by creating stronger incentives arising from ownership, thereby increasing productivity and efficiency [3,9,10]. This signaled an initial step toward privatization, defined as follows: “the transfer of ownership and Keywords: health care provision, health care reform, health policy, Poland, privatization. Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Christian Gericke, The Wesley Research Institute, PO Box 499, Toowong QLD 4066, Australia. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.001 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 306–311 control of government or state assets, firms and operations to private investors” [11]. After this, the public sector gradually began to devolve further until budgeting of health care services was replaced with an insurance-based system of financing. Undoubtedly, this radically changed the population’s right to health services, as access was instantly linked to registration with a mandatory health insurance and payment of contributions [5]. As insurance funds were initially regional and given autonomy, conditions were set for private sector service provision, which then intensified as official out-of-pocket payments for health services were started [12]. Alongside hospitals, clinics, and health centers, foundations or voluntary associations were established, which accepted payments for performing better quality or difficult-to-access services. This divided health care provision into both public and private, with a gray sphere of informal payments emerging between the two [2] that continued a long-standing history of informal payments in the socialist health system. In the 2007 Stefan Batory Foundation’s Corruption Barometer, 78 (9%) of 870 respondents declared that they had made informal payments in the last year, 52% of which were for informal payments in health care [13]. In the larger Social Diagnosis panel of 3000 Polish households, 1.8% of households declared informal payments in 2007, 1.3% in 2009, and 1.7% in 2011 [14]. In 2011, the average informal payment for health services was estimated at 1244 Polish Zloty (300 euros) per year and household. Furthermore, 18.1% of households declared that they refrained from purchasing necessary medicines, 17.3% could not afford dental treatment, and 13.9% could not afford medical treatment [14]. 307 care facilities from the central administration units to the local self-governments, enabling them at the same time (under some conditions) to transform those facilities into private entities. These laws include ● the law of March 8, 1990, on local self-government [19]; ● the law of November 24, 1995, on a change in the range of responsibilities of some cities on the municipal areas of public services [20]; ● the law of June 5, 1998, on regional self-government [21]; and ● the law of June 5, 1998, on district self-government [22]. None of these legal acts, however, has directly and systematically regulated the issue of privatization of health care facilities. This has resulted in a process that is complicated, legally unclear, and vulnerable to abuses, particularly in the case of hospitals that are the most controversial in terms of their privatization. During the last decade, successive governments have tried on three occasions to establish such a law but none of these efforts has been successful, each time being blocked during the legislative process, or even earlier, at the stage of preparation. In its first attempt, the Ministry of Health tried to implement obligatory transformation of all health care organizations into commercial law companies, entitled “Law on Commercialisation and Privatisation of Independent Public Health Care Facilities (2001).” Nevertheless, because of unfavorable political conditions (forthcoming elections, a breakdown of the governing coalition, and a strong political disintegration), the project was withdrawn and replaced with a less radical approach. Progress of Privatization in Poland Legal Basis for Privatization Between 1989 and 2001, approximately 20 new laws relating to health care provision were adopted in Poland, which facilitated the development of the private sector. In particular, the law of July 13, 1990, which related to the privatization of state enterprises [15], and after its abolition the law of August 30, 1996, which related to the commercialization and privatization of state enterprises [16], were exceptionally influential in instigating the privatization process. Although these acts did not directly refer to health care services, they drew a general framework for the process of privatization in Poland after the fall of communism. The most important and far-reaching legislative acts to affect health care were those that shaped the contracting environment. The Health Care Organisation Act passed in 1991 introduced contracting in place of administrative relationships, allowing private surgeries and organizations to sign contracts for the provision of services to people entitled to care financed from public resources [17]. In doing so, categories of entities authorized to provide health services (including those that are established by nonpublic entities or individuals) were defined, as well as the technical requirements that such entities must fulfill. This was followed by perhaps the most influential act—The General Health Insurance Act 1999, which introduced a social health insurance system in Poland of 16 regional sickness funds and 1 sickness fund for employees of military services [18]. This caused a vast increase in the number of private organizations holding public contracts because the regional sickness funds were allowed to contract services with private health care institutions as long as they met the required conditions and offered cheaper service costs [8]. This was the first time private providers were able to act within the public system of financing health services. In addition to these, a package of laws regulating the competences of local self-government units have since been passed, which have gradually transferred the ownership duties of health An analysis of the scale of privatization in the Polish health care system shows significant disparity between the different health care sectors. Changes in the pharmaceutical sector and in ambulatory, dental, and hospital care differ in terms of pace, strategic approach, and public resistance. To understand these fundamental differences, each sector will be discussed separately. Pharmaceutical sector. The commercialization of health services began with the privatization of the pharmaceutical industry. This was based on the Freedom of Economic Activity Act (1988), which came into fruition at the very beginning of the postcommunist transformation period [23]. Around the same time, the number of private pharmacies accounted for approximately 43.9% of the total number. Following a program implemented in 1994 devoted to the privatization of pharmacies, however, almost all pharmaceutical outlets belonging to the Treasury have subsequently been privatized [24]. This dynamic transformation in pharmacy ownership between 1990 and 2006 is illustrated in Fig. 1. Since the introduction of co-payments for dental care, patients have started to purchase services offered by private practices and clinics more willingly, even when required to cover the total cost of the treatment. In doing so, they are able to receive a faster and perceived better quality treatment. Because of this high acceptability, the private dental sector developed quickly in the early 1990s. After the Law on Social Health Insurance came into force in 1999, private dental practices started to offer treatment contracted within the Social Health Insurance system. As a result, the number of facilities offering services that are available only for out-of-pocket payments has started to decrease gradually since 1999 [25]. Currently, more than 80% of the active dentists work in the private sector and approximately 85% of the services are provided by nonpublic providers [26]. 308 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 306–311 Fig. 1 – Dynamics changes in pharmacy ownership between 1990 and 2006. Ambulatory care. Until 1990, hospitals were responsible for the delivery of specialist outpatient services as well as for laboratory and imaging diagnostics. The separation of hospitals and ambulatory care was the first step toward the transformation of service provision. This subsequently offered a great opportunity to invest in the ambulatory care infrastructure when previously inpatient services that are in general more expensive than outpatient services had received financial priority. In the mid-1990s, the process of privatization was directed toward outpatient care. In the first phase of the process, nonpublic facilities were established mainly by individuals (doctors, nurses, and other medical practitioners) and companies, who became responsible and accountable for providing health care services [27]. Later, the local self-government units joined the process by transforming the facilities they owned when the package of laws reforming the system of public administration came into force. These were, however, based on legal regulations that enabled only large cities to do so in 1995 and all other local government units from 1999 onward. This coincided, however, with the introduction of the Social Health Insurance Law in 1999, which enabled nonpublic health care providers to enter into contracts with public insurers [28]. This allowed self-government units to privatize their ambulatory care facilities in two distinct ways: 1. The first involves holistic transformation of the public entity through its liquidation. In this case, the duty to provide services is transferred to a private entity together with ownership of the technical infrastructure. Formally, the unit that opts for such a procedure must adopt a resolution to liquidate the facility as well as to define the procedure of its transfer to the nonpublic entity [29]. 2. The second method involves separation of the service provision from the structures of the facility and a transfer of the provision function to a private entity. Contrary to the first method, in this case the self-government unit does not liquidate the facility but adopts a resolution on its restructuration. Formally, the infrastructure ownership remains public [28]. In view of the above-mentioned legal changes, ambulatory care privatization has been accelerated since the mid-1990s. This is illustrated in Fig. 2, which highlights the increase in the number of private ambulatory care providers since 1990. As stated previously, the past two decades have seen an immense increase in the number of private ambulatory care facilities in Poland. In 1990, 4.5% of the ambulatory care facilities were privately operated; by 2008 this had increased to 77.8% [26]. The increase in privately owned facilities was particularly fast during the period between 1999 and 2002 before stabilizing to an approximate increase of 3% each year. During this time, public facilities decreased by approximately 47.5% [26]. Currently, the private sector is dominating outpatient care, which is illustrated by the number of services provided. In 2008, a total of 290,553,000 services were provided; of these, 202,785,000 were provided by private facilities, meaning that services provided by public facilities account for only 30% of all services provided [30]. Hospital care. The postwar history of private hospitals in Poland is relatively linear. Those that resumed activity after 1945 were closed a few years later because the government continued to transform both the economic and the health system into the Semashko model. The networks of private providers, however, started to reestablish themselves after the fall of communism in the 1990s. The first private hospitals were established between 1993 and 1994 and began their operations as single departments established mostly alongside outpatient health centers, and only later developed further more advanced services. The process of the development of the private sector in inpatient care is much slower than in the other sectors previously described. The main reason behind this largely relates to the extent of the higher financial risk and investment required, and the widespread existence of political beliefs opposing hospital privatization. Perhaps most significantly, there is often a public and political unwillingness toward hospital privatization that is of particular concern for postcommunist countries. During the communist period, health care was generally considered to be a “social service” that should not be determined by economic measures of efficiency 309 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 306–311 Fig. 2 – Structure of the ownership of ambulatory care facilities in Poland (1990–2008). [31]. Consequently, strong public opposition remains one of the key barriers to the privatization of health care, driven by beliefs that which makes them so-called nonpublic self-government-owned hospitals. The difference between such an organization and a traditional one is that these hospitals are acting as companies under commercial law and not as the “independent public health care facilities” as it was before they were restructured. Table 1 summarizes the dynamics of the development of the nonpublic hospital sector in Poland over the past two decades. Of the 120 nonpublic hospitals currently operating in Poland, 77 are those that have been restructured by local self-government units. This constitutes 64.2% of the number of private hospitals and 10.4% of the total number of private hospitals in Poland [26]. In recent years, the general share of private hospitals equates to approximately 20% of the total, and when taking the number of beds into consideration, it is less than 6%. In 2007, nonpublic hospitals signed contracts with the social health insurance funds for an amount of more than 600 million Polish Zloty (145 million euros), which equates to approximately 3.2% of the total public resources spent on hospital care [26]. ● hospital services are of a specific nature and they should not be subject to a profit motive; ● private hospitals are acting mainly for the profit of their owners, which is in conflict with the mission of health care facilities; ● privatization of hospitals equals charging patients for the services; and ● nonpublic hospitals are unwilling to provide highly complex medical procedures because of their unprofitability, which may cause a limitation of access to such services. Furthermore, the lack of a comprehensive legal basis for privatization constitutes an obstacle for the development of this sector. Despite these limitations, the process is still progressing, largely through the local self-governments, for which the transformation of hospital facilities they own is becoming increasingly popular [32]. Since 1999, self-government units have transformed 130 hospital units into commercial companies; this includes 77 hospitals and 53 single hospital departments [33]. In many cases, the situation is becoming paradoxical because self-government units still remain formal owners of the privatized hospitals, Cost-Effectiveness of Privatization Because of issues regarding the availability of data, a comparison of the cost-effectiveness of public and private health care poses a significant problem. Private entities generally do not release relevant information, and available sources are generally limited Table 1 – Structure of ownership of hospital care facilities in Poland (1999–2007). No. of private hospitals No. of beds Total hospitals Total beds % of private hospitals % of private beds 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 21 30 45 61 72 147 170 153 170 446 715 198,688 2.9 1,574 716 190,952 4.2 2,476 736 188,234 6.1 4,221 739 188,038 8.3 5,171 732 186,043 9.1 7,649 790 183,280 18.6 8,215 781 179,493 21.8 9,318 742 176,673 20.6 10,204 748 175,023 22.7 0.2 0.8 1.3 2.2 2.8 4.2 4.6 5.3 5.8 310 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 306–311 to the presentation of a few selected individuals. Existing data, however, suggest an average growth of within 20% to 30% in private sector revenues annually. The overall size of the sector was estimated at about 1915 million Polish Zloty (462 million euros). This information confirms an analysis by the National Association of Private Employer Health Care (2009), who conducted a study involving nine private companies providing medical services. The analysis indicated that in 2007 and 2008, the annual growth of the sector revenue amounted to 31.1% and 33.1%, respectively, and the value of income in 2008 was estimated to be 930.4 million Polish Zloty (225 million euros). On average, survey participants within the health profession indicated that their income in 2006 increased by approximately 32.9% in 2007 and 35.3% in 2008. In comparison with the public sector, employers’ contributions to medical care for their employees were the dominant source of revenue for private providers. These accounted for nearly 44% of the revenue [34]. comparatively limited. This is largely due to complicated and unclear legal regulations, resulting in a gray area between public and private health care where informal payments impede the intended function of the system. If this is left unchanged, the official public health care sector in Poland is likely to become an increasingly residual service for the worst-off patients, who are unable to afford the legal private sector or the informal payments that guarantee a higher quality service in the public sector. Of prime importance, however, as with many postcommunist countries, one of the key barriers to health care privatization is the traditional belief that health care should be a “public service,” not determined by economic measures of efficiency. With the heritage of the communist period hard to overcome, strong public opposition will remain one of the key barriers to the privatization of health care. Source of financial support: This study was supported by the National Institute for Health Research Collaboration for Applied Health Research and Care for the South West Peninsula (to H.F.). Quality of Care—Private versus Public The private and public sectors in Poland also differ in terms of the perceived quality of care reflected in patients’ opinions. Several opinion polls dedicated to this issue share the same conclusion— in general, private services are considered to be of a higher quality, with the most significant differences stated to be the physician’s manner toward patients. In a survey conducted by the marketing research and opinion poll company Partner in Business Strategies in 2007 [35], respondents compared public and private services with respect to atmosphere, doctor’s commitment, and respect to patient privacy. For these three criteria, private providers were considered significantly better than the public sector. With respect to atmosphere, 54% of the respondents declared that private providers are better, with only 10% declaring the opposite. Results for doctors’ commitment and respect for patient’s privacy were also in favor of the private sector (51% and 47% for private providers and 9% and 8% for public providers, respectively). The general quality of services was also recognized as being better in the private sector, and of all respondents, 45% declared the private sector as being superior, with only 10% having the opposite opinion. One of the few areas in which the study showed no significant advantage to the private sector was with respect to the experience of the doctors. Although 19% of the respondents thought that more experienced and better qualified doctors worked in private health care, 17% of the respondents considered the quality of doctors better in the public sector. It is worth noting at this point that almost twothirds of the respondents had no opinion on this matter, which may suggest that differences in knowledge and experience are difficult to judge for patients. Conclusions A free health care market does not exist in Poland, nor is it planned to be one. Since the dissolution of state socialism, private financing of health care services has increased substantially and has filled an important role in meeting the increasing consumer demand in some areas of health care and, to some extent, encouraging a more efficient use of scarce resources through competition and private initiative for public health services. This step toward privatization is mostly evident within the pharmaceutical industry, which is now fully privatized. In addition, the ambulatory sector has systematically increased its private market share to approximately 70% of all services provided and is continually moving toward full privatization. Despite the regular increase in the number of private hospitals in Poland, however, their role in the health care system remains R EF E R EN C ES [1] McMenamin I, Timonen V. Poland’s health reform: politics, markets and informal payments. 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VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 312–318 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Transforming Public Servants’ Health Care Organization in Greece through the Implementation of an Electronic Referral Project Kyriakos Souliotis, PhD1,, Vasiliki Mantzana, PhD2, Manto Papageorgiou, MSc3 1 Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Peloponnese, Corinth, Greece; 2Department of Digital Systems, University of Piraeus, Piraeus, Greece; 3National School of Public Health, Athens, Greece AB STR A CT Objective: The Greek Public Servants’ Health Care Organization aiming to organize, monitor, and enhance the health care services provided to 1,500,000 public servants decided to respond to the national alert of the economic crisis through the reduction of costs caused by diagnostic tests (€300,000,000 claims for 2008), to improve working conditions of contracted physicians and laboratories, and to enhance services provided to insured members. In September 2010, the Greek Public Servants’ Health Care Organization initiated a pilot project that electronically records the prescription process of the diagnostic tests, which is Web-based, is open source, and was provided for free to the contracted physicians and diagnostic centers. Methods: In this article, we present some interesting findings resulting from the implementation of the pilot electronic referral project by examining a 9-month period. Results: Fifty-eight percent of the physicians had the necessary equipment for the operation of the system, more than 3600 physicians used it, 17,495 public servants had been served through the system, and 178,456 paraclinical examinations had been prescribed with a cost of €1,394,980. In addition, the analysis revealed that the implementation of an electronic referral system could provide significant benefits, such as a faster referral process, valid and coherent information, minimization of the risk of misinterpreting the electronic referral due to illegibility of handwriting, and improvement in quality of services. Conclusions: The Greek electronic referral system was one of the first attempts toward creating the basis of a society of transparency and cost control. The lessons learnt from this article should not be ignored in the process of redesigning and improving the electronic referral system for Greece. Keywords: E-health, electronic referral project, Greece, insurance funds, physician. Introduction countless number of hours have been invested in the development of electronic health, more needs to be done. In Greece, the adoption of e-health systems is happening at an exceptionally slow pace. According to records of the Health Ministry, the actions included in the second Community Structural Fund relative to the sector of information technology were of small scale and limited to the planning level. For this reason, in the third Community Structural Fund, the main focus was on the integration of information systems in health care organizations. Handwritten prescriptions and referral letters had been the main method for physicians to communicate decisions on diagnostic tests and for diagnostic centers to conduct the tests while being a source of information for the payer at the same time. In an effort to put an end to directed prescribing, to elevate the medical expense in great heights, and to crack down the phenomenon of overprescribing, Greek social insurance funds decided to implement and adopt an electronic referral system. Currently, the electronic referral project in Greece is at the transitional stage between paper and Web. The transition from the traditional process to the new electronic era offers unique opportunities and challenges. Health care systems consist of large and complex processes that affect and get affected by multiple interacting actors, such as physicians, nurses, patients, citizens, medical suppliers, and health insurance providers, with different backgrounds, knowledge, organizational beliefs, interests, and culture. Health care systems all over the world, however, face challenges, such as 1) increasing demand for health and social services due to an aging population; 2) higher expectations by citizens who request provision of high-quality health care services and reduction of inequalities; 3) management of large amounts of health data that should be available on request safely at any place and should be processed for administrative purposes; 4) need to provide the best possible health care services in conditions of budgetary constraints; and 5) reduction of medical errors that lead to loss of life or causing irreparable injury. It has been reported that the implementation and use of e-health systems, such as e-prescribing, electronic referral systems, and electronic health care records, could support governments and organizations to confront the aforementioned challenges. Although hundreds of billions of dollars and Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Kyriakos Souliotis, Faculty of Social Sciences, University of Peloponnese, Damaskinou & Kolokotroni Street, Corinth 20100, Greece. E-mail: [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.003 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 312–318 The introduction of electronic referral systems has been proved to have a positive effect on prescribing and dispensing processes, in the sense that an electronic referral system can improve safety, quality, efficiency, and cost-effectiveness [1]. The purpose of this article was to present some interesting findings and outcomes that the pilot electronic referral project induced to Greek Public Servants’ Health Care Organization (GPSHCO) by examining a 9-month period (September 1, 2010, to June 1, 2011). In doing so, the authors present a review of the literature on e-health systems as well as the methodology used to conduct this research. Afterward, they analyze GPSHCO’s effort to enhance health care services provided to 1.5 million insured public servants and reduce costs that are provoked by diagnostic tests prescribed to GPSHCO members (€300,000,000 claims for 2008) by launching the pilot electronic referral project on May 1, 2010. Moreover, they present the outcomes that this project induced to the organization and draw conclusions. Literature Review Information systems (ISs) play an increasingly crucial role in the health care sector by providing an infrastructure to integrate people, processes, and technologies [2,3]. Health care information systems (HISs) are defined as “computerized systems designed to facilitate the management and operation of all technical (biomedical) and administrative data for the entire health care system, for a number of its functional units, for a single health care institution, or even for an institutional department or unit” [4]. The use of computers in the health care sector can be traced to the 1960s. The first attempts to adopt HISs were made during the early 1970s [5]. In the past, however, HIS initiatives were limited to the automation of business processes related to administration and health care tools as well as techniques related to various medical procedures such as diagnostic, therapeutic, and surgical procedures. During the 1980s, innovative patterns in database designs and applications related to HISs led to developments in planning and administration of the health care data. In parallel, HISs also introduced low-cost financial systems for hospitals fewer than 200 beds in size [6]. It should be noted that the early computerized systems were limited to big hospitals and government projects (military). As the information technology industry flourished, the HIS technology was populated with various network applications. The net period with the Internet, intranet, and extranet affected the communication of data in hospitals, especially in the 1990s. In the middle of the same decade, the interface engine emerged as a product to support the integration of applications, as best-ofbreed applications became harder to manage [7]. E-health systems such as electronic prescribing [8], electronic referral systems [9], personal health records [10,11], asynchronous health care communication systems [12], and picture archiving communication systems [8] have been applied in health care to improve the capabilities of physicians and clinical staff and provided increased services to patients, caregivers, and citizens in general. E-health is an emerging field in the intersection of medical informatics, public health, and business, referring to health services and information delivered or enhanced through the Internet and related technologies. World Health Organization defined e-health as being “the cost-effective and secure use of information and communication technologies in support of health and health-related fields, including health-care services, health surveillance, health literature, and health education, knowledge and research.” Healthcare Information and Management Systems Society’s E-Health SIG defined e-health as “the application of Internet and other related technologies in the health care industry to improve the 313 access, efficiency, effectiveness, and quality of clinical and business processes utilized by health care organizations, practitioners, patients, and consumers to improve the health status of patients” [13]. In a broader sense, the term characterizes not only technical development but also a way of thinking, an attitude, and a commitment for networked, global thinking to improve health care locally, regionally, and worldwide by using information and communication technology [14]. In a study conducted by Delloite/Ipsos in 2011 for the European Commission regarding e-health systems in Europe, it was stressed that integrated systems for electronic referral are among the e-health systems that need the greater attention. In the same study, it was reported that an integrated system able to send or receive electronic referral letters is currently available in 34% of the 900 acute hospitals in the 30 countries surveyed [15]. E-referral projects among various countries differ a lot. It is not likely that there is one solution that proves to be beneficial for all countries because the solution depends on legislation, organization of the health care system, and cultural differences. Electronic referral systems seem to have a large potential for economic savings as a whole, but it takes a longer time than expected to realize this potential. Research Methodology The authors have developed an empirical research methodology to study electronic referral projects. This methodology is based on three development stages: 1) research design development, 2) case study data collection, and 3) case study data analysis. The research design adopted was the first independent part of the empirical research methodology. The starting point was to review the literature to develop an understanding of the research area under investigation. From the literature review, several research issues were highlighted for a more focused study. For the purpose of this article, a single case study strategy was used to explore and understand the topic under research. A qualitative case study strategy can offer a “holistic” view of the processes involved as well as a realization of the topic under research [16]. To collect data, we used various techniques, such as questionnaires, documentation, and observation. Case Study In 1983, the Greek National Health System (ESY) was established under the Law 1397/1983 [17]. The Ministry of Health and Welfare Fig. 1 – Health care provision infrastructure; data from the World Health Organization [18]. 314 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 312–318 is responsible for the health care provision as well as for the national health policy and strategy development. The ESY consists of the following three subsystems (Fig. 1), which operate almost independently [19]. The National Health System The ESY comprises public hospitals, health centers, and the National Centre of Emergency Care. It provides inpatient care and emergency prehospital care on a universal basis. It aims to provide free and comprehensive health care coverage. The ESY constitutes 123 general and specialized public hospitals (36,621 beds) and 9 psychiatric clinics (3,500 beds). Moreover, 32 of the 123 hospitals provide tertiary and highly specialized care [17]. Health care services are also provided by public hospitals, which include 13 military hospitals financed by the Ministry of Defense, 5 hospitals of the Social Security Institution, and 2 university hospitals operating under the authority of the National and Kapodistrian University of Athens. Emergency prehospital care is provided by the National Centre of Emergency Care, which is a National Health System agency. Health centers also provide emergency services, short-term hospitalization, and follow-up of recovering patients, dental treatment, family planning services, vaccination services, and health education. In addition, health care services are provided extensively by private health care organizations (26%). Nowadays, 234 private hospitals and clinics operate in Greece, with a total capacity of 15,397 beds [17]. It appears that the ESY is a mixed system of public-private funding and provision of health care services. Social Insurance Funds Health care services in Greece are offered through hospitals, private clinics, and physicians as long as one has been registered with a social insurance fund. Every individual (employer, employee, pensioner, dependent family member, and child) living in Greece has a unique personal Social Security Number, named AMKA, to benefit from social security and to obtain a health booklet. There are several social security institutions in Greece, such as the GPSHCO and the Social Security Institution. Registration with such institutions requires part-time or full-time employment. Social security benefits are available only to those who are registered and contributing to the social security system. Social security contributions are paid by both the employer and the employee or by the individual, in case one is self-employed. Refused to join 15.4% Will join in the immediate future 16.9% Have joined the pilot project 66.6% Fig. 3 – Acceptance of the electronic referral system for diagnostic tests. Private Health Sector The private health sector has numerous diagnostic centers, private clinics, laboratories, and so forth. This case study was conducted at the GPSHCO whose aim is to organize, monitor, control, and enhance the health care services provided to public servants in terms of quality and funding. The structure of the GPSHCO includes the Central Office and 57 regional health care services for the insured public servants (YPAD). The GPSHCO has approximately 1,500,000 insured members (public servants and family members). It offers health care services to public servants. More precisely, the GPSHCO has contracted partners (10,000 pharmacists, 13,000 physicians, 3,000 diagnostic centers and private clinics, and 700 physiotherapists) that provide health care services to the insured members. The remuneration system for social security funds is based on Greek law. The GPSHCO receives revenues from the contributions of the insurers that are paid on a monthly basis. In particular, the GPSHCO receives 2.55% of the monthly wage of each insured member paid by the employee plus an amount equal to 5.1% of the monthly wage of each insured member paid by the employer, that is, the state. These contributions are collected via the Ministry of Finance that subsidizes the GPSHCO to pay its obligations. The aforementioned contracted partners are paid via the regional offices of the GPSHCO. The GPSHCO has a fully integrated IS, which was implemented in early 2003 and consists of the following subsystems: Fig. 2 – Digital behavior of the medical community. Other reasons for not joining 1.1% protocol and price management of hospital stays of 57 YPAD; protocol and economic management of GPSHCO’s Central Office; insured members’ registry for the Central Office and YPAD; warehouse for the Central Office and YPAD; management of insured members’ hospitalization in private clinics; payroll of GPSHCO’s employees; Management information system—Business intelligence based on budget figures for the Central Office and YPAD; Safety management system (create users’ accounts, assign roles, etc.); and Disaster recovery system that covers all GPSHCO’s systems. Although the GPSHCO has a quite advanced IS, it is not effective enough in identifying abuse of the system by the insured members. In particular, the insured member, presenting with his or her health booklet, can visit a physician contracted with the GPSHCO. The latter can refer the insured member for diagnostic tests using the health booklet, and the insured member can then visit a physician contracted with the GPSHCO VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 312–318 315 Fig. 4 – Number of physicians who used the system from October 1, 2010, to July 7, 2011. Fig. 5 – Number of electronic referrals issued from October 1, 2010, to July 7, 2011. Fig. 6 – Cost of electronic referrals (€) from October 1, 2010, to July 7, 2011. or diagnostic center to execute the referral and conduct the tests. The physician or the diagnostic center, at the end of each month, submits claims to the GPSHCO. The GPSHCO registers to the IS the claims made by each physician or the diagnostic center on an invoice basis without registering any information regarding the diagnosis or the type and cost of tests ordered. As a result, it is 316 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 312–318 Fig. 7 – Mean cost of electronic referrals (€) per patient from October 1, 2010, to July 7, 2011. impossible for GPSHCO’s management to monitor and control the increasingly rising health care expenditure. More specifically, in 2003, the cost of diagnostic tests and visits was €155,494,142.8 whereas in 2006, it was €266,391,245.4 and in 2009, €297,051,270.7. At this point, it should be mentioned that during this period, the number of insured members and their health status have not changed. In an effort to 1) control and reduce expenses that are provoked by diagnostic tests and visits to physicians by GPSHCO’s insured members, 2) improve the working conditions of contracted physicians and laboratories, and 3) enhance the services provided to insured public servants of the organization, GPSHCO’s Committee Board initiated a pilot project on September 1, 2010, that electronically records the prescription process of the diagnostic tests. The platform is a Web-based open source and was provided for free to the contracted physicians and diagnostic centers, which are its main users. The contracted physicians use the platform to refer the patient (insured member) for diagnostic tests by using a coded list of diagnostic tests and diagnoses according to International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, and diagnostic centers execute the diagnostic tests and charge the GPSHCO. The project has been assisted by a call center that promotes the implementation of the system, communicates and supports physicians, and provides information as well as technical support Table 1 – Comparing the cost of diagnostic tests between 2009 and 2010. Month Cost of diagnostic tests per year (€) 2009 2010 January February March April May June July August September October November December 8,984,396.21 7,319,735.93 8,195,129.24 8,079,929.95 8,234,257.64 7,510,277.69 8,824,800.53 9,048,589.53 5,850,758.07 8,047,418.45 7,562,862.22 8,083,606.29 7,294,334.95 5,846,991.50 6,421,289.59 6,495,760.75 6,189,177.16 5,586,522.53 5,754,905.08 4,230,721.10 4,577,497.58 4,882,519.44 4,169,340.00 4,167,922.29 for the whole project. Furthermore, a Web site providing information on the application and answering frequently asked questions posed by the stakeholders concerning the management of electronic referrals has been developed. Discussion The electronic referral project started on a voluntary pilot basis in September 2010, and after 9 months (June 2011) its use became mandatory for all physicians contracted with the GPSHCO. During the first month of the pilot project implementation, a survey was conducted to study the digital behavior of the medical community. According to the results of this survey, 44.5% of the physicians mentioned that they have all the necessary equipment for the operation of the system, 22.5% stated that they have part of the necessary equipment (usually just a PC and a printer), and 29.1% said that they do not have any of the necessary equipment (Fig. 2). Moreover, it should be noted that 66.6% of them accepted to use the electronic referral system (more than 3600 physicians) while 16.9% of the contracted physicians said they would start using it in the immediate future (Fig. 3). In the following paragraphs, we present data regarding the use of the system on a monthly basis for the pilot period under study (September 2010 to June 2011). People react differently toward new ideas, practices, or objects as a result of variations in innovativeness. The diffusion of innovation theory operationalizes innovative individuals as early adopters of innovations in contrast with majority and late adopters [20]. The electronic referral project started on a voluntary pilot basis in September 2010, and after 9 months (June 2011) its use became mandatory for all physicians contracted with the GPSHCO. At the beginning of the project, the number of physicians was relatively low, which started increasing in the middle of the pilot project and decreased in the last 3 months of the project (Fig. 4). When the GPSHCO’s Committee Board realized this, and as during the pilot phase the system was continuously improving, they made the use of the system mandatory for all the contracted physicians. Although the number of contracted physicians decreased in the last 3 months of the pilot project, the number of insured members asking for an electronic referral increased constantly because the system provided significant advantages to them. 317 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 312–318 Table 2 – Summarizing data regarding electronic referral system from January 2011 to June 2011. Month January 2011 February 2011 March 2011 April 2011 May 2011 June 2011 No. of physicians using the system No. of insured members visiting physician Visits No. of electronic referrals Cost of electronic referrals (€) Mean cost of electronic referrals (€) 1,701 2,859 3,559 2,880 2,482 2,204 54,571 94,088 130,945 109,972 95,296 88,154 55,249 94,787 136,720 122,047 131,647 129,354 13,996 19,806 43,205 37,216 37,804 41,200 807,272.49 1,072,562.93 2,039,216.66 1,755,829.23 1,875,444.88 1,979,538.59 57.68 54.15 47.20 47.18 49.61 48.05 More specifically, the advantages of the implementation of the electronic referral system included faster referral process, valid and complete (coherent) information, and minimization of the risk of misinterpreting the electronic referral due to illegibility of handwriting. Moreover, such an implementation can increase the quality of services provided to insured members. It should be noted that in the 9-month pilot period, 88,154 insured public servants had been served through the system and 41,200 electronic referrals had been issued (Fig. 5). Moreover, 178,456 diagnostic tests had been prescribed, with a total cost of €1,979,538.59 (mean cost of €48.05) (Figs. 6 and 7). The mean cost of the electronic referrals per patient became approximately €47 compared with the mean cost on January 2010, when the project was initiated, which was approximately €58 (Table 1). Moreover, it should be mentioned that the cost for diagnostic tests decreased by approximately 32% in 2010 (January to December) compared with 2009 (January to December), not only because of the use of the electronic system but also because of administrative decisions that the committee decided to implement (Table 1). The vast majority of physicians using the system seem to have normal prescribing behavior. Approximately 60% of them induce less demand for diagnostic tests than the average, 16% of the physicians induce greater demand than the average because of their medical (Table 2) specialization, and 40% of the physicians cause demand below the average, regardless of their specialty. Conclusions The Greek electronic referral system was one of the first attempts toward creating the basis of a society of transparency and cost control. Similar to other projects, the launch of the electronic referral system aims at supporting Greece in tackling the economic crisis, and thus it is important to note that the memorandum of economic and financial policies published mentioned that “[the] Government ensures that the e-prescribing system for diagnostic tests currently piloted by GPSHCO is extended to all social security funds” [21]. Moreover, the empirical evidence indicates the lack of technological education among physicians and their denial to invest in new technologies. Inevitably, physicians have to deal with many changes in their work environment as the progress of medical science and technology is rapid. It is imperative for them to improve their skills and requalify themselves at all times. In addition, the analysis revealed that the implementation of an electronic referral system could provide significant benefits, such as faster referral process, valid and complete (coherent) information, and minimization of the risk of misinterpreting the electronic referral due to illegibility of handwriting, and can also increase the quality of services provided to insured members. Moreover, such an implementation can decrease the mean cost of the electronic referrals per patient, which became approximately €47 compared with the mean cost on January 2010 when the project was initiated, which was approximately €58. In addition, it can decrease the cost for diagnostic tests. In this case study, the cost has decreased by approximately 32% in 2010 (January to December) compared with that in 2009 (January to December), not only because of the use of the electronic system but also because of administrative decisions that the committee decided to implement. The lessons learned from the international experience should not be ignored in the process of redesigning and improving the electronic referral system for Greece. Electronic referral in Greece is a reality against all predictions. Electronic referral can and should be the beginning for the widespread of e-health, given that the electronic referral administration affects public health and economy. No claim for generalization is made, and the lessons learned are a result of the description provided and do not seek to be prescriptive. These lessons might be helpful to those willing to implement electronic referral projects as well as to researchers and practitioners. Source of financial support: The authors have no other financial relationships to disclose. R EF E R EN C ES [1] Franklin BD, O’Grady K, Donyai P, et al. The impact of a closed-loop electronic prescribing and administration system on prescribing errors, administration errors and staff time: a before-and-after study. Qual Saf Health Care 2007;16:279–84. [2] Wanless D, Charlesworth A, Walker I, et al. In: H. Treasury, ed., Securing Our Future Health: Taking a Long-Term View (Vol. 2004). London: HM Treasury, 2002. [3] Ragupathi W. Healthcare Information Systems. Commun ACM 1997;28:81–2. [4] Rodrigues RJ, Gattini G, Aalmeida G. Setting up Healthcare Services Information Systems: A Guide for Requirement Analysis, Application Specification, and Procurement. Washington, DC: Essential Drugs and Technology Program, Division of Health Systems and Services Development, PAHO/WHO, 1999. [5] Hodge JG, Gostin LO, Jacobson PD. 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Copenhagen, Denmark: World Health Organization, 2004. [19] Koutsouris D, Aggelidis P, Berler A, Tagaris A. Integration of Healthcare Information Systems. Athens, Greece: ebusiness Forum, Z3 Research Team, 2005. [20] Rogers EM. Diffusion of Innovations (4th ed.). New York: The Free Press, 1995. [21] Hellenic Ministry of Finance. Memorandum of understanding between the European Commision acting on behalf of the Euroarea member states, and the Hellenic Republic, 2010, p. 43. Available from: http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/eu_ borrower/mou/2012-03-01-greece-mou_en.pdf. [Accessed November 22, 2010]. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 319–327 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri CONCEPTUAL PAPER Recommendations for Reporting Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations in Egypt Gihan H. Elsisi, MSc1,, Zoltán Kaló, MSc, MD, PhD2, Randa Eldessouki, MSc, MD3,4, Mahmoud D. Elmahdawy, PharmD5,6, Amr Saad, MSc, PhD7, Samah Ragab, MPA8, Amr M. Elshalakani, MD, MBA9, Sherif Abaza, MBA10 1 Pharmacoeconomic Unit, Central Administration for Pharmaceutical Affairs, Cairo, Egypt; 2Health Economics Research Centre, Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, Hungary; 3Scientific and Health Policy Initiatives, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, NJ, USA; 4Faculty of Medicine, Fayoum University, Fayoum, Egypt; 5Hospital Pharmacy Administration, Central Administration for Pharmaceutical Affairs, Cairo, Egypt; 6Misr International University, School of Pharmacy, Cairo, Egypt; 7Pharmacovigilance Center, Central Administration for Pharmaceutical Affairs, Cairo, Egypt; 8Head Technical Office, Central Administration for Pharmaceutical Affairs, Cairo, Egypt; 9Health Economics Unit, Ministry of Health, Cairo, Egypt; 10Market Access, Roche, Cairo, Egypt AB STR A CT Objective: Introduction of economic evaluations for pharmaceuticals or other health technologies can help the optimization of outcomes from resource allocations. This article aims to provide recommendations for researchers in presenting pharmacoeconomic evaluations in Egypt with special focus on pricing and/or reimbursement applications of pharmaceuticals. Methods: The Minister of Health approved the initiative of establishing a focus group of decision makers that included academic and industry experts with experience in health economics, pharmacovigilance, and clinical pharmacy. The focus group has reviewed 17 economic evaluation guidelines available on the Web site of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research for reporting health economic evaluations. To develop core assumptions before preparing a draft report, focus group meetings were held on a regular basis starting June 2012. The recommendations were developed by using the Quasi-Delphi method, taking into account current practices and capacities for conducting pharmacoeconomic evaluations in Egypt. Conclusions: Worldwide, health care decision makers are challenged to set priorities in an environment in which the demand for health care services outweighs the allocated resources. Effective pharmaceutical pricing and reimbursement systems, based on health technology assessment (HTA) that encompasses economic evaluations, are essential to an efficient sustainable health care system. The Egyptian Ministry of Health and Population was encouraged to establish a pharmacoeconomic unit, as an initial step, for the support of pricing and reimbursement decisions. We anticipate that standardization of reporting would lead to a progressive improvement in the quality of submissions over time and provide the Egyptian health care system with health economic evidence often unavailable in the past. Therefore, recommendations for pharmacoeconomic evaluations provide an essential tool for the support of a transparent and uniform process in the evaluation of the clinical benefit and costs of drugs that do not rely on the use of low acquisition cost as the primary basis for selection. These recommendations will help inform health care decisions in improving health care systems and achieving better health for the Egyptian population. Keywords: economic evaluation, Egypt, recommendations, reporting. Introduction pharmaceuticals and health technologies are critical for efficient allocation of the limited resources. To better allocate resources and with the growing awareness of the importance of health technology assessment (HTA), the Ministry of Health and Population (MOHP) established a pharmacoeconomic unit to support and inform pricing and reimbursement decisions [3]. No economic evaluations guidelines or standards, however, have been set up yet. This article provides recommendations based on reviewing other countries’ national guidelines for economic evaluation as well as experts’ opinions. Other factors influencing the feasibility of conducting such studies in Egypt, including the complexity of the health sector, the availability of data on health care outcomes Egypt’s general budget devotes limited amounts to the health sector. In the period 2008 to 2009, Egypt spent LE 61.4 billion (Egyptian pounds) on health, which represents 5.9% of the country’s gross domestic product. Out of the total health care expenditure, pharmaceutical expenses constitute a large portion, 34%. [1]. In addition, over the past 16 years, the share of out-ofpocket spending in total health spending has increased dramatically from 51% to 72% [2]. These numbers suggest the increasing need for optimizing the limited resources available. With the growing public demand for improving health care services and reducing the out-of-pocket expenses, economic evaluations of Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. Conflicts of interest: The authors have indicated that they have no conflicts of interest with regard to the content of this article. Address correspondence to: Gihan H. Elsisi, Central Administration for Pharmaceutical Affairs, 21 Abd Elaziz Alsoud Street, PO 11451, Elmanial, Cairo, Egypt. E-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]. 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.06.014 320 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 319–327 and the costs data, and current capacities for conducting pharmacoeconomic evaluations, were put into consideration in developing these recommendations. Objective This article aims to provide recommendations for researchers to present pharmacoeconomic evaluations in Egypt with special focus on pricing and/or reimbursement applications of pharmaceuticals. Policymakers are encouraged to consider these recommendations in developing the national guidelines for the economic evaluation of pharmaceuticals. Methods As a self-initiated activity by government personnel, with the approval of the Ministry of Health at the time, a focus group was formed. The aim of the focus group was to develop a set of recommendations and standards for economic evaluation studies used in applying for reimbursement and coverage to 1) promote the concept of combining efficacy, safety, effectiveness, and economic evaluation in the decision-making process; 2) provide instructions for drug manufacturers: how to supply information directly to health care decision makers to support the use of their products; and 3) emphasize that simple assessment of acquisition cost is not a sufficient approach for the control of overall health care expenditures. To develop the recommendations, two steps were undertaken. The first step was to review the available national economic guidelines. It included a review of 17 recently published national economic evaluation guidelines for conducting and reporting of economic evaluations (Table 1) that included an English version available on the Web site of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research [4]. The second step was to solicit inputs and feedback from key leaders and stakeholders through focus groups. For a comprehensive representation of key stakeholders in health care, focus groups included decision makers experienced in health economics, pharmacovigilance, and clinical pharmacy, health providers as well as researchers and experts selected from both industry and academia, as shown in Table 2. A consensus approach developed by using the Quasi-Delphi method consisted of an iterative series of meetings and interrogations. Anonymous responses were synthesized into a series of statements. Then, the synthesized statements were submitted to the focus group members for comment until convergence or stasis of opinion was identified in the third round. Starting June 2012, focus group meetings were held on a regular basis to develop core assumptions before preparing a draft report. The discussions were recorded in written minutes. The recommendations were developed by consensus approach, taking into account current practices and capacities for conducting pharmacoeconomic evaluations in Egypt. Developing Recommendations for Reporting Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations Disease and Product Background Economic evaluations should provide information about the epidemiology of the disease and treatment pathways according to most recent treatment guidelines. Data on the product should include pharmacological class, proposed dosing regimen, route of administration, and results of clinical studies performed to date [5]. Study Design The study question should address the needs of the decision makers by clearly establishing the context of the study. It should provide details of the study perspective, the proposed product and its comparator(s), the target population, and the effect on specific subgroups where appropriate. Secondary questions that relate to the primary study question should be clearly stated [6]. Perspective should be relevant to the research question and adapted to benefits gained by the health care system. The perspective adopted should maximize the health gain for the population while representing the most efficient use of the finite resources available to the Ministry of Health [7]. It should include direct medical costs as well as additional costs, savings, or other benefits when data are available. The proposed product should be used primarily in the approved indications with detailed information about its Table 1 – Focus group members’ information. Member of Focus Group Degree Title Organization Government Employee Head of Pharmacoeconomic Unit Director, Scientific and Health Policy Initiatives/Lecturer Central Administration for Pharmaceutical Affairs, Cairo, Egypt International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, NJ, USA/Faculty of Medicine, Fayoum University, Egypt Central Administration for Pharmaceutical Affairs/Misr International University, Cairo, Egypt Central Administration for Pharmaceutical Affairs, Cairo, Egypt Central Administration for Pharmaceutical Affairs, Cairo, Egypt Ministry Of Health, Cairo, Egypt Yes Yes Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd. Cairo, Egypt No Gihan H. Elsisi MSc Randa Eldessouki MSc, MD Mahmoud D. Elmahdawy PharmD Manager of Hospital Pharmacy Administration/Part Time Lecturer of clinical pharmacy Amr Saad MSc, PhD Samah Ragab MPA Amr M. Elshalakani MBBch, MSc, MBA MBA Head of Pharmacovigilance Center Director of the Technical Support Office Head of Health Economics Unit Sherif Abaza Market Access & Governmental Affairs Manager No Yes Yes Yes 321 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 319–327 Table 2 – The national health economic guidelines reviewed by the focus group members. Title of the document Source, Country Published Year Guidelines for the Economic Evaluation of Health Technologies: Canada Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health (CADTH), Canada Taiwan Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, Taiwan The Pharmaceutical Management Agency (PHARMAC), New Zealand Scottish Medicines Consortium, Scotland 2006 Guidelines of Methodological Standards for Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations in Taiwan Prescription for Pharmacoeconomic Analysis: Methods for Cost-utility Analysis Guidance to Manufacturers for Completion of New Product Assessment Form Guide to the Methods of Technology Appraisal Guidelines for Preparing Submissions to the Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee Guidelines for Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations in Belgium Health Technology Assessment Guideline The Academy of Managed Care Pharmacy Format for Formulary Submissions General Methods for the Assessment of the Relation of Benefits to Costs Guidelines for conducting Health Technology Assessment Decree of the Ministry of Social Affairs and Health on applications and price notifications made to the Pharmaceuticals Pricing Board– Appendix: Guidelines for Preparing a Health Economic Evaluation Procedure for Clinical and Economic Evaluation of Drug Lists That Are Submitted for Reimbursement Coverage from Public Health Care Budget. The Guidelines for Pharmacoeconomic Evaluations of Medicines and Scheduled Substances Guidelines for the Submission of a Request to Include a Pharmaceutical Product in the National List of Health Services Guidelines for the Economic Evaluation of Health Technologies in Ireland Guidelines on How to conduct Pharmacoeconomic Analyses technical characteristics (to differentiate it from its comparators), regulatory status, and the specific application. The selection of the comparator has to be justified. Comparators should be policy relevant; therefore, widely used and reimbursed health care technology for a given patient group and indication is the preferred option. If no such technologies are reimbursed in the tender list at the time the assessment is conducted, the investigated product can be compared with the most frequently used technologies to treat the same patient groups. If a new product is used as first-line, second-line, or third-line therapy, it should be compared with first-, second-, or third-line therapies, respectively. The targeted population should include both those who are insured by the Egyptian health system and those who are uninsured. Parameters to define the population include baseline demographic characteristics, disease characteristics, treatment setting, the context of past treatment, and any confounders adjusted [5]. Specific subgroups should be identified for those for whom clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness may be expected to differ from those of the overall population. Stratified analysis used to quantify the differences in cost-effectiveness that may exist in different subgroups is recommended because it may contribute important information to the final advice. The evidence supporting the clinical plausibility of the subgroup effect should be fully documented, including details of statistical analysis [8]. National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE), England and Wales Pharmaceutical Benefits Advisory Committee (PBAC), Australia Belgian Health Care Knowledge Center (KCE), Belgium Journal of the Medical Association of Thailand, Thailand Academy Of Managed Care Pharmacy, United States German national institute for quality and efficiency in health care (IQWiG), Germany Poland Agency for Health Technology Assessment, Poland Ministry of Social Affairs and Health, Finland 2006 2007 2007 2008 2008 2008 2008 2009 2009 2009 2009 ISPOR Russia HTA Regional chapter, Russian State Medical University, Russian Federation 2010 National Department of Health, South Africa 2010 Pharmaceutical Administration, Israel 2010 Health Information and Quality Authority, The National Centre for Pharmacoeconomics, Ireland Norwegian Medicines Agency, Norway 2010 2012 Appropriate Pharmacoeconomic Method The choice of method of analysis depends on the research question and must be justified. If the compared health technologies result in equal health gain, cost minimization analysis is the preferred analytical approach. If at least one of the compared health technologies is better than the other, and the clinical benefit can be aggregated and interpreted as naturalistic clinical outcomes, cost-effectiveness analysis (CEA) is the preferred method. CEA, where an intermediate marker is chosen, must have a validated, wellestablished link with an important hard end point (e.g., patient survival, heart attack, and bone fracture) [9]. Because the measure of primary clinical outcome may differ in different therapeutic areas, CEA cannot be used to compare or rank the costeffectiveness of a broad set of products. If the quality of life of patients is an important clinical outcome in the treatment course of patients, cost-utility analysis is the preferred analytical approach. In cost-utility analysis, the health gain is expressed in a combined single measure of lifeyears and health-related quality of life (HRQOL), for example, in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) [10]. Ignoring quality-of-life differences among products would provide less than complete data to decision makers to address the health care dilemma of where to allocate resources [11]. Adherence to the reference case 322 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 319–327 approach for estimating QALYs for inclusion in economic evaluations would facilitate comparability [12]. Time Horizon In choosing the time horizon, it should be ensured that the chosen outcome and the resource consumption of the treatment alternatives are observable in this period to reflect the course of the disease and the effects of the interventions. The same time horizon should be applied to both costs and outcomes [9]. A decision to use a shorter time frame should be justified. When extrapolating data beyond the duration of the study, assumptions regarding future treatment effects and disease progression should be clearly outlined. Censoring might be used to account for the incomplete information [13]. Choice of Outcome Measure The choice of outcome parameters depends both on the indication and on the research question. Primary outcome measures are the first choice whenever possible. When an intermediate end point is used, it must have a high degree of predictability of the final end point. HRQOL is an appropriate outcome indicator for the evaluation of health status. HRQOL can be measured by using generic questionnaires, disease-specific questionnaires, or preference-based measures. If HRQOL is to be included in the study design, this variable must be measured by validated instruments. The direct use of the EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire, six-dimensional health state short form (derived from short-form 36 health survey), or similar generic measures is recommended, because they are easy to use and interpret and are based on preferences of the general public. If the use of disease-specific HRQOL instruments increases the sensitivity of measurement, mapping of disease-specific HRQOL results with the EuroQol five-dimensional questionnaire or similar generic measures can be useful to translate the findings into QALYs. Information on the changes in the health state should be reported directly by the patient or the caregiver. A valuation of these changes in the health state should then be reported for the general population. The outcome parameter chosen must be sensitive, valid, and consistent [14]. Synthesis of Clinical and Economic Evidence Evidence synthesis has to be based on objective, systematic, and reproducible search criteria. Estimation of health gain must be based on scientific literature review and/or results of primary data collection, and the best available evidence should be considered. Meta-analysis based on large randomized controlled trials is the highest hierarchy of evidence with the heterogeneity of data accounted for. If compared drug therapies differ in adherence or persistence of patients, then these factors should be incorporated in calculating the relative effectiveness. In case of orphan drugs where randomized controlled clinical studies have not been conducted, the results of uncontrolled clinical studies can be accepted, including studies with small sample size. All product safety data need to be included whether from clinical studies or from national and foreign pharmacovigilance centers and patient registries with attention given to those that differ substantively among the products being compared [15]. Economic evidence should be synthesized from systematic review of the local data sources and the best available evidence. Costs Determination Resource use data should be obtained mainly from primary data collection (e.g. health care providers or non-interventional studies) from Egypt; if not available, secondary data sources such as local administration, accounting data, or patient chart review data can be used. Official sources of unit cost data for products (e.g., tender lists) are preferable. In the absence of a published tender list price, the price submitted by a manufacturer for a product may be used. The quality, validity, relevance, and generalizability of local data should be clearly described. Both estimated consumption of resources and their unit prices must reflect real-world settings in Egypt because relative and absolute price levels differ among countries [16]. Resource use and costs should be identified, measured in their natural units and values [17]. The primary perspective for these studies is the overall health care services. Therefore, the resources that should be considered are direct medical costs, which include drugs, medical devices, medical services including procedures, laboratory, or diagnostic tests, hospital services and emergency department visits, and primary care visits. Other direct nonmedical and indirect costs paid by patients, including lost productivity costs, might be included only in the sensitivity analysis. If indirect costs are included in the analysis, the rationality of the costs and how they are estimated should be explained. Current and future costs arising as a consequence of a product, and occurring during the specified time frame of the study, should also be included. Mean values should be used. Different costs or costs of the same resources that are used in different quantities should be included in the analysis [18]. Out of the two general approaches to determine costs, microcosting and macro-costing, macrocosting is preferred [19]. The source of cost data must be reported in detail. Data should be the most recently available, with the cost year specified. Retrospective input costs should be inflated to the most recent calendar year by using the Consumer Price Index for health [20]. The drug cost used should reflect the formulation and pack size that gives the lowest cost. For drugs available in the outpatient pharmacies, the full public price should be used for calculating costs. For hospital products, the wholesale price should be used for cost calculations. Future costs should be calculated at constant current costs; therefore, results are not subject to uncertainty in future inflation rates. Modeling Economic modeling based on prospectively collected data is the preferred method by decision makers in an increasing number of countries to aggregate the expected costs and health effects for all options relating to appropriate population and subpopulations, based on the full range of existing evidence [21]. The major aim of applying modeling techniques is to aggregate short- and long-term outcomes in the most appropriate time horizon. The results of economic modeling studies presented should take into account the following requirements: 1) the model should be described in detail and should correspond to real practice of patient management; 2) the model should be as simple as possible, and easily understood; and 3) to facilitate assessment of the outputs of a model, full documentation of the structure, data elements, and validation of the model should be addressed in a clear manner, with justification provided for the options chosen and presented through diagrams (e.g., decision trees and Markov models) [22]. In addition, the model should be adapted to exclude clinical events not expected to differ among the comparator products [20]. For state transition models, such as Markov models, the cycle length should be sufficiently short to ensure that multiple changes in disease, treatment decisions, or costs do not occur within a single cycle. Heterogeneity in the population should be accounted by disaggregating the population into clinically plausible subgroups that require different structural assumptions. The internal validity of the model should be tested before using to ensure that the model is robust. The external validity should be tested by comparison of the results with those generated by other models and explaining differences if they exist. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 319–327 Discounting Discounting should be made according to the time horizon. Any costs or outcomes occurring beyond 1 year should be discounted by using standard methods [19]. For comparability of results across evaluations, it is important that a common discount rate is used. Because constant prices and outcomes are used in the economic evaluation, there is no need to take into account inflation in the discount rate. A real discount rate of 3.5% per year should be used for both costs and health gains. The discount rate should be varied from 2% to 6% in the sensitivity analysis. Uncertainty Data for a health economic analysis are derived from various sources, and this may be incomplete and affected by uncertainties. In a sensitivity analysis, critical component(s) in the calculation should be varied through a relevant range or from the worst case to the best case, and the results recalculated [13]. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis (PSA) is an appropriate method for exploring uncertainty around the true mean values of cost and efficacy inputs in decision-analytic modeling. In PSA, however, probability distributions are applied by using specified plausible ranges for the key parameters rather than the use of varied point estimates for each parameter. Its results are difficult to interpret for decision makers, while the stochastic approach, such as deterministic sensitivity analysis (DSA), examines how parameter variables (included as point estimates) affect the model output [23]. We propose, given the difficulty in interpreting the PSA, that DSA should be required, while PSA remains optional. To avoid potential bias and uncertainty that arise from the modeling process, assumptions about the model structure should be clearly stated and justified and their impact on costeffectiveness explored though a series of plausible scenario analyses so that whether the study results will be changed can be observed. All choices and the ranges of the parameters, and the method used in sensitivity analysis, should be clearly explained. Present Study Results Total costs and health outcomes must be reported separately, and the aggregated result be explained. All parameters used in the estimation of clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness should be itemized in a tabular form with data sources transparently. Negative results should be reported. Incremental costeffectiveness ratio has to be calculated, unless one of the compared health technologies dominates the other one. In addition, the potential impact of the introduction of the new treatment on the society needs to be assessed [24]. Where more than two products are being compared, the results should be presented in the order of increasing costs and the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio calculated by comparing each product with the one above it, excluding those products that are dominated. Equity issues, affordability, and resource constraints should be considered in judging the cost-effectiveness of a product for reimbursement [20]. Tornado diagrams are useful tools to display DSA. If PSAs are performed, the probability that the intervention is cost-effective at a range of threshold values should be reported and the data should be displayed graphically to facilitate the uncertainty interpretation [9]. Equity and Generalizability Issues To meet the needs of the decision makers, an attempt should be made to include equity considerations in the study report. The 323 equity assumption of the basic case in economic evaluations means that all patients should have a fair participation opportunity and obtain the expected treatment outcomes. To determine equity in economic evaluation, we propose that all lives, life-years, or QALYs should be valued equally, regardless of the age, gender, or socioeconomic status of individuals in the population [12]. The equity assumption should be included in every model and analytical method of economic evaluations and must be clearly stated. Analysts must consider two specific areas of concern regarding the generalizability of clinical and economic data in the assessment of technologies. The first area of concern is the extent to which the clinical efficacy data are representative of the likely effectiveness and similarly the extent to which economic data are representative of the costs and resource utilization [8]. The second area of concern is the generalizability of the economic and clinical data across different patient ages and genders as well as regional differences in health care practice within Egypt. These areas of concern should be identified and discussed, and the likely effect on the results and conclusions of the report should be highlighted [25]. Discussion There is an increasing need for justification of resource allocations and policy decisions, especially with the scarcity of public resources. Fig. 1 shows that among all middle-income countries in the region, Egypt invests a smaller proportion of its gross domestic product on health care [1]. Investments in economic evaluation studies and development of pharmacoecomic guidelines and expertise will help in allocating these limited resources in the most efficient way to improve health care services. The current reimbursement decisions in Egypt are based on the lowest price after clinical review and approval of efficacy and safety of the medication by the Procurement Technical Committee. The Procurement Technical Committee reviews all MOHP hospitals and primary care units’ needs of medications and applications submitted by drug manufacturers. It then decides whether this medication is to be listed or not, according to pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, safety, and efficacy. Then, the applications go to the Committee for Financial Offers at the MOHP to review the financial issues and decide which drug manufacturer or wholesaler, the one that presents the lowest price for each active ingredient (medication), is to get reimbursement. Drug manufacturers or wholesalers who submitted identical price levels for the same active ingredient are given reimbursement by an equal process. Fig. 2 presents the decision makers and influencers in the Egyptian pricing and reimbursement decision-making processes [26]. There is a growing need to incorporate high-quality economic evaluation studies into the reimbursement decision-making process to adequately evaluate clinical and economic benefits of medications in addition to the assessment of their acquisition costs. These evaluations will improve decision making with prioritizing our resources, which results in reducing our huge expenditure on pharmaceuticals and save these resources to be allocated to other cost-effective health technologies. In Egypt, there is no limited budget that should be allocated for drug coverage only but is allocated to the whole health sector. The submission of an economic evaluation is currently recommended in Egypt. And an economic evaluation guideline to standardize the process and provide a transparent and uniform approach was approved by the Ministry of Health. There is a big chance that these recommendations will be implemented in Egypt. Policymakers are encouraged to consider these 324 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 319–327 10.00% 9.00% 8.00% 7.00% 6.00% 5.00% 4.00% 3.00% 2.00% 1.00% 0.00% Overall Health Care Spending as Percentage of Gross Domesc Product Fig. 1 – Egypt in comparison with other middle-income countries in overall health care spending as percentage of gross domestic product. Data from USAID [1]. recommendations in developing the national guidelines for the economic evaluation of pharmaceuticals. The Canadian guidelines reported that by providing standards for conducting and reporting of economic evaluations, the current limitations of evaluations can be addressed and lead to better study [9]. It is important to note that the standardization of reporting and other policies in the United States shared in the bulk of the estimated $2 trillion savings [27]. We anticipate that the standardization of reporting would lead to a progressive improvement in the quality of submissions over time and provide the Egyptian health care system with data often unavailable in the past. In developing those recommendations, we chose to build on the learning experience from other countries and modify and adapt the knowledge acquired to fit the Egyptian setting. In doing so, duplication of efforts and use of resources much needed elsewhere are avoided. As a rule, certain elements of HTA reports are transferable, but adjustment to local data is absolutely necessary [16]. Copying recommendations based on international HTA without local adjustment may do more harm than good. Putting this into consideration, our recommendations were tailored to the current settings and environment in Egypt while using the current guidelines as an initial benchmark. Our starting point is built on many years of experiences and expertise worldwide. Fig. 2 – The Egyptian pricing and reimbursement decision-making processes [26]. Bold boxes, decision-making bodies; boxes, decision influencer bodies; bold arrows, required step in the decision-making process; arrows, may or may not affect decision. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 319–327 325 Table 3 – Key elements of the recommendations for reporting pharmacoeconomic evaluations in Egypt. Key elements The Egyptian recommendations Differences/ similarities across the national guidelines reviewed Rationale for inclusion in the Egyptian setting It is a common agreed-upon element that captures all the benefits when data are available representing the most efficient use of the finite resources. According to the Egyptian Ministry of Health regulations, the use of the product in unapproved indications is forbidden. Because of policy-related problems such as drug supply shortage, we have to use the available technologies. Perspective It should be relevant to the research question and adapted to benefits gained by the health care system. Common Indication It should be used in the approved indications. Common Choice of comparator Comparators should be policy relevant. The widely used and reimbursed health care technology for a given patient group is the preferred option. Both those who are insured and uninsured by the Egyptian health care system. Different Subgroup analysis Only for those for whom clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness may be expected to differ from that of the overall population. Common Preferred analytical technique Any of CMA, CEA, and CUA considered. Different Time horizon It should be ensured that the chosen outcome and the resource consumption of the treatment alternatives are observable in this period. Primary outcome measures are the first choice. CEA, where the intermediate marker is chosen, must have a validated, well-established link with an important hard end point. In CUA, outcomes are measured in QALYs gained. The direct use of the EQ-5D questionnaire, SF-6D, or similar generic measures is recommended. Common Target population Choice of outcome measure Preferred method to derive utility Synthesis of clinical and economic evidence Evidence synthesis has to be based on objective, systematic, and reproducible search criteria. The results of metaanalysis are preferable with the heterogeneity of data accounted for. Economic evidence should be synthesized from systematic review of the local data sources and the best available evidence. Different Because of the existing widespread uninsured population that is covered by other forms of health coverage, there is a need to assess the effectiveness among different categories of access to health care. When a distinct group differs from the overall population, a subgroup analysis is essential to reflect the actual clinical benefit and provide an accurate estimate of the cost-effectiveness of the therapy across all population groups to better inform decision on reimbursement. It depends on the research question. When the clinical benefit is interpreted as naturalistic clinical outcomes, CEA is the preferred method while CUA is the second option because the concept of using QALYs might not be well understood by the majority of decision makers. To accurately reflect the course of the disease and the total effects of the interventions. Common It depends both on the indication and on the research question. Common They are easy to use and interpret and are relevant to the Egyptian public educational level and preferences. After a period of time allowing knowledge building and according to the learning curve, more sophisticated instruments might be considered. Meta-analysis based on large randomized controlled trials is the highest hierarchy of clinical evidence and is recommended for clinical benefit evidence. However, economic benefit evidence is nontransferable among the countries and should be obtained from local data sources and the best available evidence. Common 326 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 319–327 Table 3 – continued Key elements The Egyptian recommendations Differences/ similarities across the national guidelines reviewed Rationale for inclusion in the Egyptian setting In most cases, data and information on indirect costs are lacking in Egypt; therefore, direct costs estimation is recommended. Both estimated consumption of resources and their unit prices must reflect realworld settings in Egypt because relative and absolute price levels differ among countries. Costs to be included Direct medical costs as well as additional costs, savings, or other benefits when data are available. Different Sources of costs Primary data collection; if unavailable, secondary data sources can be used such as local administration, accounting data, and patient chart review. Official sources of unit cost data for products (e.g., tender lists) are preferable. Modeling options include decision trees and Markov models. The model should be described in detail and should correspond to real practice of patient management. Common Discounting costs and outcomes A discount rate of 3.5% per year should be used for costs and outcomes. Common Uncertainty Critical component(s) in the calculation should be varied through a relevant range or from the worst case to the best case. DSA should be required, while PSA remains optional. All lives, life-years, or QALYs should be valued equally, regardless of the age, gender, or socioeconomic status of individuals in the population. The generalizability and the extent to which the clinical efficacy data and the economic data are representative should be identified and discussed. Total costs and health outcomes must be reported separately, and the aggregated result be explained. ICER has to be calculated. The probability that the intervention is cost-effective at a range of threshold values should be reported and displayed graphically. Different Modeling Equity issues Generalizability Presenting results Common These models are easy to use, interpret, and aggregate the expected costs and shortand long-term outcomes captured in the most appropriate time horizon relating to the Egyptian population and subpopulations. Because constant prices and outcomes are used in the economic evaluation, there is no need to take into account inflation in the discount rate. With the current level of knowledge, results of PSA are difficult to interpret by personnel reviewing the studies for coverage decisions. Common All patients should have a fair participation opportunity and obtain the expected treatment outcomes. Common Because of the presence of wide regional differences in health care practice among urban and rural areas, generalizability of the studies should be discussed in detail. Detailed information should be provided to facilitate the interpretation of results, thus allowing for a more transparent and uniform process for the final coverage decision. Common CEA, cost-effectiveness analysis; CMA, cost minimization analysis; CUA, cost-utility analysis; DSA, deterministic sensitivity analysis; EQ-5D, EuroQol five-dimensional; SF-6D, six-dimensional health state short form (derived from short-form 36 health survey); ICER, incremental costeffectiveness ratio; PSA, probabilistic sensitivity analysis; QALYs, quality-adjusted life-years. Key elements common across all national guidelines reviewed were included in the recommendations. Other key elements differed between the various guidelines such as the choice of comparator, preferred analytical technique, target population, costs to be included, and uncertainty. Through a consensus approach between all focus group members for these elements, we recommended the best fit to Egyptian settings that are applicable to the current Egyptian environment. A summary of the key elements of the recommendations and the rationale for their inclusion within the Egyptian setting are presented in Table 3 highlighting the elements that were common across all guidelines and the ones that varied. HTA implementation in Egypt, however, is significantly challenged by the diversity and heterogeneity of the health care system, limited tradition for national treatment guidelines, and limited availability of epidemiological, health outcomes, and cost data. Data for economic evaluations are low quality, region and provider specific, unavailable in electronic records, and, in most cases, not updated. So, the common opinion is “HTA cannot be implemented in Egypt.” In fact, there are no perfect data for health care research; we have to assess realistically how wrong they have to be not to be considered useful. Having some data is better than having no data at all; conducting pharmacoeconomic evaluations and outcomes research in Egypt would also greatly improve the quality of current data. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 319–327 Therefore, it will be important to evaluate the effect of the implementation of these recommendations on reporting in future economic evaluations in a manner similar to Consolidated Health Economic Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS): ISPOR Task force report [28]. As methods for the conduct of economic evaluation continue to evolve, it will also be important to revisit our recommendations. These recommendations were presented to the Assistant Minister of Health, and initial steps required to start building the capacity of the pharmacoeconomic unit are underway. A young generation of government personnel is enthusiastic to enter this field; recent graduates from the first health economic diploma program in the Middle East are keen to facilitate the implementation of HTA in Egypt. [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] Conclusions Worldwide, health care decision makers are challenged to set priorities in an environment in which the demand for health care services outweighs the allocated resources [29]. Effective pharmaceutical pricing and reimbursement systems, based on HTA that encompasses economic evaluations, are essential to an efficient sustainable health care system [30]. The MOHP was encouraged to establish a pharmacoeconomic unit, as an initial step, for the support of pricing and reimbursement decisions. We anticipate that the standardization of reporting would lead to a progressive improvement in the quality of submissions over time and provide the Egyptian health care system with health economic evidence often unavailable in the past. Therefore, recommendations for pharmacoeconomic evaluations provide an essential tool for the support of a transparent and uniform process in the evaluation of the clinical benefit and costs of drugs that do not rely on the use of low acquisition cost as the primary basis for selection. Eventually, these recommendations will help inform the health care decisions in improving health care systems and achieving better health for the Egyptian population. Source of financial support: The authors have no other financial relationships to disclose. [14] [15] [16] [17] [18] [19] [20] [21] [22] R EF E R EN CE S [23] [24] [1] USAID. Summary key findings national health accounts 2008/2009. 2009. 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VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 328 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Note from the Editors A journal article is sometimes an unfinished piece, which is finished not after the peer review process [1], but after its original publication and the letters sent to the journal by readers and the wider audience. An example of this is the case of the article by Azevedo et al. [2] published in Volume 1, Issue 2, of Value in Health Regional Issues (VIHRI) (focusing on Latin America). After receiving a Letter to the Editors by Dr. Jose Elias Rizk Aziz regarding this article, the editorial team reviewed the article and sent the letter, as well as other comments, to the authors, who promptly responded with a response Letter to the Editors, as well as with an erratum of the original article. We think that these letters and the new version of the article, published in this VIHRI issue, contribute to the iterative process of improving publication through the interaction of authors, with the readers and editors. Best regards, Federico Augustovski, MD, MSc, PhD Bon-Ming Yan, PhD Dan Greenberg, PhD Value in Health Regional Issues Co-Editors-in-Chief 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.05.006 R EF E R EN C ES [1] Smith R. Peer review: a flawed process at the heart of science and journals. J R Soc Med 2006;99:178–82. [2] Azevedo VF, Sandorff E, Siemak B, Halbert RJ. Potential regulatory and commercial environment for biosimilars in Latin America. Value Health Regional 2012;1:228–34. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 329–330 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri ERRATUM In the article, “Potential Regulatory and Commercial Environment for Biosimilars in Latin America,” by Valderilio Feijó Azevedo, Erik Sandorff, Brian Siemak, Ronald J. Halbert, which appeared in Value in Health Regional Issues, Volume 1, Issue 2 (December 2012), the following items are to be addressed and clarified: 1) On page 231, Table 3, the correct table should be: Table 3 – Attributes potentially affecting the development of biosimilar policies in five Latin American countries. Attribute Brazil Argentina Chile Mexico Venezuela Market size (population) Large (205 million) High Midsized (42 million) High Small (17 million) Medium Large (115 million) High Midsized (28 million) Medium Yes Yes Yes No Yes Yes Yes Yes No No Yes NA Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes No Yes No 2010 2005/2011 ≥2012 2009 (in development) None Interaction with international thought leaders Local production capabilities Safety issues with biosimilars in the past Expected differences in regulatory requirements based on the complexity of the molecule Regulatory pathway specific for biosimilars Year of biosimilar regulatory pathway NA, not available/applicable; WHO, World Health Organization. WHO guidelines were finalized in 2009. 2) Also on page 231, the Potential Issues section should read: Potential issues Although there was no regulatory pathway until recently, biosimilars have been available in Mexico for many years. Because of the increasing number of biosimilars coming into the market, the new biosimilar pathway was designed to increase access to biosimilars while maintaining quality, efficacy, and safety. As the regulatory pathway is still fluid, there are a few potential issues that could affect future regulation and subsequent utilization. Thus far only relatively simple biosimilars have been approved for use in Mexico. As the regulatory pathway will most likely depend on the complexity of the biosimilar, more complex biosimilars may be subject to the same clinical trial requirements as the originator biologic, as described in other biosimilar regulatory guidance [5]. 3) On page 232, the Potential Issues section should read: Chile has local production capacity for biologics. As the current regulatory guidelines for biosimilars are in development, the future regulatory landscape remains open. Chile’s eventual biosimilar pathway, however, will most likely follow European Medicines Agency or WHO guidelines. Our findings indicate that there may be standardized guidelines for all biosimilars with specific requirements depending on the complexity of the molecule. Safety issues could also influence the future regulatory environment. Although potential safety issues might slow down the progress toward developing biosimilar regulatory guidelines, our primary research indicates that the Chilean government seems determined to press forward with a distinct regulatory pathway for biosimilars. 330 VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 329–330 4) On page 233, the second and third paragraph in the Discussion section should read: Of these two pathways, the comparability pathway is fairly conventional in its similarity to the requirements brought forward by the WHO Similar Biotherapeutic Products guidelines. The individual development pathway, however, includes reduced requirements, opening the door to lower complexity biosimilar products. Such a pathway deviates from the vision for biosimilars defined by the WHO and is reflective of a hypothesis that has emerged from this research that a conceptual bias may exist within Brazil regarding the appropriate threshold for regulatory requirements for follow-on biologic products. Safety problems highlight the need for distinct pathways to regulate review, approval, and pharmacovigilance processes for biosimilars, and argue for greater transparency of government actions to incentivize the domestic production of biologics. Observed safety issues, however, have apparently not had a major impact on governmental actions to increase access to biosimilars in the region to date. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 331–332 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri LETTERS TO THE EDITOR Response to “Potential Regulatory and Commercial Environment for Biosimilars in Latin America” by Azevedo et al. I refer to the article titled “Potential regulatory and commercial environment for biosimilars in Latin America” written by Azevedo et al., published in Value in Health Regional Issues 1 (2012):228– 34, which contains incorrect information about biosimilars’ regulation and market environment in Mexico. It must be emphasized that until now there have been no reported cases of anaphylactic shock related to Kikuzubam in Mexico or elsewhere and that there are no safety concerns with the product. The authors based their assertion on a newspaper article that consisted of an interview with a competitor’s executive at its facility in Palo Alto, CA [1]. The mentioned rash and anaphylactic shock cases never existed and were never reported. This is why Probiomed would like to explain to your distinguished readers that there are no Kikuzubam’s safety data concerns published by any scientific journal or official communication from the Mexican health authorities supporting those claims against the product. In addition, we identified that the Mexican current situation described by Sandorff et al. has several inaccuracies regarding the regulatory framework for biotechnology drugs. The authors omit to mention that Mexican health authorities issued a decree amending and adding various provisions of the regulation of health products in October 2011 [2]. Although Sandorff et al. mentioned that phase III comparative trials may not be required for biosimilars and the main factor influencing the decision will be the product type, the regulation cited above describes how biotechnology products require pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics, safety, and efficacy clinical trials. Kikuzubam complied with all these requirements. The safety and scientific requirements endorsed in the Emergency Mexican Official Standard NOM-EM-001-SSA1-2012 for biotechnology drugs and biopharmaceuticals published in September 2012 include Good Manufacturing Practices compliance, technical and scientific safety, efficacy and quality proof, labeling, and requirements for biocomparability studies and active pharmacovigilance [3]. Mexican health authorities’ initiatives confirm that the new biosimilar registration pathway has been designed to align the Mexican regulatory framework with International Conference of Harmonization requirements, instead of just pretending to increase access to biosimilars as Sandorff et al. claimed. Finally, it is a known fact that biotechnology generic drugs (as they were called before the terms “biosimilars” or “biocomparables” were coined) have been in the Mexican health system for over 20 years. Probiomed has developed such products since 1996; the portfolio includes recombinant proteins, cytokines, hormones, recombinant vaccines, monoclonal antibodies, and fusion proteins. In approximately 15 years, Probiomed has supplied more than 76 million doses of biotechnology products to health institutions, health care professionals, and patients in Mexico and several countries, without receiving any safety or efficacy complains. More than 15 million patients have been exposed to Probiomed’s biotechnology generic drugs as detailed in Table 1. We appreciate and thank you for giving us the opportunity to make these clarifications. Jorge Revilla Beltri, MD Medical Director, Probiomed, Mexico D.F., Mexico 2212-1099/$36.00 – see front matter Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.05.007 R EF E R EN C ES [1] Milenio. Medicamento biotecnológico del ISSSTE desata pleito legal. Available from: http://jalisco.milenio.com/cdb/doc/impreso/9043982. [Accessed April 24, 2013]. [2] DECRETO por el que se reforman y adicionan diversas disposiciones del Reglamento de Insumos para la Salud. Available from: http://dof.gob. mx/nota_detalle.php?codigo=5214882&fecha=19/10/2011. [Accessed April 24, 2013]. [3] Norma Oficial Mexicana Emergente NOM-EM-001-SSA1-2012, Medicamentos biotecnológicos y sus biofármacos. Buenas prácticas de fabricación. Características técnicas y científicas que deben cumplir éstos para demostrar su seguridad, eficacia y calidad. Etiquetado. Requisitos para realizar los estudios de biocomparabilidad y farmacovigilancia. Available from: http://dof.gob.mx/nota_detalle.php? codigo=5269530&fecha=20/09/2012. [Accessed April 24, 2013]. 332 Table 1 – Patients treated with biosimilars manufactured by Probiomed. Probiomed biosimilar name Probivac pediatric Probivac adult Filatil Protophin Glinux Uribeta Emaxem Jumtab Kikuzubam Infinitam Molgramostim Alfa 2a IFN Alfa 2b IFN Eritropoyetin (rHu-EPO) HBv Vaccine HBv Vaccine Filgrastim Somatropin Insulin Beta 1b IFN 8 MUI Beta 1a IFN 12 MUI Beta 1a IFN 6 MUI Rituximab Etanercept Original brand/ laboratory Approval year Leucomax/Sch-P Roferón/Roche Intrón-A/Sch-P Recormón/Roche Units distributed per year Total units Treated patients† 2010* 2011 2012 2013 1996 1996 1997 1998 157,633 169,492 977,341 12,764,557 3,652 – 170,035 2,198,892 227 – 183,316 2,317,365 3,654 – 49,745 4,887,978 165,166 169,492 1,380,437 22,168,792 23,595 1,412 11,504 213,161 Engerix-B/Glaxo Engerix-B/Glaxo Neupogen/Roche Humatrope/Lilly Humulin/Lilly Betaferon/Bayer Rebif/Merck-Se 2000 2000 2001 2001 2001 2002 2004 4,532,144 17,030,081 436,274 130,294 3,709,686 360,720 188,442 3,875,000 4,969,950 79,072 47,424 224,231 106,083 13,922 3,927,069 1,296,456 84,133 44,016 55,330 121,742 14,544 7,500,000 2,500,000 317,639 18,000 23,400 154,669 16,391 19,834,213 25,796,487 917,118 239,734 4,012,647 743,214 233,299 6,611,404 8,598,829 131,017 7,882 131,923 4,764 1,496 Avonex/Bayer Mabthera/Roche Enbrel/W-Pfizer 2006 2010 2012 111,244 – – 20,883 12,685 – 25,852 40,593 – 13,575 63,461 248,000 171,554 116,739 248,000 Total biosimilar units Total patients treated 3,299 7,708 2,583 76,166,892 15,750,577 Note. For more than 15 years, Probiomed has offered more than 76 million doses of biosimilar products for the treatment of more than 15 million patients in Mexico and in the global market. Probiomed has never received a report of immunogenicity or adverse events on its biosimilars, different from those reported by the original product. All Probiomed products are under strict pharmacovigilance programs. From year of registration up to 2010. † The number of patients was calculated according to current posological schemes. VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 331–332 Gramal Proquiferón Urifrón Bioyetin API VALUE IN HEALTH REGIONAL ISSUES 2 (2013) 333 Available online at www.sciencedirect.com journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/vhri Response to Letter from Dr. Jorge Revilla Beltri dated 22nd March, 2013 The letter from Dr. Revilla Beltri, a Medical Director at Probiomed, raises two points. First, that we cited a newspaper article interview with a source who appears to have been an industry lawyer. On this basis, we withdraw the paragraph in question. Second, Dr. Revilla Beltri states that there are inaccuracies in the published article with regard to the Mexican regulatory framework surrounding biosimilars. We stand by our assertion in the article that a new regulatory pathway had only been recently created in Mexico to reflect the increasing number of biosimilars coming into that market and at the time the article was submitted for publication, that regulatory pathway was still evolving. In fact, the October 2011 Decreto referenced in Dr. Revilla Beltri’s letter specifies that biosimilar regulation in Mexico should be addressed by a subcommittee on a caseby-case basis but did not specify the regulatory structure that would surround such subcommittees. The second regulation quoted by Dr. Revilla Beltri was enacted after our article was accepted for publication. Erik Sandorff, MA, MBA PriceSpective, Blue Bell, PA, USA Copyright & 2013, International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research (ISPOR). Published by Elsevier Inc. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.vhri.2013.05.005 GUIDE FOR AUTHORS Value in Health Regional Issues is a peer-reviewed publication of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, focusing on Asia, Latin American, Central & Eastern Europe, Western Asia, and Africa. Its mission is to provide a forum for the advancement and dissemination of knowledge and research in pharmacoeconomics and the healthrelated outcomes of disease and treatment processes, and therefore solicits original contributions in health care policty analysis, outcomes research (clinical, economic, and patient-reported) empirical studies, methodological studies, and manuscripts on health care resources in the region. Health care decision-maker commentaries from health outcomes researchers and policy makers are welcome. 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