WATER AND SANITATION IN AFRICA: TRENDS, CHALLENGES AND OPPORTUNITIES Ousman Gajigo African Development Bank PRESENTATION OUTLINE • Discuss Trends in Access to Improved Water and Sanitation in Africa. • Macroeconomic and other socioeconomic correlates. • Implications for PPPs in Water and Sanitation Sector in Africa – Some evidence on the region’s experience to date. ACCESS TO IMPROVED WATER SOURCES REGIONAL DIFFERENCES IN ACCESS TO IMPROVED WATER SOURCE % Access to Improved Water Source 2000 83 55 58 61 86 88 2005 81 85 90 2010 88 89 89 94 90 93 82 87 91 RURAL-URBAN DIFFERENCE • Significant differences in access between urban and rural areas. • Significant difference in the kinds of improved water sources available. URBAN-RURAL DIFFERENCE Households with Access to Piped Water into Residence/Yard/Plot Households using Wells, Boreholes, Hand-pumps, Rainwater 60% 50% 1990-2000 2000-2010 1990-2000 49% 49% 40% 40% 43% 40% 2000-2010 30% 30% 20% 50% 19% 21% 16% 20% 7% 10% 10% 0% 0% Urban Areas Rural Areas Urban Areas Rural Areas 60 URBAN-RURAL INEQUALITY IN ACCESS TO IMPROVE WATER SOURCES Somalia Ethiopia Niger Congo, Rep. Gabon Congo, Dem. Sierra Rep.Leone Togo Mozambique 40 Djibouti Cameroon ZambiaCentral African Republic Madagascar Guinea-Bissau Senegal Morocco Mali Tanzania Nigeria Kenya Chad 20 Angola Liberia Zimbabwe Uganda Swaziland Guinea Cote d'Ivoire Burkina Faso 0 South Africa Lesotho Benin Sudan Malawi RwandaBurundi Ghana Namibia Gambia Botswana AlgeriaCape Verde Mauritania Sao Tome and Mauritius Egypt Principe Comoros 20 40 60 80 % access to improved water source in 2010 100 3 LACK OF CORRELATION BETWEEN GDP GROWTH AND ACCESS TO IMPROVED WATER SOURCES Guinea-Bissau Niger 2 Mali Liberia Seychelles -1 0 1 Mauritania Chad Sierra Leone Angola Djibouti Burkina Faso Ethiopia Cameroon Uganda Central African Republic Benin Cape Verde Togo Ghana Senegal Swaziland Sao Mozambique Tome and Principe Guinea Gambia Malawi EgyptMorocco South Africa Tunisia Gabon Congo, Namibia Botswana Rep.Mauritius Madagascar Zambia Comoros Lesotho Nigeria Kenya BurundiCongo, Dem. Rep. Tanzania Algeria Sudan Rwanda 0 2 4 6 % real gdp per capita growth 2000-2010 8 6 LACK OF CORRELATION BETWEEN GDP GROWTH AND ACCESS TO IMPROVED WATER SOURCES 4 Ethiopia 0 2 Mali Swaziland Malawi Burkina Faso Guinea-Bissau Mauritania Uganda Madagascar Ghana Liberia Sierra Leone Cameroon Niger Guinea Zambia Kenya Chad Namibia Benin Mozambique Angola Togo Nigeria Senegal Djibouti Gambia Central South Africa African Morocco Republic Cape Verde Cote d'Ivoire Comoros Egypt Congo, Dem. Rep. Gabon Congo, Rep. Botswana Burundi Mauritius Tanzania Rwanda Lesotho Sudan -2 Algeria Eritrea -10 -5 0 5 % real gdp per capita growth 1990-1999 10 POSSIBLE EXPLANATION FOR LACK OF CORRELATION WITH GDP GROWTH • High Population Growth • Possible lack of inclusiveness in the recent GDP growth in Africa. – Largely Commodity price-driven GDP Growth. POPULATION GROWTH AND ACCESS TO IMPROVED WATER SOURCES 80 100 South Africa SaoCape TomeVerde and PrincipeDjibouti Gabon Ghana Morocco Algeria Malawi Zimbabwe Cote d'Ivoire Lesotho Cameroon Burkina Faso Rwanda 40 60 40 Egypt Botswana Comoros Namibia South Africa Sao Tome and Principe Gambia DjiboutiCape Verde Gabon Ghana MoroccoAlgeria Malawi Zimbabwe Cote d'Ivoire Lesotho Cameroon Guinea BeninLiberia Senegal Burundi Swaziland Congo, Rep.Uganda Central African Republic Guinea-Bissau Mali Zambia Togo Kenya Nigeria Sudan Sierra Leone Tanzania Chad Angola Mauritania Niger Mozambique Madagascar Ethiopia Congo, Dem. Rep. Gambia Burkina Faso Guinea Benin Liberia Senegal Uganda Swaziland Burundi Congo, Rep. Central African Republic Rwanda Guinea-Bissau Mali Zambia Togo Kenya Nigeria Sudan Sierra Leone Tanzania Chad Mauritania Angola Niger Mozambique Madagascar Congo, Dem. Rep. Ethiopia 20 Somalia 20 Somalia Mauritius Comoros Namibia 80 Egypt Botswana Urban Population Growth and Access 60 Mauritius % access to improved water source 2010 100 Total Population Growth and Access 1 1.5 2 2.5 % population growth 1990-2010 3 3.5 0 2 4 6 % urban population growth 2000-2010 8 ACCESS TO IMPROVED SANITATION FACILITIES % With Access to Improved Sanitation Facilities REGIONAL DIFFERENCES IN ACCESS TO IMPROVED SANITATION FACILITIES 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2000 2005 2010 62 56 60 28 29 31 82 87 89 75 77 79 53 29 34 38 62 69 RURAL-URBAN DIFFERENCE IN ACCESS TO SANITATION Access to Flush Toilets 30% 25% 25% 26% 1990-2000 70% 1990-2000 60% 2000-2010 20% Access to Traditional Latrines 50% 50% 2000-2010 47% 43% 45% 40% 15% 30% 10% 20% 5% 1% 3% 0% 10% 0% Urban Rural Urban Rural LACK OF CORRELATION BETWEEN GDP GROWTH AND ACCESS TO IMPROVED SANITATION FACILITIES Access to Sanitation and GDP Growth in Preceding Decade 0 Ethiopia 5 10 15 Ethiopia Angola 0 Central African Republic Burkina Faso LiberiaCongo, Dem. Rep. Benin Guinea-Bissau Ghana Cape Verde Niger Comoros Chad Guinea Mozambique Madagascar Mauritania Sao Tome and Principe Mali Botswana Sierra Leone Rwanda Senegal Kenya Namibia Uganda Malawi Tanzania Morocco Gambia Swaziland EgyptTunisia South Africa Lesotho Burundi CameroonAlgeria Togo Libya Zambia Mauritius Sudan Gabon Nigeria Congo, Rep. Guinea-Bissau AngolaCentral African Republic Cape Verde Benin Burkina Faso Niger Ghana Comoros Namibia Mozambique Botswana Senegal Rwanda Tunisia Guinea Sierra Leone Chad Morocco Madagascar Egypt Uganda Mali Malawi KenyaCote d'Ivoire Swaziland Gambia Zambia South Algeria Africa Lesotho Burundi Gabon Tanzania Mauritania Mauritius Cameroon Sudan Nigeria Congo, Rep. Togo -5 Djibouti Eritrea Djibouti -10 -5 0 5 10 % growth in access to improved sanitation 2000-2010 Access to Sanitation and GDP Growth in the Same Decade 2 4 6 % real gdp per capita growth 2000-2010 8 -5 0 5 % real gdp per capita growth 1990-1999 10 Sanitation Access and Urban Population Growth 100 Sanitation Access and Population Growth Libya Algeria Egypt Seychelles Egypt Libya Tunisia South Africa Morocco 80 South Africa Morocco Burundi Senegal Zambia 2 2.5 % population growth 1990-2010 3 3.5 Burundi Malawi Rwand Burkina Faso Guinea-Bissau Central African Republic Sudan 40 Uganda Lesotho Sao Tome and Principe Sudan Mauritania Cote d'Ivoire Congo, Dem. Rep. Somalia Mali Ethiopia Guinea-Bissau Congo, Mozambique Rep. Guinea Liberia Burkina Faso Madagascar Ghana Sierra Leone Togo Benin Chad Tanzania Niger 1.5 Cameroon Namibia Zimbabwe Somalia Mauritania Comoros Zimbabwe Comoros Central African Gabon Republic Namibia Kenya Nigeria Gambia Swaziland Djibouti 60 Angola Malawi Djibouti Cameroon Zambia Angola Botswana Cape Verde Senegal Gambia Botswana Cape Verde Swaziland Rwanda 1 Algeria Mauritius Mauritius Mozambique Cote d'Ivoire Nigeria Niger Uganda Mali Gabon Kenya Guinea Lesotho SaoEthiopia Tome Chad and Principe Liberia Togo Benin Sierra Leone Congo, Dem. Rep. Madagascar Congo, Rep. Tanzania Ghana 20 in 2010 % access to improved sanitation facilities in urban areas100 60 80 20 40 0 POPULATION GROWTH, URBANIZATION AND SANITATION ACCESS 0 2 4 6 % Urban population growth 1990-2010 8 GROWTH IN URBAN AREAS AND GROWTH IN ACCESS 3 Central African Mauritania Republic Tanzania Benin Niger Liberia -1 0 1 2 Guinea Guinea-Bissau Ethiopia Cape Comoros Verde Ghana Madagascar Somalia Chad Angola Sao Tome and Principe Botswana Kenya Burundi Senegal Sierra Leone Seychelles Congo, Gambia Dem. Rep. Uganda Mozambique Mali Swaziland South Africa Egypt Tunisia Morocco Mauritius Libya Equatorial Guinea Togo Malawi Algeria Zimbabwe ZambiaCote d'Ivoire Congo, Namibia Rep. Cameroon Nigeria Eritrea Djibouti Sudan Gabon Lesotho 0 2 4 6 % urban population growth 2000-2010 Burkina Faso Rwanda 8 Egypt 80 Mauritius South Africa 60 Morocco Gambia Angola Average Botswana Cape Verde Swaziland Rwanda Senegal Malawi Cameroon Djibouti Zambia Burundi Zimbabwe Somalia Comoros Central Uganda African RepublicGabon Kenya Namibia Nigeria MauritaniaSudan Lesotho Sao Tome and Princip Congo, Dem. Rep. Cote d'Ivoire Mali Ethiopia Guinea-Bissau Mozambique Congo, Liberia Guinea Rep. Burkina Faso Madagascar Ghana ChadSierra Leone Togo Benin NigerTanzania 0 High Correlation between income and Access Rates. Algeria 40 Access to Sanitation lagging behind Access to Improved Water. Average 20 % access to improved sanitation 2010 High Correlation between the two Sectors. 100 WATER AND SANITATION 20 40 60 80 % access to improved water source 2010 100 IMPLICATIONS FOR PPPS IN THE WATER AND SANITATION SECTOR • Service/management contract – Relatively common in WSS in Africa. – Can lead to Improvements in quality of services. – Increase in access not guaranteed. • Lease/Concession –Less common in Africa in WSS in Africa – Can lead to Improvements in quality of services. – Increase in access likely. TYPES OF PPP ARRANGEMENT AND ACCESS TO IMPROVED WATER SOURCES % % Access to Improved Water Source 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 64 2005 82 85 2005 2010 68 2010 Service/Management Contracts Concessions TYPES OF PPP ARRANGEMENT AND ACCESS TO IMPROVED WATER SOURCES 100 90 % Access to Improved Sanitation Facilities 80 70 % 60 50 40 32 33 2005 2010 44 46 2005 2010 30 20 10 0 Service/Management Contracts Concessions High rate of cancellations in previous PPPs. 40 Benin Angola 30 Cameroon Gabon Equatorial Guinea Liberia Burkina Faso Gambia Malawi Sierra Leone Madagascar Sudan Senegal 20 Mali Lesotho Mozambique Nigeria Cape Verde 10 Limited Capacity for countries with low access rates. Chad Central African Republ Eritrea Guinea Congo, Dem. Rep. Guinea-Bissau Niger Zimbabwe Burundi Cote d'Ivoire Togo Mauritania Congo, Rep. Namibia Botswana South Africa Mauritius 0 Doing Business Ranking 2011 -Countries with favorable investment climate already have high access rates. 50 CHALLENGES FOR PPP: IMPLICATIONS FOR MDG TARGETS 3 Tanzania Swaziland Uganda Ethiopia Kenya Zambia Ghana Rwanda 4 5 6 Country Risk Rating 2011 (the lower the better) 7 THANK YOU
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