Local Environment, Vol. 6, No. 4, 407–419, 2001 ARTICLE Games Real Farmers Play: knowledge, memory and the fate of collective action to prevent eutrophication of water catchments LENNART J. LUNDQVIST ABSTRACT This paper analyses the outcome of an actor game aimed at nding ways to institutionalis e farmer co-operation in a water catchment threatened by eutrophicatio n from heavy use of fertilisers . Although offered several advantageous options for collective action, acting farmers stuck to their preference for individual management in spite of very draconian measures from central authorities . Theories on collective action developed by Mancur Olson and Elinor Ostrom cover some ground in explaining this puzzling outcome, as do Fritz Scharpf’s models of games played out under the ‘shadow of hierarchy’. However, the most decisive factor for the farmers’ choice of strategy seems to stand Mancur Olson’s theory on its head, and adds to the importance of trust and reciprocity emphasised by Elinor Ostrom. Because the farmers knew each other well, and because of the transparenc y of farmers’ action in the geographicall y limited catchment, they turned down options of co-operation ; too few farmers were considered trustworth y enough to make it worthwhile to engage in collective action. Theories of ‘collective memories of the history of play’ in an area or on an issue should thus be given more concern in future efforts to bring about collective action towards common pool resources. LENNART J. LUNDQVIST , Juegos que los reales agricultores juegan: conocimiento, memoria y el destino de la acción colectiva para prevenir la eutro cación de captación de agua. Este documento analiza el resultado de juego de actor dirigido a encontrar formas de institucionaliza r la cooperación entre agricultores en la captación de agua amenazada por eutro cación de fuerte uso de fertilizantes . Aunque ofrecieron varias opciones ventajosas para la acción colectiva, los agricultore s participante s se quedan apegados a sus preferencias de manejo individual a pesar de las medidas bastante draconiana s de las autoridade s centrales. Las teorias de acción colectiva desarrollada s por Mancur Olson y Elinor Ostrom cubren algún terreno en explicar este curioso resultado, al igual que los modelos de juego de Fritz Scharpf jugados bajo la “sombra de Lennart J. Lundqvist, Department of Political Science, Göteborg University, Box 711 Se-40530, Göteborg, Sweden. Email: [email protected] 1354-983 9 Print/1469-671 1 Online/01/040407-13 Ó DOI: 10.1080/1354983012009170 7 2001 Taylor & Francis Ltd. L. J. Lundqvist jerarquia”. Sin embargo, el factor mas decisivo para la estrategia de decisión de los agricultore s parece poner la teoria de Mancur Olson de revéz y se suma a la importancia de la con anza y reciprocidad enfatizada por Elinor Ostrom. Debido a que los agricultore s se conocian bien y a la transparenci a de la accion de agricultore s en la captacion limitada geogra camente, ellos rechazaron opciones de cooperación; muy pocos agricultore s fueron considerado s de su ciente con anza para que merecieran participar en acción colectiva. Las teorias de “memorias colectivas de la historia del juego” en una área o sobre un asunto deben de esta manera estar mostrando mayor interes en esfuerzos futuros para atraer la acción colectiva hacia recursos de fondo común. Coercion or Co-operation to Save the Commons? By the mid-1990s it became clear that Sweden would not achieve the 50% decrease in nutrient load targeted in the 1980s. Nitrate leaching from intensive farming areas in the Halland and SkaÊ ne regions continued to cause periods of oxygen de cit in Laholm Bay. The bay and parts of its catchment area had been declared particularly sensitive to eutrophicatio n in 1986, when oxygen de cit resulting from excessive nutrient load caused massive death of the bottom fauna (Sveriges Nationalatlas, 1991). Indeed, the 50% decrease seemed unattainable; eutrophicatio n caused by nitrate leaching from agriculture threatened to cause the complete death of the bay’s marine life (Wittgren et al., 2000). The situation was approaching a ‘tragedy of the commons’ (Hardin, 1968). Farmers used more fertilisers to increase their production, thus causing externalities to other water users, but lacked incentives to change their fertilising practices to improve catchment water quality. To break this deadlock, the Administration Board in Halland County (where Laholm Bay is situated) in 1996 suggested a pilot study to test the implementation of environmental quality standards, a concept so far never used in Swedish environmental regulation. This led the Investigatory Commission on Water Catchments—mandated by the government in 1996 to propose a system for managing Swedish water catchment resources (see SOU, 1997a, b)—to commission a study of the GenevadsaÊ n catchment. This catchment discharges into Laholm Bay between the larger Nissan and Lagan rivers. Its coastal part is dominated by agriculture (SOU, 1997b). The Genevad study was set up as an actor game, and played out from November 1998 to January 1999. The overarching purposes were: (1) to test the implementabilit y of legally binding environmental quality standards; and (2) to investigate the possibilitie s for collective action through negotiated and institutionalised actor co-operation. Its other purposes were to nd agriculturally feasible and economically cost-effective measures for lowering the nitrogen load and to test mathematical modelling for the management of nitrogen leakage and transport in water catchments (Wittgren et al., 2000). I rst give a short description of the Genevad simulation game. Then follows an analysis of the game’s outcome in terms of collective action to promote water quality in the catchment, geared towards answering the following question: why did the game that the farmers around GenevadsaÊ n took part in playing not lead 408 Games Real Farmers Play to negotiated settlements involving them in institutionalise d co-operation to reach ecologically necessary reductions in nitrate transport and loading? The non-co-operativ e outcome of the game is puzzling: rst, in terms of the numbers of actors and the transparency of action, since the size of the catchment and the number of farmers seemed to provide good opportunitie s for collective action (see Olson, 1965); secondly, in terms of the institutiona l setting, since even hierarchical authority structures provide possibilitie s for negotiated stakeholder co-operation rather than imposed state action (see Scharpf, 1997); and thirdly, in terms of the design principles for successful co-operation in common pool resource situations, since the game provided the farmers in a well de ned area with legally de ned opportunitie s to participate in co-operative institution s (see Ostrom, 1990). An Outline of the Genevad Game: actors, institutions, phases and outcomes Using concepts such as ‘actor constellations ’, ‘institutiona l settings’ and ‘modes of interactions’, Scharpf (1997, p. 48) contends that by “combining analyses of actor constellation s with the analysis of modes of interaction, we will have extremely powerful tools for explaining the outcomes of speci c policy interactions”. The actor constellatio n of the game involved local farmers and municipal and regional environmental authorities, including a regional watershed authority (RWA), specially tailored to the Swedish environmental code and the envisaged system of future water districts. Furthermore, players included municipal and regional planning and development authorities, local media and local environmental non-governmenta l organisations . A steering group headed by a game leader prepared the game and led the three sessions, assisted by an administrative reference group and a team of scientists who helped preparing the background material. Institutiona l settings structure courses of action by specifying what must, must not or should be done. Positive or negative incentives change the value of pay-offs of different strategies (Scharpf, 1997). The setting of the Genevad game built on the 1999 Swedish environmenta l code, with some parts reinforced and others developed speci cally for the game. The Genevad game code thus included the following. (1) Legally binding standards for the maximum load of pollutants to re ect environmental objectives, and several European Union (EU) environmental regulations not presently in the Swedish environmental code: · a binding maximum loading standard for nitrogen transport at the mouth of GenevadsaÊ n (200 tonnes of nitrogen per year; a reduction of anthropogenic—read agricultural—loading by 50% in a speci ed time period); · a groundwater quality standard for maximum allowable concentrations of nitrate in groundwater (10 mg/l nitrate; EU nitrate directive makes water quality measures mandatory at 11.3 mg/l). (2) Strong rules of implementation directly linking water-related activities to environmental quality standards: 409 L. J. Lundqvist · non-compliance with the standards and deadlines could lead to prohibitio n of municipal and private plans or actual expansion of economic activities detrimental to water quality in the area. (3) Incentives for environmental co-operation among stakeholders, to bring about collective action. (4) Regulations for the establishment and use of environmental improvement funds. The setting also included environmental and economic parameters. The catchment situation was presented via monitoring data and model calculations, describing (1) present conditions with respect to nitrogen leaching from type farms, (2) inputs from other sources (atmospheric deposition , forestry and wastewater discharge), (3) groundwater concentrations of nitrate and stream transport of nitrogen and (4) calculations of the outcome of suggested measures in terms of environmental impacts and economic impacts on type farms. The game went through four distinct phases providing or implying speci c outcomes in terms of nitrogen loading in the catchment. (1) The adaptation phase: enforcement of standards already existing under the environmental code and other environmentall y relevant legislation , leading to a nitrogen load reduction from 317 tonnes to 260 tonnes annually just by changing to more labour-intensiv e but not cost-increasing agricultural management practices on the type farms. However, groundwater concentrations of nitrated nitrogen still exceeded the standard in 29% of catchments. (2) Passive implementation of the Genevad game code: no changes from ongoing land use, and voluntary compliance from the farmers. The RWA particularly tried to stimulate environmental co-operation to redistribute manure among farms. This would further decrease nitrogen loading by about 11 tonnes annually. The farmers were positive towards this measure as such but remained critical of the form of co-operation. Hence, manure redistribution was never implemented. (3) Active implementation of the Genevad game code: mandatory annual cuts of 5% of the contributio n to nitrogen loading from every water-polluting enterprise or activity in the catchment, farming included, until the standard was met. The RWA’s implementation plan included strict regulations concerning land use, but also allowed for the transfer of ‘nitrogen loading rights’ among farmers. Furthermore, rules allowed for the establishment of environmental improvement funds, based on ‘environment improvement fees’ from polluters, and backed by external state or regional money (Wittgren et al., 2000). (4) Alternative farming strategies, including measures on individual farms as well as the collective or individual establishment of wetlands. This would bring nitrogen loading at the mouth down to between 205 tonnes and 212 tonnes annually, and concentrations in groundwater would exceed the standard in less than 10% of the catchment. At least one farming strategy— no manure application prior to autumn sowing, no ploughing of ley in early autumn and the establishment of wetlands—implied costs low enough to 410 Games Real Farmers Play qualify the farmers for already existing regional environmenta l improvement subsidies. The institutiona l setting of the game is best characterised as one of hierarchical authority. Armed with the strengthened environmenta l legislation of the Genevad game code, the RWA could impose catchment-wide decisions and rules for water management on the resource users and have such decisions enforced by superior force (see Scharpf, 1997). This would seem to point towards hierarchical direction as a dominant mode of interaction in the process. There were, however, moments and phases where the setting shifted to networks engaged in nding negotiated agreements. Under the extended Genevad game code, farmers could institutionalis e co-operative schemes where individual ‘improvement surpluses’—as de ned within the limits of the nitrate bubble established for the catchment—could be traded between farmers. Later in the game farmers could establish collective environmental funds, enabling them to lower nitrate transport from their property to levels demanded under the RWA implementation plan. In the nal stage of the game, farmers could choose among different strategies of unilateral action within such a co-operative catchment regime. Several features in the institutiona l setting thus favoured negotiated co-operative agreements. The farmers had ample opportunitie s for ‘time-outs’ to consider strategic options, both among themselves and through negotiation s with local authorities. Furthermore, the farmers could foresee that if negotiated solutions were not found, there would be unilateral RWA imposition of regulations. The puzzle is why farmers did not use these opportunitie s for co-operation. They stuck to their preference for individual environmental management plans negotiated with local environmental authorities, despite the historically poor record of such plans as a way of reducing nitrogen leakage from farming practices. Why? Collective Action: the logic according to the farmers Olson (1965) argues that a rational individua l will not opt for collective action if the bene ts of such action do not clearly exceed the individua l cost. The core of his argument is that: … unless the number of individual s is quite small, or unless there is coercion or some other special device to make individual s act in their common interest, rational, self-intereste d individual s will not act to achieve their common or group interests. (Olson, 1965, p. 2, original emphasis) For the logic of collective action to become operative, actors must be self-interested and rational in economic terms (Olson, 1965). Undoubtedly, the farmers in the Genevad game knew their individual economic interests. Whatever alternatives were discussed, they kept using their own practical experiences to challenge the calculations of economic and agricultural experts (Wittgren et al., 2000). Collective action further depends on group size and transparency of action. One-third of the 224 km2 of the Genevad catchment is agricultural land. There were fewer than 200 active farmers in 1999 (see Joelsson, 2000), and most 411 L. J. Lundqvist of them know each other by name or reputation. They also have some overview of others’ actions, since most are local branch members of the Federation of Swedish Farmers (LRF) (Eckerberg, 1994). The LRF provides comprehensive information services to member farmers, and promotes environmental and resource management programmes. One of the game farmers was environmental representative of the regional LRF branch, and another was chairman of the local LRF branch (Wittgren et al., 2000). There had also been intensive environmental research and information since the 1980s in the Laholm Bay area, including experiments with farmer co-operation on more environment-friendl y fertilisation schemes (Eckerberg, 1996). The farmers thus entered the game with some general perceptions of the costs and bene ts of improved water quality. Now, however, sophisticate d scienti c modelling unravelled the contributio n of individual farms to eutrophication , and could thus determine the costs to individual farmers of redressing water quality in the catchment (see Wittgren et al., 2000). However, knowing one’s self-interest does not automatically lead to the perception of the common group interest that Olson (1965) sees as necessary for collective action. The individual farmer wants to get as much in return from his work as possible. Nitrate leakage from the fertilised elds into the catchment is none of his business, provided there are no negative effects on the productivit y of his own or closely adjacent farms. Furthermore, some farms are close enough to the stream to see the effects of eutrophication, while others are distant enough not to recognise their links to the water problem. Indeed, farmers participating in a survey of agricultural practices and nitrate leakage in the Laholm Bay area in 1998 clearly rejected adapting their fertilising practices to improve catchment water quality (Joelsson et al., 2000). As the group contributing most to the water problems in the catchment area, farmers realised that their individua l bene ts from improved water quality might be lower than the costs of provision. Once provided, the collective good of clean water would bring larger bene ts to all and everyone in the area, and even to recreational interests and businesses outside the catchment. This Olson (1965, p. 29) calls the “systematic tendency for ‘exploitation ’ of the great by the small”. The 200 farmers saw themselves as stuck with a disproportionat e share of the burden for providing water quality, while a large share of the bene ts would go to the 4000 1 ‘non-paying others’ in the catchment. Since farmers did not see it as their common interest to provide clean water, and assumed a negative balance of individual costs and bene ts, it was only logical that collective action was not forthcoming, despite the relatively limited number of farmers and the transparency of farming activities and their effects. What remained was either the offer of “some separate incentive … to the members of the group individually ” (Olson, 1965, p. 2) or coercion. Throughout the game, however, farmers remained sceptical towards the proposed incentive of individuall y usable ‘improvement surpluses’ (Wittgren et al., 2000). Farmers preferred individual management plans worked out with local environmental authorities, as well as individua l environmental subsidies from national and EU programmes (Wittgren et al., 2000). The game thus came to resemble one of deadlock: “Every individual actor nds universal defection better than universal 412 Games Real Farmers Play co-operation” (Bengtsson, 1998, p. 104). Would the possibility of coercive measures break it up? In the Shadow of the State: farmers and the frontiers of possibility As shown above, the Genevad game code contained strong elements of state coercion. The game code faced farmers, environmentalist s and local and regional environmental and planning of cers with speci c water quality standards for nitrate concentrations in surface water and groundwater, linked to precise deadlines for achievement backed up by strong enforcement clauses. The RWA could punish non-complianc e by prohibitin g any new or extended economic activities possibly detrimental to water quality in the area. A considerable part of the game was thus played in the ‘shadow of hierarchy’ (see Scharpf, 1997). If a negotiated agreement between the RWA and the farmers could not be found under the game code, the farmers “would have to reckon with the unilateral imposition of (conceivably ill-informed and inef cient) state regulations” (Scharpf, 1997, p. 202). To avoid this, the farmers might be expected to move “the location of the non-agreement point away from the status quo” (Scharpf, 1997, p. 202). The game code’s clauses on collective implementation provided ways for the farmers “to lower pollution in a more cost-effective manner through co-operation rather than strict implementation of regulations” (Wittgren et al., 2000, p. 193). Farmers could co-operate to distribute manure more optimally within the catchment. They could jointly enter into co-operative implementation agreements negotiated with the RWA. They could participate in collective environmental funds to lower their individual nitrate emissions to levels demanded under the bubble (Wittgren et al., 2000). But even when pushed and pulled towards negotiated agreements, the farmers did not extend the ‘possibilit y frontier’ to permit “less demanding options to be practiced” (Scharpf, 1997, p. 197). They stuck to the status quo of locally negotiated individua l management plans. What were the capabilities or potential strategies of the farmers as an actor constellatio n and what views did they hold of possible pay-offs and the compatibility of these pay-offs? The acting farmers in the game were driven by their preference to get increased individua l pay-offs from farming, but they also knew the historical record of catchment eutrophication, a knowledge further enhanced by the scienti c background material. However, they saw the balance between costs and bene ts of collective action to improve water quality as incompatible with their rsthand preference as farmers. Furthermore, they knew that most farmers in the catchment did not see it as their responsibilit y to provide the collective good of clean water. The agricultural actor constellatio n thus did not ful l Scharpf’s (1997) conditions for negotiated agreements and collective self-regulation . These are (1) that the interests contributing to or affected by a societal problem are highly organised, and (2) that there is a reasonable chance that the problem can be effectively dealt with through negotiated agreements among organised groups. Farmers are highly organised as individua l producers of agricultural products as 413 L. J. Lundqvist a result of (a collectively recognised) economic self-interest, but they have no such tradition or recognised collective interest to provide clean water. They have different individual links to the catchment, and collectively lack exclusive access to or control over the water resources. No wonder they had dif culties nding any advantage of collective action in comparison with individual management plans. Using Scharpf’s (1997) analysis of the possibilit y frontiers for negotiated agreements in the shadow of hierarchy thus leads us to conclude that the actor constellatio n of farmers in the Genevad game did not see the provision of clean water in the catchment as their collective responsibility . Nor did they join in collective action simply to avoid some of the rather grim consequences of the ‘dead hand’ over economic and development planning activities in the catchment area by the RWA’s active implementation (Wittgren et al., 2000). Their preferences and views of different outcomes favoured individual solutions over and above collective action. To wit, they preferred to stay individuall y in the shadow of hierarchy rather than coming out collectively to probe the possibilit y frontier provided by the game code’s chapters on co-operative implementation. Drawing the Limit: farmers and the governance of the commons In her classic Governing the Commons, Ostrom (1990, p. 18) argues that when “individual s repeatedly communicate and interact with one another in a localised physical setting … it is possible that they learn whom to trust … and how to organize themselves to gain bene ts and avoid harm” (emphasis added). When individual s are allowed to communicate directly, they develop shared norms, mutual trust and group identity. They thus come to possess the social capital necessary to engage in collective action to govern common pool resources (Ostrom, 1990, 1998). However, interaction and social norms may not suf ce to bring about institution s for collective action. The boundaries of the resource must be de ned, together with the circle of relevant actors sharing the costs and the bene ts of managing that resource. Furthermore, actors must nd the incentives for collective action advantageous enough to engage in building institutions . This is dependent on recognition from the political and administrativ e hierarchies of the stakeholders’ right to organise and to establish rules for resource management (Ostrom, 1990). Sweden is divided into 119 main inland water catchments, and subcatchment boundaries are also delineated (SMHI, 1995). The catchment of GenevadsaÊ n was thus clearly identi able as the localised physical setting of the game. However, the circle of relevant stakeholders remained contested. Farming activities account for about two-thirds of the anthropogeni c nitrate load in the catchment (Wittgren et al., 2000). This means there are other contributors to the eutrophication problem. Some of these—like road transport—are not even physically linked to the catchment. No wonder, then, that the farmers kept asking why they should bear all the costs of bringing nitrate loads down when the bene ts could be enjoyed also by all catchment dwellers as well as by non-contributin g outsiders (Wittgren et al., 2000). 414 Games Real Farmers Play The major ‘stick’ of the Genevad game’s environmental code was the mandatory implementation plan, determined by the RWA. The code provided few openings for actor participation to in uence decisions on the contents and on the processes of implementing that plan (Wittgren et al., 2000). The ‘carrots’ consisted of options for co-operative implementation agreements (CIAs), to be set up between the RWA and an association of actors contributin g to eutrophication. But these CIAs could take precedence only if they led to equal or greater improvements of water quality compared with those of the RWA implementation plan. The association members would be mutually responsible for monitoring individual compliance. If implementation failed, the RWA could prescribe measures to be collectively paid for by the association members (Wittgren et al., 2000). Why did not this recognised right to organise appeal strongly to the farmers, used as they are to co-operating in producer associations and local LRF branches, given their shared norms and strong group identity? Here, one must keep in mind that these shared norms re ect their situation as individual farmers. Membership of producer associations aims at acquiring the means of producing as cheaply, and selling the products of farming as dearly, as possible in a competitive, but increasingly regulated market (Wittgren et al., 2000). The time is long gone when farmers joined associations to share machinery and equipment in common, jointly elaborating schemes for shifting this equipment from farm to farm and mutually monitoring adherence to these schemes (Dellien, 1999). Mutual monitoring is dif cult enough when actors share norms and identities around something actually held or used in common, but far more so when the ‘commons’ is contested and norms of collective responsibilit y must develop as the implementation proceeds. There is thus no automatic link from frequent social encounters over shared norms and identities to the joint supply of institution s for collective action. When shared norms and identities concern individual activities viewed by farmers as necessary agricultural practice, given pressures from the market, there are strong incentives not to abandon individual action plans, adapted to the farm’s economy and speci c characteristics, in favour of collective institution s whose prospects of success and of returns to the individual are dim. This is where the farmers drew their limit. The game’s options for collective implementation of negotiated agreements with degrees of self-regulation were insuf cient. Collective governance of the catchment should involve all those responsible for pollution , not just the farmers (Wittgren et al., 2000). Farmers also pointed to the catchment ‘outsiders’, whose actions might destroy the collective efforts of the ‘insiders’ and/or reap the collectively provided bene ts (see Ostrom, 1990). Better, then, to stick to individual management plans that implied lower transaction costs, and a (possibly) favourable adaptation to the conditions of individual farms (see Wittgren et al., 2000). Memory: a game real farmers play Why this strong preference for individual action plans amidst massive evidence of the agricultural contributio n to eutrophication , and gradual acceptance of 415 L. J. Lundqvist responsibilit y for this among farmers living in a physical setting allowing for transparency of action, and threatened by the hierarchical imposition of harsh measures? The previous analysis does not fully capture the farmers’ own central argument for not joining in collective action. That argument points to the centrality of the concepts and proposition s in Ostrom’s (1998) synthesis of work on successful collective solutions to social dilemmas. It indicates the insuf ciency of some of Olson’s (1965) core assumptions about group size and the transparency of individual actions. It also provides a behavioural key as to why Scharpf’s (1997) predictions about collective action under outside pressure may not come true. The farmers’ most crucial objection to environmental co-operative management was not presented directly in the game, but aired in breaks between sessions. It refers to what Ostrom (1998) puts at the core of a behavioural explanation as to the outcome of efforts to solve social dilemmas, i.e. trust, reputation and reciprocity. Having lived in the area for a long time, and worked on farms owned by the family for generations, farmers develop a keen sense of whom to trust or not. That reputation becomes widely known through frequent encounters in such arenas as producer associations , the County Farmer Society and the local LRF branch. “Since we have such a well developed lore about who has a reputation for trustworthiness , and since we know that there are quite a few who do not seem to care to get such a reputation, why should we engage in trying to bring them into co-operation on water quality? The risk that they will free ride on our efforts is just too large”, argued the senior acting farmer (Dellien, 1999). At rst, this seems to stand Olson’s (1965) ideas on their head: both the small number of actors and the transparency of their actions may work strongly against collective action. This comes not primarily from leading the individual farmer to make a calculated decision of economic costs and bene ts of joining or free riding, but through cumulative social learning. The farmers’ core argument re ects a strategy of reciprocity: reciprocity works for collective action in social dilemmas where the circle of actors “can be limited to those with a reputation for keeping promises” (Ostrom, 1998, pp. 10, 12). The evidence here is that it seems to work against collective action when the circle of relevant actors includes also those not considered trustworthy (Wittgren et al., 2000). Indeed, the farmers’ feeling for reciprocity and trust was doubly challenged. First, the circle of actors was exclusively limited to ‘catchment’ farmers, allowing other catchment dwellers to free ride. Secondly, collective memories of trust and reputation within the farming community seemed to rule out the possibilit y of mobilising a ‘critical mass’ of farmers to achieve successful co-operative solutions. Another strand of collective memories shared within the catchment reinforced farmer preferences for individual environment-relate d management plans. Comments from both farmers and local environmental of cers characterised these regular contacts as built upon, and building further, trust and reputation (Kindt, 1999; Skyggeson, 1999). But even if trust is related to the operational mode of political institutions , “it is probably not the formal institutio n as such that people evaluate, but its 416 Games Real Farmers Play historically established reputation in regard to fairness and ef ciency” (Rothstein, 2000, p. 489). The farmers in the Genevad game were confronted with the new and strong RWA, acting under a likewise new environmental code and new EU-determined water quality criteria. The outside experts and consultants assisting in the game shared collective memories of the Laholm Bay and catchment area as threatened by agricultural fertilisation practices. Their information about the effects of past practices, and recommendations about future action, could be seen as an “attempt to change … [farmers’] … understandin g of history” (Rothstein, 2000, p. 493). The game could thus be viewed as being played out by actor constellation s with different strands of collective memories. Experts and constructors of the game presented a history of the agricultural contributio n to eutrophication, thereby implying a collective farmer responsibilit y for bringing down nitrate loads. Foremost in the collective memory of farmers was the continuous pressure on individual farms from competition in the market amidst the ever-increasing regulation of agriculture. They shared memories of the individual implementation of environmental measures negotiated with trustworthy local environmental of cials. They had also developed collectively shared norms about ‘realistic’ demands and ‘relevant’ assessments of the agricultural contributio n to eutrophication (Wittgren et al., 2000). Confronted with the option of collective action, the farmers thus fell back on shared memories of the “history of play” (Rothstein, 2000, p. 493) in the catchment. They remembered the dif culties in co-operating with people not held to be trustworthy even in genuinely interdependent situations within a well de ned circle of actors. They could thus foresee that such co-operation would be even more dif cult when (1) initiated by external forces, (2) including actors not considered trustworthy and (3) leading to bene ts not enjoyed exclusively by those brought to co-operate. The Puzzle of Non-co-operation: putting the pieces together This analysis was provoked by a puzzle: how come the game that the real farmers in the Genevad catchment took part in playing did not lead to negotiated settlements involving them in institutionalise d co-operation to improve water quality in the catchment, despite several institutiona l and actor-centred factors seemingly favouring such co-operation? At rst glance, Olson’s (1965) explanations seemed enough to solve the puzzle. The group of farmers was small. The transparency of individual farm action was good, and further improved by data and models provided by scienti c expertise. However, the farmers did not meet Olson’s (1965) most crucial assumption: the logic of collective action becomes rational only for “small groups interested in collective goods” (Olson, 1965, p. 29, emphasis added). As pointed out above, the farmers as a group did not see any genuinely common interest in providing the collective good of clean water. Put to this Olson’s (1965) axiomatic statement that if marginal costs of additional units of the collective good are not “shared in exactly the same proportion as the additional bene ts”, the “amount of collective good provided will be sub-optimal” (Olson, 417 L. J. Lundqvist 1965, p. 30). Catchment farmers would clearly experience marginal costs larger than additional bene ts even if they joined in collective action. However, Olson (1965, p. 30) assures us that “certain institutiona l arrangements and behavioural assumptions ” could break this “tendency toward sub-optimal provision of collective goods”. The RWA in the game had the authority to force the establishment of negotiated institution s for catchment management. Such power “also implies a power to manipulate the institutiona l parameters so as to affect the balance of relative bargaining powers and hence expected outcomes” (Scharpf, 1997, p. 201). There was reason to believe that negotiated farmer co-operation could effectively deal with eutrophication . This is a situation where “information about situational conditions , preferences and potential solutions” held by the group concerned but “dif cult to obtain for government, can be fully utilized … to … in uence the drift of negotiated settlements” (Scharpf, 1997, p. 201). But water and soil scientists, and agro-economists , presented and developed information in the game that made the RWA less dependent on farmer knowledge. Furthermore, farmers in the catchment did not hold exclusive information as a group of ‘principals’, sharing the water of the catchment in common and equally dependent on the others’ use of the resource for their individual bene ts. Their chance to ‘in uence the drift’ of the game through knowledge was thus limited. However, the farmers did not stick to their preference for individual management plans only, or even primarily, for institutiona l reasons. They fell back on their mental maps of local preferences and earlier encounters in many local arenas. These collectively shared memories made them hesitant about getting credible commitments from all farmers in the catchment. The farmers thus illustrate d the centrality of Ostrom’s (1998) assertions about the importance of reciprocity, reputation and trust: the lack of, or negative interplay among, these behavioural and socio-cultural factors “generates a cascade of negative effects” (Ostrom, 1998, p. 14) on the possibilitie s of achieving collective action. Consequently, the historical record of play is vital to the development of collective action. It is clear that scienti c experts and administrativ e actors played the Genevad game primarily as one of knowledge. They expected a logic of collective action to develop among the farmers as a result of the irrefutable evidence on nitrate leaching and transport. There are indications that the farmers began to appreciate their historical and current contribution s to catchment eutrophicatio n (Wittgren et al., 2000). But as real farmers they played the game of memory, invoking their experience from earlier games of co-operation played out within the catchment’s farming community (see Rothstein, 2000). The institutiona l setting that seemed to impose a strategy for co-operation triggered their memories of how costly investments necessary to achieve trustworthines s really are. In the end, they concluded that the pay-offs of co-operation were not compatible with the “potential advantages in individual interactions” (Scharpf, 1997, p. 138). A classic in the literature on policy implementation sought to “build morals on a foundation of ruined hopes” (Pressman & Wildavsky, 1973, front cover, emphasis added). What could possibly be the morals of the Genevad game outcome for efforts to implement collective action among local actors in water 418 Games Real Farmers Play catchments? Quite clearly, such efforts should not be based solely on scienti c knowledge. Existing collective memories about the history of play in that local environment must be taken into account. This would lead to more realistic expectations of the time needed for stakeholder s to take in, assess and accept new knowledge, and then transform this into new, more positive attitudes towards collective action. The challenge, then, is to nd ways of presenting scienti c knowledge in ways that are instrumental in building new collective memories and identities towards common pool resources. References Bengtsson, B. (1998) Tenants’ dilemma—on collective action in housing, Housing Studies, 13(1), pp. 99–120. Dellien, D. (1999) Personal communication, March session. Eckerberg, K. (1994) Consensus, con ict or compromise? The Swedish case, in: K. Eckerberg, P. K. Mydske, A. Niemi-Iilahti & K. Hilmer Pedersen (Eds) Comparing Nordic and Baltic Countries—environmenta l problems and policies in agriculture and forestry (Copenhagen , Nordic Council of Ministers). Eckerberg, K. (1996) Policy strategies to reduce nutrient leaching from agriculture and forestry and their local implementation: a case study of the Laholm Bay, Sweden, Journal of Environmental Planning and Management, 39(2), pp. 223–242. Hardin, G. R. (1968) The tragedy of the commons, Science, 162, pp. 1243–1248. Joelsson, A. (2000) Personal communication, 21 May. Joelsson, A., Kyllmar, K., Lindström, S. & Wijkmark, L. (1999) Utveckling av Jordbruket mot MiljömaÊ len [Agricultural Development towards Environmental Objectives] (Halmstad, Länsstyrelsen Halland Meddelande). Kindt, T. (1999) Oral presentation in the game, March session. Ministry of Environment (2000) EU:s ramdirektiv för vatten är klart [EU water directive in place], press release, 3 July. Olson, M. (1965) The Logic of Collective Action (Cambridge, MA, Harvard University Press). Ostrom, E. (1990) Governing the Commons. The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action (Cambridge, Cambridge University Press). Ostrom, E. (1998) A behavioura l approach to the rational choice of collective action, American Political Science Review, 92(1), pp. 1–22. Pressman, J. L. & Wildavsky, A. B. (1973) Implementation (Berkeley, CA, University of California Press). Rothstein, B. (2000) Trust, social dilemmas and collective memories, Journal of Theoretical Politics, 12(4), pp. 477–497. Scharpf, F. (1997) Games Real Actors Play. Actor-centred Institutionalism in Policy Research (Boulder, CO, Westview Press). Skyggeson, G. (1999) Oral presentation in the game, March session. SMHI (Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (1995) Sänkta och torrlagda sjöar [Lowered and drained lakes], Report No. 62, Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping. SOU (Government Commission Report) (1997a) En ny Vattenadministration —vatten är livet [A New Water Administration—water is life] (Stockholm, Ministry of the Environment). SOU (1997b) Miljösamverkan i VattenvaÊ rden [Environmental Co-operation in Water Quality Management] (Stockholm, Ministry of the Environment). Sveriges Nationalatlas (1991) Miljön [The Environment] (Stockholm, SNA Förlag). Wittgren, H. B., Westerlund, S. & Castensson, R. (Eds) (2000) GenevadsaÊ studien. Ett aktörsspel om genomförande av miljökvalitetsnormer för kväve i ett avrinningsomr aÊ de [The Genevad study. An actor game to implement environmenta l quality standards for nitrogen in a water catchment], Vastra Report No. 1, Tema Vatten/Vastra, Linköping. 419
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