World Population 1900 – 2050
1900
1.65 billion
1950
2.5 billion
2005
6.5 billion
2050
9.2 billion
Needs:
• food
• energy
• water
• construction materials
• etc
Waste:
• sewage
• emissions (inc. GHG and LAQ)
• landfill
• etc
our world
our future
energy use grows as a function of GDP
Energy demand per capita and GDP per capita (1980 – 2002):
400
US
Primary Energy per capita (GJ)
350
300
Australia
250
France
200
Russia
S. Korea
150
UK
Japan
Ireland
Greece
100
Malaysia
Mexico
50
China
Brazil
India
0
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
GDP per capita (PPP, $1995)
30,000
35,000
China’s Car Ownership per person today = USA in 1913:
Is China On a Collision Course with Itself?
1000
US 1929
Cars, SUVs/ 1000 people
Great Depression
EMBARQ
China
Dec 2005
US 1921
100
United States 1900-2003
China 2003
US 1913
10
China 1987
China 1987-2003
Korea 1970 - 2002
US 1908
Japan 1965 - 2000
w. Germany 1960-1995
1
$1,000
GDP Capita, 1995 USD (PPP) $10,000
$100,000
Source: EMBARQ
Transportation: 3 options
energy
fuels suppliers
our world
our future