TITLE:EvaluatingRoleofMulti-ParametricMRIandPI-RADSv2inIncreasingtheOddsof IdentifyingAggressiveProstateCancerinMenwithTRUSBiopsyGleasonPattern≤3 Faina Shtern1, Fiona Fennessy2, Mukesh Harisinghani3, Elmira Hassenzadeh2, Adam S. Kibel2, Quoc-Dien Trinh2,MichelleS.Hirsch2,ZhengZhang4,DavidZurakowski5,andClareM.Tempany2 1AdMeTech Foundation, 2Brigham and Women’s Hospital, 3Massachusetts General Hospital, 4Brown University,and5BostonChildren’sHospital INTRODUCTION:Mostmenundergoingscreeningwithprostatespecificantigen(PSA)haveindolent,lowgrade (Gleason Pattern, or GP ≤ 3) prostate cancer (PC) on trans-rectal ultrasound (TRUS) biopsies.1-4 However,TRUSbiopsiesunder-sampleprostatetissueandthus,under-estimateclinicallysignificantPC,as defined by more aggressive, higher grade (GP ≥ 4) disease, which is more likely to progress, cause metastasesanddeath.1-4Asmanyas36to47%ofmenwithTRUSbiopsyGP≤3PCareupgradedtoGP≥4 on post-operative pathology (POP).2-4.Based on the recent extensive evidence, NIH consensus conference highlighted the need to advance diagnostic tools for improving target definition, tissue sampling and predictionofclinicallysignificantPCasa“healthresearchpriority.”1 SPECIFIC AIM: The aim of this study was to determine whether multi-parametric (mp) MRI and related ProstateImaging–ReportingandDataSystemVersion2(PI-RADS™v2)canimprovepredictionofPOPGP≥ 4inmenwithapre-operativeTRUSbiopsyGP≤3. BACKGROUND AND RATIONALE: A recent long-term, large-scale multi-center clinical trial showed that increasingPSAandTRUSbiopsyGP≥4(bothPrimaryandSecondary)arethecriticalfactorsinlong-term PC mortality after radical prostatectomy (RP).2,3 Valid concerns about under-grading with TRUS biopsy haveledtoextensiveover-treatment,whichhasemergedasanationalpublichealthpriority.1-4Toaddress thischallenge,therehasbeenaconcertedefforttoexpediteadvancementofmpMRI,whichhasbeenshown toimprovedetection(andexclusion)ofclinicallysignificantdiseaseinpreliminarystudies.5-8Recently,PIRADS™ v2 standardization was developed, with the primary goal to improve risk stratification even further.5-9ThisstudywasconductedtoevaluatetheroleofmpMRIandPI-RADS™v2incorrectlyupgrading TRUSbiopsyGP≤3toPOPGP≥4. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Thisinstitutionalreviewboard-approved,retrospectivestudyaccrued366 menaged40to80yearsoldwhohadabnormalPSA(>4ng/mL)and/orabnormaldigitalrectalexamand underwentTRUSbiopsyandRPattheBrighamandWomen’sHospitalbetween2008and2014.Thetwo study cohorts included: 1) Patients who had mpMRI, which was performed at least 6 weeks after TRUS biopsy and within 6 months prior to RP (N=190); and 2) Patients who did not have mpMRI prior to RP (N=176).TRUSBiopsyGP≤3wasfoundin62meninthefirstcohortandin99meninthesecondcohort. MpMRI was defined as “negative” for GP ≥ 4 if PI-RADS v2 scores were 1-3, and “positive” if PI-RADS v2 scoreswere4-5.POPservedasareferencestandard. Availabilityofcompletestandarddiagnosticclinicalinformation(includingPSAlevel,POPreports and TRUS biopsy results) was required for both cohorts. All mpMRI exams included in the study were acquired at 3 Tesla (3T) and met technical standards for image acquisition10 and clinical criteria for acceptableimagequality. Two readers independently reviewed all mpMRI de-identified studies and assigned PI-RADS v2 score at a patient level, based on the dominant lesion. In cases of disagreement between readers, a third radiologistservedasanadjudicatoranddeterminedafinaloverallassessment.Allreviewerswereblinded toclinicalinformation. InpatientswhohadTRUSBiopsyGP<3,wecomparedtheoddsofupgradingtoPOPGP>4with andwithoutmpMRI,includingmenwithpositive(N=38)andnegativePI-RADSv2scores(N=24).Oddsof “upgrading” to GP ≥ 4 were analyzed using multivariable logistic regression withSAS software (version 9.3,ASInstitute,Cary,NC).11 RESULTS: A. Patient Population. MorepatientsintheMRIgroupwereAfricanAmerican,andmoremen inthecontrolgroupdeclinedtoidentifytheirraceand/orethnicity(seeTable1): Variable mpMRI(N=190) NoMRI–Controls(N=176) Age,years,mean±SD 58.7±6.9 59.8±6.5 Race,no.(%) Caucasian 164(86) 143(81) AfricanAmerican 16(9) 7(4) Hispanic 4(2) 3(2) Other/declinedtoanswer 6(3) 23(13) TNMStage,median(range) 2(1-3) 2(1-3) PSA,ng/mL,median(IQR) 5.3(4.2-8.1) 5.0(4.0-6.8) *Statisticallysignificant.SD=standarddeviation,IQR=interquartilerange. PValue 0.123 0.002* 0.251 0.069 TABLE1:Patientpopulationsinthetwostudycohorts. B.TheOddsofUpgradingTRUSGP<3toPOP>GP4WithandWithoutmpMRI (irrespectiveofPI-RADSv2scores) Post-opGP>4(Upgrading) Post-opGP<3 • Statisticallysignificant. mpMRI(N=62) 30(48%) 32(52%) NoMRI–Controls(N= 99) 30(30%) 69(70%) PValue 0.021* TABLE 2: Detection of POP GP > 4 among patients with TRUS biopsy GP < 3 is significantly higher with mpMRI (irrespectively of PI-RADS v2 score) compared to no MRI (48% vs. 30%, P = 0.021). This demonstrates an absolute improvement of 18% using mpMRI (95% CI: 3% to 33%). Logistic regression indicatesanunadjustedoddsover2timeshigherwithmpMRIvs.controls(oddsratio:2.2,95%CI:1.2-4.2, likelihood ratio test = 5.3, P = 0.021). Multivariable regression analysis confirmed that adjusting for age, race, TNM stage and PSA, the odds of “upgrading” to POP GP > 4 are over 2 times greater with mpMRI (adjustedoddsratio:2.1,95%CI:1.2-4.1,likelihoodratiotest=4.5,P=0.034). C.TheOddsofUpgradingTRUSGP<3toPOP>GP4WithandWithoutPositivempMRI (PI-RADSv2scores4-5) Post-opGP>4(Upgrading) Post-opGP<3 *Statisticallysignificant. PositivempMRI(PI-RADS4-5) (N=38) 25(66%) 13(34%) NoMRI-Controls (N=99) 30(30%) 69(70%) PValue 0.0002* TABLE 3: Detection of POP GP > 4 among patients with TRUS biopsy GP < 3 is significantly higher with positive mpMRI compared to no MRI (66% vs. 30%, P = 0.0002). This demonstrates an absolute improvement of 36% using mpMRI (95% CI: 17% to 51%). Logistic regression indicated an unadjusted odds of yield over 4 times higher with positive mpMRI vs. no MRI (odds ratio: 4.4, 95% CI: 2.0-9.8, likelihoodratiotest=14.3,P=0.0002).Multivariableregressionanalysisconfirmedthatadjustingforage, race,TNMstageandPSA,theoddsofyieldofPOPGP>4arenearly5timesgreaterwithpositivempMRI (adjustedoddsratio:4.8,95%CI:1.9-12.0,likelihoodratiotest=11.7,P=0.001). D.TheOddsofUpgradingTRUSGP<3toPOP>GP4WithandWithoutNegativempMRI Post-opGP>4(Upgrading) Post-opGP<3 NegativeMRI (PI-RADS1-3) (N=24) 5(21%) 19(79%) NoMRI-Controls BWH2008-2014 (N=99) 30(30%) 69(70%) PValue 0.454 TABLE4:YieldofPOPGP>4amongpatientswithTRUSbiopsyGleason<3wasnotsignificantlychanged using negative mpMRI (PI-RADS v2 1-3) compared to no MRI (21% vs. 30%, P = 0.454). This actually demonstrated a lower rate of “upgrading” by 9% using MRI. Logistic regression indicated an unadjusted odds 0.6 times higher with negative PI-RADS vs. no MRI controls (odds ratio: 0.6, 95% CI: 0.2-1.8, likelihoodratiotest=0.89,P=0.345).Multivariableregressionanalysisafteradjustingforage,race,TNM stageandPSA,indicatedanon-significantoddsof“upgrading”usingMRIwithnegativePI-RADS(adjusted oddsratio:0.4,95%CI:0.1-1.3,likelihoodratiotest=2.6,P=0.105). E. Summary: WehavecomparedtheyieldofaggressivePOPGP>4withandwithoutmpMRIinpatients withpre-operativeTRUSbiopsyGP<3.TherateofPOPGP>4was30%inthecontrolgroup(noMRI)and 48%withMRI(Table5).InmenwhohadmpMRI(irrespectiveofPI-RADSv2score),theoddsofcorrectly upgradingTRUSGP<3toPOP>GP4arepredictedatover2timesgreatercomparedtothecontrolgroup. InmenwhohadpositivempMRI(PI-RADSv2score4-5),therateofPOP>GP4isincreasedevenfurther to 66%, with the odds of correctly upgrading TRUS GP < 3 to POP > GP 4predicted to be nearly 5-fold greatercomparedtothecontrolgroup. In this study population, negative mpMRI (PI-RADS v2 score 1-3) is associated with a statistically insignificantchangeintheyieldofPOPGP>4comparedtothecontrolcohort(21%vs.30%,respectively). YieldofAggressivePC (POPGP>4) MRI(AnyPI-RADSv2) 48%* PositiveMRI(PI-RADSv2score4-5) 66%* NegativeMRI(PI-RADSv2score1-3) 21% Controls(noMRI) 30% *Statisticallysignificant. TABLE5:Summary. DISCUSSION: MostmenundergoingPSAscreeninghaveindolentPC(GP<3)onTRUSbiopsies,thougha significant fraction of these cases gets upgraded on POP. We have shown that in men diagnosed with indolentdiseaseonpre-operativeTRUSbiopsy,positivePI-RADSv2scoremayincreasetheprobabilityof correctlyupgradingTRUSGP<3toPOP>GP4nearly5times.TheeffectofmpMRI(irrespectiveofPIRADSv2score)onincreasedoddsofupgradingindolentPConTRUSbiopsytoaggressivediseaseonPOP mostlikelyreflectsastrongeffectofpositivePI-RADSv2scores. 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