Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Interstate 95 Multimodal Corridor Traversing the length of Virginia from North Carolina to Maryland, the I-95 Corridor is a critical link in the national freight transportation system and connects to it via several highway, rail, seaport, and airport facilities, including I-64, I-66, U.S. 58, U.S. 17, and U.S. 460; Norfolk Southern and CSX rail lines; the Port of Richmond; and Dulles, Washington Reagan National, and Richmond Airports. With its large professional and business services and information services sectors the I-95 Corridor’s economy is less dependent than Virginia as a whole on manufacturing. About 54 percent of tonnage moving within the I-95 Corridor is pass-through freight. Recommendations to improve the flow of freight through the I-95 Corridor include the widening and addition of HOV/HOT lanes on I-95 from Fredericksburg north to the Maryland State line, the widening of I-95 north of Richmond and south of Petersburg, and the widening of I-95 between U.S. 58 and the North Carolina State line; and the construction of the U.S. 460 Expressway from Suffolk to I-295. Geographic Definition Functional Classification: Interstate Interstate 95 (I-95) traverses more than 1,900 miles and 15 states, from Florida to Maine, terminating at the Canadian border. It is the primary north-south routes for travelers and commerce along the eastern seaboard. In Virginia, I-95 runs parallel to U.S. 1 and 301 from North Carolina through Richmond to the State of Maryland. The Virginia segment of I-95 is 179 miles long. The I-95 Corridor is comprised of the following jurisdictions (see Figure 1):] Cities • Alexandria • Falls Church • Manassas Park • Colonial Heights • Fredericksburg • Petersburg • Emporia • Hopewell • Richmond • Fairfax • Manassas Counties • Arlington • Greensville • Prince William • Brunswick • Hanover • Spotsylvania • Caroline • Henrico • Stafford • Chesterfield • King George • Sussex • Dinwiddie • Mecklenburg • Fairfax • Prince George Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 1 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Significant rail facilities within the Corridor include CSX’s north-south main line (National Gateway) that parallels the I-95 Corridor through Virginia. Norfolk Southern’s Heartland Corridor crosses the I-95 Corridor in Petersburg and the Crescent Corridor’s Piedmont line crosses the I-95 Corridor in Northern Virginia. The Buckingham Branch Railroad parallels I-95 between for the short distance between Richmond and Doswell before turning west toward Charlottesville and Clifton Forge. The Port of Richmond is a 121-acre domestic and international multimodal freight transportation hub on the James River that handles containers, break-bulk, bulk, and livestock cargo for waterborne, rail, and truck shippers throughout the Mid-Atlantic states. The recently inaugurated “64 Express” barge service (a Marine Highway Initiative) now operates between Hampton Roads and Richmond. The two largest cargo airports for the Commonwealth of Virginia, Dulles International and Richmond International, are located within the I-95 Corridor. Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 2 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Figure 1. The Interstate 95 Multimodal Corridor Economic Profile The growth of freight transportation volumes in Virginia and the I-95 Corridor will be influenced by the interplay of a variety of factors that will have a bearing on transportation demand. These factors include population growth, changes in national and global logistics patterns, and the evolution of the Corridor’s industry structure. Industries, ranging from manufacturing to construction and high-tech to finance have specific freight transportation needs, and their growth will affect freight transportation demand on the I-95 Corridor. I-95 is the principal Eastern Seaboard Interstate and the Virginia segment links the fastgrowing Southeast to the Boston-Washington megalopolis, the largest regional economy in the world. The I-95 Corridor, both in terms of size and diversity, plays a pivotal role in the Virginia economy, capturing the intensive services and technology industries congregating in Greater Washington, D.C., higher education, finance and government in Richmond, military facilities, and distribution and warehousing. I-95 represents a crucial component Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 3 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 of Virginia’s and the East Coast’s transportation system and its ability to carry freight efficiently will affect, positively or negatively, the overall competitiveness of the State’s economy. The population growth and industry trends that will influence the freight transportation demands placed on the I-95 Corridor are reviewed in this section. Population Growth Population growth has a direct impact on freight transportation demand and I-95 encompasses the fastest growing parts of Virginia. More people take more trips, require more services, and need more goods to sustain themselves. The I-95 Corridor is experiencing rapid population growth, 10.6 percent from 2000 to 2007, faster than the Nation’s (+7.2 percent) and the State’s (+9.0 percent). As of 2007, the I-95 Corridor was home to 3,212,210 residents and accounted for 41.7 percent of Virginia’s population. According to state population projections, the I-95 Corridor is expected to add about one million people during the next 23 years (see Figure 2) and will reach a population of 4,211,676 by 2030 (this growth is the equivalent to adding the present-day population of Fairfax County to the Corridor). The rate of projected population growth in the I-95 Corridor through 2030 is higher than either Virginia’s or the Nation’s. The I-95 Corridor will account for just under half of Virginia’s net population gain between now and 2030. The I-95 Corridor’s fast pace of population growth puts pressure on the facility. In particular, the Corridor must accommodate the mobility, consumer, and logistics needs of an increasing number of residents, workers, and businesses, and do so reliably, safely, and efficiently within a densely settled environment. For these reasons, the decision-making process regarding the future of freight transportation-related infrastructure and services on I-95 needs to incorporate and respond to markedly strong growth conditions. Figure 2. Historic and Forecast Population Growth 1990-2030 4,500,000 4,000,000 3,500,000 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 1990 Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 4 2000 2010 2020 2030 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Source: Virginia Employment Commission. Economic Structure The I-95 Corridor’s defining economic characteristic compared to the nation and Virginia is the relative size of its professional and business services sector, and to a much lesser extent, the size of its finance and information services (e.g., communications, Internet, publishing, and broadcasting) industries. These economic strengths are concentrated in the I-95 Corridor and have helped to set Virginia apart, both nationally and internationally, in terms of overall economic dynamism. In 2005, professional and business services accounted for 24 percent of the Corridor’s jobs compared to 13 percent and 17 percent, respectively, for the nation and Virginia. Figure 3 illustrates the contribution of each major sector to total jobs in the I-95 Corridor and the relatively large size of the Corridor’s professional and business services sector can be easily seen. Service industries, including professional and business services and information, tend to move smaller, more time-sensitive goods. The trucking and air industries have historically dominated these types of shipments. The I-95 Corridor’s proximity to major airports in Northern Virginia (Washington-Dulles and Reagan Washington-National) and Richmond, provides the Corridor’s businesses with quick access to markets worldwide, a comparative strength for the movement of goods and people. Growth in service industries is driven by increasing business and consumer demand. Businesses require increasingly efficient communication, finance, transportation, and distribution services in order to develop competitive advantages and as essential inputs into the production of goods and other services. For consumers, as personal income grows so does demand for services such as banking, telecommunications, tourism, and entertainment. Figure 3. Economic Structure Shares of Employment by Major Industry Sector, United States, Virginia, and I-95 Industry Share of Total Employment 25% Freight Intensive 20% Goods Movement 15% Retail 10% 5% 0% Educational Retail Manufacturing Financial Transportation and Utilities and Health Trade Activities Services Professional Leisure and Construction Government Other and Hospitality Services Business Services Percent of U.S. Employment Percent of VA Employment Wholesale Trade Natural Resources and Mining Information Unclassified Percent of I-95 Employment Source: Virginia Employment Commission and U.S. Department of Labor. Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 5 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 The I-95 Corridor also possesses numerous nationally renowned historical attractions resulting in a significant tourism (leisure and hospitality) industry. In 2005, the tourism industry accounted for 10 percent of the Corridor’s jobs. Tourism-related industries depend on trucking to deliver supplies reliably to restaurants and hotels. Finance also has a discernable concentration in the I-95 Corridor relative to both Virginia and the United States. The Richmond area is a recognized national center of banking and insurance, including the operations of numerous corporate and division headquarters. With its services sectors commanding a disproportionately large part of its jobs, the I-95 Corridor’s economy is less dependent than the U.S. and Virginia economies on manufacturing. However, south of Greater Washington, several areas, including the cities of Richmond, Hopewell, and Petersburg as well as Mecklenburg, Dinwiddie, and Hanover Counties, have more concentrated manufacturing industries. Manufacturing is more dependent on transportation than most other industry sectors and counts on the reliability and connectivity provided by the road, air, and rail networks to produce and deliver products. Manufacturers keep inventories low to reduce costs and this requires a dependable, multimodal supply chain. The use of I-95 as a reliable and time-efficient connector to airports, markets, ports, and suppliers is crucial to the success and competitiveness of the I-95 Corridor’s manufacturers, whether in Virginia or located elsewhere along the East Coast. Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 6 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Concentration of Goods Movement and Freight-Intensive Industries The relationship between freight transportation activity and the I-95 Corridor’s economy is strong and multifaceted. For example, “freight-intensive” industries, including manufacturing, construction, and agriculture rely heavily on the Freight-Related Clusters efficient movement of goods, both for the outbound shipWhile an efficient multimodal transportation system is important to every sector of the economy, certain ments of their products to reach sectors are particularly dependent on the transportation worldwide markets, as well as system for freight movement. These sectors are for inbound shipments of grouped into three clusters as defined below: intermediate goods required for production. These freightFreight-Intensive Industries includes most subsectors intensive industries contributed within natural resources and mining, all construction, some 145,000 jobs to the and manufacturing. Corridor in 2005, accounting for about 35 percent of the Virginia Goods Movement includes the wholesale trade sector total (see Figure 4). In addition and some subsectors within transportation and utilities. to freight transportation’s Retail Trade includes all subsectors within the retail importance to these freighttrade sector. intensive industries, efficient multimodal freight transportation systems can help to minimize the cost of consumer goods, benefiting consumers and the retail industry. In 2005, the I-95 Corridor included some 180,000 retail jobs. Transportation infrastructure improvements that reduce costs by either: 1) lowering travel times; or by 2) increasing the reliability of on-time shipments translate directly into benefits for the I-95 and Virginia economies. Finally, the “goods movement” industry (e.g., trucking, distribution, airports, etc.) also provides a significant number of jobs and income to I-95 Corridor residents working for the businesses that process, ship, and deliver goods bound for destinations within Virginia, as well as to other locations within the United States and throughout the world. The goods movement industry employed nearly 72,000 people in the I-95 Corridor in 2005. The I-95 Corridor includes several major distribution facilities for consumer products, food, and electronics companies. Combined, the freightintensive, retail, and goods movement industries account for 27 percent of total I-95 employment, somewhat lower than the 31 percent average for Virginia, overall (see Figures 5 and 6). Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 7 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Figure 4. Employment by Freight-Related Cluster in I-95 Corridor and Virginia Employment 450,000 400,000 350,000 300,000 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 Freight Intensive Industries Goods Movement I-95 Employment Retail VA Employment Source: Virginia Employment Commission. Figure 5. Share of Employment by Cluster I-95 Corridor Retail 12% Figure 6. Share of Employment by Cluster Virginia Freight Intensive Industries 10% Retail 13% Goods Movement 5% Remaining Industries 73% Freight Intensive Industries 13% Goods Movement 5% Remaining Industries 69% Source: Virginia Employment Commission. Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 8 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Commodity Profile The two primary measures of freight transportation activity are tonnage and value. Value is a good indicator of economic activity associated with freight transportation, while tonnage is a good indicator of the demand that freight movement places on transportation infrastructure. Freight also moves in different directions: • Inbound freight is moved from somewhere outside of the I-95 Corridor to a destination within the I-95 Corridor. • Outbound freight is moved from somewhere within the I-95 Corridor to a destination outside of the I-95 Corridor. • Internal freight is moved from one point within the I-95 Corridor to another point within the I-95 Corridor. • Pass-through freight is moving from an origin outside of the I-95 Corridor to a destination outside the I-95 Corridor while at some point passing through the Corridor. Figures 7 and 8 show that about 77 percent of the total tonnage moving into, out of, within, or through the I-95 Corridor is hauled by trucks with most of the remaining hauled by rail. A large majority of the value (99 percent) is hauled by trucks. Figure 7. Mode Share of Total Corridor Freight Tonnage 2004 Water 1% Truck 77% Air 0% Figure 8. Mode Share of Total Corridor Freight Value 2004 Water 0.1% Air 0.1% Truck 99.1% Rail 0.7% Rail 22% Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 9 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Figures 9 and 10 describe the direction of travel for Virginia’s domestic commodities along the I-95 Corridor, based on tonnage and on value. Figure 9. Directional Proportion of Total Corridor Freight Tonnage 2004 Figure 10. Directional Proportion of Total Corridor Freight Value 2004 Through 54.2% Through 56.9% Inbound 27.9% Inbound 24.4% Outbound 14.3% Outbound 11.7% Internal 6.2% Internal 4.4% By tonnage, the leading commodities moving domestically are nonmetallic minerals and secondary traffic (U.S. warehouse and distribution) followed by municipal waste; lumber and wood products; and food and kindred products. By value, secondary traffic is by far the leading commodity, followed by transportation equipment. Table 1. Critical Commodities Inbound, Outbound, and Internal on Interstate 95 Corridor by Tons 2004 Commodity Tons Percent Share Nonmetallic Minerals 45,199,828 23% Secondary Moves 24,318,686 12% Municipal Waste 18,365,771 9% Lumber/Wood 16,757,019 8% Food/Kindred 15,053,164 8% All Others 79,479,303 40% Total 199,173,772 100% Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 10 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Table 2. Critical Commodities Inbound, Outbound, and Internal on Interstate 95 Corridor by Value 2004 Commodity Dollars Percent Share Secondary Moves $158,879,980,916 38% Transportation Equipment $83,155,830,804 20% Electrical Machinery/Equipment/ Supplies $27,969,880,379 7% Machinery Excluding Electrical $20,117,229,539 5% Chemicals/Allied $19,542,732,036 5% All Others $109,775,926,922 26% Total $419,441,580,595 100% For trade in Virginia’s critical commodities – that is, inbound and outbound tonnage, excluding pass-through traffic – the leading trading partner regions are mainly within the Commonwealth followed by the southern east coast states and the Illinois/Indiana/Ohio/ Michigan region. Table 3. Trading Partners by Tonnage for the Interstate 95 Corridor Domestic Inbound and Outbound 2004 Partner Region Tons Percent Rest of Virginia 67,239,120 41% South Atlantic 40,299,544 25% East North Central 13,880,804 9% Middle Atlantic 12,131,787 7% East South Central 9,610,098 6% New England 9,302,516 6% West South Central 4,881,616 3% West North Central 1,852,279 1% Canada/Mexico 1,228,768 1% Mountain 1,094,841 0.7% All Others 950,803 0.6% 162,472,178 100% Grand Total Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 11 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Table 4. Trading Partners by Value for the Interstate 95 Corridor Domestic Inbound and Outbound 2004 Partner Region Dollars Percent Rest of Virginia $151,726,091,444 40% South Atlantic $71,896,346,716 19% East North Central $34,679,544,033 9% West South Central $28,941,012,527 8% New England $28,507,263,775 8% Middle Atlantic $23,608,530,870 6% East South Central $19,136,504,676 5% West North Central $5,850,443,470 2% Pacific $4,167,001,186 1% Europe $3,224,199,915 1% All Others $5,357,959,424 1% $377,094,898,036 100% Grand Total Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 12 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Transportation System Facilities and Performance The I-95 Corridor contains an extensive highway and freight rail network with centers of activity in Petersburg, Richmond, and Washington, D.C. Major freight transportation connections along I-95 include I-85 (in Petersburg), I-64 (in Richmond), I-495 (in Fairfax County), U.S. 58 (in Emporia), U.S. 460 (in Petersburg), and U.S. 17 (in Fredericksburg). Table 5. Interstate 95 Intermodal Connections Significant Roadway Connections Significant Airport Connections • I-295 • Dulles International Airport • I-85 • Washington National Airport • I-64 • I-395 • Richmond International Airport • I-495 • U.S. 58 • U.S. 301 • U.S. 460 • U.S. 1 • U.S. 17 Significant Port Connections • Port of Richmond Highway I-95 is a four-lane limited access Interstate highway in southern Virginia, a mostly six-lane Interstate highway through central Virginia, and an eight-or-more lane Interstate through northern Virginia. The number of lanes, along with roadway geometry, intersection spacing, etc., determines how much traffic a given roadway segment can accommodate in a given period of time and provides a sense of the capacity of the roadway. A summary of the lane widths of I-95 is shown in Table 6. Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 13 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Table 6. Interstate 95 Summary of Lane Widths Section Length Width (Total Lanes) Greensville County 15.1 4 City of Emporia 1.3 4 Sussex County 17.3 4 Prince George County 12.2 4 City of Petersburg 5.1 4 City of Colonial Heights 3.0 6 Chesterfield County 11.6 6 City of Richmond 11.2 6 Henrico County 5.9 6 Hanover County 21.3 6 Caroline County 15.2 6 Spotsylvania County 12.5 6 City of Fredericksburg 1.9 6 Stafford County 17.3 6 Prince William County 12.7 8 Fairfax County 11.0 8 City of Alexandria 4.7 8 Virginia maintains a statewide vehicle count program on its major highways, including collection and/or estimation of truck counts and percentages. Figure 11 shows the average Virginia AADT (all vehicle types) depicted as columns, with the corresponding average truck percentages as points. I-95 AADT varied from around 35,000 in Sussex County to over 150,000 in Fairfax County in 2007. Truck percentages varied from less than five percent in Fairfax County to more than 17 percent in Greensville County. Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 14 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Figure 11. Average AADT and Truck Percentages 160,000 18% 140,000 16% 14% 120,000 12% 100,000 10% 80,000 8% 60,000 6% 40,000 4% 20,000 2% 0% 0 Fairfax County Stafford County Prince William County Spotsylvania County City of Fredericksburg Caroline County Weighted AADT Hanover County City of Richmond Henrico County City of Petersburg Chesterfield County Sussex County Prince George County Greensville County Total CU Truck Percent Table 7 describes average bridge and pavement condition and performance across all I-95 highway segments. The reference “IRI” stands for the International Roughness Index. IRI measures the cumulative deviation from a smooth surface in inches per mile – in other words, the sum of all the up-and-down road imperfections, from potholes to barely noticeable bumps or road roughness, which a vehicle will encounter over one mile. The ranges of values correspond to the pavement condition as follows (IRI in inches per mile): very good (0 to 85); good (86 to 110); fair (111 to 140); poor (141 to 175); very poor (more than 175). There also are road condition measures that apply to bridges; as presented in the National Bridge Inventory, “red” is the lowest of the three levels of “General Condition Ratings” that can be assigned to a bridge. Overall I-95’s pavement quality is considered very good with an average rating of 85. Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 15 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Table 7. Interstate 95 Road Condition by Jurisdiction 2003 Weighted IRI Percent of Bridges in “Red” Condition Overall 85 0.25% Greensville County 53 0% City of Emporia 50 0% Sussex County 70 0% Prince George County 91 0% City of Petersburg 94 0% Chesterfield County 84 0% City of Colonial Heights 84 0% Henrico County 108 0% City of Richmond 97 4% Hanover County 87 0% Caroline County 76 0% Spotsylvania County 74 0% City of Fredericksburg 76 0% Stafford County 92 0% Prince William County 97 0% Fairfax County 102 0% City of Alexandria 165 0% Physical Jurisdiction Another important aspect of a freight transportation system is its intermodal terminal network. These facilities provide the interface between freight rail and other transportation modes, including highway and water, and permit the transfer of goods from one mode to another. Figure 12 displays the rail-highway intermodal terminals along I-95, as well as additional system facilities. Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 16 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Figure 12. Interstate 95 Intermodal Facilities Rail The Commonwealth of Virginia’s rail system is operated by 10 freight railroads and two passenger operators. Of the 9 freight railroads, two are Class I national railroads and the remaining eight are Class III or terminal/switching railroads (see Table 8). Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 17 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Table 8. Virginia’s Freight Railroads Freight Railroad Name Class I Class III Terminal/ Switching Miles Operated in Virginia Norfolk Southern Corporation √ 2,100 CSX Transportation √ 1,051 Buckingham Branch Railroad √ 278 Bay Coast Railroad √ 68 Chesapeake and Albemarle Railroad √ 29 Winchester and Western Railroad √ 26 Commonwealth Railway, Inc. √ 17 North Carolina and Virginia Railroad √ 4 Norfolk and Portsmouth Belt Line √ 4 The majority of Virginia’s freight rail track infrastructure is in the possession of the two Class I railroads, Norfolk Southern (approximately 60 percent) and CSX (approximately 30 percent). CSX’s north-south main line (National Gateway) roughly parallels the I-95 Corridor through Virginia. Norfolk Southern’s Heartland Corridor, crosses the I-95 Corridor in Petersburg and the Crescent Corridor’s Piedmont line crosses the I-95 Corridor in Northern Virginia. The Buckingham Branch Railroad parallels I-95 between for the short distance between Richmond and Doswell before turning west toward Charlottesville and Clifton Forge. Bottlenecks Virginia’s freight transportation system contains segments that are stressed or over capacity to the point that they are defined as bottlenecks. Bottlenecks – whether existing or emerging – prohibit the efficient flow of freight through the system and across the Commonwealth. Currently, Virginia’s primary freight transportation bottlenecks generally correspond to: • Major urbanized regions with high levels of congestion; • Intersections of major highway arteries; and • Rail system points where infrastructure provides inadequate freight transportation capacity or dimension, especially where growing freight and passenger needs must be accommodated over shared infrastructure. Many sections of I-95 in central (Richmond/Petersburg) and Northern Virginia are considered freight transportation bottlenecks as shown in Figures 13 and 14. Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 18 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Figure 13. Richmond Area Transportation Bottlenecks Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 19 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Figure 14. Northern Virginia Freight Transportation Bottlenecks Bottlenecks occur on the railroad lines within the I-95 Corridor in the Richmond area. These are shown in blue in Figure 15. Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 20 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Figure 15. Virginia Freight Transportation Bottlenecks Waterways and Ports Virginia boasts the single best water transportation asset on the East Coast of the United States: the Chesapeake Bay and its tributaries. Cargo terminals are located predominately along the natural deepwater harbors formed by the confluence of the rivers Elizabeth, James, and Nansemond. The marine terminals at Hampton Roads are the only U.S. facilities on the Atlantic coast capable of handling next-generation “mega containerships,” which require drafts of 50 feet or more. Benefits from this natural harbor extend past the Hampton Roads area. Waterborne freight entering Hampton Roads continues on to the Port of Richmond up the James River and north to Baltimore and other major destinations. The “64 Express” service, for example, makes use of the navigable James River to move containers by barge between Richmond and Hampton Roads. There are over 350 miles of navigable channels with drafts exceeding 22 feet. Over 5,000 commercial vessel sailings occur annually destined for Hampton Roads. More than 10,000 sailings occur annually when military vessels and commercial vessels destined for Baltimore are included. Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 21 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 The I-95 Corridor accesses the terminal facilities near the Port of Richmond on the James River. Distribution Centers Virginia has experienced marked growth in large-scale warehousing development often associated with high-volume, or “big box” importers. These importers’ supply chains are highly dependent upon the uninterrupted flow of cargo – primarily containerized – through Virginia’s ports, and subsequently through its highways and rail connections. Ten major distribution centers are located along the I-95 Corridor. These are in the areas of Fredericksburg in northern Virginia and Richmond/Petersburg in central Virginia. Table 9. Interstate 95 Warehouse and Distribution Facilities Company Location Area (Square Feet) McLane Foods Fredericksburg 364,000 CVS Fredericksburg 550,000 Ashland 120,000 Fredericksburg 350,000 Richfood Holdings Inc. Richmond 1,300,000 Hewlett Packard Richmond 1,440,000 DSC Logistics Richmond 700,000 Food Lion Hopewell 1,200,000 Ace Hardware Prince George 800,000 Wal-Mart Inc. Petersburg 1,200,000 Country Vintner Value City Furniture Air Cargo The two largest cargo airports, Dulles International and Richmond International, for the Commonwealth of Virginia are along the I-95 Corridor. Combined, these two airports handled over 110 million pounds of freight in 2006 as shown in Table 10. Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 22 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Table 10. Cargo Airport Performance Airports 2006 Freight Pounds Percent Change versus 2005 Dulles International Airport (IAD) 80,861,753 +13.8% Richmond International Airport (RIC) 30,106,039 +6.9% Washington National Airport (DCA) 2,088,966 +6.9% Alternative Scenarios The Virginia Statewide Model (VSM) was run several times to estimate future freight transportation activities through Virginia. Each run used the same algorithm to process a different set of input parameters. These runs included a “base case” which estimated freight transportation activity in 2035 assuming no improvements in the highway or rail network. The output from this run provides a baseline to which the results of the remaining runs are compared. The final three runs, Scenarios A, B, and C, each represent different sets of roadway, rail, and marine improvements as well as travel pattern adjustments. Scenario A generally reflects the situation in the year 2035 given that only certain projects identified in the six-year improvement program are implemented. Scenario B includes everything from Scenario A plus key improvements from the Virginia 2025 State Highway Plan and a draft version of the 2035 State Highway Plan. Scenario C included everything from Scenario B plus implementation of other important freight transportationrelated projects and policies. Public-Private Transportation Act (PPTA) projects are included in the scenarios as well. A description of the types of improvements included in each scenario is provided below. Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 23 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Scenario A • Highway – Improvements identified in the Virginia Six-Year Plan dated February 2009 that: (1) Add significant capacity (generally those that add at least one-lane mile to the facility); and (2) Are located on any of the 11 freight corridors. No distinction was made between projects funded for preliminary engineering, rightof-way, or construction. • Rail – Improvements to: (1) Completion of Heartland Corridor project. (2) Relocate Commonwealth Railway mainline tracks to the medians of I-664 and the Western Freeway (Route 164); and (3) Other Virginia Port Authority CIP projects. • Port – Miscellaneous improvements by the Virginia Port Authority to support anticipated growth. • Airport – None. Scenario B • Highway – All highway improvements in Scenario A plus selected improvements from the VDOT 2025 State Highway Plan and from a preliminary draft version of the VDOT 2035 State Highway Plan that: (1) Add significant capacity (generally those that add at least one-lane mile to the facility); and (2) Are located on any of the 11 freight corridors. • Rail – All rail improvements from Scenario A. • Port – All port improvements from Scenario A. • Airport – None. Scenario C • Highway – All highway improvements in Scenarios A and B plus the following: (1) Hampton Roads Third Crossing; (2) U.S. 460 Expressway between U.S. 58 Bypass and I-295; (3) Capacity improvements on U.S. 17 and U.S. 29 near Warrenton; (4) U.S. 58 “Hillsville Bypass”; and (5) Tolling/pricing actions to shift time-of-day and/or mode choice decisions (also impacts rail mode). • Rail – All rail improvements in Scenarios A and B plus the following: (1) Crescent Corridor and National Gateway projects; (2) Short-haul rail projects to relieve Hampton Roads congestion; (3) Highway tolling / pricing actions to shift mode choice decisions; and (4) Craney Island on-dock rail and connection projects (also impacts port mode). • Port – All port improvements in Scenarios A and B plus the following: (1) Short-haul barge projects to relieve Hampton Roads congestion; and (2) Craney Island on-dock rail and connection projects (also impacts rail mode). • Airport – Full build-out of the airports’ master plans and implementation of the Virginia Air Transportation System Plan recommendations.1 The projects included in Scenarios A, B, and C are highlighted in Figure 16. 1 Improvements to the Dulles Loop and improvements to accommodate the A380 at Dulles International Airport are included. Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 24 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Figure 16. Future Improvements to the I-95 Corridor Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 25 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 The relative effectiveness of these scenarios in meeting the I-95 Corridor’s freight transportation needs is summarized in the figure below. The Freight Congestion Index (FCI) is a measure of available capacity and use by trucks. It is a function of truck volume, link length, and number of lanes (U.S. capacity). A value of 1.00 represents the average state for the no-build scenario across all 11 corridors. Figure 17. Freight Congestion Index for the I-95 Corridor Index Ratio 3.00 2.50 2.00 1.50 1.00 0.50 0.00 No-Build A B C Scenario Key Project Recommendations Key recommendations for projects located within the I-95 Corridor include: High-Priority Projects: • • Widen I-95 and add HOV/HOT lanes throughout the Northern Virginia Subregion and south to Fredericksburg. This portion of I-95 experiences very high levels of background traffic and very high levels of congestion. It also is, along with I-81 to the west, a major north-south freight transportation artery along the eastern seaboard of the United States. Not only is it an important roadway for delivery of goods to consumers within the Commonwealth, it also is a crucial link in the national freight transportation network. Increasing the capacity of I-95 through Virginia is critical to maintaining efficient freight movement within and through the Commonwealth and the nation. • Widen I-95 to eight lanes between VA 656 and VA 207 in Hanover and Caroline Counties. This portion of I-95 from Richmond north is a bottleneck. It experiences high truck volumes and background traffic levels. Expanding this section to eight lanes will alleviate this freight transportation bottleneck. Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 26 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 • Widen I-95 to six lanes between VA 35 and I-295 in Prince George County. This portion of I-95 experiences a high percentage of combination unit (CU) trucks. This, combined with the background traffic associated with its proximity to the cities of Petersburg and Richmond, as well as to the I-95/I-295 diverge, causes high levels of congestion. Expanding I-95 in this area will alleviate this freight transportation bottleneck. • Widen and add HOV lanes to I-66 from U.S. 29 to I-495. I-66 is a major east-west freight route connecting the I-95 Corridor and the Northern Virginia Subregion to the I-81 Corridor. Traffic volumes range from 85,000 to 125,000 on these segments with combination-unit truck percentages in the 8.5 to 9.0 percent range. Widening this roadway will accommodate economic expansion and improve safety. • Construct the U.S. 460 Expressway between I-295 near Petersburg and the City of Suffolk. U.S. 460 between the Suffolk bypass and I-295 has very heavy truck volumes and is a key freight transportation route between the Port areas of Hampton Roads, the Richmond Subregion, and the I-95 Corridor. This new limited access expressway will improve freight efficiency into and out of the Hampton Roads area and between Hampton Roads and Richmond. • Add HOT lanes on I-495 from Old Dominion Drive (VA 123) to I-95 (Springfield Interchange). I-495 is a major freight transportation route around Washington, D.C. Traffic volumes are in the 200,000 AADT level with combination-unit truck percentages in the 3.0 percent range. Widening this roadway will promote economic expansion and improve safety. • Widen U.S. 17 to eight lanes between I-95 and VA Route 749 and to six lanes between VA Route 749 and VA Route 705 near Fredericksburg. This portion of U.S. 17 experiences a high level of background traffic and 16 percent combination unit (CU) trucks. Expanding U.S. 17 in this area will alleviate this freight transportation bottleneck. • Implement the National Gateway project. The National Gateway is a coordinated program of multistate improvements to CSX rail lines aimed at improving doublestack rail connections between Mid-Atlantic and Midwestern markets. A more detailed description of the freight transportation projects identified for the I-95 Corridor is provided in Table 11. Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 27 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Table 11. I-95 Multimodal Corridor Project List Impact on Freight Transportation Activitya Scenario Included in Freight Program? Project Description From To Distance (Miles) I-95 Rural 6 Lane with Median North Carolina SL Bus Route 58 11.130 High B Yes I-95 Rural 6 Lane with Median Route 35 Southbound on Ramp I-295 5.590 High B Yes I-95 Rural 8 Lane with Median Route 656 Route 54 5.040 High B Yes I-95 Rural 8 Lane with Median Route 54 Route 30 6.050 High B Yes I-95 Rural 8 Lane with Median Route 30 Route 207 6.510 High B Yes I-95 Rural 8 Lane with Median Route 207 Route 608 18.380 High B Yes I-95 Add 2 Lane CD Road each Direction Route 608 Route 3 6.160 High B Yes I-95 Add 3 Lane CD Road each Direction Route 3 Route 17 3.330 High B Yes I-95 Add 2 Lane CD Road each Direction Route 17 Route 610 10.160 High B Yes I-95 Add 2 Lane CD Road each Direction Route 610 Route 234 9.260 High B Yes I-95 Add 1 Lane to each Direction Route 234 Route 123 7.700 High B Yes I-95 3 Reversible Hot Lanes 0.600 Mile South Route 234 HOV Route 123 8.920 High B Yes I-95 3 Reversible Hot Lanes Route 123 I-495 9.860 High B Yes Route Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 28 Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Impact on Freight Transportation Activitya Scenario Included in Freight Program? Project Description From To Distance (Miles) I-95 Rural 8 Lane with Median Route 123 Route 644 9.010 High B Yes I-95 Widen to Add A 4th Lane 0.015 Mile South Route 123 0.154 Mile North Route 7100 6.452 High A Yes I-95 Add 2 Lane CD Road each Direction I-495 Route 613 2.060 High B Yes I-95 Add 2 Lane CD Road and HOV Lanes Route 613 Maryland SL 5.460 High B Yes I-95 Widen to Add Additional Lanes 2.1 Mile West Telegraph Road 0.45 Mile East Telegraph Road 1.700 High A Yes I-95 Widen to Add Additional Lanes 0.880 Mile West Route 1 Woodrow Wilson Bridge 2.550 High A Yes I-495 Hot Lanes Route 123 (Old Dominion Drive) Springfield – I-95 High A Yes BRT and Hot Lanes 14th Street Bridge Massapanox High A Yes U.S. 17 Rural 4 Lane with Median Caroline CL Route 2/17 Bus 1.890 Medium B U.S. 17 Rural 4 Lane with Median Route 2/17 Bus Bus Route 608 2.750 Low B U.S. 17 Rural 4 Lane with Median Route 301 Spotsylvania CL 12.230 Medium B U.S. 17 Rural 4 Lane with Median Route 608 Route 1 3.000 Medium B U.S. 17 Urban 8 Lane with Median I-95 Route 749 3.200 High B Yes U.S. 17 Urban 6 Lane with Median Route 749 Route 705 South 2.590 High B Yes U.S. 29 Urban 6 Lane with Median Fauquier CL Route 55 4.130 Medium B Route I-95/I-395 Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 29 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Impact on Freight Transportation Activitya Scenario Included in Freight Program? Route Project Description From To Distance (Miles) U.S. 29 Urban 6 Lane with Median 0.7 Mile East Prince William CL Route 28 3.310 Low B U.S. 29 Urban 6 Lane with Median Route 28 WCL Fairfax 5.530 Low B U.S. 29 Urban 6 Lane with Median ECL Fairfax SCL Falls Church 5.050 Low B U.S. 29 Urban 6 Lane with Median Old Dominion Drive Kenmore Street 1.080 Low B Route 460 Expressway I-295 Suffolk CL 52.900 High C Yes I-64 Widen from 4 to 6 Lanes 0.990 Mile West of Route 623 0.380 Mile West of Route I-295 4.520 High A Yes I-64 Rural 8 Lane with Median Eastbound Route 288 On Ramp I-295 2.980 High B Yes I-64 Widen Eastbound Direction to 4 Lanes Staples Mill Road I-95 North 1.660 Low B I-64 Urban 8 Lane with Median I-95 South Route 360 1.920 Medium B I-64 Pavement Rehab and Widening 1.00 Mile West of Airport Drive 1.00 Mile East of I-295 4.900 High B I-64 Rural 6 Lane with Median Airport Drive I-295 3.150 Medium B I-64 Rural 8 Lane with Median I-295 Route 33 Westbound 4.600 High B I-64 Pavement Rehab and Widening 1.00 Mile East of I-295 1.00 Mile East of Route 249 4.600 Medium B I-66 Widen to 8 Lanes 1.554 KM West Southbound Route 29 3.716 KM East Southbound Route 29 3.270 High A I-66 Add 2 HOV Lanes Route 15 Route 29 2.550 Medium B U.S. 460b Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 30 Yes Yes Yes Cambridge Systematics, Inc. Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Impact on Freight Transportation Activitya Scenario Included in Freight Program? Route Project Description From To Distance (Miles) I-66 Widen to 6 Lanes + 2 Reversible HOV Route 29 Route 234 2.340 High B Yes I-66 Widen to 8 Lanes + 2 Reversible HOV Route 234 Route 50 East 10.510 High B Yes I-66 Widen to 8 Lanes + 2 Reversible HOV Route 50 East I-495 6.900 High B Yes National Getaway High C Yes Crescent Corridor High C Yes Heartland Corridor High A Yes Short-Haul “Sprint Trains” High C Yes Marine Highway Service Expansion High C Yes a: The impact on freight transportation activity column indicates the relative impact a given project has on freight mobility as compared to the relative impact it has on mobility in general. It consists of three categories: High – these projects provide a greater relative impact to the important activity of moving freight than other projects considered. Medium – these projects benefit both freight and non-freight transportation activity to an important degree. Low – while valuable to both freight and non-freight transportation activity, these projects have a lower relative impact on freight transportation activity than those in the medium- or high-level categories. b: A Portion of the relocated U.S. 460 Expressway is located within the I-95 Corridor – the planned expressway continues to Suffolk. Cambridge Systematics, Inc Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 31 Virginia Statewide Multimodal Freight Study, Final Report, 2010 Conclusions The primary conclusions of the I-95 Corridor profile are: • The highest priority freight-transportation infrastructure recommendations for the Corridor are the widening and addition of HOV/HOT lanes to I-95 from Fredericksburg north to the Maryland State line, the widening of I-95 from north of Richmond to Fredericksburg, the widening of I-95 between the North Carolina State line and U.S. 58, the widening and addition of HOV lanes on I-66 between U.S. 29 and I-495, the widening and addition of HOT lanes on I-495, the construction of the U.S. 460 Expressway from Suffolk to I-295, and the implementation of the National Gateway project (see recommendations section for details). • I-95 is a freight transportation bottleneck throughout much of Virginia. • Combined, the freight-intensive, retail, and goods movement industries account for 27 percent of total I-95 Corridor employment, somewhat lower than the 31 percent average for Virginia as a whole. • About 77 percent of the total freight tonnage (inbound, outbound, internal, and through) moving within the Corridor is hauled by truck with 22 percent hauled by rail. Over 54 percent of the total freight tonnage moving within the Corridor is through traffic. • The overall pavement condition of I-95 in Virginia is good or very good. • The two largest cargo airports for the Commonwealth of Virginia, Dulles International and Richmond International, are located within the I-95 Corridor. Part III - I-95 Corridor - Page 32 Cambridge Systematics, Inc.
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