International Business Review What is international Business? The trade and investment activities by companies across national borders exceeding some 10 trillion dollars When did globalization start? 1st phase: 1830 – 1880: during the growth of efficient transportation, such as railroads, ocean transportation, invention of the telephone, and the rise of large manufacturing and trading companies 2nd Phase: 1900 – 1930: rise of electricity and steel production until the worldwide economic downturn starting 1929; western Europe was the most industrialized region, establishing some of the first international firms such as Nestle, BP, Shell and Siemens with foreign manufacturing 3rd Phase:1948 – 1970s: following WWII, Marshall Plan to rebuild Europe, US became world’s dominant economy (least harm during WWII), an era of high tariffs and trade barriers – General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT), later WTO [now 149 Nations], was formed to reduce international trade barriers; other important organizations fostering global cooperation are Int. Monetary Fund, World Bank, and United Nations. Forming MNE where companies like IBM, Boeing, Texas Instrument, Xerox, McDonalds seeking cost advantages by locating factories in countries with low cost labor/resources. Currency and capital started to flow freely across national borders. 1973 global oil crisis when OPEC proclaimed an oil embargo, followed by a stock market crash worldwide [Jan 73 – Dec 74], 70s recession, devaluation of the almighty USD [US (Nixon administration) stopped backing the USD with Gold reserves, also high inflation] – USD rose above and beyond the true value since most commodities around the world were traded in US currency - including the precious oil commodity, a corrective measure requested by Europeans [meaning: dollars would buy fewer yens and marks], 1975 the US began to float the dollar – fiat money: unbacked by any physical asset 4th Phase:1980 – Present: commercialization of the PC, Internet, low cost communication, modernization of manufacturing, liberalization in central and Eastern Europe, industrialization of East Asia (4 Asian Tigers [1960s – 90s]: HK, Singapore, South Korea and Taiwan), growing integration of mergers and acquisitions, “death of distance” – shrinking the world into a manageable marketplace. USA FDI inflows interrupted by the 9/11/2001 event Why go international? Living standards of billions of people are improved due to international trade and investment – wider selection of products and services at lower prices; accelerates development of latest technology Business: Earn higher margins and profits, Global procurement: raw material (closer to supply sources) Low cost & skilled labor, Acquire knowledge, opportunities (proactive or reactive motives) 1 Market diversification, gain new ideas, less intense competition, stronger market demands Better serve key customers that relocated overseas Economies of scale, production and marketing Confront international competitors Nations: Facilitates industries and workers to be more productive Allows countries to achieve higher living standards Without international trade, most nations would be unable to feed, clothe, and house their citizens at current standards Not only do nations, companies, and stakeholders benefit from international trade, modern life would be virtually impossible without it Steps of Internationalization: (Market-seeking, asset-seeking, recourse-seeking or efficiencyseeking motives) Domestic focus Experimental export – asked to send product/services overseas Export/Import: increased commitment tangible merchandise (clothing, computers, cars) as well services (intangible) such as banking, consulting, etc. Licensing – owner of intellectual property (trademark or patent), or know-how agreement, grants rights to another firm to use that property or knowledge for a specific time period in exchange for royalties or other compensation. An entry strategy that does not require substantial capital investment, nor involvement in a foreign market. Poor partners may be unable to generate substantial sales. Franchising – firm allows another the right to use an entire business system in exchange for fees, royalties, or other forms of compensation. Usually an ongoing, stable entry strategy compared to licensing (Subway, McDonalds, KFC). Process requires training and monitoring; franchisees may acquire knowledge and become competitors. Leasing – contractual strategy, in which focal firms rents out machinery or equipment to corporate clients abroad, often for several years at a time (Fisher Industry). Joint Venture – form of collaboration between two or more firms to create a jointly owned enterprise as a minority, equal or majority partner. FDI – Foreign direct investment, most committed involvement, long term, direct influence on production, distribution and service of one’s product, partial or complete ownership of acquired assets Four risks in Internationalization: Cross-cultural risk: difference in language, lifestyle, mindset, customs, religion, etc. Country risk: political instability – government intervention in companies operation and performance caused by political, legal and economic environment in a foreign country, Venezuela – Exxon Mobil example Currency risk: adverse fluctuation in exchange rates causing the foreign denomination to rise sharply, or inflation, etc. Commercial risk: potential loss or failure from poorly developed or executed business strategies or procedures 2 Advantage of Internationalization: Developing new business opportunities Access to foreign knowledge base – Germany: technology, India: software development Reduction of poverty – China, Brazil Disadvantage of Internationalization: Loss of sovereignty – ability to govern own affairs: Wal-Mart, Coca Cola, Sony; Complex business structures, either centralized or decentralized Commitment of substantial funds Sharing of technical know-how Currency Exchange Rate – In cases of extreme appreciation or depreciation, a central bank will normally intervene to stabilize the currency known as a managed float (many Asian countries have an unofficial peg against the dollar) Offshoring or outsourcing – results in job losses Effect on the poor – child labor: 250 million around the world (Nike, sweat shops) Effect on natural environment Effect on national culture – McDonaldization, Coca-Colonization – erosion of local traditions, appetite for “Western” products – across the world the same habits: influenced by Hollywood Participants of international business: Focal firms – initialize international business transaction Born Global firms – initiates international business very early, more adaptable to internationalization, despite limited funding – producing true international products International company - a company which exists in one country but sells products in more than one country Multi National Enterprise (MNE) – large companies with substantial resources, performing various international businesses through a network of subsidiaries located in multiple countries, including offices and production facilities; (170 MNE located in the US, 70 in Japan, 35 in Germany) Small Medium Enterprise (SME) – 500 or fewer employees – responsible of 25% of export from Europe and N. America Freight forwarder: specialized logistics services – arrange international shipping Logistics Service Provider: DHL, FedEx, UPS, etc. Foreign distributor: foreign market-based intermediary that works under contract for an exporter – clearing products through customs, local advertising and distribution of products Trading Companies: intermediary that engages in import and export of commodities (Cargill, Minneapolis, MN – 50 billion USD annually in sales, privately owned) Theories of International Trade: Absolute Advantage Principle: Adam Smith: 1776 - A country or companies benefits by producing only those products in which it has absolute advantage, or can produce using fewer resources than another, or at a lower absolute cost than another. The country gains by specializing in producing those products, exporting them, and then importing the products it does not have an absolute advantage in producing. Comparative advantage: David Ricardo: 1817 - It can be beneficial for two countries to trade without barriers as long as one is more efficient at producing goods or services needed by the other. What matters is not the absolute cost of production, but rather the relative efficiency with which a country can produce the product. 3 Competitive Advantage of Nations: Michael Porter: 1980 - the competitive advantage of a nation is dependent upon the collective competitive advantages of its firms. Over time, this relationship is reciprocal: the competitive advantages held by the nation tend to drive the development of new firms and industries with these same competitive advantages. Porter’s Diamond Model: explains competitive advantage at the firm and nation levels as stemming from the presence and quality in the country of the following four major elements – Firm Strategy, Structure, and Rivalry / Factor Conditions / Demand Conditions / Related and supporting Industries Industrial Cluster: A concentration of businesses, suppliers, and supporting firms in the same industry at a particular location, characterized by a critical mass of human talent, capital, or other factor endowments (Silicon Valley, Fashion Industry - Northern Italy) International Value chain: A value chain is a chain of activities. Products pass through all activities of the chain in order and at each activity the product gains some value. The chain of activities gives the products more added value than the sum of added values of all activities! (Dell corporation) Cultural Environment of International Business: The challenge of crossing cultural boundaries- different cultural environments characterized by foreign languages and different values. Culture refers to the learned, shared, and enduring orientation patterns in a society. People demonstrate their culture through values, ideas, attitudes, behaviors, and symbols. Ethnocentric orientation: refers to a home-country mind-set Polycentric orientation refers to a host-country mindset Geocentric orientation refers to a global mindset where the manager is able to understand a business without regard to country boundaries Regiocentric orientation - policy to suit particular geographic areas Low-context cultures rely on elaborated verbal explanations, putting much emphasis on spoken words (Europe, N. America) High-context cultures emphasize nonverbal communications and a more holistic approach to communication that promotes harmonious relationships (Japan, China) Monochronic cultures tend to exhibit a rigid orientation to time in which the individual is focused on schedules, punctuality, and time as a resource (US, Canada, Germany) Polychronic cultures refer to a flexible, non-linear orientation to time in which the individual takes a long-term perspective and is capable of multi-tasking (Asia. Latin America, Middle East) Stereotypes: are generalizations about a group of people that may or may not be factual, often overlooking real, deeper differences. (Latin Americans tend to procrastinate) Government Interventions: Protectionism refers to national economic policies designed to restrict free trade and protect domestic industries from foreign competition Government intervention arises typically in the form of tariffs (duty), nontariff trade barriers (e.g. quota), and investment barriers (target FDI). Governments impose trade and investment barriers to achieve political, social, or economic objectives. Tariff (duty) - tax imposed by a government on imported products, thus increasing the cost to the customer 4 Quota - a quantitative restriction placed on imports of a specific product over a specified period of time Investment barriers target FDI thus restricting foreign firm operations National security - Countries impose trade restrictions on products viewed as critical to national defense and security, such as military technology and computers National culture and identity - Governments seek to protect certain occupations, industries, and public assets that are considered central to national culture and identityprohibit certain imports (Swiss – watch making) International Monetary Environment: Foreign exchange refers to all forms of money that are traded internationally Foreign exchange market is the global marketplace for buying and selling currencies (~ 175 currencies) — mainly by banks and governments Trade deficit refers to the amount by which a nation's imports exceed its exports for a specific period of time Trade surplus is the amount by which a nation's exports exceed its imports for a specific period of time Devaluation- government action to reduce the official value of its currency relative to other currencies (encourage foreign investors among other reasons, etc.), it specifically implies an official lowering of the value of a country's currency within a fixed exchange rate system. The opposite of devaluation is called revaluation. Depreciation is used for the unofficial decrease in the exchange rate in a floating exchange rate system. The opposite of devaluation is called appreciation. Exchange rate- the price of one currency expressed in terms of another- is constantly changing Eurodollars: deposits denominated in US dollars at banks outside the United States, and thus are not under the jurisdiction of the Federal Reserve. Fixed exchange rate, sometimes called a pegged exchange rate, is a type of exchange rate system wherein a currency's value is matched to the value of another single currency or to a basket of other currencies, or to another measure of value, such as gold. A fixed exchange rate is usually used to stabilize the value of a currency, against the currency it is pegged to. This makes trade and investments between the two countries easier and more predictable, and is especially useful for small economies where external trade forms a large part of their GDP. It can also be used as a means to control inflation. However, as the reference value rises and falls, so does the currency pegged to it. Fixed exchange rates may be preferable for their greater stability and certainty. (China) Floating exchange rate or fluctuating exchange rate is a type of exchange rate system wherein a currency's value is allowed to fluctuate according to the foreign exchange market. The exchange rate system of floating currencies may more technically be known as a managed float - allowing a currency price to float freely between an upper and lower bound, a price "ceiling" and "floor. (USA) Bonds are debt instruments that allow the borrower to raise capital by promising to repay the principal with interests on a specified date Hedging is the use of financial instruments to manage exposure to currency risk World's currency: only 8 percent of the world's currency exists as physical cash. Direct quote: number of units of the domestic currency needed to acquire one unit of foreign currency, known as the normal or American quote. The teller might say, “It will cost you $1.30 to buy €1." 5 Indirect quote: the number of units of the foreign currency obtained for one unit of the domestic currency, known as the reciprocal or European term. The teller might say, “For $1.00, you can buy €0.74.” Currency Traders: Hedgers, who seek to minimize the risk of exchange-rate fluctuations by buying forward contracts or similar financial instruments. Speculators, who seek profits by investing in currencies, and expect them to rise in value in the future. Arbitragers, who buy and sell the same currency in two or more foreign exchange markets to take advantage of differences in the currencies exchange rate. Regulating Exchange Rates: Since dollar exchange rates are set on the open market, the Government can only indirectly impact exchange rates. (In countries, like China, where the rate is fixed, the government can directly change the rate.) The most direct way is by raising the Fed Funds Rate, which increases interest rates throughout the banking system, reduces the supply of money, and makes the dollar stronger relative to other currencies. If the Fed lowers the Funds rate, then of course the opposite occurs, and the dollar becomes weaker. The Treasury Department can also print more money, which increases the supply, weakening the dollar. It can also borrow more money from other countries, known as selling Treasury notes. This not only increases the supply of money, but it also increases the debt, both of which weaken the dollar. Euro appreciation: If the euro/dollar exchange rate goes from one euro equals $1.25 to a new rate of one euro equals $1.50 → due to increased demand for Euros or decreased supply of Euros, the euro becomes expensive to U.S. customers, and fewer BMWs will be sold. Euro depreciation: If the euro/dollar exchange rate goes from one euro equals $1.25 to a new rate of one euro equals $1.00 → the euro then becomes cheap to the U.S. consumer, and more BMWs will be sold. Factors that influence the supply and demand for a currency: (1) economic growth, (2) interest rates and inflation, (3) market psychology, and (4) government action. How exchange rates are determined: In a free market, the “price” of any currency (rate of exchange) is determined by supply and demand. o o o o The greater the supply of a currency, the lower its price The lower the supply of a currency, the higher its price The greater the demand for a currency, the higher its price The lower the demand for a currency, the lower its price Currency Wars: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-11608719 To artificially keep ones currency weaker against key foreign currencies – in order make ones products more attractive in foreign markets (Example: USA – China) 6 Perception of Value Understanding that the value of money is based on our perception of its worth is easier if we look at how that perception can alter the specific amount of that value. Let's say that one American dollar is worth 5 French francs. One day, the U.S. government announces that part of its economic policy will be to allow the value of the U.S dollar to decrease slowly to about 3 francs (the U.S. government might do this to encourage foreign investors, among other reasons). The next day, the value of the dollar would likely drop sharply, which it has in similar situations. Why? The government announcement led people to believe that their dollars would be worth less -- therefore, they were worth less. The same effect can be seen in today's stock market, which is another currency system. When a company declares that its profits are down, the value of the company's shares can drop within minutes. Eurocurrency is any currency deposited in a bank outside its country of origin. Firms may borrow from the Eurocurrency market. Eurodollars are US dollars held in banks outside the US, including foreign branches of US banks. Thus, a US dollar bank deposit to Barclays Bank in London is a Eurodollar deposit. Bonds are debt instruments that allow the borrower to raise capital by promising to repay the principal with interests on a specified date. Investors purchase bonds and redeem them in the future at face value. A firm can purchase or sell bonds through banks and stockbrokers on the global bond market. changing currency value, or currency exposure, is one of the greatest challenges There are three types of currency exposure: Transaction exposure is currency risk by firms when accounts receivable or payable are denominated in foreign currencies. Translation exposure is currency risk when a firm translates financial statements from foreign currency into the functional currency of the parent firm. Exchange rate fluctuations cause the values of exposed assets, liabilities, expenses, and revenues to fluctuate as well, and may negatively affect the financial results of a firm. Economic exposure, also known as operating exposure, is currency risk from exchange-rate fluctuations that affect the pricing of products, the cost of inputs, and the value of foreign investments. When a firm prices its products, exchange-rate fluctuations either help or hurt sales because products are either more or less expensive to foreign buyers. For example, the British pound has appreciated against the US dollar. US firms should expect to sell more goods in the UK, because British customers have stronger buying power when purchasing dollars. By the same token, a British firm's sales may fall in the US unless management lowers its US prices by an amount equivalent to the fall of the dollar. Foreign exchange trading. A rather small number of currencies still dominate cross-border trade and investment. Two thirds of foreign reserves are in US dollars, 25% in euros, 7% in the yen and British pound, and 2% in the world's remaining 150 national currencies. Yet, 7 about $3 trillion worth of currency is traded every day. Currency trade occurs within large banks and through brokers that specialize in matching buyers and sellers. Currency dealers use the spot rate to trade foreign currencies at the current rate of exchange when delivery is considered immediate (i.e., over the counter), or within two business days between banks. Currency dealers use the forward rate, or the exchange-rate quota for future delivery of currency. The forward rate is a contractual rate between the dealer and client. Dealers quote currency exchange rates in two ways. For example, if you were traveling to Europe tomorrow and needed to buy Euros today, your local bank might give you: A direct quote: number of units of the domestic currency needed to acquire one unit of foreign currency, known as the normal or American quote. The teller might say, “It will cost you $1.30 to buy €1." An indirect quote: the number of units of the foreign currency obtained for one unit of the domestic currency, known as the reciprocal or European term. The teller might say, “For $1.00, you can buy €0.74.” There are three types of currency traders: Hedgers, who seek to minimize the risk of exchange-rate fluctuations by buying forward contracts or similar financial instruments. Speculators, who seek profits by investing in currencies, and expect them to rise in value in the future. Arbitragers, who buy and sell the same currency in two or more foreign exchange markets to take advantage of differences in the currencies exchange rate. Financial managers must be aware of the trends that influence currency fluctuations, and monitor currency trading daily. Hedging is the use of financial instruments to manage exposure to currency risk. There are four common hedging instruments: Forward contracts are financial instruments to buy or sell a currency at an agreed upon the exchange-rate at the initiation of the contract for future delivery and settlement. Refer to the example of Dow Chemical in the book, or Merkel at the beginning of the chapter, to illustrate. Futures contracts are similar to forward contracts, except that maturity periods and contract sizes are standardized to facilitate trading in organized exchanges such as the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. Currency options give the purchaser the right to buy foreign currency assets exchange rate within a specified amount of time. Currency options are traded on organized exchanges such as the Philadelphia Stock exchange and are available only for major currencies. Currency swaps are the exchange of two different currencies that are repaid in the original swapped amounts, plus interest, after a specified period of time. The parties swap principal at the current spot rate, and they repay the loan at the forward rate. 8 Question: How Does the Government Regulate Exchange Rates? Answer: Since dollar exchange rates are set on the open market, the Government can only indirectly impact exchange rates. (In countries, like China, where the rate is fixed, the government can directly change the rate.) The most direct way is by raising the Fed Funds Rate, which increases interest rates throughout the banking system, reduces the supply of money, and makes the dollar stronger relative to other currencies. If the Fed lowers the Funds rate, then of course the opposite occurs, and the dollar becomes weaker. The Treasury Department can also print more money, which increases the supply, weakening the dollar. It can also borrow more money from other countries, known as selling Treasury notes. This not only increases the supply of money, but it also increases the debt...both of which weaken the dollar. Question: How Do Exchange Rates Work? Answer: Exchange rates change every day. This is because currencies are traded on an open market, and the demand for them varies based on what is happening in that country. The interest rate paid by a country’s central bank is a big factor, since a higher interest rate makes that currency more valuable. Inflation is also taken into account, since high inflation in a country makes that currency worth less the longer it is held. Finally, a country’s financial stability will also impact a currency over time, since investors want to be sure they will get paid back. Question: What Are Exchange Rates? Answer: The dollar's exchange rate tells you how much a dollar is worth in a foreign currency, and vice versa. For example, on March 3, 2008, a dollar was worth $.98 Canadian dollars, 7.01 Chinese yuan, and 103.57 Japanese yen. The Euro is normally quoted in terms of its dollar value, for some reason, so one Euro was worth $1.52. Fixed exchange rate: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pegged_exchange_rate A fixed exchange rate, sometimes called a pegged exchange rate, is a type of exchange rate regime wherein a currency's value is matched to the value of another single currency or to a basket of other currencies, or to another measure of value, such as gold. A fixed exchange rate is usually used to stabilize the value of a currency, against the currency it is pegged to. This makes trade and investments between the two countries easier and more predictable, and is especially useful for small economies where external trade forms a large part of their GDP. It can also be used as a means to control inflation. However, as the reference value rises and falls, so does the currency pegged to it. In addition, according to the MundellFleming model, with perfect capital mobility, a fixed exchange rate prevents a government from using domestic monetary policy in order to achieve macroeconomic stability. Maintaining a fixed exchange rate (Wikipedia.org) Typically, a government wanting to maintain a fixed exchange rate does so by either buying or selling its own currency on the open market. This is one reason governments maintain reserves of foreign currencies. If the exchange rate drifts too far below the desired rate, the government buys its own currency off the market using its reserves. This places greater demand on the market and pushes up the price of the currency. If the exchange rate drifts too far above the desired rate, the opposite measures are taken. Another, less used means of maintaining a fixed exchange rate is by simply making it illegal to trade currency at any other rate. This is difficult to enforce and often leads to a black market in 9 foreign currency. Nonetheless, some countries are highly successful at using this method due to government monopolies over all money conversion. This is the method employed by the Chinese government to maintain a currency peg or tightly banded float against the US dollar. Throughout the 1990s, China was highly successful at maintaining a currency peg using a government monopoly over all currency conversion between the Yuan and other currencies. In cases of extreme appreciation or depreciation, a central bank will normally intervene to stabilize the currency. Thus, the exchange rate regimes of floating currencies may more technically be known as a managed float. A central bank might, for instance, allow a currency price to float freely between an upper and lower bound, a price "ceiling" and "floor". Management by the central bank may take the form of buying or selling large lots in order to provide price support or resistance, or, in the case of some national currencies, there may be legal penalties for trading outside these bounds. The foreign exchange market (currency, forex, or FX) trades currencies. It lets banks and other institutions easily buy and sell currencies. The purpose of the foreign exchange market is to help international trade and investment. A foreign exchange market helps businesses convert one currency to another. For example, it permits a U.S. business to import European goods and pay Euros, even though the business's income is in U.S. dollars. In a typical foreign exchange transaction a party purchases a quantity of one currency by paying a quantity of another currency. The modern foreign exchange market started forming during the 1970s when countries gradually switched to floating exchange rates from the previous exchange rate regime, which remained fixed as per the Bretton Woods system. Extra Currency related Info: http://money.howstuffworks.com/currency9.htm Currency, or money (we'll use the terms interchangeably for the purposes of this discussion), can be defined as a unit of purchasing power. Money allows people to accumulate wealth. 1. Diners Club issued the first credit card in 1950. 2. The Social Security Administration first offered automatic electronic deposit of money into bank accounts in 1975. 3. The growing worldwide acceptance of the Internet has made electronic currency more important than ever before. Purchases can be made through a Web site, with the funds drawn out of an Internet bank account, where the money was originally deposited electronically. People are earning and spending money without ever touching it. In fact, economists estimate that only 8 percent of the world's currency exists as physical cash. The rest exists only on a computer hard drive, in electronic bank accounts around the world. 10
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