letters tO the editOr Re: Joan L Robinson, nicole Le Saux; Canadian Paediatric Society Infectious Diseases and Immunization Committee. Preventing hospitalizations for respiratory syncytial virus infection. Paediatr Child Health 2015;20(6):321-333. To the Editor; We are a group of paediatric health care professionals (community and hospital general paediatrics, nursing, neonatology, paediatric respirology, paediatric infectious disease and health economics) who wish to express concerns about the position statement published in the August/September issue of the Journal. While rigorously developed guidelines play a pivotal role in establishing standards of practice, poorly developed guidelines may cause harm. As reviewed by Haroon et al (1), a well-conducted review process is important in avoiding potential bias, and guaranteeing validity and feasibility for practice. In this case, key stakeholders external to the guideline group, such as respirologists and cardiologists, appear to have been omitted. Of more concern, it is unclear what criteria were used in searching for and evaluating the evidence behind the position statement and which methodology was employed to reach consensus, in addition, there was an absence of grading for each final recommendation. Specifically, Table 1 purports to summarize results of the efficacy of palivizumab in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). This table is incomplete both from the placebo controlled (2) or combined palivizumab-placebo trials and the comparative palivizumabmotavizumab trials perspectives. In the Cochrane review (3), seven RCTs were identified, confirming the efficacy of palivizumab in reducing the incidence of serious respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) disease in children with chronic lung disease (CLD), congenital heart disease (CHD) and those born preterm <35 weeks gestational age (wGA). The recommendation for palivizumab targets patients who are oxygen dependent at 36 wGA or medically dependent in the first year, and only oxygen dependent in the second year. This reflects a narrow view of the limitations of using oxygen dependency alone as a diagnostic criterion for CLD (4), the pathophysiology of lung function in healthy preterms and those with CLD and the impact of RSV infection, and the rates of RSV-related hospitalization (RSVH), which are 12- to 18-fold higher in this cohort compared with healthy infants up to two years of age (5). The mean RSVH rate for patients with CLD across the 10 observational studies portrayed in the statement, albeit a methodologically flawed comparison, are approximately similar (16.8 first season; 14.7 first or second season; 13.9 first and second season). Moreover, the incidence of CLD overall has remained relatively unchanged because of its multifactorial etiology (6) and, following RSVH, both preterm and CLD infants have two- to threefold higher rates of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and ventilation (7,8). Although the number needed to treat (NNT) for CLD in the Impact trial was 20 (9), studies with larger sample sizes in ‘real world’ experience indicate a NNT range of eight to 10 (10-12). Late preterm infants incur significant respiratory morbidities (13) and are at high risk for RSVH (14,15). Three robust models targeting RSV prophylaxis cost effectively for these infants were overlooked (16-18) in favour of nontreatment, and strongly merits reconsideration because the estimated NNT across all three models equals 13. Overall, the guidelines for RSV prophylaxis restricted to infants <29 completed wGA without CLD is a serious step back to the era before 1998, and may result in significant burden of illness in untreated infants with higher ICU admissions and need for mechanical ventilation (29 to Paediatr Child Health Vol 20 No 8 November/December 2015 32 wGA [n=243]: 49%, 25%; 33 to 34 wGA [n=279]: 41%, 19%; 35 wGA [n=187] 32%, 14%, respectively) (19). The references in support of RSV prophylaxis for one versus two seasons for infants with CHD is limited to one RCT (20), which showed a declining RSVH incidence from 12% to 4% between one and two years, but >50% palivizumab efficacy for infants <6 months of age and those one to two years of age. The recommendation discounts both the severity of fully uncorrected, unstable CHD, the fourfold higher RSVH rates in these infants compared with healthy babies (21) and the significant weighted mean mortality rate of 5.2% with RSV infection (22). We have recently demonstrated that the hazard ratio for RSVH between the first and second RSV season for treated CHD infants is similar (HR 1.4 [95% CI 0.5 to 4.0]; P=0.52) (23) and prophylaxis for selected, cardiology sanctioned, high-risk infants for two seasons requires revisitation. In regard to the “Cost-effectiveness of palivizumab”, we were unable to determine the threshold used to determine cost effectiveness. The Canadian threshold of up to $100,000 per qualityadjusted life year (QALY) is considered to be a good use of resources (24). Hence, we cannot assess whether the statement that palivizumab “is unlikely to be cost effective in children with prematurity, CLD or CHD…” is accurate. Also, the perspective is not stated, for clarity see Guidelines for the Evaluation of Health Technologies: Canada, 3rd edition, 2006 (25). In a publication produced by the Canadian Paediatric Society, which describes itself as “a national advocacy association that promotes the health needs of children and youth”, we would expect a societal perspective rather than a payer perspective and, as such, consideration of the family costs of admission to hospital with RSV infection. Our preceding comments should not be interpreted to mean that we are not sensitive to the need to examine costs. However, the position statement starts with the assumption that the first priority is to “save drug costs”. As advocates for children, we suggest that the first stage should be to determine the best course of action to benefit children based on an unbiased review of the evidence, and then examine the funding implications. The position statement appears to have acted in the reverse order. The position statement concludes that “people serving on this panel (Provincial Annual Reviews) should not have conflicts of interest, including research funding and participation in a speakers bureau or financial links with the pharmaceutical firm that makes palivizumab”. This simplistic approach would exclude many knowledgeable individuals on RSV infection, including members of the committees who developed and reviewed the document. Overall, this position statement overturns strong evidence supporting current practice for RSV prophylaxis in Canada and, if adopted, will lead to unnecessary infections in already vulnerable children. I Mitchell MA MB FRCPC Alberta Children’s Hospital, Calgary Alberta B Paes MD FRCPC Department of Pediatrics, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario K Lanctot PhD Medical Outcomes and Research in Economics (MORE®) Research Group, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario Rupesh Chawla MD MSc FRCPC Pediatric Infectious Diseases Residency Training Program Alberta Children's Hospital, Calgary, Alberta ©2015 Canadian Paediatric Society. All rights reserved 463 Aaron Chiu MD FRCPC FAAP MBA Manitoba RSV Prophylaxis Program; Department of Pediatrics, University of Manitoba; Women's Hospital, Winnipeg, Manitoba Marianna Mitchell MD FRCPC Queen's University, Lakeridgehealth Corporation, Oshawa, Ontario Cecil Ojah FRCPC Department of Paediatrics, Saint John Regional Hospital, Saint John, New Brunswick April Price MD FRCPC FCCP Western University, Division of Paediatric Respiratory Medicine, Children's Hospital, London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario Sandra Seigel, Department of Pediatrics, McMaster University; Division of General Pediatrics, St Joseph's Healthcare; McMaster Children's Hospital, Hamilton, Ontario Amanda Symington RN(EC) BSc BScN MHSc McMaster Children's Hospital; School of Nursing, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario REFEREnCES 1. Haroon M, Ranmal R, McElroy H, Dudley J; Royal College of Paediatrics and Child Health Clinical Standards Committee. Developing clinical guidelines: How much rigour is required? Arch Dis Child Educ Pract Ed 2014;0:1-8. 2. Wegzyn C, Toh LK, Notario G, et al. Safety and effectiveness of palivizumab in children at high risk of serious disease due to respiratory syncytial virus infection: A systematic review. Infect Dis Ther 2014 [ePub ahead of print]. 3. Andabaka T, Nickerson JW, Rojas-Reyes MX, Rueda JD, Bacic Vrca V, Barsic B. Monoclonal antibody for reducing the risk of respiratory syncytial virus infection in children. Cochrane Database Syst Rev 2013;4:CD006602. 4. Jensen EA, Schmidt B. Epidemiology of bronchopulmonary dysplasia. Birth Defects Res A Clin Mol Teratol 2014;100:145-57. 5. Boyce TG, Mellen BG, Mitchel EF Jr, Wright PF, Griffin MR. Rates of hospitalization for respiratory syncytial virus infection among children in Medicaid J Pediatr 2000;137:865-70. 6. Jain D, Bancalari E. Bronchopulmonary dysplasia: Clinical perspective. Birth Defects Res A Clin Mol Teratol 2014;100:134-44. 7. Law BJ, MacDonald N, Langley J, et al. Severe respiratory syncytial virus infection among otherwise healthy prematurely born infants: What are we trying to prevent? Paediatr Child Health 1998;3:402-4. 8. Navas L, Wang E, de Carvalho V, Robinson J. Improved outcome of respiratory syncytial virus infection in a high-risk hospitalized population of Canadian children. Pediatric Investigators Collaborative Network on Infections in Canada. J Pediatr 1992;121:348-54. 9. The Impact-RSV Study Group. Pediatrics. 1998;102:531-7. 10. Simoes EAF. Respiratory syncytial virus prophylaxis – the story so far. Resp Med 2002;96:S15-S24. 11. Frogel M, Nerwen C, Cohen A, et al. Prevention of hospitalization due to respiratory syncytial virus: Results from the Palivizumab Outcomes Registry. J Perinatol 2008;28:511-7. 12. Paes B, Mitchell I, Li A, Harimoto T, Lanctôt KL. Respiratoryrelated hospitalizations following prophylaxis in the Canadian registry for palivizumab (2005-2012) compared to other international registries. Clin Dev Immunol 2013;2013:917068. 13. Pike KC. Respiratory consequences of late preterm birth. Paediatr Respir Rev 2015;16:182-8. 14. Gijtenbeek RG, Kerstjens JM, Reijneveld SA, Duiverman EJ, Bos AF, Vrijlandt EJ. RSV infection among children born moderately preterm in a community-based cohort. Eur J Pediatr 2015;174:435-42. 15. Helfrich AM, Nylund CM, Eberly MD, Eide MB, Stagliano DR. Healthy Late-preterm infants born 33-36+6 weeks gestational age have higher risk for respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization. Early Hum Dev 2015;91:541-6. 464 16. Blanken MO, Koffijberg H, Nibbelke EE, Rovers MM, Bont L; Dutch RSV Neonatal Network. Prospective validation of a prognostic model for respiratory syncytial virus bronchiolitis in late preterm infants: A multicenter birth cohort study. PLoS One 2013;8:e59161. 17. Simoes EA. Predictive model for respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) hospitalisation of premature infants born at 33-35 weeks of gestational age, based on data from the Spanish FLIP. Study Respir Res 2008;9:78. 18. Sampalis JS, Langley J, Carbonell-Estrany X, et al. Development and validation of a risk scoring tool to predict respiratory syncytial virus hospitalization in premature infants born at 33 through 35 completed weeks of gestation. Med Decis Making 2008;28:471-80. 19. Krilov LR, et al. Abstract presented at the National Medical Association Convention and Scientific Assembly; August 1-5, 2015; Detroit, MI. 20. Feltes TF, Cabalka AK, Meissner HC, et al. Palivizumab prophylaxis reduces hospitalization due to respiratory syncytial virus in young children with hemodynamically significant congenital heart disease. J Pediatr 2003;143:532-40. 21. Boyce TG, Mellen BG, Mitchel EF Jr, Wright PF, Griffin MR. Rates of hospitalization for respiratory syncytial virus infection among children in medicaid J Pediatr 2000;137:865-70. 22. Szabo SM, Gooch KL, Bibby MM, et al. The risk of mortality among young children hospitalized for severe respiratory syncytial virus infection. Ped Resp Rev 2013;13 Suppl 2:S1-S8. 23. Li A, Paes B, Mitchell I, Lanctot K. Comparing first- and secondseason palivizumab prophylaxis in patients with hemodynamically significant congenital heart disease in the CARESS database (2005-2014). International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, Philadelphia, USA, May 16-20, 2015. 24. Laupacis A, Feeny D, Detsky AS, Tugwell PX. How attractive does a new technology have to be to warrant adoption and utilization? Tentative guidelines for using clinical and economic evaluations. CMAJ 1992;146:473-81. 25. Guidelines for the economic evaluation of health technologies: Canada, 3rd edn. Ottawa: Canadian Agency for Drugs and Technologies in Health; 2006. The authors respond; Thank you for sharing your perspective on palivizumab. As a national advocacy organization, the Canadian Paediatric Society (CPS) welcomes feedback from members and other expert stakeholders. The aim of CPS guidelines is to provide concise practical advice for paediatricians and family physicians on how to interpret the literature in a Canadian context. For the RSV prophylaxis guideline, a traditional review of the literature was employed. Consensus was reached by face-to-face discussion at the CPS Infectious Diseases and Immunization Committee (IDIC) meeting followed by review of the guideline by IDIC members, CPS Fetus and Newborn Committee members, and CPS board members until all were satisfied with the content. This is the fifth version of the CPS RSV prophylaxis guideline. As far as we are aware, an objection to this process has not previously been raised. However, we agree that input from respirologists and cardiologists may be valuable for future guidelines. The previous CPS RSV prophylaxis guideline applied Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) (1). For the current guideline, the decision was made to omit GRADE (apart from ranking the quality of evidence in Table 1), primarily because adding in the required “Remarks” and “Values and Preferences” put the guideline over the word limit for CPS statements. However, to summarize the levels of evidence using GRADE, there is high-quality evidence that palivizumab prevents hospitalizations in children <36 wGA and <6 months of age, and in children with CLD or hemodynamically significant CHD <24 months of age at the start of the RSV season. There is low-quality, very low-quality or no evidence for all other aspects of the guideline. Palivizumab was not recommended for some groups in which efficacy has been demonstrated because the low risk for Paediatr Child Health Vol 20 No 8 November/December 2015
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