PaulB. Stephan* Further Reflections on the Implementation of Comparative Advantage Principles in Trade Law says many useful things rofessor about the Brand's conceptualpaper underpinnings of U.S. trade law and the deficiencies of the legal mechanisms the United States has adopted. He makes the familiar argument that this law, and particularly the GAIT system, reflects the theory of comparative advantage. He further suggests, rather subtly, the possibility of institutional breakdown in the implementation of this vision. If this author may paraphrase and perhaps modify his argument, Brand seems to argue that the United States has no trouble signing on to international agreements that seek to expand and reinforce an international economic system based on the concept of comparative advantage but that the rules our lawmakers enact domestically fail to fulfill all of these promises. He further argues, apparently, that the addition of another layer of judicial review of the legislative enactments-in his words, giving private parties access to GAIT rules-will bring U.S. domestic law more in line with the initial premise of liberal trade informed by comparative advantage theory. This author embraces comparative advantage theory, although not only for the reasons advanced by Brand. One of the underappreciated virtues of a liberal international economic order is its potential for inducing governments to make precommitments that raise the costs of rent-seeking by cohesive and powerful domestic interest groups, es- *Paul B. Stephan, School of Law, University of Virginia, Charlotlesvllle, Virginia Stephan: FurtherReflections on the Inplementation of ComparativeAdvantage Principlesin Trade Law pecially trade associations and labor unions. Such commitments as the GATT embodies, for example, may make it harder for these groups to obtain from the government trade barriers that lower consumer welfare without greatly advancing those groups' interests. Governments that wish to resist such pressures can cite the GATT-inconsistency of the interest groups' proposals (and the costs that flow from a finding of GAIT inconsistency) as an additional argument against their adoption. Precommitments always entail bonding costs and cannot prove that these costs invariably will be less than the savings produced by suppression of rent-seeking, but probably the overall benefits to a society are usually positive. The argument just made, however, is part of a normative account of comparative advantage theory, not a positive analysis. Brand argues that the "normal evolutionary process" entails "developing a rule to implement a policy.1 Assertions of this sort about the development of legal rules reflect a valid perspective about the relation between law and society, one quite understandable in light of Brand's grounding in political science. But, for what it is worth, the assertion reverses conventional positive economic analysis. One of the fundamental premises of economic science, not uncontroversial but still useful, is the claim that overt behavior can give one greater insight into the desires of individuals and groups than will their professed intentions. If one wants to know what conceptual framework underlies the interna- tional trade system, economic analysis teaches how governments and other economic actors working within that system should be studied. In other words, if one wants to determine the policy, he should look at the rule. With respect to U.S. trade law, such a look suggests that the theory of comparative advantage has had little to do with the present legal regime, notwithstanding the pervasive rhetoric to the contrary. By any measure it seems clear that a very large part of international commerce takes places under legal and customary norms that do not reflect what Smith and Ricardo taught. Huge segments of international trade in goods-agricultural products, textiles, energy resources, military hardware, to cite only a few examples--either were taken out of GAIT de jure or, because of their industrial structure, do not trade on terms that reflect either the most-favored-nation or national-treatment principle. Notwithstanding the ambitions of the Uruguay Round, both the ever growing trade in services and capital investment flows are subject to highly mercantilist regulatory structures almost everywhere, including particularly the United States. Even domestic legal structures that seem to embody the ideal of competition in free markets-here primarily the Sherman Act-tend to give way when faced with the imperatives of protectionism. Thus the Justice Department's 1988 international antitrust guidelines jump through hoops to explain why what otherwise would be a classic import cartel falls outside the Sherman Act if the concerted activity occurs under the auspices Journal of Legal Economics July 1992 of a so-called voluntary export restraint, lawless though the latter may be. 2 This glance at U.S. law does not suggest that comparative advantage theory is irrelevant to discussions about international trade, but rather that the concept is not especially fruitful in exposing the wellsprings of existing rules. It does follow, of course, that aspects of current law that fail to fulfil comparative advantage theory are not for that reason inconsistent with the overall purpose of the existing rules. But this insight only requires one to come up with other normative arguments for changing existing law. Comparative advantage theory should not be used as a talisman, but there is nothing inappropriate about showing why departures from comparative advantage theory in particular cases might be especially undesirable. The topic of private access to GATT rules consequently arises. It is not entirely clear how this principle would work in practice. Brand is not apparently advocating that the GAT should assume the status of a constitutional instrument, in the sense that courts can invoke it to invalidate statutes that conflict with its underlying principles. Such an outcome would, inter alia, represent a remarkable reversal of settled constitutional order, which denies to the executive (the only branch of our government to accede to the GAIT) the power unilaterally to nullify valid legislative enactments. Nor is Brand calling for abandonment of either the 1947 Protocol that grandfathered all preexisting GATT-inconsistent legislation or the last-in-time rule that protects all post 1947 statutes from GATT 3 based challenges. What Brand apparently means is that courts should be sensitive to the interests and goals embodied in the GATT and should look to GATT text and practice to inform their interpretation of domestic statutes that involve the same subject matter. If this is his position, it is generally endorsable. But room to quibble remains. One of the attractions of Brand's position is that it engages the common law powers of U.S. courts in a way familiar to all lawyers. Rather than consigning the interests of importers-acting as proxies for consumers, foreign producers and anyone else who might benefit from free trade-to legislative logrolling and bureaucratic indifference, it allows the impartial, measured, incremental development of a free trade jurisprudence. As a secondary matter, of course, this position also makes it more likely that academic specialists in international economic law will be called upon to advise litigators and otherwise instruct the judges in the nuances of the GAT. Perhaps they will even be rewarded for their efforts. But by invoking a global right of private access to GATI rights, Brand may have overlooked some points that economic analysis might uncover. Reconstructing his argument with the aid of public choice theory and some conventional assumptions about legal process, one might make the following series of assertions: Agreements based on comparative advantage theory are normatively desirable. For any number of reasons, the executive Stephan: FurtherReflections on the Implementation of ComparativeAdvantage Principlesin Trade Law branch of the U.S. government occasionally can overcome the manifold obstacles to multilateral cooperation and can reach such agreements, at least as to a limited range of international economic behavior. Congress, however, may be more subject to the influence of interest groups that wish to pursue rent seeking that such agreements may thwart. (These groups might simply ignore the first stage of agreement formation, if they know they can get what they want out of Congress.) The U.S. judiciary, however, is harder to capture and should be encouraged to read out of legislative enactments concessions to such interest groups. Such interpretive strategies of the judiciary should be based on the agreements reached by the execuoriginally 4 tive. Each of these assertions rests assumptions, but the debatable on one that is most disturbing is that the U.S. judiciary is uniformly resistant to interest group capture. There is no reason to believe that courts do not have interests of their own and that their behavior does not reflect those interests. For a broad range of adjudications, it may be difficult to specify what those interests are and how they may affect judicial dispositions, but some guesses may be ventured. Without getting into any broader debate about the interest group politics of the federal judiciary, one tentative hypothesis may be offered: In a hierarchical judicial system with greater prestige and job security attached to judges serving in courts of general jurisdiction, the judges who sit on specialized tribunals will seek to compensate for 114 their perceived lesser influence by augmenting the significance (which is to say, the stakes) of the disputes they do hear. This hypothesis does not assume that one class of litigants has any greater influence with these tribunals than another, but rather that the judges will decide marginal cases in a manner that makes, what they do seem more important. The fact that such decisions might systematically benefit discrete classes of litigants is interesting but irrelevant. Consider the administrative and judicial structure for resolving disputes over antidumping and countervailing duties. Sections 701 and 731 of the Trade Act of 1930 embody the standards for the imposition of these duties worked out at GATT's Tokyo Round. 5 The Tokyo Round's agreements on countervailing and antidumping duties tried to restrict the power of states to impose these levies, which can subvert the fundamental GAIT goals of nondiscrimination and transparency. 6 Absent such restraints, states could avoid their obligation to impose low, nondiscriminatory tariffs on imports by inventing a subsidy (leading to countervailing duties) or a dumping (pretending that prices are below cost, leading to antidumping duties). Importers want to make it hard for the government to impose these duties; domestic producers want these duties to be nearly automatic and hefty. Sections 701 and 731 are administered by the International Trade Administration of the Department of Commerce and the International Trade Commission, an independent agency. A domestic Journal of Legal Economics July 1992 producer will bring a complaint against an importer, alleging either subsidies or dumping (usually both). The International Trade Administration (ITA) must determine whether subsidization or dumping has occurred; the International Trade Commission (ITC) must determine whether the suspect imports are harming or pose a reasonable threat of harm to domestic producers. Both tribunals must make an affirmative finding to uphold extra duties. Both importers and domestic producers may appeal adverse findings by either tribunal to the Court of International Trade, with appellate review in the United States Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit and, in theory, the Supreme Court of the United States. On their face neither Section 701 or 731 departs from the 1979 Tokyo Round agreements, and private parties do have access to these rules in the sense that importers have standing to use them to challenge in a judicial body the government's imposition of counter 7 vailing and antidumping duties. Does this mean that Brand's vision of greater adherence to comparative advantage theory has been realized here? The available evidence is unfortunate. Alan Sykes has documented the sharp growth in U.S. countervailing duty imposition directly in the wake of the 1979 agreements.8 Conventional wisdom has it that antidumping duties have grown at the same rate during the same period. What started out as an international agreement to cut back on these duties appears to have been transformed into a license for protectionism, even as the victims en- joyed the right to assert the GATT standards in court. What happened? One possibility is that the 1979 agreements, by clarifying the legal standards, both reduced the risks associated with bringing complaints and alerted the international trade bar to the opportunity of such proceedings. One may be skeptical of this explanation because the agreements only added additional hurdles and did not clarify or eliminate any of the prior standards for imposition of the duties. Nor were domestic producers and their lawyers ignorant of the advantages of bringing complaints before 1979. More plausible is the possibil'ity that during the early 1980's a combination of lower domestic profits and a rise in imports led domestic producers to rely more aggressively on entitlements that they always had enjoyed. Perhaps the greater willingness of some domestic producers to assert these claims led the bar to acquire greater expertise in these matters, which they then sold to a broader class of producers in the form of lower attorneys' fees. What is clear, however, is that the Court of International Trade and the Federal Circuit at the least did nothing to stem the tide and may have encouraged domestic firms to bring even more claims. Throughout the 1980's these bodies handed down decisions that made it easier for domestic producers to win these disputes. They tolerated steps by the administrative agencies that loosened the standard for establishing the existence of subsidies and dumping and interpreted the concept of harm so loosely as to Stephan: FurtherReflections on the Implementation of ComparativeAdvantage Principlesin TradeLaw almost obviate this barrier to the imposition of duties.9 All the time the courts were doing this, importers could argue GATT rules to them. If the judges of the Court of International Trade and the Federal Circuit had the power to discipline the ITA and the ITC by resorting to GAIT rules, why did they choose not to do so? A tentative hypothesis aboutjudicial interests suggests one possibility. The Court of International Trade does nothing but listen to customs disputes, and countervailing and antidumping duty controversies make up a large portion of its caseload. If the judges of this tribunal were to issue rulings that discouraged domestic producers from bringing complaints, they would have less to do, and the disputes they did hear probably would involve less money. The Federal Circuit does not have as great an incentive to encourage complaints by domestic producers as it also hears appeals in, inter alia, certain tax, patent, contracts and torts cases. But on the other hand, the Federal Circuit has no special reason to discourage the Court of International Trade from making procomplainant rulings. The operative statutory standards are far from clear cut and the Federal Circuit has every reason in marginal cases to show some deference to the specialized tribunal that it reviews. If this diagnosis has any substance, then the proper response is not to supply importers with more rhetoric about the GATT and comparative advantage theory, but rather to change the institutional arrangements involved in the oversight of countervailing and antidumping duties. One fairly straightforward solution suggests itself: Congress might abolish the Court of International Trade and extend jurisdiction over customs disputes to the federal district courts. This change in venue might liberalize U.S. trade barriers more than would the enactment of any conceivable new standards that the and judicial existing administrative 1 bodies might apply. But if Congress is prone to capture by domestic producers, why would it ever consider such a step? Surely both the parties that tend to prevail before the Court of International Trade and the lawyers who have built up some knowledge of that tribunal's customs and byways would resist mightily. But other groups, also organized if not quite as cohesive, would benefit from the change. In addition to self-styled consumer advocacy organizations, lawyers who know how to litigate in the district courts might see the advantages of a new forum for duties disputes. Moreover, questions of venue lack some of the highly politicized nature of straight tariff allocations and invite lawmakers to refer to more general concepts of good government. As a matter of predictive positive analysis, the most interesting question is whether federal district judges would oppose the transfer of customs cases to their jurisdiction. These judges have a tendency to worry about the size of their caseload, and casual empiricism suggests that mundane money disputes involving circumscribed statutes generally do not interest them. But if a connection can be made between the common law of coun- Journal of Legal Economies July 1992 tervailing and antidumping duties and broader issues of competitiveness, national economic security, and government integrity, perhaps the judges would see that taking on these cases will enhance their prestige and enrich their lives. To recapitulate, this author likes comparative advantage theory as much as does Brand, but careful study of U.S. trade law cannot stop at the identification of rules that seem to depart from what this theory teaches. Economic science can teach a lot about the reasons why current law so frequently frustrates rather than supports free trade and the strategies that might make the rules friendlier to comparative advantage theory. In particular, it can point to institutional relationships that, independent of substantive rules, can affect the degree of freedom in international commerce. Lawyers, as specialists in institutional structure, should welcome this guidance. Stephan: FurtherReflections on the Implementation of ComparativeAdvantage Principlesin Trade Law Endnotes 1. Brand at p. 25. 2. Compare U.S. Department of Justice, Antitrust Guidelines for International Operations, Case 16, 53 Fed. Reg. 21,584 (Jun. 8, 1988), with Consumers Union of UnitedStates v. Kissinger,506 F.2d 136 (D.C. Cir. 1974), cert. denied,421 U.S. 1004 (1975). 3. I am confused, however, by Brand's statement that The later-in-time rule exists simply because international law is not primary authority in U.S. law. So long as this dualistic aspect of the U.S. legal system remains, itIsnot through judicial opinion that GAIT rules are likely to be applied in a manner consistent with the underlying economic theory. Pp. 25-26 n. 32. If Brand means to suggest either that the United States could embrace the primacy of international law without a constitutional revolution, or that it should take this step, I strongly disagree. Nor do I understand how the laterin-time rule prevents U.S. courts from implementing legislative mandates in ways that reflect sensitivity to prior international commitments. Cf. Cook v. United States, 288 U.S. 102, 120 (1933). 4. This reconstruction of Brand's argument follows the general lines of the interest-group analysis developed by Jonathan Macey and his coauthors in dealing with the general problem of how courts might interpret special interest legislation. See, e.g., Jonathan R. Macey, PromotingPublic-Regarding LegislationThrough Statutory Interpretation-AnInterest GroupModel, 86 Colum. L. Rev. 223 (1986). 5. 19 U.S.C. §§ 1671, 1673. 6. Agreement on Subsidies and Countervailing Duties of 1979, GATT BISD, 26th Supp., p. 56 (1980); International Dumping Code of 1979, GAIT BISD, 26th Supp., p. 171 (1980). 7. The Court of International Trade, for example, has considered and accepted arguments to the effect that U.S. countervailing duty statutes should be interpreted in light of the Tokyo Round Agreement on Subsidies. See, e.g., Zenith ElectronicsCorp. v. United States, 770 F. Supp. 648 (1991). At the same time, the Court has asserted the primacy of the statute and will not listen to GAT-based arguments if they lead to results that the Court regards as inconsistent with the plain meaning of the statute. See, e.g., AvestaAB v. UnitedStates, 689 F. Supp. 1173 (1988), aft'd,914 F.2d 233 (Fed. Cir. 1990). 8. See Alan 0. Sykes, CountervailingDuty Law: An Economic Perspective, 89 Colum. L. Rev. 199 (1989). 9. See,e.g.,Algoma Steel Corp. v. UnitedStates, 865 F.2d 240 (Fed. Cir.) (1989) (holding that in an antidumping proceeding ITC can base a harm determination on all of importer's sales, not just the ones involving "less-than- 118 Journal of Legal Economics July 1992 fair-value" sales); Zenith ElectronicCorp. v. United States, 633 F. Supp. 1382 (CIT 1986) (putting burden of proof on exporters to demonstrate that value-added taxes are passed on to consumer so that refund on export does not benefit consumers); Cabot Corp. v. United States, 620 F. Supp. 722 (CIT 1985) (treating benefits of general availability as targeted for specific industry). 10. Compare Anne Krueger's suggestion that policymakers interesting in enhancing consumer welfare and eliminating deadweight losses in international commerce might "choose policies and institutional arrangements that will force tradeoffs to be faced in the administration and execution of policy." She argues that governments should disestablish tariff commissions in favor of a ministry of trade that represents importers as well as domestic producers. Anne 0. Kreuger, Government Failuresin Development, 4 J. Econ. Persp. 9, 21 (1990). Stephan: FurtherReflections on the Implementation of ComparativeAdvantage Principlesin TradeLaw 120 Journal of Legal Economics July 1992
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