CHAPTER II The Geography of the Ganga- Brahmaputra Basin The Regional Setting Situated in the Northern half of the Indian sub continent, the GangaBrahmaputra basin constitutes the second largest hydrologic region in the world. The total drainage area of the basin region is about 17 4 million hectare spreading over India, Bangladesh, Nepal and Bhutan in South Asia and Tibet region of China north of Himalayan divide. Nestled amidst the natural watersheds of Himalayas in the north (and beyond into Tibet), Vindhayas in the south, the Aravalis in the west, Patkai, Naga and Lushai hills in the east. The Ganga-Brahmaputra basin is a single, sprawling, integrated, transboundary drainage system with a common terminus. The basin consists of two major river systems of the Ganga and the Brahmaputra and one relatively smaller river system of the Barak, which becomes the Meghna in Bangladesh. About 63 percent of the basin is in India, 7 percent in Bangladesh, 8 percent in Nepal, and 2.5 per cent in Bhutan. Almost 10 percent of the world's humanity lives in this region, which contains only 1.2 percent of the landmass. The Physical Geography of the Ganga-Brahmaputra Basin The Ganga-Brahmaputra basin can broadly be divided into four geographical regions the Himalayan zone, the Great Plains, hilly areas of east and hill and plateau tracts of the south. The Himalayas The Himalayas, with some of the loftiest peaks of the world is one of the youngest mountain regions on earth and is still rising owing to the tectonic activity. The Himalayas form a highly rugged and continuous 4fi stretch (2400 km), between the gorges of Indus and Brahmaputra. Their width varies from 500 km in Kashmir to 200 km in Arunachal Pradesh. The entire Himalayan area as well as plain remained under the level of the sea till comparatively recent geological times. The region was occupied by a great geosyncline called the Tethys Sea as late as Mesozoic times. The sediments deposited in the Tethys Sea were folded to acquire the present form of the Himalayas and the associated mountain chains, in the very last phase of mountain building in the earth's history. This tertiary mountain building [or orogenic phase] is often referred to as Alpine after Alps, which were also uplifted roughly at the same time.l The modern Plate Tectonic theory explains the mountain building phases of the Himalayas. The Himalayan ranges were formed when the Indian plate was driven northwards and pushed beneath the Eurasian plate. With the advance of the Indian plate towards the north, the Tethys started contracting about 65-70 million years ago. About 30-60 million years ago, the two plates came closer and the Tethys sea crust began to fracture into thrust edges. About 20-30 million years ago, the Himalayan ranges started emerging. Intensive erosion from these mountain ranges resulted in the deposition of molasses in a basin towards south of Himalayan range. The Himalaya is still rising at the rate of 7.5 - 10 em per year.2 The Himalayas comprises of three almost parallel fold ranges interspersed with deep valleys and extensive plateaus (1) Siwaliks - The Siwaliks represent the outermost range of the Himalayas made up mostly of sediments brought by rivers from the main Himalayan ranges situated farther north. These hills have roughly a hog back appearance with relatively steeper slopes towards south. These hills form almost a continuos chain to the south of Himachal [Middle Himalaya] from Jammu to Arunachal Pradesh. Their 2 A. Ahmad and Moonis Raza, India: A General Geography, National Council of Educational Research and Training Publication, New Delhi, 1991, p. 11. S.M. Mathur, Physical Geology of India, National Book Trust Publication, New Delhi, 1991, p.l4. 47 height varies from 600 to 1500m. The Dangh Range, Dundwa Range and the Churia Ghati Hills of Nepal form parts of the Siwalik range. Most of the Himalayan Rivers, which have their sources in the Middle or Greater Himalaya or beyond in the Tibetan plateau, pass through the Siwalik range through wide and often steep gorge like valleys. The gorges of the Teesta and Raidak in West Bengal have joined and form a 90 km wide gap in the Siwalik range. Flat bottomed, cultivated valleys called "Duns" in the central part, covered with thick gravel and alluvium, separate the Siwalik range from the Middle Himalaya. The Dehradun valley, 75 km long and 15-20 km wide, is a typical depression of this type. The range is covered with tropical wet deciduous forests in the east upto the Nepal; the vegetation becomes thinner farther west. Middle Himalaya Lying to the north of the Siwalik range, the Himachal or Middle Himalaya ranges form a most intricate and rugged mountain system. The range is 60-80 km wide and 1,000-4,500 in height, with several ---peak-s-rising-up"fo-5~000in.- marked clearly like In-the-Eastern Section few ranges can be Mussorie and the Nag Tibba ranges. The Mahabharat Lekh of Nepal is important Middle Himalaya range running through the country west to east. Its height varies from 1,500 to 2,000 m above mean seal level. The Middle Mountains form the great Central belt of Nepal and cover 30 per cent of the Kingdom. This zone, which has been long been under extensive agricultural use, is composed almost entirely of mosaic ridges and valleys with less than 5 per cent being flat land. The Great Himalaya The northern most Range of the Himalaya is a long continuous,inner most and loftiest range. It is the highest range in the world with an 48 average height of 6,100 meters above sea level. One of its peaks, the Mount Everest (8,848 meters) situated at the northern border of Nepal, is the highest peak in the world. Its other notable peaks are Kanchanjunga (8,598 meters), Makalu (8,481 meters) Dhaula Giri (8, 172 meters) etc. 3 This range is forbidding and can be crossed only by a few passes which too are snow bound during winter months (generally higher than 4,570 meters above sea level), for example Nathu La and Jelep La in Sikkim. 4 Bhutan is a land locked country and almost entirely mountainous with flat lands limited to the broader river valleys. With altitudes ranging from 200 m to over 7,500 m., it displays enormous physiographic and ecological diversity. The complex geological history of the Himalaya and the tectonic stresses thrown up by dynamic geological process of seismicity, weathering, mass wastage and erosion affect and modify the environment of the basin. The central axis of these ranges consists of crystalline rocks, granites, gneisses and metamorphosed sediments ranging in Pre- Cambrian to as late as Miocene. To the south of this crystalline axis, occur mixed zones of sedimentary rocks and metamorphies, which are highly folded and faulted. The northern contact of these sedimentaries with the central axis is well marked tectonic feature called the Main Central Thrust (MCT), along which the crystallines are thought to have moved partially over the sedimentary zone. Another major tectonic feature called the Main Boundary Fault (MBF) south of the MCT and running almost along the entire Himalayan axis from Kashmir to Assam, makes the southern boundary of the sedimentaries and the northern margin of the Siwaliks. The geologically young Himalaya, with its residual stresses and highly compressed and tectonised rocks, is very susceptible to weathering and damage by seismic activity. The problem is further compounded by the 3 4 C.B. Mamoria, Economic and Commercial Geography of India, Shiv Lal Aggaral and Company, Agra, 1992, p.4. Gopal Singh, A Geography of India, Atma Ram and Sons Publication, New Delhi, 1988, p.7. Af\ steep slopes (300 to 400) of these mountain systems, which results in heavy landslides and erosion. Human interference in form of various development activities and the quest for arable lands aggravate the geologically dynamic processes that lead to disasters and damage to these mountain's ecosystems. Any development envisaged in the basin has therefore, to take into account the geological hazards.s Role of Himalaya The Himalayas do not only shelter the Great Plains in south from the cold winds of central Asia in winter and check the moisture laden South West Monsoons causing rainfall in the plains in summer, but also they are mainly responsible for the Monsoon type climate prevailing in the subcontinent. The Himalayas acts as a natural frontier separating India, Bhutan and Nepal from China. The Himalayas constitutes the largest reservoir of snow and ice in the world outside the Polar Regions. Nearly fifteen thousand Himalayan glaciers as well as the large snow cover, estimated to be 1,400 cubic kilometers in volume, constitute a vast water storage system. The figure of glaciers in the Indian part of Himalaya according to an exercise taken Geological Survey of India safely be taken as 3,000. Nepal and Bhutan may similarly have 3, 000 glaciers. The Tibetan Himalaya also has equally large number of glaciers, many of which drain into the Brahmaputra, Sutlej and Indus. Around 3,500 glaciers probably drain into Ganga basin while 611 glaciers drain into the Teesta and Brahmaputra from southern slopes. It accumulates over the winter and draining into many rivers and tributaries through the summer dry season, which is matter of great significance to the economy of the plains below. s B.G. Vergheese and R. Ramaswary Iyer [eds.] Harnessing the Eastern Himalayan Rivers: Regional Cooperation in South Asia, Konark Publishers, 1993,p.ll. 50 New Delhi, Drainage System of the Himalaya The Brahmaputra has its sources near Lake Mansarovar in Tibet. The Greater Himalaya Range is bout 1,500 in higher than the level of the source region of these rivers. It crosses the Great Himalaya through a very deep and narrow gorge before entering India.6 According to the geologists, the present course of the river was already in existence before the Himalayas folded. Subsequently, as the Himalayas rose, the river cut their beds deeper and deeper leading to the formation of the present gorges. The rivers thus form antecedent drainage through the Himalayas. Headwaters of many other rivers including the Bhagirathi, Alaknanda, Karnali, Gandak, Arun Kosi, Teesta and Manas have cut deep gorges in the Himadri on its southern slopes. The Great Plains The Great Plains stretch in an east west direction between the Himalayas in the north and peninsular plateaus in the south. The Great Plains is a depositional surface of great extent formed after the Himalayas. Their average depth is 1,300-1,400 meters. The crescent of alluvium, from the Ganga Brahmaputra delta in the east to the Indus delta in the west, probably represents the infilling of a fore deep warped down between the peninsular block and advancing Himalayas. Rivers emerging from the Himalayas deposit their load in fans along the foothills. These fans have merged together to form a 10-15 km wide piedmont plain of gravel and unassorted sediments called "Bhabhar", which forms the northern boundary of the Great Plains. 7 The Terai belt is marked by a reemergence of the streams on the surface from the Bhabhar belt. It is a zone of excessive dampness, with a thick growth of 6 7 R.L. Singh, India: A Regional Geography, UBS Publishers Pvt. Ltd., Varanasi, 1993, p.lO. D.R.Khullar, India: A Comprehensive Geography, Kalyani Publishers, Ludhiana, 2000, p.28. 51 forest and variety of wildlife. Terai Zone occupies about 19 percent of the geographical area of Nepal. The Ganges plain in upper part has gradient of about 25 em per km., where river bluff's, meanders, ox- bow lakes, sandy stretches and nver channels break the monotony of the flat and featureless plain. It is drained by tributaries like Yamuna, Ghaghra, Sarda, Gomti etc. The Middle Ganga Plain is drained by Gandak and Kosi which flow sluggishly to form levees, bluffs, ox bow lakes, marshes, ravines etc. Almost all the rivers keep on shifting their course making this area prone to frequent floods. The Kosi River is notorious in this aspect. The Lower Ganga plain is formed by the sediments deposited by the Teesta, Jaldhaka, Torsa and old alluvium tract of Kosi- Mahananda and Sunkosh. The huge delta of Ganga form two third of this plain, where the Ganga divides itself into several channels (slope of the land is mere 2 em per km). The seaward face of the delta is studded with large number of estuaries, mudflats, mangrove swamps, sandbanks, and islands and fore lands. The impenetrable Sundari forest called Sunderban covers large part of the coastal delta. The Brahmaputra plain IS an aggradational plain built up by the depositional works of the Brahmaputra and its tributaries. Bangladesh is dominated by the combined delta of the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna rivers. The country is laced with numerous distributaries, tidal creeks and spill channels. Along the South Western coast, the Sunderban is a heavily forested swamp area with numerous low islands.8 The Aravallis, the Vindhayas, Baghelkhand and Chotanagpur plateau and the eastern frontier hills which form the western, southern and eastern boundaries of the basin respectively are geologically old, ranging in the age almost from the oldest to the Tertiary. These hills except for s A.H. Khan and S. Miah, "The Brahmaputra River Development", in Munir Zaman [ed.J River Basin Development, Tycooly International Publishing Limited, Dublin, 1983, p.89. 52 those belonging to the Tertiary system in parts of northeastern India are tectonically for more stable as compared to the Himalaya. Climate The climate of the Ganga-Brahmaputra basin is characterized as "Tropical Monsoon"; clearly indicating on it the dominant influence of the regions tropical location and the monsoon winds. The word 'monsoon' conveys comprehensively the rhythm of seasons and changes that occur in direction of winds in the distribution pattern of rainfall and temperature with the change of seasons. The Monsoon wind system and insolation pattern divide the basins weather into hot wet summer seasons and cool dry winter seasons. This view of the broad unity of the Monsoon type of climate should not however, lead us to ignore the regional variations in the climatic characteristics of different parts of the Ganga-Brahmaputra basin.9 The western parts by and large are hot and arid whereas the eastern areas are warm and hot. The Monsoon significant climatic feature is the South West Monsoon winds which bring in the bulk of rainfall from June to September, the rainfall being heaviest in the mountains and generally decreasing from east to the west of the basin. Winter rains, usually caused by western depressions, decreases moving east, are only a fraction of the total rainfall. The winters rainfall, if occurs timely are very important for the Rabi crops in the plains. While the rainfall is more or less evenly distributed on the both sides of the Ganga, the Brahmaputra and the Barak basins get very heavy rainfall because of the major depressions traversing these areas do not travel away from the basin. The annual rainfall in the basin ranges from 1,360 to 2,760 mm (Mukteshwar · and Darjeeling respectively) and decreases at higher altitudes where heavy snowfall occurs during winter. The rainfall in the hilly areas of the basin is heavy and varies from 1,300 to 5,000 mm annually with the 9 R.C. Tiwari ,Geography of India ,Prayag Pustak Bhawan, Allahabad, 2003, pp.llB120. 53 world's highest rainfall being observed at Cherrapunji (12,500 mm) in Meghalaya. In the plains, the annual rainfall ranges from 350 mm (western plains) to 2,210 mm in the eastern plains and the deltaic area. The climate in Bangladesh is tropical and wet to extremely wet. The period from November to February is usually dry and cool. The rainfall varies from 1,200 to 6,500 mm, the maximum rainfall being recorded in the coastal areas of Chittagong and the northern parts of the country. The rainfall distribution patterns are uneven and erratic, the bulk of rainfall (80 per cent) being received in the Monsoon months from June to October. Cyclones coming from the Bay of Bengal bring torrential rain, frequently followed by tidal waves that cause severe damage in the coastal regions. There is great seasonal variability in the total amount of rainfall and its areal distribution in the basin. Consequently, some areas in the basin suffer from severe drought in the dry months, while floods inundate large area during the monsoon season. The heavy rainfall and the instability of the geologically young Himalayan foothills result in a high level of erosion and frequent landslides in Northern India, Nepal and Bhutan. Thus, the robust rainfall that makes the Himalaya such a rich source of hydroelectric energy also causes severe problem of sedimentation. The rivers carry huge amounts of sediment from the mountains towards the sea causing siltation and sedimentation related problems. However, erosion is the combined effect of rainfall quantity and intensity, soil gradient and type, plant coverage, agricultural and livestock practices and resource extraction policies. 10 JO D.A.Eaton and M.C. Chaturvedi , Water Resources Challenges in the Ganges Brahmaputra River Basin, Lyndon. B. Johnson School Publication, Austin, 1993, p.2. 54 Drainage The Ganga- Brahmaputra basin with an annual average run-off of over 1.25 BCM is formed of two large river systems i.e., Ganga and Brahmaputra river system and a relatively smaller river system i.e. Meghna. The Ganga System The Ganga, the master stream of the system, is formed by two head streams namely Alaknanda and Bhagirathi, they meat at Devprayag. The Alaknanda rises near the Garhwal-Tibet border at an elevation of 7,800m and Bhagirathi has its source at Gangotri Glacier, at an elevation of about 6,600m. The Ganga enters the Great Plains at Haridwar from where it flows towards south and southeast to Allahabad. Between Allahabad and the Bihar West Bengal border, the course is roughly from west to east and from there onwards towards south. 11 The Ganga is joined by a number of tributaries on the right and left banks. The Yamuna and the Son are the important right bank tributaries. The Ghaghra (Karnali in Nepal), the Gandak and the Kosi, which flow from the Nepal, form left bank tributaries and contribute a significant part of the flows of the Ganga particularly in the dry season. After its confluence, the Ganga continues its eastward flow in Bihar for another 40 km and as it enters West Bengal it swings around the Rajmahal hill range. From about 16 km below Farakka, it forms the common boundary between India and Bangladesh for about 100 krn. Downstream of Farakka the river divides into two arms, one flows eastward into Bangladesh as the Padma (Ganges) and other flows southwest becomes the Hooghly. The river then flows eastwards inside Bangladesh and Joms the Brahmaputra at Goalundo. Bhagirathi/ Hooghly takes off India about 40 km below Farakka while the u T.C. Sharma and 0. Cautinho, Economic and Commercial Geography of India, Vikash Publishing House Pvt. Ltd, 1983, p.l6. 55 Map 1 THE GANGA BRAHMAPUTRA BASIN N LEGEND --·-- International Bound1ry o Country Clpltll ® State Clpltal ~River ,_ • 0 K. G. . 1 Kill Galldakl SIPI• K. 1 Septa Ko•l Old 8r~llm. ~ Old Brlllll\lpulra Like Dams Barrages Proposed Barrages 0I SCALE '?0 . "....... 100 I A Gorai, the Arial Khan, the Kumar, and the Mathabhanga are other important distributaries in Bangladesh. The combined flow of the Ganges and the Brahmaputra continues under the name of Padma till it joins the Meghna near Chandpur. The drainage area of the Ganga/Ganges system is l,OOO,OOOsq km of which 861,000sq km lies in India, 140,000sq km in Nepal and 46,000sq km in Bangladesh with the balance lying in Tibet.l2 The length of the river from the source to the sea along the Bhagirathi-Hooghly route in India is about 2,525 km. The distance from the source to Goalundo is about 2,528 km. The average annual flow in the river as recorded at Farakka in India in around 380 BCM and as recorded at Hardinge Bridge in Bangladesh around 383 BCM. The culturalable area in the Ganga/Ganges basin is estimated to be about 65.5 million hectare of which 60.2 mha is in India. The Brahmaputra System The Brahmaputra rises in the Great Glacier in the Kailash range of the Himalaya, at about 5,150 in the Tibet region of China and 1s locally named the Tsangpo. It flows eastward through southern Tibet for some 1, 700 km, generally parallel to the ma1n range of the Himalaya and in joined by many tributaries. It emerges at the foothills in Arunachal Pradesh in India under the names of Siang and Dihang. The Dibang and the Lohit join the river near Sadiya town and thereafter it is known as the Brahmaputra. During its course, the Brahmaputra River is joined by many tributaries both from the north and the south. The major northern tributaries are the. Subansiri, the Kameng, the Dhansiri, the Manas, the Champamati and the Sunkosh. The principal southern tributaries are the Noa Dihing, the Buri Dihing, the Disang, the Dhansiri and the Kopili. Throughout its 12 K.D. Adhikary et. al. [eds.J Cooperation on the Eastern Himalayan Rivers, Opportunities and Challenges, Konark Publishers Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 2000, pp.2-5. 56 course in India, the Brahmaputra has wide braided channel (up to 18 km. in the widest stretch). After swinging around the spurs of the Garo hills near Goalpara, the river enters Bangladesh and flows southwesterly for another 270 km until it joins the Ganges at Goalundo. Many tributaries join the Brahmaputra in this reach, of which the major ones are the Dudhkumar, Dharla and the Teesta. Below the confluence of the Teesta the old channel of the Brahmaputra branches off the left bank. From here to Goalundo the river is called the Jamuna. The joint stream of the Brahmaputra and the Ganges beyond Goalundo continues to flow southeast under the name of the Padma. The Padma is joined by the Meghna River on the left at Chandpur, 105 km. below Goalundo. The length of Brahmaputra River from its source in Tibet to Goalundo is about 2,817 km., of which 1,625 km lies in Tibet, 918 km. in India and the balance in Bangladesh. The total drainage area of the river is 580,000 sq. km., of which 293,000 sq.km. is in Tibet, 195,000 sq. km. in India, 45,000 sq. km. in Bhutan and 47,000 sq. km. in Bangladesh. The average annual flow recorded at Bahadurabad (in Bangladesh) is around 620 BCM. The estimated culturable area in the Brahmaputra basin is around 9.3 million ha, mostly in India and Bangladesh. The estimated present population ( 1996) in the Brahmaputra basin is around 82 million, with more than half living in Bangladesh. The Meghna The Barak River, which rises in the hills of Manipur state in India at an elevation of 2,900m, forms the headstream of the Meghna. It flows south, winding its way through the hills for 250 km before it takes a sharp turn at Tipaimukh and flows north. At Lakhipur it emerges into the plains and starts flowing west, in a meandering course. The Barak bifurcates into the Surma and the Kushiyara near. the Indo-Bangladesh border and both 57 enter Bangladesh. The Surma flows along northern Sylhet and is joined by a number of tributaries from the hills. The Kushiyara receives the waters of the north flowing tributaries like the Singla, the Langai, the Manu, and the Khowai. The Surma and the Kushiyara join at Markuli after which the united stream is called the Kalni, which flows in a southerly direction. Near Kuliarchar, the Kalni receives waters of Ghorautia (which carries the flows of the Someswari, the Kangsa, the Baulai and the Mogra) and thereafter the river is called the Meghna. From there the Meghna flows southwest to meet the Padma (which carries the combined flows of the Brahmaputra and the Ganges) at Chandpur. The Meghna is joined by Titas and the Gumti join from the right, and the Lakhya and Buriganga from the left, between the stretch of Kuliarchar and Chandpur. Below Chandpur the combined river is known as the lower Meghna and it soon forms wide and deep estuary. The Lower Meghna enters the Bay of Bengal through four principal mouths, the Tetulia, the Shahbazpur, the Hatia and the Bamni. The Meghna from its source flows for about 900 km up to Chandpur, of which the first 564 km. lie in India and the rest in Bangladesh. The distance between Chandpur and the sea is about 130 km.l3 The total drainage area of the Meghna is 85,000 sq. km., of which 49,000 sq. km. lie in India and 36,000 sq. km. in Bangladesh. The average annual discharge of the Meghna (at Bhairab Bazar) upstream of its confluence with the Padma is around 150 BCM. The culturable area in the Meghna basin is estimated to be 4 million ha, laying in India and Bangladesh. The population figures in 1996 was about 49 million people; the majority of which are in Bangladesh. 13 Ibid. 58 Water Resources Detailed hydrological data for the Ganga-Brahmaputra basin regwn 1s not available in published from. However, the picture of the water resource potential in available in general terms. The average annual flow in the Ganga-Brahmaputra basin is estimated to be around 1350 billion Cubic metres (BCM). The Ganga accounts for about 500 BCM, the Brahmaputra for 700 BCM and the Meghna for 150 BCM. The combined run off in the tributaries of the Ganga as they cross into India is assessed at around 225 BCM, the remaining run off in the river being largely added in India. The average flow in Brahmaputra system contributed by Tibet (China) and India is around 630 BCM; the rest balance comes from Bhutan and Bangladesh.l4 Compared to an annual average water availability of 269,000 cubic metres per square kilometer of the world the availability in the GBM region is 771,400 cubic metres per square kilometer - which is nearly three times the world average. Nepal covers the large part of the upper catchment of north Ganga basin. It is estimated that its total average annual runoff is about 200 cu.km. out of which about 170 cu. km. originates within the country itself. The three Trans Himalayan tributaries (the Karnali, Sapt Gandaki and Sapt Kosi from Nepal) contribute about 71 percent of the natural and historic any season flows and 41 per cent of the total annual flow of the Ganges. 1s The Bangladesh National water plan (1988) estimates that 90 percent of the. 14 country's total stream flow originates in the upper Ganga- B.G. Verghese and R. Rangachari "Making Water Work to Translate Poverty into Prosperity: The Ganga Brahmaputra Barak Region", in Q.K. Ahmad et. al (eds.) Ganges-Brahmaputra-Meghna Region; A Framework for Sustainable Development, 1s University Press Limited, Dhaka, 2001, p.83. G.R. Chaudhary and T.A. Khan "Developing Ganges Basin", in Zaman Munir [ed.] River Basin Development, Tycoolly Publishing Limited, Dublin, 1983, p.31. 59 Brahmaputra basin. Each day, approximately 3,400 m cu mt. of water is discharged into the Bay of Bengal, which is about 3. 9 times the average daily rainfall over Bangladesh. The groundwater potential of India has been assessed on 171 BCM in the Ganges sub system and 26 BCM in the Brahmaputra sub system. The South Asian Regional Vision Document estimates the economically exploitable groundwater in Nepal as 13 BCM. Similar estimates for Bangladesh put the annual recharge at 21 BCM. Another set of data on water resource of the Ganga Brahmaputra countries is provided by Shahjahan ( 1983), based on studies by National Commission on Agriculture (India), H.N.M. Shrestha (Nepal) and, Bangladesh Water development Board. INDIA Surface Water: According to the National Commission of Agriculture the average annual flow of the Ganges is 51 Mham and for Brahmaputra and Barak is 54 Mham (based on annual normal rainfall and main annual rainfall). The commission also views that usable water resources is substantially less than the total availability in the rivers, due to limitation of topography, physiography, geology, dependability and quality. Ground Water: The groundwater potential of the Ganges basin has been estimated at 26 M ha m, of which 60% is usable. The Brahmaputra Barak basin has a potential of 1.59 M ham. BANGLADESH Surface Water: There are about 300 major rivers creeks and canals in Bangladesh forming a network together with the three large rivers of the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna. 60 The average annual flow of Brahmaputra (at Bahadurabad) is 507.4 MAF, of Meghna (at Bhairab Bazaar) in 116.2 MAF, and of Ganges (at Hardinge Bridge) is 275.7 MAF. Ground Water: Investigations of the major hydro-geological regions show that groundwater is available for irrigation and agriculture in an area covering some 13.85 million acres. The average available groundwater for extraction in the lean period of November to April has been calculated at about 9 MAF.I6 NEPAL Surface Water: Nepal has more than 6,000 rivers with a total length of 45,000 km and an average approximate density of 0.3 kilometer per square kilometer. The four main river systems of Nepal and their discharge date are as following Mahakali (6,861 m3.fs), Karnali (1,333 m3js), Sapt Kosi (1,540 m 3/s), Narayani (1,572 m 3/s). About 27 percent of the catchment area of Nepal's rivers lies in Nepal and only 10 percent of the surface run off is available from Tibetan side. Ground Water: In Nepal much of the Terai region and some parts of the Siwaliks valley region have significant groundwater resources, which are estimated to be 1.2 million hectare, of which 0.8 million hectare are rechargeable. Utilization of groundwater in Nepal is about 8 percent. 17 Whatever be the exact figures, the total surface and ground water resources of the region are adequate to meet all reasonable needs. Water Resource Development Issues The Ganga-Brahmaputra basin is a water rich reg10n. It is the single most important natural resource of the basin countries. The development of water resource can ensure social and economic development of the 16 17 M. Shahjahan, "Regional Cooperation in the Utilization of Water Resources of the Himalayan Rivers", in Munir Zaman (ed.) River Basin Development, Tycoolly International Publication Ltd., Dublin, 1983, p.118. Water Based Integrated Development .of the GBM Region, Institute of Integrated Development Studies, Kathmandu, 2000, p.22. 61 region by meeting the growing demands of food, energy and water supply for industry and households. IS Water is abundant during the monsoon but scarce during the dry season. The basin has a monthly surface run off of approximately 10 billion cubic meters for about eight months of the year. During the four months of monsoon, average monthly run off is 110 billion cubic meters. This tremendous disparity in the seasonal extremes, coupled with burgeoning needs for irrigation and development, has made apportionment of lean season flows essential. Dry winter season and unreliable rainfall (even during the monsoons months) make irrigation essential for modern agricultural development and ensuring food security. Large-scale development of modern irrigation projects in the Ganga-Brahmaputra basin started in the last century, based on canal irrigation and ground water utilization. The gestation period of the irrigation projects was unduly prolonged, utilization has been slow, most importantly, and neither croppmg intensity nor . productivity gains have matched expectations. 19 Floods on the Ganges and Brahmaputra take colossal proportions in both India and Bangladesh. In India, the combined effects of prolonged and intense rainfall and sleep, well developed, drainage networks in the Himalayan foothills make low land flooding an annual routine event. 20 The two third area of Bangladesh is flood prone. In exceptionally severe yeas, half of the country of Bangladesh is inundated. Annual average flood damage to Bangladesh is estimated at 945 million dollars, but in an impoverished country even a figure that large understates the hardships. 1s 19 20 S.K. Malia , Three Country Study on Water Resources Development of the GangaBrahmaputra Barak River Basins, Nepal Country Report, IIDS Publication, Kathmandu, Nepal, 1993, p.3. B. G. Verghese , Waters of Hope, Oxford & IBH Publishing Co. Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 1990, p.96. R. Kettleman "Conflict and Cooperation over the Floods in the Himalayan - Ganges Region" Water International, 15, 1990, p.190. Loss of life, disruption of communication and other social consequences often cannot be measured in terms of money. Because of the fragility of the mountains and the severity of the monsoons, the Ganges Brahmaputra washes huge amounts of sediments into the river each rainy season. The high level of sediment in water affects both the basins agriculture and its industry. Siltation has affected the navigation in India as well as Bangladesh. In Bangladesh continued siltation has gradually changed the topography of flood plains and drainage conditions.21 Vast opportunities lie m the generation of hydroelectric energy, which can transform the economic scenario of the Ganga-Brahmaputra basin. The rivers originating in Himalayan and sub Himalayan ranges with steep topographical slopes and almost year around availability of the flows has a tremendous hydropower potential. Although there are varying estimates generally accepted figures are that India has 45, 635 MW, Nepal has 83,000 MW and Bhutan has 21,000 MW estimated potential of HEP. The potential developed so far is meager (5%) as compared to hydropower potential in the basin region is concerned.22 Major causes are lack of cooperation among nations, politicization of the water resource development and management aspects, prolonged negotiations, disagreements on the location of dams, reservoir safety, resettlement and rehabilitation issues, environmental concerns, cost and benefits sharing, etc. Water quality has witnessed progressive deterioration due to growing urbanization and industrialization. The increased use. of agrochemicals, 21 22 A.T.M. Huda Shamshul, Constraints and Opportunities for Cooperation Towards Development of Water Resources in the Ganges Basin, in A.K. Biswas and I.J. Uitto [eds.] Sustainable Development of the Ganges Brahmaputra Basins, United Nation University Press, Tokyo, 2000, p.48. R.B. Shah, "Ganges Brahmaputra: The Outlook for the Twenty First Century", in A.K. Biswas and I.J.Uitto [eds.] Sustainable Development of Ganga Brahmaputra MeghnaBasin", United Nation University Press, Tokyo, 2000, p.23 .. 63 discharge of untreated domestic sewage, poor sanitation facilities have aggravated the problem of water pollution. The optimum utilization of the water resource, effective management to meet the multisectoral uses, enhancing the efficiency of water utilization, technological modernization, checking pollution and inter countries cooperation are the major issues for the water resource development in the basin region. Social and Economic Geography of the Basin Population The Ganga-Brahmaputra basin accounts for about 10 percent of the world population, which contains only 1.2 percent of the worlds land mass. The total population of the basin has reached a level of about 600 million by 1999, of which the share of India is 76 per cent, while the corresponding figure of Bangladesh and Nepal are 21 percent and 3.5 per cent respectively. The total population figures [year 1998] for the different countries are, India- 987 million, Bangladesh -128 million, Nepal- 24 million and Bhutan- 1. 7 million. The fertile alluvial soil m the plains, warm climate, good rainfall, numerous small and large rivers and easy agricultural production attracted people from different areas and the region become one of most densely populated parts of the world, particularly in the plains. The density of population is highest in the plains, especially in Bangladesh 7 40 per sq.km (1991 figures) and the adjacent Indian states of West Bengal (904 per sq. km), Bihar (880 per sq. km) and Uttar Pradesh 689 persons per sq. km [2001 figures]. The population density is significantly low in the hills of Uttaranchal, North Eastern states of India, Nepal and Bhutan. The growth of population has caused expansion of agriculture by cleaning the remaining forest in the hills to cultivate and build new habitats. As a consequence the region has been losing,ecological balance, 64 and massive deforestation has been aggravating soil erosion, siltation and flash floods.23 The population of the region has doubled during the last 30 years. The population growth rates figure for 1995-2000 periods of India, Bangladesh, Nepal and Bhutan are 1.8, 2.2, 2.5 and 2.4 percent respectively. Despite some moderate reductions in fertility and mortality levels, both remain unacceptably high. There is tremendous growth potential as about half of the population is below 15 years of age and the Net Reproduction Rate (NRR) is between 1.5 to 2.0 (1991 figures). If the population of the region continues to grow at the present rate, it may double again in another 35 to 40 years. The Crude Birth Rate (per 1000) still remains high for all countries of the basin; the 1991 figures for India, Nepal and Bangladesh are 27.5, 29.6, and 31.60 respectively. The demographic figures reflect the socio-economic situation of the basin where all the riparian countries still belong to second stage of demographic transition characterized by subsistence agrarian economy.24 Poverty The Ganga-Brahmaputra basin is characterized by endemic poverty being home to about 40 percent of the total number of poor people residing in the developing world. In the region, 60 to 70 percent of the population depends on agriculture for employment, which 1s characterized by limited scope of expansion and seasonality. Unskilled agricultural labour receives low wage, which is inadequate to meet the basic needs. The factors that lead to poverty in the region are low productivity, substantial unemployment and under unemployment, low wages and inadequate access to income generating opportunities. The poverty in the region manifest itself in low per capita income leading to 23 24 B.G. Verghese et.al. [eds.] Converting Water into Wealth, Konark Publishers Pvt. Ltd, New Delhi, 1997, p.3. Majid Husain ,Human Geography, Rawat Publication, Jaipur, 2002, p.l28. inadequate calorie intake, high incidence of diseases and short life expectancy. The Ganga-Brahmaputra basin is inhabited by about two fifth of the developing world's poor people with a daily calorie intake of less than 2,200-2,400 Kcal. The critically vulnerable groups affected by poverty are the landless and marginal farmers, disabled persons, and destitute with no access to economic activities, rural non-farm workers, urban slum dwellers and rapidly increasing female leaded rural households. 25 In India there has been significantly decline in poverty. In 1983,37 percent population was living below poverty line, in 1999-2000 the figure declined to 26.10 percent, however, there is considerable regional variation. The population living below poverty line in Bihar, Assam, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh is 42.60 percent, 36.09 percent, 37.43 percent and 31.05 percent respectively, which is much higher than national average. The incidence of poverty is higher in rural areas than in urban areas. Nepal planning commiSSion estimated in 1984 that 42 percent of the population had incomes below the poverty line 95 percent of the poor lived in rural areas of whom 82 percent were agricultural labourers of self employed. The per capita GNP for India, Bangladesh and Nepal is (as of 1998) 430 US dollar, 350 US dollar and 210 US dollar respectively; the corresponding global average is 4,890 US dollar. Literacy: The adult literacy has improved in recent decades. For male the adult literacy rate for India, Bangladesh and Nepal are 67 per cent, 50 per cent and 56 per cent respectively. But female literacy is still very low in all the countries 39 per cent, 27 per cent and 21 per cent percent respectively. 2s Q.K. Ahmad, Nilufer Ahmad and K.B.S. Rasheed (eds.) Resources Environment and Development in Bangladesh, Academic Publishers, Dhaka, 1994, p.14. 66 Health: The indicators of health present a dismal picture. In India, Bangladesh and Nepal annual average expenditures on health (as percent of GOP during 1990-97) were only 0.7, 1.2 and 1.2 respectively. Whereas the global average is 2.5 percent; and for the high income or developed countries it is about 6 percent. In riparian countries of the GangaBrahmaputra basin health care systems are inefficient and grossly inadequate. The Infant and Child Mortality Rates are much higher than of other developing countries. The Infant Mortality Rate (per 1,000 live births) [ 1997 figures] for India, Bangladesh and Nepal are 71, 75 and 83 respectively. Large section of the population in these countries doesn't . have access to safe drinking water. In 1995, only 29 percent, 35 percent and 20 percent population of the total population (1995) of India, Bangladesh and Nepal had access to sanitation facilities. The situation is much worse in the rural areas. The poor sanitation facility has affect on health situation and water quality available in the region, and there is wise incidence of water borne diseases especially among children. As a whole, wide gender disparity is visible in all the social indicators in the riparian countries of the basin. Urbanisation: The countries of the Ganga- Brahmaputra basin have witnessed very low level of urbanisation and remain largely rural in nature. In India the urban population accounts for 27 percent of total population, for Nepal and Bangladesh the figures are 14 percent and 20 percent respectively. Large scale regional disparity occurs in different parts of the basin where few cities/metros have grown as big in migration centers from rural hinterland. In Bangladesh, India and Nepal annual urban growth rates are 5.2, 3.0 and 6.5 percent respectively (1995-2000). These rates are much higher than those of Europe (0.5 percent), Latin America (2.3 ·percent), Australia (1.2 percent), USA and Canada (1.2 percent). High rural-urban migration is the major cause for rapid urbanization in the basin countries. An important aspect in rural-urban migration is the push factor that is increasing pressure of population in the rural areas 67 and the consequent poverty of the people. 2 6 The push migrants from landless or marginal households, who are unable to find employment in the labour surplus agriculture sector, and have no or poor access to land and other productive assess, are forced to move out their villages. In the urban areas, significant numbers of rural migrants live in slums, having little access to sanitation, safe water, health, education and other basic needs. The provision of basic amenities such as piped water supply, sewerage, drainage, electricity to the slum dwellers and the fringe villages poses a major problem to the city administration. The slums have high population density, per room occupancy and high incidence of health problems. The rural migrants are mostly young males and urban populations have disproportionate male-female ratios. Agriculture in the Ganga-Brahmaputra Basin Agriculture is the mainstay of the economy of the Ganga-Brahmaputra basin region countries. It provides employment to the 66 percent of the labour force in India, 75 percent in Bangladesh and 90 percent in Nepal (1987-88). The self-employed agriculture is usually subsistence in nature. The rising population pressure on land has led to decline in the per capita arable land. Nearly 45 percent of the basin region is arable but per capita availability of land in India, Bangladesh and Nepal are 0.17, 0.07 and 0.13 respectively (1994-96 figures). The potential for extending the arable area under cultivation had already been over exploited. In India the agriculture sector, provides livelihood to about 64 percent of the labour force and attributes nearly 26 percent of the Gross Domestic Product. 27 Besides low per capita land availability, fragmentation of the land is a serious problem, which adversely affects the farm production. 26 27 R. Ramchandran, Urbanization and Urban System in India, Oxford University Press, New Delhi, 1989, p.92. India 2002: A Reference Manual, Publication Division, Ministry of Information and broadcasting, New Delhi, 2002, p.373. 68 The average operational holding has decreased from 2.1 hectare in 19601 to 1.3 hectare in 1991-92. The number of marginal holdings (less than one hectare) grew up from 22 to 56 million, constituting 48.3 percent of all land holdings in 1991-92. The Land Reforms programme initiated which included ceiling on land ownership, consolidation of lands, redistribution of lands, etc. has not been effectively implemented. Besides, the lack of credit, economic assets and irrigation facilities has affected the agriculture output. Nepal has sluggish and mainly subsistence oriented agriculture. Still, agriculture is the single largest sector with reference to income and employment though its share in GNP has declined from 70 percent 1974 to around 50 percent or less yet it remains the source of livelihood for bulk of the population. The country's cultivable area of 2.6 million hectare accounts for no more than a fifth of its total land area. In irrigation the area that has some infrastructure developed is 1. 06 million hectare, which is 60 per cent of the potential irrigable agricultural land and 33 per cent of the total potential agricultural land. The land distribution is showed. 28 Two third of all households owns less than a hectare of land and 10 percent is landless. The agricultural productivity is low and increases in production have mostly come from expansion of acreage. Due to rapid growth of population, Nepal has a food deficit since 1983, cereal output in 1996-97 being a little less than four million tones. In Bangladesh, the contribution of agriculture to the GDP had declined to 32.4 percent by 1997; still agriculture continues to be the largest provider of employment. The agriculture in Bangladesh is troubled by declining cultivated area due to increasing urbanization and diversion of land to non-agricultural uses. Though the population growth rate has come down, per capita food grain production and consumption have remained stagnant since 1980-81. 2s Nepal Water Partnership, Frame Work for Action: Achie.lling Nepal Water Vision, 2025, JVS Publication, December 1999, p. 1. 69 The technological transformation is the key factor for agricultural transformation in Ganges-Brahmaputra basin. The riparian countries have been using modern technology such as irrigation, HYV seeds, chemical fertilizers and pesticides since the late 1960's but the application of this technology has not been uniform in all parts of the region. The major constraints facing the application of technology have been limited access to irrigation, fertilizers and credit facilities, an efficient distribution system and extension services. Besides there is a need to promote agro based industry and inter-regional marketing of products. There must be an acceleration in industrial and service sector growth to reduce dependence on land, absorb surplus rural and urban labour and raise labour productivity. Energy The countries of Ganga-Brahmaputra basin have a very low dependence on and utilization of commercial energy. The per capita commercial energy consumption figures in India, Bangladesh and Nepal are 4 76, 197and 320 Kgoe (Kilogram of oil equivalent) respectively. Per capita energy use in the world is about 1,680 Kgoe on an average while it is around 5,340 Kgoe for high-income countries. The low energy consumption is not due low actual demand. Instead commercial energy supply is very limited and subject to shortages. The biomass is the major source of energy not only in the rural areas but also for urban poor .The consumption of biomass - wood fuel in the industrial sector is also substantial. 29 The dependence on biomass is causing deforestation and other adverse environmental impacts in the region. Despite the poor socio economic situation of the Ganga-Brahmaputra region the hope lies in the natural endowments of water, land and 29 H.M. Shrestha, "Energy as a Security Issue" in S.U. Khatri (ed.] Energy Policy and Regional Implication, NEFAS Publication, Kathmandu, 2002, p.90. 70 energy. The abundance of water resource in the region can become the engine of growth for the millions of the people living in the region. The shared river system if optimally utilized through collaborative efforts can enhance the quality of life though human development and environmental sustainability and economic growth. The cooperative efforts of riparian countries for integrated development and management of resources, though, have been impeded due to political factors. Table: GBM Region: Socio-economic Indicators Indicator Bangladesh India Nepal Population (million) 1998 128 987 24 Annual population growth rate: 1995-2000(%) 1.9 1.8 2.5 Infant mortality rate (per 1,000 lie births) 1997 75 71 83 Under-5 mortality rate (per 1,000 live births) 1997 104 88 117 Maternal mortality rate (per 100,000 live births) 850 437 1,500 Access to safe water (% of population) 1995 84 85 59 Access to sanitation (% of population) 1995 35 29 20 Adult literacy rate(% of people 15 & above) 1997 50(M) 27(F) 67(M) 39(F) 56(M) 2l(F) Female (as % of labour force) 1998 42 32 40 Arable land (hectare per capita) 1994-96 0.07 0.17 0.13 Per capita commercial energy use: annual (Kgoe) 197 476 320 Per capita electricity consumption (KWH\h) 1996 97 347 39 Population below national poverty line (%), early 48 37 43 350 430 210 1990-97 1996 1990s Per Capita GNP (US$) 1998 Notes: Kgoe = KWh Kilogram of oil equivalent, 71 = Kilowatt hours Political Geography of The Ganga-Brahmaputra Basin The Ganga-Brahmaputra basin is part of South Asia, which forms a geopolitical system having its own characteristics. 30 The South Asian sub continent includes India, Bangladesh, Nepal, Bhutan and Pakistan (also called countries of the Himalayan block. 31 These countries were part of the British Indian Empire till recently. Hence, for almost a century, their political system, economy, foreign policy and defence were treated as a composite unit. The political geography of South Asia changed radically m 194 7 when after two centuries of colonial administration; the British were forced to relinquish their control over the Indian sub continent. The region witnessed emergence of two states India and Pakistan and few decades later Bangladesh. The colonial legacies of unresolved boundary dispute, the division of British India into India and Pakistan in 194 7 without much regard for the geography and integrity of the major river basins, followed by the breakup of Pakistan and emergence of. Bangladesh as sovereign state in 1971, these geopolitical development in the post world war II era lies at heat of hydropolitics in the Ganges Brahmaputra basin. Bangladesh and India are runned by democratically elected governments while Pakistan experiments with democracy have been difficult one. Bhutan remains a constitutional monarchy while Nepal is gradually making a turbulent transition from monarchy to democracy. These riparian states are the members of International Organizations like United Nations, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. The South Asian countries have also formed a regional organization, South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) in 1985 with a permanent secretariat at Kathmandu. 30 K.R. Singh, "Cooperation for Security", in M.S. Agwani et. al. (eds.) South Asia: 31 Stability and Regional Cooperation, Centre for Research in Rural and Industrial Development, Chandigarh, 1983, p.77. The World Bank, M.A.S. Salman and S. Uprety, Conflict and Cooperation on South Asia's International Rivers, The World Bank Publication, Washington D.C., 2002, p.S. 72 India, the biggest country in terms of size and population in the region, had remained the worlds largest democracy from the beginning of its independence and regular elections have been held in the country to chose the Central and State (Provincial) governments. Despite the immense diversity, the central administrations have so far managed to keep the country together, although separatist movements have on many occasions threatened India's territorial integrity.32 Due to the pre-independence partition, independent India had lost a sizeable chunk of its most fertile irrigated land in Indus and Ganges basin to the newly created state of Pakistan, at both the western and eastern ends of its border. The Indus Treaty The Indus basin is located in the Northwest of India and Pakistan and is one of the most important rivers in the world. In 194 7 the line of partition cut across the Indus system, leaving India upstream and the Pakistan the downstream riparian on five of the six rivers in the Indus system. After partition, Pakistan got 18 million acres of irrigated land for population of 22 million in the area around Indus, where India received 5 million acres of irrigated land for the population of 20 million. India had large areas that needed irrigation facilities, thus it claimed the right to devote to its own use the waters from Indus system. An understanding on water sharing between the two new countries was clearly necessary. After prolonged talks between the two governments and the mediation offered by good offices of the World Bank two countries signed Indus Treaty in 1960. According to the Treaty, the three western nvers Jhelum, the Chenab and the Indus were allocated to Pakistan, and the three eastern rivers (Ravi, Beas and the Sutlej) were allocated to India. Certain restrictions 32 R.P. Koirala, SAARC Nepal's Role in Collective Utilisation of Its Water Resources, The Team publication, Kathmandu 1990, p.l4. 73 Map 2 'fhc Indus River Basin 82.. 78• 74"· CHINA 36" 36' AFGHANISTAN lJ2• 32' INDIA NEPAL INDUS RIVER BASIN 74" o SELEGED CITIES ® NATIONAl CAPITALS 0 I 00 200 :.JOO I I I I 400 Kilomolcn I were placed on India as the upper npanan. On the nvers allocated to Pakistan, India was not allowed to build storages, except to a limited extent. Restrictions were also imposed on the irrigation development in India. On Pakistan, the lower riparian, there were some· relatively less significant restrictions. 33 The treaty also provided for permanent institutional mechanism in form of Indus Water Commission to serve as regular channel of communication on all matters relating to the implementation of the Treaty. There was to be a commissioner each for India and Pakistan, and there were to be periodical meetings and exchanges of visits. The treaty has been working reasonably well despite a difficult political relationship between the two countries. Interestingly, the treaty solved the watersharing problem between the two countries, when the diplomacy has failed to solve the contentious issue such as Kashmir. 3 4 The treaty was not abrogated even during the two Indo - Pakistan wars. Differences do arise from time to time, but these usually get resolved within the framework of the Treaty. At present there is an unresolved dispute regarding Tulbul Navigation Project, which is being resolved through inter -governmental talks. India: Post Independence Water Resource Development The new government under Jawaharlal Nehru, facing a severe food scarcity and massive post partition migration, almost immediately launched a grand scheme of large-scale surface water development to increase the agricultural production. The initial spectacular success m the agricultural sector inspired the Indian leadership to reorient India's development strategy towards one overriding and widely accepted national goal: maximizing self reliance. India carried out rapid expansion of industrial and agricultural infrastructures, which laid emphasis on 33 Ramaswamy R. lyer, "Conflict Resolution: Three River treaties," Economic and Political Weekly, June 12, 1999,p. 1509. 34 Sangeeta Thapliyal, "Water and Conflict: The South Asian Scenario," Strategic Analysis, October 1996,p.1041. 74 heavy industry and maximized food gram production. The energy requirements of this rapid industrialization doubled government efforts toward large-scale surface water development projects. These projects were also visualized as the symbol of national of unity and prestige as well as the harbinger of future development.35 The Ganges- Brahmaputra basin has also a sub national level of political angle in India. The Ganges flows through states like Uttaranchal, Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, and West Bengal. The centrally administered territory of Delhi also lies within the Ganges basin. The Brahmaputra basin on the other land, covers portions of territories of eight North Eastern Indian states. As India has a democratic and federal political system, state level jurisdiction over all the water projects and water allocations, conflicting needs and interests of the different set up have to be reconciled before any international agreement with the neighbouring countries can be arrived at or ratified. On some occasion the centre has been successful in dissuading the states from implementing water projects which could harm the Indian neighbours, on other occasions like The Ganges Treaty 1996, West Bengal cooperated with the Centre, though the state's interest was going to be affected most seriously by the Treaty.36 The Centre and state cooperation over water in India also depends on the relationship between the political parties in power at the two levels of administration, at any point of time. The ups and downs of Centre and state relations in India continue to have substantial impact on transboundary water management m the basin. India carried out massive irrigation schemes in post-Independence period without much concerns over social and environmental impact of the projects. However, m recent years, the concerns of domestic and international environmental movements and Non- Governmental Organizations have also be taken into account and reconciled before large water projects can 35 36 Leif Ohlsson, Hydropolitics: Conflicts Over Water as a Development Constraint, University Press Limited, Dhaka, 1996, pp.124-125. Frontline, Delhi, April 4 1997, p. 17. be launched and completed as in the case of Sardar Sarovar Project, Silent Valley Project etc. The domestic politics of Bangladesh, Nepal and Bhutan add further complications to the basin hydropolitics. Bangladesh emerged as a sovereign and secular state in 1971. There was an apparent help of India in freedom of Bangladesh. 37 Bangladesh went through one party rule and a series of military coups installing General Zia as President, who in 1977 declared the country to be an Islamic state. 38 The defiant attitude of new regime towards India led to further deterioration in Bangladesh-India relations, which were already strained by the assassination of the first and allegedly pro- Indian leader of Bangladesh. Bangladesh entered a decade of political turmoil, which also adversely affected its relations ·with India. Many factions in Bangladesh continue to suspect India of hegemonic ambitions in South Asia, and different political groups in Bangladesh continue to exploit any dispute with their powerful neighbour to create domestic upheaval and gain political leverage with the ruling party. The water issue indeed constitutes one of the recurrent themes in domestic politics of Bangladesh. The foreign policy experts in Dhaka feel that the people of Bangladesh realised since the early days of Independence that New Delhi was determined to capitalise on Bangladesh's geopolitically "India locked" situation to do everything to compound the vulnerability of their country.39 Bangladesh abject poverty, its near total dependence on waters originating outside its borders and its extreme vulnerability to floods and droughts have made its domestic politics and international relations highly susceptible to hydro politics in the basin. 37 38 39 Jagdish C. Pokharel,Environmental Resources: Negotiation Between Unequal Powers, Vikas Publishing Pvt. Ltd., New Delhi, 1996, p.84. Khursida Begum, Tension over the Farakka Barrage, University Press Limited, Dhaka, 1987, pp.156-157. Iftekharuzzaman, "The Ganges Water Sharing Issue: Diplomacy and Domestic Politics in Bangladesh", BIISSJoumal, Vol.l5, No.3, 1994, p.230. 76 In Nepal, the post world war II period, until 1981 when the first national election since 1959 was held, was one of the great political turmoil. Over the next decade there were many clashes between the various political parties and the monarchy. Under the provisions of a new constitution promulgated in 1990, Nepal remains a constitutional monarchy. A new multiparty democratic order was instituted in the country through elections in June 1991. In November 1994, a coalition led by communist party came to power in Kathmandu. The new government decided to take a pragmatic stance on all issues towards it neighbours, including India. However, the new leadership also called for negotiating substantial modifications to the 1951 Treaty of Friendship with India as well as reexamining bilateral cooperation for several joint water and hydroelectric projects proposed over the years. In 1995 this government was dissolved and Kathmandu has been moving towards more friendly relations with India. However, in the end as in Bangladesh, any attempt by the Nepalese leadership to cooperate with India over the shared waters remains vulnerable to exploitation by various political parties/ factions who many accuse the ruling party of compromising Nepal's sovereignty and national interest.40 In Bhutan a hereditary monarchy was founded in 1907, followed in 1910 by the Anglo Bhutanese Treaty, which placed Bhutan's foreign relations under the supervision of the government of British India. After India became independent, the Indo-Bhutanese Treaty of Friendship replaced the Treaty in August 1949. According to the Treaty Bhutan agreed to seek the advice of the Government of India with regard to its external relations but it remained free to decide whether or not to accept the advice. Bhutan is now governed by the King, a council of Ministers, a National Assembly and the powerful :ffead of the Buddhist lamas. On the whole Bhutan has benefited greatly from friendly relations with India. 40 Arun P. Elhance, Hydropolitics in The Third World. Conflict and Cooperation in International River Basins, United States Institute of Peace Press, Washington D.C., 1999, pp.l67-170. 77 But some Bhutanese have questioned the country's near total dependence on India for security, trade and aid. The analysis of political geography of the Ganga- Brahmaputra basin and the water resource management issues in the thesis focuses mainly on India, Bangladesh, Nepal and Bhutan, although China shares the basin by virtue of its control over Tibet autonomous region. Till date China has not made any substantial claims relating to its acquired uppermost riparian status on the Tsangpo -Brahmaputra or any of the tributaries originating in Tibet. The main reason for this is the unique physical geography of the basin, which does not allow China to substantially manipulate the river waters.41 Chinese disinclination to participate in hydro politics of the basin is also partly due the special status of Tibet in Chinese policy as well as other domestic and international preoccupations of the Chinese leadership. China is actively engaged with India through domestic channels to solve the border problem and recently has stopped making territorial claims over Sikkim. Though India and China are two Asian regional powers, they are cooperating with each other on trade and commerce issues. Further, even if China wishes to develop the hydroelectric potential of the Tsangpo in Tibet, the mostly coastal and southeastern orientation of its mainland economy would extract very high costs and losses for transmitting electricity from Tibet to Chinese cities and industrial areas. Because of the rugged Himalayas, navigation in the Brahmaputra is also not a concern for China. Thus, the physical and economic geography of the basin effectively shut China off playing a major direct role in the hydropolitics of the Ganga-Brahmaputra basin. Without China's active involvement in the basin's hydropolitics, India is by ·far the strongest riparian state in the basin. India's size, both in terms of its area, population and its far superior economic and military capabilities have placed it in a potentially hegemonic relationship with its weaker neighbours. These power imbalances have often engendered fear, 41 Ibid, p.l71. 78 suspicion, insecurity and even envy in smaller states. The smaller states of south Asia have been especially sensitive to issues of national sovereignty, identity and autonomy and to the very real possibility of cultural and economic domination by their big neighbour. India many times has been less than enough sensitive towards perceptions of smaller states. South Asia, which has Ganga Brahmaputra rivers, flowing through some of the world's most density populated and poorest regions, is a geopolitical region whose internal post Independence political characteristics have interacted with its highly contrasted physical and economic environments to produce widely differing scenarios for large scale water development and management. 42 Though in terms of sub continental hydrography, the post colonial, post partitioned states of South Asia, are united, sharing the Ganges Brahmaputra basin (India-Bangladesh-Nepal) geo-politically they stand divided; as against the backdrop of asymmetry of wealth, knowledge and information, water issues continue to induce conflict and struggle among them for power in various forms. 43 The political geography of the basin, especially the contentious nature of domestic politics in each of the riparian states and their interstate relations, till recently prevented the emergence of riparian relation conducive to basin wide cooperation. However during 1990's new sense of dialogue, cooperation, mutual trust are visible among India, Bangladesh and Nepal. Political will, diplomatic initiatives and track II exchanges have fostered some sense of urgency for cooperative efforts in water resource development not only to end decades old transboundary water related conflicts but also for optimum utilization of water resources for human development, social economic welfare and environmental conservation. Hopefully 1996, the year of. Mahakali and Ganges Treaty will stand as the watershed for riparian relations among the basin states. 42 43 Colombi B.Stephen and Bradnock W. Robert, "Geopolitics, Water and Development in South Asia: Cooperative Development in the Ganges Brahmaputra Delta" The Geographical Journal, Vol.169, No.1, March 2003, p.47. Eva Saroch, "Geopolitics of Water: From Security to Sustainability," Water Nepal, Vol.9j10, No.l/2, 2003, p.lll. 79
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