Carcinogenesis vol.32 no.3 pp.318–326, 2011 doi:10.1093/carcin/bgq245 Advance Access publication November 18, 2010 Associations between genetic variation in RUNX1, RUNX2, RUNX3, MAPK1 and eIF4E and risk of colon and rectal cancer: additional support for a TGF-b-signaling pathway Martha L.Slattery, Abbie Lundgreen, Jennifer S.Herrick, Bette J.Caan1, John D.Potter2 and Roger K.Wolff Department of Internal Medicine, University of Utah Health Sciences Center, 295 Chipeta Way, Salt Lake City, UT 84108, USA, 1Division of Research, Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program, Oakland, CA 94612, USA and 2 Cancer Prevention Program, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA 98109-1024 , USA To whom correspondence should be addressed. Tel: þ1 801 585 6955; Fax: þ1 801 581 3623; Email: [email protected] The Runt-related transcription factors (RUNX), mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) 1 and eukaryotic translation initiation factor 4E (eIF4E) are potentially involved in tumorigenesis. We evaluated genetic variation in RUNX1 (40 tagSNPs), RUNX2 (19 tagSNPs), RUNX3 (9 tagSNPs), MAPK1 (6 tagSNPs), eIF4E (3 tagSNPs), eIF4EBP2 (2 tagSNP) and eIF4EBP3 (2 tagSNPs) to determine associations with colorectal cancer (CRC). We used data from population-based studies (colon cancer n 5 1555 cases, 1956 controls; rectal cancer n 5 754 cases, 959 controls with complete genotype data). Four statistically significant tagSNPs were identified with colon cancer and three tagSNPs were identified with rectal cancer. Whereas the independent risk estimates for each of the tagSNPs ranged from 1.21 to 1.52, the combined risk was greater than additive for any of the three combined highrisk genotypes {combined risk range 1.98 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.45, 2.70] for eIF4E, RUNX1 and RUNX3 to 3.32 [95% CI 1.34, 8.23] for eIF43, RUNX2 and RUNX3}. For rectal cancer, the strongest association was detected for the combined genotype of RUNX1 and RUNX3 (odds ratio 1.87 95% CI 1.22, 2.87). Associations with specific molecular tumor phenotypes showed consistent and strong associations for CIMP1/MSI1 tumors where the risk estimates were consistently >10-fold and lower confidence bounds were over 3.00 for high-risk genotypes defined by RUNX1, RUNX2 and RUNX3. For CIMP1/KRAS2-mutated colon tumors, the combined risk for high-risk genotypes of RUNX2, eIF4E and RUNX1 was 7.47 (95% CI 1.58, 35.3). Although the associations need confirmation, the findings and their internal consistency underline the importance of genetic variation in these genes for the etiology of CRC. Introduction The Runt-related transcription factors (RUNX) are thought to play an important role in carcinogenesis in addition to their role in normal development (1). The three RUNX genes, RUNX1, RUNX2 and RUNX3, although widely expressed, have tissue-specific properties (2). Of the three, RUNX3 has been shown to be specifically associated with gastrointestinal tract development (3). Studies in RUNX3 knockout mice have shown defects in apoptotic response to transforming growth factor (TGF)-b; RUNX2 transgenic mice have been shown to be hypersensitive to TGF-b (4). All three RUNX genes have potential for involvement in colorectal cancer (CRC) etiology given their role in signaling cascades mediated by TGF-b and bone morphogenetic Abbreviations: BMP, bone morphogenetic protein; CI, confidence interval; CIMP, CpG island methylator phenotype; CRC, colorectal cancer; eIF4E, eukaryotic translation initiation factor 4E; MAPK, mitogen-activated protein kinase; MSI, microsatellite instability; NF-jB, nuclear factor-kappa B; OR, odds ratio; RUNX, runt-related transcription; SNP, single nucleotide polymorphisms; TGF, transforming growth factor. protein (BMP) (4–7); all three RUNX genes have been shown to bind Smads that are also involved in the TGF-b signaling pathway (8–10). Mitogen-activiated protein kinase (MAPK) 1, also known as extracellular signal-regulated kinase 2, is involved in eukaryotic signal transduction. MAPK1 has been shown to activate RUNX2 (11). Like RUNX, MAPK1 is involved in the TGF-b-signaling pathway including Smad signaling (12,13) Eukaryotic translation initiation factor 4E (eIF4E) is a translational regulator that acts downstream of Akt and mTOR, promoting Akt’s action in tumorigenesis (14). eIF4E has been shown to play a key role in cell growth and has been reported to be overexpressed in colon tumors (15). Expression of eIF4E in human colon cancer cells has been shown to promote the TGF-b stimulation of adhesion molecules (16). Together, Runx, MAPK1 and eIF4E appear to be integral parts in the regulation of the TGF-b, Smad and BMP signaling pathways, each of which plays an important role in the etiology of colon and rectal cancer. However, little is known about how genetic variation in these genes relate to colon and rectal cancer. Furthermore, although other genes in the TGF-b-signaling pathway have been linked to CpG island methylator phenotype (CIMPþ) and microsatellite instability (MSIþ) tumors, it is unknown whether genetic variation in these genes contributes to specific molecularly defined phenotypes colorectal cancer (17). In this study, we evaluated the association between genetic variability in these genes and colon and rectal cancer and with specific tumor molecular phenotypes. We further report how these genes interact with other genes in the TGF-b-signaling pathway. Methods Two study populations are included in these analyses. The first study, a population-based case–control study of colon cancer, included cases (n 5 1555 with complete genotype data) and controls (n 5 1956 with complete genotype data) identified between 1 October 1991 and 30 September 1994 (18) living in the Twin Cities Metropolitan Area or a seven-county area of Utah or enrolled in the Kaiser Permanente Medical Care Program of Northern California (KPMCP). The second study, with identical data collection methods, included cases with cancer of the rectosigmoid junction or rectum (n 5 754 cases and n 5 959 controls with complete genotype data) who were identified between May 1997 and May 2001 in Utah and at the KPMCP (19). Eligible cases were between 30 and 79 years of age at the time of diagnosis, living in the study geographic area, English speaking, mentally competent to complete the interview and with no previous history of CRC and no previous diagnosis of familial adenomatous polyposis, ulcerative colitis or Crohn’s disease. Cases who did not meet these criteria were ineligible as were individuals who were not black, white or Hispanic for the colon cancer study. A rapid reporting system was used to identify cases within months of diagnosis. Controls were matched to cases by sex and by 5 years age groups. At KPMCP, controls were randomly selected from membership lists; in Utah, controls 65 years were randomly selected from the Health Care Financing Administration lists and controls ,65 years were randomly selected from driver’s license lists. In Minnesota, controls were selected from driver’s license and state-identification lists. Study details have been previously reported (20,21). Interview data collection Data were collected by trained and certified interviewers using laptop computers. All interviews were audiotaped as described previously and reviewed for quality control purposes (22). The referent period for the study was 2 years prior to diagnosis for cases and selection for controls. Detailed information was collected on diet, physical activity, medical history, reproductive history, family history of cancer, regular use of aspirin and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs and body size. Tumor marker data We have previously evaluated tumors for CIMP, MSI, TP53 mutations and KRAS2 mutations (23–26) and were therefore able to evaluate variation in the specified genes in relation to molecularly defined subsets of CRC. Details Ó The Author 2010. Published by Oxford University Press. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] 318 Additional support for a TGF-b signaling pathway for methods used to evaluate epigenetic and genetic changes have been described (23–26). Because of the rarity of MSIþ rectal tumors (27), we did not evaluate MSI in rectal tumors. TagSNP selection and genotyping TagSNPs were selected for genes RUNX1, RUNX2, RUNX3, MAPK1, eIF4E, eIF4EBP2 and eIF4EBP3 using the following parameters: linkage disequilibrium blocks using a Caucasian linkage disequilibrium map with r2 5 0.8; minor allele frequency . 0.1; range 5 1500 bp from the initiation codon to þ1500 bp from the termination codon and one single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP)/linkage disequilibrium bin. All markers were genotyped using a multiplexed bead array assay based on GoldenGate chemistry (Illumina, San Diego, CA). A genotyping call rate of 99.85% was attained. Blinded internal replicates represented 4.4% of the samples. The duplicate concordance rate was 100% genotyping of other genes along the candidate pathway, which were assessed for their interactive effects with RUNX, MAPK1 and eIF4E were genotyped on the same platform. Table I describes tagSNPs associated with colon or rectal cancer, whereas supplementary Table 1 (available at Carcinogenesis Online) has a listing of all tagSNPs included on the platform. Statistical methods All statistical analyses were performed using SASÒ version 9.2 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC) unless otherwise stated. We report odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) derived from multiple logistic regression models for colon and rectal cancer separately based on minimal adjustments for age, sex, race and study center. Stepwise regression models were used to identify the tagSNPs and Table I. Description of Runx, eIF4E and MAPK1 genes in the study population Major/minor Symbol Alias Location SNP Allele MAF-NHW MAF-Hispanic MAF-AA FDR (HWE) EIF4E CBP EIF4E1 EIF4EL1 MGC111573 4EBP2 4E-BP3 ERK ERK2 ERT1 MAPK2 P42MAPK PRKM1 PRKM2 p38 p40 p41 p41 mapk AML1 AML1-EVI-1 AMLCR1 CBFA2 EVI-1 PEBP2aB 4q21–q25 rs11727086 rs12498533 A/G A/C 0.26 0.42 0.19 0.46 0.06 0.20a 0.93 0.93 10q21–q22 5q31.3 22q11.21 rs7078987 rs250425 rs11913721 rs8136867 rs2298432 rs9610375 A/G C/T A/C A/G C/A G/T 0.46 0.24 0.41 0.47 0.38 0.46 0.43 0.25 0.43 0.37 0.26 0.49 0.13 0.12 0.29 0.36 0.07 0.4 0.93 0.93 0.9 1 1 0.97 21q22.3 rs1474479 rs2248720 rs8134380 rs2071029 rs2242878 rs2834645 rs2300395 rs1981392 rs11702779 rs7279123 rs11701453 rs7280028 rs2268281 rs2834650 rs1883067 rs7750470 rs10948238 rs1321075 rs2819863 rs12333172 rs12208240 rs2819854 rs1316330 G/A A/C A/T G/A C/T T/C C/T T/C G/A C/T G/C T/C A/G C/T A/G T/C C/T C/A G/C C/T G/A C/T G/T 0.35 0.49 0.44 0.14 0.19 0.23 0.3 0.4 0.35 0.25 0.21 0.19 0.16 0.1 0.08 0.19 0.4 0.14 0.1 0.2 0.08 0.48 0.25 0.27 0.46a 0.36 0.22 0.18 0.15 0.25 0.49a 0.46 0.21 0.16 0.16 0.29 0.07 0.07 0.22 0.36 0.24 0.07 0.18 0.12 0.49a 0.17 0.32 0.24 0.17 0.35 0.05 0.05 0.19a 0.42 0.38 0.47 0.21 0.4 0.27 0.02 0.02 0.36 0.34a 0.2 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.41a 0.05 0.96 0.96 0.14 1 0.98 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.62 1 1 1 0.91 0.95 0.95 1 1 1 0.98 1 rs2135756 rs2236850 rs906296 rs6672420 rs6688058 A/G T/C C/G A/T G/A 0.5 0.44 0.23 0.48 0.13 0.45 0.44 0.2 0.37a 0.19 0.41 0.14a 0.28 0.48 0.16 0.96 0.62 1 0.83 0.89 EIF4EBP2 EIF4EBP3 MAPK1 RUNX1 RUNX2 RUNX3 RP1-166H4.1 AML3 CBFA1 CCD CCD1 MGC120022 MGC120023 OSF2 PEA2aA PEBP2A1 PEB2A2 PEBP2aA PEBP2aA1 RP3-398I9.1 AML2 CBFA3 FLI34510 MGC16070 PEBP2aC 6p21 1p36 a major/minor allele differs from NHW population. FDR (HWE), false discovery rate adjusted P value for Hardy–Weinberg Equilibrium test. Minor allele frequency (MAF) based on control population; HWE based on NHW control population (sample sizes range from 2519 to 2652). NHW, non-Hispanic white; AA, African American 319 M.L.Slattery et al. their inheritance models that contributed uniquely to the overall fit of the model for colon and rectal cancer; separate stepwise models were used to identify tagSNPs associated with specific molecular subtypes of tumors. Inclusion in the regression model was based on a score chi-square significance level of 0.05, whereas exclusion was determined based on a Wald chi-square 0.05 significance level. In addition to the minimal adjustments previously stated, the subset of SNPs returned from stepwise regression was also used as adjustment variables. Subsequent interaction analyses were based on tagSNPs identified as being statistically significant from stepwise regression. Adjusted multiple comparison P values were estimated taking into account all tagSNPs within the gene using the methods of Conneely and Boehnke (28) implemented in R version 2.11.0 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria). We evaluated interaction between RUNX1, RUNX2, RUNX3, MAPK1 and eIF4E and its binding proteins on the one hand and BMP-related genes, TGFb1 and its receptors, Smad3, Smad4, Smad7 and nuclear factor-kappa B (NF-jB) 1 on the other hand given the biologic links to the TGF-b-signaling pathway. Possible interactions between SNPs and sex, age (30–64 or 65–79), recent aspirin or nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs use, recent estrogen use and body mass index (,25, 25–30, .30) also were evaluated because of the mechanisms hypothesized for these genes. P values for interaction were determined by comparing a full model that included a categorical multiplicative interaction term to a reduced model without such an interaction term, using a likelihood ratio test. We evaluated risk estimates based on high-risk genotypes for each SNP as well as for the combined high-risk genotypes for those tagSNPs that were independently associated with colon or rectal cancer or with specific tumor subsets. High-risk genotypes were defined as those genotypes associated with statistically significant increased risk of colon or rectal cancer. The combined high-risk genotypes were determined based on the risk estimate for combinations of SNPs using either a dominant or a recessive model and compared with the referent genotype. Risk estimates were based on sets of combined high-risk genotypes compared with individuals without any of the high-risk genotypes designated (shown by asterisks in the table). Tumors were defined by specific molecular alterations: any TP53 mutation, any KRAS2 mutation, MSIþ, CIMPþ defined as at least two of five markers methylated and a combination of CIMPþ/KRAS2-mutated or CIMPþ/MSIþ. As the proportion of MSIþ tumors in the rectal cases was ,3% (27), we did not examine these tumor markers. Estimates of risk for molecular tumor phenotypes were made relative to controls. Results Of the genes assessed, four significant tagSNPs were identified that best represented the statistically significant associations with colon cancer, and similarly three tagSNPs were identified that captured the association with rectal cancer. One additional RUNX1 and two RUNX2 tagSNPs also were independently, statistically significantly associated with colon cancer. RUNX1 rs7279123 (OR 1.17 95% CI 1.02, 1.35 for the CT/TT genotype) and RUNX2 rs12208240 (OR 0.27 95% CI 0.08, 0.97 for the AA genotype) and rs2819854 (OR 1.21 95% CI 1.03, 1.42 for the TT genotype) were associated with colon cancer. Genes shown in Table II, best represented the independent and combined risk based on P values, magnitude of the association and frequency of the genotypes. The adjusted P values for multiple comparisons for RUNX1 were all above 0.2; the adjusted P value for RUNX2 rs12333172 was 0.12; the adjusted P value for RUNX3 rs667240 was 0.02; the adjusted P value for eIF4E was 0.02. Single SNP associations with colon cancer were generally modest and the combined risks from the high-risk genotypes were generally greater than that expected for an Table II. Associations between Runx, MAPK1, eIF4E and colon and rectal cancer HRG EIF4E RUNX2 RUNX1 RUNX3 Colon rs11727086 (A . G) rs1233372(C . T) rs2834645 (C . T) rs6672420 (A . T) Controls AG/GG 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 TT TT AA a Cases N 839 65 1160 495 33 517 219 43 17 273 20 7 119 11 3 733 76 1001 457 37 472 212 52 30 281 26 15 130 19 8 1.22 1.52 1.21 1.24 1.62 1.49 1.47 1.76 2.37 1.56 2.13 3.32 1.98 2.69 4.52 (1.07, 1.40) (1.08, 2.13) (1.06, 1.39) (1.07, 1.45) (1.00, 2.62) (1.23, 1.81) (1.18, 1.83) (1.16, 2.68) (1.30, 4.34) (1.26, 1.93) (1.16, 3.91) (1.34, 8.23) (1.45, 2.70) (1.26, 5.77) (1.18, 17.39) OR (95% CI) 1.43 1.36 1.28 1.24 1.87 1.78 1.64 (1.04, 1.95) (1.04, 1.78) (1.02, 1.59) (0.57, 2.70) (1.22, 2.87) (1.23, 2.57) (0.57, 4.74) RUNX1 MAPK1 RUNX3 Rectal rs11702779 (G . A) rs11913721 (A . C) rs6672420 (A . T) Controls Cases GG/GA AA/AC TT Nc Nd (95% CI) N OR b 777 784 218 630 162 180 133 631 647 210 542 171 177 145 HRG, high-risk genotypes. Shaded ORs indicate risk estimates greater than additive effect. Rows are not mutually exclusive and include all individuals with the starred high-risk genotype versus those without any of the starred high-risk genotypes. a 1956 controls total for colon. b 1555 cases total for colon. c 959 controls total for rectal. d 754 cases total for rectal. 320 Additional support for a TGF-b signaling pathway Table III. Associations between Runx, MAPK1, eIF4E and colon tumor mutations HRG MAPK1 RUNX2 RUNX1 CIMPþ rs11913721 (A . C) rs12333172 (C . T) rs2071029 (G . A) Controls CC 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 295 65 559 13 83 17 2 RUNX2 RUNX3 EIF4EBP2 RUNX1 KRAS2 rs10948238 (C . T) rs6672420 (A . T) rs7078987 (A . G) rs8134380 (A . T) Controls AA/AT GG AA RUNX2 RUNX1 EIF4EBP3 RUNX3 TP53 rs12333172 (C . T) rs2248720 (A . C) rs250425 (C . T) rs6672420 (A . T) Controls AA RUNX3 MAPK1 MSIþ rs2242878 (C . T) rs7078987 (A . G) rs906296 (C . G) rs9610375 (G . T) Controls (95% CI) (95% CI) EIF4EBP2 OR d OR RUNX1 (1.18, 2.05) (1.01, 1.81) (1.04, 1.78) (1.21, 1.94) (1.37, 3.18) (1.07, 3.19) (1.61, 3.91) (1.21, 2.73) (1.49, 3.43) (1.50, 3.35) (1.08, 4.50) (2.39, 8.82) (2.01, 10.25) (1.90, 6.36) (2.99, 25.09) Cases Cases 1.55 1.35 1.36 1.53 2.09 1.85 2.51 1.81 2.26 2.24 2.21 4.59 4.54 3.48 8.66 (1.12, 2.76) (1.04, 1.60) (1.06, 1.60) (1.17, 1.79) (1.01, 6.92) (1.48, 5.00) (1.73, 7.33) (1.26, 2.33) (1.22, 2.48) (1.40, 2.53) (2.69, 47.88) (1.12, 18.55) (2.19, 15.81) (1.09, 2.92) (1.73, 183.42) (95% CI) 1.76 1.29 1.30 1.44 2.65 2.72 3.56 1.71 1.74 1.88 11.35 4.55 5.89 1.78 17.80 OR c 29 162 328 167 7 18 14 102 52 108 6 4 9 30 3 GG (1.04, 1.99) (1.37, 3.92) (1.00, 1.73) (0.07, 4.28) (1.14, 3.26) (0.90, 7.00) 65 503 1120 495 11 31 17 273 136 282 3 4 8 79 1 GG 1.44 2.32 1.32 0.55 1.93 2.51 undefined N AA/AG (95% CI) N Cases 81 284 88 144 62 18 34 71 113 39 13 28 10 30 8 CC 55 20 94 1 20 5 0 N AA N OR b 316 1504 413 605 255 69 94 321 469 123 58 77 18 96 16 Cases N CT/TT 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 N TT 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 GA/AA TT 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 TT a e N N 638 1514 115 559 485 35 194 90 429 29 25 145 9 23 5 80 156 17 72 64 8 36 14 57 4 7 27 1 3 1 1.60 1.51 1.58 1.60 2.66 2.82 2.68 2.27 2.91 1.77 7.07 5.16 1.39 3.49 6.88 (1.17, 2.17) (1.00, 2.30) (0.92, 2.69) (1.17, 2.18) (1.44, 4.94) (1.26, 6.31) (1.73, 4.14) (1.13, 4.57) (1.56, 5.45) (0.61, 5.15) (2.38, 21.01) (2.16, 12.35) (0.17, 11.29) (0.88, 13.83) (0.63, 75.06) 321 M.L.Slattery et al. Table III. Continued RUNX2 EIF4E RUNX1 CIMPþ and KRAS2 rs10948238 (C . T) rs11727086 (A . G) rs1474479 (G . A) Controls TT 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 GG/GA N 316 839 1705 125 268 721 103 N 19 40 70 13 19 38 13 RUNX2 RUNX1 MAPK1 RUNX3 CIMPþ and MSIþ rs1321075 (C . A) rs2242878 (C . T) rs8136867 (A . G) rs906296 (C . G) Controls CT/TT GG GG N 1437 638 411 115 463 320 86 146 35 20 105 22 14 7 3 Cases N OR (95% CI) f CC 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 AG/GG Cases 1.79 1.68 2.53 3.63 3.27 3.38 7.47 (1.04, 3.07) (1.04, 2.71) (0.91, 7.00) (1.81, 7.30) (1.08, 9.90) (0.80, 14.31) (1.58, 35.32) OR (95% CI) 1.75 1.94 2.20 2.03 3.30 5.75 3.75 4.21 4.07 3.91 9.75 11.00 10.30 4.36 76.32 (1.04, 2.94) (1.31, 2.87) (1.46, 3.33) (1.10, 3.76) (1.61, 6.77) (2.55, 12.94) (1.72, 8.21) (2.30, 7.68) (1.61, 10.33) (1.09, 14.00) (3.14, 30.31) (3.37, 35.96) (1.78, 59.71) (0.50, 38.03) (3.10, 1879.34) g 90 52 39 13 44 30 12 19 6 3 14 6 2 1 1 HRG, high-risk genotypes. Rows are not mutually exclusive and include all individuals with the starred high-risk genotype versus those without any of the starred high-risk genotypes. a 1956 controls total. b 272 CIMPþ cases total. c 348 KRAS2 cases total. d 516 TP53 cases total. e 185 MSIþ cases total. f 74 CIMPþ and KRAS2 cases total. g 108 CIMP and MSIþ cases total. additive model. Nearly all of the two-way SNP combinations had an increased colon cancer risk greater than that would be expected on an additive scale. Combinations of three high-risk genotypes were generally associated with a 2- to 3-fold increased risk of colon cancer. Similar risk estimates were observed for rectal cancer, although only three tagSNPs in these genes captured the increased risk, RUNX1, MAPK1 and RUNX3. The following two RUNX1 tagSNPs were identified as being associated with rectal cancer risk, although they did not substantially alter the combined risk and were therefore omitted from the Table II: rs11701453 (OR 1.29 95% CI 1.05, 1.59 for the GC/CC genotype) and rs7280028 (OR 0.80 95% CI 0.65, 0.99 for the TC/CC genotype). Half of the combinations of high-risk genotypes presented had an increased rectal cancer risk that was greater than additive. The adjusted P value for RUNX1 rs11702799 was 0.43, for RUNX3 rs667240 was 0.17 and for MAPK1 was 0.10. Various tagSNPs were associated with specific colon tumor molecular phenotypes (Table III). CIMPþ tumors were associated with variants in MAPK1, RUNX2 and RUNX1 with individual risks ranging from an OR of 1.32 for RUNX1 rs2071029 to 2.32 for RUNX2 rs12333172. Associations with mutations in KRAS2 and TP53 were more stable (the result of more cases with these tumor molecular subtypes). Four tagSNPs best-characterized associations with KRAS2: RUNX2 rs10948238, RUNX3 rs6672420, eIF4EBP2 rs7078987 and RUNX1 rs8134380. Associations ranged from a statistically significant OR of 1.35 for RUNX3 to greater than a 4-fold increased risk with various combinations of high-risk genotypes. Although imprecise, having all four high-risk genotypes were associated with more than 322 an 8-fold increased risk of colon cancer (OR 8.66 95% CI 2.99, 25.09). Similar levels of risk were seen for TP53 for both independent and combined risk estimates. RUNX2 rs12333172, RUNX1 rs2248720, eIF4EBP3 rs250425 and RUNX3 rs6672420 best captured the risk-associated TP53-mutated tumors. Four tagSNPs illustrated the association with MSIþ colon tumors, RUNX1 rs2242878, eIF4EBP2 rs70798987, RUNX3 rs906296 and MAPK1 rs9610375. CIMPþ/KRAS2-mutated tumors were associated with RUNX2 rs10948238, eIF4E rs11727086 and RUNX1 rs1474479. All combinations of two high-risk genotypes were associated with a .3-fold increased risk of CIMPþ/KRAS2-mutated tumors, although the combination of eIF4E and RUNX1 did not reach statistical significance. The CIMPþ/MSIþ tumors were associated with RUNX2 rs1321075, RUNX1 rs2242878, MAPK1 rs8136867 and RUNX3 rs906296. The risk of each independent tagSNP was associated with 2-fold increased likelihood of this combination of tumor types, having most combinations of three high-risk genotypes resulted in a statistically significant 10-fold increased risk. Associations with rectal tumors were generally less precise than those observed for colon cancer (Table IV). As with colon cancer, CIMPþ, KRAS2-mutated, CIMPþ/KRAS2-mutated and TP53mutated tumors had unique associations with the genes under investigation. However, unlike colon cancer, the independent risk associated with the tagSNPs was generally higher, but the combined risk was usually additive or less. Risk estimates were highest for CIMPþ, KRAS2-mutated and CIMPþ/KRAS2-mutated tumors. The strongest associations were observed for CIMPþ/KRAS2-mutated tumors, with combinations of RUNX1 rs1474479, eIF4EBP3 rs250425, RUNX2 Additional support for a TGF-b signaling pathway Table IV. Associations between Runx, MAPK1, eIF4E and rectal tumor mutations HRG RUNX1 EIF4EBP3 RUNX2 CIMPþ rs1981392 (T . C) rs250425 (C . T) rs2819863 (G . C) Controls TT 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 GC/CC N N 344 47 156 18 60 7 2 29 6 17 2 10 2 1 EIF4E RUNX1 RUNX2 KRAS2 rs11727086 (A . G) rs1474479 (G . A) rs7750470 (T . C) Controls AG/GG 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 TT AA CC Cases a Cases N N 431 117 32 62 17 4 4 92 34 12 17 7 2 1 EIF4E RUNX3 RUNX1 TP53 rs12498533 (A . C) rs6672420 (A . T) rs8134380 (A . T) Controls Cases AA TT TT N Nd 280 218 170 57 42 37 11 98 83 67 26 19 20 5 RUNX1 EIF4EBP3 RUNX2 RUNX3 CIMPþ and KRAS2 rs1474479 (G . A) rs250425 (C . T) rs2819863 (G . C) rs906296 (C . G) Controls Cases AA TT GC/CC CC N Ne 117 47 156 583 5 21 67 7 28 96 3 3 13 3 1 6 4 9 18 0 2 5 2 3 8 0 0 1 2 0 (95% CI) 1.77 2.20 2.07 2.87 3.70 5.25 9.75 OR (1.04, 3.01) (0.90, 5.40) (1.14, 3.76) (0.62, 13.32) (1.64, 8.35) (1.03, 26.72) (0.79, 121.07) (95% CI) c OR b 1.46 1.79 2.18 2.08 2.85 3.31 2.02 OR 1.36 1.40 1.52 1.85 2.10 2.14 2.07 (1.05, 2.03) (1.17, 2.73) (1.10, 4.33) (1.14, 3.81) (1.13, 7.18) (0.59, 18.53) (0.22, 18.80) (95% CI) (1.02, 1.81) (1.03, 1.89) (1.10, 2.10) (1.11, 3.08) (1.17, 3.76) (1.20, 3.80) (0.69, 6.21) OR (95% CI) 2.95 4.56 4.04 3.90 undefined 8.96 12.45 24.65 18.82 11.95 undefined undefined 13.02 undefined undefined (1.12, 7.77) (1.47, 14.13) (1.64, 9.93) (1.14, 13.34) (1.71, 46.96) (2.34, 66.29) (4.21, 144.43) (2.94, 120.70) (2.47, 57.74) (0.89, 189.91) HRG, high-risk genotypes. Rows are not mutually exclusive and include all individuals with the starred high-risk genotype versus those without any of the starred high-risk genotypes. a 959 controls total. b 59 CIMPþ cases total. c 173 KRAS2 cases total. d 277 TP53 cases total. e 21 CIMPþ and KRAS2 cases total. rs2819863 and RUNX3 rs906296 associated with over a 10-fold statistically significant increased risk. To establish how these candidate genes and tagSNPs associated with colon and rectal cancer, we assessed their interaction with other genes in the TGF-b-signaling pathway, including SNPS for TGFb1, TGFbR1, BMP2, BMP4, BMPR1A, BMPR1B, Smad3, Samd4, Smad7 and NFjB1 (Table V). For colon cancer, the following statistically significant interactions were identified: RUNX1 with 323 M.L.Slattery et al. Table V. Interaction between Runx, MAPK1, eIF4E and other genes in candidate pathway Gene SNP HRG Pathway gene SNP HRG Combined risk OR (95% CI) Interaction P value Colon cancer RUNX1 rs2300395 CC BMPR1B BMPR1A TGFBR1 Smad7 TGFBR1 Smad3 Smad7 NFjB1 TGFB1 BMP4 NFkB1 TGFBR1 rs17616243 rs7088641 rs10733710 rs4464148 rs1571590 rs16950687 rs12953717 rs230510 rs4803455 rs17563 rs13117745 rs6478974 CT/TT TT AA TC/CC GG GG TT TT AA TT CC/CT TT 1.33 (1.08, 1.64) 1.25 (1.03, 1.52) 1.77 (1.09, 2.89) 1.38 (1.12, 1.71) 3.37 (1.48, 7.71) 1.82 (1.06, 3.13) 2.18 (1.47, 3.24) 1.50 (1.12, 2.01) 1.82 (1.38, 2.42) 1.57 (1.13, 2.19) 3.58 (1.56, 8.19) 1.39 (1.11, 1.74) 0.024 0.042 0.0359 0.019 0.0272 0.013 0.0056 0.0239 0.0476 0.023 0.0061 0.0168 RUNX2 rs7279123 rs2248720 rs10948238 CT/TT AA TT RUNX3 rs6672420 AA MAPK1 rs8136867 rs2298432 GG CC RUNX1 rs1981392 rs1474479 rs11702779 rs8134380 CC AA GG/GA TT BMPR1A TGFB1 Smad3 rs2819863 rs7750470 GC/CC CC rs6672420 rs2135756 TT GG Smad4 Smad3 NFKB1 BMPR1B NFKB1 rs7088641 rs1800469 rs12708492 rs16950687 rs17293443 rs10502913 rs7163381 rs230510 rs13134042 rs4648110 CC AA CT/TT GG CC AA AA AA GA/AA AA 2.94 (1.11, 7.73) 2.76 (1.11, 6.82) 2.75 (1.49, 5.08) 5.05 (1.67, 15.26) 15.17 (1.95, 117.96) 3.30 (1.02, 10.60) 12.01 (1.51, 95.46) 3.99 (1.67, 9.53) 1.75 (1.26, 2.44) 2.97 (1.04, 8.50) 0.0171 0.0373 0.0108 0.0084 0.0086 0.0496 0.0119 0.0216 0.046 0.0375 RUNX2 RUNX3 Rectal cancer HRG, high-risk genotype group. BMPR1B, BMPR1A, TGFbR1 and Smad7; RUNX2 with TGFbR1, Smad3 and Smad7; RUNX3 with NFjB1 and TGFb1 and MAPK1 with BMP4, NFjb1 and TGFbR1. Risk estimates for SNP combinations varied in magnitude of association. For some combinations such as RUNX1 and BMPR1B, the combined risk was 1.33 (95% CI 1.08, 1.64; P interaction 0.024), whereas for others such as MAPK1 and NF-jB1, the risk was considerably greater (OR 3.58 95% CI 1.56, 8.19; P interaction 0.005). For rectal cancer, there were also numerous interactions between candidate genes and other genes in the TGF-b-signaling pathway: RUNX1 interacted with BMPR1A, TFGb1 and SMAD3; RUNX2 interacted with Smad4, Smad3 and NFjB1 and RUNX3 interacted with BMPR1B and NFjB1. Risk estimates were generally much stronger for rectal cancer than for colon cancer, with most interactions showing over a 2-fold increase in risk. Two interactions, RUNX1 and Smad3 and RUNX2 and Smad3, had over a 10-fold increase in risk (OR 15.17 95% CI 1.95, 117.96, P interaction 0.003 and OR 12.01 95% CI 1.51, 95.46, P interaction 0.0098, respectively). Discussion Our data suggest the importance of RUNX, MAPK1 and eIF4E in the etiology of both colon and rectal cancer, although associations generally were stronger for colon than for rectal cancer. Multiple genetic variants appear to have an impact on risk of colon cancer, where associations are greater than that would be expected on an additive scale. Furthermore, our data support the involvement of these genes in the TGF-b-signaling pathway given the findings of interaction between genetic variants in the genes under investigation with other genes in that pathway. Finally, our data emphasize the importance of this signaling pathway in the development of CRC with a CIMPþ phenotype. The TGF-b-signaling pathway plays an important role in numerous conditions including CRC (29). Studies have shown that loss of TGFb growth control is a critical event in tumorigenesis (5). The TGF-b family is involved in cell proliferation, extracellular matrix synthesis, angiogenesis, apoptosis and cell differentiation. The TGF-b family of 324 cytokines contains several related growth factors including TGF-b and its receptors, BMPs and growth differentiation factors. Smads are important to the pathway because they mediate TGF-b signaling. Smad 1, 5 and 6 are more responsive to BMP, whereas Smad 2 and 3 are more responsive to TGF-b. Smad 7 plays an inhibitory role in TGF-b signaling (30). MAPKs, including extracellular signal-regulated kinases, can induce or modulate the outcome of TGF-b signaling (13). RUNX genes have been shown to be involved in TGF-b and BMP signaling. RUNX1 and RUNX3 are involved in carcinogenesis; RUNX2 is a common target of TGF-b1 and BMP-2 and is induced indirectly by Smad (8). eIf4E and its binding proteins appear to be important in converging the TGF-b and AKT signaling pathways. Of the RUNX genes analyzed, the role of RUNX3 is clearest biologically. The adjusted P value for rs667240 for colon cancer was 0.023, further indicating its potential importance. It is a key element in gastrointestinal tract development and is strongly expressed in that tissue (1). In addition to its involvement in the TGFb-signaling pathway, RUNX3 has been shown to attenuate Wnt signaling in intestinal tumorigenesis. It is downregulated in serrated adenomas and hyperplastic polyps. RUNX3 hypermethylation has been identified as a key component in CIMPþ CRC (31,32). This is the first report of an association between genetic variation in this gene and colon and rectal cancer, particularly CIMPþ tumors to our knowledge. However, we also observed associations between RUNX genes and TP53, which may be indicative of involvement in other pathways such as Wnt signaling. This could also explain some of the differences observed between tagSNPs associated with rectal and colon cancer overall. At one end of the spectrum are the CIMPþ/MSIþ phenotypes, which are almost unique to colon cancer, whereas rectal tumors have a higher proportion of TP53 mutations. Differences in associations with different tagSNPs could in part be the result of tumor molecular phenotype differences for colon and rectal cancer. MAPKs are major signaling transduction molecules involved in the regulation of cell proliferation, differentiation and apoptosis (33). MAPK1 is an extracellular signal-regulated kinase, which, when activated through Raf signaling, modulates gene expression by activating Additional support for a TGF-b signaling pathway other transcription factors. In human colon cancer, this pathway includes activated KRAS2 (34). It has been proposed that Ras signaling can inhibit TGF-b signaling via the mitogen-activated protein pathway (13). We observed an independent association between MAPK1 and rectal cancer but not colon cancer. However, for colon cancer, genetic variation in MAPK1 was associated with a greater likelihood of having a CIMPþ and/or MSIþ phenotype. We are not aware of other reports of the association between genetic variation in MAPK1 and risk of colon or rectal cancer, although there is strong biologic support for an association. Expression of the translation initiation factor eIF4E has been shown to be important in colon tumorigenesis (15). eIF4E overexpression can cause neoplastic transformation of cells; overexpression of the inhibitory eIF4E bonding proteins can suppress the oncogenetic properties of cell lines; overexpression of eIF4E has been demonstrated for many solid tumors including colon cancer (15). We observed a statistically significant association between eIF4E and colon cancer overall that remained significant at the 0.02 level after adjusting for multiple comparison. Additionally, we observed that eIF4E bonding proteins were statistically significantly associated with specific tumor phenotypes, primarily those involving CIMPþ tumors. Again, we are not aware of reports of genetic variation in eIF4E and its binding proteins and colon or rectal cancer. Given the biological support for such an association, we encourage others to evaluate these associations. The study has many strengths as well as some limitations. Our ability to examine colon and rectal cancers separately in a well-characterized dataset that includes tumor characteristics as well as lifestyle factors and genetic factors is a major strength. Although our sample size is large, it is limited in power to perform a test/retest analysis. Therefore, we provide adjusted P values for each gene in order to account for the number of tests performed. However, there are limitations with presentation of adjusted P values, in that we report risk estimates rather than P values to indicate associations with our candidate genes. Genes studied were selected based on their role in a biological pathway. Although we have specified these as candidate genes, there is little information on functional SNPs within these genes, hence the use of tagSNPs. We identified tagSNPs, which we believed were the best indicators of risk based on stepwise regression models. We evaluated those tagSNPs together to have a better idea of how genes in the pathway worked together. Our risk estimates for combined genotypes in many instances were imprecise; however, several risk estimates had a lower confidence bound over three. We interpret this as indicating the importance of these genes in the profile of risk associated with this pathway and regard the consistency of the patterns of association similarly. Our results also stress the need for follow-up studies to validate these findings, to determine which SNPs may be functionally involved and to test functionality. It might be expected that once the TGF-b pathway is impaired, further less functional pathway members would not matter and that multiple suboptimal proteins would not result in even additivity in their impact, let alone something greater than additivity. The fact that we report here greater than additivity is important because it suggests that there may be limits to robustness. Robustness was initially defined by Waddington in the context of development; he said: ‘ . developmental reactions, as they occur in organisms submitted to natural selection are, in general, canalized. That is to say, they are adjusted so as to bring about one definite end result, regardless of minor variations in conditions during the course of the reaction’. Furthermore, he argued that the constancy of the wild-type is evidence of the buffering of the genotype against minor variations in genetics and environment (35). More generally, robustness is a property of systems that is characterized by relative insensitivity to the precise values of the component parameters (36). It is not well established how much potentially deleterious variation can accumulate in a pathway before robustness begins to weaken; data are especially lacking for cancer. The fact that we find that a larger number of minor alleles in the same pathway are associated with a greater than additive risk suggests that, at some point, the integrity of the pathway becomes increasingly less robust, as a consequence of which cancer risk begins to rise. It is probably worth noting that the increasing impairment of a developmentally important pathway may indicate loss of morphostatic control over tissue architecture rather than a change involving epithelial mutation (37–39). In summary, we interpret these findings as an indicator of the importance of these genes in the etiology of colon and rectal cancer. We infer from this only the biologic significance of the genes and the pathway, not the specific alleles. The somewhat stronger pattern of association with CIMPþ tumors suggests that they are particularly important in that molecular subset. Supplementary material Supplementary Table 1 can be found at http://carcin.oxfordjournals. org/ Funding National Cancer Institute (CA48998, CA61757). This research also was supported by the Utah Cancer Registry, which is funded by Contract #N01-PC-67000 from the National Cancer Institute, with additional support from the State of Utah Department of Health, the Northern California Cancer Registry and the Sacramento Tumor Registry. Acknowledgements The contents of this manuscript are solely the responsibility of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official view of the National Cancer Institute. We would like to acknowledge the contributions of Sandra Edwards, Roger Edwards, Leslie Palmer, Donna Schaffer, Dr Kristin Anderson and Judy Morse for data management and collection. Conflict of Interest Statement: None declared. References 1. Lund,A.H. et al. (2002) RUNX: a trilogy of cancer genes. Cancer Cell, 1, 213–215. 2. Anglin,I. et al. (2004) Runx protein signaling in human cancers. Cancer Treat. Res., 119, 189–215. 3. Bangsow,C. et al. (2001) The RUNX3 gene—sequence, structure and regulated expression. 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