Consumer Marketing Survey Subscription Sales on the Internet and Digital Developments Study 2010 Actual 2011 Forecast August, 2011 Consumer Marketing – Print and Digital Subscription Sales The Association of Magazine Media distributed the survey in April 2011 with responses received from 20 companies reflecting the experiences of 104 titles (Outliers on some statistics were removed). Not all titles provided information for all questions. 2010 information is based on final results. 2011estimates are based on four months of actual results. Participating Titles All You Food & Wine Motorcycle Classics Runner's World American Cowboy Food Network Muscle & Fitness Scientific American Arts And Crafts Homes Forbes Muscle & Fitness Hers Scientific American Mind Backpacker Fortune National Enquirer Seventeen Better Homes And Gardens ® Gas Engine Magazine National Geographic Kids Shape Black Belt Glamour National Geographic Little Kids Bloomberg Businessweek Globe National Geographic Magazine Si Kids Southern Living Capper's Golf National Geographic Traveler Spin To Win Rodeo Climbing Magazine Good Housekeeping Natural Health Sports Illustrated Coastal Living Cooking Light Gq Natural Home & Garden Star Grit New York Magazine Sunset Cosmopolitan Guideposts Newsweek Magazine The Herb Companion Country Living Harper's Bazaar Old House Interiors The New Yorker Country Weekly Health Old House Journal The Trail Rider Country's Best Cabins Horse & Rider Oprah This Old House Dressage Today Horse Journal Parents Timber Home Living Dwell House Beautiful Time Entertainment Weekly Instyle Equus Ladies Home Journal People People En Espanol People Stylewatch Esquire Log Home Living Popular Mechanics Urban Climbing Magazine Essence Marie Claire Popular Science Utne Reader Family Circle ® Magazine Men's Fitness Practical Horseman Vegetarian Times Farm Collector Men's Health Prevention Veranda Fit Pregnancy Money Reader's Digest Vogue Fitness Magazine More Magazine Real Simple Women's Health Flex Mother Earth News Redbook Yoga Journal 2 Town & Country Travel + Leisure Internet subscriptions represent one out of every five direct to publisher new business sales • • • • • Internet sold orders were 12% of total gross orders sold in 2010 and are forecasted remain flat in 2011 By title, internet sold orders ranged from 1% to 50% of total orders in 2010; from 1% to 44% in 2011 Internet sold DTP new business orders were 20% of all DTP new business and are estimated to be 21% in 2011 By title, DTP new business orders sold online ranged from 3% to 67% in 2010 ; from 2% to 68% in 2011 5% of all renewals sold were sold on the internet ACTUAL 2010 Orders (000s) Gross Internet Sold New Business DTP 7,701 20% 30,594 80% 38,295 100% 8,174 21% 30,759 Renewals DTP 1,594 5% 32,020 95% 33,614 100% 1,636 5% Total DTP 9,295 13% 62,613 87% 71,909 100% 9,810 Agents 3,744 11% 29,523 89% 33,266 100% Grand Totals 13,039 12% 92,136 88% 105,175 100% % of Row Gross Off-line Sold ESTIMATE 2011 % of Row 3 Total % Total Gross Internet Sold % of Row Gross Off-line Sold % of Row Total % Total 79% 38,933 100% 31,730 95% 33,366 100% 14% 62,490 86% 72,299 100% 3,379 10% 30,602 90% 33,980 100% 13,188 12% 93,091 88% 106,280 100% The internet has become the largest source of new business subscriptions for 20% of titles Largest New Biz Source Internet: *Offline Source: % of Titles 19% 81% * Non-internet related DTP sold internet orders are expected to grow 6% in 2011 • • • • Growth in DTP volume offsets 10% reduction in internet agent sold subs DTP new business sales accounted for 59% of internet activity last year & growing 6% in 2011 Internet renewal subs are 12% of internet sold in both 2010 &2011 Agent orders represented 29% of internet orders in 2010 & is estimated to be 26% this year INTERNET SOLD Orders (000’s) New Business DTP Renewals DTP Total DTP 2010 7,701 59% 1,594 12% 9,295 71% Est. 2011 8,174 62% 1,636 12% 9,810 74% Agents 3,744 29% 3,379 26% (365) Grand Totals 13,039 100% 13,188 100% 149 4 +/( - ) 473 41 514 % Change 6% 3% 6% -10% 1% New business online orders really are new • • As the internet has matured as a source of subs, the % new orders has come more into line with other sources like agents or insert cards By title, the range of underlying renewals was 0-48% % New 88%* 87%* Actual 2010: Estimated 2011: *Outlier titles removed Internet new business orders are primarily sold on publisher websites • • • • • Publishers have focused extensively on internet sales from their own web pages: in 2010 52% of internet new business orders came from editorial sites, slightly decreasing to 49% this year Email subscriptions from internal and external lists generate 14% growing to 17% of new business orders Internal cross-sells and upsells are estimated to fall from 15% of production to 12% Search engine marketing is growing rapidly from 7% of subs in 2010 to 10% in 2011 Third party sites and affiliates represent 2% of subscription sales as does Co-Registration Internet DTP New Business Orders New Business Orders (000’s) Editorial websites Email - internal lists Email - external third party lists Other internal - cross selling, upsells and offline to online Other direct to publisher third parties (i.e. partnerships/affiliates) Search Engine Marketing Co-Registration Other DTP Total 5 2010 +/(-) (19) 260 48 % Change 0% 25% 78% 3,997 1,025 62 52% 13% 1% 2011 3,977 49% 1,284 16% 110 1% 1,134 15% 1,002 12% (132) -12% 184 523 137 640 2% 7% 2% 8% 190 847 49 715 2% 10% 1% 9% 6 324 (88) 75 3% 62% -64% 12% 7,701 100% 8,174 100% 473 6% Amazon and Magazines.com are the major internet agent sources despite reductions in usage • Amazon is forecasted to lose almost twice the volume as Magazines.com from 2010 to 2011 • The two largest agents are expected to produce near to identical volumes in 2011 Internet Agent New Business Orders New Business Orders (000’s) Amazon Magazines.com Other Agents 906 753 2,064 24% 20% 55% 637 617 2,105 Total 3,723 100% 3,358 2010 19% 18% 63% +/(-) (269) (136) 40 % Change -30% -18% 2% 100% (364) -10% 2011 The mix of on-line renewal channels is expected to remain stable • • • By title the mix of renewal sources ranged from 0-100% website sold Email also ranges from 0-100% of the orders by title Other sources account for as much as 84% of the orders by title Internet Renewal Orders Renewal Orders Editorial websites Email Other 2010 44% 38% 18% 2011 43% 38% 19% Total 100% 100% % Change -2% 0% 4% 6 New business pay up rates are increasing across virtually all internet sources • • • • Only Other DTP third party efforts are estimated to have lower payment in 2011 Titles’ own efforts – cross-sells and search engine marketing are the best paying DTP sources Third party email list and Other DTP third parties are the worst paying sources. Magazines.com and other agent payment has improved about 10 points Internet New Business Pay up Rates* 2010 Editorial websites Email - internal lists Email - external third party lists Other internal - cross selling, upsells and offline to online Other direct to publisher third parties (i.e. partnerships/affiliates) Search Engine Marketing Co-Registration Other DTP Amazon Magazines.com Other Agents Total 2011 Gross 3,997 1,024 Net 2,261 591 Pay up % 57% 58% 61 17 28% 73 23 32% 1,133 761 67% 621 441 71% 184 523 137 638 865 715 1,808 11,085 119 348 31 546 850 563 1,391 7,479 65% 67% 23% 86% 98% 79% 77% 67% 125 559 32 468 611 588 1,896 8,449 58 379 9 402 598 515 1,700 6,399 46% 68% 29% 86% 98% 88% 90% 76% *Volumes reflect only titles that reported payment 7 Gross 2,627 848 Net 1,728 547 Pay up % 66% 65% 40% of the responding titles are using social media as a subscription source. • • 2011 will be the first year with significant gross sub volumes The number of titles reporting social media sub sales in 2011 increased by 56% versus 2010 Social Media as a Subscription Source Social Media as a Subscription Source % Titles using Soc. Media Act 2010 Gross Subs sold Est 2011 Gross Subs Sold % Growth 2011 vs 2010 2011 Survey 39% 16 148 925% Facebook and Twitter are used by the most titles but Deal of the Day sites are growing • • Deal of the Day sites came into broad usage in 2011 with 37% of respondents using at least one Other Social Media used include YouTube and Group Commerce Social Media Outlets Used % of Responding Titles Using Social Media Outlets Facebook Twitter Groupon Living Social Other Deal of the Day sites Other Social Media 8 2010 44% 33% 4% 1% 5% 1% 2011 55% 44% 33% 31% 19% 3% Three quarters of the titles are offering Digital Editions in 2011 • • In 2010 more than half offered digital editions for both subscriptions and single copy sales Three quarters of the respondents will have digital editions in 2011 Use of Digital Editions Digital Editions % selling subs % selling single copies 2010 60% 60% 2011 77% 74% % Change 27% 24% Titles are offering subscriptions to digital editions through multiple channels • • Apple has shown the most growth in 2011 due to the introduction of subscription sales on the iPad Many titles listed other channels including Nook, Kindle and HP Subscription Channels for Digital Editions % of Responding Titles Using Channel to Sell Subs Zinio Texterity Apple Android Blackberry Nook Kobo Other 9 2010 45% 9% 6% 3% 1% NA 1% 14% 2011 56% 5% 22% 13% 10% 26% 7% 41% Zinio and Apple are the channels used by most titles for single copy sales • • Most channels are growing significantly in single copy sale usage Other channels mentioned are Nook, Kindle and HP Single Copy Channels for Digital Editions % of Responding Titles Using Channel to Sell Single Copies 2010* 38% Zinio 9% Texterity 15% Apple 3% Android 1% Blackberry NA Nook 0% Kobo 14% Other *Titles can use multiple channels 2011* 55% 4% 27% 7% 4% 25% 2% 34% Use of both replica and enhanced digital editions is growing • • • In 2010 61% of titles offered replica editions, in 2011 76% produce them Enhanced editions were sold by 20% in 2010 increasing to 34% in 2011 Over a third of respondents had digital editions that were neither replicas or enhanced in 2010 Types of Digital Editions Offered % of Responding Titles Using Channel to Sell Single Copies Replica Edition Enhanced Edition Both Replica and Enhanced None of the above 10 2010 46% 5% 15% 34% 2011 48% 6% 28% 18% Consumer marketing has complete or partial responsibility for audience development at a majority of surveyed titles. • • 70% are completely or partially responsible for generating and/ or tracking web traffic Responsibility is shared at the majority of titles Circulation Responsibility for Audience Completely responsible: Partially responsible: Not at all responsible: 2011 Survey % 7% 63% 30% Website Traffic is growing 8% • • Almost 160 million monthly uniques came to respondents’ websites in 2010 On average about 2 million visited each title’s site monthly Monthly Unique Visitors Avg. Visitors Total Visitors 2010 1,942,505 161,805,774 11 2011 2,104,504 175,198,809 % Change 8% 8% Survey Summary • Internet subscriptions represent one out of every five direct to publisher new business sales • The internet has become the largest source of new business subscriptions for 20% of titles • DTP sold internet orders are expected to grow 6% in 2011 and Agent sold internet orders decline by 10% • New business pay up rates are increasing across virtually all internet sources • 40% of the responding titles are using social media as a subscription source • Facebook and Twitter are used by the most titles but Deal of the Day sites are growing • Three quarters of the titles are offering Digital Editions in 2011 • Zinio and Apple are the channels used by most titles for single copy sales • Use of both replica and enhanced digital editions is growing with ¾ having replicas and over a third having enhanced editions in 2011 • Titles are offering subscriptions to digital editions through multiple channels with Zinio, Apple and Nook used by most • Consumer marketing has complete or partial responsibility for audience development at 70% of surveyed titles • Website Traffic is growing 8% despite all the digital edition activity 12
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