Effect of hosting a major world sporting event on countries with infrastructures SAMUEL YOHANNES UNIV 200 RESEARCH ILLUSTRATION VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH UNIVERSITY Subtopics • Financial Contexts • Was the financial impact on the nation’s economy further toward the positive side of improvement or the negative side of decline? • Social Contexts • Did the nation’s social living standard for lower class or middle class citizens improve, as well did their social standing within the world improve? • Governmental/Political Contexts • Did government officials or other higher executives/shot callers in charge of the construction of structures use the event in any way for their own personal gain, whether political or financial, negatively effecting the life of the regular citizens? SYNTHESIS - Was the financial impact on the nation’s economy further toward the positive side of improvement or the negative side of decline? “Advantages of hosting a major event” by Tejvan Pettinger is an article that separates the advantages and disadvantages of hosting a major world sporting event into two sections. While the Advanatages shows benefits in different types of contexts, the entire disadvantages section is filled with financial info. It states that negative financial effects range from the cost of building stadiums, to short term uses, to even the cost of security. Next, “Is it worth it?” by Andrew Zimbalist is a piece of writing that answers this question by splitting into positives and negatives of wining the event bid. It breaks into detail on how planning can make the difference in whether or not the inflow of money can be of benefit or can lead to an increase in long term debt. It then shows examples of how this happens with five different Olympics. Lastly, “The Announcement Impact of Hosting the FIFA World Cup on Host Country Stock Markets” by Bijen Ramdas and Reinette gives more insight into the question by speaking about the effects of the winning bid on the stock markets of those countries. Like the previous article, it uses five examples to showcase the differences in stock price changes between the different countries and how the previous social and economic standings contribute to those changes. These three articles are beneficial in my argument that the effects of the events on the host countries are usually more detrimental than positive, due to a lack of proper planning. While outlining the financial positives, each article specifically articulates that the negatives usually outweigh them, regardless of the positive or negative state of the country. “ADVANTAGES OF HOSTING A MAJOR EVENT” CONT. “Advantages of hosting a major event” was written by Tejvan Pettinger. He lives in Oxford where he works as an Economics teacher (A Level students) at Greenes College and formerly with Cherwell College, Oxford. Pettinger studied PPE at Lady Margaret Hall, Oxford University, gaining a 2:1. This article is split into a positives of hosting the event and the negatives of hosting the event. While the positive side is spilt between social positives and financial positives, the negative side is filled completely with the negative financial effects. Those mentioned were the cost of building stadiums, the short term use of those stadiums, the potential for negative publicity, the cost of higher security, and lastly, the higher taxes required to be able to pay the cost. The first negative financial effect I want to talk about is the higher tax rate on the citizens. This stems from all the programs that the government needs to initiate in order to be able to accommodate the incoming travelers. That includes housing improvements, transportation improvements, structural and security improvements, and as a segway, the cost of the newly stadiums. The cost of building those new stadiums in the present time, varies depending on the its location and features, but usually always has a price tag of a couple hundred million dollars. After those expensive stadiums have been built, they are used for the month long event, and not all, but most are not used again. Most notably, the Johannesburg stadium in south Africa is known now for being a vacant, unused stadium. Another cost mentioned was the cost of security. With the worlds jump to globalization and the internet being a sort of eagle eye, the government officials are forced to invest much more money into new ways of keeping everyone involved in the event safe and out of harms way as best they can. And finally, the possibility of negative publicity can be an indirect effect of low funding for the event. If the government cannot gather the money to support any one of the needed programs, it could be found as cutting corners, and lead to negative publicity. Or worse, because they aren’t able to support those programs, the well being of those taking part in this massive event, could be effected, whether physically or mentally. “IS IT WORTH IT?” CONT. Andrew Zimbalist, the author of “Is it worth it?”, is a Robert A. Woods Professor of Economics at Smith College in north Hampton Massachusetts. Hosting a large sporting event potentially offers both direct and indirect economic benefits. With proper planning, hosting a large event can serve as a catalyst for the construction of modern transportation, communications, and sports infrastructure, which generally benefits less developed areas more. However, this article is split into a positives section and a negatives section. In which, it helps to argue heavily on the twice as long negatives section, that proper planning is rarely used during the games. This means that the average revenue of 4-5 billion dollars, is usually over shadowed and not handled properly, because the money used for the games is not allocated properly to help out its respected areas. This is usually where the gaps begin, from the beginning where the plan doesn’t fit properly. The article provides information, based on the results from different Olympic games. The Barcelona Olympics left the central Spanish government $4 billion in debt, the Japanese government were left with an $11 billion debt, during the 2009 Athens games public investment exceeded $10 billion, and in Beijing, it exceeded more than $40 billion. THE ANNOUNCEMENT IMPACT OF HOSTING THE FIFA WORLD CUP ON HOST COUNTRY STOCK MARKETS Bijen Ramdas and Reinette van Gaalen are professors at the University of Johannesburg in South Africa. This study is an investigation of the impact of hosting the FIFA World Cup soccer tournament on the stock market of the host country when the tournament is announced. The sample under examination for this study consists of the 6 FIFA World Cups. They were the Japan world cup, the Germany world cup, the USA world cup, the South Africa world cup, the France world cup, and the South Korea world cup. It is found that country stock markets react differently to the announcement of the tournament. One finding that seemed to outline the entire case studies experiment was that South Africa appeared to show a positive trend in stock returns at the tournament announcement date, while Japan showed a decline in daily stock returns a day after the announcement of the tournament, even though the higher GDP economy was Japan. Regardless though, it is found that for the tournament announcement, most countries show insignificant, negative cumulative abnormal stock returns for different event windows, between the period 1994 and 2010. Findings like this helped to craft a conclusion that the positive economic effects identified with the FIFA World Cup, do not necessarily translate into a positive reaction on stock market returns, for both shorter and longer time horizons. SYNTHESIS - Did the nation’s social living standard for lower class or middle class citizens improve, as well did their social standing within the world improve? “Along came a mega-event: prospects of competitiveness for a 2010 FIFA World Cup host city” by Elizabeth Ann Kruger∗ and Ernest Thomas Heath focuses on how countries can (if possible) use the one event to bring a major increase to their tourism, leading to an increase in social living standards as well as how they are perceived by the world. An increase in tourism leads to an increase in money inflow, which in most cases translates to the opportunity and obligation to increase living standards for the current citizens as well as the tourist. Next, the article “Psychic income and social capital among host nation residents: A pre–post analysis of the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa” by Willie Coetzee, Sue Geldenhuys, Kyriaki Kaplanidou, Brijesh Thapa, Matthew Walker, and Heather J. Gibson spoke on the difference in social change from pre the event to a couple months post the event and the social change in the longer term (year after the event). Factors of this study included government spending, tourism effects, as well as the feel-good or euphoric feeling factor from the people of that country. It ties together to show if social change is really relevant after the end of the games. Lastly, the piece “The 2010 FIFA World Cup and South Africa: A study of longer-term effects and moderators of country reputation” by Jami Fullerton and Derina Holtzhausen explains the survey conducted by the two writers on 1200 ameiricans who had been to the 2010 South African World Cup. They documented their previous junctions and ideals about south Africa and then compared those to there post world cup thoughts. The focus of the survey was to see how long increases in affection towards South Africa lasted. Overall, these three pieces vocalize how the increase of tourism is never substantial enough to change a country’s overall world social capital, and how the social living standard within the country doesn’t see as much change as people believe it does. “ALONG CAME A MEGA-EVENT: PROSPECTS OF COMPETITIVENESS FOR A 2010 FIFA WORLD CUP HOST CITY” CONT. Elizabeth Ann Kruger and Ernest Thomas Heath are part of the Department of Tourism Management at the University of Pretoria in Pretoria, South Africa. This article’s main focus is on how a major event effects the tourism on a host country, which in this case is South Africa. Within this, it aimed to determine whether a mega-event would make a greater or lesser contribution to the long-term competitiveness of the host destination given the extent to which it was being. Existing literature on destination competitiveness and mega-events was sited to identify relevant issues that would have to be addressed at this level such as previous tourism and social standing reports of the country, as well as reports based on surrounding countries. Qualitative and quantitative data were collected from the host city on the eve of the 2010 World Cup to place these issues into perspective. The experimental findings indicate how a mega-event can contribute to the competitiveness of a destination if it is formed within a broader event strategy. This means that the necessary leadership must be in place to facilitate this. Ultimately, this article helps to argue that no tourism destination is guaranteed longterm competitiveness by being offered the once-off opportunity to host a major international event. Instead, the competitiveness is determined by the history of the government and the decisions it has made. “PSYCHIC INCOME AND SOCIAL CAPITAL AMONG HOST NATION RESIDENTS: A PRE–POST ANALYSIS OF THE 2010 FIFA WORLD CUP IN SOUTH AFRICA” CONT. “Psychic income and social capital among host nation residents: A pre–post analysis of the 2010 FIFA World Cup in South Africa” is an article written by Willie Coetzee, Sue Geldenhuys, Kyriaki Kaplanidou, Brijesh Thapa, Matthew Walker, Heather J. Gibson who are instructors and professors at the university of Florida, Texas A&M University, and Tshwane University of Technology. This study examined perceptions of psychic income and social capital among South African residents prior to, and following, the 2010 FIFA World Cup. Psychic income is “a measure of event-related pride/euphoria and social capital is a proxy for social cohesion”. The results of this study suggest that the event did increase the ‘feel good factor’ but the long-term contribution of the event to an improved social fabric appears negligible at this stage. The euphoric feeling with hosting world cup seemed to wear off after a couple months subsequent to the event. The government programs initiated to improve social issues in their society, seemed to also fall behind, resulting in an addition to the wear off the feel-good factor. Also mentioned was how the lack of contact with the locals who these programs directly effect, contributed to the lack of planning and thus the downfall of the possibility of a long term increase in social capital. “THE 2010 FIFA WORLD CUP AND SOUTH AFRICA: A STUDY OF LONGER-TERM EFFECTS AND MODERATORS OF COUNTRY REPUTATION” “The 2010 FIFA World Cup and South Africa: A study of longer-term effects and moderators of country reputation” was written by Dr. Jami Fullerton and Dr. Derina Holtzhausen. Dr. Jami Fullerton is a professor in the School of Media and Strategic Communications and holds the Peggy Layman Welch Endowed Chair in Strategic Communications at Oklahoma State University. Dr. Derina Holtzhausen is a professor and director of the School of Media and Strategic Communications at Oklahoma State University. The authors did a study on 1200 US adults who went to South Africa for the world cup and their perceptions of south Africa after the world cup. In addition, moderating variables including travel behavior, knowledge, information processing and information seeking were examined between the people involved in the study. It showed that “increases in affection toward south Africa were achieved after the world cup deteriorated over the one-year span after the event”. Also determined was that a countries’ reputation is determined by years of control by the government and cannot really be changed through one event. Additionally noticed was, dimensions of leadership increased only slightly after the World Cup and maintained that level in the longer term, while aspects of culture remained stable throughout. Ultimately, this article list that researchers in the past warned about reputation decay after hosting a mega-event and argues that if there is no follow-up communication or marketing strategy (plan), that a host country will be very susceptible to it. And with no proper plan South African leaders cannot address issues of poverty, disease and violence in the country itself or distance themselves from actions that portray poor leadership, no mega-event will improve the country's reputation. SYNTHESIS - Did regional and civil elites or other higher executives/shot callers in charge of the construction use the event in any way for their own personal gain, whether political or financial, negatively effecting the life of the regular citizens? The first article mentioned, “Why should you pay to host a party? An economic analysis of hosting sports megaevents” by Heather Mitchell and Mark Fergusson Stewart gives the reader great insight into how the world cup bidding process can be detrimental to a country and especially how politicians use it and the actual event for political gain. Borrowing off of the previous subtopic of social improvements, the feel-good factor or euphoric feeling created from an event comes into play here, with its influences being used by the politicians for their political gains. Next, the writing “The Global Politics of Sports Mega-Events: Underestimated costs and overestimated benefits? Comparing the outcomes of sports mega-events in Canada and Japan” by David Whitson & John Horne provides by mapping out how civil and regional elites make decisions that they believe will help their community, but instead, are blinded by the opportunity to show off that community, ultimately worsening that same very community or area. As the article provides insight into other consequences of the games, it hones in on the governmental context. Between the two articles listed for this context, this particular one seems to directly answer the question in play. Combined however, these pieces help me to show that yes, those in power and control over the events, did in fact use the games for their own personal gain, negatively effecting the life of the regular citizens. “WHAT SHOULD YOU PAY TO HOST A PARTY? AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF HOSTING SPORTS MEGA-EVENTS” CONT. Heather Mitchell and Mark Fergusson Stewart are professors in Finance and Marketing at the School of Economics, at RMIT University in Melbourne, Australia. This article give me the first glimpse into the governmental/political context in that it spoke on how politicians capitalize on the major sporting events. If a politician wins the bid, then they bring to the table on election day, “I won the bid for the people”. It then presents evidence that shows that these sports contests make people happy, and argues that politicians capitalize on this feel-good factor created from the event; harnessing the hubris associated with these events for political gain. The article then contends that the best way to reduce the politics associated with bidding for mega-events is to allocate them via an auction, rather than the wasteful rent-seeking methods that are currently used. Because the people of the country don’t know the true cost of games or even the money involved in the bidding process, they blindly follow the politician into thinking about how amazing the games in their own country would be. This is the roots of the financial issues created by these games. Countries that aren’t adequately equipped for handling the games, end up with the rights. “THE GLOBAL POLITICS OF SPORTS MEGA-EVENTS: UNDERESTIMATED COSTS AND OVERESTIMATED BENEFITS? COMPARING THE OUTCOMES OF SPORTS MEGA-EVENTS IN CANADA AND JAPAN” CONT. This article states that urban and regional governments compete with one another to offer incentives to private developers of sports and entertainment complexes, and even entire downtown entertainment districts, in the belief that this is the best way to bring investment, shopping, and vitality back to decaying downtowns. As a result, developers of professional sports venues and other upscale entertainment facilities have been able to extract public subsidies and tax holidays from governments anxious for their business, even while the same governments have been cutting back spending on social services. Because the government officials think that this will increase the positive energy and outlook on the community, they continue to invest in it, not knowing that the opportunity cost on the community is higher than the possible return. The example that this piece uses to best portray this finding, is the 1976 Montreal Games. This was an event that was plagued highly with officials trying to lure major construction and architectural players to their area in order to increase positive outlook on the designated area. In conclusion, the writing later speaks on the unsuccessful bid of Toronto for the 1996 Olympic games. A core of social democratic Toronto Councilors worked with city officials to develop what came to be called the ‘Toronto Olympic Commitment’, a document that committed Toronto to fulfilling a number of social objectives, in the event that the city was awarded the Games. This was subject to much contrevsery due to the fact the major world sporting events require exponential amounts of investment from the host country. Ultimately, the group, made up of major retail heads as well as real estate and construction players, who designed the plan, did not have their way, leading to the benefit of the community.
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