Base Capacity Estimation of Four Lane Divided Urban Carriageways under Mixed Traffic Conditions Abstract: In India, the rapid boom in industrial and economic development in the urban areas has led to increased mobility in urban areas. Due to the above, there is an exponential growth in the number of vehicles plying on the roads. In urban areas the magnitude and nature of traffic flow will be different from rural areas. In this regard, knowledge of the roadway capacity is an important parameter for planning, analysis and operation of roadway systems. Passenger car unit is the factor used for the conversion of mixed traffic into a common unit by keeping the passenger car as reference vehicle. It may be noted that the lane capacity provided in IRC (1990) is obsolete due to the fact rapid strides has been witnessed during the last decade in the road engineering and vehicle technology on the urban roads of India. The above radical changes can be attributed as the primary reason for the increase in the roadway capacity as compared to the values reported in IRC: 106 (1990). Highway capacity manuals (HCM) from developed countries may lead to serious prediction errors of traffic performance if applied directly in developing countries like India, due to homogeneity condition and lane following behaviour in developed countries. In this paper, four lane divided road sections located in different urban cities in India are considered and the basic traffic parameters like speed, density and flow are estimated and related. Keywords: Capacity, Passenger car unit, Operating Speed and Urban Roads. _______________________________________________________________ 1. Introduction In India, the rapid boom in industrial and economic development in the urban areas has led to increased mobility in urban areas. Due to the above, there is an exponential growth in the number of vehicles plying on the roads. In urban areas the magnitude and nature of traffic flow will be different from rural areas. In this regard, knowledge of the roadway capacity is an important parameter for planning, analysis and operation of roadway systems. Passenger car unit is the factor used for the conversion of mixed traffic into a common unit by keeping the passenger car as reference vehicle. The Highway Capacity Manual (HCM) 2000 defines capacity as the maximum number of vehicles that can pass a given point during a specified period under prevailing roadway, traffic, and control conditions. Highway capacity manuals (HCM) from developed countries may lead to serious prediction errors of traffic performance if applied in developing countries like India, due to the absence of homogeneity in traffic conditions as well as the absence of lane adherence concept due to driver heterogeneity. This is because the traffic composition and traffic flow in India is vastly different from each other. This may be due to the absence of lane discipline and the presence of diverse variety of vehicles ranging from smaller sized motorized vehicles starting from two wheelers to larger sized vehicles like multi axial goods vehicles share the same road space with the non-motorised vehicles like bicycles, cycle rickshaws and sometimes animal drawn vehicles. Due to these unusual conditions the parameters like lane utility, speed, capacity reduces drastically. Prediction and knowledge of capacity for the heterogeneous traffic conditions will provide the basis for determining the lane width and number of lanes to be provided at any point in a road network with respect to the volume and composition of mixed traffic. They are valuable tools for the evaluation of the investments needed for future road construction and improvements, and for determining priorities between the competing projects. Apart from other parameters, capacity is greatly influenced by roadway and driver conditions. Frictional factors like lane width, lateral clearance, width of shoulders, horizontal and vertical alignment of the road, presence of kerb side bus stops, pedestrian crossing, cross roads, etc., will have much influence in the capacity of the roads. Lane and shoulder widths can have a substantial impact on traffic flow. On narrow lanes, vehicles travel closer to each other laterally. This may reduce their speed or increase the longitudinal gaps. The capacity is reduced in the situations where ever the ideal condition does not exist. 2. Literature Review Conversion of heterogeneous traffic into a stream of homogeneous one by using appropriate Passenger Car Equivalency (PCE) values is an elementary step for analysing mixed traffic on urban roads. There are several methods available for the determination of Passenger Car Units (PCUs) namely, headway method, homogenization, coefficient, semi-empirical method, Walker’s method, and so on. Static PCU values were proposed in IRC: 106 (1990) based on the percentage of each category of vehicles for the conversion. However, It may be noted that the lane capacity provided in IRC (1990) is obsolete due to the fact rapid strides has been witnessed during the last decade in the road engineering and vehicle technology on the urban roads of India. Moreover, the traffic stream parameters such as vehicular composition, speed and physical size of vehicle would largely influence the PCU value of a particular vehicle type. Tiwari G et.al (2000) argued that by adjusting the density method, it is possible to handle heterogeneous traffic and one can derive more accurate passenger car units for Indian conditions and the data showed the 85th percentile distribution width of each traffic type can serve as a more accurate measure than the marked lane width when traffic is heterogeneous. Thereafter, it was proposed that the PCU under heterogeneous traffic conditions was proposed to be dynamic in nature by establishing a relationship between speed ratio and area ratio of the subject vehicle (Chandra, et al, 2004). Brooks R. (2010) determined the PCU values by taking the impedance caused by a vehicle as the basis. Chandra and Upendra, (2003) estimated capacity of a 7.2 m wide carriageway as 2818 PCU/h which is quite close to the value of 2,800 PCU/h given in HCM (1994) but lower than the value of 3,200 PCU/h as taken in HCM (2000). Highway Capacity Manual (HVM) study in China (1999), yielded the base capacity for four lane divided carriageways as 3200 PCUs per hour. IRC106-1990 provided the design service volume of 3600 PCUs per hour. By using enveloping curve technique for speed and flow, the capacity of four lane divided road was found to vary between 3200 - 5300 PCUs per hour for Delhi and 3300 - 5850 PCUS per hour for Mumbai roads respectively (CRRI, 1988). A comparison of the evolved roadway capacity of four lane divided urban roads in Thailand and India yielded the capacity values in the range of 2810 - 3010 PCUs per hour and 2239 - 3018 PCUs per hour respectively, (Sinha,2012). Simulation model called HETEROSIM was used to derive PCU values for different vehicle types and the capacity for one direction of movement of a level four-lane divided road with 8.75 m wide road space is about 4600 PCU per hour (Arkatkar, 2011). Dhamaniya and Chandra, 2014 provided capacity values for four lane divide roads in the range of 2964 - 4086 PCUs per hour and derived the relation between lane capacity and operating speed with second degree polynomial trend with the best fit of Rsquare value as 0.98. Himes and Donnell (2010) studied the effect of geometric design features and traffic flow on operating speeds on four-lane highways. 3. Study Area This paper covers only four lane divided urban roads. Divided roads are characterized by the presence of medians, which are permanent barriers to separate conflicting traffic lanes. The candidate sections were categorized as base / ideal test sections after a thorough reconnaissance study of several roads in the cities of Delhi (DL), Mumbai (MU), Nagpur (NG), Kolkata (KL), and Roorkee (ROK). To categorize a road section as a ideal / base section, it need to conform to the criteria of the absence of intersection, bus stops, parked vehicles, pedestrian movement and any other side friction for about 200m on either direction of travel. The above selected test sections across varying cities exhibited wide variations in proportions of different categories of vehicles. Table 1 furnishes the details of study location. Location Idealism Land Use Carriageway Width (m) Friction Type FLD1_DL Yes Commercial 7 Ideal FLD2_ROK Yes Commercial 7 Ideal FLD3_ROK Yes Commercial 7 Ideal FLD4_NG Yes Commercial 7 Ideal FLD5_NG Yes Commercial 7 Ideal FLD6_ROK Yes Residential 7 Ideal FLD7_ROK Yes Residential 7 Ideal Table 1: Details of the Location 4. Data Collection The data were collected on the above mentioned test section through videography method covering both peak and non-peak hours of traffic flow during morning and evening hours. Videos collected in different locations were decoded to deduce the data on traffic volume and speed based on the longitudinal trap length which is marked in each location. Figure 1 show the composition of vehicles for a typical location. It can be observed from the Figure 1 traffic composition is dominated by cars in major metropolitan cities. Traffic composition (FLD_1) LCV, 0.7 Mini Bus Buses, 2.4 Truck, 0.3 , 0.3 Cycles, 0.2 Two Wheelers, 23.1 Big Cars, 23.0 Three Wheelers, 8.2 Small Cars, 41.8 Figure 11I Traffic Composition at Typical Location (FLD1_DL) 5. Estimation of PCU By deriving the relation between the speed and flow, capacity of any type of road section is calculated. In this basic relationship flow is measured in PCU per hour. Generally by consider considering ing the passenger car as common vehicle the equivalent unit is derived for all other types of vehicles that are called as Passenger assenger Car Unit (PCU). In this study speed ratio by area ratio, developed by Chandra and Kumar (2004)) is used for the determination of PCU. This method is well known as Chandra’s method. Since speed is one of the basic parameter which represent the true traffic characteristics. Following equation gives the mathematical representation of this method Vc * Vi PCUi = ---------Ac * Ai Where: PCUi = PCU of ith vehicle Vc = speed of passenger car Vi = speed of ith vehicle whose PCU is going to be derived Ac = projected area of the passenger car Ai = projected area of ith vehicle whose PCU is going to be derived The passenger car unit determined for the candidate test sections is tabulated in Table 2. 2 The higher values of PCUs for HCV may be attributed to the low proportion of the goods vehicle due to entry restriction in vogue at the time of data collection ction in all the cities. Moreover, the higher PCU values for Bus can be attributed to the fact speed of the buses is too low Location name TW 3W Small Cars Big Cars Mini bus/jeep/temp o traveller Buses LCV Truck FLD_1 0.22 0.93 1.00 1.78 4.16 8.70 2.31 4.50 FLD_2 0.29 1.21 1.00 1.79 4.05 7.28 2.53 5.02 FLD_3 0.28 1.10 1.00 1.71 2.77 6.82 2.45 FLD_4 0.22 0.92 1.00 1.71 2.55 6.05 FLD_5 0.23 0.92 1.00 1.69 2.49 FLD_6 0.25 1.03 1.00 1.77 FLD_7 0.24 1.00 1.00 1.67 Avg 0.25 1.02 1.00 1.73 HCV Tractor 4.41 6.92 6.24 2.16 4.32 5.37 4.39 5.82 2.12 3.58 5.39 4.06 2.52 6.69 2.24 4.06 2.74 7.50 2.15 4.09 3.04 6.98 2.28 4.28 5.89 4.90 Table 2 Passenger Car Unit (PCU) for study locations 6. Estimation of capacity Deriving the relationship between the basic traffic parameters like speed, density and flow would help to determine capacity of any road section. In this study best fitting models were chosen for developing relationship between speed and density and therea thereafter the capacity is determined based on Speed - Flow low relationship which is derived based on the speed and density relation. In order to derive the relation between speed and flow for heterogeneous condition, the observed volume is converted in single equi equivalent valent unit by multiplying with PCU given in Table 2. Different models like Greenshield, Greenberg and Underwood models were attempted while fitting the speed - density relationship as shown in Figure 2. Based on the R2 value, the best fitting model was selected for the determination of capacity from speed - flow relationship. The speed-flow flow relation for typical section is shown in Figure 3. Table 3 provides the best fitting models and derived capacity for each test section. Speed Speed-Density Relation(FLD_1) Speed-Density Density models 70 Linear (Speed--Density models) Expon. (Speed-Density (Speed models) Log. (Speed-Density Density models) 60 Speed (kmph) 50 40 30 y = -0.183x 0.183x + 56.31 R² = 0.633 20 10 y = 68.19e-0.00x R² = 0.725 0 -10 0 200 100 300 400 y = -26.9ln(x) 26.9ln(x) + 161.6 R² = 0.733 Density (PCU/km) Figure 2: Speed-Density relationship for typical location 70 Speed Speed-Flow Relation (FLD_1) Speed (kmph) 60 50 40 30 Field Data 20 Modelled Data Capacity = 4181 PCU/hr 10 0 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 Flow (PCU/hr) Figure 3 Speed-Flow relationship for typical location Location name R square Equation Model FLD_1 y = 68.196 e -0.006x 0.7257 Underwood FLD_2 y = -0.4084x + 83.286 0.1443 Greenshield FLD_3 y = -0.4175x + 80.616 0.1143 Greenshield FLD_4 y = 63.53 e -0.0069x 0.2497 Underwood FLD_5 y = 67.357 e -0.0074x 0.4598 Underwood FLD_6 y = -0.2032x + 56.747 0.047 Greenshield Capacity (PCU/hr) 2972 3242 3147 3666 2912 2907 Operating speed (kmph) Average Capacity (PCU/hr) Average Operating speed (kmph) 1570 64 69 79 76 52 52 61 Table 3: Speed-Density Model and Capacity Lane Capacity (PCU/hr/lane) Since the operating speed of the vehicles will have an impact on the capacity, it was felt prudent to develop a relationship between operating speeds of the vehicles plying in each test sections and the derived lane capacity. Basically, Operating Speeds were determined from the 85th percentile speed of free flow speed of Standard Cars at each candidate test section. As such, a standard car (or any vehicle) is assumed as free flowing when it has headway of 8 seconds or more to the vehicle ahead and 5 seconds or more to the vehicle behind in the same traffic lane (HCM, 2010). Figure 4 shows the relation between the operating speed and capacity of different candidate test sections. 2500 2000 1500 y = 14.22x + 1001. R² = 0.731 1000 500 0 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 Operating Speed (kmph) Figure 4: Operating Speed vs Capacity 7. Summary and Conclusion The analysis of this study is based only on field data that has collected on different parts of India. During the collection almost all vehicle types that are plying in Indian urban rods are considered. Following are the result/findings from the present study: • In the case of two wheelers and three wheelers, the PCU values obtained in this study are 0.25 and 1.02 respectively, which is lesser than the values given in IRC: 106 (1990) • In the case of heavy vehicles like LCV and Heavy Commercial Vehicles, the PCU values obtained in this study are 2.28 and 4.28 respectively, which is greater than the values given in IRC: 106 (1990). But in the case of tractors, the value of is found to be consistent with the reported value in IRC: 106 (1990). • From this study it has been found that the capacity of four lane urban roads is given as and the average lane capacity is found to be 1570 PCU/hr/lane. This also shows that the increase in capacity as compared to 3600 PCU/hr in IRC: 106 (1990). • The average operating speed of four lane urban arterial road is found to be 64 kmph. • The linear relationship have to derived between operating speed and capacity with an R2 value of 0.731 and the equation which showing the relationship is given below Lane capacity = 14.222 (Operating speed) + 1001.4 • From the relation between operating speed and lane capacity it shows the marginal increase in operating speed when there is increase in lane capacity. • In the relation between speed and density, Greenberg seems to have higher R2 as compared to other model. In this study, even though Greenberg model is having higher R2 only Greenshield or Underwood model is used in order to eliminate unrealistic capacity value derived through Greenberg model. Acknowledgement The authors of this paper are grateful to Prof. Satish Chandra, Director, CSIR - Central Road Research Institute for granting his permission to publish this paper. 8. References 1. Arkatkar S S (2011),” Effect of Intercity Road Geometry on Capacity under Heterogeneous Traffic Conditions Using Microscopic Simulation Technique”, International Journal of Earth Sciences and Engineering, ISSN 0974-5904, Volume 04, No 06 SPL, October 2011, pp. 375-380 2. Ashish Dhamaniya and Satish Chandra (2014), “Midblock Capacity of Urban Arterial Roads in India” IRC, Indian Roads-A Review of Road and Road Transport Development, ISSN 0376-7256, Page-39 3. Capacity of roads in urban areas (Sponsored by Ministry of Surface Transport), Central Road Research Institute of Technology, September 1988 4. Chandra S. (2004). “Capacity estimation procedure for two- lane roads under mixed traffic conditions.” Journal of Indian Road Congress, Vol.65- 1, pp.139-170. 5. 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