2
West Dunbartonshire Council Area - Demographic Factsheet
Population
Last updated:
27/04/2017
Next update due:
Jun-17
The 2016 population for West Dunbartonshire is 89,860; an increase of 0.3 per cent from 89,590 in 2015. The population of West Dunbartonshire accounts for 1.7 per cent of the total population of Scotland.
In West Dunbartonshire, 17.2 per cent of the population are aged 16 to 29 years. This is smaller than Scotland where 18.2 per cent are aged 16 to 29 years. Persons aged 60 and over make up 24.4 per cent of
West Dunbartonshire. This is smaller than Scotland where 24.4 per cent are aged 60 and over.
Since 1989, West Dunbartonshire's total population has fallen overall. Scotland's population has risen over this period.
Estimated population of West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, by age group, 2016
Female pop. West
Dunbartonshire
Total pop. of West
Dunbartonshire
% of total pop. of
West
Dunbartonshire
Male pop.
Scotland
Age group
Total pop. of
Scotland
% of total pop.
of Scotland
0-15
8,008
7,756
15,764
17.5%
0-15
468,396
447,521
915,917
16.9%
16-29
7,760
7,669
15,429
17.2%
16-29
492,255
489,057
981,312
18.2%
30-44
7,517
8,453
15,970
17.8%
30-44
498,502
518,802
1,017,304
18.8%
45-59
9,790
10,995
20,785
23.1%
45-59
567,588
602,175
1,169,763
21.6%
60-74
7,021
7,840
14,861
16.5%
60-74
421,742
456,353
878,095
16.2%
75+
2,651
4,400
7,051
7.8%
75+
179,020
263,289
442,309
8.2%
All ages
42,747
47,113
89,860
100.0%
2,627,503
2,777,197
5,404,700
100.0%
Estimated population of West Dunbartonshire by age and sex, 30 June 2016
All ages
Estimated population of West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, 1989-2016
12,000
Persons (1,000s)
Council area
10,000
8,000
6,000
4,000
2,000
120
6,000
100
5,000
80
4,000
60
3,000
40
2,000
20
1,000
West Dunbartonshire
Female
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© Crown Copyright 2017
Scotland
2015
2013
2009
2007
2005
Age group
Male
0
2003
75+
2001
60-74
1999
45-59
1997
30-44
1995
16-29
1993
0-15
1991
0
0
1989
Population
Female pop.
Scotland
Persons (1,000s)
Scotland
Male pop. West
Dunbartonshire
2011
Age group
Births (calendar year)
Between 2014 and 2015 West Dunbartonshire experienced a 6.3 per cent decrease in the number of births, dropping from 986 in 2014, to 924 in 2015. The number of births in Scotland fell by 2.9 per cent.
The most popular name given to boys born in West Dunbartonshire in 2016 was Jack and the most popular name given to girls was Emily.
Fertility in West Dunbartonshire decreased from 58.3 births per 1,000 women aged 15 to 44 in 2014, to 55.1 in 2015. For Scotland as a whole, the general feritlity rate decreased from 54.7 births per 1,000 women
aged 15 to 44 in 2014, to 53.2 in 2015.
Births in West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, 2014 and 2015
Births 2014
West
Dunbartonshire
Scotland
Births 2015
% change in total no. of births
2014-2015
Male
Female
Male
505
481
461
Female
463
-6.3%
29,056
27,669
28,354
26,744
-2.9%
Live births by sex, West Dunbartonshire, 2005-2015
70
700
60
600
50
500
No. of births
General Fertility Rate
General Fertility Rate* (GFR) in West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, 2010-2015
40
30
20
10
400
300
200
100
0
0
2010
2011
2012
West Dunbartonshire
2013
2014
2015
2005
Scotland
2006
2007
2008
2009
Male
* Live births per 1,000 women aged 15 - 44
2
© Crown Copyright 2017
2010
2011
Female
2012
2013
2014
2015
Deaths (calendar year)
The number of deaths in West Dunbartonshire increased from 1,043 in 2014 to 1,095 in 2015. Over the period 2013 to 2015 the overall death rate was lower for males than for females.
Compared to Scotland over the period 2013 to 2015, West Dunbartonshire had a higher death rate. The main cause of death in West Dunbartonshire was cancer, followed by circulatory disease.
Deaths and age specific death rates by age group, the combined years 2013-2015
Age group
Deaths in West
Dunbartonshire
Deaths in Scotland
Age specific death rate per 1,000 people, West
Dunbartonshire
Female
Age specific death rate per 1,000 people, Scotland
Male
Female
0
8
568
2.5
2.6
2.5
3.4
3.0
3.2
1-14
17
33
0.1
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
15-29
0
22
0.8
0.5
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.5
30-44
0
10
2.7
1.5
2.1
1.9
1.0
1.4
45-64
0
4
8.1
5.5
6.7
6.5
4.3
5.4
65+
0
58
52.5
47.3
49.2
166,518
54.6
11.7
51.6
3,177
57.4
11.6
10.4
10.5
10.4
All ages
Male
Cause of death in males, West Dunbartonshire, 2015*
All Persons
11.8
Cause of death in females, West Dunbartonshire, 2015*
Cancer
Cancer
16.6%
29.9%
7.7%
All Persons
23.8%
Circulatory Diseases
30.9%
Circulatory Diseases
Respiratory Diseases
Respiratory Diseases
3.7%
5.9%
Digestive Diseases
10.3%
29.5%
External Causes
Digestive Diseases
4.3%
13.0%
24.3%
External Causes
Other
Other
* Due to rounding these figures may differ slightly from those published in Vital Events Reference Tables. See 'Data sources' for link to this data.
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© Crown Copyright 2017
Migration
Migration, in, out, and net, West Dunbartonshire, annual average 2013-15*
800
On average in 2013-15 there was a net outflow of 151 people from West Dunbartonshire per year,
meaning that less people entered West Dunbartonshire (2,324 per year) than left (2,475 per year). The
16 to 29 year olds age group accounted for the largest group of in-migrants into West Dunbartonshire.
The largest group of out-migrants was also the 16 to 29 year olds.
600
400
Persons
200
Average migration in and out of West Dunbartonshire,
2013-15*
Age Group
In
Out
0
-200
-400
Net
-600
0-15
429
456
-27
-800
16-29
706
758
-52
-1,000
30-44
630
668
-38
45-64
423
428
-5
136
2,324
165
2,475
-29
-151
65+
All ages
0-15
16-29
30-44
45-64
65+
Age group
IN-Migration
OUT-Migration
NET-Migration
*Migration figures are based on a 3-year average and include migration within Scotland, between Scotland and the rest of the UK, and between Scotland and overseas. They do not include asylum seekers and armed forces movements.
Life Expectancy
Female life expectancy at birth (78.7 years) is greater than male life expectancy (74.8 years), but both were lower than the Scottish average. Male life expectancy at birth in West Dunbartonshire is improving more
rapidly than female life expectancy.
In West Dunbartonshire female life expectancy at age 65 (18.4 years) is greater than male life expectancy at age 65 (16 years).
Life Expectancy for West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, 2003-2005 and 2013-2015
Life expectancy at birth in West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, 2013-2015
West Dunbartonshire
Life expectancy at birth
85
Life expectancy at 65
Male
Female
Male
Female
2013-2015
74.8
78.7
16.0
18.4
2003-2005
% Change
between 20032005 and 20132015
71.0
77.5
-
-
75
5.3%
1.6%
-
-
70
Years
80
65
Scotland
Life expectancy at birth
Life expectancy at 65
60
Male
Female
Male
Female
2013-2015
77.1
81.1
17.3
19.7
2003-2005
% Change
between 20032005 and 20132015
74.2
79.0
-
-
3.9%
2.7%
-
-
55
50
West Dunbartonshire
Scotland
Male
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© Crown Copyright 2017
Female
Marriages & Civil Partnerships
There were 353 marriages in West Dunbartonshire in 2015; a decrease of 1.4 per cent from 2014.
In West Dunbartonshire 51.0 per cent of people marrying in 2015 were aged 25-34. In Scotland as a whole 47.5 per cent of people marrying were in this age group.
Since 2005 the number of marriages in West Dunbartonshire has fallen by 30.8 per cent.
Scotland has seen an increase during the same period of time.
No. of people
marrying in West
Dunbartonshire
No. of people
marrying in
Scotland
% of people
marrying in West
Dunbartonshire
% of people
marrying in
Scotland
16-24
36
3,961
5.1%
6.7%
25-34
360
28,196
51.0%
47.5%
35-44
148
13,154
21.0%
22.2%
45+
162
14,071
22.9%
23.7%
All ages
706
59,382
100.0%
100.0%
Council Area
Age group
Number of marriages in West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, 2005-2015
600
35,000
500
30,000
25,000
400
20,000
300
15,000
200
10,000
100
5,000
0
0
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
West Dunbartonshire
Civil Partnerships in West Dunbartonshire and Scotland by sex, 2014 and 2015
2014
Male
West
Dunbartonshire
Scotland
2015
Female
Male
Female
1
4
-
-
193
243
33
31
5
© Crown Copyright 2017
Scotland
Scotland
Number of people marrying in West Dunbartonshire and Scotland by 10-year age group, 2015
Population Projections
By 2039 the population of West Dunbartonshire is projected to be 83,690, a decrease of 6.7 per cent compared to the population in 2014. The population of Scotland is projected to increase by 7.5 per cent between
2014 and 2039.
Over the 25 year period, the age group that is projected to increase the most in size in West Dunbartonshire is the 75+ age group. This is the same as for Scotland as a whole.
The population aged under 16 in West Dunbartonshire is projected to decline by 12.1 per cent over the 25 year period.
Projected population, by age group, in West Dunbartonshire, 2014-2039
Base
Projected years
Base year
Age group
2014
2019
2024
2029
2034
2039
0-15
15,698
15,592
15,259
14,632
14,239
13,794
16-29
15,727
14,400
13,318
13,043
13,015
12,677
30-49
23,411
21,264
20,766
20,686
19,598
18,747
50-64
19,129
20,376
19,460
17,189
15,406
15,054
65-74
8,758
9,617
10,471
11,722
12,305
11,160
75+
6,987
7,229
8,263
9,242
10,693
12,258
All ages
89,710
88,478
87,537
86,514
85,256
83,690
Percentage change in population in West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, 2014-2039
(2014-based projections)
Components of projected population change for West Dunbartonshire and Scotland,
2014-2039 (2014-based projections)
80%
Percentage change
Percentage change
100%
60%
40%
20%
0%
-20%
-40%
0-15
16-29
30-49
50-64
65-74
75+
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
-2%
-4%
-6%
-8%
-10%
West Dunbartonshire
Scotland
Age group
West Dunbartonshire
Natural Change*
Scotland
* Natural change equals births minus deaths
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© Crown Copyright 2017
Net Migration
Total Change
Households & Dwellings
The 2015 estimate of the number of households in West Dunbartonshire is 42,571. This is a 0.5 per cent increase in the 2014 figure of 42,353, compared to a 0.6 per cent increase in Scotland as a whole. The
proportion of these households receiving a single adult Council Tax discount is 39.1 per cent. For Scotland, this figure is 37.4 per cent.
With regards to the dwellings in West Dunbartonshire, 97 per cent are occupied, 3 per cent are vacant and 0 per cent are second homes. The proportions of dwellings in Scotland which are vacant and second
homes are 3.1 per cent and 1.1 per cent, respectively.
The 2015 estimate of the number of dwellings in West Dunbartonshire is 45,056. This is an increase of 0.7 per cent from 2014 and compares to a 0.7 per cent increase across Scotland as a whole.
Household estimates for West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, 2007-2015
2015
% change
2014-2015
% change
2010-2015
Year
2007
West Dunbartonshire
Scotland
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
41,628
41,833
41,913
42,076
42,115
42,106
42,097
42,353
42,571
0.5%
1.2%
2,318,966
2,337,967
2,351,780
2,364,850
2,376,424
2,387,211
2,401,788
2,418,335
2,433,956
0.6%
2.9%
2012
2013
2014
2015
% change
2014-2015
% change
2010-2015
Number of dwellings in West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, June 2007-2015
Year
2007
Scotland
2009
2010
43,982
44,104
44,262
44,415
44,586
44,790
44,880
44,734
45,056
0.7%
1.4%
2,440,596
2,460,883
2,476,157
2,488,496
2,500,849
2,515,042
2,526,870
2,540,561
2,557,582
0.7%
2.8%
Number of households in West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, 2007-2015
Number of dwellings in West Dunbartonshire and Scotland, 2007-2015
3,000
2,500
35
30
2,000
25
1,500
20
15
1,000
10
500
5
0
0
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
Number of dwellings (1,000s)
Council area
40
Number of households (1,000s)
Scotland
45
Number of households (1,000s)
Council area
2011
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
2007
2015
2008
2009
2010
2014
2015
Scotland
Proportions of dwellings by Council Tax band in West Dunbartonshire,
2015
0%
5%
Flat
A-C
Terraced
23%
Semi-detached
51%
20%
2013
West Dunbartonshire
Scotland
Types of dwelling in West Dunbartonshire, 2014
19%
2012
Year
Year
West Dunbartonshire
9%
2011
72%
Detached
Unknown
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© Crown Copyright 2017
F-H
D-E
Number of dwellings (1,000s)
Scotland
West Dunbartonshire
2008
Household Projections
The total number of households in West Dunbartonshire is projected to change from 42,353 in 2014 to 43,368 in 2039, which is an increase of 2 per cent. In Scotland as a whole, the projected number of households
is set to increase by 14 per cent over the same 25 year period.
In Scotland, the number of lone adult households is projected to increase by 31 per cent over the 25 year period. In West Dunbartonshire, the number of lone adult households is projected to increase by 24 per cent,
and the number of larger households in West Dunbartonshire is projected to fall, with the number of households of 2 or more adults with children decreasing by 31 per cent over the 25 year period. The average
household size is projected to decrease from 2.1 in 2014 to 1.91 in 2039.
In West Dunbartonshire, households headed by 60-74 year olds are projected to increase in number by 7 per cent, and those headed by the 75+ age group are projected to increase in number by 68 per cent
between the years 2014 and 2039.
Projected number of households in West Dunbartonshire and Scotland,
2014-2039
3,000
2,500
40
35
2,000
30
25
1,500
20
1,000
15
10
500
5
0
0
2014
2019
2024
2029
2034
40%
30%
Percentage change
45
Number of households (1,000s)
Scotland
Number of households (1,000s)
Council area
50
Projected percentage change in household, by household type, in West
Dunbartonshire and Scotland, 2014-2039
20%
10%
0%
-10%
-20%
-30%
-40%
1 adult
2039
1 adult with 1 or
more children
3 or more adults
Year
West Dunbartonshire
Household type
Scotland
West Dunbartonshire
Base-year
Projected number of households
2 or more adults
with 1 or more
children
Scotland
% change in West Dunbartonshire
2014-2039
% change in
Scotland
2014-2039
31%
2014
2019
2024
2029
2034
2039
16,853
17,910
18,805
19,589
20,278
20,822
24%
1 adult with 1 or more children
3,609
3,622
3,640
3,706
3,731
3,706
3%
22%
3 or more adults
3,714
3,529
3,230
2,906
2,665
2,479
-33%
-18%
-12%
1 adult
2 or more adults with 1 or more children
7,049
6,424
5,915
5,508
5,176
4,850
-31%
Total households - West Dunbartonshire
42,353
42,972
43,317
43,485
43,556
43,368
2%
2,418,336
2,503,212
2,580,490
2,650,280
2,711,938
2,763,773
Total households - Scotland
Household by age of head of household
Base-year
2014
Projected number of households
% change in West Dunbartonshire
2014-2039
% change in
Scotland
2014-2039
2024
2029
2034
2039
16-29 years
4,599
4,508
4,170
4,072
4,279
4,297
-7%
0%
30-44 years
9,839
9,615
10,099
10,009
9,509
9,004
-8%
6%
45-59 years
13,394
13,144
11,856
10,793
10,712
11,342
-15%
1%
60-74 years
9,373
10,397
11,195
11,952
11,422
10,051
7%
11%
79%
75+ years
Total households - West Dunbartonshire
Total households - Scotland
2019
14%
5,149
5,308
5,998
6,658
7,634
8,674
68%
42,353
42,972
43,317
43,485
43,556
43,368
2%
2,418,336
2,503,212
2,580,490
2,650,280
2,711,938
2,763,773
8
© Crown Copyright 2017
14%
Data Sources - 27/04/2017
Population
Data
Current population estimates
Time series population estimates
Births
Data
Fertility rates
Popular names
Births
Deaths
Data
Deaths
Death rates
Cause of death
Migration
Data
Total migration
Life Expectancy
Data
Life exp. at birth
Life exp. at age 65
Update the 'Total population' and 'latest MYE' worksheets
Source
Mid-year Population Estimates Scotland: Table 1
Population Estimates Time Series Data (first table in the list)
Next update due
Apr-18
Apr-18
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-estimates/mid-year-p
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-estimates/mid-year-p
Update the 'Fertility', 'Popular names', and 'Births' worksheets
Source
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 3.8
Vital Events Popular Forenames: Table 3
Births Time Series Data: Table 'Births by Council Area, by sex, 1997 to…..'
Next update due
Aug-17
Mar-17
Aug-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/births/popular-names
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/births/births-time-series-data
Update the 'VE deaths latest', 'combined deaths', 'comb.MYE', 'cause of
death' and 'VE ref table - 6.3 (cause)' worksheets
Source
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 5.2
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 5.2
Mid-year Population Estimates Scotland: Table 2
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 6.3
Next update due
Aug-17
Aug-17
Aug-17
Aug-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-estimates/mid-year-p
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
Update the 'Migration2', 'Migration 3', and 'total migration' worksheets
Source
Total Net Migration by Council Area by Single Year of Age and Sex
Next update due
Jul-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/migration/migration-statistics/total-migratio
update the 'LE' worksheet
Source
Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland: Tables 6 and 7
Life Expectancy for Administrative Areas within Scotland: Table 10
Next update due
Nov-17
Nov-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/life-expectancy/life-expectancy-in-scottishhttp://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/life-expectancy/life-expectancy-in-scottish-
Source
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 1.3
Vital Events Reference Tables: Table 1.3
Request from Vital Events branch
Next update due
Aug-17
Aug-17
Aug-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/vital-events/vital-events-reference-tables
email: [email protected]
Update the 'Population Projections', 'Pop Proj Table2' and 'components of
change' worksheet
Source
Population Projections for Scottish Areas: Table 2
Population Projections for Scottish Areas: Table A
Next update due
Oct-18
Oct-18
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-projections/sub-natio
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/population/population-projections/sub-natio
Update 'Household Estimates', 'No. of Dwellings', 'Occupied and Vacant
Dwellings' and 'Characteristics of Dwellings' worksheets
Source
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 4a
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 6
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 1
Estimates of Households & Dwellings: Table 2
Next update due
Jun-17
Jun-17
Jun-17
Jun-17
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-estimates
Update the 'Total Household Projections', 'household Projections by
type', 'Household Proj by age of head' and 'Projected Average household
Source
Household Projections for Scotland: Tables 9, 11, 12, 13
Household Projections for Scotland: Tables 15, 16, 17, 18, 19
Household Projections for Scotland: Table 7
Household Projections for Scotland: Table 7
Next update due
Jan-19
Jan-19
Jan-19
Jan-19
Link
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections
http://www.nrscotland.gov.uk/statistics-and-data/statistics/statistics-by-theme/housholds/household-projections
Marriages & Civil Partnerships
Data
Civil Partnerships
Total Marriages
Marriages by 10yr age groups
Pop Projections
Data
Population projections
Components of change
Household & Dwellings
Data
Occupied and Vacant Dwellings
Characteristics of Dwellings
Household Estimates
Number of Dwellings
Household Projections
Data
Projected number of households
Head of household data
Projected household size
% change in household size
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