1 NMDB: Real-Time database for high resolution Neutron Monitor measurements Grant Agreement Number 213007 Combination of Collaborative Project and Coordination and Support Action SCIENCE-EDUCATION POTENTIAL OF NMDB FOR HIGH SCHOOLS AND UNIVERSITIES L. Pustil’nik Israel Cosmic Rays and Space Weather Center, July 20, 2009 Israel Cosmic Ray and Space Weather Center & Emilio Segre' Israel-Italy Observatory 1 2 CONTENT DOCUMENT INFORMATION (TABLE) ............................................ Error! Bookmark not defined. 1. Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 3 1.1. Preamble. .................................................................................................................................. 3 1.2. General Scheme ........................................................................................................................ 4 1.3. USER’S component of General Scheme .................................................................................. 5 2. Possible projects for science education in space research, based on the using of NMDB............ 7 2.1. Basic Approach.............................................................................................................................. 7 2.2. Examples of possible science-educational projects, based on potential using of NMDB data ..... 7 3. DEPOSITARY of science-educational scenarios of research project on CR themes, based on NMDB data (CR-ASTROTOP)............................................................................................................. 8 3.1. Initial Level: Construction of self-made cloud chamber camera for direct observations of real CR and study of their properties........................................................................................................... 9 3.2. Advanced Level: CR-ASTROTOP PROJECTS: Variations of CR as probe of space influences from the Earth atmosphere and up to solar heliosphere. .................................................................... 11 3.2.1. PROJECT CR-ASTROTOP: “SEARCH OF ATMOSPHERIC MODULATION OF CR FLUX AND RESTORE PARAMETERS OF UNDISTORED CR FLUX CORRECTED FOR ATMOSHERIV EFFECTS”........................................................................................................... 12 3.2.2. PROJECT CR-ASTROTOP: “SEARCH OF 1-DAY MODULATION OF CR FLUX CAUSED BY THE EARTH ROTATION IN ASSYMENTRIC MAGNETOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT” ......................................................................................................................... 13 3.2.3. PROJECT CR-ASTROTOP: “SEARCH OF 28-DAY MODULATION OF CR FLUX CAUSED BY SOLAR ROTATION” ............................................................................................ 14 3. 2.4. PROJECT CR-ASTROTOP: “SEARCH OF CR MODULATIONS CAUSED BY “11- YEAR” CYCLE OF SOLAR ACTIVITY”.................................................................................... 15 3. 2.5. PROJECT CR-ASTROTOP: “SEARCH OF CR RESPONSE ON STRONG SOLAR FLARES AS PART OF SPACE WEATHER POSTFLARE STORM”........................................ 16 4. Appendix A: Data collection from European Neutron Monitor Data Base (NMDB). ............... 17 2 3 Science-Education Potential of NMDB for High Schools and Universities 1. Introduction 1.1. Preamble. Modern education is based on the absorption by student of knowledge about the world and its laws accumulated before by humanity, its structuring and hierarchy. This way considered as most effective for fast navigation in ocean of information, mastering of necessary automatically or half-automatically methods of its analysis and estimations. In really, pupils and students as participants of educational process act as “users”-“consumers” and teachers in the frame of the standard educational process act as suppliers of the service. The main tasks for final exams/tests in this system of education is compilation of some of results, obtained by another researchers, or ) compilation of reviews of results, or even (as culmination of this standard way) compilation of reviews of reviews of results. What is terrible in this all accepted and wide realized method of education? The problem is in catastrophically helplessness of prepared specialist-professional, when he meet with new class of problem, don’t described in books, what he read before and not studied by him in high schoolUniversity. In other words, specialist, prepared on the basis of standard approach as a good executor of standard operations is not able to find new solution in fast changed situation. Alternative approach (creative pedagogic) focus on ability of pupil-student to independent study of surrounded world, independent discovery of the laws, which control this world and, as result, independent creation of methods/algorithms/patents for search of answers on his questions, dynamically transformed in accordance with new conditions and demands. The creative approach is based on the independent research project as a basic unit of study. This method use universal sequence of research activity (impression from observation of new phenomena, questions about its nature; generation of several alternative hypothesis about its origin; proposal and realization of possible experimental/observational tests, rejected all incorrect hypothesizes and filtering only one from all as the most correct approximation to answer about real nature of phenomena; critical analysis of results of experiments/observations/numerical simulations and formulation of final conclusions). We use creative approach in science educational programs ASTROTOP and BLOSSOMS OF SCIENCE developed in Israel and successfully realized in science-educational practice, based on students K-12 independent research projects in astronomy, astrophysics and space research. What aspects of this approach may be interesting for NeutronMonitorDataBase (NMDB) project? 1. First of all, NMDB, as open source of real observational data on cosmic rays may work as one from research instruments for realization of natural interest of pupils, teachers, students and amateurs to astrophysics (cosmic ray (CR) is, without doubts, part of astrophysical objects). NMDB may present real observational data for this group of potential users for generation of independent research projects in the field of Science Education. 2. Second: observed CR is object sensitive to medium of propagation. It converts them in unique object for diagnostic state of these mediums: from interstellar clouds and fields in our Galaxy and solar wind with its turbulence up to the nearest Earth environment (magnetosphere and atmosphere). Complex of the questions about direct influence of the medium on propagation of CR and, in opposite, influence of CR on the medium is object of potential applications for future participants of science educational projects on CR themes, based on NMDB data. 3. Third: one from the most attractive themes for amateurs and students K12 is potential influence of Space Weather on daily life of “mortal people”. Data of NMDB about CR impact for most strong solar flares (GLE, impact of proton flares on radiation background in nearest space and high atmosphere) may be interesting and useful for this part of potential users from science-education group. 3 4 1.2. General Scheme Next scheme (Fig.1.) describes our vision of the scheme of interaction of participants NMDB (observational sites) with database itself and with potential users. Very essential element of this scheme is depositary of elementary projects for science educational programs, used NMDB ad source of observational data http://nest.nmdb.eu Observational site “1” Observational site “2” Observational site “…” Observational site “n” http://cosmicrays.oulu.fi/nmdbinfo/ Interest to science education (Astronomy, Physics, Space Research (partly to Space Weather)) Request of data through INTERNET ACCES to NMDB site: User1 User2 http://nest.nmdb.eu Interest to science research in Space Research, Space Weather, Solar Activity User3 User… User…n Wished Depositary of ASTROTOP-like scenarios of possible projects in CR-Space Weather fields with scheme of data receiving and sequence of action (in open mode for research initiatives of users: students K12, students of universities, amateurs, and teachers)) Fig. 1. General Scheme of NMDB using by potential users (for researchers and educational aims) Additional databases on space weather activity (sun, space, magnetosphere, ionosphere, …) like to SPIDR of NOAO http://spidr.ngdc.noaa.gov/spidr/ Additional databases on Solar Activity from SOHO, ACE, GOES … http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/realtimeimages.html http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/today.html Lower we will attempt to describe individual elements of this scheme: 4 5 1.3. USER’S component of General Scheme Interest to science education (Astronomy, Physics) User1 User2 Interest to science education (Space Research) User3 User… INTERFACE for request of necessary data from existed NMDB and SPIDR databases Databases User…n Depositary of ASTROTOP-like scenarios of possible projects in CR-Space Weather fields with scheme of data receiving and sequence of action (in open mode for research initiatives of users: students K12, students of universities, amateurs, and teachers)) Fig. 2. USER’s component of the general scheme of NMDB using. User’s population may be divided in two absolutely different groups: • Inner (professional) users: members of NMDB consortium, another professional scientist, need in CR data both from archive of NMDB and in real time mode for study of space weather and another space research (see Fig.1.). External (amateurs) users (see Fig.2.): This population includes, first of all, students of graduate classes of high school (K12) specialized in exact/natural science and interested in participation in scientific research in astrophysics and/or in space research. The potential of this group is very large and modern reform of high school education program, included in possibility of independent scientific-educational projects for advanced pupils will extend number of potential users in future more and more. Very essential aspect of this application of NMDB is open Internet access to NMDB and other databases, what allow using it by teachers and students from development countries of Asia and Africa. For these countries it may allow to stimulate their educational systems to progress and to using of modern technology of science education. • 5 6 Users from NMDB consortium may be considered as part of the first group (professional users). Other potential users from this group are independent researchers from space research and space weather research (both specialists in fundamental research and specialists in space weather application to safety of space and earth equipment sensitive to CR and space weather factor). This group has their own professional scientific motivation to using NMDB, they are much more prepared to work with databases in general and with remote databases partly. The users have preliminary experience and almost does not need in help from database administrator. Evidently, that this group is need too in transparence and friendly organized interface for formation of their requests and receiving necessary data in acceptable format (ASCII, .CSV, .XLS, …). The second part of potential users of our database is pupils and students, which prepare their graduate diploma: K12 level of high school, students of universities and colleges specialized in education and research in astronomy, space research, geophysics, physics of atmosphere, Earth environment. For involvement of this population to scientific research activity in form of student research project: • We must stimulate their interest to future research project and to research activity itself. Stimulation may be both informal and formal. Informal stimulation caused by resonance response on popular TV programs (like to “Discovery”) or on popular Hollywood production on science fiction theme like to “Deep Impact”, “After-tomorrow” and “Armageddon” , and information in newspapers (“News of Science”), popular literature, or something like. Formal stimulation is produced by bonus in the form of special additional points in graduated diploma, increased level of diploma and chance of graduated student to success in future competition in school, universities or college). For example, participants in ASTROTOP program in Israel may obtain as bonus from 2 up to 4 additional points to result of Physics graduate exam (maximal level of points for standard Physics course is 5, so student has chance to increase it almost twice). Similar practice of support of scientific education projects of K12 and college students exist in USA too. • We must prepare for this group of young researchers some library (depositary) of possible projects focused on scientific fields, potentially interesting for student-researcher. Evidently, that astrophysics and space research have some advantage in this field, caused by a) intuitive natural interest of all people to world around us, and b) extremely high accessibility of observational data, necessary for young researcher project (both from digital archives of virtual observatories like to SLOAN survey or SPIDR, and from almost real time access to observations from SOHO, ACE). For educational aims is very essentially that this accessibility of observational matter cover not only archive observational data, but real time (almost real time) data too, especially for solar and space activity fields. • We must create necessary databases and friendly, user oriented interface for work with these databases. The last condition is not evident usually for specialists, are not enabled to understand giant abyss between their levels of professionals and levels of amateur users. Absence of friendly and intuitive transparence interface may devaluate result of giant work on creation and development of database itself, because after 1-2 unsuccessful attempt to obtain necessary data for research project, young scientist (amateur) will “vote by lags”, avoid this database and will not never use it in future or to recommend it to somebody. Our accusations of them in absence of knowledge and experience with something like to SQL-protocol will not back this numerous population of potential users to using of our product “CR data from NMDB”. 6 7 2. Possible projects for science education in space research, based on the using of NMDB. 2.1. Basic Approach Since European Neutron Monitors Data Base (www.nmdb.eu) is source (from definition) of observational data about cosmic ray, next chapter will describe CR component of educational projects, what are realized in different countries, participants of NMDB and may be integrated to NMDB project itself. Possible projects connected with CR theme may be classified in correspondence to intuitive questions what arise in student’s mind after first acquaintance with CR thematic: • What is CR? Is it possible to see it by eyes or to touch it by hand? Is it some science fictionabstraction or quite real thing? Is it possible to observe (touch) them with using of relatively primitive and cheap experiment facilities of school physical laboratory or in home? • What is source of CR and is it possible to identify them from direction of CR arrival? How CR arrive to us? • What are factors of distortion of primary CR on the way to us and what are influences of propagation factors on properties of observed CR? (Influence of atmosphere? ionosphere? magnetosphere? space around the Earth? space in Solar System? solar activity and its manifestation in heliosphere? stellar activity in the Sun neighborhood? nearest Supernova explosions?). Is it possible to clean observed CR data from distortions-influences and to restore primary state of CR? Is it possible to use measurements of distortion factors for restoration of the state of the sources of primary CR distortions (atmosphere, magnetosphere, heliosphere, solar activity) Evidently that answers on some questions from this list can not obtain by students absolutely independently, even they will use all accessible databases. Students are need for this work in support of supervisors (scientists and/or teachers), especially on the initial state of the project. From the other side, most part from students, interested in participation on science-education research project are quite able (from our experience in ASTROTOP and “Blossoms of Science”) to formulate question of research, to understand key problem of the field of research and to generate hypothesis about possible answers on questions of research. Most part of modern students are able to work with Internet database, to collect from them observational data and to analyze them with help of standard software, like to EXCEL. 2.2. Examples of possible science-educational projects, based on potential using of NMDB data: 1. Construction of self-made cloud chamber camera with direct observations of real CR by eyes of student-researcher and primary analysis of observed CR properties – “first touch to CR by student hands” 2. Set of the projects with analysis of regular variations of observed CR flux (obtained from NMDB resource) on times hours-days-month-year-tens years-hundreds years for identification of the sequence of influences of propagation mediums “earth atmosphere – earth magnetosphere – solar rotation – solar activity – long time modulation of solar activity). 3. Set of projects on search of short time (minutes-hours) CR variations detected from NMDB resource for identification of sporadic short time disturbances of the Earth environment by strong solar flares (Forbush decreasing, GLE, magnetic storms, associated with CR impact). These projects may include using of “real time data” of NMDB for development by student methods of forecasting of future CR impacts on the base of student’s ideas and criteria. 7 8 Interest to science education (Astronomy, Physics, Space Research (partly to Space Weather)) User1 User2 Interest to science research in Space Research, Space Weather, SolarActivity User3 User… User…n DEPOSITARY of ASTROTOP-like scenarios of possible projects in CR-Space Weather fields with scheme of data receiving and sequence of action (in open mode for research initiatives of users: students K12, students of universities, amateurs, and teachers)) Fig. 3. Depositary’ component of the general scheme of NMDB using. 3. DEPOSITARY of science-educational scenarios of research project on CR themes, based on NMDB data (CR-ASTROTOP) Very essential and even necessary part of this educational approach is depositary of scenarios for possible projects. Main content of these scenarios is formulation of the key question of possible research necessary for proposal of few possible ways of solution of the problem; description of Internet sources of observational data and software/algorithms of data collections; recommendation of possible ways of data analysis and testing of proposed hypothesis. Each scenario must be formed as nuclear of future research, what open access to data and give examples of possible ways to solution, but conserve options for independent initiatives of student-researcher both in generation of ideas about nature of object, and in its own approach to data analysis and to search of new relations and effects in observational data. The saving of correct proportion between prepared nuclear of project and stimulation of independent ideas and hypothesis of student in search of his own new ways is basic element of ASTROTOP approach to science education. It means that from the one side these scenarios must not describe in details all steps of research work, as instruction and description of laboratory works in school or in universities. From another side prepared ASTROTP project must include necessary basic matter (background, description of basic problem and possible ways to their solution; instruction-description on access to necessary observational data in INTERNET databases). This component is necessary for help to student-researcher to income in the new field of notions and methods and to study, how to use it. 8 9 As illustrations we present here examples of few science-educational projects in the frame of CR – ASTROTOP: 3.1. Initial Level: Construction of self-made cloud chamber camera for direct observations of real CR and study of their properties. The idea to create homemade cloud chamber for direct observations of CR by pupils and students and reproduction of famous Wilson camera experiment is realized already in few scienceeducational center (CERN (http://www.cosmicrays.org/muon-cloud-chamber.php ), Jefferson Lab in USA (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UvN54Jo7Cs8&NR=1 ), Edinburgh Science-educational center in Scotland (ideo http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=piOI1tBQaIo)). It is very simple in construction and is available for pupils of 14-18 years. The price of components of these self made cloud chambers does not exceed 100$, what is acceptable for most schools in Europe and even for schools in development countries. Detailed descriptions are in corresponding Internet resources (see lower) both as standard descriptions and as video-demonstrations of all stages of construction and of observation of different tracks of CR of different energies with different cases of interaction of CR with nuclear in atmosphere of camera. Fig. 4. CERN home-made cloud chamber camera for demonstration of CR tracks during Open Days of CERN (http://teachers.web.cern.ch/teachers/document/cloud-final.pdf ) with demonstration in http://www.cosmicrays.org/muon-cloud-chamber.php Fig.5. Demonstration of particles tracks from radioactive element in home-made cloud chamber in JeffersnLab. 9 10 Fig.6. The 18 year old pupil at Mary Erskine School in Edinburgh, made her own cosmic ray detector and won the Intel International Science and Engineering Fair's (ISEF) First Award for physics and astronomy (details may be seen in video above-right from link http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=piOI1tBQaIo from 1 min 20 sec position of video record. Set of the necessary elements for construction of homemade cloud chamber is (from DUSEL Workshop in Colorado School of Mines of Colorado State University -http://crop.unl.edu/claes/HUSEP/CloudChamberPlans.doc) very cheap (< 100$) and includes: • • • • • • • • Glass bowl or aquarium Metal bowl (to match the glass bowl or aquarium) painted black inside. Rope caulk Vinyl tape Cloth glued to the inside of the glass bowl Isopropyl alcohol (for the vapor) Insulated box with dry ice Light source to see the tracks. A bright, tight beam works best. Fig 7. Cheap homemade cloud chamber We may ask ourselves, what is mean in using of primitive homemade construction for CR observation, when we may demonstrate to students much more impressible images of numerous tracks from big professional chambers? First of all, result, obtained by student himself in equipment, constructed by his hands is much more reliable for him as for author of discovery. Secondly, this camera opens abilities for numerous microprojects, what may use this hand-made cloud chamber as basic element: • Classification of the observed tracks on elastic scattering, random walk, generation of secondary CR particles, • Study of isotropy of CR tracks in the projection plane, • Study of effect of absorption of CR in the external absorber (lead) and its influence on asymmetry of tracks. 10 11 3.2. Advanced Level: CR-ASTROTOP PROJECTS: Variations of CR as probe of space influences from the Earth atmosphere and up to solar heliosphere. Background. For this group of project necessary to give to student background on origin of high energy component of CR (in Supernova explosions) and their diffusion propagation through Galaxy caused by effective scattering on magnetic inhomogeneities. It is necessary to note the fundamental sequence of the diffusion nature of CR propagation is high isotropy of primary CR1 and very high stability of their primary flux in time. Processes of CR propagation to the Earth through solar wind (SW) with its magnetic fields and turbulence, magnetosphere and atmosphere of the Earth are sources of variations of CR flux in time from minutes to hundred years. Study of these variations may allow to separate different kinds of influences, to diagnostic state of surrounded medium and to restore primary state of CR. Next scheme illustrates this approach and possible using of variations of CR: Propagation along regular spiral magnetic field of solar wind with effective scattering (diffusion) on magnetic inhomogeneities of SW. Sensitivity to effects of regular solar rotation (month), regular solar activity (“11year”) and sporadic solar flares and CMECoronal Mass Ejections ( minutes-hours) Propagation of CR particles in the asymmetry Earth magnetosphere with different Larmor radius depended on rigidity (momentum) of CR particles. Precipitation of CR particles into the Earth atmosphere along magnetic fields. Sensitivity to the daily Earth rotation in asymmetry magnetospheric cocoon. Propagation of CR through the Earth atmosphere with generation of cascad of secondary particles (CR shower) in collisions with nuclear of atmospheric atoms. Formation of neutron (neutral) secondary CR component, and its next absorption in the Earth atmosphere. Sensitivity of resulted CR observed on the Earth ground level to atmospheric absorption in air mass above (dependence on atmospheric pressure, height, temperature, wind). Primary CR Flux: permanent, stable and isotropy CR on the boundary of the Earth magnetosphere (variability of flux and anisotropy caused by asymmetry of Heliosphere and solar wind, solar rotation, solar activity cycle, sporadic solar flares and other factors ) Observed flux of secondary CR Fobs-cr, distorted by influence of numerous effects of propagation CR through Earth magnetosphere and atmosphere, generated additional variability of flux and anisotropy. Fig.8. CR-ASTROTOP approach and possible using of variations of CR 1 This effect (isotropisation of CR flux in result of few elastic scattering may be simulate by simple EXCEL presentation, demonstrated fast increasing of isotropisation with number of scattering). 11 12 3.2.1. PROJECT CR-ASTROTOP: “SEARCH OF ATMOSPHERIC MODULATION OF CR FLUX AND RESTORE PARAMETERS OF UNDISTORED CR FLUX CORRECTED FOR ATMOSHERIV EFFECTS”. Potential users: students K-12 (participants of science-education projects in schools and colleges, students of universities in astrophysics, space physics and space research faculties, interested in CR/Space Weather graduate projects) Aim: To discover influence of Earth atmosphere (generation of secondary particles and its partly absorption) on observed CR flux with restoration of undisturbed state of CR before absorption. Method: Comparison of variations of observed uncorrected CR flux Fobs-cr for several CR stations (located on different heights) with variations of atmospheric pressure Patm(sensitive to air mass of atmosphere above observational site); search of relation between Fobs-cr and Patm (regression and correlation analysis with using of simplest EXCEL functions; calculation of regression coefficients for different stations and estimation of expected CR flux for zero pressure (flux outside from atmosphere): Fcr(Patm=0). Observational data: collection of 1-h data of original (non-corrected) CR flux and atmospheric pressure from different CR stations, located on different heights, latitudes, and longitudes through Internet site of NMDB (instruction is in application) - http://nest.nmdb.eu Conclusions and discussion: Student–researcher has to formulate his conclusions about possible relation between CR flux (type of the best regression and its parameters, possible dependence of regression coefficients from location and height of selected CR stations). Discussion about level of agreement results of analysis with expected for standard model of CR in the Earth atmosphere, proposals for future tests for search of another factors of influence on CR in the Earth atmosphere (wind, temperature variations) and its possible effects and possible test of effect existence. Fig.9. Cosmic Ray shower production of secondary CR particles – left; anti-correlation in variations of atmospheric pressure – absorption (black) and CR flux (blue) - blue 12 13 3.2.2. PROJECT CR-ASTROTOP: “SEARCH OF 1-DAY MODULATION OF CR FLUX CAUSED BY THE EARTH ROTATION IN ASSYMENTRIC MAGNETOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT” Potential users: students K-12 of high school (participants of science-education projects), students of universities in astrophysics, space physics, space research faculties interested in CR/Space Weather graduate project. Aim: To discover influence of asymmetry magnetosphere on observed CR-flux from daily variations caused by the Earth rotation in the asymmetric magnetic cocoon of magnetosphere, restoration of undisturbed state. Method: search in variations of corrected CR flux Fcorr-cr (cleaned from atmospheric distortion effects (see above)) for several CR stations with different magnetic latituds) periodic “sin”-like daily component. Estimation of the amplitude of 1-d variations and of permanent components of corrected CR flux by fitting of simple numerical model with EXCEL or MATLAB software, search of dependence of 1-d periodical variations on magnetic latitude of observational site; comparison of 1-d variability observed in different phase of solar activity (corresponding to different states of solar wind and to different asymmetry of form of magnetospheric cocoon). Comparison of discovered 1-d CR variations with daily variation of the local magnetic field (for CR stations, included facilities for observations of local magnetic field with magnetometer). Observational data: collection of 1-h corrected data from different CR stations, located on different latitudes, and longitudes through Internet site of NMDB (instruction is in application) http://nest.nmdb.eu Conclusions and discussion: Student-researcher has to formulate conclusion about detected 1-d component of CR-variations, to give possible explanation of them, to propose possible tests of “magnetospheric” model of discovered 1-d variations by comparison of expected dependence from magnetic latitude and phase of solar activity with observed. Fig.10. Daily Cosmic Ray variation (observation of IZMIRAN, May-July, 2009) – above; rotated Earth in asymmetric magnetosphere - down 13 14 3.2.3. PROJECT CR-ASTROTOP: “SEARCH OF 28-DAY MODULATION OF CR FLUX CAUSED BY SOLAR ROTATION” Potential users: students K-12 of high school (participants of science-education projects, students of universities in astrophysics, space physics, space research faculties, interested in CR/Space Weather graduate project) Aim: To discover manifestations of 28-d solar rotation through modulation of solar wind and earth magnetosphere caused by longitude inhomogeneity of solar corona (coronal holes) and solar wind. Method: Selection data from few CR stations on different magnetic latitudes in period of low solar activity (nein minimum of solar activity), identification of chains of 28-d variations of corrected CR flux in selected periods, compare phase of observed 28-d CR variation with location of coronal holes on the surface of Sun and with high velocity streams in solar wind origin from these coronal holes. Observational data: collection of 1-h or 1-d corrected data from different CR stations from few CR observatories, located on different heights, latitudes, and longitudes through Internet site of NMDB http://nest.nmdb.eu (instruction is in application). Conclusions and discussion: Student-researcher has to formulate conclusion about detected 28day component of CR-variations; to give possible explanation connected this effect with 28-d solar rotation; to discuss phase delay and to propose possible explanations of the mechanisms of 28-d modulations; to explain predomination of quite Sun state as most adequate for identification of the 28-d modulation effect; to discuss sensitivity of this variations to phase of solar activity. 27d- variations of Cosmic rays Flux(Moscow) Model-27d 9500 Flux(Ohulu) 6650 6600 Cosmic Ray Flux 9400 6550 6500 9300 6450 9200 6400 6350 9100 6300 9000 6250 0 27 54 81 108 135 162 189 days from 01 November-1996 Rotated sun and solar wind Fig.11. Daily Cosmic Ray variation (observation of OHULU, IZMIAN and “sin”-like model with period 27 days ( 01 November 1996 – 01 May 1997) – left; rotated Sun with uninformed inner sector-like spiral structures of solar wind - right 14 15 3. 2.4. PROJECT CR-ASTROTOP: “SEARCH OF CR MODULATIONS CAUSED BY “11-YEAR” CYCLE OF SOLAR ACTIVITY” Potential users: students K-12 of high school (participants of science-education projects), students of universities in astrophysics, space physics, space research faculties, interested in CR/Space Weather graduate projects). Aim: To discover manifestations of “11-year” solar activity cycle in variation of CR flux caused by modulation of solar wind during cycle and by modulation of diffusion of CR from Galaxy through solar wind to the Earth. Method: Selection data of few CR stations during long time period (20-40 years) included all states of solar activity (both minimums and maximums of solar cycle), comparison of CR flux variation with variations of solar activity (sunspot number); discover “11-year” modulation of CR flux synchronized with solar activity cycle, but shifted in phase to opposite phases (anti-correlation between CR flux and sunspot number). Proposal of possible explanation of observed anticorrelation between CR flux and sunspot number with generation of possible test-experiments. Observational data: collection of 1-h corrected data from different CR stations from few CR observatories, located on different heights latitudes, and longitudes through Internet site of NMDB http://nest.nmdb.eu (instruction is in application). Conclusions and discussion: Student-researcher has to formulate conclusion about detected “11year” solar cycle component of CR-variations; to give possible explanation of observed effect and to connect it with solar wind modulations and change of conditions for propagations of CR from Galaxy to Earth through the solar Heliosphere; to discuss phase shift between CR and sunspot periodical variations; to fix systematical difference in CR-response for odd and even solar cycles. Fig. 12. Anti-correlation of CR 11-year modulation and solar activity (sunspot number) 15 16 3. 2.5. PROJECT CR-ASTROTOP: “SEARCH OF CR RESPONSE ON STRONG SOLAR FLARES AS PART OF SPACE WEATHER POSTFLARE STORM” Potential users: students K-12 of high school (participants of science-education projects), students of universities in astrophysics, space physics, space research faculties, interested in CR/Space Weather graduate projects) Aim: To discover post flare disturbances of CR-flux (include “Forbush decreasing” of galaxy CR and GLE (Ground Level Enhancements) of solar cosmic ray. Restoration of causal sequences of post-flare impact caused by propagation of solar cosmic ray from the Sun to the Earth and by disturbance of solar wind by Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) and shock waves from flare; scattering flux of galaxy CR to the Earth. Estimation of radiation impacts and fluency of CR radiation expected after giant solar flares near the Earth and in the Earth environment. Method: Selection data of few CR stations on different magnetic latitudes during short time immediately after major flares; data from near Earth satellites about proton radiation with energies 10 Mev-500 Mev (GOES 10/11) with 1-m time resolution during 48 hours after strong flares, data on magnetic storm sudden commencement (SSD) in the Earth magnetosphere caused by impact of postflare CME and shock wave. Identification in postflare CR flux variation effects of fast CR flux decreasing immediately before SSC (Forbush decreasing) and classification of its forms and parameters, juxtaposition of Forbush decreasing with SSC and magnetic storms, GLE and light curve of proton radiation in the Earth environment. Observational data: collection of 1-m corrected data from CR stations with different locations in latitudes and longitude, 1-m data on proton radiation from GOES 10-11/12, 1-m data on magnetic field disturbances, data on integrated parameters of solar activity (Ap, Kp) and moments of magnetic storms starts (SSC). Main sources in Internet are NMDB - http://nest.nmdb.eu, SPIDR data base of NOAA NGDC with data of CR, proton (GOES) and magnetic observations: http://spidr.ngdc.noaa.gov/spidr/ Conclusions and discussion: Student-researcher has to formulate conclusion about two component of CR (high energy CR from Galaxy and low energy CR from solar flare); diffusion propagation of solar CR from flare to the Earth through solar wind with turbulent magnetic field; response of galaxy cosmic rays on disturbance of post-flare solar wind by CME and shock waves with formation of “Forbush decreasing” and another post-flare effects; to compare response of different CR stations on flare with different time delay and amplitude of response for different stations and to explain observed difference and its anisotropy. Proposal of possible ways to forecast of CR post-flare impact is wishing. Estimation of radiation impact and its possible negative influence on astronauts, satellite’s equipment, and radiation in high atmosphere is wishing too. Fig. 13. Response of galactic CR (“Forbush decreasing”) after strong solar flare 28.11.2003 (left) from Kiel CR NM; Coronal Mass Ejection – source of solar wind disturbance after this flare (SOHO) 16 17 4. Appendix A: Data collection from European Neutron Monitor Data Base (NMDB). For data collection from NMDB (www.nmdb.eu) potential user must open internet page NEST = “NMDB Event Search Tools” ( nest.nmdb.eu (see lower): 1. Your must in this page a) to select name of the CR station/stations – sources of data; b) time interval of observation, what you want download; c) type of observational data what you are interested (corrected, uncorrected, pressure), d) from what NMDB database you want to download data (1 hour, original, revised); e) format of output data (plot, ascii-file, plot & ascii). In principle for “original” data you may change time resolution in corresponding window. After choice of all parameters of data download you must click “Submit” 2. Form of output: you may use “plot” output for preliminary test of output and visual search of interested effects in obtained plot (lower is imaged, as example, output of uncorrected flux CR and pressure for Moscow NM (evident anti-correlation is seen directly, what may be used for CR-ASTROTOP project 2.1. “SEARCH OF ATMOSPHERIC MODULATION OF CR FLUX” (see lower graphic output and data (ASCII) output. 2008-01-01 2008-01-01 2008-01-01 2008-01-01 2008-01-01 2008-01-01 2008-01-01 2008-01-01 2008-01-02 2008-01-02 2008-01-02 2008-01-02 2008-01-02 2008-01-02 2008-01-03 MOSC 00:00:00;236.550 01:00:00;237.550 07:00:00;237.350 08:00:00;238.000 14:00:00;236.100 15:00:00;237.250 21:00:00;236.450 22:00:00;238.250 04:00:00;237.280 05:00:00;237.850 11:00:00;236.350 12:00:00;237.430 18:00:00;236.200 19:00:00;237.080 01:00:00;237.030 17 18 3. Another source of necessary data on solar and magnetospheric activity (accompanied to CR variations detected with NMDB) is popular database SPIDR (Space Physics Interactive Database) of NOAA NGDC (see copy of the html-page lower):http://spidr.ngdc.noaa.gov/spidr/ For access to this database you may use my login/password (lev/levpust) or to open your independent login/password through “registration” button. After incoming to SPIDR you must select time interval of observations, what you are interested and to click “Data Sets” for selection of data sets what you would like to download (see copy of the html-page lower): You may select data from: Geomagnetic Indexes: Aa, Am,Ap,C9,Cp,DST,Kp,Solar Radio flux, Sunspot number (1932-2009) Solar Data: Sunspot number (1700-2009), sunspot group number (1610-1995), radio flux1947-2009) Cosmic Ray Data from 147 stations, geomagnetic minute data, ionosphere data, data from GOES space telescopes and monitors of X-ray, proton and electron fluxes and magnetic field of the Earth. All SPIDR data may be downloading to user both in ASCII mode (zipped file) and in MATLAB plot. 18
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