Client: Sunday Times
Agency: Panelbase
Universe: Adults resident in Scotland
Methodology: Online
Sample size: 626
Fieldwork dates: 25 - 26 June 2016
Weighting: All the results were weighted by age, sex, SEG, Household Tenure,
and country of birth, and voters were also weighted to match the 2014
independence and 2016 Holyrood election results.
Further enquiries: [email protected]
JN:W7181w7
Base: 626
Total
Gender
Male
If the referendum was held
Base: All 8-10 likely to vote
again tomorrow, how would
you vote in response to the Yes
question: Should Scotland be
an independent country?
No
16-34
GenderXAge
35-54
55+
Male x 16-34
Male x 35-54
Male x 55+
Female x 16-34
Female x 35-54
Female x 55+
577
(584)
274
47%
254
44%
49
8%
0
0
278
(287)
150
54%
116
42%
12
4%
0
0
298
(297)
124
42%
138
46%
36
12%
0
0
159
(110)
89
56%
53
34%
16
10%
0
0
200
(226)
96
48%
89
45%
15
7%
0
0
218
(248)
89
41%
111
51%
18
8%
0
0
79
(37)
49
63%
28
36%
1
2%
0
0
96
(100)
53
56%
40
42%
3
3%
0
0
103
(150)
47
45%
48
47%
8
8%
0
0
80
(73)
40
49%
25
32%
15
19%
0
0
104
(126)
42
41%
49
48%
12
12%
0
0
115
(98)
42
37%
63
55%
10
8%
0
0
If the referendum was held
Base: All 8-10 likely to vote, exlcuding DK
again tomorrow, how would
you vote in response to the Yes
question: Should Scotland be
an independent country?
No
528
(533)
274
52%
254
48%
266
(270)
150
56%
116
44%
262
(263)
124
47%
138
53%
142
(99)
89
62%
53
38%
185
(207)
96
52%
89
48%
200
(227)
89
44%
111
56%
77
(36)
49
64%
28
36%
94
(96)
53
57%
40
43%
95
(138)
47
49%
48
51%
65
(63)
40
61%
25
39%
92
(111)
42
46%
49
54%
105
(89)
42
40%
63
60%
Regardless of whether you
Base: All respondents
support or oppose
independence, which of
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent
these is closest to your view? within the next five to ten years
626
(626)
325
52%
64
10%
21
3%
129
21%
86
14%
301
(303)
156
52%
44
14%
12
4%
52
17%
38
13%
325
(323)
169
52%
21
6%
10
3%
78
24%
48
15%
187
(127)
96
51%
23
12%
7
4%
35
19%
26
14%
211
(243)
111
53%
19
9%
5
2%
47
22%
29
14%
228
(256)
117
52%
22
10%
10
4%
47
21%
31
14%
93
(43)
43
47%
16
17%
3
3%
18
19%
13
14%
103
(108)
58
56%
11
10%
2
1%
20
19%
14
13%
105
(152)
55
52%
17
16%
7
7%
15
14%
11
10%
94
(84)
53
56%
7
8%
4
4%
18
19%
12
13%
108
(135)
54
50%
8
8%
3
3%
27
25%
16
15%
123
(104)
62
51%
5
4%
3
2%
33
27%
20
16%
626
(626)
271
43%
103
17%
252
40%
301
(303)
140
46%
51
17%
110
37%
325
(323)
131
40%
52
16%
142
44%
187
(127)
92
49%
36
19%
58
31%
211
(243)
97
46%
27
13%
86
41%
228
(256)
81
36%
40
17%
107
47%
93
(43)
49
53%
19
20%
25
27%
103
(108)
50
49%
13
12%
40
39%
105
(152)
40
39%
20
19%
45
43%
94
(84)
43
46%
18
19%
33
35%
108
(135)
47
44%
14
13%
47
43%
123
(104)
41
33%
20
16%
62
50%
Don’t know
Would not vote
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent
but not for at least 10 or 15 years
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent
but not for at least 20 or 30 years
I don't believe Scotland is likely to become
independent at any point in the next few decades
Don't know
When do you think another
Scottish independence
referendum should be held?
Base: All respondents
In the next two or three years, while the UK is
negotiating to leave the EU
About two or three years from now, when the UK
has finished negotiating to leave the EU
There should not be another Scottish
independence referendum in the next few years
25/06/2016
Age
Female
JN:W7181w7
Base: 626
Total
SEG3
ABC1
If the referendum was held
Base: All 8-10 likely to vote
again tomorrow, how would
you vote in response to the Yes
question: Should Scotland be
an independent country?
No
I voted Yes
I voted No
2016 Holyrood constotuency constituency vote
I did not vote
Conservative
Labour
Liberal Democrat
SNP
Other
Did not vote
577
(584)
274
47%
254
44%
49
8%
0
0
271
(384)
129
48%
118
43%
24
9%
0
0
306
(200)
145
47%
137
45%
25
8%
0
0
247
(286)
215
87%
24
10%
7
3%
0
0
312
(280)
52
17%
222
71%
37
12%
0
0
18
(18)
6
35%
7
41%
4
25%
0
0
115
(98)
11
9%
91
79%
13
11%
0
0
113
(100)
25
22%
80
71%
8
7%
0
0
41
(30)
11
27%
23
57%
7
16%
0
0
231
(271)
196
85%
22
9%
14
6%
0
0
6
(15)
2
42%
3
44%
1
15%
0
0
71
(70)
28
40%
35
50%
7
10%
0
0
If the referendum was held
Base: All 8-10 likely to vote, exlcuding DK
again tomorrow, how would
you vote in response to the Yes
question: Should Scotland be
an independent country?
No
528
(533)
274
52%
254
48%
247
(351)
129
52%
118
48%
281
(182)
145
51%
137
49%
240
(277)
215
90%
24
10%
275
(243)
52
19%
222
81%
14
(13)
6
46%
7
54%
102
(87)
11
11%
91
89%
106
(92)
25
24%
80
76%
34
(24)
11
32%
23
68%
217
(255)
196
90%
22
10%
5
(13)
2
49%
3
51%
64
(62)
28
44%
35
56%
Regardless of whether you
Base: All respondents
support or oppose
independence, which of
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent
these is closest to your view? within the next five to ten years
626
(626)
325
52%
64
10%
21
3%
129
21%
86
14%
285
(404)
157
55%
27
10%
10
4%
49
17%
41
14%
341
(222)
167
49%
37
11%
11
3%
81
24%
45
13%
264
(303)
202
76%
27
10%
6
2%
16
6%
13
5%
327
(288)
116
35%
34
10%
15
4%
105
32%
57
17%
35
(35)
7
20%
3
9%
0
1%
8
24%
16
46%
117
(99)
35
30%
7
6%
6
5%
52
45%
17
14%
120
(103)
36
30%
18
15%
4
3%
37
31%
25
21%
41
(30)
26
64%
3
6%
1
1%
8
21%
3
8%
246
(283)
185
75%
28
11%
8
3%
12
5%
13
5%
6
(15)
5
77%
0
6%
0
0
1
16%
0
0
96
(96)
37
39%
9
9%
3
3%
18
19%
29
30%
626
(626)
271
43%
103
17%
252
40%
285
(404)
130
46%
40
14%
115
40%
341
(222)
140
41%
64
19%
137
40%
264
(303)
182
69%
49
19%
33
12%
327
(288)
75
23%
48
15%
204
63%
35
(35)
13
38%
7
19%
15
42%
117
(99)
14
12%
13
11%
91
78%
120
(103)
30
25%
22
19%
68
57%
41
(30)
16
40%
3
8%
21
52%
246
(283)
171
69%
48
20%
27
11%
6
(15)
4
64%
1
19%
1
16%
96
(96)
36
38%
16
17%
43
45%
Don’t know
Would not vote
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent
but not for at least 10 or 15 years
I believe Scotland is likely to become independent
but not for at least 20 or 30 years
I don't believe Scotland is likely to become
independent at any point in the next few decades
Don't know
When do you think another
Scottish independence
referendum should be held?
Base: All respondents
In the next two or three years, while the UK is
negotiating to leave the EU
About two or three years from now, when the UK
has finished negotiating to leave the EU
There should not be another Scottish
independence referendum in the next few years
25/06/2016
2014 referendum vote
C2DE