EnviroServ Waste Management (Pty Ltd) Complaints Analysis November 2016 Contents • Background • Time Analysis • Uniqueness of Complainants • Odour Analysis - Keywords • Wind Direction Analysis • Complaints and Meetings • Affected Population • Other possible causes EnviroServ Waste Management (PTY LTD) PwC November 2016 2 Background In recent months it was observed that the number of complaints received against the landfill site in Shongweni have significantly increased. Analysis was done on the complaints lodged by the residents from the surrounding areas to find possible trends from the data. Key observations 3000 • A significant increase in number of complaints was observed from May 2016 to October 2016. • 89.5% of these complaints where received through the official means of communication (Call Centre, Website) and other 10.5% where received through unofficial channels (Facebook, WhatsApp) • Surrounding areas such as Hillcrest, Assagay, Gillitts, Winston Park and Upper Highway contributed to ~93% of the total complaints received since May 2016. • Summerveld, Shongweni, Kloof, Waterfall Bothas Hill and Waterfall areas contributed to the next 6% of the total complaints. • * ~15% (574 cases) of the complaints appear to be logged twice at the same time by complainants. The complaints have unique case numbers but the complaint time, name, surname, suburb, type and outcome expected are the same. * 2031 2000 * 1492 960 1000 689 241 51 104 May-16 Jun-16 0 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Trend of complaints since May 2016 72.0% 17.5% 10.4% 0.2% WEBSITE CALL CENTRE FACEBOOK WHATSAPP Complaints received through different channels EnviroServ Waste Management (PTY LTD) PwC * Possible inflation in the number of complaints due to same complaint being received / recorded twice (~15%) November 2016 3 Time Analysis Analysis on the complaints data was done to understand the pattern of complaints during different intervals in day and over days of the week. 1200 1000 800 Key observations 600 • It was observed that maximum number of complaints (~32%) were reported between 0600-0859 followed by 22% reported between 1800-2059. • Most of the areas from where complaints are reported demonstrate similar trends on time of complaints. • Most complaints are reported on Saturday (18%) followed by Monday (17%). • An analysis of the distribution of the complaints throughout the week is fairly linear and does not indicate any significant spikes on certain days of the week. 400 200 0 0-2 3-5 Assagay 6-8' 9-11 Gillitts 12-14 Hillcrest & Plantations 15-17 18-20 21-23 Winston Park Web complaints distribution across the day. 18% 17% 12% 14% 14% 13% 11% MON TUE WED THUR FRI SAT SUN Distribution of complaints received throughout the week since May 2016 EnviroServ Waste Management (PTY LTD) PwC November 2016 4 Uniqueness of the Complaints Data uniqueness checks were done on the complaints lodged by the local residents to determine the number of unique residents who are affected. Complaints received through Website and Call Centre contributed to 89.5% of the total complaints since May 2016. Based on our analysis, ~1030 unique complainants were found. 5568 71% * 1130 C O M P L AI N T S C O M P L AI N AN T S Uniqueness of the residents were analysed based on a combination of contact number, email ids and complainants location from the complaints data. EnviroServ Waste Management (PTY LTD) PwC 15% 0-200 200-400 7% 7% 400-600 600-1031 Analysis shows that ~70% of the complaints were received from the top 200 complainants * Unique number of complainants may be inflated due to possible typographical errors present in the complaints data. November 2016 5 Location Analysis Location of the complaints were analyzed to find possible causes of odour in the surrounding areas. Majority of the complaints in the area are concentrated around the Transnet pipeline and pump station. Other possible source could be the industrial complex situated next to the N3 highway. Key observations • More than 93% of the complaints pertain to the following areas – Hillcrest, Assagay, Gillitts, Winston Park and Upper Highway. • A geo-special analysis of the area indicates other possible sources of odour around key complainant areas. There is a Transnet pipeline, pump station and spill sites in the vicinity of areas where most complaints are received from. • Further, there is also an industrial complex in the same vicinity as Shongweni landfill site. Map of the surrounding areas EnviroServ Waste Management (PTY LTD) PwC November 2016 6 Odour Analysis - Keywords Odour description reported by the complainants were analysed to find what type of odour is frequently reported. Keywords such as petrol and diesel were mostly found in our analysis followed by chemicals. 3000 2500 OIL/PETROL/DIESEL 2500 SULPHUR CHEMICAL 2000 1935 1834 ROTTEN GAS ACID 1500 SEWERAGE EGG 1000 AMMONIA METALLIC 500 254 189 BENZENE 175 119 56 24 16 5 3 CHLORIDE 0 Count Odour descriptions frequently reported by complainants The highest number of keywords pertained to Fuel / Refinery where the complainants mentioned odour like Diesel, Fuel, Refinery smell, etc. Majority of the complaints (~93%) were from residents in Hillcrest, Plantations, Assagay, Winston Park and Gillitts. Oil/Refinery/Diesel, Sulphur and Chemical smells were other mostly used description that complainants described about. EnviroServ Waste Management (PTY LTD) PwC November 2016 7 Wind direction Analysis Out of total complaints from July 27, 2016 and November 10, 2016 only 1,024 of the 3066 complaints are in-line with the actual wind direction which results in ~33% accuracy. This may indicate that the complaints could be due to other operations in the area or might be incorrectly reported. Analysis was done on the complaints where wind direction and location was reported. Wind Direction / Area Assagay Gillitts Hillcrest & Plantations Summerveld Winston Park Grand Total E 7 9 30 5 1 52 ENE 4 1 23 1 6 35 ESE 11 7 49 4 11 82 N 1 NE 2 2 NNE 3 9 2 NNW 3 2 1 6 4 NW 19 14 13 4 23 56 S 86 47 226 3 25 387 SE 31 12 82 7 18 150 SSE 44 19 114 4 27 208 SSW 57 11 141 6 215 SW 37 42 433 6 22 540 W 11 67 197 1 77 353 WNW 9 35 61 2 88 195 WSW 39 124 538 5 61 767 Grand Total 340 395 1925 39 367 3066 Complaints in line with wind direction 130 166 574 16 138 1024 Wind direction inline with complaint area EnviroServ Waste Management (PTY LTD) PwC November 2016 8 Complaints and Meetings The number of complaints received every day was compared with the event dates to check for any relationship in increase of complaints around the event dates. Trend of daily complaints from July 2016 was analysed as part of this analysis. 300 240 180 120 60 0 2016/11/10 2016/07/01 Dates Events 17/07/2016 5th Working Group Meeting 17/08/2016 DEA meeting ( Mishelle and compliance site visit) and WG meeting 18/08/2016 Mark's visit to site and meet with community 19/08/2016 20/08/2016 Community engage directly with Mark regarding the plan and reporting events to him. 21/08/2016 22/08/2016 31/08/2016 Mishelle and Enforcement teams follow up visit 01/09/2016 Mark's attendance at MC 08/09/2016 Des’s community meeting South Durban 09/09/2016 DEA meets with Des and team 12/09/2016 Green Scorpions visit to Shongweni and community meeting 22/09/2016 Des’s 2nd meeting in South Durban 29/09/2016 Monitoring Committee Meeting 14/10/2016 Green Scorpions visit to site and community 16/10/2016 Community meeting in Kwandengezi 21/10/2016 Compliance Notice 23/10/2016 Community meeting in Kwandengezi 02/11/2016 Green Scorpions visit to site and community 10/11/2016 Varied Compliance Notice EnviroServ Waste Management (PTY LTD) PwC Key Findings • Unusual increase in daily complaints was observed around the days of event from August 2016. • An average of ~21 complaints was observed during this time period where daily count varies between 1 to 173 complaints. • Increase between ~79% to ~600% in the daily average was observed around the event dates. November 2016 9 Affected Population Number of unique complainants were compared with the estimated population count. This number was based on the 2011 census records and population growth percentage from 2011 to 2015 2.6% 97.4% Unique Complainants Estimated Population Key Findings Estimated population in the surrounding areas. Surrounding Areas Gillitts Hillcrest Outer West Durban EThekwini NU 2011 - Census Assumed Increase(6%) Derived Population 8,661 520 9,181 13,329 800 14,129 7,408 444 7,852 11,200 672 11,872 EnviroServ Waste Management (PTY LTD) PwC • ~2.5% of the total surrounding population lodged complaints through the communication channels. • Majority of the ~2.5% population is concentrated around Plantations, Hillcrest and Assagay areas. November 2016 10 Other Possible Causes Most of the complaints received in the recent months complained about different types of fuels and Sulphur smell. Multiple Transnet pipelines crossing through the locality could be a possible source for the fuel odours. Key Findings • Transnet pipelines carrying refined products, Gas and crude oil passes through the same locality. • Complaints received since May 2016 is mostly concentrated around the pipeline network and the pump station. • Oil, Petrol, Diesel and Gas are the odour keywords found in majority of the complaints received since May 2016. • Sulphur smell was the second most complaint about; which could be because of the fuel products passing through the Transnet pipeline which may have sulphur content in it. Transnet Pipeline network crossing through the area. EnviroServ Waste Management (PTY LTD) PwC November 2016 11 Thank you © 2016 PwC. All rights reserved. Not for further distribution without the permission of PwC. 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