WP 5.3.1 - Exploring the whole effects of migration in sending countries (Ecuador-Spain) Survey report Ramon Mahia & Anda David April 2015 This deliverable corresponds to research WP5.3.1, “Exploring the whole effects of migration in sending countries (Ecuador-Spain)” of which the UAM team is in charge. This research is part of the NOPOOR Work Package 5.3, “Survey based analysis of the dynamics of international migration”. The main objectives of this piece of research are: 1. Describe the migration context 2. Describe living conditions and social integration from the arrival and during the period of stay in Spain 3. Analyze the impact of Crisis, as external shock, in migration dynamics and migrant’s welfare 4. Understand determinants of return by comparing returnees and stayers 5. Understand determinants of successful return According to these objectives, this document briefly presents the main results of two surveys, one conducted in Madrid on Ecuadorian current migrants and one conducted in Quito and its province (Pichincha) on return migrants in the summer of 2014. 1 Contents Introduction ............................................................................................................................................. 3 1. 2. Questionnaire design ....................................................................................................................... 8 1.1. Common ground between the two surveys ............................................................................. 8 1.2. The "return expectations" block .............................................................................................. 9 1.3. The "return" block ................................................................................................................. 10 Sampling and data collection......................................................................................................... 11 2.1. Current migrants survey ........................................................................................................ 11 2.2. Return migrants survey ......................................................................................................... 12 2.3. Sample representativeness ..................................................................................................... 13 Madrid survey................................................................................................................................ 13 Quito survey .................................................................................................................................. 16 3. Migration profile ........................................................................................................................... 21 3.1. Who are the Ecuadorian migrants?........................................................................................ 21 Family composition ....................................................................................................................... 21 Education ....................................................................................................................................... 23 3.2. What was their level of wellbeing prior to migrating? .......................................................... 24 3.3. Why and how did they migrate? ............................................................................................ 28 Migration reasons and decision making ........................................................................................ 28 Context of migration and arrival in Spain ..................................................................................... 31 3.4. 4. 5. 6. What are their labor market outcomes? ................................................................................. 36 Migrants’ wellbeing before and after the crisis ............................................................................. 41 4.1. What was the level of migrant’s wellbeing before the economic crisis in Spain? ................ 41 4.2. To what extent did the crisis impact the Ecuadorian immigrants? ........................................ 43 4.3. What was the crisis impact on migrants’ labor market outcomes? ....................................... 48 Integration aspects ......................................................................................................................... 50 5.1. Economic integration ............................................................................................................ 50 5.2. Socio-cultural integration ...................................................................................................... 51 Return migration............................................................................................................................ 53 6.1. How did the crisis shape current migrants’ perception of returning to Ecuador? ................. 53 6.2. What are the socioeconomic outcomes of return migrant in Ecuador? ................................. 55 Return decision making process .................................................................................................... 55 Labor market outcomes upon return.............................................................................................. 59 Changes in wellbeing after migration............................................................................................ 59 7. Conclusion ..................................................................................................................................... 61 References ............................................................................................................................................. 66 APPENDIX ........................................................................................................................................... 67 Field work report ............................................................................................................................... 67 2 Introduction The evolution of migration in Spain offers an excellent setting for researching migration dynamics. In this context in which Spain has established itself as a migration destination, the Ecuadorian immigration is a particularly interesting case study The approach of a double survey in Madrid and Quito is an innovative stand point that will allow a better understanding of migration dynamics, its effects on the welfare of migrants and origin households and, above all, of the factors that promote or inhibit the return of immigrants. During the years of the economic boom in Spain (2001-2008), a growth model leaded by low productivity and high labor intensive sectors boost an extraordinary process of job creation. Around 4.7 million net jobs were created representing 31% of the total EU27 employment generated between 2001 and 20071. This huge increase in labor demand could only be partially covered by the native workforce, thanks to slight increase in the native potential workforce, a slight increase in the rate of the native activity rate and a small rise in the native employment rate. But the combination of these three factors meant that there were "only" 2 million native employees to meet the labor demand, so the balance (to cover the 4.7 million jobs created) were filled by immigrants. The total number of economic immigrants living in Spain in 2000 was only around 500,000 people but from the year, Spain started to experience one of the most intense voluntary immigration flows ever recorded in Europe. Nearly 4.5 million immigrants entered Spain between 2001 and 2008, with 3.6 million coming from poor countries (Graph 1). A total of 2.7 million immigrants eventually succeeded in finding employment; by early 20092, the number of foreigners residing in Spain had already surpassed 5.5 million; an increase representing 12% of its population in just 8 years. * Faculty of Applied Economics, Universidad Autonoma de Madrid, Madrid. 1 Source: Eurostat. LFS. Seasonally adjusted data. 2 Municipal Register. National Statistics Institute (INE). Population as of 1 January 2009. 3 Graph 1. Stock of foreign population residing in Spain between 1998 and 2014 Residence/Work permits Labour Survey Municipal Registers 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 0 Source: Own elaboration with data from Municipal revision of Register (INE), Labor Force Survey (INE) and Residence Permits, (Ministry of Interior). Then the economic bubble burst and the crisis came. The change in migration trend seen in Graph 2 is clearly explained by a context of extremely high economic difficulties, with a severe decline in labor demand and increasing unemployment. Additionally, the shrinkage of employment opportunities took place in a restrictive immigration policy context where the regulation change in 20113 consolidated the legal link between arrival and permanence of foreigners and job market needs, by means of considering the national employment situation and enhancing its measurement. In this difficult context, inflows of immigrants started to reduce very slowly but, at the same time, emigration of nationals but mainly return of resident immigrants began to rise markedly. 3 Law was approved on december 2009, through Organic Law 2/2009. Immigration Regulations approved by Royal Decree 557/2011, of April 20. Full text available at http://www.boe.es/boe/dias/2011/04/30/pdfs/BOE-A2011-7703.pdf 4 Graph 2. Stock of foreign population residing in Spain between 1998 and 2014 Immigration Emmigration and Return 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Immigration 599.074 392.963 360.704 371.335 304.054 291.041 Emmigration and Return 288.432 380.118 403.379 409.034 446.606 547.89 Source: Own elaboration with data from Residential Variation Statistics. (INE). In this context, Spain emerges as an ideal case of analysis of international migrations. The speed at which the phenomenon of boom-slowdown-drop occurred allows a distinctive study of migration dynamics of a single generation of immigrants. Indeed, the emigration from the origin country, the arrival in Spain, the stay, and the final return or its expectations are still fresh in the minds of the current residents or return migrants. A single generation of immigrants has undergone these various stages in just over a decade allowing a quasi-experimental analysis focused on the migration reasons, the residence context, the return motivations, and the role of an external shock such as the economic crisis in the migratory journey. On the one hand, Ecuador is one of the main countries of origin of migrates residing in Spain, only surpassed by Romania and Morocco, thus ensuring a sufficiently large group of analysis. It was estimated that between 1.5 million and 2 million Ecuadorians were living abroad in 2013, representing around 10.3-13.8-2% of the total population. The diaspora is mainly the result of two waves of migration: a first one in the early 1980s with migration flows towards the US and a second one in the late 1990s for which the main destination was Spain. This second wave, often characterized as "mass emigration", was triggered by a severe economic crisis resulting from low oil prices and floods damaging export crops, all this in a context of political instability and financial mismanagement (Jokisch, 2014). The economic crisis translated in a steep increase in unemployment, reaching 15%, an increase in poverty to 56% and a loss of value of the national currency (the Sucre) of more than twothirds, pushing between 500 000 and 1 million Ecuadorians to emigrate between 1998 and 2005. The 5 main destination was Spain, where the lack of visa requirements, common language and significant demand of low-skilled informal jobs created a perfect destination. Graph 3 presents the evolution of the number of Ecuadorian nationals residing in Spain between 1998 and 2013 showing a spectacular increase that peaked in 2005 with the regularization law that granted legal status to almost 200.000 Ecuadorians. Graph 3. Evolution of the number of Ecuadorians living in Spain between 1998 and 2013 600000 500000 400000 300000 Number of Ecuadorians 200000 100000 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0 Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE) On the other hand, in the recent years of the crisis, the population of Ecuadorian origin presents a very strong return dynamic, considerably higher than that of nationals of other countries. For instance, according to data from the General Secretariat for Emigration and Immigration (Secretaría General de Emigración e Inmigración), the number of Ecuadorians living in Spain with a residence card fell by 49% between 2009 and 2013 while the population from other Latin American countries only declined by 21% over the same period, and that from Romania increased by 23%. According to INE figures, between 2012 and 2013, Spain recorded 56 466 less Ecuadorians, including those with double nationality (Jokisch, 2014). Along the same lines, the SENAMI estimated having assisted more than 40 000 Ecuadorian migrant to return between 2008 and 2013. Return migration is thus a significant phenomenon for Ecuador and our study aims at shedding light on the wellbeing of current and return Ecuadorian migrants, the determinants of their return and their socioeconomic integration and the role of the crisis among these determinants. Usually, the study of return migration is based on surveying returnees in their country of origin (Cassarino, 2007; Sabadie, 2010), but they face the issue of selection into return; alternatively, return intentions are evaluated using studies made in receiving countries (Dustmann, 2003; Khoo et al., 2008; de Arce & Mahia, 2012), but the realization of these intentions are not observed. Therefore, the proper study of the return determinants requires implementing two surveys, one in the home country and one 6 in the host country, in order to compare the returnees with an adequate reference population of nonreturnees. In our study, we have chosen specifically this approach; conducting a survey in Madrid and another one in Quito allowing the comparison of groups of returnees and non-returnees, thus determining more precisely the factors that drive or inhibit the return. This report presents the main results of the two surveys, with a focus on the impact of the crisis on the wellbeing of migrants. Thus, we will not systematically distinguish between current and return migrants, since this will be the focus of an upcoming research article. However, in some sections we present separately the results for the two samples, but merely with the scope of fully benefitting of the richness of the data and justifying our approach. The report is organized as follows: a first section will be dedicated to the description of the sample and the field work, a second section presents the questionnaire structure and the third section analyses the results. 7 1. Questionnaire design As discussed in the introduction, the methodological design was based on the realization of two “twin” surveys in Spain and Ecuador. Following the lines of the MIREM survey (EUI, 2007), both contain a common section dealing with the period prior to migration, the migration episode, and the stay in Spain. Additionally, the survey conducted in Quito includes a specific module on return, while in the Madrid survey, conducted on current resident migrants, we added a module of future return expectations. Figure 1. Questionnaire design sketch Specific SCREENING modules Common MIGRATION module Specific RETURN modules QUITO MADRID Survey Survey Screening for returnees Screening for NON returnees Pre-migration Pre-migration Section Section Migration Migration Block Block After Return section Return Expectations Section The common framework for the before and during migration gives us the opportunity to capture the determinants of the return decision and compare current migrants and return migrants. More importantly, this structure and the detailed block on the crisis impact will allow us to compare the socioeconomic wellbeing of individuals before and after the migration and also before and after the crisis. The two complete surveys are available upon request. 1.1. Common ground between the two surveys The first two parts of the survey trace the migrants’ characteristics before the emigration and the detailed context of their migration episode. 8 In the pre-migration block, migrants are asked both individual questions and questions about the family´s socioeconomic situation during the last year that preceded the individual’s outmigration. At the individual level, questions focused on personal and family educational background and labor market situation, in particular concerning the last job. The questions at the household level concerned the family structure and various aspects of welfare, using both objective and subjective dimensions of wealth. In the migration block, one could find again questions at the individual and family /household level. Some questions are focused on the moment of migration decision: decision making process, reasons to emigrate and to choose Spain, details on past migration episodes, migration intentions and expectations and documents used to enter the country. In terms of family composition, we focus on the family structure at the moment of arrival and at the moment of the survey for current migrants or at the moment before the return for the return migrants, as well as on the migration (at the same time as the individual or through family reunification schemes) and nationality acquisition of the close family members, changes in marital status, birth and school enrollment of children. Concerning the labor market situation, we restrict our questions to three key moments of the migration episode: the first job, the longest job abroad and, if different from the longest job, the current job (for current migrants) or the last job (for return migrants). The labor market block contains questions on the activity status, type and level of the job, type of contract, stability and wages and benefits. As mentioned, a special block of questions was designed in order to measure the impact of the crisis in terms of socioeconomic wellbeing. The questions in this block are both at an individual and household level and cover topics as job losses, working condition deterioration, household indebtedness, evictions, discrimination and subjective perception of socioeconomic status. Finally, we analyze integration asking detailed questions about the social network and social participation and the remitting behavior. 1.2. The "return expectations" block For the current migrants, we introduce a block on the expectations of return, aiming to capture their willingness and their preparedness to return. Therefore, current migrants were asked about their short and long term intentions to return, their level of information about the return programs and the Ecuadorian context and their expectations concerning the life after an eventual return. 9 1.3. The "return" block The questionnaire for the return migrants is slightly longer and contains a small block with questions on the preparation of the return and a detailed block on the socioeconomic integration after return. A first set of questions concern the decision making process concerning the return, the reasons behind it and the expectations relative to the welcome they received. Some specific questions were also added about whether the respondent had knowledge and eventually participated in assisted return programs both by the Ecuadorian and Spanish governments. Furthermore, the “after return” block evolves around four main dimensions: the family composition, the labor market outcomes, the sociocultural integration and an assessment of the evolution of living conditions linked to the migration episode. 10 2. Sampling and data collection The process of selection and training of interviewers was carefully designed as to ensure random selection of individuals with the required profile for each survey, given the size and complexity of some of their sections. A specific annex at the end of this report describes field – work in detail but in this preliminary section we would like to briefly present the basic design of sampling strategy and some relevant issues concerning data collection process. A total of 1.300 individuals were interviewed by means of two different surveys carried out in Madrid and Quito. Table 1 summarizes some basic data and dates for the different stages: Table 1. Field work details Pre-test: Number of pre-test surveys completed: Selection of interviewers: Briefing of interviewers: Dates of interviews: Number of interviewers: Type of interview: Language: Duration: Survey methodology: Surveys completed: Data entry and recording: Data clean - validation: Madrid 3 and 4 June Quito 1: 21-28 April/ 2: 30 June-04 July 22 1st wave: 16 2nd wave: 4 1-20 June 1- 20 July 23 and 24 June 21-23 July 26 June-14 August 28 July-31 August 22 20 Personal Personal Spanish Spanish Aprox. 40 minutes Aprox. 50 minutes Random in the Madrid Region Snowballing from different (Comunidad de Madrid, CAM) databases of returnees. (public venues, public transport, Screening applied in a first step work centers, etc.) and then personal appointment. 906 410 August – September 2014 September – November 2014 2.1. Current migrants survey The first survey focuses on the analysis of the migratory experience of Ecuadorian migrants still living in Spain. When designing the sample, we considered as valid observation units individuals of Ecuadorian nationality4, residing in Madrid city, with a minimum age at the time of migration of 15 years old and having been living in Spain for at least one year. Of course another crucial criterion was not having any other family members who already answered the survey. 4 Independently of having a second nationality (as the Spanish one) or not. 11 The surveyors were carefully instructed to randomly conduct interviews in public places (parks, street, subway and train stations, Ecuadorian restaurants and bars, shopping areas, ports events, etc.), approaching individuals and asking them the preliminary questions that ensured that they belonged to the sample described above. Given that a significant share of the surveyors were of Ecuadorian origin, they were allowed to survey maximum 2 persons from their family and friends circle as long as they fitted the sample criteria. Additional instructions have been given during the survey as to orient the surveyors in order to obtain a sample whose characteristics in terms of sex, age, duration of stay and labor status would match the official Spanish statistics on Ecuadorian migrants residing in Spain. The survey took place during the months of July and August. The final sample consists of 882 individuals, representing around 1.2% of the entire Ecuadorian population living in Madrid at the end of 2013 (75.298) according to the official municipal statistics. 2.2. Return migrants survey The second sample consists of return migrants of Ecuadorian nationality, residing in Quito or its province (Pichincha), having a last migration episode of at least 1 year in Spain and having returned for at least a year at the moment of the survey. According to the estimations of the Ecuadorian census itself, the number of immigrants who returned to Ecuador in the recent years (2005-2010) is of 63.888. Of these, approximately 46% came back from Spain (29.388). We thus need to bear in mind that our population of interest represents about 0.2% of the total Ecuadorian population. If we concentrate on a smaller geographical unit, as the province of Pichincha, with higher rates of return, where we eventually focus our study, the return migrant population is estimated to be of around 20.000 individuals. If about half of them come from Spain, the group would consist of no more than 8.500 individuals, out of a population of about 2.6 million in the province; that is, a group representing 0.3% of the province’s total population. The main difficulty was the absence of a government census – both in Spain and Ecuador – that would have provided information for returnees’ location while also informing of their socio-economic status. Thus, in a first phase we started collecting information on : (i) returnees that attended the workshops organized for return migrants by the local government; (ii) returnees that filled signaled themselves on the website we had created for the survey; (iii) returnees that had been identified by the local associations we worked with; (iv) returnees that had benefitted from some specific return assistance programs launched at the time by the National Secretariat for Migrants (Secretaría Nacional del Migrante - SENAMI) and (v) returnees that were registered at the Ministerial job program as unemployed and looking for a job (in Spanish, Bolsa de Empleo del Ministerio de Relaciones Laborales de Ecuador). 12 However, since our population of interest was limited to migrants returning from Spain, this narrow definition made it difficult to obtain a sample large enough to randomly select persons to be interviewed. Therefore, we have tried to contact all the individuals that matched our criteria, but we have managed a successful contact with only 10% of them. This constitutes the original base for the fieldwork, which snowballed from there. The survey was conducted during the month of August 2014 and the final sample consisted of 410 individuals. 2.3. Sample representativeness The characteristics of the migrant sample in Madrid are remarkably consistent with the official data and other available studies concerning the resident Ecuadorian population in this region and their migratory trajectories. With respect to the sample of returnees, the analysis of their representativeness is more complex, since there is no official information on this group. On the other hand, the comparison of the sample of returnees with a sample of non-returnees is not at all relevant since, precisely, there may be differences between the two populations specifically related to return. Nevertheless, we present some indicators that aim to prove the validity of the sample of return migrants. Madrid survey First of all, we need to mention that the choice of Madrid for the field work was motivated by the fact that is host the highest share of Ecuadorian migrants. According to municipal statistics, Madrid has the largest Ecuadorian migrant population, 75.298 accounting for 28.6% of the total number of Ecuadorians in Spain (INE). 13 .1 0 .05 Density .15 .2 Graph 4. Distribution of the sample according the year of arrival 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Year of arrival The sample distribution of arrival year shows that the migrant’s inflow started to appear as relevant at the beginning of the Ecuadorian economic crisis in 1997/98, significantly accelerated around the time of the dollarization (years 1999 / 2000) and started to decelerated from 2004 (Graph 4). This is exactly the same trend as the one observed for the national numbers as depicted in Graph 3. It is known that Ecuadorian women started the migration process slightly earlier than men, which is also confirmed in our sample: according to our data, 30% of women surveyed had arrived to Spain in 1999 compared with 22 % of men surveyed. Table 2. Basic characteristics of the current migrants sample Age at the time of migration Migration duration Current age (at the time of the survey) Spanish nationality N° obs Men Women Total 27 12.9 39.9 55.3% 418 26.1 13.2 39.1 66.6% 464 26.5 13 39.5 52.6% 882 On the average, the Ecuadorian migrants in our sample are 39 years old and they had migrated around the age of 26 years with a slight difference between men and women related to our previous commented on the initiation of migration by women (Table 2). Again, if we compare to the age distribution of the total Ecuadorian population residing in Madrid, we notice that our sample roughly 14 follows the same pattern, since according to INE data (Estadística del Padrón Continuo a 1 de enero de 2013) the highest share or Ecuadorian migrants are aged between 30 and 39 years old. Graph 5. Age distribution of the Ecuadorian population living in Madrid, 2013 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 0-9 years 10-19 years 20-29 years 30-39 years 40-49 years 50-59 years 60-69 years 70-79 over 80 years years Source: INE Concerning length of migration experience, we observe in our sample average migration duration of 13 years old, but we have to point out that this number only reflects the average duration for the migrants that have not returned. In terms of nationality acquisition, 52.6% of the migrants in our sample have the Spanish nationality, which is very close to the national numbers provided by INE, according to which, at the end of 2013 8 Estadística del Padrón Continuo), 53.6% of the Ecuadorian residents had the double nationality. The percentage of nationality acquisition for the Ecuadorian population is very high and, in fact, Ecuadorians rank first in terms of naturalizations. This could be easily explained for reasons of historical and cultural closeness, for being one of the first countries of origin since the beginning of Spanish immigration era and or for the preferential conditions of access to nationality offered by our legislation5. In terms of birthplace, the highest share was born in Quito (30.30%). The other two main origin cities are Loja (19.40%) and Guayaquil (11.60%). 5 The minimum prior period of residence in Spain required for Latin American citizens (as well as Andorra, Philippines, Equatorial Guinea and Portugal) is only two years, while generally for other nationalities the period required is 10 years. On the other hand, Latin American citizens can achieve Spanish nationality without waiving their own, something that does not always occur in the case of nationals from other countries. 15 Table 3. Main birth places and residence places for the current migrant sample Top 3 birth place Quito Loja Guayaquil Top 3 residence place before migration 30.30% Quito 19.40% Loja 11.60% Guayaquil 38.70% 12.40% 13.00% If we compare place of birth with residence place before migration, there is a difference in the distribution across cities (Table 3). Again, most of the migrants were living in Quito and the percentage is even higher (38.70%), indicating that internal migration might be a pre-step in the case of Ecuadorian international migration. As shown in Table 4, significant shares of those not living in the first two major cities (Quito and Guayaquil), move to Quito before emigrating. The transition matrix also allows us to observe the subsample of those that has a previous migration experience and did not migrate to Spain directly from Ecuador (1.1% of our sample). Table 4. Transition matrix for the main birth place and residence place for the current migrant sample Residence before migration Birth place Quito/Pichincha Guayaquil Loja Quito/Pichincha Ambato Other Total 90.6% 4.9% 22.9% 5.6% 18.8% 39.1% Guayaquil 0.8% 86.3% 1.8% 0.0% 6.8% 12.9% Loja 0.8% 1.0% 58.2% 0.0% 2.3% 12.4% Ambato 0.4% 0.0% 1.2% 72.2% 2.0% 4.0% Abroad 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 2.8% 1.3% 1.1% 6.4% 266 6.9% 102 15.3% 170 19.4% 36 68.8% 308 30.5% 882 Other Number of observations There are slightly more women in the sample (52.6%), but the same trend has been observed in the various surveys on immigrants in Spain (Jokisch, 2014). Despite the highest share of women, there is no notable gender difference in age and migration duration. Quito survey Following the similar logic as for the Madrid survey, we have conducted the survey in Quito city and its province Pichincha. The province of Pichincha, in the Andes region, is the second region in terms of population among the 24 provinces (approximately 2.600.000 inhabitants representing 18% of the total Ecuadorian population that was estimated at 14.5 millions). However it ranks first in terms of 16 population density. Its capital, Quito, is also the capital of the country and is the residence of more than60% of the population (approximately 1.6 million). It consists of 8 cantons although 87.6% of the population resides in the canton of Metropolitan District of Quito. Pichincha also concentrates the highest share of return migrants – 30.7% (Mejia, 2012). Using the 2010 census, Mejia (2012) estimates the number of return migrants in Pichincha to be slightly above 50 000 individuals, but this concerns all migration destinations (USA, Spain, etc.). .15 0 .05 .1 Density .2 .25 Graph 6. Distribution of the sample according the year of arrival 1990 1995 2000 Year of arrival in Spain 2005 2010 The distribution of the sample according to the year of arrival follows the same pattern as the sample of current migrants, with a peak in 2000 and a quick slowdown afterwards (Graph 6). Table 5. Basic characteristics of the return migrants sample Age at the time of migration Migration duration Time since return Current age Spanish nationality N° obs Men 29.4 9.7 2.7 41.9 48.5% 194 Women 27.3 9.3 2.9 39.6 52.8% 216 Total 28.3 9.5 2.8 40.7 50.7% 410 The average age at the time of migration is of 28 years for the entire sample, slightly higher than that of current migrants, especially for men (29.4 versus 27). The quintile distribution (Figure 2) confirms 17 a higher clustering for the first quantiles corresponding to a slightly higher age at the time of migration for the return migrants. 0 20 40 60 Figure 2. Quintile distribution of the return migrant sample according to the age at arrival 0 .25 .5 Fraction of the data .75 1 As expected, the migration duration is shorter, 9.5 years, than that of current migrants. This figure confirms the representativeness of the sample and its comparability with the Madrid sample since this migration duration in Spain, summed up with the average number of years since return (about 3 years on average), should match the average period of residence in Spain for the sample of current migrants (which is indeed of 13 years). That time since the return is on average of 2.8 years, confirming that return migration is a recent phenomenon. The age distribution is similar to that of current migrants, with an average age of 40.7 years, and, more importantly, is similar to that return migrants as computed in Mejia (2012) (Graph 7). 18 Graph 7. Age distribution of the return migrants all destinations pooled, 2010 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 <9 years 10-19 years 20-29 years 30-39 years 40-49 years 50-59 years 60-69 years 70-79 years >80 years Source: Mejia (2012) In terms of double nationality, 50.7% of the sample also has the Spanish nationality. This percentage is lower than that of current migrants, but this could be explained by two factors: the recent rapid increase in the number of nationality acquisitions in Spain (from 37.7% in 2011 to 53.44% in 2013) and the influence of having Spanish nationality as a factor inhibiting return. In terms of main birth and residence places before migration, the sample is clearly biased in favor of Quito, by construction. Table 6. Main birth places and residence places for the return migrant sample Top 3 birth place Top 3 residence place before migration Quito 57.20% Quito 82.17% Loja 3.67% Loja 0.70% Guayaquil 2.20% Guayaquil 0.50% The transition matrix shows nevertheless, that, for the most part, even those who were not born in Quito/Pichincha, had moved to the capital prior to their migration (Table 7). 19 Table 7. Transition matrix for the main birth place and residence place for the return migrant sample Residence before migration Birthplace Quito/Pichincha Guayaquil Loja Ambato Other Quito/Pichincha 90.3% 88.9% 66.7% 87.5% 59.6% Guayaquil 0.0% 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.7% Loja 0.0% 0.0% 20.0% 0.0% 0.0% Ambato 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5% 0.7% Abroad 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Other 7.6% 0.0% 13.3% 0.0% 39.0% Number of observations 237 9 15 8 141 Total 78.8% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 18.3% 410 We are fully aware that concentrating the sample in the province of Pichincha involves a certain degree of inconsistency with the sample in the region of Madrid: some of migrant returnees interviewed in Pichincha are not returning from Madrid and some of those interviewed in Madrid do not come from Pichincha. Limitations to perform two national surveys have prevented the perfect matching, but, in any case, we will show that the differences between the regions of origin and destination regions relative to the main variables of analysis are not very relevant. 20 3. Migration profile 3.1. Who are the Ecuadorian migrants? The Ecuadorian migrant population is strongly marked by the family dimension: a significant percentage already had direct family in Spain before arriving here and half of the sample had brought family members through reunification programs after having arrived in Spain. The data show a high average level of education among the migrant population in spite of which, one third of respondents say they have received additional training in Spain. Therefore, given the low skill of jobs created in Spain in the last decades, half of respondents feel overqualified for the work done in Spain. Family composition In terms of family status, most Ecuadorian migrants were in couple before having migrated (around 47.5% as shown in Table 8). Table 8. Aggregated family status prior to migration Pooled sample CHILDREN Child with parents in Ecuador Child with one parent in Spain Child with both parents in Spain SINGLES Single childless Single & child not in Spain Single & child in Spain PARTNERS Childless with partner in Ecuador Partner in Ecuador & child not in Spain Partner in Ecuador & child in Spain Childless with partner in Spain Partner in Spain & child not in Spain Partner in Spain & child in Spain Pct. having a direct family member in Spain 6.58% 4.49% 4.49% 15.6% 28.2% 8.3% 0.5% 37.0% 3.5% 34.6% 0.4% 1.7% 6.7% 0.6% 47.50% 43.30% More than 70% of the sample declared having arrived alone in Spain (Table 9). Most of those who arrived alone in Spain were single and childless (34.1%), with very little difference between women (34.5%) and men (36.3%). However, slightly more than 33% went to Spain, leaving their spouse and children behind and this percentage is significantly higher for men (33.4%) than for women (24%). 21 Moreover, if we sum up the various categories, we find that almost 49% of migrants left behind at least a child. Among those who left behind children, almost 80% brought them to Spain later on through family reunification schemes. Table 9. Distribution of migrants who declared having arrived alone in Spain across family type Family status prior to the migration Child with parents in Ecuador Child with one parent in Spain Child with both parents in Spain Single childless Single & child not in Spain Single & child in Spain Childless with partner in Ecuador Partner in Ecuador & child not in Spain Partner in Ecuador & child in Spain Childless with partner in Spain Partner in Spain & child not in Spain Partner in Spain & child in Spain Total Current migrants 5.79% 3.05% 2.28% 34.13% 10.19% 0.77% 2.23% 33.18% 0.30% 2.17% 5.49% 0.52% 73.10% Half of the sample has brought family members to Spain using family reunification schemes (almost 51%) and these reunifications mainly concern children and brothers or sisters (Table 10). Table 10. Characteristics relative to the family structure Has brought family through family reunification schemes Partner Children Brothers/Sisters Changes in marital status Marriage / Civil partnership Divorce/separation Widowhood Had children during migration Pooled sample 50.9% 25.7% 50.6% 59.4% 29.8% 70.8% 26.6% 2.6% 47.1% Almost a third of the sample declared having experienced at least a change in their marital status during migration. For the most part, this change6 involved getting married or committed in a couple (about 71%). Furthermore, almost half of the sample has had children during migration. 6 Interviewers were asked to record the last change if there was more than one. 22 Education The education distribution is similar for current and return migrants, most of them having secondary education, which is not very far from the results of Mejia (2012), who finds that around 55% of the Ecuadorians abroad have secondary education. Nevertheless, only around 66% of them have a diploma. There seems to be evidence of positive selection since this percentage is significantly higher than the total Ecuadorian population, of which 35% has secondary education (according to the World Development Indicators of the World Bank). Still, the percentages for the tertiary education are similar for migrants (around 20% for current and return migrants) and total Ecuadorian population (21%). Furthermore, we see that around a fifth of the sample was enrolled in school or a type of training at the moment when they migrated (Table 11). Among those who were studying in Ecuador at the time of migration, slightly more than 62% also studied in Spain, but this percentage falls to 32.6% if we only consider those who were enrolled in formal schooling. This is due to the fact that most migrants underwent workplace training or job seeking training during their migration. Nevertheless, we notice that among those who were not enrolled in school at the time of migration, slightly over 11% were enrolled in school or university during their migration. Table 11. Education characteristics Pooled sample Education None 0.2% Primary 16.2% Secondary 66.2% Higher 17.4% Holds diploma 66.7% Enrolled at migration time 20.9% All type of education/training Enrolled in Ecuador and studied in Spain 62.3% Not enrolled in Ecuador but studied in Spain 44.0% School/university Enrolled in Ecuador and studied in Spain 32.6% Not enrolled in Ecuador but studied in Spain 11.2% Concerning the link between education and labor (Table 12), slightly more than half of the sample of current migrants and 42% of the return migrants declared having studied during their stay in Spain and around 34% of those who were working at the time of the survey, for current migrant, or who were working before the return, for return migrants, had professional training, mainly in the INEM. Among 23 those benefited from professional training, more than 60% of current migrant and almost 74% of returnees found it useful. Table 12. Labor and education Current migrants Return migrants 50.3% 34.1% 60.1% 42.4% 33.9% 73.7% 32.4% 53.5% 2.7% 11.2% 42.4% 47.7% 2.5% 7.4% Has studied during migration Had professional training The training was useful Match job-education Completely Overeducated Undereducated Level match but different field In terms of matching between the job level7 and their education, most migrants perceive themselves as overeducated (53% of current migrants and 48% of returnees). Among those who see themselves as overeducated, only 24% for current migrants and 28% for return migrants have higher education, while the highest share has secondary education (70% of current migrants and 65% of returnees). 3.2. What was their level of wellbeing prior to migrating? The data clearly shows that the vast majority of migrants emigrated even if they had a job in Ecuador with the idea, therefore, to improve their situation. As corroborated by many other studies, migration can only be met by those who have a minimum level of resources, linked to having a job and sufficient income, which would allow them to support the migration costs. Migration, therefore, does not occur in this case with the aim of economic survival but for improvement and, therefore, it is not related to extreme poverty in the home country but with relative poverty, originally perceived when the economic situation is compared with higher living standards that are associated with the opportunities that migration brings. With regards to the subjective welfare, slightly more than 60% of the migrants declared that they were barely balancing their expenses and incomes (or living on a daily basis) before the migration (Table 13). However, we notice that around one quarter of the sample was able to save money prior to the migration. 7 The job used for this variable is the job at the moment of the survey for current migrants and the last job before the return for return migrants. 24 Table 13. Perceived wellbeing Migrants, pooled sample Subjective welfare Was able to save money Barely balancing income and expenses Had to spend the savings Had to borrow money Subjective economic situation Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad 30.4% 62.2% 2.2% 5.3% 8.8% 38.4% 45.1% 6.9% 0.9% Migrants were also asked what is their subjective assessment concerning their economic situation before the migration and we observe that almost half of the migrants saw their situation as being “good” or “very good”. Interestingly, as Figure 3 shows, this subjective evaluation is rather well correlated to the objective situation as proxied by the number of durable goods owned by the household prior to the migration, with the average number of durable goods being significantly lower for those who saw their situation being “very bad” compared to those who answered “very good”. 6 4 2 0 mean of dur_good_AM 8 10 Figure 3. Average number of durable goods owned by subjective welfare level, pooled sample Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad 25 As we might have expected, Figure 4 shows that there is correlation between education level and the perceived economic situation before the migration. As the education level increases, the share of individuals who report that their economic situation before the migration was “very good” or “good” increases while the share who perceived their situation as “bad” decreases. Figure 4. Distribution of subjective economic situation before the migration for each education level, pooled sample 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Primary Secondary Very good Good Higher Neither good nor bad Total Bad Very bad Before the migration, 58.5% of the migrants in our sample were living in a house that they owned (Table 14). This percentage is slightly lower that that at the national level which is of 65.7%, according to the figures from the Ecuadorian statistical institute (INEC, 2009). Table 14. House ownership type Rent Migrants, pooled sample 31.3% National 18.1% Own house 58.5% 65.7% Free/inherited 9.4% 13.7% Other 0.9% 2.5% In terms of basic services, Figure 5 shows that both of our samples have almost full access to water, electricity and sanitation, with percentages higher than the national ones, especially for access to drinkable water. 26 Figure 5. Access to basic services 95% 99% 96% 95% 99% 96% 95% 90% 68% Current migrants Return migrants Water Electricity National Sanitation The living standards of the households can also be captured through the durable goods that they possess. If we restrict the definition of durable goods to technological goods (which might show a less homogenous distribution), we observe that Ecuadorian migrants systematically rate better than the national averages (Figure 6). This indicates that emigrant households have better living conditions than the national averages and confirms the trends that we highlighted on the labor market outcomes. Figure 6. Technological goods owned by households Current migrants 89% 91% 93% Return migrants National 98% 87% 67% 66% 48% 22% Refridgerator Television DVD/VHS 29% 18% Computer 27 3.3. Why and how did they migrate? The results suggest the central role of the family and its wellbeing in the migration dynamics. The economic improvement appears as the main reason for the migration, but the choice of the destination is marked by family migration patterns. Thus, improving living conditions and opportunities are evaluated and performed in a family context following individual migration dynamics and subsequent reunification. Upon arrival in Spain, most immigrants declared having found a better country than they expected, but from that moment, a prolonged irregular stay awaited for them: about 85% of Ecuadorian migrants resided in Spain in an irregular status for more than two years. The effect of this irregularity on migrants’ achievements, in meeting their expectations and in the return is crucial in order to understand the impact of restrictive immigration policies, as well as that of exceptional or ordinary regularizations. Migration reasons and decision making Around 6% of return migrants and 7.6% of current migrants had another migration episode before coming to Spain. However, we are referring here to international migration, because, as shown in the simple description, a significant share of migrants had an internal migration experience before leaving Ecuador. Among the migrants we have surveyed, 44.6% of current migrants and 39.2% of return migrants declared that they had a family member abroad8 before their own migration (Table 15). However, as Figure 7 shows, the percentage of persons that declared having a family member abroad increases with the year of arrival, signaling an amplification of the network effect on migration. In terms of remittances, around 17% of each sample declared that they were receiving remittances before having migrated and the percentage increases to 33% for current migrants and 36% for return migrants if we limit the sample to those who had family abroad. 8 The family members taken into consideration here were the father, mother, partner, children and brothers/sisters. 28 Table 15. Migration related characteristics Current migrants Had family in Spain Main emigration reason Economic Family related reasons Other Main reason for choosing Spain Had family and/or friends here It was easier to have a visa or to enter the country Job opportunities Cultural proximity Labor/study agreement Health reasons Job transfer Other Was receiving remittances Had another migration experience Decision making Own decision Decision taken by others Joint decision 44.6% Return migrants 39.2% 53.3% 25.2% 21.5% 72.0% 14.6% 13.4% 60.6% 7.6% 12.8% 14.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.3% 3.4% 17.5% 7.6% 69.0% 13.2% 8.1% 8.8% 0.2% 50.4% 15.8% 33.6% 48.5% 5.4% 46.1% 0.2% 0.5% 17.3% 6.1% 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1 Figure 7. Percentage of individuals that had a family member in Spain by year of arrival 200020012002 200320042005 200620072008 200920102011 20122013 29 Moreover, these numbers indicate a lower bound for the migrants who already had family in Spain, since when asked about the reason to choose Spain as a destination, more than 60 to 70% of migrants declared that it was because they already had family or friends there. The higher percentage is due to an extended definition of “family” and the inclusion of friends. Nevertheless, when asked what their main reason for leaving Ecuador was, most individuals conjure up economic motivations: 53% for current migrants and 72% for return migrants. The qualitative answers turn around the concept of improving the living conditions and ensuring a better future for their families. The second major reason for having migrated is related to the family (25% for current migrants and 15% for return migrants), mainly covering people who reunite with their spouses in Spain and children reuniting with their parents. If we define a category for the individuals who migrated the first in their family and define them as “leaders”, we notice that economic related reasons rank first by large (Figure 8). Figure 8. Distribution according to migration reasons for the subsample of « leaders » Other 21% Family 6% Economic 73% When crossing the main motivation to leave Ecuador with the main reason for choosing Spain we observe that more than 60% of those who declare that they had migrated for economic reasons had chosen Spain because they had family in the country. Again, this points out to the joint importance of economic and family-related factors in the migration decision. The category “Other” for the main reason to emigrate mainly includes answers related to “gaining independence from parents” and “getting to know another country and/or another question”. Again, between 57% and 60% of them declared having family and/or friends in Spain, highlighting the pulling effect of networks. 30 Figure 9. Distribution of migrants according to the decision-maker in the emigration process, by emigration reason 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Own decision 30% 20% Others' decision 10% Joint decision Current migrants Other Family Economic Other Family Economic 0% Return migrants As Table 15 shows, around half percent of each sample declared that emigrating was their own decision, while 34% for current migrants and 46% for return migrants declared that the decision was taken jointly (most often with their spouses). However, when we cross the emigration reason and the decision-making (Figure 9), we notice that, in the case of current migrants, when individuals migrate for family related reasons, the decision was mainly taken by others, this result being mainly driven by the minor who travelled to Spain in order to reunite with their parents (the percentage falls from 36% to 15% when we exclude those who left Ecuador before the age of 18). In the case of returnees we do not observe the same result and this might be due to a lower share of the sample that migrated before the age of 18 (20% among current migrants versus 10% for return migrants), confirming once more that children who emigrate might be more reluctant to return, thus we do not capture them properly in our returnee sample. Among the current migrants for whom the decision to emigrate was taken by somebody else, women are overrepresented, accounting for 59.7% and their share is even higher if we exclude those who emigrated as minors, reaching 63%. Context of migration and arrival in Spain When asked about their first opinion of Spain compared to the image they had before migrating, most individuals responded that they had found the country to be better than their expectations (Figure 10). The shares range between 62% for current migrants to 80% for returnees, but no significant differences appear when we distinguish those who had already family Spain from those who did not or when we distinguish those who arrived before and after 2003. 31 Figure 10. First opinion of Spain compared to expectations 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% Current migrants 30% Return migrants 20% 10% 0% Better Same Worse Doesn't remember Had no expectations Figure 11 shows that the share of migrants who found upon arrival that the Spain was better than their expectations increases until 2005 and then starts to decrease, with a marked fall after the crisis. Actually after 2008, we notice a sharp increase in the share of new comers who found that the situation in Spain was worse than what they had expected. 32 0 .2 .4 .6 .8 Figure 11. Evolution of the share of migrants who found Spain better/worse compared to their expectations, by year of arrival 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 mean of expect_better mean of expect_worse Given that most migrants arrived before the start of the visa requirements in 2003, most of them declared that they did not need any document in order to enter Spain (67%). Figure 12 presents the distribution of migrants according to the documents they used to enter Spain, distinguishing between those who arrived before and after the visa requirements. We notice that after 2003, the share of individuals entering Spain with family reunification and work visa increases considerable compared to the previous period, as well as the percentage of migrants arriving with tourist visas. 33 Figure 12. Distribution of migrants according to the documents used to enter Spain before and after 2003 100% 90% 80% 70% Other 60% Student visa 50% Family reunification visa 40% Work visa 30% Turism visa 20% No document was needed 10% 0% Before 2003 After 2003 Concerning the first legal status, if we add the migrants without a residence permit to those that mentioned a tourism visa, we get an estimation of more than 84% of the migrants interviewed with an irregular residence status upon arrival. The shares are even higher for those who arrived before 2003 reaching 95% for current migrants and 91% for returnees, but they remain significant for those who arrived after 2003 with 61% of current migrants having been irregular upon arrival and 71% for returnees. On average, current migrants spent 2.2 years in an irregular situation, while return migrants only spent 1.5 years on average. Interestingly, if we compute the average number of years spent in an irregular status according to the year of arrival (Figure 13 and Figure 14), we notice a decrease over the years before the crisis and an increase after the crisis, especially for current migrants (since for return migrants, the trend is biased by their decision to return). The increasing difficulties for migrants to find or maintain a job, and thus obtain or renew a residence permit, after the crisis, explain this trend. 34 0 .5 1 1.5 2 2.5 Figure 13. Average number of years spent in an irregular status by year of arrival, current migrants 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0 .5 1 1.5 2 Figure 14. Average number of years spent in an irregular status by year of arrival, return migrants 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 35 3.4. What are their labor market outcomes? The data clearly shows that the vast majority of migrants, returnees or not, emigrated even if they had a job in Ecuador with the idea, therefore, to improve their situation. As corroborated by many other studies, migration can only be met by those who have a minimum level of resources, linked to having a job and sufficient income, which would allow them to support the migration costs. Migration, therefore, does not occur in this case with the aim of economic survival but for improvement and, therefore, it is not related to extreme poverty in the home country but with relative poverty, originally perceived when the economic situation is compared with higher living standards that are associated with the opportunities that migration brings. The labor market situation of migrants is a crucial element that needs to be grasped in order to understand their motivations to migrate, but also the evolution of their integration and living conditions after the migration. Table 16 presents the main labor characteristics of both samples in the year that preceded their outmigration. It´s very interesting to notice that more than three quarters of each sample (reaching almost 82% for return migrants) were employed in the year prior to their migration. If we cross the labor market with the main migration reason, we notice that 79% among returnees and 64% among current migrants of the active employed declared having migrated mainly for economic reasons, meaning that having a job did not guarantee a sufficient income as to ensure good living conditions. Indeed, the qualitative answers reflect a search of better economic conditions and improving living standards. This also indicates that the good economic situation in Spain was crucial in attracting Ecuadorian migrants and acts as a powerful pull factor. Moreover, the high percentage of active employed among the emigrants might indicate that a minimum level of resources was needed in order to emigrate, in line with the predictions in the economic literature that mention a minimum level of wealth needed in order to overcome the migration costs, and the implication is that the individuals who migrated were not among the poorest ones. Nevertheless, we need to qualify the notion of “active employed” since significant percentages, especially for current migrants, declared not having a contract or having temporary contracts. Also, the high shares of employed and the low unemployment percentage, might indicate a high prevalence of underemployment. 36 Table 16. Labour market outcomes in the year previous to the emigration Current migrants Labor status before migration Active employed Unemployed Inactive Main inactive reason Studies Housewife Other Self-employed Type of contract (excluding selfemployed) No contract Appointment (in the public sector) Permanent contract Temporary contract Contract for specific task Job satisfaction Satisfied Dissatisfied Dissatisfied but ok Very dissatisfied Return migrants 76.9% 2.0% 21.1% 81.5% 3.7% 14.8% 61.0% 16.0% 23.0% 25.2% 67.2% 16.4% 16.4% 26.3% 42.7% 5.4% 34.2% 14.7% 3.0% 24.0% 5.3% 35.0% 30.5% 5.3% 62.9% 18.6% 12.5% 5.9% 39.4% 37.6% 15.8% 7.2% Furthermore, for the inactive, we observe that main inactivity reasons were either related to being enrolled in school or having household responsibilities. Around a quarter of each sample declared having been self-employed, mainly in commercial activities (47% for current migrants and 36% for returnees). Interestingly, a high share of the migrants declared themselves satisfied with their job at the time of migration, mainly for current migrants. Despite these high percentages, around 70% of those who declared themselves “satisfied” have migrated for economic reasons, often mentioning the willingness to improve their living conditions and ensure a better future for their families. What exudes from the qualitative answers is that the outmigration was motivated by opportunities and “pull factors” than by “push factors” such as the lack of jobs and insufficient income. If we look at the labor market outcomes after migration, we observe that for both current and return migrants, the first labor status in Spain was “unemployed” (Table 17) and the distribution is very similar among the two samples. Table 18 matches the labor status in the year previous to the migration to the first labor status in Spain and we notice that among those who were active and employed before 37 migration around half were unemployed upon arrival in Spain. Furthermore, significant shares of those who were inactive, declared that they were students upon arrival. Table 17. Labor market outcomes in Spain First labor status Unemployed Wage worker Domestic worker Self employed Employer Student Housewife Inactive for health or age reasons Average time before the first job (months) First job obtained through family/friends Average time unemployed (months) Percentage of those who were never unemployed Current migrants Return migrants 44.9% 25.9% 19.2% 0.3% 0.1% 8.6% 0.9% 0.1% 49.5% 28.5% 12.0% 1.0% 0.2% 7.8% 1.0% 4 3 79.6% 82.0% 24 11 22.2% 27.0% Moreover, a significant share of migrants declared that they were wage workers or domestic workers almost immediately after arrival and this is confirmed by the relatively short average time to find the first job (3-4 months), even in spite of not having a work permit in the vast majority of cases. This is linked to a large offer of informal jobs in Spain before the crisis, mainly in the construction and the domestic services sectors. Nevertheless, this average of time to find the first job increases for those arrived after 2003, as shown in Figure 15. 38 Table 18. Transition matrix between labor market status prior to migration and first type of occupation in Spain Current migrants Active Unemployed Inactive employed Prior Return migrants Active Unemployed Inactive employed After migration Unemployed 46.2% 55.6% 39.3% 53.3% 33.3% 32.8% Wage worker 29.5% 38.9% 11.3% 29.6% 33.3% 21.3% Domestic worker Self-employed 20.4% 16.7% 12.9% 20.0% 4.9% 0.3% 0.5% 1.2% 41.0% Employer 0.2% Student 2.8% Housewife 0.6% Handicapped 0.2% 0.3% 5.6% 30.1% 1.8% 6.7% 2.2% 0.9% 6.7% 5 0 mean of cdm61_1 10 Figure 15. Average months to find the first job according to the year of arrival for pooled sample 200020012002 200320042005 200620072008 200920102011 20122013 Only around 22% of the current migrants and 27% of the return migrants declared they have never been unemployed since having arrived in Spain or during their migration, but no clear trend appears with regard to their year of arrival of education that might indicate better opportunities. For those who faced unemployment spells, the average total time spent unemployed was of 2 years for current migrants and of 1 year for return migrants. Interestingly, the time spent unemployed is shorter for 39 return migrants, corroborating, at least in a first bivariate analysis, the qualitative answers according to which migrants who were unemployed chose to return before their situation deteriorated further . Moreover, around 80% of each sample declared having found their first job through their family and/or friends, highlighting the networks’ importance for the Ecuadorian migration. 40 4. Migrants’ wellbeing before and after the crisis 4.1. What was the level of migrant’s wellbeing before the economic crisis in Spain? The welfare analysis on migration and return is a central aspect in this study as part of the NOPOOR poverty project. The results clearly suggest that migration leads to an improvement in subjective wellbeing compared to the situation in Ecuador, at least when the baseline for the comparison is the situation in Spain before the outbreak of the crisis. The perception of the improvement in welfare during their migration in the pre-crisis period implies that two-thirds of immigrants considered their situation equal or better than the Spaniards themselves, even though the aggregate figures have always indicated worse living conditions for the foreigners. When discussing the wellbeing during the migration, we need to make a clear distinction between the period before the crisis and after the crisis in Spain. If we compare their subjective welfare level before the migration to the one after having migrated, but before the crisis (Table 19 and Table 20), we notice that most of the migrants declared that they were able to save money before the crisis. This indicates a rather good economic situation almost 80% of the current migrants and 74% of the return migrants. Table 19. Transition matrix for the subjective welfare in Ecuador and in Spain before the crisis, current migrants Spain, before crisis Was able to save money Was able to save money Barely balancing income and expenses Had to spend the savings Had to borrow money Before migration Barely balancing Had to income and spend the expenses savings Had to borrow money Total 81.8% 79.1% 66.7% 80.0% 79.8% 16.4% 19.7% 26.7% 20.0% 18.8% 0.7% 1.0% 6.7% 1.1% 0.2% 1.0% 0.5% 41 Table 20. Transition matrix for the subjective welfare in Ecuador and in Spain before the crisis, return migrants Before migration Spain, before crisis Was able to Barely balancing Had to spend save money income and expenses the savings Was able to save money Barely balancing income and expenses Had to spend the savings Had to borrow money 80.9% 68.9% 18.0% 25.1% 1.1% 5.5% 0.4% 90.9% 9.1% Had to borrow money Total 80.6% 73.6% 19.4% 22.1% 4.0% 0.3% The vast majority of individuals that had to spend their savings or that had to borrow money while they were in Ecuador, found themselves able to save money upon arriving in Spain before the crisis. This is confirmed by the high percentage of individuals (around 80% of each sample) who declares that their economic situation in Spain before the crisis was “Better” or “Much better” than the one they had in Ecuador. When asked to compare their economic situation to that of other Ecuadorian migrants living around them in Spain, most of our samples (around 27%) see themselves in a relatively similar situation, although around 40% of each sample considers having a better economic situation than their compatriots living in Spain. When it comes to comparing oneself to the Spaniards, a significant difference appears between current and return migrants, with almost three quarters of return migrants seeing their economic welfare as not being very different than that of Spaniards before the crisis, while this percentage if of 47% for the current migrants. More of a third of the current migrants evaluated their situation as being worse than that of Spaniards before the crisis and only 12% of return migrant considered themselves as worse off. 42 Table 21. Subjective welfare compared to different groups Subjective economic compared to before migration Much better Better Same Worse Much worse Subjective economic compared to other Ecuadorians Much better Better Same Worse Much worse Subjective economic compared to Spaniards Much better Better Same Worse Much worse Current migrants Return migrants 28.4% 54.1% 12.4% 4.8% 0.2% 38.5% 41.0% 16.7% 3.8% 6.5% 32.3% 57.5% 2.6% 0.0% 11.6% 29.1% 57.1% 2.2% 2.2% 14.5% 47.2% 33.8% 0.9% 4.9% 12.4% 71.1% 11.1% 0.5% 4.2. To what extent did the crisis impact the Ecuadorian immigrants? While we know that the crisis would have significantly impacted the immigrant population, our survey allows a precise quantification of this impact and the changes in the subjective wellbeing and also in the objective welfare dimensions such as adjustments in income, deterioration of working conditions, variation in remittances etc. Interestingly, the crisis seems to have impacted more to those still in Spain highlighting some positive selection in return: those who have suffered most from the crisis might have had trouble financing a return on reasonable terms. In order to capture how the crisis impacted the Ecuadorian migrants, we use two approaches. First of all, we asked them to assess their economic wellbeing before and after the crisis, thus allowing us to measure the transitions from a subjective point of view. The second approach consisted in asking specific questions about various dimensions that are directly related to the crisis impact such as having suffered job losses or deterioration of living standards. According to the first approach, we first notice that the crisis seems to have affected more current migrants, since 35.6% of the return migrants declared that they were able to save money after the 43 crisis, while this concerns only 13.4% of the current migrants (Table 22 and Table 23). This is probably one of the determinants of return, since savings are needed in order to go back to Ecuador. Most of the current migrants (almost 70%) declared that they are barely balancing their income and expenses. As expected, those who were most hit by the crisis were those who declared that they were able to save money before the crisis and found themselves having to spend their savings or having to borrow money after the crisis. Table 22. Transitional matrix for the subjective economic welfare before and after the crisis, current migrants Before crisis After crisis Was able to save money Was able to save money Barely balancing income and expenses Had to spend the savings Had to borrow money Barely balancing Had to spend income and expenses the savings 14.3% 9.9% 12.5% 68.4% 73.5% 75.0% 11.0% 8.6% 12.5% 6.4% 8.0% Had to borrow money Total 13.4% 75.0% 69.4% 10.5% 25.0% 6.7% Table 23. Transitional matrix for the subjective economic welfare before and after the crisis, return migrants Before crisis After crisis Was able to save money Was able to save money Barely balancing income and expenses Had to spend the savings Had to borrow money Barely balancing Had to spend income and expenses the savings Had to borrow money Total 45.8% 6.1% 13.3% 35.6% 34.8% 82.9% 33.3% 45.3% 16.9% 9.8% 53.3% 16.7% 2.6% 1.2% 100.0% 2.4% With the second approach, migrants were asked which one of the following aspects (Table 24) was impacted by the crisis (they could have chosen all the aspects as long as they were coherent). Most of Ecuadorian migrants declared that they had to adjust their daily spending due to the crisis, but the percentage is significantly higher for current migrants (83%) than for return migrants (61%). What stands out throughout Table 24 is that current migrants seem to have been significantly more impacted by the crisis – for both samples, the top-3 events due to the crisis are the same (“Had to adjust daily 44 spending”, “The work conditions have worsened” and “Maintaining a job became very difficult”), but the percentage of each sample that was affected by these events is each time lower for return migrants. Also, if we count the average number of events due to the crisis that migrants declare, we obtain a higher average for current migrants (5 events) than for return migrants (3 events). Interestingly, a higher percentage of return migrants declared having encountered problems with the renewal of residence permit (12%) compared to current migrants (8%), which might suggest a link between this difficulty and their return decision. Table 24. Crisis impact according to predetermined dimensions Had to adjust day to day spending The work conditions have worsened Maintaining a job became difficult Some of the household members have lost their job Had to find secondary jobs in order to maintain income Has lost job Had problems paying back loans Had to borrow money Had felt rejection as an immigrant Had lost their house Some of the household members had to start working Some of the household members stopped their studies in order to start working Had problems to renew the residence/work permit Some of the HH members have lost their residence/work permits Had lost the health card and the rights Average number of events Current migrants 82.9% 70.2% 54.2% 49.6% 47.3% 42.2% 41.0% 35.1% 26.7% 22.8% 15.4% Return migrants 60.5% 41.6% 39.1% 35.7% 36.6% 26.6% 20.4% 11.6% 25.1% 11.9% 14.1% 8.7% 7.5% 8.0% 7.6% 7.5% 11.9% 5.8% 6.4% 5 3 The second most mentioned event linked to the crisis, for both samples, was the worsening of the working conditions, either through lower pay, longer working hours with no increase in wages or stressful working conditions, affecting 70% of the current migrants and 42% of the return migrants. It is worth noting that one quarter of each sample declared having felt rejection as an immigrant due to the crisis. Giving the high degree of correlation among those 15 specific effects, we conducted principle component analysis with the purpose of aggregating those specific impacts in different crisis dimension and computing composite crisis impact scores. 45 Attending to the first four principal components finally extracted9 we observed an interesting factor structure10 summarizing the crisis impact in four separate dimensions that we identified and named as own labor impact, expenses and living conditions impact, legal status impact and family members impact. Table 25. Factor loadings and communalities based on a principle component analysis with varimax rotation for the 15 items of crisis impact (N=1166) Own labor Expenses and living conditions Has lost job Maintaining a job became difficult Had to find secondary jobs in order to maintain income The work conditions have worsened Some of the household members had to start working Legal status Family members labor 0.4801 0.5227 0.5145 0.4167 0.5952 Some of the household members have lost their job 0.3837 Some of the household members stopped their studies in order to start working 0.6414 Had problems to renew the residence/work permit 0.6005 Some of the household members have lost their residence/work permits 0.3592 Had lost their house Had problems paying back loans 0.5417 0.5841 Had to adjust day to day expenditures 0.308 Had to borrow money Had felt rejection as an immigrant 0.3711 Had lost the health card and the rights 0.6219 Note: Factor loadings < 0.3 are suppressed. Figure 16 shows a negative correlation between education level and crisis impact. Indeed the average number of dimensions for which the migrants declared they were impacted decreased with the level of education, indicating that those who were more educated suffered less, probably due to higher labor 9 Those with an eigen value over 1, explaining 51% of the total variation Varimax rotation used. 10 46 market stability. Indeed, the crisis hit the hardest the service and construction sectors, where the jobs do not require high education levels. 0 1 2 3 mean of imp_obj_crs 4 5 Figure 16. Average crisis impact for each education level Primary Secondary Higher The crisis also impacted the remitting behavior of migrants, revealing even further the worsening of their living conditions. Thus, if before the crisis, more than half current migrants (57%) were sending remittances at least once per month, only 23% still send once per month (Table 26). More than half of the sample of current migrants (51.3%) declared not having sent any remittances during the last year. Among those who were sending remittances at least once per month before the crisis, a third managed to keep the same rhythm after the crisis, while another third stopped sending altogether. Table 26. Remitting frequency before and after the crisis, current migrants Before crisis After crisis Almost Almost Once per every day every week month Once per month Several times per year Once a year Never Total 50.0% 50.0% 0.8% 16.7% 33.3% 16.0% 33.3% 0.8% 37.0% 19.4% 5.3% 38.3% 57.4% Several times per year 5.5% 24.2% 12.5% 57.8% 17.0% Once a Never year Total 4.8% 8.9% 4.8% 81.5% 19.3% 23.5% 17.8% 7.4% 51.3% 11.1% 25.0% 63.9% 4.8% 47 For the return migrants, more than half of the sample still sent remittances at least once per month during the year prior to their return and almost two third of those who were sending remittances every month before the crisis managed to maintain the same frequency after the crisis (Table 27). Table 27. Remitting frequency before and after the crisis, return migrants Before crisis After crisis Almost Almost Once per every day every week month Almost every week Once per month Several times per year Once a year Never Total 71.4% 28.6% 100.0% 1.9% 0.5% 1.2% 77.0% 11.3% 4.3% 6.3% 69.0% Several times per year 15.0% 48.3% 13.3% 23.3% 16.2% Once a Never year 7.1% 3.1% 35.7% 3.1% 35.7% 3.1% 21.4% 90.6% 3.8% 8.6% Total 0.8% 57.4% 18.3% 6.7% 16.7% The amounts remitted also significantly decreased, from 350€ on average per month to 230€ for current migrants and from 515€ on average per month to 415€ for return migrants. 4.3. What was the crisis impact on migrants’ labor market outcomes? Besides the crisis aspects linked to the labor market listed above and in order to distinguish the evolutions that might be due to the crisis, migrants were asked details about their longest job in Spain and the job at the time of the survey, for current migrants, or the last job before the return, for return migrants. However, since most of the return migrants returned because of a bad labor market situation due to the crisis, we cannot analyze both samples using the same criteria. For instance, for most of returnees (72%), the last job during their migration was also the longest job, thus we cannot compare the two jobs. We can however compare the conditions of their last job with those of the jobs held by current migrants. Table 28. Job quality, current migrants Longest job Job stability Very stable Stable Instable Very instable Average monthly wage Average hours worked per month Current job 14.6% 72.9% 12.1% 0.4% 1,087 € 43 Job stability Very stable Stable Instable Very instable Average monthly wage Average hours worked per month 8.09 67.05 23.7 1.16 932 € 40.5 48 For current migrants, we observe that, if 87.5% of them saw their longest job abroad as stable or very stable, the percentage of only 75% for the current job (Table 28). We also distinguish a decrease in wages (from 1087€ in the longest job to 932€ in the current job) and in the average number of hours worked per month (from 43 hours to 40.5 hours). At the moment of the survey, almost 68% of the current migrants were employed, mostly in the services sector (Table 29). Among those who were not employed at the time of the survey, almost 81% were looking for a job and they had been unemployed for more than one year and a half on average. Unemployment is a serious issue for all Ecuadorian migrants since only slightly more than 20% of our entire sample of current migrants declared never having been unemployed. Among those who knew unemployment spells, the average total time spent unemployed during their stay in Spain was of almost 2 years. Table 29. Current labor market outcomes, current migrants 67.7% Currently working Total time unemployed during their migration (months) 23.9 Percentage of those who were never unemployed 22.2% Currently looking for work 80.9% Months since unemployed (at the moment of the survey) 20.5 Concerning the migrants who were unemployed at survey time, we notice that most of them are male (60%), but no significant differences appear regarding the age, education, year of arrival, crisis impact or integration issues. For return migrants, the last wage was significantly higher than that of current migrants, reaching an average of 1125€ per month, but the average number of hours worked is also significantly higher (48h per week on average). Almost half of the sample was still employed at the moment of return, signaling that we can refute the simple hypothesis stating that return is correlated with unemployment and a vulnerable labor market situation (Table 30). Table 30. Labor market outcomes prior to the return Employed until their return 48.1% Percentage of those who were never unemployed 27.7% Total time unemployed during their migration (months) Months in unemployment between last job and return 11.0 7 49 5. Integration aspects 5.1. Economic integration The integration of immigrants has been shown to play a significant role not only in their decision to return, but also in their re-integration in the home country once they return. The investment behavior of migrants is not only linked to the wealth level and credit constraints, but also to the return intention and to the socioeconomic assimilation as shown by Dustmann (2000) and Dustmann and Mestres (2010). In our data we notice that the investment behavior is rather different between current migrants and return migrants (Table 31). The percentage of individuals who had not invested during their migration is higher for current migrants (37.5%) than for return migrants (23.4%), suggesting once more that current migrants face greater financial difficulties compared to return migrants. For those who afforded to invest, the share of individuals that only invested in Spain is significantly higher for current migrants (21% versus 9%) while return migrants favored investments in Ecuador, with half of the sample having only invested in Ecuador (while the percentage is of 24% for current migrants). Investments in Spain mainly concerned housing, with 84% of current migrants and 68% of returnees having declared that they had bought a house. It is important to highlight that among those who bought a house in Spain, 46 to 48% declared that they had lost their house due to the crisis. Concerning the investments made in Ecuador, almost 83% of returnees had bought a house or land, while the percentage is of 96% for current migrants. Almost 14% of return migrants made a productive investment (opening or buying a business or buying machinery or vehicle meant to be used in a business) and, as expected, this percentage is significantly lower for current migrants (2.5%), indicating that some of the returnees might have anticipated their return through investments in the home country. 50 Table 31. Integration aspects Investments made during migration Invested only in Spain Invested in Spain and in Ecuador Invested only in Ecuador Has made no investments Subjective level of integration Very good Good Neither good nor bad Bad Very bad Member of an association or party Participating in a neighborhood/school/sport association with Spaniards Daily contact with Spanish neighbors Member of a migrant association Has voted in Spanish elections Has voted in Ecuadorian elections during the stay in Spain Current migrants Return migrants 21.0% 17.7% 23.9% 37.5% 8.8% 17.8% 50.0% 23.4% 19.2% 56.6% 23.0% 1.1% 0.1% 7.3% 39.8% 48.3% 10.0% 1.7% 0.2% 3.4% 15.2% 33.9% 75.2% 18.4% 24.9% 34.9% 81.5% 28.3% 22.0% 50.2% 5.2. Socio-cultural integration Migrants were also asked to assess their integration level in the Spanish society, with a scale ranging from “very good” to “very bad”. On average, returnees see themselves relatively more integrated than current migrants, with 88% of them declaring that they had a “good” or “very good” level of integration within the Spanish society, while only three quarters of current migrants have the same self-assessment. This is also confirmed by the slightly higher percentages of returnees participating in associations with other Spaniards (40% for returnees versus 15% for current migrants), but also who have daily contacts with their Spanish neighbors (82% versus 75%). If there is no significant difference between the shares of current and return migrants who voted in the Spanish elections, the situation is different for Ecuadorian elections, where returnees have had a significantly higher participation (50% versus 35% for current migrants). This suggests a higher interest in Ecuadorian political and social context, which might be linked to the intention of return. Concerning the social bonds, we observe that Ecuadorian current migrants have more contacts outside work with friends from Ecuador than with Spanish friends, while the opposite is true for returnees (Figure 17). Slightly over 12% of current migrants declared never having contact with Spanish friends, while this percentage is of only 3.2% for returnees. The difference might be due, on the one hand to an increase aversion of the Spanish society towards immigrants after the crisis that is more 51 strongly felt by current migrants than return migrants (among the current migrants who answered that they felt rejected as immigrants due to the crisis, 17% answered that they never had contact with Spanish friends over the last year). On the other hand, return migrants might idealize their migration experience and thus overestimate their integration level. Figure 17. Frequency of contacts in the last year (prior to survey or prior to return) with networks in Spain 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Never Once a year Several times per year At least once a month Almost every week Ecuadorian friends in Spain Spanish friends Other Ecuadorian immigrants friends in Spain Current migrants Spanish friends Other immigrants Almost every day Return migrants We notice that Ecuadorian migrants remain highly attached to their origin households and more than 62% of each sample had at least weekly contacts with their families in Ecuador over the last year prior to survey time or prior to the return for the returnees (Figure 18). The higher percentage of migrants having daily contacts with their origin households among current migrants compared to return migrants (21% versus 11%) can be explained by the increase in the return migration over the last years (85% of current migrants have a family member who returned to Ecuador after the crisis). Figure 18. Frequency of contacts in the last year (prior to survey or prior to return) with networks in Ecuador 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Never Once a year Several times per year At least once a month Almost every week Almost every day Family in Ecuador Friends in Ecuador Current migrants Family in Ecuador Friends in Ecuador Return migrants 52 6. Return migration 6.1. How did the crisis shape current migrants’ perception of returning to Ecuador? One third of Ecuadorians still living in Spain consider returning in the short term and two thirds in the long term. This can be considered, for the most part, a “forced return”, due to the economic situation and the lack of perspectives, but again, as the emigration itself, conceived within the family framework. Interestingly, about 40% declare their intention of a possible re-emigration to another country in the EU rather than a return. In terms of design of return assistance policies, respondents stress the need for the government of Ecuador to help the entrepreneurship and employment of migrants. When asked how long they had initially planned to stay in Spain, we notice that most of them had intended to stay between 1 and 3 years (49% of current migrants and 42% of returnees according to Table 32) and a very small share wanted to stay in Spain permanently (3% for current migrants and 6% for return migrants). When we analyze their intentions and the actual migration duration, we find no correlation between intended length of stay and migration duration. Table 32. Initially planned length of stay Current migrants Less than 1 year Between 1 and 3 years Between 3 and 5 years More than 5 years Permanently Didn't know 10.2% 48.6% 18.6% 4.5% 2.7% 15.3% Return migrants 3.9% 41.5% 23.7% 12.9% 5.8% 12.2% When asked about how often they discussed about the possibility of returning (during the year previous to the survey for current migrants or during the year previous to their return for return migrants), we observe that, as expected, return migrants more often discussed about return compared to current migrants (Figure 19). 53 Figure 19. Frequency of discussing about the return 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% Current migrants 10% Return migrants 05% 00% The module on the perception of the return is specific to the survey on current migrants, thus this section will only focus on this subsample. Among current Ecuadorian migrants, 35% declared that they were considering returning to their origin countries in the short term and more than 67% declared that they wanted to return in the long term (Table 33). The most often mentioned reasons to return in the short term are related to a bad economic situation and the crisis in Spain (58.3%). 23.5% want to return in order to be reunited with their origin households or for personal reasons, while only 6.5% want to return because they have accumulated enough capital or because they want to start a business in Ecuador. When asked about how much longer they would wish to stay in Spain, most of the migrant (45.1%) answered wanting to stay for a limited time (on average, 48 months more). However, they think that they will have to stay longer than the “wished” length of stay and most of them are uncertain (49.4% don’t know how much longer they will have to stay in Spain). For those who answered that they realistically believe that they will stay for a limited time, the average length is higher (57 months). Table 33. Return intentions, current migrants Intends to return in the short term Intends to return in the long term Reasons to return in the short term Crisis/economic Family/personal Adaptation/nostalgy Plan to return/business opportunities Other 35.1% 67.5% 58.3% 23.5% 5.2% 6.5% 6.5% Intended time of stay Limited time Indefinetly Doesn't know Actual time of stay Limited time Indefinetly Doesn't know 45.0% 21.7% 33.3% 36.2% 14.4% 49.4% 54 Furthermore, 38.7% of the migrants already considered migrating to another country instead of returning to Ecuador and they mainly want to migrate to another EU27 country. Among those who want to return to Ecuador, 68% of them would like to return with their families. Nevertheless, only 21.2% of the migrants looked up information about the return assistance programs and most wellknown programs are those offered by the SENAMI, specifically Retorno Voluntario. 59.2% of the sample thinks that Ecuadorian return programs are appropriate and the percentage slightly rises to 61.5% if we restrict the sample to those who actually looked up information about return programs. When asked about how the Ecuadorian government could improve its programs aimed at migrants who want to return, most of the answers were related to job offers and loans in order to start projects. Finally, most of the migrants (68%) expect that they will be well or very well received by the Ecuadorian society if they decide to return. Those who think that they will not necessarily be well received, fear rejection for cultural reasons (32.5%), but also because they expect to be envied (23.8%) or that they will be seen as having failed their migration experience (17.5%). 6.2. What are the socioeconomic outcomes of return migrant in Ecuador? The results suggest that, among the group of surveyed returnees, migration was interrupted involuntarily for economic reasons, reassessed in the family context. However, upon return, migration seems to have improved the situation before leaving Ecuador. Especially striking is the high percentage of employment among returnees, a level of wages above the average of their countrymen, higher entrepreneurship incidence, capitalization of acquired knowledge, access to home ownership and improvement of material welfare. Return decision making process As already mentioned, around half of the sample of returned migrants had declared that they often talked about returning during the year prior to their actual return. Only three quarters of the sample declared that they wanted to return, while the remaining 25% were forced by the circumstances (or persuaded by family members) to return (Table 34). Slightly more than half of the sample answered that returning was their own decision and for almost 39% it was a joint decision, mainly taken with their spouse. 55 Table 34. Return decision and preparation 74.9% Wanted to return Decison to return Own decision Others’ decision Joint decision Returned because of the crisis Expectation about welcome to Ecuador No expectation 35.9% 54.5% 6.9% Very well received Well received 39.1% 21.0% 38.6% 43.4% Received with wariness Badly received 3.4% 0.5% The return was mainly linked to the crisis and around 43% of returnees declared that they went back to Ecuador because they had lost their job (or were on the verge of losing it), their partner lost their job, they had lost their house or simply could no longer afford to bear the expenses in Spain. Figure 20 confirms that the welfare of the migrants who link their return to the crisis was significantly lower than for the others. Figure 20. Subjective welfare distribution according to whether they returned due to the crisis or not 100% 90% 80% Had to borrow money 70% 60% Had to spend the savings 50% 40% 30% Barely balancing income and expenses 20% Was able to save money 10% 0% Returned for other Returned due to the reasons than the crisis crisis Nevertheless, this is a lower bound for the returns due to the crisis since most of those whose answers were not linked to the crisis, declared that they returned in order to reunite with their families and the transition matrices show that the families they had in Spain had moved to Ecuador. From the total sample, only around a quarter looked for information on return assistance programs, but this percentage reaches 66% for those who declared they wanted to return. The most well-known programs were those from SENAMI, mainly “Retorno voluntario”. Among those who were interested in the return assistance programs only 26% actually benefited from these programs and the benefits 56 consisted mostly in tax exemptions and help for looking for a job. For those who did not benefit from the return assistance, it was largely either because they were not eligible or because they did not have the time or the means to apply, although some of the interviewees mentioned lack of information or wrong information about these programs. When asked about the expectations that they had concerning how they would be welcomed upon their return, most of the migrants (over 60%) answered that they had expected to be well or very well received and the reality matched their expectations for the most part. As mentioned, slightly more than half of the sample (52.4%) declared having returned alone to Ecuador, but among them, as we can see from the qualitative answers, many had reunited with their spouses who had already returned. We thus observe that most returnees (55%) live with their partners in Ecuador and have their children in Spain. Around 20% of the sample consists of single and childless individuals, most of them being children that had reunited with their parents in Spain and now have returned. 57 Table 35. Transition matrix for family structure before and after return Family type in Spain prior to migration Child with both parents in Ecuador Single childless Single & child not in Spain Single & child in Spain Childless with partner in Spain Partner in Spain & child not in Spain Partner in Spain & child in Spain Childless with partner in Ecuador Partner in Ecuador & child not in Spain Partner in Ecuador & child in Spain Child with parents in Spain Child with one parent in Ecuador 79% 13% 38% Child with both parents in Ecuador Single childless 11% 46% Single & child not in Spain Single & child in Spain Childless with partner in Spain Partner in Spain & child not in Spain Partner in Spain & child in Spain 3% 3% Childless with partner in Ecuador Partner in Ecuador & child not in Spain Partner in Ecuador & child in Spain 5% 20% 5% 3% 13% 4% 11% 2% 11% 4% 61% 50% 20% 3% 50% 3% 8% 25% 22% 13% 34% 31% 3% 50% 60% 68% 2% 74% 50% 85% 40% 12% 5% 20% 9% 4% 20% 10% 4% 11% 5% 3% 4% 33% 7% 3% 5% 26% 58 Labor market outcomes upon return In terms of labor market behavior, we observe that most of the returnees are working upon return (86% - Table 36) and the percentage even reaches 92% for men. More than half of the total sample declared that they were self-employed confirming the literature findings on the high correlation between return migration and entrepreneurship in the home country (Wahba & Zenolu, 2009, Black & Castaldo, 2009). Furthermore, around half of the interviewed return migrants needed between one and three months in order to find a job or start their business. Among those who are employed, over 75% found their job through family or friends, highlighting once more the importance of networks in the economic assimilation. Table 36. Labor market outcomes after return Labour market status upon return Active employed Unemployed Inactive Self employed Time to find first job Before return Less than a week Less than one month Less than 3 months More than 3 months Means to find first job 86.3% 7.8% 5.9% 55.4% 5.6% 9.4% 22.2% 25.0% 37.8% Through a family member Through a friend Internet Asking around Other Has changed jobs since return Average number of jobs Experience abroad helped to find better work opportunities Uses experience abroad in daily work 45.1% 30.9% 8.5% 7.3% 8.2% 20.5% 2.4 38.5% 47.5% Only a fifth of the sample had more than one job since their return and the average number of jobs held is of 2.4, suggesting a rather stable economic situation. Around 38% of the return migrants find that their experience abroad helped them to find better work opportunities and 47.5% of the total sample declared using their experience abroad in their daily work. The skills most often mentioned as being used are the social and communication skills, as well as work organization and ethics. Changes in wellbeing after migration An indicator for the living conditions is the house ownership status and Table 37 shows that most of those who were renting a house or were living for free in a house, managed to become house owners after their return. The quality of the housing seems to have improved as well since the number of persons per room decreased from 1.4 on average before the migration to 1.1 after return. 59 Table 37. House ownership status before and after migration After return Before migration Rent Own house Free/inherited Other Rent 28.3% 64.2% 5.7% 1.9% Own 8.5% 86.2% 4.2% 1.1% Inherited/free 7.0% 71.9% 19.3% 1.8% Total Other 50.0% 50.0% 15.9% 75.3% 6.9% 2.0% Similarly, the index for durable goods, described above owned increased from 8.8 to 12.5, showing an increase in wealth after migration. Half of the sample declared owning 13 out of the 15 items listed in the questionnaire. In monetary terms, the average income of a returnee is of 630$, almost the double of the minimum wage in Ecuador (which was of 340$ in 2014). This is probably one of the reasons why 80% of the sample declares that they are “satisfied” or “very satisfied” with the return. Despite this high percentage, 36% of returnees expressed their willingness to migrate again and the percentage reaches 60% for those who returned unwillingly. This translates into a lower degree of satisfaction with the return and, as shown in Figure 21, the migrants who returned unwillingly are less satisfied. Figure 21. Degree of satisfaction with the return according to the willingness to return 100% 90% 80% 70% Very dissatisfied 60% Dissatisfied 50% Not very satisfied 40% Satisfied 30% Very satified 20% 10% 0% Willing to return Unwilling to return From a subjective point of view, 46% of the sample considers their situation as being “much better” or “better” than that of the other household in their neighborhood. When asked to compare their situation to that from before their migration, more than 70% of returnees declared that they were “better” or “much better” than before from either an economic, family or personal point of view. Even for those 60 who returned unwillingly, more than 60% see their situation as significantly better than before the migration. Those who found themselves in a worse economic situation than before migration mainly returned due to family issues (75%) and, for those who were employed, their wage was significantly lower than that of the rest of the sample (447$ versus 654$). Figure 22. Comparison of the situation before and after migration from across three dimensions 100% 90% 80% 70% Much worse 60% Worse 50% Same 40% Better 30% Much better 20% 10% 0% Economic Family Personal 7. Conclusion Migration empirical studies may strongly benefit from using a joint samples approach. Our first results strongly advocate the use of joint samples for both returnees and current migrants in migration studies. The differences found between returnees and current migrants regarding the distribution of some basic and crucial characteristics across the whole study, should alert researchers and policy makers about the potentially biased diagnosis of migration issues when adopting a one - side perspective. Using two paired - samples for returnees and “stayers” is not only (obviously) crucial to better understand return determinants, but also to apprehend some critical issues commonly addressed in migration studies worldwide: migration welfare effects, impact of shocks in migration plans and expectations, remittances behavior and their positive or negative effects at origin and/or destination, interaction between family structure/changes and migration dynamics, integration…. 61 For instance, we notice that current migrants are more often involved in family reunification schemes and are more prone to have migrated for family or existential reasons, thus suggesting a differentiated migration profile. Ecuadorian labour migration is not about subsistence, but about improvement We are not able draw a proper comparison migrants vs. non-migrants, but according to the analysis about the reasons to migrate (either for returnees and current migrants) it is clear that those who migrated to Spain were not among the poorest. Thus, Ecuadorian migration to Spain was not a way out of poverty, but an opportunity to avoid the worst of the crisis in Ecuador and to improve one’s living conditions. From a policy perspective, and especially from the side of Ecuadorian authorities, these findings have some clear implications: o Reducing severe poverty, fighting against strict socio economical exclusion may not be linked to lower migration outflows (if not the contrary). A moderate wellbeing combined with the relative perception of poverty, as a lack of better future opportunities to improve, is also a powerful driver of outmigration. o The same may happens with those policies aimed to promote return and “brain – gain”: it is not about safeguarding minimum conditions upon return but about upgrading socioeconomic conditions across the full range of previous circumstances. Migrants succeed fast in Spain, until the crisis erupted. If migration was about improving welfare, migrants succeed very fast. Before the outburst of Spanish crisis, and only after 7 years of stay, on average, in Spain, subjective perception of welfare was better than before migration for more than 80% of Ecuadorian immigrants. That positive opinion explains the extremely low return rates of Ecuadorian immigrants, before the crisis, according to available statistics. Our findings suggest that, interestingly enough, welfare selfassessment is overestimated by migrants when they compare themselves with Spaniards living around them. This result might be interpreted twofold: biased nature of subjective perception of welfare/ poverty or limitations of conventional approach to the measurement of poverty using measures of income, labour conditions, consumption or 62 disposable goods. Most returnees experience an improvement of their living conditions compared to those prior to the migration. The crisis hit hard migrant’s situation but impoverishment was not a return driver. Different studies have previously shown the violent effects of Spanish crisis suffered by immigrants and the disparity of that impact when compared to Spaniards. Our study describes precisely those negative effects identifying 3, almost independent, crisis effects: labor, living conditions and legal status. We see that the crisis indeed generated a considerable increase in aggregate unemployment among immigrants, but also a significant worsening of working conditions for those who managed to keep their jobs. Somehow unexpectedly, our first evidences suggest that worsening of labour and living conditions does not drive return. From the perspective of immigration or emigration policies either in origin or destination countries, that entails that return cannot be taken for granted even in the presence of a shocking shift in the economic cycle. When the lack of employment turns migrants’ return into a policy objective in developed countries, proactive and specifically targeted policies are needed. On the other side, the lost or weakening of legal status appears as a prevailing return driver. Policies should target migrant’s family and not individuals. Family is a crucial dimension in both the emigration and the return decision. Expectations, welfare improvement, crisis impact, return decision or expectations and other crucial element appear to be related with family structure and dynamics. In that sense, migration policies should target families. Any policy, in both origin and destination countries, which lacks in covering family as the context in which opportunities, risks and expectations are evaluated, will thus have a limited scope. 63 Despite the high incidence of overqualification, immigrants want to pursue further training. Half of the migrants, having returned or not, estimate that their qualification level is higher than the one required by their job in Spain and, therefore, their expectations about improving their situation with regards to that of the home country, would be severely dashed. At the same time, over 50% of surveyed Ecuadorians underwent training during their stay in Spain, which can be considered a positive return of non-monetary nature associated with the migration decision. Enhanced knowledge, however, does not promote return according to our preliminary results. From the point of view of migration policies, and especially promotion of return, the Ecuadorian authorities could insist on programs promoting education upon return to Ecuador. These types of policies should be specifically designed for potential returnees, who expressed their interest in them and estimated such policies as being attractive opportunities. There is room for improvement in the design of return assistance policies. Finding a job after returning to Ecuador is one of the main uncertainties for those who want to return and this is confirmed by those who actually returned. A third of the return migrants had problems finding a job, and most of these problems are related to age and lack of experience in Ecuador. We highlight that the priority should be designing active policies for the employability of middle-age individuals and prepare returnees to face the local labour market The return assistance programs were often taken into consideration, but only 20% of migrants looked up for precise information and 40% of those were not able to get any help from them. A significant share of the sample highlighted their opacity, lack of adequacy and implementation issues. This direct negative assessment must be taken into consideration by the Ecuadorian authorities and seen as demand for redesigning return assistance policies. In terms of design of a better design for return assistance policies, our findings suggest: o The need for the government of Ecuador to help the 64 entrepreneurship and employment of migrants (job offers and loans in order to start projects). o The importance of the coherence between political discourse and reality, with many migrants highlighting the broken promises made to the diaspora wanting to return. o The need to tackle labor market rigidities, especially in terms of age and qualifications. o Migrants with double nationality feel that they were left out of the return assistance programs. There are intangible returns to return migration. Around 38% of the return migrants find that their experience abroad helped them to find better work opportunities and 47.5% of the total sample declared using their skills and experience abroad in their daily work. It is not only about technical skills; they also mention frequently more intangible issues such as social and communication skills, work organization, ethics... The return is not the end of the migratory process. Somehow surprisingly, 36% of returnees expressed their willingness to migrate again and the percentage reaches 60% for those who returned “unwillingly”. Similarly, about 40% of current migrants declare their intention of a possible re-emigration to another country in the EU rather than a return. Interestingly, this high percentage seems to reflect dissatisfaction with the migration experience and not with the return itself: 80% of the sample declares that they are “satisfied” or “very satisfied” with the return. From the migration policies point of view, it seems clear that in both sending and receiving countries, little attention is given to the reemigration issue. The action space between migration policies and return policies seems to be getting wider and policy makers should observe this phenomenon with more interest. 65 References de Arce, R., & Mahia, R. (2012). Have Migrants Bought a" Round Trip Ticket"? Determinants in Probability of Immigrants' Return in Spain. Global Economy Journal, 12(2). Cassarino, J. P. (2007). Migrants de retour au Maghreb: Réintégration et enjeux de développement. Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, EUI. Dustmann, C. (2003). Return migration, wage differentials, and the optimal migration duration. European Economic Review, 47(2), 353-369. INEC (2009) “Condiciones de vida en las provincias centrales segùn la ECV”, Direccion Regional Centro, INEC. Jokisch, Brad D. (2014) “Ecuador: From Mass Emigration to Return Migration?” Migration Information Source, The Online Journal of the Migration Policy Institute Washington D.C. Sabadie, J. A. (2010). Migration and skills: the experience of migrant workers from Albania, Egypt, Moldova, and Tunisia. World Bank Publications. 66 APPENDIX Field work report 1. Introduction. This report includes a description of activities carried out by Cidalia, a consulting company that specializes in diversity within the context of the fieldwork carried out in Madrid for NOPOOR Project “Enhancing knowledge for renewed policies against poverty”. The EU funded this project through the Seventh Framework Program. The activity was performed within TASK 5.3 (Survey-based analysis of the dynamics of international migration) and consisted of the completion of two surveys, one in Madrid, the other in Quito (Ecuador) involving the fact of Return Migration. The following table summarizes the main results of fieldwork carried out in both cities. Pre-test: Number of pre-test surveys completed: Selection of interviewers: Briefing of interviewers: Dates of interviews: Number of interviewers Survey methodology: Surveys completed: Madrid 3 and 4 June 22 Quito 1: 21-28 April/ 2: 30 June-04 July 1st wave: 16 2nd wave: 4 1- 20 July 21-23 July 28 July-31 August 20 Different databases of returnees. Screening and by previous appointment for the Quito interview. 1-20 June 23 and 24 June 26 June-14 August 22 Random in the Madrid Region (Comunidad de Madrid, CAM) (public venues, public transport, work centers, etc.) 906 410 2. Fieldwork in Madrid. Following please see the actions undertaken within the framework of the organization and development of fieldwork in Madrid, including the following: 67 a) Preparatory sessions with the technical team from the Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. Coordination of activities. b) Design and organization of the pre-test for the Madrid questionnaire. c) Selection of interviewers. d) Selection and briefing of the team of interviewers. e) Organization and coordination of fieldwork activities. a) Preparatory sessions with the technical team from the Universidad Autónoma de Madrid. Coordination of activities. The coordination meetings with the UAM team took place as of the beginning of the project (December 2013) and were designed to define the project’s phases and a work schedule for the completion of the surveys both in Spain and Ecuador. The chosen schedule was the following: Activities May 1923 2630 June 2-6 913 1620 July 2327 304 711 1418 2125 August 28-1 4-8 1115 1822 Sept. 2529 1-5 812 1317 2226 1. Finalization of the Madrid questionnaire. 2. Pre-testing in Madrid. 3. Selection of interviewers in Madrid. 4. Adjustments to the Madrid questionnaire. 5. Briefing of Madrid interviewers. 6. Fieldwork in Madrid. 7. Data collection. 68 b) Design and organization of the pre-test for the Madrid questionnaire. The Madrid questionnaire pre-test was completed between June 3 and 4, 2014. In order to organize the pre-test, the Asociación Rumiñahui was called in to collaborate. Rumiñahui is one of Madrid’s Ecuadorian immigrants’ leading organizations. Rumiñahui provided the following valuable assistance: - A list of contacts for pre-test purposes. The loan of its facilities for the carrying out of the interviewing sessions. A total of 22 interviews were completed. The Ecuadorians interviewed had different profiles and included a diverse sample in terms of gender, ages, employment status, and length of stay in Spain, among others. This allowed for the assessment of different aspects of the questionnaire, which in turn served to adapt it to fieldwork conditions. The UAM technical team completed modifications to the questionnaire and the final version of the questionnaire was ready on June 24, 2014. c) Selection of interviewers. The selection of the team of interviewers was accomplished thanks to the university internship programs in a number of universities in the CAM. Among them are the following institutions: - Universidad Autónoma de Madrid (UAM) Universidad Rey Juan Carlos (URJC) CES Felipe II Universidad Complutense de Madrid (UCM) Instituto Universitario Ortega y Gasset (IUOyG) The team of interviewers was made up of 21 persons. Initially they totaled 19 but after two weeks of fieldwork another two persons joined the team. Please see their profiles: 69 Gender distribution 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Mujeres Hombres Age distribution 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 20-25 años 26-30 años 31-35 años 36-40 años It was essential to rely on a mixed team of interviewers including persons of Spanish origin and other interviewers either originally from Ecuador or if not with an Ecuadorian father or mother. This doubtless was instrumental in ensuring that the respondents felt at ease. They identified with the events and were able to place themselves in time and space in such a way as to complete as many interviews as viable in the least time possible. No bias has been identified as a result of availing ourselves of the Ecuadorian interviewers. 70 Distribution by nationality 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Knowledge area 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 d) Selection and briefing of the team of interviewers. The team of interviewers was briefed at the UAM on June 23 and 24, 2014. The briefing sessions lasted a total of 8 hours. During these sessions the following material was delivered to the participating interviewees: 1. 2. 3. 4. 15 questionnaires to begin fieldwork activities. Interviewer identification badge (please see Attachment 1, a badge model). Letter describing the project (please see Attachment 2) Confidentiality agreement to deliver to the interviewees (please see Attachment 3). 71 5. Recommendations and tips to complete the fieldwork (please see Attachment 4). d) Organization and coordination of fieldwork activities. Fieldwork was completed between June 26 and August 14, 2014. Two teams of interviewers were organized with the ultimate aim of covering those districts of the city of Madrid that are most representative in terms of Ecuadorian population. A total of 11 districts were selected; 86% of the total Ecuadorian population in Madrid lives in these neighborhoods. The breakdown of interviewers by district is as follows: 01. Centro 02. Arganzuela 06. Tetuán 08. Fuencarral 10. Latina 11. Carabanchel 12. Usera 13. Puente de Vallecas 15. Ciudad Lineal 16. Hortaleza 17. Villaverde Total Resident Ecuadorians Interviewers per District 2,933 3,797 5,798 2,625 8,850 13,305 6,647 12.253 9,716 2,245 7,796 82,316 1 1 1 1 2 3 2 3 2 1 2 19 Two working teams were organized and the Cidalia professionals in charge of ensuring fieldwork completion were in charge of coordinating them. The breakdown of the two working teams by district and by interviewers was as follows: 72 Nuria Lores Jesús Migallón Centro: Leslie Tetuán: Paula Arganzuela: Alexandra González Latina: Elvira y Edward Carabanchel: Edwin, Javier y Jenyffer, refuerzo de Elsi Puente de Vallecas: Edgar, Jaime y Alexandra Smirnova Fuencarral: Jorge Villaverde: Ana y Carlos (sustituído por Mercy) Hortaleza: Vanessa Ciudad Lineal: Eugenia y Héctor Usera: Lara y Kerly The coordinating teams had the following duties: - - - A. Following up on the interviewers by means of phone calls and e-mails; ensuring that the interviewer included the amount of surveys completed and the places where they took place; recommending routes; responding to interviewers’ questions, among others. B. Providing on-site support to the interviewers: at least once, each interviewer was accompanied in one outing by the coordinators so that the latter could observe the development of the interviews, suggest routes, establish contacts and make introductions, etc. C. Collecting interviews weekly. This is to ensure that quotas were met and to verify that the different profiles were an accurate representation of the Ecuadorians living in Madrid. D. Following up, supervising and authenticating completed interviews. The coordinator’s team took a random sample of at least 10% of each interviewer’s questionnaires (all in all, 110 calls were made) to corroborate that the interviews had actually been made and were not frauds. Additionally, all of the surveys were reviewed in order to correct both subjective and objective errors. In this case, this supervision ensured the clean up of errors in the questionnaire (essentially in the elaboration of filters and mistakes) in the first wave of interviews carried out in week 1 of the achievement of fieldwork. After completing clean up of errors and validation of interviews, 893 questionnaires were deemed to be valid that had been included in fieldwork activities in Madrid. e. Registration of the questionnaires: The questionnaires have been included in an Excel spreadsheet that was then copied into SPSS. With the aim of controlling to the highest degree possible everything related to records keeping, 73 this was completed in Spain. The 906 surveys completed in Madrid and the 410 surveys completed in Ecuador were recorded in Madrid, and it was the same team of professionals that completed both tasks. The team of records keepers is made up of two persons, a man and a woman. Both of them have a college education and have experience in recording questionnaires and are familiar with the SPSS program. Apart from this professional background, one of the two members of the team will have prior experience as a pollster, and is thus fully familiar with the questionnaire. All of this together explains the ease with which the recordings were completed. Some of the lapses discovered during the records keeping activity involve wrong dates having been jotted down, or blanks that were not filled in, or filters that were incorrectly introduced. f) Clean up of inconsistent questionnaires, corrections completed. Upon completion of the clean up process, a number of major inconsistencies have been discovered in the questionnaires completed by one of the interviewers. Her questionnaires have been proofread carefully in order to determine whether these errors may be attributed to the interviewer upon completing the questionnaire or during the registration thereof. This has been a detailed and multi-phase process. The careful assessment of the questionnaires has ensured that the information generated is reliable and true. Those questionnaires that did not meet the minimally acceptable levels have not been included in our study. A total of 18 questionnaires have been turned down. 3. Fieldwork in Quito: Following please see a description of the actions taken for the organization and development of fieldwork in Quito: a) b) c) d) Getting in touch with Ecuadorian migrants who return from Spain. Design and organization of the pre-test for the Quito questionnaire. Selection and training of interviewers. Organization and coordination of fieldwork activities. a) Getting in touch with Ecuadorian migrants who return from Spain. The main objective of NOPOOR Project’s fieldwork in Ecuador was to analyze the role of a return policy as means to provide poverty relief (successful or worthwhile return). This is a key concept: a return policy does not work if it encourages only return; it works if the policy makes returning 74 worthwhile – worthwhile being understood as a return which affects the people returning, their living conditions and their surroundings in a positive way. With the study in Ecuador, the hope was to attain the profile of a “successful returnee”. As such, the target group for the poll in Ecuador was returnees from Spain who had been back for, at least, six months. The main difficulty was the absence of a government census – both in Spain and Ecuador – that would have provided information on the number of returnees while also informing of their socio-economic status. Knowing this, NOPOOR Project got in touch with several Ecuadorian institutions (please see Attachment 5) so as have access to different databases from several official programs that would guarantee solid quality data and would, therefore, allow them to identify and contact returnees from Spain. Attachment 6 has a list of the databases with pros and cons explained. UAM’s technical team analyzed and cleaned up the data obtained from the different databases (please see Attachment 9: Database analysis). As a result of said analysis, a 756 (priority_1) people list was compiled. The objective was to get in touch with them at an early stage so as to prepare the fieldwork. Cidalia’s Ecuador team contacted 756 people by phone. Of those 756 people, initially 78 agreed to take part in the survey (over 10%). These 78 people comprised the original base for the fieldwork, which snowballed from there. 75 b) Design and organization of the pre-test for the Quito questionnaire. Quito’s pre-test was developed in two stages: - Stage 1 took place between April 21 and 28, with a first version of the Ecuador test. Anda David, from UAM’s technical team, was present. Stage 2 took place between June 30 and July 04, and was overseen by Cidalia’s technical team from Ecuador. All in all, 20 Ecuadorians were interviewed. The interviewees had different profiles, such as: sex, age, work status, time spent in Spain, time as a returnee in Ecuador, etc. This permitted taking into account different aspects from the questionnaire and adapting the fieldwork’s future development. c) Selection and training of interviewers. The selection was done with collaboration from the School of Economics of the Universidad Central de Ecuador (Facultad de Economía de la Universidad Central de Ecuador, UCE). The interviewers’ team included 20 people, both current students and alumni from ISIP, the Institute of Research and Postgraduate Affairs (Instituto de Investigaciones y Posgrado) of the UCE. The briefing took place in the School of Economics of the UCE on July 21 and 23, 2014 and was overseen by Ramón Mahía, NOPOOR Project coordinator at UAM. The briefing lasted for a total of eight hours and, during the same, the following material was handed to the interviewers: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Fifteen (15) questionnaires for fieldwork. Interviewer’s credentials. Project’s cover letter. Confidentiality compromise with the interviewed persons. Guidelines for the fieldwork. 76 d) Organizing and coordinating process for the fieldwork. The fieldwork took place between July 28 and August 31, 2014. Two teams of interviewers were organized. The structure for the fieldwork in Quito was as follows: Oscar Jara Albán Fieldwork General Coordinator Juan Carlos Gordillo Coordinator for 10 interviewers Sergio Guamba Coordinator for 10 interviewers As opposed to the fieldwork in Spain, in Quito there was no territorial division. This was due to the fact that the projected methodology was the “snowball method” and it was not possible to foresee where returnees from Spain to Quito would actually reside. The coordinating teams had the following duties: - - - Following up on the interviewers through phone calls and e-mails; ensuring that the interviewer reported the number of completed surveys and places where they took place; recommending routes; responding to interviewers’ questions, among others. Supporting the interviewers: at least once, each interviewer was accompanied during an outing by the coordinators who observed how the interviews took place, suggested routes and contacts, made introductions, etc. Ensuring weekly interview collection. These took place to ensure that quotas were met and that the different profiles were an accurate representation of the Ecuadorians living in Madrid. Following up, supervising and authenticating completed interviews. The coordinator’s team took a random sample of at least 10% of each interviewer’s questionnaires to substantiate that the interviews had actually been completed and were not frauds. It is worth noting that a great majority of the interviewees were very wary, since some of them feared retaliation from Spanish authorities, be it because some of them had debts back in Spain (they had not paid their rents in full or something similar) or because they feared the truth of 77 rumors hinting that their Spanish nationality would be revoked. In some cases the foundations or associations were not helpful since they never received assistance from the Spanish and/or Ecuadorian governments. Nonetheless, after the clearing up the errors and validation of interviews, 410 interviews were given the green light during fieldwork in Quito. e. Registration of the questionnaires: The questionnaires have been included in an Excel spreadsheet that was then copied into SPSS. With the aim of controlling to the highest degree possible everything related to records keeping, this was completed in Spain. The 893 surveys completed in Madrid and the 410 surveys completed in Ecuador were recorded in Madrid, and it was the same team of professionals that completed both tasks. The team of records keepers is made up of two persons, a man and a woman. Both of them have a college education and have experience in recording questionnaires and are familiar with the SPSS program. Apart from this professional background, one of the two members of the team will have prior experience as a pollster, and is thus fully familiar with the questionnaire. All of this together explains the ease with which the recordings were completed. Some of the lapses discovered during the records keeping activity involve wrong dates having been jotted down, or blanks that were not filled in, or filters that were incorrectly introduced. 78
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