Example: Suppose you buy the latest tablet for N = $400, and you use a credit card to pay for it, only paying the minimum balance allowed each month. Your credit card charges an interest of 17% APR (that is, a monthly interest of 0.013%), and you have to pay at least 2% of your balance each month. Here are your balance and payments each month (M): M 0 1 2 3 .. . Balance N ((0.98)N)(1.013) (0.98)2 (1.013)2 N (0.98)3 (1.013)3 N .. . Payment (0.02)N (0.02)((0.98)N)(1.013) (0.02)((0.98)2 (1.013)2 N) (0.02)((0.98)3 (1.013)3 N) .. . Balance after payment (0.98)N (0.98)2 (1.013)N (0.98)3 (1.013)2 N (0.98)4 (1.013)3 N .. . n (0.98)n (1.013)n N (0.02)((0.98)n (1.013)n N) (0.98)n+1 (1.013)n N How much have you paid after n months: Put r = (0.98)(1.013) ∼ 0.993. (0.02)N(1+r +r 2 +r 3 +· · ·+r n ) = N· (0.02)(1 − r n+1 ) 1−r → (2.857)N = $1142.80. AVOID CREDIT CARD DEBT! MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1. Álvaro Lozano-Robledo Department of Mathematics University of Connecticut Day 14 Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 2 / 40 Exponential Growth and Decay Exponential Growth and Decay Definition We say that a function f (x) grows (or decays) exponentially if the growth rate at any x is proportional to the function’s value. Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 4 / 40 Exponential Growth and Decay Definition We say that a function f (x) grows (or decays) exponentially if the growth rate at any x is proportional to the function’s value. In other words, f 0 (x) is proportional to f (x), or equivalently, there is a constant k such that f 0 (x) = k · f (x). Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 4 / 40 Example: Compounded Interest Example: If $2000 is invested at 4% interest, compounded annually, how much money will there be in the account after 10 years? Solution: $2000 · (1.04) = $2080.00 $2000 · (1.04)2 = $2163.20 .. . $2000 · (1.04)10 = $2960.48 Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 5 / 40 Example: Compounded Interest Example: If $2000 is invested at 4% interest, compounded semi-annually, how much money will there be in the account after 10 years? Solution: $2000 · 1 + $2000 · 1+ 0.04 2 2 2 0.04 2 2 = $2080.80 = $2164.86 .. . $2000 · Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 1+ 0.04 2 2 10 = $2971.89 6 / 40 Example: Compounded Interest Example: If $2000 is invested at 4% interest, compounded monthly, how much money will there be in the account after 10 years? Solution: $2000 · 1 + $2000 · 1+ 0.04 12 12 2 0.04 12 12 = $2081.48 = $2166.28 .. . $2000 · Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 1+ 0.04 12 12 10 = $2981.66 7 / 40 Example: Compounded Interest Example: If $2000 is invested at 4% interest, compounded daily, how much money will there be in the account after 10 years? Solution: $2000 · 1 + $2000 · 1+ 0.04 365 365 2 0.04 365 365 = $2081.61 = $2166.56 .. . $2000 · Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) 1+ MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 0.04 365 365 10 = $2983.58 8 / 40 Example: Continuously Compounded Interest Example: If $2000 is invested at 4% interest, compounded continuously, how much money will there be in the account after 10 years? Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 9 / 40 The number e e = lim (1 + h)1/ h . h→0 Or changing h by 1/ n: e = lim n→∞ Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) 1+ MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 1 n . n 10 / 40 Example: Continuously Compounded Interest Example: If $2000 is invested at 4% interest, compounded continuously, how much money will there be in the account after 10 years? Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 11 / 40 Example: Continuously Compounded Interest Example: If $2000 is invested at 4% interest, compounded continuously, how much money will there be in the account after 10 years? Solution: $2000 · e(0.04) = $2081.62 $2000 · e(0.04)·2 = $2166.57 .. . $2000 · e(0.04)·10 = $2983.64 Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 11 / 40 Example: Radioactive Decay Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 12 / 40 Example: Radioactive Decay The Chernobyl disaster was a catastrophic nuclear accident that occurred on 26 April 1986 at the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant in Ukraine (then officially the Ukrainian SSR), which was under the direct jurisdiction of the central authorities of the Soviet Union. An explosion and fire released large quantities of radioactive particles into the atmosphere, which spread over much of the western USSR and Europe. Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 12 / 40 Example: Radioactive Decay The Chernobyl disaster was a catastrophic nuclear accident that occurred on 26 April 1986 at the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant in Ukraine (then officially the Ukrainian SSR), which was under the direct jurisdiction of the central authorities of the Soviet Union. An explosion and fire released large quantities of radioactive particles into the atmosphere, which spread over much of the western USSR and Europe. The Chernobyl disaster was the worst nuclear power plant accident in history in terms of cost and casualties, and is one of only two classified as a level 7 event (the maximum classification) on the International Nuclear Event Scale (the other being the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear disaster in 2011). The battle to contain the contamination and avert a greater catastrophe ultimately involved over 500,000 workers and cost an estimated 18 billion rubles (18 billion $USD). During the accident itself, 31 people died, and long-term effects such as cancers and deformities are still being accounted for. Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 12 / 40 View of Chernobyl taken from the abandoned city of Pripyat. Radiation levels (millisieverts) and their effects Event Single dose, fatal within weeks Typical dosage recorded in those Chernobyl workers who died within a month Single does which would kill half of those exposed to it within a month Single dosage which would cause radiation sickness including nausea, lower white blood cell count. Not fatal. Accumulated dosage estimated to cause a fatal cancer many years later in 5% of people Max radiation levels recorded at Fukushima plant 15 March 2011, per hour Exposure of Chernobyl residents who were relocated after the blast in 1986 Recommended limit for radiation workers every five years Radiation 10,000 mSv 6,000 mSv 5,000 mSv 1,000 mSv 1,000 mSv 400 mSv 350 mSv 100 mSv Radiation levels (millisieverts) and their effects Event Lowest annual dose at which any increase in cancer is clearly evident CT scan: heart CT scan: abdomen and pelvis Dose in full-body CT scan Airline crew flying New York to Tokyo polar route, annual exposure Natural radiation we are all exposed to, per year CT scan: head Spine x-ray Radiation per hour detected at Fukushima site, 12 March 2011, one day after disaster Mammogram breast x-ray Chest x-ray Radiation 100 mSv 16 mSv 15 mSv 10 mSv 9 mSv 2 mSv 2 mSv 1.50 mSv 1.02 mSv 0.40 mSv 0.10 mSv Radiation levels (millisieverts) and their effects Event Lowest annual dose at which any increase in cancer is clearly evident CT scan: heart CT scan: abdomen and pelvis Dose in full-body CT scan Airline crew flying New York to Tokyo polar route, annual exposure Natural radiation we are all exposed to, per year CT scan: head Spine x-ray Radiation per hour detected at Fukushima site, 12 March 2011, one day after disaster Mammogram breast x-ray Chest x-ray Radiation from eating a banana, for scale Radiation 100 mSv 16 mSv 15 mSv 10 mSv 9 mSv 2 mSv 2 mSv 1.50 mSv 1.02 mSv 0.40 mSv 0.10 mSv 0.000098 mSv Current radiation levels at Chernobyl and Pripyat Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 20 / 40 Current radiation levels at Chernobyl and Pripyat Radiation levels of up to 0.336mSv per hour at the power plant. Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 21 / 40 Current radiation levels at Chernobyl and Pripyat Radiation levels from 0.0002 up to 0.022mSv per hour at Pripyat. Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 22 / 40 Current radiation levels at Chernobyl and Pripyat 0.022mSv per hour means 0.022 · 24 · 365 = 192.72mSv per year. Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 23 / 40 Current radiation levels at Chernobyl and Pripyat 0.022mSv per hour means 0.022 · 24 · 365 = 192.72mSv per year. Recall that 5% of a population receiving a dose of 1000mSv will suffer a fatal form of cancer. Fukushima evacuees will receive radiation doses from 0.7 to 3 millisieverts per year after they return to their homes, following the lift of an evacuation order in surrounding areas in April 2014. Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 23 / 40 Example: Radioactive Decay Caesium-137 is the principal source of radiation in the exclusion zone around the Chernobyl nuclear power plant. The half-life of Cs-137 is approximately 30 years. Example One gram of Caesium-137 outputs 43345 Sv of radiation per year, or 4.94 Sv per hour. If we want the radiation level to go down to a safe level of 20 mSv per year, how long should we wait? Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 24 / 40 This slide left intentionally blank Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 25 / 40 Example: Radioactive Decay Example One gram of Caesium-137 outputs 43345 Sv of radiation per year, or 4.94 Sv per hour. If we want the radiation level to go down to a safe level of 20 mSv per year, how long should we wait? Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 26 / 40 Example: Radioactive Decay Example One gram of Caesium-137 outputs 43345 Sv of radiation per year, or 4.94 Sv per hour. If we want the radiation level to go down to a safe level of 20 mSv per year, how long should we wait? If 1 g of Cs-137 outputs 43345000 mSv per year, then x= 1 · 20 43345000 ∼ = 0.000000461 grams of Cs-137 output 20 mSv per year. The amount of Cs-137 left is given by C(t) = e(−Ln(2)/ 30)t = e(−0.0231)t . C(t) = 0.000000461 at t = Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) ln(0.000000461) −0.0231 MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 ∼ = 631.59 years. 26 / 40 Example: Newton’s Law of Cooling Newton’s Law of Cooling (or Warming) states that the rate of cooling of an object is proportional to the difference between the object and the room temperature (provided that difference is not too large). Let T (t) be the temperature of the object, and let R be the room temperature. Newton’s law says: dT dt = k · (T (t) − R), for some constant k . If we put y = T (t) − R, then dy / dt = dT / dt − 0 = dT / dt. Hence: dy dt = k · y, and y follows the differential equation of exponential growth/decay. Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 27 / 40 Example: Newton’s Law of Cooling Thus, if T (t) satisfies dT dt = k · (T (t) − R), then y (t) = T (t) − R satisfies dy dt Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) = k · y, MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 28 / 40 Example: Newton’s Law of Cooling Thus, if T (t) satisfies dT = k · (T (t) − R), dt then y (t) = T (t) − R satisfies dy dt = k · y, and therefore y (t) = C · ekt for some constants C and k . Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 28 / 40 Example: Newton’s Law of Cooling Thus, if T (t) satisfies dT dt = k · (T (t) − R), then y (t) = T (t) − R satisfies dy dt = k · y, and therefore y (t) = C · ekt for some constants C and k . In particular, T (t) = R + y (t) = R + C · ekt . Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 28 / 40 Example: Newton’s Law of Cooling Thus, if T (t) satisfies dT dt = k · (T (t) − R), then T (t) = R + C · ekt . What is C? Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 29 / 40 Example: Newton’s Law of Cooling Thus, if T (t) satisfies dT dt = k · (T (t) − R), then T (t) = R + C · ekt . What is C? T (0) = R + C · e0 = R + C so C = T (0) − R, i.e., the initial difference in temperature between the object and the room temperature. Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 29 / 40 Example: Newton’s Law of Cooling Example According to the internet, coffee is best served at a temperature of 160F. If the coffee shop where you are having your coffee is at a room temperature of 65F, how long will it take for your coffee to be lukewarm at 80F? Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 30 / 40 Example: Newton’s Law of Cooling Example According to the internet, coffee is best served at a temperature of 160F. You are having a cup at a coffee shop that the keep at a frigid room temperature of 65F. After 10 minutes, the coffee is already at 120F. How long will it take for your coffee to be lukewarm at 80F? Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 31 / 40 Example: Newton’s Law of Cooling Example According to the internet, coffee is best served at a temperature of 160F. You are having a cup at a coffee shop that the keep at a frigid room temperature of 65F. After 10 minutes, the coffee is already at 120F. How long will it take for your coffee to be lukewarm at 80F? Solution: The temperature of the coffee T (t) follows Newton’s law of cooling, so T (t) = R + C · ekt where R = 65 and C = T (0) − R = 160 − 65 = 95. Moreover, T (10) = 120. Thus, 120 = 65 + 95e10k and so k = Ln(55/ 95)/ 10 ∼ = −0.05465. We want T (t) = 80, so 80 = 65 + 95e(−0.05465)t and so t = Ln(15/ 95)/ (−0.05465) ∼ = 33.775 minutes. Álvaro Lozano-Robledo (UConn) MATH 1131Q - Calculus 1 31 / 40 Example: Population Growth The population of Lionfish (Pterois Volitans) in the Caribbean is out of control. If the population in the Caribbean in 2014 is estimated at 600 million, and in 2000 the population was estimated at 70000 individuals, when was the first pair of lionfish introduced, approximately? If the population in the Caribbean in 2014 is estimated at 600 million, and in 2000 the population was estimated at 70000 individuals, when was the first pair of lionfish introduced, approximately? If the population in the Caribbean in 2014 is estimated at 600 million, and in 2000 the population was estimated at 70000 individuals, when was the first pair of lionfish introduced, approximately? Let us set L(t) to be the population of lionfish in the Caribbean, with t = 0 at the year 2000. Then L(t) = 70000 · ekt and L(14) = 600000000, so k = Ln(600000000/ 70000)/ 14 ∼ = 0.6469 Thus, L(t) = 70000 · e(0.6469)t and we are looking for L(t) = 2. Thus, t = Ln(2/ 70000)/ (0.6469) ∼ = −16.17 Hence, they were introduced in ∼ = 2000 − 16 = 1984. Example: Population Growth The population of Lionfish (Pterois Volitans) in the Caribbean is out of control.
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