Table of Contents K.3 Public Services – Schools 1. INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................... 1750 2. ENVIRONMENTAL SETTING ................................................................................... 1750 a. Regulatory Framework ........................................................................................ 1750 (1) Federal Level ................................................................................................. 1750 (2) State Level ..................................................................................................... 1751 (3) Regional Level ............................................................................................... 1751 (4) Local Level..................................................................................................... 1752 b. Existing Conditions .............................................................................................. 1752 (1) Public Schools in the Project Vicinity ............................................................. 1752 (a) Overview of the Los Angeles Unified School District ................................... 1752 (b) Public K-12 Schools .................................................................................... 1753 (c) Charter Schools ........................................................................................... 1757 (d) Magnet Schools ........................................................................................... 1758 (e) Proposed New Public Schools ..................................................................... 1758 (2) Private Schools in the Project Vicinity ............................................................ 1759 3. ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS .................................................................................. 1759 a. Methodology ........................................................................................................ 1759 b. Thresholds of Significance .................................................................................. 1760 c. Project Design Features ...................................................................................... 1761 d. Project Impacts .................................................................................................... 1761 (1) Construction Impacts ..................................................................................... 1761 (2) Operational Impacts ....................................................................................... 1762 (a) Impacts under the Proposed Project ........................................................... 1762 (i) Impacts from Residential Development .................................................... 1762 (ii) Impacts from Non-Residential Development ........................................... 1764 (3) Impacts Under No Annexation Scenario ........................................................ 1767 4. CUMULATIVE IMPACTS .......................................................................................... 1767 a. Cumulative Proposed Project Impacts ................................................................ 1767 b. Cumulative Impacts Under No Annexation Scenario ........................................... 1768 5. PROJECT DESIGN FEATURES AND MITIGATION MEASURES ........................... 1769 City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page i WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review Table of Contents a. Project Design Features ...................................................................................... 1769 b. Mitigation Measure .............................................................................................. 1769 6. LEVEL OF SIGNIFICANCE AFTER MITIGATION .................................................... 1769 City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page ii WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review Table of Contents List of Tables 146 Current School Capacity and Resident Enrollment In Los Angeles Unified School District Schools Serving the Project Site ................................................. 1756 147 Estimated Future School Capacities and Resident Enrollment in Los Angeles Unified School District Schools Serving the Project Site ...................................... 1757 148 Estimated Student Generation Under 60% Condo / 40% Apartment Mixes ......... 1763 149 Project Impacts on Los Angeles Unified School District Schools ......................... 1764 150 Estimated Student Generation By Project’s Net New Non-Residential Floor Area ..................................................................................................................... 1766 List of Figures 209 Los Angeles Unified School District Schools Serving the Project Site ................. 1754 City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page iii WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV. Environmental Impact Analysis K.3 Public Services - Schools 1. Introduction The following section is based on the Assessment of the Public School Enrollment and Capacity Impacts prepared by HR&A Advisors, Inc. (2010) for the NBC Universal Evolution Plan. The full text of the report is included as Technical Appendix M-2 to this Draft EIR. This section analyzes the potential impacts of the proposed Project relative to public schools. The analysis evaluates whether available school facilities are sufficient to accommodate the students projected to be generated by the proposed Project. Based on information received from the Los Angeles Unified School District, facilities serving the Project Site were identified and a determination was made as to whether these facilities are adequate to meet the future demand associated with occupancy of the Project Site. 2. Environmental Setting a. Regulatory Framework (1) Federal Level Education is mostly regulated at the state and local levels. However, the federal government is involved in providing funding for specialized programs (i.e., school lunches/breakfasts, Title 1, Special Education, School to Work, and Goals 2000). These monies are not used for general educational purposes. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1750 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools (2) State Level The Los Angeles Unified School District is regulated by the California Education Code and governed by the State Board of Education. Traditionally, the State has passed legislation for the funding of local public schools and provided the majority of monies to fund education in the State. To assist in providing facilities to serve students generated from new development projects, the State passed Assembly Bill 2926 in 1986, allowing school districts to collect impact fees from developers of new residential, commercial and industrial developments. Development impact fees are also referenced in the 1987 Leroy Greene Lease-Purchase Act, which requires school districts to contribute a matching share of the costs for the construction, modernization, or reconstruction of school facilities. Subsequent legislation has modified the fees structure and general guidelines. Under applicable State law, the governing board of any school district is authorized to levy a fee, charge, dedication, or other requirement against any construction within the boundaries of the district, for the purpose of funding the construction or reconstruction of school facilities.370 The Leroy F. Greene School Facilities Act of 1998 (known as Senate Bill 50) sets a maximum level of fees a developer may be required to pay to mitigate a project’s impacts on school facilities. The maximum fees authorized under Senate Bill 50 apply to zone changes, general plan amendments, zoning permits and subdivisions. The provisions of Senate Bill 50 provide full and complete mitigation of school facilities impacts, notwithstanding any contrary provisions in CEQA or other State or local laws.371 (3) Regional Level The Los Angeles Unified School District’s operations are largely funded by local property tax revenue that is first accrued in a common statewide pool with similar property tax revenue throughout the state, and then allocated to each school district on the basis of average daily attendance. In addition, state law permits school districts to charge development fees to fund capital acquisition and improvements to school facilities, based on documented justification that residential and non-residential developments generate students. The Los Angeles Unified School District has completed the studies required to support levying of residential fees, which are currently imposed at a rate of $3.87 per square foot of new residential construction.372 Fees for commercial construction and 370 California Education Code Section 17620(a)(1). 371 Calif. Government Code § 65996. 372 Calif. Government Code § 65995.5-7. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1751 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools commercial parking structure construction within the boundaries of the Los Angeles Unified School District are $0.47 and $0.09 per square foot, respectively. (4) Local Level As stated above, the State is primarily responsible for the funding and structure of the local school districts, and in this case, the Los Angeles Unified School District. As the Los Angeles Unified School District provides education to students in many cities and county areas, in addition to the City of Los Angeles, its oversight is largely a regional/county level issue. Public schools operate under the policy direction of elected governing district school boards (elected from the local area) as well as by local propositions which directly impact the funding of facility construction and maintenance. b. Existing Conditions The Project is located within the boundaries of the Los Angeles Unified School District, which is the second largest public school district in the nation in terms of enrollment. The Los Angeles Unified School District serves the City of Los Angeles, as well as all or portions of 32 other cities in the County and numerous unincorporated areas of the County. The existing conditions and impact analysis discussions presented below pertain to both the proposed Project and the No Annexation scenario, in which specific County portions of the Project Site would or would not be annexed to the City of Los Angeles. (1) Public Schools in the Project Vicinity (a) Overview of the Los Angeles Unified School District The Los Angeles Unified School District’s boundaries encompass an area of about 710 square miles, with an estimated population of over 5 million people residing in almost 2 million households. Approximately two-thirds (or 66 percent) of the Los Angeles Unified School District’s land area, and approximately 87 percent of the population residing in its boundaries, are within the City of Los Angeles.373 The Los Angeles Unified School District provides kindergarten through high school (K-12) education, as well as adult and special education programs, to approximately 688,000 total students in 885 schools, 196 other 373 LAUSD, “Fingertip Facts 2008-2009” (available at: http://www.lausd.net/search/ ?cx=012518883040023400225%3A30biird4qzs&q=fingertip+facts&sa=Search&cof=FORID%3A11#979). City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1752 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools facilities, and 148 independent K-12 charter schools and centers. The Los Angeles Unified School District also employs about 77,000 personnel, about half (48 percent) of whom are classroom teachers. Overall, the Los Angeles Unified School District’s Fiscal Year 20082009 total budget was around $14 billion.374 As of fall 2008, the Los Angeles Unified School District’s K-12 enrollment total was 688,138 students.375 About four in 10 (or 43 percent) of all of Los Angeles Unified School District’s students were enrolled in elementary schools (grades K-5 or 6), about one in five (19 percent) were enrolled in middle schools (grades 6 or 7-8), one-quarter were enrolled in high schools (grades 9-12), and the remainder (13 percent) were enrolled in magnet schools, primary centers, special education schools and other special District programs.376 These specific types of schools and the Los Angeles Unified School District enrollment capacities are discussed in detail below. (b) Public K-12 Schools The Project Site is located within Los Angeles Unified School District Local Districts 2 and 4 and is served by the following Los Angeles Unified School District public schools (the locations of these schools are shown in Figure 209 on page 1754). In terms of evaluating seating capacity, the Los Angeles Unified School District compares resident enrollment to capacity, rather than actual enrollment, consistent with Los Angeles Unified School District’s objective to house all students in their neighborhood school without the need for busing. The Los Angeles Unified School District has identified the following schools as those that would service the proposed Project. Valley View Elementary School (6921 Woodrow Wilson Drive, Los Angeles), which opened in 1917, provides kindergarten through grade 6 education. It has a current seating capacity for 262 students and an actual enrollment of 216 students, most of whom (141 students) do not reside within the school’s attendance boundaries. Valley View Elementary is located approximately 1.4 miles from the Project Site. The school operates on a traditional twosemester, single-track school calendar. Based on this data and Los Angeles Unified School District’s method for calculating seating capacity, Valley View Elementary School currently has seating capacity for an additional 187 students. 374 LAUSD, Superintendent’s 2008-2009 Final Budget, September 2, 2008 (available on-line at: http://notebook.lausd.net/portal/page?_pageid=33,175012&_dad=ptl&_schema=PTL_. 375 “Fingertip Facts 2008-2009,” op. cit. 376 Ibid. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1753 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review LOS ANGELES RIV ER FL OOD CO N T R C OL EL NN HA Valley View Elementary School Hollywood High School Bancroft Middle School 0 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 Miles Source: Los Ange Angeles gele les Unified School District,, ES ESRI Streetmap and Matrix Environmental, 2010. Legend Project Site Boundary Figure 209 Los Angeles Unified School District Schools Serving the Project Site Page 1754 IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools Bancroft Middle School (929 N. Las Palmas Avenue, Los Angeles), which opened in 1929, serves grades 6-8. It has a current seating capacity for 1,651 students and an actual enrollment of 1,328 students, most of whom (1,015 students) reside within the school’s attendance boundaries. Bancroft Middle School is located approximately 4.5 miles from the Project Site. This school also operates on a traditional two-semester, single-track school calendar. Based on this data and Los Angeles Unified School District’s method for calculating seating capacity, Bancroft Middle School currently has seating capacity for an additional 636 students. Hollywood High School (1521 N. Highland Avenue, Los Angeles), which opened in 1910, serves grades 9-12. It has a current seating capacity for 3,173 students and an actual enrollment of 3,215 students, most of whom (3,070 students) reside within the school’s attendance boundaries. Hollywood High School is located approximately 4.4 miles from the Project Site. This school just changed from a three-track, year-round school calendar to a traditional two-semester, single-track school calendar due to the opening of the new Helen Bernstein High School and a Continuation High School. Based on this data and the Los Angeles Unified School District’s method for calculating seating capacity, Hollywood High School currently has seating capacity for an additional 103 students.377 As indicated in Table 146 on page 1756, Valley View Elementary School, Bancroft Middle School and Hollywood High School are all currently operating under capacity by 187, 636 and 103 students, respectively, based on data provided by the Los Angeles Unified School District.378 Notwithstanding the capacity data, Hollywood High was classified by the Los Angeles Unified School District as operating “over capacity” at the time this analysis was prepared, due to its prior operating configuration (i.e., year-round vs. traditional, two-semester calendar). The Los Angeles Unified School District also provides five-year projections of future enrollment at individual schools that are updated on an annual basis. According to the latest projections, the District expects 45,083 additional residential units to be constructed 377 The determination that Hollywood High School has an available seating capacity of 103 students is based on an eligible “resident” enrollment (i.e., students that reside in the attendance boundaries of Hollywood High School) of 3,070 students and a current seating capacity for 3,173 students. A total of 145 students currently attend Hollywood High School using Los Angeles Unified School District permits (i.e., total enrollment of 3,215 students is made up of 3,070 students residing in the attendance boundaries of Hollywood High School and 145 students attending the school using Los Angeles Unified School District permits). 378 Source: Letter from Rena Perez, Director, Master Planning & Demographics, Los Angeles Unified School District, dated August 19, 2008. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1755 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools Table 146 Current School Capacity and Resident Enrollment In Los Angeles Unified School District Schools Serving the Project Site Grades 2008-2009 Enrollment a 2008-2009 Capacity (+) Under/ (-) Over Capacity Elementary School Valley View Elementary K-6 75 262 187 Middle School Bancroft Middle 6-8 1,015 1,651 636 Senior High School Hollywood High 9-12 3,070 3,173 103 Schools a Eligible “resident” enrollment (i.e., reside in the attendance boundary), not actual enrollment. Source: Los Angeles Unified School District, written correspondence from Rena Perez, Director, Master Planning and Demographics, August 19, 2008; HR&A, Inc. within its boundaries over the next five years, with almost all (90.2 percent) of those within the City of Los Angeles.379 These units are projected to generate 16,137 additional students, of which half will be at the Elementary School level and the balance divided about equally between Middle Schools and High Schools.380 The Los Angeles Unified School District projects that five years from now, Valley View Elementary and Bancroft Middle School will continue to have surplus seats (148 and 632, respectively). Hollywood High School, after conversion to a traditional two-semester, single track calendar, and enrollment relief from a new Continuation High School and a new High School at a site in Hollywood (see discussion below), is projected to have a seating capacity surplus of 671 seats. These five year projections are shown in Table 147 on page 1757.381 379 David Taussig & Associates, Inc., School Facilities Needs Analysis for Consideration of Alternative School Facilities Fees, prepared for Los Angeles Unified School District, August 7, 2006. 380 Ibid, Table 5, p. 11. 381 The Project Site, as described earlier in the analysis, is located in Los Angeles Unified School District Local Districts 2 and 4. The schools included in the above analysis are those identified by the Los Angeles Unified School District as the schools that would serve the Project Site. The following are the schools within Los Angeles Unified School District Local District 2 in the area of the Project Site: Rio Vista Elementary School, Walter Reed Middle School, and North Hollywood High School. As of the 2006-2007 school year, all three schools have sufficient capacity to accommodate current enrollment levels. With regard to future conditions, Rio Vista Elementary School and Walter Reed Middle School are forecasted to operate within their respective capacities, whereas North Hollywood High School is forecasted to operate in excess of its available capacity. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1756 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools Table 147 Estimated Future School Capacities and Resident Enrollment in Los Angeles Unified School District Schools Serving the Project Site 2013-2014 Enrollment a 2013-2014 Capacity (+) Under/ (-) Over Capacity Elementary School Valley View Elementary 92 240 148 Middle School Bancroft Middle 880 1,512 632 1,139 1,810b (671) Schools Senior High School Hollywood High a Eligible “resident” enrollment (i.e., reside in the attendance boundary), not actual enrollment. b Projected capacity at Hollywood High reflects enrollment relief from the new Helen Bernstein High School and a new Continuation High School, which opened in October, 2008. Source: Los Angeles Unified School District, written correspondence from Rena Perez, Director, Master Planning and Demographics, August 19, 2008; HR&A, Inc. The Project Site is currently developed with non-residential uses and only contributes to enrollment at these schools to the extent that workers at the Project Site enroll their children at these, as opposed to other, Los Angeles Unified School District schools. (c) Charter Schools Charter schools originated from the Charter School Act of 1992. Typically, a charter school is granted by the Los Angeles Unified School District Board of Education and approved by the State for a period of up to five years. Los Angeles Unified School District maintains two types of charter schools: conversion charters are existing Los Angeles Unified School District schools that later become charters; and start-ups, which are charter schools that are newly created by any member of the public (e.g., educators, parents, foundations, and others). Charter schools are open to any student who wishes to attend, from any area within the Los Angeles Unified School District. Although certain attendance preferences may be given, enrollment is conducted by lottery.382 There are no charter schools in the immediate vicinity of the Project Site. 382 Los Angeles Unified School District, Charter Schools, website: http://notebook.lausd.net/portal/ page?_pageid=33,205129&_dad=ptl&_schema=PTL_EP, July 2008. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1757 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools (d) Magnet Schools The option to attend “magnet” programs is also available to students living within the service boundaries of the Los Angeles Unified School District. Magnet programs provide specialized curriculums and instructional approaches to attract a voluntary integration of students from a variety of neighborhoods. Magnet programs typically establish a unique focus such as gifted and talented, math and science, performing arts, or basic skills programs. Some magnet programs occupy entire school sites, while other magnet centers are located on regular school campuses with access to activities and experiences shared with the host school. Currently, there are 162 magnet programs located within the Los Angeles Unified School District. There is a television and performing arts Magnet School at Bancroft Middle School and a performing arts Magnet School at Hollywood High School, both of which are in the vicinity of the Project Site. (e) Proposed New Public Schools The Los Angeles Unified School District is currently engaged in the planning and construction of 185 new schools by 2012. The Los Angeles Unified School District estimates that new schools and site expansions will require the acquisition of over 450 acres of land, some of which has already been acquired. Funding sources include proceeds from several State school facilities bond measures and local bond measures, including Propositions BB ($2.4 billion, 1997), Measure K ($3.35 billion, 2002), Measure R ($3.87 billion, 2004) and Measure Y ($4.0 billion, 2005), and developer fees.383 The State school and local bond measure programs also include substantial expenditures for repairs and renovations to existing school facilities. The total estimated cost of these programs is estimated to be $11.7 billion. Two new construction projects recently expanded capacity at schools currently serving the Project Site. As mentioned above, this includes the new Helen Bernstein High School, located at 1309 N. Wilton Place, which will include 2,106 two-semester seats on a 12.4-acre site. Also on the same site is the new 162-seat Hollywood New Continuation High School #1. 383 Los Angeles Unified School District, Facilities Services Division: New Construction, website: http://www.laschools.org. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1758 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools (2) Private Schools in the Project Vicinity In addition to publicly available schools, there are also a number of private schools in the vicinity of the Project area that could potentially serve as alternatives to Los Angeles Unified School District schools, should residents of the proposed Project elect this option. Particularly, there are nineteen (19) private schools, ranging from kindergarten through 12th grades, in the vicinity of the Project. It is interesting to note that households in the immediate vicinity of the Project Site had a much higher rate of private school enrollment, at all grade levels, than for the City as a whole. This information is presented for factual purposes only, as it does not directly relate to current and future enrollment capacity levels of Los Angeles Unified School District schools before or after implementation of the proposed Project. 3. Environmental Impacts a. Methodology Utilizing information supplied by the Los Angeles Unified School District, the existing conditions of the public schools serving the Project Site were assessed. Student generation was then forecasted based on the characteristics of the proposed Project and Los Angeles Unified School District assumptions. The methodology used for this forecast assumes that the numbers of new students generated from the proposed Project are directly related to the type and amount of proposed residential and commercial construction. Los Angeles Unified School District’s residential student generation rates vary by whether the residential unit is a for-sale dwelling unit (owner-occupied) or an apartment (renter-occupied). While the Project’s precise mix of units between for-sale dwelling units and apartments would depend on market conditions at the time of construction, based on current planning forecasts, the Project would provide approximately 60 percent condominiums/townhomes and 40 percent apartments. Accordingly, this analysis assumes a 60% condominiums/townhomes and 40% apartments mix in applying Los Angeles Unified School District’s student generation rates, which are higher for apartments than for-sale dwelling units. Students generated from the proposed Project were then compared to Los Angeles Unified School District’s forecasted available capacity for the relevant schools, so as to ascertain overall impact levels. The Los Angeles Unified School District forecasts capacity on a rolling five-year basis. As such, forecasts are currently available only through the 2013-2014 school year. While Project buildout extends to 2030, the analysis of Project impacts is based on Los Angeles Unified School District’s forecast for the 2013-2014 school year, as the Los Angeles Unified School District has not published forecast data City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1759 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools beyond the 2013-2014 school year. Thus, the analysis of potential Project impacts on school facilities is based on the amount of Project development occurring within the attendance boundaries of each school. In cases where existing capacity appears to be inadequate for Project-generated students, the analysis includes an evaluation of the adequacy of the school sites for the addition of new classroom capacity to accommodate Project-generated students. This analysis addresses the potential impacts of the Project to the public school system only, as the public school system is directly responsible (and mandated) to service new student populations generated from implementation of the proposed Project. Private institutions, as well as higher education institutions, are not analyzed since they are privately funded and not mandated to provide educational services. b. Thresholds of Significance The City of Los Angeles CEQA Thresholds Guide (2006, p. K.3-2), states that the determination of the significance of impacts related to schools shall be made on a case-bycase basis, considering the following factors: The population increase resulting from the project, based on the increase in residential units or square footage of non-residential floor area; The demand for school services anticipated at the time of project buildout compared to the expected level of service available, and to consider as applicable, scheduled improvements to Los Angeles Unified School District services (facilities, equipment and personnel) and the project’s proportional contribution to the demand; Whether (and the degree to which) accommodation of the increased demand would require construction of new facilities, a major reorganization of students or classrooms, major revisions to the school calendar (such as year-round sessions), or other actions which would create a temporary or permanent impact on the school(s); and Whether the project includes features that would reduce the demand for school services (e.g., on-site school facilities or direct support to Los Angeles Unified School District). Based on these factors, the Project would result in a significant impact to school service capacity and facilities, if the following would result: The number of Los Angeles Unified School District students generated by the Project would exceed the capacity of the Los Angeles Unified School District City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1760 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools schools which serve the Project Site, thereby requiring the construction of new facilities, and/or modifications to the existing operational characteristics of the school (e.g., a major reorganization of students or classrooms, major revisions to the school calendar, or other actions which would create a temporary or permanent impact on the school(s)). School capacity for the purposes of this analysis is defined as the number of students that can be accommodated at a school based on resident enrollment. c. Project Design Features No project design features are proposed with regard to schools. Although potentially significant impacts to Los Angeles Unified School District schools were identified, all impacts would be reduced to a less than significant level through the implementation of the required mitigation measure discussed below. d. Project Impacts Under the proposed Project, approximately 139 acres of the Project Site would be located within the City of Los Angeles, and the remaining approximately 252 acres of the Project Site would be located within the boundaries of the County of Los Angeles. Proposed land uses within the City include all of the residential development (2,937 units), 180,000 square feet of community- and neighborhood-serving commercial uses, as well as 300,000 square feet of studio and studio office uses. Proposed land uses in the County include approximately 1.59 million square feet of net new studio, entertainment, office, hotel, and studio uses. The proposed hotel uses would total 450,000 square feet and would include up to 500 hotel rooms and related hotel facilities. Potential impacts on student capacity at the Los Angeles Unified School District schools serving the proposed Project, as well as the potential additional capacity which can be realized through the addition of new classrooms at these schools, is presented below. (1) Construction Impacts The Project is anticipated to generate 27,304 construction-related jobs between the start of construction and Project buildout in 2030. Project construction is not anticipated to result in adverse impacts to Los Angeles Unified School District school facilities and overall capacity levels due to the temporary nature of construction related activities. As construction workers are not anticipated to change their place of residence as a result of working at the Project Site, there would be no increase in student enrollment at the local schools serving the Project Site. Therefore, construction-related impacts associated with public schools would be less than significant. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1761 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools (2) Operational Impacts (a) Impacts under the Proposed Project (i) Impacts from Residential Development As stated above, implementation of the proposed Project includes the development of 2,937 residential units and a net increase of approximately 2.01 million square feet of non-residential floor area. Although the precise mix of units between for-sale dwelling units and apartments would depend on market conditions at the time of construction, based on current planning forecasts approximately 60 percent of the Project’s residential units would be condominiums/townhomes and 40 percent would be apartments. The specific student generation rates (provided by the Los Angeles Unified School District) used in this analysis are shown in detail in Table 148 on page 1763. With 1,762 townhome/condominium units (60 percent) and 1,175 apartments (40 percent), the Project would generate approximately 319 elementary students, 156 middle school students, and 161 high school students, or a total of 636 additional Los Angeles Unified School District students. It is likely that some of the students generated would already reside in areas served by the Los Angeles Unified School District and would already be enrolled in Los Angeles Unified School District schools. However, it is conservatively assumed that all of the students generated by the Project would not be currently enrolled in the Los Angeles Unified School District schools near the Project Site, and would be enrolled upon relocation to the Project area. As shown in Table 149 on page 1764 below, with the addition of Project-generated students projected to enroll to existing schools servicing the Project Site, Valley View Elementary School would operate over capacity by 171 seats, Bancroft Middle School would have a surplus of 476 seats, and Hollywood High School would have surplus capacity of 510 seats. Based on this analysis, it is anticipated that there would be deficient seating capacity at one of the current schools serving the Project Site based on Los Angeles Unified School District’s 2013-2014 forecast. While this may not be the case through Project buildout in 2030, future school capacity determinations are based on Los Angeles Unified School District’s five-year projections as this constitutes the best available information (i.e., the Los Angeles Unified School District does not forecast beyond a five-year time frame). City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1762 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools Table 148 Estimated Student Generation Under 60% Condo / 40% Apartment Mixes Land Use/ School Type Student Generation Rate a Units 0.0450 0.0229 0.0248 1,762 0.2042 0.0988 0.0995 1,175 - 2,937 Condo/Townhome Elementary Middle High School 79 40 44 163 Subtotal Apartments Elementary Middle High School 240 116 117 473 Subtotal Total Residential Elementary Middle High School 319 156 161 636 Subtotal a Students Generated LAUSD, School Facilities Needs Analysis, Tables 2 & 3, page 9. Source: Los Angeles Unified School District; HR&A, Inc. Thus, the 2013-2014 school year forecast is used for analyzing impacts at Project buildout as it represents the Los Angeles Unified School District’s forecast closest to the Project’s buildout year. Notwithstanding the Los Angeles Unified School District’s five-year projections, in 2005, statewide K-12 enrollment showed the first decline in enrollment since 1980, with a loss of nearly 7,500 students, according to State demographers.384 Although Los Angeles County has the largest number of students statewide, the enrollment was projected to decline by one percent between the 2008-2009 and 2009-2010 school years. To the extent that this trend continues within the Los Angeles Unified School District boundaries, there would be additional seating capacity available at the time the Project’s dwelling units become occupied than is shown in the above analysis. In addition and as mentioned above, households in the immediate vicinity of the Project Site have a much higher 384 State of California, Department of Finance, California Public K-12 Enrollment and High School Graduate Projections by County, 2009 Series, Sacramento, California, October 2009 (website: http://www.dof.ca.gov/ research/demographic/reports/projections/k-12/2009/).). City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1763 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools Table 149 Project Impacts on Los Angeles Unified School District Schools Schools 2013-2014 (+) Under / (-) Over Capacity a Project Students Generated Resulting (+) Under / (-) Over Capacity Elementary School Valley View Elementary 148 319 -171 Middle School Bancroft Middle 632 156 476 Senior High School Hollywood High 671 161 510 a See Table 147 on page 1757. Source: Los Angeles Unified School District; HR&A, Inc. propensity to enroll their children in private schools, particularly in the elementary grades. To the extent that Project households exhibit similar propensities, the number of students generated by the Project would be less than the above forecast which is based on districtwide averages. All solutions regarding how to accommodate additional students generated by the proposed Project are under the control of the Los Angeles Unified School District, and the specific strategy or strategies that the Los Angeles Unified School District might employ to accommodate additional students generated by the Project is uncertain. Among these strategies are changes in attendance boundaries, grade reconfigurations, use of portable classroom buildings, and/or additions to existing schools. Given the scale of Projectrelated student enrollment impacts at Valley View Elementary it does not appear likely that the Los Angeles Unified School District would seek to construct an entirely new school.385 Any strategy the Los Angeles Unified School District might choose to address future seating capacity at this school would be subject to environmental assessment and/or analysis by the Los Angeles Unified School District. (ii) Impacts from Non-Residential Development With regards to Project non-residential development, the Los Angeles Unified School District estimates enrollment impacts based on assumptions about how many 385 School Facilities Needs Analysis for Los Angeles Unified School District, op. cit., Exhibit O (Average Capacities of Future Schools), pp. 1 and 3. July 2008. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1764 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools employees also become residents within the District’s boundaries. According to the Los Angeles Unified School District student generation rate factors by land use category, the Project’s net increase in non-residential floor area would generate an additional 59 elementary school students, 28 middle school students and 30 high school students, as shown in Table 150 on page 1766, for a total of 117 students at all grade levels. The specific schools that would receive these students cannot be determined, because they depend on the household location and school enrollment decision of each employee household. Therefore, as these students would be distributed across the Los Angeles Unified School District, the school facility impacts from non-residential development would be considered less than significant, as they do not impact schools currently servicing the Project Site. Furthermore, since the student generation forecasts for the residential and non-residential portions of the Project conservatively assume for purposes of analysis that none of the Project residents are also Project employees, the number of students generated by the non-residential development of the Project is likely overstated. To the extent that employees of the Project were to reside within the Project Site, the actual number of students generated by the Project would be lower than that shown in this analysis because students generated by these employee residents would already be accounted for in the residential forecast. In summary, it is conservatively concluded that one out of the three schools servicing the Project Site, Valley View Elementary School, would be over capacity by the time Project buildout is achieved. As such, the Project would cause a significant impact to school capacity levels.386 Nevertheless, Los Angeles Unified School District is authorized under state law to levy a fee on the construction of the Project’s new residential units, commercial development and parking structures for the purpose of funding the construction 386 The Project Site, as described earlier in the analysis, is located in Los Angeles Unified School District Local Districts 2 and 4. The schools included in the above analysis are those identified by the Los Angeles Unified School District as the schools that would serve the Project Site. All Project residential development would occur within Local District 4; therefore, students generated by the Project’s residential development would attend schools within Local District 4. In contrast, the Project’s non-residential development would occur within both Local Districts 2 and 4. As such, students generated by the Project’s non-residential development could attend schools in either Local District 2 or 4. Apportioning the Project’s non-residential development between these two Local Districts, based on the proposed Project’s Conceptual Plan, yields Project employment levels that would generate 44 elementary, 20 middle school, and 21 senior high school students. If all of these students were to attend schools within Los Angeles Unified School District Local District 2, sufficient capacity would be available within the Rio Vista Elementary School, whereas Project students would exceed the available forecasted capacity at Walter Reed Middle School, and North Hollywood High School would be over capacity both without as well as with the addition of Project students. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1765 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools Table 150 Estimated Student Generation By Project’s Net New Non-Residential Floor Area Land Use/ School Type Net New Square Footage Subtotal Industrial / Warehouse Elementary Middle High School Subtotal Hotel Elementary Middle High School Subtotal Retail Elementary Middle High School Subtotal Total Elementary Middle High School Overall Total b Students Generated 928,000 Office Elementary Middle High School a Student Generation Rate a,b 0.0393 0.0188 0.0195 36 17 18 71 0.0303 0.0146 0.015 8 4 4 16 0.0128 0.0061 0.0063 6 3 3 12 0.0251 0.0121 0.0125 9 4 5 18 249,000 450,000 364,000 59 28 30 117 LAUSD, School Facilities Needs Analysis, Tables 2 & 3, page 9. LAUSD, Commercial/Industrial, Development School Fee Justification Study, September 2006. Source: Los Angeles Unified School District; HR&A, Inc. or reconstruction of school facilities. Los Angeles Unified School District’s current fee is $3.87 per square foot of new residential floor area, $0.47 per square foot of non-residential development, and $0.09 per square foot of a parking structure. Therefore, implementation of the mitigation measure identified below, requiring the mandatory payment of school fees City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1766 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools in conformance with Senate Bill 50, would provide full and complete mitigation of school impacts for the purposes of CEQA.387 (3) Impacts Under No Annexation Scenario Potential impacts to schools are based on projected student enrollment within the boundaries of the Los Angeles Unified School District. The entire Project Site is located within the Los Angeles Unified School District, and as such, potential impacts are independent of City and County jurisdictional boundaries. The proposed annexation/ detachment actions would not increase in the number of students resulting from the Project as the amount of proposed development under the No Annexation scenario would be identical to what would occur under the proposed Project. As such, potential impacts would remain the same as those identified above and implementation of the recommended mitigation measure would continue to reduce these impacts to a less than significant level even if the proposed annexation/detachment actions were not implemented. 4. Cumulative Impacts a. Cumulative Proposed Project Impacts A cumulative increase in the demand for school services is anticipated to occur with the development of future residential and non-residential projects, the Project itself, and more specifically, the future household growth within the school boundaries currently servicing the Project Site. As with the Project, it is likely that some of the students generated would already reside in areas served by the Los Angeles Unified School District and would already be enrolled in Los Angeles Unified School District schools. However, in order to provide a conservative analysis, it is assumed that all the students generated would be new to the Los Angeles Unified School District. Specifically, in order to assess cumulative impacts to Los Angeles Unified School District facilities, an analysis based on future household growth forecasts for the district boundaries currently serving the Project Site was performed for the period of 2008 through 2030. A cumulative impact would occur if cumulative population increases would exceed the capacities of the schools in the area, or if the cumulative increase would require the 387 This conclusion also applies to the Los Angeles Unified School District Local District 2 analysis. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1767 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools construction of new school facilities. Over the period of 2008 through 2030, it is estimated that the combination of forecasted household growth plus the proposed Project would generate 367 additional students within the current attendance boundaries of the Valley View Elementary School, an additional 1,055 students within the Bancroft Middle School boundaries, and 1,471 additional students within the Hollywood High School attendance boundaries. Presumably, some of the students generated from future growth trends could attend these or other schools as there is an open enrollment policy in place for the Los Angeles Unified School District. Further, additional schools are being constructed in the Project area, as discussed above. However, to be conservative, it is concluded that the Los Angeles Unified School District schools that would serve the Project would operate over capacity with cumulative student generation and new or expanded schools could be needed. As mandated by State law, the Leroy F. Greene School Facilities Act of 1998, more commonly referred to as Senate Bill 50, sets a maximum level of fees a developer may be required to pay to mitigate a project’s impact on school facilities. As such, all future projects, in addition to the Project, would be required to pay a school fee to the Los Angeles Unified School District to help reduce cumulative impacts that they may have on school services. Compliance with the provisions of Senate Bill 50 is deemed to provide full and complete mitigation of school facilities impacts. Therefore, with the full payment of all applicable school fees, the Project coupled with expected growth would reduce potential cumulative impacts to schools to less than significant levels. b. Cumulative Impacts Under No Annexation Scenario As discussed above, potential impacts to schools are based on projected student enrollment within the boundaries of the Los Angeles Unified School District and are not dependent on City or County jurisdictional boundaries. The proposed detachment/ annexation actions would not alter the number of project students on the Project Site as the amount of proposed development under the No Annexation scenario would be identical to what would occur under the proposed Project. As such, potential cumulative impacts would remain the same as those identified above and implementation of the recommended mitigation measures would still reduce these impacts to a less than significant level even if the proposed annexation/detachment actions were implemented. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1768 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review IV.K.3 Public Services - Schools 5. Project Design Features and Mitigation Measures a. Project Design Features No project design features are proposed with regard to schools. b. Mitigation Measure Under the provisions of Senate Bill 50, a project’s impacts on school facilities are fully mitigated via the payment of the requisite new school construction fees established pursuant to Government Code Section 65995. As such, the following mitigation measure is identified to address the additional demand on school services resulting from the proposed Project: Mitigation Measure K.3-1: The Project Applicant or its successor shall pay all applicable school fees to the Los Angeles Unified School District to offset the impact of additional student enrollment at schools serving the Project area. 6. Level of Significance After Mitigation The Los Angeles Unified School District has determined that the Project would likely contribute to the Valley View Elementary School not being able to adequately meet the facility demands of its service area. This is considered a potentially significant impact. However, with the implementation of Mitigation Measure K.3-1, the impacts to school capacity levels and facilities would be reduced to a less than significant level. As such, Project specific impacts to schools would be less than significant with mitigation. All of the foregoing Project and cumulative impact analysis and conclusions as to “significance,” and level of significance after mitigation, remain the same if no annexation to the City of Los Angeles were to occur, because all Project dwelling units would remain located within the boundaries of the Los Angeles Unified School District. City of Los Angeles Draft Environmental Impact Report NBC Universal Evolution Plan November 2010 Page 1769 WORKING DRAFT - Not for Public Review
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