RECRUITMENT REPRODUCTION AND THE TIMING IN LESSER SNOW OF GEESE (CHEN CAERULE$CEN$ CAERULE$CEN$) FRED COOKE,• C. SCOTT FINDLAY, • AND ROBERTF. ROCKWELL2 •Departmentof Biology,Queen'sUniversity,Kingston,OntarioK7L 3N6 Canada,and 2Department of Biology,City Collegeof New York, New York, New York 10031USA A•3STRACT.--Recruitment of offspringinto a breedingpopulationof LesserSnow Geese (Chencaerulescens caerulescens) at La PerouseBay, Manitoba was usedas a measureof reproductive successto assessthe relative fitness of females who hatched their clutchesearly, middle, and late in the breeding season.In three of seven seasonsinvestigated,goslings from early-hatchingclutchesshowed significantlygreaterrecruitment ratesthan their middle- or late-hatchingcounterparts.No significantdifferencesin recruitmentrateswere detectedin the other four seasons, althoughearly-hatchingclutchesshowednumericallyhigher recruitment rates in three of these seasons.There is, therefore, some indication of directional selectionfor early breeding.This conclusioncontrastswith that drawn by Cookeand Findlay (1982),who, usingfledgingsuccess asa measureof reproductivefitness,showedthat females whoseclutcheshatchedin the middle period had the highestfitnessand concludedthat the populationwas being exposedto stabilizingselectionfor synchronization.The discrepancy between these resultsand thosepresentedin this paper indicatesthat conclusionsconcern- ing the actionof selectionin naturalpopulationsdependheavilyupon the stageof the life cycleduring which reproductivesuccess is estimated.As such,evolutionarybiologistsmust be cautiousof relying too heavily on measurestakentoo early in the life of the organism. Received28 June1983, accepted12 January1984. MEASURES of the reproductive fitnessaccrued pattern hasbeen documentedin Common Oysostralegus; Harris 1969), to different segmentsof a population often pro- tercatchers(Haernatopus vide insight into the actionof natural selection. Black-leggedKittiwakes (Rissatridactyla;CulEver since the writings of Darwin on sexual selection, biologists have been interested in in- len, in Perrins 1970), and Razorbills (Alca torda; Lloyd 1979) among others. In other species, fledging successand clutch size have different breeding within a season. Darwin (1871) ar- intraseasonalpatterns.For example,Findlay and gued that birds breeding early in the season Cooke (1982b)demonstratedlarger brood sizes had an advantageover later breeding ones in at fledging for those females whose clutches that more offspring of higher quality could be hatched near the population mean, i.e. during raised. Various measuresof reproductive fit- the middle hatch period. Clearly, mean brood size at fledging is a valness have been used to assessthe validity of Darwin's generalization. A seasonaldecline of id measureof reproductivesuccessonly if surclutch size with hatch date has been demonvival to breeding age is similar among all segstratedfor severalavian species(seeKlomp 1970 ments of the fledgling population. This for review), but it is by no meansthe only pat- assumptionis often made, but rarely justified. tern. Blackbirds(Turdusrnerula;Snow 1958) and While offspring recruitment into the breeding terindividual variability in the timing of Robins (Erithacus rubecula; Lack 1946) have population is the best available measure of an- smaller clutch sizesat both the beginning and end of the breeding season.A seasonaldecline in reproductive fitness has also been shown (though lessfrequently) when fiedging success nual reproductive success,sample sizes are usually too small to make meaningful compar- is used as the measure cruitment. of fitness. O'Donald isons. Perrins (1965) used survival to at least 3 months of age as an alternative measureto reHis conclusions were based on the (1972) and O'Donald et al. (1974), for example, percentage of banded fledglings retrapped or showed a decline in the relative fledging suc- recoveredat least 3 months after fiedging and cessof ParasiticJaegers(Stercorarius parasiticus) included both individuals capturedduring the as the breeding seasonprogressed.A similar winter and those trapped as breeding birds on 451 The Auk 101:451-458. July 1984 452 COOKE, FINDLAY, ANDROCKWELL the study area. Using this measure,he showed the greatestsurvival among the earliest hatching young. Lack (1966) using a similar measure in his analysisof Pied Flycatcher(Ficedulahypoleuca)data collected by Campbell, showed highest recapturerates for birds hatched early in the season.Becausemost fledglings recaptured as adultswere breedersin the studyarea, this measure approximates true recruitment rates, although it must be recognized that recruits from a particular age cohort will not necessarilyall enter the breeding populationat the same age. To our knowledge, however, pure recruitment has been used to assess the influ- ence of the timing of reproduction on fitness only by van Noordwijk et al. (1980) in their studyof Dutch populationsof the Great Tit (Parus major). Unfortunately, their conclusions were somewhat limited by small sample sizes despitehaving 16 yr of useabledata. In this paper we investigatethe relationship between the timing of reproduction and recruitment rates of female Lesser Snow Goose ( Chencaerulescens caerulescens) goslingsinto the breeding segmentof the La PerouseBay colony near Churchill, Manitoba, Canada. METHODS The La PerouseBay Snow GooseProjecthas been in continuous operation since 1968. It was not until 1973, however, that adequate numbers of goslings were individually marked at hatch to allow for subsequent identification in the breeding population. Eachseason,up to 2,500 nestsare found and visited during the hatchingperiod (usuallymid- to lateJune). Hatching of the eggswithin the clutchis highly synchronized (Syroechkovsky1975, Cargill and Cooke 1981).At the time of hatch,goslingsare marked with small individually numbered metal web-tags,which allow for subsequentidentification. From 1976 onwards, the web-tag code also indicated the year in which the tag was applied, becauseit was realized that the legible tags often remained in the web for severalyears.Approximately5,000-6,000goslingsare web-taggedeachyear. Someof theseare subsequent- ly roundedup, captured,and bandedshortly before fledging (about 6 weeks post hatch). These birds receive individually identifiable coloredleg bandsso that if they return to the colony, they can be identified at a distance. Recruitmentof goslingsinto the breeding colony occursgenerally between 2 and 5 yr of age (Finney and Cooke 1978). Recruits are identified in one of three ways. They may be sightedat a nest during the incubation or hatching period. They may be sighted [Auk, Vol. 101 with goslingsduring the post-hatchperiod from observation towers set at the periphery of the feeding areas.Only leg-banded birds (i.e. birds web-tagged on the day of hatch and subsequentlycolor banded 5-6 weeks later) can be identified by thesetwo methods. The third method involves individuals captured during the annual banding drives. Most nonbreed- ing geese leave the breeding grounds on a northward molt migration (Abraham 1980),such that virtually all adult geese captured in these drives are breeding birds. Becausethese individuals are examined in the hand, they can be identified as originating from the La PerouseBay colony either if they have a web-tag or if they are carrying leg bands, which indicate the bird had a web-tag when origi- nally banded. The tags often remain in the web for severalseasons,and it may be severalyearsafter hatch before a bird is first found as a recruit. For goslings taggedafter 1976,it is possibleto identify their natal cohort basedupon the tag alone. Unfortunately, goslings taggedbefore 1976 must have been recaptured and banded (in the same year as they were tagged) in order to be identified as affiliated with a particular natal cohort. Only goslings resighted or recaptured at least2 yr after their original tagging date are considered to have been recruited into the breeding segment of the population. Not all recruits that return to the breeding colony are recognizedas such.A bird that carriesa web-tag but no color band will not be recognized at a nest. Similarly, a bird whose nest fails early in the nesting period will be neither seen nor recaptured.For this reason, we define the term recruitment as the num- ber of recruitsdetectedfrom a particular cohort (i.e. age class)relative to the number of goslingsof that age classthat were web-tagged.This value is inevitably considerablysmaller than the true frequencyof recruits.When goslingsare divided into three groups (thosefrom early-, mid-, and late-hatchingnests),the detected recruitment rate of each group is measured relative to the number of web-tags applied to that group. There is no reasonto believe that the detectability of recruits differs among early-, mid-, and late-nesting birds. RESULTS In Snow Geese, strong female natal philopatry combinedwith a lack of male natal philoparry (Cooke et al. 1975) means that the vast majority of the recruits from the natal cohorts are female. In the following analyses we are therefore concernedonly with female recruits. Table 1 shows the detected recruitment rates for each gosling cohort (1973-1979). To ensure sufficientsample sizes,we have restrictedour analysesto thosecohortsincluding at least 45 July1984] Recruitment andTiming inSnow Geese TABLE1. Detected recruitment into the breeding populationof web-taggedfemaleSnowGoosegoslings, tagged1973-1979. Number Cohort Number Percentage of detected of goslings detected recruits a web-tagged recruited 1973 109 3,675 3.0 1974 1975 48 124 4,471 4,443 1976 1977 1978 1979 176 192 104 63 5,440 5,306 4,861 5,448 1.1 2.8 3.2 3.6 2.1 1.2 Total 816 33,644 453 and detected recruitment rates, each hatching period (10-12 daysin length) was divided into three approximatelyequaltime periods(early-, mid-, and late-hatch). Because hatching is highly synchronized (Findlay and Cooke 1982a), the majority of goslings in any given seasonhatch in the middle time period. The level of synchronyis similar in all years.Table 2 is a list of the number of goslingstaggedand the number recruited within each time period for each gosling cohort (1973-1979). The detected recruitment 2.4 a The number of detected recruits is based on the total number of individuals affiliated with a partic- ular cohortwho were subsequentlyrecapturedor resightedasadultson the colonyasof 1982.The num- rates are also illustrated in Fig. 1. For all cohortsexcept 1979, the numerically highestrecruitmentrateis associated with the earliest hatching sample,and in 4 of the 7 yr the latesthatchingsampleshowedthe lowest recruitment rates. Because a multidimen- ber is of course much lower than the absolute number sional contingencyanalysisof recruitment by of recruitsfrom the natal cohort in the breeding poptime period by cohort indicated a marginally ulation. significant three-way interaction, (P = 0.062), suggestingthat interyear or intercohortdifferencesmay occur,eachcohortwas assessed seprecruits.Variation among cohortsin detected arately. We detected significant differences in recruitment rates need not necessarily repre- recruitmentratesamongthe three time periods sent cohort-specificrecruitment, inasmuchas only for the 1973, 1974, and 1978 cohorts. In(1) birds web-taggedbefore 1976 could be de- terestingly,thesecohortsoriginated in late seatected only if they were color banded as gos- sons,(i.e. seasonsin which the mean hatch date lings;(2) not all colorbandsareequallylegible, was later than average).The only other late leading, for example,to lower countsfor the seasonin the sample is 1979, in which the ef1974 cohort;and (3) early cohortshave had a fect does not occur. We conclude that for some greaternumber of seasonsduring which they seasonsat least, the highest recruitment rates could have been detected(e.g. individuals af- are associatedwith young from the earliest filiated with the 1979 cohort could have been hatchingnests. Recruitment rates depend both on survival observedas breeding birds only in 1981 or 1982). to reproductive age and return to the natal To assesswhether or not there is any rela- breeding colony. Although natal philopatry is tionship between the timing of reproduction pronounced among female Snow Geese, it is TABLE 2. Detectedrecruitmentof goslingsfrom early-,mid-,andlate-hatchingSnowGoosenests,La Perouse Bay, 1973-1979. Early Mean hatch Mid Re- Late Re- date 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 25 June 27 June 21 June 18 June 15 June 24 21 22 26 40 501 897 619 540 950 4.8 2.3 3.6 4.8 4.2 71 23 72 104 135 2,668 2,738 2,450 3,409 3,645 2.7 0.8 2.9 3.1 3.7 14 4 30 46 17 506 836 1,374 1,491 711 2.8 0.5 2.2 3.1 2.4 1978 1979 3 July 27 June 29 7 894 943 3.2 0.7 60 45 3,049 3,764 2.0 1.2 15 11 918 741 1.6 1.5 • *P < 0.05, ***P cruits Tagged % Re- Cohort cruits Tagged % cruits Tagged % < 0.001. x2teststhe null hypothesisthat detectedrecruitmentisindependentof time and hatching. X22 • 6.72* 20.8*** 3.40 4.88 4.09 6.76* 2.17 454 COOKE, FINDLAY, ANDROCKWELL [Auk, Vol. 101 24 1973 5.0' 4.0- 22 1975 • 1974 3.0' 21 2.0. 1.0' E 5.0' 26 M L E 1976 M L E M L 1977 4O 4.0' -- 1978 135 1979 29 bJ 3.0' 17 • 2.0' 1.0. E M L E M RELATIVE L E HATCH M L E 4,5 II M L DATE Fig. 1. Detectedrecruitmentratesof early- (E), mid- (M), and late- (L) hatchinggoslings(1973-1979). possiblethat the observedvariation in recruitment as a function of the timing of reproduction simply reflects differencesin philopatry. Conceivably, early-hatching goslingsare more philopatric than their late-hatching counterpartsbecauseof the greater length of time spent in the brood-rearing area, an important factor in the development of philopatry (see Cooke and Abraham 1980). Alternatively, differential recruitment may reflect true differencesin prereproductive survivorship. The hypothesisthat differential recruitment reflects differential survival (rather than differential philopatry) was testedusing band-recov- recruitment of goslings from early-hatching nestsis due to the enhanced probability of survival of these goslingsto reproductiveage. Becauseof this variability in the age of first breeding, one question of particular importance to the dynamics of the population is whether or not there is any relationship between the timing of reproduction and age of first breeding. That is, do goslingshatchedfrom early neststend to enter the breeding population at a different age from their late-hatching counterparts?To assess this question,we define N(x, t) asthe number of female goslingshatched ery data. A large number of marked individuals are shot each year and reported to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. Most Snow Geese die before reaching reproductive age, but a few geesebanded as goslingsare shot after the age of 3 yr (considered the average age of first breeding). As indicated in Table 3, recovery rates are highest among goslingsfrom the early-hatchingnests(0.48%)and lowest amongthe goslingsfrom late-hatchingnests(0.22%).These differencesare not significantly different at the 5% level (x22= 5.11, P < 0.1) but have the same trend as the recruited sample.Assuming,as do most demographers(e.g. Tanner 1978), that recoveries represent a sample of the living population, these results suggest that the higher TABLE3. Recoveriesof web-taggedfemale goslings shotat least3 yr after original banding. Early Mid Late Year 1973 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 Total Number of goslings tagged, 1973-1978 Percentagerecovered 6 6 2 1 6 0 20 7 18 12 13 1 3 2 4 4 0 0 21 71 13 4,401 17,959 5,836 0.48 0.40 0.22 July1984] Recruitment andTiming in SnowGeese TABLE4. Recruitsfrom early-, mid-, and late-hatching goslingsin relation to age at first captureas breeding birds. Age Relative hatchdate at first capture Early 2 3 17 9 4 Total Mid Late Total 55 56 16 16 88 81 14 32 13 59 40 143 45 228 455 arisefrom greaterdispersalrather than higher mortality. Higher mortality was inferred, becausea smallerproportion of the goslingswebtagged from the earlier-hatching nests appeared in the banding drives. The recruitment data in this paper present a somewhatdifferent picture, however. Here, the goslingsfrom the earliest-hatching nests tended to show the highestrecruitmentrates,implying higher survivorship. These two apparently contrasting X22= 4.83N.S. conclusionsmay, in part, reflect a violation of the assumptionthat the probability of a partic- ular family being recapturedin our banding sample was (assumingit survived) indepenin time period t who were first recaptured as breeding adults age x, 2 <- x <- 4. To ensure sufficient sample sizes, recruits are pooled over cohorts 1976-1978. If it is assumed that the probability of capturing a female on the colony (provided that she is in fact present) is independent of the time at which she hatched as a gosling, differencesin the age of maturation should be manifestedin differing distributions of age of first capture as a function of hatch dent of its hatch date. Conceivablythen, someof the early-hatching families considered to have suffered complete brood loss did, in fact, survive but dis- persedout of the areain which bandingdrives were conducted.This hypothesiscan be evaluated by consideringtwo different recruitment groups. As mentioned previously, for seasons 1976-1979 we have two identifiable types of recruits:(1) those caught and color banded in date. As indicated in Table 4, there is no evitheir goslingyear and subsequentlyrecaptured dence of such a phenomemon. We conclude or resighted as breeding adults, and (2) those that there is no evidence that the timing of web-taggedas goslings,not capturedin their parental reproduction affectsage of offspring goslingyear,but later caughtasbreedingadults maturation. and recognizedby the web-tag, which they Findlay and Cooke (1982b) showed that ear- were still carrying. If early-hatching families ly-hatching nests had a lower effective brood do have a lower probability of being recapsize at fledging than mid-hatching nests.This tured in our banding sample,sample 1 should was attributed to increased gull predation on contain a smaller proportion of early-hatched early-hatching families, who are particularly recruits than sample 2. Data in Table 5 indicate vulnerable in the brood-rearing area. As more that for all four years (1976-1979), no differfamilies hatch,predatorswampingservesto re- enceswere detectedbetween the two samples. duce the incidence of brood loss. Among the This suggests that goslingsfrom early-hatching early-hatching nests, complete brood loss is nestsdo not leavethe areamorefrequentlythan high, whereas those families in which at least thosefrom later nestsand thusstrengthensthe one gosling survivesto fledging have a higher conclusionsof Findlay and Cooke (1982b) that than average brood size. Thus, disappearance mortality due to predators,rather than dispersof complete broods was cited as the explana- al, accountsfor the low fledging success of the tion for the lower effective brood size at fledg- early-hatching nestsin their study. ing of early-hatching nests. Findlay and Cooke (1982b) point out that DISCUSSION there is another potential explanation for the relatively high complete brood loss from the Our results suggest that goslings hatched earlier-hatching nests. Only a relatively small from early neststend to have the highest resample of families is caught in the banding cruitment rates into the breeding segment of drives, and, if earlier-hatching families have a the La Perouse Bay colony. This enhanced retendency to wander farther from the brood- cruitment probably reflects lower mortality rearing area,they will have a lower probability amongearly-fledginggoslingsduring the preof being caught. The higher apparent disap- reproductive stagesof the life cycle. Greater pearanceof early-hatching families might then recruitmentamongearly-hatchedyoung is most 456 COOKE, FINDLAY, ANDROCKWELL [Auk,Vol.I01 TABLE 5. Comparisonof two recruitmentsamplesof Snow Geeseto checkfor samplingbias. early goslingsthat do survive the rigors of the early post-hatch period (when predation appears to be heaviest) enjoy greater subsequent Samsurvival than their later-hatchingcounterparts. Year plea Early Mid Late Total X22 Early-hatching goslings are heavier when 1976 I 15 49 18 82 2.53 caught at banding and have longer flight feath2 I1 55 28 94 ers (as measured by growth of 9th primary) than 1977 1 22 87 11 120 1.20 mid- and late-hatchinggoslings.Early-hatch2 18 48 6 72 ing goslingscaughton 30 July in 1978weighed 1978 I 3 15 3 21 2.53 1,385.9+ 19.2g, mid-hatchinggoslings1,259+ 2 26 46 12 84 15.7g, and late-hatchinggoslings1,082.5+ 39.2 1979 I 4 23 3 30 2.28 g. Early-hatchinggoslingshad a 9th primary of 2 3 22 8 33 111.9 + 2.3 mm, mid-hatching goslings meaTotal 1 44 174 35 253 4.34 sured 84.2 + 1.8 mm, and late-hatching gos2 58 171 54 283 lings measured 58.4 + 5.2 mm. Because aSample1: webtaggedas goslings,recapturedand banding is carried out as close to fledging as bandedin goslingyear, caughtor sightedasbreeding adults.Sample2: webtaggedasgoslings,not re- possible, it seems reasonable to assume that capturedin goslingyear, caughtor sightedasbreed- thesemorphologicaldifferencesreflect the olding adult. er age of the earliest-hatchinggoslingsand that in general the earliestgoslingsto hatch are the earliestgoslingsto fledge.Thus,early-hatching goslings undoubtedly have more time to marked in late seasons,that is, in seasonswhere achieve optimal condition before the fall milate snowdisappearance leadsto a delayin re- gration. Cooch et al. (1960) showed interseaproductive activities. Abraham (1980) showed sonally that mean weights of immature geese that mean laying date was closelycorrelated in the fall stagingareasat JamesBay in early with date of snow disappearance at the La Per- October were highest in seasonswith earliest ouseBay colony. These findings lend credence mean hatch dates. They suggestedthat lower to the views of Barry (1962) and Cooch (1961) weights at this time would increase the vulthat nesting successin arctic-breedingwater- nerability of geeseto mortality during the fall fowl is stronglyinfluencedby the shortbreed- migration.If the sameargumentcanbe applied ing season and that natural selection should intraseasonally,the higher recruitment of earfavor mechanismsthat result in (1) nestingas ly-hatching goslingscould be understood. early as possiblewithin a breedingseasonand An alternative (but not mutually exclusive) (2) finely tuned responsesto the immediateen- explanation for the higher recruitment of earvironmental conditions on the breeding ly-hatching goslingsrelatesto parental condigrounds.In general, the earliest-layingbirds tion. Ankney and Macinnes (1978) showed a hatch first and the latest-layinglast, but hatch- correlation between clutch size and the nuing is more synchronizedthan laying (Findlay trient-reservestatusof arriving females.There and Cooke 1982a). Findlay and Cooke (1982b) is also a negative correlation between clutch showed that the earliest-layingand hatching size and laying date (Findlay and Cooke 1982a). birds had the largestclutch sizesand largest Thus,earliest-layingfemalesappearto be those number of goslingsleaving the nest. Despite with the largestnutrient reserves.Although the this, the earliest-hatchingnestsdid not have genetic and environmental determinants of the highest overall fledging success:females nutrient-reserve status are unknown, a large whoseclutcheshatchedduring the peak hatch nutrient reserve may confer a considerablereperiod had the greatest effective brood size productiveadvantage,not only in allowing for (Findlay and Cooke 1982b) the production of more eggsbut also allowing In light of the findingsof Findlayand Cooke for more effective post-fledgingcare. If larger (1982b),the enhancedrecruitmentfrom early- nutrientreservesare indicativeof general hatching nestsdocumentedhere is somewhat qualityand/or condition,then perhapsit is only high-quality birds that can nest earliest, more effectivelycarefor their young,and ultimately producemore offspring that survive to breed- paradoxical.Despitefewer goslingsper nestat fledging, more survive to be recruited into the breeding population. This suggeststhat those July1984] Recruitment andTiming in SnowGeese ing age. If "quality" is, like most other quantitative traits, approximately normally distributed in the population, then one would expect only a small proportion of high-quality birds in any one breeding season.As such, it is not surprisingthat a relatively small proportion of females hatch their clutchesduring the early period. Previously,Findlay and Cooke (1982a, 1983)demonstratedhigh repeatabilityand heritability for both hatch date and clutch size, and Hamann (1983) hasrecently shown a high repeatability for laying date. These findings suggestthat at least part of the variation in timing of nesting can be ascribedto additive genetic variation among females. Findlay and Cooke(1982b)demonstratedthat the highestreproductivesuccess in termsof average number of goslings fledged was associated with those females whose clutches hatched 457 ACKNOWLEDGMENTS We would like to acknowledge the Natural Sciencesand EngineeringResearchCouncil, the Canadian Wildlife Service, and the Mississippi and Cen- tral Flyway Councilsfor their continuing financial support of the La Perouse Bay Snow Goose Project. We thank all those who over the years have helped to collect the voluminous data on which this paper is based. LITERATURE CITED ABRAHAMß K. F. 1980. Moult migration of Lesser Snow Geese. Wildfowl 31: 89-93. ANKNEY, C. D., & C. D. MACINNES. 1978. Nutrient reserves and reproductive performance of female Lesser Snow BARRY, t. W. 1962. Geese. Auk 95: 459-471. The effect of late seasons on Atlantic Brantreproduction.J. Wildl. Mgmt. 26: 19-26. during the middle period. This led Cooke and CARGILL, S. M., & F. COOKE. 1981. Correlation of Findlay (1982) to suggestthat hatch date was a layingand hatchingsequences in clutchesof the Lesser Snow Goose (Anser caerulescenscaerulestrait under stabilizing selection,the optimum certs).Can. J. Zool. 59: 1201-1204. being an intermediate date. The results describedin this paper, where recruitment is used COOCH,F. G. 1961. Ecologicalaspectsof the BlueSnow Goosecomplex. Auk 78: 72-89. asthe measureof reproductivesuccess, suggest ß G. M. STIRRETT,& G. F. BOYER. 1960. Authat there may be directionalselectionfor early tumn weights of Blue Geese(Chencaerulescens). nesting. Auk 77: 460-465. It is important to remember that annual COOKE F., & K. F. ABRAHAM. 1980. Habitat and lofledging successand annual recruitment into cality selectionin LesserSnowGeese:the role of the breeding populationare both components of reproductivefitnessrelatedto different stages of the life history. We are not able at present to measureall the components.We do not know if timing of breeding is correlated with adult survival rates.The high repeatability of laying date and clutch size reported earlier does suggest, however, that annual measuresof fecun- previous experience. Proc. 17th Intern. Ornithol. Congr.:998-1004. ß& C. $. FINDLAY. 1982. Polygenic variation and stabilizingselectionin a wild populationof Lesser Snow Geese (Anser caerulescenscaerulescens).Amer. Natur. 120: 543-547. , C. D. MACINNES,& J.P. PREVETT.1975. Gene flow between breeding populations of Lesser Snow Geese. Auk 92: 493-510. dity (fledgingsuccess and recruitment)are rea- DARWIN, C. 1871. The descent of man and selection sonablemeasuresof life-time fecundity,unless, in relation to sex.London, John Murray. of course,these are inversely correlatedwith FINDLAY,C. $., & F. COOKE. 1982a. Breeding synlongevity. In conclusion,it is salutary to recognize that the deductionswe make concerningthe action of natural selectionare highly dependentupon the measure of fitness that we choose. In the chrony in the LesserSnow Goose(Ansercaerulescenscaerulescens) I. Genetic and environmental componentsof hatch date variability and their effectson hatch synchrony.Evolution 36: 342351. ß & ---. 1982b. Synchrony in the Lesser example given in this paper, our data suggest Snow Goose (Anser caerulescenscaerulescens).II. that directional selectionfor early hatching is The adaptivevalue of reproductivesynchrony. occurringat the La PerouseBaycolony.We feel Evolution 36: 786-799. that recruitment into the breeding colony is a ,& . 1983. Genetic and environmental better measure of annual reproductive fitness componentsof clutch size variance in a wild than fledging success and suggestthat selective population of the LesserSnow Goose(Ansercaerulescertscaerulescens). 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