453 Enhancement of jellyfish (Aurelia aurita) populations by extensive aquaculture rafts in a coastal lagoon in Taiwan Wen-Tseng Lo, Jennifer E. Purcell, Jia-Jang Hung, Huei-Meei Su, and Pei-Kai Hsu Lo, W-T., Purcell, J. E., Hung, J-J., Su, H-M., and Hsu, P-K. 2008. Enhancement of jellyfish (Aurelia aurita) populations by extensive aquaculture rafts in a coastal lagoon in Taiwan. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 65: 453–461. Blooms of the moon jellyfish, Aurelia aurita, often occur in coastal waters that are heavily affected by human construction, such as harbours. Tapong Bay is a hypertrophic lagoon in southwestern Taiwan that was studied between August 1999 and September 2004. The removal of extensive oyster-culture rafts in June 2002 provided a “natural” experiment to examine the effects of aquaculture on processes and communities in the lagoon. The removal caused many changes in the ecosystem, including increases in flushing, light penetration, dissolved oxygen, salinity, chlorophyll a, primary production, and zooplankton, but decreases in nutrients, periphyton, and dramatically reduced populations of bivalves, zooplanktivorous fish, and jellyfish (A. aurita). We conclude that environmental and trophic conditions were favourable for jellyfish throughout the study period. Therefore, we believe that aquaculture rafts enhanced jellyfish populations by three probable mechanisms: the rafts provided substrate and shading for the larval settlement and polyp colony formation, and the rafts restricted water exchange in the lagoon. Aquaculture is increasing rapidly in Asia, and the problems associated with jellyfish may also increase. Keywords: bivalve, circulation, eutrophication, fish, nutrients, oyster, phytoplankton, water budget, zooplankton. Received 6 July 2007; accepted 19 October 2007; advance access publication 24 January 2008. W-T. Lo, J. E. Purcell, H-M. Su, and P-K. Hsu: Department of Marine Biotechnology and Resources, Asian-Pacific Ocean Research Centre, Kuroshio Research Group, National Sun Yat-Sen University, 70 Lienhai Road, Kaohsiung, Taiwan 804, Republic of China. J-J. Hung: Institute of Marine Geology and Chemistry, National Sun Yat-Sen University, 70 Lienhai Road, Kaohsiung, Taiwan 804, Republic of China. J. E. Purcell: Western Washington University, Shannon Point Marine Center, 1900 Shannon Point Road, Anacortes, WA 98221, USA. Correspondence to J. E. Purcell: tel: þ1 360 2932188; fax: þ1 360 2931083; e-mail: [email protected]. Introduction Recently, problems related to jellyfish have captured the public’s attention (e.g. Whiteman, 2002; Carpenter, 2004; De Pastino, 2006, 2007; Owen, 2006). The increase in jellyfish blooms is indicated by more frequent reports of injuries caused by stinging, and interference with fishing activities and power plant operations. Most fishers from the Seto Inland Sea, Japan, believe that Aurelia aurita jellyfish populations have increased since the 1980s, and most dramatically in the past 10 years (Uye and Ueta, 2004). Certainly, reports of jellyfish-related problems in Japan have increased in recent years (Purcell et al., 2007). The Seto Inland Sea is heavily affected by human activity, including eutrophication, fishing, aquaculture, and construction. Concerns that jellyfish populations are increasing have stimulated speculation about the possible causes, including climate change, eutrophication, overfishing, invasions, marine construction, and water diversion (e.g. Arai, 2001; Mills, 2001; Oguz, 2005a, b; Purcell, 2005; Hay, 2006; Graham and Bayha, 2007). Possibly, global warming is causing the increase in jellyfish. Most coastal jellyfish are budded asexually from an attached stage (polyp) in the life cycle. In temperate scyphozoans, heightened temperatures increased the asexual production of new jellyfish in Aurelia labiata: both temperature and salinity had significant effects and strong interaction (Purcell et al., 2007). Several effects of eutrophication of coastal waters on the environment are potentially beneficial for jellyfish (reviewed in # 2008 Arai, 2001; Purcell et al., 2007). Briefly, more nutrients increase production, shift nutrient ratios, and appear to shift the plankton foodweb towards flagellates and small zooplankton (e.g. Sommer et al., 2002). Aurelia spp. jellyfish, in particular, inhabit highly eutrophic waters (e.g. Graham, 2001; Ishii, 2001; Mills, 2001). They have a complex surface-ciliary feeding method (Southward, 1955) and are known to eat microplankton (Stoecker et al., 1987). Recent stable isotope analyses placed A. aurita at a slightly higher trophic level than copepods, confirming their utilization of microplanktonic foods (R. D. Brodeur, pers. comm.). Eutrophication is often associated with low levels of dissolved oxygen (DO) (hypoxia), particularly in bottom waters (e.g. Breitburg et al., 2003). Aurelia labiata jellyfish were reported to have great tolerance to low levels of DO (Rutherford and Thuesen, 2005). Jellyfish polyps are also tolerant of low oxygen levels (Condon et al., 2001) and may find additional habitat where other epifauna are reduced in dysoxic waters (Ishii, 2006). Eutrophication and development also reduce water clarity and light penetration, which may alter the feeding environment to benefit non-visual gelatinous predators over visually feeding fish. Aquaculture may accidentally benefit jellyfish populations in several ways. First, if additional feed is provided, eutrophication can lead to the conditions described earlier. Second, culture rafts provide substrate on which benthic polyps may form large colonies and produce more jellyfish. Aurelia spp. polyps are known International Council for the Exploration of the Sea. Published by Oxford Journals. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please email: [email protected] 454 to thrive on the undersurfaces of floating structures (e.g. Miyake et al., 2002; Hoover, 2005). Third, zooplanktivorous fish are harvested for fishmeal in aquaculture feed (e.g. Kristofersson and Anderson, 2006), which may provide opportunities for population growth of gelatinous competitors. Tapong Bay is a tropical lagoon located on the southwest coast of Taiwan. It is relatively shallow and has been used extensively for aquaculture for decades, during which the lagoon was occupied by oyster hanging-culture rafts and fish net-pens. The lagoon ecosystem has undergone eutrophication as a result of poor circulation and continuous inputs of nutrients and organic matter from internal (cultured oysters and fish) and external (urban and aquaculture) sources (Hung and Hung, 2003; Hung et al., 2008). The lagoon environment was cleaned with the complete removal of the culture rafts and pens between June and December 2002. One striking result of the culture raft removal was the disappearance of A. aurita jellyfish from Tapong Bay (Lo et al., 2004). The obvious explanation for this was the removal of the culture rafts, which had attached A. aurita polyps (H. J. Lin and H. L. Hsieh, pers. comm.). Nevertheless, many other changes in the lagoon could also have affected the jellyfish. Here, we compare conditions in the lagoon before and after removal of the culture rafts to determine why the jellyfish disappeared. Material and methods Study site Tapong Bay is a small, semi-enclosed coastal lagoon in southwestern Taiwan (22827’N 120826’E; Figure 1). Its total area is 5.32 km2 and volume 11.6106 m3. Its depth ranges from 1 m near the tidal inlet to 6 m in the inner bay (mean depth = 2.2 m). Water exchange between Tapong Bay and Taiwan Strait W-T. Lo et al. is driven primarily by a semi-diurnal tide, which is somewhat restricted by the narrow tidal inlet. In addition to direct freshwater input by precipitation, the terrestrial water input via the Lipan Dike is derived mainly from urban and aquacultural wastewater with a moderate salinity (,20). The lagoon contained many oyster rafts (19 166) and fish pens (3837) that were removed between June and December 2002; the rafts were made of bamboo, and measured ca. 2–4 m by 5–10 m (Hung et al., 2008). Conditions in Tapong Bay are affected by the northeastern and southwestern monsoons during the dry (October–April) and wet (May –September) seasons, respectively, which also affect the mixing of lagoon water. Total inputs of precipitation and wastewater are much greater in the wet than in the dry season. Because of its small volume, salinity in the lagoon reflects this seasonal variability, ranging from 25 in the wet season to 35 in the dry season. Atmospheric temperature ranges from 228C in winter (dry season) to 328C in summer (wet season; Hung and Hung, 2003). Sampling and analytical methods Sampling in Tapong Bay was conducted monthly or bimonthly from August 1999 to December 2002; after complete removal of the culture rafts (January 2003), sampling was conducted either bimonthly or quarterly at several stations in the lagoon (Figure 1, Table 1). Data on hydrography, nutrients, chlorophyll a (Chl a) production, phyto- and zooplankton, and jellyfish were collected according to the methods described below. Previous analyses of Tapong Bay before removal of the aquaculture rafts revealed both seasonal and spatial heterogeneity in all variables (Hung and Hung, 2003; Lo et al., 2004; Su et al., 2004; Lin et al., 2005; Hung et al., 2008; Hsu et al., in press). Seasonal and spatial patterns were similar before and after removal of the rafts (Hung et al., 2008; Hsu et al., in press; H. J. Lin, pers. comm.). Here, we are concerned with differences in the lagoon before and after removal of the culture rafts and do not consider seasonal or spatial patterns. For this analysis, data from all stations were averaged for each date. Dates before removal were compared with dates after removal using the Mann–Whitney rank sum tests. Hydrography and nutrients Near-surface temperatures were measured with a portable conductivity-temperature sensor WTW, LF597. DO was measured in situ with a portable DO meter (YSI 52); only measurements from the bottom of the water column, where DO levels were Table 1. Numbers of stations and sampling days in analyses in Tapong Bay, southwestern Taiwan, before (August 1999 to July 2002) and after (February 2003 to September 2004) complete removal of culture rafts by January 2003. Figure 1. Structure of Tapong Bay, southwestern Taiwan, and sampling station locations. Major wastewater inputs are from Lipan Dike (far right) and Mangrove Creek (top centre). Tidal exchange with the Taiwan Strait is restricted to a narrow canal (far left). Stations for hydrographic (salinity, DO, and pH) and nutrient sampling (Hung and Hung, 2003) are marked by triangles; stations for phytoplankton, Chl a, and primary production sampling (Su et al., 2004) are marked by circles; stations for temperature, zooplankton, and jellyfish sampling are marked by squares. Locations of aquaculture rafts in the bay (hatched areas) and aquaculture ponds (light grey) surrounding the bay. Number of Days before Days after stations (No.) (No.) Hydrography (T, S) 3 11 12 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (T, S, pH, DO) 10 9 5 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Nutrients 10 9 5 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Phytoplankton, Chl a, 6 9 5 IGP, light . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Zooplankton and jellyfish 3 11 12 Station locations are in Figure 1. Abbreviations are as follow: T, temperature; S, salinity; DO, bottom dissolved oxygen; Chl a, integrated chlorophyll a. 455 Enhancement of jellyfish populations lowest, were tested here. Water column pH was measured in situ with a portable pH meter (Mettler MP-120) with reproducibility better than +0.02. Data on monthly precipitation (rain in mm) were obtained from the Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan (http://www.cwb.gov.tw/). Photosynthetically active radiation (PAR) was measured at the surface, mid-depth, and bottom of the water column using a Li-Cor Quantum Li-189 meter. Water samples were collected from Tapong Bay (Stations 1 –10, Figure 1), Lipan Dike, and the adjacent coastal sea, before (from August 1999 to July 2002) and after (from February 2003 to September 2004) removal of the culture rafts (Table 1). Three replicate water samples were collected from upper, middle, and bottom layers using a peristaltic pump and a precleaned silicone tube. Salinity was determined using an Autosal salinometer (Guildine 8400B) in the laboratory to gain precise salinity values (+0.002) for deriving salt and water budgets. An additional four litres from each station were stored in a polyethylene bottle and brought back to the laboratory immediately for further analyses. In the laboratory, the water sample was filtered through precombusted GF/F filters (at 4508C, 4 h). The filtered water was used to measure dissolved nutrients, including dissolved inorganic nitrogen (NO3+NO2+NH4, hereafter DIN), dissolved inorganic phosphate (PO4, hereafter DIP), dissolved silicate (H4SiO4, hereafter DSi), dissolved organic carbon (DOC), nitrogen (DON), and phosphorus (DOP). Generally, three replicate measurements were processed for each chemical analysis. Particulate organic carbon (POC) and nitrogen (PON) were measured from the filtered samples, placed in tin boats, then combusted in a C/N/S analyser (Fisons NCS 1500) after removing the inorganic carbon with 2 M hydrochloric acid (Hung et al., 1999). The blank value attributed to precombusted GF/F filter and tin boat demonstrated a precision of +0.3 mM C and +0.2 mM N. The biogeochemical fluxes and metabolism of nutrients and carbon in the lagoon were evaluated using the LOICZ biogeochemical budget model (Smith et al., 1991; Gordon et al., 1996). Details of modelling can be found at the LOICZ website (http:// www.nioz.Nl/loicz/) or from Hung and Hung (2003) for the period before removal. This biogeochemical budget model is a box model from which non-conservative nutrient and carbon budgets can be constructed from non-conservative distributions of nutrients and water budgets, which in turn are constrained from the salt balance under a steady-state assumption. The nonconservative flux of a material is estimated from the flux deviation between inputs and outputs, based on salt and water balances. The non-conservative flux of dissolved inorganic phosphorus is assumed to be an approximation of net metabolism, because phosphorus is not involved in gas-phase reactions. Nitrogen and carbon both have other major pathways, such as denitrification, nitrogen fixation, gas exchange across the air–sea interface, and calcification. The biogeochemical pathways of carbon can be approximated from non-conservative phosphorus flux and C:P stoichiometric ratio of reactive particles in the lagoon. Because of the distinct variability in wastewater and material inputs with time, water and nutrient budgets estimated from a box model for the lagoon can only be valid within a season. Therefore, carbon budgets were made for each sampling period before they were integrated as annual budgets. The net ecosystem metabolism (NEP) [difference between gross production and respiration (p – r)] can be estimated stoichiometrically from DDIP and the carbon to phosphate ratio (C:P) of organic matter being produced or consumed in the lagoon. Therefore, ½ p r ¼ DDICO ¼ DDIP ðC : PÞparticulate ; where DDICO is the change in dissolved inorganic carbon. The particulate organic C:P ratio in the lagoon was not determined, and the Redfield ratio (106) was adopted for stoichiometric calculation, because phytoplankton was the primary producer in the lagoon (Lin et al., 2005). Further details of methods and the resulting values are reported by date in Hung et al. (2008) and are used in the current analysis. Phytoplankton, Chl a, and productivity Water samples were collected in triplicate at low tide for each site every 2 –3 months from October 1999 to July 2004 (Table 1). An aliquot from each station was fixed in Lugol’s solution after filtration through a 200 mm net. Taxa were identified and counted from two 0.5 ml subsamples of the concentrated sample using a light microscope under phase and DIC contrast at 400 after settlement on a scaled slide. For this analysis, miscellaneous flagellates (Chlorophyta, Raphidophyta, and Euglenophyta) were grouped. Chl a concentrations were determined spectrophotometrically by immediately filtering water samples in triplicate through Whatman GF/F filters in the field and extracting them in 90% acetone for 24 h at 48C in the dark (Parsons et al., 1984). Productivity incubations were performed with bay water collected at low tide in the early morning using a 2 l Van Dorn bottle. Three light and three dark 300 ml BOD bottles were incubated in flowing seawater tanks adjacent to Tapong Bay. Net production and respiration rates were derived from changes in DO concentrations over time, as determined by a modified Winkler method (Pai et al., 1993), in illuminated and dark bottles, respectively. Rates represent community rates. Zooplankton and jellyfish abundance Samples were collected monthly (before removal) and bimonthly (after removal; Table 1) by towing a NorPac net with 100 mm mesh and flowmeter near-surface (0– 1 m). Samples were immediately preserved in 5 –10% formalin solution. In the laboratory, each sample was subsampled with a Folsom plankton splitter, and a minimum of 500 organisms were identified and counted by use of a dissecting microscope. Results Lagoon-wide averages of hydrographic measurements revealed a few significant differences before and after removal of the culture rafts (Table 2). Temperature, pH, and DO were similar in both periods. Salinity was significantly higher in the period after (32.6) removal than before (31.8); however, rain revealed no significant difference between periods. Water clarity increased significantly after removal, and the amounts of light penetrating the water column also increased, but not significantly. Lagoonwide water residence times were significantly longer (10 d) when the culture rafts were present than after (6 d). Before removal of the culture rafts, lagoon-wide averaged concentrations of DSi (20.3 mM), DIN (16.4 mM), and DIP (4.0 mM) were greater than after the removal (DSi = 10.0 mM; DIN = 11.4 mM; DIP = 1.5 mM); differences were significant at the 0.05 probability level for DSi and DIP, but not for DIN (Table 2). 456 Table 2. Physical variables, nutrients, and ecosystem properties measured before vs. after removal of oyster-culture rafts from Tapong Bay, Taiwan. Physical variables Before vs. after p-value Surface salinity 31.8 , 32.6 ,0.01 pH 8.18 8.14 NS DO2 (mg l21) 4.0 4.5 NS Rain (mm) 169 168 NS Resid (d)a 10.0 . 6.1 ,0.01 DSi (mM)a DIN (mM)a DIP (mM)a DON (mM)a DOP (mM)a DOC (mM)a 20.3 . 10.0 ,0.05 16.4 11.4 0.1 4.0 . 1.5 0.01 24.4 39.8 ,0.1 2.4 1.2 ,0.1 162.4 232.3 ,0.1 Chl a (mg m23) IGP (mmol O2 m23 h21) Light at bottom (mE m22 s21) nfix-denit (mol m22 year21)a NEP (mol m22 year21)a 6 , 13 0.01 12 19 0.1 197 225 NS 1.4 5.4 NS 5.6 11.6 NS Temp (88 C) 26.9 27.2 NS Water motion (g d21) 10.2 , 16.1 ,0.1 Nutrients Before vs. after p-value Ecosystem properties Before vs. after p-value p-values are results from Mann–Whitney rank sum tests comparing variables (means of all stations for each sampling date) before (1999–2002) and after (2003–2004) culture raft removal. Figure 1 shows the sampling stations. Abbreviations for variables represent: Rain, monthly total; D, dissolved; O2, oxygen; Resid, water residence time; I, inorganic; O, organic; Si, silica; N, nitrogen; P, phosphate; C, carbon; D, change; NEP, net ecosystem metabolism; nfix-denit, nitrogen fixation vs. denitrification. a Data from (Hung et al., 2008). W-T. Lo et al. 0.3 . 0 0.001 70 30 NS 600 , 3100 0.002 800 1600 NS 20 , 2000 0.002 50 , 300 0.002 Pcalanus (ind. m23) Copepods (ind. m23) Zooplankton 500 , 3000 0.05 Acartia (ind. m23) Bestolina (ind. m23) Nauplii (ind. m23) Dinoflag (cells l21) 4 103 , 28 103 NS Diatoms (cells l21) 2 104 , 4 104 NS Cyano (cells l21) 5 103 , 30 103 NS Before vs. after p-value Before vs. after p-value Aurelia (ind. m23) Oithona (ind. m23) 243.5 . 0 NT Flagellates (cells l21) 3 103 , 30 103 0.02 ,1.7–14.5 . 0 NT Oysters (g ww m23)a Phytopl (cells l21) 3 104 , 13 104 0.1 An important consequence of the culture raft removal was improved circulation in Tapong Bay. Dominant semi-diurnal and diurnal tides controlled primary water exchange and subsequently drove the lagoon circulation. Two sub-anticlockwise circulation patterns were separated generally from the middle area of the lagoon in a northeast–southwest direction (Yu, 2001). The hydrochemistry and water budgets in Tapong Bay before removal of the culture rafts were described by Hung and Hung (2003). Briefly, the water residence time ranged from 7 d (summer) to 13 d (winter) with a mean of 10 d. It was longer in the inner lagoon (7–24 d) than in the outer lagoon (4–12 d). After removal of the rafts, the water residence time decreased to 4 –9 d with a mean of 6 d (Hung et al., 2008). Because the major circulation pattern remained the same, the water residence time in the inner and outer lagoon after removal was reduced Periphyton (g ww m23)a Physical changes following culture raft removal Phytoplankton Discussion Table 3. Organisms sampled before and after removal of culture rafts from Tapong Bay, Taiwan. Lagoon-wide averaged concentrations of DON and DOC were greater before removal (24.4 and 162.4 mM) than after (39.8 and 232.3 mM), but DOP concentrations were greater before (2.4 mM) removal than after (1.2 mM); however, these differences were not significant at the 5% probability level but were significant at the 10% level. Nutrient and carbon budgets were determined principally by water budget, nutrient and carbon distributions, and internal biogeochemical processes (Hung et al., in 2008). The water budget was derived from the salt balance. For a nutrient budget, the difference between total inputs and total outputs indicates source (inputs , outputs) or sink (inputs . outputs) in the ecosystem. The system DDIP may be used to approximate the NEP of the lagoon (Hung and Hung, 2003). A system with a negative DDIP is generally regarded as autotrophic and a net CO2-consuming system via a net production of organic matter (production . respiration). The NEP in Tapong Bay was all positive except for one negative and two near 0 (Hung et al., 2008). Thus, Tapong Bay is an autotrophic system. The mean value of NEP increased by 37% after removal of the culture rafts; however, the difference was not statistically significant. Lagoon-wide averaged phytoplankton cell numbers, biomass (Chl a), and integrated gross primary production (IGP) were greater after removal of the culture rafts than before (Tables 2 and 3). Significant differences were seen only for Chl a and numbers of miscellaneous flagellates at the 5% level, and for IGP and total cell numbers at the 10% level. The proportions of the various phytoplankton groups also changed. Before culture raft removal, diatoms predominated, with 62.5% of the total numbers; after raft removal, the contributions of the groups (cyanobacteria, diatoms, dinoflagellates, and miscellaneous flagellates) were similar (22 –31%). Lagoon-wide averaged abundance of copepods increased greatly after removal of the culture rafts (Table 3). Differences between abundances before and after were significant for all species combined (a sixfold increase) and for all of the predominant species individually, except for Oithona spp. Copepod nauplii abundance doubled, but was not significant. Lagoon-wide averaged abundances of the jellyfish, A. aurita, changed from high values (Figure 2; mean 0.3 ind. m23) with the culture rafts to the complete absence of jellyfish after removal (Table 3). p-values are results from Mann–Whitney rank sum tests comparing variables (means of all stations for each sampling date) before (1999– 2002) and after (2003–2004) culture raft removal. Figure 1 shows the sampling stations. Abbreviations for variables represent: Phytopl, total phytoplankton; Cyano, cyanobacteria; Dinoflag, dinoflagellates; Flagellates, sum of miscellaneous flagellates (Euglenophyta, Chlorophyta, Cryptophyta, Raphidophyta); Copepods, total copepods; Pcalanus, Paracalanus; Nauplii, copepod nauplii; NT, not tested. a From Lin et al. (2005). 457 Enhancement of jellyfish populations 458 W-T. Lo et al. Figure 2. Jellyfish (Aurelia aurita) abundance in Tapong Bay, southwestern Taiwan, from August 1999 to December 2004. Samples were collected on a bimonthly schedule (February/April/June/August/October/December). Extensive aquaculture rafts were removed in the second half of 2002, as indicated by the vertical grey line. Station locations are marked by squares in Figure 1. proportionately to 5 –13 d and 3 –7 d, respectively. An independent estimate of water motion revealed a significant increase after removal (Su et al., 2004; H. J. Lin, pers. comm.). Apparently, the culture rafts reduced water flow in the lagoon. This affected some aspects of the conditions in the lagoon. Specifically, DO concentrations were somewhat higher after removal. DO in the bottom water seldom was as low as 2 mg O2 l21 (Hung and Hung, 2003; Hung et al., 2008), suggesting that hypoxia was not a serious problem in Tapong Bay, either before or after removal. Increased salinity after removal may have been caused by improved flushing by ocean water. Decreasing ocean pH is one effect of climate warming (Caldeira and Wickett, 2003). Attrill et al. (2007) confirmed a significant negative correlation between nematocyst occurrence in continuous plankton recorder (CPR) samples and pH (range 8.0 –8.3) during the period 1971–1995, and suggested that pelagic cnidarians may benefit from this change because of the detrimental effects of high pH on calcifying organisms; however, insignificant changes in pH (20.04) were observed following removal of the culture rafts, and probably had no effect on jellyfish populations. Changes in nutrients, production, and the foodweb following culture raft removal Decreased nutrients were observed after removal of the culture rafts, which could be attributed to many changes in Tapong Bay. Removal of the oysters eliminated that source of excreted nutrients. The removal of fish-pen cultures also would have eliminated nutrient additions from excess feed and fish waste products; however, the magnitudes of such additions are unknown. The oysters were estimated to consume 44% of the production in the lagoon (Lin et al., 2006). Removal of the oysters eliminated a major consumer of suspended particulate matter from the ecosystem, resulting in increased availability of particulate food in the water column. Increases in phytoplankton, Chl a, and IGP were observed. These increases would have required additional nutrients. Increased flushing may also have contributed to lower nutrient concentrations (Hung et al., 2008). The DIN:DIP ratio ranged between 1.5 and 9.2 throughout the study, which is much lower than the Redfield ratio of 16 (Redfield et al., 1963). The low DIN:DIP ratios were probably caused by P-contaminated wastewater inputs from the Lipan Dike with very low DIN:DIP ratios (,2.5). Because both DIN and DIP concentrations were much greater than the critical levels (DIN , 1 mM; DIP , 0.1 mM; DSi , 2 mM) of nutrient limitation (e.g. Justič et al., 1995), the lagoon appears to have excess DIP (Hung and Hung, 2003; Hung et al., 2008). Environmental conditions that seem to favour jellyfish have high nutrients, but low Si:N ratios, characteristic of eutrophic coastal waters (Sommer et al., 2002). This is associated with a predominance of small flagellates over diatoms and a strong microbial foodweb that is fuelled heterotrophically by bacteria rather than autotrophically. Such changes occurred in Tapong Bay following removal of the culture rafts. Despite an apparent decrease in nutrients, levels before and after culture raft removal were comparable with other eutrophic systems (Tada et al., 2001; Hung and Kuo, 2002; Newton et al., 2003). The Si:N ratio decreased from 1.24 to 0.88, with the proportion of diatoms being halved and the proportion of small flagellates increasing 2.5-fold. Tapong Bay was previously reported to be an autotrophic ecosystem, a sink for carbon dioxide, and to have net nitrogen fixation (Hung and Hung, 2003). On the basis of the nutrient changes, jellyfish populations might have been expected to increase after culture raft removal rather than disappear. Phytoplankton abundance and community composition changed after removal of the oyster cultures. Total phytoplankton abundance increased, mainly as a result of more miscellaneous flagellates, although increases were seen in cyanobacteria, diatoms, and dinoflagellates as well. After culture raft removal, the proportion of diatoms was halved, and the proportion of miscellaneous flagellates had increased 2.5-fold. These changes probably reflect several influences, including the shift in main consumers from oysters to copepods, improved light availability brought about by the elimination of shading by the rafts, improved water circulation, and altered nutrient ratios. The lack of statistical significance for some phytoplankton groups probably is the result of substantial spatial and seasonal Enhancement of jellyfish populations variations. The number of phytoplankton cells, Chl a, and IGP increased consistently from the tidal inlet to the inner lagoon, and the increase was more pronounced after removal than before (Hung et al., 2008). Distributions of Chl a were significantly inversely correlated with total suspended matter, but not with nutrients, causing Hung et al. (2008) to conclude that IGP and Chl a may be controlled primarily by light availability and temperature in Tapong Bay, which has high turbidity and abundant nutrients. Copepod abundance increased sixfold in Tapong Bay after removal of the culture rafts, probably the result of increased availability of phytoplankton and reduction of zooplanktivorous fish (H. J. Lin, pers. comm.) and jellyfish (Lo and Chen, 2008). Therefore, a major competitor (oysters) and major predators (fish and jellyfish) of copepods were reduced or removed from Tapong Bay. The increased abundance of suitable food (copepods) indicates favourable conditions for jellyfish, and their disappearance is opposite to expectations. Probable effects of ecosystem changes on jellyfish in Tapong Bay Hydrographic conditions in Tapong Bay were favourable for the survival and reproduction of A. aurita, both before and after culture raft removal. DO was not at stressful levels either before or after removal. Aurelia spp. jellyfish and polyps appear to be very tolerant of hypoxic conditions (Rutherford and Thuesen, 2005; Ishii, 2006). Temperature did not change appreciably. Moreover, measured temperature had a greater range before (16.9– 31.88C) than after (23.0 –31.48C) removal, suggesting that neither unusually low nor high temperatures were probable causes for jellyfish disappearance. Salinity near surface did change significantly, and the effect on A. aurita is unclear. Ephyrae were sampled in Tapong Bay from April 1999 to April 2002 (W-TL, unpublished data). They occurred during October–April, but were abundant between November and February. Therefore, they were present (1 – 328 ephyrae m23) during the coolest (24.1 + 3.18C) months with the highest surface salinities (31.7 + 2.5). Additionally, the seasonal rains before culture raft removal changed surface salinities by as much as 10 (Lo et al., 2004), but this did not eradicate the A. aurita population. Results for other scyphozoan species suggest tolerance of changing salinities. Salinity had significant effects on A. labiata polyps (Purcell, 2007). In combinations of low temperature (78C) and high (34) and low (20) salinity, polyps had 83 – 92% survival, but few jellyfish were produced; however, in combinations of high temperature (158C) and high and low salinity, polyps had 83 –100% survival and high jellyfish production (Purcell, 2007). In contrast, the combination of high salinity (30) and temperature (31.2– 33.18C) from an El Niño was detrimental to Mastigias sp. jellyfish in a marine lake in Palau (normal 30.88C, 25.5 salinity); however, although Aurelia spp. in the lake appeared damaged at the same time, their population did not decrease (Dawson et al., 2001). In addition, Mastigias sp. polyps were alive and asexually reproducing during this period (Dawson et al., 2001). We believe that the overall salinity increase of 0.8 in Tapong Bay probably would not have caused the jellyfish to disappear. Water exchange in Tapong Bay increased after removal of the culture rafts, which may have increased transport of the jellyfish and ephyrae from the bay. Jellyfish were present at lagoon-wide water residence times of 5.8 –13.2 d, with the greatest abundances 459 Figure 3. Numbers of Aurelia aurita jellyfish (solid circles) and ephyrae (triangles) in relation to water residence time in Tapong Bay before (on nine dates from August 1999 to July 2002) removal of aquaculture rafts. After removal of the rafts, no jellyfish or ephyrae were found, but water residence times are shown (open circles) on the x-axis for six dates between February 2003 and September 2004. Zero values of abundance are shown as 0.01, so that they appear on the log scale. at the shortest time; also, jellyfish were not collected on two dates with moderate residence times (8.6 –10.1 d; Figure 3). Ephyrae were present at long water residence times of 9.3 –13.2 d; they were absent at resident times of 5.8 – 12.4 d. The water residence times calculated for after-culture raft removal are shorter (3.8 – 9.2 d) than before, but overlapped with residence times when jellyfish, but not ephyrae, were present in Tapong Bay (Figure 3). Water residence times were longer in the deeper (6 m) inner lagoon than in the outer lagoon before and after removal (Hung et al., 2008), and jellyfish abundance was greater there (Figure 2). Therefore, we conclude that increased water exchange could have promoted transport of jellyfish and their planula larvae and ephyrae from the lagoon. The importance of transport is unknown. Another direct consequence of culture raft removal was increased solar radiation in the water column, which may have been detrimental to the A. aurita population. The planula larvae of the jellyfish prefer to settle on poorly illuminated undersurfaces in the water (Brewer, 1978). Light levels reaching the bottom of Tapong Bay after culture raft removal averaged 225 mE m22 s21, which was considerably higher than those measured underneath covered marina floats (2– 6 mE m22 s21) where A. labiata polyps flourished (Purcell et al., 2007). When the culture rafts were removed from the surface, the larvae were deprived of settling surfaces, and any remaining hard surface may have been exposed to light levels that are detrimental to or inhibitory for settlement of the planulae. We believe that aquaculture rafts provided shaded surfaces for larval settlement and polyp colony expansion and increased retention of the planulae, ephyrae, and jellyfish in Tapong Bay. Removal of favourable polyp substrate with the culture rafts probably was the main cause for the disappearance of jellyfish, perhaps acting together with increased light and water exchange in the lagoon. Therefore, we observed three probable mechanisms by which aquaculture rafts enhanced jellyfish populations; the rafts provided 460 substrate and shading for the polyps, and the rafts restricted water exchange in the lagoon. Implications for the future The current world human population is projected to increase 46% by 2050 (US Census Bureau, 2006). Human influences and demands on the ocean will increase with population growth. Global bivalve aquaculture (mussels, oysters, scallops) increased fivefold between 1980 and 2005; the Asian share of the world production increased from 60% in 1980 to 93% in 2005 (FAO, 2007). Similarly, global marine fish production has increased ninefold since 1980, with Asia’s share high (80% in 2005; FAO, 2007). Global fish production is projected to double between 1997 and 2020, with especially large increases in developing nations and in aquaculture (Delgado et al., 2003). 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