American black bear population size and genetic diversity at Apostle Islands National Lakeshore Jerrold L. Belant14, Julie F. Van Stappen2'5, and David Paetkau3'6 1NationalPark Service, PicturedRocks Science Center,Box 40, Munising,MI49862, USA 2NationalPark Service, Apostle Islands NationalLakeshore,Route 1, Box 4, Bayfield,WI54814, USA 610 RailwayStreet, Box 274, Nelson, BC V1L5P9, Canada 3Wildlife Genetics International, Abstract: Effective management of American black bears (Ursus americanus) requires an understandingof populationdemographics.In 2002, we obtainedDNA fromhaircollected at barbed-wire trapsto estimateblack bear populationsize and study populationgenetics on Stockton(4,069 ha) and Sand (1,193 ha) islands at Apostle Islands NationalLakeshore(AINL), Wisconsin. Hair samples also were collected from 2 nuisancebearson Oak Island.We analyzed372 hair samplesfrom Stocktonand Sandislandscollectedon 4 occasionsat about14-dayintervals.Geneticanalysisof 6 microsatelliteDNA markersresultedin 71 capturesof 26 individualson StocktonIslandand 13 capturesof 6 individualson SandIsland.The estimatedbearpopulationson Stocktonand Sandislandswere 26 (SE - 0.54, 95% CI [confidenceinterval]=26-26) and6 (SE=0.60, 95%CI=6-7) individuals,respectively.The estimated density on StocktonIsland was 0.64 bears/km2and on Sand Islandwas 0.50 bears/km2.Genetic variation withinboth islandpopulationswas higher(meanHE> 0.77) thancould be maintainedby populations of this size in isolation,suggestingsubstantialimmigrationfromthe mainlandpopulationoccurred. Genetic assignment testing using log genotype likelihoods demonstratedsufficient variation between bearpopulationson StocktonandSandislandsto permitidentificationof natalorigins.The 2 bears from Oak Island were genetically intermediatebetween Stockton and Sand islands. Islands within AINL contain small black bearpopulationsof high density that are geneticallydistinctand apparently influencedby immigrationfrom the mainlandpopulation. Key words: Americanblack bear,Apostle IslandsNationalLakeshore,genetic diversity,mark-recapture,population estimates, Ursus americanus, Wisconsin Ursus 16(1):85-92 (2005) Knowledge of animalpopulationsizes and connectivity, and how they vary temporally, is necessary for effective species management.The NationalParkService (NPS) is mandatedto "... maintainas partsof the natural ecosystems of parks all native plants and animals" (NationalParkService2000). The NPS is also requiredto monitor important resources that are necessary to accomplish managementobjectives as requiredby law or planning documents (National Park Service 2000). Black bears (Ursus americanus) are an important component of many units in the National Park system, including Wisconsin's Apostle Islands National Lakeshore (AINL). At AINL, understanding black bear abundanceand ecology is criticalbecause:(1) they have [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] 85 an inherentrole in maintainingecological integrity,(2) harvest of black bears is legal in AINL, and (3) of potentialinteractionswith tourists. Techniquesto estimatebearpopulationsthatcould be used for long-termmonitoringareimpracticalin heavilyforested areas like AINL or are cost prohibitive.However, use of genetic markers to identify individual animals has increased considerably in recent years (Parkeret al. 1998). Small amountsof tissue, including hair,arenow used frequentlyin genetic studiesto identify individuals, as well as determine sex, species, and genealogy (Taberletet al. 1993; Paetkauand Strobeck 1994, 1998; Foranet al. 1997; Haig 1998). Advances in genotyping using non-invasive collection of tissue samples (Woods et al. 1996, 1999) and mark-recapture modeling(Whiteet al. 1982) have providedan additional means to estimate animal populations, including estimatesof precision.Mark-recapturemodelingemploying 86 BLACKBEARDENSITY ANDGENETICS ATAPOSTLE ? Belant et al. ISLANDS Study area The Apostle Islands Archipelagois located in southwest Lake Superior \);,/ (46?42'-47?05'N; 90?24'-91?03'W), N Wisconsin, USA (Fig. 1). Twentyone of the 22 islands are within AINL. Islands range from 1.2-4,069 S ^? ~ ha. Mean maximum and minimum daily temperatures are 25.5?C and 12?C in July and -4.5?C and -14?C in January,respectively. Annual precipitation is about 75 cm, including 200 cm of snow. Before European settlement,about 90% of the Apostle Islandscontainedmixed conifer-hardwood forests (Frederickand Rakestraw 1976). X--J ~ Black bear occurrence has been documentedon 8 islands within AINL (Belant and Van Stappen 2002). AlFig. 1. Location of Sand, Oak, and Stockton islands anid the Apostle thoughtiminganddurationof presence Island Archipelago, Wisconsin, USA. is generally unknown for the islands, black bears apparentlymost recently colonized StocktonIsland in the early data from systematicallyobtained hair samples is now 1970s or later,andthe islandhad an estimatedpopulation of 3 bears in 1984 (Fleming 1997; R.K. Anderson and likely the most common method to estimate bear et al. Poole and Strobeck size D. Trauba,1989, Black bear density on StocktonIsland 2000, (Mowat population al. et Boersen and mainland Wisconsin, University of Wisconsin, 2003). 2001, As for connectivity, aquaticand other geographicor Stevens Point, Wisconsin, USA). Bear huntinghas been humancreatedbarrierssuch as roads can greatlyinhibit allowed withinAINL except for 1983-94, duringa black animal movement and dispersal (Schmiegelow and bear research project when hunting was closed on Nudds 1987, Proctor et al. 2002), increasing the risk Stockton Island (Fleming 1997). Only 1 bear has been of population extinction (Lande 1994). The NPS is recordedas harvestedsince inception of AINL in 1970 of full the "... to types genetic range protect obligated (AINL, Bayfield, Wisconsin, USA, unpublisheddata). (genotypes) of native plant and animal populations in Numberof bear-humaninteractionswas roughlystable the parksby perpetuatingnaturalevolutionaryprocesses from 1990 through2002, withmost interactionsoccurring and minimizing human interference with evolving in mid-August. Until 2002, bear-humaninteractionsat genetic diversity" (National Park Service 2000). UnAINLresultedin 1 beartranslocationevery 2-4 years.As derstandingthe demographicand genetic connectivity a result of increased bear-human interactions, more of potentially isolated bear populations at AINL will aggressive managementwas needed in 2002-03, resulthelp ensure appropriatemanagement of metapopulaing in the removalof 11 bears. tions. We conductedthis studyon StocktonandSandislands. Our initial study goal was to estimate the population islands were selected based on previous studies These size of bears on Stockton and Sand islands. Specific (Trauba 1996, Fleming 1997) and observations that objectiveswere to: (1) estimatebeardensity on Stockton suggested viable populations were present. Stockton and Sand islands and comparebear density on Stockton Island(4,069 ha) is the largestisland withinAINL and is Islandto previousestimates,(2) estimatethe sex ratioof 7.7 km from the mainland;elevations range from 183these island populations and compare it to previous 242 m. Logging began during the late 1800s and estimates, and (3) conduct preliminaryassessment of continuedthrough 1955, with extensive fires occurring genetic variation within and between these island duringthe 1950s (Rakestraw1976). Currently,deciduous populations. Ursus 16(1):85-92 (2005) ANDGENETICS BLACKBEARDENSITY ? Belant et al. 87 ATAPOSTLE ISLANDS forestscover 87%of this islandand aredominatedby red (Acer rubrum)and sugar (A. saccharum) maple, with trembling aspen (Populus tremuloides), white birch (Betulapapyrifera),andredoak (Quercusrubra)(Trauba 1996). Forestedwetlandscomprise6% of the island with overstory dominatedby black spruce (Picea mariana) and white cedar (Thuja occidentalis). Ponds resulting from beaver (Castor canadensis) activities (flowages) comprised3% of the island area. Forests dominatedby red (Pinus resinosa) andwhite (P. strobus)pine occurred on 2% of the island. Sand Island (1,193 ha) is located 2 km from the mainland;elevationsrangefrom 183-203 m. SandIsland was repeatedly logged, with 7 large timber harvests occurring from the late 1800s until 1975. Presently, mixed hardwood-coniferforests including yellow birch (Betula alleghaniensis), balsam fir (Abies balsamea), white birch,white cedar,and red maplecover 83%of the island. Canada yew (Taxus canadensis) and mountain maple (Acer spicatum) are prevalentin the understory. Remaining habitat includes about 7% black sprucetamarack(Larixlaricina)swamp,6%semi-openbog, and 3% white pine-hemlock (Tsuga canadensis) forest. Methods Hair trapping We used a systematicgrid (1.6 x 1.6 km) overlaidon each island to distributetrappingeffort. Grid cells that contained<50% land were includedwith adjacentcells. We constructedhair traps as describedby Woods et al. (1999), using 4-barbed, 2-strand wire to create an enclosurearound>3 trees with wire about 50 cm above ground.We placed hairtrapsin areaswe believed would maximize black bear captures. Enclosures were baited with 0.5 L fish oil pouredon a decayinglog positionedin the center of the enclosure. Anise oil was applied to vegetation about 2 m above ground at or near the perimeter of the enclosure. Traps were rebaited and reluredduringeach session. We established15 hairtraps on Stockton (1 trap/2.7 km2) and 5 hair traps on Sand Island(1 trap/2.4km2)andmonitoredthemfor 4 sessions between 26 June and 13 August 2002. We attemptedto remove hair from trapsat 2-week intervals.Duringeach trap check, all hair from each barb was placed in a separatepaper envelope, labeled, and air dried before processing.Because of the comparativelyhigh densityof hair traps(e.g., Mowat and Strobeck2000, Poole et al. 2001, Boersen et al. 2003), we did not move the traps between sessions. Ursus 16(1):85-92 (2005) Home rangesof adultfemale and male black bearson Stockton Island were 7.2- and 32.9 km2, respectively (Trauba1996). Witha hair-trapdensityof 1 trap/2.7km2, about3 hairtrapswere availableto each adultfemale and 12 trapswere availableto each adultmale. Home range data were unavailablefor Sand Island.Otis et al. (1978) recommended>4 traps/individualhome rangefor markrecapturestudies. Population parameters The studyareaswereislandsseparatedfromthe nearest land by >2 km. Although bears have been observed swimming between islands and between islands and the mainland (Trauba 1996; AINL, unpublisheddata), we assumed immigrationand emigrationwere low. During a 12-year (1984-95) radiotelemetrystudyof black bears on Stockton Island, only 4 occurrences of natural emigrationand 1 instanceof immigrationwere observed (Trauba1996, Fleming 1997). All of these movements were temporary;only 2 occurredduring summerwhen our study was conducted.Finally, mean annualsubadult and adult mortality on Stockton Island was <10% (Fleming 1997). Because of these factors and the short durationof our study,we consideredour studyareasto be geographicallyand demographicallyclosed. Therefore, we used closed mark-recapturemodels availablein program CAPTURE (Otis et al. 1978, White et al. 1982, Rexstadand Bumham 1991) to estimatepopulationsize for each island. Model selection was based on statistical tests conductedin CAPTUREandourknowledgeof bear biology. We furtherverifiedpopulationclosureusing the programCloseTest (Stanley and Richards2003), which uses the Stanley and Bumhamclosure test (Stanley and Bumham 1999), a chi-squarestatistic developed under a null model allowing for time-specific variation in captureprobabilitiesunder closure. This closure test is most sensitive to permanentemigration,intermediately sensitive to permanentor temporaryimmigration,and least sensitive to temporary emigration (Stanley and Burnham 1999). We also estimated if the sex ratio of identifiedbearsdifferedfrom 1:1 using a chi-squaretest for equal proportions.All tests were considered significant at alpha= 0.05. DNA analyses In addition to hair samples collected from traps, we conducted DNA analyses on hair samples collected from 2 black bears capturedin nuisance situations on Oak Island (Fig. 1). For all samples we used 10 guard hairs for extraction when possible to reduce the probabilityof genotyping errors(Gossens et al. 1998). 88 BLACK BEAR DENSITYAND GENETICSAT APOSTLEISLANDS* Belant et al. Table 1. American black bear hair capture results from Stockton (n = 15 trap sites) and Sand (n = 5 trap sites) islands, Apostle Islands National Lakeshore, Wisconsin, USA, 2002. Island Stockton Session 1 2 3 4 Grandmean Total Sand Grandmean Total Trapduration (days) x SD 14.2 13.6 13.6 14.6 14.0 2.4 1.3 1.7 1.4 0.5 withhair samples 14 15 13 14 Hair samples/trap x SD 7.8 7.6 4.3 3.2 5.7 2.9 4.1 2.5 1.7 2.3 56 1 2 3 4 12.4 15 14 18 14.9 0.5 0 0 0 2.4 3 4 3 4 3.3 3.8 1.7 4.5 3.3 1.5 2.8 0.6 3.9 1.2 12 We used 6 microsatelliteloci for analyses of individual identity:G1OC,G1OM,G1OX,G1D, G10H, and MU59 (Paetkau et al. 1998a and references therein). Ten additionalloci (CXX20, CXX 10, G1A, G1OB, G1OJ, G1OL,GO1P,G1OU,MU50, and gender)from a sample of each identified bear were analyzed to improve population genetics analyses. Gender was determined using size polymorphismin the amelogeningene (Ennis and Gallagher 1994). We conducted DNA extractions using QIAGEN DNeasy Tissue kits (Qiagen, Mississiauga, Ontario,Canada),following the manufacturer's instructions. We examined distributionof genotype similarity to estimatethe probabilityof 2 or more sampledindividuals havingidenticalgenotypesat the 6 loci thatwe examined. The observednumbersof pairsof similargenotypeswere used to estimatethe expectednumberof pairsof identical genotypes (0 mismatchingmarker[MM] pairs;Paetkau 2003). The typicalpatternreflectsan orderof magnitude decline with each successive decrease in number of mismatchingmarkers.Thus, one would expect a single errorfor every 10 1MM pairs (Paetkau2003). We used the genetic assignmenttest (Paetkauet al. 1995, Waser and Strobeck 1998), which calculatesthe probabilityof observing specific individual genotypes in a series of referencepopulations,based on observedallele frequencies in those populations.Log-likelihoodestimatesof the cumulativeprobabilityof occurrenceof individualalleles were used to determinegenetic similarity.We describe genetic diversityusing the observednumberof alleles (A) and expected heterozygosity (HE) because they are metrics commonly used to describe genetic variability No. hair samples No. bears No. new bears 109 114 56 45 17 22 17 15 17 7 2 0 324 71 26 10 15 5 18 4 4 2 3 4 2 0 0 48 13 6 (Paetkauand Strobeck 1998). We presentprobabilityof identity (PID)values to demonstratethe power markers have to identifyindividuals(PaetkauandStrobeck1998). Results Hair trapping We collected 635 hair samples from both islands during the study, 372 of which we considered had adequateamountsof DNA for analyses.We obtained324 usablehairsamplesfrom56 trapvisits on StocktonIsland and 48 usable samplesfrom 14 trapvisits on SandIsland (Table 1). The number of traps with hair samples remainedrelatively constant throughoutthe study. The mean number of hair samples/trap declined during successive sessions on Stockton Island. In contrast, although samples sizes were low, the mean numberof hair samples/trapwas greatest on Sand Island during session 4. Mean intervalbetween trapsessions typically was within 1 day of desired durationexcept between sessions 3 and4 when inclementweatherdelayed access to hairtrapson Sand Island. DNA analyses Of 372 samplesprocessed,256 (69%)were suitablefor assignmentto individualblack bears. Of the remaining samples, 22% were extracted but we were unable to generatea reasonablegenotype,7%were likely a mixture of DNA from2 bears,and2%lackedsuitablematerialfor extraction. We found only 2 pairs of genotypes that matchedat 4 of 6 markers(2MM pairs) and 1 pair that matchedat all but 1 marker(1MM pair).This suggests it Ursus 16(1):85-92 (2005) ANDGENETICS BLACKBEARDENSITY ATAPOSTLE ISLANDS * Belant et al. 89 is highly unlikely that we sampledeven a single pair of individualswith identical6-locus genotypes. We identified32 individualbearsfromhairsamples;6 bears(1 male, 5 females) on SandIslandand26 bears(14 males, 12 females) on StocktonIsland.These individuals were captured84 times; 71 captureson StocktonIsland and 13 captures on Sand Island. For both islands combined, we captured9 females during 2 sessions, 6 during 3 sessions, and 2 during4 sessions. Combining males resultedin 4 capturedduring 1 session, 1 during2 sessions, 6 during3 sessions, and4 during4 sessions. The numbers of individuals captured during sessions 1-4 were 21, 26, 19, and 18, respectively.No new individuals were capturedon StocktonIsland aftersession 3 and on Sand Islandaftersession 2. Overall,25 of 32 (78%)bearswere capturedat > 1 hair trap.Femaleson SandIslandwere capturedon averageat 2.5 (SD =1) traps; the male was capturedat 1 trap. Females on StocktonIslandwere capturedon averageat 2.9 (SD- 1.7) traps;males were capturedat 4.6 (SD = 2.6) traps.Duringindividualtrapchecks from which we obtainedgeneticallyidentifiablehairfrom > 1 individual (n = 57), most (72%)containedhairfrom 1-3 bears;25% contained hair from 4-6 bears, and 2% contained hair from7 bears.No bearswere capturedat hairtrapson both islands and no bears were removed from the islands duringthe study for managementpurposes. Population estimates We conductedpopulationestimates for Stockton and Sand Island from 8 closed mark-recapturemodels used in CAPTURE. For Stockton Island, we used the null estimator (Mo) because we did not detect variation in capture due to heterogeneityamong individuals (X2 0.15, 1 df, P = 0.70), behavior response after initial capture(X2= 0.09, 1 df, P = 0.76), or among trapping sessions (X2= 6.31, 3 df, P = 0.10) using chi-square goodness-of-fit tests provided in CAPTURE.Additionally, the Stanley and Burham closure test suggestedthe populationwas closed (X2= 1.10, 2 df, P = 0.58). The estimatedpopulationfor Stockton Island was 26 (SE 0.54) bears with 95% confidence interval(CI) range of 26-26. This represents a density of 0.64 bears/km2. Populationestimatesfor males (n = 14) and females (n = 12) also were identical to the known number of individuals obtained from DNA analyses. The mean captureprobabilityamong sessions was 0.68. The M:F sex ratio of 1.16:1 was similar to 1:1 (X2 0.15, 1 df, P = 0.70). For Sand Island, we also used the null estimator (Mo) because of lack of variationin capturedue to behavior Ursus 16(1):85-92 (2005) Table 2. Variability of genetic markers used to identify individual American black bears, Stockton Island, Apostle Islands National Lakeshore, Wisconsin, USA, 2002. HE= expected heterozygosity, Ho = observed heterozygosity, A = mean observed number of alleles, and PID= probability of identity. Marker HE MU59 0.84 G1D 0.83 G1OX 0.80 G10H 0.77 G10M 0.75 G10C 0.63 Mean 0.77 Overallprobability of identity Ho A PID 0.92 0.89 0.85 0.89 0.81 0.69 0.84 8 8 9 9 7 7 8 0.05 0.05 0.06 0.08 0.10 0.21 2E-07 response afterinitial capture(X2= 2.28, 1 df, P = 0.13) and among trappingsessions (X2= 2.06, 3 df, P = 0.56). Sample size was inadequateto test for heterogeneityof trappingprobabilitiesamong individualsin the population. Additionally,the Stanley and Burham closure test suggestedthe populationwas closed (X2= 0.99, 2 df, P = 0.61). The estimatedpopulationfor Sand Island was 6 (SE = 0.60) bears with 95% CI range of 6-7. This representsa density of 0.50 bears/km2.Mean capture probabilityamong sessions was 0.54. We also conducted an analysisusing Chao's heterogeneitymodel (Mh)in the event heterogeneity of trappingprobabilitiesoccurred and we were unableto detectit. Model Mhperformswell under strong trappingheterogeneity(Mowat and Strobeck 2000). Using Mh,we deriveda similarestimateof 6 (SE = 0.54) bears(95% CI 6-9). Genetic variation among islands Considerablegenetic variation was observed within and among islands at the 6 markersthat were used to identifyindividuals.The meanHe was 0.84 for Stockton Island with the probability of 2 randomly drawn, unrelatedindividuals with identical genotypes of 2 x 10-7 (Table 2). Although sample size was limited for Sand Island,mean Ho for markersused was 0.94, which suggests black bears on Sand Island possess higher genetic variabilitythan black bears on Stockton Island. Using all 15 markers,25 of 30 single-locusgenotypesfor the 2 Oak Islandbearswere heterozygous (He = 0.83). Geneticassignmenttesting demonstratedconsiderable variation between Sand and Stockton Island bear populations (Fig. 2). A notable exception was a male capturedon Stocktonthathad a probabilityof occurrence 9 ordersof magnitudelower (10-35) thanthatof the next lowest probability observed for an individual (10-26) 90 * Belant et al. BLACKBEARDENSITY ANDGENETICS ATAPOSTLE ISLANDS A -16'I._ --210 CO A A AA A A , A 0 K XO 0)1 y 0 .1 A -36 -31 -36 -26 -21 -16 Log likelihood Sand Island 0 Sand X Oak A Stockton - Fig. 2. Assignment testing based on log genotype likelihood probabilities for black bears on Stockton, Sand, and Oak islands, Apostle Islands National Lakeshore, Wisconsin, USA, 2002. sampledon StocktonIsland.The 2 individualsfrom Oak Islandwere intermediateto black bearson Stocktonand Sand islands. Discussion We report the first bear population estimates in Wisconsin with data from nonharvestedanimals that includedestimatesof precision.The density of bears on Stockton Island (0.64 bears/km2)remains the highest reported in Wisconsin (Kohn 1982, Storlid 1995, Fleming 1997) and among the highest reportedin North America (Garshelis 1994). The density of bears on StocktonIsland was estimatedpreviously at 0.07 bears/ km2 in 1984 and increased to 0.76 bears/km2in 1994 before declining to 0.61 bears/km2in 1996 (Fleming 1997). Methods between studies are not directly comparable;however, previous and current estimates suggest the population has remained approximately stable during 1990-2002. Similarly, the 1:1 sex ratio we observed for StocktonIsland is comparableto those reportedduringearlierstudies (Trauba1996). Although the population trends are unknown for Sand Island, and sex 1:1 ratio, stable size, population apparently approximatelystable age distributionduring the early 1990s (Fleming 1997) on Stockton Island suggests that the black bear populationhas reachedthe demographic effective populationsize (Caughleyand Sinclair 1994). We obtained a limited amount of data to develop a populationestimatefor Sand Island (n = 13 samples). However, because of geographic and demographic closure,high captureprobability,and high meannumber of trapsites individualswere capturedat, we believe the population estimate for Sand Island is reasonable. Although the density on Sand Island was less than StocktonIsland,the density of females (0.42 bears/km2) was greaterthan the female density on Stockton Island (0.29 bears/km2).Greaterdensityof femalebearson Sand Islandcould be becauseof greaterfood abundance,closer proximityto the mainlandpopulation,or a combination of these and otherfactors. There are at least 2 possible explanationsfor the low numberof males (n= 1) detectedon SandIsland.The first is thatwe wereunableto capturehairfromothermales on the island. We believe this is unlikely because of our overall high mean capture probability. It is possible, however, that additionalmales immigratedto the island temporarily,particularlyduringthe breedingseason, and these nonresident individuals may not have been detected. It could also be that only one male bear was present.Because of its small size (<12 km2), resources (e.g., food, territory)on SandIslandmay be too limitedto supportadditionalmale bears. This male bearmay have used Sand Island as only partof its home range, as has been reportedin other island studies (Garshelis 1994), includingStocktonIsland(Trauba1996, Fleming 1997). In a previous study of mammalian biogeography at AINL, we demonstrateda significantpositive relationship betweenislandsize and body mass of mammalsthat could be supported(Belantand Van Stappen2002). Although the populations on Stockton and Sand islands were small, the high genetic variabilityof bears in this study was similar to other mainland bear populations (Paetkau et al. 1998b). These population characteristicsare incompatible unless a high rate of immigrationhas occurred.Forexample,when population estimatesareavailablefor 2 populations,andan estimate of heterozygosityis availablefor 1 of those populations, the heterozygosity for the second population can be estimatedassumingthat both populationsare at equilibrium for immigration, mutation, and genetic drift (Paetkauet al. 1998b).Using datafromthe isolatedblack bearpopulationon the island of Newfoundland(approximateN = 6,400, HE = 0.41) and the populationestimate for StocktonIsland,we expect heterozygosityto be 0.3% in the latterpopulation,assumingthatthis populationwas isolatedandatequilibrium.An indistinguishableestimate Ursus 16(1):85-92 (2005) BEARDENSITY ANDGENETICS BLACK ATAPOSTLE ISLANDS * Belant et al. 91 is obtained when data from Kodiak brown bears (U. arctos) are used (Paetkauet al. 1998b). We know from historic data that the Stockton Island population was founded too recently to be at equilibrium.Additionally, the high levels of genetic variationare incompatiblewith any significantperiod of isolation. Considering the inescapably low sample sizes, the genetic data were remarkablysuccessful in clustering bearsbasedon islandof origin.The exceptionalStockton Island male was clearly not bor on Stockton Island, providingdirectevidence of populationconnectivityand one of the first examples of using genetic assignmentof natal origins to directly study animal movements from a single capturelocation.This individualmay have been bor on the mainlandand immigratedto StocktonIsland. The placementof the 2 individualsfrom Oak Island intermediateto Sand and Stockton Island populations corresponds with their respective distances from the mainlandand furtherdemonstratesthat a high level of genetic differentiationacross islands exists. A general trend in genetic similarityas a function of distance has also been demonstratedin mainlandblack bear populations (Miller et al. 1998). We conclude that AINL contains bear populations small enough to cause rapid genetic drift but possesses a level of intra-population variabilitythat could only be maintainedby gene flow from the mainlandpopulation. Also, based on genetic variability observed and apparent immigration, we suggest that inbreeding depression is unlikely to be a significantthreatto these populations. Future studies quantifyinglevels of genetic differentiation among bear populationson additionalislands at AINL and mainland Wisconsin are warranted.Such research could aid in determining dispersal patterns among islands that resulted in the relatively high variabilitywe observed. Also, because of the range of distances among islands and between islands and the mainland,we could gain insightinto sex-specificratesof movement. Paetkau et al. (1998a) demonstratedfor brown bears that oceanic water crossings of 3-4 km eliminated female-mediatedgene flow, whereas male dispersalcontinued at this level but was eliminatedby 8-km watercrossings. Obtainingpopulationestimates from mark-recapture studiesusingDNA fromhairsamplesis a methodsuitable for long-term monitoring at AINL. Other techniques, including mark-resight estimates (e.g., Miller et al. 1997), arenot feasible becauseof theircomparativehigh cost and forest cover which limits visibility. Population estimators involving captured animals, however, can provide additionalinformation,such as age, reproducUrsus 16(1):85-92 (2005) tion, and survival, which are also critical demographic metrics that cannot be obtained using techniques we employed. High mean individualbear captureprobabilities and the low 95% CI we observed suggests that the numberof hairtrapsat StocktonIslandcould be reduced. Simulationmodeling with existing data from Stockton Island could refine the experimentalapproachfor future studies. We do not recommendreducingthe density of hairtrapson smallerislands such as Sand Islandbecause of the low numberof trapsthatwould be deployedandthe limited numberof bears likely present.We recommend periodic monitoring of bear populations on these and other islands at AINL relative to bear nuisance activity, harvestmanagement,and to populationconnectivity. Acknowledgments We thank U. Gafvert, S. Johnson, J. Kroll, and H. Quint for field assistance. S. Waterhousewas responsible for the genetic analyses. Primary funding was provided by the National Park Service's Natural Resource Preservationand Protectionprogram. Literaturecited BELANT,J.L., AND J.F. VAN STAPPEN. 2002. Island bio- geographyof mammalsin Apostle Islands National USA. NaturalAreasJournal22:180-185. Lakeshore, ANDT.L. KING.2003. Estimating BOERSEN, M.R., J.D. 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