UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN Rondebosch, South Africa Overpopulation and Inbreeding inSmall Game Reserves: the Lion Panthera leo as a Case Study by SOPHIE VARTAN Submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree Master of Science in Conservation Biology Faculty of Science University of Cape Town Rondebosch February 2002 Supervisors: Dr M. Du Plessis (University of Cape Town) and Dr R. Siotow (University of Natal) w n To e ap U ni ve rs ity of C The copyright of this thesis rests with the University of Cape Town. No quotation from it or information derived from it is to be published without full acknowledgement of the source. The thesis is to be used for private study or non-commercial research purposes only. Acknowledgements I would like to thank all reserve contacts who provided me with the information necessary to carry out this study, with special thanks to Hanno Killian, Angus and Tracey Sholto-Douglas and John O'Brien for their kind hospitality. These persons are in no way responsible for the opinions expressed herein. Thanks also to Morne Du Plessis from the University of Cape Town and Rob Siotow from the University of Natal, for their time invested in me and their helpful advice on all aspects of my research project. This project was funded by MGM Grand (donation to C. Packer), the National Research Foundation (donation to R. Siotow) and the Percy FitzPatrick Institute, University of Cape Town. And finally but not least, thank-you to Gavin, and the rest of my family and friends who have provided me with unending support and the constant reminder that there was an end in sight! Overpopulation and Inbreeding in SmalJ Game Reserves: the Lion Panthera leo as a Case Study SOPHIE VARTAN Percy FitzPatrick Institute, Department of Zoology University of Cape Town, Rondebosch 7700 Cape Town, South Africa Abstract: Due to habitat loss and fragmentation, many large mammals with historically large ranges now exist as small, isolated populations. In fenced reserves, limited dispersal options for individuals have led to problems of inbreeding depression and high rates of population increase especially where prey species are abundant and competition is low. In this study, I use the reintroduction of small populations of free-ranging lions (Panthera leo) into game reserves in South Africa to demonstrate high rates of population increase and levels of relatedness for large mammals. For a sample of 20 small game reserves (area <100km 2) , I have compiled information about the translocations of lions, current lion population numbers, levels of relatedness between individuals and management strategies in place to deal with potential lion overpopulation and inbreeding problems. Firstly, with respect to investigating overpopulation within these small reserves, rates of population increase for reintroduced lions are shown to be relatively high, ranging from 1.18 to 1.71. Conservative and optimistic carrying capacities have already been reached by six of the sample reserves. The remainder of the reserves will reach their stated carrying capacities within one to four years' time. Management strategies for controlling lion numbers in these reserves are presently based translocation and only six reserves have implemented other methods of population control such as hunting, sterilisation and contraception techniques. No reserves are planning on using culling as a control method. Secondly, lions in this study are shown to have high levels of relatedness and the effects of inbreeding are already apparent in some of these small lion populations. The results of this study suggest that lion population control in small reserves is necessary to keep numbers at a sustainable level and that inevitably, with such small founder populations, inbreeding effects will occur. Three sub-populations of lions in South Africa are identified, based on the origin of their founder lion populations (Kruger, Etosha and Kalahari stock), and are used to form the basis of a metapopulation management approach. Introduction Small, fenced reserves can contribute towards the conservation of biodiversity (Schafer 1995; Turner and Corlett 1996) but must be rigorously protected and may require intensive management (Terborqh 1976; Soule and Simberloff 1986). Population numbers of large predators have the potential to expand until they reach the local carrying capacity (Hunter 1999) and in some cases their numbers have had to be regulated to avoid overpopulation occurring (Bertram 1973, Owens and Owens 1980; Orford et al. 1988). Population control in mammals has typically employed methods of removal or contraception (Bertram 1973; Anderson 1981; Smuts 1982; Bertschinger 2001). In reserves where populations have been allowed to increase without human intervention, the result has been a reduction in prey species biomass (Smuts 1982; Orford et al. 1988; Mills et al. 1992; Mills and Shenk 1992; Hunter 1999) and increased intra-specific competition, which has led to breakouts from the reserve in search of new territories (Steele 1970; Anderson 1981). Reserve managers are unfortunately often faced with conflicting management choices since the combination of capped numbers and limited dispersal of species can lead to effects of inbreeding inbreeding depression, increased homozygosity, the concentration of lethal genes, and the loss of adaptability to changing environmental conditions (Lande and Barrowclough 1987; Hedrick and Miller 1992; Rowley et al. 1993; Caughley 1994; Newmark 1996). Examples of large carnivores existing as small isolated populations and consequently suffering from inbreeding depression include the Florida Panther (Felis concolor coryi - O'Brien et al. 1990; Beier 1993; Belden and Hagedorn 1993), the Grizzly bear (Ursus arctos horribilis - Maguir and Servheen 1992), the wolf (Canis lupus - Laikre and Ryman 1991) and the lion (Panthera leo - Grubbich 2001). Population numbers should not be less than 50 for any species to stem inbreeding depression (Soule 1980; Ewens et al. 1987; Goodman 1987) but little is known about the minimum viable population of large mammal species (Schaffer and Samson 1985; Ewens et al. 1987; Schaffer 1987). There is a need for a combined approach involving demography and genetics (Lande 1988). The demographic concept of minimum viable population size is concerned with the probability of extinction of a population through stochastic demographic forces whilst a genetic concept is based on the rate at which genetic variation in a population is lost (Rowley et al. 1993). Small, fragmented populations are increasingly being managed using metapopulation strategies (Hedrick 1995; Grubbich 2001) whereby each population is treated as a sub-olvtsrorrof'trre entire population (Hanski and Simberloff 1997; Hanski 1998). This provides a basis from which genetic and demographic exchange can be mediated 'artificially' by human management. If this species is to persist as viable populations on small isolated reserves, then constant reintroduction from artificially maintained populations should 2 be used (Hooper 1971). Translocations of individuals between populations (Conant 1988; Dodd and Siegel 1991; Novellie and Knight 1994; Cunningham 1996) have been used to a) re-establish previously extirpated P?pulations (Griffith et al. 1989), b) balance ecological processes (IUCN 1987; Wolf et al. 1996) and c) overcome genetic problems for a wide range of species (Laikre and Ryman 1991; Maguir and Servheen 1992; Hedrick 1995). Lions have undergone a significant decrease in range and, whilst once widespread over Europe, Asia and Africa (Hunter 1999; Grubbich 2001), conflict with humans has led to their increased eradication outside of protected areas (Frank 1998). Additionally, current populations are showing the effects of inbreeding depression. The highly inbred Asiatic lion populations in the Gir Forest, India, reveal degrees of genetic uniformity combined with structurally abnormal spermatozoa (Wildtet al. 1987; Saberwal et al. 1994). Evidence suggests that the reproductive performance of the naturally isolated lion population in the Ngorongoro Crater, Tanzania has decreased as a result of decreasing heterozygosity (Packer et al. 1991). Today the only relatively large populations of lions left in South Africa exist in the Kruger National Park (KNP) with population numbers of over 2,000 individuals (Grubbich 2001). Lion prides at Hluhluwe-Umfolozi Park (HUP) show very little genetic variation when compared to populations from KNP and cub mortality in HUP is significantly higher than elsewhere in the wild (Stein 1998). Records of abscesses, generally poor condition and post-mortem evidence of immuno-incompetence are all thought to be associated with inbreeding depression in HUP lions (Stein 1997, 1998). The trend in South Africa over the last thirty years has been for small areas of land (typically less than 100 km2 in area) to be privately and nationally declared as game reserves for the purposes of both eco-tourism and biodiversity conservation. Since natural migration and recolonisation is not often a viable option for lions, due to potential conflict with humans and well-fenced boundaries, the establishment of new populations within reserves has had to rely on human intervention. Consequently, a number of free-ranging lions have been translocated and are now persisting as isolated populations in these small, fragmented nature reserves. Despite the fact that carnivore translocations are usually risky and expensive (Miller et al. 1998), the survival and breeding success of translocated lions is very high (Smuts 1982; Linnell et al. 1997; Hunter 1999). So far, attempts to control the density of lion populations in national parks have not been particularly successful (Smuts 1978; Anderson 1981; Smuts 1982; Orford et al. 1988). The aim of this study is to highlight the potential for overpopulation and inbreeding problems in reintroduced populations of lions on small reserves. This study can be used as a model for other species when considering the potential for small populations to be managed using a metapopulation approach combining both demographics and genetics. My objectives were twofold: Firstly, to determine to what extent small reserves are facing an 3 overpopulation problem of lions and what management strategies are in place to deal with this. To achieve this objective, I sought to answer the following questions: • What is the rate of lion population increase for each small reserve and, if populations are left unchecked, what can be the lion population numbers that can be expected over the next ten years? • What are the adult lion carrying capacities for small reserves and how many years will it take before they are reached given the current rates of increase? • What strategies have been implemented to control lion numbers on each small reserve to address the rate of increase adequately? • Given that public perception is vital to the tourist industry for small reserves, what are the tourist perceptions on the use of various population control techniques? My second objective was to examine the potential level of inbreeding within reintroduced populations and to investigate how a metapopulation approach can facilitate mitigation. The following questions form the basis of this objective: • Where are the current sources of lions for reintroduction programmes and can reserves be grouped on this basis to facilitate a lion metapopulation management strategy? • What is the size and relatedness of the founder lion populations that have been translocated to small reserves? • What is the level of breeding taking place between related individuals after release? 4 Methods Study Areas and Information Collected Twenty game reserves in South Africa are included in this study (Figure 1) covering a crosssection of private, provincial and national management styles. These reserves all met the following criteria: a) Less than 100,000 hectares (1000 km2 ) in area; b) Have reintroduced, or are planning to reintroduce, free-ranging lions (lions that capture their own prey) within the last 10 years; c) Are completely enclosed with what is considered to be 'lion-proof' electric fencing. These criteria exclude parks and reserves such as the Kgalagadi Transfrontier National Park (KTNP), the Kruger National Park (KNP), private reserves that have removed fences along KNP's western border and any concessions that keep lions in captivity where they do not hunt and kill their own prey. It is necessary to state clarification points for several of the reserves included in this study: • HUP has reintroduced lions since 1965 (Anderson 1974; Anderson 1981) from both the Kruger National Park, South Africa and Etosha National Park, Namibia (Maddock et al. 1996). For comparison with other reserves, only those lions that have been recently translocated to HUP within the last ten years have been used for analyses here and these comprise of only Etosha stock lions. • Tswalu Game Reserve reintroduced Kruger stock lions from Phinda Game Reserve in 1996, but after testing positive for FIV (feline AIDS), these animals were destroyed (Loots 2000). A new population of Kalahari stock lions was reintroduced into Tswalu from KTNP and it is these lions that have been included in this study. • Shamwari and Madjuma Game Reserves have previously kept lions that were not freeranging. Only their free-ranging lions, reintroduced more recently, have been included in this study. • Both Madjuma and Entabeni re-stock their lion reserves with prey species on an annual or biannual basis. Consequently, stated carrying capacities relating to prey density are much more intensively managed in these instances than other reserves. I visited 11 of the reserves within a six-week period from October to December 2001 and personally interviewed reserve management staff (Appendix i). Email or telephonic interviews were conducted for reserves not personally visited. I recorded information specific to each reserve including lion translocations, population demographics, and lion population management strategies using a question-prompt sheet for consistency (Appendix ii). 5 Figure 1. Locations within South Africa of fenced, small game reserves that have reintroduced free-ranging lions. Analyses Part 1: Overpopulation a) Rates of /ion population increase I estimated individual rates of increase (A) for lion populations that had been translocated into reserves between 1992 and 1999 (Equation 1). I have assumed that any population reintroduced into a reserve after 1999 would not have had sufficient time to establish and reproduce. The basic unit of a lion population is usually the pride (Schaller 1972; Bertram 1975; Van Orsdol et al. 1985) but I have chosen to use individual numbers for population increase calculations. This is because, firstly, the lion population in many of these reserves is too small to have easily recognisable and distinct pride groups. Secondly, it is thought that social behaviour patterns such as the pride structure may be altered in small, managed lion populations (Grubbich 2001). I calculate an average A. tormese reserves and apply this to reserves that have reintroduced lions from 2000 onwards. I also use this average for HUP because there is a lack of data available for population growth since translocations have been carried out over 30 years. I use A to model the exponential population increase for each reserve from the present population numbers over the next ten years, and graph the results for reserves with 6 comparatively high, medium and 16w rates of increase. I provide an example of population increase when taking density-dependent constraints into consideration. The purpose of this is to show that exponential growth is not ecologically realistic (Boyce 1992) and that population predictions here are simplified for illustrative purposes. The assumption is made that no human intervention will purposefully remove individual lions from the system by translocation or elimination. Equation 1: A = (current population + number of individuals removed) (t/numter of years since release) number of lions initially reintroduced b) Reserve carrying capacities Managers were asked to identify prey species density and catchability, suitable habitat and density of competitors, before providing an estimate of adult lion carrying capacity (K). Carrying capacity is defined here as the maximum number of lions that can be ecologically supported on a reserve without permanently impairing the productivity of the habitat or reducing prey species. In most cases, a range was given for K, with a lower or conservative estimate (K1 ) and an upper or optimistic estimate (K2 ) . Where a range was not given, the assumption is made that the single figure provided represents both K 1 and K2 • Using the population increase models, I estimate the time in which each reserve will reach K 1 and K2 • c) Population Control Techniques Removal of an individual is achieved either by translocation (typically of sub-adults before they reach two-years old) or through elimination by hunting or culling. The implementation of contraceptive drugs or performing vasectomy operations can also reduce the rate of population increase. Managers were asked to state, firstly, whether their lion management strategy included plans to sell and translocate lions and, secondly, if they had implemented or were considering implementation of any of the following four techniques: 1) Selective hunting - a hunting licence is sold and the most appropriate animals, usually older males that have lost dominance of a pride, are shot. Revenue can be used for reserve management (Creel and Creel 1997; Whitman and Packer 1997). 2) Culling - excess lions are removed as necessary, usually by shooting or anaesthetic drug (Smuts 1978; Anderson 1981; Smuts 1982; Funston 2001). 3) Vasectomy or epididyectomy - operations can be performed to ensure sterility in males but they will usually continue to mate (Barlow et al. 1997). 7 4) Contraceptive implant - female lions are injected and will not come into oestrus (Orford et al. 1988). The choice of reversible and irreversible implants is available depending on requirements (Bertschinger et al. 2001). d) Tourist Perceptions Since eco-tourism relies heavily upon reputation, I surveyed tourists visiting game reserves between November and December 2001 to explore public perception of the above control techniques (Appendix iii). Tourists were surveyed between game-viewing drives typically between 1100h-1300h and 1500h-1700h at Welgevonden Game Reserve, Phinda Resource Reserve, Shamwari and Kwandwe Game Reserve. These reserves were chosen on the basis of permission given by lodge managers and with the aim of minimising disruption to tourist activities. The four management techniques outlined above were consistently explained to tourists and they were asked to rank them in order of preference. The origin of each tourist was recorded to highlight any significant preferences based on nationality. Part 2 - Inbreeding: Founder Populations and relatedness Using translocation information provided by the reserves, I investigate which reserves have acted as source and sink populations. I consider a lion 'source' population as any that has provided founders for establishing a population from a stock of free-ranging, disease-free lions maintained with known genetic history. 'Sink' populations are those that have only received lions by translocation and have not, acted as founders to external populations. I categorise reserves into sub-population groups on the basis of their lion population founder stock and translocation interaction. I examine relatedness between individual lions where data is available. Through the use of a 'studbook' detailing information on individual lions (e.g. date of birth, sire and dam, origin of founders, deaths and translocation destinations - held by the University of Natal), I investigate the number and relatedness of population founders. Information on subsequent mating pairs is analysed and instances of inbreeding recorded. Only those lion pairings that have produced offspring have been included and pairings that have taken place between first and second order relatives have been highlighted. Pairings between first-order relatives (mother-son; father-daughter, brother-sister) have a relatedness of r = 0.5 (Rowley et al. 1993), whilst second-order pairings (between grandfather-granddaughter, grandmothergrandson, cousin-cousin, aunt-nephew; uncle-niece) are assigned a relatedness of r = 0.25. 8 Results All private reserves in this study (Table 1) stated that lions were originally reintroduced to enhance the tourist game-viewing experience and to reach 'Big Five' status. In the provincial and National Parks, eco-tourism is stated as being a secondary reason for reintroduction, the primary reason being to restore a natural ecological process to the reserve. The regulating body for each reserve usually determines the criteria for reintroducing lions, including such factors as lion-proof fencing, but the level of regulation varies between provinces. Table 1. Private, provincial and national reserves included in this study, reserve sizes and the regulating authority. Ownership and Reserve Name Area (hectares) Regulated by: Private Reserves Tswalu Game Reserve* 20 000 Northern Cape Nature Conservation Welgevonden Game Reserve* 33 000 Northern Province Nature Conservation 1 523 Northern Province Nature Conservation Shambala Game Reserve* 11 000 Northern Province Nature Conservation Karongwe Game Reserve 8500 Northern Province Nature Conservation Makalali Game Reserve 14500 Northern Province Nature Conservation Entabeni Game Reserve 2 000 Northern Province Nature Conservation Mthethomusha Game Reserve 8 000 Mpumalanga Nature Conservation Lowhills Game Reserve 4 000 Mpumalanga Nature Conservation Tembe Elephant Reserve 30 000 KwaZulu Natal Wildlife Department Phinda Resource Reserve* 14222 KwaZulu Natal Wildlife Department Royal-Zulu Game Reserve 4 000 KwaZulu Natal Wildlife Department Kwandwe Game Reserve 16 000 Eastern Cape Nature Conservation Shamwari Game Reserve* 18 000 Eastern Cape Nature Conservation Madikwe National Park* 62 000 North-West Parks and Tourism Board Pilanesberg National Park* 50 000 North-West Parks and Tourism Board Hluhluwe - Umfolozi Park* 96 000 KwaZulu-Natal Wildlife Marakele National Park 65 000 National Parks Board Addo Elephant National Park* 96 000 National Parks Board Karoo National Park 70 000 National Parks Board Madjuma Lion Reserve* Provincially Managed South African National Parks *Reserves that I personally visited between October and December 2001. 9 Part 1. - Overpopulation a) Rate of population increase, carrying capacity and lion density The rate of population increase (A) for each reserve that had reintroduced lions prior to 2000 varies between ,1.18 and 1.71 (Table 2). Average.A of these reserves is 1.37 and is used as the rate of increase for reserves that had reintroduced lions between 2000 and 2001 including HUP. Table 2. Lion reintroduction and current demographic data, removals through translocation or elimination, and predicted population numbers given the rate of population increase (A)for small reserves Reserve Year of Number Number Population release released removed Predicted Predicted (n) end n in 5 n in 10 2001 years years A Phinda 1992 13 43 15 1.18 34 79 Pilanesberg 1993 19 33 61 1.22 165 446 Makalali 1994 5 20 9 1.29 32 115 Madjuma 1997 4 2 7 1.23 20 55 Madikwe 1997 13 19 45 1.49 330 2427 Welgevonden 1998 5 0 25 1.71 366 5344 Lowhills 1998 6 12 12 1.59 122 1239 Entabeni 1998 4 0 8 1.26 25 81 HUP 1999 - 2001 16 0 120** 1.37* 579 2795 Karongwe 1999 4 0 8 1.41 45 256 Shambala 2000 5 0 5 1.37* 24 116 Mthethomusha 2000 4 0 4 1.37* 19 93 Shamwari 2000 6 0 8 1.37* 39 186 Tswalu 2001 4 0 8 1.37* 39 186 Kwandwe 2001 4 0 6 1.37* 29 140 Royal Zulu Planned 2002 2/3 0 Tembe Planned 2002 6 0 Marakele Planned 2002 2 0 Karoo Planned 2002 4/5 0 Addo Planned 2002 11 0 *Rate of increase cannot be estimated given existing data so an average A of 1.37 is used. **The current population for HUPof120is a result of lions being present since 1965. It is unknown what contribution lions released between 1999 and 2001 have had to increase population size. 10 Phinda's relatively low rate of increase is probably due to the number of translocations out of the reserve (Table 2). Pilanesberg's low rate can be attributed to a combination of factors: lions reaching reproductive age have usually been translocated from the reserve; population control techniques are practised; and similar to Madikwe, there are higher levels of competitors present than in most of the other reserves. Nevertheless, high population numbers are still predicted within ten years due to the current number of lions on these reserves. Welgevonden's high rate of increase can in part be attributed to an abundance of suitable habitat and prey species and virtually no competition for food or space from other predators. Predictions of population increase over the next ten years for all reserves are shown (Figure 2) and density-dependence for Phinda is shown to slow the rate of increase (Figure 3). 500 / 400 ,/ en ---Phinda c .Q '+- 300 ,/ - - - - Pilanesberg / 0 • L- a> E 200 - - -6- - :::l o Z .. -- 100 . Makalali ................ ....... ... - - - - 0 2001 Madjuma - Entabeni 2003 2007 2005 2009 2011 Year a). Reserves that have a comparatively low population increase rate (A) ranging from 1.18 and 1.29. 11 500 l ---Shambala 400 CJ) c * Mthethom usha a Shamwari and Tswalu .2 300 "I0 lo... (]) ..Q / E 200 :::J Z - - -te- - 'Kwandwe 100 - - - - Karongwe 0 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Year b). Reserves that have a medium population increase rate (A) of 1.37. 4000 I I I J 3000 / CJ) c / .2 0 lo... (]) --HUP - - (J- - 'Madikwe tC Lowhills - - - - Welgevonden / "I- 2000 .0 E :::J Z 1000 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 Year c). Reserves that have a comparatively high population increase rate (A) ranging from 1.37 to 1.71. Figure 2. Predicted lion population growth over the next 10 years for small game reserves, grouped into a) high, b) medium and c) low rates of increase. 12 80 uncontrolled population grovvth 70 60 density dependent contraints 50 __ x __ • - - • -x x •• _ • • • 40 _)I • 30 20 curre nt carryin9 capacity 10 O+-----.,...-----..,.-----..,.-----..,.------r--2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Figure 3. Population increase for Phinda (J=J.18) showing uncontrolled growth, densitydependent constraints and current carrying capacity. Six reserves (Pilanesberg, Welgevonden, Madjuma, Phinda Makalali and Entabeni) have already exceeded K1 and are equal to or have exceeded K2 (Table 3). All the other reserves will have reached their K2 within 4 years. There are a total of 342 free-ranging lions within the 15 reserves of this sample that have already reintroduced lions. The combined conservative capacities (K1) of the reserves is 307, whilst the combined optimistic capacities (K2 ) of the reserves amounts to 435 (Table 3). Hluhluwe-Umfolozi Park, Phinda and Mthethomusha are the only reserves within this study sample to have experienced lion breakouts from the reserves. Densities of lions in these reserves (Table 3) are comparable with other areas of African savanna. Woodroffe and Ginsberg (1998) found lions in East Africa to have a population density of 0.16 adults/krn" and the critical reserve size there to be a minimum of 30,000 ha. In this study, reserves less than 50,000 hectares in area have an average lion density of 0.13 per km2 and for those with areas greater than 50,000 ha have an average density of 0.11. East (1981) found that the average population density of lions in areas of less than 50,000 hectares is 0.29 per km2 and for those in areas greater than 50,000 ha is 0.06. 13 Table 3. Lion population numbers, reserve estimates of adult lion carrying capacity and the time taken to reach these carrying capacities given current growth rates. Current lion densities are also shown including the densities at estimated carrying capacities. Metapopulation Groups . Current population Time Time 1 2 to K to K Current Densitylkm 2 120 120 150 o 1 0.13 0.13 0.16 Pilanesberg 61 20 60 o 0.12 0.04 0.12 Madikwe 45 40 60 1 0.07 0.06 0.10 Welgevonden 25 20 25 o o o 0.08 0.06 0.08 Madjuma 7 4 7 o o o 0.47 0.27 0.47 Shambala 5 10 12 3 3 0.05 0.09 0.11 Entabeni 8 6 6 o o 0.40 0.30 0.30 Kwandwe 6 15 20 3 4 0.04 0.09 0.13 Shamwari 8 8 10 o 1 0.04 0.04 0.06 8 10 10 1 1 0.04 0.05 0.05 Phinda 15 15 15 o 0.11 0.11 0.11 Makalali 9 6 6 o o o 0.06 0.04 0.04 Lowhills 12 15 20 1 1 0.09 0.11 0.14 Mthethomusha 4 10 10 3 3 0.05 0.13 0.13 Karongwe 8 8 24 o 4 0.09 0.09 0.28 HUP Etosha Stock: Kalahari Stock: Tswalu Kruger Stock: Total 342 307 435 * K1 and K2 are the conservative and optimistic carrying capacities estimated by the reserve managers. b) Management strategies for controlling population numbers None of the reserves had a long-term management plan for their lion populations. All reserves in this sample plan to sell and translocate any excess individuals. Only Pilanesberg, Madikwe, Madjuma, Phinda and Makalali have as yet translocated lions to other reserves. Marakele, Addo, Karoo, Royal Zulu and Tembe are planning to reintroduce lions in 2002 and the total number of lions required for establishment of these populations is approximately 27 lions (Table 2). Four of these reserves are already considering options for lion population control. No reserves are culling their lion populations at present, but four reserves stated that they would consider culling as a last resort for control (Table 4). Seven reserves stressed that they would not consider elimination options because it was against reserve policy. 14 Table 4. Lion population control measures currently implemented or considered by small reserves. Reserve Would consider Implemented . Hunting Culling Contra- Vasec- ception tomy . Hunting No* Tswalu Culling No* Madikwe Yes Yes Yes Pilanesberg Yes Yes Yes Contra- Vasec- ception tomy Yes Yes Yes Welgevonden No* Marakele Yes Madjuma Yes Yes Yes No* No* Yes Yes Yes Shambala Karongwe Yes Yes Makalali Lowhills Yes Yes Yes Mthethomusha No* Entabeni No* Yes Tembe Phinda Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes HUP Royal Zulu Yes Kwandwe Shamwari Yes No* No* Yes Addo No* Yes Yes Karoo No* Yes Yes * 'No' implies that the reserve does not wish to consider an option whilst it is against reserve management policy. ( - ) indicates where the reserve had not implemented or considered an option but it is not against reserve policy to do so. The reserves that consider hunting lions on their property stressed that this would only occur if they could be confident that it would be carried out professionally and not attract negative public reputation. Contraceptive techniques were the preferred choices of reserve managers for controlling lion population numbers. The reserves using contraceptive implants are still experiencing high growth rates, but this is likely to be due to the fact that only one lioness in each case has been treated. Three reserves stated that they were not yet in a position to consider population reduction techniques but would monitor the population as necessary. 15 c) Public Opinion of Population Control Tectinique Tourists surveyed originated from Europe, the United States and South Africa. A chi-square analysis of the survey results shows. that there is no significant difference for preference of method based on the nationality of the tourist (p =0.576, X2 =4.756, N = 160). The majority of tourists chose hunting as the least preferred technique (Figure 4a) whilst the most preferred technique was contraceptive implants (Figure 4b). o Hunting ~ Culling Ed Vasectomy o Contraception Figure 48. Percentage of tourists ranking population control methods as their least preferred choice . Figure 4b. Percentage of tourists ranking population control methods as tI~eir most preferred choice 16 Part 2. - Inbreeding a) Founder Populations Areas that have provided the primary. source of lions for establishing small populations within South Africa include Etosha National Park, Kruger National Park and the Kgalagadi Transfrontier National Park. As a result, the free-ranging lion populations can be divided into three sub-populations: 1) Etosha stock; 2) Kalahari stock and; 3) Kruger Stock (Table 5). HUP is not included within a sub-population since it has both Etosha and KNP stock lions. Table 5. Lion sub-population groups in South Africa, based on the primary origin of the founder population. Sub-population Groups Hluhluwe - Umfolozi Park (HUP) Source of lions KNP, Pilanesberg and Madikwe Sub-population 1: Etosha Stock Pilanesberg All from Etosha National Park, Namibia Madikwe Etosha and Pilanesberg Madjuma Pilanesberg Shambala Pilanesberg, Madikwe and Madjuma Entabeni, Kwandwe, Shamwari, Welgevonden Pilanesberg and Madikwe Tembe*, Royal Zulu*, Marakele* Planning on Madikwe and/or Pilanesberg Sub-population 2: Kalahari Stock Tswalu All from KTNP Addo*, Karoo* Planning: KTNP Sub-population 3: Kruger Stock Phinda Tshukudu and Londolozi (not in this study) Makalali KNP Lowhills KNP, Thornybush and Phinda Mthethomusha Phinda Karongwe Makalali and Kapama (not in this study) *Reserves that are planning on reintroducing lions in 2002. The Etosha population is estimated at 300 individuals (Stander 1991) and has so far provided a maximum of 21 founder individuals (19 to Pilanesberg and 3 to Madikwe). More than half of the reserves in this sample have used Etosha stock lions for re-introducing lions. Reserves that have acted as secondary sources of Etosha stock lions are Pilanesberg, Madikwe and Madjuma. Pilanesberg and Madikwe have stocked eight other game reserves within South Africa (Table 6) and will probably provide lions as founder populations for 17 Tembe, Marakele and Royal Zulu game reserves in 2002. Madjuma translocated two siblings (offspring of lions originally received from Pilanesberg) to Shambala. Table 6. Numbers of lions translocated from Pilanesberg and Madikwe. Receiving Reserves Lions Translocated Lions Translocated From Pilanesberg From Madikwe 1997-2001 1997-2001 Entabeni 3 1 4 Kwandwe 2 2 4 Madikwe 10 Madjuma 4 0 4 HUP* 9 7 16 Shambala 1 2 5 (2 from Madjuma) Shamwari 2 3 5 Welgevonden 3 2 5 Outside S.A. 6 4 10 Total translocated in 34 17 51 40 21 61 Total reintroduced 13 (3 direct from Etosha) S.A. Total translocated *HUP is not grouped as part of the Etosha sub-population, but is included here for completeness of translocations. The Kgalagadi Transfrontier National Park population is thought to comprise of between 113 and 132 individuals (Funston and Herrmann 2001) and as yet, only Tswalu has reintroduced Kalahari stock lions. It is plausible that Tswalu may act as a secondary source for this stock in the future. The Kruger National Park population is by far the largest at 2000 individuals (Grubbich 2001) and has provided lions for a number of reserves - all of them not included in this study. Within this study, Phinda and Makalali have acted as secondary source populations for this stock. All reserves in this sample have established lion populations with founder groups of less than 20. Twelve reserves introduced a founder population of between 1 and 5 individuals and only 2 reserves introduced founders of between 16 and 20 individuals. The number of founders released was in most cases determined by the availability of funds and lions accessible in the 'market-place', rather than concerns over future levels of inbreeding. 18 b) Relatedness t. Within populations Data was not available on the g~nealogy of founder stocks for lions that had been translocated from primary source population's i.e., Etosha, Kruger and Kalahari. The relatedness could be traced for a number of founder stocks from available data in the studbook (Table 7). Table 7. Relatedness of founder stock Reserve Total Average number of relatedness founders (r) Welgevonden 2 siblings; 1 half siblings; 2 unrelated 5 0.25 Entabeni 3 half siblings; 1 unrelated 4 0.19 Madjuma 2 sets of siblings 4 0.5 Shambala 1 set of siblings and 2 half-cousins; 2 unrelated 6 0.25 Shamwari 2 sets of siblings; 2 unrelated 6 0.33 HUP 3 sets of siblings and 2 half-siblings; 1 unrelated 9 0.39 Pairings between related individuals that resulted in offspring could be determined for five lion populations (Table 8). Phinda and HUP are the only reserves to state that their lions may already suffer from inbreeding effects but as yet results are inconclusive. HUP has recorded instances of severe joint swellings, high immuno-incompetence, elevated juvenile mortality, and poor quality of spermatozoa (Stein 1998) thought to be associated with inbreeding. Table 8. Number of lion pairings between 1st and 2 Reserve st 1 Order pairing N (r =0.5) nd Order relatives. ~a Order pairing N (r =0.25) Number of related pairings out of total pairings since release Phinda 2 1 3 out of 20 Makalali 1 1 3 out of 7 Madikwe 1 2 3 out of 18 Welgevonden 1 1 out of 7 Pilanesberg 2 2 out of 30 Total 4 8 li. Between sub-populations a) Etosha stock/sub-population 1: Of the original founder population of 21 lions from Etosha, only 11 females and a maximum of 8 males reproduced. These founders 19 have subsequently produced 51 offspring that have been translocated to other reserves and have now increased to a total of 165 (total number of lions in Pilanesberg, Madikwe, Entabeni, Kwandwe, Madjuma, Shambala, Shamwari and Welgevonden). b) Kalahari stock/subpopulation 2: Two of the four founder lions at Tswalu have already produced four offspring, but no previous data on genetics of the founder lions before their release is currently available. c) Kruger stock/subpopulation 3: Phinda has translocated four lions to Mthethomusha (all with a relatedness of r =0.5) and four lions to Lowhills (three siblings, r =0.5, and their cousin, r = 0.25). These results show that there is a relatively high instance of relatedness within and between populations. However, conclusive genetic studies would first need to be conducted to determine the level of inbreeding in these populations. 20 Discussion 1. Overpopulation and population control The possible value of small reserves for the conservation of individual species of large mammals is enhanced by the tendency for population density to be higher than in larger areas. High densities in small reserves may reflect such factors as more favourable habitat, the prevention of dispersal by boundary fences and the absence of competitors and/or predators (East 1981). However population densities will vary according to both prey biomass and the available suitable habitat of each reserve (Van Orsdol et al. 1985; Hunter 1999). Lions naturally have low adult mortality and high birth rates (Packer et al. 1988; Smuts 1982) and cub mortality is considerably influenced by food supply and infanticide following pride takeovers (Bertram 1975; Packer 1983a and 1983b). In all reserves included in this study, lion reintroductions were mainly into habitats that did not have an existing lion population with generally low levels of other natural competitors and an abundance of prey species. Additionally, in a number of the smaller private reserves within this study, a wildlifevetinerary surgeon was available for treatment of injured lions without which, in a natural environment, the animal probably would have died. Reserve managers face the dilemma of having to keep lion numbers low enough to be ecologically sustainable versus maintaining high levels to almost guarantee tourists a Iionviewing opportunity. None of the reserves included in this study as yet have a long-term management plan for their lion populations, including accurate predictions of adult lion carrying capacity reinforced by scientific research. Over half of the reserves that have already reintroduced lions have not implemented any form of population control - yet results in this study suggest that all of these reserves will, if not already, reach their upper estimate for carrying capacities within one to four years. Translocation has been a favourable method for reducing local lion population sizes for many reserves. However, it is impossible to imagine a sufficient market in new reserves for the numbers of lions predicted in five to ten years' time. A small market may exist for lions to be translocated to institutions such as zoos or lion-hunting operations, but most reserves may wish to avoid the public reputation associated with these. Unfortunately, population control invokes an emotional response from the general public, especially when associated with large mammals and this is an important consideration for reserve managers. For instance, the problem of 'excess elephants' encountered by reserve managers in East Africa (Myers 1973) demonstrates the level to which public emotions can affect management decisions. Both hunting and culling of lions has resulted in management and moral complexities (Funston 2001) and in some cases has damaged public reputation for the reserve involved (Smuts 1982). Lions are highly souqht after by sport hunters and hunting 21 can generate considerable revenue for conservation activities (Hosking 1996). For example, in the Selous Game Reserve lions consistently generated 120/0-130/0 of hunting revenue from 1988 to 1992 (Creel and Creel 1997; Whitman and Packer 1997). Some published details on examples of culling lions are given for Hluhluwe-Umfolozi Park (Anderson 1981) and the Kruger National Park (Smuts 1978), while Barlowet al. (1997) compare the effects of continuous control by culling and male sterilisation. Carnivore contraception has become a useful tool in population management of carnivores in zoos and sanctuaries and has been used in southern Africa to slow down the rate of breeding in lions, African wild dogs and cheetahs (Bertschinger et al. 2001). However, experiments with lion contraception in Etosha National Park (Orford et al. 1988) have to date produced few tangible results and remain inconclusive for wild felids. It is extremely unlikely that the very high population numbers predicted here over ten years will be realised due to factors such as density-dependence (Boyce 1992), population crashes of predator and prey species (Bascompte and Sole 1998), and increased competition between lions leading to breakouts (Anderson 1981; Stander 1990). Diminished reproductive performance has been linked with inbreeding in some lion populations (Packer et al. 1991) and this may have an impact on slowing the rate of population increase. The predictions merely serve to illustrate the extent to which management intervention is necessary. In a more natural scenario the population might fluctuate around carrying capacity equilibrium but not far exceed it. However, for the reserves in this study, carrying capacities are being reached and even exceeded, breakouts are occurring and prey species have to be re-stocked on some reserves. Although translocating lions to establish populations in other reserves may go some way towards delaying the problem in the very short-term, it is evident that overpopulation is already a factor in many of these small reserves and reduction strategies need to be put in place. 2. Inbreeding and metapopulation management The results of population densities and growth rates collected from these small reserves cannot predict minimum viable population numbers for lion populations in small reserves. Whilst considering that the usefulness of minimum viable population numbers (MVP) has been queried in many texts (Lande 1988; Simberloff 1988; Bullock and Hodder 1997), the most frequently cited MVP for large carnivores is above 25 animals (East 1981). Fuerst and Maruyama (1986) propose the following guidelines to prevent the loss of variation in small populations: establishing populations with no fewer than 20 individuals, supplementing populations that already exhibit loss of variation and exchanging individuals from compatible populations thereby maintaining a higher effective population size. All reserves in this study have established lion populations with fewer than 20 individuals and population numbers are 22 capped at relatively small numbers. The ultimate outcome of a population bottleneck, or founder effects, depends upon the duration that the population remains small (Grubbich 2001). The ecological isolation of many reserves may allow local adaptation and coadaptation to take place (Franklin 1980) which may even increase overall genetic variation by increasing variation between populations (Boecklen 1987). Pilanesberg and Madikwe have been shown to suffer from reduced genetic variation compared to outbred populations of lions in large reserves (Grubbich2001) but already have acted as significant sources for many reserves in this study. It is highly likely that all lions translocated from these reserves to establish small populations elsewhere will in time, if not already, suffer from similar traits of founder effects and low levels of heterozygosity. Inbreeding effects are apparent in the HUP (Stein 1997 and 1998) and Phinda populations, and Madikwe and Lowhills may already be exhibiting founder effects on genetic diversity (Grubbich 2001). Additionally, low densities of lions may increase the length of pride tenure in small reserves (Orford et al. 1988) and ultimately result in lower levels of genetic variation (Grubbich 2001). However, instead of managing these small reserves as 'islands' (MacArthur and Wilson 1967; Goeden 1979; Terborgh 1976), facilitating artificial dispersal within sub-populations could increase the effective founder population and stem inbreeding depression. It has been suggested that genetic erosion in small isolated populations of mammals can be reduced through metapopulation management (Maguir and Servheen 1992; Grubbich 2001). The idea of a metapopulation is that populations with independent dynamics are spatially structured into assemblages of local breeding populations with small amounts of immigration taking place (Hanski and Simberloff 1997; Hanski 1998). In the case of small populations of free-ranging lions in South Africa, it can be argued that the human-fragmented reserves represent a transient, non-equilibrium situation in which the previously more continuous population has become divided into smaller units, representing a 'sample effect' (Wilcox 1980). Simberloff (1988) and other models of metapopulations (Hooper 1971; Richter-Dyn and Goel 1972; Schaffer 1987) suggest that modest rates of immigration can vitiate inbreeding depression, loss of diversity by drift, and demographic and environmental stochasticity. Beier (1993) found that immigration levels as low as between one and four animals per decade could decrease the risk of inbreeding depression in cougars in areas below 220,000 ha. Given the social organisation and historically highly mobile nature of lions, it is highly unlikely that there is much genetic difference. between sub-populations of lions in South Africa. Despite general agreement on this it is an accepted management policy by these reserves that the principle of conserving the genetic integrity of different populations should be observed. This principle suggests that an animal has genetically adapted to the environment in which it has evolved over time. Therefore, for the most past, practice has 23 shown that lions are reintroduced from stock most. closely related to those previously occurring in the area and that there should generally be no genetic mixing of these subpopulations. Mixing sub-populations could arguably be an option to increase genetic variation but, at this stage, the lion as a species is in no immediate danger of extinction. It's protection status falls under CITES Appendix II (The Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora) and while there is no legal protection of the lion in South Africa, it is ranked as Category 2 of a regional ranking scale for sub-Saharan Africa (Nowell and Jackson 1996) due to hunting pressure. The previous mixing of subpopulations in some reserves and the presence of disease (e.g. T8 or FIV) may preclude some populations, such as HUP (Stein 1997 and 1998), from acting as sources in a metapopulation management strategy (Viggers et al. 1993; Cunningham 1996; Grubbich 2001). If the aim is to continue to keep the sub-populations described in this study distinct, then clearly new bloodlines must be brought into the populations from the original subpopulation founders of Etosha, Kruger and Kalahari to reduce the risk of inbreeding effects. My intention is not to advocate the increased and unnecessary movement of lions between reserves. Lions have highly complex social behaviour (Packer and Pusey 1983a and 1983b; Van Orsdol et al. 1985; Packer et al. 1988; Funston and Mills 1997; Packer and Caro 1997) and to date no studies have conclusively examined long-term maladaptive behaviour or social dysfunction as a result of translocations (8oecklen 1987). Social behaviour patterns may be altered in small, managed lion populations that have been reintroduced through translocation (Grubbich 2001). There is potential for small lion populations to be managed as three sub-populations within a metapopulation but reserve managers face a difficult task of managing the conflicts between ecology and tourism. Intervention to normal ecological processes within a small reserve is an absolute necessity if small populations are to persist without inbreeding depression and overpopulation problems. However, if a planned metapopulation approach were to be implemented, a combined demographic and genetic approach should be considered such that the population control can be coupled with removing highly related lions from the system. The judicious interchange of individuals via translocation and the maintenance of an accurate studbook for small reserves involved in exchanging lions could make it possible to beat the genetic constraints of effective population size and minimum viable population. 24 Suggestions for reserve managers to consider The following points are suggestions and recommendations for reserve managers to consider in order to address the problems of overpopulation and inbreeding: a) Overpopulation • Calculate as accurately as possible the reserve carrying capacity based on prey densities, potential for reserve expansion, density of competitors, size and suitability of habitats, rather than using estimates. • Model the lion population increase specific to each reserve, using the above parameters and including density-dependence to predict the excess lion numbers that will occur over time. • Model different scenarios of population control (Starfield et al. 1981; Venter and Hopkins 1988) and realistically low levels of translocation, to assess the most affective combination of methods. • Implement short and long-term plans for managing lion populations on a proactive rather than a reactive basis, taking into consideration tourist perceptions. b) Inbreeding • Record all pairings and offspring produced and, where possible, re-trace the genetics of the founder population. Population control could possibly be aimed at taking related breeding individuals out of the system. • Exchange individual lions with primary source populations to increase genetic variation and freshen bloodlines. • Establish a metapopulation management system between small reserves encompassing the three sub-populations, and use exchanges of indiviuals to increase effective population sizes • Reserves that are planning on reintroducing lions in 2002 could consider acquiring larger founder populations and ensure that individuals reintroduced are not related. 25 Literature Cited Anderson, J. L. 1974. Lion numbers, distribution and population structure in the Urnfolozi/Hluhluwe complex: a prellmlnary report. National Parks Board Report. Anderson, J. L., 1981. The re-establishment and management of a lion Panthera leo population in Zululand, South Africa. Biological Conservation 19:107-117. Barlow, N. D., J. M. Kean and C. J. Briggs. 1997. Modelling the relative efficacy of culling and sterilisation for controlling populations. Wildlife Research 24:129-141. Bascompte, J., and R.V. Sole. 1998. Effects of habitat destruction in a prey-predator metapopulation model. Journal of Theoretical Biology 195:383-393. Belden R. C., and B. W. Hagedorn. 1993. Feasibility of translocating panthers into northern Florida. Journal of Wildlife Management 57:388-397. Beier, P. 1993. Determining minimum habitat areas and habitat corridors for cougars. Conservation Biology 7:94-108. Bertram, B. C.R. 1973. Lion population regulation. East African Wildlife Journal 11:215-225. Bertram, B. C. R. 1975. Social factors influencing reproduction in wild lions. Journal of Zoology 177:463-482. Bertschinger, H. J., C. S. Asa, P.P. Calle, J. A. Long, K. Bauman, K. DeMatteo, W. Jochle, T. E. Trigg and A. Human. 2001. Control of reproduction and sex related behaviour in exotic wild carnivores with the GnRH analogue deslorelin: preliminary observations. Journal of Reproduction and Fertility Supplement 57:275-283. Boecklen, W. J. 1987. Optimal design of nature reserves: consequences of genetic drift. Biological Conservation 38:323-338. Boyce, M. S. 1992. Population viability analysis. Annual Review of Ecological Systematics 23:481-506. Bullock, J. M., and K. H. Hodder. 1997. Reintroductions: challenges and lessons for basic ecology. Tree 12:212-213. Caughley, G. 1994. Directions in conservation biology. Journal of Animal Ecology 63:215244. Conant, S. 1988. Saving endangered species by translocation: are we tinkering with evolution? BioScience 38: 254-257. Creel, S., and N. M. Creel. 1997. Lion density and population structure in the Selous Game Reserve: evaluation of hunting quotas and offtake. African Journal of Ecology 35:83-93. Cunningham, A.A. 1996. Disease risks of wildlife translocations. Conservation Biology 10:349-353. Dodd, C. K., Jr., and R. A. Siegel. 1991. Relocation, repatriation, and translocation of amphibians and reptiles: are they conservation strategies that work? Herpetologica 47:336-250. 26 East, R. 1981. Species-area curves and populations of large mammals in African savanna reserves. Biological Conservation 21:111-126. Ewens, W. J., P.J. Brockwell, J. M. Gani, and S. I. Resnick. 1987. Minimum viable population size in the presence of catastrophes. Pages 59-68 in M. E. Soule, editor. Viable populations for conservation. Cambridge Univeristy Press, New York. Frank L. G. 1998. Living with lions: carnivore conservation and livestock in Laikipia District, Kenya. Mpala Research Centre. Franklin, I. R. 1980. Evolutionary change in small populations. Pages 135-150 in M. E. Soule and B. A. Wilcox, editors. Conservation Biology: an evolutionary - ecological perspective. Sunderland, M. A. Fuerst, P. A., and T. Maruyama. 1986. Considerations on the conservation of alleles and of genic heterozygosity in small managed populations. Zoological Biology 5: 171-179. Funston, P. J., and M. G. L. Mills. 1997. Aspects of sociality in Kruger National Park lions: the role of males. Proceedings of a Symposium on Lions and Leopards as Game Ranch Animals, Onderstepoort:18-26. Funston, P. J. 2001. General introduction. Pages 1-11 in P.J. Funston, editor. Kalahari Transfrontier lion project: population-ecology and long term monitoring of a free-ranging population in an arid environment. EWT. Funston, P. J., and E. Herrmann. 2001. Population ecology and demography of lions in the Kgalagadi Transfrontier Park - adaptations for survival in a harsh environment. Pages 12-29 in P.J. Funston, editor. Kalahari Transfrontier lion project: population-ecology and long term monitoring of a free-ranging population in an arid environment. EWT. Goeden, G. B. 1979. Biogeographic theory as a management tool. Environmental Conservation 6:27-32. Goodman, D. 1987. How do any species persist? Lessons for conservation biology. Conservation Biology 1:59-62. Griffith, B., J. M. Scott, J. W. Carpenter and C. Reed. 1989. Translocation as a species conservation tool: status and strategy. Science 245:477-480. Grubbich, J. D. 2001. Genetic variation within and among fragmented populations of South African lions Panthera leo: implications for management. MSc, University of Pretoria. Hanski, I. A., and D. Simberloff. 1997. The metapopulation approach, its history, conceptual domain, and application to conservation. Pages 5-26 in I. A. Hanski and M. E. Gilpin, editors. Metapopulationbiology:ecology, genetics, and evolution. Academic Press, USA. Hanski, I. 1998. Metapopulation dynamics. Nature 396:41-49. Hedrick, P. W., and P. S. Miller. 1992. Conservation genetics: techniques and fundamentals. Ecological Applications 2:30-46. 27 Hedrick, P. W. 1995. Gene flow and genetic restoration: the Florida panther as a case study. Conservation Biology 5:996-1007. Hooper, M. D. 1971. The size and surroundings of nature reserves. Pages 555-561 in E. Duffey and A. S. Watt, editors. The scientific management of animal and plant communities for conservation. Oxford, Blackwell. . Hosking S. 1996. Official statistics on the income generated by the hunting industry in South Africa. South African Journal of Wildlife Research 26:103-106. Hunter, L. 1999. The socio-ecology of re-introduced lions in small reserves: comparisons with established populations and the implications for management in enclosed conservation areas. Preliminary Project Report. University of Natal. IUCN.1987. Translocation of living organisms: introductions, reintroductions, and restocking. IUCN Position Statement. Gland, Switzerland: IUCN. Laikre, L. and N. Ryman. 1991. Inbreeding depression in a captive wolf (Canis lupus) population. Conservation Biology 5: 33-40. Lande, R. 1988. Genetics and demography in biological conservation. Science 241:14551460. Lande, R., and Barrowclough. 1987. Effective population size, genetic variation, and their use in population management. Pages 87-123 in M. Soule, editor. Viable populations for conservation. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, England. Linnell J. D. C., R Aanes, J. E. Swenson, J. Odden and M. E. Smith. 1997. Translocation of carnivores as a method for managing problem animals: a review. Biodiversity and Conservation 6: 1245-1257. Loots, J. 2000. Introduction of lions onto Tswalu private desert reserve. Progress Report, Tswalu. MacArthur, R. H., and E. O. Wilson. 1967. The Theory of Island Biogeography. Princeton University Press, Princeton, New Jersey. Maddock, A., A. Anderson, F. Carlisle, N. Galli, A. James, A. Verster and W. Whitfield. 1996. Changes in lion numbers in Hluhluwe-Umfolozi Park. Lammergeyer 44:6-18. Maguir, L. A., and C. Servheen. 1992. Integrating biological and sociological conerns in endangered species management: augmentation of Grizzly bear populations. Conservation Biology 6:426-434. Miller, B., K. Ralls, R. P. Reading, J. M. Scott and J. Estes. 1998. Biological and technical considerations of carnivore translocation: a review. Animal Conservation 2:59-68. Mills, M. G. L., and T. M. Shenk. 1992. Predator-prey relationships: the impact of lion predation on wildebeest and zebra populations. Journal of Animal Ecology 61 :693-702. Myers, N. 1973. Tsavo National Park, Kenya, and its elephants: an Interim Appraisal. Biological Conservation 5: 123-132. 28 Newmark, W. D. 1996. Insularization of Tanzanian parks and the local extinction of large mammals. Conservation Biology 10:1549-1556. Novellie, P. A., and M. Knight. 1994. Repatriation and translocation of ungulates into South African national parks: an assessment of past attempts. Koedoe 37:115-119. Nowell K., and P. Jackson. 1996. Wild Cats: status survey and conservation action plan. International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources. Gland, Switzerland. O'Brien, S. J., M. E. Roelke, N. Yuhki, A. E. Richardson, W. E. Johnson, W. L. Franklin, A. E. Anderson, O. L. Bass, R. C. Belden and J. E. Martenson. 1990. Genetic introgression within the Florida panther Felis concolor coryi. National Geographic Research. 6:485494. Orford, H. J. L., M. R. Perrin and H. H. Berry. 1988. Contraception, reproduction and demography of free-ranging Etosha lions (Panthera leo). Journal of Zoology 216: 717733. Owens, M., and D. Owens. 1980. The fences of death. Journal of African Wildlife 4:25-27. Packer, C., and A. E. Pusey. 1983a. Male take-overs and female reproductive parameters: a simulation of oestrus synchrony in lions (Panthera leo). Animal Behaviour 31 :334-340. Packer, C., and A. E. Pusey. 1983b. Adaptations of female lions to infanticide by incoming males. The American Naturalist 121 :716-728. Packer, C., and T. M. Caro. 1997. Foraging costs in social carnivores. Animal Behaviour 54:1317-1318. Packer, C., L. Herbst, A. E. Pusey, J. D. Bygott, J.P. Hanby, S. J. Cairns and M. Borgerhoff Mulder. 1988. Reproductive success of lions. In T. H. Clutton-Brock, editor. Reproductive success: studies of individual variation in contrasting breeding systems. The University of Chicago Press, Chicago. Packer, C., A. E. Pusey, H. Rowley, D. A. Gilbert, J. Martenson and S. J. O'Brien. 1991. Case study of a population bottleneck: lions of the Ngorongoro Crater. Conservation Biology 5:219-230. Richter-Dyn, N., and N. S. Goel. 1972. On the extinction of a colonising species. Theoretical Population Biology 3: 406-433. Rowley, I., E. Russell and M. Brooker. 1993. Inbreeding in birds. Pages 304-328 in N. Wilmsen Thornhill, editor. The natural history of inbreeding and outbreeding: theoretical and empirical perspectives. The University of Chicago, Chicago and London. Saberwal, V. K., J. P. Gibbs, R. Chellam and A. J. T. Johnsingh. 1994. Lion-human conflict in the Gir Forest, India. Conservation Biology 8:501-507. Schafer, C. L. 1995. Values and shortcomings of small reserves. Bioscience 45: 80-88. 29 Schaffer, M. L. 1987. Minimum viable populations: coping with uncertainty. Pages 69-86 in M. Soule, editor. Viable populations for conservation. Cambridge University Press, New York. Schaffer, M. L., and F. B. Samson. 1985. Population size and extinction: a note on determining critical population sizes. American Naturalist 1985: 144-152. Schaller, G. B. 1972. The Serengeti lion. University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois. Simberloff D. 1988. The contribution of population and community biology to conservation science. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics 19:473-511. Smuts, G. L. 1978. Effects of population reduction on the travels and reproduction of lions in Kruger National Park. Carnivore 1:61-72. Smuts, G. L. 1982. Lion. Macmillan South Africa (publishers) (pty) Ltd. Soule, M. E. 1980. Thresholds for survival: maintaining fitness and evolutionary potential. Pages 111-124 in M. E Soule and B. A. Wilcox, editors. Conservation Biology: an evolutionary-ecological perspective. Sunderland, M.A. Soule, M. E. and D. Simberloff. 1986. What do genetics and ecology tell us about the design of nature reserves? Biological Conservation 35: 19-40. Stander, P.E. 1990. A suggested management strategy for stock-raiding lions in Namibia. South African Journal of Wildlife Research 20:37-43. Stander, P.E. 1991 Demography of lions in the Etosha National Park, Namibia. Madoqua 18: 1-9. Starfield A. M., J. D. Shiell and G. L. Smuts. 1981. Simulation of lion control strategies in a large game reserve. Ecological Modelling 13: 17-28. Steele, N. A. 1970. A preliminary report on the lions in the Umfolozi and Hluhluwe Game Reserves. Lammergeyer 11:68-79. Stein, B. 1997. Progress report for the study into the lion population of Hluhluwe-Umfolozi Park. Research Project Progress Report, University of Natal. Stein, B. 1998. An investigation into the Hluhluwe-Umfolozi lion population. Research Project Progress Report, University of Natal. Terborgh, J. 1976. Island biogeography and conservation: strategy and limitations. Science 193: 1029-1030. Turner, I. M., and R. T. Corlett. 1996. The conservation value of small, isolated fragments of lowland tropical rain forest. Tree 11:330-333. Van Orsdol,K.G.,J.P.HanbyandJ. D. Bygott. 1985. Ecological correlates of lion social organisation (Panthera leo). Journal of Zoology 206:97-112. Venter J., and M. E. Hopkins. 1988. Use of a simulation model in the management of a lion population. South African Journal of Wildlife Research 18: 126-130. 30 Viggers, K. L., D. B. Lindenmayer and D. M. Spratt 1993. The importance of disease in reintroduction programmes. Wildlife Research 20:678-698. Whitm~an, K., and C. Packer. 1997. The effect of sport hunting on the social organisation of the African lion (Panthera leo). Pages 177-183 in J. Van Heerden and J. Onderstepoort, editors. Proceedings of a symposium on lions and leopards as game ranch animals. South Africa. Wilcox, B. A. 1980. Insular ecology and conservation. Pages 95-117 in M. E. Soule and B. A. Wilcox, editors. Conservation biology: an evolutionary-ecological perspective. Sunderland, Massachusetts. Wildt D. E., M. Bush, K. L. Goodrowe, C. Packer, A. E. Pusey, J. L. Brown, P. Joslin and S. J. O'Brien. 1987. Reproductive and genetic consequences of founding isolated lion populations. Nature 329:328-331. Woodroffe, R., and J. R. Ginsberg. 1998. Edge effects and the extinction of populations inside protected areas. Science 280:2126-2128. Wolf, C. M., B. Griffith, C. Reed and S. A. Temple. 1996. Avian and Mammalian Translocations: Update and Reanalysis of 1987 SUNey Data. Conservation Biology 10: 1142-1154. 31 Appendix i: Contact details of personnel who provided information for this study. Reserve Contact providing Position Telephone Number information Entabeni Dolf Blignant Reserve Manager (014) 743 6054/1 HUP Owen Howison Regional Ecologist (082) 926 4521 or (035) 562 0255 Dave Balfour Regional Ecologist (082) 905 8660 Kwandwe Angus Sholto-Douglas Reserve Manager (083) 406 0147 Karongwe Cailey Ermer Ecologist (083) 593 8237 Lowhills Johan Moller Reserve Manager (082) 455 2790 Joanna Swaye Researcher (083) 672 4068 Madjuma Danie de Bruin Lion Reserve Manager (014) 734 0014 Madikwe Steven Dell Ecologist (082) 801 1180 or (018) 3672 ext: 2411 Mthethomusha Conrad Rosner Reserve Manager (013) 764 1114 Makalali Dave Druce Chief Ecologist (015) 793 1720 or (082) 876 8512 Phinda Kevin Pretorius Reserve Manager (035) 562 0271 or (082) 788 0085 Pilanesberg Gus Van Dyk Royal Zulu Brendon Ecologist 082-496-3970 Whittingdon- Reserve Manager Jones (082) 379 2401 or (035) 792 8322 Shambala Andre Pretorius Reserve Manager Shamwari John O'Brien Chief Ecologist (042) 203 1111 Tembe Wayne Mathews Reserve Manager (035) 592 0032 Tswalu Jaco Loots Predator Welgevonden Marakele, Addo Hanno Killian and Dr. Mike Knight Reserve (083) 669 1374 or Manager (053) 7511244 Field Ecologist (082) 607 0282 SANP (083) 4489061 Karoo 32 Appendix ii: Questionnaire survey used for reserve staff. • What is the area of the reserve (km sq or hectares) and what areas border the reserve e.g. livestock farms, communal lands etc? • What is the main reason that the reserve was set aside and when? • Where did the lion come from that have been reintroduced and what were the main reasons for reintroducing lion onto the reserve? • When were the lion reintroduced into the reserve? Has their birth and survival rate been high, medium or low? • Please provide details of age/sex structure of lion that have been reintroduced and details of whether they have been translocated out, whether they are still alive on the reserve and all birth and death events. • What is the current estimate of your lion population number and what is your perceived carrying capacity for lion in the reserve? • Have you had problems of lion breakouts from the reserve or inbreeding in the lion population? • Please give details of any future plans for expanding the reserve - e.g. if it is hoped that fences will be dropped, with whom, what area, when etc. • What is the official management policy or objective for managing the free-ranging lion on the property? E.g. to maximise lion numbers for tourist sightings/to manage to carrying capacity through selective hunting and/or culling and/or vasectomy/contraception etc. Please give as much detail as possible. How do you plan to control the numbers of lion on the reserve? • How do you see the reserves lion populatlon fitting into the greater South African lion metapopulation? What role does the reserves lion population play in terms of future lion conservation? 33 Appendix iii: Questionnaire used to gain tourist perceptions. • I'm from the University of Cape Town and I'm conducting research on lion management strategies in South Africa. Would it be possible to ask you some short questions to aid the research? • Due to high lion reproduction rates, unless control measures are taken it is thought that small reserves will face a problem of unsustainable numbers of lion. • Some options that are currently used in game reserves are shown in the following table. The aim of this short questionnaire is for you to rank these options in order of your preferred technique for controlling lion numbers (1= your most preferred option; 4= your least preferred option). Please use a range of all numbers 1 through to 4. Management Option Available: Rank 1- 4 A. SELECTIVE HUNTING - a hunting licence is sold to hunt surplus adult lion, the field ecologist selecting the most appropriate animals and accompanying the hunter for control. The revenue raised from the hunt is can be used for continued management of the reserve and its wildlife. B. CULLING - the field ecologist determines how many excess lion are in the reserve on an annual basis and has them put down as necessary, usually either by shooting or anaesthetic. C. VASECTOMY - a number of male lions (determined by the field ecologist) will be operated on to ensure sterility. They will usually continue to mate but unsuccessfully. D. CONTRACEPTION - a number of female lions (determined by the field ecologist) will be injected with a contraceptive drug. The lioness will not mate whilst on the contraceptive but once worn off, typically after 18 months, she is able to mate and conceive unless injected again. Which country do you come from? . This is an. independent study and these options are in no way meant to reflect the management plans of this game reserve. Thankyou for your time. 34
© Copyright 2025 Paperzz