The effects of plant density upon several determinants of reproductive success in Cistus landanifer (Cistaceae). Daniel B. Metcalfe M. Sc Biodiversity & Conservation 2003; Project Dissertation. School of Biology, University of Leeds. Summary 1. C. landanifer is a self- incompatible shrub which forms a major component of many Mediterranean habitats. It typically occurs in large, dense mono-species stands, though in some areas individuals may be more sparsely distributed. The plant produces prominent flowers which attract a wide diversity of pollinators. A proportion of these flowers subsequently develop into fruits which are subject to parasitism and seed predation. 2. C. landanifer populations were surveyed at three sites. Information relating to plant pollination success, reproductive effort and fruit parasitism was recorded. This data was plotted against plant density in order to determine density-dependant patterns of reproductive success. 3. Overall, pollination success declined significantly as the distance to the nearest cospecific increased. Reproductive effort and fruit parasitism showed the opposite pattern. Pollination success and reproductive effort per fruit increased with fruit height, but only in dispersed plants. 4. Measures of reproductive success were the product of a significant interaction between pollination success and reproductive effort. This means that dispersed plants were able to compensate for reduced pollination success by increasing reproductive effort. 5. These results indicate that overall reproductive success is the accumulated result of several different processes which may each respond to plant density in different ways. In order to effectively manage plant populations it is necessary to understand in greater detail the dynamic interactions between these processes. Introduction A large number of studies have been conducted examining the effects of population density upon population size and growth. At high densities increased competition for limited resources may drive population size down to an equilibrium level (e.g.: Nicholson 1933, 1957, Smith 1935, Lack 1954). This inherent stability could be disrupted, however, if population size falls too low (Allee et al. 1949, Allee 1951). In this scenario, low density or isolated populations suffer from a decline in reproductive success because of the difficulties associated with finding suitable mates. Selfincompatible plants are ideal test subjects for this area of research because, being sessile, they are both particularly vulnerable to density effects (since they are not directly able to find mates themselves) and they are relatively easy to locate and monitor. Models of pollinator foraging indicate that plant population density, by constraining frequency and duration of pollinator visits, is likely to have a crucial role to play in 1 individual plant pollination success (e.g.: Zimmerman 1981). This theory is supported by a substantial body of field research covering a range of habitats, plants and pollinators (Feinsinger et al. 1986, Kunin 1992, 1997, Lamont 1993, Groom 1998). However, pollination success is not the only densitydependant component of overall reproductive success. Also important is pre-pollination reproductive effort, and post-pollination seed predation. There has been relatively little research into how population density affects these two processes, and what the repercussions are for plant reproductive success. Where research has been conducted, the results are often conflicting. For example, despite early model predictions that herbivores/predators should favor dense host populations (Root 1973, Atsatt & O’Dowd 1976), subsequent studies have shown that responses to host density are highly speciesspecific (Kunin 1999, and references therein). Kunin (1999) even found disparate responses between the early and late instar stages of the same insect species (Tyria jacobaeae). Plants actively respond to changes in their environment by adjusting the quantity of resources which they allocate to various organs (Mooney & Winner 1991, Dale & Causton 1992, Reynolds & D’Antonio 1996). The type of limiting resource can have a substantial effect upon the pattern of resource partitioning within plants. For example, plants in a nutrient limited environment may allocate a greater proportion of their resources to root production (Chapin 1980, Smart & Barko 1980). This change in the pattern of allocation may come at the expense of other activities such as leaf, flower, fruit and ovule production. One of the most common reasons for changes in the amount of resources available to each plant is the local population density of co-specifics (e.g.: Meekins & McCarthy 2000). Density affects the level of competition and increases the chance that resource limitation will occur. Previous studies have found some evidence for changes in the level of resource allocation to reproduction with plant density (Snell & Burch 1975, Hickmann 1977, Mustajarvi et al. 2001) but the results are conflicting, and it has proved difficult to control for site variation in terms of other physical resources (e.g.: light, water and nutrients). It is possible that these responses are at least partly due to density-dependant changes in the visitation rate and behavior of pollinators (Stanton et al. 1987, Saikkonen et al. 1998), rather than just differences in the level of intra-specific competition. In addition, the within-plant distribution of reproductive effort may be set to maximize overall reproductive success. For example, if pollinators preferentially select flowers which are higher up on the plant due to their increased visibility, plants may respond to this behavior by allocating more reproductive resources (e.g.: flowers, ovules per ovary) into their upper portion. Furthermore, this pattern of allocation may change with plant density, since density can alter the visibility of flowers at different heights, with consequences for pollinator behavior. This process could potentially operate for many other factors (e.g.: fruit parasitism, seed predation) but few studies have documented density-dependant effects upon plant reproductive success in such detail. Naturally rare, sparsely populated plant species may have evolved mechanisms to overcome difficulties associated with isolation; such as long-distance seed dispersal mechanisms, a persistent seed bank, specialized plant-pollinator mutualisms, and self-compatibility (Barrett & Kohn 1991, Ayres & Ryan 1997, but see Wolf & Harrison 2001). The most immediate risk of pollination failure and species extinction is faced by plant species which lack those characteristics described above (Wilcock & Neiland 2002, and references therein). For these species the main problem arises when human activity artificially imposes low population density, through habitat fragmentation and/or degradation. Research in this area, therefore, has important 2 implications not just for theories relating to population dynamics but also for the design of effective population management and conservation strategies. This report presents the results of a study examining the effect of plant density upon the various determinants of reproductive success in a self-incompatible Mediterranean shrub. Specifically, I have addressed the following questions: 1) Does plant density affect pollination success? 2) Does plant density affect reproductive effort? 3) Does plant density affect rate of fruit predation? And finally: 4) Does plant density affect the with-in plant distribution of the above variables? This information cannot be considered complete without further research into the underlying mechanisms responsible for any patterns observed (e.g.: pollinator behavior, resource availability). As a field study, it also lacks the strictly controlled conditions of the experimental approach. Nevertheless, it provides potentially valuable insights into the spatial dynamics of plant reproduction, which warrant further research. Material & Methods Study species Cistus landanifer L. is a member of the family Cistaceae, comprising five genera (Cistus, Fumana, Halimium, Helianthemum and Tuberaria), which forms a major component of western Mediterranean matorral scrub. C. landanifer tends to occur on nutrientpoor, dry soils from the south of France, and throughout the Iberian Peninsula with its southern-most limit in North Africa (Morocco, Algeria). The species is easily distinguishable because of its growth form, large flowers and resinous exudates produced by the leaves and stems in summer which release a characteristic odor. The breeding system is self-incompatible, and the generalist floral architecture and pollen/nectar rewards attract a wide diversity of insect pollinators (Talavera et al. 1993). The fruiting capsules are resistant to fire, but susceptible to fruit parasitism and seed predation by a number of insect species (Bastida & Talavera 2002). Study site The study was carried out in an area of matorral near the town of Luz, in the Alentejo region of Portugal. The climate is typically Mediterranean with a hot, dry summer (temperatures often reaching 40 C), and a relatively wet and cold winter (90 % of the rainfall occurring between October and April). Three sites were chosen to represent the full range of environmental variation within which C. landanifer exists. Sites 1 and 2 both consisted of an area of relatively low species diversity open grassland and scattered C. landanifer individuals, with occasional patches of dense C. landanifer stands. The geology of the area was predominantly igneous with thin soils. Both sites were part of traditional grazing lands where the C. landanifer stands had been cleared in places to make way for pasture. In contrast, the local habitat of site 3 consisted of dispersed Cork Oak, Holm Oak and Olive trees with a diverse shrub layer dominated by Cistaceae, Leguminoseae and Ericaceae. Site 3 was an abandoned agricultural area with deep soils on fine-grained sedimentary parent rock. The area was in the process of being colonized by a nearby dense stand of mature C. landanifer individuals. Intra-site variation, in terms of environmental variables (altitude, slope, aspect, geology, soil depth, habitat structure and species composition), was minimized so any patterns should be mainly attributable to plant density differences. If any patterns persist from site to site despite the high level of inter-site variation this will provide robust support for 3 hypotheses regarding density-dependant changes in reproductive success. Sampling techniques A single 2 hundred metre transect, orientated north-south, was established at each site. Sampling was carried out by choosing numbers from a random number table to decide the following: distance moved along the transect, east or west, and distance moved in the selected direction up to a maximum of 50 metres. The plant closest to the point chosen was sampled. Each plant sampled was marked so that it would not be sampled again. Only plants with three or more fruits and between 0.9-1.60 metres in height were included in the survey. For each plant I measured distance to the nearest co-specific (nearest neighbor distance or ‘NND’), height, and the number of flowers and fruits produced. Flower production was assessed by counting the number of persistent woody peduncles per plant. Sampling was timed to take place after the main period of flowering, but before seed dispersal (June-July 2003). Three fruits were selected from each plant (one each from the top, middle and bottom portion of the plant). In those plants with just three fruits, all were included in the sample. For each capsule, I noted its height on the plant and any evidence of parasitism. I also estimated the number of seeds and undeveloped ovules per fruit by manually counting seeds and ovules in two locules per fruit with a low power microscope (×20), then taking the average and multiplying it by the number of locules in the fruit. Fruit which was collected but then found to be completely parasitized was discarded and not included in the analysis. Seed and ovule estimates were derived from partially parasitized fruits (i.e.: some locules remained intact) in the same way as non-parasitized fruit. Data analysis Inter-plant comparisons (data plotted against NND) utilized mean values from the three fruits collected per plant. Within-plant analysis (data plotted against fruit height) considered each fruit separately. With-in plant data was displayed in two groups: dense (NND < 1metre and dispersed (NND > 1 metre). Correlations between variables were carried out using the non-parametric Spearmans Rank method. Interactions between variables were assessed using a univariate GLM model. Data that did not conform to the assumptions of parametric analysis was transformed as necessary. Results A total of 60 plants, and 180 fruits were sampled. NND, plant height and fruit height varied between 0.15- 30.5 metres, 0.9- 1.63 metres and 0.14- 1.30 metres respectively. Plant height is a complicating factor since it correlates significantly with the following variables: flower number (Fig. 1; Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.280, p = 0.03), seeds per fruit (Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.254, p = 0.05) and seeds per plant (Spearmans rank correlation coefficient = 0.273, p = 0.035). However, there is no significant correlation between NND and plant height (Fig. 2; Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = - 0.108, p = 0.413). There were important differences between sites for a wide variety of variables. Firstly, the NND between plants sampled at each site differed substantially (Site 1: mean = 7.09 metres, min. = 0.3, max. = 30.5 metres; Site 2 mean = 5.01 metres, min. = 0.3 metres, max. = 20.55 metres; Site 3 mean = 2.51 metres, min. = 0.15 metres, max. = 10.52 metres). There was a significant difference between the average proportion of ovules fertilized (seed : ovule ratio) in Site 1 and 3 (Fig. 3; ANOVA, F = 4.981, p = 0.008). Similarly, the proportion of flowers which developed fruit (fruit : flower ratio) was also different between both site 1 4 Fl ower number 300 90 80 70 Percentage success and 2 (Fig. 3; ANOVA, F = 9.676, p = 0.016), and site 1 and 3 (Fig. 3; ANOVA F = 9.696, p < 0.001). Inter-site differences in terms of seeds and reproductive cells produced per plant were not so apparent. Further analysis of site effects will be continued below. 60 50 40 30 20 200 10 1.00 2.00 3.00 Site 100 Figure 3. Pollination success at different sites. The red and green bars refer to the average seed : ovule and fruit : flower ratio respectively. 0 80 100 120 140 160 180 Plant height Figure 1. Flower number per plant as a function of plant height. In this and all subsequent figures; red, green and blue triangles and trend lines refer to sites 1, 2 and 3 respectively. 180 Plant height 160 140 120 100 80 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 NND Figure 2. Plant size, as estimated by height, as a function of NND. No significant effect of interplant distance is apparent. 4.0 Pollination success For the entire sample, the fruit : flower ratio is inversely correlated with NND (Fig. 4; Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient = 0.555, p <0.001). This clear relationship with NND is also apparent for other measures of pollination success such as seed : ovule ratio (Fig. 5; Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = - 0.749, p < 0.001), seeds per fruit (Fig. 6; Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.462, p < 0.001), and total seeds per plant (Fig. 7; Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = - 0.321, p = 0.012). The number of fruit per plant was not related to NND (Fig. 8). Only seed : ovule ratio remained significantly negatively correlated with NND at all of the sites when they were considered separately. Other measures of pollination success were correlated with NND at some sites but not others. For example, the number of seeds per fruit declined with NND at site 1 (Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.552, p = 0.012), but no significant pattern was apparent at sites 2 or 3. When interaction between factors was analyzed it was found that seeds per fruit was the product of a significant 5 1.0 1600 1400 1200 Seeds per fruit interaction between seed : ovule ratio and reproductive cells per fruit (UNANOVA, F = 44.674, p < 0.001). Similarly, fruit : flower ratio and flower number interacted to derive fruits per plant (UNANOVA, F = 33.512, p < 0.001). 1000 800 600 Fracti on of flowers setting fruit 400 .8 200 0 .6 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 NND .4 Figure 6. Average number of seeds per fruit as a function of NND. .2 5.0 0.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 Figure 4. The fraction of flowers setting fruit in the sampled population of C. landanifer as a function of NND. NND in this and all subsequent figures is plotted on a log scale. 1.4 Seeds per plant NND 4.0 3.5 3.0 1.2 Fracti on of ovules fertilised 2.5 1.0 1.0 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 NND .8 Figure 7. Estimated number of seeds per plant as a function of NND. Seeds per plant has been log transformed. This plot is the product of figures 6 and 8. .6 .4 .2 0.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 NND Figure 5. Average Seed : Ovule ratio as a function of NND. Seed : Ovule ratio in this and all subsequent figures has been Arcsin transformed There is some evidence for within-plant variation in pollination success: seed number per fruit increased with fruit height in the dispersed plant group (Fig. 10; Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.353, p = 0.009). No such pattern was evident for the concentrated group (Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.123, p = 0.319). No relationship was found between seed : ovule ratio and height for either groups (Fig. 9). 6 Indeed, irrespective of height, seed : ovule ratio was over 95% for the majority of seeds sampled within the concentrated group. 1800 1600 1400 2.0 Seeds per fruit 1200 1.8 Number of fruit 1.6 1.4 1000 800 600 1.2 400 1.0 200 0 .8 0 20 40 .6 60 80 100 120 140 Fruit height .4 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 Figure 10. Estimated seeds per fruit as a function of fruit height. NND Reproductive effort Figure 8. Total number of fruit per plant as a function of NND. There is no clear densitydependant pattern 1.6 Fracti on of ovules fertilised 1.4 1.2 1.0 .8 .6 .4 .2 0.0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Fruit height Figure 9. Seed : Ovule ratio per fruit as a function of fruit height. In this and all subsequent figures with fruit height on the x-axis; hollow triangles and solid triangles indicate individuals from the concentrated and dispersed group respectively, the dashed trendline represents the concentrated group and the solid trend-line corresponds to the dispersed group. For the dataset as a whole, reproductive effort increases with NND: both total flowers per plant (Fig. 11; Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.434, p = 0.001) and reproductive cells per fruit (Fig. 12; Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.447, p < 0.001) are significantly correlated with NND. The product of these two factors means that there is a strong positive correlation between the total number of reproductive cells per plant and NND (Fig. 13; Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.567, p < 0.001). When the effect of site is considered reproductive effort does not consistently change with NND. Specifically, the plants sampled at sites 1 and 2 tended to respond to NND in a similar manner, compared to site 3 where there was a relatively weaker response to NND. Reproductive cells per fruit increased with fruit height, in the dispersed group (Fig. 14; Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.270, p = 0.048). There is no significant pattern of within-plant reproductive resource allocation in the concentrated group (Fig. 14; 7 Spearmans rank correlation coefficient = 0.177, p = 0.150). 6.0 Reproductive cells per plant 2.6 2.4 Fl ower number 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 5.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 1.4 3.5 1.2 1.0 1.5 2.0 1.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 NND .8 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 Figure 13. Estimated total reproductive cells per plant as a function of NND. Total reproductive cells has been log transformed. This plot is the product of Figures 11 and 12. 4.0 NND Figure 11. Total number of flowers per plant as a function of NND. Flower number has been log transformed 2000 2000 1800 1800 1600 Reproductive cells per fruit Number of reproductive cells 2.5 1600 1400 1200 1000 1400 1200 1000 800 800 600 600 400 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 400 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 NND Figure 12. Average number of reproductive cells (seeds + ovules) per fruit as a function of NND. 4.0 Fruit height Figure 14. Average number of reproductive cells per fruit as a function of fruit height. Fruit parasitism The rate of fruit parasitism in the fruits sampled increases significantly with NND (Fig. 15; Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.567, p < 0.001). When the dataset is divided into two groups (NND<1 metre, and NND>1 8 metre) the mean rate of parasitism is approximately three times higher in the dispersed group compared to the densely populated group. There is no significant pattern of fruit parasitism with fruit height (Spearmans Rank correlation coefficient = 0.062, p = 0.638). 1.2 Proportion of pa rasitized fruit 1.0 .8 .6 .4 .2 0.0 -.2 -1000 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 NND Figure 15. Proportion of parasitized fruit per plant sampled as a function of distance. Discussion Pollination success The pattern of pollination success observed in this study firmly supports the growing body of evidence which suggests that, contrary to traditional opinion (Bawa & Beach 1981), pollination can and does limit reproductive success in a large number of plant species (Burd 1994, Larson & Barrett 2000). In some respects, the results mirror those of a similar study examining the reproductive biology of C. landanifer (Talavera et al. 1993). Both studies find an inverse correlation between measures of pollination success per unit effort (fruit : flower and seed : ovule ratio) and NND. The main difference is that in this study the relationship between absolute measures of pollination success (number of seeds per fruit and plant, and number of fruits per plant) and NND is not so significant. This may be because sparsely distributed plants are able to partially offset the negative consequences of low density (reduced pollinator visits causing reduced seed set, increased fruit abortion) by attracting pollinators with larger floral displays. It is possible that this effect is not so apparent in the study carried out by Talavera et al. (1993) because their dataset includes many plants with a much higher NND (maximum = 80m, compared to 30m in this study). Perhaps with these greater distances there is little advantage to be gained by increasing reproductive effort. Any effects of reduced pollinator visitation for dispersed plants may have been exacerbated by increased rates of ‘improper pollen transfer’ (Rathcke 1983). This reduction in pollination ‘quality’, as well as ‘quantity’, occurs if dispersed plants are visited by generalist pollinators which subsequently deposit predominantly foreign pollen. Any pollen which is picked up has very little chance of reaching a co-specific. Even worse, when resources are sparsely distributed pollinators tend to spend longer at each resource patch; switching between plants less often (Beattie 1976) and visiting more flowers per plant (Heinrich 1979, Klinkhamer & de Jong 1990, Cresswell 1997). This means that dispersed self-incompatible plants could be at a further disadvantage because more of their own pollen is wasted on their own flowers (Ramsey & Vaughton 2000). Pollinators in concentrated resources behave in a way which maximizes useful transmission of pollen- by probing a few flowers per plant and moving often from plant to plant. Kunin (1993) conducted an experiment in order to evaluate the relative importance of quality and quantity effects under different conditions. He concluded that ‘selfincompatible plants served by generalist pollinators may be particularly susceptible to difficulties’. The unsophisticated floral architecture of C. landanifer together with 9 provision of abundant nectar and pollen ensures that individuals are visited by a diverse range of insect pollinators (Talavera et al. 1993, but see Herrera 1985, Brandt & Gottsberger 1988). Many of these pollinators are generalists which visited other plant species present at all of the field sites surveyed (Personal observation). Therefore it is likely that C. landanifer will be particularly vulnerable to changes in the density of cospecifics. The results of Kunins’ (1993) study also suggest that the particular mix of flowering species in a habitat can have a major influence over pollinator behavior. Pollinators may change from specialists to generalists depending upon floral composition. This could be a complicating factor in this study, since the abundance and species composition of flowering plants differs between all of the sites. Yet the fact that the plants sampled at all of the sites showed the same general responses to density, in terms of pollination success, indicates that any differences are outweighed by the similarities. It is more difficult to know how to interpret the within-plant distribution of pollination success found in this study. Why only plants within the dispersed group should experience variation in pollination success with fruit height is unclear. Given that reproductive effort (reproductive cells per fruit) also increased with height it is possible that another, unrecorded, indicator of reproductive effort– perhaps flower size or duration of flower opening– increases with height. Talavera et al. (1992) documented substantial variation in the flower size of C. landanifer (55- 70 mm). They also record a much longer duration of flower opening (up to 3 days) compared with previous studies. Therefore, the necessary variation of reproductive effort exists for this hypothesis to be plausible. Indeed, simply the pattern of growth of C. landanifer could promote a vertical stratification of reproductive effort since the first buds usually form higher up on the plant. If the size of flowers or duration of opening is highest at the top of the plant, pollinators may be attracted in greater numbers to this larger display (Klinkhamer et al. 1989, Ohashi & Yahara 1998) thereby increasing pollination success. This within-plant pattern of pollination success was not uniform; the majority of the plants in the concentrated group experienced very high rates of pollination success, regardless of fruit height. Perhaps in dense clumps of C. landanifer the quantity and/or quality of pollinator visitation is so high that there is no relative advantage for flowers in any position (i.e.: flowers in all positions, and opening even for the minimum amount of time achieve maximal pollination success). These hypotheses require further research at the study site to observe flower characteristics and pollinator behavior in order to be validated. Reproductive effort Several other studies have also found that various measures of plant reproductive effort are positively correlated with population density (Snell & Burch 1975, Hickmann 1977). Mustajarvi et al. (2001) found that sparse populations of the self-compatible plant Lychnis viscaria had more flowers per influorescence and larger flowers compared to dense populations. They conclude that reproductive success may be more constrained by resource availability in self-compatible plants, in comparison with self-incompatible plants where the effects of pollinators may be more important. Yet in this study it appears that both of these factors have important effects upon the selfincompatible C. landanifer. Not only does reproductive effort change with NND, but these changes are able to partially compensate for differences in relative pollination success. For example, though there is a clear inverse correlation between fruit number per unit effort (fruit : flower ratio) with NND, when the effect of reproductive effort is removed (i.e.: flower 10 number per plant) and absolute counts of fruits per plant are plotted against NND there is no significant trend. However, the lack of a trend is at least partly due the underestimation of the extent of fruit abortion in isolated plants (see critical analysis of results, below). The potential compensatory mechanism is clear in the case of flower number. By increasing flower number dispersed plants can attract more pollinators and increase the absolute number of flowers pollinated to such a level that the ovaries subsequently develop into fruits. The existence of such strategies has been confirmed elsewhere (Klinkhamer et al. 1989, Klinkhamer & de Jong 1990 and references therein). It is not clear how this process may work for the other measure of pollination success per unit effort: seed : ovule ratio. In this study it appears that by increasing the number of ovules per fruit plants can then increase the number of ovules subsequently fertilized. This conclusion is probably false since the only credible factor that can affect fertilization rate is the number of compatible pollen grains successfully entering the ovary. More likely is that both of these variables are affected by another factor. One possibility, mentioned above, is that flowers with more reproductive cells per ovary may also tend to be larger or open for a longer time. Larger flowers, with a longer flowering period, can attract more pollinators, which deposit more pollen which in turn increases the number of ovules fertilized. It makes sense that flowers which are visited more often by pollinators should have more ovules in their ovary, since it reduces the chance that the number of pollen grains entering the ovary exceeds the number of available ovules. Again, these hypotheses require additional fieldwork in order to be tested. Another important question is whether the changes in effort are based upon densitydependant changes in resource availability and competition, or if they are caused by plants at various densities actively allocating a different proportion of their resources to reproduction. The former process should dominate over relatively short distances, whilst the latter could theoretically operate at any density. If competition was the dominant process operating in this study system you would expect to find that reproductive effort initially increases but soon levels off as NND increases beyond a few metres. However, this is not the pattern observed; instead effort continues to increase at a fairly constant rate over the full range of NND sampled. A strategy of increased allocation by dispersed plants to reproduction would make sense given that competition for pollinators, in contrast to competition for light, water and nutrients, can take place over a relatively large spatial scale. Nevertheless the availability of physical resources may also have a role to play in resource allocation to reproductive structures. This conclusion is supported by the betweensite differences in reproductive effort with NND. Site 3 in particular shows no significant change in resource allocation with NND. This effect is at least partly due to the higher density of C. landanifer at site 3 which meant that average inter-plant distance was lower than at the other sites. Correlation works best when the data points are scattered across the full range of the x-axis, which is not the case with site 3 variables. Fruit parasitism As outlined in the introduction, an increasing number of studies have found that ‘resource users’ (i.e.: herbivores, predators, parasites) do not inevitably concentrate around dense resources (as suggested by the ‘Resource Concentration Hypothesis’, Root 1973). This study adds to this body of evidence by showing a much higher rate of fruit parasitism amongst dispersed C. landanifer individuals, compared to those plants in dense populations. Responses to changes in resource density seem to depend 11 upon a variety of species-specific characters. Kunin (1999) reviews six possible predictors of how a resource user will respond to an available resource: sensory biases, dispersal biases, food requirements, diet breadth, competitive exclusion and predation risk. He suggests that small organisms with limited dispersal capability, a specialized diet, which suffers from high levels of competition from other resource users and predation risk and uses senses other than vision to locate the resource, are more likely to target sparsely populated plants. However, in order to test these hypotheses it is necessary to have detailed information about the number and type of resource users found. It was not possible to collect this data in the current study, though Bastida & Talavera (2002) have recorded some limited information about seed predators in C. landanifer. Further research at the study site would allow a more comprehensive examination of the effects of plant density upon fruit parasitism and other activities (e.g.: herbivory, post-dispersal seed predation). What is clear is that the spatial pattern of parasitism observed further reduces the overall reproductive success of isolated plants. Critical assessment of results The key objectives of this study were to examine whether plant density affected the scale and distribution of various determinants of reproductive success. In this respect, it has fallen short of its targets for the following reasons. Firstly, correlation does not test for a causal relationship between factors; instead it can only demonstrate that some form of association exists between them. Furthermore, it was not possible to record detailed information about pollinators, fruit parasites and resource availability which could have provided a concrete causal link between NND and the other variables recorded. Kunin (1993) was able to demonstrate that density, by altering pollinator visitation rates and behavior, caused changes in seed set. Other studies, reviewed in the introduction, have shown a similarly direct relationship between density and reproductive effort, and pattern of resource use. Therefore, it is plausible that the same causal mechanisms operate in this study system. Nevertheless, without further research in this area it is unwise to disregard the possibility that the patterns observed are caused by some other unknown factor or interaction. It is, for example, possible that the variations in plant density observed are the result of local differences in resource availability. Changes in reproductive success may reflect variation in site quality rather than changes in competition, pollinator visitation or seed predation. In this study this is unlikely for a number of reasons. Firstly, variation in C. landanifer density at all of the sites was caused by shrub clearance. Areas with low plant density had some years previously supported high densities. In addition, if low plant density is caused by poor site quality and resultant resource limitation you would expect to find reduced reproductive effort with NND. This is not the case in this study where, irrespective of size, dispersed plants tend to produce more flowers, and more ovules per flower compared to concentrated plants. Resource availability could only limit overall reproductive success if the number of seeds produced were constrained by the number of ovules available to be fertilized. This is not the case in the dispersed plants sampled in this study. Site clearly does have an effect upon the overall level of reproductive success, but the general pattern of response of variables at each site to NND is strikingly similar to each other (see, for example, figure 7). The correlations derived are, therefore, unlikely to be an artefact of site differences. The lack of statistically significant patterns for many variables when the sites were analyzed separately is certainly partly due to the smaller sample sizes. There do exist methods which 12 could separate out the influence of site (univariate GLM models) without splitting up the data, but it was not possible to explore them given the time restrictions involved in data analysis. Separate correlations for each site do at least give a qualitative picture of the effects of site. I could find no evidence that C. landanifer, at any density, was targeted by herbivores. Though site 1 and 2 were part of grazing lands for cattle, sheep and goats I never observed any livestock in the vicinity of either site. Mycorrhizal interactions may be responsible for density-related patterns in other systems (but see Hirrel et al. 1978), but C. landanifer is not mycorrhizal. For these reasons densitydependant changes in pollinator visitation rates and behavior is the most plausible explanation for the pattern of pollination success observed in this study. It is more difficult to explain the pattern of reproductive effort and fruit parasitism observed within the study. Any changes in reproductive effort with NND are subject to a number of different interpretations. Despite every effort to minimize intra-site variation it is possible that changes in reproductive effort simply reflect differences in physical variables. The disadvantage of the use of transects is that they may unwittingly be aligned along some kind of environmental gradient. However, it is unlikely that this would account for many of the patterns observed in this study, which occur in all sites. Even if the physical environment could be made completely homogenous there are still several plausible determinants of reproductive effort. Teasing apart the interactions between these factors and various correlates of reproductive effort requires further field research. There is a clear spatial pattern of fruit parasitism recorded in this study, but the reasons for this pattern are uncertain (see Kunin 1999, for a review of the possibilities). Collection of additional fruit from more plants, and modifying seed-set estimates for partially parasitized fruit would provide a more detailed picture of any patterns, and reveal the consequences for reproductive success. These measures were beyond the remit of the current study, and in some cases would have conflicted with other objectives. For example, many more fruits per plant would have been sampled but I wanted to include as many dispersed plants as possible. The most isolated C. landanifer individuals seldom had more than a few fruits. A more serious problem, which this study shares with many others, is the potential effect of spatial autocorrelation at the field site and within the data. All efforts were made in this study to select sites which were internally homogenous. Since the existence of site variation could change the pattern of autocorrelation such that the frequency of type I errors (i.e.: the failure to reject the null hypothesis when in fact there is no effect of plant density on the response variables) were increased. The relatively small spatial scale of the study area, with the greatest NND being just 30.5 metres, should increase the level of population homogeneity through autocorrelation. Though it was not possible in the current analysis, techniques do exist to generate modified correlations or regressions which specifically take into account spatial auto-correlation (Dutilleul’s t-test; Dutilleul 1993, Legendre 2002). Given that many of the patterns observed in this study were very highly significant, it is likely that even after correction they would remain significant. Despite the weaknesses outlined above, this study does have several advantages over previous, more controlled experiments. Most importantly, this study details the pattern and extent of variation, in terms of reproductive success, which may exist in the field. The experimental approach has already demonstrated that many of these processes can, in principle, operate. Whether or not they are important in nature is another issue. In addition, the spatial dynamics of reproductive success were examined in greater detail than in 13 many previous research efforts. This added detail adds an extra level of complexity which can cloud analysis and interpretation, but is nevertheless a truer representation of what occurs in nature. Many of the patterns observed are underestimated because the non-parametric methods used have relatively low statistical power. Furthermore, because it was only possible to survey non-aborted fruits, the full extent of reproductive failure in dispersed plants (i.e.: including relative reproductive success of aborted fruits) was certainly underestimated. The abortion rate was also a conservative estimate since no plants were included if they had fewer than three fruits. In practice this meant that many of the most isolated, and potentially most interesting, plants could not be sampled. Conclusion Reproductive success in C. landanifer is the product of several different density-dependant processes. The cumulative effect of these processes is such that sparsely populated plants are likely to produce fewer viable seedlings. Effective management of plant populations will depend upon a greater understanding of the factors that determine reproductive success and how they respond to plant density. In this study system there is likely to be a strong selective advantage for those dispersed plants which are able to increase their reproductive effort. This study has generated a number of hypotheses which remain to be tested. Further research with C. landanifer, and in other study systems should allow us to generate general principles which will shed light both on aspects of population dynamics, and of conservation biology. Acknowledgements This project was, to a large extent, supported financially by an M.Sc project grant from the School of Biology, University of Leeds. Thanks go to the following people whose input significantly improved the manuscript; Bill Kunin, Chris Thomas and Steve Sait. 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