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Exane BNP Paribas European Seminar
Massimo Mondazzi
SVP Planning & Control
Paris, June 14th, 2007
E&P:
Increase production, replace reserves and build a
global LNG position
G&P:
Grow internationally and preserve Italian gas
business
Technology
Operational Efficiency
Eni’s Growth Strategy
R&M:
Enhance refining profitability and marketing network
2
E&P: Long Term Growth
Production growth - CAGR 2006-10
From 3% to 4% post 2007 asset acquisitions
Reserve replacement ratio
>100 2007-2010
Existing Portfolio
Future developments & opportunities
ƒ
Large and diverse resource
base
ƒ
Exposure to world leading
projects
ƒ
Renewal of exploration
portfolio
ƒ
Technology partner with
NOCs
ƒ
Building a global LNG
business
ƒ
Uniquely integrated business
model
Enhancing
Enhancing
E&P
E&Pand
andG&P
G&P
integration
integration
3
Proved Reserves and Resources
Proved Reserves
(SEC rules)
Year-end Brent
($/bl)
40.5
58.2
2006 Total Resources
(40$/bl brent)
58.9
Solid Resource Base to Sustain
Long Term Growth
Organic Reserves Replacement
2004-06 at 40 $/bl:
106%
>25
105
Reserves
replacement (%)
65
40
91
all sources
23
7.2
6.8
2004
12.1
12.5
38
6.4
7.0
2005
2006
Proved
Proved+Probable
Total*
10.8
10.0
10.8
>19
>38
Reserves
(Billion boe)
Life index
(year)
organic
* Proved + Unproved Reserves + Risked Exploration
4
Successful Exploration and Portfolio Renewal
Added Resources
(Bln boe)
ƒ Resources added per year (2003/06): 700 Mboe
2.8
3,0
2.4
2,5
ƒ Average ROS SEC 2003-06: ~ 50%
2,0
1,5
ƒ Portfolio renewal: 68% of total acreage in 3 years
1,0
0,5
0,0
ƒ High quality portfolio added
2003
Per year
2004
2005
Cumulative
2006
2003/06 cumulative
production
2006 new net acreage:
152,000 sqkm, 99% operated
Core Areas
•
•
•
•
•
ANGOLA
1 block offshore (Bl. 15)
BRAZIL
1 block offshore
CONGO
3 blocks offshore
EGYPT
1 block offshore
MOROCCO
1 block onshore
New Areas
•
•
•
•
NIGERIA
1 block offshore
NORWAY
1 licence offshore
PAKISTAN
4 blocks onshore
USA
1 block GoM
48 blocks Alaska
•
•
•
MALI
5 blocks onshore
MOZAMBIQUE
1 block offshore
TIMOR EAST
5 blocks offshore
5
G&P: Robust Cash Generation
Free Cash Flow:
2.1 billion in 2010
CAGR 3% (2006-2010)
Pipeline
ƒ
Long term contract
portfolio, equity gas and
LNG
ƒ
Widespread international
infrastructure
ƒ
Strong position in growing
markets
ƒ
Direct access to
customers
ƒ
Exploit dual offer
Eni markets
LNG existing
LNG ongoing
6
G&P: Targets
Gas sales
(bcm)
ƒ
Growth in international sales
CAGR
CAGR 2006-10:
2006-10:
~10%
~10%
outside
outside Italy
Italy
>100
International
sales*
42%
50%
54%
Italy
58%
50%
46%
2006
2009
Previous
Target
2010
New
Target
(bln €)
ƒ
>105
97
Free cash flow
Maintain strength in domestic
market
ƒ
Increase operational efficiency
*
**
Including Extra Europe gas sales and E&P equity gas sold in Europe (4 Bcm)
Normalized to exclude inventory changes and extraordinary commercial credits/debits
2.1
1.9**
2.2
1.9
Potential
Upside
2006
2009
2010
Previous New
Target Target
7
Free Cash Flow Generation Target
Billion €
1.9*
Activity
Areas
2.1
17%
59%
20%
80%
50%
50%
24%
2006
2010
2006
2010
Regulated business
Marketing and Power
Italy
International
International pipelines
* Normalized to exclude inventory changes and extraordinary commercial credits/debits
8
R&M: Improving Profitability
2010/2006 +40% ebit increase
at 2006 scenario
REFINING
ƒ Focused investment programme
• Grow refinery throughput
• Increase conversion index
ƒ
Pursue operational efficiency
MARKETING
International retail presence
Refineries
ƒ
Increase premium product
sales and non-oil activities
ƒ
ƒ
Grow sales in Europe
Efficiency programme
9
R&M Targets
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
Refining
Improve conversion index and
middle distillate yield
Increase refinery throughput
Enhance operational efficiency
Throughput* (Mln ton)
Conversion Index (%)
40.2
57
58
2006
2010
2013
41
44
46
Target
Estimate
Middle Distillate Yield (%)
(*) Excluding processing for third parties of 1.8 Mln ton/y
Marketing
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
>43.0
38.0
61
High
High
turnaround
turnaround
potential
potential
Increase sales in Europe
Improve retail network economics
Efficiency programme
Retail sales in Europe (Bln liters)
Throughput in Europe (Mln lt/ss)
15.8
2.5
2006
17.4
2.7
2010
10
Disciplined Capex Increase
Billion €
5.2
35.2
1.9
37.1
2.3
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
€ bln
Regulated 2
Refining
upgrading 0.6
Saipem new
vessels 1.1
44.6
4.0
4.3
Others
R&M
6.7
G&P
29.6
E&P
36%
48%
16%
Regulated
2006-2009
SRG
consolidation
and forex
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
2006-2009
pro-forma
E&P
incremental
inflation
Additional
Activities
2007-2010
capex plan
PSA
Other
Strong and selective investment programme
70% of additional capex devoted to grow the business
Balancing risk vs return
11
Attractive Dividend & Buy Back
1.10
0.75
Dividend
0.90
€/share
2003
Dividend
payment
Share buy back
ƒ
ƒ
2004
ƒ
ƒ
1.25
0.65
0.65
0.45
0.60
2005
2006
ƒ
Dividend up 13.6%
2006 dividend
sustainable in the
2007-10 period
October 2006: 0.60 € per share
June 2007: 0.65 € per share
5.7 billion € 2000-YTD (1Q07) share buy back (8.6% of capital)
1.7 billion € still available
12
Recent Acquisitions
Core strategic area
Strong contribution to long term growth
Financial discipline
13
The Strategic Rationale
E&P
R&M
ƒ
Enter hydrocarbon rich regions and strengthen presence in
core areas
ƒ
Boost growth in the four year plan and beyond
ƒ
Add valuable resources: over 2 billion boe
ƒ
Operatorship
ƒ
Exploration potential
ƒ
Improve competitive positioning in central Europe
ƒ
Improve integration with local refining capacity
ƒ
Strengthen existing marketing network
14
New Gulf of Mexico Assets
ƒ
ƒ
Cash consideration US$ 4,757 bn
Increase materiality in a key area:
- 222 million boe 2P reserves
- from 36 to over 110 kboe/d (effective July 1st 2007)
ƒ
ƒ
ƒ
Strengthen operatorship in the Gulf of Mexico
High exploration potential
EPS and CFPS accretive from 2007
New
Orleans
Main Pass
ƒ 272 Blocks
~ 60% operated
0.78 Million Net Acres
Neptune
Rigel
Miocene
ƒ53 Fields
Legacy
Fields
Egom
Devil Tower
Thunderhawk
Front
Runner
Dominion
assets
Production
Exploration
Core Areas
Shelf/State
Shelf/State
70% of 2P reserves
in 8 fields
Deepwater
Deepwater
15
Arctic Gas and Urengoil
“SINT” Assets
ƒ
Strategic partnership with Gazprom
ƒ
Access to significant resources: ~ 1.5 billion boe
ƒ
Sustain production growth in the long term
ƒ
Leverage on operational skills and technology
ƒ Gazprom has an option to
acquire a 51% interest within
2 years
ƒ If Gazprom exercises its call
option:
Moscow
9 Eni’s cash consideration:
US$ 0.63 bn
9 Eni’s interest: 30%
16
Congo Assets
ƒ
Operatorship
ƒ
Strengthen materiality in a legacy country
ƒ
Production growth in medium term
ƒ
Reserves upside
ƒ
High exploration potential
ƒ Assets acquisition completed in May
Original
Original Oil
Oil in
in place
place ~
~ 1.4
1.4 Gbl
Gbl
ƒ Commercial assets - M’BOUNDI:
43.1%, KOUAKOUALA A: 66.7%
KOUAKOUALA B, C, D: 50%
ƒ Exploration license - KOUILOU: 48%
ƒ Cash consideration: US$ 1.28 bn
ƒ 2P reserves: 112 Mboe
ƒ Acquired assets equity production:
18% CAGR 2007-10
17
Other E&P recent acquisitions
Alaska
Angola
TA
PS
Nikaitchuq
ƒ Operatorship and 70% stake in
the Nikaitchuq field
ƒ 2P reserves: 70 Mboe
ƒ First oil 2009
ƒ 13.6% stake in A-LNG
ƒ New 5 million-ton LNG plant
ƒ Monetize currently untapped
reserves
ƒ Regasification capacity of 5
bcm/y in Pascagoula
18
Eastern Europe Downstream Activities
Acquired
assets
Industrial
Rationale
Financial
Impact
ƒ
ƒ
102 retail stations in Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary
16.11% stake in Czech Refining Company
ƒ
Enhance Eni’s integrated marketing and refining activities
ƒ
Increase local refining capacity to 2.6 mln tons per year
ƒ
Improve network quality: 4.9 mln lt/y throughput per site
ƒ
ƒ
Synergies
EPS accretive
19